18 Burst results for "Rosenheck"

America's next top chamber, modelled: the Senate battle

The Economist: The Intelligence

07:05 min | 2 months ago

America's next top chamber, modelled: the Senate battle

"In, America's elections just six weeks away. The most important thing to be decided is who will win the presidency. Time before. has there been a clear choice between two parties to visions to philosophies and two agendas for the future. There's never been a vision like this. Sleepy. Joe Jeff from. What pundits had been talking a lot less about is which party will end up with control of the Senate, the legislature's upper house. Attention and donations have focused on Senate races. This week is a fierce battle begins over the replacement of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader. GINSBURG. The president plans to use the power the voters gave him to make a nomination. Senators will use the power the vote gave us. Either provide or withhold consent. As we say, fifth. Republican senators are keen to get a nomination through before the elections. Earlier. In the year, the party seemed set to keep its majority but President Donald. Trump's handling the pandemic and racial justice protests have opened the possibility the Democrats could take it. In America's rigid two party system control of the Senate is a big determinant of what any government can actually get done. But forecasting which party will win control is more complex than it might seem. Predicting Races for Congress is a bit more complicated than predicting the race for the presidency. There are thirty five different races fought in different states between different candidates over different issues and often using different rules. Then Rosenheck is the economists data editor. I have spent the past few months building a statistical model that seeks to predict the results of this November's congressional elections for the House of Representatives, and the Senate in the United States and so how. Do you get past those complexities to t to model it then? So our model makes use of a few broad types of information. It first looks at the state of the race nationally using generic ballot polling as well as the president's approval rating, and if you other predictors to say, okay, we think this is going to be a good year for the Democrats a good year for the Republicans overall. Then it drills down to the state level and. says. Okay. What did we know about this Senate race before we saw our first poll of that race? Well, we know how it voted in past elections. We know if there's an incumbent or not. We know the candidates fundraising totals. If there's an incumbent, we know how they voted in Congress. We know how much experience in politics candidates have, and then the final step is to blend those prior expectations with whatever the actual polls of the race. Say, and so it synthesizes all of that information in two and overall prediction by exploring three hundred fifty thousand different scenarios for the Senate and four point thirty, five, million for the house every single day. So it conservative explore every possible universe. We can think of that this election might take and see which scenarios are most probable but the universe that we're having these elections in is one that contains what the historical data don't, which is a pandemic. That is a very good point and it is definitely a weakness. We don't know whether one party or the other will benefit from that. But I think what we can say is that it would needs some pretty large effects that would need to be consistent and systematic across states to drive the results far outside the confidence intervals that we would expect based on decades and decades of data on past elections. With those caveats behind this then what does the model currently predict for? November. The model shows that the Democrats are a clear but narrow favorite to win back the Senate and currently shows that they have a sixty seven percent or two in three chance of winning the upper chamber, and it's kind of an interesting path of how they get there because assuming that they lose Doug Jones seat in Alabama, which is very conservative state they need to flip four Republican held seats and they only lead in four states and they would need to win all four that would be something of a tall order and what are those four states what are the issues there So the Democrats have pretty clear leads in Colorado and in Arizona in Colorado Democrats have nominated John Hickenlooper is a moderate former governor. He is currently leading in the polls against the Republican incumbent Cory Gardner. The picture in Arizona is similar you have a Republican incumbent and is now facing an extremely strong Democratic nominee in Mark Kelly. WHO's an astronaut? He's raised an enormous amount of money are model certainly thinks those two are not short flip the Democrats but eighty ninety percent that range then. There are two more states in North Carolina. You have a rather unloved Republican incumbent clue has been running consistently behind, and then finally there is main where Susan Collins, the most moderate Republican in the Senate. Now faces a very tough challenge from the speaker of the State House of Representatives who is up by maybe five six points on average. So you're got a headline prediction of the Democrat chances. Here is based on those four races being cinched up I mean is that really so certain? So. The reason why the model is so bullish on the Democrats is what we're calling the long tail, the donkey's long tail. There is a surprisingly extensive list of sort of Second Tier Senate races in which Democratic candidates are underdogs, but have a realistic credible shock to come from behind and win. So that's I Alwa- that's Kansas. That's both the seats that are up for election in Georgia, Montana Alaska and South Carolina, and even Texas so in every one. Of these races, Armato thinks it is more likely than not that the Republican will win however the odds of the Republicans win all of them in the Democrats win none are not so great and if Democrats even score one or two upsets from this very wide list of targets states, their position gets a lot

Senate House Of Representatives Congress America President Trump Justice Ruth Bader United States Joe Jeff Arizona Supreme Court President Donald Ginsburg Cory Gardner Donald Trump Armato North Carolina Susan Collins Rosenheck Kansas John Hickenlooper
"rosenheck" Discussed on Get Real -w- Caroline Hobby

