17 Burst results for "Steve Fezzet"

"steve fezzik" Discussed on RJ Bell's Dream Preview

RJ Bell's Dream Preview

06:16 min | Last week

"steve fezzik" Discussed on RJ Bell's Dream Preview

"Taken a preseason snap coming off. A big injury added another injury in the off. Season is this about right with this things at eight and a half. Is that about right to you. i think so. And if you look at the cowboys. Yeah it's a big deal. Zack martin their best. Lineman not gonna play well. Collins has a stinger. I don't know if he's gonna play. Dak hasn't been able to practice a formula. I use to set a line early in the year. Season wins. tampa's twelve. Mackenzie got in over eleven. And a half's kudos got a great number. Douse nine now. So tampa twelve three game. Difference multiply by two point three. I don't know why it's two point three. That's just the factor i use. It works that makes the line six point nine on a neutral site so of tampa should be six point nine on a neutral give them two and a half her own field and boom. I'm at nine point four and we're at eight and a half right now so that spreads sinhalese looking very much spun of anything. It's looking a little light because you make the case dallas without having played it all in the preseason. Maybe comes out in struggles early in the year so i've heard a lot of the media. Experts saying this line is inflated. Blind's not inflated the lines light new england hosting miami. They open minus one and a half. I think that was light. Now we're seeing three. This feels more in line with what it should be. Yeah i think so. I think anything less than three. On new england the patriots were undervalued. People didn't take into consideration all that cap money. They add the spend and spend they did on four new receivers and getting the defense back to you know where it is indeed dominant defense and the solid d. Line so i think this is one of those cases where roy like the patriots mice. Nath think it's a fifty five percent bet at three. We let it go and then finally jacksonville at houston opened jags minus one and a half. Now you gotta leave three on the road with the jags. I don't think it was certain. Watson wasn't gonna play and then it was likely most of the offseason now. We've gotten confirmation and you know. This isn't jacksonville money. This is money against your houston. Texans your formerly your favorite team before they went to an eight hundred sixty for light there bunch of dummies. Okay so there you go. There's a kind of the latest and greatest going on to get into week one. I want to give out some college information. I've got a college best bet for you guys. I'm going to be on iowa against iowa state catching four and a half four depending on you know what i'll just say four is the by price give. Who knows what it'll be when this pod comes out. I don't wanna i don't wanna any. I don't want to answer a bunch of questions on twitter. Basically is what i'm saying. Both these teams are ranked iowa state a lot of hype coming into the season and boy. They slept walk week one They almost gave it away a against an opponent which would have been at the top team. Losing to an mcs opponent would have been the total disaster. I o on the other hand. They went out against a ranked albeit. Maybe a phony ranked indiana but they did have a number by their name. Hey i think. That's the team that i gave out for seasonal went under was that well the hoosiers my one play on the pot and boy. They dominated defense. Indiana ran twelve football. Plays in iowa territory in that game twelve. They turned the ball over three times. Iowa's defense is legit an indiana. They've got a legit quarterback michael pinnock. So this is a good player. Brock party historically has struggled out of the gates now october. Don't don't try to fade brock party early in the season. Though take advantage of this iowa has won this thing four times in a row. I think it's going to be a very low scoring game. The totals forty six and a half. I like an under in it. But if i'm getting debt kind of a game i feel catching four points as it is a nice edge. Fry was so iowa plus four in the cy hawk trophy game. i'm a learned. It's the cy hawk. Whatever the heck that is. It's a made up thing. Speaking of the ihop trophy game and pregame.com has another pro on this particular game. It's a great day. Bessler diamond davis. Ler let's take a listen eleven. I bet iowa plus four and a half over iowa state. Saturday vast majority the tickets here earlier in the week and the money on iowa. Slide opened cyclones monitors three. And a half. it's gonna four and a half at most shops that simply says whether early sharp money might be i disagree. My first question was is that based simply on the lofty expectations. I stayed as for the season. And i think it is and those are expectations. That actually agree with but the cyclones have two guys purdy in hall. Actually a decent heisman on heading the season. And what do i take away from that lackluster performance by those guys against the niwa. Their offense just didn't click the let northern iowa convert almost half the third downs. If iowa doesn't throw interceptions one might think they had a chance to upset the seventh ranked team in the nation. My instinct tells me this game was look ahead lack of focus. Maybe thinking about this game but it wasn't. It wasn't missouri valley f c team having said that let's not forget. The hawk is the eighteenth ryan team in the nation. Getting points against a team that they know really really well and in spite of turning the ball of twice the hoosiers by four touchdowns. These didn't play last season. But i always won five straight in this series and haven't lost in the cycle by more than three points in fifteen years. Having said that i will take iowa ends about defense cemented by the fact. This is the first time i was played. Hetty season with these expectations. like ever. It might be too much given the iowa plus four and a half points over state. I was state. I'm gonna jump in on iowa like island the game. You play correlated parlay on iowa with the under because. I think this is pretty clear that i was going to score twenty points. I'm confident in fact so confident. I would bet even money i was going to score exactly.

iowa tampa Zack martin patriots new england jacksonville houston Mackenzie michael pinnock Brock party cowboys brock party Nath Collins indiana Bessler diamond davis dallas miami Watson
"steve fezzik" Discussed on RJ Bell's Dream Preview

RJ Bell's Dream Preview

07:34 min | Last week

"steve fezzik" Discussed on RJ Bell's Dream Preview

"Saying i can trust what aaron rodgers is in russell. Wilson is in matt. Stafford is but that's just my mind. Says that i know what these guys are. They're not gonna show up and suddenly be schlub clubs carson. Wentz could show up. And be a schlub. Joe borough could show up and be a shell of what he was in the first nine games last year dak prescott could still not be able to throw a deep. I don't know good. We didn't have india and the list because we don't have carson wentz is going to start. Mackenzie is exactly right so now that he was announced today that he is going to start he would be the eighth team. Zero preseason trump. And i think he's the one that goes to the head of the class. Sure in terms of you know looking to fade one of the games in. I'm sure actually. There's a couple of but one that jumped out at me as a as a team. That's got to new quarterbacks like these games it specifically and jets. Panthers is one. Jags texans is one were. Both quarterbacks are in new situations are those games have more interest to you. It's interesting because it makes complete sense and you know. Look here what happened. The jets carolina game got smacked over. I can tell you that was a warren sharp. Play that he that he was on that over and a big part as that. The jets were just decimated wide receiver. So i think he thinks that there and carolina to play some really good defenses last year and he's on some other sharp and may have been somebody else was actually we. I know the line move on both these games. We saw money on the over on houston jacksonville as well. So here's some money coming in opposite of exactly what you said which may and your and your statement is completely logical to brand new quarterbacks. I'd expect scoring to suffer the other two games. That kind of fit that in one of my guess is you would call it. Maybe sort of fits it. The dolphins patriots game sort of fits at two second year in the system. But you know. I it's still a relative. I mean a new starting quarterback rams spares rams bears and there's money all over that over. It's very odd it's funny. We're looking at selective unders but then the ones that would seem the most to scream under under those are the ones we're talking. I wonder if the analytic geeks are thrown in this quarterbacks worth this to this team and not looking at the key factor of week one that season wide long they may be directionally correct but not week one in terms of what the scorings do on these teams Let's talk a little bit about homefield advantage this year. And we've kind of said you know in the last couple of years homefield advantage. It's no longer a flat three. Which is what what what was for a long time just kind of a given this is the and maybe it will be three point two or something for a good team. What what have you seen the change kind of settle in at two and a half for the average home field and then you can make some case by case adjustments. Certainly seattle green bay. I think you can make a home field. Three and a half on those two teams crowd noise and the unique playing conditions than the dome teams minnesota new orleans selectively if if atlanta has a good year. You know a lot of these terms. It really depends. I mean houston. Stone isn't going to be a rock and the buffalo so the dome but like weather travel wise not an easy place to get possibly later in the year and a frenzied crowd especially against a really good opponents but baltimore's always had a real fine homefield. I'd certainly give that three and a team that stands out as a dome that i gotta evaluate later the raiders. I don't know how many chicago fans and philly fans it's going to be on their on their home games. That might mitigate that crowd noise. And i've heard you talk in the past about miami being a tough in jacksonville. Beat those being tough trips early in the season when it's hot humid numbers. Don't really play that out too much though. So it's not. It's logical that the heat and humidity should benefit them but maybe those players are so damn tired from practicing eaten it impacts the team's preparation. I will say this the chargers if there's one team that has the smallest home field no one cares about the chargers in la. It's the third team in l. a. The raiders are the second team so the chargers of the team that hates the they loved the covert exclusions. No fans because that way. They didn't get booed at home and when they went on the road. There are no fans. Do you think that changes. They have some success. No no one. A lakers still lakers town. Even when the clippers are good. And there's others i mean jacksonville. Who has the the top ring tarp. Off for. Years and years. Like home field advantages. That are just there. They exist but barely yes. Now i do reut barely. I do think the home field advantage is going to end this. Rj's theory i agree with that. Let's be real careful early in the year. Teams haven't had they got new quarterbacks. They haven't had crowd noise. You can just see to a melting down knowing. When can't you with oil with the crowd screaming and having to go with silent counts and things like that. So i do think we might see home field being worth more than two and a half especially the first few weeks all right. Let's get into another interesting subject. The most important number in in nfl batting. What's the biggest key number there. Three funny you say that one two three four five six seven games lined exactly at three week one. How about that. I'm going to give a little betting back. The curtain a little betting pro secret. I spend probably three quarters now twice as much time as least on games line close to or around three and probably make five times as many bets on those games as i do. Say a game line five. How can that be because think about it. If a game is lined at five and it should be three and a half or six and a half. My age is miniscule. It's awful full point. That's a big differential stoesz. Probably not going to land five or four or six and because of that. It's very rare. That i if i have to lay mice dollar ten. I'm going to have an edge contrast that with the game lined on three now all of a sudden there's all kinds of creative ways to get it. Shopping around watching line moves lane the two and a half taken the three and a half. Go play some parlay cards. Plus three and a half. Go find a book that is dealing rogue number off by half a point because if the actual lines should be three. You're looking at a situation where out of every one hundred trials forty five times the favorites going gonna cover forty five times. The dog's going to cover and ten times. It's landing on the number. If i can capture that ten percents whether taking three and a half or laying two and a half both or fifty five percent bets when you guys play the super contest games. What's the what's the general feel on games that are lined at three. Avoid them if you can know. We maniacally. Look at them. The opposite is true because now all of a sudden very rare. Dc nfl game lined at exactly three all right. So you'll see games like this week in the super contest. The vikings. i'd say that line is probably like three point. Four right now against the bengals of money came in on the vikings. It's three on the super conscious line so immediately. Go to the head of the class. The vikings minus three becomes attractive. But even the games like miami new england. It's very rare that i'd say that line exactly three..

