14 Burst results for "Sixto Sanchez"
Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast
"sixto sanchez" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast
"As the all time most prolific effectively wild guessed and also to discuss the recently released top 100 hello Eric, welcome back yet again. Hey Ben, how's it going? Not bad. And you've already done a top 100 prospects chat on the fan graphs website. So this is the chat after the chat in a different medium. You and Tess put this list together. And I've got to say I've got a compliment you were at least observe your moderation this year in limiting it to a 112. And also, I think there's a question in there, the fact that it is only, quote unquote, a 112, because that actually reflects the quality of this prospect class, right? You noted that at least the top of the class is a little thinned out, which I guess makes sense because last year's crop of prospect and rookie debuts was extraordinarily strong, according to an analysis I did at the end of the season based on baseball America lists just because those go back the furthest. There were 40 guys on the baseball America top 100 list pre season last year who made their major league debuts in 2022, which was the most of any year going back to the beginning of those lists in 1990. So I guess it stands to reason that if a bunch of guys graduate one year, then the next year might be slightly thinner, right? So you notice that. Sure, there are all kinds of different variables at play there, right? Some of it is just that The Rookie eligibility rules have changed. Some of it is the lack of a 2020 minor league season, not necessarily in a way that has impacted like everyone's development, although, to an extent it has. But also because there was no 2020 season for anyone to generate like contacts for more recent struggle, perhaps. Like we just didn't have a flag go up for random guys in 2020 that, you know, even if they've been injured or whatever for the last or struggle for parts of the last couple of years, that would still give us context for that struggle that was like pleasing in a way. I also think that there's some like bias, right? Like I think that we have all tended, certainly I am this way. A lot of the prospects who make up the top 100 are guys who are poised to graduate. Because it feels good as a prospect writer when they play enough to graduate. And I think that some of the confidence in the upper level prospects is driving an artificial move in that direction. But yeah, you know, the miners overall are more fine than they are exceptional, I think, at this stage, the fact that there are just fewer, minor leaguers, generally because of roster reductions as a result of the pandemic is probably playing into this as well. There's fewer lottery tickets out there who might be winners. So I think that's part of what's happening and then some of it is just trends in pitching. I know I am apprehensive about young, high upside pitching. So there are definitely teenage pitching prospects in the miners who have the ability to be on this list and it's just that they tend to break at some point during the 5 years or so that they are developing in the miners playing Russian roulette with their ligaments every 5th or 6th day and there tends to be a lot of entropy happening in that part of the player population such that I've kind of moved off of that type of guy towards the back of the hundred. So there are just like fewer raw names that end up there. And then at some point for me and like Kylie and I together for a while, we were over projecting, like at one year, the 55 to your runs through like, you know, prospect number 70 overall or something like that. That's too many. And so some of this is just like our technical flaws as we started to get a better feel for this process. I was like a full-time analyst with this type of scope. Well, and the pitching sort of attrition and nervousness that you noted isn't just isolated to the bottom of the list. I think we should probably, you know, as we start to think about individual players talk a little bit about espino and a guy's placement on our top 100 and how that affects us is very minor compared to the potential career trajectory that an injury can have on a pitcher, but where was the before and then after the news that his shoulder was still a problem? Yeah, 12th. Which, to be fair, as 93rd, right? Right. But if you folks go back and look at the board at the touch of a button, you just can sort the pictures from each of the last 6 years basically of prospect lists and force with these at the top and Brent Honeywell and Alex Reyes in sixto Sanchez. That's just one year. I just clicked on 2018, like that's just one year at the very top inside the top. 30 or so overall prospects and like walker Bueller's in there and Kyle writes in there and that took a while, but seems good now, right? Like Louise gohar is in there. Yeah. AJ puck is in there. So this stuff just tends to happen, throwing a baseball really hard for a living doesn't seem to be good for your elbow or shoulder. So yeah, there's extreme variance in both directions for the pitching population because it is just so hazardous to your health and that seems to be the thing that causes these guys to bust more than anything else. It's just they get hurt and then things aren't quite the same at some point. The ones who I would project to get hurt more or are more likely to get hurt are the ones who have been hurt a bunch in the past. And now that's Daniel espino because this is like incident number three within a calendar year where it was the knee and then during rehab from the knee, the shoulder and now it seemed like he was a go, I was told he was a 100% go for spring training like when the guardians list itself ran a couple weeks ago. I don't think I was being lied to and then everyone reports the camp and here we go again. So to some extent, this guy espino is unbelievable. And what I saw last spring at him was really unbelievable. Just on par with some of the best stuff I've ever seen Garrett Cole Stephen Strasburg the whole deal. Post TJ buehler, it was right there. And then this stuff starts to happen. And the guys who have fallen are the ones to whom this stuff seems to happen. So the pitching in general is crazy volatile, both because of the developmental tools that we have, how specific the means of assessment have become, including just biomechanical analysis that you can apply to pretty generic looking college pitchers that turn them into Gordon graceffa and Tanner bibby, right? So, you know, it's in both directions here where the variance is happening among the pitchers and then the way they're being used at the big league level has changed and is spread more evenly. The innings are spread more. We're sort of clumps everyone's impact closer to the middle of a scale. So all that stuff is happening with the pitchers. Related to what I was asking about the maybe slightly thinner cream of the crop here than usual. I believe in last year's top 100, which was what was it last year actually, a top one 14. Okay, not that many more than this year. Ben. But again, that drop off has got to be because of The Rookie eligibility change had a huge impact on how many guys end up end up graduating because September roster days count now.
Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast
"sixto sanchez" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast
"And I knew that the again, for me, it's just a matter of him getting to work with Nelson ire junior that first season when they acquired him in the startling Marte trade in 2021. The Marlins knew that that stretch that he was with them to close out the season probably wasn't going to be pretty, but they wanted him to make all of his starts with the Marlins after that trade up at the big league level. So Mel Seymour's junior could get a close eye on him throughout those entire two months. So that way they could have an off season plan and they could have been communicating and working throughout those two months compared to say let him go the triple-A be a starter the full-time and then start everything fresh in 2022. And I feel like it worked out. I mean, he went from a 6 four four ERA in the 12 star teammate after getting acquired in 2021 at the trade deadline to a three three two last year in the 18 star team aid strikeouts were off walks were down and he started to figure everything out with his secondary pitches. That was, again, he needed those secondary pitches to work in order to have his fastball playback as fastball guy. It really hard in 2021. He improved on his metrics with that pitch because of the slider and the change up and being able to use those pitches to better sequence his fastball. As for Trevor Rogers, it was really rough to watch him last year and emotionally it hit him really hard mid season. I think it was the game against when he was at the reds where I think it was like a third or four consecutive that outing. And he was just like, I don't know what's going wrong. I don't know what I can do. Every time I try to fix something, it just seems like I can get this thing to work and then something I was working well completely regressed. And he spent a lot of introspection this off season, he's feels more comfortable now when we talked with him earlier this week when at the start of camp, he came in looking in better shape he went to a facility in Tampa to get basically an overall diagnosis of his body of where his strengths and weaknesses are in, found out that there are things going on with his hip that potentially was impacting his pitching. So he's been working on that for the last month and a half or so. He's actually trying to add a two seam to go into his repertoire as well to go with the forcing fastball, the change up which has been one of the top pages to end the slide or that he began developing last year. So he's trying to add a fourth pitch to his mix as well too. Also not be as recognizable or as easy to decipher with his pitches and the sequencing because when the slider didn't work last year, he was basically a fastball change of starter, which you have two pitch in the big leagues. We all know how that's going to work out. So if he's able to get a third quality pitch, whether it's the two seam or the slider to work this year, I feel like that will help him with the confidence and being able to be better on the mound in terms of how we attack hitlers. I want to talk about two injured guys, one of whom you've already brought up, which is max Meyer to see sort of what the anticipated timeline for a potential 2023 return would be for him from Tommy John, and then also asked where sixto Sanchez is in his recovery. He obviously had a number of injuries over the last couple of years that have kept him off the mounding games. Where is he at in a potential rehab and what might we see from him in 2023? Yeah, so max Meyer just started playing catch about a couple of weeks ago. He's had three or four different sessions where he's like tossing nothing major but it's very unlikely I would think that he would be pitching into the big league level in 2023. I'm trying to just going off the timeline from last year when Jake either another one of their top prospects, he had Tommy he ended up having Tommy John surgery and happened about he underwent about the same time the max Meyer did. And he ended up throwing off the mound, I think it was on backfields about a month or two with a month or two left in the minor league season. The Marlins are going to be cautious with max Meyer, they still feel like he's one of their top guys, whether it is in the rotation or as a potential weight in and guy as a lady in reliever. They're still figuring out exactly where he fits, but they know that he is one of their top guys, especially again, fastball hits upper 90s, the slider is a very good swing in this pitch. So they want to make sure that he is completely ready when they bring him back. And with 6 O Sanchez, he's already thrown about a half dozen bullpens over the course of the last couple weeks before getting too Jupiter for spring training. He's dropped about 45 pounds, which he hopes will help lessen the burden on his shoulder, which has been the main issue for him these last two years between, again, since we haven't seen him in an actual game, excluding a couple spring training games since the playoffs that playoff series against the braves in 2020. So from what pitching coach mills died by junior told me at the start of camp that they anticipate 6 dough being back pitching in games, obviously I would, at some point this year, obviously my obviously started the minor league level to make sure he's built up. He's confident and that there are no hiccups, no setbacks with him, but they are envisioning him at some point making it back to back to the mound. Hopefully with a big league club and if he's able to make it so they could potentially be a very important X Factor for this team, because again, it just adds yet another talented arm to this to this team. They're working in as a starter to prep him to be a starter, but they have had conversations with him, him similar to what their thought process with max Meyer, he could potentially be a late inning guy, they could try to move him to closer if they feel like his arm can rebound fast enough to be able to pitch the back to back days in the shorter doses. That's still another thing. They have to watch because they were doing all their prep work within the last two years on a starter's routine as starters rotation and he was still having hiccups with that with having the time off between his work sessions. So they have, again, they're going to be cautious with him, but they are optimistic that he will be able to get to get back on the mountain at some point this season. And speaking of pitchers who may arrive at some point this season, you just wrote a story about Yuri Perez and his being mentored by San die contra, so get us hyped for yori's arrival whenever that may be.
Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast
"sixto sanchez" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast
"You know, sometimes resourcing, you just can't catch the ball. And you just can't catch it. So the ironic thing about Reese Hoskins defense is it stresses me out not at all because what? Well, the person he replaced at first base Ryan Howard could not throw the ball in the second base. Even money if he's trying to complete a three 6 three double play or get a base dealer and a rundown, the ball ends up in left field. So because Hoskins doesn't do that. I don't feel any anxiety. Now Alec bohm thrown across the fields. It's bad. Yeah, or any time a ball gets hit to nasty honest and right, I think like one of the big, oh God, this might happen moments was in game one of the division series against the braves when they were in the process of blowing that lead and the ball gets hit in the right and cassianus makes a shoestring catch and it looks like he looks like he thought he had it the whole time, but he's not a defensive outfielder I really take for granted and he's made a few of those catches. Definitely against against San Diego on balls that look dangerous off the bat. And it just seems like, you know, not everything is going, right? You know, there was the defensive miscue in game one of this series. They've had a couple, you know, I remember Scott having a bad throw, I might be conflating the brave series on the last home stand with the with the last round of the playoffs. But it's still popping up here and there. But they're throwing and catching the ball. More or less, so everything's good. You know, that's the standard for can they throw and catch the ball? Most of the time. Most of the time. Everything will take care of itself. Well, we just say Cole Hamels still planning to come back in 2023, so we can't quite close the book yet on the 2000s Phillies, perhaps. Maybe. I do feel an apology is necessary on my part when the Phillies acquired JTV real Muto and Zach wheel are both times. I decried the move on the ringer dot com my former employer. The real Muto trade because I was really high on Jorge alfaro, who didn't get off the bench in this series. Jason. Fangraphs audio last week, how much we love Jorge alfaro, but also sixto Sanchez. And my ideal plan for the Phillies, you know, I wasn't, I had no idea Zach Wheeler would turn into this. And I was like, for that money, they could have just brought back Cole Hamels on a one year contract. And kept their powder dry and tried to put together something. You know, line up another free agent signing, I don't remember who I had in mind. But Cole Hamels has not has basically not pitched in the majors since. Since then and Zach Wheeler has been the Zach Wheeler we saw. So you hired this guy? I was wrong about this. And I'm sorry. A listener in our effectively weld Patreon Discord group who has been posting seismic monitoring data from, I guess, the closest station to Citizens Bank park, which apparently is not close. It's like halfway to Atlantic City, but a few times. What's the town? I don't know. Let me see if I can find if they said what it was. But it's not even close, and yet it sure seems like lining up big Phillies events at home games with spikes in this seismometer. It seems like it's actually registering for many miles away. And I saw some tweets and videos of people a mile away from the park and just kind of getting the atmosphere and all the noise leaking out of the houses and car horns honking and everything when something good would happen or a game would end after a Phillies win. So you were in the stadium and I think we could all see when they would show cameras that were like in the outfield or wherever. They were just shaking. I assumed that you were shaking or being shook. So what was it like in there? So I got punted out to the aux box at the left field for this series. And the first big hit, I think it was schwarber and game three. It was rocking. I don't think I'd ever experienced that in a baseball stadium before. I was hoping he was like halfway from Philly to Atlantic City is like sort of around like Bill hilarious. I don't know. But anyway, I'm gonna get letters. I know it's not exactly that. Anyway, those sensors like Philly fans are quite sensitive, so I'm sure. I'm sure they could feel something. Yeah, those videos you were talking about like a mile from the stadium just hearing the roar really clearly from like, you know, the front porch of your row house. I mean, it's a lot of noise, and a lot of excitement. It's one of the loudest, one allows environments I've been in. You know, I've covered World Series before. Maybe this is just my personal chauvinism, but I do think that there's something about this environment that's a little louder than other places. And not to slide off minute bay park for instance, which I think is a great playoff environment that I've been to more times that I can count. But just the way the stands go straight up more or less straight up in that in the bowl behind home plate, just funneling all the sound back out onto the field. It gets really, really loud. So Bryce Harper had a weird year, right? Like Harper was off to a great start, he got hurt, he looked obviously compromised for long stretches when he came back. He has been, he was just lights out in this championship series. And one of the things that I thought was interesting, listening to the broadcast was just the seeming one 80 that has happened in terms of our collective understanding of Harvard because for so long he was put in juxtaposition with Mike Trout and he was obviously on the wrong end of that equation and now he has had two MVPs and he had this big moment. So what do you think the Harper sort of in progress legacy looks like now? Because on the one hand, he had that rough stretch, but also he's just so steeped the World Series so it seems like it's pretty good. I almost don't believe that this is the same guy from the first round because he looks, you know, I was convinced that only being in the cover Philly's home games of the playoffs. I was convinced that I would stay home the entire postseason. I remember that. I didn't think they'd get out of St. Louis in a big part of that was how lost and how desperate Harper was. In that last homestead, he made a couple dumb base running decisions.
