12 Burst results for "Zach Cram"

"zach cram" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

05:14 min | 5 months ago

"zach cram" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

"Our Patreon supporters. I am Ben Berg of the ringer, not joined today by my regular co host Meg rally. Not because the Mariners fortunes have dropped off dramatically since we last spoke. That's a pure coincidence. She's just traveling, has some other applications today. And so, in her absence, I'm joined by some other co host of mine or at least former co hosts. We are taking this opportunity to do a takeover of the effectively wild feed for a ringer MLB show reunion show. And so I am joined by all of my former co hosts slash producers of the ringer MLB show dearly departed. Michael Batman, hello, Michael. Hello. It works for us now as many of you listening. No, so this is sort of a home series for him as well. And Zach cram of the ringer, hello, Zack. Hello. And Bobby Wagner of the ringer and also of tipping pitches fame hello, poppy. Hi, Ben. It's good to hear all your voices again. It's been a while. It feels like it hasn't been long at all. Like hearing all of us together in the same chat room. It takes me back immediately in a very, you know, very visceral sense. Yeah, the magic is still here. I can sense it. The chemistry that we always had, still present. We were even 5 minutes late to recording this because I had to get coffee because it's 8 a.m. my time 'cause I'm just randomly on the West Coast right now. Even though I have moved back to New York since the ringer MLB show was dearly departed. Did you say we were 5 minutes late? Because the rest of us were here. I want to point that out. We live in the future. Was it just me? Was it just me guys? Always the producer holding up the show. Yep. It's always the way it is. Well, I mean, at least this time, it's because you need a coffee and it's the crack of dawn out there, not because you like CC Sabathia better than you like us, which means the usual reason we were. This is the false and slanderous accusation. To be fair, we weren't the ones throwing out the first pitch at game one of a playoff series. So I can understand why he would leave in that direction. It's true. Well, Mike, happy to have you at fan grafts. We're still in the same slack channel, at least. We miss you in ringer MLB slack and the rigor. Does anybody talk over there anymore? It's a lot quieter than it used to be for sure. And we miss all your cycling coverage, obviously, as I noted before we started recording, our cycling coverage has taken a severe hit since you left. We miss you for many reasons, but it's nice that we're still in the same orbit, still in the same sphere. Really, all it has to happen is I have to do a freelance piece for D one baseball dot com and you have to do one for 5 38 and then we will basically have the same resume or we'll have been associated with the same websites professionally. I guess I have to work for the good fight too. I don't know if that's going to happen. No, I had never actually heard for the good fights here. A crash brutality. And that's defunct. So don't worry about it. Now I was going to say if you missed my cycling coverage, you might be interested in last week's fan graphs audio, where Jake mince and I previewed the division series and also the tour of Lombardy. Well, you had Jake on, we had Jordan schusterman on here. We're just like, we're finding work for all of the former ringer baseball podcasters who have found work themselves elsewhere. Or there's like a bob and Carol and Ted now a situation going on where we're all like swapping partners now. Exactly. Well, it is good to have you with fangraphs and writing about baseball very regularly again, even though I'm not technically on the staff. I am just sort of in the fan grass sphere. I'm a friend of fan crafts. I do a podcast for fan grass. It's a little bit different. But I guess it makes sense that we would be in the same sort of demand professionally or that we would travel in the same circles because there are only so many places that have a need for people who cover baseball and science fiction and like submarines and stuff. So either you get wind perk or you get bauman or sometimes both. That's basically it. I take offense to that statement. That's true. A lot of that applies to you as well. Wow. We've been coworkers for a long time too, so I guess it tracks. There's a really good quadruple Venn diagram to make between the four of us here with sci-fi baseball analytics, leftist politics. What else am I missing, guys? Yes. Union organizing. Yeah, so a couple of years ago, I made exactly that Venn diagram and I'll find it once we're off air, but it exists. I've made it before. So we want to do a little catch up on the playoffs because we haven't done an effectively wild since megane previewed the division series. There hasn't been as much baseball since then, as you might think, just because of the weird off days and also the unscheduled off days because of rain outs, but we'll see where we stand in those series, of course, we're recording late Friday morning on the east coast, so there will have been games by the time people hear this. They're three games scheduled for Friday, but we'll do our best here. And Mike, you made a joke, you picked on poor Bobby before we hit record that the fact that the mets do not seem to have any game scheduled this week or for the foreseeable future.

baseball Ben Berg Meg rally Michael Batman Zach cram Bobby Wagner Mariners Jake mince Zack Jordan schusterman West Coast Ben Michael Lombardy Mike New York Jake Carol Ted bauman
"zach cram" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

