1 Burst results for "Two Thousand Sixteen Three Percent"
"two thousand sixteen three percent" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast
"I'm doing count balls and strikes after oa-to, and I'm going to see if there are more walks per plate appearance. All right. So I have taken all this data. But it into a excel spreadsheet, and I'm looking at percentage of oh, two counts. The end in a walk into dozen ten it was two point seven percent. And then two point seven two point seven two point seven two point six two point seven some two thousand through two thousand fifteen remarkably similar isn't that remarkably similar? Yeah. All right. And then two thousand sixteen three percent three point. Oh. And then two point nine two point nine. So that's a clear and convincing bumped to a relatively stable thing. And then this year three point one. So it is up, but it is up by bow. What one every which you have to watch. Having to play appearances, which you need to to watch to come to that conclusion. And so even though you're right. You're wrong. Totally wrong. Is. I mean, it's absurd to think that I noticed this. Okay. What was the real step list? The other day pitcher was coming to bat pitcher was pitching well and through like five innings, and it was a tiger game. And he came up with like two men on Tumen out in this was I don't remember exactly who it was. But he, you know, it was a horse. It was this was a famous pitcher who would have been maybe as teams opening day starter and he'd thrown like eighty four pitches, and it was like a one one game or a two game two onto outs in the fifth and bottom of so he'd pitched five and and I was surprised to see him bat for himself. It has gotten to the point where I was surprised to see even the ace allowed to bat for himself in a clearly high leverage situation, and he did that for himself any made an out. And I think he went out the next inning. And let to run on polled as always seems to happen in that case. But it. Seemed to me that one thing that we should be seeing is that the average leverage index for pitchers batting should be going way down because pitchers are no longer allowed to bat for themselves in such high leverage situations is that this this one instance, being the exception. And so I looked at the average leverage index for pitcher played appearances and this year, it's point eight nine, which if you don't know average leverage index, basically, one means that it is a the likelihood of the games state being significantly changed. His average the closer the score than the higher. The average leverage index is or the high leverage indexes, the if there are runners on than the leverage index goes up at cetera. And so one is average and like, you know, bases loaded. Two outs in a one run game in the bottom of the ninth. For instance, maybe would be like nine, that's basically. He's highs. It goes about nine and then blow out it's like zero because nothing that you do in that plate appearances going to change the wind probability for your team significantly. So point eight nine is a little bit below average. So maybe not unexpectedly pitchers overall are close to average, but a little below average. They don't tend to bat in the ninth inning. When the game might be on the line. But they also may be don't even get the bat in the sixth inning with the game on the line. So was point eight nine this year point nine last year point nine one the year before but my hopes of finding a trend dissipated. I've started looking at at every decade previously. And it's basically been point eight nine to two point nine two going back to the thirties. I don't exactly know why. But there's not a big difference there. But one thing that I started wondering about was the highest leverage that pitchers were allowed to bat in. So I started looking into situations where pitchers were allowed to bat in the past. Where of course, I think it's fair to say they would definitely not be allowed to bat these days. And so I only look at years ending in zero as well as the previous the the past three years nineteen thirty nineteen forty nineteen fifty nineteen sixty nineteen seventy nine eighty nineteen ninety two. Thousand two thousand ten and then seventeen eighteen nineteen..