35 Burst results for "Mark Zandi"

As Ida Leaves Gulf, Analysts Foresee Modest Economic Damage

AP News Radio

00:59 sec | 9 months ago

As Ida Leaves Gulf, Analysts Foresee Modest Economic Damage

"Analysts are predicting hurricane itis destruction although disruptive to the Gulf coast won't devastate the entire U. S. economy hurricane Isaac is sure to take a toll on energy chemical and shipping industries with major hubs along the Gulf coast but economists say the impact on the overall U. S. economy will likely be modest nothing like hurricane Katrina in two thousand five oil prices barely moved Monday as oil companies and refiners assess possible damage from the storm there are concerns though extended power outages could slow their restarts on a national scale mark Zandi of moody's analytics says disruptions caused by item will likely lead him to downgrade its forecast for annual U. S. growth in the July September quarter by a few tenths of a percentage point but he says that could be reversed by the rebuilding that will be needed to repair the hurricane's damage I'm Jackie Quinn

Hurricane Itis Hurricane Isaac Gulf Coast U. Hurricane Katrina Mark Zandi Moody Hurricane Jackie Quinn
Even with another relief package, economic recovery is gonna take awhile

Marketplace with Kai Ryssdal

02:36 min | 1 year ago

Even with another relief package, economic recovery is gonna take awhile

"It is possible we know to hold two or more contradictory facts in your mind at the same time. for instance. it is a fact that altogether almost a million and a half people made new claims for unemployment benefits last week. It is also a fact that the day after christmas millions more people will lose federal pandemic jobless benefits and it is further fact the congress which is to say senate republicans for months have not been able to agree that more government help for this economy is necessary now the back against the wall though. It seems likely some kind of relief package might pass probably something just under a trillion dollars but as marketplace's mitchell hartman reports there is still a real an increasing risk that the recovery from this recession is going to be slower and longer and more painful than it had to be covid surging. Lay-offs arising consumers are hunkering down. Not a great place to be heading into twenty twenty one mark zandi at moody's analytics says the nine hundred billion dollars. Congress considering spending to get the economy moving in the right direction is only a down payment on recovery. This relief package is about avoiding going deeper into the economic col- without it. I do think we will go back into recession. So this is about avoiding that. It's not really about jump. Starting the economy and without more stimulus spending especially to shore up state and local government budgets. Heidi sheer holtz at the economic policy institute says the economy is backsliding. We've already seen more than a million jobs. Lost in state and local government when you have teachers and firefighters whose job so they no longer have income. They aren't spending money in the private sector and more people lose their jobs. Zandi hope is by the middle of next year as vaccinations spreads and the consumer economy starts to reopen on a post pandemic footing. The congress will pass a much bigger more robust stimulus bill. If a structure spending would generate lots of jobs for all of folks have lost their jobs permanently and try to get the economy back to full employment more quickly if that doesn't happen well we've seen this movie before. Heidi shield says after the great recession. Congress pulled back on stimulus spending too much too early. What they're doing now way better than nothing that it's not enough and i do worry about. We really setting this up to be another long slow recovery. That recovery to full employment took seven to eight

Mitchell Hartman Heidi Sheer Holtz Congress Senate Moody Economic Policy Institute Zandi Heidi Shield
Hopes dimming for another round of stimulus checks in 2020

Start Here

06:50 min | 1 year ago

Hopes dimming for another round of stimulus checks in 2020

"Regardless of a vaccine for so many americans. This is emergency time. We're so close. There is a light at the end of the tunnel and yet people are going to the hospital now. Businesses are getting closed now and without financial relief a lot. More people will lose their jobs some getting ready to spend their first winter in homeless shelters but this week you're also seeing some hope in washington that a deal can get done for the first time in months it seems. Lawmakers are close to passing another round of support. Compromise is within reach behind the scenes. There was clearly some bipartisan cooperation. Happening for example many democrats wanted direct stimulus checks sent to americans will it now appears some republicans and perhaps even the white house itself may be on board with that idea. Some workers have gotten sick. Have sued their employers for not protecting them better from the virus. Republicans wanted to shield corporations from that type of lawsuit. Mitch mcconnell is no longer saying that really has to be included. But they're so lots of hangups lots of reasons. This could be sunk so this morning. I don't want to talk about the partisan back and forth. I wanna ask a simple question what happens. Congress does not pass a code relief. Bill what are the consequences days weeks and months from now. Abc's chief business and economics correspondent. Rebecca jarvis is here rebecca. Can you smell it the stakes for me at the capital this week will brad incredibly important. It is make or break. It's life or death. I'm just day by day trying to figure it out day. Bonday that in the pocket of for example a single mother like angel recently spoke to in detroit who works in a hospital makes minimum wage. Therein has three school age. Children were that school. As of last friday is no longer available to her in person. The choice of work and kids shouldn't be a choice. I want to be the best mom i can be. This could be the difference between her being able to afford to pay for childcare to have someone come to her home or to even drop her children off at daycare or her potentially having to quit her job because she has no other alternative to care for her children and at the same time work so it's been challenging trying to keep going to work and prevent being far low or fire to keep you know inconsequential our lives and our lifestyles. But at the same time some nights. I go to sleep. And i'm like why am i going to work. What are the domino's that would actually fall. Just nothing happened like. Can you walk me through how that would play out from. The halls of washington to small business will two things especially are hammering. Small businesses and many small businesses in this country happened to be independent restaurants. They have not given us money and they have shut us down. We cannot survive. My staff cannot survive in one case particularly in california. You have a number of restaurants who've been told to close their doors because of the spike in cova cases now that we are going to close the outside. It's of our employees go home. And how are they going to pay their bills in new york while restaurants can remain open and they can serve primarily outdoors. They have a tipping point because things have just gotten so cold that as goldman sachs estimates about forty degrees. Is the tipping point where people are no longer going to be interested in dining outside while we're there in new york. The summer has just been a disaster to scott freezing cold after thanksgiving and the world has just completely fallen apart. Earlier this year in september the national restaurant association pulled all of its members and said how many of you can make it. The next six months without any additional aid from the government forty percent of the national restaurant association members. These are small independent restaurants across the country. Said they weren't gonna make it six months without help. That was three months ago. We're already in the territory where they weren't sure they were going to be able to survive. We see all these posters that were all in this together but it doesn't seem like we are when a particular industry as being targeted stricter than others for many of them. they're using their home as collateral their mortgage as collateral. What does it mean if they go out of business it means they could lose their home. It also means that their retirement savings for for many small businesses. The retirement account is the business itself. You've seen from j. p. morgan for example. They're now estimating the first quarter of next year. We'll see negative economic growth Moody's they're saying at this point that without help from the government we will see a double dip recession. And that's really what we're talking about here brad. What's you're not just envisioning like stays really bad. You're envisioning a scenario where it could even get a lot worse really suddenly affecting everyone with a potential deal rebecca here. I'm sure the average person would just take what they can get. But when you talk to economists business leaders are there things that need to be in this deal to avoid that disaster scenario. You just talked about well brad. According to a group of more than one. Hundred and twenty-five economists including jason furman who's a former top economic advisor to president obama. Those direct cash payments to american families are incredibly important. I need the help. My kid's name to eight other people's kids. The the the thing about stimulus checks is that they're one of the fastest ways to get people money that money gets spent immediately and it gets spent immediately in ways that can help give the economy a little bit of juice at a time where people have been pulling back but once you start looking at what various analysts in what economists are calling for. They're saying at this point sooner rather than bigger is better in fact If you look at what. Bank of america's chief economist is calling for right now. She wants to see money for testing for the vaccine and contact tracing pandemic employment insurance. That's the employment insurance for gig workers and people who have lost coverage because they've already extended out all of the benefits because they've been collecting benefits for too long and then direct aid to small businesses. Moody's mark zandi adds to that list. Rental assistance among the programs ending soon is the cdc eviction moratorium. If it expires it will lead up to five million tenants facing eviction in january the beginning of winter. I've never been in this situation ever before my life. I've never had to come out to beg for help. And even calling any of this stimulus is sort of a misnomer. It's really about relief. So that people can just get to the other side.

