19 Burst results for "One Turn Mile"
The Horse Racing Radio Network Podcast
"one turn mile" Discussed on The Horse Racing Radio Network Podcast
"Stakes Preview here on HRRN. Bobby Newman, Dave Friedman. Folks, Amwager is giving away money. New customers get $150 sign -up bonus plus an instant $10 bonus for HRRN listeners. Go to link .amwager .com forward slash HRRN. You'll get $10 instantly for signing up. Then deposit $150, bet $150, and get a $150 lump sum bonus. It's that easy. Amwager is a wagering platform that's loaded with valuable tools and features, including odds charts, odds predictions, and much more. You'll also get free access to form to win, a revolutionary app that analyzes past performance data in just minutes. Once again, go to link .amwager .com forward slash HRRN to sign up. Get your bonuses. Amwager built by horse players for horse players. All right, Dave, three more stakes to look at on the Sunday card out at Santa Anita, the first of which is race number five. It's the Mellare. Now, Mellare, for those of you who don't know, is a filly who only raced five times in her career. She was defeated in her five starts, and to be perfectly honest, she's the fastest filly I've ever seen. She is. She's the fastest. Her final start of her career was the one turn mile silver screen handicap at Hollywood Park, where she faced the boys for the first and only time in her career, and one of the boys she faced in the silver screen in 1986 was Snowchief, who had won the Preakness and had won the Santa Anita Derby and would go on to be champion three -year -old Colt. She not only beat Snowchief, she beat him by 11 lengths, covering the one turn mile in 1 .32 in four. It was the first time in my life that I had seen a filly set a seven furlong split of 1 .19 in four en route to that 1 .32 in four mile time. The funny thing is, Mellare had never ran further than a mile in her career.
The Horse Racing Radio Network Podcast
"one turn mile" Discussed on The Horse Racing Radio Network Podcast
"Wager dot com slash HR and sign up and get your bonuses and wager built buy horse players for horse players. All right, Dave, well, we're going to dive right into that monster card at pimlico tomorrow in the first of 9 stakes on their card tomorrow is the $100,000 sir Barton. This is a race for three year olds going a mile and a 16th on the main track. By the way, it's supposed to be around 80° and mostly sunny skies to start the day. There's a very small chance of rain by the end of the card, but certainly doesn't look like anything terrible. So I think they're going to have fast and firm conditions throughout the car. The sir Barton, race number four, mile and a 16th field of 6, but really it's one against 5 because Bob Baffert's Arabian Lion looks like he towers over the field. What would the odds be if Arabian Lion Bobby were in the Preakness? Well, now probably he'd be somewhere around third or fourth choice, I would think. Yeah, I think in the Preakness he'd be, I don't know, 5 to one, 6 to one, 7 to one, something like that. Not a throw out by any stretch of the imagination. Arabian lion is two to 5 on the morning line has won just one of 5 career races gets racing for the first time, $600,000 son of justify and since breaking the maiden at Santa Anita in October has finished second twice and out off the board twice. The race most recently, the Lexington, which first mission one, I thought it was a pretty good race for Arabian life. First mission was better and more impressive that Arabian Lion finished four and a half lengths ahead of disarm who did not disgrace himself by any stretch of the imagination in The Kentucky Derby and to be Frank, this is not much of a field that Arabian lion is running against. If there were another one, number three tap its conquest for Brad Cox, has run kind of several pretty good races, has one win in 5 starts, was nowhere close to kings Barnes and the Louisiana Derby, and was kind of within hailing distance of angel vampire in the risen star number 6 dennington, two of the last three are pretty good, including a fourth place performance in the Lexington, but I'm not picking against Arabian Lion. No, I'm picking Arabian Lion as well, listen Arabian Lion perfectly honest is the most likely winner is at least as far as I see of the 12 races we're looking at. He's definitely not going to be my M wager best bet because I'm never going to advocate a horse who's going to be one to 5 is being the best bet. He's definitely my most likely winner on the card and for everything that you said. I'm going to pick him in the sir Barton as well. He looks like a free square for everyone. Maybe if you're trying to hammer exact or play long shots around him, it'll be worthwhile playing, but I think he's going to be a short price winner to kick off the proceedings. Moving ahead to the 6th race at pimlico tomorrow. This is the grade three chick Lang for three year old sprinting 6 furlongs on the main track. Nice field of 7 coming together here. We heard it in the top of the show, Dave, having a meltdown winning the grade three Bob Hope last year, last November that is out at del mar. This is a horse who's run very, very well in all 6 of his starts, his last race was in Saudi Arabia, but he's had a lot of time off since he's gotten back and plenty of bullet works on the resume. This race looks a little bit like the previous one, the sir Barden, having a meltdown sticks out, makes a ton of sense. The differences, I think there's a legitimate competition here, having a meltdown is 8 to 5 in the morning line coming off a second place performance in the Saudi Derby. That's a race that having a meltdown was close and finished two and three quarter lengths ahead of derma soda gate, who ran okay, but not great in The Kentucky Derby. So the Saudi Derby was a one turn mile. This is 6 furlongs. Having a meltdown ran that race on February 25th and has come back to America and worked very, very quickly at Santa Anita for Bob Baffert. It makes a ton of sense and it's completely reasonable and it's going to be the favorite and should be. But I think they're two other options here that are very legitimate. Steve asked me since rivet has won three consecutive races and I thought the win in the bachelor and the mud against most strike was pretty impressive and the race two back produced an even bigger fig and optional claimer at Oakland park and super chow is a winner of 6 out of 8. The race two back, the grade three swale that Gulf Stream. That was a pretty good second against general Jim who came back and won on The Kentucky Derby under a card and then returned to win the Hutchinson against not a whole lot, but one by 5 and a quarter lengths on March 18th. I think super Chao and rivet can give having a meltdown a really good race. I went with super Chao. All right, super chow for you. He is one of several speedrunners in the field. I picked having a meltdown, only because I'm not a 100% convinced that he has to have the front to win. And that's probably a good thing because there's a lot of other speed in this race. The fact that he ran so well going a mile and Saudi last time out, I think it was good. He won the Bob Hope. He was pressing the pace, but he wasn't really leading the way most of the way. It's kind of a brainless pick to me, having a meltdown. He seems so obvious that he fits in this spot. And he's not going to be a great price, but he's my top pick in the Chick-fil-A to be perfectly honest though, Dave. It's a really good race. It's a really tough race to handicap as far as I'm concerned. I don't have a very good grasp on it. It's not going to be a straight play for me. And if I play horizontal wagers using the 6th race
The Horse Racing Radio Network Podcast
"one turn mile" Discussed on The Horse Racing Radio Network Podcast
"HR N to sign up and get your bonuses and wager built by horse players for horse players. All right, Dave, we're going to start at Belmont park. They've got three stakes tomorrow. The first of which is the grade one man of war. Now when most people think back to the great secretariat who, of course, was the Triple Crown runner winner in 1973 and by a lot of people's accounts ran the greatest race in the history of thoroughbred racing with his gigantic win in the Belmont stakes this year. A lot of people don't remember that secretariat was also a multiple graded stakes winner on turf at the end of his three year old campaign. He won that year's grade one man of war. I think went on to win the grade two Canadian international as well. I don't think any of the horses in tomorrow's man of war are going to be compared to secretary at any time soon, but we've got a nice field of 8 going the distance of a mile in three eighths, $600,000 on the line. Morning line favorite is a shipper from across the pond, Charlie Applebee's Warren point. Yeah, we saw what Charlie appleby did last weekend with Ottoman fleet. And this is another one and it's written by Frankie de torey. Now the background and the source is a little bit different. It's the last two races we're in the Middle East, one in Qatar and one in Bahrain won one of those two races. And then previously was in Great Britain, ran second at as God wins at kempton and Goodwood and doncaster and newmarket four for 7 lifetime, $661,000 in purses for year old who seems to be on the up and up and we know Charlie appleby has been just incredible with horses like this. This is a really interesting field. You've got a bunch of old warriors, red knight is 9 years old and has made 1.4 million one 11 races and quite, frankly, is in pretty good form right now. Channel maker has won nearly $4 million run 51 times, has 9 victories. And then you got some other strong tide is 6 years old and value engineering is 7 years old and we've seen these horses accomplish great things. I don't know that any of them are at their best right now, though red knight last time really ran a really nice race in the grade two el cor losing to first stop and who 6 to one in the morning line here for Brendan Walsh. And I think it's really interesting in this spot. Winner of three out of four Verstappen is a four year old. The three races at turfway park on the synthetic were all very good and you wondered going into that race at keeneland will it translate to turf? Will it translate to a mile and a half and it did. He ran huge and that probably one of the last two races Verstappen's best career race for wins and 12 races four year old getting better. That's not all though. How street and 8 year old taking I'm sorry, a four year old, 8 to one in the morning line, taking blinkers off a winner of two out of four was the favorite in that race against Verstappen last time and rant kind of Ho hum so, so in that one, I think it's pretty open. Warren's point is the most likely winner, 9 to 5, but first step in at 6 to one is very interesting to me. I'm going to use those to even soldier rising. Christophe Claude 5 year old has run some really, really good races coming off a long layoff here. The race against warlike goddess though in October didn't get a great trip still wasn't that far back. I like this field, Bobby. I'm using Verstappen in Warren's point, Warren's point probably on top. But soldier rising in several others very much in the mix, very good addition of the man of war. Yeah, evenly matched I'm using one of those other ones that you mentioned is my top pick soldier rising. I think that last race in the red Smith back in November is just a toss. He just rent clearly the worst race that he had run in a long, long time. And whether it got something happened to him in the race or it was just a sign that maybe it had a long campaign and it was time to kind of let him take a little break, whatever it was, he's freshened up for a trainer increased off Lamont, who's very capable of getting horses ready to go off these extended layoffs. If I draw a line through that race, his previous four or 5 starts all look like there is good if not better than some of the others in this field. 