20 Episode results for "K B"

The Bettors Box MLB Betting Podcast May 4, 2020

Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

37:15 min | 1 year ago

The Bettors Box MLB Betting Podcast May 4, 2020

"Loans again thank you for joining me in the better spock's as being the book dot Com and they'll be bending podcast for Monday may fourth. I'm your host Adam Burke this end every edition banners box presented by our friends over at GSI sportsbook bt. Be The number two hundred. Is that Promo Code. One hundred percent deposit match most with a sportsbook. One hundred percent deposit match bonus for the live casino at bet the SL. It's only a game until you bet it continued. Nfl COVERAGE OVER AT BANK NETWORK DOT COM right now hoping for that return of sports sooner rather than later. Ufc Two forty nine expected to go off here this weekend. Sobe previewing that over at Bang Book Dot Com. We'll have some more horse racing previews coming your way as well as we get more big races some more stakes races handicap stuff like that. We'll talk horseracing tomorrow's edition of Bloomberg Radio with Brian. Blessing the host of sportsbook radio and Vegas hockey hotline. Also do some NASCAR. Nascar EXPECTED TO COME BACK HERE. May Seventeenth. I believe it is trying to do seven races in eleven days. We'll see if they can pull that off. The will preview all of the NASCAR races over at Bang. The Book Dot Com. I don't know if they're doing xfinity series and all that as well. We'll definitely have all the cup series previews for you and we'll finish series as we're able to do that so as far as today's edition of the show goes no questions for the Monday mailbag Nada in that department at Skating tripods on Twitter Adam at Bang book dotcom skating tripods at gmail.com. If you ever have questions here for Monday mailbag we'll be doing Monday. Tuesday Thursday shows this week Tuesday with Brian. Blessing as I just mentioned Thursday another edition of the betters box so you got any questions between now and then go ahead and send them over and I'll either do them on Thursday or I'll do them after the weekend here but I figured with opening day coming up here tomorrow in the Korean baseball organization figured out. We'll talk some more about what my plans are with that. And in fact I'm going to do daily article over at the book. Dot Com with some picks for the K B O at least some thoughts. Obviously I'm not going to have a pick on every game. I mean look. I'm just trying to sort of navigate my way through this league. Obviously I know some of the American born at least I know some of the foreign born players in this league beyond that. I don't know a whole lot information kind of tough to come to. I also as well as looking at some stuff from Korean website and translating that with my Google Chrome Browser. And it's legible. You can understand what they're saying but certainly some things lost in translation here so probably just make some really small bets on the K B O. Probably Ten fifteen twenty dollar wagers stuff like that just as I kind of. Get my sea legs here with this league but nothing else going on. Why not you know. We'll do something fun. We'll do some a little bit different over at banged. The Book Dot Com. Get just going to be very low. Risk investments here. Not GonNa do anything crazy not going to go off the rails but but dude a lot of research here over the last few days with the K B o trying to familiarize myself with some betting angles that we wanna look at with some of the players. That are out there stuff like that. So I'll pass that information onto you here on today's edition of the betters box. A few technical things I bet online and five dimes. Both with numbers for the K B. o five times was posted. I but those were forty cent lines bolt on side and total so a very very difficult spot for us. You got forty cent lines. That's a little bit excessive to say the least so they're not really willing to take on a whole lot of riskier. Indicate BUREAU AS MORE PEOPLE. Get interested in it then. I was finishing up the notes for the better spock's today better line posted their k. Beal odds around ten. Am So Games? Are Starting at one am eastern time tonight. That's for opening day for the most part. K B O Games will be played around five. Thirty am eastern time on weekends. Maybe a little bit earlier than that so with the time. Change important for you to keep in mind that these games will be starting for the most part while you're sleeping or if you're really early riser you can catch the last few innings of these games. Espn's going to show one K B O game per day. That just broke now right before I started recording the show today so you'll have the opportunity to watch at least game a day on. Espn and of course you know you could find streams and things of that sort out there for these games but I wanted to sort of breakdown. What my handicapping process is going to look like here for these Games and break down these opening day games for you as well and my thought is that in the afternoons. Probably I'll get something up over at Bangor Book Dot Com looking at some K B O Picks K B O. Game breakdown stuff like that again. I'm just starting out with this league. I know the personnel that has played in the major leagues or in the Minor Leagues. But for the most part. I don't know a lot of these players. I don't know any of these relievers. Virtually so kinda going into this a little bit blind but still going to do the work someone to the research and again it gives us something to do something to stay a little bit sharp with as far as baseball goes in hopes that major league baseball comes back around here sooner rather than later. But let's take a look at the opening day Games in the K. B O. These are sorted by rotation number and I believe all of them start at one. Am Eastern time on no matter. What here for opening day and I will tell you this. No offense to the Korean listeners. That are out there I apologize. I know I'm going to butcher some of these names as the season goes along here so I do apologize for that. Hopefully I'm at least getting the team. Names right off. There are any corrections with the pronunciations. That you want to pass over to me at skating tripods on twitter believe me. I don't mind again just trying to kind of find my way through this league. Here we'll sort of see how everything plays out a little bit but the first game by rotation number other board here is the key womb heroes. They are minus one thirty five against the Kia Tigers. Plus one fifteen on the take back. Their Jeff Britta gets the start here for keenum this is. His fourth season is improved every year in the K B O. Good last ten starts to finish. Last season did have an increased walk rate last year but that lowered leader in the season and I would anticipate as I talked about on last Thursday show. Ad juicing of the baseball twenty seventeen twenty eighteen very big for power output twenty nineteen a substantial very substantial decrease in home runs so my guess is with some of the adjustments to the baseball. The pitcher's probably noticed them whether consciously or subconsciously so I imagine. There was kind of a learning curve early on in this season. Probably why we saw the strikeout rate down last year even though the run rates were down as much as they were pitchers probably kind of figuring things out probably later in the year getting more accustomed to that new baseball so Brigham was a guy that did have an increased walk rate last year but over. His last ten start was much lower so it would seem to me that throughout the course of the season that the pitchers kind of made some adjustments here with the different baseball on the mound for this one hung. He's done John. Young boy already. We're off to a great start here with these Korean names again. I do apologize for this. He John Yang is the starting pitcher here. Four KIA walk rates to last three years very very good numbers over his career. Three point seven five. Era In one thousand eight hundred thirteen and two thirds innings pitched. The homerun decrease really helped him. He allowed twenty one home runs at twenty eighteen over one hundred. Eighty four and a third innings. He allowed six home runs in hundred eighty four and two-thirds innings last year for Yang. Here one of the highest payed pitchers I've seen in this league making over two million dollars in the American equivalent per year. So this is a guy. That's very very good now. Last year didn't have a lot of help. Didn't have a lot of support. Not a great offense team for the Tigers not a great bullpen either. But seems like he's a really really solid. Starting pitcher overall total in this game is eight. And a half you've got key womb. Who was the best offense in the league last year? By point three one runs per game. You've got them as the road favorite here minus one thirty five but again one of the things I've talked about is that with pitchers have major league experience. My starting point is the under. If you've got two of those guys in one game I'm kinda starting with the under there and Yang is about as close as you can get to a major leaguer With the guys that are currently korean-born that are playing in the K B O. So eight and a half the under maybe the look here in this one although. What are the big things here? Early on to consider. Is that like Major League Baseball. You're the K B O. Didn't go through a traditional lead up to the season only played six. Preseason games starting pitchers were capped around four innings. Or so four five innings. So a lot of these starting pitchers are not stretched out. So that makes that adds another degree of difficulty to try to handicap. The K B O here and to this point. I haven't seen any I five lines. Maybe because there's going to be an increased demand for K B O betting options. We could see some I five lines for now. We don't have those though so early on in the process here. That's something you definitely WanNa consider in your handicapping so again key will minus one thirty five in that game plus one fifteen hundred take four. Kia and the total eight and a half in that one not really a whole lot to say about this next game here between the lot to giants at plus one zero five with Dan strictly on the mound and the KT whiz minus one twenty five with a dreamer despouy on the bump to MLB guys here total of nine in this game now again like I said guys with Major League experience typically the starting point would be the under but strictly and despite gay both first year guys here in the K B O. So that's a little bit concerning you've got this adjustment period. Obviously you don't have fans in the stands for these Games but you've got this adjustment period sort of trying to figure out what works. What doesn't how the game is different from the major league game or even the Minor League game in triple a. So strongly and Despotic Gay. Do have a little bit of a learning curve here in this one. What thing to point out about the Katie Whiz here in fact we have seen a little bit of a line. Move on strolling the giants. Is that the Katie Whiz. Do not have. I don't think they have any left. Handed pitchers maybe they only have one on the roster and this is a league that does have a lot of lefthanded batters in it so the wizard interface a lot of platoon disadvantages in a lot of their games here at the outset of the season. So maybe that benefits the giants. Maybe a reason why we're seeing some money coming on them. Also the giants who were one of I believe. Actually the worst team in the Caribbean last year. Very good article this morning over at the athletic by Sara and Patrick Mooney about what the giants are doing. They're fully embracing sabermetrics player development. They set some pitchers to drive lined baseball. Dan straightly is a guy. That's been at Dr Line Baseball so the lot. The giants are doing a lot of stuff here with advanced metrics with sabermetrics. Stuff like that and as you know those are teams. I really liked on the major league baseball side. Because they're going to make improvements at the margins. They're going to improve with the guys that they have in house so long as everybody buys in now with this being the first year of that transition for the giants and being very unconventional season as well. I'm not sure how much I'll buy into it for right now. But you've got a Guy Indians who knows how to pitch is a drive line type of guy. Same thing for me here so I'm going to be watching the giants very closely. I don't know how much activity I'll have them early on in the season because they were so bad last year but they will be a team. I'll be watching for improvement as this K. B O season goes along the Dusan. Bears generally one of the better teams in this league. They are minus one sixty against the LG TWINS. The twins plus one forty on the take back their role. I'll contradicting the start for Dusan. You've got Wu. John CIA getting the start here for the twins L. Contras that guy last year first year in the KB. Oh coming over from the North American ranks. I believe four point zero one. Era which is not very good in this league and not very good last year relative to the run environment but on hill. Sanchez is a guy that I looked at. He was one of the top pitchers indicates last year. He's now moved on to Japan to play in the Napoleon Professional Baseball League but his first year was marginal wasn't great. His second year was really really good. So maybe I'll contra winds up being a guy like that only twenty seven walks in one hundred seventy two and two thirds innings last year he was with Katie Whiz. Last season now goes over to do side with China for the twins four twelve. Era One hundred sixty eight and a third innings pitched has some walk issues for him and Dusan led the League last year in on base percentage. So this one is very chaki with deuce on the minus one sixty favorite. But I do like them here and again. That is a pretty big price to lay total of eight and a half in that one. But I'll contras a guy and maybe again. This could be an angle here of second year guys in the K B. O maybe seeing a big increase and furthermore like. I've talked about before because of the context of this league because you don't have a lot of high strikeout rates whip is probably going to be a pretty big angle here that's walks and hits per inning pitched that's going to be a big angle and a guy like CIA. Whose pitching for the twins. Here today walk issues and Dusan is a good offensive team already. You give good offensive teams more chances more often than not. They're going to come away with the winds so there is a method to the madness here. Why do son is such a big favorite at minus one sixty and again? I do like this one based on how? I'm kind of starting to come up with a very simple handicapped of this league in that China has walk issues are contra doesn't and that may just end up being a deciding factor here in some of these games just because again you get a lot of baserunners you get a lot of traffic and you don't get a whole lot of strikeouts the NC Dino's their minus one forty five against the Samsung Lions with plus one twenty five on take back their drew. Rescind ski gets the START FOR THE Dinos today. Three Oh five. Era Hundred Seventy seven and a third innings pitched last season one of the better pitchers in the K B o a guy. That didn't really do a ton on the North American side but winds up going over to Korea and being very very good young hun back getting the start here for the Lions for twenty four. Era was actually the lowest of his career. So that's not a great sign for him. Only eighty two strikeouts fifty six walks in one hundred fifty seven innings of work total of eight and a half here in this one. Rescind Sqi much better of a starting pitcher then back so again. Starting pitchers much like they do in Major League baseball are going to dictate a lot of these lines. Here in the K B o especially early on as we get some more interest as the oddsmakers try to find their way here a little bit in this league as well one more game there are only ten teams in the K B O so a maximum of five games per day although they are going to do some double headers because they are condensing the schedule a little bit. I'll talk about that in a minute. But the eagles their plus one twenty sending former Detroit Tigers Farmhand Warwick saw pulled to the Mount Against S. K. Y. Burns their minus. One forty with Nick Kingham on the mound to American born starting pitchers here total of eight and a half once again. The under kind of a starting point like that game no. It's strictly despond gay to first time guys over in the KB. Oh so little. Bit of a learning curve for them get. I still look towards the under with two American born starting pitchers and like I said. I'm betting maybe ten bucks a game on this stuff. You know until I get my bearings until I get some more information by enlarge learning exercise for those that really want to gamble that the limits over at bat online to fifty onsides totals in the early in the early stages of these odds maybe throughout the day that could end up going up a little bit more but as a general rule. Here's somebody to look to handicap these. And like I said I wish there were. I Five Lines. Because the bullpens are a major unknown my K B O Stats Dot Com. Going to be a great resource for you because in fact you can put together a stat comparison of the starting pitchers it'll say compared today's starters or compare tomorrow starters whatever it says there and you can put in the names of the two starters and then compare them side by side. It's the basic statistics for the most part you know runs earned runs hits innings pitched strikeouts walks stuff like that but at least it gives you a starting point and you can make some inferences at that point in time. Like I said about the Dino's in Lion's game today rescind ski at great numbers last year. The starter for the lions very low strikeout rate and gave up some walks so right there rescind ski gets a big nod for me and then maybe I can go. And Look at the strength of the lineup. Stuff like that but again is it going to be very basic handicaps. I have seen some advance. Stats out there. They come from a site called K B report but it's all in Korean and in the season preview stuff and they don't put tables into their articles they copy and paste images so google can translate the text but Google can't translate the tables so I was kind of using my better judgment you can see. Era In fifth and some of them. Okay I tried to use my better judgement figuring out. What the column headings actually were but K B report does track things like war. It has Philip K per nine and walks per nine so there are a handful of advanced metrics out there for the K B. O Not a whole lot and again some of this information a little bit difficult to obtain and digest but my stats dot com will be a great resource for you looking at the stats here. Kind of overall and I was looking at a listing. A ranking of the team bullpens on K B report. So we're trying to break that stuff down for the most part here. It seems like a lot of bullpens are pretty effective. Indicate Yo you get a lot of weird arm angles you get a Lotta submarines and sidearm. You get a lot of guys that you throw different types of pitches palm balls forkball stuff like that. So a lot of these guys probably do induce a lot of week contact on the whole. There's not a whole lot of velocity in the K B o but one of the things I kept seeing highlighted in these bullpen rankings. Were guys it through harder. There are guys that through in the one forty maybe up into the one fifty kilometer per hour range so guys it through a little bit harder and I presume based on what I'm looking at here that velocity is a difficult thing for a lot of these hitters in a lot of these pictures that come over from North America or Latin America. Our guys they're going to throw ninety two ninety three ninety four K B O domestic players. Don't throw that hard so that was kind of the thing that I was sort of picking up on here with these bullpens. A lot of weird arm angles. A Lotta matchup guys at some guys do throw a little bit harder to the bullpen ranks from this report. Article Number One the key WOM- heroes tied for second that Dusan bears and S K Y Burns and there were some concerns about S. K. Because some of their relievers have been converted to starting pitchers because of some losses in their rotation so S K. Maybe a bullpen drops. Back a little bit tied for fourth where the LG twins and the Samsung lions the Samsung Lions. Bring back some haunt. Oh who had a few good years with the St Louis? Cardinals also pitched a couple of years with the Colorado rockies. He's back now in the K B O tied for sixth with a Kia Tigers and the NC Dino's the Kia Tigers had a young bullpen last year. So maybe that's a bullpen. That does get a little bit better as the season goes along also tied for sixth the KT Whiz. And as I mentioned already. What are the concerns? I kept reading about was that the Katie Whiz. Don't have a lot of left handed pitchers so they're going to have these platoon advantages working against them in a lot of their games. That could end up being a pretty big problem for them. Nice Hawa Eagles. You've just had bad numbers across the board and tenth worth a lot. Giants won left-handed Pitcher for them limited upside but again as I talked about already. They're a team really diving. Into sabermetrics biometrics and the pitching side stuff like that. So we'll see if they start to make some improvements as the year goes along something else. I was reading about here. Why bullpens are very important. It was kind of a poorly translated article that Google spit out for me from the report but one of the things that they kept talking about with the strengths of the starting rotations. Is that a lot of fourth. And fifth starters around the League are just not good so this may be something to watch here to see how the totals are from games with the front end. Starting pitchers in the back of the rotation types of guys. So try to fol- along with that when you're getting the foreign born pitchers and a Lotta Times. The foreign born guys are at the front of the rotations for these teams. When you start getting the domestic starters a lot of those guys apparently aren't very good so we'll see how these totals are adjusted where you'll today you've got four of the five games eight and a half. You've got one game at nine when we get into Thursday and Friday and we get the fourth and fifth well Friday. Excuse me Saturday. We get the fourth and fifth starting pitchers going. How are those totals adjusted? Are they nine and a half or ten or are they sitting there in this eight and a half nine range just based on the full body of work so we may have the opportunity? When the fourth and fifth starters are going to get some good opportunities to bet overs and especially as we get deeper to the season as hitters. Get their timing down stuff like that. Those maybe things that we want to take a very close look at with the fourth and fifth starters now what are the other deductions? I've kind of made here From this league is sort of deduce. That defense matters a lot because again. You don't have a whole lot of strikeouts in this league so I also read a KB report article or had it translated anyway about the best defensive teams in this league tied for number one the NC dinos who apparently have the best catcher and Erin author will be playing in center field. They like that defense upgrade their NC Dino's and the Dusan bears tied for first deuce on the best defensive team from last year tied for third the LG twins who were very good shortstop and a very good outfield defense and the Samsung Lions. Who Bring over Tyler Salad Dino who can play a lot of different positions so the lions look at their defensive setup. I decided to put salad. Where they think he'll be the best. The Katie Whiz and the key womb heroes were tied for fifth. The whiz not a great outfield and the Heroes Week at third base. The more I kind of look at this the more. I think that the wizards are a bet against team they are. They weren't expansion team a few years ago. They had their best record last season. But it seems like they're still really trying to build up a lot of things. They had lackluster bullpen last year. They've got a Lotta platoon disadvantages. Because they don't have left handed pitchers now I read. They're not very good in terms of outfield defense. Which means doubles. It means triples in a league like this so the Whiz may be fade team here kind of overall based on what I'm reading and what. I'm sort of inferring here from this league S. K. and the giants tied for Seventh Defensively S. K. Apparently were they good outfield. But not so good up the middle shortstop second base and with catchers the giants have a lot of new players a lot of new personnel. They also had a low caught stealing percentage last year. The Eagles tied for ninth with the Kia Tigers. The Tigers were second in errors last year which I thought was kind of funny. They were translated as team mistakes. That was funny but the Hanwha. Eagles are said to have a bad outfield and apparently outfield. Defense is very important in their ballpark. So that may be a consideration here as well if we sort of. Look at some of these. Pitcher batted ball types if we get some more statistics and hopefully and you know what a site like fan graphs. Right they're out there stumping for memberships talking about how they're losing money on advertising rates stuff like that and I understand it. A lot of websites are why? Not Try to get some of this K B o data. Why not become the hub? Four K B O coverage right now and keep that up because the K B O is going to get a much larger fan base here because we don't have any other baseball going on except for Taiwan and that's a much much smaller league if I'm fan graphs. I'm going all in to cover the K B O to be the predominant site for K B O statistics. That's what I'm trying to do. I mean you know increase traffic anyway you can. It seems like it's worth it to me. The the you know the baseball community the Sierra metric community will start looking at this stuff. Because there's nothing else to do. I digress anyway. So just sort of how I would break down. One of these Games are kind of looking at the NC Dino's today and the Samsung Lions that matchup between rescind Sqi and back last year were CINCI home. Runs allowed in twenty point. One innings pitched his whip point one eight lower than backs. Look I said I think whip is going to be a big stat in the K B O remember. It's at low strikeout. Environment more baserunners higher frequency of run-scoring opportunities. Because you can cash those in you're going to have success. I think if you get a lot of those chances you probably have a lot more success and again this is just kind of common sense handicapping sort of talking my way through it. What rescind ski does a better job limiting hits and limiting walks and with the low home? Run numbers here in this league. You've manufacturer runs a lot more. It's why we see a lot more search sack bunce why we see a lot more stolen bases last year stuff like that teams have to manufacture innings and in order manufacturer innings. You've gotta get baserunners. This isn't going to be blueprint a blast like it is in the big leagues. It's just not gonNA happen that way unless the baseball reverts back to twenty seventeen two thousand eighteen and I don't think that's going to be the case also rescind ski. Eleven fewer walks in twenty point one more innings thirty-seven more strikeouts recipients caper. Nine wasn't great. It was better than backs to say. The least what the fewer walks in more innings pitched that seems to matter a lot. Here this league so put together an article over at the book. Dotcom GONNA try to do this going to try to see how it goes. No promises no guarantees again. I'm going to be betting ten twenty bucks a game on this stuff at most so we'll see how it goes. We'll see how it plays out. But again they'll give us something to do here while we wait for Major League Baseball and the other sports to come back admittedly again illeg. I've never capped. I don't have advanced knowledge on. I'm going to butcher some names here on the show brought through the best with it that I can and who knows. Maybe we'll become kind of a little bit of a niche for some K B O handicapping betting over at paying the book. Dotcom K B O News and notes. That have kind of picked up a little bit here as a servant. Going through preparing for the season go. I mentioned the impact of the foreign born pitchers Adrian Sampson who was signed by the lot. The giants he's home here in the US with his. I think it's in the US with his sick father. We got a mandatory quarantine in South Korea as well so it will be a while before. Adrian Samson actually pitches in any games. Here in Tyler Wilson and Casey Kelly a couple of North American guys for the LG twins. They're out because they're still fulfilling the mandatory quarantine now. That could be a situation. They're out for this series here. Only that could be a situation where depending on how. Lg sets up their rotation. They could have some really favorable at advantageous matchups against the Korean domestic born pitchers here later in the week. Once they're off of quarantine so that will be something to watch it. We can steal a couple of winners win Tyler Wilson and Casey Kelly already to go. I mentioned that Hawa. Their Park is apparently very important for outfield defense. Dussan is said to have the best pitchers park in this league and do son was among the best offenses last year. So they've got a pitcher's park but they hit very well getting they led the League in on base percentage last year do sign. It just seems like they're set up for success pretty much year in and year out somebody. That will be very difficult here at the outset of the K B O season. I believe I mentioned this in passing already very short. Preseason teams played about six games only playing teams in their region. Starters were very limited not stretched out at all could be high variants here indicate to start out with a lot of bullpen games and like I said primarily by and large as I was looking through those bullpen charts over at K B report. A Lotta guys seem to be average or better as relievers. There weren't a lot of guys that were just downright awful and again a lot of this probably because you've got these quirky arm angles and you've got a lot of matchup guys you've got. Some more velocity seems like relievers are pretty reliable overall being average or better or so the teams that get leads early on based on kind of how I'm looking at. This probably do pretty well so with that in mind. A lot of emphasis on the starting pitchers will be the MO here for the K. Beal the Heroes Lost Jerry Sands to the end they did sign Taylor Mater. Who kind of bounced around the minor. Leagues was a pretty highly thought. A prospect at one point in time but key womb was far and away the best offense last year again by about point three runs per game but they lose Jerry Sands to Japan. So we'll see how their offense kind of drops a little bit? And I said the compressed schedule they're trying to play all one hundred and forty four games and they're going to generally speaking Mondays off day in the cave so they're going to have to play some Mondays they're gonNA have to play some doubleheaders. They're not having an all star game in an all-star break So there are some worries. There is a world baseball classics scheduled for next year. The Olympics of course getting pushed back from twenty twenty two twenty twenty one so there are some pitching concerns about injuries as the season plays out and going into next year as well so they try to follow that as much as we possibly can a couple of resources here. Dan Kurtz Witter at my k. B O will be a good resource for you to keep an eye on. He also posts a lot of English language South Korean baseball stories from the Yonhap News Agency. So that'll be very good for you to follow at my k. B O M Y K B O K B report like. I said translate it to English. That text is mostly legible. The images don't translate in Google. So that's kind of tough. There's some cartoons and some tables that show some stats stuff like that again. You can make some inferences based on the numbers sort of having a frame of reference for the League you can figure out your a and V are labeled as is because I don't think there's a Korean translation for those but like K per nine walks per nine war stuff like that You know you can kind of figure out what those are with those images so get. We're GonNa give this the old college try here with the K B o over at the Book Dot Com right up an article today and I'll cover it on the box. You know just trying to trying to conquer a different market here trying to keep ourselves busy with major league baseball still on Hiatus. I hope everybody out there is doing well. I will send out these notes today. I know I've got a few shows. Backlogged on selling sending out the notes for I will be doing that for those that are on the mailing list. I apologize for not getting those out in a more timely manner but again if you WanNa bet on the K B o that online is going to be the place to go to the Book Dot Com. Look at our sports book review. Four bet line sign up through us we get you know an affiliate piece of that and would certainly help us with not a whole lot going on with greatly appreciate that. What Ben Online's got the best odds for the K B O that I see right now so if you WanNa Dabble in the K B o pig account over at bet online? Sign up through the book. You'll get exclusive Promo Code and Deposit Bonus that we've got on an also you'll be helping us out a little bit but again we're going to give this deal college. Try See how it goes here with the K B. O with some handicapping and again. I'll try to do a daily right up over at Bang. The Book Dot Com. They will not be anywhere near as labor intensive as my mlb articles but try to find a starting point. We'll try to find a way to see if we can make a little bit of money or at the very least just kind of occupy ourselves for a little bit here while we wait for the other sports to come back coming up on our Tuesday edition of Bang Book Radio. We'll chat some horse racing with Brian. Blessing we'll just kind of talk. You know we'll maybe talk about the return of NASCAR. We'll talk about some of these charity Gulf match-ups coming up I saw rory and DJ repleting Ricky Fowler and Matt Wolf. Hopefully we get some more of those. Those would be great to talk about those a little bit this kind of pass the time as best we can hear at. Bang the Book Dot Com on Radio. And of course on the better spock's as well for me they can sorts for listening everybody and remember that you'll never strike out when you're in the batter's box.

