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"rachel bitta" Discussed on AM Joy

AM Joy

08:09 min | Last month

"rachel bitta" Discussed on AM Joy

"Come January. Wow Good morning and welcome back to. Am Joy a new ad by the Joe Biden Campaign juxtaposes Donald Trump golfing at his club in Virginia. Yesterday as the death toll from covid nineteen years one hundred thousand one hundred thousand American lives lost in just a few months many of which could have been saved trump. Let the cameras see him golfing which he rarely does. It's all part of his strategy to normalize this devastation to normalize human suffering. Nothing to see here folks. It's all good but not everyone is burying their heads in the sand this morning. The New York Times printed the names of one thousand Americans who lost their lives to corona virus on its front page all of these names account for just one percent of the lives lost so far. Meanwhile trump golfs and tells us everything is fine. Meanwhile all fifty states are taking steps to reopen meanwhile Senate Republicans are refusing to take up legislation. That could help mitigate the unprecedented public health and economic crisis facing this nation and all while election looms and it looks like Krona virus will turn election day into a referendum on Republican governance. A Nationwide Fox News poll shows Joe Biden beating. Donald Trump by eight points in red states are turning purple in Georgia. Trump and Biden are neck and neck in Georgia. These numbers are even worse for Republicans in the Senate were Democrats need just four seats to take the majority recent polls show. Republicans can no longer bet on North Carolina. Where the Senate race is a virtual tie or Colorado with a Republican incumbent is losing by eighteen points or Arizona with the Republican incumbent. This losing by thirteen points joining me now is Jonathan Kaye part. Msnbc CONTRIBUTOR and opinion columnist for the Washington Post Tiffany Cross Kennedy School Resident Fellow at Harvard University and author of Satan Louder Jimmy Williams a senior adviser for the Lindsay must go pack. Rachel Bitta Coffer. An election forecaster and Gabriel Sherman. Msnbc CONTRIBUTOR and author of the loudest voice in the room. I'm an actually start with you. Gabriel Sherman I gave. It is unusual for the White House to allow trump to be seen golfing the fact that they did that seems to send a message that they want nor they want things to look normal. They want to look like everything is fine. Is there any sense that maybe some in the administration or in the campaign things? Oh this is a bad visual for Donald Trump. Well clearly there is from people dead. Yeah there is a has been joyous split in Trumpworld About Donald Trump magical thinking erste the realism that were in a generation lead mining prices and trump has been pushing this idea that everything's fine. Everything's back to normal. He told a source of mine. Just in the last few days that is Moderna vaccine is going to be sure that everything's GonNa be wrapped up very soon. So Donald Trump is you know really walking the walk so to speak when it comes to this delusion that as long as he's on the golf course and he can just will this crisis away and I think with the New York Times front page. That you've just shown is so powerful in these are these are actual people. These are numbers that Donald Trump can't lie. You know you can't spin and at the end of the day. I think his White House and the Republican Party writ large is going to be judge in November. You know on those underlying fax the Racial. Let me go to you on this first. Let me go to you on this Fox News. This is Fox News. Polls the put up the favorables and this may seventeen through twenty. President Obama maintains an overwhelmingly favourable view among Americans forty eight percent have a favourable view of Joe Biden despite all that Donald trump has thrown at him. Donald Trump and Mike pence are at forty three and forty two percent senators. Republican senators have bet it all on Donald Trump. The Republican Party has made at all on Donald Trump. They are all in. Which means every senator that's up for. Re Election Including Mitch. Mcconnell are running with trump draped over them is that a good thing for Republicans at this stage as far as the data and the the Probability outcomes are concerned. No it's terr- it's a terrible thing. It's a situation though that none of them can control because unlike other presidents in this situation Strategically what would be ideal for these? Senators would be to distance themselves from Toronto. Certainly would be what they would like to do. But in trump world if you are not rapping yourself around trump and talking about how wonderful. He is at times. It is a cardinal sin and it made invoke his Twitter rage freight and so they he and he cannot be reasoned. West so like he I'm sure he has advisers that. Tell him law MC Sally in Arizona in real trouble collins and main if you could give these people some breathing room to you know even rhetorically distance themselves from you. It would be strategically official because the party needs to hold onto the Senate in the fall right you can tell. Donald trump that information and it's can be accurate information but it doesn't matter because he is not capable of rational strategic thinking in a way that normal politician wouldn't be what he met. What matters to him Mrs Ego and he demands allegiance from these people. So now it's the same situation. They found themselves through impeachment process. They had to pretend basically laid out. The evidence didn't exist for Ukraine scandal. They had to refuse to acknowledge evidence. The rest of US could see plainly with our is. It's part of how we're living in this. Really strange reality facts no longer matter. It is very interesting as you said the strategic thinking or not or lack thereof Gabriel. Sherman has a piece out that says that this is Donald Trump's version of strategic thinking that essentially Lindsey. Graham just needs to go harder on Obama and Biden. That's what he should be doing. Gabe reports at trump things. Lindsey Graham isn't doing anything on Flynn a former White House. Officials said according to the former official trump recently asked prominent allies to tweet negative things about Graham and he has been completed. Grandma's hanger on trump is said since John McCain died. Lindsey follows me around and shows up the play golf golf and I didn't even invite him according to the source briefed on the conversation and meanwhile let me go to you on this I will come back talk about his piece later but I want talk. Show an ad that you have something to do with. I believe here's an ad against Lindsey Graham. Because here's the vice. Lindsey Graham is in Lindsey. Graham is the guy who used to said once we nominate trump. We'll get destroyed that we will deserve it. That's what he used to say. He used to call. Kook used to call them everything now. He's all in and as far as trump is concerned just hanging and clinging onto him. Here's the ad that's now running by a pack called. Lindsey must go here it is. I want to talk to the trump supporters for minute. I think he's a coup crazy..

Donald Trump trump Joe Biden Lindsey Graham Republican Party White House Senate Gabriel Sherman The New York Times Arizona Fox News President Obama senator Msnbc Jonathan Kaye official North Carolina Rachel Bitta Coffer golf
"rachel bitta" Discussed on The Next Best Thing

The Next Best Thing

06:01 min | 2 months ago

"rachel bitta" Discussed on The Next Best Thing

"Mean like you got to step back and look at the big picture you just have to and Rahm Emanuel. You know people can say what they will about him but he's not the only one who thinks that having Joe Biden at the top of the ticket is good far from it. Rachel Bitta coffer the top data analyst at the nonpartisan Niskanen Center. She was on Bill Maher show last week and she seems to think things look very bright for Democrats because Joe Biden took the lead in his probably going to be the nominee the Senate in twenty twenty. What's your prediction on that? The Senate because we don't get the Senate then. It's all kind of so now that the socialist prospect has been vanquished and the party will not be running against itself which is a really critical element yes. The Colorado inmate are definitely flipping as will era Zona. So the question is whether it's wonderful Colorado Arizona okay so when my forecast for the House and the Senate come out? What are we talking about at least six house seats? In addition to the ones they gained in two thousand eighteen That's because they didn't understand in this new environment where to spend money. It's in these realigning suburbs. Which by the way realigning because of the millennial generation who are now forty. They're balding houses not college kids sitting on their ass not voting before but now they're freaked out to gay and so when we look at the surburban revolution it's not a Republican women singing kun-bae off and having like buyer's remorse in fact if you look at my analyses I really urge you guys to do anyone who's hearing this please do. You're going to see Republicans are are stoked on Donald Trump. They love with this man is doing. They're not disaffected. They showed up. They increase the return out in two thousand. Eighteen and Democrats are actually flipping seeds because of Independence and Democrats who are changing the composition of the electorate. They're making it less white younger more female and better educated and that's what saving America and that's what's saving America because we won't be battling ourselves she says but won't we be. That's the key question by the way. She has a lot of credibility lately. She's kind of the it girl and predictions because she more than anyone else predicted. The two thousand eighteen outcomes of the two thousand eighteen midterms almost one hundred percents accurately. Now think about this. For a second that demographic she just described better educated young William in. They made up a huge chunk of Elizabeth Warren supporters. Now I don't think I mentioned this but Elizabeth Warren has also suspended her presidential campaign and I know a lot of people are sad about that and it is sad. It's sad. We live in a very misogynist country. And I don't know why anyone would be surprised by that after what happened in two thousand sixteen but the demographic you just hurts described by Rachel cover that is almost exactly who made up the biggest chunk of Elizabeth Warren Space. And Guess What folks. A lot of people assumed that once. Elizabeth Warren got out of the race her supporters but flocked Bernie. That's a kind of delusion that they that people are telling themselves the majority of those people have not been getting behind Bernie since she dropped out it been getting behind Biden Reuters just published a story today about how according to a new Reuters Ipsos national opinion poll forty seven percent of registered Democrats and independents. Said they would vote for Biden if they're states nominating contests were held today. That's up seven points from a similar poll taken before worn dropped out of the race thirty percent said they were vote for sanders that is identical to what the exact same poll said before she dropped out so bind has gone up seven point since Elizabeth Warren left but sanders has gone up. Zero surprised. Frankly that doesn't surprise me at all for one thing. Anyone who supported any of the other candidates has more than likely grown a little bit hostile towards Sanders supporters more so his supporters than sanders himself. But frankly it's hard not to because for no other reason than their penchant for cyber bullying and their pompous nature. Sorry but I've been a lot of Bernie Sanders. Supporters have been assholes online. Really Obnoxious assholes. Now that's not all of them certainly not all of them have been but a lot have been and you know who knows it better than anybody. Elizabeth. Warren I mean. It's unbelievable what she was dealing with. People were Bernie now. I hope to God these were Russian bots only I don't because I don't want to think Russia and bots are interfering in our election again regardless people were going over the top attacking her online over the top calling her snake saying she was stealing votes from Bernie. She was ruining this election saying that they were threatening to Find someone to primary her in Massachusetts and she talks about this. Don't think that that didn't get to her. Because she went on Rachel Maddow's show and talked about it and she specifically said yes. This is a problem in. It's a problem with Bernie supporters. She singled them out on national TV. Much like he singled her out when he called her a liar on national. Tv during one of the debates. Remember that remember that I mean Bernie. People may have forgotten about that or or thought. It wasn't a big deal but I assure you. Senator warned did not like that and is probably not forgotten that. I'm not sure she'll ever.

Bernie Sanders Elizabeth Warren Joe Biden Senate Rahm Emanuel Elizabeth Warren Space Bill Maher Rachel Bitta Rachel Maddow Donald Trump Colorado Reuters Niskanen Center Elizabeth analyst America Rachel Senator Massachusetts
Election forecaster Rachel Bitecofer explains "the reason Joe Biden is the nominee"

Cape Up with Jonathan Capehart

08:05 min | 4 months ago

Election forecaster Rachel Bitecofer explains "the reason Joe Biden is the nominee"