Rebecca Jarvis National Restaurant Associatio Mitch Mcconnell Washington Rebecca White House ABC New York Detroit Congress Goldman Sachs Bill Jason Furman Brad California Morgan
"mark zandi" Discussed on Bloomberg Radio New York

Bloomberg Radio New York

06:10 min | 1 year ago

"mark zandi" Discussed on Bloomberg Radio New York

"Is back with us. Tomorrow is your price action to as out from the upper bound in New York after the biggest week of games, going back to early July equity futures up around about two points in the bond market yields in a single basis 20.20 0.55% but it's all a strength again for second session against the Euro. Euro dollar back down to 1 17 45 We come in 1/3 of 1% It'sa snows on a Wall Street. It is anything but on Capitol Hill. In fact, um I would say Washington, which is It was a snooze down in the nation's capital. We've been talking about Washington, of course, have full back into the jobs report that we saw on Friday. The mixed report and really the not trepidation. But the fear mystery of what we're going to see. The first week of September, joining us now John Mark Zandi of Moody's analytic, exceptionally thoughtful work over the decades out of Pennsylvania on We're thrilled the doctor's and he could join us this morning, Mark Sandy, you have a chart that speaks volumes in your latest research. On the participation across age in the participation across races in America. What does it say? Well. Participation collapsed in the pandemic. We're down about 2% points from over a pre pandemic and it's across the board across all ages. Ethnic groups. Ah, educational attainment. You know some variation, but this shows you the stress in the labor market, sacked on those folks that had stepped out of the workforce, Uh, stepped back in and continue and start to look for work. The unemployment rate Popular measure will be closer to 14% not the 10%. That's why I want to stop you right there. This is really, really important because John and I get a ton of email Mark Zandi, which says Mark Zandi is right. The 10% number is a fiction. Is the 10% number of fiction. It doesn't do justice to the stress in the labor market is fiction. In that sense, I mean, it's it's crippling. Ah, they haven't changed any of their methodology to be alive. Keeper the data, so it's accurate in that sense, but it's not giving you a clear sense of stress from all over America. People have stepped out of the workforce. They're not looking And they want a job. They don't think it's a viable to find one. So if you consider those folks the level of stress a lot hotter that 14% is probably more represented. What's going on the 10% Even 10% you know? Ah, ah, pretty tough labor market the peak of the finished picture. The unemployment rate in this financial crisis was 10% for one month. The stress is very high. Mark. A colleague Marco McKay always says there's a big difference between jobs created and jobs restored. And whenever he sees these payrolls report, especially over the last few months, he will refer to them as jobs. Restored. Can you walk us through the jobs that won't becoming back mark the permanent scarring you already sing in this labor market. That's a good point. So a lot of the jobs that were lost in retail and leisure, hospitality, transportation anything to do with a tourism travel recreation. You know they they obviously got creamed in the pandemic that there's some of them have gotten. Some of those jobs have been restored. But many, many of those jobs are unlikely to come back or I'd like to come back anytime in the foreseeable future. I mean, those models are going to change example, would be business travel. So you know, I have a couple 100 economists who work for me across the globe. Um, my biggest expansion compensation. Second, his rent, and the third has traveled before all this, but given the pandemic and given all the technological changes, we're not going back to the kind of travel we had before. I suspect many, many businesses around the world in the same position, So that's that's a business model that will have to change. That means there's going to be a lot fewer jobs to give you a sense of it. We lost 22 million jobs jobs in March in April, we've gotten AH, roughly nine million of those backs were down 13. Public another three million back by the end of the year, and that that's what the last 10 million getting that last 10 million back not going. He's going to take time. Public won't get there until well into middle part of this decade. Mark you mention travel. How much of that is vaccine dependent and how much of it is manager's looking around like in a new car structure and say, You know what? We're sticking with this. I think what tourism it's about. It's about vaccine and confidence that people are going to get sick. You get people who travel people in their fifties. Sixties seventies. You know the baby boomers, you know they are not going to travel until that there's a vaccine they feel comfortable with, and they feel like they're not going to get sick. You know, somewhere outside of their home So that will come back with Maxie. But the business travel that I just don't see that coming back in the same way. Arliss is not coming back anytime soon. My mark. I want to go to the X axis. I want to go to the time function here of the stimulus. You've done some political work. I'm not going to say, representing Democratic politics, but they have used your good research from Moody's Analytics. The Obama administration is no question about that. Do you sense an urgency in this are in this August in Washington, or they just slipping their way into a September That's too late. Well, they better have a sense of urgency mean if they don't act and and I should say the president's taking orders really doesn't advance the ball a significant degree. If there are what he proposed, or what he's ordered is unworkable. Nothing's going to change. And even if he got exactly what he wanted today, it's not enough, so they needed a sense of urgency. They don't pass up Francisco's rescue package. We're going back into recession and just throw in the odd weekend that we have here. I think one of my great observations is never ever. Ever. John. Have. I seen conservative economists in such sharp agreement with liberal economists? They all say the same thing. Let's go. Let's go. Let's go, Tom. They know the recovery's constraint. So you need some kind of demand side response. You need something to offset the shocks to income. Because the recovery is constrained by the virus..

John Mark Zandi Washington America Mark Sandy Moody New York Pennsylvania Marco McKay is manager Obama administration Tom Maxie Arliss president Francisco
Treasury names small businesses receiving PPP loans

Ron St. Pierre

02:25 min | 2 years ago

Treasury names small businesses receiving PPP loans

"Releasing releasing info info about some of the 650,000 recipients of loans from the payroll protection program, which was passed by Congress to allow small businesses to keep their workers employed during this pandemic. While mostly small businesses and nonprofits got money through the program, which is given out $521 billion. There were also some wealthy and well connected recipients to Among them. Kanye West's clothing and sneaker brand. The anti tax group Americans for tax reform companies owned by the family of President Trump's son in law and senior advisor Jared Kushner, as well as California representative Devin Nunes Winery Family Cos. Of West Virginia Governor Jim Justice who is considered to be one of the state's richest persons. Washington, D C political strategy Cos. Legal firms and big money hedge funds to Treasury Department only named companies that got more than $150,000 which made up less than 15% of the companies that received loans about locally. 2453 Rhode Island employers got the federal PPP loan worth at least 150 large Ted Niecy from Eye Witness News With that story, The US Small Business Administration on Monday released the names of all employers that got at least $150,000 from the Paycheck protection program, which Congress created in March to mitigate layoffs amid the covert 19 pandemic. The list includes quite a few familiar names. The Poss Ox got a loan of at least $350,000 to retain 49 jobs. Fellows got loans for a number of its restaurant locations. Even the parent company of the Foxy Lady Strip club received at least $150,000 to retain 159 jobs. Overall, the SB says 2453 Rhode Island employers got at least $150,000 each. 14 round, employers got at least $5 million over $1.8 billion in loans have been a Awarded in the states. So far, a majority of the loan money has to go toward payroll. Employers can apply to have the loans forgiven by the S P A. The economy needs a lot of help. Appearing on Sundays face the nation, Economist Mark Zandi warned. Congress will need to do more as the PPP winds down even though unemployment back down if you had a Books that are unemployed People who are got their hours cut there so working, but they got their hours cut. Then consider those folks that are still working. Haven't gotten your hours. Couple got their pay cut. You're talking about 1/3 of all American workers that are still struggling. And if you want to take a

Congress Rhode Island Devin Nunes Winery Family Cos Kanye West Jared Kushner West Virginia Washington Governor Jim Justice President Trump Mark Zandi SB United States Treasury Department Senior Advisor Ted Niecy California Representative
"mark zandi" Discussed on AP News

AP News

11:29 min | 2 years ago

"mark zandi" Discussed on AP News

"A new report shows there were far fewer layoffs last month related to the corona virus payroll processor ADP says 2.8000000 jobs were lost in may experts were predicting more than 9000000 layoffs since March when the pandemic intensified the number of job losses is 22.6000000 the bulk of that was in April this report raises optimism job losses won't be as bad as feared when the labor department report is released Friday moody's analytics chief economist mark Zandi says barring a second wave of cases the coronavirus recession appears to only lasted 3 months he adds it could be the shortest recession on record and among the most severe I met Donahue

ADP moody Donahue labor department chief economist mark Zandi 3 months
"mark zandi" Discussed on AP News

AP News

11:29 min | 2 years ago

"mark zandi" Discussed on AP News

"A new report shows there were far fewer layoffs last month related to the corona virus payroll processor ADP says 2.8000000 jobs were lost in may experts were predicting more than 9000000 layoffs since March when the pandemic intensified the number of job losses is 22.6000000 the bulk of that was in April this report raises optimism job losses won't be as bad as feared when the labor department report is released Friday moody's analytics chief economist mark Zandi says barring a second wave of cases the coronavirus recession appears to only lasted 3 months he adds it could be the shortest recession on record and among the most severe I met Donahue

ADP moody Donahue labor department chief economist mark Zandi 3 months
Survey: 2.76 million layoffs in May, far fewer than expected

AP News Radio

00:41 sec | 2 years ago

Survey: 2.76 million layoffs in May, far fewer than expected

"A new report shows there were far fewer layoffs last month related to the corona virus payroll processor ADP says two point eight million jobs were lost in may experts were predicting more than nine million layoffs since March when the pandemic intensified the number of job losses is twenty two point six million the bulk of that was in April this report raises optimism job losses won't be as bad as feared when the labor department report is released Friday moody's analytics chief economist mark Zandi says barring a second wave of cases the coronavirus recession appears to only lasted three months he adds it could be the shortest recession on record and among the most severe I met Donahue

ADP Moody Donahue Labor Department Chief Economist Mark Zandi
Survey: 2.76 million layoffs in May, far fewer than expected

AP News Radio

00:41 sec | 2 years ago

Survey: 2.76 million layoffs in May, far fewer than expected

"A new report shows there were far fewer layoffs last month related to the corona virus payroll processor ADP says two point eight million jobs were lost in may experts were predicting more than nine million layoffs since March when the pandemic intensified the number of job losses is twenty two point six million the bulk of that was in April this report raises optimism job losses won't be as bad as feared when the labor department report is released Friday moody's analytics chief economist mark Zandi says barring a second wave of cases the coronavirus recession appears to only lasted three months he adds it could be the shortest recession on record and among the most severe I met Donahue

ADP Moody Donahue Labor Department Chief Economist Mark Zandi
Fed's jerome Powell Says Congress Should Do More To Save Economy

