16 Burst results for "Louis Lukens"
"louis lukens" Discussed on Monocle 24: The Briefing
"The former world champion who's known as pacman to his fans is the first politician in the country to register to stand in next year's hotly contested poll and the uk bank virgin money is closing thirty one of its branches in scotland and northern england. The news comes after a year. In which many of the country's largest banks have sought to decrease bricks and mortar presence. You can read all take on it by heading to monaco dot com forward slash minute. Those are the day's headlines back to you chris. Thank you very much. Emma now as emma just told us there joe biden has signed a temporary measure to avoid. What would have been the first federal shutdown of his presidency and keep the government funded until the end of the year. The move means that federal museums national parks can happily stay open. An aid programs can continue to flow. But that is hardly the end of the story. Congress remains deadlocked over extending the country's debt ceiling which is being blocked by republicans and biden also has had less luck with passing his own one trillion dollar infrastructure plan. This one's been delayed by his own party one more time. Thanks to infighting. Here's what house speaker nancy. Pelosi had to say about the latest setback. We cannot really guarantee what i'd hoped and terms of having a more legislative form but nonetheless the framework that if it's okay with the president of the united states who has this vision for our country has told you before he said. I wanted to work on the bipartisan bill for infrastructure. But i will not complying my vision for america to what is in there. We have to build back better. That was house speaker nancy. Pelosi let's get more on this with louis. Lukens lewis a former. Us diplomat and he's now a senior partner at the consultancy signal global. lou. I mean there's there is so much to unpack here this week. Let's start with the government shutdown side. How much of a sigh of relief is this really. That biden was able to sign this bill. It only delays the issue to december. Doesn't it well exactly crispin. I think there is definitely a sigh of release. Relief is one less issue that the democrats have to deal with in the coming weeks but it is. It does just kick the kick the ball down the road to december and my sense is that it'll be harder to pass another continuing resolution in december that republicans and democrats have got real differences in how they want to fund the government and i think the republicans were willing to go along with continuing resolution this time but i think they're gonna play tougher in december. Well it gets tiring. Frankly so i always talk about. This feels like so many governments and so many congresses have dealt with this but i also wanted to ask i mean goes even further this time because looming in the background once again also this debt ceiling this arbitrary issue in the us that basically means congress has to sign a bill allowing the government to just borrow any more money. I mean tell us about that. One and the economic impact that these kinds of fights could have well. The ceiling is is a really serious issue. Administer crazy law and the the money that we're talking about raising the debt is to meet obligations that congress has already made resident pass budgets in the past. They've agreed the spending amounts. We've we've reached the limit because congress has approved so much spending and now congress is fighting about whether the us will meet us out the gatien's to these past commitments and it's always been resolved in a bipartisan manner. Eventually but this time the republicans are really playing hard. And they're saying no we will not vote. They're twisting what it is they're saying we're not gonna vote so the democrats can raise the debt limit to at all the spending because it really is for pass spending much of which was accrued under republican administrations. But it is a serious issue. And if it's not address in debt ceiling not lifted in roughly the next two and a half to three four weeks the united states will start to default on his obligations and it sends a terrible message to the markets. the some analysts. Say up to six million people could lose jobs. You know huge value wiped off the stock market. It is something that needs to be taken really seriously. I'm not sure that the democrats have really focused at at the leadership level on how they're gonna solve this issue of the next two and a half weeks for. Can i ask you one thing that i mean in terms of solving the issue. The one thing that's always fascinating about the internal politics in the us. Is that democrats could solve the issue. Also by by just ending some of the arcane rules in the senate say the filibuster and things like that Which sort of stop them from passing laws with just fifty votes in the one hundred members senate. Is there any chance that that's the kind of thing that might just have to end now. Given given just how deadlocked congress is on these really serious economic issues. There's a lot of pressure on the senate to get rid of the filibuster but there are a couple of moderate senators in the senate who who are varies adamant that they will not consider getting rid of the filibuster and you need all fifty democrats to vote to do that. So there's a handful. I mean joe. Manchin of west virginia and kristen cinema of arizona or the most outspoken but there are a couple of others that are sort of happy to hide behind those two who are very uncomfortable with the notion of getting rid of the filibuster so for now i mean they can democrats can deal with the debt ceiling Using budget reconciliation. Which is a process that allows them to pass a budget related law with only fifty votes. But that's a tricky procedure for them and they are furious they are. You can't overestimate the anger that the democrats have that. The republicans are not playing ball on this issue. So real anger at republicans there. But but also there's there's real infighting within the democrats..
"louis lukens" Discussed on Monocle 24: The Briefing
"Me. Tell me towards. Us president joe biden has held a lengthy phone conversation with his chinese counterpart xi jinping the first time the leaders from the world's most powerful countries have talked in seven months. A white house statement said both men had discussed. The responsibility of both nations to ensure competition does not veer into conflicts. Let's get more on this now with former. Us diplomat. Louis lukens lose now. A senior partner at the consultancy cigna global. Good afternoon to you lou and tell us this phone call after a hiatus does he represent a real meaningful breakthrough in your view. Hey tom i think it's too early to tell. If this is a meaningful breakthrough. But i think it is significant. As you mentioned there was a quite a height as they hadn't spoken the two leaders for seven months and this book for ninety minutes yesterday which include interpretation that that's forty five minutes of substantive discussion so it's meaningful in the sense that it's important. The leaders of these two countries communicate and talk and try to find areas that they can cooperate and work together. And that's what joe biden has been trying to. Do i think so whether this results in a ratcheting down of tension. I think remains to be seen. But it's certainly a step in the right direction and i'm interested in how much lou and your view the relationship between the two superpowers continues to be governed by. I don't know what exactly what simple political expediency in the end is. There's too much at stake. And there's too much jeopardy for them to do anything other than maintain a a basic level of of civility of discourse Do you think that's the case or is that still looking a little rose-tinted because we've seen real flashpoints. Haven't we over the last eighteen months two years or so there have been flashpoints. There will continue to be flashpoints. I think maybe a little bit optimistic to think that that both nations in both leaders will put aside any animosity in and work together for the common good. I mean joe biden has been very clear all along that he sees china is united states greatest global competitor and anomaly that china is is a us largest competitor or most important significant competitor. But also that the chinese government represents very very different values from what joe biden believes in so for him. This is a strategic global and values based competition. So he will want to sort of find areas that we can work together whether it's tackling the pandemic or climate change but he's not going to sort of roll over and and and sort of give up on his values in an effort to become friendly with china. What's at that point values lou and i'm interested in your sort of personal reading on this you have. I think i'm right in saying firsthand experience earlier. Posting of course Working working in in china. How does it actually work given that clash if you like or the difference the variation in value set. How do you ensure that you do good diplomacy then well. It's exactly what i think. Joe biden is trying to carve out areas where you can work together and i think both leaders and if you look at the readouts of the phone calls from the two governments. They're both fairly open about the fact that there remained areas of divergence but they're also both sides have an interest in looking for areas that we can work together. And that's you know. The values based question is a little bit more difficult in the joe biden. I think is realistic. He realizes he's not going to change the system of government and the values under which it operates in china but he does feel that by carving out areas that we can work together. Maybe you can help push china incrementally in the right direction. What is incremental steps then lightly. It's a bit of a kind of open ended somewhat somewhat giant question in terms of scale. But you know do we. Is it wrong into look. For an actual breakthrough do we just look at executives said incremental progress of their certain boxes. The it's important for the biden administration to continue to take in your view. I think look i think. Any changes will be incremental on any progress in the relationship will be incremental and look. There's the military side there's there's always flashpoints between the us and china over freedom of navigation. In south china sea in us is very clear that it will continue to operate in it considers international waters but china gets very upset by that so maybe a ration down tensions around taiwan and south china sea would be beneficial. You know as i said carving out areas that we can work together to address climate change. And i think the president They haven't announced anything yet. But the president president biden president. She will both be at the g. Twenty meeting Coming up shortly so that there will be an opportunity for them to meet then. They haven't announced a bilateral meeting. But i suspect there will be one and then cop twenty six later this year so there are opportunities around climate change and i would say and then on trade I think there are also opportunities to try to work more closely together. But beyond that i think when when you get down to real sort of values in the way that our countries are governed we're not going to have incremental progress meeting in the middle for example interesting stuff lou. Thanks for your insights as always. That was the former. us diplomat. Louis lukens joining us on the program now his color rubella with the day's other news headlines. Thanks tom the un has worn off. Ghanistan is at risk of total breakdown if the international community does not find a way to keep money flowing into the country. Afghanistan central bank assets are currently frozen overseas and considered key leverage over new taliban administration. Japan's popular corona virus vaccination minister taroko has officially announced his candidacy to lead the ruling party and by extension become the country's next prime minister cornell becomes the third candidate to compete for the leadership of the liberal democratic party. The canadian prime minister justin trudeau has used a key. Televised election debate to take aim at his main rival erin. O'toole the latest opinion polls suggest misra tools. Conservative party has a chance of winning this month's federal election which would end six years of liberal rule and plans to enlarge runways at barcelona's el prat airport have been frozen for at least five years. The airport was supposed to receive one point seven billion euros in government funding to do so but politicians in the national coalition failed to sign off the proposal. You can read more at one dot com for.
