35 Burst results for "Steve Kornacki"
"steve kornacki" Discussed on WCPT 820
"In it. And I think Herschel's freezing. The shivering. Doctor Oz gently places two puppies in his hands. And then he kills one 'cause he's like, he's like, you know, he doesn't know his own story. Of mice and men. About the rabbits aren't gay and lensing. He's like a kingfish Lenny. Oh God. Joe Madison was right, he kingfish She's king fish. I don't care. I say a loud prop. He's king fish. Yeah. Look at this. Oh my God. Okay. So one of the reasons were exceedingly happy and or sad about. Well, I'm looking, I kind of like the long drag out of Lauren boebert losing. Yeah. He's a head right now. I like it to be one, I hope they're counting like this. What? 1000? Two. The way she counts. Yeah. I've already outpaced from an app ability. I like her being drunk. I like the road rash on her. The things I was upset. I was upset about Stacey. Yeah. Said about beto. For me, I'm sitting here going, why, why can't we hit this messaging across and especially in desantis too? How are we still choosing as Americans, these people? Yeah. I don't think we are. I think that the redistricting, I mean, and we gloss over it a lot, you know, 'cause every time they cut the Steve kornacki an MSNBC and he was talking about where the seats could go, he'd start with your head that list of vulnerable Democrats or the seats that the Republicans were going for right in the house. And they go, well, these 5, they win no matter what, 'cause redistricting. And then he would just keep going. And I was like, can we stop for a second? Can we stop for a second and ask ourselves how we have let this get to a point where there are seats we can't win because of redistricting. And that we just accept that there are 5 seats out there, and this garbage in New York. Like, how does New York there are two to one Democrats to Republicans? How are we about to lose all these seats in New York? This has got to the whole concept of either party, but it's the Republicans quite clearly who use it as an absolute surgical tool to stop minority votes. But we have got to get redistricting out of the hands of politicians. It has got to be out of their hands. And the reality is, is that we are all of us being live in these large population zones, right? We face representation should be so much more and the reality and that we set this on our podcast. The fact that suburbs are making decisions for large densely populated areas that Susie homemaker gets to make a song besides what's happening. Here's the thing. I live in I say she won't go into. See she won't go into. The white flight that she ran away from and then I got to hear about your commute. Yeah. When you don't want to put your money in and tax base into the city, then I know. If you don't get the representation that I get. Yeah. Could we talk about the mainstream media and pollsters and pundits and how they can eat in just a satchel of Richards? Sorry, I almost said to eat a bag of yeah, that would have been back. Yeah, that's the whole point of Richard's, for sure. Yeah. And about seasoning. For instance, I say this for you, Robert in Texas, tweets, and Andrea Mitchell is driving me crazy. She's repeating the 73% exit poll statistic about Biden not running nonstop like a mantra today. I mean, here we go again. That's how we got here that we've been told Biden's wildly unpopular and voters aren't going to care about roe. And only, you know, there's going to be a huge red wave. And what did I say? We haven't listened to it. She literally asked someone a question. Is it bad for America for him to run again? I'm like, what? The most historic midterm victory since John F. Kennedy, right? Thank you. No, 'cause I had to Mitchell is a conservative. And that's what she pushes up on her show and I can't stand there. And the loaded questions that aren't really questions that are leading the lack of actual journalism and telling you what's going on. Everybody, we're out here. We've been saying you've been saying it too Stephanie. This isn't a binary issue. It's not I can't think if I think of roe, I can't think of democracy. If I think of the economy, I can't think of roe. Like, first of all, they're all related. And only a man wouldn't think that abortion has anything to do with economics. Well, we all sang for months. People are going to vote on roe and democracy. Yes. Exit polls show that's what they voted on. But they were told for months. People only care about inflation. There's going to be a red wave. Joe Biden. They want people to only care about inflation. That's what they want it. And here's my problem with the framework. Now I'm at a table that it's not even a table. I'm showing up to create my democracy. These people are, they're definitions. They're polls, all of that. We have got to stop listening to them. Yeah. Yeah. Well, this is what I mean. You took from the whole election that, oh, maybe Joe Biden shouldn't run after he's, I mean, how do you cut the unemployment in half? And push more legislatively than any president ever. And have the most historic midterm ever, right? In two years, reduce the deficit more than any other president. That cut Trump poverty in him. Stop the pandemic in this country that has killed over a million people. I mean, it's not over. But did the most massive hit everybody send me those checks. We've talked about this all the time. I haven't heard story one about anybody refusing that stimulus money. I have not heard one story from the richest company down in the poorest person saying, you know what, I don't want this money from you, Joe. Like seriously. So much. Yeah, and that inflation is worldwide. I just think, you know, the meat and now we're saying even now all the fluffing is about Ron DeSantis. What about Gretchen Whitmer did? What about what Jared polis did? What about Josh Shapiro? There are a lot of big story. It took the entire state back. Thank you. Michigan took the states houses back. My mother comes, she's like, we got everything back. Because they have messed around, they messed around and found out. FCC. Playing correctly. Thank you. She meant around him find out
"steve kornacki" Discussed on The Hugh Hewitt Show: Highly Concentrated
"Let's go back to 1994 inch deep cracking new podcast. If you're killing time this week and a lot of reporters are because you can't trust polls at this point, you catch up any. You got to wait until Tuesday night. I remember congressman then congressman Chris Cox coming into my LA studio. And whispering to me off air. If anybody says to you, they saw this coming they are lying. And Chris, of course, was close to newt. And gobsmacked as anybody out there, the potential for surprise octave gone awake is pulling out to be better, Steve kornacki, but I don't like pulling it better. I think polling is worse. What do you think? Yeah, I think one of the problems with there are a lot of questions around polling right now and one of the problems is we've had such big misses 2016, 2020. And even in 2018, there were some significant ones. I think a lot of media organizations, a lot of academic organizations to traditionally sponsored these and put resources into them to back off. So I think that's just one of the issues right away. And we don't have a lot of the data that we used to have, but I think there was an article yesterday by Nate Cohn was really good with this stuff in The New York Times. Talking about how he is seeing in his goal and they're trying to do it there. They're seeing non response bias again. It's not just this struggle to get anybody to pick up the phone, anybody into a poll. That's a big enough issue. They're finding a specific problem with sort of a Republican Trump friendly demographic, you know, non college. My audience will not talk. My audience will not talk to pollsters. There it is. They just won't do it. They believe that they are part of legacy media's machine. Kornacki is not. I trust Steve and Steve, I got to remind everyone that you can find this at iTunes at wherever podcasts are, right? It's called revolution. Now I have to issue my warning though. You've always promised to stay away from radio. You're the best guy on TV and you've always said you're going to stay away from radio and leave me alone in my little domain where I've lived forever. But now here you are doing podcasts. And then NBC is going to come to you and ask you to do a radio show and you're going to tell them no, right? I love the podcast because it's the audio version of doing a book. You can really take your time on it. You can really go through the archives. We've got some incredible rich archival material in here. And yeah, I think your day job is safe, don't worry. All right, just I just wanted that guarantee. I think that's a promise. I think it's enforceable. There's consideration, kornacki is not starting a radio show. But go get his podcast on 1994. It's called revolution, and it's going to get me through this week. Steve kornacki always good to talk to you, Steve. Thanks for really one of the last honest guys in politics. Meaning, I don't know, I don't know if he's a Democrat or Republican. He's just always right. He's always on the nose. Steve kornacki. I'll be right back on the Hugh Hewitt show..
"steve kornacki" Discussed on The Hugh Hewitt Show: Highly Concentrated
"That was the rise of gavel to gavel coverage of the House proceedings. Brian Lamb, we love you. Go ahead. Ryan Lim is part of the podcast. Get a great interview with him in there. Did you, really? Brian is the smartest guy about American politics, not named kornacki. I'll take that as a high compliment and he tells some great stories in there. And what you see is that Newton was the first to recognize it because you had all of these members who've been there 20, 30 years who it was a nuisance to them. In your saw value in cleaning time on the House floor when the chamber was empty. Everybody was going through the night they were at their dinners. They were at their fundraising, whatever they were doing. And newt would claim time and he had a small group of allies to in Weber, bob walker from Pennsylvania. They claim time and they recognize that it didn't matter if their colleagues were ignoring them. They were talking to whoever was watching on cable television on C-SPAN and they started to develop a following that way in one of the other things that they started to do is they started to kind of create dramas. They started to create stories to, you know, there's a famous one we tell in here from 1984 where they got so under the skin of the House speaker, you mentioned them a minute ago, tip O'Neill, tip O'Neill actually ordered the cameras to go off of them. He had the power as speaker to control the camera. And of course, that was just feeding right into what newt was trying to achieve because here he was trying to get attention from that national media, a young backbench member. And now he's got the speaker of the house's attention. He's got the Speaker of the House kind of playing around with the rules a little bit because he's so irked by him and then it leads to this confrontation on the House floor with every House member present at the cameras rolling from the national media and newt actually baked successfully tip O'Neill into this explosion where O'Neill was essentially reprimanded on the spot by the democratic houses in the moment in today it might not be today it might not be a shocking as it was then, but in the morning. It was very shocking then. I can't emphasize that people. It's a revolutionary moment. 1994 is a revolutionary moment captured in Steve kornacki new podcast revolution. I want to pause for a moment on mister newt. He deserves a biography by someone like Walter isaacson, someone who actually, because he's such a monumental figure, I think I like to test this theory on you. I think he also invented the politics of combativeness with television anchors in his exchanges in the 2012 primaries with John King at CNN. That's really the first time. We saw Ronald Reagan said I paid for this microphone. We saw George Bush talk about the wind factor. But I mean, newt really took it to John King. And laid open the path which ten years later, everyone treads. I think you had mentioned this to me too because it was on my mind and unfortunately with this podcast, we kind of stopped in 94, but story doesn't stop in 1994. And yeah, I think that moment. I mean, you see, and I wonder if Trump himself, Donald Trump himself saw in that moment. Kind of a bit of a road map because of what gingrich tapped into. I remember this was four or 5 days before the South Carolina primary in 2012. Gingrich was buried in the polls. It looked like Romney was going to win South Carolina in the Republican primaries were going to be done in that debate moment you're talking about. I think most posed up 30 points in four days in gingrich's direction. And he was Tapping, you see the seeds of this, I think, in the 70s, 80s, 90s, in the story we're telling here. But he was sensing that there was this sort of national media with mainstream media leading me to everyone to define it, that there was a sort of resentment of it that there was a backlash to it that they were ingredients for that out there. And you could see in those earlier days, you start to tap into that a little bit, but yeah, 2012 and then the environment we're in now a whole new level..