Marketplace with Kai Ryssdal

02:42 min | 2 years ago

Fed's jerome Powell Says Congress Should Do More To Save Economy

"With all possible. Respect to Jay Powell. The Chairman of the Federal Reserve is saving a cratering. American economy is no easy thing right but with all respect the time ten weeks into this thing has come to say all right. Show me what you got and we say that because Miss Pal has in television interviews in congressional testimony made clear that he believes Congress while already having done a lot of risky work should do more but he has also said. Mr Powell has what us the Fed. Oh we're not gonNA run at it and munition in more proper actual fedspeak yesterday. Ms Powell told the Senate Banking Committee. The Fed is quote committed to using our full range of tools to support the economy in this challenging time and quote so those tools what might be. Here's marketplace's Mitchell Hartman. Think of the Fed like a plumber. It's job is to make sure money keeps flowing through the US financial system when the system gets clogged by say a pandemic. The Fed whips out its monetary policy wrenches and drain remorse to unclog the flow of money. Make it cheaper and less risky to borrow and land. That's what the Fed did in mid March when it cut interest rates to zero says Brad McMillan at Commonwealth financial and that was really key to preventing paddock. Because of what? It said that the central bank was not going to let a crisis happen since then. The feds kept money flowing by adjusting banking rules. Buying up Treasury and mortgage bonds and the list goes on says Mark Zandi at Moody's analytics so the Stock Bond Markets Credit markets. Broadly are functioning. Well they still have some more room to maneuver here if they need to. Zandi says the Fed could backstop the mortgage market as more homeowners delay monthly payments and could buy more and riskier corporate bonds to keep credit flowing and the Fed is about to get money out to small and mid sized businesses through its new main street lending facility but one thing the Fed can't do says Andy is pumped money directly into the economy. Good things going again. Now that the people lost lots of jobs people very nervous lot of uncertainty. And that's more difficult for the Fed. The Central Bank could try to help Americans more directly says MIT economist. Deborah Lucas. Let's call helicopter money. They could print money and they could distribute it to households but she says that would be risky and would require the Fed to manipulate the money supply and banking system in ways it never has before I'm Mitchell Hartman for

FED Jay Powell Mitchell Hartman Senate Banking Committee Miss Pal Deborah Lucas Chairman Of The Federal Reserv United States Mark Zandi Congress MIT Brad Mcmillan Moody Commonwealth Financial Treasury
More than 20 million jobs vanished last month

AP News Radio

00:40 sec | 2 years ago

More than 20 million jobs vanished last month

"Payroll company ADP says more than twenty million jobs simply vanished last month with the virus pandemic keeping offices factories and much of America closed the private industry report comes before the government releases its official April unemployment figures Friday economists say it'll show a jobless rate that jumped from four point four percent in March to sixteen percent in April moody's analytics mark Zandi predicts job losses will likely continue through this month before some hiring resumes but he warns recovery all the jobs lost in April will be S. log over several years Sager made Donnie Washington

ADP America Sager Donnie Washington Official Mark Zandi
More than 20 million jobs vanished last month

AP News Radio

00:44 sec | 2 years ago

More than 20 million jobs vanished last month

"The American jobs market continues an epic collapse payroll company ADP says more than twenty million jobs simply vanished last month with the virus pandemic keeping offices factories and much of America closed the private industry report comes before the government releases its official April unemployment figures Friday economists say it'll show a jobless rate that jumped from four point four percent in March to sixteen percent in April moody's analytics mark Zandi predicts job losses will likely continue through this month before some hiring resumes but he warns recovering all the jobs lost in April will be S. log over several years Sager made Donnie Washington

ADP America Sager Donnie Washington Official Mark Zandi
Coronavirus recession is "likely," economist says

Bloomberg Businessweek

01:30 min | 2 years ago

Coronavirus recession is "likely," economist says

"What's the damage to the economy that we've suffered so far but it's primarily from the attempts to fight the virus rather than the ravages of the virus itself which includes kind of shutting down a lot thanks for in teens planned shutdowns you know businesses closing transportation and so on all those things are devastating global GDP and so the question is and you said the question twenty twenty is how are we collectively meaning the room the human race going to manage to fight off the virus as we must without destroying everything else we care about the economy our family lives and so on and it one of the interesting things about this economic moment and you quote mark Zandi well known guy over at moody's chief economist he says we could be moving from a self reinforcing positive cycle to a self reinforcing negative cycle and that seems to be such a key insight here because what is a recession recession is when you lose faith in the future and you don't invest for the future of your business you don't buy if you're a consumer you hunker down and that very active hunkering down which is trying to protect you from the recession itself can trigger the recession because what works for one family or one company doesn't work collectively when everybody tries to do what it wants is what John Maynard Keynes called the paradox of

Moody John Maynard Keynes Twenty Twenty Mark Zandi Chief Economist
"mark zandi" Discussed on NewsRadio KFBK

NewsRadio KFBK

01:53 min | 2 years ago

"mark zandi" Discussed on NewsRadio KFBK

"A condom is mark Zandi with moody's analytics you're listening to ABC news then it's time for some traffic and weather together let's get to that right now Dana has starts us out all right they're brought to you by kitchen March downtown this fleet is about thirteen minutes really heavy in midtown as usual not quite so bad rather Marconi Kurds fled to Roseville is nine minutes downtown elk Grove it's gonna be a forty minute ride on I. five in a couple minutes longer on ninety nine at this point get some slowing around the fridge and it again further on going to Fulton twenty four minutes already on eastbound fifty so yeah it's going to be a tough one probably later on that you could make your break now wow fantastic dad ten woodland seventy minutes and ten minutes after Davis on westbound AT this time and you should have kids who might replace the kitchen and bath refacing makes it look new but it's half the price of a full remodel cabinets and countertops it's like a mini remodel a kitchen mark many remodel no one does it better than kitchen mark dot net traffic on the tens every ten minutes mornings and afternoons you're right data has knows ninety three point four K. three K. steady well a partly cloudy skies for tonight tonight you can expect a low forty eight to fifty two times of clouds and sunshine tomorrow it'll be pleasant with highs seventy one to seventy five mostly sunny and warm Thursday Thursday while a high seventy five to seventy nine I'm accu weather's to share the news ninety three point one K. F. B. K. all right says seventy five in citrus heights seventy three in Rancho Murieta seventy two in El Dorado hills as we're building a better Sacramento brought you by nor cal ram Jack well Michelle tap is a former English instructor and has four kids three of them adopted out of foster care contact with the birth family kind of realize that it was the vicious cycle because their parents have been in the system when they were young and they have been in and out in and out in and out and.

mark Zandi moody Dana Roseville Fulton Davis Rancho Murieta Sacramento Jack instructor ABC elk Grove K. F. B. El Dorado hills Michelle tap
Powell: Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress

Marketplace with Kai Ryssdal

02:17 min | 2 years ago

Powell: Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress

"Jay Powell went up to Capitol Hill today. The Fed chair here did his twice yearly congressional briefing lawmakers technically in case you're curious called the monetary policy report the T. l.. Dr Goes like this economy is basically fine. Yeah he's bit word. About Corona virus. Trade has settled somewhat buddies keeping an eye on it. Interest rates aren't going anywhere but then at one point in his report Powell. Well he wrote this and this is a quote levels of business debt continued to be elevated with the riskiest firms accounting for most most of the increase in debt in recent years. Now the reason. That's a worry. Well 'cause when not if but when things go economically south that debt it is going to be harder to pay back and that is not a good thing marketplace's Mitchell Hartman gets us going. Interest rates are low right now by historic standards. It doesn't cost Salaam to borrow money. Chris Zeffirelli at independent advisor. Alliance says it's true for a family buying a house you have a higher credit score and you're unable able to lower mortgage rates are lower car loans whereas if you were considered more of a risky borrower you'd have to pay higher interest rates. The same thing is true for corporations. And it's it's the high risk corporate bonds that are on the rise. This isn't the Amazon Google Nike facebooks of the world with plenty of cash on hand. Zeffirelli says it's companies that are very capital intensive in terms of having property plant equipment so industrial companies energy companies especially those exposed to risks six lake drilling for oil or buying land. Some pension and mutual funds are looking to hire risk bonds because returns aren't high enough on safer. INVESTMENTS INVESTMENTS SAYS University of Portland Finance Professor Bryan Adams. They need to earn five six seven percent to be able to do that. They gotta find riskier debt. Now now this rise in low grade corporate debt could be dangerous if companies start to see sales fall and cash flow decline says Mark Zandi at Moody's John Olympics. Do they pay on their debt. Start to pull back on their hiring vestment that were exacerbate the economic downturn similar to how risky mortgage debt contributed attributed to the financial crisis a decade ago. I'm Mitchell Hartman for

Mitchell Hartman Jay Powell Chris Zeffirelli FED Salaam Mark Zandi Bryan Adams University Of Portland John Olympics Advisor Nike
"mark zandi" Discussed on KOMO

