31 Burst results for "Larry Sabato"
President Biden Officially Recognizes "Armenian Genocide"
"Today marks 160 years since a million and a half Armenians were killed in Turkey. President Biden formally declared the killings genocide the first U. S president to do so. Political analyst Larry Sabato says it could hurt relations with a key ally has gone all the way here and no doubt Turkey will be very unhappy. It's hard for people to blaze since this was a century or Maura, go But it is quite sensitive for both Turks
Congress overrides Trump's veto for first time
"Votes in both houses, Congress overrides President Trump's veto of a defense policy and spending bill. You've a political science professor Larry Sabato can't please trump. But it's a reminder that his power ebbs completely in just 19 days for the first
House Republicans join with Democrats to override Trump's veto of defence bill
"On Capitol Hill Lane. Dark House did something neither House of Congress has done before and the Trump era. It gave Mr Trump a big defeat on a defense spending bill he vetoed because of some unrelated issues. You've a political science professor Larry Sabato. This is Not only the first successful veto override in Trump's entire presidency, but a very substantial number of Republicans sided with the Democrats. Question now is will not carry over into the U. S Senate, which would have to vote the same way to actually pass the defense authorization despite the presidential veto. Tom Foti CBS NEWS Washington
"larry sabato" Discussed on 1947: The Meet the Press Podcast
"Worse than in two thousand sixteen. Why would say amy I just pulled in California Biden is leading is narrow he only had a thirty six point. Only Warren harding one by more points in California. I think forty was his win to take that Larry I thought that was a good a good good piece of Trivia for eight hundred twenty. I remember it chuck I was. But Larry think about this amy Larry Just said Virginia Tad. We're looking at thirty six bide Mike Clear seventy. Okay. It in California. I. Could could buy win the popular vote by seven or eight points, and we still see all the battleground states decided by less than three. Yes. Certainly good I mean that's the thing. Thing that. I'm trying to prepare people for the. To The ride Utah to speak close a blowout meaning week, we could take up eighty percent hundred percent. Look at Iowa Florida North Carolina Georgia. Five and get fifty two in any of them. I think he can get close to that. Sure but you can also see it being he may win all of them, but you could also see a scenario chuck where he doesn't any of those you know the North Carolina, Florida Georgia Texas Ohio, and it comes down once again to like we saw in two thousand eighteen Pennsylvania Wisconsin and Michigan Arizona turning blue by decent if not narrowing margins you know. I went back chuck and I looked at going back to nineteen eighty the the final the margin of the popular vote and then the electoral vote percentage for the winning candidate. So let's go back and look for example two, thousand, eight. So Obama wins fifty, three, forty, six. Now that is a reasonable number to think we could see in twenty twenty right largest income at Democratic victory. Since nineteen thirty to the regular. Okay. So he got three hundred, sixty, five electoral votes with that. He got sixty eight percent of the electoral college with fifty three percents by Biden. That's my realistic biden concealing yes. I I would agree and then you know you look at. Of course a ten point late, one, thousand, nine, hundred, eighty, which a lot of folks. Like to point. To compare to compare this year two, thousand, nine, hundred, eighty when a ten point victory for Reagan got him. Four hundred eighty nine electoral votes, right? So we're not we're not at that. But it's I think it's realistic to think that. Yes. Somewhere over three hundred is certainly plausible but getting into the four hundreds. Without both Texas and Georgia right. Larry. I I don't I don't think he'll reach four, hundred I think he he could easily get mid three fifties and you know just going back. I. Saw that same poll you saw. In. California plus thirty six. And my first reaction or that's goodness news for Biden, and then my second reaction was that's terrible news for might. Running up the popular vote in eat league blue states and this is true in other Places York New Jersey Illinois he's getting higher percentages than Hillary Clinton did in the places where he doesn't need the votes engine trump to win the electoral college again more easily but Mike Garcia won't win. That's It you know in a you're at I'm being slightly facetious but you get my point there. It does have a meaning down about. Yeah and that's really the question chuck when you were asking about, is there a district or part of the country where the president's doing better today than he did in two thousand sixteen I'm very curious to see if what we're seeing in the polling about trump's strength with Latino voters really does materialize, and in that case, you know some of these Central Valley districts again, he's not GonNa win them but improve on his margins there or Rio Grande valley or something like that you know like in the Texas twenty-three, not not clear that that's going to going to hold out but that's definitely one place where I would look. Let me go into the mid West and that is we see that that the president and it's really a financial reason that he's having to do this they've decided. Look. Let's see if we have to pretend, we have to find pat without. Florida. which I think says, a lot I think the month the Bloomberg money is having an impact they feel overwhelmed. So at this point there, they wanNA roll the dice. Michigan and Wisconsin do either one of the neither one of them look like they're going to move when four years ago both of them looked. Certainly looked like they were hard. They were reaches for trump, but they seem like bigger reaches now. I fear were missing something Larry What do you fear and what do you see? My fear is summarized that old acronym PTSD and I think we all feel that way and you're absolutely right. I look at Wisconsin I. Look at Michigan Look at Pennsylvania and I wonder you know in the beginning of this cycle. I thought Michigan would be the easy pickup for the Democratic nominee. Biden or somebody else. L Look like. Your look like that and Wisconsin would be tougher and. Tougher, and now it's it's starting to look like Michigan is the toughest one of the three although you could argue, Pennsylvania still the toughest. But Wisconsin, if we're to believe the surveys that are being produced and I don't believe one this morning that had plus seventeen. In. Wisconsin for by then. I, think you do ask those questions? Is there a hidden stronger rural vote that's going to produce not just larger numbers but also a larger percentage for trump getting back to our question about where he might do better than he did in two thousand sixteen. So look we're all prepared for surprises. We have to be especially after the last time, but you know at at a certain point. And keep in mind we have had more surveys and good surveys formed survey in many of these states, sometimes two and a half to one compared to twenty sixteen like Wisconsin. We have a lot more to go on. We do you know amy I wonder if the Michigan situated the reason, there's been stability there in the numbers meaning it's never feels like in the last couple of months, it's by never been able to leave bigger than six or seven. Is that James. Campaigns pretty strong down the balance in the Senate pack. The Senate Republican packs are in that state way that they're not. There isn't that kind of extra help in Wisconsin for trump there isn't that kind of extra help in Pennsylvania. I just wonder how much James Campaign has been. Does it provide almost like an artificial floor that is kept trump more competitive than maybe maybe it should be you know that's really interesting. I've been thinking about that with Iowa to right where the Biden campaign not right right I think. that. You know that the fact that Greenfield and the SEC in all the outside groups are in there helping the Democratic Senate candidate is probably helping Biden and all the money that's been pouring into the house races in Texas and the legislative races in Texas. Again, those are all going to suburban Houston Dallas. Also boosting biden bright normally the top the. Lower down on the ticket folks are desperate for the presidential candidate to come in. But in this case, there's enough money coming from the down ballot.