Get Real -w- Caroline Hobby

08:23 min | 2 months ago

"rosenheck" Discussed on Get Real -w- Caroline Hobby

"SMART. Is that what you want, what do you want your blessing earth to be? peacefulness grounded s are not always like that. I am definitely have my emotions of. Black. But I do want. I WANNA leave people with the idea that all of our users live with enough. They don't live outside of us and I want. I want people to see the context producing or the material projects that I have out in the world I want them. I want them to leave those items feeling better than they did before. I just were were so connected and we are responsible for the energy bring to the table have been very intentional to be. Cognizant of energy I printed my projects in the world has it matters. noticed. If your pictures is. They're all. So right in Chris, like to. The words and all those little ricky would choose for yourself. Up to me when I see them, I steal. It. It feels like vibrant health to me is what your pictures feel like. Yeah it feels to me like when I look at this I see whatever you're taking a picture of even if it's Darker colors it feels as vibrant and healthy as that space could ever feel thank you I feel it. You capture things that way. It's with that intention I want people to literally stop, and if they're seeing this work, I want to remind them that the light in these images is the same light that lives inside you. It's the same light that lives in Sag me the same the lives with all of you and it's in it's important to to focus on that light to also you know, give meaning to the shadows that give white. Context interest but you know. I just want people to understand I. Don't think we give ourselves enough credit like you're. You're such a beautiful spirit and I feel like we're all. Being pond and I want us to go within and really lead with our courage lead with our boldness and lead with our light and lead with our gaps. In the world the world needs them now were ever. Not, such good point and I love having conversations with very enlightened people yourself. because. It does no good to sit in the pain like it's yes. You have to know notice and you have like we're not we. Pay Like I will I will sit in the also. Day there for a week album like, okay. You have seven days to just eat the ice cream ride out yell curse whatever you WanNa do watch the'll it binge the TV? Feel it really feel it. Yeah. You have a week and then you have to understand work came from. Hewlett in science you in an action envisioned. Is it like visualize again what we talked about the beginning? What was the earliest memory that made me feel the same way and then visualize whatever currently is bringing you got pain visualize subsequent outcome. And focus on like you said earlier, lick the healing process. Great. Experience it, but then you have to be. This for myself when I'm doing half to turn it into something positive and like I'm also with you. I don't think. I don't think you should live in this positive rainbows and butterflies dancing on all your ass in the context of things and you know sometimes there were times when I would get caught up in not everything has to be positive. Good everything everything has to be perfect. No I'm not standing in my were if I were just sugar coating this shit. I had a really. I don't really fucking hard day and Mike I, need to process it in order for me to get through it. But yet everybody on social media's telling me to know gloss over it and. I'll say this to we're the most magnetic. You talk about energy will like attacks like energy is like magnetic. We're are most mad at magnetic sales. We are our most attracting selves with were standing in our power were standing in our worth in we're standing in our worth were in alignment with what we're. Paying attention to what we're feeling. We're honoring those thoughts and we're finding constructing constructive way to move through thoughts and then that keeps us in our work. Even in you have to communicate it like even with Friendships Gore the thing this morning I you know I confronted in stood my work respectful way and I feel good and now I can release it. Yeah. The whole process got lost over you're missing and that's doing you a disservice to one of my. Shadows in your pictures like you have the shadows show. Yeah, if you open up to the very beginning. Guys, these pictures are beautiful. I did the origins, the shadows. I don't like. That so awesome. I mean, this is a labor of love. He said this this from you. The more we allow ourselves to lean into our by in creativity the easier it is lean into are calling. Amen, that. We have to lean into white we have to. There's no other way. If we lean into the darkness, we're going to have a really shitty life what I have loved to that has helped me through this time what feels like peace in her life. I mean, this is so generic but I mean it sunny sunny to me. my Dr for think ruined who is. Sonny. To me is just. The purist. Canvas. And she is so happy. Enjoy hill she just. Everything is so pure her her feelings. All are so secure. And I'm just like it's such a reminder to me stay. She helps me stay integrate lace because I don't want I want her to have that here. Light life in canvas as long as she can't. And then I just makes me want to. Create an environment for her to be that. Yuck. So she is just In Of Peer hoppy and. She's she's the she's the hope for what? We all we all start with that. Look we. We gain off of experiences that way down, but we stationing in conditioning, but we start. So pure everyone says. So within the other dimension to your life zero dimensional where. Peace to and like the content in the work life. Houston these conversations. That's why like I love cats love talking to you and women in particular. But. Like I. Really Love. I, I lean on other people alive to give me inspiration. I lean on hearing stories of cloud turned artists into White House. Someone has done this their life how someone has Shifted pitted made something beautiful out of. Trauma like..

Mike I White House ricky Sag Chris Hewlett Gore Houston
"rosenheck" Discussed on Slate Money

