24 Burst results for "Raoul"

Mark Levin Remembers the Late Great Comedian Jackie Mason

Mark Levin

01:59 min | 10 months ago

Mark Levin Remembers the Late Great Comedian Jackie Mason

"And I remember those meals with him from time to time. I remember in London. I think that was the first time we met were out of the blue. He was doing a performance. I think for the royal family, and he was incredibly popular in Britain. As well as the United States. The thing is when we would sit down. The members of my family. Jackie Mason, his wife, sometimes a few others of his friends. Was very, very inquisitive. About life generally. But the kids family About issues very, very inquisitive. He didn't monopolize. In fact, he listened a lot. I did not know he was sick. And I'm not going to get into confidential information of how he passed his whore That's not going to happen. But I did get a call in the morning. From Raoul Felder, probably his best friend. Because Jill asked him to call me letting me know that he wasn't going to make it through the day. And then Sometime evening dinner time or so forth. We got a second call telling me he hadn't made it. So You know? Come to this earth and you leave this earth. There's no escaping it. But if you make it difference whether you make people laugh Difference in your own way in your own role in your own life, the life of the family of your family. That's a successful life. He had a very, very full and

Jackie Mason Raoul Felder Britain London United States Jill
Jackie Mason, comic who perfected amused outrage, dies at 93

AP News Radio

01:00 min | 10 months ago

Jackie Mason, comic who perfected amused outrage, dies at 93

"Jackie Mason who spiced tea brand of stand up comedy led him to Catskills night clubs west coast talk shows and Broadway stages has died he was ninety three Mason died Saturday at Mount Sinai hospital in Manhattan according to long time friend attorney Raoul Felder he was known for his sharp wit and piercing social commentary often about being Jewish Mason was the son of a rabbi and became one before starting his career as a borscht belt comedian he shot to fame on The Ed Sullivan Show later in life Mason won the second of his two Emmys for playing Krusty the clown's father on the Simpsons when I grew up in IBM cloud the respected member of the community life is not the spring promotion over the years some accused Mason of taking its humor too far but he always defended himself saying he's a comedian Julie Walker New York

Mason Raoul Felder Jackie Mason Mount Sinai Hospital West Coast Manhattan Ed Sullivan Krusty Emmys IBM Julie Walker New York
"raoul" Discussed on Adventures in Finance: A Real Vision Podcast

Adventures in Finance: A Real Vision Podcast

05:51 min | 10 months ago

"raoul" Discussed on Adventures in Finance: A Real Vision Podcast

"I've been amazed people running around showing all these charts of liquidity and when the fed everyone talks about it. We've been talking about it and like two thousand eight hundred thousand nine and everyone's just jumped into this guy. I mean jonah wrong. But he did he you know. While the critics he keeps pumping. I just look at as well. And i think people are underestimating. I think some of the strengths. Its existing. I do truly think. And this is one of the big imponderables. We were very bearish on the bull market. We got out. We had sa-. I haven't i didn't go along the ball market because i do generally believe i think ultimately go significantly higher but i think it'd be very interesting to what she's lost ma couple of months where people have looked since early gene at is collapsing bond and gone. Oh my god. This fooling the sky is fooling all the dates is crap. I'm and i took on some guy on twitter for those. You follow me on twitter with the guy. Just completely go the the indicator wrong cooling it. You know super bearish. I don't see anything fucking slamming in this economy. Some of this stuff is gonna pay. You don't grow retail sales fifty percent year over year like we were a couple of months ago. You don't even go at it. Eighteen percent which is where it's growing right but could you go to ten and if you grow it at ten. Which is why. I think he's going. It's still probably the most rapid retail sales growth. You've got an a decade so wral that gets right into the question. The rhetorical question you've been asking is the macro shift underway c. I entirely disagree with julian at this point. That's kinda fun is you know. I actually think we've got a soft patch coming before we get more stimulus and the economy takes more time to get strength..

jonah fed twitter julian
"raoul" Discussed on Adventures in Finance: A Real Vision Podcast

Adventures in Finance: A Real Vision Podcast

04:45 min | 10 months ago

"raoul" Discussed on Adventures in Finance: A Real Vision Podcast

"Third twenty twenty one. I'm ashley bennington. Today we have a special episode real vision. Ceo and co founder. Row pal and macro insiders. Julian brigden all that in just a moment but first here are the stories. We're watching right now. Yes and p. five-hundred the dow the nasdaq composite. The nasdaq one hundred. All within a hairs breadth of fifty two week highs the s. p. five hundred is up ninety seven percent from its pandemic lows eighty seven percent of companies that have reported in q. To have beaten their earnings according to bloomberg data and by the way bitcoin back over thirty two thousand ethereal back over two thousand gentlemen row and julian welcome to the show julianne making his real vision. Daily briefing debut today. Julian brigden is rouse co host on macro insiders for real vision pro. He is also co founder of m. i two partners. Welcome julian row. Thank you very much ash rob before we get started here today. Offer people who we may be reaching for the first time on youtube on twitter on the platform. Tell us a little bit about the work that you end. Julian do together. We've basically to old commissions who've been in the market for over thirty years and we kinda think we know a single too and also also no with no but what we basically is. you know. it's out to research jillions. Am i two partners in my global macro best. We probably reach. Every single. major hedge funds institutional allocate. That really matters in this world. We speak to what these people time in the whole idea behind. Macaroni insiders as we're gonna lift that veil to people and so both julian. I write articles so we both writes about two articles. Eight bound for it. Some of the actually comes from our premium reset services some specifically for their so. Everyone gets peeked behind the curtains. And then we have. This generally highly amusing video for about an hour where we debate everything and accuse each other of being fools but the point being is we don't times when we both agree with each other and thomas when we famously disagree in this times when we're not sure but it all comes out in this and it really gives people contextualized understanding of how to think like a market professional getting only experienced julian. I have combined julian anything to add. No i mean i. I totally agree. I mean arou- boom bullet. It was it was a client. I think he reached out and said hey to watch you. julian Around julian together which think it was a great idea. And i bought into the concept straight off. Because i think you know we've always believed like you do with real vision that the stuff that Pushing the stuff that the most of the pundits on cnbc pushing is just bullshit. I mean they just peddling their own ways because they haven't ax to grind and they've got skin in the game and essentially we just try and be the rational voice and explain to people how you know to preserve wealth. Make money Spa trains which they wouldn't have otherwise done. And i think we have quite biotic relationships around there times when we do disagree the time most of the time though even then it's it's a timing issue i'll tend to sort of mess around either side of a trade i tend to be a little bit more active but we generally don't disagree about a ton of stuff. I think you know in that sense. It's it's quite good..