Joe borough dak prescott carson wentz jacksonville jets rams seattle green bay chargers carolina aaron rodgers Wentz houston Stafford Mackenzie carson raiders Panthers russell Wilson reut
"steve fezzik" Discussed on RJ Bell's Dream Preview

RJ Bell's Dream Preview

07:14 min | Last week

"steve fezzik" Discussed on RJ Bell's Dream Preview

"To what they are. Who knows what covert will look like. Oh i can't weeks into the season you know. I'm gonna make a bold prediction. Covert is raging in the southeast. And all i saw was fans everywhere at full capacity in mississippi at land well not atlanta. But you know across the southeast even the ucla lsu game where they you know when you walked in the door they said ev- everybody wear mask in the stands. You watch that game. Nobody's wearing a mask. I mean they. Why think it's the honor system. Where if you haven't been vaccinated where mask. Hey good luck with the honor system. Yes but the bottom line one thing. That's interesting by the so we're making a case for we think scorings go down a little bit but the bigger picture is that scoring is absolutely up in the nfl versus prior years. Throw twenty twenty out the window and we expect around forty eight forty seven points now. It's interesting week. One is lined the average totals. Were just under forty eight points. That's a sky high week one number week ones and twos normally lower scoring offenses behind defenses. I can make a case. There are more reasons for that this year. Only three preseason games so and a lot of these teams chose to be very vanilla not to play their start off. That's not to play their starting quarterbacks so a lot of offenses may not be ready in the nfl teams may not be used to that crowd noise so maybe a shock to the offensive systems. Bother the defenses and those the combination of those factors along with twelve teams. Now have brand new quarterbacks twelve of the thirty two so there's an integration issue with that limited practice time of limited playing time in the preseason. I think it all points to. I think we want selectively. Be looking to play unders in the nfl. And i hate to draw conclusions from college versus pro. But i believe got to sixty five percents of the college games between the you know. The top division schools went under. And maybe that's a harbinger of what's to come in the nfl here. Talking about those new quarterbacks twelve big number. I mean do you. Do you have an idea of how how that is. Relative to years past is an abnormal. Amount of new optics. I would probably set the over under at seven. I think that might be high. Am i think. I'm only setting it seven. Because it's twelve otherwise. I might have made a four and a half absolutely. I think it's unprecedented. Because franchise quarterback never move so if you look at your top fifteen quarterback list. Those guys were all there. The year before typically. And that's just not the case Well that's still the case but it's on the bottom and say many of the top guys are moving. Yeah other than your your houston texans. Where you know like crimin- criminal investigation issue. Yeah that's pending so we won't even count that one but so the last five seasons there's been twenty nine new team. Starting quarterbacks week one was thirty divided by sixty six year. Almost double this year for double. His here goes back to what i was saying. That like. i only set the number at seven because of the twelve right. Yeah i said about number and really like when you consider all the i mean three of the five first round rookies have starting jobs. I mean it could have been even more. You can make an argument that justin fields should be starting for chicago. Well i guess. Andy dalton starting there anyway but most people in chicago are making that already so so. Let's draw a sweet. How can we profit from this. I would say selectively. Look to play week. One unders selectively. Look to play. Team totals on road teams under and i think selectively. Look to play first half and first-quarter unders and no score in the first six minutes because i think that the acclimation period is going to be the most severe very early in the game. What do you think. Oh go start with mckenzie. I like it a lot especially with new quarterbacks especially with new quarterbacks with zero preseason snaps. Rg asked me to do this. Study eight times last. Four years been zero preseason snaps those guys have gone under the first half total six of the eight times. Losing two and a half points press expectations in the first half especially. Yeah that's really good. Repeat that all all right so over the last five years there was zero five years ago so over the last four years there's been eight. Quarterbacks had zero preseason snaps. So aaron rodgers did it joe flacco. Did it those quarterbacks in the first half if you look at their team total the first team total go under that number six of eight times by two and a half points per time. So they're expected to score twelve and a half points under ten on average so they basically lose seventeen percent of production exactly and they and again we can want to diversify. We can play props on first touchdown versus field goal for that team. First quarter under for that team that a whole bunch of different ways to get at the but the big theme is if the quarterback doesn't take any snaps in preseason fade him early in the game. Do we have a list of yes. So those those who have taken zero snaps. Include matt ryan and the falcons the cowboys and dak prescott aaron rodgers again in the packers. Herbert in the chargers stafford. And the rams wilson and the seahawks and tannahill and the titans tennessee seattle rams chargers green bay dallas atlanta user seven teams outstanding in for me. I mean i guess it does. It's it's one doesn't joe borough to one snap this. Preseason one that he threw one pass all precede. So i mean that any real difference versus him and matt stafford taking zero snaps to real good point we should include him probably on the list and and i think we can put asterik does green bay and seattle and tennessee. And the rams. These are all quarterbacks. I mean at least second because it's funny you know. Aaron rodgers doesn't plan the preseason russell. Wilson doesn't play in the preseason matt stafford and i feel fine about it dak prescott. We have questions about You know all you know how. Many dallas goes has low scoring early in the game. I think mckenzie you did that research as well with this. Not be a intersection of two great situations. The cowboys start off. Slow especially on the road. During era seventeen times they went under out of the first eighteen games in the dak era. First quarter on the road during the deck area. What about first. Quarter on the road against the best defense in the nfl. But what i was getting at. Is you know these. These quarterbacks that we have questions about i feel differently about dak or carson wentz or jonesboro guys that i'd like to see where they are developmentally versus guys like rogers and wilson and staff or do i feel comfortable. I know what those guys are. You know these guys. If you're coming off a major injury or you're you're in a new place with a new offense. And i haven't seen it before. I wanna know what you look like. I've i'm more pessimistic about those guys that i don't know about than the guys that i feel like i can trust..