"steve kornacki" Discussed on The Hugh Hewitt Show: Highly Concentrated
"It was unimaginable. 1994 is for me about halfway through my adult life if you count. I got my first campaign experience at the age of 18 and 1974, 20 years later, I'm doing media television in a precursor to a cable show on PBS in LA at this happened and then we're 20 years later or 30 years later and could happen again. The difference and Steve just put his finger on it. For the first time in 1994, an election was nationalized by Newt Gingrich. We moved from the bob Michael era to the Newt Gingrich era, newt came out with the contract for America, rush was, in fact, taking over the airwaves at that point. He was doing his rush to excellence door. I had started a talk show in the afternoons on the weekends, but at nighttime on TV, and everything changed because the election was nationalized. For the first time ever, people didn't vote for, as tip O'Neill said, all politics are local. They voted for party over person. I just had Jeremy schaefer on Steve kornacki. He's running in Pennsylvania on one of the western Pennsylvania seats. And you know, he's going to win based on national environment and national news story, not because of local stories about Jeremy shaffer, at least that's what I think. Do you think this election is as nationalized as anyone has ever been in an off year? I think so, and I mean, when you look at the, I mean, we're looking at potential turnout here of a 120 to a 130 million people in a midterm election. You could just go back to 2014, only two midterm cycles ago. The number was 85 million. Much lower at some points even in the not no distant past. And I attribute almost all of that, not what's happening in people's local communities per se, but what they're consuming kind of nationally, people consume nationalized media now. We have obviously this issue. Maybe on the right, maybe on the left. Is there as much conversation between the sides? Is there used to be there may not be, but I think people are consuming through whether it's television, whether it's sort of social media Internet, they're consuming natural storylines and it's motivating them. It's got people interested in politics and 5, ten years ago, didn't give it a second thought. And its resulting in just these astronomical turnout levels in elections that I couldn't have imagined 20 years ago. And I can not wait to hear how newt uses the national media. Because I forget stuff, even though you lived it, you forget stuff. But 30 years later, let's go back to 1994. You got your news from the three networks and CNN. That's it. That's all you have. And there was Russia on the Monday through Friday slot. And there were people like me on the weekend, and there were shows like PBS, Washington we can review or life and times on the West Coast that did politics, but generally your media was limited to the big national network Steve. How much do you put down the polarization to the rise of the Internet? And by the way, I don't think polarization is bad. We're moving towards a parliamentary model underneath a Republican model, a small R Republican. And it's fine to have a parliamentary model. The Democrats are about to get kicked in the teeth, and that's the parliamentary model working in the off year. But when did the switch to other than big legacy media occur? Yeah, I think one of the stories we tell in here and it's a small in the grand scheme in the ocean of media at the small thing, but I think it's significant. You get to the house in January 79 and it's march of 1979 for the first time every day turn a television camera on in the House chamber. And that was C-SPAN..
"steve kornacki" Discussed on The Hugh Hewitt Show: Highly Concentrated
"When we come back tomorrow, the red line, in the meantime, go and get only the strong, you will be happy you did send it to everyone and remember when you vote this week and next week, if you're voting early, vote Republican, we can not, we are in a dangerous time. And we have to get the Republican majorities back. Thank you, senator. We'll talk again. I want to remind you that our sponsor is Andrew and Todd dot com. There was Sierra Pacific. They lend you money to refinance your house or buy a home or help your son or daughter become investors in real estate by becoming a non occupying co borrower. They help senior citizens with reverse mortgage. They help veterans with no money down mortgages. They help you refinance. So if you need to get money out of your house or you need a whole new house, go to Andrew and Todd dot com or call them at triple-A triple-A 1172. Join now by NBC News, Steve Kardashian, a man in khakis. He's also the host of a brand new podcast series, which I'm going to load and listen to on one of my long trundles because it's about one of the most memorable nights of politics that I've ever broadcast. The night of 1994 when newt led the revolution, that's in fact the name of kornacki, new podcast series, the revolution. Good morning, Steve. Welcome back to the Hugh Hewitt show. Good morning, Hugh. Good to be here. Now you and I have talked a lot about 1994 in the past. I was working for KCET in LA at the time and on television the red light comes on at a green light comes on, you say. Whatever comes to your mind, if it was a fight they'd have stopped it. It was a slaughter, Steve. Why did you choose now to do 1994 the podcast here? Yeah, I think we now have a generation of hindsight and I think it really stands out almost even more. There's the shock to the moment you're kind of describing, but here we are. We could be days away from seeing the power in the house transfer from Democrats to Republicans. If it does, it'll be the 5th time since 1994, basically the 5th time in the span of a generation or so that the house has changed hands. And when you look before 94, obviously, it had been 40 years, 40 consecutive years of one party controlled democratic control of the House. So I really view 94 is kind of a, it's a pivot point where the house went from being just dominated by Democrats. I mean, Republicans were even close in that period. It's not like they ever got, you know, 5 ten seats away from majority. They were just absolutely buried in the minority. And I think what gingrich undertook in the 16 years or so leading up to 1994 was kind of a project to define to redefine the Republican Party to redefine the role of the minority party in Congress. I think he was one of the very first to understand the potential of the nationalization of media that was kind of playing out with the rise of cable news and eventually the Internet talk radio was part of this as well. And to put those pieces together to nationalize congressional politics and for his project 94 was the culmination of it, but I think that the country, it was the start of it. I think we've been living in a much more nationalized political environment since the definition of the contrast between the two parties is a lot clearer and it's resulted in as they say we've had, you know, potentially 5 swings of control of the House in a generation and for 40 years before that..
The Vietnam War and the Legacy Media
"Some books have an interesting confluence of events around them when they come on to my radio show. When I was reading, I finished that outlined only the strong was the first time I had met on the radio hang khao. And Han kal came in the United States as a refugee from Vietnam. He was a captain in the navy special forces warrior, amazing American. He received the camp Pendleton in an operation that my brother in law then a captain back from his second tour in Vietnam was partially involved in and my brother in law was at the house when I was talking to Han cow and we talked about that operation. The people who fought Vietnam are still here. They're still with us in large numbers, and they're still proud of their service. But the folks who ran away from it and who have devoted their lives to denying what we were about are still here too. And they're deeply embedded in the media senator. I am curious about the media's reaction to only the strong because you're hitting right at the heart of the people who run legacy media. It is the Vietnam generation and the people that they hired. Yeah, I mean, here today, the most of the legacy media is just a press adjunct of the Democratic Party and the progressive movement in America. Is that right not only the strong, the media had essentially declared war in the home front. You had Walter Cronkite, for instance, saying that Ted offensive had been a major disaster when, in effect, our troops in Vietnam had essentially destroyed the vietcong on a gorillas in South Vietnam as a fighting force. He had The New York Times consistently leaking and trying to undermine the war effort leader of the salzburger family at the time who owns The New York Times. Saying he didn't know what America had to offer. The Vietnamese that was any better than the communists.
Understanding the Jimmy Carter Legacy
"Senator, I want to fast forward from Wilson, not yet to Obama and posit Jimmy Carter. You write on page 33 of only the strong about the deep sense of shame James fallows talked about for evading the draft. I've long thought that my generation was conflicted over Vietnam. I came in after Vietnam, but the people who skipped out on Vietnam versus my brother in law who fought it had a deep emotional divide. They were never going to be able to overcome. And that it manifested itself in politics in an unspoken way. You articulate that. So obviously you've thought about what Carter and the Vietnam era did to us, how did that play into the wilsonian hostility towards American exceptionalism? Well, Wilson openly repudiated the American founding and the moral basis of our country. Once you lose that moral foundation cue as Abraham Lincoln warned about in his great speeches and letters in 1850 1960s, it's not a very far slide into repudiating America itself. And that's what the new left did in the 1960s, especially leading up to Vietnam. I think
Who Is Jeremy Shaffer, And Why Is He Best to Represent Western PA?
"Leadership is very high on Jeremy shaffer soon to be speaker McCarthy soon to be majority leader scalise soon to be Jeff he whipped him, banks, they all tell me Jeremy schaefer is a comer. Jeremy, give people your bio. I've seen you. I've met your wife. I think she's a doctor, right? But I can't recall. And then you've got a bunch of kids. Yeah, so my wife is a medical doctor, internal medicine, geriatric. You're blessed with 5 kids that range in age from 6 to 17. And I tell people I've been blessed to live the American Dream here. I grew up very humble means. And ended up you're at Carnegie Mellon university, which is one of the schools in Pittsburgh and got a PhD in electrical engineering, started a small business focused on actually civil engineering topic keeping our roads and bridges safe with do that with a friend and we grew that company to about 40 people all here in western PA. Sold it and got very active in local governments with president of the local township. And I've been very active in the local community and just deeply, deeply concerned with the direction of our country. And that's why I decided to step forward and try to be a voice of reason here to help rein in out of control federal government and turn things around. And
Is the Connecticut Senate Seat in Play?