League baseball K B O giants Major League Baseball K B Lg Samsung Lions Katie Whiz Kia Tigers Google Lions NASCAR twitter Tigers Brian Dusan MLB Sobe Ufc
The Bettors Box KBO Betting Podcast May 11, 2020

Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

44:53 min | 1 year ago

The Bettors Box KBO Betting Podcast May 11, 2020

"Hello again everybody. Thank you for joining me in the better boxes. Bang the book. Dotcom K B. O betting podcast for Monday may eleventh. I'm your host Adam Burke. This end every edition to better box presented by our friends over at sportsbook. Bt The number two hundred is that Promo Code. One hundred percent deposit match for the Sports Book One Hundred Percent Deposit Match Bonus for the live casino at GSI. It's only a game on until you bet it would be doing a lot of betting on the K B o a daily article going up every day over at Bangor Book Dot Com except for Sundays. At least as of right now because Monday is a league wide day off so no Sunday afternoon article for the Monday morning games because there aren't any Monday morning games in the K B O. It least for right now that will change as the season goes because they're trying to condense everything into a shorter period of time to play all one hundred and forty four games so there will be double headers. There will be Monday games. But to this point we haven't had any so far also overpaying. The book dotcom preview up of on. Espn nine. You have to forty nine except for jock. A popping. A positive test came out really really well. Some exciting fights good ratings. A lot of interest. A lot of intrigue will see how that goes on Wednesday night with a more accessible card all on. Espn no pay per view for that one. So we'll see how that goes on Wednesday. We'll keep doing horseracing previews over at being the book. Dot Com picked a winner in the sunshine forever steaks with Halliday but had him unfortunately paired with social paranoia who finished third behind aqua phobia so pick. The winner didn't hit the exact box but starting to get a better feel for horse racing events over at Bangor Book Dot Com. Check that out and of course next week at nests car makes its return at Darlington. Raceway that race coming up on Sunday. We'll have a preview for that over at Bang Book Dot Com as well it. Also the return of the Bundesliga. I believe I'd what Friday Saturday something like that soccer starting to make its way back around. We'll try to make sure we get you some coverage of that over at the website as well. No Monday mailbag here. I guess I kind of forgot to advertise it so no questions coming through for that if you do ever have questions for the Monday mailbag at Skating tripods on twitter Adam at Bangor book dotcom via email or skating tripods at gmail.com. Those are the three ways to get in touch with me for the money. Mail bag or for any other questions. You may have here about the show but with that we'll go ahead and dive in to the regular format of the box. I used to do during the MLB days. What I now do during the K B o days. We'll start with a look beyond the box score. Kinda RECAP EVERYTHING. That's gone on to this point and also recap the previous series. That just went on. We'll take a look at the week ahead here as well. I forgot to put notes together for the down the line segment. But basically what I can tell you about the betting markets here from what we saw weekend. Total adjustments have been made a lot of the games with domestic starters had totals of nine and a half the ones that had one four and starter one domestic starter as I talked about on Thursday. Eight and a half juice to the over or nine than the games with to foreign starters. You're still getting those eight and a half with reasonable. Juice may see a stray eight from time to time but scoring is really up around the league. I'll talk about that here in a couple of minutes and also talk about some quotes that I saw coming out here today on twitter earlier this morning but as far as the down the line segment goes like I said. Totals have definitely been adjusted. We're seeing Dussan. Get into bigger favorite roles. We're still seeing some love for the lot. That giants were not seeing a whole lot of love for the eagles. Who maybe don't deserve it as I'll talk about here in a little bit head. A big underdog price with them plus one fifty. The other day they were up three to one going into the seventh inning blew. That lead lost the game. Five to three so right. Now we're dealing with a lot of bullpens from hell to put it quite nicely. And you always saw Dan Kurtz who runs by K B O Dot Com. Sort of talking about this is just kind of how the K B O is. They call it. K B onus sort of in the industry there with the media members that cover this league and look I mean hot. Wife had the blow lead. That cost us a winner. At plus one fifty we had Dusan minus one and a half. They were up ten to three blue. That lead won the game by a run in fact. I don't walk off error in Sunday's game so we had some good plays had some good positions. They didn't work out for US. An important lesson as always you've bet on sports for a long period of time. You know this but even good handicaps don't win and that's why the best of the absolute best in this business. You know fifty five fifty six fifty seven percent because what things? Sometimes just don't work out even with good handicap. Things don't work out. How many times in college football team out the opposition by two hundred yards not lose not cover as not win not cover as a favorite because of turnovers or some other sort of fluky thing in this case the bullpens rear their ugly heads and quite frankly? It looks like this will be a regular occurrence in the show. I ran the numbers. I'm putting together. A K B O bullpens spreadsheet. Because I've yet to find a site that you'll breaks this down by team Yarra for bullpens just kind of the whole team overall so trying to put together a bullpen spreadsheet here with Google sheets. I'm going to work on that throughout the weekend. Hope to have that up by Thursday's show but I did run the numbers here of the bullpens to this point in the season as a whole this is a sample size of twenty seven games that have been played so far because we had three games rain on Saturday as a whole K B O bullpens one hundred ninety five and a third innings pitched one hundred twenty seven earned runs allowed one hundred ninety seven hits one hundred and forty strikeouts one hundred walks a collective five eighty five. Era For the ten K B O bullpens with a one fifty to whip and again keep in mind. What are the things that I sort of isolated about this league is that you have to have a good whip? Because you don't get the strikeouts. Strikeout rate is so much lower in the K B o than it is in the major leagues so baserunners are even more detrimental in this league. Because you can't get out of innings with strikeouts. You can't pump ninety eight with a devastating slider pass somebody. It just doesn't happen. You think about bullpens in the major leagues one hundred forty strikeouts in one hundred ninety five and a third innings pitched that would be horrendous in the major leagues and pretty bad and AAA two. Quite frankly so bullpens here in the K B. O are buying large terrible now. We do have small sample sizes that we are working with your so there. Is that extremely small sample sizes on a team by team level but here are the team performances specifically to this point. Here where somethings played six games. Some teams have played five games going through these in alphabetical order here. Dusan their bullpen. Over seventeen and two thirds a nine seventeen era a one eighty to whip for that Dusan Bullpen. And of course a good chunk of that coming from that ten to three lead that they blew for us on. Sunday morning the Hot Eagles sixteen and a third innings pitched seven sixteen. Era One eighty four. Whip for them. Their bullpen back to back blown leads on Saturday and Sunday. They're not helping them out at all. In fact their starters who pitched very well but the bullpen and Achilles heel four hod wa so far and also their offense has just been virtually nonexistent the Kia Tigers twenty two innings pitched here as a bullpen. So far an eighteen. Era A one point nine five whip. They've walked eighteen batters in their two innings. They've only struck out eighteen batters. So a one to one strikeout-to-walk ratio very very bad to say the least so Kia with one of the worst bullpen sear. Indication be Oh so far the key will bullpen. Very good actually twenty. Three innings pitched three thirteen. Era One twenty-six whip for them. They walked four batters. And I'm going to expand on that a little bit more here in a couple of minutes. The KT whiz bullpen twenty innings pitched eight fifty five era. A two zero five whip. They've only struck out eight batters as a bullpen. They've walked fifteen so the Katie bullpen. Even though we're dealing with a small sample size here is one. I would expect to be very very poor over the course of the season because they don't strike anybody out at least what we've seen here so far. Maybe THAT CHANGES. Maybe doesn't my guess is that it doesn't. Kt looks to have probably the worst. Bullpen here indicate bureau based on what I'm looking at the LG twins twenty-five and a third innings pitched from their bullpen. Four Twenty Six era one eighteen whip. They've only struck out thirteen batters in their twenty five and third and of course keep in mind that they have a lot more bullpen innings. Because they didn't have Tyler Wilson and Casey Kelly for the first series. They had run out a couple of bullpen games. And Ironically Enough Wilson and Kelly did not pitch well at all whatsoever over the weekend but the LG Bullpen. Not High in the strikeout department but low in the Walk Department. Seven walks in twenty five and a third is very very good so they've got that four twenty six era the one eighteen whip. Maybe that's bull that has a little bit of promise here over the course of the season about a lot giants fan seventeen and two-thirds innings pitched for their bullpen three. Oh six era and a point eight one whip now the giants also with four walks key one of the two teams that have the fewest walks from their bullpens not surprisingly two teams that have had a lot of bullpens success to this point the NC bullpen seventeen in two thirds five sixty era one forty seven whip more walks than strikeouts for that unit as well the Samsung Bullpen Twenty. Two innings pitched a two forty five era. That's very strong one forty five whip. They've got one thousand nine th strikeout. So they've done a pretty good job in the strikeout department. That's tied with key indicator bureau but also they've got the fourteen walks only six earned runs allowed Samsung's bullpen probably getting a little bit. Lucky here at the outset but against small sample sizes one good or bad performance can really skew. These numbers as a whole finally S. K. Fourteen innings pitched fourteen runs allowed sets nine point zero zero one seventy nine whip for them. Only eight walks but also only fourteen innings. They got lucky that some of their starters working deeper into games because their bullpen did not pitch well at all whatsoever so again. Very small sample sizes on the whole bullpens are pretty bad with that. Five eighty five. Era One fifty to whip. As I calculate some more data here as I find more bullpens that do a good job of limiting walks like to this point key womb L. and lot to have done. Those are probably going to be your better bullpens teams. That don't walk guys because again. We're talking about a league where you're not going to see a lot of strikeouts. Even from the relief pitchers so the more baserunners the more damage that can come along. And we've certainly seen that here with some of these bullpens just giving up seven eight nine runs in inning. Four and five run innings stuff like that. These things tend to snowball. Ought to control something else I was. Kinda thinking about too is that I talked about the frequency of stolen base attempts here in this league and I think when you've got baserunners on you're paying a lot more attention to those guys that are on base because you don't want those stolen bases because again this is a league where you don't get strikeouts. Stranding guys scoring position is much more difficult. That could be a problem here for some of these relief pitchers as well we know for Major League Baseball standpoint. That as a general rule relievers are not good at holding runners. We'd see a lot of teams get more aggressive in the late innings because relievers. Just don't hold runners. They're not worried about it. They've got higher. Strikeout totals they can just pitch. Throw it past guys. Not Worry about those baserunners will be. Oh you can't do that so I think we've probably get a lot more of a lack of focus from some of these relievers here when they do get runners on base so again another reason why I think if you've got a bullpen. That's able to limit walks. They're probably going to have the most success. Sixty one home runs in twenty seven Games here in the K B O and in fact if you follow Daniel Kim on twitter at Daniel Kim. W This is re tweeted by. Dan Kurtz on Start. Falling Daniel Kim on twitter. They're saying that pitchers and hitters alike are saying that the ball seems different. One hitter in fact Dana Kim posted on twitter. Said we couldn't even hit home runs in batting. And now we've got sixty one homers in twenty seven Games two point two six home runs per game. That's up from one point. Four one in twenty nine thousand nine hundred. The ball does appear to be playing differently now again. We don't have a large sample size here but like I talked about a few weeks ago with regards to stabilization points and points of reliability and significance for statistics. Home runs generally become reliable pretty early in the process. So we've got a lot of home runs here so far. That's probably going to be the case and like I said we've seen those totals adjustments with nine point. Five's painted across the board some over juice. Even in games with domestic starting pitchers were probably going to see another wave of adjustments here because the ball is playing differently. Home runs are being hit and a much. Higher Pace home runs are up fourteen percent. Soggy percentage up eleven percent. We're going to start seeing Ted's in the K B o betting odds maybe even the straight ten and a half as well to this point. Ten Point Eight. Five runs per game have been scored back in two thousand eighteen. That was eleven runs per game in two thousand nineteen. It was nine point. One runs per game so it looks like we're back to playing with something that more resembles the previous baseball before? It was D- juiced so that is one hundred and ten percent something that you want to keep in mind and again as we look at how things progress throughout the week in the K. B o remember. Foreign pitchers are very good. Those are generally going to be the number one and number two starters for these teams on the whole over eighty eight innings a three twenty six. Era A one point. Oh four whip for the foreign pitchers and by the way four in hitters three forty-three average. Three ninety-three on base six twenty one slugging fourteen home runs for those ten four and hitters. Each team has won four in hitter and to foreign pitchers. So that's one way that you can kind of look at it here a little bit but as we got past some of those front of the rotation foreign pitchers some of the guys that we expect to be very good here in this league Thursday five and over the over Friday three and two Saturday with only two games. They one and one three games were postponed. Four and one on Sunday. We did have one game with two four and starting pitchers that went over. That was the hot wide key womb game in fact that was because of the bullpen. That was a three to one game going to the bottom of the seventh while ended up ending. I believe six to three over the total. That was a total of eight or eight and a half with the two to four and starting pitchers so later in the week. We're probably going to see some more runs scored now what thing to keep in mind here as I mentioned already is that Monday's league-wide day off at least for now. So what that means. Is that the relievers all get a day off on Monday. And then on Tuesday Wednesday you generally have the best of the foreign starting pitchers maybe they can leak over into Sunday. At sometimes they go Tuesday Sunday type thing but for the most part Tuesday Wednesday should be lower scoring days. The bullpens arrested the better. Starting pitchers we'll be working Thursday Friday Saturday. Those look like those are going to be your days with a lot of slugfests and then Sunday. It'll be kind of hit or miss depending on how the pitcher rotation sort of Shakeout so Tuesday Wednesday probably lower scoring Thursday. Friday Saturday higher scoring Sunday will be kind of a mixed bag depending on how these rotations are set up and I'll talk about this with this next round of games here with some of these foreign starting pitchers and some of the guys on my watch list getting their second starts here early on in the week as we continue beyond the box score here. Let's recap what we saw in the five series that were just played Friday through Sunday key womb swept Hawa over their three-game series. That was one of the game's not rained out on Saturday. But here's the thing about this series. Han went into the bottom of the seventh tied in game. One had a three to one lead to the bottom of the sixth in game. Two and a three to one lead going to the bottom of the seventh in game three so hard wall was really in position to win all three of these games or at a minimum. Take two out of three in this series from a team that was in the finals last year. Great starting pitching to this point but no relief pitching whatsoever and also to. They only scored three runs per game in that series and in this current offense of environment that will not get it done if the ball is going to play more like twenty eighteen than twenty and nineteen the teams that struggle offenses are going to have a major major problem over the course of the season. Because what happens in a high offensive environment is that the gap between the haves and the have nots gets much larger. Because I've already talked about it. Domestic pitchers Salk in this league. Most of the starters are not very good and as we just saw. A lot of the relievers aren't very good. So if you can hit you're going to have a ton of success if the ball is juiced once again if you can't hit well that makes it a really big problem for you and to this point in time hot can't hit minimal power eighth and on base percentage. It's GonNa be hard for them to win games. Because they're starting pitchers are going to have to be exceptional and their bullpens are going to have to figure it out. Here as this season goes along hun was also hit into eight double plays thus far that second in the indicate. Oh so maybe a little bit of positive regression offensively but this still is not a great offense compared to what's out there around the league and we saw that here in this series getting swept even though they had opportunities to win all three of these Games in this series the moon bullpen. As I mentioned already were among the best in the over the first week also their offense little bit of a slow start but some very tightly hitting for them their third in batting average with runners in scoring position so they haven't given themselves a lot of chances to this point but when they have they've cashed them in there on base percentage is in the bottom half of the League which would not expect after they were the best offensive team last season but I think that they should be in line for some positive aggression in particular with a reduced baseball here this year and if they have the best bullpen in this league and they very well could key will be a play on team over the course of the season. Here in the Cabo. So if you're modeling or power rating something like that key womb to me. Probably the best or second best team in this league based on my interpretation of the data here to this point in time. Samsung took two out of three from Kia. I mentioned going into this series and I wish I would have followed through a little bit more here. I mentioned that Samsung