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"vox florida texas arizona" Discussed on Today, Explained

Today, Explained

08:05 min | 5 months ago

"vox florida texas arizona" Discussed on Today, Explained

"Milestone, half a million deaths worldwide, and more than a quarter of those deaths have been here in the US where we've had two point. Five million confirmed cases four states, hitting one day records nearly ten thousand positive tests in Florida almost two thousand new cases in Georgia in Arizona this weekend, almost one in ten testing positive, but the trump administration is still super excited about states reopening, we have made. A truly remarkable progress in moving our nation forward. We've all seen encouraging news as we open up, America, get more than three million jobs created in the last job report. And the president's top economic advisor Larry cudlow says the risk of more Cova deaths is just the cost of doing business. We're GONNA have hotspots. No question we have in now. You know Texas and parts of the South Carolina's Arizona. we'll just have to live with it, but local leaders are sounding the alarm. We're going to have to dial it back because of what we see with the data. and. We're going to have to dial it back. Because I wanNA, make sure. That if we have to help somebody that we can help somebody. Right now team reopen, everything seems to be winning Dylan. Scott has been covering the reopening for Vox Florida Texas Arizona in particular are the places that people are watching closely now because they have a number of worrying trends, it's not only that their raw number of cases are is increasing, but they're also seeing increased hospitalizations, and they're seeing an increase in the number of tests that are being conducted. That are coming back positive. Is that to say, this can't be explained away just by having an increase in testing exactly there is some truth to the idea that if you start conducting a lot more tests, you're gonNA find more cases especially with the disease like this where a lot of people experience milder, even no symptoms at all. What's concerning and what we're seeing in some of these states is when we're either maintaining the same level of testing or increasing testing and the level of positive tests coming back as increasing. That's what suggest to experts that the virus is actually spreading in the community and more people are catching it. Do, we know why this is happening. Can we peg this all the reopening in the last few weeks? So it's difficult to ignore that this started to happen, you know a month or so. After states started relaxing their stay at home, mortars, allowing businesses and restaurants and bars to reopen as any good scientist would tell you, correlation is not causation but I do think a consensus starting to form that as people are starting to resume daily life coming into contact with more people. This virus is finding a way to. To spread again and to some extent, this was expected. But what's concerning is when you start to see hospitals in in the Houston area most recently I saw over the weekend and some in California that are starting to reach you know their maximum capacity in terms of the patients that they're able to accommodate, and once we start to reach those levels where the health system is at risk of being overwhelmed. That's when public health experts political leaders get worried. Is it possible that some of the mass protests we've seen over the last month. Have contributed to the surge to the data, so far is is inconclusive or an and seems to lean. No. I spoke last week with a researcher in Minnesota. Because it seemed to me anyway that Minneapolis would be one of the first places you might see any kind of. Of New surge as a result of protests since that's where the protests started, and she told me that there really hadn't been anything. Thus far the public health experts I've spoken with have said in terms of just the number of exposures in the level of exposure all this reopening activity people going back to bars and restaurants and businesses and the number of people who are going to be doing that far outweighs. Whatever number of people went to a protest for a day or two? That was outdoors when they might have been wearing masks. You know it's hard to draw. Equivalents between the to the level of exposure that were risking through reopening is much higher than what people wrist by going to the protests. Is this surge the same as earlier ones? Is it still mostly affecting older people? So it does seem like the virus is now spreading more among younger people as opposed to older people compared to some of the earlier waves of the virus. I've never seen anything that is so prodian, its ability to make people sick or not. There's no other infectious disease that goes from forty percent of the people have no symptoms to some having mild symptoms to some having severe, some requiring staying at home for weeks some going to the hospital, some getting intensive care some getting into baited some getting ventilated in some dying. There was a really interesting study that came out of Tennessee which is one of the states. People have been watching closely where they described their cova case mix, and basically what that means is, they looked at you know how many people had been infected, and as a result how many people you would expect to end up in the hospital based on what we know about this disease, and in the early weeks of the pandemic, the case mix clearly skewed sicker like more even more people were ending up in the hospital than we might have expected based on the raw number of infections, and what's happened over the last few weeks. Is that has flipped and now slightly fewer. Fewer people are actually ending up in the hospital than you might expect based on the case numbers, and that with that seems to indicate is that it's younger healthier people who are more resilient against the disease compared to the elderly. Are the ones getting sick? A lot of young people do end up in the hospital I know somebody or another reporter in DC. He had caught the coronavirus said it was the sickest he had ever been in life, and we're still learning a lot about the long term complications and the potential permanent damage that might be done to somebody who does recover from Kobe, but that doesn't mean they're necessarily going to be completely healthy at least right away. I think what we're missing in. This is something that we've never faced before. Is that a risk for you is not just isolated to you. Because if you get infected. You are part innocently or inadvertently of propagating dynamic process of A. And I talked to a Harvard professor a week or so ago, asking about this very question you know. Have we seen as infection start to pick up in the younger population? Are we seeing any corresponding spread to more vulnerable populations? And he sent me a trove of links of new outbreaks in nursing homes in Arizona and Florida and California and Tennessee and I think that is. An indication of how difficult it is to completely isolate the vulnerable populations, and once communities spread picks up. That also increases the risk that the virus is going to find its way to the people where it can do the most harm. You mentioned a place like Houston where the hospital system is close to being overwhelmed. Is Texas is Houston taking any measures? Any more serious measures now that the virus seems to be spreading so intensely? Yeah, I think a good indicator of the seriousness of the situation. Is that Texas governor? Greg Abbott has reimposed some restrictions that had previously been lifted I believe he closed all the bars. Again in Texas and come Monday, restaurants have to go from using seventy five percent to fifty.

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