"larry sabato" Discussed on 1947: The Meet the Press Podcast
"Sabah's Crystal Ball Haney and Larry Welcome to the todd cast I. I I gotta I gotTa start with this Amy Walter. It's six days when we're speaking right now and I'm still just sort of Joe Biden is not in a battleground state today. Let me repeat six days before the election by not in a battleground state unless he accidentally crosses the Delaware today. and Go, drop off a piece of mail. Okay I know in is kind of remarkable. Truck when we think about all of our past election experiences, right they involve both candidates. Crisscrossing, the state the states are crisscrossing the country in a last ditch effort and we know empirically chuck that. Those. More likely than not help the candidate feel better and are they're just burning off anxious energy than actually swinging votes one way or the other right that there? Yes it's. It's great I think in in a show of a sort of a last minute a push into a state to say you know if this means we win by one thousand votes because I got to that state at the end That's great. But in this era beyond the pandemic. In this era where people are getting their news from all kinds of sources, this whole trope of gotta go into a state to get you know on the local news broadcasts for the eleven o'clock show I don't think it holds as much weight as at once dead. Now that's for sure and we're not going to get the the twenty five thousand show up in Madison for Bruce Springsteen Allah John Kerry. Look at look at this turn out you know to. Right, Larry Sabato, there's something about Joe Biden's campaign that feels like a throwback. Doesn't it. It is sort of a you know he and maybe that's one way of staying maybe not campaigning today as a way of staying on message right? Well you began this campaign that way and he's ending it this way. I always say the one st I'm absolutely sure of is vines GonNa Carry Delaware because he's been so many during the campaign but look I think it's wise I think what they've done is absolutely correct given the circumstances of this election year and first of all, there's a pandemic Biden is what seventy seven getting ready to turn seventy eight it's nothing to fool around with when you're. Older says guys pushing seventy So I understand that part of it but the most important thing is Joe. Biden can make mistakes we think through his career is that a long long long career, but he has made lots of verbal gaffes. So you know you can't get in trouble for things. You don't say that's a really important lesson in politics and Biden, his learned it over and over. So look there are Democrats who are worrying that by sending the last days in Georgia Arizona Texas you're there are because they remember Hillary Clinton. Not Going to Wisconsin Etcetera but this is a very different race very different race. Well, let's talk about. reading some tea leaves here and I'm going to start I'm going to start sort of geographically from what I know about your own, both of your own where were you guys have spent time in your lives and you know stuff? Well, so I because they're unique state. So Larry let me just start with this look we know which way Virginia's GonNa go but I guess the bit but because Virginia's an early reporting state it, there is some tea leaves to read that could tell us about the national dynamic. So give me one me one thing you'll look for in the Virginia turnout in the Virginia presidential that you think could give us a hint at what's happening national. Well, a off air we were talking about the Fifth District, which is actually where Charlottesville lives though it isn't like Charlottesville at all. It's a giant district stretching from northern Virginia the way to the North Carolina border, and it's eleven twelve point Republican district should go for trump easily that's very much in question if he carries an all, it'll be by a few. And that incredibly is a district that may turn over the turn over to the Democrats at certainly close race because the Republicans nominated somebody way to the right they tossed out an incumbent Republican congressman WHO's a moderate? So I would say look to the fifth because if you're. Sitting on pins and needles down get out. Virginia. Virginia is going varies all I. Mean it's much better than for Hillary Clinton she wasn't. Digits. Yes I do I think it goes in? Around in. So maybe it's nine maybe it's eleven but this isn't even vaguely close. Yeah. Amy I'm going to start I know you have unique. You spend some time in south. Carolina. You get to see that. you spent some time down there and I know you've had different experiences in. Pennsylvania. So let me start with those two states. What what's something to watch for in South Carolina? That might give you a hint that's also an early reporting state. It is a lot of folks I think have been looking at the first district and notably. So because that's the district that Democrats picked up in two thousand and eighteen and I, think all of us at the beginning of the twenty twenty cycle thought well, that's one of those seats that you pick up in a wave year but probably lose it in traditional D-, presidential your turn out. But the Democrat there has been running really strong campaign. He's favored to win pretty easily So I'm I'm very curious to see the margins in that district for trump and Biden because what we've been seeing and hearing is That it's not just that you know the Democratic candidates ahead in that district so that the race at the presidential level is also tied their and that's you know that I can't remember what exactly the trump number was there but it certainly was five to ten points and and that's what we're seeing all over the country truck at the at the congressional level. You know we've been talking to pollsters for awhile now on both sides that say you know whatever trump got here in twenty-six he's polling somewhere between five and ten points low were and you know can survive in some of these red states with trump getting a lower margin but. In other places like Pennsylvania, for example, you can't because it's not just the philly suburbs where Biden is running really strong. It's also a been northeastern Pennsylvania and near Harrisburg and in you know in and around where. Connor Lamb, all those kinds of candidates were successful. So that's where trump really needs. To run up the score and hope that maybe these congressional district polls are missing something for him. Larry can you identify one state or Congressional district where trump is stronger than he was four years ago? Now that that's pushing maybe maybe something in Alabama. He's I. Mean That's The reason I this is one of the ways I check myself right? which is. Forget the numbers airman. Where is he strunk? And I can't think of many examples and the reason I picked Alabama was not just out of air. I keep seeing surveys both congressional district in statewide that show him doing even better than what was twenty points I think he wanted by in two sixteen. So among hard core conservatives and where the evangelical population is large, trump is proved himself and they're going to reward him. But the problem is they don't have anything near majority the votes. So you know it's tough for trump to to make advances I think he's trying to to skim by with one or two percent and a lot of these states hoping that he can cobble together an Electoral College Jordi again acknowledging is is people ain't GonNa win the popular vote is he's GonNa lose it worse much.
"larry sabato" Discussed on The Chuck ToddCast: Meet the Press
"One of our favorites newsletters Sabah's Crystal Ball Haney and Larry Welcome to the todd cast I. I I gotta I gotTa start with this Amy Walter it's six days when we're speaking right now and I'm still just sort of Joe Biden is not in a battleground state today. Let me repeat six days before the election by not in a battleground state unless he accidentally crosses the Delaware today. and Go, drop off a piece of mail. Okay. I know in is kind of remarkable. Truck when we think about all of our past election experiences, right they involve both candidates. Crisscrossing the state the states are crisscrossing the country in a last ditch effort and we know empirically chuck that. Those More likely than not help the candidate feel better and are there just burning off anxious energy than actually swinging votes one way or the other right that there? Yes it's. It's great. I think in in a show of a sort of a last minute a push into a state to say you know if this means we win by one thousand votes because I got to that state at the end That's great. But in this era beyond the pandemic. In this era where people are getting their news from all kinds of sources. This whole trope of gotta go into a state to get you know on the local news broadcasts for the eleven o'clock show. I don't think it holds as much weight as at once dead now that's for sure and we're not going to get the the twenty five thousand show up in Madison for Bruce Springsteen Allah John Kerry look at look at this turn out you know days. Right Larry Sabato. There's something about Joe Biden's campaign that feels like a throwback. Doesn't it? It is sort of a you know he and maybe that's one way of staying maybe not campaigning today as a way of staying on message. Right? Well. You began this campaign that way and he's ending it this way. I always say the one st I'm absolutely sure of is vines GonNa Carry Delaware because he's been so many during the campaign but look I think it's wise I think what they've done is absolutely correct given the circumstances of this election year, and first of all, there's a pandemic Biden is what seventy seven getting ready to turn seventy eight it's nothing to fool around with when you're. Older says guys pushing seventy So I, understand that part of it but the most important thing is Joe Biden can make mistakes we think through his career is that a long long long career, but he has made lots of verbal gaffes. So you know you can't get in trouble for things. You don't say that's a really important lesson in politics and Biden his learned it over and over. So look there are Democrats who are worrying that by sending the last days in Georgia Arizona Texas you're there are because they remember Hillary Clinton not going to Wisconsin Etcetera but this is a very different race very different race. Well, let's talk about. reading some tea leaves here and I'm going to start I'm going to start sort of geographically from what I know about your own, both of your own where were you guys have spent time in your lives and you know stuff? Well, so I because they're unique state. So Larry let me just start with this look we know which way Virginia's GonNa go but I guess the bit but because Virginia's an reporting state it, there is some tea leaves to read that could tell us about the national dynamic. So give me one me one thing you'll look for in the Virginia turnout in the Virginia presidential that you think could give us a hint at what's happening national. Well, a off air we were talking about the Fifth District, which is actually where Charlottesville lives though it isn't like Charlottesville at all. It's a giant district stretching from northern Virginia the way to the North Carolina border, and it's eleven twelve point Republican district should go for trump easily that's very much in question if he carries an all, it'll be by a few points and that incredibly is a district that may turn over to turn over to the Democrats at certainly close race because the Republicans nominated somebody way to the right they tossed out an incumbent Republican congressman who's a moderate so I would say look to the fifth because if you`re Sitting on pins and needles down get out Virginia Virginia is going varies all I. Mean it's much better than for Hillary Clinton she wasn't. Digits. I think it goes in. Around in. So maybe it's nine maybe it's eleven but this isn't even vaguely close. Yeah. Amy I'm going to start I know you have unique. You spend some time in South Carolina you get to see that. you spent some time down there and I know you've had different experiences in. Pennsylvania. So let me start with those two states. What what's something to watch for in South Carolina. That might give you a hint that's also an early reporting state. It is a lot of folks I think have been looking at the first district and notably. So because that's the district that Democrats picked up in two thousand and eighteen and I think all of us at the beginning of the twenty twenty cycle thought. Well, that's one of those seats that you pick up in a wave year but probably lose it in traditional D- Presidential your turn out but the Democrat there has been running really strong campaign he's favored to win pretty easily so I'm I'm very curious to see the margins in that district for trump and Biden because what we've been seeing and hearing is that It's not just that you know the Democratic candidates ahead in that district so that the race at the presidential level is also tied their and that's you know that I can't remember what exactly the trump number was there but it certainly was five to ten points and and that's what we're seeing all over the country truck at the at the congressional level. You know we've been talking to pollsters for awhile now on both sides that say you know whatever trump got here in two thousand sixteen he's polling somewhere between five and ten points low were and you know can survive in some of these red states with trump getting a lower margin but. In. Other places like Pennsylvania for example, you can't because it's not just the philly suburbs where Biden is running really strong. It's also a been northeastern Pennsylvania and near Harrisburg and in you know in and around where. Connor lamb. All those kinds of candidates were successful. So that's where trump really needs. To run up the score and hope that maybe these congressional district polls are missing something for him. Larry, can you identify one state or Congressional district where trump is stronger than he was four years ago? Now that that's pushing maybe maybe something in Alabama. He's I mean, that's The reason I this is one of the ways I check myself right which is. Forget the numbers airman. Where is he strunk?.