Baseball Tonight with Buster Olney
"sixto sanchez" Discussed on Baseball Tonight with Buster Olney
"Think Landon Sims, the sort of Craig kimbrell esque reliever out of Mississippi just said Tommy Johnson, when he comes back, he'll also be on that fast track. I think those are probably the three relievers you'll see first. My sales pitch for my 11th grade prospect drew Gilbert center Fielder out of Tennessee is that he would get there first and then he went, I believe it was 28th overall. Which is a crime, but to be fair last year, I believe 16th rated prospect went 30th that was Tyler black out of right state. They give you redid that draft right now. He would go 16. So I feel good about sticking with my drew Gilbert pick as he's probably the most polished. He's the closest to what he's going to be. I think of all of the hitters in this draft. And for reference if you're not familiar with him, it's like an Adam Eaton Brett Gardner like that kind of guy. And he just looks like that right now. So do you think and I'm curious about that when he dropped that I, you know, don't follow it the way that you do. You know, I became really aware of him during the run to the college World Series when Tennessee was knocked out. He had this incident with the umpire against ejected from a game. Did any of that play in? Do you think that the fact that he dropped a bit? No, he was actually one of the guys that I made sure to talk to some of the third parties and also the teams that do the interviews and all that kind of thing because they don't mind telling you if the makeup is so good that they love it because they think everybody believes that or if it's so bad they're not going to draft them because they don't care. And everyone's answer was on the 2080s scale anywhere from a 60 to 80. Like this guy may need to rein it in a little bit, but they'd much rather have like the fire hose of emotion that they can then point the right direction rather than we got to see if this guy cared. Like there's a lot of the two cool for school never quite runs full speed, like all that kind of thing and people kind of hate that like both as fans and scouts and coaches where you have to try to suss out if they care. Like I don't want to deal with that. I want the guys hair on fire and it'd be ripping his hat off when he makes a diving catch. Like that's the guy I want to watch. You mentioned Kumar rocker. I got to say when he was drafted third. What I heard immediately was from folks like, oh boy. Because the perception among the people I talked to was he's throwing great this summer, got a great breaking ball, fastball I was told, good velocity, but a little bit straight. And of course it concerns about the medicals. Chris young came out afterward, the rangers general manager and said, we're totally fine with the medicals. Folks with other teams were like, well, the medicals are not totally fine. And the perception was that this was a case of the rangers, maybe working off their growing relationship with Scott Boris because during the wintertime, they signed Corey Seeger. They signed Marcus Simeon, both those guys are Boris collides, kamar rockers of Boris client. And they work out. It seemed like a pre draft deal. Do you buy into some of that conspiracy theory that this is all part of a bigger picture between rangers and the Boris? Yeah, hard to ignore when Scott was like standing over the shoulder of Juan Soto, like the bigger pieces in this game are much bigger than the third pick in the draft, and obviously Seeger and send me in all of that. You're definitely not the only person to have heard these things. Also their next pick who went well over slot also a Morris client. So yeah, if you want to keep adding to that, so the kamar thing, the medical, as far as I understand it, is so obviously there is a sort of mysterious black box of the mets say we don't like it. Here are the rumors about what it was, but they're just basically like, we're not going to offer a contract. We don't like it. So since then, he has a shoulder surgery, but is right back to where he was velocity and command wise, 7 months later, which is not like any shoulder procedure I've ever heard of. I mean, we've seen Brendan McKay sixto Sanchez all of them are taking longer than that. None of them are coming right back to where they were. So when Scott says that that is a minor, like the results, even though it's two three ends at a time, seems to suggest that it is minor. Because he's back already. But the other part is they didn't include any imaging they didn't say anything about the elbow. That was the other thing people were worried about, not that he's hurt right now. Again, this is the tough part with the draft. They're projecting what his health will be in the future based on what the healthy elbow looks like right now is their sort of stuff around it. Is there like an asteroid field essentially that's going to cause a problem later. Because obviously you can see them throwing 98 and say, well, he's currently healthy. But that's not what people are. Not what the mets were worried about either. So my question is, there was no imaging. There was no elbow. Did Texas get it? And the other 20 19s didn't, and that's why they could feel comfortable about it because they have to complete the complete medical because I would feel good if I had that. And I could say, okay, I know what it is, but then the other thing is, well, then what were the mets looking at that a shoulder procedure fixed every single thing they were worried about, which again, we don't know exactly what that was. But now it's totally settled. There's a leap there that I can't quite close the gap on it. And obviously they're not going to tell me because it hit the laws and whatever. And I understand that I'm never going to fully get that. But if Kumar doesn't get injured for the next 6 years, it kind of makes you wonder, what were the mets doing? Because they're the only ones that have this complete answer of what it
Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast
"sixto sanchez" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast
"Chin music. Coming Friday morning as your favorite podcast provider. And part of it is what you just said. I do think we have an imbalance right now in terms of the quality of position player prospects versus the quality of the pitching prospects that's playing a role as well. It's not just the philosophical thing, but there's so much kind of unknown about pitching process to this day and that's part of that's with the way they're being developed and I don't think they're being developed wrong but I do think it's a product of things where, you know, for every one of these guys, if you think a guy is going to be a starting pitcher in the big leagues, there's still this open question of, like, can they take the bump 32 times and throw a 180 innings, right? And that answer is unknown for everyone on this list because they've never done it. You know? And they're never going to do it until they try to do it in the big leagues, and that's just because of how pictures are developed and there's just the additional kind of consequence you talked about of how the most glaring example is how the rays use starters. And how they're raised use starters is going to be how a lot of teams start to use starters. And I think we are going to become far more comfortable with the four and 5 inning start, and it's harder to kind of accumulate value that way. And so I think those are two factors here, but I really do think the overwhelming reason for the imbalance right now is just because there's so many there's so many more really good position player prospects than pitching right now and I don't think this is going to be a trend that continues. I'm sure the next list or some of the next three years will have far more pictures in the top 40 than this year's. I want to stick on pictures for a second and specifically talk about 6 dos Sanchez who we have ranked at 80 right now and I think is maybe a good entry point to talking about how the idea of fastball shape has started to alter prospect evaluation. So folks who are familiar with 6 do will know that he really lights up the radar gun and sits in the upper 90s, but you guys have consistently sort of dinged him for the shape of his fastball, not really letting it play to the extent that you would think based on the velocity. So how has fastball shape started to alter the way that you line guys up on this list and are there prospects to you think in a prior era might have gotten juiced here just because of how hard they throw, but where we're looking now at the pitch data and saying, oh, this isn't going to play as well as the velocity might imply. So yeah, this is, this is common now. I think that most of the big pillar publication prospect writers have made this adjustment now where working on sourcing the data that Kevin talked about at the top, which in a way is like, for our purposes, it is more relevant that we have the ability to source that data than the ability to parse that data, which is an interesting media specific dynamic. But yeah, 6 O Sanchez, the axis of his fastball, and the axis of Mark appel's fastball are the same. And so for much of the same reason that mar capel was always very frustrating, even though he was humming it in there 94 to 96. Is because his fastball just doesn't have real action on it. Fastballs that have backspin and approached the plate at a flat angle have carry like that optical illusion that they are rising because they are fighting gravity by spinning the way that they do. And the angle of the pitch impacts how or whether or not a hitter can like get on top of it quote unquote, right? Like that's not actually what's happening, but the hitter is telling his brain to try to do that. Right. Because otherwise he'll swing underneath of it. And so 6 those fastball has never quite played. The way you think it would play because it's like 97 to one O one. And at some point, like hard is just hard and it still makes a difference, but 200 innings a year, 180 innings a year. He hasn't been able to do that portion of it yet either. So, you know, these pitchers who get hurt, they tend to keep getting hurt, or the pitchers who tend to have injuries are the ones who you look back and they've had a bunch of injuries. And whether it's James cabrelli or sixto Sanchez, just the rate of attrition with pitchers is just very high. And so that sort of factored in addition to the suboptimal shapes. And there are 6 so it was great. He does other stuff he's on our honor. Right, he's on the hundred. It's not like he's a bad picture or anything, but. But yeah, this factor's up and down, not just the hundred, but all the prospect lists like up and down the team lists. This is the thing that we're sensitive to and fastball utility and playability is a big part of why guys do or don't succeed. Let's talk about the top guy. Number one, adley Richmond of the Orioles you have him with a 70 future value and as you noted in your blurb, you could have gotten higher. You do have three guys in the tier just below at a 65 on the 20 to 80 scale Bobby witt junior, grace and Rodriguez and Julio Rodriguez. I know some other publications have considered those other guys in the top spot or even ranked one of those guys in the top spot. I'm with you on your rationale for Richmond at number one, but was there any serious discussion of anyone else and if not what was it that sort of catapulted Richmond above the other three? Not really. There wasn't really any discussion. It's kind of right there in the FBS in the sense that Russians kind of stands alone at a 70. And to be fair, like he's not the perfect prospect, he's not an 80, and you know, when you think about all the people that the three of us spoke to for this list, it's, it probably reaches triple digits. It certainly wasn't unanimity that this guy is the number one guy, but it was very much a consensus. And he might not hit for as much power as some people think at the end of the day. And the other thing that gets really important to talk about is just that I think this goes for almost anybody who's a number one prospect. You should still bet against them being a face of the franchise yearly MVP candidate. That's still probably that's not the most likely outcome even if you're a number one prospect, right? And so, but there's so much kind of safety to what he does. If adley rushman disappoints the public. It hits two 75 with 25 bombs, walks in plus defense is a 6 win player. And so all of a sudden the chances for kind of failure here if you are really low, I think he's at least going to be a star. And he might be more than that. And there's so many ways he can create value that I think that's where it was kind of clear to us as a group that he was number one. Yeah, we were the three of us at least were resolved very quickly. We really did not spend a lot of time discussing it. Yeah, if anything, there was some consideration given to making him an 80, right? At least when we were doing the Orioles list. Right, yes. And we asked ourselves if that was feasible, just based on the grind of catching, it's pretty likely during the course of Richmond's career here that he has years of down offensive performance just because his hand, like his risk gets hit by a foul ball one day. That happens pretty frequently to catchers. And they tend to play less than someone who's just playing shortstop every day, right? So there are reasons not to do it that reasons when you compare him to wander Franco, the only guy who we've aided where they're just was enough of a gap there there was daylight between those two such that yeah, we didn't think that an 80 belonged on adley, but the other, the guys behind him in the 65 tier, we did have discussions about how they should line up and at one point, Rodriguez, both of them were 60s. We had we had Bobby witt as a 65 and a tier of his own early on in the process..
Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast
"sixto sanchez" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast
"There were just, you know, there's no way of knowing except for making a dramatic inference based on the fact that the Padres promoted Ryan weathers, right? Instead of Mackenzie gore from the all site in 2020 when they desperately needed pitching, like that that was just an indication that something was wrong. And then there were lots of players who came out and it turned out that things like that were true. Then you had the guys who like Gabriel Moreno with the Blue Jays. Had a short exceptional track record leading into the year and then had more or less a full season to produce at the upper levels and reinforce confidence that not only that they were good, but that they were very, very good. Like belonged up here toward the top of the list good. No of you Marte is another one with the Seattle. Where spent 2019 in the DSL, Seattle handled Julio Rodriguez pretty conservatively in this manner initially and then did the same thing with Marte where even though he was physically mature for a player, his age he was down in the DSL in 19, and so we didn't really have a long state side. Look at him until 2021. And he performed as a teenage shortstop in full season ball. Big, strong guy with huge power. So there are definitely those players whose pro careers would have started during an otherwise lost season, the college hitters from the 2019 2020 draft class is basically where the performance is a big part of the way they are viewed. And then they didn't have an opportunity to do that until 2021. And I think maybe like a positive side, an example that comes to mind for me is Brandon Williamson, who's in the low 60s on our list with Seattle. And this was kind of a pop up guy in the 2019 draft, who was like a cold weather kid, transferred at TCU. It was a weekend starter after load dolo, so everybody got to see them. And, you know, big left hander through heart, but also really, really intriguing pitch data. It looked really interesting. It had a really good debut, and then we just lost 2020, obviously, and then he had a phenomenal 2021 in terms of strikeout rate, and it wasn't, it feels like he suddenly liked this out of nowhere guy in reality, it's just kind of a delayed proof of concept. And I think we have quite a few of those kind of players as well. I didn't intend to start off by talking about someone who is not one of the top 100 prospects in baseball or the top one 14, but Eric. Maybe later, but Mackenzie gore, you just mentioned Eric and I was looking back at your list from last February, which was topped by wander Franco, followed by Mackenzie gore and then adley Richmond. We know what happened to wander Franco. He made it to the majors and was incredible. We know what happened to adley Richmond. He is your number one prospect of 2022, spoiler. McKenzie is not on the list. And I wonder whether that has happened before, that sort of swift fall in the absence of a graduation or some kind of catastrophic injury for someone to go from number two to not on the list that is quite unusual. I would think. So what's the outlook for him now and can you think of any comps for that kind of year to year change? Yeah, I don't know. I think that the thing that changed is just our willingness to move off of pitchers, especially if you start to take on this trajectory. More quickly. Because I think that I wish I had done it earlier with AJ puck. I wish I had done it earlier with force Willie. I wish I had done it earlier with Brendan McKay, who, and we're talking about injury, for the most part, with those other guys, and I think I saw McKenzie gore as much as any other pitcher I saw during the course of 2021. He was in the mix for the list throughout the entire process. He moved to the back of the list in season last year. And then we sit down and we do a thing called distribution charts where we basically sit and plot out what we think the probability of a player falling anywhere along. The 2080 continuum would be and Mackenzie gore was pulled off to the side with a bunch of other players who we just didn't want to think about with relation to the other players. Royce Lewis sixto Sanchez, guys who have been hurt a bunch. I mean, we're just going to gut check where we thought they belonged at the very end of the process. And as we sit and worked on Mackenzie gore's distribution, just based on what he has looked like now for the last two years, most of our distribution fell into the 40, 45, maybe a 50 range rather than someone who we felt like the middle of their outcomes was. A 50, which is ideally what you'd want someone to be, someone who's reached the upper levels of the miners, that we want to have a better idea of what that guy is. There were reasons to move off of gore. Again, based on the inference from the 2020 season that something was not right and that was sufficient for him just not to be the second prospect in baseball. The Padres were generating literally no data from their alt site. Which was at the university of San Diego. There wasn't even a track man unit there. So there was no way of knowing. They opted out of the video sharing. There was no way of knowing what Mackenzie war looked like, really. But, you know, he has relied on command when he was the best pitcher in the miners in 2019. It was because he commanded a huge fastball like mid 90s with Carrie at Clayton Kershaw type of fastball. And then a bunch of okay secondary pitches. And for good pitches with a monster fastball and command from the left side, like that's a really good picture. And whether he just lost feel or it was in the weight room too much and stiffened up like some of that stuff may be subjectively to my eye looks like it could be true and maybe there's a way to do bikram yoga or something and some of that will come back and then maybe he was should still be on the hundred, but based on the way he has looked it is a relief risk fit without obviously great secondary stuff which just puts him behind the Brandon williamsons of the world. Yeah, and just a broader point on pitchers, this has to be one of the things that's changed the most in the years since your last public prospect ranking Kevin is just how pitchers have fallen from the top of lists in general. This is something I wrote about at the ringer a few years ago, but just eyeballing the list, you have one pitcher in the top ten, the Orioles Grayson Rodriguez at number three and then the next one is Shane baz with the rays at number 11 who's already made the majors. Of course, you have three pitchers in the top 20 prospects or the top 23 for that matter for in the top 25 or top 26. I mean, I guess that is a reflection of a few factors, right? It's the way pitchers are used now that just makes any individual pitcher kind of inherently less valuable just because of the innings totals that you're getting out of any one guy these days. And then I think there's probably also a greater recognition of the risk, not that everyone is pulling a Mackenzie gore. But injury risk, of course, is higher for pitchers than position players and we've certainly seen that reflected in the major. So is that what it is? I mean, there are ways to evaluate pitchers now that are maybe more telling than the tools that we had a decade ago, but it does seem like that's been a philosophical change. Eric and I talked about this on this week's.
GSMC Baseball Podcast
"sixto sanchez" Discussed on GSMC Baseball Podcast
"Indians cleveland. This off season traded door and carrasco to the mets and it was kind of understood that too high prospects were coming back and rosario and andreas. He menez now. What's one of them was going to play. Sure which one was gonna play second We didn't expect rosario to make his case to possibly be the best return piece for the indians arguably rosario has outperformed linda for for this straight so rosario could be the best player involved in the trade period resor. Oh has it to seventy nine average. He's got a three sixteen on bass four o. Five slugging linda this year to thirty one average three twenty seven four zero seven so rosario absolutely has been fantastic. He's got ten home. Runs fifty one. Rbi's twelve steals hundred and forty four hits in five hundred sixteen at bats. So if you're cleveland. And you're looking at a med rosario. Potentially you do have a shortstop coming back who could be the shortstop other future. That was certainly going to be the concern in. Cleveland was okay. Well who's going to be the long term solution for this year alone. Rosario continues to put up the numbers he has. It looks like he could be a mainstay in that lineup. For cleveland for the next couple of years next step we have carlos throw don of the chicago. White sox looking at the white sox rotation coming into this year. If you were just looking on paper rodion was slated into be the fifth starter and at times this year. He has been their race. He is absolutely outperformed that fifth starter. You had jia alito. you had lynn. You had kaikal and then rodion was kind of a throw in behind those guys but of course his stats this year. Say something different. He is twelve and five with a two three eight. Era he's got a point nine six whip to go along with a hundred and seventy five strikeouts over the course of one hundred twenty four innings so striking out much more than one per inning. It's clearly a bounce back year because just last season rodion had an eight point. Two two era in only seven point two innings and then in twenty one thousand nine hundred five one nine era through the entire starting rotation. I mean just. This guy has come out of nowhere this year so he went five one nine eight two two all the way down to three eight this season now back in twenty one thousand nine. The advanced numbers were a little bit kinder to rodion. It certainly looked like he pitched better. Then the era was indicating. But i mean now. His fifth is two point six seven which is much closer to his. Era in years past it was three six two four eight nine when his era was at eight so he has made excellent strides so far this year for chicago. And he's going to be one of the biggest reasons in the postseason. Why they have success lance lynn dealing with some nagging issues. A couple of injuries dallas kaikal hasn't performed as well this year as he has in the past for the white sox same with g. alito former cy young candidates and now roy don certainly looks like the number one potentially number two arm there for the white sox and it'll be fascinating to see if he can carry over this success to the