"Now Leah, I'm overlooking the fact that you're a brown graduate and having you on today. So that we're going to give you a pass on that. Don't know anybody. But you know, when I was at Brown, I started the young Republicans club. And listen to them. You and I are both graduates of the same year when I was up at Harvard running the young Republican club, and that was a nightmare. Laura, just generally getting people to pay attention in a deep blue state, like Connecticut, is the most difficult part of the equation, but once people begin to realize it's possible, you begin to feel momentum. What do you feel? It feels great on the ground in everywhere I go throughout the state. I have Democrats and independents coming up to me and say, well, the Democrats say, don't tell anyone, but I'm voting for you. And independence, you know, they're independent. They know that life doesn't have to be this way. It can be normal again. It can be better again. And they're voting for me. Every single poll shows that I am winning the independent and unaffiliated vote here. This is a single digit rate. He is below 50% and he is worried. And so is Chuck Schumer. Chuck Schumer, his super PAC has started running ads against me here in Connecticut.
"steve kornacki" Discussed on The Hugh Hewitt Show: Highly Concentrated
"Welcome back and Eric on Hugh Hewitt live inside the beltway. Well, my friend Carol Platt lebow has been running the Yankee institute in Connecticut for a long time. And she said, don't sleep on lyor levy. And last week, Rick Scott said to me, we're up in Connecticut. We actually think lyor levy can be Richard blumenthal at that point. That's two people I know know what they're talking about. So let's book leora levy. So people can talk about the upset special. Good morning leora. Welcome to the U.S. show. Good morning. Thank you for having me. Let's start with your website. So people can figure out how to find you. It's liora Ford CT dot com, correct? Correct. And if FOR, the word for, not the number. Leora FOR CT. We are tell us about you and the race that nobody is watching except Rick Scott and Carol Platt through the smartest people I know. Well, a few other people have caught on to and I appreciate I thank you for having me on and realizing that we have a great opportunity in Connecticut to defeat a 37 year out of touch career politician. People of Connecticut have had enough. You know, life here is unaffordable. Life here is unsafe. Our kids are being indoctrinated. The invasion at the border has come to Connecticut, bringing fentanyl. It's killed 8 babies in Connecticut. It's killed teenagers. It's killed young adults. You know, we have had enough climate up in our state. Nobody feels safe in their communities. And it's time for change. People know that to change the results you must change the leadership..
Steve Kornacki: The Advantages Republicans Have Going Into Next Week
"NBC's Steve kornacki laid out all the advantages Republicans seem to be having going into the midterm election next week. This is new from Gallup. They ask folks the issues they consider the most important, very important. And you see the economy tops an abortion second crime, gun policy immigration. Then you ask folks who say these are the most important issues to them, how they intend to vote. And I think this is interesting too, because look at this on all but one of these topics, Republicans have an advantage. And on three of them, the economy crime, immigration, Republicans have massive advantages over Democrats. So when you look at this issue set, you look at how these voters are breaking along these issues, you see what looks like a significant Republican advantage, but again, you go back to that generic ballot, and this is not right now looking like a runaway in the polls for Republicans. No, I don't think it's a runaway, but it may be. We're going to wait and see.
Steve Kornacki: Economy & Inflation Are the Top Issues to Americans
"Here's the guy at the big board, Steve karnaki with Savannah Guthrie on NBC yesterday. Talking about the issues that really do matter to most Americans, this is in a little bit of a conflict with Pelosi's belief that we've had two great years of Democrat party leadership. We've talked so much all year about the economy and inflation being important issues. How about this? This is a New York Times poll brand new year asking voters, what's the top issue on your mind, this election? I haven't seen it this dramatic in a poll. Add the economy and inflation together. That is 44%. We're getting close to half of all respondents in this poll saying that's their top issue. Nothing else even cracks 10% right now. And we've talked about the Republicans when it comes to the economy inflation, having a pretty clear advantage in the polls. And that brings us to the next question on the poll, they call it the generic ballot. You know, they just ask, would you like a Republican or a Democrat to control Congress? And there's been some movement here. Yeah, and typically this has been a pretty good indicator of where things end up in midterm elections. So this is the average of the generic ballot right now, and you can see the Republicans with a lead here. That is a 2.2 point lead for Republicans. Now, as close generally speaking, but we were here a week ago taking you through the generic ballot in a week ago. This number was inside of one point. You had that inflation news over the last week, certainly didn't help the Democrats, and it does seem that as the economy moved to center stage, Republicans are improving their chances here.
Michael Luciano Is Hung on New York Special Election
"Apparently you don't need to think at all to work at mediaite just like media matters Just young inexperienced barely literate and an ideologue of the left Now a perfect example of this is Michael Luciano He's a Luciano And he wants you to know because he's so worldly Let's see here Want you to know that this election Really came down to one place Well this is a significant victory for Democrats Republicans lose special election and swing district they were poised to win Democrat pat Ryan is headed to Congress after defeating Republican Mark molinaro In a special election on Tuesday night With just a small handful of votes left to be counted Ryan leads 52 to 48% in New York's 19th congressional district last month multiple polls showed Ryan trailing by double digits Not surprisingly Republicans were optimistic about capturing the seat Which Democrat Antonio Delgado vacated to become lieutenant governor of the state in May Located in upstate New York The 19th went for Donald Trump by 7 points in 2016 and Joe Biden by two in 2020 District is largely rural which is why Republicans were optimistic about flipping the seat in a midterm election because historically The president's party endures a net loss in House seats MSNBC Steve kornacki was the network's big board parsing county vote data just before NBC News called the race
Republicans Seem to Be Trending Well With Hispanics Long Term
"The fact is that the long-term trends for the Republican Party seem good, it's the short term choices that seem pretty weak right now. Take an example. MSNBC Steve kornacki, who's a data analyst. He is pointing out that Hispanics are now voting Democrat by a margin of about 13 points. That is down from 38 points. Here's kornacki last night. One of the major stories to emerge from the 2020 election, it was the shift we saw in the Hispanic vote. Democrats still won the Hispanic vote in 2020. You can see by 21 points. But that was down 17 points from 2016. Hillary Clinton won the Hispanic vote by 38 Joe Biden by just 21 and you know what? The trend seems to be continuing in 2022. What you're looking at here, this is the average of every poll we've got out there that's been taken over the last three months that looks at the Hispanic vote. And you put them all together, Hispanics are now voting democratic by just 13 points. So from 38 to 21, now down in the 2022 midterm polling to a democratic advantage of just 13 points okay, that is very bad news long term for the Democrats who have relied very heavily on the Hispanic vote breaking extraordinarily largely in their favor, for example, senatorial gubernatorial and presidential elections. So the long-term trendlines with regard to Republican politics here are actually really, really good.
Republican Candidate Flips Democrat Seat in South Texas
"Democrats are really grumpy as they absorb the lesson of Tuesday night's election in the special election in Texas to fill a vacancy. There are 6 vacancies in Congress and a democratic seat went to a Hispanic Republican. And Myra Flores crushed it in a district that many people say is 84% Hispanic. It's only been held for two years in the last 80 years by a Republican. And it was right after redistricting made it a marginal district in 2010 Blake, whatever his name was. One. And then he got tossed out because he's a weird dude. And Steve kornacki was on MSNBC with Jose Diaz balart yesterday talking about this. And I'm leading off with this and not the fed hike because everybody knows about the fed hike already. But I want you to understand the amazing ship that's going on in American politics as the Democratic Party is crumbling before our eyes. Cut number 14. This speaks to a story we've been talking about since the 2020 election, specifically along the border, the Rio Grande valley, South Texas. We have seen county after county, whether it's in this district, or some of the districts to the west of it, where voters have moved ten, 20, 30, 40 points away from the Democrats and toward the Republicans. This district that Myra Flores one last night, Barack Obama got more than 60% of vote here when he last ran in 2012. Hillary Clinton won this district by 22 points. It's shifted that dramatically. Joe Biden carried it by four in 2020 and now and a special election a Republican candidate has won it outright. We've seen shifts like this throughout South Texas. This, by the way, is the second most heavily Hispanic congressional district in the United States.