Julian brigden julian ashley bennington rouse co julianne bloomberg Julian julian Around julian rob youtube twitter thomas cnbc
"raoul" Discussed on Noah Kagan Presents

Noah Kagan Presents

05:36 min | 11 months ago

"raoul" Discussed on Noah Kagan Presents

"Or i was talking about like a personal life and i was like to enjoy to have fun. And he's like not. It's not i don't know i disagree. I agree with you. I think it's like it's not what it depends how you do that. If it's the selfish aims of everything i do is for me. It's nice pow and that's why like somewhere like spain teaches you this. It's your interactions within society. All that small island of little cayman the interaction with society and where you fit into it is actually all of that comes from because it gives you the stability and it's not just all about you. It's about you and you'll place in society and that's actually really nice and we lose that in these big societies. Now i think the community aspect is completely lost. Like i moved into a house for years ago. And you kind of miss that apartment or college living where there's a bunch of people around you. Ideally work environment like. Hey we're all working on the same thing. We're going the same direction and you're gonna house you kinda like kind of isolated and i was surprised by that experience and so i do miss you know. Now there's officers nicer. How do i go and build communities that i could be artists role loan and so it's nice there be like oh we're on this kind of trying to do good stuff make use of our our life year. Yeah and you know. I must admit online communities have been up quite rewarding as well so i don't i don't discount those but just the general again you got to spanish village and its yesterday. Everybody's outside having lunch with each other sharing terrible wind from nostra's harvest and having fun these kids dogs grandparent's you know. Everybody have different ages altogether slot. That's pretty special thought. Superman i mean i am curious before we obviously in the macro stuff but the micro. What's it like the live on a tiny island. Because i don't know what i feel like i get bored really quickly. Little came cayman. You have to teach yourself not to get bored so you have to teach us to notice things. it's come like meditation. It's like most of the time you don't see anything that's going around you in life. When you moved to small islands it forces you see notice the birdlife you notice the waves you notice all of the things have the sunrises how it sets the time of day. It does how the seasons change. Because there's no other distractions of grand canyon. Where i am. Now it's different. It's more of a kind of more of an existence but it's still there. It's still around you so it's not too bad and these amazing because it basically an hour flight from miami so this a direct flight to london yet you kinda feel like you're in the middle of nowhere but with in grand chemical i well infrastructure as well fantastic restaurants amazing hotels some of the world's best beaches. So it's actually very very easy place to live and it's wild. I mean you're literally running a sizable business from an island kind of middle of nowhere. Yeah and it's brilliant. It's amazing that we can do this. I mean you go back a year and a half. And i was on the plane to new york to a main office in new york every every week and it was a nightmare. My life was just on planes. And now we've learned that we don't have enough to do that because i ran the whole business from little cayman..

cayman spain grand canyon miami london new york
"raoul" Discussed on Noah Kagan Presents

Noah Kagan Presents

04:44 min | 11 months ago

"raoul" Discussed on Noah Kagan Presents

"Nobody pronounces the noise. My parents days. it doesn't matter. What do they call you. My mother is colored. Israel americans arousal our lives in spain for ten years on raoul and then english people tend to be wral like al. It's just random. Take offense to anybody else has got a stupid name with three vows in the middle of it. Thank god you're not on wheel of fortune. You know like give us a value. Like row will the powell vowel like has got shit one. We really loved your messages. I think you're you're kind of sharing your. I wouldn't say you're anti get rich quick. But i love people that are trying to think deeper trying to think about like was actually going on versus all the sheep are moving left doing financial things we should just copy of the two praying get rich so i was appreciating out there. Sharing that message. Great so thank you. I was curious. who is will pow right wasn't awesome painting on you that's an nf t. ov- me dumb. By some guys called the real vision bought who two guys who full fund built this an f. t. and then sent it to me am i printed out. And they've sold gather ten thing so you print it out digital today actually did a digitally make they digitally made it and then i printed it out and got it printed and put on the wool. That's cool how it to look at yourself like that. I was thinking of putting a photo of myself right when i walk in my house. I don't mind because it's a caricature of me right and identify myself seriously. So kinda works. Have you always taking yourself less years or is it now that you're rich or richer you take seriously no financial markets. Beat it out of you. I would say if you think your shit smells the roses your face rubbed in it. And that's always the case. So humility is a key to success in financial markets people on humble the the hard way that nobody's infallible. Yeah i guess. Sometimes it's whole financial markets. Do you ever take a step up our back or bagnall and then think we created all this as humans and the significance of it. Yes then you get into the philosophy of money and what that's all about why why we create hidden behavior systems and stuff like that. It's.

raoul powell spain Israel al bagnall
"raoul" Discussed on Adventures in Finance: A Real Vision Podcast