"larry sabato" Discussed on WTOP
"Is CBS News on the hour your home for original reporting. On that Piper in New York. Hurricane Delta made landfall near Creole, Louisiana tonight and though it has been downgraded it continues to pack a punch. WWL Dave Cohen, the National Hurricane Center says Delta came ashore with 100 Mile an hour top sustained winds, Louisiana Governor John Bell, Edwards says even though it's losing its punch over land, it's still creating havoc in Louisiana. The fact that it's weakening you're not Calls anyone to lose focus are to lose vigilance. The National Hurricane Center says Parts of Louisiana could see more than 15 inches of rain, causing inundating life threatening flooding. Dave Cohen for CBS News NEW Orleans A day after both President Trump and Joe Biden dropped out of it next week's presidential debate, what was to be the second has been canceled by the commission that puts them on Political analyst from the University of Virginia, Larry Sabato. Given the tenor of the first debate, it may be for the best. I don't know how many Americans will miss it. They certainly didn't like the first debate, and, uh, it's just a bad memory. So I had a second. We still have the third debate. If it ever happens, we'll we'll see. I don't think anybody's Gonna be shocked if that one's canceled to President Trump says he is medication free. One week after he was hospitalized with Koven 19. He was on Fox News tonight for what the White House described as an on air medical evaluation, conductive remotely by a fox contributing doctor, But I think the big secret for me was I get there very early. And you know, I think it would have gotten a lot worse. One of the doctors said he thought it would have gotten a lot worse. He's holding an outdoor event at the White House tomorrow where 2000 people have been invited. Visiting Boston and Cambridge, Massachusetts. White House Coronavirus Task Force coordinator Dr Deborah Berke said she's seeing signs of silence spread in the Northeast W B z T V. S Christina Hager works says households are her biggest concern where the masks come off where we interact with family and friends. And we let our guard down and those become spreading events and so to the communities that are seeing upticks. Please bring that same discipline that you're bringing to the public spaces. Into your household. Michigan.
"larry sabato" Discussed on 1947: The Meet the Press Podcast
"Cheque's doing absolutely much better with older voters but that's fine. If he was doing as well among Latino voters in African American voters but what trump did last time in the two thousand, sixteen election with African. American voters he siphoned off eight percent of right that that's that's big and if you continued again doing the Karl Rove strategy where you just chip away at different voters, it's going to be very big challenge because in Florida, you're going to need all the voters to it. He'll. Gallup show. To meet twenty two ND governor's Race Ranger. Gillam. Carry Volcanic Jackson Something Hillary Clinton did. But he lost up but only one Miami by by a smaller margin then. Day County by smaller version that hell. I mean, it'd be last four, hundred, thirteen thousand votes almost a by about the fame. Jeff. Walk up to. Florida where just that one percent skim off the top can make the difference between winning and losing stay. Exactly right in I. Wonder if they should be making not just specimen Florida Florida's impossibly hard to to get I think for the. Democrats. But it's might I would encourage them to look at other opportunities in check you know what to say I encourage them to look at Texas Tech How would you agree? With all the money you've spent in Florida at this point. Right, at this stage of the game I, hear you on Texas long-term but at this stage of the game were spend your money. I'll share with you. We are right now registered. Registered voter in Texas. It's twenty one dollars for us to register Texan. It's six. Is it Because this same. Atmosphere in Kostic anxiety that Latinos faced in Virginia. In Nevada in Colorado in Arizona and California way back in the way under Peterson. The those that same perfect environment along with meeting a new youth that is aging into the population is happening in. Texas. You have two point, five, million unregistered Latino Youth. Five hundred thousand of them who heard a president call their families in loved ones, rapists and criminals who also are witnessing? s before that was signed into law by by Abbott that basically allows any official to question a school aged child with her American. The stuff is happening in Texas is much more akin to what? Folks in Arizona felt under sp one, seventy, one eighty-seven than what we saw than what Floridians are feeling right now, there's a different type of exile city that is really happening in Texas. is again more akin to the other states that swung bending floored. A compelling case, it's a compelling case. Vital question is. Do you. See Biden campaign doesn't have a money issue. Do Do they know their problem? Do they have the ability to address it? I think they're starting to bring in the right people and having these conversations. The challenge is that the game is not one on the traditional airwaves we're used to. It's it's one in the nooks and crannies of the Internet. It's one in the Nixon crannies of peer to peer what's up conversations, and they need to get up to speed to that because that is where people are sharing information. That is where people are using each other validations, eaters of information whether it's right or wrong, and the people that you're going to swing are paying attention by the influencers of their network online versus. The traditional Spanish language medium. Well we shall see like I said, I'm guessing Florida Bowl served as a interesting alarm. Lot Fox. Sports Talk Ryan. Theresa Kamara CEO. Voter. Latino. Expertise. Thanks. You've been listening to the Chuck Todd cast from meet the press. Today's episode was produced by Justice Screen and met Rivera John Recent Research Steve Look ties the head of podcast for NBC News Our theme Music composed by spoke media. You can catch meet the press daily on MSNBC every at one, pm eastern about..