"steve kornacki" Discussed on The Hugh Hewitt Show: Highly Concentrated
"Mollye, talk to me about the party. I wrote for The Washington Post today. We have ultra maga maga lite and everybody else. What do you think of my three divisions? Well, I do think that people sometimes make a mistake and building it all around in building all of what they're saying about what's happening in the party around Trump. The Republican Party has gone through a transformation in the last 5 to 6 years. I think most everyone actually recognizes the need to update policy positions. You look in Pennsylvania, it is really interesting. You have the Trump endorsed candidate who a lot of conservatives did not find to be conservative enough. You have the ultra ultra manga she edited as Kathy Barnett. Those two together, I think, you know, I think they're probably got a majority of the vote. You've got Dave McCormick, who represents one of the establishment, but I'm also not sure there's a tremendously huge distinction between these three groups. It's more like streams of thought within the party that predominate or don't. I do worry that the party doesn't understand that the voters are ready to change how the Republican Party has done business. They're looking for much more to be done when the Republican Party takes power. They want to have a clear agenda about the things that concern them, whether it's about the control big tech has over our discourse or taking on China. They don't want to just have rhetorics they want to have actual action. Now Molly, you're not old enough. You wouldn't remember the 1984. There's a bear in the Woods and it only aired once, but it got a lot of play as a legendary ad. Some people, there's a bear in the Woods, some people say it's not dangerous. I think the Republican Party is united around, there's a dragon in the air. And I think that 2024 will be the one thing that everyone agrees about is that Joe Biden has hauled out the military and we are not in a position to deter China. What do you think about that? Well, I think these individuals and the debates that we started seeing in the 2015 and 2016 debate stage on how the Republican Party takes on foreign policy. I think that division is actually very serious and significant right now. You have the early stage of the war in Ukraine, leading to just massive popular support for involvement there as people start thinking through what it means to be involved in a long-term where they're including what that means about how well positioned we are to take on China. I think you will see much more vibrant debate going forward unless it's sort of just reflexive acceptance of whatever the generals on TV are saying needs to be done in Ukraine. But it does seem that many people you're seeing again in these different streams. Everyone seems to recognize China is a threat. This is so different than what we what we thought as a party or as a nation in 2015 and 2016, but people finally seem to have awakened to the challenge there. The economic and national security challenges there. And so I do hope you'll see much better ideas and more specific ideas about how to take on China, Biden hasn't been a complete disaster on that and that he kept some of our tariffs and went out there that are there. But he has just been asleep at the wheel for the threat there. And we keep hearing there's going to be some new big policy statement released for Biden versus about how to take on China. And we're still waiting and we're going to wait against administration since Carter and it may be weaker than Carter. Molly, I want to close with what I think is the slam dunk issue. You and Carrie severino wrote a book about it. Everyone has to pledge to be at least as good as Donald Trump on court appointments. Do you think that's a given? People have to know the issue. They have to bring in the federalist society. They have to bring in Carrie's judicial crisis network. They have to agree to be led by the pros. Do you agree on that? Well, I think we're having written the book about how many Republican presidents had failed to achieve the conservative judicial project. It's important that people be clear and I think one of the things Trump did that was so important. And it 25% of his voters voted for him on this issue was, say, precisely who what the list was that he would nominate from instead of saying, well, nominated justice like Thomas or like Alito. He gave actual names so people could look at that. I wish Democrats would do that as well, but it's definitely a game changer in the Republican Party and it needs to go do the same going forward. Molly Hemingway always good to talk to you. Thank you so much for joining me this morning. Always keep coming back. Molly Hemingway is one of the two makes the weather and the conservative side. And look, there are, there are literally 15 to 20 people who could run debates. Molly is one of them. She could run it by herself. One debate moderator is a fine thing. She would be fair. We do not need a single mainstream media person on those stages, although we should invite the networks to carry them. I just think Ron mcdaniel is doing a great job. I want the rules set out there and I hope they are a good rule. Take two in America on yu gi oh. Progressive presents Forrest metaphors. About bundling your home and auto and sports three goals is a hat trick. And when you bundle your home and auto with progressive, you get a hat trick of great savings and round the clock protection. So you might be thinking, wait, that's two things. A hat trick is three, but in this Manafort, great savings counts as two goals and so does round the clock protection. So it's like four goals and that's more than three. It's.
"steve kornacki" Discussed on The Hugh Hewitt Show: Highly Concentrated
"In our debates for decades. I am pretty certain that reince priebus began the transition to what you're talking about. And I think Ron mcdaniel will finish it. And that the networks will not control. They may broadcast. They may carry, but they may not control the content that the RNC is going to pick the moderators and the moderators and work it out. And I don't think we have any shortage of Matt continentes in Molly Hemingway's and guy Benson to Mary Katherine hams. And I could go on Jason. I can go on and on about the number of people who would actually represent the electorate that is picking the nominee. You agree with me on that? Well, it's not even representing its raising issues that are of concern to those. And sometimes having a hostile moderator is a good way to get good answers. The problem is when the hostile moderator is only hostile against one side. So you could even have an argument that you want to put right right leaning, moderators against democratic candidates or not. But think about how it feels as a Republican to watch these debates. They're bringing up issues of interest to the left. They're asking gotcha questions framed in a way to help the left. And so conservative voters who are trying to figure out what's going on, which candidate to vote for. The questions they want asked are never asked. And that's the most important thing. These debates serve the people and should help us be able to pick the right candidate. We can't do that when the questions we care about are never asked. And I think that's best accomplished at least in the Republican primaries by center right commentators not by so called independent journalists of stature in the mainstream media. Second question. Go ahead. They're not independent. They're not. They show that every day and that's one of the problems is we treat these people like they're moderate or moderators when they're not. They're political activists, and they've demonstrated that for a long time, but in recent years, it's gotten so much worse. It's untenable. It isn't. I go back to the CNN debate prep room. Where I got handed me a book that they quickly took away because I wasn't supposed to see it. You know, I was the interloper that had Ted Cruz's lies. That's what the book was titled. Ted Cruz's lies. It kind of told you what they were about. You know, they wanted to exploit what they thought were misstatements by the former by the current Texas center. Mollye, I also believe in randomized seating charts so that if you've got ten candidates, you can put them on a stage, but you're randomized where they stand, you don't do it by height, and you don't do it by polling. Polling last night was wrong again. They had David McCormick at 21%. He's at 31%. They had him in third place in the last four polls. He's tied for first in a race that won't be decided for days, maybe weeks. They are never right. They are never right, Molly. It's particularly a problem with primaries. So polling is pulling is wrong all the time. Primary polling is actually very difficult to do. It's difficult to get right. You're dealing with people who can kind of make last minute. The voters themselves make last minute changes in their decisions. And so you have a very good point there that it should not be set by polling. I don't know about completely randomized. You can have so many candidates that you don't want to just mix the more legitimate candidates with people who are just running particular one issue. They want to focus on or that don't have the support, either financially or with the people. So there should be probably I haven't thought about it enough, but there should be some constraints on. I hope you think about it. My theory is you ought to have a group of wise people who actually know the party and say, I'm sorry, you're not viable. Prove it's wrong. But Michelle bachmann should not have been on the stage in 2012. And Alan keyes certainly shouldn't have been on the stage with John McCain and George W. Bush in 20 and the year 2000. And I had no Alan. I knew I've known him since 1974. It was absurd, but because we have this stupid Ali in free rule and we don't have grown ups in the room to say, sorry you're not in, that that allows for marginal candidates. They eat up time space and opportunity..
"steve kornacki" Discussed on The Hugh Hewitt Show: Highly Concentrated
"Can tell you, there were any number of academies in 2016, myself included who end up spending money on Fox national advertising. September and October of 2015 to make sure that we were well in the top ten. So we would be in the primary debate. That's a waste of resources at a waste of time. And I think what we need to do is make sure that the candidates were there are there. Get a fair shot to be heard. I agree. By the way, I also agree no marginal candidates. I love Michelle bachmann. She was nice. She shouldn't have been on the stage in 2012. George pataki should not have been on the stage in 2016. We got to have some sort of vet that says, sorry, you're not proof is wrong. If you show up in the, if you get, I might use pulling to let a marginal candidate on if you show us that 10% or more. But we're not going to let you go on there and learn how to sell veggie Maddox at the expense of time on a Republican stage. I agree with you and I would also say this. I think in 2016 there was something happened was that Carly fiorina argued herself onto the state. Yes. And I think that wounds up in that second debate as you'll recall at the Reagan library to be you're just counterproductive. And also the large stage meant that when you threw your grenade at Marko Rubio, you had to throw it from one end of the stage to the other. Now you had good aim, but it's just too many too many people. And so I hope this time around. So do you have input into that? How are they doing that? I know David bossy came up with the see you later, presidential debate commission decision and Ron mcdaniel, okay, that I'm fine with that, but as to back to back nights and random drawings, I'm all for that conservatives asking questions. I'm all for that, but do you have visibility into that process? We do drew the RNC members you. And so each one of the states as you know, there are three voting members, the RNC, your state chairman and your two National Committee people, and they're going to be the ones who ultimately are going to be voting on and deciding what the rules are going to be. So I think we're all going to be trying who are interested. Are going to be trying to have input and make sure as best we can, that it's fair. But remember, the arch team membership is still dominated by folks who were nominated and elected by president Trump and his folks. You know, the president has got a sufficiently confident level that he's not going to ask for it to be rigged. I don't think. He agreed with me. No, he had no look. I don't think Rick would be too hard a word. And I think it's a word that we got to get away from. I think it's what we are concerned about is to make sure that everybody has an opportunity. There might be a home field advantage built in. I will say that. There might be a home field advantage. Governor Chris Christie, congratulations on the New York win. I can't tell people how important that is for the next ten years in America and Chris Christie and Mike Pompeo get to take a victory lap on that one. Thank you, governor. I'll be right back, America, stay tuned. Welcome back, America. I'm Hugh Hewitt Molly Hemingway is co editor in chief of the federalist of must read every day. She's also the journalism fellow at hilldale college and my.
"steve kornacki" Discussed on The Hugh Hewitt Show: Highly Concentrated
"Now I got to ask you about bonds. After that, you hang on and within the next 5 years, you're just fine. So we need to think of it as in investing, not trading. And that leads me to the bond question. I've never bought bonds. I've never understood them, and I just don't know when they're reliable or not. When do people buy bonds? What kind of an economy do you buy bonds for? Yeah, you know, I mean, people have always bought bonds because they deemed them less volatile. So if you go back over most of the late 1800s, we had railroad bonds and in the early 1900s and you could earn three to 4% above inflation. We basically had no at least for a long time. And so three to 4% return compounded over decades and decades really works. And also back then, remember we had all these railroads most of which failed, all these car companies after that, most of which failed, you know. And so it was hard to pick stocks. We didn't have index funds. We didn't have things like that. So bonds were a good, solid alternative. Then you got to the 1970s and anybody who owned bonds got burned. Because interest rates went up, the value of the bond went down and if you were holding a 4% bond and interest rates one to 14%, you lost heavily. But then in the early in the early 1980s, you could buy about it 14% and hold it for 20 years. And that worked out magically. So again, this is more the way to have done bonds over the last few years is not blindly be in them, but time them be out in the 70s be in in the 80s. And now these yields are so low, I don't think they fully reflect the inflation that we're going to have. So I would wait before touching a bond again. That's why I love having Brian on. He does not tell you to trade. He always tells you to invest, but he gives you parameters within which to do so. Let's look out 20 years, Brian, 'cause we got one minute. So it's easy to fit 28 years in. Are you an optimist about the American economy? Yes. You know, just one simple thing today, you know, it's what is going on in Ukraine with ugly, ugly, ugly, ugly. But I look at the events with Finland and Sweden. And I personally believe you and I have not talked about this before you, but China is less likely to have been invade Taiwan right now. Because of how much the world is against build back better is that the tax hikes that came along with it are dead. Germany is moving toward natural gas with a Green New Deal has taken a uppercut on the chin. And November looks like it's going to be a wave or a tsunami. Not that Republican. Everything. But we won't have tax cuts in 23 or 24 either. Tax hikes, you mean. Brian wesbury always a pleasure. Follow him on Twitter at westbury poem on CNBC. Smart go to guy who actually knows new Milton Friedman and listen, I'll be right back, governor Chris Christie former governor of New Jersey joins me. They've been winning the war three difficult level. We'll talk about that with him after the break. Good morning, glory, America,.