Slate Money

12:40 min | 1 year ago

"rosenheck" Discussed on Slate Money

"Hello welcome to the wine edition of our special. swags series of sleet money. This is where I feel. Examine of axios go through various asset classes investable 's and collectibles that don't generate generate any kind of cash flow but people seemingly consider investments. Anyway we've talked about art. We've talked about bitcoin. We've talked about luxury goods and today. We have Dan Rosenheck from the economist. How are you Dan Great? Thank you very much and you are going to talk about the most liquid with asset of all which is why I mean it's literally liquid and it sure is and you're the very first person in the world ever make that we're going to talk a bit about the liquidity of the wine world. We are going to talk about which wines of the most liquid not in physical sense in terms of being able to sell them easily. We're we're GonNa talk about which winds count is investment grade. How much it will cost to buy such wine? And whether the vast improvement in wine quality over the past couple of decades has changed that Calculus and tool all of that coming up on slate money swag so Dan I hear that people value wine cellars. It's thing that they are like insure certain. Amounts amounts in there with lots of money in that born sold is actually true to cool wine. An asset class. It's certainly an object that people value value and that some people are willing to exchange large amounts of currency for so in that sense yes any belonging can be an asset in general general. I think when you talk about asset classes you're referring to the idea that they will Something belong to an asset class. At least has a chance to gain in value in real terms over time. And then you can then compare those Those property those returns to the performance of other asset classes and and there are definitely people who try to make money by investing in wine hoping to sell it at a later point in time for more than they paid for it. So who who. Who are these people I mean? Have you met them. I have met people who work for investment funds that take money from investors and plow it into wine-cellars at the then hope to sell for a later date. That's amazing and and I have lots of hobbyists friends. You know who will sort of speculatively try to pick up lines that they hope to flip. But I don't think they're generally putting their retirement savings into to that asset class right. I mean it's it's wine. I mean that's be serious about so like I. I don't think anyone's expecting people to put like half of that. Net Worth into wind. Mind you you definitely know people both institutionally in personally who buy wine without intending to drink yes absolutely. I think that's is fairly common. I think if you were personally a wine collector and this is your hobby and you feel like you're plugged in and you talk to your friends and you follow some some Elliott on instagram. And you you're on you know Internet discussion boards like wine shirkers. And I think there's definitely a lot of overlap between people people who occupy that world and people who convinced themselves rightly or wrongly that they're smarter than the next guy so I think there's a lot of people who are hobbyists who sort of dabble in this and think. Oh well I like this wine. I think it's a good value. Therefore it's probably undervalued therefore therefore why don't I just scoop up a case or two of it and maybe you know I'll drink a few bottles and then you know the prophets and the remainder will pay for my paper my drinking in and then some that go to get a drink for free. Okay now now now you've piqued my interest. So tell me. Has It ever worked out that way in practice. Give me walk me through how this might will work in practice. How where would I buy this wine? And then once had gone up in value where would I sell it show so in general the two main I guess there are three main channels for buying investment grade wine such as is if that term has any meaning would be established auction houses so above all Places like either generalists like Sotheby's or industry-specific shops like Akron rural condit or Heart Davis. Heart have regular auctions where they you know. Sell millions of dollars hours at a time of highly collectible wine. A narrow definitely be a place where I could sell my wine having voted. It is indisputably a place where you could attempt to sell earlier wine having bought it. They generally won't take consignment that they don't think has a good chance of selling and of course they will charge both the buyer and the seller fee for the privilege of their matchmaking. But yes that is extremely common you can also just straight up by from retail and certainly in the case of Some of the most heavily traded. And if you'll excuse the pun liquid and collectible wine region so above all boredeaux and now increasingly Burgundy John g a lot of these wines are well certainly in the case of Bordeaux they're sold before they're even bottled through what's called the entrepreneur system the winds are tasted pasted in barrel and then individual buyers Via Middlemen called negotiaions will actually put up the money now to receive the wine line when and only when in his bottle which is usually months or years later and then it typically particular because Bordeaux takes a long time before it's ready to drink it will then typically sit in some refrigerated warehouse for a decade or two or more and then the buyer the very patient buyer we'll hope that it will magically you know be worth vastly more than he or she paid for for it and definitely for things like collectible Bordeaux over the past Twenty years that has absolutely been the case. There's no guarantee that it will continue to be so so there are two things that are going on here. I'm assuming one is. The wine has become all the fine wine investment grade wine. And we can. We can get what that means in a minute but this kind of wine has become more desirable more valuable over the past couple of decades and and then the other thing which sort of regardless of whether wine is an asset classes become more desirable. Is this idea that wine improves with age. And and just by dint of being aged and having gotten older the wind is going to be better twenty years later than it was when it was new and Jeff four it is going to be worth more those two things kind of late work in conjunction with each other. Is that fair enough to model first of all it is definitely true That somewhere between ninety and most collectible wines to wind up tasting better as they get older for a period of time eventually it all turns to vinegar and if you keep it for Chew Hundred Years it will be worthless except as a museum piece. Now you'll find people who WANNA pay for museum pieces but I wouldn't recommend it certainly with something like the most collectible electable Bordeaux's you probably WanNa wait fifteen or twenty years before you even consider popping the cork that said that improvement in quality. The of the experience for the drinker is completely priced in from the start. The idea that you can buy your case of Lafite Rothschild now and it will be worth more later because it's now ready to drink is just not how the market works. In fact there's often much better value to be found in sort of complected older ready to drink vintages than there is in recent ones typically the recent vintages will sell for prices per bottle. Auteuil that are at the very least comparable to those event of good vintages from thirty years older. That are actually ready to drink. So if you're buying young ages you know in the hope that they'll appreciate because they get better sadly you're not the only person that knows. That wine gets better with age for at least for a time. And that's all priced in. It's amazing so if I'm just a drinker if I'm not an investor then I should basically never by young wine. I should just by old wine because it costs. It's the same and it tastes better depends on the region I would say the region in grape type certainly for wind that have that shape of an aging curve where I they get better than they plateau for a while then they get worse. That is true for my personal collection. I don't think I own any Bordeaux that is younger than the year two two thousand and the median age of the Bordeaux or the California Cabernet in my collection is probably late seventies. Early eighties. That that said you normally buy them. When they're like twenty years old or older absolutely right? I mean just because the values and just to be clear when you're buying lying older wine. The potential price appreciation goes down. Because if you wait another twenty years from the wine could actually get worse rather than better and become the less desirable is is that why people are buying the younger winds just because they have more time to wait for them to appreciate in value. I think a lot of it has to do with providence when you buy old wine on the secondary market. You don't know where it's been and a lot of wine line is really badly stored and that makes a huge difference so The only way to ensure that your wine will will reach the greatest heights that it could theoretically obtain is to buy it yourself on release store it and wait other than that you are at the mercy see of the market and the kinds of you know vaguely reassuring labels you would see an auction. Catalogs like removed from temperature controlled. Cellar mean absolutely nothing indefinitely. I mean for my personal collection and drinking habits. I mostly by mature mature wines and I have a decent size heat damage and failure rate. But I'm just bake that into the the cost of doing business and when I get a wine that that has been well stored in taste grade. I've feel like I've gotten more than I paid for. And that you know cancels out or you know offsets times when I buy a total. Have you ever sold anyone the one I have. I haven't sold wine at auction. I have sold wine to and through friends and then I have one friend in particular who owns A wine store and sometimes I ask him to flip a couple bottles for me and then through online discussion boards. There's often a very vibrant sort of back and forth buy and Sell Forum where you can make individual transactions. But I personally mainly I buy to drink. And if I'm flipping it's because I then hoped to plow the proceeds back into some other wine that I now want to drink more so this about the cost of selling wine like if I guess if you're a super active or did you call them wine Zirka then you can find like some of the individual and just meet in a parking lot somewhere and hand over the wine and get vin mode the cash. And that's what I do. The cost is nothing whereas if you went to an auction house they charge you twenty percent or something like that that's correct. It's the cost-free individual hand to hand sale works great for individual bottles. If you're trying to move twenty cases you might have some some trouble finding the taker and handling the logistics auction. Houses exist for a reason. There's a demand for their services they both matched buyers and sellers and may handle all the logistics and and they can get like bidding wars going as well. You don't actually know until the day. But it's possible possible. The a bunch of like the two bidders will really want some particular lot and it will gopher like substantially more than maybe you expect it is that is does that happened happened in the wind. Well it happens all the time but it is of course difficult to predict you know which winds that will you know which specific lots or wines that.

Dan Rosenheck Bordeaux Sotheby Elliott Zirka Lafite Rothschild California Jeff Akron condit Heart Davis
"rosenheck" Discussed on The Fantasy Footballers - Fantasy Football Podcast

The Fantasy Footballers - Fantasy Football Podcast

03:40 min | 2 years ago

"rosenheck" Discussed on The Fantasy Footballers - Fantasy Football Podcast

"You. I just check if you're in a dime. Just check fees on roster. Great, no harm, no foul. But if he's out there really out there. No, I'm not I'm saying really about like, you're interested in one host Asan. He's a starter next year, and then F L unless we signs way. I'll make that bad right now. Okay. Let's do it. Waterbed bridgewater's now going to be a starter next year if he resigns with the saints, obviously, he won't be. And that quote, we'll come back to haunt me. If he is. But I will say I don't think so he's not that good. I think he's better than a lot of starters name one. Josh rosen. Oh in your face that could be true. That's the funny thing that is the pot committed part of the NFL where you draft the guy you gotta make him your starter. When actually the cards could be better off with Mike Zion, just signing. No. If you're the New York better with Mike Glennon because Mike Glennon is maybe moderately better than Rosen right now. But he's at his ceiling. Sure. Long enter Rosenheck you want and by ceiling, you mean, like his head is touching feet tall. Yeah. He's a if you're the New York Giants, and you could get teddy Bridgewater for a reasonable price for the next you signed him to a three year. The right. That's the solution, and you can get away from ally. Manning would you make that move? Yeah. I would I would at least put him on the roster. So you could quickly pivot to him. He li- played well over the second half. Is drew Brees someone that you must bench? I you cannot play him. You cannot blame the the last four weeks. He had his way of saying. Yeah, he the last four weeks. He doesn't have a single game with multiple passing touchdowns. And now, you worry that he might not play the whole, correct? Is that the the worry for all the starters? Yes, Offense. you. You can you trust any of them? No say bench him, all I feel. I mean, you can always trust. I I mean, I guess you you had to play because HAMAs. Yeah. Thomas is the one I would be okay playing but chimera in Ingram's based off of the position. Get ready for Kirkwood to lead the team fantasy points this week. Well, who's leading the team on? Virk Ingram can have a big game. Yeah. With that. I think if I if I was going staff, I would try to rest chimera more than Ingram. But here's the problem on the other side of the ball. That's where I was gonna say Carolinas talking about look their their quarterback is Kyle this week Tyler Hickey is out. And they've already shut down Cam Newt Christian McCaffrey, they said they're going to give him a rest. I don't know. Whether that's going to be three quarters or the whole game. We're gonna find out. You have to be ready to pin off of McCaffrey. If I if it comes out, I don't think any one of us would be surprised if he's just not gonna play are. So are you interested in a twenty-six last twenty eight year old running back Cameron Artis Payne who would project to be the starting running? But bring my roster Cameron Artis Payne. Yes. No way. Because all right. The season odyssey. J Anderson situation. Not in this match up. The saints run defense has been Kyle Alan at quarterback stays problem for came Artis pains upside I I don't think you can say a panther. Devin funchess zero percent chance of returning to the Panthers next agreed. I I was looking at some early kind of tear jump players for next year players that I was really excited about the potential and navy. These are obvious ones. But Kenny golladay Calvin Ridley DJ more those were all names, you're going to say courtesy Curtis..