06:25 min | 7 months ago

"zach cram" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

"I just love the idea of like, you know, we all have our things that we check on because we can't watch all the baseball. There's too much of it to watch. And so we all of us have our little things that we check, whether it's at the end of the day or the next morning to see like, what's going on with everything. And I'm checking the wild card standings and I'm looking at how bad our playoff odds and maybe checking in on a couple of players who I'm individually interested in. Yeah, none of them are chewing mess. Yeah. Yeah, you're like, you're in this weird zone where you're really interested in, you know, and then also. But you know what I think it's nice. I think it's good to have a diverse set of interests and it's good to remember that players who are not future Hall of Famers, they contribute stuff too. We should give them their due. How panicked were you yesterday when Aaron judge in his 50th home run that Otani would be on the losing end of an effort yet again. Were you very panicked? Well, and the noti hit a home run of his own. That put the angels over the top. So that was a fun little MVP race. MVP finalists going head to head toe to toe, Homer to Homer. So that was amusing. I felt bad for tani in a sense because angel stadium was full of Yankees. Oh my God, there were so many Yankees fans. I think they may have outnumbered the angels fans just judging by the boos and the cheers. They very strongly did. They very strongly did. Yeah, for sure. Which we don't say to knock angels fans to be clear. We are just cool. There are a lot of they're sure are a lot of Yankee fans there. Yeah, and there were MVP chants and they're often MVP chants for a tiny, but in this case, I think there were more for just and I felt bad for a tiny, because he had a quote, he said it feels rewarding to be able to play in front of a crowd like this. It doesn't matter who they are cheering for. I lord. It doesn't matter who they are cheering for. I was able to have a lot of fun playing. He's got a great life, but I felt bad for him. We got to get him in front of crowds who are cheering for him. That would be nice. But it was fun to see both of those guys. Just go in Homer to Homer. And he really is within a win of judge, where wise it fan grafts and even closer, I believe at baseball references. He's kind of turned it on. He's only like 6 points of WRC plus below where he finished last season. The offense has been picking up and he's been amazing on the mound too. So there is this scenario where I was just talking to Zach cram at the ringer about this, but there's a scenario where ohtani, I don't think he'll win the Cy Young words, like he's in the conversation, especially with Justin Verlander on the IL with a calf issue now. Depending on when he comes back he's in the running, there are other pitchers who probably have stronger cases at this point where at least stronger like ERA based cases, you know, you have cease and you have mcclanahan and they have more innings pitched than Otani, even though he's on shorter rest these days, so he is pitching more often and getting more innings, but they're still going to be an innings gap there. And then you have like Kevin gossman as the 5th candidate, I guess, if you're very into fip. So I don't know that he'll win, but freaking weird. Yeah. But if he finishes strong and keeps pitching the way he has, like, he's gonna finish close to the top. If he doesn't win the thing, I don't think he'll win the thing, but could win the thing. And if he finishes like feet were to win the Cy Young award or come close to and be one of the top finishers and then also have like 35 dingers, you know, and one 41 50 WRC plus. And not win the MVP word. That is a possible scenario where maybe you're number two or number three Cy Young finisher like hits 35 bombs and does not win MVP. And also, like that might be okay. Just because judge has 50 homers and could end with 60 or something and like is playing really good defense and center and everything like it might be fine, but just like how weird would that be if you have a guy who's like a leading cyan contender and also one of the better hitters in baseball and might not win the MVP award which you think he'd be a shoo in based on that, but like maybe it might not even be a bad thing if he didn't win because judge would be so deserving so it's a fun race. I mean it's not maybe as close as the NL race that we talked about last week, but it's pretty fun just because these guys are so impressive in their respective ways. Yeah, I agree with you that it's not as tight. How many turns is Verlander gonna mess? 'cause I know that they said this morning that the news with Verlander was like better than catastrophic, which, you know, that's a weird way of me categorizing that news. Like he's probably gonna miss what at least a turn or two when it comes down to I mean, he's on the 15 day I had an MRI. But the MRI was like kind of okay. Not disastrous, but he's out for at least a couple weeks and, you know, given his age, given just that they want him to be right for the playoffs, obviously, like they'll probably be kind of careful. I guess they would want him to get some innings in before the shaft start, ideally. He's not eligible to come off until September 13th. So if he came off right then and got some starts before the end, I think he's probably still the leading contender right, but like if he missed more than the minimum, I don't know because there are some pictures who were pretty close to him. Yeah, it'll be interesting to see how voters interact with the Kevin gausman of it all because his performance is just so weird. Like he's just having the worst batted ball luck in a way.

Homer Otani angel stadium Yankees baseball angels Zach cram ohtani tani Kevin gossman Justin Verlander Aaron mcclanahan Cy Young award Verlander NL Kevin gausman
"zach cram" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