"steve kornacki" Discussed on The Hugh Hewitt Show: Highly Concentrated
"One of the big presidents of a think tank told me he would prefer to reign rather than try to rule again. Matt, how is the right your new book doing? It's been a month and a half. The right was, I inhaled it. My son is inhaling it. How's it doing? I think it's doing very well with you. I hope everyone gets runs out by the coffee, but there's a lot of discussion about the right, a lot of positive reviews. And I think that's because conservatives now are really interested in the history of their movement, but also its future. And there's also a lot of people who aren't necessarily conservative who want to learn more about American politics and the conservative movement and the make America great again movement and that's all in the book. The right is selling well. I'm just curious. I've got 30 seconds, Matt cutting in promoting the right. Are you doing any live events or is it all virtual and media appearances? No, we've done some live events. In fact, we're going to have an event in D.C. next week in conjunction with the ISI and your arm has only the author of the new book on conservatism. And that will be at the national press club. And anyone who's in the D.C. area might want to check that out. Oh, absolutely. Are you two going to talk just to each other? You're going to have it moderated. I actually think Kevin Roberts is going to be moderating from that. Excellent president of the heritage foundation. I may have to show up for that unless I'm on baby watch. Matt continente, thank you, my friend, the right is available at Amazon.com. It's available in bookstores everywhere, and you got to look up national press club continent. And I can't pronounce the other guy's name. I've got his book. I haven't read it yet. When I come back, America. Brian whisperer, may or may not be here to join us. We'll find out stay tuned. Welcome back, America. Brian Westbrook has been telling us for about a year that there was at least a year's worth of inflation in the stock market. I think that year ran out in the last couple of weeks. Brian, was that correction predictable and I haven't sold a share. I never sell during a correction. What do you think? You know, I don't know if I did not a trader. I don't know how to be a trader. I have to be you and me both. I mean, I want to be honest about that. And I have to tell you, I don't know many good trainers. I mean, people have all these systems that they've claimed to invent it. And I, you know, no one's worth more than Warren Buffett and he line Musk and Jeff Bezos and they didn't get to that wealth by trading. They got there by investing. So back when I saw Warren Buffett bought like everything that moved over the last month. No, he's not. Now, I will tell you, I do believe that the next few years are going to pay a price. We did residented things. Locking down the economy is please let it go down in history as one of the dumbest policy responses that mankind could ever do. The second worst is printing 4 trillion new dollars and the third one is borrowing 5 trillion from our kids. Panic has never a good look. Panic is never a good idea and we panic. We totally panicked about so many things, but economically we will pay we will pay a price. I do not think that price is this year. I think the economy will continue to grow this year. I think profits will be up. I think interest rates are going to go up, but maybe not as much as people think. And then in 23 and 24, I think the rubber meets the road, if that's the right way to say it because the fed has to stop this inflation and I don't think Jerome Powell knows how far he has to go. And that probably is to causing a recession. And when you ever recession, that's when the stock market gets hit..
Will the 2024 Republican Presidential Field Be Trump vs Everybody?
"No, I want to turn to The Washington Post column I have up this morning over at the landing page. Trump hovers, but the numbers of his likely rival grows. I divide would be 2024 people into three bags, ultra maga, maga light, and everybody else. And a few candidates like Ron DeSantis, Tom cotton, Mike Pompeo, Rick Scott, Tim Scott, Ted Cruz. They can do all three of those groups. What do you think about my general categories? Those are people like youngkin and Nikki Haley. And everybody else, Chris Christie, who's coming up next hour and Mike Pence and people like that. Fair enough tax hominy, taxonomy. I think it's a useful text on me. I kind of look at the erasers divided into two candidates or two groups. One is Trump than everybody. Everybody is. Yes, that's true. And so so much rise on what president Trump decides to do in 2024. I think he's leaning toward running at the moment, but that could change. If his president Trump, he likes to change his mind, I am provided. But I think it's important for the other candidates you mentioned here not to be deterred by the prospect of a Trump candidacy. If you really believe that this is your moment, the calling to call has arrived and that you can offer the country a successful presidency, you should run and you should be prepared to run against Donald Trump.
New York Red Flag Law Missed the Buffalo Shooter
"No, Matt, I don't know if you were on the air on Sunday. I got a day to absorb the buffalo atrocity before I had to comment on it in between there occurred the Orange County atrocity. And so I'm able to talk. I've been on the air live when shootings have occurred. And I was on the air live with 9 11. It's always hard to speak into that. But yesterday, Chuck Schumer blamed Fox News for it. I always think the Democrats go a bridge too far. I always think it's mental illness combined. And this kid's a racist. He's obviously fell into the rabbit hole of replacement theory and other weird nonsense. That comes out of white supremacist supremacism that needs to be denounced. But what do you say when the gun control advocates arrive? And New York has a red flag law, a red flag law that did not work. I like red flag laws. They're called stop orders in Arizona. Severe threat order of protection. I like that. It didn't work. It's on the books. What more can we do? I also support red flag laws. And I think this is a clear case of the system failing. The system's failing at every level, the shooter was referred to a mental health evaluation, which he confesses in one of his journal entries he manipulated in order to get a pass. So people weren't paying attention at the school. They weren't paying attention at the medical level. I also am very curious about the family situation. You know, he was there in the house with during the pandemic. That's where he says he began his radicalization. What were the parents doing? So this is a systemic failure. And I do think that we have to be aware that this subculture exists online and people have to be very wary of it and prepare to direct kids away from it. But you also need to have a situation where people in positions of authority are aware of these sorts of threats as they emerge and do what they can to stop them in the case of New York where you did have a red flag law. I think more needed to be done to prevent this young man from obtaining me awful weapons.
"steve kornacki" Discussed on The Hugh Hewitt Show: Highly Concentrated
"Good morning Matt, how are you? Good morning, Hugh, I'm well. Thanks for having me. I wanted to cover two things with you. One, I've got a column over at The Washington Post that looks at Republicans interested in 2024 when I come back to that, but based on last night's election results. We got a dead heat in Pennsylvania. We won't know for a day who wins. Madison Cawthorn is out, Ted bud is in, et cetera, et cetera. What is the state of the right judging by last night's results? Well, I think broadly the right is still motivated by a lot of populist energy. It's still broadly supportive of president Trump and his agenda, the Trump endorsement matters, but it might not matter all that much, and I also think we can say that the rate is definitely energized about the coming midterm election and has a real advantage in enthusiasm. Now I just had on Steve kornacki and I told him I'm going to make a call the earliest call for November and that is that Josh Shapiro wins the governorship in Pennsylvania because mastriano is just too far out there. Do you agree with me on that, Matt? Well, mastriano is definitely what you might call ultra magnet, right? Or what Biden might call ultramega. You betcha. He's more magazine Trump. Trump came in with the late endorsement of mastery on. I think mainly to burnish Trump's endorsement record because mastriano had a double digit lead when Trump endorsed for the final week. Here's the problem. For the Democrats is that they thought Donald Trump was unelectable too. And because of the environment in 2016 because of missteps by their candidate Hillary Clinton, Trump became the president of the United States. So I want to leave it out of the realm of possibility that mastery on a win. So he definitely starts off, I think, at a disadvantage because of his reputation. And also because the Republican Party is very divided over his candidacy and many Republicans in Pennsylvania are unenthused by him to say the least. You know, there are a lot of people divided over the 2020 election as well. I am one who thought the election was over the day after. There are people I know and Salem media helped produce the movie 2000 mules and dinesh's movie has done very, very well, and they believe that there was a lot of cheating. I don't, but the point is that it divides the party. How much should the Republican Party and the right generally be looking forward as opposed to backwards, Matt continental? Well, I'm a big believer here that politics is about the future, not the path. Now, I'm a conservative, so I love the past. I think we can draw things from the past. I want to preserve a lot of the past. But politics, it is about what you're going to do for voters tomorrow, not what happened yesterday. I do think it's important that the Republican candidates focus on kitchen table issue in 2022. And there are serious issues. I mean, we've seen from the voters that inflation is their number one concern. They want to have a field empathy from their candidates they want to hear solution of potential solutions from candidates on the matter of inflation. Things like crime, things like the border, all of these are major factors in people's decision making everyday Americans who are getting up and going to work and not thinking all that much about politics. Certainly not thinking all that much about what happened in 2020. I do think a forward leading agenda is the way for Republicans.
The State of the Right After Tuesday's Elections
"I wanted to cover two things with you. One, I've got a column over at The Washington Post that looks at Republicans interested in 2024 when I come back to that, but based on last night's election results. We got a dead heat in Pennsylvania. We won't know for a day who wins. Madison Cawthorn is out, Ted bud is in, et cetera, et cetera. What is the state of the right judging by last night's results? Well, I think broadly the right is still motivated by a lot of populist energy. It's still broadly supportive of president Trump and his agenda, the Trump endorsement matters, but it might not matter all that much, and I also think we can say that the rate is definitely energized about the coming midterm election and has a real advantage in enthusiasm.