nfl crimin justin fields lsu atlanta ucla mississippi matt stafford Andy dalton chicago rams Aaron rodgers mckenzie dak prescott aaron rodgers tannahill tennessee seattle bay dallas joe borough
"steve fezzik" Discussed on Straight Outta Vegas with RJ Bell

Straight Outta Vegas with RJ Bell

05:57 min | Last month

"steve fezzik" Discussed on Straight Outta Vegas with RJ Bell

"It's a steve. We had a major league baseball trade deadline and we are going to get to the best bet in the nfl but we had an mlb trade deadline. The big news was the la dodgers who acquire max scherzer trae turner for a couple of top prospects. they make the move. They land the big starting pitcher. The big fish that was in the the trade deadline on this year. And it's another dodgers not the padres who we thought inherited that the padres were close to getting a deal done. They lay ensures. Or what is this now. Due to their chances in in the world series on the dodgers who were plus four twenty five to win the world series just a few days ago. Jonas despite having lost a key series to the giants. The dodgers are the clear cut favored right now. Three to one down to three two one for the dodgers to win the world series. And so do you have the order of teams that that are still in content. Because so what does this do to the padres. The padres mean bancshares are feels like the kinda guy that would move a team around a little bit especially this late in the year. So what does this do to san diego now. Yeah the dastardly. Bookies the padres were nine to one and now they're ten to one think about it. Think about how much less likely it is that the padres not only did the giants get better. And the dodgers get better. But the padres. Don't get sure zor. And we were thinking that they could get them. The only positive to say about the padres. Chances is that they hit a miraculous. Two run homer off the fair poll last night allowing me to win my run line. Bet so i'm very positive right now. Unbelievable unbelievable always bottom of the eighth. Yeah it's him. it's always about him just the most. What was the bet. You did with mackenzie quickly in which you survived. You did some bet. You tried to sucker mackenzie on the mackenzie. What bet was that. He tried to con you on other them. No score the fourth quarter of steelers ravens. Lamar jackson was outbid big. Was out no one even trying to score last play of the game almost todd mcsorley backup throws his first and only ever in his career. Eighty yard bomb last-second meaningless touchdown gwynn's and trace mcsorley. Who did that. I remember when you're on the air for that and we were on the air for that. God says. don't live with yourself. Mackenzie anytime you want to play some heads up poker some more. Just let me know you know where your buddy you're twist the knife continue tonight. All right so so fez when it comes to the as we look around in in major league baseball we see the odds there. I want to ask you just about the hall of fame game in the nfl before we get your best bed hall of fame game is coming up less than a week from now any sort of adjustment. We know the dak prescott injury news. It's out there. I saw that that line ticked back up a half point in on in the favor of pittsburgh but anything to keep an eye on when it comes to the hall of game. Yeah the total of the game in pittsburgh's lane one and the game and most spots. The total has dropped from thirty four to thirty three and a half..

padres dodgers trae turner baseball max scherzer giants nfl mackenzie Lamar jackson Jonas todd mcsorley mcsorley san diego gwynn ravens steelers Mackenzie dak prescott pittsburgh
"steve fezzik" Discussed on Straight Outta Vegas with RJ Bell

Straight Outta Vegas with RJ Bell

02:08 min | Last month

"steve fezzik" Discussed on Straight Outta Vegas with RJ Bell

"Chaos around them and they are providing some free tips. Your good man. Fez leave the fanny pack at home. I would i leave and leave your clothes on next time all right. It is a straight out vegas fox sports radio and up next. We have a best bet in the nfl. It's a money making opportunity for you right here on fox sports radio fox. Sports radio has the best sports. Talk lineup in the nation. Catch all of our shows at fox. Sports radio dot com and within the iheartradio app search f. s. are to listen live good afternoon. Would you like to try a free sample of our brownie. Oh sure that's very good. I'll just take one more just to be.

"steve fezzik" Discussed on RJ Bell's Dream Preview

RJ Bell's Dream Preview

03:12 min | 1 year ago

"steve fezzik" Discussed on RJ Bell's Dream Preview

"So we've been counting down the NFL teams. And you have the New England patriots. This is from thirty two to one whereas the PAM or thirteen. Okay. Now we do a forest bat now I thought man thirteen the pats that say they're almost an average team that didn't make any sense to me. You're saying this is pretty much with the market has them. So you think the line about right. So what's the over under win total for the Season Sixteen Games. Plus money plus a dollar ten. All right. So little smidge to the over but it's nine wins. They go nine and seven, the Patty meet expectations. Then when Tang Games exceed it eight or less, they fall short. What is your force pick over? Who now is this a bet? This is just a lean small you lines about, right? Yes. So let's go through a little differently here. Cam Newton. It's my belief and I've talked about it at length the last time he was healthy. First Half of two, thousand, eighteen. So not last year. But the year before he was at an MVP level, he really was as good as his MVP season. Effectively, he got hurt after eight games played some more but was hobbled stopped running the ball all the things that make Cam Cam when he's at his best. Now, last year play two games was hurt. If you look at the last eight games of eighteen you look at the two games. In one, thousand, nine, hundred, you say cams no good. He got old all that talk and finally caused the problem. But if you say, Hey, when you're injured. You're by definition limited. And the last time he was healthy he was great. Well, if he's healthy is going to be great. Where do you come down on your and this was yours I gotta give you credit here are Jay I'm on your side that first eight games not only? Was He as good as he was during his mvp he was actually better from just a pure. qbr basis sixty four versus sixty one and a half. So if CAM is able to play at that level, certainly we would expect he's going to be as good as Brady you I have is my number nineteen quarters. You're saying that CAM is likely to be better than Brady, the win totals only nine. Why don't you have it over this? Seems like a no. Brainer I think the win total non would have made sense withstood. How does it make sense here? You got five minute all the key losses for New England on Defense Lord go ahead. So I mean these are important guys, linebackers, Kyle, Van Noy, Jamie Collins hightower ops out on the linebacker, and on the defensive line they had significant significant is now the good. News is New England replacing them internally. So this isn't a matter of continuity these guys have been playing for New England for the most part the promise it is a big step down in talent. Yeah. But that's the question is by definition as replacement players repair replacement players mean this players a typical NFL player you get another typical NFL player you're GONNA be fine. Other than hightower. WHO's getting older? I'm not sure how many of these players. A really that big ones that left a really that big of a drop off. So we'll have a chance to talk this through you lean towards the over nine. I like overnight even more Ambala. Check we trust..

CAM Cam Newton pats New England patriots mvp NFL New England Brady PAM hightower Jay Ambala Patty Jamie Collins Kyle Van Noy
"steve fezzik" Discussed on RJ Bell's Dream Preview

RJ Bell's Dream Preview

01:49 min | 1 year ago

"steve fezzik" Discussed on RJ Bell's Dream Preview

"Teams. Of the wind the slash the rain. Go, base them and fight them. Be, savage again. The palm of your hand will thicken the skin of your cheek town. You'll grow ragged weary and went. But you must do the Best Yukon. We find ourselves at number seventeen the LA. Rams. Fez has a best bet on the LA. Rams under eight and a half wins. Okay. Now I gotTa pull back the curtain a second Matt holds here from us. Integrity Former bookmaker he's book billions of dollars legally over his time. And, he said under rams and he started explaining why and you rattled off two names. The names were Cory Littleton, Dante Fowler, and Matt Holt starts laughing. Stomach. And it's like. WHOA and it was a big debate, right? As we were saying I can't lie I was with Matty I'm like that's no re those guy no one's heard of those. Fads put his head down start working with some numbers. Abacus, is date back thousands of years into. The Greek culture. and. He comes up and he says, you know how much guys are getting paid yet corey, Wilton Twelve Mil per year from Vegas re-signed with or sign with the raiders yes and Dante Fowler Jackpot with Atlanta fifteen, million a year. So what we're saying is Fez was right and Mattie hold came in albig time and. He said well. Going welcome.