postseason. Another guy surprising you early. Gurry l. for the houston astros. He signed a one year contract extension last year with fused with an option for twenty twenty two and that was in the middle of a bit of a down year so houston put some faith in geary l. Last year he posted a career worst to thirty two average with six home runs. He's thirty seven years old so our as best as behind him. And it it certainly hasn't come to fruition. I mean this year. He ranks third in baseball with a three thirteen batting. Average second and on base percentage among american league hitters at three seventy nine third in plate appearance to strikeout ratio at eight point. Nine seven he's got a career high in walks with fifty five this year. Fourteen home runs. seventy six. Rb is so he continues to perform even at an old age down there in houston and now it looks like that option for twenty twenty two is going to be a steel down there for the astros so l. bouncing back has certainly been a very pleasant surprise for astros fans number six. You got trevor. Rogers for the miami marlins. I mean again if you would ask coming into this year which pitcher would contend for rookie of the year for the marlins the answer. You would have received the sixto sanchez and six del. Hasn't thrown this year. For the marlins. It's been all about roger. Sanchez underwent season ending surgery. So it's allowed rogers to shine. He's got a two seven one. Era a one point one seven. Whip his one hundred and forty one strikeouts in one hundred twenty. Two innings led all national league rookies. As of this past weekend now he has struggled a bit during the second half year since he was named national league all star. He's been on the injured list. A little bit with back. Spasms september starts is is four nine seven but before the all-star break his era of two three one was everything you needed to see. If you're the marlins again a rookie having twenty-three starts the most he's had in his career throwing a ton of innings record of seven and seven. You gotta feel good about this miami rotation moving forward if you can get sixto back healthy got outcome tara. You got rodgers. That's a very good top three with just electric stuff and should set them up for success here. Moving forward another guy is salvador perez. I mean what. Can we say about salvador. He's thirty one years old and he's setting a new offensive standard for catchers. We talked about how his home runs. Could the most in a regular season for somebody playing the catcher's position he certainly on pace with forty five. He's tied that mark. I believe he gets at least one more here. Down the stretch he sit in to seventy four hundred and thirteen rb. I mean goodness gracious this guy coming off some injuries over the past couple of years i. It's it's been electric for salvador. I find myself rooting for him in the home. Run race. Him vlad guerrero shohei ohtani. It certainly looks like that one's gonna come down to the finish line here but peres performing the way he has. This year has absolutely been a pleasant surprise. Another gentleman the only bright spot for the pittsburgh pirates center fielder brian reynolds. I got one thing to be excited about. its reynolds. He sitting to ninety six twenty. Three home runs. Eighty six rb is five stolen bases and of eight ninety four. He had a rookie slash line of three fourteen. Back in twenty nine thousand nine but regressed in twenty twenty only hitting one eighty nine so coming into this year. It was like okay. Who is this kid. Is he the kid who hit over. Three hundred and nineteen. See the kid who struggled in twenty twenty now of course. He's shown that it looks like the version of twenty. Nineteen is more the standard. For brian reynolds. And he's going to be a perennial three hundred hitter for the pirates here as they found somebody who's going to be sticking around here. Moving forward another gentleman wade miley of the cincinnati reds miley coming over from houston. He's twelve and seven with a three three seventy. Ra in twenty eight starts. One hundred sixty three innings pitched one hundred twenty five strikeouts so not a big strikeout guy when it comes to twenty twenty one here but pitching to contact using this cutter getting outs. He mixed in..
FanGraphs Fantasy Baseball
"sixto sanchez" Discussed on FanGraphs Fantasy Baseball
"Hello and welcome to episode nine. Seventy nine of the sleeper and the buzz is friday september seventeenth. I'm your pulse. Moore joined this morning by justin mason justin. Good morning sir. Good morning you doing. I'm quite well how about yourself. I'm doing all right little late. Start to my morning. Because i'm an idiot and forgotten. She get into my wife and i lived through that perform when i when i was working adele. We had we had badges forgetting. It was a nightmare. You know. Sometimes i would just deal with it and go and then just have to get a temporary badge for the day other times. I would turn around like you. Did you know it's just kind of a personal choice there but you were saying how fine. You're a fine tune your schedule. Is that going back the way more time than it would did for you too. I get out there because traffic. The traffic patterns have since changed in the interim twenty minutes. So sounds like a nightmare but you made it and now we get to talk baseball for about now. Yeah yeah i'm I'm glad that nightmares over and now we can talk about starting pitchers from this weekend. Lots of fun streamers. Let's dive right into it. We're going to do it again this weekend. Next for the weekend streamers. Let's talk with start on saturday. Let's talk about. Aaron savante normally slam dunk right there in somalia come on back for two starts form. Two-thirds against minnesota pretty good one earned six strikeouts but then just three innings against milwaukee last amount because they clobbered him seven runs on seven. Hits two walks three homers. So we haven't seen volley fully ramped up. He didn't have seventy eight pitches in that first outing which tells me that if he could have handled the five plus inning workload during that last outing he would have gotten it but His own his own issues kept him there or about a trip to the yankees for aaron. Holly i'm probably going to avoid this one. What you said. He has hit five innings since getting back got crushed in that last night. But i mean against the burs. There's no shame in that fairly shirt on. I'm probably just going to avoid. Just because this is one of those starts second go or ably wrong with how powerful the yankees offense can be at times. So i think just safer to go a different direction and i think that's a big consideration with regards to. Can you afford a blow. You have to ask yourself that with any streamer. Because it could happen doesn't matter you know how good they look on paper. Can you afford three innings seven runs. I'm leaning towards. Yes on savelli You know acknowledging that he was bad against milwaukee for sure but really sharp against minnesota. Yankees are no pushover. That's that's for sure In fact their top ten in the last thirty days of of wolf against righties. But i think as far as streams go. This is still going to be one of your better effort. So if you're in the streaming realm you're only accepting a certain amount of risk and to that end. i think you go ahead and go forward with somali. The only reason i disagree with that is because typically you're streaming for something in particular right you're either streaming for really good ratios while you're streaming for strikeouts you're streaming for wins if he's not gonna go five which he hasn't done yet but i don't think that that's a viable concern. That's where i that's where we differ. 'cause i i think he goes five. If he's pitching what like i don't think he's on a tight tight restraint. I think volley like i said would have been able to go five in the milwaukee outing. 'cause he was building up but he dropped the ball there. So that's that's where we have a fundamental disagreement. We have a little bit of disagreement there because he's not a big strike out guy so you're not streaming for strike guts as early ratios. Are you know they can be fine. But i don't think they're necessarily anything. You're writing home to mom about so. I think it's just safer to go different direction. A guy you feel more comfortable might be able to give you at least five shrimp and we'll see we'll see if that exists here but i you know. I'm a big volley backer. So i'm sticking with them here. And when cabrera the young rookie for the marlins drew a lot of attention. Very very Sixto sanchez situation here. Developing again hopefully now with the same result that we saw from sixth of this year where he didn't pitch unfortunately. But you know. A lot of hype was drawn early. Had the great. I start has been mediocre to bad sense. Let's be let's be honest. Forty three runs to thirty four runs. Three and two thirds to runs for edward cabrera pitches are fine. I mean ranging from fifty three to seventy eight. I don't think that there's a whole huge restriction there. It's a matter of can he. Can he do well enough. He gets pittsburgh so the ups great. The pitcher isn't yet. Edward cabrera's someone that Strikes your fancy for a saturday stream. I mean if you're not gonna use them here you can't use them russell away true. Because it's not going to gain you better than milwaukee that pittsburgh. Excuse me so. I think i would be inclined to go for it If you believe in the talent. I do believe in the talent Little worried that he has like a little tow issue going on. Maybe that limits is ability to go deep if they're just gonna be careful with them but miami's been organization in the past. That is just let their guys go that that they don't really you know put rains on them or limit them the they say you know. You've got a certain amount of bullets Let's use them So i'm inclined to say i'm gonna go for it Against a really bad pittsburgh team. Yeah i think you take the shot here as well with edward cabrera. It hasn't been good. But that's gonna make him more likely to be available to and you know when you're streaming. You're looking for matchups again. It doesn't get much better than what you're actually able to pull off the wire and the match that you're going to be able to get in and compare is going to be available in a lot of Mixed leagues right now. Because he hasn't been doing much so if you in the streaming realm as we're assuming you are. I'm going with this one. I can't believe this guy's on here. But i have. I have to ask about him. I was i even put in. What is it mondays or tuesdays..