Adventures in Finance: A Real Vision Podcast

03:07 min | 11 months ago

"raoul" Discussed on Adventures in Finance: A Real Vision Podcast

"Watching the equity lead indicator because that is a great guy to the business cycle Laxman who runs myself going to be at the festival of learning and talking about business cycle and it can't be more important than what's going on now so i'll be looking at the business cycle so i see city economic surprise index then. I'm expecting to see the equerry show weakness in its weekly rate of growth. Then we will see the knock through effects in ifm and other indicators were already seeing some housing slowdown in the us as well. So that's interesting. We've seen lumber slowdown so we're starting to collect some bits of evidence. Let's see more of these things usually long. It's play out than you expects. so so. That's why the thesis we should be able to pick data points up but we won't be able to get maximum macro taking risk on that full slowdown picture yet. Doesn't mean he can't play. We coban deals for bed. You can't pay a stronger dollar for a bit but this we haven't hit the ignition button. Like okay great. This trade is really fully on yet. And that's probably going to be late summer. Talking of the festival of learning wednesday. June twenty third through friday june twenty fifth. Give us a little bit of a preview. What you're most looking forward to. I just love this thing because everybody watches revisions of learning tribe. And what that means is all of us. Now we don't know anything or everything and so therefore what better way to them from people who've gone through the learning themselves and have great experience so some of the most famous investors in the world of they're talking to us about how they've learned things what they've learned and things that they can teach us whether it's technical analysis to what they screwed up. How howard marks changed his mind on technology stocks because his son open into the eyes of the new world the exponential ages intially through to daniel cattleman. And you know how behavioral economics is playing a larger role in all of this Through two nil ferguson and what history teaches us. You know. there's so much learning it's ridiculous group of people involved in this and you know everybody will get something out of it but what it costs for. People aren't vision plus members to do this to learn. This is literally nothing what you get out of it. The value proposition is crazy. Skewed so i for one will be glued to the screen watching all of this stuff. It's also incredibly fun. I think it's one of the most fun events. Oh yeah slack. Channels open thousands and thousands of people getting excited on the slack channels. Lots of amusing conversations just tons going on. Yeah i mean it's like artists in nobel laureates investors traders just fascinating time hugh hendry wiped wiped himself out in the surf came in with a bleeding forehead and concussion and came in live and heavy. That was the kind of fun that we have in this and crushed it and.

daniel cattleman thousands June twenty third Laxman hugh hendry friday june twenty fifth late summer nil ferguson wednesday nobel one slack two
"raoul" Discussed on Adventures in Finance: A Real Vision Podcast

Adventures in Finance: A Real Vision Podcast

05:19 min | 11 months ago

"raoul" Discussed on Adventures in Finance: A Real Vision Podcast

"Yeah here's when it comes to us from our row any updated thoughts on tether and other stable coins lately with the titan coin collapse. No i mean. I've always said all of these stable coins. Do not give you a five to eight percent yield for no reason they are not. Us fight with travis over this whole time it's like they're not dollars then knocks one hundred hundred dollars and everybody should know that. And that's okay because let's say tether is not perfectly linked and let's say it's a ten percent downside risk. Well we'll be hundred risk all the backing of bunch of collateral. Let's say the clashes most good as you want all of this stuff. There's temps had downside risk. Will you only need to own it for a year and a half and get that yield to completely mitigated the risk. So all you've been compensated for the risk in the yield generally probably.

five ten percent eight percent one hundred hundred dollars a year and a half hundred
"raoul" Discussed on Adventures in Finance: A Real Vision Podcast

Adventures in Finance: A Real Vision Podcast

05:20 min | 11 months ago

"raoul" Discussed on Adventures in Finance: A Real Vision Podcast

"Hero here about whether we carve out a new low which is quite possible. maybe it's significantly. Maybe another twenty cent lower. I don't know but around this khanna timing july august we should stop rising stabilizing and then going up what that means. You can't tell her on a log chart that's what the actually looked like an anon- lockjaw it's ridiculous now. We'll let repeat that who knows. I'm not looking for perfect matches. I'm looking for conceptualization of what mid-cycle sellers look like in crypto. How miserable they fail. And what happens if you end up closing out too early and the damn thing because i mean no issue closing but if you start breaking hi you're going to be involved because the upside is going to be quite big. His versus the two thousand sixteen two thousand eighteen cycle also pretty simla this correction slightly bigger than that one more two thousand and thirteen. But it's kind of a contest. Actually the right kind of thing that we should be seeing all the way through this. I've worn people. You should be investing in crypto unless you expect not fear expect fifty percent pullback and those pullbacks ought to be bought if the crypto cycle stop. Now disprove everything from the to flow to all of the charts all of the work all of the adoption models. Everything so it feels to me a low probability chance that anything has changed. I understand that. China has changed in the story. That's happened to every time they banned in two thousand thirteen banned in two thousand seventeen. These are not new funds yet. These are can existing fair uncertainty in doubt. That's always been around so structurally. I don't think anything's changed. So it's one of those periods in the middle where the prices sloppiest hell. Everybody feels miserable. Doesn't know when it's going to get traction and before you know it gets traction starts going up. That's just how it is and that fits with the macro backdrop which is the second half of the year growth is slower people thinking you know..

fifty percent twenty cent july august two thousand thirteen two thousand seventeen two thousand thirteen one eighteen cycle second half of China sixteen
"raoul" Discussed on Adventures in Finance: A Real Vision Podcast

Adventures in Finance: A Real Vision Podcast

05:44 min | 11 months ago

"raoul" Discussed on Adventures in Finance: A Real Vision Podcast

"Go up yeah. So the only time they go down is varsha cts so that's a value at risk shock. That's when something else blows up like the dollar and equities panic but again the feds go back and other sense crazy. Everybody hates it. It is what it is. And i didn't wanna believe this was true but i now believe it to be true and in that environment you wanna own the things that go up. The most and those are the businesses that have exponential charts because they're driven by network effects. So that's the network effect that we see in bitcoin that we've seen in all fang stocks. Facebook is a classic network effects stock. So those things do really well in this kind of environment because their groundbreaking technologies that are taking new adoption. Facebook for example is going to pivot towards. Vr plus crypto as it brings facebook deer. And it's also buying up most of the vr world so facebook to play a big role in the future. Apple is doing the same with a are and all this other stuff is going on. So these companies are repositioning for the next s curve higher the next exponential adoption of technologies. They're all coming. But that's also against the backdrop of the adoption of artificial intelligence distributed computing autonomous vehicles electrical tech vehicles green energy robotics genetic sciences. All of these things are not now pie in the sky. Futurist stuff they think's happening right now and are getting adoption in front of our is if you don't see adoption theory and what's going on there that's mass adoption of technology so these things are happening at the same time they give exponential upset rewards so in this environment with the feds back on the downside and the upside. She'll you won't be lonely upside and not looking to trade. The cheeky downside. You know macro bet. This is the macro bed that were transition into a different world and a lot of people are very cynical of that because they don't value these things but once you understand just use the logarithmic chart and look at the adoption of that network in the growth of the network and the number of connections that being built in the network then on everything and all becomes clear where we can understand why people hate it. people hate it. because it's counterintuitive. It goes against decades of experience particularly people who've been investing in markets for decades It's contradicts the things that we learned about in finance textbooks We were studying this at university. I but we all know on the flip side thinking about the two thousand eight two thousand nine. We all know free market purists to fight the fed and got wrecked. That's right and we also.