Rams Fez Dante Fowler Matt Holt LA raiders Cory Littleton Abacus corey Matty Vegas Atlanta Mattie
"steve fezzik" Discussed on RJ Bell's Dream Preview

RJ Bell's Dream Preview

06:17 min | 1 year ago

"steve fezzik" Discussed on RJ Bell's Dream Preview

"Yeah, the chargers number one factor boy this team looks good on paper. If you look at the stats last year, you know the chargers, they actually outgained their opponent per play by half a yard their offense got almost six yards per play defense only gave up five, and this was an above average team and you can fall in love with it. If you look at the stats overall for the chargers, you know what Rj and I discussed this and why the chargers always seemed to underperform versus how they should have done in the win loss record. We feel it's an organizational problem in A. Let's listen. How many years in a row? Would you say the wise guys have been saying the chargers are better than their rackets six or seven? I think it is. So I'm not betting the charges anytime this year either and you know they go thirteen and three I'm still going to be skeptical I mean woods the likely thing it could be rivers was at. The top of the list coaches changed you know how many players are really there from before but maybe it's organizational and here they were at it again last year two and nine in close games. How is that even possible? I don't know since happens eight years in a row whatever or eight or seven out of eight years I'm thinking it's possible seventeen turnovers. That's what chargers do losers lose. You know some of those close losses were epic close losses. Sometimes, we see a team that really didn't have that good of a chance and they lose a game by six and we say that was close to a coin flip game. But in charger cases, the chargers lose games, they should have one look at that Tennessee game. You remember that Jonas where the Church has got no one not two but three touchdowns call back in the final thirty seconds brutal absolutely brutal and if I'm not mistaken was that Tanna hills I start. Why does that sound? Why does that sound like you're I? Think you're right. I just have. And I can't remember who fumbled the game then away on the one yard line after the three indicated it was. It was Melvin Gordon and how about the Denver game where they get nailed for pass interference on a hail Mary Yeah and then he game winning field goal for Denver, and of course, through one away at Detroit just across the board epic close as the stats look good for this team what RJ outlines why the stats don't necessarily tell the truth for some teams let's listen. Could the same organization with up until this year? The same quarterback? Just underperform year after year after year just like ballot check overperforming and it could it be random yet but aren't we far past the fifty percent mark that it's not random we know that that mad guys have everything figured out. How does ballot check do better than his stats almost every year but the chargers have underperformed. Over this span, we're talking about six seven years. Those things we don't understand about the algorithms were staffed lead to our predictions and some in some rare cases there's so much. We don't understand the teams just plain wrong. PATS have been wrong to their detriment charges of historically been wrong to their favor. And as I don't trust them. Let's look at the against the spread records of these teams, New England since two thousand and one when they won their first super bowl here with brady sixty percent against the spread. So here's a team that the wise guys have gotten consistently wrong. They look at their stats and say New England is good. But the truth is New England is great and because of that, the point spreads have not been as high as they should have been when New England's the. Favorite the chargers, the opposite, the chargers they look good on paper oftentimes, statistically Jonas the last six years. If you blindly bet on the chargers, you've cashed only forty six percent of your tickets and there are a super talented team and they're really talented roster and they've been I mean snake bit by injuries the past several years so much so that you start to wonder they snake bit or as you guys were pointing out, is this just part of an old issue? With the organization, not to mention and look anybody who's ever gone through. A lot of moves are a lot of turmoil. You know what? It's like to really get settled and get a lot of things done. It's hard to get stuff done when you're in the middle of a move how many times have the chargers moved in the last five six years they thought they were done in that dump qualcomm and San Diego they were crying out at the fifty yard line. Only to be brought back out for another year then they leave their, they go to a soccer stadium. They can't get any fans in their outnumbered by Vikings fans and Eagles fans and packers fans, and basically any road team that went in there. They played there for a couple years with zero home field advantage, and now they're going to be playing again in a big giant stadium in which they're just the renter. They're not even really the owner of the stadium because. Nobody's actually thinking, oh that's the chargers new stadium. They're looking that as I the rams then Taylor Swift, and then probably the chargers fourth or fifth after a couple of other acts that I can't think of right now at the top of my head like they win if they actually had a place to call their own that they can be established and you can think all, it's just a stadium but I really do think psychologically there's something to. Having anything of your own and expecting good results as an organization. When you have no idea where you're gonNA call home one, one year to the next. It's a great point. You know one thing I might add if there's one team that's going to benefit from no fans likely in the stands it's going to be the chargers because let's face it. There's no fans for them at home and half. The time you got the broncos taken over their stadium or whoever they're playing and when they go on the road, they have a real road, disadvant- because the crowd noise. So the chargers probably should be thrilled at the lack of fans likely in the stands having said all that what the great stats I'm GonNa Lean chargers over eight wins but not with my money Jonas that is not the official. Bet On this team. Okay. So what is the what is the best bet and in fact I'm feeling like it's going to be a prophet you seem like you're into props and that sounds weird to say over the air to another man but you seem like you are into props when it comes to the betting market here on this edition of Straight Outta Vegas. So what is your best bet? On the chargers Austin actor GonNa go over thirteen hundred and fifty rush and receiving yards and last year echo got fifteen hundred..

chargers Jonas A. Let Rj New England broncos Tennessee rams Detroit Melvin Gordon qualcomm Vegas Taylor Swift Denver RJ Vikings San Diego
"steve fezzik" Discussed on RJ Bell's Dream Preview

RJ Bell's Dream Preview

07:22 min | 1 year ago

"steve fezzik" Discussed on RJ Bell's Dream Preview

"So, RJ, we are doing our countdown thirty two all the way to one according to Steve as power rankings in the NFL Jonas I spend an hour learning to pronounce myocarditis and we're not even GonNa get to it today but we gotta go straight to the content good stuff we got the Arizona Cardinals in at twenty two super bowl forty, eight to one over a total seven and a half. And I discussed it. Let's listen what does the truth behind cuyler Murray last year brand new head coach Kingsbury rookie comes in and he's not very good to start the year struggled in fact, during his first four games in September cuyler. Murray statistically twenty-fifth best quarterback in the league. Well, below average after that point cuyler Murray became not just a capable NFL quarterback. He was the twelfth best quarterback statistically the rest of the year starting week five while we saw the last three quarters of the season I feel is the truth where he was the twelfth best quarterback. That's Murray his baseline even if doesn't improve mighty good but around him, a lot of improvement De'andre Hopkins comes in what? An upgrade he is my number three rated wide receiver in the NFL. So Murray had some nice weapons Kirk Fitzgerald, but they're nothing special to bring in a hopkins should really improve the offense. Now on the other side, the line I mean especially when rose and I'm not a big fan of rose but Rosen two years ago was thrown from his back last year wasn't much better. Yeah. The line is actually been the most injured align in football not just last year, but the year before now I hold on a second. So you're saying over two years they were the most injured or individually two, thousand, eighteen they were the most injured in two, thousand, eighteen again, they were the most. In both years, they were the most injured the odds of that being the case, almost a thousand to one RJ to have that many injuries is a lot of optimism for Murray, in that segues into Fezzet with a best bat prop bat and all my optimism for the offense leads to my prop best bet back to cuyler Murray over three thousand, eight, hundred, fifty, pass yards last year Murray through for thirty little over thirty seven, hundred yards I would have expected thirty eight fifty would be about what you would get had. He not added that new weapon, but with the Andrea Hopkins, this offense should be dynamite. Remember Kingsbury loves going with four wide receiver sets and he couldn't do. That properly last year this year with really good wide receivers best bet, Kyla Murray over three, thousand, eight, hundred, fifty pass yards. So a guy that I'm taller than Joan is over the past yard is the last thing is FAZ got a force pick on every team over under the win tow it is seven and a half. Let's hear what it is. I'm thinking it's going to be too conservative Oh when I hear so far as you got a quarterback, people are in love with number one pick pat agreed many questions answered got up to a significant level last year take the first four games even higher. You look at it like the quarterback tears and all that stuff highly regarded. You're saying weapons are being added. You're saying a historic amount of injuries on the line which should not continue and lean why 'cause the odds makers are pricing in a huge upgrade in Arizona. This is a team that only won five games last year their season win a seven and a half that's a two and a half win upgrade only five teams in the NFL. Have had that much of an upgrade and they're expected season win number. So one of the five yes. So you're saying. If you say the five teams that are expected, improve the most prior or compared to last season. Arizona's on the list. Yes. This is on that list. Tampa Bay chargers Detroit and Cincinnati. Okay. So it's some of this is priced in what do you think of the defense? Yeah I do expect Defensive Improvement cornerback Patrick Peterson. He's a stud. He was out six games suspension last year and Arizona did pick up numerous free agents defensive editions May. I questioned there's reagents, but let's make it official. Leaned Arizona seven half season wince the autumn wind pirate. Blustering in from C.. With a rollicking song he sweeps along. Swaggering. Boisterous. Countdown continues from Las Vegas. The thirty two teams in the NFL thirty, two all the way down to one and now we find ourselves team number twenty one in the NFC North Chicago bears and as you got a best bet. It's not a lean hit us with the best best best bet under eight wins got to pay a little extra vague on this one it's all about Chicago one eight games last year, and the season win number is eight. Why shouldn't it be the same and here's why RJ that eight wins last year put an Asterisk by those winds and here's why we seventeen against Minnesota Minnesota arrested all their starters at all manion quarterback Minnesota. MINNESOTA. Basically gifted the game if you will to the bears because it meant nothing to Minnesota and the bears just barely want it. I don't believe they would've won that game. Okay. So they should've maybe one set well, they had a chance to win the game. So maybe they picked up two thirds of the win. That's the handicap and the bears got to play two games. The backup quarterbacks for Detroit Driscoll and allow if Stafford had played, I would have expected Detroit would go one one. But Detroit went to against the bears the bears went both those games both of them close, it could have gone. Either way bears just barely is so you're saying you're saying if the bears Guzzi were last year under Eights Bat, do you think there is good? You think they're worse where do you think about the truth of the bears? Just about the same, the big question can the bears be better at quarterback because trubisky does not appear to be the answer you bring in foles some optimism about that. But with it being a covert year and everything you have to question whether falls is going to be an upgrade because little you gotta question I mean here's the thing. Mike Lombardi friend has show made a good point. Here. He said if they put trubisky on the bench if they bench him, he's done in Chicago the first time they bench him. So they gotta start. Trubisky, remember we've actually got both sides of this bat in in a way that we're going to win no matter what we took plus mighty both times guys this was beautiful. But at this point, I think trubisky has to start almost. Now. There's no preseason games and if you start with him on the bench, that's it. Where do you go from there? You get one more shot with trubisky you know how it is. You're not a smoker I'm not a smoker, but in college added Cigarette or two. You have a lighter, you try three times and it doesn't lie but LO and behold before you throw it away. You try one more time. That's your bisky. We're GONNA try that light or one more time if you're the bears probably GonNa Light, but you know paint anything more to try one more time. So I think it's GonNa be trubisky early. Do you consider that to be good or bad for your bat it to be good because there's a possibility there's a higher ceiling for falls but bottom line I went back full if you go back seven years. Well, below average Qbr make a monster year. Yeah. Make It official official Chicago bears under eight wins minus one twenty five..