GSMC Baseball Podcast
"sixto sanchez" Discussed on GSMC Baseball Podcast
"Record in baseball top ten farm system looks like the giants are going to be here to stay for the extended future. The detroit tigers are at number seven. They're down from number two so this class was dominated by arms. Well not anymore. Because even with the graduation of casey mice. Tariq's kubo and matt manning. They're still number seven now. It is offensive heavy spencer torkelsson riley green jackson job. All of these guys in the top one hundred also you got twenty twenty one pick tie mad and who now leads the pitching group so detroit. They're getting better. They're improving their flirting with five hundred with a number seven recruiting class or farm system recruiting class farm system. It's certainly looking good there in detroit number six the tampa bay race. They were at number one in both rankings for twenty twenty as well as the preseason here in twenty twenty one but they've fallen off for all the right reasons wander. Franko has graduated. Louise patino shane. Mcclanahan have graduated from the preseason top. One hundred and wander franko was a preseason number one overall so that'll take some shine off of tampa pipeline but still one of the deepest systems in all of baseball. Shame by as number twenty fidel brouhaha. Twenty two your edwards. Seventy six josh. Slow seventy nine. Greg jones ninety one so still very very deep leading the american league east and they turn things over and again. The future still looks bright there in tampa bay a number five. You got the kansas city royals. They were number ten in the preseason rankings. Well they got a legitimate star in. Bobby witt junior. The number three overall prospect. The shortstop is only solidified is standing by showing power at double a and triple a. You got daniel lynch at fifty nine nick pado at seventy one. Ace alesi seventy two. Mg melendez seventy-three jackson crow war at number ninety two so the pitching i it's been a bit stagnated at the minor league level but it still remains promising. They got a couple of top ten picks there so it's a very well rounded in deep group and it looks much better than it did. Come the preseason rankings. Now a number four the pittsburgh pirates are up from number eight not only did the pirates at a top one hundred player in adding henry davis number one overall in this year's draft. He is now the twenty third ranked overall prospects. They also added three exciting highschool talents to very deep system by trade deadline deals so they may deals. They added guys quin price tier number fifty three o.'neil cruise fifty seven. Nick zala sixty eight layover pajaro number ninety three so the pirates drafting well adding talented trades and the future looks brighter than it has in pittsburgh certainly in quite some time the miami marlins at number three they were number four in the preseason ranking so they were one of the worst farm systems in twenty seven team to now having one of the best they stocked up on pitching in the twenty twenty draft with max. Meyer fourth-rounder jake editor. They bolstered position prospects by signing cuban shortstop unique cafe in january they drafted khalil watson at the top of the draft is now the twenty eighth overall prospect catcher. Joe mack as well and guys they have in the top one hundred watson at twenty eight edward cabrera thirty max. Meyer at thirty one sixto sanchez. Still on the list since he hasn't been able to pitch this year at forty five. Jj day seventy-seven jack eater number eighty two. So this is a deep system in miami and things are certainly look it up for that. Now they're not gonna make the playoffs like they snuck up on people last year but still very very good organization. They're down. In miami number two the seattle mariners they are up from number three in the preseason ranking so even though jared kalinic graduated logan gilbert graduated taylor trammell have graduated. They're still four prospects in the top one hundred and all four of them are in the top thirty six. Julio rodriguez number two overall novelli martin short stop number eleven jour-jour corby number thirty five emerson. Hancock number thirty six and it wouldn't surprise at first. Rounder harry ford. Twenty twenty one eventually gets into the top one hundred as well so seattle things are looking good. I think next year's the year for seattle this year. They're figuring things out. A lot of these kids are going to improve. And i think next year they get over the hump and really become a contender and then number one. You've got the baltimore orioles. Yes that same baltimore orioles team. We talked about being forty games under five hundred. They now have the best farm system in baseball. They have the best overall prospect in Adly rudman catcher at number one grayson rodriguez right hander at number eight so two top ten overall prospects. Dl hall number seventy eight under henderson and number eighty and colton kawser and number eighty three so they got other prospects like henderson and westberg taken steps forward new members of their top ten within the organization so baltimore again looking at their window. They're going to add another number. One overall. pick this year and things are looking good in baltimore here but again it's gonna take two three four years until all these guys get to the show and certainly make a difference but at least they have the talent to possibly look at the future and say things are getting brighter. So but that's it when it comes to the rankings but before ahead out today i'd be remiss if i didn't talk about miguel knows home. Homerun wednesday night at fenway park. So no it a home run. Four hundred and ninety five feet. It was the longest home run in the manger in the major leagues. This year it went. Out of fenway park to center field slightly left center to the right of the light. Post out there and left center and it was the longest home. Run at fenway. Since that cast has been tracking before that it was only four sixty nine hit by hanley ramirez so this has been the best challenge to ted williams legendary blast.
Fantasy Focus Baseball
"sixto sanchez" Discussed on Fantasy Focus Baseball
"Is going to reinforce his candidacy. As the american league's homerun champion from this point forward. He probably will be a strong candidate to lead the majors and homers from this point forward. Okay okay i can. I can deal with that and nothing. That went back to texas. Is something we need. Talk about yet on. This show saw him morte. Going to oakland a very interesting does martinez value change. Obviously this is an nfl to al trade. So if you're an aol only format saw the morte you break the bank and you say you spend whatever you can. Is the five category player so martinez interesting now only whereas an immensely i would argue. This doesn't change him at all. Really so what do you think. Are you moving up gal and or morte in your rankings because these traits i am moving of gallow it's probably going to be fifteen to twenty overall spots it's probably going to be two or three. Outfield ranking spots. That doesn't sound like much. It is noticeable and one of the things. That's interesting about those two. We haven't yet seen the lineups for their teams as to where they place them does. Gallo bats second dismore tape at second would be premium spots that would reinforce their fantasy values bookcases. I agree with you morte. Nothing changes in mixed leagues gala. Gets a slight bump in mixed leagues in martinez case. That is probably going to be the big name. That comes over from the nationally. The american league in al only lakes. Definitely i agree with you. Open up the fat wallet. I i know i will be in the leagues. Have a chance to get to texas in miami. Have any outfielders that you would call fantasy relevant in mixed leagues. After these traits the taveras lewis anybody Most of them are the ones who still were divall has his value. He probably is gonna end up somewhere else to well might end up somewhere else to texas. I think we're looking more ale at in texas. Zafy concludes devaras. I hope they call them up and give them another chance to play the problem with two viruses. That it's a it's a. We've already seen it from the beginning of this year. An extremely wide range of outcomes that he could provide you. The reason i like. And it's just he can feel homers and steals. So you might as well make the speculative pickup but again ale all right so you wrote the spin on the on. Both these traits. Hey lazardo in miami. Now it's a bad season and for a lot of reasons but are you buying him in a dynasty league. are you still sticking with lazardo. As one of the top young pitchers in baseball as long as the person who rosters him has lost even half the faith that it seemed that oakland bid by sending onto the miners after having put them in the bullpen. I think it's a good time to get him in a dynasty aura keeper league. I think that people have are going to be growing impatient. They and especially right now people who might be trying to compete for championships. So it's a good time to strike. I think miami did it. I think you should follow suit and fantasy leagues and try to get on the cheap. The issue is that this might not make much of a difference from the rest of this year. That's another guy with a wide range of outcomes that i think he's a better prospect than to viruses. But he could be a complete disaster in miami as he works through some of the issues. His fastball was a disaster. To begin the season he needs major reworking of it and it could be twenty twenty two before he really has everything. Click alkan tara. Pablo lopez trevor. Rogers sixto sanchez. cabrera. Edward was ardo. They've got pinching in my land hernandez alleanza. I'm not as high on lazardo now as you are but still very interesting prospect to see what he does being high on them. It's a matter of that. There is the opportunity i mean. I don't think we should be giving a guy in one hundred nine major league innings do you. I agree with you. But if i had them right now in a league obviously i would trade him for this season for whatever i can. But in dynasty. I'd consider trading him as well. I trust oakland and of oakland. I understand oakland renting harley martin and they traded away lazard that kind of tells me something when tampa bay does is to show is staying healthy recipes. And that's what tampa bay did. They're telling us that. And we lazardo. I think oakland's telling us something that i really do. Oakland also did it while not paying a sent to get martin say they will not to pay him at all so that allied i'll give any of us they have to trade from somewhere and miami was willing to take a chance they correct them and you don't want in defense. They've got some pretty good young pitchers as that scouting in advance of getting them in the organization or is that development within the organization. I don't know the answer to that but we will see going forward. I mean the emergency cappelli. In and jeffries they think is going to be good they can afford to trade lazardo moving on escobar does his value change. You know he. He leads all nationally. A third baseman in home runs. And i think he's second in the majors the denver's and homers and rbi at the position. So he's having a decent season. It's a low batting average as a run. But you know. Milwaukee doesn't score that much more than arizona. I'm not going to give you a cast in your or christian yelich rant right now but if those guys were hitting. They wouldn't have had to do this. Trait i think escobar plays a lot of first base. Actually because you're not going to sit colton wrong and oriented is fine. You know nothing special but why would you. I mean even right. He's he's got mixed. He's got he's hitting better against righties and lefties areas is. I didn't know that until i looked it up. So why would just sit him. Roddy tell us can be like a bench guy..
Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast
"sixto sanchez" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast
"It didn't make my list but was like close to the top of the list of players. Who i'm going to regret. Not ranking this guy a few years down the road and i don't know i don't want to feel better about that because i want things to turn out well for him but yeah you know whenever a top prospect is traded. There's been some research that shows that maybe that can be correlated with worse outcomes down roaches because he figures the organization that had the guy for a long time and knows him best. There was something other zone might have causes for concern but obviously it would be far from the first time that someone gave up on a guy too soon not that they're necessarily giving up on him but they have decided that this is worthwhile which is somewhat surprising but also fund because they are getting a good player back here. Yeah i think you know when you look at their current outfield configuration. Marta is a is just like a clear upgrade. On you know. Stephen piscotty right so now. You have an outfield of marquette and sterling marseille and oh ramon laureano who could forget the except for me temporarily right and you think about that. You're like well that that seems that seems really that seems like it's. It's quite encouraging. Now you know. Marty is having this crazy year. I think that there are some peripherals to suggest that he's playing sort of a little ahead of where his underlying metrics might might suggest he should look at that. Like three seventy six babba up and think. Is that really like what what you're expecting from him at age thirty two but he has run high babs historically so i don't know i think he's just good. I think he's a good player so yes going to. He's going to help them in the more immediate term and more kinda see where it goes from there but yeah maybe he replaces. Scotty maybe he replaces. Mitch moreland. Or someone else buffs. Mitch moreland at least against certain pitchers. And so i think it can't hurt. Like oakland's wrc plus just overall non pitchers is fourteen th this year so not a great offense. It's middle of the pack. Nineteen against lefties marae as ready helps there so it is a significant upgrade and oakland. Even though they do have those perennially low payrolls. They're not averse to pushing their chips in at the deadline. They ran that before you back to the john. Trade in two thousand fourteen for instance. So they will go for it and this does help and of course as we should say blanket disclaimer. With any trade analysis. There could be more moves to come for one of these teams. But i think that martin is just like. He's generally underrated just like over the course of his career. He's just a very good player. And maybe it's that he's played for some smaller market teams and some not great teams recently or just that he is one of those like all around good players. Who's never liked the best player. He's not a superstar but he's just kind of good at everything like he hits for a pretty good average she gets on base and he hits pretty decent power. He's a pretty. Good runner is a pretty good. Feel like he's pretty good at everything and so he's heading probably for like hall of very good status at the career like depending on. Which were you use. These you know around thirty were already for the course of his career and not slowing down yet. And i was just looking at baseball reference looking to see how he stacks up against other players in the majors dating back to twenty thirteen which is his first full season in the majors and the names that he is next to are really pretty impressive. Guys who are much bigger names but have the same sort of production so dating back to the beginning of two thousand thirteen. According to baseball reference were martin is at thirty one point. Nine war that ranks seventeenth among all position players and here are the guys like within a win of him in either direction. Kyle seager nelson cruz. Anthony ramdan bryce harper robinson cano justin turner buster posey. That's not counting framing baseball reference. But you know. Jose ramirez like brother big names. According to baseball reference where he has a higher word than bryce harper over a period during which they were both playing which is really pretty impressive. So not flashy really doesn't have a lot of black ink like he led the majors in games played in the pandemic season and then he led the league in caught stealing twice earlier in his career. Mets his only black ink on his bureau page. He made one all star team back in twenty sixty any won gold gloves in two thousand fifteen and twenty sixteen so doesn't stand out but really just dependably quite good right. I think you're you're right. That if he had played for different teams he would be someone who we talk about in that. Same group with much greater frequency. I think you know the pittsburgh of it all does its work and then you know. Last year he he started out in arizona and had that great start and then kind of cooled after the trade to the marlins so even though they ended up being a playoff team between his production sort of dipping a little bit and then their early exit. Like we didn't get it's like last year. We got like a great martin postseason moment really but yeah. He's just he's just a really good solid player and i think that he will. He will add a good deal to that oakland lineup. So i i like it for them. I don't know you always have to be careful not to hold onto the guys. You can't fix for too long. But if he ends up if lizardo ends of being what miami. I assume thinks he will be given what they gave up to to get him. They're sort of willingness to pay salary. Here that marlins rotation is going to be fearsome although without girls yeah who they traded as we started so the astros smith now getting you'd be garcia. It looks like yes so a couple of things so martinez his second straight deadline being traded his third time being traded since the start of last season so a lot of teams want him against that is the positive spin to put on this but from the perspective you can see why they would wanna kinda go all in now just because there's so much uncertainty surrounding that whole organization both contractually speaking because they have a whole lot of guys entering arbitration or in line for raises in arbitration and again. It's oakland so who knows what that does to their payroll or how many of those guys are are sticking around. And of course there is the ongoing uncertainty about where the as will actually be going forward for much of his career. So there's all of that all of those known so yes you know go for it while you can and then from the marlins perspective first of all as you would say. Perhaps a nice bit of business to turn starting martinez into as useless art. Because i didn't give up a ton really. It looks like now to get marta when they traded from last year and they've turned him into something possibly potentially special in zardo so nice little flip there and as you alluded to like young talent in that rotation on that staff is really pretty impressive so if you just look at twenty five and under war by starting rotations this season at fan crafts. Marlins have more than seven war from starters that young and that is more than double the next best team. And that's guys like trevor rogers papa lopez scindia contra braxton garrett. That doesn't count sixto sanchez. Who's been hurt and miss the whole.
GSMC Baseball Podcast
"sixto sanchez" Discussed on GSMC Baseball Podcast
"With twenty six extra base hits twenty one steals it single-a so he's gone right into the single a level and done extremely well there for the padres as they remain deep in their farm system and number six she got the arizona diamondbacks shortstop jordan lawler. Who was this year's first round pick goes right to the top of the list is their top prospect also have outfielder corbin. Carol outfielder alex thomas outfielder christian robinson and shortstop giraldo perdomo as potential tier one level guy. So jordan lawler. Who's drawn. Comparisons to bobby witt junior again. All the way up to the top of the list but ryan nelson a chance to start the arizona system after going in the second round in two thousand nineteen. He's got two three four six. Era across tie in aa so the arms the bats arizona. Things may not be going well at the big league level but they certainly have a bright future ahead of and number five. The miami marlins man they are still loaded when you got khalil watson this year's first round pick at number five and your top overall prospects. You're doing something right now at the top of the list. You've got sixto sanchez. He's been hurt this entire year. He was almost rookie of the year. In twenty twenty so we all know the name but he still has prospect status nother pitcher max. Meyer another right hander. Edward cabrera throwing outfielder. Jj blade day and you got yourself a lot of top level talent. I mean max. Meyer was sent to aa to begin his pro career going number three in last year's draft. So he went right to double as got a one. Six seventy ra in fifty four innings. So it doesn't look like he's overwhelmed at all. You mix in watson you mix in sixto sanchez. And this is a nice group here in miami and number four at the toronto blue jays shortstop outfielder austin morton at the top of the list. Right hander nate pearson. We've heard that name. Shortstop gordon gras crush lines. Excuse me right in picture. Alex manoa is curve. Ball has been absolutely filthy since he's recently been called up and shortstop orvis martinez so a lot of high end guys yet or hoglund at nineteen. This year he was looking to be a top ten guy before he had. Tommy john otto lopez the twenty two year old hitting three forty four with twenty four extra-base hits at aa. He could see some time so the arms for the blue jays or come in. They got a salad offensive team. Already you mix in some of these up and comers and man toronto's in a fantastic spot to really take that next step here number three. I got the pittsburgh pirates. I like what they did. In this year's draft. Henry davis goes right to the top of the list. He's joined by rhianna pitcher. Quinn priests terp. Shortstop second baseman nickens. Alice so neil cruz. Shortstop another shortstop layover per gero so they are loaded up through the middle when it comes to the minor league system ron z. Contraire s was acquired. The deal at sint jameson talion to the yankees during the off season. He's a double a. And the twenty one year old has a two three five he. Ra so pittsburgh may be selling that big league level talent but they are certainly restocking the farm system and then again. I love what they did in this year's draft their strong up the middle catcher pitcher shortstop shortstops shortstop. So i think the future's bright and pittsburgh it's just a matter of time before these kids get here and if they finally contribute and get some help from ownership now the top two number two. I got the seattle mariners six tier one talent. Right outfielder jared kalinic. He had a cup of coffee. This year struggled a little bit. But i think ultimately he will be fine outfielder. Julio rodriguez not far behind him shortstop no vigo martin right hander. Emerson handcock a former top. Pick right hander george. Kirby catcher cow rally all tier one guys all potential all stars. Harry ford an uber. Athletic catcher was drafted at twelve. This year overall. You also got no v martin we spoke about. He's made the jump to full season ball. This year hitting two eighty six with thirteen doubles. Eleven home runs at single a. They're just they're loaded with talent out there in seattle for a team. That's over five hundred at the big league level. If these guys continue to progress and develop offensively add kalinic. Ed rodrigue guess at handcock to the rotation it's a solid time to be a mariners fan for the first time in a long time and then lastly the number one ranked farm system the tampa bay rays six here. One talent guys in their own wander franco recently made his big league debut at the top of the list as the best prospect. And all of balked vidal bruce. John infielder right handed pitcher. Shane baz second baseman shortstop. Executor edwards rhianna pitcher. Cole wilcox outfielder josh. Slow all of those guys. Mix in brendon mackay. The lefty i. I mean the list goes on and on for the race. It's only a matter of time before franco and brazilan are onto the mlb roster for good top picks carson williams at twenty eight cooper keeney at thirty far both have significant upside this year and then co wilcox's thriving and his pro debut after coming over from san diego in the blake snell blockbuster the hard-throwing right handers got a two zero three e. r. a. In fifty two to five strikeout-to-walk ratio in forty four innings at single as so tampa bay has the best farm system as well as competing in the american league east and they continue to draft and developed and it just goes to show. You always don't need a ton of money to be successful and major league baseball draft well developed well and you're going to be at the top of the standings year after year but that does it for segment number. Three here of the gsm see baseball. Podcast brought to you by the mc podcast network will step aside one last time for a word from one of our sponsors and one of.