Mike Glennon Cameron Artis Payne Virk Ingram Christian McCaffrey saints Kyle Alan Josh rosen Mike Zion teddy Bridgewater Panthers bridgewater NFL Kenny golladay HAMAs Devin funchess Brees Rosenheck Manning li J Anderson
"rosenheck" Discussed on Boston Herald Radio

Boston Herald Radio

04:32 min | 2 years ago

"rosenheck" Discussed on Boston Herald Radio

"Absolutely went to games, then he's gone because he's taking over a team that went nine and seven the last two years. Maybe maybe they're all gone. You move on from coach after one year. Yeah. You can happened many times. I. You see this team winning many games there in right? I mean, you playing Amaradasa here you playing Minnesota with that incredible defense twice a year. And you know, Chicago, you know, they've got a decent roster. I know you're not a big fan of Mitch Trubisky. Defense is good call Mitchell. He doesn't like me Mitchell. Mitchell Trubisky, but that defense is really good. Adding Khalil max made them a tie. Yes. Say defense. Oh, no. I wouldn't go that top ten last year statistically, and then he showed up so he he's pretty good. And you got roquan Smith as a rookie linebacker. That's a good defense. Some good pieces on offense tough division, tough division had one in five in the division. They're on their way, they lost to the jets. And yet the jets Alexa game last night a little bit. I hate on how that works. I was kinda tuned in. But the Browns finally one time they wanna game. Barack Obama was relatively interesting game. I will say this in it's the same thing. I said about Sam darnold after week one to bigger Mayfield be great people need to relax after rookie quarterback. Hannity fitting for hall of fame jacket. He's he's electric. Oh my God. He won. He did against the jets to it was only one half of ball. I've seen maybe a handful of quarterbacks in their rookie year. Now Tom Brady in two thousand one was technically not a rookie. Now, he lives here in two thousand Dan Marino, one thousand nine hundred three came off the bench early in the season lead them to the playoffs. He was spectacular during his rookie. You'd say, okay. This guy is special. John Elway struggled as a rookie Peyton Manning twenty eight interceptions. The other quarterback that I've seen that. I thought was very well advanced as a rookie was Russell Wilson. But let's not forget he had marshawn Lynch in the backfield. And he had a great defense Rosenheck quarterback Robert Griffin. He was rookie exceptional was better than Andrew lucked that year. There's unbelievably good lens team in the playoffs. Twenty one touchdowns six interceptions. He was becoming like one of my favorite players in the league loved them. Then he blows his knee and their playoff game against the Seahawks in what's really good is rookie to Vince young. Yes. He did. He did. Yes. You gotta you gotta look these players know racks, they're going to do. Baker Mayfield fish. Well. Skip Bayless is leading the way. He's ready to start fitting him for a home Jesse even people who doubted him like John barren needs. We have on the show from time to time who's not a huge fan. I'm not a fan. I was not a fan of. But man is he just a winner only. He's great. The intangibles you do like about him because what he's had to go through to get where he is you know, walk on transfer injuries people. Tim tebow one more. Throw the football. You can't. I'm just saying one half of all does not career make people get so over hyped about these guys what that's ridiculous we've been. It's two thousand eighteen we all do this. I'm not me not you timer here, you're rational. But it also happens on the other spectrum too. Because last night I saw videos of jet fans burning this. He's there they're the most irrational evolved after week one Donald hall of fame jacket burning his jersey. He sounds last night going to be fine. But Sam darnold twenty one. Yeah, I'm saying you can't make it last night Donald stunk. I think five years from now Josh Rosen is going to be the best quarterback from this class. He's not even playing which maybe that benefits him you kind of sit. Relax and watch a veteran like Sam Bradford who eventually will get why don't watch him. Well, you're not learning. If he's healthy. He's he knows what he's doing in the position. I know. But I mean last year two years ago when he played the entire season with the Vikings completed like seventy two percent of his passes. He wasn't bad if he's healthy. He he's at least professional quarterback. He kind of sit back and watch. And I think Josh Rosen. We'll be able to benefit from that. Let's say Sam Rosen sounds like a guy knew at the track. But Josh Rosen. I think he's going to be the best of this group, but they all have their flaws, and you just got gotta calm down. With you. One hundred percent Cleveland finally wins the first time in nearly two years free beer in Cleveland. And of course, the Cleveland Browns earlier in the week traded. Josh Gordon to the New England Patriots for conditional fifth round pick in earlier in the week Bill Belichick acted like he didn't even know that he was on the roster. Well earlier today. Bill Belichick finally spoke about Josh Gordon's about two minutes long. It's very entertaining. I'm sure sure it is is a laugh a minute here. He is Josh.