bears cuyler Murray NFL Arizona Chicago Trubisky Murray Detroit Kyla Murray Minnesota official Arizona Cardinals Andrea Hopkins Steve Patrick Peterson Kingsbury Las Vegas football Joan
"steve fezzik" Discussed on RJ Bell's Dream Preview

RJ Bell's Dream Preview

07:09 min | 1 year ago

"steve fezzik" Discussed on RJ Bell's Dream Preview

"'cause question motivation roses at quarterback. He's not an NFL quarterback in the last twelve. They were much better than that because of that. this connect Miami's underrated. Exactly I can accept most of that. What is the one big question? If you can have a genie what would you want answered about the dolphins? When are they going to replace fits magic with two I? I gotTa Tell Ya rj so you must be thinking when he comes in baby. I WANNA fade Miami Fade and here's why I'm big on fits magic. He's my number fifteen rated quarterback. He was a top ten quarterback and qbr stats last year when to a replaces them I think there'll be a lot of excitement about too but I view this as a big downgrade in Miami when of course that happens I always like when. The professional opinion is different than the public when Barney bar says one thing and fast says the other. Jones wouldn't you agree that the vast majority of casual or even harder core NFL fans would celebrate to a becoming the starter. Oh Yeah. Because they just WanNa see the excitement they wanna see what's going to happen. He's You know the one of the top picks of the draft he's got all the buzz surrounding him I wonder if maybe they're more inclined. To not play at all this year just based on the fact that we're probably not gonNA. Have Fans in the stadium anyways, and so the whole we've got to sell tickets goes out the window. Yeah. But what about the old way to get better football playing football? I know. All right. That's why I'm interested to see how it plays out. No I agree with. You and it's just all this waiting for the perfect time I as so force pick over or under, and is it going to be a lane? Now this is a like I'm going over six a little extra vigorous on. MIAMI. We spoke about why they're undervalued but also they've upgraded Miami look at running back year fitzpatrick was the number one rusher with two hundred. And forty yards no running backs they pick up Jordan Howard from Harvard they pick up Brita and now on defense pickup guys like, Byron Jones and Vinoy much better team this year Miami I like over six wins one, twenty, five. Okay. That's a second like I like it I don't love it because I do think to a my I mean here's what we know. The coaching staff down there is one of the best young staffs in you know we talked about the bengals earlier I think one of the worst ass Miami. One of the best you agree with that floor as did a great job last year and this is check disabled. The seem to maybe learned the right lessons I also believe that that long view that equity might have him put to it in. Sooner because if you're trying to avoid an injury like Jones is talking about I keep them out. But if he's not her get better playing football football, you better playing and to me, they might even take some losses this year to get to wraps. So if I knew for sure the tour was sitting the year, I would go with over with you. I two of my play more than people think. So I'm just going to keep it as a lean, but I agree with you generally the pick his over that's been optimistic about the dolphins. Beer the force of the wind, the slash of the rain. Go face, them and fight them. Be Savage again. The palm of your hand will thicken the skin of your cheek town. You'll grow ragged wary and wet. But you must do the back you can. We get to team number twenty six and they are in AFC East representative notice the New York jets ooh this is going to be the most interesting one yet pu up your chair get out your pencil because there's a lesson here. Jonas. Super Bowl odds for the jets hundred to one season win total six and a half to seven wins would exceed expectations. Six would fall short. Division is just to the east nine to one. Okay. First question. You Ask Yourself Sam Darnold, and now we know Colin here at FSR loves them. It's it's really. A mystery why so much. But leave you know who knows right could be innocent but the fact is. You can't even judge the jets without judge. Darnold we got steph ethic are pro football expert his take on Darnold? He hasn't been very good twenty eighth and Qbr in two thousand, eighteen last year twenty-fifth currently my number twenty, nine rated quarterback. The narrative is that darnold improved throughout the year after he had mono and that the jets won because of it, the truth, the jets one despite darnold specifically the last five games of the year. If you look at darnold stats below average each and every game is last five now think about that. qbr Is. The best single stat in quarterbacking just not even a debate. Really. It's not a perfect stat nothing is. But fifty means average. In fact, these days fifty, three, fifty, four means average could sense a set the average quarterback in his improved but just call it fifty last five games I know mono can be devastating I mean I you know I, remember kids. They could hardly go to the school dance the next week I mean it was a tough thing but I saw the brady bunch. But here's the thing is when you play five games to end the year and we keep hearing about how strong the jets and because they did as a team and in with the first of those five games darnold as worse than average quarterback second worst third worst fourth, worst five worse five straight games five straight performances below average how that can be anything. But below average I don't know. Pro Football Focus did a projection they look at the first two years of quarterback and they say, where did they project to to be alternately and if you look at Darnold is literally his comps is comparable 's are Blake Bortles Gino Smith Christian ponder Mark Sanchez. Just that simple it's math. Yeah and what you hear other quarterbacks that are criticized like trubisky and you look at his career so far compared to Sam Darnold I think trubisky's been hands down a better quarterback I would actually. If you look at that draft class that came out Baker Mayfield Sam darnold Josh Allen Lamar Jackson and Josh Rosen. I I don't know if I would put Bake I. Don't know if I put Sam Darnold career thus far ahead of anybody's other than Josh Rosen who hasn't gotten no chance but I don't think you can. It doesn't mean he can't turn it around and means history says, this is level Baker Mayfield is projected way better. He's right there with Dot Prescott if you look at pro football focus. Okay. We got a bonus best bat from Faz it's a total. Over under Levian Bell jets running back Levy on bell under eight, hundred, seventy, five rush yards..