Biden Calls Xi as US-China Relationship Grows More Fraught
"Us president joe biden has held a lengthy phone conversation with his chinese counterpart xi jinping the first time the leaders from the world's most powerful countries have talked in seven months. A white house statement said both men had discussed. The responsibility of both nations to ensure competition does not veer into conflicts. Let's get more on this now with former. Us diplomat. Louis lukens lose now. A senior partner at the consultancy cigna global. Good afternoon to you lou and tell us this phone call after a hiatus does he represent a real meaningful breakthrough in your view. Hey tom i think it's too early to tell. If this is a meaningful breakthrough. But i think it is significant. As you mentioned there was a quite a height as they hadn't spoken the two leaders for seven months and this book for ninety minutes yesterday which include interpretation that that's forty five minutes of substantive discussion so it's meaningful in the sense that it's important. The leaders of these two countries communicate and talk and try to find areas that they can cooperate and work together. And that's what joe biden has been trying to. Do i think so whether this results in a ratcheting down of tension. I think remains to be seen. But it's certainly a step in the right direction
"louis lukens" Discussed on Monocle 24: The Briefing
"Business headlines around up of stories making news in bolivia and a bit later in the program guides alone monocle is man in the balkans. And i'll be bringing you blood in the olive oil on the croatian coast as tourism businesses. Literally fight for customers all that right here on the briefing with me. Daniel bauge the united states is being pressed by its allies to delay its withdraw from afghanistan and allow more time to evacuate those who want to flee the country. Us troops control kabul airport but are scheduled to leave by the end of the month. The issue will be raised at today's virtual g seven meeting. let's get the latest now with louis lukens former. Us diplomat and now a senior partner at cigna global lou thanks for joining us leaders of the uk. France and others will be putting pressure on president. Joe biden today. what are you expecting. Well i expect the conversation about the extending the deadline. The withdrawal deadline to be fairly quick. I think i mean joe biden seems have made up his mind. Maybe have the deadlines slip by a couple of days if absolutely necessary. But he's determined to not have this evacuation drag out for weeks and weeks. I will note. The washington post has just broken the story that the cia director Ambassador bill burns met in in in kabul with the leader of the taliban a couple of days ago in the secret meeting. So i'm sure they were discussing the possibility of extending the deadline. But i think the chances of that are fairly small. I think what the meeting today should really focus on. We'll hopefully focus on is is moving forward do does the g seven recognized the taliban as illegitimate government of aghanistan. How do they get aid to the ask people who are going to really need it very shortly when other international funding to the government dries up So i think hopefully the meeting of the g seven meeting will be more forward looking at just the deadline next week well abdulah abdulah and karzai are involved saying they would like to help in negotiations. What are the prospects of that. And what might the conversation about the g seven. Be about how they could facilitate speaking to the taliban. Well i mean look the g. Seven can make decisions about whether to include officials in in discussions about a government. But really it's gonna come down to. The taliban right like is ultimately their decision whether or not they want to have a power sharing agreement with former members of the government. My guests at this point and not knowing really. The situation on the ground is that they're not going to be inclined to do that. They are coming at this from a position of strength right now. So why would they compromise. I think the g seven leaders would like to see some balance in the government and have it not just be taliban government but i think history has shown us that sharing power in afghanistan does not necessarily lead to you know smooth governance. Of course there's great concern over the security situation. At the moment we mentioned What's happening at the airport. But i imagine The wider impacts of the pullout will also be on the agenda today namely migration. I think for certainly a migration and not just within that region but across the globe and certainly europe and north america but also issues like food security and you know the funding that has made its way to the afghan people has come from the international community and if the if the international community decided to cut off all assistance to afghanistan now because they don't recognize the taliban that will put the afghan people in really precarious difficult situation. So i think they'll be discussing this weekend or sorry today Ways that they can continue to get assistance and nutritional aid to the afghan people maybe not necessarily working directly with the taliban working with international organizations. But all of us can require the cooperation at some point of the taliban. Well we've heard a lot about the surprise and the speed of how a taliban was able to take over the country obviously since the us began pulling out But what is the conversation about how there could still be some western presence on the ground as you say. Joe biden may have made up his mind about the withdraw at the end of this month but To some of those points that you're making about food security and humanitarian issues. There will probably need to be some sort of presence still in afghanistan there. Will i think it remains to be seen what that looks like. Immune diseases afghanistan become a country like iran. Where the united states has zero presence at all and operates through an intermediary or does the united states at some point decide to return with a small presence in his embassy in in downtown kabul. And i think a lot of the direction that goes will depend a lot on how the taliban behaves as the new leaders aghanistan and yet they. They're sort of putting this idea out there that there are soft during kinder gentler taliban than they used to be already. I think we're seeing cracks in that image in it if they really If they revert to their previous behavior in this or the atrocities that they would carry out. It'll be much harder for the united states to recognize the government and to have a presence in kabul but they legitimately allow women and girls who go to school into to work and then they don't have reprisal killings and things like that it will be easier for the united states something to justify maintaining a small presence in the in the country. Well i'm sure. There are conversations in parts of washington and sh- wider perhaps at the g seven today about the possibility of sanctions end squeezing the taliban until the us and the and its allies. Get their way afghanistan again. Yeah i'm sure they'll be talking about that today. But the challenge is with sanctions is that it's hard to design sanctions that specifically target the leadership and don't hurt the general population in the country. And i think the g seven countries will really want to be sure that they don't impose sanctions or conditions on the country. That actually hurt. The average people living out in the countryside who then don't have access to food and medicine another necessities so sanctions are great in principle. But they're actually very hard to craft in a way that really targets leadership and not the general population of a country lou. Thanks for this. That is former. Us diplomat and partner at cigna global advisors lewis locates. Now here's monaco's emma searle with the day's other news headlines thanks daniel. Israel's health officials say the cova nineteen vaccine boost to drive is beginning to have an impact on high infection rates less than a month after the jobs were introduced. The delta variant hit israel in june. Just off to the country began to reap the benefits of one of the world's fastest vaccine.