Josh Rosen Sam Bradford Mitchell Trubisky Cleveland Browns Hannity jets Josh Gordon Sam darnold Mitch Trubisky Bill Belichick Tim tebow Vikings Tom Brady Russell Wilson Donald hall Skip Bayless Sam Rosen Cleveland Dan Marino Khalil max
"rosenheck" Discussed on WBSM 1420

WBSM 1420

03:57 min | 2 years ago

"rosenheck" Discussed on WBSM 1420

"This this cardinal out in Chicago, blaze Kubeck or coup pitch. He's he's the guy who said last week that the the pope didn't really have time for for dealing with all this all these priests raping altar boys and engaging in pederasty because he was too busy with the larger issues facing the planet like global warming and the plight of migrants, okay at splice, which from Chicago the cardinal. Well, blaze has got a excuse me cardinal blaze father, blaze whatever you wanna call him has got a new problem today. Miami Florida to his priests were on vacation. Did you see this story? Did you see this story grace because I had to print it out? So unfortunately, yes, I did come across. You didn't see it before? I mentioned it to you know, to wash my eyes out with bleach after eating it. This is from the the the the one of the TV stations in Miami to Catholic priests accused of having oral sex inside a parked car in south beach, Miami Beach walked out of jail yesterday. About three thirty pm, the the priests black Volkswagen beetle didn't have tinted windows. A Miami Beach. Police officer said it was easy to spot re Reverend Diego Berio in the passenger seat and Reverend Edwin Giraldo Cortez in the driver's seat. To get their attention. The officer had to knock on their window. Hey, stop that their children walking here yet damn Purves. Get the confession. Police arrested Berio thirty nine and Giraldo Cortez. Thirty both Catholic priest from the archdiocese of Chicago. It is our responsibility to ensure these those who serve our people are fit for ministry said a spokeswoman for the archdiocese shift, Chicago, we take this matter. Very seriously. Yeah. Just like blaze Koubek who patch. The cardinal takes it very seriously. Both men face charges of Lourdes and lascivious behavior Giraldo Cortez whose pants were unzipped when the officer arrived also faces a charge of indecent exposure. The main concern I had was that. It was in public said the judge Jeffrey Rosenheck when a police officer can come in watch. And that's a problem. Yeah. I'm surprised that police officer and say, hey out of their global warming to be fighting. That's right. Things to do. Can't you find some migrants to minister to hold bears to be held? Yeah. Some something something coop. Patch coup. Patch the cardinal might twenty years as Bishop will show that whenever I have information about anybody who misbehaves not only with children, but with adults I've always acted audit. Oh, okay. Yup. He was. This former. Vatican envoy to the US Carlo Maria, the Gano. He said that coup pack had a was blinded by his pro gay ideology. And he he accused the coup pack of rich securing his appointment as cardinal in two thousand sixteen largely because of a wicked packed with a cardinal resigned amid trial sex abuse allegations. So kopech denies it. So he denies it. In the next week two of his priests are caught in flagrante, they the though so to speak in a parked Volkswagen beetle on in south.

Edwin Giraldo Cortez officer blaze Kubeck Chicago Reverend Diego Berio Miami Volkswagen Gano Miami Beach beetle Florida pederasty US Bishop Jeffrey Rosenheck kopech
"rosenheck" Discussed on KGO 810

KGO 810

05:12 min | 2 years ago

"rosenheck" Discussed on KGO 810

"Batchelor show the. Midterm election will turn on and therein lies the puzzle you see now that. This is an election chiefly, about the house of representatives the Senate is another story, and we will not attest to that at. This moment the house of representatives. And in generic polling the Democrats. Have done, very well if you consider a gap happy it started I think. In the winter of seventeen in the. Double digit range it's now? Back down to single digit but what does it mean why is it that? The Democrats have inhabited advantage of seven or eight points and, we're told that the election is still in the balance, doesn't, that mean. They're going to win the national election welcoming, Dan Rosenheck he's the data editor for the economist magazine and he's going to help us understand what. Digital statistics can tell us about the distribution of votes It's in the United States at. The presidential, election turn and at the midterm election turn Dan a very good. Evening to you I want to tell. You an anecdote and have? You explication please I'm told repeatedly that the Democrats must enjoy a six or? Seven point advantage in the generic poll who do you favor, a democrat or Republican that generic poll in order to, be, competitive that. Logically doesn't make sense can you help me, understand why the Democrats need such a lopsided lead in order to be competitive good evening to you You too thank you for having me Kratz lead such a large lead in the generic ballot polling and assuming the polls hold up in the ultimate national two party vote because the district lines Dakhli, favor the Republican party at the moment Democrats, tend to win districts by larger margins particularly in cities which they sometimes, they win ninety ten ninety five five where. A lot of them just go uncontested whereas Republicans tend to win a greater number of districts often, in suburban rural areas by smaller margins that intern, is the product of two bouncers one which I imagine your audience is heard. A, lot about is just straight gerrymandering obviously the Republicans won control of many more state legislative, chambers than Democrats did in twenty ten which put them in sedition to draw a much greater share of the districts to. Their advantage. That had a huge impact But it's also true that even without willful manipulation of. The, district lines to favor one party Democrats just as they are now very voters concentrate heavily, in cities their voters are just very inefficiently distributed geographically you would review look at a state like Illinois even though the The Democrats did everything they could draw the most favorable district lines possible they still weren't able. To draw out it's nearly, as favorable as Republicans can elsewhere because so many of their voters are concentrated in, Chicago this large story I read in the economist is, because the Democrats have. Become the party of cities and the Republicans. Have become the party of not cities I guess, the x. urban Word here was that always true Danner is that. A recent phenomenon it's a very recent phenomenon through much of the twentieth century including right through the sixties seventies and even really through the lesser extent that Bill Clinton here's Democrats and Republicans were both competitive in both urban and rural parts of the country where it's been a long run. Trend you really see it is just. With the era of increasing partisan polarization since roughly each and thousand at this point population density is. Formidably accurate predictor of voting behavior and and there's a bunch of reasons that that explain that a lot of it probably has to do with the shifting. Issue in American politics that Has quote unquote culture, war issues whether it's abortion or gay marriage or, things like that or just, attitudes towards racial diversity have increasingly become the battle lines on which elections are fought I go to this report in the economist, the thirteen most densely populated states that would. Include. New York and Illinois and? California for example blue states have one hundred and one democratic, house members and Seventy-three Republican ones, the other states have one hundred sixty three Republicans in, seventy two Democrats now a home away to say this is Republicans like elbow room and Democrats like to live a chockablock that. However describes the conditions that a perfectly illustrate this this tangle we have in American politics right now. The Democrats have become the city all the.