KOMO

03:53 min | 2 years ago

"mark zandi" Discussed on KOMO

"Following these stories with Taylor and size of the editor's desk I'm Tom hello thanks for joining us this morning as we bring you these headlines the Supreme Court temporarily blocking a subpoena for president trump's tax returns the subpoena to trump's accountants came from the house oversight committee the High Court action erases a mid week deadline for submission of the taxes which was ordered by the lower courts president trump claims will strongly consider submitting written testimony in the house impeachment investigation he tweeted that he did nothing wrong and is thinking about written testimony in order to get Congress focused again he also called the impeachment investigation a no due process hoax it was a working weekend for lawmakers in the impeachment inquiry their testimony Saturday from mark sandy he's a career White House official the former office of management and budget director with more on this and what we can expect this week as the impeachment inquiry ramps up again ABC's and as delicate in Washington hello as good morning Tom yeah for mark Zandi who is a career White House official and who works for the office of management and budget he got the fight behind closed doors for five hours in his deposition market a a key turning point in the investigation and that he was the first OMB officials who testified before the house committee leading the impeachment inquiry up until now as the official working for the White House for the O. M. V. had been ordered by the White House not to cooperate with the how the impeachment inquiry and the end and we should mention that you see and he was in fact the P. nod but he was the first to to work for the and the few testified before the house committee the napkin portent because how the market had been trying to paint the picture that aid to Ukraine was withheld for political purposes the one B. is that office that's in charge of you know putting that who that was in charge of ordering that hold up putting that hold in place and the house Democrats want to know why that aid was it helps it said today that we make the case that it would that help the political purpose said that the added tried to get the mark Zandi what he knew about why the eight with with how they know that sandy testified that it was unusual for the aged to be held up but that he did not know why it was being held up okay now we have more where this is coming up sorry tomorrow including a couple of pretty key witnesses to be questioned we have a number a total of eight definitions I believe a week all out in the open the most interesting will be from Gordon Sonnen II you ambassador who I we found out last week from bill peeler the top US diplomat in Ukraine he talked about the phone call that he had found out about recently a phone call that took place between Gordon Thawne then end up president trump during which the president trump allegedly asked about investigations Gordon bombing had not gone into detail with regards to that phone call he had mentioned during his prior depositions that he had been in talks with the president but he hadn't specifically that I was on the phone call during what president trump mention investigation the lawmakers are gonna want to know more from him about what the president actually said and why Gordon Solomon did not talk about that when he comes by behind closed doors on that if someone who had already had to review his deposition claiming that others seeing what other witnesses that that the fight had refresh his memory so we'll see if if you make that same argument again this time around should be very interesting week thanks for bringing it up for us we've got it as delicate in Washington DC from ABC news and in the meantime their pizza jumps to the top of the polls in Iowa the latest CNN devoid register poll shows south bend mayor Pete booted judge now the leading choice among democratic caucus goers in Iowa with twenty five percent support up sixteen percent from just two months ago it's extremely encouraging you know we have obviously we we have felt a lot of momentum on the ground senator Elizabeth Warren the previous leader is at sixteen percent former vice president Joe Biden and senator Bernie Sanders both with fifteen percent the Iowa caucuses will be held February third Brian pearl ABC news.

White House official Mark Sandy testifies in closed-door impeachment hearing

The Beat

00:16 sec | 2 years ago

White House official Mark Sandy testifies in closed-door impeachment hearing

"House impeachment investigators are hearing from White House budget official in closed door testimony at the capitol mark Zandi the first official from the office of management and budget to defy president trump's instructions not to testify like other witnesses in the investigation sandy was expected to receive a congressional

Official Donald Trump Sandy White House Mark Zandi President Trump
"mark zandi" Discussed on 790 KABC

790 KABC

02:13 min | 2 years ago

"mark zandi" Discussed on 790 KABC

"In an opinion see here on the dell Wamsley radio show are those of the host del Wamsley his gas and is collars and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of this station its affiliates its management ABC Los Angeles Orange County sixty two Los Angeles impeachment probe military pardons I'm in Kate's a White House budget official has finished testifying behind closed doors today on Capitol Hill as part of the impeachment inquiry corresponded Kristen Holmes reports mark Zandi was expected to discuss president trump's decision to put military funding to Ukraine on hold this is not somebody who is appointed by the president this is somebody who has worked for both Democrats and Republicans and despite the fact that these investigators have tried to get information as to what this process look like when the aid was being withheld they really haven't gotten any traction here anyone that they reached out to has defied subpoenas that's where sandy comes and he showed up and they're hoping to get some answers on whether or not there were any red flags in the OMB president trump has pardon to US military members and reinstated the rank of a third with all three accused of war crimes correspondent Ryan Braun in doing so he over ruled the advice of his senior military commanders and defense officials who are worried that this decision could have a negative impact on good order and discipline as well as potentially undermine the UCMJ that's the uniform code of military justice system however the White House saying that president trump as commander in chief has every right to make these types of decisions president trump meanwhile is at Walter Reed Medical Center this afternoon for what the White House says our medical tests as part of his annual physical rank and file employees for a major automaker have okayed the deal members of the United auto workers union at Ford Motor Company have voted to approve a new contract with the company the union said in a statement that fifty six point three percent of workers who voted were in favor of the deal the four year contract reach October thirty first gives workers a mix of pay raises and lump sum payments as well as a nine thousand dollar ratification bonus the deal similar to one ratified by General Motors workers after a forty day strike I'm John pop I'm in Kate's.

Walter Reed Medical Center General Motors OMB White House Los Angeles Los Angeles Orange County ABC dell John pop Ford Motor Company United auto workers union Wamsley Ryan Braun US sandy president Ukraine
House impeachment investigators hold closed hearing with White House budget official

Weekend Edition Saturday

00:56 sec | 2 years ago

House impeachment investigators hold closed hearing with White House budget official

"On Capitol Hill house impeachment investigators are holding a closed door hearing with a White House budget official and pears Windsor Johnston reports they're seeking answers about why congressionally approved military aid for Ukraine was held up mark Zandi would be the first employee of the White House office of management and budget to cooperate with house investigators congressional Democrats had requested testimony from other when the staffers but they all declined to appear citing orders from the White House counsel's office sandy is expected to be questioned about the agency's role in withholding nearly four hundred million dollars in military aid to Ukraine president trump is accused of using that aid as leverage to press the Ukrainian leader to investigate a political rival the house will resume public hearings in its investigation on Tuesday winter Johnston NPR news

Official Windsor Johnston Ukraine Donald Trump White House Mark Zandi President Trump NPR Four Hundred Million Dollars
"mark zandi" Discussed on KTRH

KTRH

01:38 min | 2 years ago

"mark zandi" Discussed on KTRH

"Yates she was the acting Attorney General so remember sessions and re use themselves so transpired Sally Yates because Sally Yates he instructed the justice department not to defend trump's executive order the travel ban it was a temporary ban on the admission of refugee is barred travel from terrorist hot beds Sally Yates told the justice department to ignore the president so trump candor fired her mark Zandi what is cheering on Sally Yates cheering on an executive branch employees for refusing to carry out a lawful presidential order however this guy is called for a did not stop there in may of two thousand seventeen mark Zandi tweeted the Johnson agency sixty eight Nixon nineteen seventy three Clinton nineteen ninety eight impeachment hearings next up trump then in June of two thousand seventeen he tweeted forty five years and now we might be recalling stories regarding the impeachment of Donald Trump I'll be old but it'll be worth the wait in July two thousand seventeen mark Zandi tweeted I project CNN will play a key role in Donald Trump not finishing out his full term as president and now this goes.

acting Attorney General justice department president mark Zandi Nixon Donald Trump CNN executive Sally Yates Johnson Clinton forty five years
"mark zandi" Discussed on Newsradio 970 WFLA

Newsradio 970 WFLA

03:24 min | 2 years ago

"mark zandi" Discussed on Newsradio 970 WFLA

"Noise of the trumpet just fired Sally Yates she was the acting Attorney General members sessions and Rick kills themselves so transpired Sally Yates because Sally Yates instructed the justice department not to defend trump's executive order the travel ban it was a temporary ban on the admission of refugee is barred travel from terrorist hot beds Sally Yates told the justice department doing nor the president so trump candor fired her mark Zandi what is cheering on Sally Yates cheering on an executive branch employees for refusing to carry out a lawful presidential order however this guy is called for a did not stop there in may of two thousand seventeen mark Zandi tweeted the Johnson agency sixty eight Nixon nineteen seventy three Clinton nineteen ninety eight impeachment hearings next up trump then in June of two thousand seventeen he tweeted forty five years and now we might be recalling stories regarding the impeachment of Donald Trump I'll be old but it'll be worth the wait in July of two thousand seventeen mark Zandi tweeted I project CNN will play a key role in Donald Trump not finishing out his full term as president and now this goes all out there's nothing to see here and I will simply reflecting on what the millions of patriots we're we're we're we're reacting to a while we saw one abomination drum was I never heard of our exam before this is the classic illustration of deep state park I never heard of this guy but everybody in Washington apparently knows we as a friend of mine all yeah this guy is well known rush she's haven trump since before trump ran for president guys I never Tropper maybe the head of the club any magically ends up as the war you're for the so called whistle blower July two thousand seventeen I predict see Erin and will play a key role in Donald Trump not finishing out imagine if we had known this back them just imagine how the landscape would have changed again fox we did not we just didn't have this back up what we know what they were doing we know there was no trump Russia collusion there was no Russian meddling in the election I didn't change the outcome of anything there's another tweet later in July two thousand seventeen mark Zandi we will get rid of him and this country strong enough to survive even him and his supporters note that in this tweet mark Zandi included the you in his hatred he hates trump and he hates you US and this is exactly the point that.

Sally Yates Rick justice department president mark Zandi Nixon Donald Trump CNN Washington Erin executive Johnson Clinton fox Russia forty five years
"mark zandi" Discussed on 106.1 FM WTKK

106.1 FM WTKK

01:33 min | 2 years ago

"mark zandi" Discussed on 106.1 FM WTKK

"An expert at play by play of the news and meeting surpassing all Rush Limbaugh the network okay so there's a little bit more to this mark is that guy who is the whistle blower lawyer hello acknowledge that eight co overturn name presidential election being jammed one week after actually it began the day they met began during the transition it began with land it began with a hole in it all of this began probably even before the election if you want a true that was struck strong smirk and Lisa page with their with their rob plan B. insurance policy mark Zandi tweeted on January thirtieth two thousand seventeen a cool hand started first of many steps impeachment will follow ultimately he also tweeted co has started as one falls to more will take their place AS one falls to more will take her but what was he talking about there I'll tell you what he was talking mark Zandi was responding to the noise of the trumpet just fired Sally Yates she was the acting Attorney General remember first sessions and Rick kills themselves so.