"Rachel Bitta coffer. Thank you very much for coming on the podcast on the pleasures. All mind. Jonathan. Thank you okay. So five years ago. Nobody knew who you were two years ago. Almost two years this come July. You did something that put you on them. Map what you do out. Two years ago and July I came out and on twitter where a grand total of six hundred sixty twitter followers and nice started. Trolling the big election forecasters and They were having serious conversations as to whether the Democrats could pick up the twenty three seats they needed to flip the house and I introduced my new theory and model which was Arguing no no no because her way undercutting us it's going to be about forty seats and the reason why is because the electorate is going to be reshaped by backlash to Donald Trump. Now you said in July is July twenty eighteen. You put out a forecast that said initially forty two seats and folks thought you were nuts. They did they thought I was nuts and Took real umbrage to the certainty number one that I was talking about Especially because I was pointing out a specific districts. Some of them were Obviously not controversial. They were agreed upon really competitive districts. They've released as toss ups by others. But and I was saying. No these are one hundred percent to flip but really Especially things like Virginia's seventh district which were not even on other people's radar at the time is that That's down in the Richmond area of the suburbs of Richmond. And I said not districts GONNA flip. I don't care if it has played host to one of the House Freedom Caucus most ideological members and David Brat. It is going to be a democratic seat after these elections. And and that's what happened. Is that one okay. So why were you so certain? I was so certain number one because I had already developed the theory and watched it play out and win election cycle actually in two thousand seventeen election cycle in Virginia. Where I happened to be based I Had said to my colleague as we entered that polling season. We did polling state. Polling there in Virginia You know this is my expectation. I think we're GONNA see an electorate. That's much more democratically In a democratically comprise. We're GONNA see more young voters more voters of color more women more college educated voters in these voters are going to be breaking much more strongly for. Democrats than what you've been seeing under the Obama years and we need to account in this In our likely voter modeling because otherwise our polling is going to underestimate the Democrats support or Ralph Northam support in the election. And you know My colleague was certainly In agreeance that there was going to be Advantage for Democrats but the size and the shape of it. I think you know he was a little skeptical of until we saw it manifest in that virgin the election and the election night I was coming up to DC to do some local radio on whammy with coach. Mandy and I was literally yelling in the car. Oh my gosh I should have modeled this. I should have put something out I. I knew this was going to happen. Was a nine point. Route and Democrats picked up fifteen seats in the house of delegates. And so I committed right then and there I was gonNA find a way to model my theory and I was going to do something for two thousand eighteen and that's what I did. Okay so you sort of talked to round your theory. What is the theory? The theory is for the last eight years of you know for eight years. Basically of the Obama Administration. You know we had this Obama. Coalition emerge right two thousand and six. You see the Democrats. Pick up control of the House of Representatives and Then you see them. You know flipping the presidency in two thousand eight. I mean think people forget how big of a mandate that Obama election was picking up You know states like Missouri and North Carolina in that process and then all of a sudden. It's just disappeared right. Twenty ten they go from from that huge Obama win in two thousand eight to just getting shellacked with sixty three seats in the House of Representatives. And you know the narrative that was set on the Cable News. Chagos was Oh. The Democrats have reached with Obamacare and independence turned against them. And that's the story of the and and you know sitting at home and working on my PhD. Just getting started in Grad School to get to this point where I am now and I remember looking at the election data and just being like that is not what the data says. The data says turnout collapsed. And when it did it collapsed were heavily amongst Democratic voters. People who cast ballots either as Democrats are independence but cast them for Democratic candidates. And I just couldn't understand why the media narrative missed that important component So you know when I was looking at You know the elections of twenty fourteen and twenty ten. I was thinking about who didn't show up to vote more than anything else. And you know that's really what drives my research. Is this argument that. In the polarized era where we do have such little bit of Crossover Voting Republicans Voting for Democrats and vice versa. What matters at the end of the day in a competitive race is the is the composition of the electorate demographically Because that will determine the partisan composition and if the partisan composition doesn't good for Democrats are GONNA lose the race only looks good. Apparently when Democrats are freaked out. And they're only tout when they're not in power so never crafts. All ways freaked out even when they are empowered. Sabih like an inherent trait. You would think now you you said that. Turn out collapsed in two thousand ten but also in two thousand fourteen and a lot of the media the chatter. The cable chatter then was it collapsed because of disappointment in in Obama at both in Tan and in fourteen is it as granular as that or is it that the the Democratic Party and the candidates didn't do enough to maintain the enthusiasm from Eight and twelve so glad that you asked because Anybody that follows me on twitter will know that. I put a lot of the onus on Democrats the Democratic Party The D. Trip The DNC the SEC and the way that they approach electioneering as compared to the way that the Republican Party approaches electioneering. You know in in terms of what happened Democrats do not do an effective job getting their voters excited to show up to vote They liked to have cerebral Conversations voters that overestimate no offense to voters the Basically the intelligence of the electorate think income search for exactly. I think everybody's on Morning Joe Panel and whereas the Republicans are talking to the gut always and it's always about stakes right. If you don't show up to vote everything you love will fall apart. Die Right I mean that's that's a message right and they make people care about things that are are things people don't care about people don't care about state and local politics. It's unfortunate it's not fair. It's actually rational given the amount of influence that state and local politics has over one's life but it's a fact right and so the way that Republicans deal with that is they tie. They nationalize state and local officials to national politics or to national issues like abortion and guns and that way the voters like okay. I don't care about John Smith but he supports trump and I love trumps. So I'M GONNA show up to vote right. Democrats really fail to tap into that nationalized messaging. You'll hear them all the time. Say we'll all politics is local right like it's like one thousand nine hundred eighty tip. O'neill thing and if that was ever true. It's certainly not true now. All politics is national. The Republican Party gets that they get that voters will only show up in a high stakes environment and so they make that high stakes environment for them.

Barack Obama Virginia Twitter Republican Party Democratic Party Obama Administration Rachel Bitta House Of Representatives Donald Trump Jonathan House Freedom Caucus Richmond Ralph Northam Mandy O'neill David Brat John Smith Chagos Grad School
"rachel bitta" Discussed on On The Media

On The Media

11:31 min | 4 months ago

"rachel bitta" Discussed on On The Media

"Nancy Pelosi attributed to America's insecurity about healthcare healthcare on the ballot and healthcare one. Nope says it was about trump and a harbinger of massive democratic turnout in November which she explained to us as she raced to catch a flight. What I am arguing. Is that the reason turnout in every election. Since trump shot up ten points is because of the agitation of the electorate especially the democratic and left leaning independent portion of it which was Kinda sleeping in two thousand sixteen and had lower participation rates now is suddenly very energized to vote. This is a phenomenon known in political science circles as negative partisanship. What exactly does that mean? Negative partisanship refers to the negative emotions. People feel about the opposition party. Distrust anger angst even hatred. I am arguing. That that is definitely what is driving them to the polls where they were not showing up before. Keep in mind that there's just a lot less call. Crossover voting now about ten. Burst of Republicans vote for Democrats ten percent of Democrats vote for Republicans in your average federal election. Polarization has really changed the way that people behaves. You get these massive turnouts means. I just want to ask you about your methodology. How is it different from pollsters who slice the electorate into a trillion different demographics and then further slice it district by district around the country and the punditocracy that uses that to evaluate? What's happening in the electorate? All I'm doing is kicking. Well established findings polling and political science research that says demographics predict partisanship partisanship for next voting. And then I'm using. Basically census data to say. Here's where all the populations of latent democratic friendly electorate was and. I predicted that was going to have a huge turnout. Surge was going to make what looked like really friendly. Republican territory turned into really friendly democratic territory morning. Joe Panel sees fat is Oh it's a republicans changed their minds and our desert in the Republican Party. But actually what's going on in? That is different. Voters being agitated at the polls. The bottom line is that it's not the economy stupid. It's not the healthcare stupid. It's the stupid president stupid. I mean that's definitely right in two thousand eighteen. I expected Republicans to do what Democrats had done once. They seized power. Democrats took their foot off the gas. So what I expected. Was you know to some extent. Republicans are going to be fat and happy now and they're going to relax but instead because donald trump does a negative partisanship and he artificially inflames it so well. On monks Republican rank and file voters that their turnout went up two thousand eighteen midterms and that really helped them in the Senate map hold onto Texas hold onto Georgia. Hold on the Florida where I thought those seats would probably flip. And they probably would have if trump had gone in and held rallies and told them. I'm on the ballot. This is a referendum on me. Which is you know. The exact opposite of ice campaign consultant would ever give an incumbent midterm president right. Well let's talk about campaign consultants because in your new republic piece. Recently you said that democratic consultants were telling the candidates in the midterm elections to stay away from trump to avoid the subject that there was some risk in alienating independence and moderate Republicans by going personal when you look at the differentiation between the most timid of the Democrats and their strategies. What you'll notice. Is that the Republican. Turnout was the same number as other districts and their own turnout especially amongst democratic partisans lagged so the data is just not supportive of this idea that there were disaffected. Republicans joining hands with Democrats to flip these districts. The district slipped because millennials in the suburbs who had not been voting many who are forty. Now they're forty and thirty years old. They had not been voting before in midterms. Especially and now they are. I've been using the term conventional wisdom to describe what the pointed ones have told us is happening in the political landscape. You call the Chuck Todd. Theory of politics Tell me why I don't mean to pick on chuck. I could fill in the blank with any mainstream analyst. Chris Map News James Carville. I wish that we lived in a world in which you know. There's these big swaths of independence and they were Super Uber informed and they could be swayed just by being more pragmatic and bipartisan than the other guy. And that's what mattered to win a close election but US look pattern after pattern. A lot of them are not paying attention to politics at all. They're very emotive in their political attitudes. We through an impeachment trial in which the president was implicated day after day. Just in the absolutely jaw. Dropping amounts of evidence and public opinion was completely inelastic to it right. So we're clearly living in a time period. That is different than that. Conventional Wisdom Chuck. Todd had buried Joe Biden because he performed badly in the Iowa caucuses. He performed badly in New Hampshire and was becoming kind of a punch line and yet he crushed Bernie Sanders and especially the other hopefuls in your world. This has nothing to do. With Joe Biden. The candidate it has to do with the phenomenon. You're describing of just absolutely transcendent revulsion. Yes to be fair to the Chuck Todd of the world. I two looked at Biden. He looked dead in the water. He had money what it came down to. Is that when the nomination started to really look like it was gonna go to a to Sanders? The idea of nominating somebody who is gone. A label of a socialist. I think there is this deep seated. Fear that if the party nominated sanders they would lose not only the presidency but their opportunity the hold onto Congress into the Senate. The candidate doesn't matter much in twenty. Twenty you WanNa have diversity on the ticket so since Joe Biden happens to be a moderate white male you WANNA have ideological diversity. Someone who's more liberal and racial and gender diversities as someone who's a female person of color to balance out representation but we are going to see turnout go up amongst young people if it's Biden or if it's sanders because people are responding to the threat of Donald Trump now if one were in support of Joe Biden is the candidate probably one would be constantly on edge that he would do something or say something just positively catastrophic but if this cycle is indeed the ultimate expression of negative partisanship what we learned from trump. Is that there is nothing he can do or say. That is going to change the overarching dynamics of the race because number to vote against him. That's exactly right because sanders or abide and there's no liability either of those men possess that trump doesn't have a thousand percent. More of a problem is the Democratic Party is inept at messaging and campaigning. So that's where weakness between nominating Biden versus. The Andrews comes in if you wrote than Joe Biden could shoot somebody in the middle of Orange Street in Wilmington Delaware well to a degree the end of the day. Donald TRUMP'S GONNA poll in somewhere around forty seven forty eight percent of the two party. Vote in these swing states and the only question is. Is it going to be a NAS like it was in two thousand sixteen because the Republican Party is successful in getting the not trump coalition to fracture and waste votes on third party candidates? Or is it going to fall short because the vote winner in twenty twenty needs to crack fifty percent? There's something about your theory of the awakening of the formerly complacent Democrat. That doesn't make sense. We've been hearing in the ongoing media narrative about the twenty million millennials who have never before voted and finally have their opportunity to cast their ballots in a way that can express their well established desire for social and economic justice and the candidate Bernie Sanders. Who has most made them an issue but they didn't turn out. They didn't show up on Super Tuesday. We actually see a turnout. Surge amongst all voting groups right now so even though youth voting is up right now is it up amongst all group so it's not proportionately showing an increase. Sorry so if there was a youth turnout surged. It would be because of Donald Trump and not because it's one of the seeds of conventional wisdom that's sprouted in the last few days was that the results are reflection of educated. Republican women in the suburbs having had enough of trump. It's anecdotally true. But in terms of the overarching data story. It's about different. Turnout of millennials and independence. You are left leaning. Democrats turning those districts in two demographically favorable district's for Democrats not because Republicans had Koumba moment. Republicans are actually on chill. Rachel thank you very much Run for your plane and Jerry and Rachel. Bitta coffer. Is the Assistant Director of the Watson Center for Public Policy at Christopher Newport University? Coming up how much it will cost you use phrases like women's health and women's rights at the UN. Because Mr Moneybags is the American President. This is on. The media is on the media. I'm Bob Garfield Number Gladstone. This week the Supreme Court heard a case challenging a law that would limit women's access to abortion in Louisiana which is pretty much the same as a Texas law. The court struck down for years ago. Same Law but now argued before a different Supreme Court. Abortion rights advocates. Say the consequences if the court flipped could be dire. Meanwhile next week brings world leaders to the United Nations. If Corona Virus doesn't intervene tomorrow twenty five years since reproductive rights were enshrined in international law. It happened in one thousand nine hundred ninety five at the Fourth World Conference on Women in Beijing you might even recognize line from then. First Lady Hillary Clinton's speech if there is.