5 to one on soldier rising. He's my pick in tomorrow's grade one man of war. 6th race at Belmont tomorrow is the grade three Peter Pan, three year olds going a mile and an 8th and of course it's a one turn mile in an 8th at Belmont park. Nice field of 9 coming together in this race, Dave. And the favorite on the morning line is number 9 bishops bay. He's done nothing wrong in two career starts facing much tougher tomorrow though. Yeah, bishops pay $450,000 son uncle mo trained by Brad Cox. One is debut in kind of scintillating fashion at the fairgrounds going one turn, ran really, really fast that day, produced the best fig that anyone in cure has put together came back going a mile and 70 yards at fairgrounds mid march and ran well as the favorite one, but wasn't overwhelmingly good like the first effort and now gets the call here in this grade three. I think bishop space very, very possible, maybe even likely. Cox has another one in here. I'm interested in slip Mahoney, who has been running against some of the better horses ran in the wood, ran in the Gotham with second in the gospel, but beaten by more than 7 lengths by Rey's Cain faced a litigator based tablet trace as a I think both of the Brad cog sources
The Horse Racing Radio Network Podcast
"one turn mile" Discussed on The Horse Racing Radio Network Podcast
"But we're going to run and give it a try. A lot of people think white of barrios best race was his most recent race. I know it wasn't the most heralded race of course he was last year's Florida Derby champ, but numbers wise, he may have run the best that he's ever run last time. That isn't possible that he's more of a one turn horse than a two turn horse. Yeah, I think that's the kind of path we're taking. One turn on two turns baby last year where he was above the competition. Did they catch up to him yet? So he was able to overcome it. But I definitely think it's a better one turn horse. I mean, at least if he has to go to terms, maybe a mile, I think he wants to stay a mile and below and that's the reason for the cutback. And the last time it worked out now today. On Saturday it's going to have to be a different kind of class test, but hopefully it works out again. Yeah, one turn mile might be good for him too. Yes, most definitely. Yeah. So I think the one turn thing is good for him. Safi, we know that you're a busy guy, obviously you want a lot of racists based down at Gulfstream park year round, but we've seen that ship up and run several up in New York throughout the years and you've been running here in Kentucky. Now, again, this is the time of year when the two year olds start coming into the barn. How many you get in this year? I don't know, we never really checked the numbers. We just hope the owners keep sending them in. So far we've got some common some owners step on, buy some of the sales. So just grateful for the opportunity to tour us the way you need every year to refresh for the next year going forward and on the other side as a trainer, you need owners owners provide the horses, which the horses are the key to the most important piece. I apologize. You're very active in the claiming game too, especially down in South Florida. And not only for people that you train for, but yourself every now and then. So, I mean, are you just constantly looking at past performances and being a handicapper as much as a trainer? Yeah, I mean, routinely, you look at the PPs every night basically. That's just a routine. I thought and throughout the day basically it just becomes part of your routine. You have to look up EPs and to stay updated with all the horses, including your horse and other horses, know where to place your horses and just it becomes just a part of your life basically. You're gonna be handicapping wood blind as well I heard. Yeah, we have so much that we're buying this year. So when you do that, when you're based in South Florida, but you send horses to New York and you have a string up at woodbine. How much of a process is it? Hiring training the right people to go out to these different places and run the program that you want them to run. Yeah, I mean, it's very important. You have good stuff. And thankfully we do on we just try to every location where we try to keep it boutique. We don't keep many horses at like 12 to 16, so that just kind of stay hands on top of it on the locations that are locations basically. That's the way we kind of do it. And then the horse is going to rotate in and out who needs to be rare, who has a better chance to compete with track. Before we let you go, saf, one thing I noticed is you did not attend the wood memorial this year when lord miles right now. I don't know if that's because maybe you didn't think that he was going to win the race or he had other things going, do you plan on attending lord miles race this Saturday? Yeah. I'm not the best traveler to be honest. I don't fly too good. So that's the reason we won the great one that the year before two years, the Carter I was in there, and we were like three to 5 in that race. And I don't travel well. And if it wasn't the Durbin, I didn't have to be here for the owner, probably. Because once the horse leaves the ground was definitely not as I could do. I'm actually more help team at the base. But you have to be here for repetitions of your owners. So basically we could see safi Lake Paco up and then head right out the front gate and back to the airport to head back and watch it on his phone. Once we're here we're here. Safiya really appreciate you taking the time, obviously you and your team do a tremendous job. Year round, especially down in South Florida, but in New York and Kentucky and I assume up in Canada as well this year. Best of luck to Saturday with both white a barrio and with lord miles. Thank you very much, guys. Really appreciate it. Safiya always kind enough to take time for us and lord miles is a horse that's not getting a lot of talk because he wasn't getting any talk going into the wood memorial Jude shocked the world basically at odds of almost 60 to one. He's 30 to one on the morning line. I don't really think he would be lower than that on Derby day. But another move forward would at least make him a contender. Yeah, absolutely. He's got the talent. I mean, you heard safi says. Always showed some talent and he's finally putting it all together. So I know one guy that will be betting on him is my son miles. He bet on him last time, he bet on this, probably the time before after. So he'll be down on Saturday. All right, we are going to take a break. When we come back and we'll shift gears and talk a little breeders cup with Dora Delgado, she's the executive vice president, chief racing officer for the breeders cop exciting news in 2023 as far as the breeders cup is concerned. You're listening to the Derby countdown presented by Helen Dell and a lapa here on each RN. There's a corner of Kentucky in bourbon county, which some referred to as the promised land. There's something in the soil and water that make it
The Horse Racing Radio Network Podcast
"one turn mile" Discussed on The Horse Racing Radio Network Podcast
"Slash HR and to sign up and get your bonuses and wager built by horse players for horse players. All right, Dave. We originally thought we were going to have a dozen races to talk about on tonight's edition of the am wager weekend stakes preview. But news came out a little bit early today that racing at Laurel has been canceled indefinitely. We don't know a whole lot about it other than they did have some serious injuries as far as horses are concerned yesterday. I believe they had to shut down racing. Maybe about a month ago or so with issues with the racetrack. So this is an ongoing issue at Laurel. The positive side of it is shutting down and trying to make sure that they don't have these issues going forward. The negative side is, why are they having these issues at all? Either way, it certainly affects those of us who are fans of the racing in Maryland and we were going to talk about the native dancer, one of several stakes on their card tomorrow, but hopefully we'll be talking about Laurel in the very near future and obviously we certainly hope that whatever issues they've been having at Laurel don't carry over to pimlico. Yeah, no question about it. It's a situation that is not desirable, but hopefully they can get things resolved and get back to racing as soon as possible. And when they do, we'll be looking at talking about those races. Okay, well, we do have two Sunday stakes to talk about tonight. The first of which is the Park Avenue division of the New York stallion series. It's race 8 on the Sunday card at aqueduct and these are New York bred three year old Phillies going 6 and a half furlongs on the main track, a nice field of ten coming together in this race and the morning line favorite is number 6 midtown lights who's coming off a nice allowance optional claiming when going the one turn mile in her most recent start. Yeah, midtown lights is a Brad Cox that was bred for 2500 and sold at auction for a 150,000. It took a little while to figure out what they wanted to do with this horse first two on turf went kind of Ho hum put midtown lights on the dirt in December, one in the slop by a length and a quarter came back in a stakes race in the mud and ran a big race got run down at the 7 furlong distance in the final 16th of a mile, then laid off until February, ran a decent race in the slob and came back going a mile at aqueduct in one going away. So they shortened back up here to 6 and a half for a long and midtown lights makes all sorts of sets. So too does lay Bon Thames for a Linda rice who has been kind of steadily running good racism, a horse that's always close and always gets bad. The best race is thus far have been going a little bit longer than this. But I also think the Thames has been running against better horses than this. And late Bond temps 7 to two in the morning line will midtown lights is 8 to 5. A couple of others I wanted to mention and I do think the two favorites are the two most likely winners. Maggie T, another englander rice is coming from open races and moving back into New York bread competition. Only the last race for Maggie T would fit in with this group, but the last race going a mile and again, cutting back here, but going a mile at aqueduct, which is one turn on March 12th, was a big, big victory, and a repeat of that would be interesting. And then the two horses at the bottom of the program, Athena beach, and honest banker, neither of them have the figs to suggest that they fit here, but both of them are unbeaten two for two in their careers and maybe have some upside. I went with ray bond and Thames just because I didn't want to take that 8 to 5 price on midtown lights. I think it's one of those two Bobby. I didn't want to take the 8 to 5 on midtown lights either, although I do think that she's the one to beat in the spots. So Dave going with Les Bon Tom. Number four for Linda rice and Jose Ortiz. I went to one of the other Phillies you mentioned, Dave, the ten honest banker. I like the fact that she beat open company last time out. Now I know it was only a field of 6 that day, but still she did win and she did win very easily, and she's shown in her first two starts a whole lot of versatility. She has a win on a fast track. She has a win on a wet track. She has a win going wire to wire. She has a win sitting from third about a length and a half back in the early going after a troubled start. I like the outside post. I like the morning line of 8 to one. I think honest banker has every reason to continue to improve and it won't take a whole lot of improvement to make her a major player. So I'm going to try honest banker for a little bit of an upset in the Park Avenue division of the New York stallion series race 8 on Sunday out at aqueduct. Final stake we're going to talk about is the Sunday feature at San Anita. It's the $100,000 siren lure. These are four year olds and up going down the hillside turf course, the distance