even though they didn't score runs against the NC Dino's in their first series. They had a lot of chances. They drew a lot of walks in that series. Their offense didn't do anything in the finale but they scored nineteen runs in the first two games. They didn't have nine run eighth inning in the middle game that felt like kind of the dam breaking so to speak to. Kinda give them a little bit of positive aggression here in that spot but when you look at this Samsung Team. Their biggest issue right now is they. Don't make contact forty eight strikeouts over their game. So far that is astronomically high total in the K B. O over there over there. Six Games here so this is one of those cases for Samsung. Where if they start making more contact? They should be fine. They lead the league in walks. They've worked a lot of deep counts but with that high strikeout total. They're batting under two hundred as a team. And what are the problems with working? A lot of deep counts is that you get two strikes. You have to protect when you have to protect you make weaker contact if you look at exit velocities early in the count versus late in the cow in particular with two strikes. There's a massive difference. That's going to be true of baseball as a whole so for Samsung here. With seventy seven of their plate appearances either ending in a strike out or a walk their hitters are hitting it a lot of deep counts now. I don't know if that will change. The season goes along. But it's a catch twenty. Two you know in this league drawing walks. Great striking out is really bad. So that's been the case Samsung here to this point. In time I'll fall off with that kind of keep an eye on that. See how that goes Kia in this series. They did get blown out in the first two games of the series but they hit ended six double plays over these three games. They've hit a ten double plays over the course of the season thus far so that's kind of hurt their offense a little bit. They drew fourteen walks in this series and their second in the K B O in walks second in on base percentage. I like this key offense quite a bit i. There's a lot of potential here with this unit again. They've got a little bit unlucky with some of those balls in play becoming GDP's but they're drawing a Lotta walks. They've got some decent power. They're putting a lot of balls in play. This Kia offense is pretty good in my estimation. So I'm kind of isolating them as a pretty good over team here in this league and again we will look at their pitching. Statistics Bullpen standpoint. So far their bullpen is terrible and their bullpen issues. A Lotta walks so Kia looks to me to be an over team here for the duration of this season. Now Yangyang Jong Much better start the second time around. I mentioned this on Thursday. That opening day is just kinda tough on him. For a nerve standpoint gave up to solo home runs a couple more hits over his six innings in this series against Samsung much. Better Start Aaron Brooks. Very good he'll make his second start here. Probably on Tuesday brooks and Yang or a good one two punch. We'll see if drew gone. Yo is able to get a little bit better. One of the foreign pitchers that came over previously pitched in the mets organization. If if God yo figures this thing out kiosk maybe going to be very good. I five bet because they'll have some decent starting pitching and you can avoid their bullpen meltdowns and from what it looks like there will probably be a good number of those over the course of the season so Kia maybe a really good I five team and a full game over team as this season goes along. So the K- whiz. I talked about them last week. I didn't really love their lineup. Construction and in fact they're number two hitter over sixteen with a walk to start the season. So maybe they want to kind of figure something out with him but Katie in this abbreviated two game series against Dusan scored twenty four runs and came away with a split won. The first game lost the final game. The middle game rained out. There seem starting pitching matchup on Sunday. I want him taking Dusan minus one and a half guest. The right call was probably taking the over in that game. Walk off. Error was the winner for Deuce on and that one but speaking of the baseball as I just said about two point two seven home runs per game here so two point two six home runs per game so far we saw six home runs in the Sunday. Game at Dusan and Gemstone Stadium is one of the better pitchers parks in the K B O and there were six home runs. Hit in that game on Sunday could be microcosm could be an example of the reduced baseball here and why home runs and scoring are up so much to this point. One thing I have noticed here in the K B O is a lot of these teams are trying to maximize their platoon advantages. Early on in the game you would almost never in major league baseball. See The leadoff man or the two whole hitter swapped out as much as they are here in the K B O so teams are really trying to maximize those platoon advantages early in the game. Then they're swapping those guys out for pinch hit appearances later on once the bullpen gets involved so I thought that was a pretty interesting thing I picked up on I in particular with to hitter four. Kt off to a terrible start but one other thing I noticed about this series is that Dusan actually sent out a pitcher working for a third time in four days and he threw sixty pitches in the final game. It didn't pitch well at all over his sixty pitches. Pitcher usage is a little bit strange. Here bullpens are kind of a mess in general That's something that you know we're just GONNA have to deal with if you're going to bet full game in the K. B O definitely worrisome. With the way these bullpens are coming together. If you're going to bet I five. You generally don't have to worry about it. A lot of people are going to flock to. I five and what's going to happen with that with I? Five is that we're probably going to see some really biased prices and we may end up seeing thirty five forty set lines with the first fives. Because people are gonNA stick around with these full games with the bullpens in. This league are just by and large atrocious. So it is kind of a trade off. You WanNa play i-5's you will avoid the bullpens and that could be very beneficial for you but keep in mind. You're you're going to pay a premium you are going to pay a pumped up line. Where lines are very much going to be. Shaded and against some books will probably incorporate thirty five forty set lines. Maybe even fifty cent lines depending on how high that I five money line is so there will be a lot of liberties taken out there by the sports books with I five noticing just how bad these bullpens are so against something for you to keep in mind if you want to go the derivative route and see they finally lost a game they split their series with LG and quite frankly they shouldn't have lost the game because they were up six to nothing after the first inning. Lg With a seven run eighth inning on Sunday to pick up their first victory for LG. Here Tyler Wilson and Casey Kelly where both blasted in their respective starts talked about those guys that were under mandatory quarantine. I don't know how things worked out for them. I don't they weren't allowed to be around the team facilities. They're probably working out together. Throwing some bullpens as well as they could stuff like that but you gotta think there was some rough involved for those two guys. Neither guy pitching well in their respective starts. They should get a little bit better here as things go forward. You know the nature of the B. Oh is that there is so much manufacturing of runs even with home runs up and in fact with home runs up. We're going to see a lot of multi run homers. That's a big difference from the K B O and Major League Baseball Major League Baseball. You see a lot of Solo home runs in the K B O. You're seeing a of multi run home runs just because of walk rates and balls in play and stuff like that so we're likely to see very big innings very big swings. I don't know if anybody is offering live betting on this as of yet the book that does you're going to get a lot of live over opportunities. I think because we're going to see a lot of multi rund really big innings. Once these bullpens come into the equation and of course we did see that with that seven run eighth inning for LG. We saw nine running for Samsung over the weekend. That's probably going to be a thing as we go throughout the season here looking at this series looking at LG specifically as a general rule. I like this L. G. Offense. They've got some very good power. They've got a good top of the order they've got a former major leaguer in Baltimore Oriole. Kim Actually was pretty decent in the major leagues while he was over there l. Only drawn eighteen walks but I think that should improve as the season goes along as I said a lot of power for them. They'll be over team for me as well in. Games without Wilson and Kelly on the mound. Because I do think Wilson Kelly will be a lot better as they sort of settle into rhythm but that may take some time and you may WanNa look to fade them in their next starts because again being four and pitchers with that foreign pitcher bias in the market Wilson and Kelly could be a little bit mis-priced in their starts later on this week for the LG twins final series. Take a look at it here locker. They stayed perfect with a two game. Sweep this just feels like a different team. I mean they probably have a much more lineup. Now at they're going with some more analytics that money ball generation type stuff. Dan straightly absolutely shoved on Sunday. The bullpen has been terrific. They've been one of the best bullpens in the K B O. So far in fact park she young has allowed. Four of the six runs four this lot the giants bullpen. They're tied with keenum for the fewest walks again. I think bullpens that avoid walks can really thrive and I think you know for somebody like me who comes from an analytics and sabermetrics background isolated walks right away. The Giants Front Office is far smarter than me. I mean these are guys that worked for the cubs that worked under Theo Epstein Sung Kim actually in that front office now he was an analyst for fan graphs for a while are smart group even idiot like be can isolate walks matter in this league and in particular how much walks matter from a bullpen standpoint. You know the giants have figured this out two and I think that's a big deal here. In this league the bullpens with the fewest walks or the lowest percentage are going to do extremely well in late inning situations so if the giants can sustain this and I don't know if they can but if they can if their message to their relievers is let guys put the ball in play. Don't hurt yourself with the walk. Will rely on our defense and again. I assume as the giants have gotten more advanced. They're probably doing more with scouting reports for defensive positioning and stuff like that this giants team. I don't think that this is a fluke last year but I don't think that this is a fluke. Last season they were second highest in strikeouts they having sixteen percent k percentage here so far. They're avoiding big innings and the pitching side. They're not striking out on the offensive side. I don't think that this is a fluke at all. I think this is a cohesive and coherent vision that they've been able to relay to the players on the roster. I think all of this is working out for them. And you've got everybody on the same page here. You probably have pitchers that went to drive line. Baseball and it wasn't about increasing velocity. It was about pitch efficiency. It was about command. It was about control is not walking guys. Because that's the goal here in the K B o the lot the giants probably can't sustain this based on what I've seen so far based on kind of the inferences that I've made. They haven't hit a better yet. They're not walking guys or not striking out as much. All of these are positive things in this abo environment and I think this is very legitimate. What the giants have done here to this point now team they swept in. This series was S K. Slow start off. Festively FOR S K. They've only walk ten times. That's not going to get it done. And also this pitching staff I'm worried about. They lost kwang-hun Kim who winds up going to the St Louis. Cardinals they lost on Hell. Sanchez moved over to Japan to play in the N. P. B. Those are two guys that combined for fifty eight starts last year with an era in the two fifty five to sixty range collectively. They were very good now. We'll see how Nick Kingham Ricardo Pinto. Do they'll make their second starts here this week. Probably Tuesday Wednesday in fact for S K. Yes K. Offense is not doing much Kigoma. Pete starts probably unders- right now. We'll see if pete those able to sustain this and like I said I think Nick Kingham could end up being the best pitcher in this league when all is said and done some really looking to buy on him but probably by on him from an under standpoint because S. K. Just not drawing walks there. A very dependent team haven't had a lot of luck in that department either. Their offense is probably better than they've shown but again. I'm not rushing to do a whole lot with S. K. Unless the gallic kingdom on the mound or pizza on the mound and. I'm betting an under in those games so for the week ahead here starting with the Games on Tuesday morning Kia versus Hawa kt versus NC Dussan versus Lotte K S K versus l g that finally Samsung versus key womb. Second starts here early in the week. Four Aaron Brooks of Kia or drummer despondent and William Cuevas Four. Kt Drew Rescind Sqi and Mike Right for NC Raul. I'll contra Chris Flexing for Dusan Nick Kingham and Ricardo Pinto Four S K. Ben Lively David Buchanan for Samsung. Then Eric Yokich four key womb seconds starts for the guys that are on my watch list Choi One of key womb five innings to runs nine hits four strikeouts to walks in his first start in his age twenty two season last year. Three thirty eight. Era One twenty eight whip. Big Bonus Baby. He Draws Samsung here this week. Then really good command over his last two seasons Samsung Right now. Living on the home run living on the walk. They're striking out a lot. They're not doing overly well with their balls. In play. Choi Dante low homerun low walk numbers over the last couple of seasons key. Wom- will be a pretty decent favourite Samsun on less. It's like Choi Against Ben lively something like that. I think Choi can have success in that matchup Ricky Williams so we'll see what the line looks like what Choi One. I will be trying to play either from a standpoint or maybe an under standpoint depending on who he winds up matching up against young Lee Ha for Dusan. Six hundred two runs one of them earned five hits three strikeouts to walks low strikeout rate concerning walk rate but at this age twenty two season. He's a big bonus baby. He draws the lot to lineup here. Good test for him. What walk rate is only seven point five percent so they're not walking a ton they're doing really really well on balls in play? That may regress a little bit. We'll see the line works for that. Dusan and lots of match up but Lee. Young Ha is a guy that is on my radar here as guy I'm watching closely and maybe as a guide back in some certain starts here Bay J. Song of kt very good. I start last week against lot to earned eight hits one. Walk One strikeout. He'll draw an NC lineup doing very very well. Bay had a breakout season in two thousand nine hundred ninety three seventy six. Era One forty three whip. Good Command profile. The walks are the question so nc here. They've done an okay job drawing locks in fact they've done a very good job drawing walks. I believe So that's one that you want to keep a close eye on. Kt offensively kind of hit or miss here again. I don't love the top of their order. But that'll be an interesting one to look at the line because again the giants are playing very well. I think there's a Lotta sustainability to what they're doing their lines may be a little bit inflated here as we go forward so guy like bay and a big plus money price for kt could be worth the investment depending on who he's lined up against show. John One four Lada. Six shutout gave up an unearned run in his first start against K. T. he draws Dusan in his next start. He's only nineteen years old. I this could be fade spot for the giants here again. Depending on WHO's on the hill for Dusan but so now at nine thousand nine hundred as I've talked about already I think twenty two twenty. Three is the sweet spot for these korean-born highschoolers that go right to the K B. O. At one thousand nine hundred probably going to struggle a little bit now gets an upgraded do sunlight up as opposed to KT. I maybe a good chance to fade. Ceo John One in his next start finally one more here. Coup Changmo of NC six shutout eight strikeouts in his first start three two thousand eighteen whip last season. I think he's a star in the making. I think he's a guy that could go over to the major leagues at a relatively young age. He gets that. Kt LINEUP WHO's hit for a little bit of power. They also struck out a ton. Fourteen point two percent. K percentage coups best asset. Is The strikeout so again. I want to see how that line looks win. Coup CHANGMO MAKES HIS NEXT START FOR NC against the Katie Whiz. Finally a couple of more starting pitchers I've added to my here. Kim Tae Hoon Four S. K. One hundred and thirty two relief appearances over the last two seasons. Now he's going to be starting for S K with some of the losses that they had in that rotation now. He's twenty nine years old but he only has one hundred ninety six career appearances and one hundred and thirty two over the last two years. So he's just now finally healthy. Good six innings. His Twenty Twenty debut gave up two runs on only two hits struck out three. Walk Three Good K. Numbers as a reliever which in this league in my estimation that translates to having good stuff so I think Kim Tae Hoon could be a pretty good starter for S K here. Now that he's finally healthy. Put up some good numbers the last two years. That's a guy to watch. Maybe because what what? I'm trying to find here. I'm trying to find domestic pitchers that could be worthy of unders because again as we've already seen bullpens are bad and domestic. Starting pitchers are pretty bad. So I'm trying to find guys that I can maybe hitch my wagon to to either play at big plus many numbers against the foreign starters or placed him under his with and Kim Tae Hoon could be one of them. Finally one more on my watchlist here so John. So he unjust. Excuse me eighteen years old four K. T. good debut against do sign five innings to earn five hits struck out a couple only walked one. Big Bonus baby again. The eighteen nineteen year olds are scary. But that's a guy to watch because he will mix in some pretty good starts along with his struggles in growing pains. So lot of information here today on the better spock's Arcadio podcast Adam at Bang Book Dot Com or skating tripods at gmail.com to get on the list for the K B O show notes. Get a Lotta stuff here but some good stuff for you to refer back to as you listen through the show or as you handicap these games for yourself and like I said I'm working on a bullpen spreadsheet here for the K B O hoping to have that out a little bit later on in the week so I'm trying to all in here with the K B O. The betting results haven't been what I had hoped so far down little under two units but had the two massive bullpen blow ups on Sunday. That would have put us back on the plus side so again trying to learn things as we go the ball playing much differently than it did last year. That's an adjustment that we have to make an adjustment. The pitchers have to make so get tread lightly here in the K B O with your action early on in the process. We back on Tuesday to chat once again with Brian. Blessing the host of sportsbook radio and Vegas hockey line. Well talking about the NFL schedule released. We'll talk about NASCAR at Darlington. This week we'll talk about what you horse tracks coming back here this week as well. Just sort of grab bag segment with Brian. On Tuesday's show then I'll be back with another edition of the box covering the K B O on Thursday. They'll do it for me. Thank you for listening everybody and remember that you will never strike out when you're in the betters box.