08:05 min | 7 months ago

"zach cram" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

"All right, and the last one is from Chris, who says I'm a Yankees fan and see a lot of people hemming and hawing over Aaron hicks, legitimately awful year, once that I saw thrown around today is that he has the lowest wind probability added for any position player at negative 2.91. This doesn't come off to me as a great criticism. It means he's been bad in some consequential moments, but doesn't really mean that he's the worst player in baseball. He's a one win above replacement player and you can go look at the angels fan grass page to find major leaguers with a significant number of it bats who are well below that mark. Don't I know it. My question is, who is the player with the most war who still has a negative wind probability added? I will leave it to the smart people to come up with reasonable qualifiers. Are we the smart people? I hope so, but I didn't really set any qualifiers here. I just look for players who had a negative WPA and then I sorted by war, so this is wind probability added, which takes into account the game stayed in the situation and the score and if you want to call it clutch Ness, you can maybe too. So that takes into account the sequencing of when you did what you did, whereas war is sort of context independent or agnostic and just counts a home run hit in a blowout the same as a home run to win a walk off. So I sorted here and it's true that this year it's not that notable that hicks has a bad WPA and also a positive war if I just search for players in 2022 who have a negative WPA and have higher worst significantly higher worse than Aaron hicks. JT real Muto leads the list of players with negative WPAs by war, so he has a 3.9 war and a negative .35 WPA. So he's up there, Wilson Contreras. Also negative .7 WPA 2.9 war Ian happ, also his teammate is there and oh no, Hassan Kim, whom we praised earlier on this episode. He is a negative .4 WPA to go along with his 2.8 war. And then you've got jerks and Profire and Kyle rally and Dalton far show and Ahmed Rosario and cars Correa. The list goes on Tim Anderson, Marcus Simeon, et cetera but I worked because fan graphs has WPA data going back to 1974. So I'll put the spreadsheet online here. But the leader for negative WPA by war, or I suppose I should say the war leader for players with negative WPA in a single season. Adrian bell tray in 2010. Had 6.4 war, right? He had a legitimately fantastic year. He had a negative .03 WPA. So just barely negative, but he squeezes in there and I was flummoxed by how that was possible. I mean, it's hard to be that good and a negative war. He is the best to have done it in this period. And he was top ten MBP finisher that year, and it all started, et cetera. But there are other players who have had really good years, like just looking down the top of this list. Again, all these guys had negative WPAs, although not by a whole lot, divine weight, 1992. He had 5.9 words, Jonathan lucroy, 2011, he had 5.8 were, Matt weeders, 2011, 5.7, were Jackie Bradley junior, 2016, 5.6 were Alex Rios 2008, 5.5 were my camera in 2002, 5.5 or so there are a bunch of guys who had really good years and still managed to have slightly negative WPAs, but I was confused about belt trays because I figured, okay, he must have been un clutch that year or he must have had bad timing however you put it. That does not seem to be the case or it didn't appear to be the case when I first looked. So and I should note he did have a .1 WPA via baseball reference slightly different baseball reference models. So you could exclude him based on that if you wanted to, but he's slightly negative according to fan graphs and even if we say he's .1, how did he get up to .1 with a 6 plus war? I thought he must have been terrible with runners in scoring position. Nope. He had a 1012 OPS with runners in scoring position. And I figured, okay, well maybe late and close situations he was terrible? Nope. 9 21. OPS in latent close situation. So he seems to have been kind of clutch or not unquote at least, and I was talking to a couple people about how this might have happened. I didn't fully dive in deeply, but Zach cram my colleague and pilot the ringer, I think he has a good explanation here. He says, I think it's because he hit into 25 double plays. And Zach says and he links me to a baseball reference page that I will link as well. If you look at his most pivotal plate appearances of the season, it's Homer's on top and then a decent number of granted into double plays. So maybe a lot of his outs in crucial situations were multiple outs because they were double plays and I guess that could get you. So that's tough. I didn't even just looking at his surface stats. It was like, how did this happen? I don't know, but he did have a lot of grounded into double plays that year. It was a career high for him 25. So I guess that got him, but that's your answer. So you can be a whole lot better than Aaron hicks and still have a negative WPA slightly technically. And I don't think it's unfair to point out a player's WPA agree that it's not the best way to evaluate them on a peer performance level, but it does, I think, speak to the frustration that fans might feel toward a certain player because if he happened to come up short in a lot of important situations, even if that's not necessarily something that you should hold against him from just a pure evaluation perspective, it's still something that it's tough to forget if you're a fan and you were rooting for him to come through and all those situations and he didn't. So I would guess like if we could somehow assess this like there's got to be some break even point, there's got to be some point where it's better to have a higher WPA than war right or you will get a warmer reception from the fans. If you have a high WPA and a negative war than the other way around, I don't know, like if you're like a 6 win player or something, maybe that makes up for a bunch of double plays or even making a bunch of apps with runners in scoring position. But if you're not a superstar MVP type player then maybe it would be better to have a higher WPA and a lower war than the other way around just in terms of public perception. Yeah, I think that's right. All right, let's end with the pass blast and we're up to 1892 here. Now I did want to just shout out someone who made a little past blast of their own and that is new affiliate manager rob Thompson who made a player comp here that I would not expect to see. So he a player to Ed delahanty. That's a pretty deep pull, I think, at this point to me making Ed delahanty comps. Now that Delhi probably better known for the way that he died than the way that he played because he had sort of a sad tragic ending while he was still a player.

Aaron hicks WPA baseball Muto Wilson Contreras Ian happ Hassan Kim Profire Kyle rally Ahmed Rosario Marcus Simeon Adrian bell Jonathan lucroy hemming Matt weeders Jackie Bradley Tim Anderson Yankees Correa Zach cram
"zach cram" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

06:21 min | 1 year ago

"zach cram" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

"All right, it's time to talk about the AL east. To do so, we are joined by a couple of my colleagues from the ringer and sadly former colleagues from the ringer MLP show. One is Zach cram. Welcome back, Zach. You didn't tell me to say hello. You could say hello now. I said, welcome back. You can say hello. Hello. There you go. And we are also joined by Bobby Wagner, producer of many ringer podcasts, including the dearly departed ringer baseball pods, RIP, as well as the host of his own excellent podcast, tipping pitches hello, Bobby, or please say hello, Bobby. I unlike Zack know how to say hello without being prompted with the exact phrase to say. Hi, guys. Thank you for having me. Happy to have you both. And unfortunately, Michael pauman couldn't be with us today because he's in mourning about Lance Lin's knee injury. That's not actually why, but he was unavailable for other reasons. But happy to have you both and happy to have you Bobby instead of bauman because instead of the fatalistic Phillies fan, we have a fatalistic mets fan, which is a lateral move at best, I guess, but you're a day early for the NL east preview, but thanks for doing the east preview instead. It's generous to call that a lateral move. I think most people are sick of fatalistic mets fans, which is why I will keep that paired back. I assume that's why you didn't invite me on for the NL east for you. Yeah, I'm sure that you are sad enough about de Grom as it is that we didn't have to give you the floor for half an hour or so. Good luck is the word then. Catatonic. So the AL east is a pretty good division. I would say that is my expert analysis. I guess that's true, almost every year, but sometimes it's a two team race, sometimes it's a three team race. This year, there are four good teams in the AL east and I'll just leave everyone in suspense until later in the episode about what the 5th one is. But I think a lot of people are picking four teams to come out of the AL east and make the playoffs, which is too many teams for one division. Stop hogging all of the good playoff teams AL east. There are 6 divisions. You can not have a third of the playoff teams in your division, and yet that is what is happening here, potentially. Do you guys think this is the best the AL east has been? I didn't ask you to pre rank the ALE or anything, but it's this peak AL east. Like ever? Yeah. I don't know. Maybe there isn't a super team or maybe there is. So there's a lot of rigorous enthusiasm about the Blue Jays these days. I will get that out of the way early. I don't know. There should be. Maybe they just aren't the best we've ever seen in the Yankees, for instance, I mean, maybe it's not the best version of some of these teams, but combined in the fact that there are four of them that have a pretty credible shot at winning the division potentially or at least making the playoffs. It is pretty strong. I think it partially depends on how you're defining best not to get too pedantic this early in the podcast, but whether you value two or three amazing teams versus four really good teams because I would not put these Yankees or these Red Sox up with some of the previous additions we've had, but I don't know, would you have preferred the Padres and the Dodgers and giants to all win 96 games last year or was it more fun to have the Dodgers and giants each winning a 106 or a 107 in San Francisco's case and the Padres being out of the race. I think we've seen that version in the AL east before, but not necessarily with four teams like this all at once. Yeah, right. Right now, right now. And like these things can change and my mama, but like right now, the Blue Jays project at least for us at fangraphs to be the second best team in baseball, the only team better than them right now is the Dodgers. And then it goes sprays, Astros, Yankees, Red Sox are down further than that. But this division boasts two of the four best teams and three of the best 5 in the American League. So projections hate the race as usual. Right, and that's the other thing. It's like and they do, but like not by very much, actually, like compared to what they normally think of this confusing little franchise. If you count the rays, they have four of the top 6 teams in the American League. The only the only teams in that contingent that aren't from the AL east are the projected division esters and White Sox. So they're very good. It's a good division. I can't believe you gave away that the Orioles are not one of the teams in the top four. Ben was saving it for suspense. It's like, I get it. I get you're trying to do a cheese, but they're literally projected to be the worst human baseball. Now everyone's just going to turn off the episodes because we spoiled the ending ready. All right. Well, Zach, you should know that it's never too early to get pedantic. This podcast. Thank you for clarifying. All right, so let's get into the teams here. And I don't even know where to start. We've kind of been loosely going from best to worst, but not in any preset order. So I guess we should start with the Blue Jays just because they do have the best projection, according to fan graphs, and we're all excited about them, I think. And arguably, you could make the case that they were the best team last year, even though they didn't make the playoffs at all. So we're going to go through our 6 categories that will loosely spur some discussion for each team and because we have two guests today, we don't have to have an answer from each of you if you have the same answers for some of these categories as is likely, but feel free to hop in wherever and we will try to direct traffic. So we're starting as usual with best off season move or favorite off season move. Zach, you want to go first here? Yeah, so I think the Matt Chapman trade is obviously number one here. They didn't seem to have to give up much and Matt Chapman is awesome, even last year when he was the worst hitter he had ever been. He was still a three and a half wind player and to be so good at defense that you're a three and a half wind player, even as an average hitter is pretty remarkable if some of that ticks back up. Obviously he was dealing with some injuries over the last few years, then he is a legitimate MVP candidate and add him into this lineup. It's hard to imagine how he doesn't really fit and make them better. You have a different answer about viewers that yours too. No, that was my answer to..

