17 Burst results for "Seth Walder"

"seth walder" Discussed on The Paul Finebaum Show

The Paul Finebaum Show

04:12 min | 2 years ago

"seth walder" Discussed on The Paul Finebaum Show

"If you want to chime in on that, can well, let me let me listen, I am somewhat unfamiliar with what the disatisfaction with Ross Bjork in. What's what does it concern? Well, like I called last week and goal about from Dixon, we love, and he doesn't want that plate every gin and also statue move into Morial. I mean stuff like that. I mean, there's there's a huge division. There's going on right now. And. I'm not really sure I mean, I'm I'm telling you, this is gonna be really sad for football station this year because even though on have great team with right quarterback. We have other coming in. We had a pretty decent class coming in. And we've got these great coaches at school. Now, look man, I know he's coats. But this is a trying time right now. And I'm gonna let you know this when there's over four thousand people that are not renewing their season tickets not giving in my university that studies almost half empty. You know, let me let me offer this this Joseph. I will I will get to the bottom of it. I apologize for not having done it where this came up about a month ago. When when Bowe bounds was on the program. He unloaded on Ross Bjork and talked about that situation Bjork when after bounds publicly instead, it wasn't true that the ticket sales have been very good. I don't know the listen, I don't really know policy Mr Paul lesson and also Asian things that are whenever they started. All this stuff. They said oh miss. We're all these be all misrepre will always be almost rebels. Well, now, they started taking this away input. This script him on some of our charges and stuff, and that's not all mess like they're fading into way. I'm telling you what is going on. And there's a lot of people's very dissatisfied. I'm citing me know, and if you get became too, you'll find out I mean, I'm a Massachusetts. I don't I don't doubt it. But and I will be in that area. Not too far in the distant future. I'll see if I can find out a little bit more. Hey, thank you for the call. Brian is up next in South Carolina. Brian welcome to the program. Liz to Paul. How are you? Good looking. Thank you very much. Big Hello to the boys in the box. I just wanted to tell you how I really feel today Nick Sabin with his hip. I don't know I'm not being ugly. But I just think he's a bit of drama Queen myself, but complains a lot. But I guess, you know, you know, whatever this Joe Leyva. I'm I mean, honestly from a distance. I I'm surprised he's still there. I mean, I laughed at LSU for many situations over the last few years moving onto my Gamecocks. You know, like what in the heck is going on baseball team. We got a great coach just were we need to figure that out. But I am excited. Frank Martin, of course, chose to not go to cincy. He's a great, man. And definitely a great coach. And we definitely looking at the. Recruits. We have coming in. It's gonna be great coming here shortly. And lastly to the football team. I hope everybody continues overlook our team were improved in the running back. We're definitely better on the offensive line were equally as good if not better, I know. It sounds crazy on wide receiver the debate going, but we're going to be equally as good or better. Listen. Oh, brian. I don't think anyone doubts that South Carolina will be better. I think what they do doubt is whether the Gamecocks can handle the most difficult schedule Leeson, the SEC, and I dare say in the entire country with the three top teams in America on the schedule based on what Seth Walder told us today. That's Alabama, Clemson and Georgia. Thank you very much for the call..

Gamecocks Ross Bjork Mr Paul South Carolina Nick Sabin Bowe football Dixon Brian Frank Martin Morial Joe Leyva Massachusetts cincy LSU baseball Joseph Seth Walder SEC Alabama
"seth walder" Discussed on The Paul Finebaum Show

The Paul Finebaum Show

04:54 min | 2 years ago

"seth walder" Discussed on The Paul Finebaum Show

"The second half of our program is live. It's been a really good one. Mike to Rico was with us about an hour ago. We've talked about this weekend's Syracuse Notre Dame game. He doesn't Dame football for NBC. He's a Syracuse graduate and proud one at that. We also talked about the analytics and now time for Bill Hancock brought to you by being expressed be the ready and Bill always nice enough to join us on these day after Bill I must admit I was flying last night. So I missed a show for the first time. But I probably could have guessed how it was going to be resolved. But we always wanted to get inside that room, thanks for being with us, and certainly no surprises. But what what what did you and what did this committee take away from week three? Well, good good to talk to you. As always. I think a lot of people would have said, oh, they left the top ten the same. So they had an easy time of it. And actually we did at the top ten the same. But but getting there was. I don't wanna say difficult. None of this difficult compared to the real world out there. There was a lot of discussion about everything in the top can of top twenty five. No, one loss in the top one that eleven issue. And then I think eight of eighteen loss between something like eleven and twenty four. So yet we have a lot of work to do yesterday. And I came out in a good place. Let's let's start with the top five or six, and the reason I bring that up is, you know, the narrative on Oklahoma is they have they have one of the best. If not the best offenses in America. But the flip side of that is is their defense. How important is that to to the committee? If it turns out that they are nipping at the heels of that fourth spot. Well, they obviously have deficiencies on defense and. But their offense is so dynamic and collar Murray, so real deal, of course. But the committee looks at the whole package. You really need to be bring strong on both sides of the ball. And he said that if Oklahoma can future forty eight forty seven then so be it become eighty obviously the committee like everybody else in college football than been watching their performance on defense all season. But if it comes down to it in committee can't trust their defense. Will that matter in the end? A lot of times the committee will ask each other grid meetings. Who would you gotta play. And sometimes ask the coaches sometimes sports writer in the room. Who would you rather play? And then then that's that's that's one strong way to approach it. Home is done what they have to do. Because of that offense. So I think I think the committee hasn't ranked where they need to be. We just talked to Seth Walder from ESPN stats and information asked him about Washington state. He said they're not going to get in. Well, I've heard that. But you know, there there's another team with a guy namic offense and government. You just keeps getting better. And if you look at the way they lost at Southern Cal. They could easily at won that game. So we could be looking at undefeated watching the speed team right now. UCF was another one those that he said that about UCF is on center stage this week. I know you're find the they're passionate fan base. We all are they really seem to care about what we all think of them. But their schedule is not great. Is there anything that you picked up in that room? That would lead us to believe that they have a chance to get into the playoffs. We know they're higher than anyone's ever been. But that's not really what this is about. Is it? No, it's really not. I always enjoy those fix that people come up with. But the committee doesn't think about that in in case of UCF the committee sees that offense and McKenzie Milton. It's a real deal. They're fast. But. Not sure about the defense. And obviously they haven't had a chance intestines against the really good teams. The white at some of the other people have done week after week. Clean Cincinnati getting into the top twenty five, you know, up. See stature that game this weekend..