Samsung giants baseball K B O Dusan K B Kia LG Dusan Bullpen Kt MLB Tyler Wilson twitter Katie bullpen Kim Tae Hoon Darlington NC Dan Kurtz Espn Bangor Book Dot Com
The Bettors Box KBO Betting Podcast May 18, 2020

Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

48:11 min | 11 months ago

The Bettors Box KBO Betting Podcast May 18, 2020

"Loans again everybody and thank you for joining me in the betters boxes. Banged the book. Dotcom K B. O Betting podcast for Monday. Eighteenth I'm your host. Adam Burke this end every edition better sparks presented by our friends over at sportsbook. Be TB and the number two hundred. Is that Promo Code. One hundred percent deposit match for the Sports Book. One hundred percent deposit match bonus for the live casino at GSI. It's only a game on until you better come to you here on a Monday. After the weekend day off on Monday in the K B O Games restart again on Tuesday morning. So we'll have that K B O article up this afternoon over at Bang Book Com. Taking a look at the five new series. That will begin here on Tuesday also over at the website. Nascar of very good opening race at Darlington. We'll do it again here this week but also mix in the xfinity series so xfinity serious preview F A Cup series preview for Darlington. Coming your way over at banged the book Dot Com. Also talk about the match between Tiger and Peyton manning and Phil and Tom Brady. That's coming up here this upcoming weekend. I believe that Sunday. So we'll have a preview for that over at the website also produce some horse racing stuff for later in the week will revisit some. Nfl futures things going pretty well right now for the sports that are going on a lot more horse tracks starting over the weekend several more starting during the week here and of course we've got you know some big prep races coming up for the Kentucky Derby in September. So we'll have a lot of horse racing coverage for you throughout the spring summer over a Bang Book Dot Com. We're doing the best we can with what we've got to work with here with. Ufc that's on hiatus. Now until may thirtieth we'll see if that winds up being in Arizona or winds up being somewhere else but that'll be the next event may thirtieth. Then you have C two fifty supposed to go off the following week. We'll see what Dana white does with the schedule where he ends up going but we still got golf. Nascar RACING K B O now we'll have the UFC as well over at the website and Gulf officially coming back here. I believe it's what the second week of June at Memorial I think it is with the PGA tour coming back around so kind of starting to sort of get back to normal a little bit here more and they'll be proposals coming out more ideas coming out for the NBA and the NHL Nhl. Possibly using a Las Vegas Hotel and then having the close proximity to t mobile arena. That trying to figure some things out there so we'll see how that goes but at least we're getting some news now and certainly some news better than no news like we had with a lot of sports where a very very long time all right so it is Monday. We do have Monday mailbag this week. I got three questions from our good buddy rich via email. Happy to have those. Don't go ahead and do more like the traditional format for the show here will do the beyond the box store segment. I'm saving down the lions for Thursday's just because I don't want to overload you with K B o content but of course the market is settling in now the sports books. Having a better idea of what's going on and of course we're seeing inflated prices on some of these foreign starting pitchers like the big number with Dan Straight over the weekend. Like the deuce on Kia game where Aaron Brooks even though Kia. Nowhere near as good offensively to this point as use on brooks gets the respect in that game against Contra Contra up pitching really well brooks doesn't so deuce wins at that relatively short money line price there. So we're seeing adjustments. We're seeing betters. Maybe getting a little bit more of a feel for this market but I'll talk more about that on Thursdays show but after the beyond the box where segment. We'll take a look at the week ahead. Go over those five series that start here on Tuesday morning well we start with Monday mailbag here. We serve with that three pack of questions from rich via email to get Adam at bang. The book dotcom skating drives gmail.com at skating tripods on twitter to send in questions for the Monday mailbag or get on the list for the box show notes once again Adam at the book dot Com or skating tripods at G. Dot Com for that riches. First question here says now that you were all in the K B O or are you going to change your stance on the sacrifice bunt and the answer is absolutely not I will never change my stance on sacrifice bunting. I absolutely hate sacrificed funds. I hated it more in a league with such a depress strikeout rate here like the K B o also. The ball seems to be reduced. I don't see really any reason to be out there. Bunting here in this league but I know it's kind of contact oriented league a lot more small ball stuff like that some people like that. I personally don't and for those new listeners or those old listeners that we have the reason why I dislike. Sacrifice bunting is that it very rarely makes sense from a run expectancy standpoint or a win expectancy standpoint and right now we're looking at a scenario in the K B O where we've gone from just over nine runs per game last year to almost ten and a half runs per game this year when you play for one run you get one run but when you look around the K B o hear. How much does one run matter with the level of these bullpens with the Reduced Baseball? When you look at the major leagues obviously with home runs and things of that sort and a lot of strikeouts. There's really no reason to sacrifice but there is math behind this. There is a method to the madness of the fact that sacrifice bunch just for the most part are not plus. Ev decisions from a run expectancy standpoint in a win expectancy standpoint. They typically worth. It's not worth giving up an out to hopefully increase your chances of scoring one run. Because that's what happens. You increase your chances of scoring one run but you dramatically decrease your chances of scoring multiple runs which in the major league baseball current run environment indicate the OCHRE run environment. You want to score as many runs as possible playing for one run it makes sense late in Games in certainly game situations. I'm not one hundred percent anti sac bunt but I don't see any reason to ever bunt before. See the eighth inning. Unless you've got a pitcher at the plate or something like that so to me I think a lot of sacrifice bonds are just a waste of things. Maybe a little bit different. It's not something I've dived into as much as I have with Major League baseball but I will never change my stance on sacrifice bonding. I can't stand it. I don't think it makes a Lotta Sense. Ninety to ninety five percent of the time but there are those times in late game situations where it does make a little bit of sense. Second Question from richer says if NFL Games go on as scheduled but with fewer or no fans do you think teams will be allowed to pump in crowd noise. If so do you think this will give an edge to the falcons since they are experts in this category? A good shot at arrival here. Riches of Saints Fan Good Friend of Mine. I know he's not not too keen on the Falcons so I appreciate that shot across the bow. Their you know I think you're going to have to have some sort of ambient noise right. I mean you're in these cavernous venues. You know sixty five seventy seventy five thousand seat venues. You've gotTa have some sort of ambient noise right. I mean you just Kinda have to otherwise skippy extremely weird extremely where I mean. I guess maybe teams are used to be in their practice facilities with no noise or whatever but you talk about an NBA practice. If you're on your main arena floor or you're on the road and you're practicing. The place is quiet. You're Kinda used to that a little bit to a degree. Maybe some of these kids used to it from college with their arenas not being very big but in the NFL man. I think no sound except for you know the quarterback and the players kind of signalling to each other. I know it'd be very difficult. No we'll teams go with more silent counts so that the opposition can't pick up on their signals to change their audible calls and they're hot route calls each week stuff like that. I gotTa have something that you have to have some sort of noise whether it's crowd noise or something else. Maybe get some white noise from ocean waves. Maybe a thunderstorm something like that. Maybe they played music like they do during the NBA. But I think there has to be something because otherwise you know I mean. It's just it's going to be eerie. Silence is just going to be crazy. I don't know it's a pretty good question. I sort of wonder how the logistics to work out with that. Although from what you've seen out there in terms of what people are reporting and stuff like that it does seem like the expectation is to have fans in the building. So I don't know I guess we'll wait and see we'll see what happens with cove in one thousand nine and all that but it's a good question and again. I think from a from gamesmanship standpoint you know can you really the play books in the NFL? Hard enough to understand. I would imagine you're going to start changing your calls and all the signals and everything else week after week after week. I don't know so that'll be something that'll be very interesting to take a look at once. Things actually start getting closer here and possibly coming to fruition. Finally last question here from rich. What are the states? That will have legalized sports betting. What are the next states? They'll have legalized sports betting when we had Colorado Watch on May first and obviously not a ton going on but you have seen Nascar Golf something like that. They've been able to take some handle what that Michigan and Illinois. They launched in March but they don't have online capabilities yet. Tennessee will be one of the next states. Tennessee actually has no retail casinos. So Tennessee is going to be one hundred percent online and Mobile. Sign up from anywhere. We'll see which operators wind up going there but Tennessee should be very robust sports betting market Colorado is online available to everybody but they do have the retail element in Cripple Creek. Black Hawk and central city Tennessee. They don't have any retail casinos. So that'll be very interesting especially with people. Travelling into Nashville for different events will see if Tennessee has restrictions on college events. Stuff like that. Virginia they're supposed to go into effect July first. They've got four quasi casinos. I was researching this. This morning. Called Rosie's where they're basically like they're called historical horse racing machines that look like slot machines. It's kind of a weird thing but they actually don't have any retail casinos either. So Virginia going to be an all online and mobile state Washington North Carolina. They're doing the tribal setup. They've already agreed to that. North Carolina's got a couple of Harris Properties up in the smoky mountains there so Washington North Carolina are going to tribal only route and that's retail only as well not online. At least as of now and then I saw that recently Oklahoma. They're starting to get into the tribal tribal casinos with some sports betting they could draw some of the Texas population. That could be pretty interesting. Especially because Texas is nowhere near and expansion of sports betting to earn expansion of gambling. Excuse me to include sports betting then one more is Louisiana. I saw it a couple of bills actually went through the Senate. They'll be going over to the House but Louisiana's really interesting and odd set up because the individual parishes can have different laws different ruling stuff like that so they're looking at probably a retail setup. Only but mobile inside of that location because they won't be able to have widespread state legalization because individual parishes may not allow for it. So they're gonNA have a lot of things they have to deal with with. You know. Jill location fencing technology and stuff like that. It's Kinda what Mississippi has gone with a Louisiana kind of looking at that but I do think that on the whole I would expect other states to move quickly because right now with unemployment and all the things going on on a state level with the copay response these states are going to need a new revenue stream. And they're going to try to get it from wherever they possibly can. So I think there will be some states that once all of this is not necessarily over but toned down a little bit more once the legislative sessions. Get back going here. I think a lot of states will move quickly on sports betting so yeah we try to find silver linings in this awful tragic thing but I do think that a lot of states will move quickly. Go Haya will be one that moves quickly and they're surrounded by states. That have legalized betting anyway. I can state like Kansas could move. They've been talking about it already. They actually do have some casinos in the state of Kansas. Missouri is going to be another one. That's going to be going live here. Shortly we could see Nebraska make a move we could see maybe Arizona takes a more serious stance. Something like that Georgia could wind up being on the move as well because he had these states are going to have these big budget deficits. They're gonNA have to find money somewhere and maybe they because Ohio for example they just did a pretty big cutback with state and local education in order to account for the money that they've been putting out for some of the other programs. Well what's going to happen and what happens in a lot of these states. Is that what you've got sports betting tied through the lottery? The revenue stream pumps back into education. That's the case with the Ohio Lottery. Which means that sports betting would be a way to recoup that money that was taken from education so I think that will be a thing in a lot of states here. I think we will probably get a pretty good run on states. Probably Not Li twenty twenty but early twenty one early. Twenty twenty one. I would expect a lot of states to start adopting legalization. That haven't already and probably will move pretty quickly in that process rich as always appreciate the questions for the Monday mailbag at skating dry pods on twitter. Adam at bang book dotcom via email to get the notes or skating dry pods at gmail.com art with that here. We go beyond the box score and after taking up a little bit of time with the Monday mail bag. I'll try not to stretch this out too much. I know the last show is about forty five minutes pretty long but a lot of good information getting a lot of good feedback on this K B. O stuff here as well. But any event twelve more home runs on Sunday. One hundred fourteen home runs in fifty seven games so exactly two per game now. What's really interesting here is that home runs are up rather dramatically league-wide as we've talked about a lot one point. Four home runs per game last year. Two per game here this year so far but interestingly enough the league wide era is only up from four fifty five to four sixty four. So it's a fairly modest. Era Increase despite the big power surge and also increases in batting average and on base percentage. Those are both up to this point relative. To last season we have seventy one unearned runs. Though in fifty seven games last year there were six hundred and thirty. Four honored runs in seven hundred twenty games. So we're well over. One unearned run per game on pace last year. It was fewer than one. Unearned RUN per game. So that's part of it is that run-scoring is clearly up around the league but also it's up from an honor earned run standpoint so of course those don't count against era five hundred ninety five runs in fifty seven games to this point. Ten point four four runs per game in the four hundred twenty up from nine point zero nine last year so increase of about one point three five runs per game in the K B O to this point in time that is a substantial increase to say the least but it's still below eleven point one runs per game in two thousand eighteen now. Something that is worth talking about here. Real quickly is that the season started in. May the K B O season traditionally starts in March so the weather pattern much much. Different here. Indicate that it wasn't the start of last season so that is having a little bit of an impact on this power surges. Well the baseball is different. The players are saying that the data seems to back that up. And I'll talk more about that in a second but also to the weather environment is different. So this is something where you would traditionally see if you look at it from a church standpoint. Things were Kinda start a little bit lower. Go Up as the weather. Got Warmer than kind of come back down a little bit as the weather cooled off once we got closer to fall but indicated the. Oh here. I don't think we see sort of that. Bell curve type of format. This probably just flattens out quite frankly because you won't have so many atmospheric differences over the course of the season. Now we'll get warmer. We'll get more humid. Obviously so maybe run-scoring goes up a little bit over the summer months but you won't see as steep increase as you typically would because the season started in May as opposed to March so that is something to keep in mind here is that yes relative to last year. Things are a lot different particularly early on in the season but the weather also a lot different over in the K B O. Now with that being said that's not the only difference. The baseball is different. And you for the Yonhap News Agency actually wrote up an article here citing the data from sports to I which is the advance stats provider. Basically the stat cast and they'll be advanced media of the K B O. And what they said here. They're hard hit rate now. Major League Baseball. The hard hit rate is defined as ninety five miles per hour in the K. B O. The hard hit rate is defined as one hundred and fifty kilometers per hour whichever which is about ninety three point two miles per hour for us. The hard hit rate twenty-seven percent in the K B O. So at least twenty. Seven percent of batted balls have been ninety three point two miles per hour or higher at this time last year it was twenty two point four percent so part of that is the weather factor but a bigger part of that is at the baseball is pretty obviously different from what we saw last year. In fact line drive exit velocity and fly ball. Exit Velocity are up each about three kilometers per hour line around eighty seven point seven three miles per hour. Fly Balls Eighty four point three eight miles per hour so with that being said that's much lower than major league baseball but still pretty high from A K B O Standpoint. So the baseball is different. It is playing different. The weather is a contributing factor but also guys are making a lot better contact overall which does suggest that the baseball is probably a little bit different and also to again a very quick. Your spring training for these players to the pitchers are still probably working on their command. Velocity usually comes back pretty quickly but throwing quality pitches that takes time. It takes time to get a feel for your arsenal so I think that maybe this offensive search is. I don't want say misleading. But I think there's a chance that we do kind of regress back a little bit and as the pitchers get better. That's of course assuming that the pitchers are able to cancel out the weather. There's a lot of moving parts. They're gonNA have talked about this a lot that the sample size is still pretty small. Fifty seven games. That's a small percentage of what we're looking at here around the league. Keep IN MIND. They play seven hundred and twenty games in this league. So you've got a scenario here where the sample sizes is probably big enough to start making some conclusions but not big enough to be absolutely definitive. So we're seeing harder contact where obviously seeing more run-scoring and we're seeing more power. Now the question is does this level off or does this regressive as the pitcher is get more repetitions as the pitchers get more command more. Feel now if we look at pitching as a whole in this league you could save probably not because the pitching isn't very good and also the weather will get warmer so I'm of falling. You've got some give and take here. You've got your sort of one column against another column but the overall thing the overall theme here is that harder contact more power more runs scored whether or not that changes remains to be seen but obviously it does appear that the ball is play a little bit different here. In the Cabo this season taking a look at bullpens here real quickly and I've been posting my bullpen spreadsheet in the daily Article Over Bang Book. Dotcom so please check that out the LG twins or the bullpen right now. With an era under four everybody else over four some teams substantially over four the lock the giants with the best whip at one point one eight followed by key womb and. Lg again you could check out that bullpen report every day over in my kb article at Bang the Book Dot Com something. I wanted to mention here because this information can be very difficult to find a but trying to to put this in sort of infused into the daily article as often as I can but a lot of injuries starting to out here in the KB. Oh now as I just mentioned a very abbreviated spring training for the teams in this league. So we're seeing a lot of soft tissue injuries. Indicate to this point intercostal muscles OBE leaks hamstrings leg injuries. Stuff like that because again. You'll do all have Monday off but more often than not you're playing six games in a row and the roster sizes are a little bit bigger. Here you've got put tune things stuff like that but still you really hit the ground running here in the K B O. Playing a lot of games right out of the shoot you know in Major League Baseball. You've got a lot of off-days worked in teams. Generally we'll play three or four games in March and then maybe play twenty one twenty two games over April where they've got some extra days off kind of built it not the case in the K B O so going by team here looking at some injuries that I've picked up from