"larry sabato" Discussed on The Chuck ToddCast: Meet the Press
"Cheque's doing absolutely much better with older voters, but that's fine if he was doing as well among Latino voters in African American voters. But what trump did last time in the two thousand sixteen election with African American voters he siphoned off eight percent of right that that's that's big and if you continued again doing the Karl Rove strategy where you just chip away at different voters, it's going to be very big challenge because in Florida, you're going to need all the voters to it. He'll. Gallup show. To, meet twenty two governor's Race Ranger Gillam carry volcanic Jacksonville, something, Hillary, Clinton did. But he lost up but only one Miami by by a smaller margin than. By smaller version than hell. I. Mean It'd be last four, hundred, thirteen thousand votes almost a by about the fame. Jeff. Walk Up to Florida where just that one percent skim off the top can make the difference between winning and losing stay. Exactly. Right. In I wonder if they should be making not just specimen, Florida Florida's possibly hard to to get I think for the Democrats but it's might I would encourage them to look at other opportunities in check. You know what to say I encourage them to look at Texas Tech How would you agree? With all the money you've spent in Florida at this point. Right, at this stage of the game, I, hear you on Texas long-term but at this stage of the game were spend your money. I'll share with you. We are right now registered. Registered voter in Texas. It's twenty one dollars for us to register Texan. It's six. Is it. Because this same. Atmosphere in Kostic anxiety that Latinos faced in Virginia. In Nevada in Colorado in Arizona and California way back in the way under people send. The those that same perfect environment along with meeting a new youth that is aging into the population is happening in Texas. You have two point five, million unregistered Latino Youth. Five hundred thousand of them who heard a president call their families in loved ones, rapists and criminals who also are witnessing s before that was signed into law by by Abbott that basically allows any official to question a school aged child with her American the stuff is happening in Texas is much more akin to what? Folks in Arizona felt under sp one, seventy, one eighty-seven than what we saw than what Floridians are feeling right now, there's a different type of anxiety that is really happening in Texas. Is Again, more akin to the other states that swung bending floored. Case it's a compelling case vital question is. Do you see Biden campaign doesn't have a money issue. Do Do they know their problem? Do they have the ability to address it? I think they're starting to bring in the right people and having these conversations. The challenge is that the game is not one on the traditional airwaves we're used to. It's it's one in the nooks and crannies of the Internet. It's one in the Nixon crannies of peer to peer what's up conversations, and they need to get up to speed to that because that is where people are sharing information. That is where people are using each other validations, eaters of information whether it's right or wrong, and the people that you're going to swing are paying attention by the influencers of their network online versus. The traditional Spanish language medium. Well, we shall see like I. Said I'm guessing Florida Bowl served as a interesting alarm lot Fox. Sports Talk? and. Theresa Kamara CEO Voter Latino. Excuse. Thanks. You've been listening to the Chuck Todd cast from meet the press. Today's episode was produced by Justice Screen and met Rivera John Research check producer Steve. Look. Ties the head of PODCAST FOR NBC News Our theme Music composed. By spoke media you can catch meet the press daily on MSNBC every at one PM eastern about..
Biden clinches 2020 Democratic nomination
"Former vice president Joe Biden formally clinching the democratic presidential nomination last night is states that held primaries earlier this week tallied their mail in ballots Larry Sabato the director of the center for politics at the university of Virginia on Biden's wind when the year started things look pretty good for Donald Trump it was possible he could lose but it didn't seem all that likely very difficult to beat an incumbent in a time of peace and prosperity well guess what we had abandoned we had an economic collapse now we have racial unrest in cities all across the United States you put those three together and the best strategy for Joe Biden maybe a low key stretch which fits in pretty well Biden securing more than the one thousand nine hundred ninety one delegates he needed to win the nomination that general elections coming up on November
"larry sabato" Discussed on Here & Now
"You say the Virginia <Speech_Male> is reliably <Speech_Male> blue this year or <Silence> is it still a purple state? <Speech_Male> I <Speech_Male> like to <Speech_Male> say it's a purple <Speech_Male> state that is <Speech_Male> tinged blue. <Speech_Male> I'm <Speech_Male> a little less convinced <Speech_Male> than some others. <Speech_Male> That Virginia will <Speech_Male> always vote democratic. <Speech_Male> It has <Speech_Male> moved into Democratic <Speech_Male> Direction. <Speech_Male> Obviously the last <Speech_Male> statewide <Speech_Male> election that Republicans <Speech_Male> one was in <Speech_Male> two thousand nine <Speech_Male> so it it <Speech_Male> leans democratic. <Speech_Male> But it's important <Speech_Male> to remember. Hillary <Speech_Male> Clinton only <Speech_Male> one Virginia <Speech_Male> with shade under <Speech_Male> fifty percent. <Speech_Male> So maybe Virginia's <Speech_Male> a couple points <Speech_Male> more democratic <Speech_Male> than <Speech_Male> the rest of the country <Speech_Male> on average. <Speech_Male> But that doesn't <Speech_Male> mean it will always <Speech_Male> vote. Democratic. <Speech_Male> The candidates <Speech_Male> matter <Speech_Male> and Democrats <Speech_Male> cannot assume <Speech_Male> anything <Speech_Male> about Virginia. <Speech_Male> Were a lot of <SpeakerChange> other swing <Speech_Male> states. <Speech_Male> Larry Sabato well. We <Speech_Male> have you one more thing while <Speech_Male> we're talking Virginia politics. <Speech_Male> How's everything <Speech_Male> going with <Speech_Male> Governor Northam? <Speech_Male> Who was all <Speech_Male> over the headlines <Speech_Male> because of <Speech_Male> the black face <Speech_Male> incident that <Speech_Male> he he was found in <Speech_Male> photograph showing? He <Speech_Male> was in black face <Speech_Male> Years ago <Speech_Male> he seems <Speech_Male> to have <SpeakerChange> survived <Speech_Male> that he's not <Speech_Male> only survived. He's <Speech_Male> prospering. <Speech_Male> The fascinating <Speech_Male> thing about <Speech_Male> north is <Speech_Male> he <Speech_Male> has been buoyed <Speech_Male> by the fact <Speech_Male> that Virginia has <Speech_Male> become more democratic <Speech_Male> and <Speech_Male> took over the legislature. <Speech_Male> A lot of <Speech_Male> that's due to Donald Trump. <Speech_Male> The reaction to <Speech_Male> trump here is about <Speech_Male> the negative as you can <Speech_Male> get <Speech_Male> And so Democrats <Speech_Male> took over <Speech_Male> both houses of <Speech_Male> the legislature <Speech_Male> and they have past <Speech_Male> twenty <Speech_Male> five years <Speech_Male> of legislation <Speech_Male> that had been building <Speech_Male> up in the hopper <Speech_Male> but couldn't <Speech_Male> be passed because <Speech_Male> you either had <Speech_Male> a republicans <Speech_Male> in charge of one <Speech_Male> or both houses <Speech_Male> of the legislature <Speech_Male> or there was a Republican <Speech_Male> Governor. <Speech_Male> Democrats now <Speech_Male> control <Speech_Male> everything. <Speech_Male> Janet and North <Speech_Male> and has become a <Speech_Music_Male> historic governor <Speech_Music_Male> amazingly after <Speech_Music_Male> almost <Speech_Music_Male> <Advertisement> being forced to resign. <Speech_Music_Male> <Advertisement> That <Speech_Music_Male> <Advertisement> Larry Sabato. Who's <Speech_Music_Male> <Advertisement> director of the University <Speech_Music_Male> <Advertisement> of Virginia Center <Speech_Music_Male> <Advertisement> for Politics? <Speech_Music_Male> <Advertisement> Thanks <SpeakerChange> so much <Speech_Music_Male> <Advertisement> for joining us. Thank <Speech_Music_Male> <Advertisement> you <Music> <Music> <Advertisement> <Music> <Advertisement> <Music> <Advertisement> <Music> <Advertisement> <Music> <Music> <Music> <Music> <Music> <Music> <Music> <Advertisement> <Speech_Music_Male> <Advertisement> <SpeakerChange> <Speech_Music_Male> <Advertisement> <Speech_Music_Male> <Advertisement> your now's <Speech_Music_Male> <Advertisement> a production of NPR <Speech_Music_Male> <Advertisement> WBZ you are. <Speech_Music_Female> I'm Jeremy Hobson <Speech_Music_Female> and tiny Moseley. <Speech_Music_Female> This is <SpeakerChange> here now. <Music>
"larry sabato" Discussed on 760 KFMB Radio