Facebook facebook Apple eight two thousand nine two thousand bitcoin decades
"raoul" Discussed on Adventures in Finance: A Real Vision Podcast

Adventures in Finance: A Real Vision Podcast

03:23 min | 11 months ago

"raoul" Discussed on Adventures in Finance: A Real Vision Podcast

"Once again. I'm curious on the tech side. On the crypto side. You see this bush for exponential age type investments and potentially bearish on the On the on the side where we look at more traditional industrial type of commodities as well as as well as stocks that are involved in manufacturing. Tell us a little bit about that thesis. Well generally these exponential age. These things would network effects. We don't value so much of cash flow. You kind of think of them. As super long term bonds so therefore soup long-term bonds go up enormously as yields full right. And that's how these things traded all the way through the coveted experience because they're not cash flow constraint because they just produced margin and cashflow machines. These things extraordinary so that makes them very attractive in times of economic slowdowns or economic uncertainty. That doesn't mean you won't get volatility in them but they tend to extremely well indeed so fang stocks massively outperformed all other stocks last year. And i think that columbine plays out again. So i'm looking at that. Bitcoin really is a play on central bank balance sheets and the adoption of the technology. So that option technology goes relentlessly forwards. There's been less retail activity because of the sell off. And you know some of the chinese issues and you know the g narrative has slowed the buying down so the market's been pretty heavy as chinese miners of offloaded some of their inventory because some of the closing up shop or happened to move location. And that's that's way down. We see that gray scale. Trust hasn't been buy bitcoin recently but over time if i'm right and the narrative shifts towards what we need to print more money again then bitcoin getting exponential because everybody understands the bitcoin is the best asset in the well to own in a re expansion of the balance sheet. Other way robb for people who are not familiar with the exponential age thesis. Can you give us a thumbnail sketch. The exponential h thesis is a new macro framework. That says micros normally about buying the puts Where you make the money when the economy turns down like we've been talking about now you know you got long the dollar you buy bonds you buy bonds and you buy puts an equities and you make a fortune in short periods of time and then you eke out returns over other periods of time by maybe only emerging markets or other things. That's generally a macro always worked so it's very lumpy returns. But we're going to an age where. What is the downside. Equities 'cause if equities full of central bank stimulates if they stimulate you. Lower the denominator. And they get re priced higher again and we saw that after the big recession recorded history the equity market screened higher went down for a month and that was it. I was like whoa. It's because they. They lowered the value of the denominator. Fake currency rule. So we know that basically in a situation where any growth is weaker the central prince and therefore equities go up if equities full the central bank of prince an equities go up if inflation rises the central bank caps yields and ends up buying all the bones which is the expense of the balance equities..

last year columbine chinese bank a month Once
"raoul" Discussed on Adventures in Finance: A Real Vision Podcast

Adventures in Finance: A Real Vision Podcast

06:00 min | 11 months ago

"raoul" Discussed on Adventures in Finance: A Real Vision Podcast

"About a weaker H two second half of twenty twenty one a correction in commodity prices and rising dollar. Exactly right. that's exactly right and it's the knock on effects is where you you get to make the money because the dollar moves so fast in really get a chance to do anything unless you're position important advance now. The big question is does his through. Does those head and shoulders break if it does. We've got a much bigger macro move to come and the some fun to be had because it creates volatility so we can trade around that we can make some money out of bonds and stuff like that. I mean a marketer not going to be a home run with yields one point four percent and then you can make some money but it's not big trade. The dollar is pretty interesting when it moves this fast. 'cause it's a low volatility bet. That's moving very fast. So that's a good risk reward. Three tenths of one percent i think is the average daily move in the dx y yes and the last three days it's moved it's fifty basis points today about one hundred base points yesterday and seventy point before that these double or triple the normal move. Yeah yeah particularly for people who are. Us equity market investors Those kinds of moves in currencies are extremely rare. We see them obviously You know frequently in. Us equity indices by in currencies. Very rare particularly around the dollar. Yeah exactly right so if you think about if the if an average move in the equity markets up or down one percent which is actually less these days so this is this is the equivalent of a three percent. Move three days running in the snp. Basically something like that. That would be you know cheeky timpson three days. That's that's that's the carnival shock going on but because doll has so many linkages. Bitcoin can move up and down. But it has very little linkages but the dole has all linkages and that's why it creates a bit of havoc and that's why i've always called it. The dollar wrecking ball. That goes up too fast. It creates havoc everywhere. It goes down too fast as the same thing by actual view is that the central banks do not want the dollar so much higher as a general dollar shortage in the world because so many people were long dollar funding And that issue always comes when we can as comes people grab dollars in this game of musical. Chairs is not enough. I don't think any of the central banks want the dollar to break higher. That would be you know kind of above one hundred hundred and five..

three percent yesterday four percent today five one point seventy point fifty basis points Three tenths one percent triple double above one hundred hundred twenty about one hundred base points second twenty one two so many people three days
"raoul" Discussed on Adventures in Finance: A Real Vision Podcast