UCF Bill Hancock Rico Oklahoma Seth Walder Syracuse Murray NBC Mike Cincinnati America Southern Cal writer McKenzie Milton football ESPN Milton Washington
"seth walder" Discussed on Championship Drive

Championship Drive

03:52 min | 2 years ago

"seth walder" Discussed on Championship Drive

"So you can't really give an inch for. But I'm going to ask it anyway. What a team consisting of Alabama's backups led by a healthy. Jalen hurts could they win the Pac twelve? This year. I would say about this now. If if they had a play Washington Honda road and played in the same division. It might might be tough. But I would say the possibility exists. Yes, Alabama's second and third string compete a lot of things in the country. And it really is a down year for the Pac twelve question. Peter. All right. So we've got him with Oklahoma covering the number BC covering the twenty as an underdog USC covering the number against Cal Georgia covering that number Ohio State as well as the favourite, and he's got Alabama's backups winning the Pac twelve thank you, Phil. We appreciate it potentially winning the Pac twelve very good. Thank you, sir. Have a great weekend. Hey, a lot of fun as always guys have a great weekend. Joy the games marry to me nerds up. I'm Brad Edwards along with Seth Walder. And this is when we usually take you through the highest playoff impact games plural of the weekend. But look it's a light slate. There aren't that many contending? Teams still remaining. So let's just keep it with the highest impact game singular. Seth what do you have a team? That's been struggling Hieaux state on the road at Michigan state. I think it's easy to imagine. The buckeyes stumbling here and the obviously can't afford to one more loss, and they're out of this thing. Yeah. Two losses is almost always going to get you. I think with the playoff, especially when one of the two is by a lot cited margin, which Ohio state's loss to Purdue was of they can tell you that from experience having been a two loss team with one lopsided loss last year. Let's look at a game that I was kinda surprised is not among the top three four highest playoff impact this week. It's not too far outside the top three. And I guess the reasons not in there because it's not expected to be close by F B I, nor by Vegas for that matter, and that's Clemson at BC. But I think we do need to at least consider this which is that two years in a row, Clemson as approximately three touch. Down favourite, which is what they are. This weekend has lost a conference game last year. It was to Syracuse the year before that it was to pit. And if Clemson were to lose to BC BC actually takes control of the Atlantic Division in when control it's fate the rest of the way by winning out. So there is that possibility they Clemson could finish with one loss and not be the ACC champion not even get into that championship game. So here's a scenario for you. Seth we have not. I haven't heard this one yet have all the hypotheticals had been thrown out there since the rankings. What would happen? If Clemson is an eleven one team that is not the ACC champion, how likely are they according to playoff predictors. You still get into the playoff? We would give them a fifty seven percent chance to make the playoff in that scenario. The reason why it's that high is that if Clemson were to lose there's there's no ACC champion that's like taking their spot effectively. So yeah, they would be a rough spot because. Would need. Yeah. Let's assume Alabama gets in. Let's assume a big ten team gets in. And Notre Dame gets in then Clemson needs probably a two loss big twelve champ. And probably ideally for them a two loss Washington state team too. But that's not asking that much. And it's also not that they absolutely need that there's still a chance Clemson could beat out a one loss. Big twelve. I'm not sure how frequently in the simulations that happens, but it's not outside the realm of possibility..

Clemson Alabama Seth Walder Pac Jalen BC Ohio Phil Honda Peter Purdue Brad Edwards Oklahoma Michigan Washington Hieaux Syracuse USC Vegas Atlantic Division
"seth walder" Discussed on The Paul Finebaum Show

The Paul Finebaum Show

02:28 min | 2 years ago

"seth walder" Discussed on The Paul Finebaum Show

"No is the dust on his own natural Prentice on the dust on his run along. Welcome back. We're glad you are here. And always our weekly stateful at this hour talking to Seth Walder about the analytics of what we learned last night. And what it means is we move forward. Always great to talk to you. I asked you about LSU Randy was just making reference amended to go about the questionable ranking any any explanation for that? I realize you don't do it. You just you just analyze everything you're talking about the fan having this. My college football playoff ranking. I'm a little more interested in the college football playoff, right? Yeah. I think so, you know, with LSU, I guess, it's. It's funny. I was looking at their numbers. We don't we give them like a two percent chance to make the playoff at this point, which might sound like to too many points to most people. But I suppose that's extraordinarily unlikely. I guess they're just getting respect for the schedule losing Alabama. I guess the committee's thinking, well everyone's gonna lose to Alabama. If they have to play let's get to the real nitty gritty LSU is not a factor. But Michigan and Georgia are many wondering not that many. But some wondering how Michigan ended up where it is head of Georgia any explanation for that. Yeah. I wasn't surprised to see Michigan four. But I do think that there would be a pretty good case to put Georgia. They're at at four spot. Georgia's better enough PI, they're better strength. The record. Their veteran efficiency all those things are narrow margin. So it's not like they're leaps and bounds better than Michigan. I think you could've made a pretty good case. Ultimately, I don't think it makes a huge difference. Because there's not really a scenario you can fi-. Find where the fourth spot in the playoff on selection. Day comes down to Michigan Georgia. Okay. It's the weekly question about Alabama not about how great the are. But what happens if Haley's comet comes around a little bit early this time and Alabama loses one of these games or the SEC championship game. Take your pick. Yeah. I mean, if they lose the SEC championship game to Georgia. We still think they're in a pretty good spot. But there are ways in which they could end up being knocked out. So you brought up their strength of schedule before. And here's the situation if we do kind of the everybody wins out scenario, Clemson Notre Dame, Oklahoma Michigan. They all went out and Georgia beats Alabama..