The Horse Racing Radio Network Podcast
"one turn mile" Discussed on The Horse Racing Radio Network Podcast
"The am wager weekend states preview here on HR and Bobby Newman. Dave Friedman, let's go to Laurel park now. They've got four stakes on their Saturday card tomorrow. The first of which is race number 7. It's a $100,000 heavenly cause for Phillies and mayors going a one turn mile on the main track field of 9 entered and it's number 9 Beth's dream coming off an impressive score against allowance foes at Gulfstream in her most recent start. She's into stakes competition tomorrow and as the two to one morning line favorite. Yeah, the Florida bread absolutely drew off against optional claimers at Gulfstream last time out to me this is a two horse race. Beth stream and past the champagne look better than the rest of the group. And Beth's dream is coming off a really big effort. And past the champagne is not. Past the champagne ran at Laurel in a mid February in a stakes race was the favorite and didn't run great, ran forth, beaten by two lengths, but these horses faced off Tampa Bay downs back on January 14th, past the champagne was 7 of 5 and finished second beaten by a head while Beth stream was third beaten by more than 7 lengths. They were the co favorites that day and passed the champagne was just better. Maybe this is the right distance for Beth stream. She's three for three. Going the one mile past the champagne is not run at a mile, winds have come at 7 furlongs on a couple different occasions, but I don't have a reason to believe that past the champagne isn't going to like a one turn mile. And I like past the champagne a little bit. She's faced very, very good horses two of her losses are to mala fat and I think past the champagne will win. All right, I don't disagree that past the champagne can win this race. That race where they faced off at Tampa the wayward last, I give Beth scream a little bit of a pass in that race. The main track at Tampa is different than a lot of other racetracks that some runners will face. First of all, it's a little bit of a deeper surface. It's a sandy or surface. They don't seem to have quite the embankment on the turns there. And simply put just some horses just don't like it. And if they don't like it, it's race that you can kind of draw a line right through and that's what I'm going to do with Beth's dream. If you can draw a line through that race at Tampa, most of her other races would certainly put her right there. I like the fact that she's drawn outside. I don't love her in this spot tomorrow, but I like her. I don't think we're going to get two to one, but that's where I'm going Beth stream in the heavenly cause. 8th race tomorrow at Laurel is the $100,000 Frank whiteley stakes. These are three year olds and up going 7 furlongs on the main track. Nice field of 7 coming together in the white Lee in the morning line favorite is number three factor it in with angel Cruz. Yeah, I think this race is, I think there are a lot of options in here. I think this can go in a variety of different directions. And while factor it in makes sense, winner of three out of four, 9 for 14 at Laurel. This is, of course, that's been running against a bunch of other horses in here and more often than not beating them, but certainly not always lost to number one eastern bay to back in a grade three at Laurel. I think eastern bay is very possible in here, ran against elite power late last year, ran against the little Vic in New York in March and fits very nicely. But I thought there were a couple of interesting price plays. My pick is number 7 bankit for Steve asked me, so this is a New York bread who has been running primarily in New York 5 straight races in the Empire State has two wins in that time. I think the quality of competition there has been reasonably well, this is, of course, they felt good enough about dissent to Dubai to run in the godolphin mile back in March of 22. Won a couple of races in 2021 has made almost $1.3 million 20 out of 38 races either first or second and bank that I think is a little bit of a known commodity always kind of runs a good race and I think might have found a really good spot here at 6 to one. And if you're looking for a really big price, Bobby. Number 9 informative is a little bit interesting to me in this race. This is Uriah St. Louis and Dexter havoc and they're always on enormous long shots. This is a horse that's been running against just dramatically better. Life is good and fight line and art collector and so on and so forth has sprung a couple of really big upsets in the not so distant past. I'm at least gonna dabble within formative if I play Laurel tomorrow. All right, I'm never going to talk you off and formative because I'm never right with when he's going to show up and run a good race, but I do agree with your top selection. I think bankit is a good spot here, especially at that price of 6 to one for asthma and Sheldon Russell and for everything that you said. I think that this is just the right spot for him. I think he's going to be in a good position. And I think he's been facing competition that puts him right there with these. I know he's going against open competition instead of state bred competition tomorrow, but he's running against open competition in the past and actually run pretty well against them at times bankit for both Dave and myself in the whitely race 8 tomorrow at Laurel. 9th raises the Weber city miss $125,000 on the line for the three year old Philly's going about a mile and a 16th on the main track. 7 of them going to post here, number three girl trouble is the 8 to 5 favorite. Yeah, and the only question with girl trouble to me is does she prefer shorter distances. 9 career starts all in the money four wins, the winds have come at 5 for a long 6 for longs and twice 7 for longs. And this is a mile and a 16th, which is a two turn race at Laurel. We saw girl trouble go a mile and 70 yards at parks last time, went off as the enormous favorite couldn't close the deal. I mean, girl trouble is 8 to 5 and 5 straight figs that probably beat this field, but I'm a little concerned about the distance. If you went in a different direction, pharaohs baby gal number 6, a daughter of American pharaoh, first three races. The last one in January really, really good blue out a field of optional claimers by more than ten lengths. This is the first
The Horse Racing Radio Network Podcast
"one turn mile" Discussed on The Horse Racing Radio Network Podcast
"Four career starts, including one at this one turn mile distance at Laurel, which was clearly the best race of her career at two ways to look at it as far as I'm concerned. She's just much better now than she was to start her career or she ran so well last time out that she's got to regress a little bit and go backwards. If she's 8 to 5 in here, I'm probably not interested and I'm going to take the glass half empty look. She's 5 to two or more. I'm going to take the glass half full look and say that she's just a better filly now than she was when we saw her as a two year old last year, which certainly could be the case. That last effort, though, where she dusted and allowance field by some ten links. I think is probably good enough to beat this field as well. So I'm going to try her in the beyond the wire race 8 tomorrow at Laurel. 9th and final stake on the Laurel car tomorrow is the $100,000 private terms, three year olds here going the about myelin of 16th distance, which is two turns at Laurel field of 8 going to post. Bob, I don't think any of these remind us of private terms yet, but we've got some pretty good runners in this field and it's a real interesting handicapping puzzle mainly because how great is Nate shows up in this race. How great is Nate actually was supposed to run in the grade three Gotham two weeks ago, but stumbled so bad at the start and unseated jockey JD Acosta that it was basically a non effort and he's wheeled back in this race back at Laurel. Yeah, no, he's definitely looks like a live contender in here if he runs back to any of his bitter he was four for four is a two year old so pretty exciting horse and how frustrating must that be to ship a horse up to aqueduct and basically have immediately lose the jock. That must have been a frustrating day. We'll see if he can make amends here. I like this is the biggest three year old race of the week and you mentioned it's quite weak for the three year olds. This is a race that basically starts off the series for local horses you get one or two of them in the Preakness. We'll see if any of them are that outstanding. I think it's kind of interesting that Brittany Russell and her husband Sheldon add the blinkers to the three horse circling the drain, circling the drains of three year old gelding by West Coast. He's never run a bad race, and he ran a really mighty race last time winning at a very short price going that the course and distance here at Laurel mile to 16th. I think he can step up further. I guess they think that the blinkers might actually eke a little bit more improvement out of them. If it does work, he's got a good post going up model 16th year, very short run into the turn. I like the three circling the drain. Yeah, you and I are on the same horse here, and we're both hoping we can get 6 to one. And I can say it from reading the past performances of previous weekends takes previews when I agree with you or I agree with Dave or you agree with Dave. The morning line never we never seem to get the price that we think we're going to get on the source. So 6 to one on circling the drain, I'm