"Dot com Larry Sabato who is not exactly a conservative professor he's you know he's the go to guy a lot of the networks to find ways he's a professor of politics and and he just with a little bit ago I keep encountering damn voters who like Mike Bloomberg because he's been endorsed by Barack Obama fake news and the power of saturation TV ads makes the point because as again if you just see that you assume that's a fresh new thing where Obama saying great things about how wonderful Bloomberg yes that's several years old hello then until Barbara did not use that in their book he doesn't like Joe by we know this and he certainly doesn't like Bernie Sanders because he doesn't think he's elected not disagrees with this policy so much he just doesn't think he can be a collectible and so maybe he maybe she turns to Bloomberg because no one else is but as long as you're out this go going on in the olden days some of them didn't like this would say something like please stop using a I have no right now I think is going to cause his guide devol Patrick was in and out the other day never got off the ground for the nomination Obama liked him doesn't like bite isn't endorsing bye bye was on a door sing anybody at the moment we'll see other plays out by the way breaking news president trump is expected has commuted the sentence of former Illinois governor rod Blagojevich who's a Democrat he of the big hair who is serving fourteen years for corruption so there's a bipartisan thing down not a love that you are total as well as the forty Niners yeah yeah interesting interesting timing and all of that is so Democrats and Jerry rice and Jerry rice African American was saying nice things about trump pardoning depart depart a lot so this is a weird day in the divided era it is one in other words it's called Tuesday because tomorrow be we're still the same stuff thank you thank you doctor Larson for brick that is insured by the way and thank you which which one the public well that's weird stories frightening now doctor Larson all that is right well that was a good story it it yeah I could have done it I could have said of the trainees the operating room back in nineteen ninety eight whatever was that they might that take them and in two thousand to have been there a few times at some of these were like ever they just assumed I was a doctor and that would you like to assist in the search I kind of thought Hey let's give it a shot to me is the apple now on to you and take very much research to find that many people believe that their understating the death from this my role is to see some of those there's a guy miles him or was talking about this yesterday afternoon here on seven sixty bed one of the guys used to work for the union Tribune that Jim a he labeling this he's over there in Beijing and he's been the in Beijing we're not talking Wuhan about what a ghost town is in so many respects and you you don't and now one hand you can say they're really cracking down and being careful it also sends a message that it's a whole lot worse there than they are admitting and of course she's in paying the top guy who sees himself as a modern day mile can't control this which drives of nuts he also apparently knew about the contagion reaching this this horrible point two weeks earlier than when anything came out so that's that's all the Chinese government works boys and girls thanks Tom Tom double Carl political vanguard dot com doctor Larson we'll see you next time right thanks time at the tone we have the time to come back ten fifty AM some sixty talk and breaking news San Diego air and space museum in Balboa park has all but two new simulator rides the latest most cutting edge simulator rides a lot of fun and when you walk in there if you've been other museums you know it's easy to say to museum visit once in our lifetime and it'll be kind of an interesting but kind of quiet and boring place first thing you notice when you get to San Diego air and space museum it says on the front door enter for fun bighero enter for fun one with the purpose of course to learn in science technology engineering master's justices Hey let's go to the museum have some fun get the Balboa park explore pass that's good for all kinds of fun at sixteen different attractions including air and space you get a right there at the museum and use that same day great value great way to save a lot of money and enjoy all of Balboa park whenever you want to enjoy it there's also space our greatest adventure which includes now the biggest collection of space history and a lot of projections as to where we're going I just stopped backed up SpaceX the next couple of months as they'll send humans into space were back to this brave new era you find out where we were to get to this point how the pioneers did it what we know where we're going you see the real Apollo nine all of these things are right there in the middle of the San Diego air and space museum space our greatest adventure so if you want to see the future that's another reason to go but when you go through the museum you'll notice it's not quiet there's a lot going on there's no oyster stirs videos playing this interactive fun that's the difference it is overall fun San Diego air and space museum Balboa park online San Diego air and space dot org you're listening to mark Larson on eighty M. seven sixty talk and breaking news it's a decent drive really don't have much to worry about little.
Elizabeth Warren gets coveted Iowa newspaper endorsement
"Presidential race in Ohio is heating up senator Elizabeth Warren picked up a coveted endorsement from the des Moines register Larry Sabato director of the center for politics at the university of Virginia says he thinks the endorsement will help in most places newspaper endorsements don't mean much anymore but there are exceptions and one of the exceptions is in Iowa among Democrats the des Moines register is seen as a more liberal democratic paper so they have disproportionate influence with Democrats who read that paper assiduously so I think it will help where the caucuses get under way a week from
Elizabeth Warren gets coveted Iowa newspaper endorsement
"As the democratic presidential race in Iowa is heating up senator Elizabeth Warren has picked up a coveted endorsement from the des Moines register Larry Sabato director of the center for politics at the university of Virginia says he thinks the endorsement will help in most places newspaper endorsements don't mean much anymore but there are exceptions and one of the exceptions is in Iowa among Democrats the des Moines register is seen as a more liberal democratic paper so they have disproportionate influence with Democrats who read that paper assiduously so I think it will help where carcasses get under way a week from
Here's how much each 2020 candidate raised in the 4th quarter
"At a whopping war chest for presidential candidate Bernie Sanders a Vermont Democrat raising thirty four and a half million in the final quarter of last year mayor Pete raising twenty four point seven Andrew Yang raising sixteen and a half CBS political analyst Larry Sabato says Sanders numbers here for fund raising puts him in position to compete with pretty much any other candidate except for the billionaires who joined lakes the only candidates he wouldn't be able to compete with our Michael Bloomberg and Tom sire because they're billionaires and they're essentially spending their own fortunes but I think among the candidates raising money there's no question that that Sanders is the winner also today Julian Castro dropped out of the twenty twenty presidential race saying he suspending his campaign so how much is the incumbent rains for his reelection bid here's ABC's Karen Travers with that president trump's reelection campaign announced it raised forty six million dollars in the last quarter of twenty nineteen its biggest hall so far the campaign says it has just over one hundred two million dollars in cash on hand setting up the president with a massive war chest ahead of this year's election campaign says that forty six million dollar figure does not include funds raised by the RNC or any authorized chewing fundraising
"larry sabato" Discussed on AP News
"Who won and who lost last night's democratic presidential candidates debate there were 2 winners says Larry Sabato of the university of Virginia center for politics Joe Biden because he was more energetic than he normally is and was throughout the debate and also he seems like more of a senior statesman and and I think Amy club which are from Minnesota really shown on the other hand I don't think Elizabeth Warren did as well as she normally does booted judge certainly took some hits they finally figured out he's leading in Iowa and they have to attack and I'm ready to fall les
Buttigieg-Warren clash on campaign trail spills into debate
"Who won and who lost last night's democratic presidential candidates debate there were two winners says Larry Sabato of the university of Virginia center for politics Joe Biden because he was more energetic than he normally is and was throughout the debate and also he seems like more of a senior statesman and and I think Amy club which are from Minnesota really shown on the other hand I don't think Elizabeth Warren did as well as she normally does booted judge certainly took some hits they finally figured out he's leading in Iowa and they have to attack and I'm ready to fall les
"larry sabato" Discussed on 760 KFMB Radio
"This report is sponsored by K. F. C. get KFC's new Billy mac and cheese ball with crispy popcorn nuggets now available a five dollar bill up with the cooking it during gets finger lickin good partly cloudy and muggy with lows in the seventies highs in the eighties A. M. seven sixty talk and breaking news. casting the only underground. from the files of a hidden. under the broken steel over nondescript building we once again made contact with a leader. this is the best of mark Levin happy Labor Day. mark living here are number eight seven seven three eight one three eight one one eight seven seven three eight one three eight one one we have a. huge yes in the second hour. no not the president he be the hugest of the huge. but I'll keep it a surprise. I'm not gonna keep it a surprise to annoy you. you'll understand when the time comes. you won't want to miss. the second hour eastern time at seven PM. seven PM. the latest national poll our friends at National Review. the democratic primary shows a three way virtual tie for first place Warren Sanders and biting. no I might note. that they're all white people. running around attacking white people. the strangest damn thing. weirdest damn election I've ever seen on the Democrats. he got three old white people in the lead attacking white people. Larry Sabato points out that the poll is a small sample size which means that as a.