Adventures in Finance: A Real Vision Podcast

05:52 min | 11 months ago

"raoul" Discussed on Adventures in Finance: A Real Vision Podcast

"Just to connect to the new cycle for people who aren't following this closely So you know. We saw in the middle of the week on wednesday. The fed was unexpectedly hawkish by a market expectations Meaning they signalled. Rates would be rising faster and sooner than people believe but out in twenty twenty three if you look at the dot plot if you believe that that is indicative of policy action which is always a question treasury prices declined yields rose particularly in the five to seven year maturity range. The tim was up about ten basis points break. Evens on inflation declined. So what's so interesting. Rally about your thesis is that this brings it more into a bigger picture framework to look at what is happening in future. So what's interesting. Ashes yields went up for precisely one day and then collapsed a new low. Yeah so today and yesterday yields plummeted is not known behavior here. It's telling us something is different is going on dan. The prevailing narrative in markets. It tells you that the fed and not gonna raise rates or if they do. It's going to catala inflation but there were only talking about two years time you know. Are they going to start tapering. Probably not they will start to try to think about tapering and the rate of change of the fed balance sheets slowing down dramatically. But my guess is they'll have to pick it up. Due course and that affects all asset prices so the stock market is now like. I don't like this change. I don't like this dollar moving fast. Because that's the big daddy. If the big daddy's upset you know spooks everybody else. Volatilities contagious if the big daddy. Which is the duller. Don't minorities have everything is like screaming. High equity markets like whoa. I don't know what this means. i'm an already had a friend of mine runs a john hedge fund. He's like i will happen to bloody takedown risk and hedge because this thing is blowing up all our trades. 'cause everybody's in this reflation bet. That was the valley versus growth. Better as well. That was basically this point in the cycle that performs now if we go to a a loosen monetary policy environments again and slower growth. It means tech stocks stock to outperform again. And we that yesterday before things like arc stopped really performing again as the as the equity. Market start shifting. Its inflation narrative as well so it can move equity markets. It's gotta probably create volatility if this carries on and there's head and shoulders in the dollar break the equity markets go puke about shock then What will find his rates will come lower because it offsets the fact that. What's the equity markets. Doing the dollar is lowering the right inflation. It's brings bond deals down the fed stuck guy. Oh well sorry. We didn't mean about raising rates. We actually meant. Was you know we need to make sure. Everything's alright modesty prices all because of what's going on that lows the inflation narrative and things like golden bitcoin which really do well when the printing presses up again properly. I the rate of change dots increasing..

yesterday today five one day wednesday john seven year twenty twenty three about ten basis points two years fund
"raoul" Discussed on Adventures in Finance: A Real Vision Podcast

Adventures in Finance: A Real Vision Podcast

05:41 min | 11 months ago

"raoul" Discussed on Adventures in Finance: A Real Vision Podcast

"And at that scenario suddenly the dollar explodes and the markets got a bit wobbly and everyone thinks it's because rates are going up. Yeah but that's not. What the mark is telling you the bull market to say well. If you do that fellas. You're going to destroy the economy. So therefore the bomb marketing. Actually we're can stop flattening the curve and we're gonna see yields off so i want to show some charts just a talk through this narrative a bit further so try sharing the screen now. So here's the cia d. x. y. That's the dollar index. The index had tried to make a new low but fails and i've been following things like the demark indicators and they were saying the dole had bottomed whenever saying that dole is about to break lower. It's going to be a catastrophe i'm like. I'm not sure about this. The dollars the k. Macro variable because everything is priced in dollars so if the dolla goes down i if dolly goes up commodities go down. It's the inverse because of this denominator. Which is the us dollar. Don't confuse that with this denominator stuff. Been talking about the fed balance sheet. That's a different thing. That's about fake currency but just in straightforward terms when the dollar goes up commodities. Start coming down so the dala looks like it's forming this inverse head and shoulders more dramatically if you want say the around his the euro. It's a huge heading told. Talk if the euro breaks this kind of one sixteen one seventeen level chagas to one ten. What does that mean that means basically the reflation trades about to get unwound. A stronger dollar means weaker commodity prices. It's happening in lumber. It's happening in eggs. It's not happening in oil copper. Potentially it's happening but usually if the starts moving sharply commodities come off and the inflation narrative changes also ten year bond yields. You saw they kinda spiked awhile ago. Back in march and they've been coming off since now we're starting to get to the key level which is about one forty on the ten year if we break that trend line then the likelihood is we start going back towards the lows now. I think i talked to ed about this. last week. Is every single post recession period since nineteen sixty two bond deals shop squeeze as everybody has tried to price in inflation and that always too early unusually this is just the rebound effects and then stimulus from whether it's the central bank cutting rates all. Qe or fiscal stimulus from the government tends to falter and the central bank in every circumstance has come on and cut rates two more times at least off the recession finished and bone deals fall. So i've been waiting for the setup and it's looking that it's starting to happen the other thing that most people don't realize is that the dollar tends to go up when bond yields fall not what people think which is when bond yields rise. The reason being is the dollar is a safe haven at if things look like the world is slowing down than we tend to see money flow into that increase in the price of the dollar as i said low as inflation so they work in a feedback loop that drives the dollar higher and drives rates. Lower very.

last week central bank march ten year two more times nineteen sixty two bond deals euro about one forty one ten one seventeen level sixteen single
"raoul" Discussed on Adventures in Finance: A Real Vision Podcast

Adventures in Finance: A Real Vision Podcast

04:39 min | 1 year ago

"raoul" Discussed on Adventures in Finance: A Real Vision Podcast

"You know All all fiat currency of money is fungible as far as the government's concerned and when m two's rising at a ridiculous rate because the fed is printing money adding to its balance. Really all it's doing is it's swapping one asset for another. Yeah and so. Ultimately the real economy impact from his perspective is one that is is deflationary because they're sucking interest income out of the real economy. They're taking interest income out of the private sector and keeping at the fed when it could be the other economy so is cute so this is a good question is kiwi deflationary or inflationary. I also happen to believe it's probably at the mountain deflationary because as you drive down interest rates as well it means that anybody who lives off interest has less interest so you had recycling of interested and you can see that in a number of different ways but the issue i have generally with the with the mt contracts is that i think there was always said. There's an escape valve and the escape valve may was the value of the currency. I agree on. This is what it's showing and it wasn't. We'll go to rome is sunday got it wrong. We don i. The dax y dolor next dollar against the euro dollar down would be that but then you get to world of how can you have any currency going down. Because they're all debasing currencies and then you understand that's why asset prices are rising because the value of the currency's going down so the mta argument. Which is it's not new for the economy. Maybe it's like disinflationary but what is doing is lowering the purchasing power of the currencies against restrictions apply assets which is why are goes up. Antique calls go up. gold.