on twitter From various people that cover the K B O. No injuries produce on as of yet at least nothing of of great significance. They're just running good right now. In general with the offense the pitching staff though the worst indicate bureau at this point in time the eagles now their offense isn't very good as we know but they've already had some very bad luck on the injury side and in fact right now both their starting shortstop and starting second baseman are out for the next month or so again for the Hawa Eagles here Haji Suk to sixty four three eight three eight three slash overall in his career but off to a nice three thirty three average three forty nine on base. Four zero five slugging to start this season and also Sun Jin to forty three zero five three. Oh six career. But three forty six three seventy five thirty eight. Start this season so And oh the shortstop and second baseman off to good starts a couple of the guys that were actually hitting for this Hawa lineup. Bolt of them get hurt. I believe both of them in Sunday's game as well so the hardware. Eagles wants of injury problems for them. They're already without jared hauling who is their foreign hitter. He's having some back discomfort that also Leon. Yong coup another outfielder for them in about sixty five hundred plate appearances in the K B. He's a career. Three eighty seven on base guy so four of hot was best offensive players at least in the small sample size of this season now on the shelf for them so they will continue to be an excellent under bet and I don't think the sports books will know about these injuries situations. I don't think they'll be that plugged in to know what's going on here but hot wall with four really key. Injuries virtually to their everyday lineup for a team. That already wasn't really hitting nothing on the significant injury front for the Tigers the womb heroes couple of injuries for them here limb beyond walk out six to eight weeks for them. Probably Lynn beyond walk out six to eight weeks. He's their starting center fielder off to a good start in twenty twenty two seventy eight average three fifty on base three eighty nine slugging not great career numbers but they lose starter there in. Him Nick Kingham. He's got the elbow issue. Who knows when he'll be back? Then Taylor Mater who is their foreign hitter. Taylor Mater was off to a slow start. But he's having some issues over in. South Korea here was deleted tweets that Daniel Kim had a screen shot of on twitter. Where modder had quote tweeted his girlfriend or wife something like that in quarantine over in South Korea. I guess she's still got to meet whatever. The mandatory requirement is over there her she and modern very critical of what was taking place there in terms of food and stuff like that. Maybe Taylor comes home. Maybe Taylor Monitor comes back to the United States. Maybe Kiwi loses four and hitter wasn't hitting anyway but he's currently on the injury list the ineligible list whatever taken off the roster. Here four key. We'll we'll see what happens with that scenario. But of course Kiwi offense struggling already. Now they don't have mater and they lose limb to that injury for six to eight weeks so keenum. They're dealing with some things as well. A bad injury. Here Four K. T. You Hon. June out. Six weeks he's their cleanup hitter. Career three seventy seven on base percentage career. Three hundred hitter off to a three hundred three forty nine. Four seventy five start. He's out six weeks. Kt who did have a great offensive weekend. They're going to be without their cleanup hitter for the next month. And a half or so. They're second in batting average in the be. Oh right now but an injury situation popping up there for them one key injury for the LG twins. And I just mentioned. Lg With the lowest bullpens in the K B O Right now however they're closer co Yuck out until at least the second half if not all season here one fifty two er a one. Oh eight WHIP THIRTY FIVE SAVES LAST YEAR. Seventy six strikeouts in seventy one innings. He's only twenty one years old but he has a knee injury. He'll be out for a long period of time so lg now without their top relief pitcher and in this league. That certainly seems like it's quite a problem. The lot the giants couple of injuries for them least young. Hun a scary moment. Sunday's game got hit in the head with a comebacker Fractured forehead for him. Hopefully he winds up being. Okay also jumped out. Two plus months is kind of a first Baseman D. H. Outfield platoon guy. Three sixty seven average four fifty seven on base five thirty three slugging percentage start here in twenty twenty so lot with a couple of injuries. Lee was making his first start of the year but jumped. Hoon a pretty big loss there for the to offense no injuries for the NC Dino's were off to attended one start. Samsung Ben Lively. Got Hit on the hand by a comebacker. X Rays. Were negative. Seems like he'll be okay but he left after one inning in that game on Sunday. Couple OF INJURIES HERE. S actually one injury. Four J. Tae in thirty seven years old is a utility player of plays all over the place intercostal muscle for him. He's out four to six weeks. Good career hitter to ninety eight average three sixty nine on base four fifty four slugging not a great two thousand nine hundred but S. K. Can ILL AFFORD TO LOSE ANY OFFENSIVE PLAYER OF VALUE? And of course they'll be without him for four to six weeks here with that intercostal muscle so I'll try to uptake these injuries but the key takeaway here hot wa- missing four players pretty much from its everyday lineup key womb widsom injury concerns. Kt missing their cleanup hitter L. G. missing their closer and S K missing one of the few guys with some offense upside for them. It's an interesting over actually. Have a new injury list format where it's ten day day or thirty day but they can come back earlier if they're healthy so kind of a loose format with this injury list but now that they have that instead of moving guys down to the second division they just put them on the injured list. Call somebody up so just some procedural things. There indicate bureau touch all right. So let's talk about the series that just wrapped up here. We start with and Hawa and the lot. The giants offense really came back to Earth. Only ten runs in the three game series in this series and interestingly enough. Warwick supple actually the worst start of the three guys four Han Wi Kim e Wan One earned run seven. Hits struck out a couple of walked one over six innings. Suppled start was very good anyway. I'm saying it kind of ingests that he had to start seven innings to earn eight hits struck out four walked one then Kim Min Woo seven innings one run to hits shutout six walk. Three Hud was getting exceptional pitching. Now though they lose their to middle infielders. So what happens with this hardware pitching staff because I have to assume and I don't know this for a fact but I have to assume that defensively up the middle now they would have to be worse right. I mean you lose both of those guys and the thing of it is the backup. Shortstop was the starting Second Baseman. So the shortstop goes out then the backup shortstop goes out so up the Middle Now. Hawa very questionable defensively and the pitching staff is what has been carrying this team. Because we know the offense isn't any good so maybe Hawa Fade here. Maybe the sports books don't fully recognize and realize what the eagles are dealing with. Could be a good opportunity to go against them here for the next couple of weeks while they try to sort of adjust on the fly with some of those key injuries on the lot. Decide Dan. Straightly didn't pitch well and straitlaced price really got pumped up in his start. Didn't even make it through five innings in his start. I'm sure he'll be just fine. You're just kind of a cautionary tale. Maybe with laying some really big numbers here in the K B o Lee sung-hun as I mentioned three honored runs before he got hit in the head lot work for that lot that giants pen on Sunday. They did pitch well but they lost eleven innings and they actually had to work a lot here this weekend with that extra inning game. Losing a starter. Early straightly doesn't get through five. Watch for this. Lots of bullpen. Later in the week where they could have some signs of fatigue could WanNa look to play some over here with the giants later in the week with a bullpen. Got Gassed a little bit over the weekend and L. G. L. G. swept a doubleheader. On Saturday they lose the finale. On Sunday Eric Joke. It's got to get the start for key. Womb on Sunday through seventy two pitches but they had a seven nothing lead. There's really no point to push him but the key will offense good on Sunday scored nine runs but awful in the double header. Casey Kelly and junk he on really shutting them down in that doubleheader. They're both bullpens. Were terrible on Sunday and this may be something to watch here because we will have some scheduled doubleheaders later in the year. Maybe that's over angle. You'll relievers indicate from what I've seen and I do want to try and track this a little bit more here going to try and use that bullpen spreadsheet that I have to track this a little bit more but relievers working back to back days seem to be really bad on the second day. Maybe it's anecdotal. Maybe it's just kind of noticed from my box score study but it does look like when they're asked to go back to back days. It's been problematic and again. Maybe this has to do with the fact that they couldn't ramp up for the season the way that they usually do. Maybe it's just kind of trying to get a feel for everything but to this point it does look like relievers. Pitching back to back are not very good so if you see a team using it's better relievers something like that. Maybe you want to look to go against that team. The next day just expecting that bullpen to feel little bit watered down the Kiwi offense. They still can't really get going. They did on Sunday. I had the under on Sunday's game. Maybe I should have considered the double header angle a little bit stronger but Eric Joke. It's is really got a strong pull. He's one of the better starters in this league for sure and for keenum if that offense ever gets going. They've got some pretty good pitching. I'll talk about that. A little bit more here with their upcoming series. They ever get that offense going though They'll be in very good shape. Dusan three from Kia do side just keeps right on Hitman. Twenty three runs in this three game series for them now. I have no doubts that their offense is really good. But Jose Miguel Fernandez a five twelve babb. Oj Lee a five sixteen babba again. It's batting average on balls in play and Major League. Baseball guys fall between two ninety three ten. I WOULD ASSUME THE K B O. A lot of guys are more like three thirty two three forty something like that but you've got Fernandez at five twelve. Oj Lead Five Sixteen. Kim Jae won at three eighty five and Kim. Jae Ho at four ten. So those are four of the top five in plate appearances for Dusan with exorbitant batting averages on balls in play that will regress. Nobody's carrying a five hundred WBAP in any baseball league. So that will regress now. I don't know when it will. I have no idea the answer to that question. But this on offense cannot sustain this so again we try to maybe find spot. Plays to maybe go against them. Like I did with Eric Brooks on Sunday. But then Aaron Brooks Scott. Rock gave up eleven hits and Roll Law Contra was dominant with seven innings. Nine strikeouts so I'm trying to find spots to go against the deuce on offense because they will regress a little bit with those extremely high bandwidths. It's just a matter of when that actually happens and I'm not entirely sure in this series. There were eight errors in the first game. Thirteen to four final. Ten honored runs. I don't think the Deuce on pitching staff is very good but I also think do sounds very good defensively. That's certainly seems to be the case. Here I'm trying as I can figure out which defenses are goodness league and which ones are bad because it's going to have a significant impact in a low strikeout environment. I think do son's defense could be pretty bad here. They could still be at over team but again you think that offense does kind of progress a little bit as we go forward for. Kia you know for whatever reason I kicked a feel for this team Preston Tucker's carrying the offense. He hid half of their home runs. He's slashing four forty four five ten nine eleven. He's got five home runs already. Hit Nine and three hundred ninety nine plate appearances last season. So he's carrying this offense. He's always struck out six percent of time double digit walk rate. He's been great. Nobody else really has been so if you can shut him down. You can kind of shut down this key offense. They're about the only team in this league that I just don't have a feel for right now. We'll see if that changes here for this weekend. Maybe a bad read on my part saying that. Samsung is better than advertised. Kt swept them outscored. The lions thirty three to twelve in this series Victory Simpson give up eight runs in the seventh inning of the first game to lose fourteen to six one day in struggled so he hung John for kt the nineteen year old. He was pretty good. Blow out in the third game. You know this. Kt offense has been very good their second batting average slugging percentage as I just mentioned you know. They've got that injury consideration with their cleanup hitter and top of their orders. Not very good so kt could be a regression candidate offensively as they face some better pitching here. Samsung's pitching staff is okay but as they faced them better pitching. I may look for chances to go against a little bit. Samsung the only struck out seventeen times in this series but their contact quality seems to be a big issue for them. You know you look at some of the teams here in this league. Something's in for a lot of power and some teams. Just don't Samsung S. K. And Hawa have combined to hit. Twenty home runs and see on their own has hit eighteen. Dussan hit seventeen. You've gotta hit for power in this league. That's becoming very very clear. Samsung not hitting for a lot of power. It's hurt them. It's really hurt them and they get swept here and only scored twelve runs over these three games against the KT pitching staff. That had been pretty bad coming into this series. One more serious look at here and see they. Complete the sweep of S K. S. K. Scored eight runs in the three games in this series. And maybe the best pitching staff in the League. They certainly have the best rotation in the League but man s case offenses just deplorable. It's just my God. It's awful I will say this. I was looking through over at Cabo fancy stats. I was looking at some bad stuff because I you know we started getting a little bit more of a sample size here. Maybe we could start looking at Babbel a little bit more when I looked at batting averages on balls in play for the NC pitchers they're really good now. Part of this is because they've got a really good staff contact quality against probably among the best indicator. But I think there's a chance that the defense is the best defensive team in the League. I think that that may be kind of showing itself a little bit here. So the pitchers are very good but they also have a very good defense and that's helped them to this. Ten in one start through a cincy was better not dominant. Lee-jay Hack Kim young you. They were very good get S. K. Not a good offensive team but I think in see is actually a legitimate team. I can hit just enough to pitching staffs defensively. They're probably among the best in the League. If not the best. Nca very solid ball club. And I know that they shut down a really terrible S. K. Team but I think that there's still a very very good team for K Kim Tae Hoon seven shutout once again. Pitching very well to starts very good for him. You could stomach betting on the S. K. Offense Kim Tae Hoon is about the only guy I would trust right now from that S K. Team in terms of guys that can pitch without a whole lot of margin for error so we take a look at the week ahead. Hawa and Katie L. G. and Samsung Lotte and KIA NC Dusan. That's a great series matchup there then S. K. And a lot of under money coming in that series the foreign starters coming up here over the next couple days David. Buchanan William Cuevas us. Chris Flexing Drew Gun. Yo Ricardo. Pto Tyler Wilson and Mike Right. There will be the foreign starters coming up here today. And tomorrow or Tuesday and Wednesday the watchlist guys Kuching Chang. Mos GonNa make another start four and see. He's the best domestic pitcher in this league. A Guy with a clear-cut Major League Baseball Future Bay Ji Song. Another guy like from T. Choi Young from Samsung Choi One tape from key womb young Lee Young Ha from Dusan and Park se-wong from locked. Those are the six domestic starters. I'll be watching very closely here with their next turns in the rotation we take a look at these series here at kt again Han. Want lots of injuries. Missing the Middle Infield defense low slugging percentage offense and they lost some of their better hitters. Kt their offense is firing away right. Now they're a foreign seventeen but plus twelve run differential after outscoring. Samsung by twenty one runs over the weekend. Ktar Pythagorean win-loss positive progression candidate but don't keep being a streaky team. This series sets up well for them. You know look. They've got some hints in one hundred and three hits on the season. That's twelve more than their opposition but only thirty eight runs. Only four home runs now. They don't have that Middle Infield defense looks like a tough week here for the hot eagles. Kt They don't strike out a lot that helps Honda's got some pretty good strikeout pitchers on their staff. This isn't bad series for Hogwash. Should take care of business here. But we'll see how inflated prices are because right now hod was just not viewed as a very good team again. I don't think those injuries will be accounted for in the lines. So maybe we get some decent. Kt prices here. And I'll probably back bay JI song whether it's a run line or the big money line price because I really like him but beyond that it's tough delay the big numbers with Katie here even though they probably will be justified. L. G. and Samsung Samsung Goes Home. Now and they've hit six of their eight home runs at home so maybe some better hopes for them offensively in this series now l. Only hit nine home runs. Samsung's hit eight home runs for these two offenses but Samsung is probably the best hitters park in this league so maybe we get some power production from these two teams here could be an over series here with LG missing their best reliever with their offense being very very good Samsung. They're not a great pitching staff. They've got the most walks in the league so I think this could be an over series between L. G. and Samsung will see what the totals and the pitching matchups look like for that series lot and like I said I just? I haven't been able to get a handle on this team to this point in time as I mentioned earlier President. Tucker just completely carrying the offense has got the most pitching strikeouts in the kvil but lot that doesn't strike out a whole lot. The third fewest strikeouts in this league. I think key is a pretty bad defensive team. Their second on earned runs allowed with ten. Samsung has allowed thirteen. Like I said. I don't think Samsung is a very good defensive team either. Kia's pitchers allowed thirty one doubles most in the K b. o lot this hitting for some power. I think this series matches up pretty well for the lot. The giants will see what their prices look like. But I expect to see myself with a ticket or two backing the road team here in this series and see and Deuce on the best series of the week bar on the best rotation and the best pitching staff four and see against the best offense in the K B o Induce on Deuce also at the worst pitching staff now. Nc's offense has been good. It hasn't been great. Maybe they break out a little bit here in this series forty six extra base hits allowed by the Dusan pitching staff to this point. Only twenty eight from the NC pitching staff. So we'll see handicapped. This series I get snuffed. Do Son's going to get Mike Right. They're going to get coup CHANGMO. Is this where their offense regresses? A little bit. It's a possibility can't NC hit that bad. Dusan pitching staff. It's a possibility going to be priced dependent for sure in this series. I'll probably end up back in Kuching because do son's playing so well I should get a good price on him but this is a great series again. Dusan they try to win slugfests. Nc THEY WANNA win lower scoring games rely on that awesome rotation and a pretty competent bullpen contrasting styles to be sure but should be a great series there between NC and Dusan finally S. K. and Ki Ki womb. They're not scoring S ks. At worst offense by far keenum is going to be a big favourite in a lot of these games here. S K does avoid a Jig. Brigham and Eric Itch they get Choi. One Tae a guy that I like. Liste Young Ho. He's a young guy in a breakout candidate. He was going to have some big prices. Here the totals will be low in this series. I'm expecting some underlying moves in this one. Keenum's bullpen also better than s case. Keenum should be able to bounce back. They had dropped. I think four or five in a row before winning on Sunday this could be get right series for key William. If you're GONNA play it you're going to pay for it though. So there is that but esque as they're getting blown out because they can't score so maybe cut it to the key woman prices with some minus ones some minus to have stuff like that S. K. They're just they're not up to par. Offensively you're not a good pitching team keenum short. Take care of business here but the question is how big are the prices that we have to take a lot of stuff here. Once again scheming tripods at g mail DOT COM ADAMANT BANGED The book Dot Com to get on the list for the better sparks notes of all the scribbles. Got Here for the K B o all the stats all that kind of thing again. The daily article will be back here on Monday afternoon. For the Tuesday games over. Bang Book dotcom along with continued. Nascar Golf you have see and horse racing coverage over at the website. I'll do it for me. They can start trusting everybody and remember that you will never strike out when you're in the better box.