AL east Bobby Zach cram Bobby Wagner Michael pauman Lance Lin Blue Jays Dodgers Yankees Zach baseball Padres bauman Zack Red Sox Phillies giants NL American League mets
"zach cram" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

01:34 min | 1 year ago

"zach cram" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

"Can follow effectively wild on Twitter at EW pod. Thanks to Dylan Higgins for his editing and production assistance, and you can find the effectively wild subreddit at R slash effectively wild. One other programming notice some of you may have seen on Twitter this week, the ringer baseball feed has been discontinued, so there will be no more ringer MLB show, there will be no more baseball barbecue. So I'm sorry that I won't be podcasting about baseball regularly over at the ringer with Michael bauman and Zach cram in fact Wagner. It wasn't our decision, as you might imagine, and for those of you who have listened to both shows, I thank you for that. U.S. devil, obviously, find me talking about baseball all the time here, so at least I have that platform and I am very grateful for it. And I have it because of the fine folks at Bancroft's, but primarily because of the listeners and the Patreon supporters who enable us to keep doing this. However, and whenever and as often as we want, and that is a great pleasure and luxury that I am very appreciative of and hopefully the podcast listing community will survive having to hear me a mere three times per week talking about baseball as opposed to for. Thanks again. We hope you have a wonderful weekend and we will be back to talk to you early next week. We wake up next week don't know about Detroit. All around the world we rank up that street down the road around..

"zach cram" Discussed on The NBA Show

The NBA Show

03:02 min | 1 year ago

"zach cram" Discussed on The NBA Show

"You more like the Russell Westbrook of the pickup? I'm a shooter. I've evolved into accepting that I can't just Jack them up as consistently, but I like to shoot. Yeah, I'm a shooter for sure. Rob, what are you? I'm a little of everything. I'm also a person who hasn't played a basketball in two years. So we'll see when I get back out there. So send us some tape. All right, let's wrap this here. So Kyle, you want to run down your mind ballot early real quickly. Would you have jokic one? I believe you said, yeah, I think I was just devil's avid advocating whatever you want to say, call that for the discussion. I think it's just an interesting overall discussion in terms of philosophy, but for me personally, I really value floor raising players that you can plug in any situation. And I value two way impact a whole lot, because that's just that's basketball. Hey, shocker, coaches do too. And I think jokic is a really, really special player. So is he honest? So isn't B and but I think that from my philosophy of basketball, like yoke, it's just been incredible. And I think he's been special and he deserves it at this point. That's my take. You heard it here first from Kyle Mann, John Moran demar Derozan, not special players. I'll just say that. If the grizzlies get into two in the league with a bullet, I think this becomes a very, very interesting conversation. And that's the way that this thing is trending. I right now would default to jokic for a lot of the reasons that you guys have brought up here. It's funny, Zach cram does this thing called points created, which he did in early January, which cobbles together a bunch of stats, including screen assists, which I have a little bit of a problem with, but that has typically forecasted who will, if not win, but definitely being the top two and MVP conversations. Jokic was one, Yanis was two. And it's funny that you guys both kind of defaulted to those two guys. I will say though, I think if he continues on this heater that he's on right now, the grizzlies end up too. I'm definitely going to be watching that very closely. I would put him at three right now behind embiid, but you know, we'll see, rob, where are you at? I'm similar. I mean, I think we're all in the same general that of swirling in the same vat of MVP thoughts. I'm jokic embiid, Giannis. I would probably put jaw for for right now Derozan at 5, but those last two spots are malleable. They are quite flexible. It's LeBron, it's Luca. Those guys could get into it very easily. Unlike LeBron and age 37, unlike me at age 34, it is very flexible. All right, thank you to Jake Kyle Mann for joining us this week. You can catch him on upside high every Tuesday on the ringer NBA show. Yeah, every Tuesday. We talk about the youth movement and all that jazz, for sure. Not much stuff about the actual Utah Jazz, but you know all that jazz. There you go. Thank you to associate producer Isaiah blakely. We'll be back with waz next week. We'll see you next time..