Joe Biden Donald Trump Bernie Sanders Chuck Todd Republican Party president Turnout Democratic Party Senate Nancy Pelosi United Nations Texas Supreme Court America Joe Panel Beijing US Lady Hillary Clinton Bob Garfield
"rachel bitta" Discussed on Two Broads Talking Politics

Two Broads Talking Politics

15:04 min | 4 months ago

"rachel bitta" Discussed on Two Broads Talking Politics

"Everybody? You know I think it closer talks a lot about things like mental health you know and is that are these things working for for you. The voter at the person on the ground. I want to be fighting. Not because I want you know that fancy house in DC. Not because I want you know. There's the fancy pen I get to sign laws with but because I want to help you and I want to make your life better and I think that that's an argument. That women can make very powerfully. Because that's what women do. In general I is is fight Four people and is is how people you know in you you think about this as as MOMS chromos. Teachers is lawyers end and so. I think that they can make that really compelling argument and I think that that really gets voters motivated I agree and I think really to put the emphasis on On the what? You said that some people say that this is working. But it's not working for you and I can see that because I think there's a big sort of energy in the mid West right now feeling left behind. I think that's been happening for like the past twenty or thirty years particularly in areas where people feel like okay. The rest of the world is doing fine. But everybody's forgotten about my little town in the midwest everybody's forgotten about us and we're not doing so well and I think speaking to those people and saying you know what all these people in Washington are saying. Oh the economy is so great but like is it. Because you're not doing. Wow because farmer suicides. An all time high in Wisconsin. So obviously like things are going well for you. Tell me more about how I can help you. I think that's a really effective message to say I see you. Even though other people might be doing fine I see you and I care about you. You know one of the things. I talk about this in my book. Voter was the importance of in lots of other people. Of course we've talked about this true about building. Alliances among women across class and race lines and in order to get what we need in order to be helped in the way that we need to be. And you know it's an ongoing challenge. There is still data about. I don't know how good it is and we'll see as the race unfolds about Y Women Not Favoring Democratic candidate necessarily. I think it's sort of too early to be dispositive about that but I do think that we're seeing you know. A lot of women vote for the male candidates in this race. There's no reason so far and that may continue to be true so one of the questions. That's come up in these last few days prominently in the press is whether it's time For either warring or kosher or both of them to quit the presidential race and needless to say I'm not speaking to the mayor's bad idea at all but as politicians of course they have to consider what what they're hearing from the media and otherwise and and how they Preserve their brands so to speak and their point of view and I sort of thought it might be fun for us to think about this because it doesn't often happen. They happen for sort of everyday people. I gotTA quit this job. No we just put our heads down you know and keep trying to work harder but say you you know. Kelly say you were in senator clover shirts shoes or Senator Warren shoes. Neither of whom has one So far in both of whom have a big challenge ahead of them in South Carolina How would you? How would you evaluate that matter repeat? Let me quit while I'm ahead and TRY TO POSITION MYSELF. For instance say to BP. I think the answers different for the two of them not so much because of their standing in the polls or anything like that but because of the the lanes that they inhabit because the moderate lean is so much more crowded right now in this race. I think that I if I were Senator Klobuchar I would think seriously about whether people rightly or wrongly think that she is standing in the way of a moderate gaining consensus. And then you people a lot of people really want somebody to beat Bernie and you know. So if because she's in that more crowded lane if she is in the way of that you know. It's it's possible that that would sort of hurt her brand at some point that maybe she stayed in the race too long. You know we can to beat all day whether that is actually true or not whether that game theory makes sense. But I think that there's a perception of that. And so if she let's say were to leave the race and endorsed Joe Biden. Who seems like you know of the the moderates may be the one who could who could pull it off? You know maybe that does give her You know whether a VP spot for him or somewhere in his cabinet. You know. I I could see that being very valuable for her. I'm not sure that there's as much of an argument For Senator Warren to drop out. Because I'm not sure what it gets her and I'm not sure that it helps this project that everyone wants to beat Bernie because they think of Warren drops out half her voters might go to Bernie and then that actually helps him so you know. I don't know that it positions her quite as well and may be staying in the race and being the fighter the person to take down. Bloomberg is is what positions her better for you know a VP slot or a position in a cabinet or just being able to stay in the Senate and she could work there. So I don't necessarily think it's the same answer for both of them but I. I do think that it's something they need to be thinking about seriously You know I don't want them to drop out of the race. You know I said the other day like my choices. Two through eight have already dropped out and you know. I don't want more of my first place choices to drop out but I think it's something that they need to consider a specially if there is widespread panic rightly or wrongly about Bernie cutting the nomination. I This is interesting. I agree with you that it's different for both of them and I agree. It's because of the lanes but my conclusion is the opposite that because the moderate lane is so crowded. I'M NOT SURE WHO. Amy Klobuchar would know to endorse or to negotiate with whereas Elizabeth Warren clearly. She's a line on the left with Bernie and so she could go to Bernie and say. Hey if I drop out. Can you guarantee me? Xyz And then that materially helps Bernie if amy drops out. It's not entirely clear to me who that helps. Does it help Bloomberg does it help. Biden doesn't help Buddha judge and so for her. It's a lot going to be a lot harder to figure out. Who are you negotiated with you? Are you going to go all three of them and say if I drop out? Will any of you give me this? I mean for her. I I think that would be a harder decision so for for me I think. Yeah that is a very. I mean. They're both really smart analyses. I I agree with pieces of both. I would add one other thing to this. I guess from the vantage point of My own involvement going back aways one of the most important things that happened For African Americans in presidential primaries was of course the fact that Jesse Jackson stayed in and he stayed in and he ran again for years. Later and my recollection. I don't have these numbers in front of me. Is that at the end of the Democratic primaries I think in the second campaign he had received twenty percent or so of people's votes that was enormous. That had never happened before it shows the strength of him personally but certainly of an African American candidate and their viability. And you know. I think that that's an instructive lesson. for both Senators as we are in this place this year and go forward a wanted to turn for a minute to this point about the vice presidency and talk quickly about that and then I think we're gonNA WANNA close today's episode with a little bit of Inspirational what's next to do discussion. But you know. Obviously there's been lots of discussion in this whole context about Some people saying that a woman vice presidential is really important other saying not so much. Certainly Stacey Abrams yourself. Right out there a couple of weeks ago. Think she'd be happy to be the candidate with anyone Kamala Harris has been Significantly more circumspect but then of course if it's the case as we've just discussed You know there are other Women who could be considered for that spot not only senator warm and Senator Klobuchar. Certainly you know other members of the Senate or governor. That spot has a history of being considered by presidential candidates for a range of people. So I just was curious about kind of what you're nearing so to speak on your respective streets about this aspect of things. Well Rachel Bitta coffer has said that she thinks that Stacey Abrams is the should be the VP. Pick for any of them who are left And you know I can definitely see that. I love soup runs. I think she is incredibly inspirational. I think her as Rachel Offers. Her charisma is just extra. Think it's hard to even measure but you know I don't know. I think that that would make a lot of sense. I think that would be a good pick. She certainly has the the the chops of of being out there doing the work. And so I think that would be good. I think that the a lot of the so-called k. high of the Communist supporters still have not settled on a candidate. There's sort of reluctantly deciding to vote for someone you know. Some of them were in some of them Biden. And I think that you could get an awful lot of them really excited and a and a lot of them. Are you know people who are happy to give a lot of money into a ton of work and so I think you know comma could be a very strategic pick a you know a across the board as well and I think it helps that? California is a pretty safe place for us to be taking a senator out of you know. We're we're not gonNA have to worry about losing that Senate seat it'll still go to a democrat. So I think in that case you know. Kamla might be a really good pick. Although she'd be an excellent attorney general to if that was the thing that she was interested in doing in the future so I could easily see either one of them. And I think I I'm I'm going to be deeply uncomfortable with the Democratic ticket is all white and so I think that you know in that case. Both of them would would help with that issue as well. I think that you know as much as I would love to see Warren As VP of she is not president. I do think that taking somebody in Massachusetts where there is a Republican governor. And you know we could at least short term end up with a Republican senator in that seat I think could be Kinda Frisky so you know. I think we need to think about those sorts of issues as well But you know I. I'm all for the Stacy Harris as VP to literally anybody. Well I'm fairly sure that in Massachusetts you actually have to have a special election. They're not gubernatorial early appointed. Yeah it would be derby a few month gap at least well. There was an appointed person so I wanted to say here that I saw a data point earlier today and in another context which I think is important to what we're doing here in to all our listeners are doing it was about The fact that In the last few years I forget the actual time period only fourteen percent of any exhibits in major museums. Were of women artists that made me think about political pundits which who of course are overwhelmingly male as well and and overwhelmingly white so I wanted to say to our listeners. That well of the three of us. Don't pretend to be totally knowledgeable on this subject. I think it's really important for us to have this conversation. Among ourselves among women who do pay attention who do care and who are thinking hard about this and so that's the context in which We had this discussion today And I just wanted to close it with The notion that You know of course. The most important thing for us all to do is to stay mobilized There's an argument for focusing on whatever candidate matters the most to you or if not playing the odds. I've started getting phone calls from friends asking me about that. Because they don't want to waste their time or their vote. But what we do want to say to you here is just. Please stay mobilized active. Do everything you can killing and Sophie. Any final on that this is something will be returning to for sure but I think it's also important for people to remember that as important as the top of the ticket is. It's not the only part of the ticket and so you know. If in the end your favorite candidate is not nominee that will certainly be the case for some percentage of the people listening here that you know. Find Down Ballot race. That is exciting to find a woman running for state legislature governor. Something that you're really excited about passionate about and knock on doors and increase turnout for that down. Ballot candidates will also increase turnout for the ballot. So you can. You can go out there and be motivated whether or not. The actual presidential nominee is the one who inspires you. I agree and I want to put in a plug as well for pacing yourself I see a lot of people that I know who got active in politics. Oppose Twenty Sixteen. Who you know a little crazy for the midterms really got into it? And burn themselves out and now are feeling horribly guilty It's okay to symptoms not be able to take on everything. I find it more helpful to sort of budget out my time and say okay. I will write this number of postcards every week and no more. I will donate this amount of money every month. And no more. I will canvass this number of times and no more and that way sort of set yourself limit so that you have because this is not actually sprint. This is the.

Bernie senator VP Senator Klobuchar Elizabeth Warren Senate Joe Biden Bloomberg Massachusetts Senator Warren DC Washington Wisconsin South Carolina Stacey Abrams Rachel Bitta Kamala Harris Stacy Harris Jesse Jackson
"rachel bitta" Discussed on Politics and More Podcast