League Samsung Baseball Major League Baseball K B O Kia Lg giants twitter L. G. L. G. NFL S. K. Hawa Dusan Adam Burke NBA lions Arizona Kt K B O.
The Bettors Box MLB Betting Podcast April 30, 2020

Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

28:05 min | 1 year ago

The Bettors Box MLB Betting Podcast April 30, 2020

"Hello again everybody and thank you for joining me in betters. Boxes being the book dotcom. Mlb Bending podcast for Thursday April thirtieth. I'm your host. Adam Burke this end every edition a better spock's presented by our friends over at GSI SPORTSBOOK BE TB and the number two hundred. Is that Promo Code. One hundred percent deposit match for the Sports Book. One hundred percent deposit match bonus for the live casino at the site. It's only a game until you bet it. Trying out a new headset mic four. Today's show hopefully this one sounds a little bit better than the last one. I guess we'll kind of wait. And see how that winds up. Coming to fruition here. What over at Bang the book dotcom lots of NFL BETTING CONTENT? Lots of draft recaps and reactions. Some updated futures odds whole lot of things going on over there in hopes that we get the NFL season here on time or at least get the full schedule for that. Also the Arkansas Derby. That's coming up this weekend. To divisions here would have a preview of both divisions over at Bangor Book Dotcom working on those today should have at least one of those divisions up today. Maybe one of them tomorrow but going to try and get those to my horse. Racing previews have been a real deep dive. Maybe I need to work on the efficiency of those previews but very deep dives. They're coming up for the Arkansas Derby. Of course you could check out by Bennie. Guide in PDF FORM OVER AT BANG book Dot Com and also to looks like NASCAR could end up. Being the first sport back here in mid-may we'll be covering of the races and it looks like they may be doing to a week over at the website. Golf probably coming here in the month of June as well so we'll keep covering that and once we NBA NHL back and they'll be back would be covering all those over at the website as well finally after the weekend on Monday. We'll do the Monday mail bag once again at skating tripods on twitter Adam at bang book dotcom via email or skating tripods at gmail.com via email as well to send in your questions there for the Monday mailbag it speaking of Monday mail bag. I wanted to circle back to a question that I had talked about a couple of weeks ago. Here on the podcast with relation to the books knowing the same things that we're using to handicap and. I just want to talk a little bit more about what that process is like on the sports book side based on what. I've heard from people that have been in the industry based on things that I've just kind of picked up from talking to Brent or talking to some of my other friends that are part of the business year and there are a few things worth knowing first of all keep in mind that a lot of sports books are putting up overnight lines for the different sports betting markets including Major League baseball so the overnight lines are going up long before the lineups or even set in some cases before reliever usage from the previous game is even known so those are two things that are not factored into the price at all whatsoever. Those are things that the market kind of incorporates when they said that where the line should be and there are some overnight line movement as well now it does come with lower limits that means a little bit less risk for the book makers in the risk managers there are fewer public betters in the market at that time it also a lot of beds come in early morning as well and something to keep in mind here. Is that one of the chief things that sports books do really well is create a profile of their customers. They're going to be able to separate those long term winners out from that much larger pool of losers and they're going to be able to categorize players as well you're gonNA have steam chasers. You'RE GONNA HAVE MARKET CENTERS. The people whose opinions you really respect the people that you move lines because of your own to have scalpers and traders people playing both sides of a game trying to get plus money prices or playing some of those arbitrage games stuff like that so. The books are able to categorize their players. And when you talk about baseball which isn't that big of a market. It's not as popular as someone like the NFL. College football stuff like that. You know your clientele a lot better and you're able to you know pick out those long term winners nowhere. Those bets are coming from and make some steeper and more significant moves on that sharp or that quote action that comes in and then try to balance your books from there and fact that Major League. Baseball is a money line sport much like the National Hockey League in the NHL and all other hockey markets you get a Lotta scalpers and traders. You're going to get people that are going to look to try and take advantageous arbitrage prices on both sides of a game so just naturally that's going to balance the bet count for the book you know when you think about spread sports like the NFL like the NBA College football and college. Basketball middling is much much more difficult being able to get an advantageous number on. Both sides is a challenging thing. Because unless you're dealing with Ke numbers you're getting six and a half or seven and a half six and a half and seven and a half. There's not a whole lot of opportunity out there to be a traitor and a scalper opportunities are still out there but they're not to the same degree as they are in these money. Line sports so when you have this type of environment with these scalpers and these traders looking for these arbitrage opportunities. That's naturally going to balance the bet count of the book now. Obviously big upsets traditionally good for sports books across all sports but especially in baseball. Because they'll shoot out a lot of those money line parleys a lot of those minus one and a half or online prices stuff like that. But a lot of instances this. Nlp market is kind of self corrector for the sports books in the sense that if you do have really lopsided bet counts a lot of times it's going to be very public side. You're not going to get a lot of a lot of lopsided bet coutts on games that are drawing a lot of interest or games that are sharpened nature. Because you're going to get a lot of that sharp buyback or maybe you get the public buyback on the opposite side. So the goal for the sports books isn't to win on every game but to win on the biggest games to win the Yankees versus Red Sox games to win the cubs versus cardinals. Astros versus as dodgers versus nationals. The playoff games stuff like that. There's not a whole lot of action hitting the board tigers royals and Marlins padres and the stuff that you arguing probably is sharpened nature seek a wind up adjusting your markets accordingly and baseball on. Its own has it. Inherently low theoretical hold percentage. It's much lower than the minus. One ten on both sides for the spread sports so the baseball the art of bookmaking baseball is pretty different. And Yeah we can say that they have the same information that we do but think about this from our side and think about this from their side. A lot of sports books do what? I Call W. C. P. The W. stands for wait the C. Stands for copy and the piece stands for paste? Wait copy and paste. There are not a lot of line originators out there in the market. What oftentimes happens is a lot of these. Books will sit and wait for lines to be opened offshore and no copy and paste at some shops based shade their lines a little bit relative to their clienteles knowing what they can expect. But in a lot of instances the opening number we'll come out they'll wait for the market settle a little bit they'll copy paste and then book from there so there's early risk for those setting the line but most of the books are just booking the rest of the way balancing action trying to determine what's real and what isn't profiling their customers waiting on that wave of action as lineups get released stuff like that so. I find the other side of the counter very very fascinating. Risk rooms can be anxious. Obviously but the value is in the information that they get and the ability to analyze and react to that information quickly and correctly. What is a move on air? What is a move based on some sort of injury information or maybe a starting pitcher change or something like that knowing when to dig in and knowing when to keep going and we hear Brent talk about that a lot odds report segments of? I'm just kind of following the market which means I don't want to expose myself. I haven't gotten any sharp action that would force me to but I don't want to open myself up to the opportunity that some kind of sharp money comes in or in other cases. Brett will say you know. I kinda see the market doing this. But I'm holding here because we're balanced here. We found out that getting to this number was kind of a stopping point for us. We're now we're able to balance action. So they're looking at information based on what's already happening. We are looking at information based on what we expect to happen or what we hope to happen. They're looking at real time. Data of what's being bet with them where the markets are going so on and so forth we are studying pitchers and pitching matchups and splits and park factors and bullpen usage. Lineups the rare situational spot. Sabermetrics stats traditional stats. Then some people even plug all that stuff into models so that's the advantage that the books have over us. The books can read and react and balanced and adjust and for us. We're trying to figure out the unknown. We're trying to figure out what is going to happen in that game. We have to do a lot of research. In hopes of finding an edge for the sports books their edges in knowing what the market is doing reacting to it and then moving the number accordingly which is going to put us either into a spot where we have to make a more difficult decision a spot where we have to take our medicine and take what we think is a lower edge lower advantage or just pass on the game altogether so that's effectively. What the two sides are trying to do here when we talk about Major League Baseball we talk about the markets and we talk about the information that we have versus the information that they have were dealing more in hypotheticals. We're dealing more what we hope to happen. What we anticipate to happen. What we expect to happen. They're dealing in. What is already happening because they're not trying to predict the outcome of the game. They're trying to balance their risk. Sometimes they may take a position here and there but they're trying to balance their risk and win based on their theoretical hold percentage. Meanwhile we're trying to figure out what's supposed to happen in the game all while trying to get the best price that we can. So that's the advantage of the books have over US and one of the reasons one of the many reasons why there are so few long-term winners of great consequence on this side of the counter. You see it every year with the numbers for the sports books across Nevada. Yeah maybe you're not as big as you would expect them to be but month after month after month. The sports books win and that's not by accident that's just by default and a lot of that again is because they're able to read react and adjust in real time to what they're seeing and we're trying to read react and adjust to what we think we may end up seeing so yeah they may have the same information as we do. But they're not so much worried about that. Because the onus is on us to figure out how that game is going to go and try to figure out what our edge is actually going to be so with that in mind. They don't have to do the deep dive they don't have to rely on the sabermetrics numbers or the data or anything like that. Their data is real our data by and large. It's real based on performance. But we're trying to apply that data to something that we hope will happen in the future that does make it really really difficult and it is a daunting task. In a reason why a lot of betters aren't able to beat the big long term and you try to set your set yourself up for success as much as you possibly can but again it's very difficult type of environment to try and go out there and beat whether it's baseball or whether it's any other sport that's out there or something else. I wanted to talk about here on. Today's show handicapping the K B O. The Korean Baseball Organization that K B O Starts. They're opening day is may fifth and there's cable has been in the news a little bit here not only because they're starting up their season but because ESPN tried to strong arm them it to giving them broadcast rights for free. The Cave IOS said. Absolutely not now. They've reached a different kind of deal where ESPN has the rights to show some games now for those of us that are in the eastern time zone. These games start about one o'clock in the morning for us so not awesome not awesome. Unless you're a night owl however I know people are desperate for things to bet. I know baseball and Taiwan has gotten something of a betting handle here over the last couple of weeks so I figured it would be a good opportunity to talk about the K B o a little bit and like I said they're season starts on May fifth. Now there's a rule in the K B O that allows for three foreign born players per team. That was the rule last year and based on what? I'm seeing here with some research. I did over the last couple of days. It looks like the rule is the same where you get to use three foreign born players. Now there are ten teams in the Cabo and just about all of them do have some former major league talent. Now these are names that maybe you've heard maybe names that you haven't heard some guys that were maybe highly thought of prospects that kind of flamed out other guys that are maybe sort of fringy types of players that have gone over to Korea. Maybe we're going to make an MLB team decided to go play pro over in Korea. A handful of these names here for you. Drissa Mer despond you a pitcher. He was in the padres organization. I believe the Marlins Organization as well. He's with the. Kt Whiz Chris. Flexing a prospect in the mets organization. He's with the deuce on bears. Casey Kelly with the LG twins. I believe Red Sox. Maybe I apologize if I'm wrong with that one red sox I'm thinking maybe dodgers maybe the Minnesota twins not exactly sure but he's a guy that had some numbers over there last year. Nick Kingham. He's with S. K. Y. Burns kingdom was with the Pittsburgh pirates. Ben Lively with the Samsung Lions. He was a prospect in the phillies organization. Adrian Sampson with a lot. The giants Sampson was with the Texas Rangers. Dan straightly he's also with the giants now He was with. Let's see. I WANNA say us with Oakland for Awhile Miami for Awhile Warwick suppled. He's with the Hanwha. Eagles supple was in the Tigers organization. Mike Right he's with the NC Dino's he was with the Baltimore Orioles. Lotta guys with MLB experience and you notice that some of the guys that have come back from the K b. o like a Josh Lindblom. Guys that were sort of journeyman or kind of fringy types of prospects in the major leagues tend to do really well over on the K B o side both for pitchers and hitters so we got a few new hitters. This year over there Erin author. He was a prospect for the phillies. He's with NC. Jose Miguel Fernandez. He's with Dusan. He led the League in hits last year. Melrose junior with Katie Whiz at five. Thirty slugging percentage Tyler Salad Dino. He played with the White Sox with the brewers. He's with the Samsung Lions now Preston Tucker prospect. He's with the Kia Tigers. So a lot of these foreign born players do go over there and do really well a lot of these guys that had either a cup of coffee in the major leagues or played in the upper levels of the minors. So as you're handicapping the KB. Oh look for these names that you know or just quite simply it's it's kind of a racial profiling thing. I get that but the American names or you know maybe Latin American names guys like that. Those are guys that will by and large have success over in the Cabo now looking specifically here at some things of note from the Cabo massive scoring decrease from twenty eighteen to twenty one thousand nine so effectively the opposite of what we saw in Major League baseball in two thousand eighteen. Five point five five runs allowed per game. One thousand seven hundred and fifty six home runs in twenty nine hundred ninety four point five five runs per game allowed by these pitching staffs one thousand. Fourteen home runs. Same number of games but seven hundred forty fewer home runs and a full run per game out less by pitching staffs. And what's really interesting about? That is the strikeout rate across the K. B O dropped in twenty nineteen seven point five caper nine and two thousand eighteen. Six Point Eight K. Per Nine in two thousand nine hundred nineteen so strikeouts were down but scoring was down. Dramatically at home runs down dramatically so the K B O. Actually d juice. The baseball they found some things out about the size of the baseball and about the core of the baseball and they actively made some changes. So we'll see what happens here in twenty twenty. We'll see if they wanNA bring scoring back up a little bit and obviously there's some incentive to do that because the K B o going to be front and center right now. Japan's not playing baseball Taiwan say much smaller league than the KB L. Nothing happening with the North American Leagues. So maybe scoring goes back up a little bit in the K B O. We'll have to wait and see but the big thing is. There was a massive scoring decrease from two thousand eighteen to twenty one thousand nine hundred based on some adjustments to the baseball now walk. Rates in general are similar to Major League baseball but strikeout rates are much much much lower a higher priority on making contact among the hitters. There's less velocity from the pitchers in the KGB. Oh you look last year the most strikeouts actually with the melrose junior mentioned already one of those guys that came over from North America from the minor league systems has that and they'll be background one hundred and twenty strikeouts in five hundred seventy eight plate appearances. So that's much lower than what we would see in. Major League Baseball for a guy that's going to be up among the league leaders. So that's something you want to keep in mind here handicapping the K B O and looking to bet these Games watch higher priority on contact a lot fewer strikeouts for the hitters fewer strikeouts for the pitchers as well so in a Lotta ways. This is kind of a Bab driven league on teams. That are better. Defensively are going to have more success than the teams that are worst defensively like I said a lot less power from two thousand eighteen to twenty one thousand nine one thousand one hundred or one thousand fourteen home runs in seven hundred twenty games the NC Dino's actually lead with one hundred twenty eight home runs in one hundred and forty four games and remember last year. Major League Baseball. The twins had I think three hundred seven home runs in one hundred and sixty two games not even a home run per game for the League leader last year. Seven hundred seventy six sacrifice bunce in major league baseball last year in two thousand four hundred twenty nine games. Four hundred thirty six in the K B O in seven hundred twenty games so a lot more sack bunting in as well an average of nine runs per game last year indicated the Oh it was much much higher than that. The previous year was more like eleven so a big difference with the adjustments to the baseball. That will be something that we want to watch pretty closely here. Nine point six six runs per game in Major League Baseball last season but of course as we know Major League baseball there's a lot more home runs also a lot more strikeouts so runs into K B O r scored in a much different way. A lot more balls in play so maybe exit philosophy comes into the mix here in the K B. O We don't have stat cast. In fact I couldn't really find any sabermetrics. Stats out there for the deal. Either but what? We can reasonably deduce here at least based on what we saw last season and with the expectation that the ball will play relatively similarly. I mean we've got some exhibition games going on. They're not ridiculously high scoring or anything like that. You're a few things that we know one. Mlb pitchers or guys that had minor league experience tend to do very very well over the K B O. We're talking ER as under three eighty. They tend to do very very well. So if it's a name that you recognize that's your starting point for your handicapped and if it's too american-born pitchers in a game. That's probably under Ori. I five under consideration. We'll see how that's priced into the market and keep in mind. Some sports books have been lining the K B o all along. Now we're going to run into a situation where a lot more people are going to start to handicap the K B O. So maybe these things are already bet into are already priced into the market priced into the odds but maybe they're not so you've got an MLB pitcher that you know that's your starting point if you've got two of them. That game is probably pretty likely to go under the total. Another thing that we know is that there's a high correlation between walk rate and era. Because again keep in mind. There are a lot of balls put in play. There are not a lot of strikeouts so you're not going to see as high of a left on. Base percentage indicate bureau as you would see in Major League baseball last season? The four worst teams in era also had the four highest walks per nine innings. Also they had the highest hits per nine innings allowed and in fact when you go and look at fielding percentage and I don't think fielding percentage is a great barometer but we don't have a whole lot of advanced metrics to go on relative to the K B o the bad teams that allowed a lot of walks and allowed a lot of hits also the lowest fielding percentages so this is a League of Opportunity. The more baserunners you get on the more runs. You're going to score because it's very hard to strand runners. So as you start handicapping this book for the teams that walk a lot and the teams that make what appears to be a lot of quality contact with a high batting average because those are the teams that are probably going to score a lot of runs here in this league so there's a high correlation between walk rate and era. Not that that's particularly surprising. But it is magnified here because there are a lot fewer strikeouts in the K B O. It's much much harder to strand runners. Something else that is interesting too is that teams are much more aggressive. On the basepaths. There was a thirty one percent caught stealing percentage last year. That was the League average in the K B O. Mlb twenty-seven percent so a lot more caught stealing 's also a lot more stolen bases because there are a lot more opportunities and again the teams that get baserunners create a lot of offensive opportunities for themselves so look teams that walk a lot teams that get on base a lot teams that steal a lot going up against those really bad pitching staffs now. I will say this I did not go through and look at subtractions and additions for a lot of these teams now. A lot of these players that I mentioned that are American born our new guys despite his new flex in his new kingdom is new lively. I think liveliest new Sampson is new. Strategy is new like writes new. Those are new pictures that are American born guys that should have American board their North American or Central American born. That should have success in this league. Aaron Author Tyler Dino Couple New American born position players I didn't go through and look at exactly the composition of these teams to see. Who's all the same stuff like that? Some of these teams have lost guys to the major leagues. Like Josh Lindblom. Stuff like that but I would think by a large. A lot of these teams look relatively similar to what they were last year. Maybe that's a bad assumption to make on my part. Maybe I'll take a look at four. Monday's show but I think a lot of ways. This league is is probably pretty consistent in the sense that the same teams are probably pretty good year in and year out but again what we can use some handicapping processes this names. You recognize major leaguers minor leaguers expected to be very good two thousand eighteen to twenty nineteen massive drop in home runs massive drop in runs scored high correlation between walk rate and Yarra. So if you're limiting walks pitching staff is going to be better. If you're giving up a lot of walks you're pitching staff is going to be worse. Not a big surprise. Not a lot of strikeouts. We'll see what happens with run-scoring because again it was down about two runs per game from two thousand. Eighteen to twenty nine thousand nine hundred massive drops in slugging percentage stuff like that. We'll see how the ball plays. Maybe take this with a little bit of a conservative approach. Early on but again I think there may be some opportunity here and again. I'm not sure how this league is priced. I didn't really pay attention to it in the past something. I'm going to take an extended look at here and probably do some articles over. Bang Book dotcom taking a look at some of these K B O Games again. I'M NOT GONNA go hog wild with this. These maybe half unit or a third of a unit wagers something like that but I wanna try to separate myself and bang the book from what's going on out there so I'm really hoping to try and do some stuff over at the website and you know what I'm GonNa be honest upfront about it. It's going to be a learning curve for all of us here as we're trying to figure all of this out so again low risk type of stuff but you know what if I get a chance to handicapped baseball right now. I'm going to try to do it. And A K B O will give us that opportunity beginning next Wednesday with their opening days. So I'm going to try to do some articles over at Bang. The Book Dot Com kind of take a look at the K B o putting pen to paper here talking about some of these thoughts that I have some of these observations that I've made in my research all that type of thing so again coming up on Monday. Another edition of the Monday mailbag at Skating tripods on twitter Adam at banged the book dotcom via email or of course skating skating tripods at G. dot com via email as well. Keep an eye out for those Arkansas. Derby previews coming up here today and tomorrow over it. Bang Book Dot Com now for me. They can switch for listening everybody. Hopefully the audio is all well and good here and remember that you will never strike out when you're in the betters box.