Michigan Georgia LSU Alabama Seth Walder SEC Prentice football Clemson Oklahoma Haley two percent
"seth walder" Discussed on The Paul Finebaum Show

The Paul Finebaum Show

04:16 min | 2 years ago

"seth walder" Discussed on The Paul Finebaum Show

"We welcome all of you to the program. So glad you're here on a Wednesday as we get ready for pretty big weekend of college. Football. Well, welcome to the program a lot to do your phone calls of course, at eight, five, five, two, four to seven to eight, five number of guests as well as we'll dig deep into the Georgia, Florida, Florida, Georgia, to get the names out of order. Speaking of, let's get right to it. The one staff they will decide the Florida Georgia game. What is it. It's the Russian game, not the Russian game, the rushing game. Who does it better? They both are pretty well. Georgia probably needs to do it better if they're going to repeat. As SEC chimps team was the most rushing yards has won the last twelve times in the series. If that means anything to you should mean something because that's often were these games are decided so a lot more on that that game. Meanwhile, there's, yeah, Nick Sabin calls, LSU legitimate. What's he supposed to say? Yeah, they're illegitimate, they're no good. We're, we're bringing our officials to the game anyway. Nick Sabin. If you're asking me if I think LSU is legitimate, I think they're absolutely legitimate. I think they have a really, really good team. I think they played a difficult schedule and done a really good job of beating some really good teams. I think they're, you know, playing well on both sides of the ball. I think the very well coached on the Gad's done a really, really good job with the program. So. I mean, I think they're very, very legitimate contender for you know our league and it's going to be a big game for both teams. Hey, now we've got that settled. What are these days? I want to say we don't respect them terrible. So and so's the coach and got no offense. They played any, but that's not really the truth here. And the truth is LSU is one of the top teams in the country. Most people leave their top four team, so more on that game. But it's not until next week. Mike Bianchi. What else can you say about him? That he has an said? David Pollock star few Georgia, Florida games. Seth Walder are Wednesday, ESPN stats and information guy. George Schroeder and Martez IV. He knows a little bit about this game and the importance of it. We'll talk to the great player from Gainesville coming up later. But I, you know what I'm about, say. Your phone calls eight, five to four, two, seven, two, eight. Five always interesting. When you look down, you don't know who you're gonna find, but I am taking relief because who I don't see hairy starts it off in the big easy. Hello, Harry. Thank you, Paul. Thank you so much for big call today. Thank you. I tell you, Paul, I'm interested now all all the Georgia Florida game, but I wanna wish you the best this weekend on that Monday headline. That's that's. Oh, thank you. One of my favorites ball and let's let's pizza ball the Saturday sportscenter going into game day and sometimes you know, the games are more difficult than others. I try to find the biggest game of the day and write the headline for the next day, and I've had a pretty unblemished record so far, but this week may have to go Florida, Georgia. That's going to be tough. Well, tell you ball. You've got me. You've got me very interested in that. I'm not gonna ask you for a little hint, but I'm going to be watching and I'm going to do. I'm going to have a Daryl in Lance sitting in Jacksonville Saturday morning, and I'll with them both give an opinion. Well, for what it's worth ball, a love Georgia. Go dogs. Thank you. Thank you very much. Great.

Georgia LSU Florida Nick Sabin Paul Mike Bianchi Football SEC George Schroeder Seth Walder ESPN Lance David Pollock Gainesville Harry Jacksonville
"seth walder" Discussed on The Paul Finebaum Show

The Paul Finebaum Show

03:09 min | 2 years ago

"seth walder" Discussed on The Paul Finebaum Show

"I want you to follow up on that and give barring SMARI. Let's I mean, just let's go. just call word to this. What do you want me to do? I mean, listen, Alabama's just destroying everybody. Okay. Just destroying everybody, right. I'm listening to you telling me Georgia, what they were last year, Ohio State. We got the whole urban Meyer at thing. Distracting us from the greatness that exists with the now. Although we were reminded on this Saturday night, win over at Penn State. Okay. You got Notre Dame and I'll tell you something strange about about the sportsman. Don't think for one second. This doesn't happen no matter what you see from Notre Dame right now. Everybody remembers when they were twelve or no in Alabama, destroyed them for trash through championship that residue still stay stays with you. So you look at Notre Dame and on one hand, you like fighting Irish NBC. It's nice to see you on national television. Good win over Stanford a couple of weeks ago, but if they played Allah bam, right? We all know what would happen. That's what people are thinking. And so really the season is about two things, Alabama and what team could give him a rough of their. Money. And when you look around and you don't see that it's boring warring. I mean, we hope that Ohio State would ask and the crew will give you something in urban Meyer has had some success against Nick Sabin. We get that, but outside the devil Sweeney is a great coach guy, great program, but we sort of struggle against Syracuse to team that I tried to inspire with the speech, but Syracuse is not on Alabama's level even though they on the come up. I love him. We just look with just looking for somebody with two at quarterback. What was Alabama's issue all of these years. They will have a quarterback now like AJ McCarron when he was there, but they didn't really have that start at quarterback. Well, who's the favorite for the Heisman now that too. 'cause he could ball, so we're looking at it and it was like is bad enough. Y'all were destroy people without a quarterback. Now you had to go out and get one. I mean my goodness talk about death Borhan. It's just boring. I'm not blaming saving. No it what he said about the students. He was right. Because you had Alabama, you should support. You should support program show up to the game, even if is against Lafayette, Louisiana, whatever the hell they go there, what do you have to do on a Saturday on a college campus? You can get to the football game, just stop it. But if for the rest of us. I mean JIMBO Fisher's at Texas ready yet night's game because Clemson put up a little fight for a little bit against Alabama for a few seconds. But I mean, we just looking at it. It's like, come on, you need more. You just do it doesn't get better than this Stephen. All right. Thank you. Thanks buddy crates, human. All right. I mean, I don't. I don't know where we go. We. Coming up on the program today. We have a lot more to do. Zina's can top that. Yep, sure. He can Connor Ogura from Saturday down south at the midpoint of the SEC season. Seth Walder he's usual spot stats and info. I, it does get better toward the end. Wow..