Politics and More Podcast

09:37 min | 4 months ago

"rachel bitta" Discussed on Politics and More Podcast

"No I mean. My model argues that all the candidates are strong against trump But you know it argues that sanders is the riskiest pick primarily though because of the party's disbelief that he's electable And Unlike the Republicans the Democrats are not strategically talented I mean I often argue the Democratic Party Apparatus Organizations. Both at the state and national level are strategically inept and the big dangerous sanders is that they failed to appreciate that. They can win the election and failed to rally around him So they 'cause basically lost by failing to rally and When my model dropped two races one of them was the race in Nebraska Nebraska's second district and it was a according to my bottle hot to trot on on flipping over but when a young progressive candidate ousted. The party's mainstream. You know kind of Joe Biden like Candidate of choice. The D. triple fee decided not to invest in the race. Because they figured well she's way to progressive to win right. The old model basically and that was a major strategic mistake even without any resources or help from the party. She's still got exactly the same amount of vote margin better candidate in two thousand sixteen with full support of the party did And you know if they had just simply supported her they would won that race as well so when I say like they can cause themselves to lose not rallying around Sanders. That's what I mean. Yeah and will this? Endless season and all the doomsaying within these factions of the Democratic Party weaken the eventual candidate in the general election. It's worrisome that while the field is slowly slowly winnowing. Trump is just relentlessly building this fundraising machine and an campaigning. Yeah no there's no doubt at all that this is non ideal situation for Democrats and you know. It's an atypical situation that we're in I. I don't remember any contest in my lifetime in which we come out of the first couple of context and don't have a two person race right The potential for a broker contested convention seems high because Sanders Strong. But he's a plurality vote share winner right and he's only really going to be the front runner because there's too many months mainstream candidates dividing up the other side of the vote so we really are in a situation. That's unprecedented in that regard. And I don't want to say there's no way that it could hurt the party however I will say that it you know in the old school world where polarization didn't exist. It would be a disaster in the new school world in which America elected Donald Trump to the American presidency. I'm not so sure it's GonNa matter all that much. Youth predicted that the Democrats will gain House seats in two thousand twenty and possibly even retake the Senate. So That's interesting. I want to hear you talk about that a little bit. And also you're less accurate predictions in two thousand eighteen about the Senate. Where you you were more optimistic about Florida and possibly Texas and wrong about. The Georgia governor's race right One of the things that I expected to see in two thousand eighteen was Republican voters doing with Democratic voters had done when Obama was an office getting Obama into office with the product or the end product of many years of democratic angst and activism through the Bush years that had manifested in the two thousand six House Way Democrats Netted Thirty. Something seeds took over control of the House made Nancy Pelosi Speaker and then carry that momentum of out opposition party inks to getting Obama elected president and then what they did was they took their foot completely off the gas and they left Obama at the altar in two thousand ten. And you know the way. The media talks about those elections is is about Obama. Overreach with the obamacare reforms which are very modest reforms to the healthcare system But really what? It is the story of the turnout. Collapse of the Democrat coalition You know just across the board young people African Americans just across the board. People just didn't bother to vote in those mid turns and so and the State Legislative Cycle. And that's why he lost all those state. The Democrats lost all their state legislative races. Well and so I expected in twenty eighteen. We'll see this huge turnout bump from the Democrats and a subsequent decline and GOP turnout. But what I did not expect is that Donald Trump would be able to artificially inflate negative partisanship. So I'm sure the entire consultant world was a gas when Donald Trump announced he was going to hold rallies for the Senate candidates The Senate again themselves probably wished that he didn't want to do that and they certainly couldn't say no and everybody was fucking their tongue strategy except for me. I was saying. Wow this is gonNA probably work. Because he's firing up Republican. Voters reminding them. He was literally saying to the voters and the audience. Don't forget this is a referendum on me right. No president has ever said that about the mid term of all right but even with the wave at their back either with disproportionately much larger turn out surges four Democrats Republicans still outperformed. Democrats will in turn out across the board. And that's why that's why at the end of the day those close elections in Florida and Texas and Georgia end up still breaking in favor of Republicans because the decline I anticipated. Republican turnout did not manifest and my modeling in twenty twenty takes into account that the Republican turnout is going to be fantastic and even with that. You feel confident that the Democrats will prevail. I mean there are certainly things that I'm looking for. So let's say that we continue to see this amazing turn out for Donald Trump and his primary and then Democratic primary turn out is back luster. I mean there are certain things that could happen. That would make the ultra my but my forecast is a fundamental. Forecast is based on the demographic reality which within each of the states. So it's really not subject to a lot of To the EBB and flow that you're going to be following With north maybe following everyday on five thirty eight. And what about fake news you know? The party is understandably worried. That voters will be will misunderstand. What they're reading on social media and they will be influenced by it and of course that helped get trump elected in two thousand sixteen. Well they should be because this is going to be a major facet of the GOP. Trump CAMPAIGN STRATEGY. Personnel of course is trump's campaign manager. His job is to turn a plurality president in to a president again trump did not win in two thousand sixteen but the majority of the vote. In most of the swing states he won with a plurality that was accomplished because of high rates of third party voting And they need as best as they can to recreate that scenario because in case you haven't noticed. Donald Trump is not particularly popular. In fact is running for reelection beliefs. Popular President to do. So since Jimmy Carter. And he's doing it having been impeached. It's going to be an uphill battle to say the least so if I was running the trump campaign I'd be heavily focused on ways of bifurcating. Try if your accounting the not trump vote in the electorate and trying to bring the winning vote margin states like Wisconsin and Michigan below fifty percent. Like it wasn't twenty sixteen and the way to do that is formation propaganda Stuff like that. That's going to be heavily targeted at whoever loses this primary fight and also sanders people lose. I would expect they'll be heavily targeted with information that is aimed to get them to cast protest Alex for the Green Party or You know just not show up about soup. Final question given the current chaos and discouragment within the Democratic Party. What can Democrats right now given the still very large field? What can they be doing to fire up these coalitions? You're talking about presumably. Once there is a nominee. It will be much easier going forward. I mean I think Democrats do very terrible job at keeping their eyes on the prize and seeing the forest and not the trees means. Certainly this is a great example of that but when I dropped by model on July First of Twenty Nineteen This is still way back in the invisible primary period. I understood that it You know we'd be in this time. Period of heightened competition in which there was no primary on the other side all. The news is going to be focused entirely on democratic infighting and scenes like last night which was just an invitation of each other on the stage. So you know. These are things that are perfectly natural for presidential primaries even though it seems like super Ex essential right now to bakers It's not something in other words. It's not something I didn't expect to see and didn't account for okay. Thank you so much Rachel thank you so much for having Rachel. Bitta coffer is an election forecaster and analyst at the Niskanen Center in Washington. Dc. You can read her article. Fear factor in the most recent issue of the new republic. This has been the political scene. You can subscribe to this and other New Yorker podcasts by searching for the New Yorker and your podcast APP and fine more political analysis and commentary on New Yorker Dot Com. Feel free to rate and review US on Apple podcasts. Our theme music is by Russell. Gillespie this program was produced by Alex Barron and Kylie Warner For New Yorker Dot Com. I'm Dorothy WICCAN..

Donald Trump Democratic Party sanders Obama president Democratic Party Apparatus Org Senate Democrats GOP Joe Biden Alex Barron Florida Georgia Nebraska America Texas Green Party Rachel Jimmy Carter
"rachel bitta" Discussed on Clusterf*cked

Clusterf*cked

10:19 min | 5 months ago

"rachel bitta" Discussed on Clusterf*cked

"How do these guys behave in their vote? Choice and their issue preferences. They are pretty much closet partisans. I mean there's a little bit of more moderation. They're not a hundred percent Is Not one hundred percent correlation. But they do. Do you. Tend to vote Republican if they're lean our and tend to vote Democratic Orlean D.. And so when we siphon out those guys we're talking about is really somewhere between ten and fifteen in percent of the electorate who are what we call or I call pure and attendance and these guys are pure independence not because they some of them are like my mother in law who is You know truly an independent. And she is well read and she researches everything and you know but she's not typical typical at all. Most of these guys are they're independent purely because they truly don't have strong emotions about politics. They aren't particularly interested in politics. So their turnout. In off off year elections or off year elections are lower. They aren't passionate about issues Some of them are there because of appreciation for nuance the I like to say. I'm a nuanced independent. But most of them are independent independent for lack of interest lack of knowledge right. And a good pollster. Of course. We'll tease out. What you said earlier about you know leaning do you lean Republican leaned Democrat? And that's when you see that really only comes down to that ten or fifteen percent. I would like to just shamelessly plugged to. We did a national survey at the Watson Center last spring saying that's online on our website. We've such great data. There that people should go check out along with my forecast Stuff but it's called the Watson Center National Survey you are L.. It's yeah they'll just have to google it. Just go up Wassen Center and you'll find the website but the national survey there is It has a breakdown. Take down of what we're just talking about how number one the ideological distribution of both parties and also this Ideas of independence leaners ears and all that they can literally see what we're talking about right and I just say I sort of Latham and you know some of these facebook groups with a bunch of other liberals and there will be a bunch of people. Lynn there who claim that they're independent and I always challenge them really the you ever vote Republican come on your liberal group but they love to just have this you know vision of themselves of of of just weighing each candidate equally and I'm not partisan but Let's finish up with two thousand twenty. You you quite famously It'd be part of your nerd famous. you you you Had An op Ed published in The New York Times. I think at the beginning of the year of not mistaken January where you basically said Ah Unless there's something unforeseen trump's gonNA lose. Can you explain the thesis behind that. I know we've touched on a lot of things here. But just as an overview some yeah so that you know that was as an invited op ED coming out of the success in my twenty eighteen forecast previewing the model that I would put out for twenty twenty just to be clearer so I had not yet done the Motte or release the twenty twenty model though that is out now and it's also on the website but it was just talking about you know this. This was this new theory of of electoral behavior. That I am I'm alone shopping out there Out of the analyst. And you know you know this is what I I. This is what I'm saying it's going to it's going to what's going to matter for for twenty twenty and But Yeah I mean the theory is is the same factors that drove the mid term in the midterm. Turn Out Nineteen points up over twenty two thousand fourteen and people forget like what Stacey Abrams did in in Georgia I mean by far the best run campaign of the cycle and and you might say well wait a minute. Didn't she lose. Yes she did still the very best run campaign of the cycle because in that race in a midterm election then she outvote got more votes than the previous year's cycles Democratic presidential nominee did in that state. I mean that's it just truly remarkable and I'm always kind of a gas when one of the National analysts say. We'll say slow. You Know Stacey Abrams Only God you you know whatever ten thousand more votes than Hillary Clinton on my do you have any idea what you're saying marriage should not. It should never shouldn't even be. She shouldn't be within I'm fifty thousand votes of Hillary Clinton let alone exceeding alerting midterm turnout for presidential area. Right right right I mean so just astronomic energy in the electorate right now and it. Is You know this product of of I mean it's a civic many. We're we're going through some scary times and anybody follow me on. Twitter will know that. I'm I'm on team. Doom of where we are now but you know we also have a civil acidic like renaissance going on too. I mean we'll see we'll see if the civic what which which is going to prevail team doom or or civic civic renaissance on on Election Day November twenty twenty but you know for many many people the election of Donald all trump was a wake up. Call Yeah well. That's exactly that comes back to the beginning of what we were talking about that. That line at sticks with neither the woman said to Hillary didn't vote Sorry didn't vote. Didn't think you needed me now. They know they're needed. And this is the line I keep saying about trump. He won last time because people didn't really think he could win. Now they we can and that's why I don't think you will. Yeah and in my forecast I say Donald Trump has gone from a person that nobody thought could be the president to a person that people feel a treat like. He's the terminator right like he cannot be. He cannot be killed. I mean they're they're like and uh no and I say this to in the forecast. No amount of polling data were forecast into this election in the fall of twenty twenty is ever going to convince people all that he's GonNa lose to because of what happened so you know they the energy and the turnout rates are going to be extremely high. That said you know it's not tinfoil hat to assume the GOP is willing. And I think they've demonstrated this by their inaction Given the Senate Intel report that we saw all come out. I mean months ago but again yesterday begging for a Bob Muller you know in front of Congress. Hey we need election security. We're not seeing those things is because the GOP believes that interference with benefit them electorally. There you know it's not going to be a clean election. We know that. So you know there are just things that that are gonNA be working against against democracy to and ultimately though if enough people vote and we saw this in the midterms. It's just it's just. It's going to overwhelm around any effort. That could possibly be yeah. It won't matter exactly well matter. No that's for sure and there's no bigger motivator than than trump that's been obviously I keep emphasizing that again. I think it's what you just said where people are. You can have them as much as you want. And they still are fearful won't believe lose but that's a motivator to get them to the polls which is ultimately for those who want trump defeated what we want But I do say that there really isn't any data that you can point to That puts trump in anything but a really bad position for reelection again. That's why I keep emphasizing located off the top that it was a fluke win. We have to acknowledge this. That's absolutely right. I mean it's a freak accident. I mean you know the things that had to come together to make that happen. Once the reason nobody saw let coming and that includes nate silver. You know whose model technically had a fifteen percent probability of trump electoral college win I and a popular vote You know going to Clinton by by almost three percent. So He's you know He. He is technically covered in the model. But nobody nobody nobody saw it coming and the reason is because it is a it was just a hit. Everything had to come together right exactly which we assume won't happen in twenty twenty money listen. I've really enjoyed it a next time. Maybe maybe can come on again and we can talk some red state stuff which I like to do on this podcast of course but we time covering this and it was important so I appreciate your insights and thanks for joining us? Thanks for having me okay. Great all right. Rachel Bitta coffer or she calls herself on twitter later. Rachel the Dock Pittock offer because she is a doctor of political science. I believe On twitter she's Her handle is at Rachel. Bitta coffer. I we'll spell that for you. B. I. T. C. O. F. E. R.. Sounds like it should be pronounced Bychkov. But it's BEC- offer at Rachel viticulture. You can find her twitter and she mentioned The university where a lot of that data and analysis. It's spelled W. A. S. E. N.. Wassen center you can google that she suggested and again a reminder. She came out with her mid-term predictions that the Democrats were going to have a blue wave and flip forty seats She came up with that in the summer of two thousand eighteen. Way Ahead of anybody else and As we discussed in the interview she published wish that New York Times piece. which you'll want Google January of this year saying basically trump's GONNA lose so She someone to keep an eye on Rachel obita cover appreciate her joining us today. you can follow me on twitter as well as I always let you know. I'm the civil liberal but my handle is at. CF The podcast for also on facebook book. We love it when you Like the page on facebook just search for cf the podcast I post the episodes of course but other things other articles and other interesting things going on and particularly in the red states what Democrats are doing. We didn't get a chance to go over at fully with Rachel but you know she did hint at Texas and Georgia and some of these red states that are ripe for the picking for Democrats that's Both the Senate races in probably at the presidential level with trump on the ballot in.

Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Twitter facebook google twenty twenty Wassen Center Rachel The New York Times Senate Stacey Abrams Georgia GOP Rachel viticulture Watson Center National Watson Center Rachel Bitta nate silver Rachel obita
"rachel bitta" Discussed on The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell

The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell

03:54 min | 11 months ago

"rachel bitta" Discussed on The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell

"Here's joe biden on jonathan kaye parts podcast in effect echoing rachel bitta coffers modeling for the presidential election election when the certian is made that will the reason the only person that can beat trump is quote an old white guy <hes> i. I just think that i mean i think there's other people in the race who can be trump who <hes> well. I i i think almost anybody it all make a better president trump on a matter who's left in the race. Jury is is generously doing double duty for us tonight by hosting rachel maddow's show and then returning to join us here at the last word. Joy is an m._s._n._b._c. national correspondent. He's just choose the host of joy and i'm listen b._c. And the author of the man who sold america trump and the unraveling of the american story and joy it says right here on the back of your book it delivers is a compelling account of how we got trumpism and what will happen next so with that far in as great authority by this get what what's your take on what you're hearing from rachel. She says she can count tonight. Yeah two hundred seventy electoral votes for the democratic presidential nominee whoever it is and i'm going to bring our conversation off air on air that i did say to you that when when she tweeted someone tweeted to me her analysis that i read the same day that you i had on the show and then i walked her on the show and it was sort of a wakeup call for me as well and you know i've been on both sides of this business covering and also working on campaigns and i can tell you that in the last month of the two thousand four election which was the first presidential campaign. Hey i worked on in my deep inside. I knew that the democrat was gonna lose. There were things about the race that you knew and one and she wrote down for wrote down the four. The things i think are the key. The mood of the electric which side is hungry. The hungry or constituency always wins. The overconfidence democrats had in two thousand sixteen myself. The data said hillary clinton's gonna win. A lot of analysis was around that overconfidence the fact that is not the white working class. That is the pit. They are already republicans. I've done. I believe that for for a long time i think democrats obsessed with him too much and the fact that it is diverse suburban college educated districts that are the ones that delivered the angry result in two thousand eighteen it could again. I think that she's right in the sense that first thing the mood the hungry constituency after eight years of barack obama. We're white americans who are angry about racial change. They were arain raged. They were motivated. Hillary clinton's voters were not motivated. African american turnout for instance fell under sixty percent that is a sure loser for democrats so i think since the democrats are angrier and hungrier and the far-right is sated by donald trump's cruelty toward immigrants. I think she's right and there's a simple piece of mathematics thematic. That's right in the center of your analysis. Which is the third party voting gave donald trump the election and people vote third party when they think they got fran not going to tilt it yep and she doesn't believe you're going to see a third party. Vote that gives wisconsin to donald trump's right and so if you think about the way that the democrats and democratic leaning independence were thinking about two thousand sixteen the assumption was hilary's gonna win anyway so that if you had some objection to her whatever over your objection was that she spoke at a corporate function at some point. You could say you know what i'm going to vote for jill stein because i don't like her ethics on speeches because you figure she's gonna win anyway but differences to me no with that now everyone who in any way is disturbed by donald trump but most of the country is shocked appalled and terrified wants him gone on the other side though when you think about the ways his base is they are in one of two camps. They either are loving donald trump. I think he's rape but they're seated..

donald trump hillary clinton rachel maddow joe biden rachel bitta president rachel jill stein wisconsin barack obama america fran hilary sixty percent eight years
"rachel bitta" Discussed on The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell

The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell

01:34 min | 11 months ago

"rachel bitta" Discussed on The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell

"To her electoral college model that now shows the democrat whoever that uh-huh credits nominee turns out to be winning the electoral college with at least two hundred seventy eight electoral college votes hi. It's katie wanna keep up with m._s._n._b._c. While you're on the go subscribe to the m._s._n._b._c. daily newsletter. You'll get the best of what you've missed. During this unprecedented sedated era of news text m._s._n._b._c. two six six eight six six to subscribe enough of the return of our second favourite rachel joel this week delivered another round of very bad polls donald trump's reelection prospects especially when a poll that showed donald trump losing in one on one match ups with the top five democratic presidential presidential candidates and losing to the top four of those candidates by double digit margins quinnipiac poll show joe biden fifty four percent against donald trump's thirty eight bernie sanders just ahead of trump fifty three thirty nine with warren head of trump fifty to forty kandla harris ahead of trump fifty one forty people to judge head of trump forty nine forty in the quinnipiac poll and so as of tonight the latest polling supports political scientist rachel bitta coffers election modeling showing that whoever the democrats nominate for president will beat donald trump trump in the electoral college rachel pittock offer is using the same election modeling that allowed her to predict the big blue wave of twenty eighteen long before most people saw that coming joining us now is political science professor rachel offer with the watson center for public.

donald trump rachel joel rachel bitta rachel pittock joe biden bernie sanders watson center scientist president warren professor fifty four percent
"rachel bitta" Discussed on The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell

The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell

04:32 min | 11 months ago

"rachel bitta" Discussed on The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell

"Holiday weekend is going to be a weekend of bracing for the worst in florida and the southeastern united states m._s._n._b._c. We'll be tracking hurricane dorian all all weekend and we will have the latest on the hurricane track on this program at the end of this hour and that's an important time because just toward the end of this is our is when we will get the very latest forecast from the national hurricane center that should be coming out and we should have it for you here at the end of this hour and and there are military storm clouds near the russian border tonight with georgia it is another demonstration of russian aggression toward its neighboring countries that that could become another international crisis over this weekend created by vladimir putin at a time when president trump is saying he wants vladimir putin in russia to be welcomed back into the asia russia expert evelyn farkas will join us once again tonight with her take on what vladimir putin is up to now and what the president of the united states should be doing about it and our second favourite rachel will be back with us tonight. Political scientists rachel bitta coffer will give us more of her explanation of why the data sheet is using in her election model has given her a prediction of the democrat whoever the democrat is winning a solid electoral victory in the electoral royal college in the next election and we begin tonight where we left off last night with the clock ticking on the death sentence the trump administration has we hope unwittingly imposed on maria isabel ayso this is the most important story we discussed asked last night and it is the most important story we will discuss tonight because a life hangs in the balance all because of an immigration policy change made by the trump administration which has decided to refuse to grant any extensions of permission to stay in the united states for medical treatment that decision has been met met by understandable outrage and moral condemnation since the story first broke that radio station w._b._z. You are in boston this week and then in the boston globe and then yesterday in the new york times and that moral condemnation is completely understandable but i for one am going to leave that out of of what i have to say about this story because we are presenting this story again tonight with an objective the goal here is to inform you of the news of what your government is doing but possibly even more importantly in this particular instance the goal here is to save a life and the people who have the power to intervene and save this life will not hear the plea for her life if it is hurled up them wrapped in moral outrage the government government officials who can change this death sentence in the coming days cannot be condemned into changing their policy but they might be persuaded is waded to change their policy. If we keep telling them the story of maria isabel buesa she came to this country when she was seven years old at the the invitation and request of my first guest tonight dr paul harm that's who told isabelle's story to rachel mental last night talk to harm that's needed patients nations to conduct clinical trials for rare disease and he could not find enough patients for this rare disease study in the united states. There's the full formal name of the disease on the screen right now the professional shorthand for it is six it causes spinal cord compression and and other growth abnormalities and dr harman's convinced isabelle's parents to bring her to the united states to help medical research to help other children who would be born with her condition. Isabelle is now twenty four years old. She has been participating in medical studies throughout her life in the united states for dr credits her with helping him and his research team make dramatic breakthroughs that have helped people with her disease live longer patients with her disease used to live. You've just a bit beyond the age of twenty now with isabelle's lifelong participation in these studies patients can now live longer than thirty ears. Isabel graduated from college cum laude last year two weeks ago. She received a letter saying that if she doesn't leave the country within the next thirty three days she's she will be deported in every day between now and her deportation order..

united states isabelle vladimir putin rachel bitta maria isabel russia evelyn farkas trump president florida dr harman boston asia spinal cord compression government government georgia dr paul new york times thirty three days twenty four years
"rachel bitta" Discussed on The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell

The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell

04:38 min | 11 months ago

"rachel bitta" Discussed on The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell

"Been a series of polls over the last month in which it shows they show that he is the best candidate against trump electability. It is still a critical issue anything for a lot of democratic voters while we all engage in all the differences between these candidates. They're fundamentally thinking being that the differences between the democratic candidates are pretty small in comparison to the difference with donald trump himself particularly after events in paso oh in california the danger of trump. I think almost helps biden but again. It's very early well that what is the point is that the voter is driven so much by fear of donald trump and that could be part of what's us abort supporting the biden candidacy. It certainly seems to be the operative principle in joe biden's campaign advertising. Let's take a look at this new campaign ad from joe biden. We know when our bones. This election is different. The stakes are higher. The threatened more series. We have to be done and all the polls agreed. Joe vidon is the strongest democrat to do. The job and i give credit to the other people in this poll. Don't make that three percent cut because right below a better karuk have cory booker at two julia castro to tulsa gabbard a two with the margin of error of three point seven percent <hes> it corey booker could be up up there in the in the judge category the category at this point and so there's still a lot of potential a movement here at the lower into this poll absolutely again eighty their ports of different candidates june really well in early states booker doing well in iowa getting really great crowds odds warren doing very well and doing very well in iowa polls <hes> better work as democrats have appreciated what he's done over less kipah weeks really taking into trump so i don't think seeing i don't think we should see these holes as as determinative their flash points at this time and you know i've been parts of campaigns at one and loss that were doing well aunt at this point in the election cycle. I do think what's we should think about what's energizing voters and to rachel bitta coffers point. I do agree with her fundamentally. That trump is the driver. Both amongst republicans pins and democrats and trump has is making democrats very much focused on electability in a way that they haven't in any election in really my lifetime. The concern is so fundamental because donald trump is such a threat to pretty much core democratic values and so everyone everyone is really measuring who can take on trump and i also think part of what's happening and i do think this is a part of the two thousand eighteen analysis it is is absolutely the case that people were voting for and against trump and lots of people came out to vote against from but according to a lot of analysis as civitas says says one group that has done this essentially there were ninety percent of the democratic surge vote ninety percent of the margin vote. I should say the the vote that led to the house victory <hes> we're voters who had voted for trump in two thousand sixteen and moved to democrats in two thousand eighteen so it's it's really an an strategy. There are voters and you see this in the polling. Just you enunciated white college. Women who were two to one against hillary are now now forty three percent for trump forty nine percent for democrats. That is a big move amongst says voters were not super partisan tend to be independent and so. I think that i think that's an argument. That biden is using that he can appeal to those voters. Sanders also says he can appeal to those voters. I think democrats are making a very complicated view you and i who can put together a broad coalition to take on trump. They're attended. I know the polls early. We all know that but when you see in the polls what you're hoping to see in the polls it's worth acknowledging and people do within the campaigns. They're very happy to see these kinds of polls near a down and thank you very much for joining us really appreciate thank you and when we come back a freshman democrat who represents a district that donald trump won in two thousand sixteen has now come up with a very strong statement supporting an impeachment inquiry against the president and she was convinced by what she sees as.

donald trump joe biden corey booker Joe vidon iowa paso oh rachel bitta california tulsa hillary president civitas Sanders julia castro ninety percent forty three percent forty nine percent seven percent three percent
"rachel bitta" Discussed on KCRW

KCRW

01:42 min | 1 year ago

"rachel bitta" Discussed on KCRW

"Governor's mansion. Virginia democratic Senator Tim Kaine and Mark Warner have called a northern to resign. So have presidential hopefuls senators Cory Booker of New Jersey and Kamala Harris of California, former vice president Joe Biden has to adding on Twitter that quote, Justin. Fairfax is the leader Virginia needs now for his part. Fairfax told NBC four in Washington, he hoped the governor would make the right decision or at this really report inflection moment industry of Virginia the station, and we need leaders leadership that can United Fairfax assuming the role of United in chief. Maybe just what Virginia needs at this moment. That's according to Rachel Bitta coffer. She's a political science professor at Christopher Newport university in Virginia. I do think there's a lot of symbolic value from having a Justin Fairfax become the state's governor at this particular juncture in American politics because particularly here in Virginia, racial. Politics have just been so much in the limelight. She points to the deadly unite the right rally in Charlottesville about a year and a half ago. Then there was this just a few weeks ago on the floor of the Virginia. Senate president I rise today to celebrate the two hundred twelfth birthday of Robert E league elected officials pay tribute to confederate icon general Robert E Lee as Lieutenant governor Fairfax normally presides over the chamber. But instead he sat in quiet protest. Fairfax is a descendant of a slave Simon. Fairfax who was emancipated in seventeen ninety eight he explained his boycott to member station W V, T F. I want to be clear that,.