Limbaugh mark Zandi Sally Yates Rick Lisa one week
It’s a Big Week for Economic News, With Implications for the 2020 Race

Morning Edition

03:19 min | 2 years ago

It’s a Big Week for Economic News, With Implications for the 2020 Race

"President trump is counting on a strong economy to help him win another term but new numbers due out from the commerce department this morning are expected to show the economy lost steam during the summer and early fall here's an here Scott Horsley weak economic growth in the third quarter follows a sluggish second quarter when the economy grew at an annual pace of just two percent at this point it would take an economic miracle to achieve the three point two percent growth rate for the full year predicted in the president's budget we won't get a three plus percent growth rate for the that's not going to happen chief economist Diane Szwarc of grand Thorton says third quarter growth was hobbled in part by temporary factors including the strike at General Motors and the continued grounding of Boeing seven thirty seven MAX jets but the slowdown also reflects a steady decline in business investment the GOP tax cut was supposed to promote a surgeon business spending and the White House promised that would supercharge you canonic growth but swung says many businesses have grown skittish in the face of weak demand overseas and the president's trade war the uncertainty tax that we're paying with regard to trade businesses don't know where to place your bets don't know where to invest when they don't know where the next terrorist are gonna come from and so that's been one of the biggest waits on the US economy despite the flashing warning signs the president continues to boast about the economy telling reporters during a cabinet meeting last week it's his ticket to a second term I have the strongest economy ever it's the economy stupid right at the strongest economy in the history of our country to be sure the nation's unemployment rate is near a fifty year low and as trump noted earlier this week the S. and P. five hundred stock index just hit an all time high does anybody have a four one K. that's everybody other presidents have been wary of hitching their political fortunes to a volatile stock market but economist mark Zandi says trump shows no such reservations the only focus is what mark up but nonetheless he's got its finger on something the market matters a lot it's the real time broader of how the economy is doing and people perceive it that way sandy Dennis colleagues at moody's analytics have built a model that uses a variety of economic indicators including the stock market household income unemployment and gasoline prices to help predict the outcome of next year's presidential race for now then he says the economy is working in trump's favor if the economy is performing a year from now roughly like it is today in his approval rating is roughly the same and of course if turnout is typical then they given the economics he will win he will win the presidency twenty twenty sandy says that could change though if the economic slowdown triggers a drop in the stock market or a jump in unemployment a spike in voter turnout could also help Democrats especially the key battlegrounds of Michigan Wisconsin and Pennsylvania sandy notes all three of those states have a lot of factories and farms businesses in the cross hairs of the president's trade war those are the industries are actually suffering the most right now so ironically the president's trade war is doing the most damage to the economies of those states that will matter most to his reelection bid if transposing attention that sandy thinks the president will find a face saving way to avoid escalating the trade war if not he says drums own

Donald Trump President Trump Two Percent Fifty Year Four One K
"mark zandi" Discussed on WMAL 630AM

WMAL 630AM

04:22 min | 2 years ago

"mark zandi" Discussed on WMAL 630AM

"Live by Twitter and you're gonna die by Twitter and here's a classic illustration Twitter is now become the standard for the general public at large journalists because they're lazy just look for random entries on Twitter doesn't matter whose they are and if they fit the agenda they are included in the story as representative of public opinion and so the Democrats think that Twitter is basically loaded with their supporters sold waiter represents a majority of America and all of a sudden they're in panic because last night conversations about Pocahontas were eighty five point six percent negative about Biden were ninety four point six percent negative Bradley holding tweeting is out of this is Democrat this is this is bad this is bad no this is panic city this is the exact opposite of what everybody was expecting to do happen and then all the while that was going on you ever heard of a guy I'm sure you have a mention his name mark exam the mark Zandi C. A. N. D. eyes at movies mark Zandi is a prognosticator of some repute moody's financial services any any number of analytics and data analytics and ends sandy is a well known leftist pro Democrat out the was and he is panicked because this guy is sandy and his firm Modise they have models that they use to forecast and predict presidential elections three of them and then none of them have been wrong since nineteen eighty all of mark Zandi is formulas that he uses to print it presidential elections have been dead on accurate since nineteen eighty and according to these very models trump appears likely to win reelection next year according to three different economic models that movies uses to measure presidential contest motor uses only missed one presidential elections since nineteen eighty sorry they missed one they found that the trump will easily beat his three hundred to four electoral vote total in two thousand sixteen the three different models showed trump winning either two hundred eighty nine electoral votes you need two hundred seventy three hundred thirty two electoral votes or three hundred fifty one electoral votes the projections are based on how consumers feel about their own financial situations stock market gains achieved under trump and the prospects for unemployment those are the three models and all three of them only one time have been wrong since nineteen eighty and they are now forecasting trump they win either two hundred eighty nine three hundred and thirty two or three hundred and fifty one electoral votes on top of that hello she says no formal vote on impeachment that has what a lot of air out of that fire and I told you there wasn't going to be one I've been saying from the get go that she would not commit them to a formal impeachment process it isn't going to happen Hey I want now has announced that they are going to endorse crazy Bernie Alexander okay so Cortez and the squad will be showing up a crazy Bernie's rally over the weekend on Saturday what do you think that's about well it's not is is it's about they love Bernie he's the ardens old socialist in the group but it's also about moving Elizabeth Warren to the left they don't want anybody on the Democrat side moving to the center they're not gonna let it happen and as such they're gonna make this movie's projection come true whichever which way they go gonna take a break we're just getting humming just getting warmed up play by play of the news will continue right after this use.

"mark zandi" Discussed on NewsRadio KFBK

NewsRadio KFBK

03:29 min | 2 years ago

"mark zandi" Discussed on NewsRadio KFBK

"Bad does it no this is panic city this is the exact opposite of what everybody was expecting to do happen and then all the while that was going on you ever heard of the guy I'm sure you have a mention his name mark Zandi mark Zandi C. A. N. D. eyes at movies mark Zandi is a prognosticator of some repute moody's financial services any any number of analytics and data analytics and ends sandy is a well known leftist pro Democrat out the was and he is panicked because this guy is sandy and his firm Modise they have models that they use to forecast and predict presidential elections three of them and then none of them have been wrong since nineteen eighty all of mark Zandi is formulas their users to bring Dick presidential elections have been dead on accurate since nineteen eighty according to these very models trump appears likely to win reelection next year according to three different economic models that moody's uses the measure presidential contest motor uses only missed one presidential elections since nineteen eighty sorry they missed one they found that the trump will easily beat his three hundred and four electoral vote total in two thousand sixteen the three different models showed trump winning either two hundred eighty nine electoral votes you need two hundred seventy three hundred thirty two electoral votes or three hundred fifty one electoral votes the projections are based on how consumers feel about their own financial situations stock market gains achieved under trump and the prospects for unemployment those are the three models and all three of them only one time have been wrong since nineteen eighty and they are now forecasting trump they win either two hundred eighty nine three hundred and thirty two or three hundred and fifty one electoral votes on top of that hello she says no formal vote on impeachment that has left a lot of air out of the tire and I told you there wasn't going to be one I've been saying from the get go that she would not commit them to a formal impeachment process it isn't going to happen Hey I'm the squad to has announced that they are going to endorse crazy Bernie Alexander okay so Cortez and the squad will be showing up at crazy Bernie's rally over the weekend on Saturday what do you think that's about well it's our is is it's about they love Bernie he's the ardens old socialist in the group but it's also about moving Elizabeth Warren to the left they don't want anybody on the Democrat side moving to the center not gonna let it happen and as such they're gonna make this movie's projection come true whichever which way they go gonna take a break we're just getting humming just getting warmed up play by play of the news will continue right after this.

"mark zandi" Discussed on 710 WOR

710 WOR

03:27 min | 2 years ago

"mark zandi" Discussed on 710 WOR

"This is panic city this is the exact opposite of what everybody was expecting to to happen and then all the while that was going on you ever heard of the guy I'm sure you have a mention his name mark Zandi mark Zandi C. A. N. D. eyes at moody's mark Zandi others a prognosticator of some repute Morty's financial services any any number of analytics and data analytics and ends sandy is a well known leftist pro Democrat out the was and he is panicked because this guy is sandy and his firm Modise they have models that they use to forecast and predict presidential elections three of them and then none of them have been wrong since nineteen eighty all of mark Zandi is formulas their users to print it presidential elections have been dead on accurate since nineteen eighty and according to these very models trump appears likely to win reelection next year according to three different economic models that movies uses to measure presidential contest motor uses only missed one presidential elections since nineteen eighty sorry they missed one they found that the trump will easily beat his three hundred and four electoral vote total in two thousand sixteen the three different models showed trump winning either two hundred eighty nine electoral votes you need two hundred seventy three hundred thirty two electoral votes or three hundred fifty one electoral votes the projections are based on how consumers feel about their own financial situations stock market gains achieved under trump and the prospects for unemployment those are the three models and all three of them only one time have been wrong since nineteen eighty and they are now forecasting trump they win either two hundred eighty nine three hundred and thirty two or three hundred and fifty one electoral votes on top of that hello she says no formal vote on impeachment that has let a lot of air out of the tire and I told you there wasn't going to be one I've been saying from the get go that she would not commit them to a formal impeachment process it isn't going to happen the squad to has announced that they are going to endorse crazy Bernie Alexander okay so Cortez M. the squad will be showing up at crazy Bernie's rally over the weekend on Saturday what do you think that's about well it's our is is it's about they love Bernie he's the ardens old socialist in the group but it's also about moving Elizabeth Warren to the left they don't want anybody on the Democrat side moving to the center are not gonna let it happen and as such they're gonna make this movie's projection come true whichever which way they go gonna take a break we're just getting humming just getting warmed up play by play of the news will continue right.