Alabama Ohio State Meyer Stephen AJ McCarron Syracuse Penn State Seth Walder JIMBO Fisher Zina Lafayette Stanford Georgia Nick Sabin Louisiana football Connor Ogura SEC Clemson Texas
"seth walder" Discussed on Championship Drive

Championship Drive

02:24 min | 2 years ago

"seth walder" Discussed on Championship Drive

"That is the college football season. Critics are saying it's good. Fantastic. And is anyone else thirsty? And literally the best thing since dia Dr Pepper and Dr Pepper cherry in fans Ville. Dr. Pepper delivers a tour to force performance alongside legendary college football coach stores, Brian, the BAAs BAAs worth Eddie. George in the mad Hatter himself less miles experienced the pain, the passion and the deliciousness of college football fan. This fall on fans Ville presented by Dr Pepper. So pull over veer rights slant left. Do what you gotta do to get to your local store and pick up some refreshing ice cold, Dr Pepper, the official drink a fans Ville in, hey, while you're at it don't be afraid to go to marry to me, it's nerdy time. I'm Brad Edwards along with Seth Walder from ESPN sports analytics team. We're going to look at this past weekend games, Intel. Oh, you how they impacted the playoff race using our playoff predictor? Seth, two, biggest risers two biggest fallers. Well, biggest faller shouldn't be any surprise to anyone Oklahoma after its narrow loss to Texas in the Red River showdown Oklahoma's not out of this race. I think you know, we'll be pretty clear about that. We twelve percent chance to make the playoffs now, but it took a big tumble. No question about it. I think if they went out now they're no longer lock to make the playoff LSU. We had them as long shots to begin with. They are now virtually eliminated with a with a loss, which in sub sub one percent here virtually eliminated. You mean they're probably going to have to win out and given that they have Georgia and Alabama left on the schedule is just so unlikely that they're virtually limited. Exactly. So we're not talking about mathematics and things are Kentucky is could make playoff too, but we're saying right out like, okay, on the other side. Notre Dame. We talked last week about Virginia Tech being their toughest remaining game, and it didn't look that tough for Notre Dame and so- Notre Dame really boosted its playoff chances. They're all up over sixty percent now sixty two percent. I think as a surprise to a lot of people not a ton of not a huge surprise if you've been listening to our segment. 'cause we've been talking about since the preseason and then Clemson gets a statement win over Wake Forest..

Dr. Pepper Dr Pepper football Seth Walder Notre Dame Ville Oklahoma Intel Brad Edwards LSU Virginia Tech George ESPN Red River Clemson Wake Forest Eddie Texas Brian official
"seth walder" Discussed on Championship Drive

Championship Drive

02:41 min | 2 years ago

"seth walder" Discussed on Championship Drive

"The philosophical discussion of the value of a conference championship which you Alabama seem to answer last year. That matter Dame would not all that valuable. So. You know, I I, I don't know. I mean, you know, Washington is going to need somebody in the conference to to step forward and play better. You know, Stanford's got issues. At the line of scrimmage, Oregon, I don't really. I don't have a great amount of faith in Oregon, and I don't have a great amount of faith in the entire south. So you don't like the buffs Ivan. Well, we were discussing that yesterday. Got got a play somebody. So to answer your question, No, at this moment, maybe they'd beat the Brask in that a good win. No. That is. It's sad that that made me laugh. What you guys love all this scenario talk though in early October about before? Yeah. Out of these teams will be in the mix by the time we get there, no, they're going to be. There's going to be some something happened. There always is November's the month that really sorta throws a wrench into everything. But to me, the scenario that would be just would throw everybody in the mid west into complete chaos is if for the third straight year, the big ten champion somehow does not get into the playoff. That would be fun when Notre Dame did. Yeah, let's say for the third straight year, the the big ten champ is left out in Notre Dame does get in. Yeah, thank Jim Dillon. I'll be happy camper. Yeah, you could no stain would be rising off his off his pate. Washington does have to go to Oregon on October thirteenth next week in Oregon has this week off. So that's that's something to think about. But maybe grasping at straws. When we come back, we want to go on this show. Phil Steele will be here. We will be spoken nerd Alie to us with Seth Walder. And of course, Brad Edwards will have your walk on our extra points. But I, I want to tell you about Indochino guys. Everybody knows that made to measure suits, fit better compared to generic off the wreck suits. I mean, da Indochino is the world's most exciting made.

Oregon Dame Jim Dillon Washington Seth Walder Alabama Phil Steele Brad Edwards Indochino Stanford
"seth walder" Discussed on The Paul Finebaum Show