jokic basketball Russell Westbrook Kyle Mann John Moran demar Derozan Zach cram grizzlies Jokic Yanis Kyle Rob Jack Giannis LeBron Derozan Jake Kyle Mann rob Luca NBA Utah Jazz
"zach cram" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

05:23 min | 1 year ago

"zach cram" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

"By the MLB imposed Tuesday deadline, deadlines can move, and now MLP has officially canceled the first two series of the regular season and decreed that those games won't be made up, though that may be subject to bargaining as we record on Tuesday evening, the next talks have yet to be scheduled, and so to lament and lambaste and bemoan these developments or non developments, we are joined by our Friends and my colleagues from the ringer MLB show in the ringer at large. Michael bauman and Zach cram. Guys, we needed to do a crossover episode because otherwise, the way things are going, I'm not sure when or if we would ever get to talk again. Yeah, well, not only that, you would have found yourself in the awkward position of having only management people on this podcast. And so you needed Zach and me to speak for the people, and in that capacity I'm happy to oblige. Yeah, we've got equal representation here. Yeah. When you started by saying there's one good thing about this podcast episode, I thought you were going to introduce us then, but I guess not. You're too good things about the podcast episode. So he had to get the low hanging fruit out of the way, and then you could be the main event. But we do have two genuine members of the ringer union bargaining committee with us today to represent the Players Association standpoint. Of course, Meg and I are just mouthpieces of the owners and brought them in for as usual. Anyone who's been listening to the show for long enough knows that. But we have just listened to Manfred's press conference. We've listened to Tony Clark's press conference at least until ESPN decided to cut it off faster about one question because I guess the Players Association is not an ESPN broadcast partner. I don't know. Anyway, how are you all feeling about the fact that games are officially postponed and or canceled? I feel a sense of like giddy numbness. This has been in the works for so long. I've been anticipating this for years and years and years and now that it's here, I'm actually a little relieved that things seem to be in less Dire Straits in terms of getting the season started than I feared they could have been. Which might be just a result of me being a miserable old cuss, but it just seems surreal that this moment is finally arrived. I actually agree with a lot of that bike you and I were talking pre 2020, we were already making references to the lockout or strike to come in 2022. And then the 2020 season happened and the owners probably lost some money and the players lost some money. And after the 2020 season, I thought, okay, now having that experience delayed the season or a cancellation of the season is less likely just because of what happened and maybe I should have stuck with my initial impulse because if I had then this wouldn't necessarily be as unexpected as it now appears to be given I'm sure we'll talk about the stalled momentum of yesterday, which maybe wasn't actually momentum, but given the long arc of this negotiation dating back half a decade, it isn't a huge surprise, right? And I don't know whether I was gullible to believe at any point in the process that this could have been avoided, but we talked last week about how my mood my level of optimism has kind of mirrored or resembled a win expectancy chart. It's just been up and down as talks of either progressed or stopped and as the rhetoric has changed from angry to more conciliatory. I was actually sort of surprised that Tony Clarke was maybe not quite as fire and brimstone as I expected that he might be given the Players Association statement that it tweeted out. He was maybe a little less that way than I expected him to be. I don't know if that's what you meant Michael by the fact that it seems like we might not be as far away from productive talks as might have been imagined, but maybe it was just me kind of buying into the idea that, oh, they'll all just kind of realize that this has to be averted no matter what at the last second, but it was starting to seem maybe like something could have come together before one of these deadlines and the fact that there was one deadline and then another deadline kind of tells you how arbitrary the deadlines were to begin with, but it seemed like we're parsing tweets from people who were getting leaked to from one side or the other and the tone didn't always match. And so it seemed like there was a glimmer of hope that there could be some kind of agreement and then there wasn't. So maybe we could just recap the last day or two of rob Manfred walking between buildings and reporters taking pictures and video of him doing so and what was it 13 rounds of bargaining on Monday and people making jokes about sending it to zombie runner to cut things off, but they were up late and then they were up early again and it seemed like at least some sources would have to believe that things changed that the tenor of the conversation changed from Monday to Tuesday. But it may very well be just that the people who were leaking things on Monday were leaking things differently than the people who were leaking things on Tuesday or at least the people who were allowing themselves to be leaked to by which I mean but well before we talk about bob because gosh shouldn't we do that..

Players Association Michael bauman Zach cram MLB ringer union bargaining commit ESPN MLP Tony Clark Manfred Zach Tony Clarke Meg rob Manfred Michael bob
"zach cram" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