Mnuchin won't turn over Trump's tax returns to House Democrats
"The Trump administration has missed another deadline from democratic house committee to release the president's tax returns. The administration is telling the House Ways. As and means committee. No, it will not turn over President Trump's tax returns in a letter two ways, and means committee chairman Richard Neal Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin says the request lacks the required legitimate legislative purpose political analyst Larry Sabato, says get ready for lengthy fight going to be a long drawn out battle that will be waged mainly in the courts, but also in the political realm. Democrats could go to court they could also try to subpoena the IRS for the
"larry sabato" Discussed on AP News
"It's unclear whether President Trump will ask to see the Muller report. And under what circumstances he or his lawyers would be able to see it. Ed, Donahue, Washington democratic leaders are demanding bar turnover. Everything to congress and make it public independent Senator Bernie Sanders tells a campaign rally in San Diego body nobody including the president of the United. United States is above the law. The American people have a right. University of Virginia presidential expert. Larry Sabato says bar will make public as much as he can do the right thing and that he's only to release to congress and the public as much as he can. There are certain highly confidential parts that shouldn't be released. President Trump's attorney Rudy Giuliani says he and other lawyers want an early look on the findings before they're made public something. Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer says should not happen. Attorney general bar must not give President Trump his lawyers or his staff any sneak preview of special counsel. Muller's findings are evidence Muller's investigation found Russians involved in illegal efforts to rig the election and a half dozen people close to Trump were charged with a variety of other crimes. This is AP radio news. After less than four hours of deliberation. A jury has acquitted a white former police officer who fatally shot an unarmed black teenager as he was running away from a car that had been stopped after reportedly being involved in a drive by shooting outside. Pittsburgh a confrontation that was captured on video and led to weeks approach tests. Former east Pittsburgh police officer Michael Rosenfeld was charged with homicide for shooting Antoine rose. The second during that traffic stop last June panelists seven men and five women, including three black. Jurors saw video of the fatal confrontation, which showed rose falling to the ground after being hit after the verdict. Supporters of roses family took to the streets outside the courthouse. Wow. Pointing god. A defence expert testified he was within his rights to use deadly force to stop suspects..
"larry sabato" Discussed on The Steve Deace Show
"Use wax Rx dot com. All right. So there is allegedly. Although it I know it just doesn't seem like it's really ramped up yet. But maybe that's my perception. But the presidential race is of well underway here in our home state of Iowa the first in the nation, Iowa caucuses now with President Trump on the ballot doesn't look there's going to be a contested caucus over there. But the Democrats may indeed have their own battle royale. Not sure they'll get to seventeen announced candidates as Republicans did during the summer of two thousand fifteen but it certainly will be a lot. And if you have followed, you know, presidential politics, and I will caucus for years, then you know, the face that's here with us, David. Yes. And you've seen them on all the networks in the past. He's even been with us in the past as well. And it's good to have you back. Whether how are you going to be with you fine? So we wanted to bring you on because we wanted to get give our audience real information outside of the. Were click bait the hell out of you. Which is what my industries to do. Okay. Ha for clicks. And we're going to promote you or like when MSNBC's doing right now, or they're basically trying to kill Bernie Sanders because they're paranoid. When they saw the Gallup poll that showed the two things Americans. Don't want is an old guy who's a socialist president. And so and this NBC's trying to Bernie Sanders, Fox News is trying to do to candidates. I like in the past. They're trying to kill him right now. All right. So whether you're trying to choose your nominee on one side of the media, I'll or mock them all as cartoon characters on the other. There is though actual voters actual people not just straw, man or construct cer-, you know, that ain't gonna click itself. People actually will voters that are make that are determining the environment and making decisions and vetting these candidates. So I wanted to spend some time here today getting its as as as unbiased of view as we can at at at the situation. But I think to do that we have to start with the overall macro environment. Right. So Larry is it Sabato or somato Salvato? Okay. Larry Sabato at the university of Virginia..
"larry sabato" Discussed on WMAL 630AM
"News at noon nine Curtis happening. Now Senator Elizabeth Warren about to announce her candidacy for president at a rally in Massachusetts. The announcement comes days after she apologized for falsely listening her nationality as native American on her bark hard. He's been hunkered down in the governor's mansion since last week's bizarre press conference, but today Virginia governor Ralph Northam came out of hiding to attend a funeral for a state trooper killed in a shootout if you neural for Lucas Dowell was hours west of Richmond north. I'm was not among the speakers. And it's not looking good for Lieutenant governor Justin Fairfax who's now being accused by two women of sexual assault. The latest is Meredith Watson who said Fairfax rate Turrentine thousand when they were both students at Duke University. She says she was raped once before at Duke she confided in Fairfax who she says you sit against her. She alleges she asked why he raped her. And he said he thought she would be too afraid to tell people after the dean discouraged her from pursuing a claim in the first alleged rape this account came a day after Dr Vanessa Tyson said Fairfax forced her to perform a sex. Act on him in two thousand four. Fairfax denies the claims and says he won't resign. But he's not getting much support the Virginia legislative black caucus says it's best for him to step down. And let the courts handle the accusations member say it's not in the interests of the Commonwealth for him to stay put his friend and sheriff the Loudon county board of supervisors Phyllis. Randall agrees trying to clear his name is if if these allegations are not true, and he should do that. But he can't do that. And effectively governor at the same time. If he doesn't resign by Monday democratic delegate Patrick hopes says he'll get the impeachment process started. My hope my sincere hope is that this will not be necessary. And the Lieutenant governor will heed the calls of many to resign this weekend. If he does not we will move forward on Monday UVA center for politics director. Larry Sabato says Fairfax is in more trouble than north them and attorney general Mark herring. Who both admitted to wearing black face in the eighties. These accusations which have some corroboration particularly the second one involve crimes, according to find law dot com. There's no statute of limitations on rape cases in Virginia. Meanwhile, a former white supremacist is found guilty of attacking a black man in a city parking garage during the unite the right rally and counter protest in Charlottesville in the summer of two thousand seventeen Tyler Davis entered an Alford plea yesterday. This is not an admission of guilt. It just means. He acknowledged his prosecutors have enough evidence to convict him. He'll be sentenced in August planning on taking the red line downtown this weekend while you're out of luck..