Miami Sam Darnold jets football Byron Jones NFL Baker Mayfield Josh Rosen Levian Bell Barney bar AFC Qbr Harvard Dot Prescott bengals Darnold Jonas Jordan Howard New York
"steve fezzik" Discussed on RJ Bell's Dream Preview

RJ Bell's Dream Preview

09:56 min | 1 year ago

"steve fezzik" Discussed on RJ Bell's Dream Preview

"Close game went exactly right and inevitably usually those wind up being about fifty fifty Seattle Rhonda Russell. Fifty over the long long term not the short six or four can go anyway. Exactly. Right like Russell Wilson had never won more than he lost these close games and just last year Seattle hold on Russell Wilson over his career was negative three games in under five or enclosed gains. It wasn't like you didn't have one year that they won. It was throughout its history. Exactly. Yeah. So when you say he never won you acting as if it was multiple year. We are hard enough on Russell Wilson 'cause there's so much love of our wealth in and I think it's a little too much. I'm RJ BELL STRAIGHT OUT OF VEGAS, defese talking about his childhood team, Cincinnati bengals question to. Always. If you have the answer to any question about this team would answer. Would you want if Joe Borough can be an effective NFL quarterback in his very first rookie year because look at the Weapons Aj Green he was out all of last year. He comes back. You've got to other good wide receivers and Boyd and I and the second round draft pick and t higgins first pick in the second round. The weapons are there are J. Ken Burrow perform. All right. So you're generally. Though about borough I am Ya side. So you got prop on him in a minute but let's let me ask you this because I'm GonNa push back a little bit on Cincinnati's optimism on offense. Let's Agree A. J. Green though he's thirty one. Yes. For receiver that's getting up there especially receiver it's multiple almost entire seasons now recently. Yes. Also. QUARTERBACK is king cash. How would you rate borough? Obviously, it's a projection right now versus Dalton Borough, my thirty second rated quarterback Andy Dalton quarterback. So there are non starters ahead yes and Andy Dalton twenty-one. So adult rated much better. Ever notice when he says a number, he doesn't like he mumbles it your. Halwa. twenty-one one versus thirty but somehow the offense is getting better Ryan Finley did play three games last year and that was a disaster for the bengals offensive stats. What did you do with that? Finley? Jersey you're wearing thought it'd be a did he came in and said, I'm upgrade, Cincinnati they're gonNA play harder truly folks that you upgrade value when Finlay came in. Yeah I mean that the guy wants to suber contest I, mean. I should have been in contact with my password. So, Joe Burrow you're going to put your money where your mouth is. You have a prop pick on him. Yes. I'm going over thirty seven hundred pass yards for Joe Borough that works out for about two hundred, thirty yards per game three good wide receivers, and let's face it. The bengals still going to be trailing and a whole lot of games this year over thirty seven, hundred pass yards Joe Borough. All right. That's the first pick. Now you've got a forced lean or like you don't have to love it but you gotta give something over under for the bengals Molina over five and a half. Lane. So three games so far not one like go ahead. Yes, and we talked about the improvements in the bengals offense also, they're left tackle number two first round draft Pick Joan. Williams was out last year the entire year he comes back another reason for optimism on the offense is a valid point. If boroughs exceed expectations, there are the element of it's like having two I, on Joshua's when you have a guy that Miss Overseas Asia Greens almost like another first round pick. I think. It's not even a debate, the worse coaching staff in Football Cincinnati Yeah. Zach. Taylor. I have no confidence in and that's why it's just a Lynn, but you do have an official pick on borough. Jonas grew quick which your thoughts in the bengals under I think they're gonNA struggle. There's their season to start off with is brutal. They get the chargers and that pass rushing week one, and then week to they've got a short week in their at Cleveland and we know the percentages on Owen two teams and what the future looks like I think. There's a strong chance they're going to be one in seven to start out next year real quick. Let's give the odds you know Jonas pro. We're just to start having him read the odds before Super Bowl one, fifty to one hundred, fifty to one season wins five and a half. The division wide. Twenty six to One to win the division playoff odds for the bengals seven to one not good as Chevy chase sat in caddyshack and finally. As you've got to lean on over five and a half. You got the like on borough over passing yards eleven train men face to face on the field of play. Each man specialist but one man's downs above the rest he occupies the most critical position in the game. Is The quarterback. COUNTDOWN FROM THIRTY TWO TO NUMBER ONE FAZ power rankings number twenty nine, and if you missed anything go back just search Rj Bell or straight Outta Vegas your favorite pod player it's there for Free I've been trying to say charge they won't so okay Carolina Panthers Number Twenty. Nine Super Bowl odds one, hundred, twenty, five to one. Season Win total five, and a half juice on the over two, six wins would exceed expectations are the sixteen five would fall short division ought sixteen to one to win the division. Playoff odds about four to one against and they have a week one game against the Raiders Carolina's at home. That's an interesting one. I let me ask you Jones we got a bunch of stuff from FAZ here. Yeah thirty seconds. What's your big story with the Panthers? Eight, it's a little strange just the design of the team they've gone out and they bring in Matt Rule. They give them that big time contract and I'm good with that. I liked the idea of giving these long term contracts I, La, what they did with. Kyle Shanahan and San Francisco what the Celtics did with Brad Stevens. long-term deals let them know we're gonNA build with you as our head coach they go out and they signed teddy bridgewater but then it feels like. It's a rebuild. Yeah. They get teddy bridgewater all this money they say goodbye to Greg Olsen they say goodbye to all the veteran players they sign a running back to a long term deal it just I don't know that we're not a running bag. Yeah. Christian McCaffrey but I don't know if this is a rebuild or they're really going for it it feels like it's a long term plan, but it feels like, yeah, made short term moves see I think this is the brilliance of an and the new owner is David Tapper. Yes. And he's Borderline. Genius. I may be genius I'm always I. You know geniuses such a strong word. I think there might be ten walking the earth. So we don't want to use that too much but I believe. That tapper is right there in that conversation and why because he went onto the hedge fund world and dominated and the hedge fund world when you dominate, you buy football teams after. So this is like the highest caliber a you win that game you get. Playing NFL Games as the owner. And he's doing this exactly. How quite frankly and I don't know every movies making advanced stuff he's doing I probably wouldn't be able to see clearly. But I love what he's doing because the question you're raising Jones I think is the brilliant Teddy Bridgewater you say a bunch of money. Twenty million right for A. quarterback is actually about half of what the quarterbacks are getting now where the best. Yeah. I'm not saying that there. There's not a lot of money I'm saying it's a guy who's pretty rock solid. And this is probably a good time. 'cause Faz actually when we asked the one big question that question was, how good is Teddy? Bridgewater let's listen how good is Teddy Bridgewater Honest I got Teddy Bridgewater completely wrong last year I lost a lot of money. The saints kept winning with them and I kept thinking, Hey, the stats aren't there now teddy bridgewater wound up with a Qbr a forty nine. That's slightly below average but we can't ignore the fact five zero straight up five against the spread and it wasn't just against cupcakes. He beat Dallas he wanted Seattle, you wanted Chicago and that level of play for a guy that looked like just a gay manager. He sure did make the correct decisions to lead his team to five. Now I agree with FIS I don't think he's as good as the five and now, but I think he saulat middle of the road he's. The face of the franchise he's a high character guy. So what can you do early in a rebuild you can build culture team culture and you can keep the fans engage with just enough. It's everyone thought when the Lakers paid Kobe. Those last two years it was a big mistake I thought it was brilliant because by that one contract though you. Rebuilding it keeps the fans fairly happy because they get to see Kobe seem bridgewater McCaffrey I think is going to keep the fans engage while rebuild is happening quick thought we'll take a break yeah it's a business decision I think some of these the Christian McCaffrey I like the Christian McCaffrey deal I just think clearly Carolina's the worst team in that division. He blocks directs and executes the on field fortunes of his team. quarterback lives in a world of pressure. How well he lives with it and react to it determines how good he is..

teddy bridgewater bengals Joe Borough Russell Wilson Cincinnati bengals Seattle Cincinnati Rj Bell Christian McCaffrey NFL Ryan Finley Dalton Borough Football David Tapper J. Ken Burrow Jones Rhonda Russell Andy Dalton A. J. Green
"steve fezzik" Discussed on RJ Bell's Dream Preview