guessing that means that he's going to be a little bit lower than that, but for every reason that you said, I like him as well in the private terms. Speaking of private terms bob, I alluded to the fact that none of these horses quite yet remind us of a private terms. Do you remember private terms from the late 80s? Yeah, I remember a private terms not like the back of my hand, but I certainly remember the name and I definitely watched him race. I believe he won the first 7 starts of his career and he was he was one of the favorites for the 1988 Kentucky Derby. I think he won the wood memorial and the Gotham and he may have won the Federico tesio, which of course is a graded stakes race at pimlico back then before The Kentucky Derby. And then he was really not a factor in the Derby and he did win races later in his career the biggest one being the mass cap, but mostly some kind of nondescript races around the mid Atlantic region. He was kind of an all or nothing horse. I think he retired with 12 wins from 17 starts, but he never was second or third. Charles had rehabbed him and I believe kento somo wrote him part of the time. He was definitely owned by claiborne. He was definitely a force and then of course he came back at four one the mass cap, which was a big race then, the never bend in the Damascus, so he got, even though he didn't have a good classic campaign, he basically put it back together at four improve what a good horse he is. It's nice that he's saluted with his stakes race, which is usually a very good competitive race every year. Yeah, and it looks like another edition that's very competitive tomorrow race 9 on the Laurel park card. All right, we're going to take our final time out. When we come back, we've got a Saturday stake at San Anita, a couple of Sunday stakes to look at. Listening to the weekend takes preview on the horse racing radio network. Sam Houston race park's live thoroughbred meat runs through April 8th and features a new afternoon race schedule for 2023 with
The Horse Racing Radio Network Podcast
"one turn mile" Discussed on The Horse Racing Radio Network Podcast
"Again, only start number four coming up later today, but that's one thing that I think sometimes gets overlooked. People get so caught up in the numbers now that they don't go back through and look at the horses that any particular horse you're looking to bet was facing in their previous starts and certainly talk to the nation has kept good company. He rarely has kept terrific company in those last two starts. It's a situation where you get a horse like him who's a two year old three year old and it looks like it's probably always thought well of them. You've got to give him a shot on the dirt. You always have to give these sources a shot at the Derby. But when he gets on the turf and runs big like he did last time, you pretty much know his future is going to be on the grass. I was fully expecting you to select the Tampa Bay Derby as your third race in this week's to inspire triple play, but you have not. You're going to go with race number 8 at Tampa Bay downs, which is the grade three challenger, $100,000 purse, mile and a 16th on the main track. This is for the older horses. How did you see this one? Tampa Bay downs since February 1st. There's been no horses win a dirt route rallying from four lens or more off of the pace. So I think all the jockeys there, all the people betting the track are well aware of how speed favoring that main track can play. And this challenger stake is a race where I just think there's a ton of speed signed on between trademark, mighty heart, classic causeway, thoroughly furious and tax. I think we have a real chance of a real contested pace. Obviously, skipping long stockings or worse to be, but to me, you have a horse like him who wins the Harlan's holiday and then runs in the Pegasus World Cup. And I don't think that this race was initially part of their plans with him. I think they had a little bit bigger goals and he ran so poorly last time that they're sending them back here. I always get a little bit uneasy when I see these horses that are opting for another star because all of a sudden their connections might not be so sure about them. I landed on the reds. Number 6, and there's a horse that he's sappy, Joseph's other horse in this race because you'll be long stock is going to be the big favor for him. And it's a little bit of against the grain pick where he's going to be running late. But I loved his effort to starts back at Churchill downs off the layoff. In fact, I look at the reds last at last race with one turn mile. I'm not counting that against him. And he went ridiculously wide that day. And three starts back that race was a mile and a half, which was too far for him. His other races at a mile 16th are mile and 8 are he's got to win. He's got a second, these are coming at Saratoga. And then he gets beat less than a lint in an allowance race. The stakes quality allowance and mid November Churchill runs behind run classic and happy American beats and by like a head and that horse comes back and wins back to back fairgrounds. So I thought that was a really big effort. I think this horse is going to have more to offer moving forward for safi just got him last summer and I think he's going to get the right setup. So the reds at 12 to one on the morning line. I'm going to bet him, but I'm going to bet him across the board Mike and I'm going to try to catch him at a decent price. If not first, at least second. Yeah, it should be a really solid price as they lead the gate. So the reds number 6, the selection race 8 and the challenger stakes for James Scully. So James, let's just recap the twins fires triple play for this week. You're going to kick things off at Oakland, race 7. You'll go with number four back ring luck at ten to one. The 7th race at Tampa Bay downs will go in number ten, talk of the nation, four to one on the morning line, and in the 8th race at Tampa will go in number 6, the reds, who is 12 to one. So I always love when you and Vance and Joe and Scott all come on the show here and you pick horses that are value place because really you connect with one, it makes the twin spires triple play profitable. Hopefully we went with two or maybe even all three. Yeah, no doubt about it. And, you know, that gives you options. You're playing a 7 to two shot and you're spreading your money out, place it show. I mean, there's nothing more bitter than getting beat like a head with a 20 to one shot, but it's a nice consolation prize if you bet 20 to win a place on it and it pays 13, 20 to place Mike. So there's nothing wrong with running seconds of tops. If you've got money on it to run second. I remember you can
The Horse Racing Radio Network Podcast
"one turn mile" Discussed on The Horse Racing Radio Network Podcast
"I like that flavian Pratt is getting aboard and I think she does have races three or four starts back that make her one of the ones to beat in this spot. Maybe she's heading back to that good form. Last race we're going to look at is the only stake on the Sunday card out at aqueduct and that is the $100,000 boogie O's rose. These are Phillies and mayors, their New York breads going the one turn mile on the main track at aqueduct, just to feel the 5 going to post and the two who are the favorites on the morning line, number three timeless journey, and the two know it all Audrey. Yeah, and I think those are the two logical ones. Know it all Audrey has been running primarily against state bred competition. And run pretty well. Three wins in the last 5 starts, the two sticks races have been okay not great the nonstick events have been much, much better and more fruitful, three for 8 at the distance, 5 for 11 at aqueduct and make sense. Timeless journey is entering state bread competition. And she was pretty successful against that sort of competition, albeit on the turf, late in 2021 and early in 2022. On the dirt recently against optional claimers and allowance sources running very competitively. I think those are the two timeless journey likes aqueduct likes the distance likes the wet if they get some rain this weekend, I picked timeless journey, but those two, I would need to use both of them. Okay, so I just went the other way. I don't have a real good feel about this race. I went to the two know it all Audrey simply because she's been first or second 8 out of 11 tries at aqueduct, and I think the one turned mile hits her right between the eyes. Last time out, I don't know what happened in that race other than maybe she was caught up in the pace and just didn't have anything left. I think she's a little bit better with the longer distances and not having to go as quickly early on. So for me, know it all Audrey in the bogeys rose a race with just a field of 5 and a couple vying for favoritism know it all Audrey and timeless journey. All 12 races in the books, Dave time now for the HR and
The Horse Racing Radio Network Podcast
"one turn mile" Discussed on The Horse Racing Radio Network Podcast
"James, I'd be remiss if I didn't mention this before we start looking ahead. Biggest race of the weekend actually was not a race for the three year olds. It was the big cap out at San Anita the San Anita handicap still a big deal. Maybe not quite as big a deal as it was in the past. But we saw a really good renewal this year and an exciting stretch run with stiletto boy proxy and defunded battling in the final furlong stiletto boy getting the win with kenta sormo aboard a little bit of a surprise, my friend. He was, I mean, having won only one of his, I think, previous 13 starts. Definitely a double digit upset. But his form had been trending in the right direction, I thought he ran second to country grammar in the San Antonio and then ran third in the Pegasus World Cup behind art collector into funded. So he did have something going for him in a sense off those two races and really finished gamely to out basically out finished proxy who was also finishing. The real story was to fund it had a clear lead and upper stretch and just, you know, basically gave it up a little bit. It looks like a little bit of a scenario with him where it sort of reminded me of life is good in the Dubai World Cup last year where, you know, ten furlongs might be just a little bit too far for him. But he remains a real top class horse. I think for Bob Baffert. And I thought hopper had a troubled trip in fourth. He still lightly raced for baffert. So I agree with you. I thought it was a strong rendition of it. I do want to mention real quick. I forgot earlier. I want to thank Jim for his comments and I want to actually also say congrats to Vince for picking Darth Vader. She was a Philly Bobby where you had to draw a line through her last race. She ran a complete conquer and a stake, but in her two starts before that had won back to back stakes. And at 46 to one, Vince, you know, snuffed that out, so congrats to him. Yeah, nice picks there. And certainly makes you feel good when you can walk away with the track with a lot more money than when you walked in through the turnstiles. Okay, the biggest race coming up this weekend is the only Kentucky Derby prep in the United States this weekend. It