"louis lukens" Discussed on Monocle 24: The Briefing
"Live from studio one at midori house in london. I'm tom edwards coming up on today's program. Ultimately this decision to completely and totally withdraw is joe biden's and and it is one that that this is disgraceful. Yours republicans are in some democrats line up to criticize the country swift exit from afghanistan. We'll ask how it's being received and who could now fill the diplomatic vacuum in kabul. Also ahead monaco's health correspondent. Dr chris smith will be explaining how the science used in the development of astrazeneca's cove. Nineteen job could help tackle future pandemics. Plus we'll have the latest business headlines and monaco's luhan mara will be here with his occasional roundup of news from the world's most remote datelines. What have you spotted louis. So this week. We'll be looking at poisoned spillage in the turtles journey towards madagascar. And i've got another little surprise view as well all that and more ahead here on the briefing with me. Tom edwards more than two thousand diplomats and other civilians have now been evacuated from afghanistan. It comes as security. Officials step up their attempts to get people out of the taliban seized country. Well a little earlier. I spoke to the former. Us diplomats louis lukens and began by asking him whether what we were confronted with now was a diplomatic more of a simply logistical challenge. While it's both and it's interesting. The state department has sent a very senior diplomat who's very experienced in logistical operations to go to kabul. Should be responsible for the evacuation piece of it while the acting ambassador. remains focused on the diplomatic piece of it. Because you're right. These two things are side. By side. We have to ensure the safety in the evacuation of american citizens and afghanis who worked for the american government at the same time wrestle with this question of who now leads afghanistan. Do we work with them. Do we recognize them and try to start working with allies hopefully to develop relationships with the new leadership in afghanistan lou. What about this question of who actually is facilitated in leaving the country because i guess the vetting process here is complex. You're trying to use. I don't know the the infrastructure of the administration of what is the quintessence of a failed state is a hugely complex challenge right it is incredibly complex and for example the united states requires these people applying for special visas to come to the united states to go onto the internet to fill out forms online. Well of course people in kabul right now in afghanistan don't really have access to the internet and a lot of them don't have the documentation that they need. So there's a real push from the us. Congress and from others within the us government to expedite the process to overcome the usual bureaucratic hurdles and to just get people out as quickly as we can. En- deal with logistics in the bureaucracy in the paperwork down the road when people are out of harm's lou i've got to ask you about the response within the. Us of course biden has perhaps understandably predictably faced a great deal of criticism from the gop but also a lot of senior democrats in particular. He's very confident. He's broadcasting this message that he's made the right decision indeed. He's very much stuck to the script and his intentions all along. Is it going to be a question. He's going to try and just draw the line move on kenny. Do that while he certainly gonna try. He's giving a press conference today which he address the the cova pandemic and not talk about afghanistan. so he's already starting to draw that line. I think the american people have a very short attention span. In general when comes to international affairs. And i think so long as you know. The united states military has retaken control of kabul airport. I don't think we're gonna see the kind of images that we've seen over the last couple of days it'll be much more. Orderly process getting people out of there. And i think the american people sort of move on. I think most american people agree with the decision to pull out of afghanistan and feel that we have been there too long with too little to show for it and i think that the hiccups hiccups not strong enough word but the the chaos over the weekend and the how ill-prepared the administration was for the final evacuation. I think will recede in people's memory as time goes on lou. I must ask you one of the narrative we keep hearing and it's to be it's the same here in the uk as it is stateside. Is that you know this was the plan. And there's no other way and it could not have gone differently. Now i've spoken to many observers like yourself Lots of former military leadership on both sides of the pond. And we've been tracking this moment for months years. Really the draw down and there was a sense of the inevitability are there any voices saying look actually biden others in the state department wherever it might be they have missed a trick and they have failed to foresee not just what happened but the pace of the change. Do you think that there is despite what you've just said about the public appetite going to from some to demand answers and ask why there wasn't better preparation or at least better. Mitigation very much so tom. And and three senatorial committees in the united states senate who which are run by democrats by the way have already said they intend to hold hearings to try to get to the bottom of the united states military and state department seemed so ill-prepared at the last minute when it finally came to this evacuation as you noted this has been building for for years if not longer we all knew something like this might happen at some point and for the american government to seem to have been caught so guard off balance by the by the events over the weekend is is raising a lot of questions in the us government and not just from the president's critics from some of his allies about why we handled this so poorly. That was the former us diplomat. Louis lukens talking to me earlier now who could fill diplomatic vacuum. That we were just discussing with. Lou will turkey's emerged as a strong contender. Not least because it's a nato member which has experience of negotiating directly with the taliban. Let's more on this now. With hanukkah cindy smith. Istanbul correspondent for the times. Thanks for joining us and good afternoon to you. It is interesting isn't it. could this be some kind of payoff. turkey. We've talked a bit about turkish foreign policy over Over the last decade or so could that backdrop mean that turkey's actually better position than most to really play a key hand here. Yeah absolutely. I mean it could be a kind of closing in another one opening for turkey. Hit so turkey has got around six hundred troops in afghanistan as part of the nato mission and a few months ago it started this year. It's actually offered to keep those troops on after the us withdrawal in order to secure the apple and make sure that diplomatic missions keep running in kabul and that was possibly john's efforts to kind of make overtures to biden china improve that relationship with the us which has been really really strained in recent years now started this week. It became clear that that offer is no longer going to be on the table for for very obvious reasons. Probably those this ticket ships are still. They're probably going to be Withdrawn bustle near the hand over. One has said that he is ready to talk to the taliban He's ready to host taliban leaders here in istanbul. An infectious then official also told reuters. That turkey's already negotiating or speaking with the group onto levels speaking with military side of the group through pakistan. And speaking with its political side through cutter now this might be one of the very few com conflict source situations in the world where turkey might actually have a to play its policy in the middle east over the past decade since the start of the arab spring has left it pretty isolated both western allies and with most arab countries as well the two countries with which it does have really good relations at this point is qatar and pakistan and of course they're all said the countries which are really keen kind of being go-betweens With the taliban so i think yet turkey now is trying to position itself. i think As a kind of mediator taliban on the rest of the world that's the ambition and clearly but if we think back to was it was early this spring. I think hannah when there would to be talks. Ns in istanbul maybe back in april. They were cancelled. The taliban didn't show up. And i guess this is part of the reality..
"louis lukens" Discussed on Monocle 24: The Briefing
"York prosecutors have indicted the trump organization along with its chief financial officer while donald trump himself is expected to be charged this week. The diamond reportedly concerns the organizations failure to pay tax on employees fringe benefits. What might this mean for trump's political prospects. Well we're joined for more on this by lukens former. Us diplomat now. Senior partner with cigna global advisors. Good often into you lou. Always good to have you on the program We understand just in the last few minutes. That trump's long-serving cfo allen voice burke surrendered to the manhattan district attorney's office. This is a story. That's moving on quite quickly But what do you make of the This kind of the news. Line head indictments are pending. So yes look indictments will be unsealed later today. So we don't know exactly what is in them. But as you noted the trump organization chief financial officer has surrendered to the authorities. The speculation is that the indictments revolve around tax fraud. Tax evasion. And what they're calling off the books compensation for for members of the trump organization so but but my initial thought beyond that is that the new york state attorney general and the manhattan district attorney would be unlikely to bring charges against the trump organization without having sort of more on the books. You know what. I mean like just tax evasions seems a little bit light so my guess is that this is partly a way depressure of the chief financial officer to sort of spill the beans and come up with more evidence against the trump organization. Now let me ask you a bit more detail about this. Because i read a few months really interesting. I think it was the new york archie about cyrus vance junior and this sort of mission that he was on clearly. There's a there's a mega opportunity here for somebody to be the person that sort of gets donald trump. I use the term. You know with with with quote marks. Is this the beginning of that process or is there still so much of this jockeying. People need to be a bit cautious. Do we just have to kind of put. The brakes on and measure our expectation somewhat. Now i think it's the beginning of the process. I mean look. They've been work. They've been working on this for three years. I mean sivan's has been investigating this organization for three years and again i don't think he would ring in the new york state attorney. General would bring these of through a grand jury. If they weren't confident they had more charges to come right. This is a is a huge thing to go after former president and his organization is as you noted in the introduction. President trump has already seized on this calling it the continuation of the world's greatest witch hunt ever so he will actually try to turn this his political benefit. And i think that sivan's on the teacher. James would have been very cautious by bringing charges unless they were confident that they these charges would stick and but also that they have more to come we until that point. I did want to ask you specifically in terms of how trump choice to seize the narrative. Reframe it according to you. Know his own story. He said you know this is biased. It's rude and nasty. A cynic might say some things he might know a thing or two about. Is there a danger here that you know success or failure in the courtroom