07:21 min | 1 year ago

"zach cram" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

"Jose iglesia is still a free agent, right? For all we know he could sign with the yomiuri giants too. Right, and then it'll be the era of Meg. Yeah, well, I'm down to 9 players now seemingly if this becomes official. Good for you, Matt shoemaker, bad for me, but that probably shouldn't have been a consideration for him or for his agent or his family so to understand his decision. All right, a few follow-ups from last time when we did some emails and one of those emails was about what a player would have to do to kind of come out of nowhere to be a cover model for MLB the show to be on the cover of the flagship MLB video game and the questioner asked what would Kyle higashioka have to do just to randomly select a name of unremarkable veteran who has an accomplished a lot, what would he have to do to get on the cover? And we ran through some possibilities, and they seemed somewhat extreme. But I was reminded after we recorded by a couple of people including my friend and colleague at the ringer Zach cram, that there is kind of a comp for this, not with MLB the show, but with Madden. So the cover model of Madden NFL 12 was Payton hillis, not exactly a brand name. Sure. And the way that this happened was there was an Internet vote. And whenever there's an Internet vote, things can go horribly wrong. And that's how you end up with bode mcboatface. And I guess votes can go horribly wrong in other contexts too, but you have to assume that the Internet is going to try to stuff the ballot box and generally try to be mischievous when something is left up to public opinion. And so EA, Electronic Arts in order to determine the cover model that year had a 32 person bracket one player per team and fan votes determined, which players would advance and would be the next cover athlete and Peyton hillis was a pretty unremarkable NFL running back. He had rushed for 1100 plus yards in 2010, I think. And that more than doubled his next highest total from any season before then, and as it turned out, any season after then also. And that even wasn't that special. He was like 11th in the league, I think. And somehow, everyone got behind the idea of sending Peyton hillis to the cover. He was the Cleveland Browns representative and of course the Cleveland Browns. Typically, and certainly historically, not great. And I guess he was the best that they had. So along the way, he beat the players seeded first, second, third, 6th and 7th. The browns were not good that year as they usually are not. And it was hardly a household name, but he ended up on the cover of that game. So that's a good cop. Obviously, that was not something Electronic Arts intended to do. Decided to do, which was kind of the premise of the question, but something like this I just did to actually happen in the not too distant test. And I guess it's kind of analogous to what happened with Eric sogard in 2014 when MLP did its face of baseball online fan vote and somehow Eric sogard almost one because he became a kind of folk hero. I forget why, 'cause he had glasses and looked a little nerdy and Eric sogard was knocking off actual stars. He defeated Anthony Rizzo, Tula whisky, Buster Posey, Jose Batista, and then it came down to a final vote between so called and David Wright and right barely won, I think I come from behind victory 51% to 49%. There was some suspicion that maybe MLB had cooked the book somehow, but same sort of idea. And speaking of battista, someone else mentioned also that there were Canadian covers of MLB the show and MLB 12 and 13 the show there were Canadian covers that Jose Bautista was on. And Jose Bautista probably is the closest camp to what we were talking about. Just a journeyman veteran who hadn't done anything all that remarkable and then suddenly broke out. Right. He had had two years like that, I think, prior to appearing on the cover of MLP 12 the show, he had led the majors in home rents in the two previous seasons, but before that, of course, he was just a dirty man guy, you know, utility player, and then he went through the whole swing change in the fly ball revolution and all of that, which was super exciting and kind of confounding at the time. But maybe that's the closest you could come. So it took two years for him. But that was that kind of kylo cascio type transformation. So if Kyle higashioka leads the majors in home runs the next two seasons, then he too could be at least a regional cover model for MLB the show potentially. I'm kind of surprised that there isn't more regional variation. I mean, I know there are some international covers, right? So you just mentioned Canada and then when we talked about this last time, there was one for Korea and one for Taiwan, but I'm sort of surprised that they don't print it with every team having a version in addition to the one version I guess it sort of is more expensive and they can just sell a bunch of copies with Otani on it because he's awesome so they don't really need to do that. But in a world of niche merch, that's where I say I'm sort of surprised that there isn't like a foil version basically. Right? Yeah, I guess there are only so many markets that are super into baseball and super into that video game, maybe, and then you only have so many face of baseball types, but yeah, all for it. I like the special edition covers. There's a special logician Otani cover this year, and just the regular Otani covers special to me. So I am all for it. But I wanted to pass along those two kind of close comps to what we were talking about. And then we also answered an email from someone who wanted to know how to inculcate some affection for a particular team in your kids. Do you try to indoctrinate fandom for a certain team and someone had emailed us because it was a household of a Yankee fan and Red Sox fan parent? And so there was some question of what do you do? Do you teach the kid to be a Yankees fan or Red Sox fan or just leave things up to chance? And we got a couple of responses. One was from Michael Patreon supporter who roots for Atlanta and he certainly hopes he says that my 9 month old daughter grows up to become a braves fan as well. We bought her braves one tea during the World Series, but my stepson's favorite team is the angels simply because they were on one day and his favorite color is red. Kids are who they are. So that's sort of what we were saying. You could try, but they might not like baseball at all. And that particular team might not take, and there might be some entirely random uncontrollable reason that they develop an affection for a certain team. And that's fine too. So they might like the cover of the uniform that might dictate their entire course of rooting life..

baseball Eric sogard Kyle higashioka Jose iglesia Matt shoemaker Cleveland Browns Peyton hillis Payton hillis bode mcboatface yomiuri giants Jose Bautista NFL Anthony Rizzo Tula whisky Jose Batista Meg Madden kylo cascio
"zach cram" Discussed on The Crossover NBA Show with Chris Mannix

The Crossover NBA Show with Chris Mannix

05:20 min | 1 year ago

"zach cram" Discussed on The Crossover NBA Show with Chris Mannix

"I think the thing we'd say is dunks are most fun at all, like the best offense imaginable is just dunk the ball every time on the floor, but you can't do that because the other team is playing defense. So if we're talking about misconceptions of analytics, there's kind of the general and the specific. The general is more than it is a an idea. An ideology rather than a methodology. The. Advice to shift certain types of long mid range shots to three pointers isn't the theoretical one. It's empirical one, based on a study of seasons and seasons of NBA play and where players have made shots from it at given rates and it's not particularly close that a catch and shoot 24 footer is worth significantly more than a catch and shoot 20 footer. Any way you slice it, controlling for who's taking it anything, it's one of them is a massively more efficient shot than the other. Before we even get into kind of the secondary effects like improved transition defense or creating more space for your star players. So I think I've fit two misconceptions into one there, but it's not the main point I want to make theirs. It's not like we just decided these things are things we want to advocate for. They came from study and study of the conditions of the game itself. If the rules changed if the three point line was suddenly moved back to 35 feet, I don't think you would see analysts like advocating bombing threes because at that range it is no longer a more efficient shot than a 15 foot or something like that. Yeah. And you know, the important thing to note here too and this has come up along the way and people ignore kind of the details and the nuance here, but you know it wasn't so much that no one should ever take mid range shots or it's mostly about the long twos more so than to another area of the floor or shorter range twos and twos in the paint, whatever. But it's the deeper mid ranges the long twos and this is in a piece recently by Zach cram at the rigor just the idea that what has actually happened in recent years is that there's a higher efficiency I think now league wide on the long toes because the only guy's taking them are the guys who are good at it. And so what has actually happened is we have a better game like the guys who should never have been taking long tunes in the first place, so we're not good at them. Have essentially I don't want to say stops taking them, but they don't take them very often anymore. And so when people say, oh, see, Kevin Durant can take, yes, because Kevin Durant's good at it. You do want Kevin Durant taking those shots. You do want demar Derozan taking those shots. There are guys who are great at that..