sunday one asset two one rome fed
"raoul" Discussed on KCRW

KCRW

02:25 min | 1 year ago

"raoul" Discussed on KCRW

"If anyone would get that Raoul had done nothing wrong. It would be then. But that's not what happened. We were treated like criminals. It took a sworn statement from each of us. They took two from him. Like they were trying to trip him up to trip me up or something, and And I don't blame the specific officers that did the interview. You do what you're told. Um If I didn't need my federal job. I would have told them all to go to hell. It's about his dramatic reversals. You could imagine Raul was a hard ass rule following law enforcement officer who learned he'd been violating the very rules he'd been enforcing for almost 20 years. It. It changed him. Did he see things differently? The rules seem fair now that he's on the receiving end of them. We talked about this a lot. I will says The cases he's thinking about now are the ones where he stuck to the rules and didn't give people a break, And as a result, they suffered badly. Like there's this one case, a brother and a sister. They were both really young there were being smuggled. We had to, like color consulate and arrange transportation back to the warm countries. It turns out that This little boy was Hugh was coming to donate a Gorgon to his sister, who was dying in Houston. Hey, was gonna don't donate his one of his kidneys and we can't even let him through. To save this little girl's life. And the little boy was like, man. I gotta go. I have to go. And they said, no, we can't And we had to turn him back. He starts crying and crying and crying and What's wrong? Hey, what's going on? Why Ukraine I left my Bible over there. No, we'll just give you another one is a no, No, that's my Bible. Oh, This.

Raul Raoul Bible Ukraine Hugh officer Houston
"raoul" Discussed on NewsRadio KFBK

NewsRadio KFBK

02:02 min | 1 year ago

"raoul" Discussed on NewsRadio KFBK

"Wall show 93.1 FM 15 30. I am taking your phone calls here people who calling up right now and see what's on their minds. Raoul, the next governor of the state of California is joining us, Raoul Hello? Hello. Follow past. How you doing? Good. Raoul. Yes, I'm trying to call away. Everybody know, I'm not surprised was going on in our election process. I will warn people I told people This is gonna happen. However, people need to understand that people need to understand that in order for people to see the fraud, they you must show them. Can I just believe You telling them they must see it. And then the last moment you pulled the rug from underneath your enemy. That's what Trump is doing right now. People. People need to see what he's doing. He's These people were stood up a long time ago. He has the proof they were doing Voting affliction with Dominion system, so million voting systems. Um Nasty. Pelosis chief of staff is the key to executive there after we'll ask Diane Stank science husband is a major shareholder. And and and you know what it's like with that in mind. You see, men are supposed to question it. And and the same thing, too, with Max. When when you have people bone when people are voting around the captain both. Yes. The percentage may go down, however. Number of votes are not gonna go down. There's data of death. And also the math is not adding up as well. Get ready for cover. 2021. We're going to have that. It's gonna happen in this a time for the 2022 midterm elections, The more liberal the status, the more draconian, the more longer D Shut down, They're gonna happen. The more rights are gonna.

Trump Raoul California Diane Stank fraud Max chief of staff executive
How are changes to sexual harassment rules working in schools

Heartland Newsfeed Radio Network

04:39 min | 1 year ago

How are changes to sexual harassment rules working in schools

"In May, the Department of Education made sweeping changes to title nine regulations Peter Medlin with W J reports on how colleges and universities are coming to terms with new policies. Many advocates in school officials say will chill reporting the new regulations changed the definition of what qualifies as sexual harassment under title nine to meet. The new standard harassment must be quote severe pervasive and objectively offensive. She Wa Patel is the Director of justice for students survivors at the National Women's law center. So these rules kind of in total really just turn title nine on its head as a civil rights law says they raised. The threshold of what schools can choose to ignore, and it's a departure from guidance that's been in place for wrong twenty years if a student isn't being outright denied equal access to a program or activity that might not be enough. So that means some substance would be forced to endure repeated an escalating levels of abuse before they can get help. The new rules also require institutions of higher learning to dismiss reports of harassment the happened off campus. Now, they'd had to put together a separate sexual misconduct policy to apply to those situations. This has ramifications for online harassment especially as many schools move to. More virtual instruction during the pandemic faith Ferber is a student engagement organizer with no your nine. She says, if someone's harassing you in a class zoom meeting that would be covered but if someone is sexually harassing you over facebook and then you have to see them in the zoom classroom that wouldn't necessarily be covered a northern Illinois University. Title Nine Coordinator. Sarah Gardner says they do have procedures to help students. We had the opportunity to see okay even though it doesn't reach this level of conduct how we address it as university but as faith ferber says the problem is that places like and I You could ignore those cases that they choose to, and she says, the Education Department isn't there to protect students either we can't count on our schools can't count on the government. So all we can count on is students and student power to really make a difference in holders schools accountable at a you students held protests last year on the basis of the university was mishandling investigations and the process was slow and apathetic. The university hired another coordinator and Garner says, they're much better equipped to handle their case load. Now, the new regulations are over two thousand pages two, thousand, thirty three to be exact and. The policies themselves fit into the last thirty pages or so the reason the document is so long as so that the Department of Education headed by Betsy Devos is trying to justify why the chains are needed and respond to public comments. She Wally catalysis says there were more than a hundred thousand comments mostly opposing the new rules they were school principal. There were mental health experts over nine hundred trauma specialists joined a letter and raised concern about the rule. So the significant opposition and yet they continue to move forward Sir Garner A, you were one of the many schools that Senate comets harshly not. Many concerns made it into the final regulations. Patel says, the provisions were largely unchanged from what was proposed, but there were also a few changes that weren't even in the proposed rule. So they didn't have a chance to comment. One example is that colleges and universities are now barred from dealing with complaints by people who aren't actively participating in an education program that means a school won't be allowed to investigate a complaint of sexual harassment if the survivor already graduated or they transferred or let's say they dropped out of school because they were sexually assaulted and they don't plan to re enroll and colleges. Could dismiss cases when the respondent who's being accused isn't enrolled or employed by the school but tell that could include professor who retires or who resigns after abuse comes to light. Another chain that wasn't included originally reiterates that the department's guidelines supersede any state law and some of the new title and changes are in conflict with Illinois. State Law one forces those going through an investigation to undergo cross-examination in a live hearing and as Sarah garnered I says, we have a state law that says, you cannot cross examiner one another. This is the price sexual violence and Higher Education Act however now, the federal. Regulations. You must cross examine each other in public comment. It stated that this quote turn educational centers into courts of law and allow for parties to be subjected to quote demeaning inappropriate, and irrelevant probing there waiting for the Illinois Attorney General. Kwami Raoul away in he along with seventeen other attorneys. General is suing the Education Department to block the final rules from going into effect. Garner says they'll find out if they have to proceed with the guidance on August fourteenth there are countless other issues advocates say make the process more difficult for the people involved and for the school conducting the investigation and Peter Mullen.