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 807  Former MLB Pitchers in the KBO

FanGraphs Fantasy Baseball

55:31 min | 1 year ago

The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 807 Former MLB Pitchers in the KBO

"Hello welcome eight. Oh seven of the sleep. Burn the bus. It is Monday may fourth. I'm your host and I am flying solo. It has been far too long since we've done episode. Usually those happened in season when I just had to talk about and you know it wasn't a day that Justin I record. I would jump on and and chat with you guys by myself but we don't have baseball so it's been more difficult to do that however we're getting some baseball it's just not going to be in. America. We'RE GETTING THE K B O. Having their opening day tomorrow the fifth on. I think it might be actually overnight for us in America but it it's Tuesday and it's actually going to broadcast on ESPN. And what I wanted to do today. We've been having a lot of different coverage on it both on on fan site. You can find other stuff all around the Internet Internet. At various other places there's a big primer fort at pitcher lists that I recommend you check out and then you can find other stuff elsewhere too but I wanted to talk specifically about the major leaguers or former major leaguers as it were who are going to be in the K B o this year and just kind of give a little rundown of them talk about you know what they were like I guess when they were here and and maybe have you remember some names that. Oh yeah that guy that guy so we're going to go than hitters and for each. We'RE GONNA go team by team and so let me see quickly eyeing it. It doesn't seem like any team has more than three. I wonder if there's a limit there might be a limit because no team has more than one hitter. Wait maybe that's okay. That's that's looking like a pattern. One two four six eight ten twelve fourteen sixteen eighteen okay. So I think there's ten teams and you're allowed to pitchers in one hitter because that's exactly how it breaks down so I maybe should have done some. I just noticed that I was like. Oh there's a little bit of a pattern here. No team has more than two pitchers and every team has at least one hitter anyway. Let's start with the Deuce on bears and talk about their three guys that they've got so on the mound they have role L. Contra or Alkan Tara I tell you what the sandy the Sandy Alverson Tara airs. Many all contra thing has ruined me I want to get these things accurate but now I'm just nervous. I don't know which way to go ever looks like Alcan Tara for role now. He was a Boston Slash Oakland prospect of a little bit of note back in the early tens as it were. He signed all the way back in ten with the Red Sox at seventy actually. That's twenty made his pro debut. In the Dominican Summer League he might assigned before that at age. Sixteen but So you know. He bounced around for a while. He did not make the majors so he played from ten until eighteen in the minors was a twenty five year. Old still knocking around with the with as oh. He did make the majors. Excuse me he made. He made the majors with the as in both sixteen and. Seventeen and it did not go well so he had forty six in the third innings with seven nineteen the are eight and one forty nine whip so foul Alcan. Tara has struggled anyhow. Two point seven homer nine. That wasn't doing him. Any favors and as minor league track record was okay. Three Sixty Sixty one twenty four whip but it wasn't really showing any standout features. Now he is not new to the KB. Oh and I will. I will delineate when somebody is versus Versus when they're not he joined the league last year. Two Thousand Nineteen and before one. Era in a one twenty-five whip hundred seventy two and two thirds innings. Not Bad. I mean kind of a control. Guy Only walked. Twenty seven in one. Hundred seventy two thirds. It's a one point. Four B nine. We do not have the foreign league stats on our site. So I am on baseball reference here. So I'll I'll be quoting per nines. I'm not going to do the calculations on all these to give you the the percentages. I do prefer strikeout-to-walk rate to the nines. But they're gonNA they're gonNA get the job done here so bear with me on that but it looks like he's basically a twenty-seven. Still Ben Kinda the same guy that he was when he was a major league organization so I think rollout can tara kind of is what he is now. I don't know what a 401 necessarily translates tune. Does that does that make him kind of you know mid Tier Pitcher? I don't think it would make a mistake. They put up some pretty low. Er as their actually let me just look at where. He ranked on his team. He was second innings behind one of the other major league or so. I'm going to get to in just a moment. Make sure they still have him. They do not okay so this other guy moved teams or no pardon me. Raoul is the one who moved teams. Al Qatar move teams from nineteen to twenty. Not The other guy who I won't get into. I'm not going to spoil the name But anyway so he was one of their four primary starters. Al-qatar was and he had the third best. Dra there a couple of guys at three sixty two and three seventy six. His whip was second best so he's like a pretty decent starter like there's some value to what roll out can. Tara did for the KT Wiz last year and again this year. He's going to be on the deuce on bears and he's going to be joined by one of my favorite names man. I was really hoping that this guy would make in the bigs just because of his name and that is Chris Flex and he he would have been flexing on these fools and with that with that phrase becoming so popular it would have been perfect. The puns would have written themselves but it wasn't to be so he has joined the the green based organization. It's his first year overseas for flexing. He was in the mets organization throughout his Major League. Career starting back in seventeen signed out of high school and was kind of grinding. It out he was a lower tier prospects. I think he would make some top ten for the mets here and there but more of a twenty type guy debuted in seventeen got some time in eighteen. I actually got six innings and then got thirteen and two thirds in nineteen so he actually had forty eight innings flex ended in seventeen all told sixty eight innings so close eight. Oh seventy are A to thirteen whip. He wasn't flexing on it. Anybody my goodness. That's tough small sample but holy smokes. That's not very good. Three sixty one thirty one in the minors over five hundred eighty eight innings. You know decent strikeout walk ratio to walk ratio. Usually kept the ball in the yard. Thinks he did not do in. The major leagues sample. Did have a little bit of a hidden issue game about it. Hit Printing in the minors. You expect that to go up ended up being twelve point zero in the majors for flexing. He will also be on the deuce on bears. Joining Roald can Tara now. I wonder if I could find a way to know. I'd have to find somebody who was on Dussan last year kind of do some idea. Where's he going to fit? We don't know I think the by the way as far as like what the translation is for the For THE K B O. I think it plays like the mythical quad if you will you know. There's that idea that there's a quasi player somebody who's too good for AAA but not good enough for the majors. Meaning that the K B O would kind of be that league in between where it's not quite major league caliber but it's it's probably better. It's probably better than than triple A. Overall so I think that's. That's that's where we're at so think about somebody like now. He's actually ended up being good eric themes before he went over. There was kinda getting that quantity Tagore. It's like you know keeping him in. Triple a dozen seem right. But he's just not is just not holding his own at the major league level will then he goes over to the KB. Oh and wasn't absolute God over there and so that was kind of his perfectly global and then comes over here. Has that big first season and hasn't been bad since but you know smooth out a little bit but anyway. I think that's the general idea of the K B O is and it's a bit better than AAA not quite as good as the majors by the way deuce on this team that we're covering right. Now they were the League's best team last year by record eight hundred fifty five two games better than key womb heroes now Alcan Tara. Who We talked about. I is going to be their opening day starter. In fact one two three four five six seven of the guys that we're GonNa talk about are going to be the The opening day starter for today and these Games will happen. I believe at twelve a m central or eastern. I don't know if this is working to my timeframe or doing east. No it is okay so twelve. Am Twelve am central perfect. I'm I'm a night owl. I'll be out. I'll be watching anyway. So Tara inflex are going to be on deuce on flexing debut in this year I can at least be like kind of a back end rotation guy for them. We'll see what he can do. Next up is the Hanwha Eagles. Pardon my pronunciation. I'm if if I have any of these egregiously wrong please. Hit ME UP ON. Twitter's hey not not correct you to do better. Some of these are easier others like Hon. What I'm what I'm not one hundred percent sure that I've got Kia got that Dussan got that Samsung. Easy peasy actually look on key womb are probably the only two that I would that I might be saying wrong anyway? Han Wi has Chad Bell and Warrick suppled and now I mentioned both at the same time primarily because they're both former tigers so I'm a little bit more custom d- to do what these two have to offer or don't have to offer as it were. He says throwing some shade. But yeah obviously we don't need to Belabor the point a lot of these guys are going over there because they weren't quite good enough for the majors but there's a spot for them but they're too good for AAA so there's a spot for them to be pros and make a good living in in Korea or Japan in this case Korea. So saw pulled him bell. I'm bringing them up in unison for multiple reasons. One both former tigers to both veterans. They were on the team last year on the same team. So they're both sticking with Hanwha And that's it. Those are the two main reasons they were the two best starters for the calm last year. Not only did they lead an innings but there are as were far and away the best of the Of the regular starters they had three regular starters and then a couple of guys kind of mixing in here and there But that third main Guy Mingy Ching Mingzhong. Five forty three area one forty eight whip. Yikes but Battle had a three fifty one. Thirty one whip saw pulled had a three fifty one one twenty seven Combo. They both had similar strikeout-to-walk ratio. Not Huge strikeout guys. But they kind of keep them on the yard. They don't walk to many hits. Are Okay eight point nine for softball day. Point six for Bell. But when you're not walking too many you're not giving up homers you can still maintain a mid three zero eight now bell. That was his first year there. I think I saw poll tube check. Saw ponytailed yes so it was. It was the first season for both and they both came directly out of the Tigers and they left the Tigers to go to the K B o They they kind of saw the writing on the like. We can't make the Tigers team we might as well bounce Because the Tigers right now have not been that good so if you can't make their team and do anything for them. Maybe it's time to try something else. And neither put up a particularly good major league record Don't need to Belabor that point either five fifteen area one fifty four or one fifty eight for softball than bell. You're going you're going to escape. Having your major league record disgust because accidentally already closed your tab. Now let's move on next team up. Is that Kia Tigers. And they have Aaron Brooks leading off here now. Aaron Brooks actually both of their guys again. I'll probably just start mentioning them in the pairs there. I didn't really need to have al-Qatar inflection. Spl split up there but Aaron Brooks and drew. Now this is a tough one G G and then you know when I grew up there was a guy. Name Greg Gag me and then it was Eric John Yang so I'm like wages it dude so I'm looking at drew gag non and that's probably would've been in the nineties but as it like gun neon or something. I don't know here it is it's on baseball. Reference Gone Yo. Drew gone new but at and at the end is just sitting there being an asshole. Okay well drew Ganja Aaron Brooks not. The basketball player Brooks They're both coming over together for the first time neither has been in the Has Been in the Korean Organization Brooks. I remember had a little flash with. Was IT OAKLAND? Like a a brief glimmer there where they're like. Oh I got a little something and then it was quickly gone. Gone you know never really had any juice. I think he was like a top twenty top twenty five type prospect Milwaukee System do more to the thinness of it than anything else. In fact he never debuted or he never made it to the majors with Milwaukee he went from Milwaukee to the Angels Organization and then to the mets before he finally debuted and he did at twenty eight back in two thousand eighteen and then got a little time last year at age. Twenty nine neither sample went well. Thirty five and two thirds of the seven thirty two in one seventy one whit forgotten you Aaron Brooks as I mentioned You know had that little taste with Oakland. I was supposed to be good but that was. He's been around for a minute now. He's been around since twenty eleven. He came out as a college product. He's thirty this year so he's been around. He's been CASEY OAKLAND CHICAGO CUBS MILWAUKEE back to Oakland Baltimore all over the map. So He's been in a bunch of spots. Aaron Brooks has a hundred and seventy Major League innings on his ledger. Six forty nine ers one fifty one web. Let me see if I if I'm right about that that little glimmer of Hey. This guy might have a little something going with with Oakland. My crazy on that probably. Yeah I can't really find where that would have been. I mean I guess last year when he debuted against Boston threw six scoreless. Could it really have been that fleeting were like is this something because then the next start he got wild by Houston five and five and then through a baseline quality? Start at Baltimore. So He's three starts any as a four twenty four hours a and I guess at the beginning of the season when you're scraping them the waiver wire like. Oh maybe there's something for Aaron Brooks but it wasn't to be so anyway Brooks and Ganja jumping over to the Korean base Morgan Ization. They're going to be pitching for the Tigers and again. I wish I had easy access to something. Actually hang on look at this. I'm looking at Mike. Stats DOT com great. Great Great website and I want to see if I can. The website is under heavy. Load Queue. Well there you go. The website has been overloaded. That's not terribly surprising so no I can't look to see if there's any pitchers and kind of get an idea of what their rotation was like last year so let's move on next team up. We have the key womb heroes and they have Jake Brigham and Eric Yosick now. Yosef which is not new to the league. Brigham is so important. Brigham here Real Quick Little backstory on Old Jeff so jeff. Brigham was dropped in the fourth round by the dodgers back in twenty fourteen. He's bounced around to Miami. Oh actually no. It was just dodgers to Miami in one deal wonder and then that's that's it. That's he was in the all he was in that giant three way deal where like Bronson Royal Jose Peraza Alex would Matt Lay Toes. Like there was a ton of stuff. That was a weird. That was a weird deal. Paco Rodriguez was I remember. Paco Rodriguez Mike Morse. What Jim Johnson Louise Ayalon a competitive balance pay whatever anyway so jeff? Brigham spent the bulk of his career. with with the MARLINS organization he put up a three forty four. One twenty seven whip in the minors in four hundred forty two innings in fifty four and two-thirds Major League four ninety four one forty five had a little bit of strike out flare eight point four. You know not not too bad In the last year in his thirty eight and a third innings struck out over a batch printing thirty nine at four forty six one thirty year a whip Combo as a reliever nothing special age twenty eight probably wants to get back to starting figures. I can get this going in the In the K B. L maybe that's GONNA be my best avenue so he's going to go over there. That's Jeff Brigham. Eric Ios Yokich Yokich. Yo Cash J. O. K. I S. C. H. Yokich was a cubs prospect again. Never like top one hundred guy. Kinda made their lists when their system was a little thin or was deeper entry on the list then Miami Texas Arizona Oakland then. Last year he debuted with key And through one hundred eighty one in the third innings with three