NBA Zach cram Kevin Durant demar Derozan
"zach cram" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

07:41 min | 1 year ago

"zach cram" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

"I think chasms is a better. I mean, it doesn't really sound quite right. It has weird mouth feels a word, but casmus. I get jammed up with purposely because it sounds to my ear as if someone is saying that they mean the opposite they're saying without purpose, purpose, less anyway. Here we are. I'm a professional editor. It's fine. Last thing I wanted to mention, my friend and colleague from the ringer Zach cram tipped me off to The New York Times's quiz of like faces that their readers recognized from 2021. It's the do you recognize these notable people of 2021 quiz? And so it is various famous people who were the subjects of stories in 2021 for one reason or another. This was posted on December 16th. And so it has the results. So it's just a whole lot of public figures from various fields. And Shohei Ohtani is one of these faces and figures. Would you care to guess what percentage? Now this is just a times readers who voted in this poll. I mean, you don't necessarily need to be a subscriber. It's just anyone who saw this New York Times quiz, which you care to guess what percentage identified, shohei Otani from his head shot. This is going to bum me out, isn't it? Possibly. Can I ask a question? You can tell me if this gives too much away. What was the average rate of identification? Do we know? Don't know. I know that at the high end, I mean, you had Joe Biden and Kamala Harris. Leading the way at 94%. And then at 2%, you had playwright, Jeremy O Harris, and 3% and actress from squid game. So it really runs the gamut. I don't know exactly what the average is. But there's a wide range that they use the whole scale. It's not like the scouting scale, where you have 80s or 20s. I'm gonna guess 36%. You overshot that. No. Multiple of three. Really? 12%. Recognized. Show how tiny. Yeah. Shohei, who I just saw. Is he in uniform? See, that's the thing. You can only see his head, but his head is sporting an angel's cap. So he's wearing a baseball cap, which you think would probably help. Baseball cap, baseball player, even if you don't know the angels insignia. You think that might be a clue, but it's tough. Just today before we started recording, I saw that when The Associated Press's male athlete of the year award, which was an award, I totally knew existed before today. But I think LeBron won it in 2020 and now show you a tiny one. So he's like, clearly a crossover figure. I mean, the fact that he's on this quiz at all, I guess is a bit of a victory for baseball because I would guess that in many years or most years notable baseball people as far as like The New York Times readership is concerned. I do think that this is probably a reflection of the voting pool here as much as it is of Otani. I mean, I don't know that the percentage in the general population would be dramatically different from this, but I would guess that in the general population you would not have say 5 times as many people recognizing Amy Coney Barrett as showing like I don't think I think that's probably has something to do with The New York Times readership and the people who are coming to the times for sports coverage as opposed to news and politics and such. So I'm going to guess that Amy Coney Barrett being at 63 in Ottawa being at 12 doesn't necessarily reflect the American population as a whole, but it is sort of depressing and that I want everyone to be aware of show hirotani and to be able to recognize him. But I'm going to chalk this up partly to the medium here. Yeah, I imagine that your average ESPN viewer probably has a better sense of Otani, right? Because he was just such a huge story in sports. And so while the times has a sports section, which is quite good, you know, if that's not what you're going there for, you know, if you're going for political news and to figure out how to make a galette, then you're perhaps not as in tune with the sport page. But yeah, I would imagine that if you're asking the general population and that population watches sports TV and some capacity, especially the panel shows that they would have a sense of who Otani is. And you wonder, you know, how do the other athletes do? Were there other athletes? So there were other athletes, the most recognizable according to this quiz Simone Biles was up at 79. And of course, you know, she was a big story, not just because of the Olympics and her performance there, but also her deciding not to perform in some events and the whole conversation. That sparked, then you had Aaron Rodgers at 42 and he also has other reasons maybe white people are aware of him. Not only is he a big NFL star, but he also guest hosted jeopardy and then became the subject of a whole COVID controversy as well. So you had that. And then Sunni Lee, the gymnast was at 20. So you had an NFL player and two gymnasts were the most recognizable. Now, here's I guess if you want to look at this from a baseball supporter perspective and be heartened. So I don't know whether this is encouraging or discouraging, but there was a three way tie at 12% or at least if you don't go out to other decimal places or Tony was at the top of the 12% heap tied in a virtual tie at least with Doja Cat and virtual app low. So wrapper slash singer and fashion designer who passed away this year. So I don't know if that helps you calibrate things. But then maybe somewhat surprising at 11%, so just below Otani is Yanis onto the and you might think, well, NBA MVP who won a championship and was the subject of a bestselling biography by one of my colleagues at the ringer would be more name recognition. And again, I don't know if there is something like xenophobic aspect to this, possibly, or not even like xenophobic, but just people being more aware of people who are from certain places or look certain ways, let us say. But it could also be market size. I mean, you have a Milwaukee Bucks star, maybe not as visible as on some big Easter West Coast team. With a tiny you could say, well, he wasn't in the playoffs and the angels weren't good. Obviously, with Yanis, you can't say that, but maybe you say small market, something like that or maybe he kind of broke out in a big way and hadn't been as huge a star for years and years and years. So still, though, you would think that generally NBA player like you always hear of the NBA to star driven league, whereas MLP is not. And so you would probably expect the big basketball start to be above the big baseball star, and so I guess, in a way, that is kind of encouraging, but also not really, because more people should know about both of those guys..

baseball The New York Times Amy Coney Barrett Otani Zach cram Shohei Ohtani shohei Otani Jeremy O Harris Shohei Kamala Harris Joe Biden Simone Biles The Associated Press LeBron angels
"zach cram" Discussed on The Ringer-Verse