Democrats Dan Rosenheck economist magazine Illinois Batchelor Senate United States Republican party Bill Clinton New York California Chicago Danner intern
"rosenheck" Discussed on KGO 810

KGO 810

04:36 min | 2 years ago

"rosenheck" Discussed on KGO 810

"Party not only of the cities but largely of the coast because people like to live near the water within fifty miles of the population is within fifty miles and I Have to believe this is an accident nobody could have know nobody could have invented this Dan it's a drift is, that correct Yes the back the founding of the Republican there for the design of the system that we still use to this. Day the founding fathers were very concerned about ensuring, representation, of places as. Well as people Which in turn entail probably. Some measure of overrepresentation for, lower population of rural areas that's the that's the? Cost, of getting the constitution ratified for the for the larger states was the creation of the Senate which over represented smaller. States but so in that sense this was this was by design far in advance But there's another way. In which it was very much not what the founders. Intended the founder has really didn't expect or want America to. Form nationwide political parties they had this idea that there would be all these different stacks in some about issues about some by region different branches and. Levels of government would defend, their own interests and that would all sort of Shifting alliances in some big soup and so everything would of even out where you could find where you signed consensus you'd get lost in fact we wound up. With a two party system and so. That is nationalized and so, when you combine that with the fact that two party system has now, reoriented itself along the rural urban access you got the situation we have now where pretty much every way founders stacks attack in favor of certain voters over others happens to. Help, one political party at the expense, of the other and that is what the framers, intended and therefore as a Republican and I am a, legacy Republican as my father. Grandfather and Greg grandfather you understand it happens in America and but I've recognized. Since the nineteen sixties when I started paying attention that the idea of a liberal Republican is extinct with the. Dinosaurs I we can talk about the Democrats but I'm gonna talk about what I'm familiar with And the reason for that is that there's no place, for dissent in. Either of, the parties they shape their messages closer and closer to where the votes. Are and that means they don't want to divide themselves over a long period of time is that what's happened in both, parties didn't set out. To do this they didn't really want to exterminate liberal Republicans but that's the effect so it's indisputably true that partisan polarization in America has grown back slowly over the. Past forty years or so used to. Be throughout the fifties sixties, seventies at the most conservative democrat was far to the right of the, most liberal Republican and in fact there were a lot of political scientists in the nineteen fifties who were arguing for more more polarization because they from owned the fact that. The, party labels didn't seem to mean, anything and so voters didn't have permission shooting in In selecting, food and. Vote for we've now clearly gone to the opposite extreme where the parties were vast ideological Gulf, separates the parties there are lots of reasons for that but clearly. The biggest one is the legacy of Richard Nixon southern strategy and the shift of. Southern white voters who tend to lean conservative on many issues it was. The fact that we used to have it, to facto three party. System of northern Democrats southern Democrats and Republicans that enabled all these bipartisan deals in laws to be passed and once that shift completed you got. A much more rigid polarized your party system I'm speaking with Dan Rosenheck he's the economist magazines. Data editor and, we're speaking about the midterm elections and why it is that you need the Democrats to win that national votes so much heavier than the Republicans in order to stand a chance to. Be competitive when we come back what is To be done I'm John Batchelor. This.

America founder Dan Rosenheck Dan it Senate Greg grandfather John Batchelor Richard Nixon editor forty years
"rosenheck" Discussed on KCBS All News

KCBS All News

02:10 min | 2 years ago

"rosenheck" Discussed on KCBS All News

"Put your credit cards on full display to everyone in golden gate park we don't believe that this new policy will increase the risk of theft you know we always recommend that patrons keep their bags and belongings with them at all times that has not changed and agents are allowed a small non clear clutch should they wanna keep any personal items in their clear back so that they won't be seen making gold speak kcbs more evidence that southern california could ultimately decide whether democrats regained control of the us congress we get that story from brian ping with our all news sister station knx in los angeles the midterm forecast by the economists shows the local republican house seats held by the retiring darrell issa and ed royce our virtual locks to turn blue and if that holds democrats have a sixty five percent chance to take over the chamber but there's a catch economists data editor dan rosenheck tells can't acce thanks to our top two primary system and possible democrat vote splitting the party could shut itself out of those key districts next month the democrats works you fail to get a candidate on the ballot in the ice and right the our estimate of their probability of retail chamber would fall from sixty five percent to fifty eight and a half percent while he predicts a blue wave he says if it only washes over already blue districts it won't matter much again that was brian thing with our all news sister station knx in los angeles right now it's time for the kcbs moneywatch regulators just slapped a massive fine on a robocaller here's why it probably won't make much difference i'm geoff colvin of fortune magazine with the fortune business update the federal communications commission recently imposed a one hundred twenty million dollar fine on adrian abramovic for his role in ninety seven million automated calls placed over a three month period in two thousand sixteen it's the biggest such fine ever but it probably won't help abramovic calls would equal only about one percent of the calls being made now a few robocalls are legitimate like the pharmacy telling you prescription is ready but the.

golden gate park theft california us brian ping darrell issa dan rosenheck los angeles geoff colvin fortune magazine congress editor adrian abramovic sixty five percent one hundred twenty million dol one percent three month
"rosenheck" Discussed on KCBS All News

KCBS All News

01:32 min | 2 years ago

"rosenheck" Discussed on KCBS All News

"Professor sherri bebbitsjeffey he used to be out of the limelight he used to be off the political radar but the current political climate being what it is he has gauge some national notoriety and so staffing might have said five or ten years ago it might have gone unnoticed or unreported is being reported now jeffey adds that rohrabacher is trying to appeal to the far right even though that's never been his base meanwhile to take control of congress democrats need to win seats in orange county possibly including rohrabacher's brian ping with our all news sister station knx in los angeles says it certainly not a shooin as of right now the party's chances looked good democrats should be considered a no more than narrow favorites to take the chamber that chance would get narrower if they don't win the key seats held by outgoing republicans darrell issa and ed royce according to dan rosenheck at election forecast or what the economists democrats are nearly assured victories in both districts but only if they actually have someone running this fall that's not a given with the state's top two primary system if you have crowded fields it is entirely possible that the democrats could get shut out of the november ballot in those races if that happens he says democrats still have a better than fifty fifty shot at a takeover but have virtually no margin for error elsewhere and that was brian ping with.

sherri bebbitsjeffey jeffey rohrabacher orange county brian ping Professor los angeles darrell issa ed royce dan rosenheck ten years
"rosenheck" Discussed on KCBS All News