"steve kornacki" Discussed on The Hugh Hewitt Show: Highly Concentrated
"I was just about to ask. I was going to ask you if mastery on his radioactivity in his kind of radioactive candidate will hurt him McCormick, who's a mainstream Republican with some Trump crossover bronze star recipient military Pittsburgh born and raised. Can he avoid the down ticket, can he separate? What do you think are the odds of separating from mastery on? I don't think they're going to be campaigning together. I'm really curious to see how they handle each other in public. I'm really curious to see how they handle, you know, we have Trump himself wants to make Pennsylvania. A priority in the fall, especially with mass Rihanna, getting the nomination. How does how do the two candidates handle that? And yeah, is it a case of mastriano being rejected in a little bit of that rubbing off on the Senate candidate, you know, I think if you're a Republican, you're optimistic read would be that the national climate, the national assignment, which looks so unfavorable for Democrats kind of Trump's, so to speak, everything lift you in the federal races and actually rubs off a little bit of mastery on the gubernatorial race. But yeah, I think if you're a Republican in Pennsylvania, whether this is Oz or whether this is McCormick, who emerges from this, I think you're looking at a situation realistically where you're trying to you're trying to get a split ticket result. And they're not unheard of. We saw, you know, we saw it in Maine in 2020, but they're increasingly rare. What else do you see, Steve? Just stepping back, you know, the big board last night. What are Steve kornacki, these big takeaways from last night, 5 primaries is 5 primary. That's a good dataset. Yeah. Look, the Trump endorsement, I think we continue to say it does it does it win elections as it lose elections is to do everything just to do nothing. It does something. I'm looking at some of the counties that were Donald Trump's strongest counties in 2016 when he ran in the Pennsylvania primary. In one Pennsylvania and a runaway, but if you look at some of the places where he did the best in that, they are correlating with some strength for Oz so I do think he made a difference here just in terms of if Oz wins this thing, you know, I think you could make an argument that Trump gave him a few critical agree. To put him over the top. And if he falls short, you know, you know, I think it would have been more of a, it would have been more lopsided without Trump. You know, Trump will say he got the governor's race in Pennsylvania, but I think that thing was pretty much settled before Trump stepped in. And in North Carolina, you saw that interesting scenario Trump in the club for growth actually on the same page. And when they're on the same page, they got to blow out win. So he is worth something. Steve kornacki keep coming back, but never mentioned the browns again, ever. Steve kornacki. Kornacki, you can follow him on Twitter at Steve kornacki, the man in khakis knows the most about elections in America. He's the new Michael barone. He'll be Michael baron for the next 50 years. Stay tuned to America..
"steve kornacki" Discussed on The Hugh Hewitt Show: Highly Concentrated
"America. I'm Hugh Hewitt. I think the idea of morning glory, America, bonjour, high candidate here. You're at live inside the beltway on May 18th year of our lord 2022. Steve kornacki, the man in khaki, joined us now. Steve and I had a falling out last year when he picked the browns to get to the Super Bowl. He said their odds were good and jinxed them. So we're not going to talk about that today, Steve. You know, we're just not going to talk about that. Who's going if you had to bet your house right now? Who's going to be the Republican nominee for the Pennsylvania Senate seat? Oh boy, we go from brown's playoff eyes to an even harder question. What I want to know, I don't mean to duck your question, but literally what we are trying to figure out this morning is how many mail in ballots need to be counted. And my answer depends on when we can get that question answered. Because McCormick has been leading mehmet Oz in the mail in ballots by about 9 points. So there's the potential there if there's enough of them that he could overtake on that. But we're trying to nail down how many there are. And there's a great idea. What's the minimum number of them that are out there, do you think? So what we think is what, in terms of yesterday morning, we got to count from the state in terms of returned Republican mail in ballots. And as of right now, there are about 20,000 fewer of those counted than there were returned as of yesterday. So I think it's reasonable that there's about 20,000 of those. Now, the other thing on top of that is how many people return their mail ballots yesterday. That wouldn't have been counted in these numbers I'm giving you. And how many people put them in the mail yesterday. Again, that wouldn't be counted. So the number could grow based on that. So that's the biggest sort of outstanding piece of this, I think. And the other thing that we're literally doing and we're trying to call counties, they're not all answering their phones at this hour. So when we can't get them on the phone, we are scouring their website, some counties report out individual precincts and we're identifying increasing around the state that have not put out all of their election day vote. And we have found some of those in Delaware county. We found ten precincts where they deserve that. Those are good for McCormick, aren't they? McCormick was leading the same day slightly in Delaware. Yes, they could be. And the other one that could be positive for him, it looks like there's about 30 precincts and Allegheny county. Where at least according to their website, there are still outstanding same day votes. That's his hometown. That's Bloomberg. Right. What about, you know, a lot of people like Oculus and the show too, they give them some hope. Well, he's ahead. He's 2600. Do you have 2600 as the number? Yeah, yeah, we're right about there right now. And there's potential that in some of these other counties where he's been doing well right around in particular right around Philadelphia. There may still be some votes together. There certainly will be I think some male votes to come, for instance, like in bucks county. He's winning bucks county. I think he could make some gain some additional gains there. I think one of the biggest wild cards in this right now is Lancaster county. They had some issues with dancing. Oh, yes. Procedural issues in terms of the mail in vote there. I think there's at least 5000 votes in Lancaster county that will be mail in votes. And I'm not sure who that's going to favor. Yeah, send lawyers, guns and money. When I saw that story on Lancaster county that the private vendors applied votes were screwed up, so they had to give people re votes. And so they're all going to be people are going to have state officials are going to transfer votes from votes. I thought, oh, this is going to be lovely if it's a one vote election. This thing could be Florida 2000. Well, that's the other potential on this right now. However this shakes out, if you're inside at half a percent on the margin, there's a statewide recap trigger. And it's hard to look at this, you know, I'm seeing 0.18% right now, separating odds from McCormick in the statewide count. It seems very plausible. This thing lands inside recap territory. I agree now. So again, if you had to bet your house Steve, you got to bet your ability to be on with the board during Super Bowl, which way are you going? If there's the number of mail in ballots that I think or at least at our spreadsheet is telling us there is, I think there's an advantage for McCormick. But I'm not confident that's the number of mail ballots. That's what we're trying to nail down. So Jeff Rowe is out there on Twitter saying we've got this. Now Jeff is the best working he did youngkin. I think he's doing cruise. He's generally on the winning side. He takes some flyers once in a while. But everyone says that, right? Or do you risk something if you're a consultant you say we got this? And you don't get it. I think you want to sound confident at this point, but I think truthfully, you know, there's a lot of question marks because it's the county themselves who are sitting on this information and the counties themselves are fully at 7 12 in the morning here on the east coast. If you try to call it Delaware county right now, which I think is one of the big question marks, I can't get an election official on the phone at 7 12 a.m.. I'm not faulting them for that. I understand it's 7 in the morning, but they've got some of the most important answers here. And so you hear from them, I'll take their word on what's left over either campaign. I know each campaign is going to paint a rosy picture right here. I know what the McCormick folks are saying though. Because we've seen it. We can the male votes that have been counted so far. And we're talking tens of thousands of them. McCormick has been doing better than us. Now I've got the earliest call for November for you. Steve, you can take this to the Josh Shapiro has won the Pennsylvania state House stays blue in November. What do you think of my, I'm not going out on much of a limb there, am I? You're projecting he's going to beat mastery on him. Yeah. Like by 25 points, I mean, look, yeah, if you look at where mastriano is poised to struggle, it lines up with the places where Trump struggled in 2020 in Pennsylvania. And that's specifically the suburbs right outside of Philadelphia. And that's where Trump lost the most significant ground between 2016 and 2020. It's almost the single reason Trump lost Pennsylvania in 2020 after winning it in 2016. And I think that the types of voters there that were turned off by Trump in 2020, it's hard to see them rallying around mastery on. It seems like a lot of the things they rejected about Trump, they might find in mastriano as well. The interesting question is we live in this area here. I mean, I think you know this as well as anybody. We live in this era where split ticket voting..
Mail in Ballots Could Determine Outcome of PA Primary
"Who's going if you had to bet your house right now? Who's going to be the Republican nominee for the Pennsylvania Senate seat? Oh boy, we go from brown's playoff eyes to an even harder question. What I want to know, I don't mean to duck your question, but literally what we are trying to figure out this morning is how many mail in ballots need to be counted. And my answer depends on when we can get that question answered. Because McCormick has been leading mehmet Oz in the mail in ballots by about 9 points. So there's the potential there if there's enough of them that he could overtake on that. But we're trying to nail down how many there are. And there's a great idea. What's the minimum number of them that are out there, do you think? So what we think is what, in terms of yesterday morning, we got to count from the state in terms of returned Republican mail in ballots. And as of right now, there are about 20,000 fewer of those counted than there were returned as of yesterday. So I think it's reasonable that there's about 20,000 of those.