RJ Bell's Dream Preview

07:32 min | 1 year ago

"steve fezzik" Discussed on RJ Bell's Dream Preview

"Day One of the thirty, two team straight OUTTA VEGAS NFL preview, and we start with thirty two. The autumn wind is a pirate. Blustering in from C.. rollicking song he sweeps along swaggering boys. Who is number thirty two also known as the worst Jacksonville Jaguars okay now, what does the Vegas market say about Jacksonville? So one of the things you can do is you can get the win totals, stack them up and say Kansas. City's the best. But where's Jacksonville last four and a half wins expected okay. So literally you in. Vegas, agree you being the only time wearing the super contest and VEGAS VEGAS? Jacksonville is the worst now here's what we're GONNA do we're GONNA save a lot of pain to the country these been struggling with the word tanking because he wants to use the word tanking so bad for Jacksonville we don't let him say tanking because he said it so much about Miami and was so wrong. He just a ban in a way and justify when she say, yes, and there is no such thing is tanking there isn't it's just how you define. No one's trying to throw games no one say missed I feel hey, if we put this guy in, he's worse but no one knows it. So we'll have a better chance to lose. Dot though I mean unless a game fix I mean it literally would be illegal in a way to do that. All right people are betting on this stuff. Sure. But there is deferring your reward Faz. Let's say that because of your bad record against me heads up, you needed to borrow fifty times. So you want fifty thousand if i Atlanta to you at, let's say high risk fourteen, percent interest team percent two points a week it would have been back in the day. So here's the question. Before you had the mansion here's the question. Do I not like money because all of a sudden is handing over money now but the theory is what over the long run you're making a good invest I'm GonNa make more I don't know about that but I'm going to have more money coming back to me. Yes. Is Jacksonville saying listen to win in the NFL you gotTa have everything go right to be a champion. Remember it wasn't that long ago. Jacksonville was leading New England in the AFC, championship game in the second half. That's a fact. So. They know what it takes to get there and they know how far they are from there now. So what happens you make decisions that all of your money coming do. Is focused at a similar time in the future. Why get a little bit all along the way and never having enough why not defer? So what do they do trade Ramsey now they're it's it's the opposite. It's the opposite of what The, you know in a way to the jets do and it's the opposite of what Seattle's doing Seattle saying we'll take some pain later because we think we can win now Jacksonville saying we'll take some pain now 'cause we think we can win later. Yeah. That's not tanking. Let's agree Jacksonville though does have their eye towards winning in the future they're not going to be making a bad decision to win. Now what's the second big thing about this team? Well, if you look at Minhsiu and it's consistent with what we discussed meant you I feel is a poor quarterback he's by number thirty quarterback maybe Jacksonville, is higher on him to number thirty in the NFL. You think one of the worst starting quarterback yes, and bottom line is He wasn't bad for the first half of the year. He was just a slightly below average quarterback. But then when he came back after fulls got hurt again, he was a poor quarterback in his last five games. I gotTA wonder the film the We got some film on him and Stash was not good at the end of the year, and this is what we've seen with a lot of those accidental starters from last year guys at weren't expected to start they. started. They did very well early than the opponents either limitations and we go. So if you had to make one play of all the different types, what would it be either over or under could be anything is the best play pro or con Jacksonville under four and a half season wins rj but it's just a strongly and here's why a strong lean under I think Jacksonville is very much helped by they're not being many fans in the stands this year. Because they have such a horrible home field advantage. This actually helps them not to have fans and their stadium and when they go on. So the conclusion is the following Jacksonville has been so bad for so long and their fans are so bad fezzet says the fact that won't be any fans there. It'll be just a normal Sunday for them, and thus that negative is not quite as negative for them in data Jacksonville positive. Yes. The number thirty, two team Jacksonville. Happy about his head. And bristling black, stack. This is the thirty first best team and phases rankings. So the worst team yesterday Jacksonville Washington. The. Second Worse. That's both Fazekas and Vegas if you look at the Vegas. Stack rank of win totals does that feel right to you? Yeah. Yeah. This seems right and I mean, Fez, yesterday was the Jacksonville Jaguars a lot of shade at Gardner Shoe. I mean, you know he doesn't like good looking. He's got something that gets mentioned. That's for sure I mean Menchu's you know when you got a name like the stash you're not Necessarily right. Portly. guys the stash. No. No. So here's the numbers on Washington football team. Super Bowl odds one, eighty, five to one. Season Win total five wins. So think about that they go five and alive and say who who are we met expectations. Four and eleven we've. Oh, sure six. Four and twelve and six and Tan break out the celebration prince is going to be on. Yeah. So low expectations division odds just to win the division thirteen to one. Just, to make the playoffs five and a half to one. So this is a league that worst I is no problem at all it happens all the time. And it doesn't look like it's going to happen to. Washington. So this is what I asked. Fezzet I and we're GONNA. Do this is the first thing with every team? Would is the big question. If you have any question batting question answered, what would it be? Let's listen. How is quarterback Haskins going to respond to the brand new coaching staff that's being brought in when you look at Haskins, here's a guy who really struggled last year to put it all together I seven games he was bad. But how bad was he in five of those seven games he had a QB are rated below twenty to put that in perspective. An average rating is above fifty that's almost unheard of for quarterback to get. Seven starts and have five of the seven be that atrocious. But he turned around at the end of the year he had to really solid games especially the game against the giants in the final game of the year. So how long is it? GonNa take for Haskins to respond to the brand new coaching staff and bring his game up. So here's the irony that we're going to have in a minute or second clip is GonNa be he's actually got a prop is actually going to prop up that he's GonNa give us a pecan. and. He's given a force pick on Washington over or under now. To me on Haskins..

Jacksonville Jacksonville Jaguars Washington VEGAS NFL Vegas Haskins Kansas C.. Atlanta Stash giants Miami Dot AFC Seattle Ramsey New England
"steve fezzik" Discussed on RJ Bell's Dream Preview

RJ Bell's Dream Preview

04:01 min | 2 years ago

"steve fezzik" Discussed on RJ Bell's Dream Preview

"In this podcast week to was probably my favorite one. No team wants to go four in the preseason and you can't go on four without going Oh and two so oh a team that loses their first game. There's a little bit of pressure that you don't WanNa slip though into a now you've got to kind of deviate from your strategy of evaluating all the player's is properly and getting your rotation's proper because you don't want to lose every game and because of that it's sure seems to me and the data points to it that <hes> teams that have a loss game one do go ahead and emphasize winning a little bit more in their second game whereas the teams that won the first game will now. They don't really mind if they would go one and three what's face it. Most of these coaches really other than harbaugh. Don't care that much whether they win but if you've got a win under your belt it's okay to have a law so so week to I'm always tend to look towards Owen one team straight up facing one annot team straight up especially if I can get points I love taking underdogs dogs in preseason and I gotta tell you especially so many preseason games now are lying at two two and a half and in the regular season that's not very much value to be taken to or two and a half but in the preseason the word is out teams gopher to at the end of games to try to win when they're down one on so so many preseason games now just in the past five years or landing one two from on either side that it is very dangerous delay two and a half and and there's oftentimes quite a bit value taking an underdog plus two and a half and oftentimes you can do that with an one one team that just looked horrible in preseason week one catching points against the team that looked good in week one in week two of the preseason so that I would say is most likely my favorable well my favorite general situation to go ahead and back a team in the pre season so three concepts down one more concept to take a look <hes> before I do that concept. I'm GonNa talk about coaches and coaches press conferences and coaches disclosing what they're gonNA do. I WANNA ask Darrell Darrell went when you we're here N._F._L. Coach and he's discussing upcoming Games. How much do you believe him when he tells you what they're going to do? I don't believe him at all. I just think it's all coachspeak because if if he's telling us what he's GonNa do then the opponent will know also exactly right so McVeigh says Oh girly. He's going to be my bell cow in the Super Bowl going forward. I'm not utilizing causing him enough and it doesn't happen so grain of salt and I would say it if anything you should take what they say and and believe the opposites of a coach says for instance. He's GonNa run and gun in basketball. Maybe he's planning on slowing it down <hes> however if if there's one time that will tend to believe the coach is more it's when the Games don't matter in August so especially the younger coaches when when they're asked what their game plan is going to be how long they're gonNA play their starters. Who's GONNA play? WHO's not going to play oftentimes? That's the case where you can go ahead and take them at their word that they are being honest. There's no reason for them not to be honest because they really don't care whether they win or lose so late game situations with the press conferences game planning that even the day before the game the day of the game. You'll see some big line moves just based upon coaches disclosing. Hey you know what I'm GonNa. Go ahead. Get My uh-huh line out of the game after the first quarter and keep all those guys healthy we've already got one guy down and that can really benefit you late in the game to go ahead Ed and make solid bets in the preseason so so often what we see in the preseason line moves in the marketplace sharp moves early based Depan quarterback rotations coaching tendencies etc situations and then shark moves late where the information goes ahead and gets disclosed and oftentimes oftentimes in the regular season..