aside this does fit this trump me against the world narrative and if we look ahead to you know twenty twenty four it could end up galvanizing this base which we know enjoys they like to celebrate this idea of trump as the guy that holds his face up against the rest of the world. I mean is that a risk presumably something that sivan's in the tissue james of Are being very mentioned about why the i'm sure they're being measured. But it is a risk and the stories that are coming out this morning. Indicate that donald trump was actually quite pleased. When you learned about the indictments A because he felt that the charges were sort of light but also because of that point that it will galvanize his base in. It'll give him you know his two big things. Now we'll be I actually won the election in two thousand twenty and it was stolen from me and the democratic establishment continues this terrible witch hunt against me and my family my organization the risk donald trump is that while does galvanize his base. My sense is that his base is starting to shrink the a lot of more moderate republicans and independents are tiring of his constant complaining and whining about last year's election so while an increasingly small base will be galvanized in will love this and donald trump will love getting them fired up by this. I think the risk to him is that a broader pool of voters starts to drift away from him. Yeah absolutely and we'll time will reveal that to us. I just wanted to see. This is speculative. but i'll ask you any case it doesn't feel to me like allen. Myburgh holds the smoking gun here when it comes to donald trump personally. Is there any sense. A you hearing Through your kind of networks who that person might be and when they may reveal themselves peop- up if you like from behind the parapet do. Do we know when that might be. My sense is advice will. Berg is sort of the key guy and he is the person who knows where all the money is and and has been hidden. And what's been done over all the many years and he seems to be intensely loyal to donald trump and as you know the they've been the authorities have been trying to flip him for the last couple of months and he has refused to turn on donald trump. And i think the indictments that were unsealed later today against him specifically and personally are further pressure on the part of the district attorney and the attorney general in new york to try to force him to come to terms with. You know you're either going to spend the next twenty years in jail or you can tell us what's really going on in the trump administration trump organization grimly compelling. We'll check in with lou pops. Once we know more detail about those indictments but thank you for now for joining us. Us diplomat louis lukens. Now let's hear from oracle's page reynolds she standing by with the day's other news headlines. Thanks tom china's president. Xi jinping has warned that his country will not be deterred by foreign forces who attempt to bully his nation. his speech marks. The one hundred anniversary of the founding of the chinese communist party and comes as beijing faces international pressure over its domestic and foreign affairs. The australian state of new south wales says significant numbers of the new cove. Nineteen cases are being found in the community. It comes as australia. Battles flare ups infections in several states. Nearly half of all australians are under stay at home orders to prevent any major outbreak of the delta strain of the virus the former u. s. defense secretary donald rumsfeld has died at age of eighty eight rumsfeld who was at the pentagon when it was hit by a hijacked airplane during the nine eleven attacks will become one of the key architects of the iraq war in two thousand and three. He resigned three days. Later amid the fallout from the conflict and saudi arabia's crown prince mohammad bin salman plans to launch a second national airline. It is the latest move to diversify away from oil towards a new status as a global logistics hub connecting three continents. You can find out much more about it by heading to monaco dot com slash minute..
Biden Tells Intelligence Agencies to Probe COVID-19's Origins
"Us president joe biden has called on intelligence in the country to redouble their efforts to investigate the origins of the covid nineteen pandemic. The president's ordered a report to be issued within ninety days amid growing pressure from republicans and the broader scientific community which owning us now is more nichols health science correspondent. Dr chris smith also on the line is louis lukens format. Us diplomat now. Senior partner at cigna global advisors. Thank you both for joining us on the program today and lukens actually start with you on this political pressure. I guess that joe biden is perhaps reacting to can you characterize what what. What is that pressure i can. Who are the main players. The main actors here who are low to offer these tough questions. Well martha sure. I would describe it as pressure on joe biden from from other parties to to carry out this investigation i think he genuinely and and his top scientists agreed that they that we need to have a better understanding of where this virus originated and how it originated. He asked president biden s the intelligence community to do an initial report which he was briefed on recently and he was unhappy with the results of that because the intelligence community was split some of the agencies felt that it was a lab accident and others felt that it was more likely animal to human contact and so he is now asked intelligence community to redouble their efforts as you said an in ninety days produce a report i think he recognizes that they may not have a final answer. He he he wants to say. He says he wants to bring us closer to definitive conclusion. He doesn't say bring us to a conclusion. But i think he feels is important that we have a better understanding in order to prevent future pandemics.
Biden announces US will sanction Myanmar's military leaders following coup
"Last week's data in myanmar provided the new us administration of president joe biden with its first major foreign policy crisis. We now have an idea of america's response. President biden has signed an executive order imposing sanctions on the coup leaders. This will be followed by measures to block the myanmar's military access to government funds held in the us. Further measures seem likely showed the gionta not to american demands that democratic order be restored one by louis lukens former. Us diplomat now senior partner with cigna global advisors liu first of all this all seem certainly measured against the last four years widely normal. Doesn't it well it does. You're right andrew. It does seem normal and there is a policy process in washington. That was carried out there. Tony blinken and president biden consulted with about this issue and then came to a decision to impose sanctions so very normal. Didn't learn about it by tweet. Sort of back to the good old days of foreign policy. I think not that. I'm wishing to sound overly nostalgic four the immediately preceding four years. But in an instance like this is this orthodoxy helpful. I mean the demand. Maurice generals rather priced this in. Wouldn't they well. The process and the consultant with allies is helpful whether sanctions themselves will be useful remains to be seen sanctions. Tend to have very limited effectiveness and the people who are targeted by sanctions. In this case the military leadership Tend to be able to to be somewhat immune to the effects of the sanctions. They and so the. Us has walk a very fine line in trying to punish the leadership but in a way. That doesn't actually trickle down and really hurt. The the average burmese people who who are responsible for the the off course well just as a general principle then. Is there any reason to imagine that the people behind the coup. D'etat actually care what. The united states thinks that. This point probably not much reason to think that they care you know. China is their number one trading partner. They do roughly three third of their trade with china and the us is not even in the top five list of trading partners So you know it's great that the us has a couple allies on board. And i think the tony blinken talk to his japanese counterpart yesterday to to sort of coordinate a little bit on this but if china is not going to impose sanctions which they won't it really reduces the effectiveness of what the us can do in that especially in that country where we have very few ties. So how much of the american response. So far and i guess what we might still see often. American response is not so much the new. Us administration hoping it can affect an outcome in this specific circumstance but is more trying to set a general tone trying to establish. This is how this administration is going to do business. This is how we're going to react to things. Yeah look. I mean even if even if the sanctions are completely symbolic sends an important message that the that the united states will not tolerate this kind of activity and will work to promote the the sustenance of democratic governments around the world if the united states had ignored the coup in myanmar mar. I think that would send a message to people thinking about overthrowing governments around the world that hey we can do this now and get away with it now. The burmese military leaders may still get away with it remains to be seen whether the us sanctions will have any effect or not but the us had to send a message in some ways. This is a new administration and we're gonna take democracy seriously. How much more. Careful is the united states being about me on mob this time than it might have been during the previous stretch of military rule because in that period of course it did seem like a much more straightforward good guys versus bad guys proposition than you had this. All neha canonized a leader in waiting under house arrest on sang suci Whose stature. I think has been somewhat reduced by her own complicity with the people who've just thrown out of a job. Yeah i mean certainly. Her stature has been diminished over the last years in. Not just yeah. i mean. Basically because of her alignment with the military leaders in sort of her reaction to the the genocide in myanmar. That said i think the united states is trying to look at is not from the perspective of individual personalities but from the perspective of the principles of democracy and our unwillingness or or distaste for To go along with with appearing to support a military coup so we have to come out. The united states had to come out and strongly against this coup and short of military action economic sanctions against the people who perpetrated a coup really. The only way to go for now. The united states does of course have a diplomatic relationship with me on march for the moment at least any way you have been a diplomat serving abroad for the united states in a in a circumstance like this is there anything ambassadors another embassy staff on the ground candu or is it more likely case. They've just been told to make as little noise as they possibly can. Well i think the probably been quite vocal. I think in and you have to walk a fine line. You don't wanna be so vocal against the new leaders in the military that that you get thrown out of the country because certainly that is a possibility now. But you wanna make america's presence known and you wanna know you wanna make america's policies known so my guess is that Certainly through social media which is of limited value in me mark. I think the government has cut down. Cut off a lot of the internet but they they will be trying to work through their networks of of Dissenters and people in civil society to try to get the word out that the united states is with you. And we're working on this. How important is it to the united states to get at least some sort of result out of this. I mean i understand what you're saying about. How the united states is obliged to lay down the law here especially with the new administration but he is there a risk that they are seen to have done exactly that and have not make the blindest bit of difference to anything. Well there is a risk. I mean if if the us government left it as it is now the just the sanctions. That would be a worry but my guess is that Tony blinken will be is embarking on on a of diplomacy with counterparts around the world to try to to you take it to the next level not necessarily only through sanctions through a global reaction against this coup again. It comes back to the challenge. That is hard to do something. The un security council If china doesn't go along with it and china's unlikely to go along with any condemnation of the military leaders in in myanmar But i think tony blinken will certainly be trying to rally allies onto the us side honest