"steve kornacki" Discussed on The Hugh Hewitt Show: Highly Concentrated
"Tell. Although doctor has a 2600 vote lead at this moment. To international news, Putin takes mariupol, the battle for Mario pull is over, but wider Donbass victory slipping from his reach. This is from Reuters. Even as the Kremlin prepares to take full control of the ruins of mariupol city and faces a growing prospect of defeat in its bid to conquer all of Ukraine's eastern Donbass because it's badly mauled forces lack the manpower for significant advances. Western weaponry bolsters Ukraine's combat power analyst says Russia's forces are unlikely to be vanquished quickly even if there's no major new troop deployment materializing, setting the stage for the four week battle of the Donbass to be just grind on. Quote, I think it's either going to be a defeat, but the current force posture for Russia or mobilize the whole country. I don't think there's any middle ground, according to a Russian consulting firm. We shall see. U.S. refuelers are taking part in a large scale Israeli drill for the first time. It simulates a strike on Iran's nuclear facilities as part of the broader chariots of fire exercise that Israel is undertaking later this month. I'm glad of that. I also don't believe for a moment that Joe Biden would ever help Israel hit Iran, but the reports out of Vienna, the reports out of the International Atomic Energy Agency is that Iran is going for a weapon. They're going for a weapon and I just think the current Israeli government is too weak to do anything about it. And their posturing. And I think the American government is posturing. Inflation fears grow as millions choose not to work. This is from Great Britain where the inflation rate reached 9% yesterday year over year. It's only 8.3% in the United States year over year. 11% at the wholesale level, inflation fears are growing. 7.1 million people in great bitten can work, but don't want to work. That's the COVID hangover. On the good news side, U.S. retail sales grew .9% in April, retail spending for the fourth straight month as inflation remained high at spending its stores online and in restaurants. That's very good for the economy. We got to get people out of their houses and buying again. Biden administration is easing restrictions on Venezuela and oil. Apparently we can buy oil from dictators now because Joe Biden is worried about the fall elections. That doesn't make any sense. New York City coronavirus coronavirus cases reach a record high alert level. That's not a record. I'm sorry I missed it. They just reached a high alert level. They've been there before. They've got 3500 new cases a day. Now, I'm not surprised by this, I don't think anyone is surprised by this COVID's up around the country. I myself have got both vaccines in both boosters. I don't know worry about it. The only time I put on a mask is when I'm in an Uber or an airplane and airplanes are apparently free, the fetching misses Hewitt flew last week and you don't have to wear a mask anymore and she said about half of the people on the airplane will wear it and half don't and I'm the part that don't because I go out in public I go to restaurants I go to movies and if I'm going to get I'm going to get it but I've got the vaccine to the boosters I'm not going to get very sick. With plunging enrollment a seismic hit to public schools I'm going to expand on this New York Times story when I come back, maybe the best thing to come out of COVID is that people are fleeing public schools because they got to look at what goes on inside of public schools, the curriculum, the teachers, the ideology, the wokeness, and they said, I'm going to find a private school or a Catholic school that will take my kids, and that's what you ought to be doing if you possibly can, unless you've got the great public school out there. It tells its teacher, don't bring your politics, don't bring your sexuality, don't bring your ideology, left, right or center, up, down, left or right, male, female or somewhere in between, don't bring it into the classroom, teach them how to read right into arithmetic, and we'll be fine. Those kind of schools are good. Everybody else, not so good. Stay tuned to.
Putin Takes Mariupol, Faces Defeat in Donbas Region
"Putin takes mariupol, the battle for Mario pull is over, but wider Donbass victory slipping from his reach. This is from Reuters. Even as the Kremlin prepares to take full control of the ruins of mariupol city and faces a growing prospect of defeat in its bid to conquer all of Ukraine's eastern Donbass because it's badly mauled forces lack the manpower for significant advances. Western weaponry bolsters Ukraine's combat power analyst says Russia's forces are unlikely to be vanquished quickly even if there's no major new troop deployment materializing, setting the stage for the four week battle of the Donbass to be just grind on. Quote, I think it's either going to be a defeat, but the current force posture for Russia or mobilize the whole country. I don't think there's any middle ground, according to a Russian consulting firm. We shall see.
"steve kornacki" Discussed on The Hugh Hewitt Show: Highly Concentrated
"Like that. But Jeff Rowe tells us that Dave McCormick will win. Now Jeff Rowe is probably America's best political consultant because rob no longer does it. And he says, based on how many uncounted absentee ballots on Twitter, he tells us this on Twitter, based on how many uncounted absentee ballots there are, and the margin by which Dave has won them so far, we are confident a victory. Dave will win this race. It is there's a 1 million 372,000 votes cast about 50 to 60,000 votes left. Doctor Oz is ahead by 2600, but the margin in the absentee and mail in cuts pretty decisively towards McCormick. We don't know. I don't know, you don't know, we'll know some time today. The Barnett and bardos and sans votes, I don't know how they would have cut it. They were not in the race. But it looks to me like Doctor Oz with doctor with Donald Trump's endorsement is hanging on by his fingernails, but I think McCormick, if I had to bet this money, I bet McCormick wins that will know by tomorrow I hope. Madison Cawthorn's two year run in Congress is over. He was beaten in a primary last night. Lots of other news across the United States and races that are not as important to you. I think I'm going to come down where I was before the Trump factors worth about 10%. Get you about 10% in a Republican primary and in a general election. It also loses you about 10%. But that 10% can go on a lot of different directions. So don't know in Pennsylvania, focused a lot on it. We'll tell you about it. If we get details, I tweeted it, check, you know, more information is better for a newscast than less information. I'd like to know how many are exactly out and whether they are absentee military or in person spoiled votes. I saw a story from Lancaster county yesterday that the new ballot provider had screwed up 900 votes. I think this will end up in the next dinesh decision movie. The movie 2000 mules about screw ups in Georgia during the recount, and so every election, I wrote the book on elections, if it's not close, they can't cheat. Every election has a screw up at some level. It only matters in close ones. If a race is not within a thousand votes, you can't flip it. You can't flip it, but that's after they are all counted. And with 50 to 60,000 votes still outstanding in Pennsylvania it's just too early to tell..
Democrat Melanie Stansbury Wins US House Race in New Mexico
"When president biden name deb holland to be. Us secretary of the interior. She made history as the first native. American cabinet secretary in us history. She also less historically created an open seat in congress and tonight is the special election to replace her now. Republicans desperately want to pick up a seat in the house. Democrats desperately do not want to lose one. Because of how small the democratic majority already is the house of representatives but polls have closed now in new mexico's first congressional districts. Let's check in with steve kornacki to see what we know. Hey steve hey rachel will we know a lot and this happened in just the last five minutes. What you're looking at on the screen. It's elaine slide here and it's significant because i think the question right now has shifted. Who is going to win this race but to how much the democrats are going to win this race by. Let me take you through. What just happened in the last few minutes. You see melanie stains. She's a democrat mark morris. He's the republican. You see a two to one edge here for stains barry. Essentially what just happened. Is we got the early. Vote slash the absentee vote. You'll mail in ballots and also the vote that was cast early in this election. That's a huge huge chunk of it. We got it from the big giant county that makes up the overwhelming bulk of this district. We knew the democrat was going to do well with this big chunk that just came in. We didn't expect necessarily it would be this well for the democrats so a thirty two point advantage here for stands berry with that. That's certainly exceeds. What the democrats did with the early absentee vote in. Bernallio county. That's albuquerque back in november. It certainly puts stands berry on course to win this by a decisive. And this is where margin. I think becomes key because i think that's the storyline that everybody's looking to in this district. It wasn't necessarily. Which party would win but with the democrats win by a convincing
"steve kornacki" Discussed on MyTalk 107.1
"Everyone and welcome to Jason and Alexis in the morning. I might talk a little 71 and streaming worldwide are my talk out. Jason Matheson of this jackass. Get a show. Hey, rude. Alexis Thompson, Don McLean and Kenny. Thank you for being here. Oh, you're the best. Sit back. Relax. Let the four of us entertain you for a few hours. The Kentucky Derby was on Saturday met juleps and horses. Oh, my Lex. Did you win on hell Watch? Yeah. We were drinking whiskey, but, yeah, we want to wear your baby sitting drunk. Yeah, You know, sometimes you don't want to Saturday? Why not? No, I did not. We're cool hats. I usually do. But this this year? No, actually, what happened was on hold today. It's coming. Come on, let's go. So I ran up and watch the race. So I didn't see all the fanfare before and after, but What a race, huh? Normally the horse comes out and that one loses steam by, you know, a mile mark or so and then the last quarter mile Some other horse races past it, but this one took the lead and just kept going. Yeah, he's and it's a local horse. Medina Medina spear. Not really local, but I have to always that Medina in a spirit. Yeah, told Medina kept saying, my Dinah, I'm like, Oh, I've been to the bowling alley and Madonna. Yeah. Um, Here's a little bit of that. And then Lex has a Kornacki. I mean, any time we can connect Steve Kornacki to anything we're happy. They.