The Paul Finebaum Show

03:57 min | 3 years ago

"seth walder" Discussed on The Paul Finebaum Show

"Join by Seth Walder from ESPN stats and information. Seth always good to catch up with you. Let's try to figure out where we are as we head toward the fourth week of the college football season, things start to move around, things start to change, and especially the position that the SEC is in right now, look at Alabama in a commanding position. So he's Georgia and Mississippi State down there creeping up at eight percent. Couple of wins more in how will that change? It says, St Paul, how are you? We're doing great. We'll pick that up. Yeah, great. Mississippi State. I mean, I think they're, you know, certainly they're not a main playoff contender, but they are a dark horse candidate here. Now, I do think that what's interesting this week is that Mississippi State comes in there making. Leaderboard, but LSU doesn't despite the fact that LSU leads the nation in strength of record. The difference here is they LSU's gotta play Georgia. Even though Mississippi State goes to goes to Baton Rouge. The fact that LSU has to play Georgia just makes it so much more difficult for them to compete. Of course, Alabama, Georgia, number one and two in the country into the best chance to make the playoff. Yeah, we we know what to rank east state is we said, let's get inside those numbers and tell us what you lean from that other than the obvious these to look like they're the best to in the country. Well, I think the thing that's interesting is that you the situation to get both of them in is just looking more and more increasingly likely each week. So we're not talking about forty nine percent chance for the SEC to get two teams in the playoffs. I think we talked about this a little bit last week, but Paul, if Alabama and Georgia are both undefeated and they reached the SEC championship game face each other, the loser of that. Game has an eighty three percent chance to make it to the playoff the loser, which is honestly just stunning. But I guess when you think about it, sorta makes sense. The only thing that could really keep them out of that point would be for power, five, one loss champions maybe an undefeated, Notre Dame. I mean, I don't know Paul, you know the SEC better than anyone is that. Are we too high on the SEC this point or is this feel right? I think I mean, listen for now it feels right, but but here's why it feels right. We haven't quite gotten into the cannibalisation part of the schedule, and you know what I'm talking about there where you have all these all these schools playing one another. Let me put the SEC on pause for just a second, though. Seth, the numbers on the border, not good for the big ten now for Ohio State, maybe, but help us understand that league which has taken a beating in three weeks. Yeah, I was surprised to see the big ten still having an eighty four percent chance to make the play. Off. Then when you kind of look at it, the two teams of the best shot from that conference to make the playoff both won last week, Penn State? No Hieaux state. They're playing each other. Obviously in two weeks. The winner of that game is going to be a really good spot to me the playoff. And the other thing is that it only the ACC which is basically entirely reliant on Clemson, at least for the big ten. It's got multiple outs, the loser of that game. It's still theoretically possible for them to make the playoff. Whereas if Clemson ends up bombing out of the playoff race ACC's just in trouble. Yeah, and they're not the only ones in trouble. The narrative is pretty negative toward the Pac twelve. I wonder if that's not a little premature though you Stanford with a huge game this week against Oregon, but they do play Notre Dame. They have a lot of pretty games on the schedule. What's the? What's the Pac twelve looked like? Yeah, the thing that had with Stanford, they actually dropped in our chance to make the playoff even after a win. But that's because they only be UC Davis by twenty points. And this is all about expectation..

SEC Georgia Mississippi State UC Davis LSU Alabama Seth Walder Notre Dame Paul ACC ESPN Baton Rouge football Pac Clemson Stanford Ohio Oregon eighty three percent eighty four percent
"seth walder" Discussed on The Paul Finebaum Show

The Paul Finebaum Show

03:59 min | 3 years ago

"seth walder" Discussed on The Paul Finebaum Show

"Can you were about to be joined by Seth Walder from ESPN stats and information. Sheth always good to catch up with. You. Try to figure out where we are as we head toward the fourth week of the college football season things star to move around, things start to change, and especially the position that the SEC is in right now, look at Alabama in a command. Physician, so Georgia and Mississippi State down there creeping up at eight percent. Couple of wins more in how will that change. St Paul, how are you? We're doing great. We'll think that up. Yeah, great. This'll this state. I mean, I think they're, you know, certainly they're not a main playoff contender, but they are a dark horse candidate here. Now, I do think that what's interesting this week is that Mississippi State comes in there making that leaderboard, but LSU doesn't despite the fact that LSU leads the nation in strength of record. The difference here is they gotta play Georgia, even though Mississippi State goes to goes to Baton Rouge. The fact that LSU has to play Georgia just makes it so much more difficult for them to compete. Of course, Alabama, Georgia, number one and two in the country into the best chance to make the playoffs. Yeah, we, we know what to rank east state is we said, let's get inside those numbers and tell us what you lean from that. Other than the obvious that these two. They're the best to in the country. Well, I think the thing that's interesting is that you the situation to get both of them in is just looking more and more increasingly likely each week. So we're not talking about forty nine percent chance for the SEC to get to teams in the playoffs. I think we talked about this a little bit last week, but Paul, if Alabama and Georgia are both undefeated and they reached the SEC championship game face each other, the loser of that game has an eighty three percent chance to make it to the playoff the loser, which is honestly just stunning. But I guess when you think about it, sort of makes sense. The only thing that could really keep them out of that point would be for power, five, one loss champions maybe an undefeated, Notre Dame. I mean, I don't know Paul, you know the SEC better than anyone is that we too high on the SEC this point or is this feel right? I think I mean, listen for now it feels right, but but here's why it feels right. We haven't quite gotten into the cannibalisation part of. The schedule, and you know what I'm talking about there were you have all these all these schools playing one another. Let me put the SEC on pause for just a second, though. Seth, the numbers on the border, not good for the big ten now for house state, maybe, but help us understand that league which has taken a beating in three weeks. Yeah, I was surprised to see the big ten still having an eighty four percent chance to make the playoffs. And then when you kind of look at it, the two teams of the best shot from that conference to make the playoff both won last week, Penn State, no Hieaux state. They're playing each other. Obviously in two weeks. The winner of that game is going to be in a really good spot to to play off. And the other thing is that unlike the ACC which is basically entirely reliant on Clemson, at least for the big ten, it's got multiple outs, the loser of that game. It's still theoretically possible for them to make the playoff, whereas Clemson ends up bombing out of the playoff race ACC's just in trouble. Yeah, and they're not the only ones in trouble. The narrative is pretty negative toward the Pac twelve. I wonder if that's not a little premature though Stanford with a huge game this week against Oregon, but they do play Notre Dame. They have a lot of pretty games on the schedule. What's what's the Pac twelve look like? The thing that had with Stanford, they actually dropped in our chance to make the playoff even after a win. But that's because they only UC Davis by twenty points. And this is all about expectation..