is the grade three Tampa Bay Derby. And if I would have told you, James, after the running of the Sam Davis, back on February 11th, the trainer Todd pletcher was going to win the Tampa Bay Derby this year. You just said, well, look what litigate just did. He just beat the field fairly handily in the Sam Davis, which is the big local prep for the Tampa Bay Derby makes sense that he would show up and he would be the one to beat. Well, he's not back for the Tampa Bay Derby, but Todd Fletcher does have the favorite. In fact, he may have the first two choices in the race and tap it price and chest erkin. Is it just me, James or does tap it prices last race just tower over everyone in this field? Yeah, I think it does. I mean, granted it came in at one turn mile, but you know, you look at him he's by tap it and he looks like he'll handle mom of 16th to me and that was just a monstrous performance. Really sort of gutted out his maiden win two starts back. The O.C. beats came right back and one is made and ran second in the Gotham. So he beat a decent horse that day and took a huge step forward at Gulfstream on that undercard like you were referenced. A Todd putcher, yeah, I thought this other horse is adding bleecker's and was like rated a little bit just darken and I think he's going to try to show speed from the outside. So that's attractive Tampa has favored speed a little bit, so be interested to see what kind of trips I works out with tap a price. But there's no reason why he can't be sitting like fourth or 5th and just sitting in a catbird seat in a sense because there could be a few horses out there trying to contest in the pace. I think Bobby. So if I were to tell you that tap it tries will not win the Tampa Bay Derby, who were the horses that you would focus in on. Well, I'm going to mention a couple horses. I mean, one thing about litigate, you know, it looks like putter's pointing him for Louisiana Derby. And putters had a stranglehold on this Tampa Bay Derby. He's looking for his 6th. He's already won a record 5 of them. But I look at some inside horses, I think are going to show positional speed are going to be up close towards the front because I think that's the best place to be. I'm going to start off with number four groveland who, you know, it's just made nice progress for Ian hardy, a street sense Cole. He ran second in a deep allowance race to starts back and then he ran second in the same F Davis. I don't see why he can't have a similar trip and have a chance, perhaps to keep improving a little bit. And the other one that's a little intriguing to me is in post three and that's classic legacy, because Bobby, he recorded a front running win to starts back. And I just thought he sort of got away slowly in that Sam F Davis and, you know, came around in the okay to be fourth, but I look for more aggressive up close trip with Iran Ortiz taken over the mount for Belmont on classic legacy. Once again, it points qualifier on the road to this year's Kentucky Derby 50 points to the winner of the Tampa Bay Derby this year. It's one of 5 stakes on the Tampa Bay downs card on Saturday. That goes as race 11. In fact, race is 8 9 ten. I'm sorry, 7, 8, 9, ten, and 11 are all stakes. And I know a race that you're really interested in race that has your best bet of the weekend is the grade three Florida oaks for the three year old Phillies going a mile in a 16th on the turf 14 were entered 12 will run goes as race ten on the card. How did you see the Florida oaks? Well, I'll just say when I looked when I first saw the field, I was surprised to see dreaming of snow. I just thought you would stay on the dirt off that upset win in the sun coast over wonder wheel and Julia shining. But she is scheduled to make her turf debut. And she's listed at 8 to one. The favorite in this race is number ten free look. And she's returning off a layoff having run 5th in the breeder's cup juvenile Phillies. And Bobby, this is like a this has been something that I've followed for years. I like playing against horses that are like one for four or one for 5 or so off of long layoffs at short odds. I like that strategy. I liked seeing free look, draw outside where she's going to have to work a trip. I'm telling number two all American Beauty. I thought that this is affiliate $700,000 well bred Philly by Indonesia. She got bent down to favor schism in her debut at the aqueduct ran for. I thought that last time out that she didn't really start to, you know, like she had her head sideways on the turn was a little bit ranked, but when she freaking put it together, I like the way she finished up in the stretch. And I look forward to keep moving forward off that race. 8 to one with Edgar ziya's number two all American Beauty. I'm taking a shot at an upset in the Florida oaks. Okay, certainly respect your opinion. And I don't want to give away too much as I'm going to be talking about this race with pay Freeman as part of our weekend stakes preview tomorrow night from 6 to 7 p.m.. I can say this. I'm intrigued with the Philly outside of her number three alpha Bella. I thought she looked pretty good in the sweetest chant. Last time out, tell me what I'm missing is why alpha Bella can't win this race or do you think she can win the race? Yeah, I mean definitely I thought Bella and navy goat who ran second and third and even there's another one in here. Those horses were running against Cairo consort in those in those terse states that Gulfstream and that was a really solid effort. I think alpha Bella as opposed to some of those
The Horse Racing Radio Network Podcast
"one turn mile" Discussed on The Horse Racing Radio Network Podcast
"Have you? Oh, we lost James. All right. So raise Kane. He was 11th at the first call. It wasn't that he was a mile and a half behind the field, but he was plenty of horses behind, and they went really fast early on 22 and two to the quarter, 45 and two to the half. They slowed it down a little the final time for the mile was one 38 flat for the mile on the muddy sealed track. I know it wasn't the fastest race we've ever seen and I know the pace scenario set it up for the horses from off the pace, but visually raised cane was really good. He was really good, Bobby, and he also, you know, he was cutting back to a one turn mile off of two efforts at two turns, but his pedigree. I mean, he's by violence, but he's out of a lemon drop kid mayor and that's a really classy like two turn female family. So he's eligible. That to me was a big confidence builder because he had run poorly in his last start on a synthetic track and while like you referenced attracting come back fast. It was also a money track and there was a loose horse that was a factor in the stretch and also the thing I really liked about him was how he overcame being checked. He was coming up the inside. He got checked and then immediately shifted course, altered course. So showed he could overcome some adversity going to step up and face better next time, but he did look good race Kane. While another horse that came from way back to get the win was congruent in the John battaglia memorial at turfway park. He not only came from last in the field of 12, but he raced very wide and won by some three and a half lengths. Listen, his final 16th was no joke. He went from one 37 flat for the mile to one 43 flat for the mile and a 16th. I know he didn't have great past performances going into that race and I'm not sure what he beat in the battaglia memorial, but whatever he beat he beat him like a drum and he certainly ran the best race of his career thus far. He certainly did and you know he was far back midway on the far turn and really came flying like you said Bromley ran, I thought a good race. I mean, he made that he had to lead in the stretch. He was, you know, he had shown he had just was coming off a stakes effort at fairgrounds and just got eaten up by congruent in the latter stages later stages. You know, it's the kind of race where, you know, he's got to back it up, you know, again to prove that it was legitimate, but and the runner up Scooby quandre wasn't even listed among the 39 individual horses in pool 5 of the future age of this weekend. But congruent, he offered another big late run. One thing about it is if a horse came back, I can came back and ran third in the Jeff ruby steaks like rich strike did last year. He'd be in the, he probably didn't make the Derby field and he'd be looking to make that last to run last first run like rich strike did at enormous odds. Now I'm not going to say this is going to happen. In fact, I don't think this is going to happen. But what odds would you have gotten a year ago now if somebody wanted to say that I think Sunny Leone is going to win the next two Kentucky derbies? You name your price. I mean, you know, the highest odds they could put on the board, it's still, you know, a lot to be done to get them in there. He got 20 points for winning that race. That probably won't be a good enough to win the Derby. I would think Antonio Sano, I haven't seen any comments from him, but I would think he would wheel him back three weeks later for the Jeffree states, given how he likes to synthetic track. I did reference earlier. He didn't win twice on the main track last year, but, you know, that goes without saying he's got a lot to prove. Well, the thing that I don't know if it's a tough decision or not, because if you think that he's just a different horse on the synthetic track, and it certainly looks so far like that may be the case. You say, well, we certainly have a big chance of getting points. If he runs in the Jeff ruby next and we don't need that many points to getting a gate in The Kentucky Derby or do we want to see if we really have a Kentucky Derby type horse and maybe run them back in the Florida Derby or some main track race where he may not get any points or certainly not enough to get to The Kentucky Derby. It seems very obvious to go back to turf way and run in the Jeff ruby, but I think there's at least something to think about about going the other direction. Yeah, and if they do, if they do that, like you said, it would definitely be the Florida Derby because granted, you're going to have forte in there and maybe even raising cane, but I just think, you know, I mean, look into these major qualifiers get started at the end of this month and go into April. And I think works like forte is going to scare horses away. I mean, if he was in the bluegrass he would have scared horses per se away from that race. So might be viable for a horse like congruent to run the third or fourth in that field because it wouldn't be a very deep race behind the top two betting choices. All right, well, we're going to find out in the weeks to come. They certainly have choices to make with congruent to us. James mentioned, got 20 Kentucky Derby qualifying points with that win last weekend in the John battaglia memorial. We're going to take another break. When we come back, we're going to look forward instead of back and we're going to look at this big Tampa Bay Derby card coming up this Saturday at Tampa Bay downs. Phone lines are open. You can call in 888-966-4776 is the number. It's the bris net dot com call and show on HR RN.