Who Could Serve IN The Biden Administration
"Now. The current incumbent of the white house is showing no signs of planning to pack his suitcases. But that hasn't stopped president-elect joe biden from pushing ahead with his plans for the fresh administration a large part of this is the people who will make this administration so comparative unknown who will become household. Names come january for more. I'm joined by louis. Lukens a former. Us diplomat and a senior partner at sigme global advisors. Welcome back lewis. You want it now. i'm i mentioned here. That comparative unknown but the list of the runners and writers to make up the Biden cabinet this pretty well known names in there. He's going to bring on a really experienced team of people. All of whom most of them will have had experienced during the obama or administration's These will be maybe not household names To the american people but most of them will be known certainly within the national security establishment for the top jobs at defense and the state department and national security adviser and those kinds of jobs. So where do we start with. Who's going to pay. When i mean he's likely to name a chief of staff this week. Isn't he chief of staff this week. Probably ron claim who was as chief of staff before and and is a well respected in washington that liked cross the. I'll have to say for the cabinet positions Biden will be a little bit constrained by the senate because the senate of course has to approve The the secretary of state and defense and all those main all the cabinet positions so and we think the republicans are probably going to maintain control of the senate. So what that means is for example. There was some talk that elizabeth warren wanted to be secretary of the treasury. That will not happen now. The the republicans in the senate will not confirm a left-wing progressive democrat for a top job. So it'll force by his cabinet choices to be more centrist Which is not a bad thing actually But it means at that. The progressive wing of the party won't get the sort of personnel appointments obeyed hope to see in washington now filling. His cabinet job says he will give priority to technocratic experience. Loyalty and diversity. What does that mean in terms of who. We are likely to see for some of the top jobs well so he has pledged to have the most diverse cabinet ever. I think so. I think the front runner for secretary of state is susan rice. Her confirmation might be a little bit difficult because the republicans do not like her. But i think they will still try to get her through. I think we'll see a woman a treasury for the first time ever lael brainard. I think we'll see a female secretary of defense for the first time ever with blank florida. Yes michelle foreign. I of course so. I think we'll see a lot of women. And i think we'll see some. And then when you get down into the secretary of urban housing and urban development and human services and health and human services and things like that. I think we'll see people of color We'll see women will see Just in general a much more diverse cabinet than what we have now which is basically a lot of older white men. Let's look at the way that this actually could play out. You mentioned the idea of susan. Rice becoming the next secretary of state we need enormous job in rebuilding us foreign policy after four rather damaging years. One could argue. I mean she's former. Us ambassador to the un national security advisor to president obama. She's she's walk the walk. She's got the experience. She's close to joe biden. She'll be good at rebuilding alliances but there is that fair. Isn't there that if you start trying to bring back people from the obama administration. How much is concerned that. I think that joe biden is simply trying to wind the clock back by four years when america is a very different place now will america is a different place in the world is a different place so there is a bit of that risk. But i think that hurts that biden's team and and his cabinet members will make very clear that they recognize that reality and they certainly are going to bring Some of the values in core beliefs that that they that they had when they worked during the obama administration. Including you know for someone like susan. Rice a belief in working closely with partners and allies in in a belief in multilateral. Ism but you know overlaid with the recognition that the world is certainly a different place in that china is stronger than it was four years ago. And we're dealing with you know. Global threats like terrorism and climate change and In the pandemic so certainly a different range of issues in a different approach to how to work on them But as. I said you know the same values that these people had when they work for obama For years ago one of the big words associated with joe button is unifying and there is a suggestion that he's going to have what's known as a unity cabinet bringing in prominent republicans. How's that going to work. Well it's unclear. I think it's a great idea. In principle to bring in a couple of republicans but some of the republicans whose names have been floated including john casick and mitt. Romney are very very unpopular with the left of the democratic party so he has to be careful in doing so not to upset his own party too much. I think a meg whitman's name has been thrown around as a possible candidate for secretary of commerce. She is someone Lifelong republican but she did endorse a biden and actually endorsed hillary clinton for years ago She is someone who i think would be acceptable to the left of the party. Someone like john. Casick are mitt romney's little bit harder to convince the the progressive that they add value without detracting from the cabinet.
3 weeks away from US election
"It's now three weeks until the US presidential election. If polls are to be believed, it's now nine thousand nine days until Joe, Biden is sworn in as the forty sixth president of the United States. However, those of us with memories stretching back for years will understand the gravity of the polls ought to be believed qualifier if polls were to be believed in two thousand sixteen President Hillary Clinton. Might now, be running for his second term and Donald Trump's candidacy dimly recalled as a surreal version. So with all due acknowledgement of the folly of tempting fate is anything much different. This time will on joined by Louis Lukens, former US diplomat who has been analyzing the polling data for the political consultancy CIGNA Global Advisors. I'm also joined in the studio by Monaco's News Editor Chris Mc Chris First of all is Biden's Paul lead meaningfully different from Hillary Clinton's. Yes and no and. The Way to answer a question like that let's look at it. This way nationally speaking if you look at the national polls yes, Joe Biden is up. If you by many poles more significantly more significantly than Clinton was at this point in time and he's also been up consistently in the polls more than Clinton was at various points in time over the last few months of, for example, now, according to the realclearpolitics average, which of does a average of all pose. He's up about ten points. That's about three points more than Clinton was at this point in time. But of course to give a brief summary for our listeners of the. Complicated system that is the US we have the electoral college and the idea of that is national polling does not matter. It matters what happens. In two. Thousand Sixteen in Theory New York and California could vote ninety percent for Joe. Biden. But if if Donald Trump managed to snap up a bunch of swing states and battleground states in the middle, he could still win the election and Biden could win the popular vote. What's happening in those battleground states that's a little bit less clear. Biden. Is Ahead. That is true. He's ahead by about five percentage points four point eight percentage points in the key battlegrounds according to real clear politics but Hillary Clinton was ahead by basically the same amount. At this time in two thousand, sixteen, the best example to point that out and this also comes to the question for for Lou about polling. The best example is Wisconsin Clinton led by six points in the polls. Ahead of time, she lost Wisconsin by one percentage point in twenty sixteen. So a five percentage points gain for for Joe. Biden, is still something that could be up in the
Trump ends preferential economic treatment for Hong Kong
"Taking office in January two thousand seventeen. US President Donald. Trump has spent many of his non golfing hours inventing new ways to pick fights with China in recent weeks. China has made this part of his job a good deal easier in imposing a repressive news channel Security Laura upon Hong Kong. Beijing has presented trump with an opportunity to strike back at China. Foreign actual reason as opposed to an invented or imaginary. Imaginary one and trump appears to have seized it, and made a stream of consciousness at the White House yesterday trump ordered an end to Hong Kong's special status under US law on joined a four more on this by the formulas diplomat Louis Lukens Lou is now a senior partner with Cigna Global Advisors, but spent the early part of his diplomatic career in China. Lou rawls them back to the briefing the president's announcement first of all what practical consequences is likely to have. Thank you, it's great to be back, so the practical consequences that take a little bit of a while to play out, and you really nailed it. Donald trump has been in some ways looking for a fight with China and China has given him a great excuse to ratchet up tensions. Down, trump spend a little bit conflicted on China right because he is really pursued, wanted this trade deal for the last couple of years at the same time he likes to talk tough on China and what we're seeing is the election comes closer and closer and were less than four months out to election day the United States is a bit of an. An arms race between Joe. Biden and Donald Trump both of them, trying to be seen as tougher than the other on China and I think we will see tensions ratchet up over the next four months as November third becomes closer in China becomes the common enemy that both candidates can agree on them. Both try to outdo each other on being tough on. I mean we'll try to be overly concerned about this. Because they ll affected this kind of response in they they they would have assumed that there would be consequences of some sort to imposing this new security lore on Hong Kong. They they will have thought it through obviously and and anticipated. The reaction would be I wonder a little bit of China hasn't overplayed his hand. I think there is such a court. We're seeing more coordinated international response now to China's aggression whether it's military aggression whether it's you know. Intellectual property, theft and and use. Of Technology. We're and then go human rights issues including Hong. Kong and what's happening with the weaker people in northeast in north western China. I think we're seeing. Countries have reached a tipping point and the Corona Virus in China's initial response to it is also leading countries i. think a little bit bolder and a little bit better coordinated in their measures to counter China and China maybe anticipated