"larry sabato" Discussed on KQED Radio
"On the forum program later this morning that city of paradise has rescinded an emergency ordinance that would've allowed property owners to temporarily live in trailers or RV's on their burned out land form will discuss what options people having a desire the dire housing situation, then at nine thirty today calls to resign continue to increase for Virginia's governor. And and attorney general forum is going to talk about the history of black face in its second half hour and the role of dehumanizing and disenfranchising African Americans that black face presents. Then on the ten o'clock hour today. Science writer Alice rob joins the program along with Harvard psychologist geared Roberto to talk about the science behind dreams. We hope you'll be a part of the forum program, which will bring you from nine till eleven today here on public radio. We'll get back to our program. Now, the time is seven minutes past the hour of six it's morning edition from NPR news. I'm David green. And. Culver City, California. And I'm Steve Inskeep. In Washington DC when President Trump delivered his state of the union speech the other night, nearly all members of congress in the cabinet attended one cabinet member was the designated survivor designated a stay away just in case of calamity if the state of Virginia where to take such a precaution. It might need to designate one top official to hide out from scandal. The top three officials in the state are all facing serious questions. Governor Ralph north faces pressure to resign over an old racist photo Lieutenant governor Justin Fairfax is now publicly accused by a woman who says he sexually assaulted her in two thousand four and now the state's third ranking official attorney general Mark herring. As admitted that he donned black face at a college party in the nineteen eighties. NPR Sarah mccamman has been covering all of this in the state where she lives and she's under studios today there, Sarah. Okay, justin. Fairfax. We'd heard about these allegations for a couple of days. But now, we have an accuser who has told her story in detail and on the record. That's right. They first surfaced on a conservative blog and were the later described in the Washington Post, but Vanessa Tyson a politics professor from California is the accuser, we have not named her until yesterday when she did come forward with a statement through her law firm detailing her allegation against the Lieutenant governor of Virginia Justin Fairfax. She says, quote what began as consensual kissing quickly turned into a sexual assault. And she says she she told her story initially to the Washington Post and decided to come forward now publicly the posted decided not to publish that story after they say being unable to corroborate either her side or Fairfax's, but she says she wants to set the record straight. And she says she's coming forward with tremendous anguish. This was in two thousand and four when both were working at the democratic convention the events. And Boston in the disputed events took place in a hotel room. And this kind of classic story of someone who might have said, yes. To one thing. But says she's not say yes to everything she was made escalated into nonconsensual. Fairfax say about all of this. He's denied this repeatedly. And yesterday, he put out a new statement calling. The allegations surprising and hurtful and he called for respect for the accuser. But said he had to dispute her account of what happened. He said. He wanted to emphasize how important it is for us to listen to women when they come forward with allegations of sexual assault or harassment. Now, he's hired a law firm and the national organization for women is calling on him to resign. So governor Ralph Northam faces calls to resign which he's been resisting. You you just said that Fairfax faces calls to resign. And he's not going there yet. He says that he is innocent of the accusation. And then there's Mark herring. The attorney general. What did he do? Well, he's the third in line for the governorship, and he came out with a long-stay. Agent yesterday saying that in nineteen eighty at a party when he was nineteen he dressed as a rapper wearing a wig and Brown face makeup. He says he's deeply sorry for the pain that caused called those actions insensitive and callous he had called just a few days ago. Four governor nor them to resign her fourth something similar that black face photo that surfaced from his medical school yearbook. Can I just mentioned one thing about Harring state? But if I have this correctly, he sat among other things I remember this incident, I've known for a long time this incident might cause me trouble whenever it resurfaced. And apparently now is the time and with all the spotlight on Virginia government, he's decided to step forward. And remember, Steve all three of these men are are Democrats, right? And Democrats have called for north to resign. Democrats. I talked to I think still figuring out what the next step is. When it comes to the other two and herring is the only one who has actually admitted to the conduct. That is a question northern initially said he was in the photo in college is then said he wasn't. But he says he did appear in black face and other party. Thanks for keeping Australia's we can be on on what's being accused who's being accused of what Sarah thanks so much NPR ceramic Kevin and sitting next to her in the studio is Kyle conduct. He's a political analyst with the site sabotage crystal ball, which is run out of the university of Virginia center for politics rights with longtime political analyst Larry Sabato, thanks for coming in morning. So you have a crystal ball. What what what is going to happen here? We have three top leaders in the state of Virginia who are all facing calls to resign. Where does this go Cristobal little hazy right now to say that this is I can't think of a situation that is sort of parallel to this where you have the three top officials on a state all of whom are in line to be governor all with these serious questions. But you know, what it does for governor? Ralph Northam who faced calls many calls to resign. Almost uniform calls to resign from presidential candidates. And also from top officials in Virginia. It does give him a little bit of breathing room that he could that he can basically hang on because the people below him. Who would take over for him or so damage to? What can we talk about this being in the state of Virginia? I mean, a state that has has confronted painful past when it comes to race the capital of the confederacy. I mean, this is just this isn't just happening anywhere. It's happening in the state of Virginia these these I mean, admissions of of wearing black face. Yeah. And this is all wrapped up in the, you know, the the sad racial history of Virginia. But also, you know, the south and the country as a whole, and of course, Virginia's where we saw the white supremacist March in Charlottesville in two thousand seventeen and also it's been sort of ground zero for this battle over a confederate statues. And again, this whole discussion about black face is sort of a part of a larger problem about basically whites being insensitive on racial issues in here. We have two of the top officials in the state who are wrapped up in that now. Well, let's talk about the politics here. I mean, President Obama won the state twice. Democrats have have made gains in the state of Virginia. But how does this all position Democrats now both? In Virginia and nationally because Democrats have tried to claim the moral high ground when it comes didn't denouncing racism when it comes to supporting survivors of sexual assault. Also, what's what's important about in the political situation? Virginia Virginia's that Virginia's one of the few states that have elections in odd years in November the entire state legislature is going to be on the ballot. The Republicans hold two seat majorities in both the state house in the state Senate. And the thought was that the Democrats are going to be favored to win back when the house and the Senate and probably elect the most liberal government in Virginia history, assuming that that democratic state legislature will be paired with the democratic governor. But perhaps all of this chaos throws that that all come into doubt. And maybe helps the Republicans hold on. Wow. You're suggesting I mean, this could be a real political earthquake in the state and change a lot of the forces. We saw it work. Yeah. Absolutely. I mean, it's it's it's impossible to know what sort of affect the scandals might have on not just the results in November. But also, you know, the the lead up to the campaign democratic recruiting efforts to get to get candidates fundraising motivation to vote amongst democratic base. Voters which was very high in two thousand seventeen in Virginia. I think in large part because of Donald Trump's presence in the White House. You know, I guess one positive thing for Democrats is that politics are so nationalized now, particularly in northern Virginia, which is both very rich, very democratic. But also probably doesn't feel as much of a connection to state politics in Richmond and voters there may be more motivated by national factors. And again, I think Democrats would have to hope that that kind of generic enthusiasm continues even in a state where the top democratic ficials are all caught up in scandal. Co conduct the center for politics. Thanks so much. We appreciate it. Thank you. And San mccamman is still in the studio. Sarah. Can I just ask you one question the top three officials here in the line of succession are all Democrats. But next in line, man. No, this is hypothetical. But were were all these officials to have to resign is a Republican writing. It's been a real Corky way that that has become the reality. Kirk Cox is the the house leader, he's Republican only because Republicans are in charge. And they're only in charge because they've managed to hold onto control back in two thousand seventeen Democrats came really close to taking the house after many years of Republican control. There was this one seat that was really really close and had to be decided by casting lots people may remember I remember that the Republican won the Republicans retained control of the house Kirk Cox's, the leader of the Republicans and he's fourth in line for the governor. So that one local race decided by casting lots could really change everything in Virginia, potentially. But there's a lot to work out here, of course, in theory. It could all right NPR, Sarah mechanic. Thanks, sarah. Thank you. About two hundred US troops are in the border town of eagle pass Texas in a Mexican town just across three oh grand. There are more than one thousand Central American migrants hoping to gain asylum in the US joy Palacios of Texas public radio reports the situation is getting tense. An.
"larry sabato" Discussed on WBZ NewsRadio 1030
"Along the coast a mix of clouds and sun tomorrow, a high in the mid thirties cold tomorrow night because he some flurries along the Cape. And then on Sunday milder with mix of clouds and sun, a high in the mid forties. Well, earlier today, President Trump agreed to reopen the government temporarily without funding for a border wall. While makers now have twenty one days to work on a deal. And after that, the president has said it was it is within his right to declare a national emergency. Which would then free up money for his wall. The losers here, according to Larry Sabato of the university of Virginia center for politics are the eight hundred thousand federal workers who were either furloughed or had to work without pay. As far as political losers are concerned you have to start the list with Donald Trump. So now that a deal has been reached to reopen the government what's next. I'm Bill Rakoff on Capitol Hill policy. He should never be a reason to shut down government really shouldn't house speaker Nancy Pelosi today after the deal with the White House to reopen. Government was reached now a conference committee between the house and Senate will try to find common ground on an immigration measure will the president support it. I can't assure that publicly anything that the president will do, but I do have to say optimistic, though, Rakoff CBS news, Capitol Hill, Roger stone. A former advisor to President Trump is free this evening after being arrested by the FBI early this morning in Florida. It's the latest move and special counsel Robert Muller's Russian investigation after being arraigned at a courthouse in Fort Lauderdale stone responded to the felony indictments against him. I will defeat them. I believe this is politically motivated investigation. Troubled by the political motivations. Prosecutors. Stone.