SEC Georgia Alabama Seth Walder LSU Mississippi Notre Dame ACC Paul Clemson Sheth Pac St Paul ESPN Stanford Baton Rouge football UC Davis Oregon eighty three percent
"seth walder" Discussed on Championship Drive

Championship Drive

03:05 min | 3 years ago

"seth walder" Discussed on Championship Drive

"Speaking of which the one other game that I want to talk about is in Syracuse where Florida state is the Vegas favorite FBI make Syracuse the favourite, and I don't necessarily want to get into who should win and all that. When we're telling you have PI says Syracuse, but I think this is a great example of how FBI works. There are a number of people who are critical of this system when they learn that preseason data never completely filters out. Even at the end of the season. Some of those preseason factors are going into FBI projections for the bowl games. Now, this tells you how much what happens on the field even through only two games how much it matters to FBI because before the season started, Florida state was considered by FBI to be. Eleven points better than Syracuse on a neutral field. After the first two games, it's now Florida state one point better on a neutral field, and because of Syracuse, having the home field advantage here, they are considered the favourite. And so what that tells you is even though yes, there are preseason factors at work, including what these teams have done over the last four seasons recruiting over the last four seasons. I would say that that's the only thing that's keeping Florida state one point better than Syracuse and FBI, but it doesn't mean everything and you can see that in terms of how much Syracuse gained on FSU. And if you've watched these teams play, you can't dispute that Florida state does not look better than Syracuse. I'll tell you why no matter who wins this game after what Sanford did through the arrogance against Florida state. I think Eric is going to put up some big numbers or there you go. There's some numbers to think about from us here at talk nerdy to me, we're talking to you and we'll be back on Monday doing it some more for Seth Walder. I'm Brad Edwards. Now, let's get back to the rest of the. Procession. I love that it's talk nerdy to Brad Edwards, always good stuff and then yes, a little bit how much Syracuse talk we're getting in today. I'm so excited about this. All right. I'm excited this because the mustache, one joins us, Philip steal. I can't. I just start calling you Philip Steeler. We always gotta go by Phil, though you would be the only person in the world. Besides my mother calls me fill up at that point. You know what? I'm not even gonna get into that country. That is a membership that she's have all by ourselves. We'll go great fill. Still looking at the games coming up here for week three. I want to start with this. What we've talked a lot about Ohio State and TCU. What do you like about that game? I like the buckeyes. Enter the numbers actually been dropping this morning. It's all the way down to about twelve eleven and a half. So there must be some heavy TCU money coming in, and it is, you know, the games at Texas expect TCU have a big crowd edge, but I don't know if that's going to happen. You know how states one of the best travel teams out there. It's Jerry Jones stadium. I think they'll have probably half the crowd, and then you'd look at Haskins. Making this first start against Gary Patterson defense. That is intimidating then except for when you throw in the fact that last year they threw him off the bench trailing Michigan in Ann Arbor, and he led the comeback win. So I think Haskins that offense almost unstoppable. They have the better weapons to me the best match up in this game..

Syracuse FBI Brad Edwards TCU Haskins Jerry Jones stadium Philip Steeler Philip steal Seth Walder Gary Patterson Eric Ann Arbor Sanford Ohio Phil Texas Michigan FSU
"seth walder" Discussed on The Paul Finebaum Show

The Paul Finebaum Show

04:39 min | 3 years ago

"seth walder" Discussed on The Paul Finebaum Show

"He was to at Tennessee, and I'm sure he is. And I wish him well and he said something about, you know, when I was playing, we were part of a nine year string of losing the Tennessee have. I'm sure he just said that your phone or his fielding a lot of our anti Obama stuff. I mean for the record and and you know this, but the streak was from ninety five, I believe until two thousand and and one Tennessee won seven straight. It lost run in, oh, two than at one. Two more. So it one what? Nine out of ten, but that's not nine straight. Yeah. And of course it might be worth repeating that Alabama's real off what one? Two, three, eleven or a million? Yeah. Well, we really how Bama from seventy one to eighty. One one that was nine, wasn't it that was eleven on a row. Another one to know. Eleven eighty two game. That's the first time I ever got scared after game. So so here, here's what I'm finding humor is. And again, I'm talking about my school here Philip, but so so they're making a big deal about a nine game winning streak. It's only seven while Alabama in your yours in my lifetime has to eleven game winning streaks against them. That's correct with Paul are twelve game streak, which I hope I'm hoping for this year look as as a heretic did a week ago. Yeah, I think we lost Philip, but we got the point across. I'm glad we cleared that up. I knew it wasn't nine. I thought there may have been a tie in there somewhere, but. I think there was a tie in there somewhere. I just can't remember in what context that was it. But anyway, we appreciate the call great to hear from him. Let's take a break more of your phone calls after this. You're listening to the Paul finebaum show podcast. Okay. We're back radio folks with us. Let's bring in Seth Walder. The mentioned the forementioned and he presented by holiday express be the radios. So thanks for the time. We don't want to work you over before you start, but please explain this list. I heard you Paul, I heard you. I can tell you love it, which parts trip in Kentucky not being in the talk. I'm trying to understand what basis that you and your colleagues used to determine the the metrics here. It's a slew of factors, but the biggest thing is basically how you perform against expectations. So when you improve compared to expectation, that's when you start to move up both in sort of the short term in the long term. Yeah, it seemed like Kentucky, they blew expectations. They ended that long streak against Florida, but and so their seventeenth now. But they were at seventy nine just a week ago. So that's a massive jump for them because of that. So. Cincinnati, expectations. They were. We get Alabama pretty much meeting expectations. So aren't they. Yes, but I do think that part of it is just when you're one of your an elite team, you're probably the best team in the country. We all know Alabama fans tend to be cynical about what they had there is I think some inherent happiness when you were the defending national champion. So what does it really mean when fans are happy. Well, I mean, let's say the, there's a big question. I mean, that's the question we're trying to answer, and I think it's really how much satisfaction are you drawing from your team? And the reality is with one hundred and thirty FBI teams. A lot of those teams are not going to be in the national title conversation, so your expectations by be lower. And so that's how you end up with the Cincinnati at number one. Because if you're a Cincinnati fan, you're not gonna win the national title, but you're feeling pretty good today. Having upset UCLA beat near rival. Those are the things that we think at least you care about. That's what we're trying to at least show. Okay. Well, I think I've exhausted that because I, I don't mean to sound the wrong way. I'm still not sure I understand what this is all about because I talked to happy fans and unhappy fans, and a lot of times they're from the same school that is true. People are very different, no matter what no matter if they for the same team or not. Let's talk about something that actually matters with all due respect..