"mark zandi" Discussed on 600 WREC

600 WREC

04:20 min | 2 years ago

"mark zandi" Discussed on 600 WREC

"Live by Twitter and you're gonna die by Twitter and here's a classic illustration Twitter is now become a standard for the general public at large journalists because they're lazy just look for random entries on Twitter doesn't matter whose they are and if they fit the agenda they are included in the story as representative of public opinion and so the Democrats think that Twitter is basically loaded with their supporters so Twitter represents a majority of America and all of a sudden they're in panic because last night conversations about folk a harness for eighty five point six percent negative about Biden were ninety four point six percent negative Bradley holding tweeting is out this is Democrat this is this is bad this is bad does it no this is panic city this is the exact opposite of what everybody was expecting to to happen and then all the while that was going on you ever heard of the guy I'm sure you have a mention his name mark Zandi mark Zandi C. A. N. D. eyes at movies mark Zandi is a prognosticator of some repute moody's financial services any any number of analytics and data analytics and ends sandy is a well known leftist pro Democrat out the was and he is panicked because this guy is sandy and his firm Modise they have models that they use to forecast and predict presidential elections three of them and then none of them have been wrong since nineteen eighty all of mark Zandi is formulas that he uses to print it presidential elections have been dead on accurate since nineteen eighty and according to these very models trump appears likely to win reelection next year according to three different economic models that movies users to measure presidential contest motor uses only missed one presidential elections since nineteen eighty sorry they missed one they found that the trump will easily beat his three hundred and four electoral vote total in two thousand sixteen the three different models showed trump winning either two hundred eighty nine electoral votes you need two hundred seventy three hundred thirty two electoral votes or three hundred fifty one electoral votes the projections are based on how consumers feel about their own financial situations stock market gains achieved under trump and the prospects for unemployment those are the three models and all three of them only one time have been wrong since nineteen eighty and they are now forecasting trump they win either two hundred eighty nine three hundred and thirty two or three hundred and fifty one electoral votes on top of that hello she says no formal vote on impeachment that has let a lot of air out of the tire and I told you there wasn't going to be one I've been saying from the get go that she would not commit them to a formal impeachment process it isn't going to happen Hey I'm the squad to has announced that they are going to endorse crazy Bernie Alexander they'll cancel Cortez M. the squad will be showing up at crazy Bernie's rally over the weekend on Saturday what do you think that's about well it's our is is it's about they love Bernie he's the ardens old socialist in the group but it's also about moving Elizabeth Warren to the left they don't want anybody on the Democrat side moving to the center are not going to let it happen and as such they're gonna make this movie's projection come true whichever which way they go gonna take a break we're just getting humming just getting warmed up play by play of the news will continue right after.

"mark zandi" Discussed on News Radio 810 WGY

News Radio 810 WGY

04:10 min | 2 years ago

"mark zandi" Discussed on News Radio 810 WGY

"And here's a classic illustration Twitter is now become a stand in for the general public at large journalists because they're lazy just look for random entries on Twitter doesn't matter whose they are and if they fit the agenda they are included in the story as representative of public opinion and so the Democrats think that Twitter is basically loaded with their supporters so Twitter represents a majority of America and all of a sudden they're in panic because last night conversations about Pocahontas were eighty five point six percent negative about Biden were ninety four point six percent negative Bradley Holden tweeting is out this is Democrat this is this is bad this is bad does it all know this is panic city this is the exact opposite of what everybody was expecting to to happen and then all the while that was going on you ever heard of the guy I'm sure you have a mention his name mark Zandi mark Zandi C. A. N. D. I. that movies mark Zandi is a prognosticator of some repute moody's financial services any any number of analytics and data analytics and ends sandy is a well known after just throw Democrats out the was and he is panicked because this guy is sandy and his firm Modise they have models that they use to forecast and predict presidential elections three of them and then none of them have been wrong since nineteen eighty all of mark Zandi is formulas that he uses to predict presidential elections have been dead on accurate since nineteen eighty and according to these very models trump appears likely to win reelection next year according to three different economic models that moody's uses to measure presidential contest motor uses only missed one presidential elections since nineteen eighty sorry they missed one they found that the trump will easily beat his three hundred and four electoral vote total in two thousand sixteen the three different models showed trump winning either two hundred eighty nine electoral votes you need two hundred seventy three hundred thirty two electoral votes or three hundred fifty one electoral votes the projections are based on how consumers feel about their own financial situations stock market gains achieved under trump and the prospects for unemployment those are the three models and all three of them only one time have been wrong since nineteen eighty and they are now forecasting trump they win either two hundred eighty nine three hundred and thirty two or three hundred and fifty one electoral votes on top of that hello she says no formal vote on impeachment that has let a lot of air out of that tire and I told you there wasn't going to be one I've been saying from the get go that she would not commit them to a formal impeachment process it isn't going to happen Hey I'm the squad to has announced that they are going to endorse crazy Bernie Alexander okay so Cortez am the squad will be showing up at crazy Bernie's rally over the weekend on Saturday what do you think that's about well it's our is is it's about they love Bernie he's the ardens old socialist in the group but it's also about moving Elizabeth Warren to the left they don't want anybody on the Democrat side moving to the center not gonna let it happen and as such they're gonna make this movie's projection come true whichever which way they go gonna take a break we're just getting humming just getting warmed up play by play of the news will continue right after this.

"mark zandi" Discussed on WCBM 680 AM

WCBM 680 AM

04:20 min | 2 years ago

"mark zandi" Discussed on WCBM 680 AM

"And here is a classic illustration Twitter is now become a stand in for the general public at large journalists because they're lazy just look for random entries on Twitter doesn't matter whose they are and if they fit the agenda they are included in the story as representative of public opinion and so the Democrats think that Twitter is basically loaded with their supporters sold waiter represents a majority of America and all of a sudden they're in panic because last night conversations about Pocahontas were eighty five point six percent negative about Biden were ninety four point six percent negative Bradley holding tweeting is out of this is Democrat this is this is bad this is bad no this is panic city this is the exact opposite of what everybody was expecting to to happen and then all the while that was going on you ever heard of a guy I'm sure you have a mention his name mark exam the mark Zandi C. A. N. D. eyes at movies mark Zandi is a prognosticator of some repute moody's financial services any any number of analytics and data analytics and ends sandy is a well known over leftist pro Democrat out the was and he is panicked because this guy is sandy and his firm movies they have models that they use to forecast and predict presidential elections three of them and then none of them have been wrong since nineteen eighty all of mark Zandi is formulas then your sister print Dick presidential elections have been dead on accurate since nineteen eighty and according to these very models trump appears likely to win reelection next year according to three different economic models that movies uses to measure presidential contest moody's is only missed one presidential elections since nineteen eighty sorry they missed one they found that the trump will easily beat his three hundred and four electoral vote total in two thousand sixteen the three different models showed trump winning either two hundred eighty nine electoral votes you need two hundred seventy three hundred thirty two electoral votes or three hundred fifty one electoral votes the projections are based on how consumers feel about their own financial situations stock market gains achieved under trump and the prospects for unemployment those are the three models and all three of them only one time and then run since nineteen eighty and they are now forecasting trump they win either two hundred eighty nine three hundred and thirty two or three hundred and fifty one electoral votes on top of that hello she says no formal vote on impeachment that has left a lot of air out of the tire and I told you there wasn't going to be one I've been saying from the get go that she would not commit them to a formal impeachment process it isn't going to happen Hey I'm the squad to has announced that they are going to endorse crazy Bernie Alexander they'll cancel Cortez am the squad will be showing up at crazy Bernie's rally over the weekend on Saturday what do you think that's about well it's our is is it's about they love Bernie he's the ardens old socialist in the group but it's also about moving Elizabeth Warren to the left they don't want anybody on the Democrat side moving to the center are not gonna let it happen and as such they're gonna make this movie's projection come true whichever which way they go gonna take a break we're just getting humming just getting warmed up play by play of the news will continue right after this season show me.