The Horse Racing Radio Network Podcast
"one turn mile" Discussed on The Horse Racing Radio Network Podcast
"To the weekend stakes preview here on HR N Bobby Newman Byron king going through 14 races on tonight's edition of the weekend takes preview and we're gonna head out onto aqueduct where they've got two graded stakes on their car tomorrow the first of which is race number 8. It's the grade $350,000 Tom fool. These are four year olds and up sprinting 6 furlongs on the main track. Byron, we've got a field of 8 going to post. And this is one of those races where anyone who you pick, I could make a case for, even the longest shot on the board, number 8 Wendell thong, has races in his past performances, albeit not really recently that would give him a chance, but there are certainly 6 or 7 of the 8 that have recent form that all look like they could win. The favorite is number three running son of a gun. Yes, and well said here, Bobby, I think this is a race that on paper looks competitive. In these kinds of spots though, and this will also apply to my analysis in the Gotham. I typically prefer shippers coming in over those that are based in New York over the winter. I think that the competition drops off a little bit in New York over the winter because the people ahead and south and whatnot. So I like a good quality invader when those pop ups. So I'm going with nakatomi. Nakatomi was fourth in the Malibu steaks last out, but he is based in Kentucky with Wesley ward. He's proven fresh. The trainer, Wesley ward, typically does well with come backers. This horse has been running or working at turfway park in northern Kentucky and I think he's going to fire fresh. They're putting them on the van. I expected to think he's going to run quite well in the Tom fool. The number 6 nakatomi. Okay, three to one on the morning line for nakatomi. I went with number four drafted who has been first or has been in the money each of his last two starts and three of his last four. Overall, he's hit the board in 7 of 11 tries at aqueduct. I liked his effort in the toboggan last time out, especially with the fact that the winner repo rocks came back and won again since that race. His win in the graves end two starts ago, I think is good enough to make him a player in this spot and he's a nice price 6 to one on drafted. I'm going to take a little bit of a price in the grade three Tom fool. Points qualifier on the road to the Derby and race number 9. It's the grade three Gotham for the three year olds going a one turn mile 15 were entered 14 will run. And morning line favorite here is, well, the morning line favorite is drawn toward the outside. It's number 13 eyeing clover who's coming off a crushing allowance win at the fairgrounds in his most recent start. And that's who I'm going with. Same kind of angle as what I took in the Tom fool. This is a horse that's shipping up to New York, has been based down south. You'll recall that Brad Cox struck with a similar type of runner with hit show a few weeks back in a major race up there and the three year old division in new York, iron clover is two for two down for him, one first at Oak Lawn, then in fairgrounds, has been training at fairgrounds where Cox keeps most of his runners during the winter months training quick. I think a one turn miles suit him well, especially with a wide draw, I like him. Mine clover, but it looks like a competitive race and he's obviously got a stretch out a quarter of a mile after only racing 6 furlongs in his last two. Yeah, the other thing about this race is the pace scenario. I kind of looks to me, Byron, like almost everyone in the field wants to be somewhere in that attending position, either on the lead or right there on the pace. Something's got to give, doesn't it, and this is somebody just going to output them early and keep going or is the pace just going to be so ridiculous that somebody's got to close. That's a great point. That's a great point. I think you probably will see a fast paced. Most of the time, these three year old races, whether they're a one turn mile like this one, or even the routes we've been seeing lately, have been unfolding quickly. So that would be a strike against dying clover, but as you mentioned, so many of them run in this fashion. It's a little bit harder to try to find the horse that's going to benefit the most from that kind of a scenario. I do like when you see these kinds of hot based scenarios if you're drawn outside because it gives you a little more options of taking back or just pressing. Well, certainly iron clover is going to have one of those options drawn near the extreme outside. Number ten lugen knight is my choice in this spot. He's 6 to one on the morning line despite winning the Jerome in his most recent race. He went gate to wire in that one turn mile at aqueduct on a main track labeled good, but I don't think he's going to the lead and he's a horse that has shown in the past that he doesn't need the lead to still run good races. He broke his maiden sprinting coming from fourth, a few lengths off the pace. He came back in his next start and allowance race and he was 5 lengths back at the first call and was only beaten a length and a half by victory formation, who was certainly one of the ones as far as Brad Cox three year olds go this year. He was undefeated before finally seeing his first defeat about a week or two ago. So I think even though Luke and knight went wire to wire last time and it's a little bit deceiving, I don't see him on the front end. I'll put it to you this way. If lugan knight is in front, they're in big trouble because I think he can out kick them to the line. I think he just ended up on the lead last time out. It's probably not going to happen this time, but I don't think he needs it to happen. I like the morning line at 6 to one. I would take to 6 to one right now to see if he can repeat. We know he likes the one turn mile at aqueduct, the waters are a little bit deeper though as he goes in the grade three Gotham. This is another one of those 100 point qualifiers on the road to The Kentucky Derby with a winner gets 50 points basically assuring them a spot. That first Saturday in May, Byron going with the morning line favorite eyeing clover who looks very, very good off his first two starts. I'm going with the Jerome winner lugan knight in the grade three Gotham. Well, we're going to look at one of the races from turf a park tomorrow. The biggest race turfway park has as far as the three year olds go is of course the Jeff ruby steaks, which takes place with more points on the line about a month or so. But this tomorrow, the John battaglia memorial is the main local prep for that Jeff ruby steaks, which of course is on the road to The Kentucky Derby. The battaglia memorial itself is a points qualifier, but lower points than what we saw in the fountain of youth of San Felipe or the Gotham.
The Horse Racing Radio Network Podcast
"one turn mile" Discussed on The Horse Racing Radio Network Podcast
"Show here on HR and I'm Bobby Newman along with James Scully for your hour, HR and nation to call in and talk about whatever you'd like in the world of thoroughbred racing, the number to get in is 888-966-4776. That's triple 8, 9 6 6 hr, James, we had a real big race on The Kentucky Derby road last weekend. We've got four of them coming up this Saturday. This is your biggest weekend so far this year for Kentucky Derby contenders. Like you said, four qualifiers, two real big races, the year in and year out, the founding youth and Gulfstream park in the San Felipe at San Anita. But the Gotham at aqueduct in the John battaglia of memorial at turfway park both got like full fields and both have attracted shippers from elsewhere and it looked like exciting additions to those races. So a lot of good action for three year old Kentucky Derby and Triple Crown hopefuls going on this Saturday, Bobby. And all four races I believe have former Bob Baffert runners in them. Does the fountain of youth have a former Bob Baffert runner in the race? No, no, that's the only one. That's the only one that does it. Yeah, that's right. You've got Brandon Walsh's has now housed Gilmore and of course Timmy IT. He's got four in the San Felipe and he's got Carmel road and the Gotham and then Brittany Russell has forked Warren or somebody also in the Gotham. So she has a former trainee in that race too. All right, once again, the phone lines are open if you'd like to call in and talk about any of those races or any of the other big races coming up around the country they've got monster stakes cards at both Gulfstream and San Anita this Saturday and three races on the aqueduct card, nice racing at turfway park as well. But before we get to next weekend's racing, let's talk about what we saw last weekend, both with the Saudi cup and with the rebel stakes. We'll start with the $20 million Saudi cup where taba kind of late an egg as the heavy favorite in the American pools. I think was the de facto best runner in America going in and logical favored in the race, but he really didn't show up and had nothing left down the lane as stablemate country grammar put in a late run, but it was too late to catch the Japanese runner panthalassa and Japan has shown it again. They were just dominant. I think running first, third, fourth, and 5th in the world's biggest purse race. Yeah, huge day for the Japanese for sure in the Saudi cup and under card stakes as well. And you know, I just hope, you know, I'd love to see more Japanese come this year to the breeders cup. You know, we had two winners two years ago at del mar last fall of Keenan. I believe there was only one Japanese runner. So, you know, they're just like, I mean, I think they're in the early stages of really becoming a force like trying to become a force like internationally. And they've had back to back big years in the Saudi cup card. As far as country grammar goes, I mean, just like what a big effort Bobby and defeat. He ran real big last year as well. One turn mile in 8th is this too short for him, but that race really figures to set him up for his title defense in the Dubai World Cup. And tava, that was. I mean, that was just totally unexpected. He came under a ride going in the far turn and had nothing. He can still regroup stateside for Bob Baffert, but yeah, I just, I didn't see that coming at all. A little bit of a disappointing day. Maybe not money wise, but win wise for the U.S. based horses. They don't get a job. Job done in the big race, the Saudi cup late running second from country grammar, having a meltdown runs a huge race in the Saudi Derby, but ends up a no shy of winning that race, Casa creed, a huge late run in the turf sprint, only to come up second best. In the dirt sprint though, U.S. still pretty tough. Elite power and gunite strongly won two in that race. Yeah, I mean, I ran great. I just thought heck he ran into a beast. I mean, elite power made it stay debut in the vossberg stakes in October. And he won that race, and then he ran better in the breeders cup sprint, what he wanted akin. And he took a step forward in my eyes. I thought that was outstanding notorious, wasn't worried about ground loss at all. And when he asked him in the stretch, boy, he had a serious turn of foot to win going away. So that really bodes well for him going forward in 2023. Yeah, I actually thought gun I'd had a big chance of beating him going into the race, but a leaf power was just much better than a gun I ran well just second best to elite power in that Riyadh dirt sprint. The biggest race stateside, of course, was the grade $2 million rebel stakes where confidence gain got the job done on a sloppy seal track under James Brown, Graham for trainer Keith the somo at big price, red route one, a big long shot from the back of the pack, ran second, and it was a rare three year old big race this year where Brad Cox had runners that looked like they were major players going in and they just didn't run that well. No, and verifying my thought was in position and upper stretch and it really sort of came up empty. It was like three lengths behind reincarnated fourth and giant mischief made a bit into contention on the far turn and then have much left in the stretch finishing 6. I'm verifying. I could give him a little bit of a slack for that. I mean, I still think he could come on this year for Brad Cox. A little worried about longer distances for a giant mischief. But I've died confidence game has, you know, he won twice last year, Bobby, but none of it is like two year olds, including ones at Churchill of a rocket can and allowance. But none of those races were fast speed wise. I think he's moved forward big time for Keith the sormo this year. I thought his third in the lecomte was better than it looked because he chased a real wicked second quarter and wound up like, you know, several months clear of dennington who came back and wanted a nice allowance on the risen our undercard. And then he took another step forward, really when James Graham asked him on the far turn, he moved right into position and just kept accelerating into the stretch and opened up a clear lead and killed everybody safe.