that in his plan that, but I think what we're seeing now for the first time, certainly in recent history is a better coordinated and methodical approach to China from Western. Allies working together with more of a common purpose I. Think than we've seen in a while a how coordinated can that response be? Though if the United States as led by President, trump applies his usual attention to detail and attention span to it again. Might this be a calculation that China of made that trump as usually his response to everything will have an puff, but signally failed to blow any houses down. Absolutely I think this guy is very possible and I think they'd be trying to get away with what they can before a Joe Biden presidency, which would start next January and I think we will see with the Joe Biden presidency in foreign policy under Joe, Biden of much more concerted effort to coordinate with allies, and to have an approach facing China and Joe Biden has talked about working with the European Union and Canada and Mexico and other allies to to deal with China's trade practices amongst other things. It is the united. States can't do that now or won't do that now. Because President, trump's policy is so sort of sporadic and incoherent, so China may be may see this as a window of opportunity to strengthen their position while they have a president in the White House who is is somewhat focused on China, but not really in the details, and in unable because of his actions over the last three years to really pull together a global coalition. How potentially dangerous is that? The you spoke earlier of China perhaps overplaying their hand way of Hong, Kong is concerned. Is there a concern that if as he suggested, it seems a reasonable analysis. They are trying to make hay you. All the sun is shining where president trump is concerned that they might overplay their hand further with potentially dangerous consequences. Will absolutely, and that's was you know is scary about this time that we're in right now because China, not justice is not just pushing on human rights in pushing on. In commercial interests around the world, but they're also being quite aggressive militarily. India of the south. China Sea and there's always potential for a misunderstanding. Or an accident we've seen this before you remember when they accidentally shot down an American plane that landed in on Hainan island some years ago. It's very easy for a miscalculation to happen, and when tensions are this high to begin with, it makes the diplomatic walk back from any military accidents much much harder to carry out.
"louis lukens" Discussed on KQED Radio
"Hi Marco Werman this is the world in a run today at least fifty people were killed more than two hundred injured in a stampede at the funeral procession for Hossam stolen money the Iranian military commander was killed in an American airstrike last Friday in Baghdad during two days of public mourning across Iran millions of Iranians came out in a show of national unity this afternoon president trump called so the money a monster and is no longer a monster he's dead and that's a good thing for a lot of countries and he was planning a very big attack in a very bad attack trump said a lot of lives were saved by killing Somani trump's top administration officials were out in front of the cameras all day defending him secretary of state Mike Pompeii called trump's order to kill so the money the right decision but America's allies in Europe say both sides the US and Iran need to do their parts to ease tensions here's the world's Orla Barry in London the British prime minister was on vacation in the Caribbean when the news broke last Friday that the US had killed Iran's top military commander Boris Johnsons initial statement when it came was cautious he said he would not be lamenting the death of Qasem Soleimani but he also urged restraint on all sides he was left to the British Foreign Secretary Dominic rob to do the talking rob said that escalation conflict with Iran is close in none of our interests frankly it's the decision that the Americans have taken but we understand why they did it let's be clear about is that the right to exercise self defense in general so the money was the head of the commander of the Cold schools to understand the position the action to take it it took more than forty eight hours for European Union leaders in France Germany and the U. K. two which would joint statement on the killing of the Iranian general this perhaps was an indication that not all sites were in total agreement that statement also appeal to both sides the US and Iran to step back from the brink of war eve spokesman Peter Stano encouraged all parties to de escalate our strength I think he's in the ability has that you want to talk to the partners included the arguments why eat these in everyone's interest to the escalate the situation on Sunday secretary of state my pump pale was asked about the response for America's most important allies and here's some of what he had to say on fox news frankly the Europeans haven't been as helpful as I wish that they could be the Brits the French the Germans all need to understand that what we did what the Americans did saved lives in Europe as well but the Europeans never really signed on to the trump administration's hardline approach towards Iran they've worked to keep the Iran nuclear deal in place since the US walked away from it in twenty eighteen and now around says he will no longer abide by the deals limits on uranium enrichment that's a real blow to the European Union I think the problems for the E. U. member states is they don't have anything else available and they don't really have any other options Richard quick man is associate fellow at Chatham house think tank in London he says the Europeans are still struggling to save the Iran nuclear deal they want to preserve a Donald really it's a bit of desperation and hang on to that team even though it's pretty thread bare now foreign ministers from France Germany and the U. K. mass in Brussels today ministers from old twenty AC you states will hold an emergency meeting this Friday but the member states come to the table with different agendas Germany for example is already planning on pulling some of its troops out of Iraq Britain on the other hand he's keeping about four hundred soldiers there at least for now but the issue that's front of mine for Boris Johnson has to be Britain's plan to finally leave the European Union and just three weeks time Louis Lukens was the deputy chief of mission at the US embassy in London for twenty sixteen to twenty nineteen he says the prime minister is walking a diplomatic tightrope between remaining closely aligned with his European partners and allies but at the same time the prime minister cannot be seen as turning his back on president trump because he's very focused on trying to lay the groundwork for a U. S. U. K. free trade agreement in the coming few years Johnson might also be mindful of recent history what pass which is prime ministers aligned themselves with the US for the purposes of taking military action in the Middle East things have not always worked out so well he was Richard Whitman again commentaries now are very low this to see the U. K. involved the major overseas military adventures and I think even with he's significant parliamentary majority portions going to face a parliament which I think would be very difficult to persuade that this is something that the U. K. should be deeply involved in a word of caution came from the former British Foreign Secretary Jack straw he served during the US led invasion of Iraq in two thousand and three and he had this message for president trump I tell him so you're very very depressed and take us out for the provocative statements and still more provocative actions it's very very dangerous Boris Johnson got on the phone today with Iraq's prime minister to talk about working together to find a way forward a spokesman said Johnson also told the Iraqi leader that the U. K. is committed to a rock stability and to the fight against ISIS for the world I'm more the Bari in London for another view we reached out to one of president trump's top diplomats in Europe he told us as far as he's concerned Europe is totally on board with US policy toward Iran we're very pleased with the reaction from the Germans and from the larger European wide community I think there's a total agreement that you Ron is responsible for the escalation that's Richard green now the US ambassador to Germany the what we've seen is a number of statements from Europeans certainly here in Germany I'm familiar with whether it's the defense secretary party leaders government spokes people we we've just seen across the board commitment that the escalation is the responsibility of the Iranians and that all of these issues including the rise in terrorism is to be blamed on the Iranian regime we have heard a lot of criticism from Europe though about what seems to be a lack of foresight and the White House about how killing so the money might lead to really bad consequences that's your job right to focus on the negative but I would urge you to also focus on the positive I have a list of positive comments that I haven't heard from radio inter views or or news programs you know I see a lot of news outlets quoting the Iranian regime leaders but the public in Iran the every day people are not allowed to go on Instagram or Twitter invoice they are free opinions although this time something seems to have shifted in Iran I mean these hundreds of thousands of people possibly millions are out in the streets and I know that sometimes they are paid to go out but there's a huge section of these protesters who are very upset that he was killed the general yeah look I I think I would caution you very much to know if you if you are in touch with people who who will send messages like they sent to the embassy in to me personally they are saying that they're not only forced to paint their doors black and look like they are are weeping but they're forced to go out this is a society that if you don't go out then your family suffers right along in this up but in this particular instance it seems that there are many Iranians for hundreds of thousands of Iranians have gone out on the streets willingly it doesn't necessarily mean they support the regime let me let me ask you this ambassador we know that if I look I I need to push back on that because I I I don't I don't believe that just because you see someone in the street in a run that that person is free lead there or we team met at the prospect of stolen money dean killed I think that many people inside of Iran know exactly what's happening and yet they are very afraid well I'm not basing that just on what I'm seeing of we've been speaking with people in Iran and that's when I'm also hearing anyway look I don't want to downplay gentle soul monies crimes that we know he was responsible for hundreds of American deaths and it is possible he was planning an imminent attack on the US forces we haven't seen the evidence yet but can you help us understand how taking so the money out at this moment in time fits into America's strategy in the Mideast look you're not a US diplomat I am a US diplomatic work at the state department what you're asking me is why didn't we look the other way when US diplomats were about to be killed you're asking me and I and I and I think that it's a very I'm asking a meal I'm actually asking why now because we haven't seen the evidence so I don't know what the evidence that your line reporter you're not gonna see the intelligence evidence and to assume that somehow that you are going to see the intelligence evidence I think is contrary to what the way that the government works so the simple fact is that this was a moment where the president of the United States felt very strongly that we could not look the other way we eleven attacks in the last week we've also had our embassy where US diplomats work burned and bombed so I I'm not sure what the question is in terms of should we look the other way when our US embassies overseas overseas are burned and bombed we've been through that before in Libya what what I mean is it a very good idea to look the other way is if you pull up to thirty five thousand feet and you look at the the goal of preventing Iran from getting a nuclear weapon what I'm asking is why now taking out so money how does that help achieve that goal well I'm just telling you that you're thirty five thousand feet question means that you ignore US diplomats about to be killed the assumption in that question is somehow that the Iranians get to act like terrorists and we're just supposed to accept that because the Iranian regime does that and and I think that now I'm actually in the night and they said the other night it was imminent yeah that he doesn't want to allow diplomats allow US personnel to be killed like this he does not want our embassies to be attacked and I'm thankful that we have a president that is willing to make those tough decisions ambassador you were nominated to your position by president trump he campaigned on ending what he calls America's endless wars don't you think we're now at risk of entering another one no I don't because at president trump has made very clear from the very beginning that he wants to bring our troops home that he doesn't want to start wars and that his actions recently to take out so when money is really about stopping these endless wars that we are fighting in the Middle East that defeating terrorism is really the goal Richard good now the US ambassador to Germany speaking with us from Berlin thanks for your time thank you.