U.S. Deficit Tops $1 Trillion in First 11 Months of Fiscal Year

The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell

09:36 min | 2 years ago

U.S. Deficit Tops $1 Trillion in First 11 Months of Fiscal Year

"Other bad economic news for the trump election campaign president trump's own treasury department has been forced to admit up that the US annual budget deficit is now more than a trillion dollars a year candidate donald trump ran for president promising to completely eliminate the budget deficit by balancing the federal budget every year and then completely eliminate the national debt but in fact president trump has increased the national debt from nineteen billion dollars to twenty two trillion dollars and there are more troubling suggestions of the possibility of a recession hitting before the two thousand twenty election Jeffrey gridlock chief executive officer of double line capital said we should be on recession. Watch before the twenty twenty election good luck doc said Thursday in London. We're getting closer but we're not there yet the odds of a US recession before the election are seventy five percent said good luck and leading off our discussion tonight Mark Zandi chief economist of Moody's analytics as an economic adviser on John McCain's two thousand eight presidential campaign and is currently advising some some of the Democratic presidential candidates on economic issues and also joining US Jonathan Altruism columnist daily beast in MSNBC political analyst jumping covered the economic problems of the two thousand eight presidential campaign President Obama's efforts to bring the country out of recession in his first years Mark Zandi. I want to start start with you and your view of what the job loss what the effects are of the trump trade war. It's doing a lot of damage. I think it's fair to say that manufacturing The act sector the transportation distribution sectors are already in recession and the problems are starting to broaden out. We're seeing job. Growth slow in many parts of the economy slowdown has been very pronounced since this time last year when the trade really got go war guy going in if growth slows any further we're GONNA see unemployment starts to rise and once unemployment starts to rise. That's the fodder for an economic downturn because that spooks people they sense the rising unemployment. If you're open job positions less opportunity smaller pay increases less bonus they I start to pull back a bit on their Spending businesses see that they start point back more on their hiring. You can see Lawrence how you get into that self-reinforcing negative cycle which is a recession so we're not there air yet but the trade wars doing a lot of damage and if the president continues on the current course we'll get there pretty soon and Jonathan. We saw the trump reaching for Ernest gape patch to commemorate the seventieth birthday of a communist dictatorship. He has decided to delay delay his the his tariffs all of which are illegal by the way they are. He is using a clause inside trade law specifically for national security and there's not a single national security element in a Chinese clothes washing machines being imported into the United States or Canadian steel being imported in the United States so forth so these are all illegal tariffs that the market seems to have assumed would go away as soon as they became a political problem but donald trump is still holding onto them well. He's the master of disaster and he's never consistent any issue and traders among them. He just goes back and forth back back and forth the question now is whether he sees his reelection flashing before him and if you look at Mark Zandi numbers he he says nine hundred thousand jobs under the current tariffs. If the new ones kicked in in October it would go over a a million jobs and that's a pretty good talking point for Democratic candidate right plus who ran Barack Obama's successful of two thousand eight presidential campaign urged all aw of the Democratic candidates all of them to us exactly what you just said to us Mark Nelson tonight only one of them right so that they would next year. If if the tariffs continued I think and I don't WanNa make these sorts of predictions about trump because he's so unpredictable but because his reelection is the only thing nobody cares about there are some signs in recent days that he is looking as you said for an escape hatch and so they're going to put this all in reverse but at then puts Xi Jinping Dr Recy- right then he has trump exactly where he wants him and you have another situation where this guy proves used to be a disastrously bad negotiators so he will try to go back to the terms that they had in May when they can't close to having a deal. We'll see see whether Xi Jinping accepts them. He's got his own problems in Hong Kong. He has his own incentives to want a deal and there's some reporting out of China that had you know insiders are saying that he doesn't WanNa see trump lose his temper so he may be trying to placate him so they may have kind of fig relief trade deal to reassure markets mark ward about the Chinese economy and their ability to just hang on for eighteen eighteen months and hope for new president yeah good point and the advantages that Chinese has a and I should say the trade war is doing a lot of damage here. It's doing obviously obviously a lot of damage there. The Chinese economy is struggling but the advantage they have is that they have a lot of room for monetary and fiscal stimulus. They can lower interest rates. They can ramp up infrastructure spending they can cut taxes and they're doing all of the above and they're doing it very rapidly. I mean they don't have you know the problems that we have is democracy to get things done. They just do it and so that's supporting their economy and they're still hitting their targets. you know a lot of questions about the validity of targets but they're you know they're pretty close so so. I think because they have that latitude on monitoring fiscal policy they're gonNA. I think they're gonNA play this. played a little longer game here and I don't think they're going to agree to anything substantive until after the election I mean I just I think they're going to wait and see how the election plays out. Jonathan read just one word in there that I said that I really want to emphasize for the audience. You don't want to get in a trade war with a dictatorship. No one in China China is worried about their their approval ratings in government in this situation. Donald Trump is the one who has political risk. It's but it you know we're not sure whether she wants trump out of there because he's so easy to manipulate that he might WanNa do trump a favor and come up with some kind of a deal because he could have his hands full with President Warren or President Biden or somebody else was not as much of a sap and not as out of his depth in these negotiations and mark there is after all a Republican publican primary now in the states that are allowing. Republicans say allowing a primary elections. I I would expect the other. Republican candidates to be making as much of this is they possibly can and in certain situations in certain states some of them might even get a hearing on the trump trade war then some of the Democrats get yeah good point the irony in all of this at least from a political perspective. The president is that the damage that trade towards is creating is mostly in those parts of the country that have voted very heavily for the president think about that agriculture the farm sector of course presents trying to mitigate the fallout of the trade right were by sixteen billion dollars in aid but that only goes so far and of course manufacturing I mean he was all about manufacturing and this is manufacturing on the front line. China's trade war is starting to it's. It's in recession and starting to lose jobs so I know this is really hurting. The parts of the country that voted for the president in the last election and one thing Jonathan President obviously doesn't understand about agricultural markets is that farmers aren't looking at a four year horizon. They're looking at a lifetime horizon and they're looking at horizon which many of them hope that their children will be running the farm after them that means market's having having a market matters to them much more than getting a government handout because their market has been cut off and wants a market is cut off it means. It's been the source for that. Market's been replaced by some other country right so remember. The farm belt is the only place that trump has shoe supporting seventy five percent in some of these areas so any kind of erosion. There is really damaging to him. Politically and your point is spot on just to go to a quick Carter administration example when the Soviets invaded Afghanistan Carter over Walter Mondale vice-presidents objections imposed a grain embargo drying up roll those Russian markets and farm us sending grain what happened Democrats get killed old for twenty five years and they're still suffering from you can go when people will still be talking about the nineteen eighty grain embargo because it's their livelihood so if you wreck those export markets as you're as you're discussing there can be really long term consequences for Republicans and mark talk

Donald Trump President Trump Jonathan Altruism Mark Zandi United States Barack Obama China Xi Jinping President Warren John Mccain Economic Adviser London Msnbc Moody
ADP: Job creation drops to 9-year low in May

Marketplace with Kai Ryssdal

02:15 min | 3 years ago

ADP: Job creation drops to 9-year low in May

"Arguably the three most relevant letters in this economy. Today are a D N P ADP. That's a company does payroll processing among many other things. It is also, we should tell you an underwriter of this program, but one of the things that does with all that payroll data, it has put out a monthly report on private sector employment. How much of it there is in this morning? We learned that last month, there was less of it than we thought there would be just twenty seven thousand new jobs, last month, a giant drop from the two hundred and seventy five thousand jobs. ADP says we added in April. Now one data point does not panic warrant so bear that in mind. But one big reason for the weakness was small businesses companies with less than nineteen employees. So a drop in employment. So what is going on with the little guys? Marketplace's Tracey Samuelson gets. Is going Nick given our open the sandwich king in Long Island city, queens, this past January sandwiches. Yes, plus some hot foods and catering. He has about five employee's. And he take another one or two, if he could find them hard for good workers at a way, that is fair for both people. He starts new employees around fourteen or fifteen dollars an hour. It's hard to compete with somebody that's offering nineteen dollars if you're just a deli, you know what I mean. How do you put that into your payroll? How'd you fit that into your budget symbolical in a tight labor market, where companies have to increasingly fight for workers, small businesses are losing the battle, Mark Zandi the chief economist at Moody's analytics, which puts together, these payroll reports for ADP small businesses, or distinct disadvantage, relative to the big guys. Because the big guys have lots of resources, they can raise wages. They can provide other benefits and attract workers, small companies just don't have the ability to keep up and they're not this smaller the small business. The harder. The hiring companies with more than twenty employees are out competing those with fewer says Jim Diffley, he's with IHS market, which also track small business hiring. Matters here, intense track workers and influence of this tight labor market is having says, in addition to higher wages and better benefits workers may also prefer the stability of bigger companies in New York. I'm Tracey Samuelson for marketplace

ADP Tracey Samuelson Jim Diffley New York Queens Chief Economist Mark Zandi Long Island Nick Moody Nineteen Dollars Fifteen Dollars
The costs of living in an oil-based economy

Marketplace with Kai Ryssdal

02:40 min | 3 years ago

The costs of living in an oil-based economy

"The number of the day. This Thursday is seventy five it's denominated in US dollars and is the price above which the global. Crude oil benchmark Brent North Sea. It's called it hit that price in trading today. Settle just tattoo lower but seventy five dollars a barrel. Ain't nothing to sneeze at while being cautious about cause and effect declarations here as we always are some Russian. Oil exports were suspended today in the titan of US sanctions on Iran are as you've heard here and elsewhere imminent, the ultimate aim of which is to take Iranian oil completely out of the global market now one days fluctuations do not news make but the trend is clearly up since the beginning of the year when Brent was gone for about fifty three dollars a barrel. You've seen it at the pump. I'm sure, but if this trend keeps up a whole lot of other stuff is going to start getting more expensive too. To marketplace's Mitchell. Hartman has our occasional reminder of exactly what it means to live in an oil based economy oil is everywhere in this economy. There's the price we pay at the pump. Sure. But there's also everything that higher transportation fuel costs feed into says university of Houston economist at hearse postal service UPS Coca-Cola the beer distributors. They don't fill out and drive less. Simply professor price of fuel has gone up. We're going to see that in increased cost at the grocery store and delivery services and oil is an important raw material for industries whose products we all by a lot of says, Mark Zandi at Moody's analytics, plastics chemicals textiles fabricated metals. The broader effect on inflation is still small because some of those costs businesses. They don't pass them all the way through to consumers that's partly because companies can deal with oil price. Fluctuations says Jacob. Guard at the Peterson institute, they know this drill. Geopolitical crisis oil spikes, something else happens. Oil falls industrial users of oil airlines, do the same thing I should add they tend to be hedged. They'd know how much oil they need to they can buy, you know, three four five years in advance. And of course, rising oil prices are good for some players in the US economy. Remember, we're now the world's biggest oil producer Stuart Glickman at CF are a research says from west Texas to North Dakota. They love crude at sixty or seventy a barrel. If you're a producer, you want prices to be higher, but you don't wanna going so high people start driving and kills the man, and we have seen that in the past like back in two thousand eight when crude oil hit one Forty-five a barrel.