Alabama Paul finebaum Cincinnati Philip Tennessee Seth Walder Obama Kentucky Bama FBI UCLA Florida nine year
"seth walder" Discussed on The Paul Finebaum Show

The Paul Finebaum Show

04:00 min | 3 years ago

"seth walder" Discussed on The Paul Finebaum Show

"Seven different factors that include what program? Power panic factor, hotseat recruiting, Trinh rivalry dominance, whether or not like a high All Saints, not happy because they keep losing to all of their their rivals, right revenue growth in Twitter buzz, which I found was interesting which one of those is kind of the. The easiest in which one of those is the hardest kind of gauge in this fan? Happiness index. I think the easiest is sort of the program power. So we think about Georgia, the number one team in the country. I obviously they're an excellent football team, but it's more than that, like think about what we thought about Georgia twelve months ago, obviously an excellent football program, but I think we had them at thirteenth FPI going into last season. Now they're the very, very top tier of college football, and so their fans have to be ecstatic about not just where they came in the last twelve months, but where they've been came since Kirby smart as a ride. So I think that's really where you can get a good gauge, how, how good have you been and how good have you been compared to expectation also to recruiting trend? Right. I mean, it seems like I'm the only person who hasn't signed with the Georgia BULLDOGS in in the next couple of recruiting classes. And that's one of the factors you say this panic factor. What is panic factor mean? And how does that play into the fan happiness index? Sure. So that's that's something that doesn't play into it right now. In the quote precede inversion eventually. Like, let's say you're Alabama, right? And it's week one and maybe Alabama ends a beating Louisville, But they go down like down fourteen at the half, and their fans are freaking out that it we're gauging based on based on win probability, the this idea of how much you've come stress, you've caused your fans, even if you even if you get that win. So of course, if a blow, if they just blow out Louisville, Alabama, feel fans will feel a lot better about their season than if they struggle. One of the ones that that I, I kind of struggle Seth Walder from ESPN sports information group joins us talking about this fan happiness index, I shall go to find out that Missouri is all the way sitting there at twelve. I mean, I could see that this was coming off SEC championship birth with Gary Pinkel a couple years ago, but why was Missouri sitting there in the top fifteen of this index? Oh, yeah. I was surprised to just like you looked at that and I thought, wow, what's going on? Well, it has to do with their rivals, right? We with Arkansas. Kansas. We listen as they arrived. They being Arkansas, two years in a row, and it's not just about the fact that you've done that, but also that we think, and therefore we think that fan stink that Missouri's actually little better than Arkansas. So you wanna compare yourself to your rivals and feels good to be just better than them straight up. And that's what we think Missouri is even, you know, even though there's there's some optimism for Arkansas at last question for yourself, Twitter, buzz, the percentage of Twitter sentiment that is positive. You found a couple of teams that weren't necessarily to positive here, including the LSU Tigers. Why were they sell low there? Yeah, it's interesting. You know, that's the one that I think is is maybe the hardest to explain because if there's no perfect formula teams are fans are going to react in different ways and everything. So maybe LSU fan to feel a little uneasy about it or Doron it's hard to put a figure on exactly. But of course, we know the LSU expectations for that program are not what they have been. So. So you might think that you know fans are just feeling a little bit sour. Whereas compared to Arkansas, which is has the best Twitter buzz in the nation. Maybe maybe fans are excited about Chad Morris bull Kelly, and that's really getting. I'm going to listening to the Paul finebaum show podcast. Are you ready for this will Healy coach of the governor's going up there against Georgia? Where are we at right now? How are we feeling? We're couple days away from your team. Awesome. P. facing off against the Georgia BULLDOGS. Well, we're, we're doing some of the same things. I'm sure Kirby is megachurches..

Arkansas Georgia BULLDOGS Twitter LSU Georgia LSU Tigers Missouri Kirby Alabama Louisville football Paul finebaum Kansas SEC Gary Pinkel Seth Walder Chad Morris ESPN
"seth walder" Discussed on The Paul Finebaum Show

The Paul Finebaum Show

03:21 min | 3 years ago

"seth walder" Discussed on The Paul Finebaum Show

"LT to seventy nine seventy nine seventy. Nine. Welcome back to the program we are. We talked a little bit about yesterday. We're gonna talk more about today. This new college football predictor. So joining us from ESPN is Seth Walder Seth. Thanks for the time. Appreciate you being with us. Happy to be here. Happy to come on and talk about what I can tell your new saver metric. Yeah, I I was introduced to it last week at the seminars as you know. And I I was trying to pay attention as much as I could. I failed. Of course I'm not a good student, so help help all of us better. Understand what this is about. Yeah, sure. So we, you know, we all already have been trying to rate Saint of teams and rate their -ccomplish knit with that the I record. But we wanna do is answer the question. Everyone wants to know who's getting the playoff. And so now for four years of data, we can actually try and do it because we wanna do it to replicate the committee's past behavior not just like. Off of whatever we think. So this is based on what the committee's done in the past, and we can out project every teams chance to make the playoffs today tomorrow every day of football. So, okay, we've got it on our screen. In terms of the analytics, strength schedule the FBI the number of losses conference championships. So let's let's get into the season and tell us what this is going. I mean, I realize we don't know yet how the seasons gonna play all, but how does this work? I guess, is my main question. What we do. We take the entire season and we simulate it ten thousand times that's based on at the i. because we have every chance every game the way every game to work out. Ten thousand times and then based on that and say, well, what was the committee do in this in this nation? Well, they would. They would probably lean towards Alabama here, you know, SEC champs and but maybe they look at Clemson, they won the ACC and that ten thousand times. And that kind of gives you a sense of which teams are going to make the playoffs. You know those things, of course, you don't know. You have to. It's a probabilistic for production in each case, but that's what we're trying to find out. So I mean to me, this is very complicated. Seth, I, I mean to people like you. I know it's not how will this change our viewing of the college football season. I think I hope that it gives us a little bit of clarity on a couple of fronts. One, you know, we're talking about who's gonna the playoff at all times. And maybe let's say, last year when Ohio State news too high a well, why people writing off Ohio State and yeah, they weren't. Position, but maybe that moment we stay. Okay. Maybe they have like a ten percent chance to make the playoff at that point. Maybe it's not zero going into selection day, and people are split on Alabama and Ohio State, and we're saying, you know what? It could go either way, but when probably think that it's Alabama, they don't want the committee's done. So we think that it can help help us trying to figure out what those people in the room. I thinking. Man you, you could. You could make a lot of money trying to figure out what those guys and ladies are thinking. So we we have it on the screen, the teams with the highest chances to reach the CFP Clemson right now is.