Peter Medlin National Women's Law Center Sarah Gardner Department Of Education Patel Betsy Devos Wally Catalysis Ferber Northern Illinois University Sir Garner Education Department Garner Facebook Senate Illinois Kwami Raoul Sarah Peter Mullen
"raoul" Discussed on KNST AM 790

KNST AM 790

02:17 min | 1 year ago

"raoul" Discussed on KNST AM 790

"That Raoul we have a statement from Raoul. Grab his bar stool, don't we? We do it when roll groves barstools asked for comment. Ah, it says only three legs s. Oh, yeah. This is Barstow. I'm just throwing that out there again in that that that is his bar stool with his comments, so ah, so yeah, Fantastic. Don't you love that I am now question Karen. Okay? I miss him so much so much. So Ah! What? What did ah, the experts think of the child of the of the Democratic National Convention. I'm making this that you think I'm bi I am biased. I'm gonna lie idea. But CBS Norah O'Donnell with with some guy I don't even know some dorky You know who says something? Here we go. Listen, this is this is very important because of what happened in 2016 and the fissures between him and Hillary Clinton. That's right. Look, if a lot of what we've seen so far tonight from this virtual convention, Nora is some cross between Big brother American Idol and the Jerry Lewis telethon, which you have to come is the important bridge building that usually happens at these conventions. A Jerry Jerry Lewis Marathon. It's between Big Brother American Idol and Jerry Lewis married. Okay, That's just one thing right there. Don't you know that? That's just that's phenomenal stuff. Um, now, this should make a lot of it does make a lot of people mad. That the Democrats, it's actually What one more for you just just really quick. Um, if I have to get two more of this, and I have to get two more of Black lives matter things that they said. It's crazy. You know, I do want to get back. I'm running short of when when they were told to stand for the national anthem. We'll hear what they said there. We got to get to John Kasich. Black lives matter. All kinds of stuff. Don't go anywhere it is. Can ISI County supervisors have passed a resolution condemning the.

Jerry Lewis Jerry Jerry Lewis Raoul American Idol Norah O'Donnell Hillary Clinton John Kasich Barstow ISI County Karen Nora
Ballot Bandits!

The Radio Adventures of Dr. Floyd

05:27 min | 1 year ago

Ballot Bandits!

"In the last sensationally stirring season of the radio adventures of up Lloyd, our heroes, Dr Floyd, and his young protege Dr Grant found out that their faithful robot companion chips could talk as if this remarkable revelation wasn't enough the first thing chips made clear was that she was a she and he has everyone always assume these two dynamic disclosures left us with a lot of unanswered questions. So let's not waste a second more. Let's join. Grant on the deck of their time and space ship as they learn more about the plucky robots chips. That you could talk all this time. Knowing well, then why did you always say Doodoo well, could you understand me when I say? Yeah Get a different time. No I guess not. We have so many questions we have to ask you for instance, where do you come from? I come from. The One. And you want to hear it. Yes. Yes. We've been waiting since the end of last season well. Come from many years ago I was as chips relates the rushing and truly earth-shattering details ever origin. Let's see what diabolically devious deeds, maniacal Malcontent, Dr Steve and his sneaky sock shaped assistant. To visit. featured. Quickly bring me the phone I need to cast my vote for my favorite dancer on. So I guess you can chop. Who Am I voting for White Beatrice. Of course she's clearly the best chance. Raul is good. I'll give you that but he's Remember to watch the results tomorrow night only on. The Super Study Broadcasting Network. Vote for Beatrice. You don't get to vote. You'll vote for Raoul and well, that's just plain irresponsible I won't allow it. I don't care if you think it's fair or not look more people vote for reality TV shows than for president that means a TV vote carries more weight and I will not allow you to waste of vote when you vote for Raoul. Moat don't give me that suffrage stuff. What do you think you are Susan B. Anthony? You just leave the having voting to wait a minute feature. That's it. Quick to the controls. We need to make a time jump to Rochester, New York on November eighteenth seventy two. We are going to steal the ballots that Susan B. Anthony cast in that year's presidential election the ballot that led to a trial that brought nationwide attention to the women's right to vote movement. Just imagine how much that will fetch on Ebay. Horrible News. Director Steve is on route burglarize the ballot cast by the mother of the women's right to vote Moveon Susan B. Anthony Hopefully. Our heroes who are still enthralled with the story of Gypsies origin will be able to prevent him from achieving his agree just plan. Culture with Jessica. Simple. Stop. That is fascinating shifts that really does answer a lot of questions should. Meet is where's the family now? Where's? In fact. Really when they moved here pace eighteen, seventy to. Talk to Stephen Fidget have just made a time space junk to I was gonNA say because that's not too far from. What Stephen Time. Jump. To. Eighteen seventy two in the new. No. No time to waste on exclamations of worried. Quick. We've got to follow him as our heroes race off to follow Dr Steve. Let's go back in time ourselves to November fifth eighteen, seventy, two, the place seventeen Madison streets in Rochester New York. It is six thirty am and a group of fifteen women standing outside the home of one Susan B. Anthony who has just come out the front door good morning sisters of three. Susan. Oh you already to make history. As you know the fourteenth amendment to the Constitution says that all people born in the United States our citizens. It also says that all citizens are entitled to the privileges of Citizenship and wonderful privileges is voting. Yes, we will both nited states right great. That makes us, citizens, right. That means we have the right to vote. Let's vote then sisters. Wait a minute. Hang on what's a matter Susan? Does anyone know where the polling places? Never mind. I haven't. It's on the back of might sample. Okay come on we don't want them to run out of those. This'll voted stickers. As Susan B, Anthony Group of women voters head off to the polls little. Do they know they are being trailed by Dr Steven fidget will stephen featured be able to Swipe Susan B. Anthonys ballots will floyd Dr Grant and chips get there in time to stop. Dr Steve from. Carrying out his evil plan and will we ever get to hear the entire story of Gypsies origin. They really stop interrupting me and the important thing people need to understand about my past is next time on the radio. Adventures.