"louis lukens" Discussed on X96
"Ninety six dot com slash live what it looks like my doctors and get back to me to them in a maker give me that one I gave her back yeah there's both candidate number two zero or you don't get a prize is but again it and number three well of course he was fired he said the name of he who shall not be named Louis Lukens a US diplomat tells G. Q. he was fired by the state department after a three decade career just just because he relayed a Barack Obama and they go to college students the former US diplomat said he was fired from his job as the deputy chief of mission at the US embassy in London just for mentioning Barack Obama in a speech however GQ magazine reports Lucas was fired in October twenty eighteen after his boss learned he had mentioned Obama in a speech to some students at the time of the speech president trump had recently attacked British leaders like foreign minister for former prime minister rather Theresa may and London mayor city con but in his talk to students Lukens emphasize that allies can disagree in a positive manner to that end Lukens related an anecdote from Obama's twenty thirteen visit to Senegal when a reporter asked the president if he had discussed LGBTQ rights with the Senegalese leader the topic could've been dicey considering the African country criminalizes same sex relationships as a natural but looking to explain that president Obama was able to definitely answer the reporter's question without causing an international incident however a week after that speech ambassador Lukens boss US ambassador woody Johnson a trump political appointee fired Lukens it was just seven months ahead of when Lukens was scheduled to leave for a new assignment the reason they told him up front you mentioned Obama in a speech to those students at okay Boehner Canada number three well of course he was fired he said the name of he who shall not be named all right let's review the first two and vote Boehner Canada number one dark skinned dark uniforms dark ball what what the forty Niners analyst the football analyst radio analyst suspended for saying that the ravens quarterback what's his first name Lamar Jackson who had a had an advantage because of us he had dark skin wearing a dark uniforms and ended footballs dark so you can't even see it great yeah maybe I should miss Boehner candidate number two we have a nurse on staff that's not to take care of people they employees were ill it's to make sure that they're not faking illness that's what that's for and boulder candidate number three well of course he was fired said the name of he who shall not be named all right here we go this is round one of your Boehner's you've got to the side of these three candidates.
"louis lukens" Discussed on WNYC 93.9 FM
"Welcome back to these are coming up next info let New Hope of the kill but first the U. S. national security adviser John Bolton is in London for a visit to meet the new prime minister Boris Johnson Mister Wilson has suggested that the U. K. will be first in line for a trade deal with the U. S. but his remarks have been met with some skepticism it was Lukens was the deputy chief of mission at the US embassy in London until recently this is a huge charm offensive a big attempt I think to rebalance the relationship to reset the relationship based on personalities I think you have to be a little bit careful of someone like John Bolton bearing gifts because this is a very transactional administration as you know and they will want something in return this is not just here we love you we're gonna make life easier for you post brexit there will be a request in return well with me now in the studio is that yes means a Han stuff price of for the Atlantic based here in London is Louis Lukens writes that this is transactional this is a transactional ministration and they're gonna want something in return and if so what I think so absolutely I mean you know you don't get something for nothing certainly from an administration that has put America first I think the promises that Bolton made or not really within his power to gift I think for one thing his promise to do sector by sector trade deals it's not clear if those would even be compatible with WTO rules and crucially even though he said that Congress would give such deals bipartisan support it's that too is not clear just recently house leader Nancy Pelosi expressed concerns about any sort of trade deal that would risk an open border on the island of Ireland paradoxically though a lot of the demands that on the U. S. house for such a trade deal things like agriculture and stuff like that would require a hard borders so you know it he's made a lot of grand promises but it's it's unclear if they have any sort of power to them and when when he talks about sector by sector it's quite obvious that in the areas of agriculture which you've already alluded to but also the financial sector that these are really really difficult things to overcome so what would they deal with us would it be manufacturing I know that he mentioned automobiles as one potential area but yeah I mean as you say there are a number of issues I mean drug prices agriculture as you say tech tech tax taxes on tech companies a litany of issues were these two countries you know have some differences and you don't trade deals are not easy much less ones that are done very quickly and certainly not with and go she Asian as this one is where there would be a clearly more powerful partner in the United States and just briefly what they might want in return is cooperation over issues such as Iran and walk away yes I mean I think it's important to remember that John Bolton is not a trade envoy he's not Bob light light has he is the national security adviser his concerns are Iran are China are flowing and it seems very likely that he is using the prospect of trade deals as something of a lord to Britain to sort of get them closer with the U. S. on foreign policy issues in exchange for a deal that would be favorable to them in which ultimately after brexit they will need yes means on stock prices for the Atlantic based here in London thanks for coming in to the new South Street here you're listening to news out from the BBC Han resit well now full some good news in a development that could transform the fight against the devastating disease it Botha to experimental treatments appear to be working so well they'll be offered to all patients in the Democratic Republic of Congo they can boost survival rates up to ninety percent if administered early doctor Anthony Fauci is the director of the U. S. National Institute of allergy and infectious diseases and he is one of the lead scientist of the trials it's a sea change it's it's really rather transforming because up to now we've only had standard of care namely treating people for their blood loss there fluid loss there will be a system failure now we have two specific treatments that are directed against the virus itself and to meet found she will short time ago I spoke to doctor Sabu a much longer he's the infectious disease researcher at the National Institute for biomedical research in Kinshasa in the DRC and is also an investigation of this trial it reaching studied during the US rake in West Africa where the scientific community realize that the we need treatment against Ebola so that ritual the World Health Organization gather experts to look out the which off the experimental treatments a defense in the development and is it true to say that these trials the therapies that we use save ninety percent of the patients who were newly infected that's a percent yeah this is this about about rates for those who are street early when you get infected you need time for the virus to develop so if you are a new beginning of your disease and you go to look for care and you receive the treatment yeah you are more likely to survive and what would you say was the most challenging part all of the trial did you come across real difficulty in trying to find both of these drugs are going to be effective the setting of this outbreak is already most places very far form you just saw on The Oprah rush without a plan to use so we have to call you names we have a say about and your luck MSF for Lima and orders will run do you put a treatment center so there was a lot of cognition including the Russian state for the record chain because we have to maintain those thrown in the temperature that is required for treatment and that the policy applied was also a challenge but I think of the most because China does we face wheels of the security yes rich and is characterized by a lot though all group and call sheets in fact the treatment center have been attacked street side and also our research team received threats and some of them have been at that too so in addition to the security presumably there is a also the issue of trust there's an awful lost soul of people who don't trust doctors health workers and all really frightened of a boat and therefore will just stay in their homes or carry on as much as they can until they can no more and they won't seek treatment that's we correct all the activity related to the response including contact dressing contact for up the lab old **** the nation or the activity is that was a related to Ebola was not accepted by the population including the treatment this is a virus that has pointed to Africa for many decades and we have seen how devastating it can be how hopeful are you that these new treatments all going to be replicated extensively in order to be able to it rather Kate it boda the statement that thing changed the way that we see the disease because the policy was locker yes and I see all the death sentence when we got the ball about now we have treatment that we believe that the very effective we can change the game we can tell people if you are coming early it was a really a good chance for you to survive but it really has to be an issue of education as well people have to calm as soon as they detect that they have the symptoms it doesn't work as effectively if you all really in the middle of the disease today do we as a corporation that they've been a release form to you but judgment center in Goma which is a big city it was a made yeah there was praise so everybody sort of does station K. M. seek the receipt you demand and now that we did for each of these house a user for the community so I said your response to accept also the deal with the treatment because there is proof I was speaking that to doctor sub yeah a much longer in Kinshasa.