Seth Walder Seth football Alabama Ohio FBI ESPN Ohio State Clemson SEC ten percent four years
"seth walder" Discussed on Championship Drive

Championship Drive

02:07 min | 3 years ago

"seth walder" Discussed on Championship Drive

"Right of course i'm hearing something that's going on who who gets drafted like the kid or the parents that's a great question to ask oh the kids making it meanwhile you see the parents live i'm not saying that happens all the time but i see it happen the lot we'll be back in a moment with more of my conversation with jay will and the talk nerdy guys but i i want to tell you about spotify did you know you can stream this podcast on spotify right now it's easy open the app on your mobile device or desktop clicking the browse channel then click in the podcast section you can also stream on your smart speaker now it's that much easier for you to stay up to date on all the latest and greatest and all things sports thanks to spotify march means one thing basketball basketball basketball did you know the college players born in north dakota or historically the most accurate three point shooters the ncaa is using google cloud to turn data into insights and so can your business see how it g dot co slash march madness google cloud the official cloud of the ncaa talk nerdy to me hello and welcome to another edition of talk nerdy to me presented by google cloud i'm seth walder alongside paul sabin college basketball analytics specialist here at espn paul we're heading into the final four and there's just no way that you can have a conversation about this year's tournament without kicking off with a little bit of loyola chicago the ramblers are the darling of this year's tournament there in the final four we've seen eleven seats get to the final four before so how improbable really was this to see the ramblers where they are today wolf you're looking at just loyal the interesting thing is actually going into this tournament a few weeks ago i would've told you that a sixteen seed would beat a one seed but that wouldn't have even been the most unlikely to happen in its own region that'd be the truth because oil of making the final four going into the tournament only had a point three percent chance of happening whereas you in bc beating virginia was one and a half percent you can so it's five times more.

jay north dakota ncaa seth walder loyola ramblers virginia spotify basketball google official espn bc three percent
"seth walder" Discussed on Championship Drive

Championship Drive

01:50 min | 3 years ago

"seth walder" Discussed on Championship Drive

"Three point shooters the is using google cloud at turn data into insights and so can your business see how it g dot co slash march madness google cloud the official cloud of the ncaa talk merita to me hello everyone welcome to another edition of talk nerdy to me presented to you by google cloud i'm seth walder alongside college basketball analytics specialist paul sabin paul i mostly want to look ahead but i don't think that we can have a conversation about college basketball and probability without bringing up the unbc upset over virginia so using put that crazy number sixteen over number one of set in context for us i mean it was definitely i think we all agree the most improbable win of any team at two story and be agrees grant it'd be piling goes back about ten years but we had the one and a half percent chance of the retrievers we were gonna pull that one off and they did and some other notable upsets for reference if you might recall the florida gulf coast over georgetown to get in the sweet sixteen city yep don't yeah that was three and a half percent so you know this one is even more unlikely than that virginia obviously overall see doesn't get crazier than that so let me ask you about this south region now which obviously has really opened up with the upsets all four of the top seeds in that region are out it seems pretty clear to everyone that sort of the seas parted for kentucky and they are the fever to come out of that region should kentucky fans be thinking more about a championship at this point then even just the vital four i mean yes i mean they can think about championship if they want it still not.

seth walder basketball virginia georgetown google official ncaa paul sabin florida gulf kentucky ten years
"seth walder" Discussed on Championship Drive

Championship Drive

02:01 min | 3 years ago

"seth walder" Discussed on Championship Drive

"That's right now we're gonna guess young maybe before the end again where we we got a couple of weeks i have made me and get a third third call but i would i would extra coming on that thank you talk nerdy tunisia fluid welcome to another edition of talk nerdy to me i'm seth walder from espn sports athletics team joined by paul save college basketball analytics specialists were in the middle of conference tournaments in and got selection sunday coming up this weekend so we wanted to do just a rapidfire session here of bpi predictions expectations and things that might happen but that most folks might not be expecting so paul let's just dive right in acc tournament is kicking off who is the favourite to win a tournament in who is an under the radar team that might be a contender of virginia obviously is they're going to be the favorite physics on the time bpi sees them winning north carolina though although there are only at the sixty seed in the conference they have a nine percent chance which is right after duke in for virginia most likely how 'bout in the amac the american cincinnati a favorite sixty seven percent and was taught right after them a 21percent a hopefully they me again and give us another great game in the big 12 we seen good competition they are all year long what are you see in their doubt the big 12 going to be a really big competition tcu is the five seeded twelve percent chance to make it obviously kansas you would expect to be the favor at thirty one percent the in between uh kansas and tcu this lots of opportunity for other teams as well yeah tissues one of those teams that i i can already imagine liking in the tournament they've had such a tough road just being in the big 12 and ali until they could be underrated come march what's going on in the big figgis villanova bpi although they are not the top seed in the conference did their the favorite there six seven percent chance a also to win the tournament xavier a seventeen percent chance i'd be surprised if one of those two teams wasn't jan.

tunisia seth walder athletics north carolina virginia cincinnati kansas espn paul ali xavier sixty seven percent thirty one percent seventeen percent six seven percent twelve percent nine percent 21percent