44 former senators warn of threats to democracy as Mueller probe nears conclusion
"Nine forty four former senators from both sides of the aisle sign onto an open letter. Calling for current senators to be quote zealous, guardians of our democracy. The letter is published in today's Washington Post at points to Robert Muller's nearly completed Russia probe and pending house investigations of the Trump administration and calls on the Senate to protect the rule of law in the ability of our institutions to function freely and independently Larry Sabato, director of the center for politics at the university of Virginia calls the letter of pointed message to current senators as the country faces a potential constitutional crisis. Its job is not to side with the president or necessarily oppose the president. But to consider the facts in terms of the national interest rather than narrow partisan interests or self interest. I think that's an important message. That current senators will understand among the Siamese to the letter former Massachusetts, senators, John Kerry
Susan Collins, Christine Blasi Ford and Brett Cavanaugh discussed on Ron and Don
"Republican Susan Collins says she will vote to confirm supreme court nominee Brett Cavanaugh despite Christine Blasi Ford's claim that he sexually assaulted her in high school, I found her testimony to be sincere painful and compel it, but she said the allegations fell short of the more likely than not standard West Virginia Democrat, Joe Manchin was nearly drowned out by protesters when he tried to explain his decision to vote. Yes, I'm very much concerned, basically with this actually people indoors and very much concerned that we have to be something. Had to deal with the tax. I had in front of political analyst Larry Sabato, Susan Collins was the key vote. If she had said, no this nomination almost certainly would have crashed in Burke, the fact that she said, yes means
Kavanaugh nomination faces delay after assualt accuser speaks out
"Democrats are calling for a delay in the confirmation vote for supreme court nominee Brett Cavanaugh to investigate a women's claim that he sexually assaulted her. When they were teenagers cavenaugh flatly denies the allegations by California, professor Christine blazey, Ford university of Virginia political analyst, Larry Sabato unfortunate all the way around because it is a very serious allegation. But it's already obvious that this is not cut and dried it's not an open and shut allegation because they're apparently are no corroborating
Ryan, University Of Virginia Center and Larry Sabato discussed on
"The hill real for estate facebook firm ceo to sell mark zuckerberg its more profitable today the house locations saying he for wants auction to be clear thank the you platform lisa does as the not international sell monetary fund data prepares i for can't its spring be clearer meetings on this in topic washington we don't dc sell data managing that's not how director advertising christine works lagarde is warning and i against do think a we could wave probably be doing of protectionist a clear job explaining policies that given sweeping the misperceptions through that are the out one hundred and then eighty one of nine the imf new pieces member nations of information today she also spoke exclusively as he was questioned with bloomberg's by congresswoman has linda on almond isu wasn't too data long ago included in that the data we were talking sold about to how the militias all third parties cylinders were firing at the same time that was so your much personal optimism data and now has the picture changed has changed but i think that the momentum is still there and back in january we were forecasting three point nine percent growth this year and next i think we continue to be optimistic larry sabato director of the university of virginia center for politics says this would make things complicated and keeping the majority party status for the republicans a near record number for the incumbent party in the house forty one republican congressman departing and that doesn't necessarily mean they will lose the house but it certainly isn't an assist to them yeah ryan by the way saying he is proud of what he has accomplished most prominent among things tax reform global news twenty four hours a day powered by more than twenty seven hundred journalists and analysts in more than one hundred twenty countries in san francisco i'm ed baxter this is bloomberg bryan sir all right ed thank you very much twenty two minutes before the top of the hour sports now global sports with dan schwartzman looking at cristiano renaldo with another highlight absolutely real madrid moving onto the semi finals of the champions z gay home three two one loss the event is that the santiagobernabeu but a four three aggregate win cristiano ronaldo scoring the clincher seven minutes into stoppage time on a penalty kick goal keeper the legendary gianluigi buffon handed a red card while arguing.
Trump Promotes Agenda at Rally for GOP House Candidate in Pennsylvania
"Cbs news update president trump back on the stump in western pennsylvania near pittsburgh ahead of a special congressional election that in a district he carried easily back in 2016 he reminded the campaign rally crowd that he is fulfilling promises he made then like imposing trade tariffs back the back the main reason the president was in moon township pennsylvania on a saturday night was to boost the congressional candidacy of republican rick sank sichone in the final days of a competitive special election political analyst larry sabato the fact that even close is amazing and lg that at least at the grassroots level in some places across the united states drop is unpopular enough to put democrats into contention in places where they shouldn't be in contention and because of that the racist seen as having possible national implications cbs news update on from this y mogul.
"larry sabato" Discussed on On Point with Tom Ashbrook | Podcasts
"And new day in a way dawn's the cause of a lot of magnificent women all right here in this home deny my them to make sure that the gunboat leaders who take us to the time when ever has to say me to again i'm talking this hour with political analysts sofia nelson and angela rai and university of virginia political scientists larry sabato and saint petersburg florida is next i lean is with us at on point welcome to the program i lean hello ratings you for taking my call um the conversations in really um in big meeting and i have an observation more hesitant like discuss um after the um the awards it's oprah run for president i for one hope but she does she will have a try fact that if she runs as an independent i would love to see her run as an independent uh because i personally think that our party system is broken but she would be the first independent president of the united states the first female president of the united states and the first female african american president of the united states and my experience i i'm in my mid50s and i i really appreciate oprah winfrey as a candidate because she has himself made billionaire this is a woman who started from nothing everybody knows her story and she has taken herself to uh you know success in every endeavour it that she's ever um pursued i have no doubt she would apply herself her in select her common funds which i think lacks ally in the presidents of the united states and she would you wonderful things for our country and that brings us back to the point that see a made just before the break that she is a black woman in that must be taken into account and larry sabato even though the united states had two hundred twenty straight years of white guys uh is there an obama effects to any nearfuture black candidate for national office that you must deal with the shadow of that first african american presidency well i would think it would be applause for over a minor he left office of the popular president too and looking back if even more popular people compare prior incumbent to the current incumbent so i don't i don't think that would be a problem i do have to say i understand the feno what about uh about oprah.
"larry sabato" Discussed on On Point with Tom Ashbrook | Podcasts
"So this has been a really profound conversation to me that's been going on for a minute 'cause i'm trying to turn on my on its head for me what i've typically said oh you got to have this you know i remember when barack obama was running my immediate thought when i first heard that this was a possibility was there's no way a black man could win his office there's no way and and there's no way that someone that's just a new senator so it then it is really comes down to how how are we deciding who gets to to fulfil this role particularly now you know and and that's just the question i would love to wrestle with i know what we say we normally need but why we say that why ethics that's the question everyone should be as that our selves including hedlund why are we saying that what qualifications are we saying are important and why are we seeing those specific offices matter and prepare you let me bring in another constitutionally qualified persons to this i trust that he is over 35 i know is a native born american larry sabato a political scientists the founder of the centre for politics at the university of virginia professor welcome to one point all right where a automatically sixty five why i'm over call all right now but this is the perfect time for you to come in to the conversation because angela left us with i guess one of the core questions why are we having this conversation now why are people who wouldn't have even been taken seriously for a second actually talking as if they are possible and plausible future presidents to word donald trump for two different reasons the first is he he broke a barrier and i don't think the barrier will ever be reconstructed the barrier that somewhat to run for president and left they've been agenda role in a major war should have had some political and governmental experience so you don't need that any more maybe you should have it but you don't need it in order to run and second donald trump has president of i think we all know that democrats in many independence and even a few republicans uh are desperately hoping that donald trump won't have a second term and they want to start early.