KCBS All News

02:19 min | 2 years ago

"rosenheck" Discussed on KCBS All News

"The red part of the state no more sanctuary front documented immigrants build the border wall repeal the gas tax increase allen is running on a five point plan for governor of california jackson kicked off on crime picture roads expand our previous without raising taxes broken education listen complete are california state water project and you better believe my first one hundred days reversing illegal sanctuary state in california allen tells kcbs he was disappointed not to win the endorsement of president trump after delegates to the state republican convention split between allen and millionaire businessman john cox mr trump is backing cox because as allen he was lobbied hard to do so by house majority leader kevin mccarthy of bakersfield whom allen claims was bob bought off by the richer but less conservative cox say y you know summer who is older and wealthier and someone who was is very boring and this is losing formula that has lost for decades now in california no one will ever accuse allen of being boring he voted for donald trump cox did not and he thinks trump sizable california electorate will line up behind him not cox pushing alan into the top two primary day we believe in a government of the people by the people and for the people and it's about time at the silence supermajority in california is heard once again doug sovereign kcbs you can hear our entire interview with travis allen and with all the other major candidates at kcbs radio dot com slash campaign two thousand eighteen we'll more evidence that southern california could ultimately decide whether democrats regain control of congress we get that story from brian ping with our all news sister station knx in los angeles midterm forecast by the economy this shows the local republican house seats held by the retiring darrell and roy's our virtual locks to turn blue at if that holds democrats have a sixty five percent chance to take over the chamber but there's a catch economist data editor dan rosenheck tells knx thanks to our top two primary system and possible democrat vote splitting the party could shut itself out of those key districts next month the democrats were to fail to get a candidate on the ballot in the ice and write our estimate of their probability of retain would fall from sixty five percent to fifty eight and a half percent well he predicts.

roy knx editor doug bob kevin mccarthy john cox president dan rosenheck jackson darrell brian ping congress travis allen alan donald trump cox california bakersfield
"rosenheck" Discussed on GSMC Basketball Podcast

GSMC Basketball Podcast

01:40 min | 2 years ago

"rosenheck" Discussed on GSMC Basketball Podcast

"Okay and now going up against i'll talk about this shares with roberson few moments let's talk about the raptors closing out this series on friday talking about that a bit and then like i said we'll talk about pretty much the cavs problems matching up with the raptors all right so on friday like i said we had the raptors facing off with the wizards the raptors one this one one zero two to ninety two for the raptors you had surgery baca was seven points three rebounds shot three of ten yoenis valentine has had fourteen points twelve rebounds their shot six thirteen kyle lowry probably had his best game in the playoffs that series had twenty four points six assists six rebounds shot nine of fifteen three to seven from the hoop those are the games from carlisle's expecting to see when i talk about maybe we're expecting too much we talked about it on friday a bit as exactly what i'm talking about i've been expecting kyle lowry to go out and put up twenty four points not twenty four les exactly nonetheless but around that little range and with his assists number is rebound numbers though it was pretty nice too so this is a good game for carl our here tomorrow rosenheck sixteen points for shot six of eighteen o four from the three point line not a great game but in the less when you got lowery playing like that you don't need really to do too much all right and then off debenture advani who returned to five points for rebounds forces shot to a seven and then for the wizards you had marcus morris with or marquee moore's with twelve points fifteen rebounds shot five nine john wall had twenty three points eight assists five rebounds shot nine at twenty two bradley bill had thirty two points three rebounds shot ten to twenty two six ten from the three point line let's see in an off the bench mike scott with eight points all right so i guess said rappers closed out the series and six as for the wizards i mean it might just be time to blow out.

raptors baca valentine kyle lowry carlisle carl marcus morris moore john wall roberson cavs lowery bradley mike scott
"rosenheck" Discussed on WFAN Sports Radio_FM

WFAN Sports Radio_FM

02:54 min | 2 years ago

"rosenheck" Discussed on WFAN Sports Radio_FM

"Corner let's squeeze in joey and bay ridge on the fan joey what's up joey why did the giants take mason rudolph i tell you what they he got the best deal he went to pitch behind rothlisburger and you're right about that because roethlisberger's hinted at retirement i think people inside pittsburgh think he's gonna play two more years but mason rudolph one of the big group right lamar jackson mason rudolph and then kyle basically that's how they were viewed seven quarterbacks really considered an kid from washington state faulk also went through so look there there was tremendous enthusiasm about the quarterbacks but as i mentioned over and over again because there wasn't a clear one and because and this is so important and i said a lot of times but i they didn't have good years they didn't play well i mean if you're going for a job interview and doing lousy job at the interview there last seasons i was gonna say their senior seasons but a lot of our seniors including darnold but their final seasons of college football were poor interviews did poorly in those interviews if you look at august through december as their interview on the field playing only baker mayfield stock went up from august to december only baker mayfield and mason rudolph and kyle aleta the deep guys but the big free rosenheck allen darnold they were more valuable in august than they weren't december which caused all this confusion and created uncertainty that the giants didn't want to deal with so they took the certain thing or what they believed to be the certain thing over the uncertain thing yankees have been certain of late we'll see what they have in the tank tonight due to stub their toe but you could have said that the last few times we'll see what they got tonight cc's about the nfl i'll be back with you tomorrow in front of yankee baseball as they've got the astros tomorrow night in houston enjoy the rest of your sunday thanks to hoffman and rosenberg connor hughes for joining us earlier on as well have yourselves a great sunday night sports radio the fan sports radio sixty six and one zero one nine fm wfan wfan fm new york.

houston nfl kyle aleta baker mayfield baker mayfield stock washington pittsburgh new york connor hughes hoffman joey astros baseball yankees giants football faulk mason rudolph roethlisberger
"rosenheck" Discussed on Xtra Sports Radio 1300 AM

Xtra Sports Radio 1300 AM

02:08 min | 2 years ago

"rosenheck" Discussed on Xtra Sports Radio 1300 AM

"Comparisons to mike vick and he was almost unfairly portrayed he was unfairly portrayed by former general manager bill polian when polian suggested that lamar jackson just try right now to be a wide receiver giving the guy no shot to be a quarterback which was so ridiculous it was polian hasn't watched a college football game at least in the last three years because lamar jackson can sling it if you like the way to show 'em watson play the game last year with the texans well with four less weapons if you will then watson had a game toe to toe two years ago national tv clemson louisville acc showdown lamar jackson tototo make it every throw the shawn watson could but more jackson can play maybe worried about his ability taking a running quarterback because he will run and where that opens up to more injuries the problem now lamar jackson his teams are intrigued by who wouldn't be with that athletic skill set if this was another year without the depth elmo's gluttony of quarterbacks like the two guys from los angeles and donald and rosenheck even the baker mayfield and a random wildcard like josh allen playing out of wyoming if this is any other year the more jackson could be the first quarterback taken and no that's how good this quarterback draft class is in my opinion i am a draft i can't get enough enough i'm adrift nut i have my questions about lamar jackson and by the way saying it another you he can be the first corps back taking doesn't necessarily mean he will be a superstar position it means he's that talented teams are always that quarterback hungary but lamar jackson tried to say all the right things at the combine i think he did in relation to playing the wider see why would i do that why would i do wide receiver drills he believes he's a quarterback as he should be tried to make money as a quarterback but the the louisville pro day came up this week and lamar jackson's most gifted attributes were sprinting and his agility portions he didn't run the forty he didn't do it at the combine either now if you're a football scout to me game tape always shows more than a pro day or a combine i want to see what this guy looks like when the lights are on and it's game time but at the.