The Horse Racing Radio Network Podcast
"one turn mile" Discussed on The Horse Racing Radio Network Podcast
"Just missing the kentucky. Oaks cuts back to the one turn mile in the acorn welcome back the weekend stakes preview presented by dr bats here on h. r. r. n. For your back into great one action. It's time now for the floors news. Update look at the top headlines from blood horse dot com nyerere launches elizabeth bracken memorial scholarship new york racing association announced the formation of the elizabeth bracken memorial scholarship to support encourage students enrolled in the university of arizona race. Track industry program secure careers in the therapy industry. Ten thousand dollars. Scholarship to be awarded annually will be open to juniors and teen seniors who have completed one full semester and the rt ip and have expressed desire to work in the thoroughbred racing industry scholarship honors the memory of elizabeth racket. Rtp graduate than sixteen years at nine four return to archie ip and associated coordinator and instructor bracken died november twenty nineteen. She was fifty review the scholarship as a way of attracting town of students to careers in our industry especially in new york. Nyra president and ceo. David liz was an inspiration to everyone who knew her. Our hope is that the recipients will share the kind of activity vision and drive that. Liz brought to everything. She accomplished. The naira and everywhere else in recent. That wraps up. Tonight's.
The Horse Racing Radio Network Podcast
"one turn mile" Discussed on The Horse Racing Radio Network Podcast
"You hundred promotion there as well again. H. r. n. twenty-five that's special promo code. That expires tomorrow. You'll go back to. Hr two hundred if you're looking opening accounts sunday or going forward. They got a couple of fantastic promotions. The early bowed or early bird bonus tomorrow if you bet on races one through five and three of those races are stakes that we're going to talk about on the narrow bets at a total of one hundred bucks you're going to get twenty bucks back when lose so it's like that navy again racist one through five. That's on the narrow bets app and then there's a pick six tomorrow. We're back to the dollar. Traditional wager stockton reached number six. The jack pocket jaipur you better and this shouldn't be too hard And if you aren't thinking about betting the pick six won't maybe you want to bet a twenty dollar bill into it because if you bet at least twenty dollars on a total ticket on the pick six. That's up and your ticket loses. They're gonna give you ten dollars bonus so it's like betting ten bucks into pick six and taking a shot at thousands of dollars you have to do both the early bonus and the belmont pick six losing ticket bonus through the naira bets. App had two naira bets dot com for more details. All right sir. I think it's time to to to get to the business as they say Nine stakes will kick things off in recent number. Three it is the grade. One st even seven furlongs on the main track now today at belmont the track was money. The turf courses were yielding. We took a couple of races off the turf on friday. There's a chance at some rain from four to seven o'clock might be raining when you're listening to this program tonight. I don't know how to affect some of the undercard races. I would imagine all of the stakes are on the turf tomorrow. I would also imagine. We're closer to a fast track than any other designation. That's just my opinion. I don't think we're getting that much rain to make this track muddy or certainly not sloppy. I'm handicapping dirt races for a fast-track tomorrow. Keep that in mind. You know mother. Nature's funny way of From cantons every now and then keep an eye to the weather. But i'm having fast and for some given the ground in turf course obvious in the turf forces. Obviously so this what he stephen. Seven phones on the main track. You got a field of six. In here and jackie's warrior. Who won the champagne here at belmont last year after taking the grade. One hopeful up. Sarah togo time. One winner threw it down with cream shaking the pat day mile on the derby undercard back. On first jackie's warrior cuts back to seven furlongs. That's the distance of the hopeful he figures to be I would imagine he's close to even money tomorrow. Bobby yeah and he arguably ran the most impressive race of anyone on kentucky derby day With the pace that he said i couldn't believe that he won the race after the fractions he set and the pressured pace that he said he went twenty one in three this one turn mile forty three in three one oh seven and four and somehow kept going now. They did slow down at the end. One thirty four and two which still isn't a bad time. But i it was just amazing. To me that jackie's warrior kept going Actually think he'll have an easier time of it tomorrow because there are horses. I i don't think caddo rivers as fast as him. I don't think dream shake who's outside of them wants to deal with that kind of trip again. So jackie's warrior. I think is going to go out. And he's either going to make the lead or he's going to be pressing. Drain the clock. And have you know he'll be the one doing the pressing opposed to them pressing him. I think he's going to be tough to beat I don't think he's locked in this spot. I think there are horses like drain. The clock like dream shake who have a chance at upsetting them if they if they improve a little bit By the way. I'm not a caddo river fan at all tomorrow. I just don't think he's as good as some of these horses. But i'm interested in watching jackie's warrior run. I don't wanna bet him at even money. But he's a fun horse to watch seventy five more online. I think he goes right to the top. Jobs our doesn't look back him going to lead. I think essentially takes cattle river out of the race in italy type. I i know during the clock rates. But he's a little bit better going fast. Going on the lead. Attractive matter is drain o'clock especially just not fast enough for the source. I'm gonna make an exact here with the one over rags who i think is going to benefit from cutting back and from the others chasing him i think the source settles in makes one run on the junior alvarado. Make a pretty good three one little three to I'm happy this racist. Not part of the big pick five pick force early pick five starts in reese one early pick four shots and reach too And i'll get involved a little bit. I'm glad because i think jackie's warriors going to be off like you. I don't think he's a complete a complete cinch. But it's one of those races where i don't really trust the horses. I like underneath and the exact. It's more of a play against dream shaking cattle river. I'll try three one. Three two being jackie's warriors very logical winner of race three the grade one would he. Stevens of course won five consecutive. Belmont stakes woody from one thousand nine hundred eighty two to nineteen eighty six. In fact it's the thirty..
Daily Racing Form
"one turn mile" Discussed on Daily Racing Form
"Obviously he disappointed when he was shipped over to saudi arabia for that. Saudi cup just got involved early duel with charlatan. Didn't show up with his best effort. They regrouped gave him a few months off after that. And i think pick the right kind of spot to come back in because a one turn mile just feels like the ideal distance for nick's go and if the pace projector plays out the way that it looks with him on a lonely lead. He's going to be pretty tough to run down. Yeah i'm not trying to beat nikko. Go in this spot. I mean the met mile. It's a prestigious race but get all the horses in behind him. I just see a bunch of great to in grade three tight. None of them have the kind of speed that he has early. None of have run even close to the speed figures. He shoney's gable of since he got hot starting annette allowance reset king last year. So for me. This race is all about knicks. Go where just nobody else. I can get too excited about. I mean silver states on a winning streak guy. I forget how many it is feels like about ten in a row which i bet against them probably eight times but he just keeps winning but he doesn't have the speed figures he's not gonna offer much value. A lot of people seem to like mischievous alex and here but he hasn't been anywhere near as fast as next go and he's the second choice on the morning line so i've got no real interest in him. maybe dr post would be a horse. I'd interested in. He ran a one twenty off the layoff which was a career. Best figure for him. But i'm not even really convinced he wants the one turn mile. I think it's just a case where todd pletcher took a spot shot in here. Because of field looked pretty weakened he could easily run second and if mexico doesn't show up by wide open but for me. It's all about nikko. And if he's you know even any semblance of what he saw before his trip to saudi. He just towers over this group yet. We're pretty much on the same page here. All reports the knicks go has been training really well for this return and he's just faster than the other horses. Both in the early going and at the end of the race is final. Top speed figures are just better than this field. So i think he's going to be pretty tough to run down and like you. I just couldn't latch onto any of the they know. Mischievous alex is a lot of attention. Because this is one of those situations where the buyer numbers point to. Mount is being a faster horse and the time formulas speed figures do. And you do see. Some of those differences happened due to pace in this case. I know that you made a different decision than the buyer. Guys did about the carter on memorial day and i think it's proven out that the carter is not as strong of a racist that one. Oh nine buyer would suggest. I think you took the right path that being a little bit. More cautious with giving Mischievous alex one nine t and you did not group. Those two seven furlong races together at act on wood memorial day because most of the horses that came out of that carter field. Just haven't run that well in subsequent starts so while mischievous alex was a dominant winner that day and he's been dominant in all of his starts so far this year for saffy joseph..