The Ringer-Verse

02:30 min | 1 year ago

"zach cram" Discussed on The Ringer-Verse

"Back ultimately. I don't a hopeless romantic david. I don't know man. If i had turned on everybody that it ever meant anything to me in my life and i was trying to tell somebody. I'm never gonna turn on you because you mean so much to me. I think i would say. I'm never going to turn on you. Sylvie because you mean so much to me and not. That's not the person i am anymore and i won't let you down which can very easily be misread as i'm not silly as guardian troublemaker. Loki now the leader of the t. v. a. And i won't let you down because in your heart. You know this is what all low keys should aspire to be. I don't think i'm right. I'm just playing devil's let's let's let's spar man. Let's let's talk it out. His declaration is tested pretty much immediately a couple times at the end of this episode. Like first of all. There's the moment where she hands him. The temp ad and then he ended two moebius and he says i'm staying and she tears up in response because it's like he. He made that choice to stay when he didn't have to. You go i go. He says right. And then of course in the moment of facing down old smokey when she needs more time. She needs a distraction. He puts his hand on her shoulder and he goes and he he creates for like he is willing to put himself in peril in harm's way a character who for so long as defined by doing anything he could to avoid any sort of perilous moment or threat to himself. He puts himself deliberately in that situation for her. I take those positive signs very positive signs. And i hope that that continues to be the case enough and alley and then when she takes his hand. And they're trying to work the enchantment together. I also thought this was really important. Loki has always been so boastful so proud right. And what does he say here. He says he's not sure he can do it. That is not something that we hear. Loki voice doubt that. That's that's a new thing but being able to recognize that about himself is progress and silvy believes in him and so for once he's motivated not by trying to prove somebody else wrong about him but actually by by trying to prove that right to validate the belief that she hasn't him the faith that she hasn't him you do she says because we're the same and then they find that courage and that strengthen each other made me think actually of this great this great line from a book i recently read zach cram recommendation the once and.

Loki Sylvie moebius david silvy zach cram
"zach cram" Discussed on The Lowe Post

The Lowe Post

05:53 min | 1 year ago

"zach cram" Discussed on The Lowe Post

"And that's fair right like there are a lot of from selling to james young to rj hunter to fab melo and not an aunt. Kelly olynyk over jaanus. I think all but in some ways he was a victim of his own success in acquiring picks. Because if you get so many picture miss on a lot in the ringer's zach cram mentioned a couple months ago. Did the study on draft every gm's draft record based on what production do i expect from each draft slot in who based on where they picked who's picks outperformed or underperformed expected to production by the most celtics rank. Right around average. Is that good not necessarily but it's not bad. Draft record is in bad. Tatum and brown alone are are huge. Hits and that was. That's the thing that. I wonder if brad stevens will be like danny. Danny was one of the few gm's left in the league who just didn't care what anyone thought he. He legitimately didn't care what anyone thought of him and he was willing to stink. He danny danny ainge march to the beat of his own drummer. He had his own taste players. He had his way of evaluating players and he was willing to think a little bit outside the box and take risks. He wasn't afraid to get made fun of it wasn't afraid to get criticized at all. He went on radio every week. You can bet everyone else in. The celtics office was listening to those appearances being like any dog shop. Danny also this you know how much how much balls it takes to trade the number one pick the number one overall. Pick that talk about balls to do that and then actually smash it out of the park and say listen. Our evaluation is the state. Kid is better and we're going to do this. I mean and you know. Danny competitive nature obviously was i mean zaka months ago i. I was researching something i was writing on. Riley range There's a you know you should do. A this. is something our our friend. Bill simmons would do e this is up you to to you know. There was a brawl between the sons and knicks in nineteen ninety-three. When i say a brawl it's not like one of these things that they say today where you know the guys all stand around each other in a huddle The sons an extra both at the at the two best records in the league. They played on national television. And midway through the second quarter ainge kicked off a brawl that ended up with everybody on with people. On like seven suns got ojected Riley got his pants torn riley ended up on the ground. Pharaohs pants were torn. those are probably like eight hundred dollars. Pants zach this happened. Today we would covered on sportscenter. Twenty four hours straight and then it would be a talking point for literally six months And i went back and watched the replay of it The sportscenter highlight and so keep in mind. This is this would be like if the nets were playing the lakers in a On a thursday night in february. I mean the two best teams. I know the lakers the best team but two high profile teams. The sons were loaded. You know and And in that game there was a brawl where seven guys got elected. One guy was not even was on the bench in street clothes. I can't remember who it was. He comes on the floor. he's injured. He gets an lebron's throwing punches and he gets jake dejected. Guys were not in uniform while yes to change his pants at halftime and it it gets covered on sportscenter like in ninety seconds. In the brawls. Linda cohen reached the highlights. She's then the second quarter. There was an all out brawl danny ainge pat riley threw punches at each other. Then now let's go to the second half action that's how it was covered. Angels like legendarily competitive. I remember he got fine. During one of the celtics cavs series. He got fined by the league. Because in cleveland he was sitting in his kids courtside seats behind the basket. And when the cavs were taking free throws he was throwing a towel like fifteen feet up into the air behind the thing to To You distract striked for it and then claim afterwards that it was just a coincidence. I've tried to try to make up some within. This is funny like the next day like from a clandestine email. I got the clip like some clip from the cavs. Inner inner arena camera. Look what i found you know signed deep throat. It was the cavs leaking me. It was gilbert leaking me the clip. So that i would talk about it and you know but you know. And then i remember angel and riley going back and forth still one of the most amazing quotes of all time. Is tim donovan. The longtime head of public relations for the heat in new orleans ancient said something on the radio about lebron and lebron was headed towards free agency and riley wanted to like make a stand so pat riley set. Tim donovan out to the media and said i have a statement from pat riley. this is unheard of. You know that they're gonna make a statement you know verbally to us Danny aines should bleep off. He said the word bleep off and concentrate on his own team and we were just like stunned like wait a minute. This on the record quote from pat riley. And tim was like i said what i said and aims fires back at him. I mean. he's a legendary brawler. I mean he doesn't care he's he's you know..

tim donovan Danny aines Bill simmons Tim donovan Danny lebron Kelly olynyk brad stevens danny Twenty four hours six months ninety seconds gilbert seven guys Today eight hundred fifteen feet Linda cohen cleveland today