Dr Steve Susan B. Anthony Moveon Susan B. Anthony Hopefu Dr Grant Stephen Time White Beatrice Susan B Rochester New York Dr Floyd Dr Steven Fidget Raul Susan B. Anthonys Raoul Stephen Fidget Ebay Lloyd Moat United States Anthony Group
"raoul" Discussed on Fresh Air

Fresh Air

01:44 min | 2 years ago

"raoul" Discussed on Fresh Air

"From whyy, in Philadelphia this is fresh air. I'm David Cooley in for Terry Gross I am not your. Negro is the documentary about James Baldwin one of the most influential black writers to emerge during the civil rights era and addressed racial issues at on. Today we listen back to our nineteen eighty-six interview with Baldwin and we talk with the Director of the Documentary Raoul Peck who was born in Haiti and influenced by Baldwin as a young man. Also in two, Thousand Sixteen Colin Kaepernick took a knee during the national anthem in protests against police shootings and racial inequality. That gesture essentially put a stop to his football career. We talk with journalist Howard Bryant about the history of African American athletes taking stands for social justice, it's the subject of his book the heritage. This.

James Baldwin Terry Gross whyy Raoul Peck David Cooley Howard Bryant Colin Kaepernick Haiti Philadelphia Director football
Italy's prosecco boom is leading to dramatic soil erosion, scientific report claims

Monocle 24: The Briefing

00:37 sec | 3 years ago

Italy's prosecco boom is leading to dramatic soil erosion, scientific report claims

"Bubble trouble. As per second. Boom is blamed for soil erosion, so per second has sort of largely been clips in champagne and popularity it produce about five hundred million bottles per year to this new vineyards cropping up in the region. And the way that these been yours are constructed means that the rain foil causes a lot of soil erosion. So we studied by scientists in Pudeur shows that for everybody would have protected that's produced four point four kilograms of solids lost which is four hundred thousand tonnes each year and British drink his play an unwitting role in the problem. The producers consortium isn't happy and has called the report sensationalist as the. Region has grown grapes since Napoleon's time. But you know, maybe maybe don't have that extra gloss of per second. Lost. You had prosecutor, by the way recently. I think this weekend. Vargas. Raoul's there. Thank you very much for joining us here in the briefing. And finally on today's brokering Finland winters are often extremely cold. But meteorologists say the nation's Lapland region has produced Europe's coldest temperature this winter chilling, minus thirty eight point seven degrees celsius. There's get more on this with our man in Finland better Bortsov better. We both are finished. But I still had to explain how do the people in Lapland cope when it's almost my minus forty degrees. Well, the funny thing is they cope freely. Well, I mean, you just don't go outside for such a long period of time. And if you go you put on this. I'm not quite sure how to translate Bill key holler at Marcus. But the kind of overalls that you

Finland Lapland Boom Prosecutor Pudeur Vargas Raoul Bill Europe Four Hundred Thousand Tonnes Seven Degrees Celsius Four Kilograms Forty Degrees
U.S. deports accused former Nazi guard to Germany

Bill Handel

00:30 sec | 4 years ago

U.S. deports accused former Nazi guard to Germany

"New the United States has deported a ninety five year old former Nazi concentration camp guards The ex Nazi came to America in nineteen, forty-nine posing as a refugee the. Feds confronted him in one thousand nine hundred eighty and he admitted to lying he admits he, guarded a polish. Camp but denies taking part in war crimes he was stripped of his US citizenship in two thousand three but European countries wouldn't take him so we lived in legal limbo in queens until this morning, when, he was flown, to

Pico Rivera Jerry Soda California Gregory Salcedo United States Raoul Elias Matthew Birch Jon Stewart New York Times KFI Rix Kfi Rancho High Old Fire Battalion Honda New York Supervisor Canoga Park Knicks AMY President Trump
Lollapalooza 2018 Lineup Announced: The Weeknd, Bruno Mars, Jack White, More

Bill & Wendy

02:20 min | 4 years ago

Lollapalooza 2018 Lineup Announced: The Weeknd, Bruno Mars, Jack White, More

"The news is steve bertrand sunny it is thirty three degrees now at o'hare the emmanuel administration is announced two finalists in the bidding to build a highspeed transport system from o'hare to downtown one of them the boring company is run by elon musk the goal is to get to and from o'hare in twenty minutes the mayor said last year that he has a three year waiting period on this show they hope to get moving fairly soon on this post election day while the losers are trying to figure out what went wrong the winters are focusing on what's next like the general election in november jay pritzker the democrat for governor says he can unite the party even after a divided primary win governor rounders looking to the general election after a narrow win over conservative genie is is focused on social issues in her challenge i don't focus on social issues they divide us at a time when we need to unite to fix our economic problems the governor tells wgn's tv morning news that he's focused on jobs and the economy thank you so much state senator kwami raoul thanking supporters in the city after winning the democratic nomination for illinois attorney general he says he looks forward to a good debate over the course of the next several months with erika harold i look forward to discussing the issues that impact the state of illinois from the standpoint of how on attorney general could make it better stay erica herald is a former missile annoy and miss american won the republican nomination yesterday house speaker ryan said congressional negotiators are in a good place as they try to finish a big one point three trillion dollar spending bill before the end of the week deadline he told reporters they expect to post something very soon another week another nor'easter three of the four i should say nor'easters in three weeks hitting the eastern shore today the storm runs from washington dc up to new york city new york already has the national guard on standby palooza lineup is out the twenty eighteen lollapalooza line of figures headliners like bruno mars the weekend and arctic monkeys sales were sluggish when four day sales opened yesterday some blaming the price others critical of last year's lineup well now they know this year's lineup we'll check your money sports traffic and weather next on wgn easter is coming up and i just can't wait to have the whole family in one place and of course what's.

Illinois Washington Erica Herald Attorney Senator New York Ryan Steve Bertrand WGN Jay Pritzker Elon Musk O'hare Emmanuel Administration Three Trillion Dollar Thirty Three Degrees Twenty Minutes