Justin Fairfax Virginia Fairfax United Fairfax Senator Tim Kaine Cory Booker Kamala Harris professor Joe Biden vice president Mark Warner Rachel Bitta Christopher Newport university Twitter Robert E Lee New Jersey Senate NBC Charlottesville
"rachel bitta" Discussed on WNYC 93.9 FM

WNYC 93.9 FM

11:08 min | 1 year ago

"rachel bitta" Discussed on WNYC 93.9 FM

"It's morning edition from NPR news. I'm Steve Inskeep. And I'm Rachel Martin. Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is warning that his country could slip into civil war. Protesters were out again on the streets this weekend. Many of them urging Madero to leave office Medeiros also facing international pressure. A series of European leaders announced today they are now recognizing opposition leader one glide though, as the president of Venezuela, President Trump announced his support for Guido more than a week ago. And in an interview with CBS's Margaret Brennan over the weekend. Trump wouldn't rule out direct US intervention on the ground. What would make you use the US military in Venezuela? What's? But certainly it's something that's on the it's an option we're joined now by Roberta Jacobson, she is former assistant secretary of state for western hemisphere affairs, and a former US ambassador to Mexico ambassador. Thanks for being with us. President Trump has long argued for less US intervention in other countries far more isolationist global position what's motivating his administration's aggressive response in Venezuela. Well, I think there's two things one is clearly the desperation of the situation there, which I think all of us agree with you've got a country, which has the largest oil reserves on the planet and yet ninety percent of people live in poverty and and children with now nutrition. But the second I think is a fairly aggressive line from this administration pushed hard by the Florida delegation in congress, and those who are Venezuelan exiles as well as others that really is a throwback frankly to the Cold War explained that because this is about Cuba and Cuba's influence in Venezuela. Correct. I mean, and it's about you. But it's about Russia to some extent, it's about others outside the hemisphere engaging in this hemisphere. But it's also about this troika of tyranny is John Bolton said in his speech in Miami, not long ago, and that is. Kind of language that we haven't heard in in decades. And I think all of us are incredibly frustrated and angry about the usurpation of power by in Venezuela. But I think leaving the the military option so aggressively out there, really we reawakens the genetic anti-americanism in memory of US intervention in the past and can be very harmful and risky. So as you note, the US has a mixed record of supporting movements and leaders in South America. How does the US administration the Trump administration avoid those pitfalls? Well, I think one of the most important things in support of Guido and the national assembly, which are the remaining legitimate organization institution in Venezuela is to try and support humanitarian aid people will support someone who eases their misery, and I know some Humanitas. Burien aid was announced yesterday, but that won't get into the country that will get to borders, but it won't get into the country because Madero is still the president, correct? And he holds a monopoly of power. So I think the other crucial question, which we don't know too much about is what is going on in the military behind the scenes there has been a couple of defectors, but not a lot, but many below the rank of general living the same poverty that that others are. And so the question is when those cracks begin to to show and Guido has to act to try and gain that support which I believe he's trying to do. But the most important thing would be to get you manage -tarian eight in working with international organizations doesn't make a difference. You think the European countries are now following the US lead here, including the UK, France, Germany, a list of others now supporting Widodo, right and the European parliament voted to support yesterday. Hopefully, the or the other day. And hopefully, the European Union as a whole, well, I think it does make a difference. I think it's always important the more countries, you can have sort of on your side. Supporting why does the circle the circle of people is getting smaller that support Madero? And that's that's important. Do you think he ends up leaving? I think he ends up leaving only wasn't there's a physical threat to him or his family or imprisonment. Or when the military says it's time to go. And I don't think we're there yet ambassador. Roberta Jacobson, former assistant secretary of state for western hemisphere affairs. Thank you so much for your time this morning. Thank you, Rachel to political careers are right at the edge of change in Virginia this morning, one is that of governor Ralph Northam the democrat apologized for a racist photo discovered in his medical school yearbook from nineteen Eighty-four. But he then said the photo did not show him. And he's been trying to keep his job amid many calls to resign. The other career right on the edge is demand would take charge. If northern is pushed out Lieutenant governor, Justin Fairfax is only the second African American elected statewide in Virginia history. NPR's Braxton Booker has this profile even before Justin. Fairfax one is last election. He was getting a lot of buzz. Here's former President Barack Obama. Emma, telling a Richmond crowd in two thousand seventeen said, Justin. Fairfax would make Virginia proud just went to college went to law school gave over his life to public service just to make sure that any striving young kid could have the same chances did. At his victory speech. A few weeks later just in Fairfax thanked to titans of Virginia politics, the first Linwood Holton, he's the Republican governor who took office in one thousand nine hundred seventy and help put an end to segregation practices in Virginia. The other shadow was the only other African American ever elected statewide in also stand on the shoulders of a great man l Douglas wilder who was elected governor five and governor nights eighty nine and I thank him for his leadership. Fairfax undergrad degree from Duke and studied law at Columbia both on scholarship. His wife is a dentist, and they have two young kids at thirty nine years old, Justin. Fairfax is a lot of things. Governor Ralph Northam is not young charismatic and part of a multicultural wave sweeping through Virginia's Democratic Party. Here's Fairfax speaking on WMU's Coderre nominee show the day after his twenty seventeen victory. Virginia will be the match that sparks the wildfire. Progressive chain. Change all across this country. And I believe that that's what's going to happen since the racist photo of north yearbook page surface demonstrations popped up outside the governor's mansion. Virginia democratic senators Tim Kaine and Mark Warner have called a northern to resign. So have presidential hopefuls senators Cory Booker of New Jersey and Kamala Harris of California, former vice president Joe Biden has to adding on Twitter that just in. Fairfax is the leader Virginia needs now for his part. Fairfax told NBC four in Washington, he hoped the governor would make the right decision or at this really important inflection moment industry, Jim of the station, and we need leaders leadership begin unites Fairfax assuming the role of United in chief. Maybe just what Virginia needs at this moment. That's according to Rachel Bitta coffer. She's a political science professor at Christopher Newport university in Virginia. I do think there is a lotta symbolic value from having a Justin Fairfax become the state's governor at this particular juncture in American politics because particularly here in Virginia, racial Pol. Have just been so much in the limelight. She points to the deadly unite the right rally in Charlottesville about a year and a half ago. Then there was this just a few weeks ago on the floor of the Virginia. Senate president I rise today to celebrate the two hundred and twelfth birthday of Robert E Lee elected officials pay tribute to confederate icon general Robert E Lee as Lieutenant governor Fairfax normally presides over the chamber, but instead he sat in quite protest. Fairfax is a descendant of a slave Simon. Fairfax who was emancipated in seventeen ninety eight he explained his boycott to member station W V F. I want to be clear that you know, my children, my grandchildren will not see me on videotape presiding over emotion honoring people who fought for a set of laws and a in a society that would have been enslaved members of their family. It was the right thing to do for him. It was the right thing to do for Virginia. That's Jeffrey born he's a. Democrat in the Virginia house of delegates and a member of the black legislative caucus. He says with that protests. Fairfax cinema message that racism and bigotry are things in Virginia's distant past. It was a great testament and an example of who Justin. Fairfax isn't who Justin? Fairfax will be in his public service life. He hopes the next call to service for Justin. Fairfax will come soon when he's sworn in as the seventy fourth governor of Virginia. Braxton Booker NPR news. So as fans gathered to watch the Super Bowl yesterday Fabian Williams was on a mission. He led a team of artists to paint murals in the city nine murals all of them, featuring former NFL quarterback Colin Kaepernick in two thousand sixteen cabinet became the face of sideline. Protests players knelt during the national anthem to protest police brutality against African Americans Colin kaepernick's protests against racial injustice seems to be gaining traction knelt instead of standing during the national anthem at last night's game. He was not alone. San Francisco forty nine ers quarterback Colin Kaepernick, again, refused to stand for the playing of the national anthem. But since capper Nick knelt, the accomplished quarterback has been unable to find a team in the NFL and the league is pushed back against the protests. William the artist had been trying to honor him in two thousand seventeen he painted a mural showing capper Nick in Atlanta, Falcons uniform I felt like because of Atlanta civil rights history. He would be the perfect type of player for this for this team in the city, but just days before the Super Bowl in Atlanta Williams noticed that his mural of copper Nick was gone. It was torn down with the building that it had been painted on. You know? Almost like being in a rap battle with nobody. You know? So I was like, okay. I can't just let it just go down. So yesterday Williams and a team of local artists painted nine new murals of cabernet across Atlanta, they called it capital. A rap battle with nobody. Well, he's winning because supporters offered the artists snacks and help. There's like an urge for people to be to feel good about what they do. And to be on what they feel is the right side of history, which means that even a fans never see Colin Kaepernick on another NFL sideline.

Justin Fairfax Virginia Fairfax US president Venezuela Governor Ralph Northam President Trump Madero Colin Kaepernick Roberta Jacobson assistant secretary of state f NPR Guido Rachel Martin Atlanta NFL Steve Inskeep Braxton Booker
"rachel bitta" Discussed on KQED Radio