"And none of us wants to hear this but this could get even worse than more. Contagious uk variant. We've been talking about. It's now at least fourteen states. And the cdc warned today it will become dominant here by march. Richard angle got rare access. How these variants are being tracked as they spread around the world. Kobe is ravaging brazil hospitals running out of oxygen deaths rising because of new covid mutations today the uk already struggling with its own highly contagious variant band. Nearly all travel from south america. I went to the. Uk's main sequencing lab near cambridge leading the world in hunting for variants robots here select covid. Positive tests gathered nationwide. The virus is fed into machines that reveal. Its genetic code and if the code has changed with a mutation dr. naomi park manages operations. How often when you run these sequences do you find anomalies pollution. But i guess very come out which become more alarming or americans looking for various mutations closely enough saying no he's not nearly sufficient vehicle to be the real time surveillance and monitoring of these various so americans might not know the the real kind of variants that they're facing now it might be danube realize they see the effects and i certainly too late. The variants identified so far do not appear to be more deadly but since they are more transmissible overwhelming hospitals and causing more deaths richard engel. nbc news cambridge with all that president elect joe biden laid out his blueprint for scaling up the vaccine effort with more on that. Here's nbc's jeff bennett tonight. President-elect joe biden unveiling his action plan to pick up the pace of cova. Vaccinations this is the time to set big goals to pursue them with courage and conviction because the health of the nation is literally at stake. His plan encourages states to allow more people to get vaccinated including those aged sixty five and older and frontline workers boosts vaccine supply by releasing the majority of available doses sets up federally funded. Mass vaccination sites sends mobile units to hard to reach parts the country and calls for closer coordination with state governments. Have my word. We'll manage the hell out of this operation to for it. The president-elect is calling on congress to pass his nearly two trillion dollar corona virus relief plan which includes direct aid for struggling american families and businesses biden tonight announcing he'll issue an executive order requiring everyone to wear masks in places where he has the authority to mandate it. The president-elect is also urging patients warning american. the out of the pandemic won't be easy or fast. Lester jeff bennett tonight. Thank you just five days. Before the inauguration a massive show of forcing washington is getting even bigger with twenty five thousand national guard troops. Now here's tom. Castillo across washington security is growing tighter by the hour restricted zones razor-wire topping perimeter fencing the national guard increasing troop levels to twenty five thousand weapons at the ready as dozens of state capitals also beef up security amid intelligence that right-wing extremists are threatening. More attacks. there's a great deal of a very concerning chatter. And it's what you don't know that. We are preparing for today. Disturbing details in charging documents against jacob chesley part of the mob that attacked the capital. The prosecutor in arizona said there's evidence that the intent of the capital rioters was to capture assassinate elected officials in the united states government. The doj has since struck that phrase chancellor's attorney says he was following trump's directions and will seek a presidential pardon despite guns explosives and zip ties. The in dc says there is no direct evidence yet of kill or capture teams today. The washington post reports attackers. Were within seconds of reaching vice president pence before secret service agents hit him in a nearby office capital police and the fbi toll nbc news. They are investigating what the republican members of congress. Aided the mon aided and abetted the crime may have to be actions. Taken beyond the congress and In terms of prosecution for that also tonight the dc police officers who fought for their lives last week are speaking out problems for. Daniel hodges crushed in the doorway there in my mascot. Still mike whitney sprayed with everything i was able. I think that was able to get out of officer. Mike known scream to the crowd. He had children guys. Were trying to grab my gun. And they were chanting like killing with his own gun. Also tonight the secret service and the parks service are closing the national mall the first time ever for an inauguration. Dc's mayor is encouraging people to stay home and watch it all on tv lester. Those accounts office simply awful. Tom thank you. The number of arrests in last week's attack is growing quickly. The fbi now seeking tips with billboards around the country nbc's. Pete williams joins us pete. What's the latest lesser federal prosecutors. Say they're focusing now on the most violent offenders they've opened about three hundred investigations with the rest so far in about a third of them. Some of those arrested are cooperating. Generating more leads. The fbi says it has received an astonishing one hundred forty thousand photos and videos to help identify rioters people or even sending in tips about their own friends and family members as for whether the rioters had leaders prosecutors say it may take months to find that out. Lester alright pete williams tonight thanks in sixty seconds moving vans at the white house and appending impeachment trial. A presidential transition like no other way to the document we. I had a light a candle. I'm chuck rosenberg on my podcast. The oath i talk with people who served with integrity and honor men and women who liked the way this week former. Fbi assistant director. Frank figliuzzi if you're all about harsh rigorous aggressive rules enforcement. You're not going to last very long as an organization because people will hate you for it. Your system won't have credibility they won't report conduct and they won't cooperate with the core values you're trying to maintain so with any disciplinary system with any attempt in your family. Your team your community. Your company to enforce compliance enforce regulations and values. You'd better have compassion along with consequences. Join me for season for the oath and msnbc podcast search for the oath wherever you're listening right now and subscribe new episodes every wednesday day. Hi everyone steve kornacki here. You may remember hosted an nbc news. Podcast called article two inside impeachment. It followed the developments of president. Donald trump's first impeachment last winter the article. Two podcast is back with a special episode bringing you the latest on the second impeachment of donald trump. I'm joined by. Nbc news capitol. Hill correspondent leeann caldwell who was in the capital on the day of the riots to break down the house vote and what a senate trial could look like. Search for article two inside impeachment wherever. You're listening right now to subscribe for free tonight as the president faces a second impeachment trial. We're learning how he'll make his white house exit. Here's peter alexander tonight. President trump the final hours moving trucks outside the west wing but no sign of the president. The vice president pence. Nbc news has confirmed called vice. President-elect kamla harrison thursday belatedly congratulating her and offering assistance with next week's inauguration that unlike the president pence will attend the conversation described as cordial and pleasant at the capitol. Nancy pelosi sidestepping questions about when she'll send that article of impeachment to the senate for trial to be prosecuted by nine house. Democrats so urgent with the matter. They're now working on to taking this to trial and monday. You'll be the first to know. Democrats would need seventeen senate republican votes to convict. President trump an uphill. Climb at least one republican alaska's lisa murkowski at trump critic not indicating how she'll vote but suggesting she's open to convicting the president. I believe that this president has committed an impeachable offense now harris. The incoming vice presidents addressing concerns the trial. That could start as early as curation day will overshadow their agenda. We know how to multitask. There's a reason that word existed in the english language. That's what's gonna be required. We've just learned that. President trump expected to leave the white house hours. Before the inauguration with discussions underway for a ceremonial send-off arriving in florida before biden is sworn in last year alexander. At the white house tonight. Thanks up next a rescue mission by a quick thinking restaurant manager. Police say an eleven year. Old boy is out of harm's way tonight. Thanks to a clever restaurant manager. San brock has the warning. Signs may not have been glaring. Were visible enough. We have some customers years. We've shuki one off the kids. These weeks a loss of bruises on his arm orlando restaurant manager. Flaviano convey value syncing distress from an eleven year. Old boy with his family secretly flashing him this note. Do you need help. What happened when you showed him that sign. He knocked me yes he needs help in he. May this sign with his hands. Timothy wilson the second. The boy stepfather is behind bars. Tonight facing three counts of aggravated child abuse. Police say the boy told investigators his stepfather hit him with a wooden broom tied straps around his ankles and neck and was hung upside down from a door. Even just seeing the pictures. It's absolutely appalling that that this happened to a child. Police told nbc news. Wilson denied the charges though they say the boy's mother kristen swan admitted to knowing about the abuse she's charged with two counts of child neglect the boy in his half sister now in protective custody as the touch and perseverance of another mother. I was ready to grab him and why he lives may have changed. The trajectory of this boy's life san brock. nbc news. good for her up. Next how one. Man's inspiring america with two critical missions.
Dwane Haskins busted for maskless strip club visit
"Let's get into our NFL news. And with that said the breaking news strip clubs and then getting cut from a team Amy. Who are we talking about Duane Haskins folks and not release that rookie season did not last very long at all boy. Did it not ever? Okay. You'll back the curtain. Let's talk about the strip club first before we go into the cutting. Here's the problem. He's now added to the list of players that can't stay away from the strip club. Apparently, he went to a strip club on a Sunday which is breaking up over data calls and is not breaking by Mortals. Are you supposed to not go to a strip club on a Sunday? That's what God Said, right? I mean, it's part of the Ten Commandments. Maybe I don't know they'll shalt not consume alcohol and before noon and attempt to strip club on a Sunday. I don't know that should be the men Commandments. Hey guys dead. Yeah, so, you know Adam to the strip club list, so they benched him on Sunday. And then apparently they just released his ass like just for the podcast right now. So look at us we're breaking news right here past and I mean not only did he get cut but then they are fighting him $40,000 for breaking protocols and going to the strip club without a mask. So you without a job and you gotta find yeah, that sucks. Terrible a $40,000 a day a lot of money. It is a lot of money and I mean, I'm sure he spent quite a bit at the strip club because that's what guys do right and women sometimes so I'm not trying to be sexist. But wow Amy you're so you know what? Yeah and me I know well, I mean life and most people but that's how many Flex I give exactly not any that's why we love Amy. Okay, so to just rule out everybody all the other Duane's this is not Dwayne Johnson dead. This is not Dwayne Harris. This is Dwayne Haskins house kids get out. If you didn't know he was he was the quarter. One of the quarterbacks has one of the quarterbacks for the Washington football
2020 Daily Trail Markers: Ohio wraps up mail-in primary
"One hundred eighty nine days until the presidential election in November today. Ohio held its primary election almost entirely by mail due to the Corona Virus Pandemic Ohio had postponed its primary which was originally scheduled for March Seventeenth. Joining us now with the latest election. News from Ohio. Is Steve Kornacki at the big board? Boy It's fun to say that having said that Milwaukee Steve. What happened in Ohio? What does it tell us about November? Yeah it's interesting Lords. We haven't had one of these really. This is the last of this kind it all that we're going to have this year so enjoy this one. What would it mean by? That is officially the primary is today. The ballots were due today or at least had to be postmarked by last night. But if you remember back in March when this primary was postponed there had already been some votes cast for this. They had in person early voting going for a while in Ohio. They'd had some ballots. That were that were sent in already. So basically what they said back in March was all. Those ballots will count. And then we're going to do a mail in primary in late April. So you've got a mixture. These results here are sort of a mix some of these votes were cast when this was still a competitive race when Bernie Sanders was running against Joe Biden and a lot of these votes were cast after Bernie Sanders dropped out of the race and endorsed Joe Biden. So exactly which come from the B- each bucket. We don't really know but this is the last time really you're going to have votes. That were cast win. This was hey competitive racing again biden obviously not surprisingly a winning this thing overwhelmingly. There's a chance sanders will actually get some delegates out of this. Every single county in the state going for Joe Biden in the big question as you. Lawrence's what does this mean for November? What does it mean in terms of what our election is going to look like in November? Because what happened here in Ohio where they had to scramble in improvise and basically turn this into a Mayo in primary election. A lot of states are going to have to ramp up and do that this November. And they haven't tried it before administratively. They haven't had the scale of mail-in ballots. They're going to deal with this year. So here's a question here of how this goes in Ohio it. Does it indicate how it will look at other states can tell you. There are still some votes to to becoming ignore this number. That's based on old math but there are still some more votes to come in but it looks like Democratic. Turnout IS DOWN THIRTY. Three percent roughly thirty three percent. That's the trend. Right now about thirty-three percent down from twenty sixteen but again in two thousand sixteen a very competitive primary Hillary Clinton versus Bernie Sanders not so competitive primary. This time so tough to know exactly what that decline in turnout means. Certainly they did get a lot of votes. Were cast in this thing. The main issue is this. It's GonNa take a few days. I think to figure this out. There were some voters in Ohio in Ohio saying I requested a mail ballot and it never arrived in. The mail was going slow in some parts of the states. Because of this pandemic it was running. You know five ten days behind schedule so I think what they were. GonNa find out here. In the next few days I think is how many how widespread was it. That people requested ballots and didn't get them was a small issue that can be fixed in other states or was it a broader issue. That's what we're going to learn the next couple of days Lawrence