lamar jackson shawn watson los angeles donald baker mayfield josh allen mike vick general manager bill polian wyoming hungary louisville football three years two years
"rosenheck" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

02:02 min | 2 years ago

"rosenheck" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

"Doesn't really matter it's not sensitive enough to pick up on something but a couple years ago dan rosenheck wrote a study at the economists that showed the spring training sets can be somewhat predictive if you look at the right stats and that's like you know strikeout rate and swing raid and things that are more directly under the player's control so i would guess that if you did a really good study on whether second half performance matters you know over and above full season performance i would guess that it does but not an enormous amount yeah whenever you look at any decent projection system always more heavily weights the most recent data and the way that you look at that usually is the most recent full season and then the second was reasonable season third cetera and there's no reason why that principle shouldn't carry forward such that the most recent half is waited a little more heavily than the first half but i'm almost certain that the difference is pretty small but yeah always rather have a better second half in a better i yet all right i have a couple questions here that are related to retired white sox players but maybe that's the most amazing pitch for the questions but i think they're both pretty interesting so i'll start with this one from billon so this one is about headlines and says i was reading roger cormier as cormier corners i assume your new fan graphs colleague his article about the history of the bullpen car the first guy to ride in one was apparently mickey hefner obviously i had to go to hefner's fan grasp page dissect his career stats with the off kilter enthusiasm of a guy who is definitely not procrastinating important essay on each int chinese monarchic structure hefner managed thirteen war over a fifteen hundred innings pitched career despite only striking out three per nine and walking over three and a half per nine perhaps it's just my modern sensibilities but that is just gross to determine if it was just my sensibilities i reached for play index found out that there have only been eighty three pitchers to throw a thousand innings and walk more than they struck out eighty two eighty three pitch no later than nineteen sixty one.

dan rosenheck roger cormier mickey hefner sox eighty two eighty three pitch
"rosenheck" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

02:02 min | 2 years ago

"rosenheck" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

"Doesn't really matter it's not sensitive enough to pick up on something but a couple years ago dan rosenheck wrote a study at the economists that showed the spring training sets can be somewhat predictive if you look at the right stats and that's like you know strikeout rate and swing raid and things that are more directly under the player's control so i would guess that if you did a really good study on whether second half performance matters you know over and above full season performance i would guess that it does but not an enormous amount yeah whenever you look at any decent projection system always more heavily weights the most recent data and the way that you look at that usually is the most recent full season and then the second was reasonable season third cetera and there's no reason why that principle shouldn't carry forward such that the most recent half is waited a little more heavily than the first half but i'm almost certain that the difference is pretty small but yeah always rather have a better second half in a better i yet all right i have a couple questions here that are related to retired white sox players but maybe that's the most amazing pitch for the questions but i think they're both pretty interesting so i'll start with this one from billon so this one is about headlines and says i was reading roger cormier as cormier corners i assume your new fan graphs colleague his article about the history of the bullpen car the first guy to ride in one was apparently mickey hefner obviously i had to go to hefner's fan grasp page dissect his career stats with the off kilter enthusiasm of a guy who is definitely not procrastinating important essay on each int chinese monarchic structure hefner managed thirteen war over a fifteen hundred innings pitched career despite only striking out three per nine and walking over three and a half per nine perhaps it's just my modern sensibilities but that is just gross to determine if it was just my sensibilities i reached for play index found out that there have only been eighty three pitchers to throw a thousand innings and walk more than they struck out eighty two eighty three pitch no later than nineteen sixty one.

dan rosenheck roger cormier mickey hefner sox eighty two eighty three pitch
"rosenheck" Discussed on The Economist Radio

The Economist Radio

01:44 min | 3 years ago

"rosenheck" Discussed on The Economist Radio

"And that may be a way out a way to avoid world we're which o only dominated by big online firms as we have now the vix seek elective thank you very much for joining us thank sir what about you listeners have you any tokens in an ico an initial coin offering what are your thoughts on this public please get in touch via twitter on this radio or email lessit radio at economists dot com next let's move to venezuela which looks zip it's moving even closer to the messia solvent default recorded history in a confusing announcement president nicolas maduro decreed last week that heat restructure venezuela's roughly sixty billion dollars worth of traded bonds to explain all this i'm joined by damn rosenheck the editor the economy states dan four months it seems now we've been talking about the prospect to the venezuelan to fold but always the government has seen absolutely determined come what may even if the cost of its own people suffering to keep repaying its debt what's changed i think what's changes just the simple map of the situation they have as you say been doing absolutely everything they possibly can to stay current have slashed imports all the way to the bone and there's just not enough money any more in that economy essentially because they have systematically ransacked it for years uh they probably would have defaulted already if they hadn't received so much external support from foreign patrons russia and china principally and it's totally possible that i'm one of those countries could come to bail them out once again but if they don't get any more assistance uh the coffers are just empty.

twitter venezuela editor russia china president nicolas maduro sixty billion dollars four months
"rosenheck" Discussed on C-SPAN Radio

C-SPAN Radio

02:33 min | 3 years ago

"rosenheck" Discussed on C-SPAN Radio

"The attred medications adds theme on that occasion and the rates of ptsd were skyrocketing and so when they came out of when they came out of the active duty it's a problem in both the activeduty military and the va but it's a bigger problem in the va because the a has been more heedless and less willing to change them department of defense so the department of defense and 2012 approximately said we're no longer gunnell how combat troops the have as like a friendly sleep aid sarah kwol in their backpacks and they put some roadblocks two you know freewheeling prescribing of saric wolfer anything on earth but the va hasn't done that despite their own research of some excellent researchers including a collaborator reviewers dr robert rosenheck of yale one of the great cutting countries great psychiatric showing that is that is serach will add abc but they studied written risk for golf but in general the class of anti psychotics is not effective now what to me is the real harm is there's no real effort to keep an accurate count of the degree to which the massive over medication with psychiatric mm ads at until very recently opiates is contributing to needless overdose deaths there's only been sparing academic coverage and there's a very striking report that just came out by researchers at a south taxes va hospital it's not in my book but it is going to be in the forthcoming newsweek piece that show there is a four hundred percent increase of accidental overdoses likelihood or suicidal actions or suicides based on poly pharmacy which means five or more central nervous system medication drugs and i look at the scandal a toma which is known within some sectors but not on the east coast in general where in wisconsin who had a drug oriented chief of staff who helped kill thirty or more patients by giving opiates freely to them and people were dying in the va covered it up and they're still continuing to cover it up so it's a manager problem is not addressed it it it's just nauseating.

va sarah kwol abc wisconsin department of defense dr robert rosenheck yale newsweek nervous system chief of staff four hundred percent