KQED Radio

15:21 min | 1 year ago

"rachel bitta" Discussed on KQED Radio

"KqeDorg Francisco K QA north highlands, Sacramento. It's five o'clock. Good morning. The United States is promising humanitarian aid to Venezuela at the request of an opposition leader the latest challenge to the existing government this hour on morning edition from NPR news. A jury soon holds the fate of El Chapo, I'm Rachel Martin. And I'm Steve Inskeep. In this hour. How strong was the federal case against the alleged Mexican drug Lord. Also, who's the man in line to become the next governor of Virginia we've profiled Justin. Fairfax the African American Lieutenant governor as governor Ralph northern faces pressure to resign. And as the patriots were winning the SuperBowl. In Atlanta artists across that city. Where painting nine murals of Colin Kaepernick, it's Monday February fourth the birthday of Zoe Manville Portugal. The man who's thirty five. The news is next. Live from NPR news in Washington, I'm korva Coleman. Virginia democratic governor. Ralph Northam is resisting calls for his resignation on Saturday. He walked back and earlier apology over a yearbook in which two people are shown in KKK robes and black face on his personal page. Northern said that he wasn't in the photo. But then he admitted he separately used black face to appear in a Michael Jackson dance contest and about the same time. Virginia state delegate Jeff born is a member of the state's legislative black caucus. He told NPR's morning edition. The northern must resign. We are hopeful of craft full that governor northern will be the the statesman that he expresses himself to be do the right thing for Virginia. I think we will continue to have conversations continue to meet and talk and discuss and staffs are our options and how we move forward. But at the end of the day, we have been we have a deep sense of betrayal and have been betrayed by someone who will be considered a friend Virginia state democratic lawmakers will meet and discuss the northern situation today Spain, France and other European nations have officially recognized one guy dome as the interim president of Venezuela as Lucy bene- Vitas reports from Barcelona the Spanish Prime minister announced his recognition earlier today in a televised press conference, prime minister bedrose Sanchez asked why the to call for free elections as soon as possible. So that the people of Venezuela can decide their future. He added that Spain is working on a humanitarian aid program for the Latin American country Monday marked the deadline that many European nations had given nNcholas mother to call. For elections, but the Venezuelan leader did not comply the European Union had failed to reach a consensus on the situation. When a group of countries led by Italy, refused to back Guido for NPR news. I'm Lucia this in Barcelona. New research finds cancers linked to obesity are on the rise. Among young adults NPR's petty naming reports on the study from the American Cancer Society. Researchers looked at cancer cases over twenty years from nineteen ninety five to two thousand fourteen tracking patients age at diagnosis anti of cancer. They found obesity related cancers. Like colon uterine kidney and pancreatic cancer increased significantly among younger adults age twenty five to forty nine. Their risk was double what it was for baby boomers at the same age during that same time obesity among young adults increased dramatically in animal studies, researchers say extra weight enhanced cell mutation, which can accelerate tumor growth. Although cancer risk remains small and younger adults. Researchers say the findings warrant concern. And if trends continue they could reverse gains over the past few decades in reducing cancer mortality, Patty named NPR news. This is NPR. President Trump is expected to discuss border security and the wall that he is continuing to demand in tomorrow night's state of the union address congressional negotiators continued to discuss border security measures, although Democrats maintain they won't fund the border wall. The federal government is warning residents in the Rio Grande valley of south Texas about the heavy machinery being prepared for the construction of a six mile border wall. Texas public radio's Rinaldo Leon Jooste junior reports the plan is opposed by community leaders, local landowners, and a native American tribe. The no border wall movement has been meeting mcallen, Texas for months, local right that in Avon part of the high Dennis schone tribe and is married to a member of the gutty. So comic rule tribe on the border because for us as indigenous people this land is sacred. We know that the the horror that's pending does the community understand the horror. That's pending. I hope so in November customs and border protection. Awarded a hundred and forty five million dollar contract for the construction of the six mile one which is projected to run up against a chapel from the eighteen hundreds and the national butterfly center. CB P says the machinery coming into the Rio Grande valley will be used on federally owned land for NPR news. Andrew us junior in mission Texas, the New England Patriots have won their sixth Super Bowl championship since two thousand two they defeated the Los Angeles Rams last night thirteen to three in the lowest total score ever for a Super Bowl. The patriots scored the game's only touchdown, I'm korva Coleman. NPR news in Washington. Support for NPR comes from NPR stations. Other contributors include the law firm Cooley LLP with offices in the US Europe and China Cooley, advises entrepreneurs investors, financial institutions and established companies around the world where innovation meets the law. It's morning edition from NPR news. I'm Steve Inskeep. And I'm Rachel Martin. Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is warning that his country could slip into civil war. Protesters were out again on the streets this weekend, many of them urging Doro to leave office, but also facing international pressure. A series of European leaders announced today they are now recognizing opposition leader one Guido as the president of Venezuela. President Trump announced his support for Guido more than a week ago. And in an interview with CBS Margaret Brennan over the weekend. Trump wouldn't rule out direct US intervention on the ground would make you use the US military in Venezuela. But certainly it's something that's on the it's an option we're joined now by Roberta Jacobson, she is former assistant secretary of state for western hemisphere affairs, and a former US ambassador to Mexico ambassador. Thanks for being with us. President Trump has long argued for less US intervention in other countries far more isolationist global position what's motivating his administration's aggressive response in Venezuela. Well, I think there's two things one is clearly the desperation of the situation there, which I think all of us agree with you've got a country, which has the largest oil reserves on the planet and yet ninety percent of people live in poverty and and children with now nutrition. But the second I think is a fairly aggressive line from this administration pushed hard by the Florida delegation in congress, and those who are Venezuelan exiles as well as others that really is throwback frankly to the Cold War explained that because this is about Cuba and Cuba's influence in Venezuela. Correct. I mean, it's it's about you. But it's about Russia to some extent, it's about others outside the hemisphere engaging in this hemisphere. But it's also about this troika of tyranny is John Bolton said in a speech in Miami, not long ago, and that is. Kind of language that we haven't heard in in decades. And I think all of us are incredibly frustrated and angry about the usurpation of power by Madero in Venezuela. But I think leaving then the military option so aggressively out there, really, we reawakens the genetic anti-americanism and and memory of US intervention in the past and can be very harmful and risky. So as you know, the US has a mixed record of supporting movements and leaders in South America. How does the US administration the Trump administration avoid those pitfalls? Well, I think one of the most important things in support of white, oh and the national assembly, which are the remaining legitimate organization institution in Venezuela is to try and support humanitarian aid people will support someone who eases their misery. And I know some humanity. Burien aid was announced yesterday, but that won't get into the country that will get to borders, but it won't get into the country. D'oro is still the president. Correct. And he holds a monopoly of power. So I think the other crucial question, which we don't know too much about is what is going on in the military behind the scenes there's been a couple of factors, but not a lot. But many below the rank of general living the same poverty that that others are. And so the question is when those cracks begin to to show and Guido has to act to try and gain that support which I believe he's trying to do. But the most important thing would be to get you manage -tarian eight in working with international organizations doesn't make a difference. You think that European countries are now following the US lead here, including the UK, France, Germany, a list of others now supporting Widodo, right and the European parliament voted to support yesterday. Hopefully, they or the other day and hope. The European Union as a whole, well, I think it does make a difference. I think it's always important the more countries, you can have sort of on your side. Supporting why does the circle the circle of people is getting smaller that support Madero? And that's that's important. Do you think he ends up leaving? I think ends up leaving only wasn't there's a physical threat to him or his family or imprisonment. Or when the military says it's time to go. And I don't think we're there yet ambassador. Roberta Jacobson, former assistant secretary of state for western hemisphere affairs. Thank you so much for your time this morning. Thank you, Rachel to political careers are right at the edge of change in Virginia this morning, one is that of governor Ralph Northam the democrat policies for a racist photo discovered in his medical school yearbook from nineteen Eighty-four. But he then said the photo did not show him. And he's been trying to keep his job amid many calls to resign. The other career right on the edge is the man who would take charge if. Northern is pushed out Lieutenant governor, Justin. Fairfax is only the second African American elected statewide in Virginia history. NPR's Braxton Booker has this profile even before Justin. Fairfax one is last election. He was getting a lot of buzz. Here's former President Barack Obama telling a Richmond crowd in two thousand seventeen said, Justin. Fairfax would make Virginia proud just went to college went to law school. Gave over his life to public service just to make sure that any striving young kid could have the same chance to it. At his victory speech. A few weeks later. Justin, Fairfax thanked to titans of Virginia politics, the first Linwood Holton, he's the Republican governors who took office in one thousand nine hundred seventy and help put an end to segregation practices in Virginia. The other shot was to the only other African American ever elected statewide in also stand on the shoulders of a great man l Douglas wilder who was elected governor Virginia nights eighty five governor nights eighty nine and I thank him for his leadership. Fairfax undergrad degree from Duke and studied law at Columbia both on scholarship. His wife is a dentist, and they have two young kids at thirty nine years old, Justin. Fairfax is a lot of things. Governor Ralph Northam is not young charismatic and part of a multicultural wave sweeping through Virginia's Democratic Party. Here's Fairfax speaking on WMU's Coderre Nnamdi show the day after his twenty seventeen victory. Virginia will be the match that sparks the wildfire progress chain. All across this country. And I believe that that's what's going to happen since the racist photo of north yearbook page surface demonstrations popped up outside the governor's mansion. Virginia democratic Senator Tim Kaine and Mark Warner have called a northern to resign. So have presidential hopefuls senators Cory Booker of New Jersey and Kamala Harris of California, former vice president Joe Biden has to adding on Twitter that quote just in. Fairfax is the leader Virginia needs now for his part. Fairfax told NBC four in Washington, he hoped the governor would make the right decision or at this really important inflection moment industry Virginia the station, and we need leaders leadership begin United Fairfax assuming the role of United in chief. Maybe just what Virginia needs at this moment. That's according to Rachel Bitta coffer. She's a political science professor at Christopher Newport university in Virginia. I do think there's a lotta symbolic value from having a Justin Fairfax become the state's governor at this particular juncture in American politics because particularly here in Virginia, racial politics. Have just been so much in the limelight..

Virginia NPR Venezuela Justin Fairfax United States Governor Ralph Northam Fairfax President Trump president Guido Northern Washington Steve Inskeep New England Patriots Rachel Martin European Union Virginia state
"rachel bitta" Discussed on KQED Radio

KQED Radio

14:01 min | 1 year ago

"rachel bitta" Discussed on KQED Radio

"Of here. We have no one supporting us. So everyone going against us. This is kind of like our big pharma. We win Miller says she hopes to enjoy the pats victory parade tomorrow for NPR news. I'm Simone Rios in Boston. There's more new European nations who have recognized Venezuela's opposition leader one Guido as the country's interim leader Spain says it wants to see the return of democracy in Venezuela. Swedish officials say the election that installed nNcholas Maduro as. Venezuela's president was not free or fair. Why does taking the oath of office and declared himself interim president he has been recognized by the Trump administration. President Trump says US military intervention is under consideration. But he has turned that down. Because quote, the process is playing out. But Francis has arrived in the United Arab Emirates to visit. It's the first Roman Catholic papal visit to the Arabian peninsula. The crown prince of Abu Dhabi was on hand to greet him. Francis is expected to celebrate a public mass on Tuesday, and may draw over one hundred thousand people to the event this is NPR. Support for NPR comes from NPR stations. Other contributors include Hiscox selling business insurance tailored to fit the needs of each small business, quotes and information on insurance. Policies are available at Hiscox dot com. Hiscox business insurance experts. It's morning edition from NPR news. I'm Steve Inskeep. And I'm Rachel Martin. Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is warning that his country could slip into civil war. Protesters were out again on the streets this weekend. Many of them urging Madero to leave office Medeiros also facing international pressure. A series of European leaders announced today they are now recognizing opposition leader Juan glide, oh as the president of Venezuela. President Trump announced his support for Guido more than a week ago. And in an interview with CBS's Margaret Brennan over the weekend. Trump wouldn't rule out direct US intervention on the ground. What would make you use the US military in Venezuela? But certainly it's something that's on the it's an option we're joined now by Roberta Jacobson, she is former assistant secretary of state for western hemisphere affairs, and a former US ambassador to Mexico ambassador. Thanks for being with us. President Trump has long argued for less US intervention in other countries far more isolationist global position what's motivating his administration's aggressive response in Venezuela. Well, I think there's two things one is clearly the desperation of the situation there, which I think all of us agree with you've got a country, which has the largest oil reserves on the planet and yet ninety percent of people live in poverty and and children with now nutrition. But the second I think is a fairly aggressive line from this administration pushed hard by the Florida delegation in congress, and those who are Venezuelan exiles as well as others that really is a throwback frankly to the Cold War explained that because this is about Cuba and Cuba's influence in Venezuela. Correct. I mean, and it's about you. But it's about Russia to some extent, it's about others outside the hemisphere engaging in this hemisphere. But it's also about this troika of tyranny is John Bolton said in a speech in Miami, not long ago, and that is. Kind of language that we haven't heard in in decades. And I think all of us are incredibly frustrated and angry about the usurpation of power by majora in Venezuela. But I think leaving event is the military option so aggressively out there, really we really weakens the genetic anti Americanism, and and memory of US intervention in the past and can be very harmful and risky. So as you know, the US has a mixed record of supporting movements and leaders in South America. How does the US administration the Trump administration avoid those pitfalls? Well, I think one of the most important things in support of white, oh and the national assembly, which are the remaining legitimate organization institution in Venezuela is to try and support humanitarian aid people will support someone who who eases their misery. And I know some. Humanitarian aid was announced yesterday, but that won't get into the country that will get to borders, but it won't get into the country. Duro is still the president. Correct. And he holds a monopoly of power. So I think the other crucial question, which we don't know too much about is what is going on in the military behind the scenes there's been a couple of defectors, but not a lot, but many below the rank of general are living the same poverty that that others are. And so the question is when those cracks begin to to show and Guido has to act to try and gain that support which I believe he's trying to do. But the most important thing would be to get humanitarian aid in working with international organizations doesn't make a difference. Do you think that European countries are now following the US lead here, including the UK, France, Germany, a list of others now supporting Widodo, right and the European parliament voted to support yesterday. Hopefully, the or the other day. And hopefully, the European Union as a whole will. I think it does make a difference. I think it's always important the more countries, you can have sort of on your side. Supporting why does the circle the circle of people getting smaller that support material? And that's that's important. Do you think he ends up leaving? I think ends up leaving only wasn't there's a physical threat to him or his family or imprisonment. Or when the military says it's time to go. And I don't think we're there yet ambassador. Roberta Jacobson, former assistant secretary of state for western hemisphere affairs. Thank you so much for your time this morning. Thank you. Rachel. To political careers are right at the edge of change in Virginia this morning, one is that of governor Ralph northern the democrat apologized for a racist photo discovered in his medical school yearbook from nineteen Eighty-four. But he then said the photo did not show him. And he's been trying to keep his job amid many calls to resign. The other career right on the edge is the man who would take charge. If northern has pushed out Lieutenant governor, Justin. Fairfax is only the second African American elected statewide in Virginia history. NPR's Braxton Booker has this profile even before Justin. Fairfax one is last election. He was getting a lot of buzz. Here's former President Barack Obama telling a Richmond crowd in two thousand seventeen that just in. Fairfax would make Virginia proud just went to college went to law school. Gave over his life to public service just to make sure that any striving young kid could have the same chances. That is victory speech. A few weeks later just in Fairfax thanked to titans of Virginia politics, the first Linwood Holton, he's the Republican governor who took office in nineteen seventy and help put an end to segregation practices in Virginia. The other shot was to the only other African American ever elected statewide in also stand on the shoulders of a great man l Douglas wilder who was elected governor Virginia. Eighty five governor nights ninety nine and I thank him for his leadership. Fairfax got his undergrad degree from Duke and studied law at Columbia both on scholarship. His wife is a dentist, and they have two young kids at thirty nine years old just in. Fairfax is a lot of things. Governor Ralph Northam is not young charismatic and part of a multicultural wave sweeping through Virginia's Democratic Party. Here's Fairfax speaking on WMU's Coderre nominee show the day after his twenty seventeen victory Virginia will be matched that sparks the wildfire progress change all across this country. And I believe that that's what's going to happen since the racist photo of north yearbook page surface demonstrations popped up outside the governor's mansion. Virginia democratic senators Tim Kaine and Mark Warner have called a northern to resign. So have presidential hopefuls senators Cory Booker of New Jersey and Kamala Harris of California, former vice president Joe Biden has to adding on Twitter that quote, Justin. Fairfax is the leader Virginia needs now for his part. Fairfax told NBC four in Washington, he hoped the governor would make the right decision or at this really report inflection moment district of Virginia the station, and we need leaders leadership begin United Fairfax, assuming the role of UniteR chief, maybe just what Virginia needs at this moment. That's according to Rachel Bitta coffer. She's a political science professor at Christopher Newport university in Virginia. I think there's a lot of symbolic value from having a Justin Fairfax become the state's governor at this particular juncture in American politics because particularly here in Virginia, racial Pala. Have just been so much in the limelight. She points to the deadly unite the right rally in Charlottesville about a year and a half ago. Then there was this just a few weeks ago on the floor of the Virginia. Senate president I rise today to celebrate the two hundred twelfth birthday of Robert league elected officials pay tribute to confederate icon general Robert E Lee as Lieutenant governor Fairfax normally presides over the chamber. But instead he sat in quiet protest. Fairfax is a descendant of a slave Simon. Fairfax who is a mandated in seventeen ninety eight he explained his boycott to member station. W V T F. I wanna be clear that my children and grandchildren. Will not see me on videotape presiding over emotion honoring people who fought for a set of laws in a in a society that would have been enslaved members of their family. It was the right thing to do for him. It was the right thing to do for Regina. That's Jeffrey born he's a democrat in the Virginia house of delegates and a member of the black legislative caucus. He says with that protests. Fairfax cinema message that racism and bigotry are things in Virginia's distant past. It was a great testament. And an example of who Justin. Fairfax is Justin. Fairfax will be in his public service life. He hopes the next call to service for Justin. Fairfax will come soon when he's sworn in as the seventy fourth governor of Virginia. Braxton Booker NPR news. So as fans gathered to watch the Super Bowl yesterday Fabian Williams was on a mission. He led a team of artists to paint murals in the city nine year olds all of them, featuring former NFL quarterback Colin Kaepernick in two thousand sixteen cabinet became the face of sideline. Protests players knelt during the national anthem to protest police brutality against African Americans calling happenings protest against racial injustice seems to be gaining traction Nelson instead of standing during the national anthem at last night's game. He was not alone. San Francisco forty nine ers quarterback Colin Kaepernick, again, refused to stand for the playing of the national anthem. But since capper Nick knelt, the accomplished quarterback has been unable to find a team in the NFL and the league is pushed back against the protests. William the artist had been trying to honor him in two thousand seventeen he painted a mural showing capper Nick in an Atlanta Falcons uniform. I feel like because of Atlanta civil right? History. He would be the perfect type of player for this for this team in the city by just days before the Super Bowl in Atlanta Williams noticed that his mural of copper Nick was gone. It was torn down with the building that it had been painted on. Almost like being in a rap battle with nobody. You know? So I was like, okay. I can't just let this go down. So yesterday Williams and a team of local artists painted nine new murals of capper, Nick across Atlanta. They called it capable a rap battle with nobody. Well, he's winning because supporters offered the artists snacks and help. There's like in urge for people to be to feel good about what.