GSMC Baseball Podcast
"sixto sanchez" Discussed on GSMC Baseball Podcast
"What's going on the field for major league baseball. There's a ton happening across the major leagues. But i i wanted to start a wisdom teams that are currently under five hundred. That could potentially turn it around for the rest of the regular season. I mean we've reached the sixty game point of the season. Which means if this was twenty twenty the regular season would be over and we'd be heading to the postseason and just think about the story lines that would currently be discussed. If this were the case you have the yankees who were coming in as a top favorites in the american league well they would be finishing fourth place in the american league east or you have the corals currently in third place in the national league central. What about the la dodgers coming off a world series victory currently in third place in the national league west. You also have the twins who finish in last place in the american league central so the off season would certainly look different for a lot of these teams if they only played sixty regular season games. But thank goodness. We're back to that one sixty two formats now. The reason i wanna bring up some of these teams is because as recent as twenty nine team the nationals were nineteen thirty one two years ago through fifty games and ended up winning the world series. Now do i think this is going to happen again. Here in twenty twenty one. I don't right. I don't think so but these are teams. That could certainly make a push and make a run here throughout the summer and potentially get back into playoff consideration. I mean again. Do i think it's going to happen. Like the nationals. Did it. I don't but ultimately i wouldn't rule it out of the world of so far this year am the i team has to be the angels. I mean right now. They're twenty nine and thirty. Two and of course mike. Trout is going to be out through the all star break. So that's two full months without mike trout but ultimately when you look at the angels record when he went out eighteen and twenty two and today it's twenty nine thirty two so they actually have a better winning percentage without mike trout. Then when they did now it's still a losing record and slightly under five hundred but still their performance as an exactly dropped off to the way. I thought it would when trout went out of the lineup. And the reason i think the angels have a chance because you look at the rest of the american league west houston astros. Who certainly look like they could cool off. If they're pitching where to ever take a step back. I mean luis garcia suddenly. Putting up crazy numbers. You have the mariners and the rangers through the angel certainly have more talent than both of those teams. And if the as were to falter potentially the angels could make a run. They're only five and a half out of the wildcard and if they're still floating around when mike trout comes back maybe their pitching staff is able to turn things around. They could add somebody at the deadline and possibly be a team to deal with down the stretch. The next couple of teams come out of the national league east. I i would go with the marlins the first month. And a half of the season they were the only team with a positive run differential. Now the mets and braves are finally into the plus mark but miami's still at negative one in eight games under five hundred so it shows the quintessential better than their record shows. Fides going on. Trevor rogers pablo lopez sandy outkick. Tara have certainly been good at the top of the rotation. We haven't seen sixto sanchez yet. If he'd ever be able to get back offensively. Hazou sag alarm starling marseille jazz. Home is a dark horse. All star pick so they're young. They're talented the rested. The division continues to metal and could the rest of the team's kind of burn out as the year goes on while miami gets hot. I don't think it's out of the realm of possibility. And i think they're arrow is pointing up. If not this summer. Certainly here in the future next. I got the phillies. I mean again. The phillies are ahead of them. Twenty eight and thirty one overall their bullpen. Continues to be atrocious. They've now blown six-game sweat having the lead after seven innings and the san diego padres have zero of those same situational losses. So if you were to flip those six games they'd be thirty four and twenty five and clearly in first place in the national league east. They just got bryce harper back off an injury alec bomb continues to struggle if he's able to turn it around but at the top of the rotation. The three headed monster of wheeler nolan f lynn. Their top right. There are good three now. The four and five starters struggle the bullpen. The offense but if they can get healthy start to take advantage of these top. Three in the rotation. I think they have a decent chance of turning it around here next. I have the cincinnati reds twenty. Eight and thirty. They were six games under five hundred when they were heading into saint louis but four games later they're first four-game sweep at busch stadium and more than twenty years and they certainly look right to be back in the mix jesse winkler nick. Castellanos are fantastic. Both of them are having excellent offensive years. The bullpen is struggling for cincinnati which could cap their potential but the central similar to the nfl. Nobody's really running away. And if cincinnati's able to put it all together they could potentially make a run at it and then the last team the minnesota twins. I mean yes. Twelve games under five hundred. They've been playing better ball as of late but still ten games out of a wild card spot. I mean byron. Buxton should be back from injury very soon. he was playing almost. Mvp caliber baseball before he went down. It depends on whether or not they continue to lose and they'll be sellers at the deadline but certainly an outside chance that the twins could make a run at things and get back into the mix. So do i think any of these teams are ultimately good enough to make true. Push for the postseason. I don't i think there are holes are too big you know bullpen for the phillies bullpen for the reds starting pitching for the angels but again if one.
The Points League
"sixto sanchez" Discussed on The Points League
"I think Rendon could go for more than 52. Okay, I don't know, maybe you're right, maybe you're right. Because there's still the same amount of money going out there. So maybe he does go for a lot more. So right now I'm showing what can you guys see my spreadsheet? Yeah, I can see it. So basically I took a stab at guessing everyone's current roster right now in terms of going into auction. And what I'm showing for myself right here is actually what I would do. So there's no lie. Which is 12 players that equal a total of $88. But for all the listeners who can't see this, he's going to keep wander Franco. So just know that that. That is going down. Yes. For $2, yes. Oh shit. But I was just kind of curious, do I have this pretty close? For each of you. Right now. Jesus Christ. So to save everyone. The silence. I have Tim with Darvish bets Acuna water freed. Voight, welcome. And Nick cassianus. I can't wait for you to read my write up of the Luke voigt trade 'cause I really do like Luke Voight. But he wasn't gonna make my roster last year. He absolutely would have this year based on what happened in 2020. He was amazing. He was absolutely what I would want him to be. I mean, I bought him for a dollar. Yeah. In 2019, like he's $4 this year, so it wasn't like that was overlooked. For Jack right now I've got real Muto, which was a trade that I like for both gaur and Jack, Machado, Ozuna, on sixto Sanchez, Mackenzie gore, Josh bell, and Daniel cinematic. Is that about right Jack? Yeah. You're not missing anyone. I'm not sure if I'm gonna. Well, I think I keeping Joey Bart and Alex Carroll off. There are only two bucks a piece. And my turn is something. I'm not really sure about Ozuna though. Really? What a big year? Last year. Grant, I was only 60 games to your point. But it is $18, so I think that's fair. Yeah. I can see where he's kind of on the border. Yeah, and he kind of depends on what else I might be able to execute next few days. Yeah. For those of you wondering who I'm keeping at this point, Seeger, Suarez, Wheeler, Bieber, lazard, gallon, Alcantara, Tucker. Montez, ohtani, pitcher. Frank Al. For 88 bucks. I think mine is pretty close. I'll be really inclined to keep Castellanos if Yahoo allowed me to change my team name to a longer quote and I could put in the Tom Brennaman and that's a deep drive up to left. That's a home run by Castellanos for former leading them very sorry about my homophobic slur that I just use Bruce. I was watching that game live. It was unreal. Watching that whole game.