The Jason Beem Horse Racing Podcast
"one turn mile" Discussed on The Jason Beem Horse Racing Podcast
"Yesterday for our belmont preview. If you want to hear that you can find that on the thursday edition. This program and david miller for joining us earlier in the week. Hope you guys enjoyed both guest. We should be back to our full three guest rotation next week and now looking forward to it The undercard races at belmont for belmont day talked a little bit about domestic spending in the manhattan on top of the show. So don't want go through that. Do wanna talk about the mile. Because there's a couple of spots in these sequences where i mean nick's go at. His best is probably pretty tough to catch here right. I mean this is a different race. Though the one turn mile is just a different beast so he kind of but he kind of tipped his hand that maybe he can do it. When you know brand that incredible breeders cup ter- mile is coming off a defeat. He is coming off a layoff. He is coming off a ship. You know back from the middle east all these things Certainly has been working well in the mornings and you know he kind of looks coty. He certainly looks like loan. Speed from figure standpoint. You know. I mean mischievous alex. At least on brisbane. It looks like he. Can you know get in that same stratosphere but boy look like a lot of others. We talked about this. I forget who we talked about it with but we talked about it recently. And it's something. I touch on so often. Is you know you get these huge favorites in races. Like this and you know so. Many people are singling knicks. Go in the sequence but a lot of people are gonna also you know. Try to get mischievous alex in there And you know some might go elsewhere. I think dr post is maybe a little bit interesting but you know he's not like some great price i'm not really in favor of silver state Or by my standards and so but just looking at you know kind of how this race shapes up some people are gonna single elusive quality. Some people are going to single one of the other kinds of logical in the belmont stakes. I think that you'll get that a lot of spreading in the manhattan and so when it comes to the late pick four or fives and sixes and stuff like that you know. I mean we always like to talk about kind of how those sequences go together to me. I think the the obvious spread leg at least from know a late pick six is i haven't looked at the picture starts in the because don't they usually end it with the the belmont. Let me look pick four rec- through No they don't oh yes they are so they started in ray seven. I'm sorry there. We go no pick five starts and race seven. Why i'll i'm i'm all screwed up. Just ignore me. Ignore me the pick. Six starts in race number six. The pick five starts in seven starts. Nate okay so the eighth race. The crux of what. I was trying to get at the eighth race to me. Looks like it's going to be one of the spread races in those late sequences. I think a lot of tickets are going to be narrow. In the met mile singled. An exco may include the one I think a fair number of people are gonna be somewhat narrow in the belmont and you know if it maybe two or three deep may know some mike o. Five deep if they have real contrary opinions in the manhattan. But i don't think the manhattan is necessarily like a an obvious super deep race normally because it does look like there's a coup- the handful that are pretty ahead of everybody else. But i think given given the fact that knicks go is a logical single and given the fact that some people might single in the belmont the manhattan might become a defacto spread race. Where people just hoping to you know the big field and like okay. Maybe we can beat those top two or three and Get through but to me. The the just a game certainly has the appearance. I know sweet by by believes scratch but this one has the appearance of of a race in those late fours. Fives and sixes. That people are going to use a lot of the horses I know value scratched out of the ogden phipps. This is such a neat race. I mean swiss skydive obviously has become a fan favourite. Jose ortiz gets on board for this one You have lotrowska. who's coming. In incredible form. She dares the devil who's back into form and bonnie south coming off a win and you know has a little bit of back class but You know again to me. This looks like the race where you're gonna get people going three and four deep just to kind of get through it I think some people might make a stand here but overall this one to me looks like the race. Where if you have an opinion maybe this is where you take stand. Because i think a lot of people are going to go three and four deep here and try to catch skydiver lotrowska or she dares the devil and maybe bonnie south especially with out now those top three. I think loom a little bit larger. And so you know if all your competition is going three. Maybe that's the leg. You kind of go a little more narrow and try to sneak through especially if you're maybe trying to beat knicks. Go a little bit later on. I haven't heard a lot of people that are trying to do that. But you know. I don't know the the the day is a whole just. I don't know that it's gonna turn into some chop fest. May maybe that's you know not right but Bound for nowhere. I think going to get a fair bit of support in the jaipur which is another one you know looking at the pick six to me the jaipur the just a game of the two obvious spread legs and i think that's how most tickets will kind of go through that pick six sequence. It's dollar pick six which obviously change it up a little bit. It's not that traditional two dollar one. You know where a lot of people are getting to buy three by two by two by one by two and you know people trying to hit it for sixty six or sixty four bucks or whatever. The math was on that one. But in that ballpark..
The Horse Racing Radio Network Podcast
Jockey Luca Panici Ready for His First Belmont Stakes
"The rail to your radio fierce is horse racing radio network. forelegs on run dusty run. It's run dusty run in second. Third they're carrying the finish line. Still Seattle slew, and he's open it up, too. Easy Goer gets by four. Silence remains in. Of France is third, it's New York keys ego or in front, welcome to the equine forum presented by Woodbine Entertainment. Twenty six years. It's just one long. Up Suck. Coming. Finish Cats Marty job. Here come on I don't just passed. Back staked justify still there. Justify from Husky fit just perfect. Just been. Justified thirteen triple. Now? Here's Mike Penta. Well two weeks ago, I opened this program by saying happy. Belmont stakes day. June sick of course would have been the traditional placing the Belmont and the first leg of this year's triple crown. Had things actually remained as scheduled well here we are June twentieth, and I once again get to say. Happy Belmont stakes day to everyone throughout hr, a nation, good morning and welcome to the show that launched a network, the equine forum presented by Woodbine entertainment here on the Horse Racing Radio Network, Mike Penner Baron of the backstretch. Happy to have all of you tuning in across North America on Sirius to Nineteen Xm, two, oh, one on our affiliates in Lexington Louisville, and across the country, and all of you listening digitally. You're doing that on our website at horse, racing radio DOT net. Well the quote, unquote triple Crown Begins Today. And for the first time in the history of the series, the Belmont is going to be run as the first leg. And as most of you know the distance. Has Been shortened this year from the demanding mile and a half test of the champion to a mile in eighth. And keep in mind. At Belmont. That's a one turn. Mile and an eighth race, so a completely different type of Belmont stakes than we're used to seeing. I've mentioned before that. The Belmont has been run. This is not without precedent. The Belmont has been run. At a mile and an eighth two other times in its history, but those were all the way back in eighteen, ninety, three and eighteen, ninety four, so hasn't happened in recent memory. Our exclusive radio coverage of the Belmont stakes here on HR. End Begins at four o'clock eastern today with a thirty minute broadcast the grade, one acorn that broadcast brought to you by Breeders Cup, and then at four thirty. We kick off our network coverage of the one hundred fifty second Belmont in partnership with NBC Sports Audio Network, and that portion of our coverage comes your way from four thirty to six o'clock eastern. It's presented by red brand fence and twin spires, and looking forward to that. coverage coming up later today that show by the way at four thirty, also going to feature the grade one Jaipur, which is a winning, you're
The Horse Racing Radio Network Podcast
Weekend Stakes Preview Presented by NYRA Bets
"I don't know how much derby influence this feels can have. But I'll tell you what I think. There are some really nice horses in here. That WanNa do this one turn mile and see if maybe one of them can Can Get the job done and move forward on that Derby trailing. Yeah Yeah I think it's a pretty nice field You know may not be an contain any derby contenders like you said but you know. I certainly think they're handful in here. Who are going to make this an entertaining an interesting race. The one I could see four or five of them winning. It's one where he'd probably end up having a spread but there were of them that I was kind of interested in You know what a horse that. I'm pretty fond of the Montauk traffic. I like young horses. Who are able to overcome adversity. And that's exactly what. This horse did First Time that was just Don't know what happened. She dwelt early and he did. And that was the end of it from the rail in the slop at Laurel you toss that race and and I mean he did exactly what you want a prospect to stretching out prospect to do he was able to sit able to make a run and pass runners and he was impressive in both of his next two wins the maiden when Downstairs in the and the Wingfield win. Also at seven eighths Settled inside didn't have a problem kicked out and And was able to run away from his competition. So I I don't think a mile Distance will be much of a problem for him. I just don't know how much upside he really has. You know. He's a gritty horse and He's one that I wanNA use but the one who I'M GONNA put on top of the three wars stop or I love the way that he improved. First Time in Blaker is just second time on dirt last time here at the The Mile trip here and act when I turned in a big beyer speed figure went right to the front And just kept on going. I think he is one that I want to keep an eye on moving forward. I think he'll be a decent prospect stretching out to to turn on the on the dirt and I'm GONNA give shops go right from his maiden win to Earning grade three status here in the In the Gotha. Yeah. I'm definitely. He's my topic as well. I'm a big fan of wall stopper. I liked what I saw from him. First Time Out Less time out rather when he got the meeting win. First Time blinkers. I should say now. That was a big effort. Thought Mischievous Alex might have some distance limitations. But it's hard to argue. How good he's been in his last two starts. Since his trainer John Service added the blinkers to his repertoire. I don't think six does without a chance from an ever Keough. Sauna current one turn mile. Got The goose ca pedigree on the bottom. I don't know how far this was gonna WanNa go with the one turn. Mile shouldn't be a problem and Necker island Friday he won going a mile in the slop. At Churchill downs just stopped got out running swell last time. The miles should be more to his Liking as he's already won distance and we'll see him. I under neath. I think it's wide open. I think war stopper shows up. They're all running the second money. I'm a big fan of his An of all these sources. I think him He's probably the one most likely to move on the Derby Trail. Regardless of what happens tomorrow. He can get beat tomorrow and maybe still move forward. I'd like to see him win But if he got beat I'd still think he can be contender. Might be the only one more stop for both of us in the grade. Three three hundred thousand dollar.