Justin Fairfax Virginia Fairfax president US Venezuela President Trump Guido NPR Roberta Jacobson interim president assistant secretary of state f Governor Ralph Northam Trump administration Hiscox nNcholas Maduro Braxton Booker
"rachel bitta" Discussed on KQED Radio

KQED Radio

04:27 min | 1 year ago

"rachel bitta" Discussed on KQED Radio

"I may be felt most acutely in cities in this hour. We're going to be joined by futurist an architect the science fiction writer and a landscape designer and we're going to look at some bold action cities can take and ask. How can we design cities for a changing climate? That's all next after the news. Live from NPR news in Washington. I'm jim. Virginia. Senators Mark Warner and Tim Kaine or both calling for governor Ralph northbound's resignation in the wake of a racist photo controversy Gregg Harper with member station. W C E says the scandal could complicate state elections in November things were looking good for Virginia. Democrats before this week a recent federal court ruling redrew a number of house districts in their favor and a retirement was boosting their chances of retaking the Senate Rachel Bitta coffers a political analyst at Christopher Newport university. She says Northerns refusal to resign could change all that this complicates their electoral prospects dramatically. So I would assume that he'll begin to realize that his presence becomes a drag on the entire democratic already. Bitta coffer says Democrats would do much better in November if Lieutenant governor Justin Fairfax, a young popular African American lawyer were to take over the executive mansion for NPR news. I'm Craig Cooper enrich. Oakland. Russia is joining the US and withdrawing from the IMF treaty that bans short and intermediate range weapons as NPR's. Lucian Kim reports from Moscow the Kremlin contends the US long ago decided to exit the agreement even before the announcement Kremlin spokesman Dmitry peskov express certainty the US would withdraw from the IMF treaty seeing. The Trump administration was unwilling to listen to arguments that brushes actually incompliance. The Kremlin has said it won't respond to American ultimatums and at the end of the treaty could cause a new arms race in Europe. NPR's Lucian Kim reporting voters, go to the polls, and they'll Salvador on Sunday as Maria Martin reports they'll be electing a new president in a country where poverty corruption gangs and migration our top voter concerns. Sunday's election marks the fifth presidential contests since the NFL Salvador's bloody civil war twenty five years ago since then presidents have come from either the right wing at party or the left wing FMLN. Now growth of the guerrilla movement. But this time the front runner is Thirty-seven-year-old naive. Mckenna. A former mayor of San Salvador who snot running with either of those parties Buchen has been talking a lot about getting rid of corruption in a country were both major parties have been tainted by graft. However, analysts note that none of the major candidates have said much about some other issues important to voters, including migration, and gangs, which have become an important political force in a Salvador for NPR news. I'm a Martin despite this week's extreme cold members of Punxsutawney Phil's inner circle contend that spring is coming early handlers for Pennsylvania's most famous groundhog claim he didn't see his shadow when the sun rose Saturday, but national weather service records over the past decade indicate that fills predictions are only right about forty percent of the time. This is NPR news. On sunday. Pope Francis will become the first leader of the Catholic church to set foot on the Arabian peninsula. The cradle of Islam as NPR's, Sylvia. Poggioli reports he will visit the United Arab Emirates a country striving to be a model of religious tolerance in a video message. Pope Francis, hailed the Emirates as a model for coexistence human fraternity a meeting point of different civilizations cultures. Throw a place where people find a safe place to work live freely. Edward differences are expected in what will be a landmark in the Arabian peninsula. The pope has been allowed to celebrate an outdoor mass that's expected to draw one hundred thirty five thousand Catholics mostly migrant workers from Asia Francis will also attend an interreligious event as part of what the UAE has branded its year of tolerance while there's more religious freedom in the USA. Even in neighboring Saudi Arabia were only Islam is allowed non Muslims are still advised to keep a low profile, Sylvia. Poggioli NPR news, Rome..

NPR Pope Francis Rachel Bitta Salvador Gregg Harper Lucian Kim United Arab Emirates US Maria Martin Virginia San Salvador IMF governor Ralph northbound Craig Cooper writer Sylvia Dmitry peskov Europe
"rachel bitta" Discussed on KQED Radio

KQED Radio

03:10 min | 1 year ago

"rachel bitta" Discussed on KQED Radio

"I'm Michelle Martin. We'll also talk to the editor in chief of the conservative website, big league politics, which was I to publish the controversial yearbook photo, and it's been a week of highs and lows in the weather that is we'll ask why local weirding maybe a better term because we're really just seeing weird stuff as a result of the warming of the planet. Plus in the barbershop will ask if the Super Bowl was always super political problem with that. But first this news. Live from NPR news in Washington. I'm gene, Herbst Virginia's two senators Democrats, Mark Warner and Tim Kaine are calling for governor Ralph northbound's resignation in the wake of his racist photo controversy, but north said today, he won't step down. Gregg Harper with member station W C, V E reports political observers say the northern scandal could complicate Democrats hopes to take over both houses of the state legislature. In November things were looking good for Virginia Democrats before this week or recent federal court ruling redrew a number of house districts in their favor and a retirement was boosting their chances of retaking the Senate Rachel Bitta coffer is a political analyst at Christopher Newport university. She says Northerns refusal to resign could change all that this complicates theralac touro prospects dramatically. So I would assume that he'll begin to realize that his presence becomes a drag on the entire. Tire democratic already. Bitta coffer says Democrats would do much better in November if Lieutenant governor Justin Fairfax, a young popular African American lawyer were to take over the executive mansion for NPR news. I'm Craig copper in Richmond. Since President Trump withdrew the US from the twenty fifteen Iran nuclear accord, any company doing business in Iran has faced the threat of harsh sanctions. Jake sagana row reports European leaders created a work around to US sanctions allowing businesses to trade with Iran. France, Germany, and the UK have launched what they're calling insects a corporate entity companies could use to trade humanitarian goods with Iran outside the scope of US sanctions experts say the risk of violating the embargo is still high even with this loophole, and that it's more symbolic gesture of Europe showing Iran its commitment to preserving the nuclear accord, the US says it's still taking a closer look at insects. Jake sagana Rover reporting from Paris massive demonstrations took place in Venezuela today was an effort to pressure nNcholas Maduro to leave the presidential office. NPR's Philip breeze reports from the capital Caracas that Maduro countered by staging pro-government rallies. Venezuela's power struggle. Spilled onto the streets of the capital Caracas today. Tens of thousands turned out to cheer on opposition leader, Guido, whom they consider the legitimate head of state Guido told his cheering supporters. He's given clearance for humanitarian aid to cross into Venezuela from Columbia. This is the next step in a coordinated attempt to oust the embattled nNcholas Maduro but dodo sofa remains in power despite a huge surge of support for quite and despite punishing sanctions.

Democrats Iran nNcholas Maduro US Venezuela Gregg Harper Caracas NPR Jake sagana Rachel Bitta Guido Michelle Martin editor in chief Tim Kaine governor Ralph northbound Herbst Virginia Northerns Virginia
"rachel bitta" Discussed on WMAL 630AM

WMAL 630AM

02:12 min | 2 years ago

"rachel bitta" Discussed on WMAL 630AM

"Dot com three weeks to go now until republicans in virginia choose who they want to run against senator tim kaine november twelfth this coming up and according to a poll released by prince william county super visor corey stewart's campaign he has a wide lead back that many voters or saint don't know where they're not sure who they're gonna vote for in that survey of those that answer without surprised me that chorister with a pretty good lead on christopher newport university political scientist rachel bitta caucasus stewart has far more name recognition than the other two candidates delegate nick freighters and e w jackson but conference says the state party would have needed to step up to help fraser jackson but it didn't i would probably put my money on short when he must dominated shan steve burns wbal al dot com former fbi director james comey defending the fbi has use of a secret informant in the russia probe saying on twitter that the practices quote tightly regulated and essential to protecting our country on his way out of the white house earlier today president trump says his request for an investigation into what he calls spy gate was needed undercutting with cleaning everything up this was a terrible situation what we're doing is what cleaning everything up it's so important what i'm doing is a service to this country and i did a great service to this country by firing james comey knew all white house adviser jared kushner who is the president's soninlaw has been granted a permanent security clearance kushner lost his access to the nation's deepest secrets when white house chief of staff john kelly downgraded his clearance the fda warning parents from using certain teething aid for young children the food and drug administration says the drug benza cain found in popular brands like origen and basaltic treat mouth sores and adults should not be sold as a remedy for children federal health officials say the numbing agent can cause a blood condition linked to breathing problems especially in children two years older younger the agency said it will take action against manufacturers that don't voluntarily remove their products for young children and they're asking for new warnings to be placed on products sold to adults john stolnis washington checking your money the dow finished the day up fifty two points the sp five hundred up nine the nasdaq up.

scientist john stolnis washington fda john kelly chief of staff jared kushner white house russia james comey director rachel bitta corey stewart christopher newport university prince william county senator tim kaine virginia president trump twitter