United States Stuart Glickman Brent North Sea Mark Zandi Peterson Institute University Of Houston Jacob Hartman Brent Moody Producer Professor North Dakota Iran CF
We might not be headed for recession after all

Marketplace with Kai Ryssdal

02:20 min | 3 years ago

We might not be headed for recession after all

"We begin on this Tuesday with a stipulation and a caveat. The stipulation is that economic predictions can bring great peril to the one doing the predicting. There are a whole lot of unknown. Unknowns out there to get all Rumsfeld in on you hear the caveat, though, is that if you read enough tea leaves for long enough, you can get a pretty good sense of where things might be heading might being the operational phrase, which gets us at long last to the point. There has been in this economy much talk in the last six months, maybe a year issue of recession sooner rather than later to the stock market. You remember had a case of the willies retail sales were slipping trade wars, and Brexit, you know, the drill. Well, things might be changing. Marketplace Megan McCarthy Corinna took the pulse of the economic outlook today to see whether there might be. Reason for optimism the economist I talked to weren't exactly excited about the state of the economy when I asked them how it's going. Okay. Not too bad. Yeah. No. I mean, we're not heading into the abyss. That's not fantastic. But it's very far from a recession. That's an improvement. Right. Mark Zandi chief economist with Moody's analytics who we heard I says the economy is looking better job numbers are strong consumer spending his bounced back and wages arising. They looked a lot more fragile started year than it does today. So I do think recession risks have but imminent recession risks have faded. So no imminent risks. It's helps that China's economy is also doing better than expected despite the disruption of the trade war says Cornell economist S, four Persad speaking here about China. The economy's not quite fighting on all cylinders, but at least the slowdown seems to have been averted to some extent, but there's still a lot of uncertainty. Elsewhere in the world says Michael Pearce with capital economics the abyss guy. Still got some pretty pretty strong headwinds to the economy this year, he points to economic vulnerabilities like Brexit and the potential for yet another government shutdown over budget clashes peers expects economic growth to continue to weaken certainly below the level. We saw after last year's tax cuts but dean Baker with the center for economic and policy. Research says that's not such a bad place to be good growth rate. We had two thousand twelve to two thousand seventeen so not great not this for now somewhere in between.

Brexit China Megan Mccarthy Corinna Chief Economist Dean Baker Rumsfeld Mark Zandi Michael Pearce Moody Cornell Persad Six Months
"mark zandi" Discussed on News 96.5 WDBO

News 96.5 WDBO

01:34 min | 3 years ago

"mark zandi" Discussed on News 96.5 WDBO

"Thousands of people, and it's the first time really in decades, this is taking place, and they should've taken place along. And it hasn't. But I don't think he's going to close the border. The numbers are pretty staggering. Mark Zandi communists, said would push both Mexico and the US into recession. I did not know this but daily basis there are one point seven billion dollars worth of goods flowing back and forth. Daily. Let alone the people they say the auto industry were so dependent on Mexico because of their manufacturing and back and forth. The auto industry will be crippled within a week. Now, we could do a limited closure of the border. And we know how to do it. But I just don't think the president wants to do. And there's a big push on the right? Not to do it, including from Mitch McConnell. Same Mitch McConnell to convince the president not to do a healthcare plan before twenty twenty. We come back. We'll take some more calls. Find out. There's more to know. And also go into some more of the other things making news today, including this whole application scandal into these colleges with these famous and rich families paying their way. In by falsifies him falsifying applications grades and having somebody take SAT's and ACT's. Well, it turns out Lori Loughlin is going to trial excuse me. He's going to court today with our husband where does this go? This is the Brian Kilmeade, you Brian Kilmeade. Alert from the state security triple team traffic.

Mitch McConnell Lori Loughlin president Brian Kilmeade Mexico Mark Zandi ACT US seven billion dollars
"mark zandi" Discussed on KQED Radio

KQED Radio

06:03 min | 3 years ago

"mark zandi" Discussed on KQED Radio

"What is driving surprisingly strong growth in US jobs. How water rights have become a flash point between ranchers and environmentalists marshalls and David Brooks. Analyze the latest news on the shutdown and a violinist brings the symphony to the homeless population, Los Angeles. It has been a big day a week with economic news. That is leads to some wild swings in the financial markets today. Alone was full of news about jobs, the fed interest rates, China and a big jump on stock exchanges. I'm gonna vase speaks with someone who will try to explain what it all adds up to stocks did surge on that very strong jobs report and the comments by Federal Reserve chairman Jay Powell, the economy added more than two point six million jobs in two thousand eighteen that makes it the third best year for job growth since the recession. Dating back to two thousand only twenty fourteen in two thousand fifteen were higher. We dive into all of this with Mark Zandi chief economist at Moody's analytics Mark Zandi, welcome back to the news hour. So you heard earlier three hundred twelve thousand new jobs added in December. This all good news in this report. It's pretty good news. Yeah. That's a lot of jobs. We also got upward revisions to previous months, and perhaps the best news. Is wage growth wage growth, accelerated in we're seeing the strongest wage gains in over a decade. So this report had nothing, but good news in it. We at the same time saw unemployment tick up just slightly right to three point nine percents. How do you do that in? Well, that's only because we saw a lot of people come into the workforce looking for work. They they know that there are a lot of job opportunities. In fact, there's a record number of open job positions today and wage wages are up. So it's a good time to go out there and look for a job. So when you have more people looking for work that pushes the unemployment rate up so rose, but it rose for the right reasons. So, you know, there are all these lingering concerns over the last few months concerns about trade tensions interest rates going up could slow the economy down does this last report, quiet, those fears. No, those are still very much fears, and I do think there's some red flags. The president's trade war is certainly doing economic damage China rest of the globe in it's reverberating back on us the government shutdown if that goes on that's gonna. Be an issue all the political discord in Washington at some point. I think we'll be a problem for the job market. And of course, those tax cuts we got last year the benefits of that are now starting to fade. And so we are going to see slower growth going going forward in. There are a significant number of risks out there. So let me ask you about something we heard from the Federal Reserve chairman earlier today, he said that he's going to be patient with another interest rate hike. What do you think that kind of language what effect will that have in the immediate future? Well, it had a big effect today. Right. So the stock market was way update in part because of the strong job numbers because it dispels a fear that we're going to be in a recession anytime soon, but we also got these comments from fed chair Powell. And basically what he's telling industrials is look if the economy is really going to weaken here, I'm not on autopilot. I'm not gonna keep raising interest rates stop raising interest rates. And of course, that's music to investor's ears. And that's why stock prices rose. So it's already had some benefit. And so the fed chair. Is really focused on making sure that stock investors don't lose faith in causes economy. Get into a self-fulfilling prophecy where stock investors take the economy down. I gotta ask you about something else. He said, you know, he did respond basically to repeated criticism from the president himself. And he said he would not resign. Even if the president asked him to do we have any indication that there was any political pressure at all for fed chairman Paul to say, he's going to be patient with rate hikes to come out and say something so expressly about his potential resignation. No, I don't I don't see that. At all. I mean, of course, the president's comments in his threats to fire. The fed chair are very counterproductive, you know, a pillar of a well-functioning independent central Bank. This is something that we've learned from time immemorial and for the president to attack the fed chair in this way is really. Not in anyone's best interests. So I don't think the future is going to be swayed by these comments. Anyway, that's basically the message. He was sending you say, look, I if the president asked me to resign. I'm not doing it. He's he's stating his independence. You know? We talked about this earlier in the week. But I want to put it in the context of our conversation today, and that's the focus on apple and what we saw from them. They sparked concerns right by downgrading their revenue estimates, and it looks like this once unshakable giant was shaken by those same troubles in China is that indicative to you of something else. Something broader could happen across the markets or is apple its own case. Well, no, this is to that one of those red flags. That's the president's trade words, it really is doing damage, and it's you know, apple is the iconic American company apple said that its earnings were hurt because of poor sales in China. And of course, China's struggling because of this trade were so, you know, here's the thing the US economy and the Chinese economy were tethered at the hip, so if the Chinese. Economy struggles, we struggle, and you can see that with with Apple's earnings apple all of large multinational corporations United States do big business in China in the rest of the world. And if China's struggling we're going to struggle, so Apple's problems symptomatic of of the ill effects of this ill-timed, and you'll conceive trade war are I to watch moving forward than in the markets. Mark Zandi from Moody's analytics, thanks for your time. Thanks so much. Tension between ranchers and.

president China Federal Reserve apple chairman Mark Zandi United States Jay Powell David Brooks Los Angeles Moody government Washington