McVeigh Darrell Darrell harbaugh basketball Owen Depan Ed five years
"steve fezzik" Discussed on RJ Bell's Dream Preview

RJ Bell's Dream Preview

03:42 min | 2 years ago

"steve fezzik" Discussed on RJ Bell's Dream Preview

"Up in the preseason. If there's one coach that I would not at-bat against it is most certainly harbaugh so I would argue before you go in and bet on the preseason absolutely want to take a look at the coaches history three and how they have done in the preseason especially in the past couple of years second factor and I'm GonNa talk about four factors as I lay out preseason betting. Let's talk quarterback rotations. Let's face it. Who's GonNa decide your bets? Probably not Tom Brady probably not drew brees. It's GONNA come. I'm down to the backups when you're betting these games and you want to have capable good backups and at deep quarterback rotation you WanNa look and tend to look towards teams like the San San Francisco Forty niners think about the nine or so last year. Jimmy and I love Jimmy G. He goes down week three with the injury and at third comes in and takes it's over. He gets some experienced Bedford gets hurt. Nick Mohan's comes in so now I've got my second and third string quarterback for San Francisco with some nice viable playtime daytime last year and frankly Moen's far exceeded expectations and because of that the forty niners probably are set to have a good preseason quarterback quarterback rotation <hes> New Orleans Saints. You'd think with drew brees the hey he's so important to the team they probably have a poor quarterback rotation. Well it turns out you got Teddy Bridgewater on the bench there and at least for the next year we'll see what happens going forward and then tastes them hill behind him so New Orleans with a <hes> what looks to be a bet on quarterback rotation as far as a couple teams. We'd be cautious. I think betting on in the preseason Dallas Cowboys. Do you really WANNA WANNA be betting on Cooper rush or Mike White here with your backups. I don't think so and I think Dallas <hes> was Zeke out. I think that this could well be a preseason that Dallas does not want to risk players to injury and frankly they just don't have the quarterbacks to make you excited about betting on them. Similarly Louis Jacksonville Jaguars so all of a sudden they gutted their quarterback rotations because you know they get rid of Blake Bortles and they get rid of their backup backup quarterback and they bring in photos. WILL WHO's behind foles. Do we want to bet on Tanner. Lee The rookie men shah. I don't think so I'd be very careful with the Jacksonville Jaguar quarterback rotation one thing about these quarterback rotations all things being equal. I tend to look towards the more agile running quarterbacks and the reason and being you know and I spoke with my friend Tucker about this former N._F._L. Player and he said you know the reason. These preseason games are so low scoring in the second half the offensive line one. You don't have the town to the guys blocking but the continuity of the old line is shot. These guys have not played together. It's a lot easier for the defensive line to go go ahead and put in a bunch of back and still play together as opposed to blown assignments and the old line struggling and because of that the quarterbacks not GonNa have time to throw and because of that the traditional dropback pastors are going to struggle to move the ball as opposed to just taking the ball talking it and running <hes> <hes> and because of that all things being equal if you can get quarterbacks that are more agile third and fourth string quarterbacks that would be the way I would look doc to go ahead and wager on quarterbacks in the preseason so we've got two major factors that we look at we look at coaches tendencies. We we look at quarterback rotations. Let's talk about two more factors general situations. Probably I'm GonNa talk about one situation..

brees Louis Jacksonville Jaguars New Orleans Saints Jimmy G. Dallas Dallas Cowboys San San Francisco harbaugh Tom Brady Teddy Bridgewater Jacksonville New Orleans Nick Mohan San Francisco Tanner Blake Bortles Zeke Moen Tucker Lee
"steve fezzik" Discussed on The Dan Patrick Show

The Dan Patrick Show

01:37 min | 4 years ago

"steve fezzik" Discussed on The Dan Patrick Show

"Hbo's game of thrones is back for its seven season winter is finally here and so or the white walker's will the seven kingdoms of west rose survived the threat from the north or will they fall in the looming war for the iron throughout after you've done watching an episode joined the discussion here on the game of thrones after show on podcast one every week our host discuss each episode in detail from shocking twists to fan theories as the series chronicles the violent struggle among the realms noble families for ultimate power joined the fray every week on podcast onecom the podcast one app or subscribe on apple podcast to get ready for your family's virginia beat summer vacation replaced a stressful sounds of your life with the virginia beat sounds you love like that dr arnn now it's a playful gall and traffic just a day at the beach oh hey kids in the backseat i mean friendly dolphins on aci actor it's time to get your virginia beach on start at visit virginia beach dot com fatty where babies come from uh well of money right through this door oh well you see um well there's a mommy and a doughty great ends see when they call geico they could save a bunch of money on car insurance ovarian ends damage from happy yes that make them very happy batch yeah well i'm glad we can have this talk sunshine gaiko because saving fifteen percent or more on car insurance is always a great answer.

Hbo virginia dr arnn geico apple fifteen percent
"steve fezzik" Discussed on The Dan Patrick Show

The Dan Patrick Show

01:41 min | 4 years ago

"steve fezzik" Discussed on The Dan Patrick Show

"Here's the question though what what are you saying if you vote if you think the the bear is going to win the nfc north you're saying that you either you're such a die hard fan that you you're totally illogical they have no chance you got a garden hose lions have no chance the only two teams you can even consider the lions have a chant heirs have the true no chance no airline of the weather is no chance the lions are not gonna win that vision over the packers reich unlikely but what if aaron rodgers got hurt in week one there's an opening for life if aaron rogers and all the packers and all the lines and all the vikings got hurt than the bears would have a chance of all of them like god okay like the all got the flu firms at eight weeks all right let's see let's go around the room fritz he you're that sound that sounds like to me packers first they got to minnesota second lines third bayer's last i wou i would throw this out there if glennon gets benched early in the season and trubisky just goes crazy and he's over and beyond whatever one's already their expectations are is there any way the bears can make some noise and be like at least five hundred or screw some teams out of a playoff spot i mean they could be 500 but i think this is the easiest division may be to peg it's packers vikings lions bears if anybody dispute that rather me going around the rooms ebay dispute that packers vikings lions bears out hackers vikings lions bear vikings in lion's were one game apart last year and the vikings actually scored more points in our opponents and the lion scored less points in our fewer points interplay they want all those close games at the end that's why staffer got the big money which probably would you guys talk about that a lot yesterday with tommy see stafford money.

lions aaron rodgers aaron rogers packers minnesota bayer glennon packers vikings lions nfc flu ebay tommy stafford eight weeks
"steve fezzik" Discussed on The Dan Patrick Show

The Dan Patrick Show

02:03 min | 4 years ago

"steve fezzik" Discussed on The Dan Patrick Show

"Correct get delay five to make a dollar and the vegas wife guys to professionals really felt that this was a once in a decade type of opportunity hate to lay minus five hundred but you know what the public loves to buy the dollar to make four and the public despite the fact that every expert said that may had almost no chance to lose this fight um they went ahead and back to the underdogs so example of vegas winning the sports books winning the professional better swimming in the public losing but this isn't always the case ross during the nba playoff the public kept betting every game over and the public beat the professionals and vegas let's get to cement a fill stuff um and i think probably the most interesting thing this time of year now that i know like joe hayden got cut this morning in there's some minor moves i'll be made but for the most part we've now seen the teams in the preseason the rosters are pretty much what they're going to be without with maybe a couple of exceptions one of the season win total bets that you really like or have your eyes on the i take the indianapolis colts under eight when is the best of the bunch okay a i'm pretty sure that told again it's going to start week one i have no idea when luck coming back and told the ins playing for indy they're not as bad as the jet there are almost as bad as the jet to others i like oakland under nine apple clinch a very public team they were very fortunate last year they won all those close games and they travel used a whole bunch of times this year and a team i am very odd bullish on philadelphia eagles over eight when the eagles ross last year the last fourteen games to play this isn't in chronological order they to play the bengal they had to play the vikings and they had to play twelve teams that were better than those two teams in many cases much better noone could have survived that schedule.

vegas ross joe hayden colts oakland vikings nba philadelphia eagles