"louis lukens" Discussed on KQED Radio
"I re iterate kia there is no such plan the bill is that Carrie lam added she was open to talking to the protest is but urged people to add their grievances peacefully JD Schneider is senior international editor for Bloomberg news in Hong Kong what does she make of Carrie lambs latest move is the word dad and this is obviously Carrie lam strongest indication so far that she's going to that she's listened I heard about you know from the weeks of mass protests and with John the bill although she stops short of saying she would formally withdraw the bill says she's saying it's dead frankly the legislation has not been moving forward since the mass protests in any case it would have been very difficult to do so the question now is will this be enough to satisfy protesters who have been protesting for weeks now including a demonstration this weekend as well which was not as large as the two previous ones but clearly showed that people are still very frustrated they have the protesters had had demands including the cheese has spent that she basically and the bill withdraw the bill it's complete withdrawal that she resigned in may have other demands as well says this is the question now will this change the situation at all with the protests well Nathan little is one of the main leaders of the protest movement and he addressed that question a short time ago in a BBC interview the protesters are demanding is so completely shelves of that the so if Carrie lam indeed coming out to respond to the demands of the protesters she has to stated very clearly that when that in her words the beast that is equivalent to the bell is shelved of course it has Max one of the major Dimond so old the protesters but I think that is another issue which is the brutality of police is also one of the major concerns because a west witness hello to all staff is stating incidents or a south from the police to the protesters and I thank you this cannot be sold to its very promptly and and justly than our personal safety of the protesters in the future cannot be guaranteed so I think they give them the gift to do now is to set up independent let by judges well investigate to multi off are looking into the police brutality and also on to Seoul on the return problem on political reform that the government should push for what gender on your visit suffrage immediately that's a Hong Kong protest leader at Nathan little president trump has launched a fierce attack on the British government after those private memos by London's ambassador in Washington were published in newspapers in a series of tweets Mr trump criticized the prime minister's handling of brexit and accused to reason may as ignoring his advice he also announced he would no longer deal with the ambassadors to Kim Derek after he described the trump administration as inept insecure and dysfunctional but the U. K. government has said the ambassador has Mrs Mays full support Louis Lukens is a former acting US ambassador to the U. K. Sir Kim is very well liked and well respected in Washington so for the president to say that it's just a little bit false Sir came was doing his job he was reporting back on the dynamics of the personalities in the policies in the White House and doing a good job of that uses extraordinarily effective ambassador let's not forget Theresa may was the first foreign leader to visit the White House one week after inauguration so Sir Kim didn't extraordinary job of promoting UK interests in the United States so the notion that president trump did know him just as make a lot of sense initially Donald Trump didn't rush to react to the critical memos I asked on North America correspondent Peter values what might have changed his mind well we don't know for certain but it looks like he was angered by the prime minister to resume his response to the leaks which was to say that she had full faith in the second dark but didn't agree with him president trump's initial response as you imply was relatively mild he said we're not big fans of thought mon their boss today and he has not serve the U. K. well then why Twitter he said what he was really thinking really a jaw dropping attack saying is of Mrs Mattie talking about brexit what a mess she and her representatives have created I tell her how it should be done but she decided to go another way and on the ambassador he is not like or well photo of within the US we will not no longer deal with him and now we're hearing the ambassador has been banned from a White House dinner how big a deal is that well I think this is the first example of so Kim being given the brush off by the White House everyone was really wondering what it would mean for the U. S. no longer to deal with the ambassador well he's clearly being ostracized by the trump administration in the last few hours as you say he was disinvited from a dinner with the and the of cutter an evening with the US treasury sentry Steve minutia that he's hosting with president Donald Trump and it seems pretty astonishing that the president of the United States would be so critical of the British prime minister especially after we've just had this visit to the U. K. with all the pomp and ceremony yes especially when you think that this is a U. S. president talking about for British prime minister with that country's long time very close relationship president from as you say was recently in the UK for that state visit very high profile so it's quite astonishing that he should say it not tweets good news for the wonderful United Kingdom is that they will soon have a new prime minister and then he also said one I thoroughly enjoyed the magnificent state visit last month it was the queen who was most impressed with he survives the leader of the operation to retrieve the bodies of eight to mountain is killed on India's second highest mountain has called for more climb as to why video cameras it's after footage emerged of some of the team's final moments well all reported Gareth ball I was here so what did these four to charge in many respects in ordering days climbing pristine snow blue skies sunshine the climbers road together for their safety is you don't often see slowly but steadily walking up towards the footage then ends and means authorities said there was a loud noise in the video and the screen went dark like you say the local deputy inspector general of the engine to baton border force once you organize this of a rescue effort once more crime is to use cameras to help in the investigation of instance some sinus I think you meant to or not hi.
"louis lukens" Discussed on KCRW
"Know, the president has previously attacked the prime minister on Twitter attack. The mayor of London. He's attacked the national health service, which is an institution that the British people hold very dear to their hearts, all of those things changed a little bit the dynamic of the relationship and the diplomat. You struggle to explain to the British people that we are equal partners in this relationship when the president United States seems to take pleasure in attacking the institutions in the leaders here. Can you tell me a specific time that you experienced that? Yeah. I mean, there's sort of multiple examples of awkward conversations and a lot of this happens from, from London to Washington, and also from folks in the government here with the embassy sort of same. Why was that said, why was that done? I can't really get into specifics, but is sort of this unhelpful and unnecessary stressor in the relationship, which accomplishes so much on a daily basis. It would be a little bit easier if we didn't have to deal with that. So there's language and there's also policy and on policy, the US and the UK are far apart on climate change on the Iran, nuclear deal on things like international lines, isn't trade agreements. Is it fair to say that the relationship between these two countries has already changed from where it was under other American administrations? What it definitely has changed has changed since the last administration. Now, whether that changes are reversible you, no one can argue that. But again, the prime minister hinted in her press conference about the different approaches on things like climate change in Iran, and the Middle East, and I think is probably the closest friends. And partners in the world. We're able to speak frankly, with each other and have Frank discussions about policy differences. But I think we have a higher level of policy differences now than we've seen for a very long time in the special relationship. That's Louis Lukens. He was the second in command at the US embassy in London. He's now head of Caspian strategies. Thank you for joining us today. Thank you..