thirteen era and a one thirteen whipped. That's really good. I imagine that he was probably the team's ace. Let's see of Yokich was so. Oh wait wait. Just a diggity. Dang minute here too. I've made a mistake. I have made a mistake that we're learning about live because I'm an idiot Jeff. Brigham isn't going anywhere Jake. Brigham seemingly no relation Yeah because under relations Jake. Brigham has nephew of Ron Karkovice. But nothing about Jeff so jake. Brigham is not only part of this part of the key womb keenum heroes but he was already over there so he and Yo- cash were already over there. Tearing it up so rewind a little bit Texas Rangers six around her jake. Brigham from two thousand six. He's been grinding out. For a minute. Texas cubs Pittsburgh Atlanta finally debuted with Atlanta at age. Twenty seven back in two thousand fifteen did not go well in sixteen to two thirds with an eight sixty four or eight to sixteen whip tiny sample. You know just got crushed really. Wasn't doing a whole lot in the minors that said. Hey this is going to be something. Big Four twenty seventy IRA one thirty eight. Whip decides to come over to the K B o all the way back in seventeen and that was after a season in Japan League in Sixteen. So He's been overseas for a whole minute and he was with racketeering in sixteen and then next season in a row the Japan League. Jpl and then Nexen in the K B O in Seventeen and eighteen which do not have a team anymore. Because I don't have a next on my list anywhere. Maybe their team named got changed and they got bought by somebody else anyway but then last year debuted with key womb and mentioned that how well Yokich pitched and he was probably the ace. They had a run for his money from Jake. Brigham so Yogesh had one hundred eighty one of the third innings to Brigham one fifty eight and a third so that gives them a little edge there But but and the era Brigham gets the edge to ninety six to three back to whip whip goes back to Yogesh one thirteen to one twenty three but both were awesome and want H. O. Also had a three thirty eighty are a and one twenty eight whip and one hundred and fifty seven in the third year they were. They were good did they. Do well pinched great pitching okay. Yeah they were second to Deuce on an eighty six and fifty seven and one one draw. There's a couple of draws five teams have won draw three teams have to in one team had three draws only one only one team had zero draws so. I don't know how you get a draw. I think they have extra innings rules. Where if they don't have it settled by X. NUMBER OF INNINGS? Twelve or something. Then they're like all right catch you tomorrow and there's not that many draws so it's like things get figured out it's not the end of the world to have ties anyway so. Brigham and Yogesh are running it back as the top. Two starters for this team again. I mentioned that a bunch of these guys that we're talking about are going to be starting Saul pulled is going to start for Hanwha and Brigham is going to start tomorrow or later today. If you will know it would still be tomorrow because it's twelve. Am But In about eight hours seven and a half eight hours and I mentioned that Al Tara starting for Deuce on and then a couple of the guys who ever talked about are going to be starting as well anyway. They've got some goodies there. So keep an eye on key womb. Because they're two starters there to former major league. Starters have done really well over there all right next. Up Is William Cuevas. One make sure pronounced that properly. This another guy is a little bit older he's He's GonNa be twenty nine this year in his second year in the cameo. He signed all the way back at age. Eighteen with the red sox and again that's when he debuted in Dominican Summer League he might have signed a year or two before that. But he'd been around. You know with the Red Sox for a long time. Then e end over to the tigers and seventeen Miami back to Boston and he actually got a major league. Burn a couple of different times here. Let's see Oh tiny tiny tiny samples five innings in sixteen a third of ending with the Tigers in seventeen in which he gave up four runs and then seventeen innings in two thousand eighteen for the back for the Red Sox all told twenty two and a third eight hundred sixty eight two two to whip. You understand why was like it was just not working. In the minors three seventy four yards one twenty-three whip you know not not over the top though it's like that's not terrible but is it. Is it really going to translate anything except for maybe some some middle relief so why not go over again if this is something where if they wanna start and this is their best opportunity will then? Hey let's see what we can do over there so he was on the. Kt whiz this team we're talking about now is the K- t- WHIZ and address. The despondency is going to join him now. Despouy is this is his first year over there. Let me make sure one hundred percent accurate on that. Yes it is so despondent started in the In the Cuban National League all the way back in in two thousand five so he he pitched there for like eight years before he ever came over to the majors so when he came over to the majors he was already twenty seven and he got some real major league time despond. You had three hundred sixty three major league innings but he put up a five eleven era in one forty-five whip after a solid debut in two thousand fourteen. Three thirty six and a one twenty two for it's like. Hey maybe he can be something either like a back end starter like a decent reliever but it just really fell by the wayside there two hundred sixty six and two thirds innings after that of a five seventy four. Era So at age thirty three. He's deciding you know what let's try another foreign well. The Cuban League was not foreign to him. That'd be a foreign league to us but that was his Home League but let's let's you know let's try different league. It's another foreign league for him in that the MLB was formerly. How about that? You know what I'm GonNa Bounce He was in the white sox organization last year pitched in what since he and the White Sox I'm not sure which he finished with but He pitched for both their triple. A.'s. Pitch Pretty well. But he's also thirty two so it's like who cares because he's still got thirteen at third major league innings last year and had nine forty-five-year-old so back to cuevas real quick because he is a Wait Oh okay so Alcan. Tara was on Katie last year. I think I hinted at this earlier that I didn't want to say who is with with He was with Cuevas and they made a nice one to punch the Katie Whiz at the top of the rotation cuevas had one hundred eighty four innings of a three sixty two and a one seventeen whip. He did he did quite well. And then like I said despite debuting this year at age thirty three we'll be interested to see maybe can fill the role of Elkin Tara and kind of be that number two to Cuevas Ace and that I mentioned that Despondent is actually drawing the opening day. Start tomorrow against the low T. giants and another guy that we're going to talk about but I won't spoil that yet until they're coming up wait. Which team is next? It is the. Lg Twins then. We'll get to load low tech giant's so the LG twins have a pair of guys. I think who are both veterans? Hang on and pulling up their pages so they have Casey Kelly a name that you may remember when I'm going to cover his history here for sure and Tyler Wilson who are both K B o vets in fact Wilson is a multi year vet Kelly made his debut last year. So we'll go with Kelly I. He's the son of Pat Kelly. He was absolutely an acclaimed prospect. Like a four-time top one hundred guy. This Kelly was the first rounder by the Boston. Red Sox back away and you know He. He bounced around. He was a big part of a big deal. The Anthony Rizzo deal. Hang on. Let me find out here. Yes yes traded by Boston. Red Sox with Ray Point says Anthony Rizzo to the PADRES FOR ADRIAN. Gonzalez part of a big deal there and he was a big piece of it. Casey Kelly was so then he goes over to the padres and he's a big part of their organization. He gets the debut in twenty twelve does not go well. Two Thousand Nine Hundred Ninety six twenty are. He's hurt the following year. I think with TJ. Then he kinda starts The downward trajectory of his of his prospect type. You would never make another. I mean at that point is twenty four coming back. Doesn't make another prospect list. Gets another brief gets a taste of coffee? A drop of coffee eleven and a third innings in fifteen for the padres again. It does not go well. Seventy four era moves over to Atlanta. Doesn't do anything with them. In two thousand one and two thirds five eighty two sticks with them for the rest of the ear. Chicago cubs San Francisco giants It just wasn't working so at the beginning of last year. Twenty nineteen goes over the cameo plays for. Lg The team. That he's on now. And Casey Kelly for the twins goes off and he and Wilson form a hell of a one two punch. Kelly puts up one hundred eighty in one hundred eighty in the third innings of two fifty-five era and a one fourteen whip and Wilson. By the way let me just give his back story tenth around for Baltimore. Out of college back in two thousand eleven not. I don't remember him as even deeper level prospect. But I gotta be honest. I'm not that well versed with Baltimore System in the mid tens to where maybe maybe you know. Here's the thing somebody's lists go deep enough that a Lotta guys are on a prospect list. When you're going twenty five thirty deep once you get past like fifteen depending on the depth of an organization. It's just an acknowledging that you're there and that you are a A A pick of some some note at any rate. He's kind of meandering. Through debuts in fifteen with a three fifty era in thirty six innings for Tyler Wilson k then comes back and sixteen with a five twenty seven back in seventeen seventy four. You get where it's going. So he's bouncing between Norfolk and Baltimore. And it's just not really working five hundred forty five innings in the majors three eighty five and seven hundred twenty six in the third in the minors so it was really looking like this. Is The prototypical quarte guys like. He's hanging in there and triple as doing his thing. But when every time he gets to the majors except that one debut back in In fifteen it hasn't really gone while and even that was a big sauce for Tyler Wilson. Because he has a three fifty. Ra But one forty whip and thirteen strikeouts in thirty six innings to eleven walks. So it's like he must've had the lowest Babbitt bevere. His fifth was only three seventy seven. But I have a hard time buying even that. So you know. Those chickens came home to roost for Wilson in a big way so he goes to the K B O and eighteen beasts out for them that year one hundred seventy innings of three seventy or eighty one fourteen whip and then had the big season again last year. So He's had two great seasons over there. Tyler Wilson has to ninety two. We are a one sixteen whip last year. He and Kelly great one two punch they did. Well did net them any any great. Is there algae was fourth in the League at seventy nine hundred sixty four? They had some other major leaguers to they had Tommy. Joseph remain. Remember he ensue. Kim Who'd come over and then went back Carlos Pajero. Oh man there's a name and then J. COOP. Ryu He's highlighted here which means he was a major league at some point but I do not remember him. Did he ever pitch in the majors? He did back in. Oh seven Oh six. Endo eight for the cubs and Tampa Bay put thirty nine two thirds of a seven forty nine. Maybe that's why didn't remember you know so anyway but yeah. They had a lot of major league influence on their team last year and they did pretty well. So Wilson and Kelly now. I don't think either of them drawing. No neither of them is drawing the The opening day start which is kind of interesting. Let me see the guy who So there are third starter last year through one hundred sixteen two third innings of with a four twelve and one forty three whip Watch on Cha which I believe as CIA Wu Chan on other side like they do the naming convention differently in Asia so on baseball reference. Woo Chan Shaw. But then on the Mike. Abo Site Says Child. Woo Chan at any rate. He's drawing the opening day not against Al Tara and DEUCE on for the LG twins so that's the LG twins. Let's go to low tae. Lo Tae giants and they have that didn't Adrian Samson and Dan Strangely to names that you should have some idea about because they were just pitching in the majors pretty darn recently and by that. I mean last year and both for like a pretty decent strategy. I mean you should definitely know that is eight hundred and three major league innings and some real useful work in the majors but he struggled last year for Baltimore. Put up a nine hundred eighty two and a one ninety nine whip so something was going on there and it was just a problem. Adrian Samson put up five eighty nine in one fifty three whip and one hundred twenty five and a third innings for the Rangers last year. So they're both jumping over Their Day obviously they're debuting strategy is GONNA pitch opening day for the giants against Despite so that's going to be interesting you know has a good relationship with straightly. So he has. He has talked to him about some of his experiences over there. If you listen to rates in barrels you've heard you mention you know talking strictly about how everything's going to be working in what's going to be going on over there with the with the giants. I mean that's some guys that we've been talking about here And how they've performed when they're gone over the K B O. There's the chance for stray. Leeann Sampson to be two of the very best pitchers in the entire league. Let alone just for the giants. So this is a major bolstering to their staff. And I'm really eager to see how it pans out. I remember being a pretty big fan of stray. When he first came up with the as and I really WanNa see what he can do with them this year. So I'M GONNA be pretty dialed in on on. What's going on with Dan Strategy? I'm going to be pretty dialed in on the general. I'm eager to see how this goes. I know there's some fantasy league starting up. I haven't decided to like start one or do anything with that but I am going to be watching and kind of keeping a close eye on it. I'm excited to see some live baseball and I'm a huge night owl. So these Games being played at midnight my time. That's nothing that's nothing for me so the giants had brutal year last year. They were forty eight ninety three so they need to make a big impact. They went and got two big guys. The major leaguers that they had last year they had to only a handful of major league. for a major leaguers for influence. Carlos Duarte who Only had one hundred ninety four plate appearances and was not killing it and then Jake Thompson and Brooks Rally. Now rally was pretty good. He had a three hundred. Eighty are a but a one forty one whip He was their highest pitcher by innings. That one hundred eighty one by far the next highest one hundred twenty five and a third and maybe that was part of their problems that they didn't have any consistent pitching Thomson Four. Seventy Four era in one twenty three whip in sixty two and two thirds innings So yeah they needed an influx of talent and they got that now On the mentioned one other guy but I want to mention him on the hitting side. I'll do that when we get the hitters anyway. Big Big things coming for low tae this year if these two guys pan out at the very least if they pitch well they shouldn't have. They shouldn't be dead last by ten games the way they were last year. Like I said they really struggled well. Actually it wasn't by ten games because of the draws but they had ten fewer wins than Hanwha the next lowest team and they're five thirty. One era was Farnell. Louis that was that runs per game therefore eighty three era but it was five five thirty one five point. Three one runs per game. So there's obviously some unearned stuff there but four point eight. Three era was still worst in the league for low taste. So they address that in a big way and It's going to be interesting to see if Staley and Samson can pay the big dividends because I think that That there's high expectations now for low tae after signing the pair. All right. Where are we on the list here? We've got three teams left the NC Dino's Samsung lines and S K livens winds wild. So encinos they drew Rucinsky and Mike. Right turns out he was wrong for the major leagues. Frigging Goddamn Dude Mike. Wrong get it. It's pretty good. It's pretty good. I'm taking drink on that one. Sorry hadn't taken a drink all episode. What's a solo without a drink animator on the fan? Because it's Kim Han here. I'm probably sweating after that. Terrible joke But I've been making Mike wrong jokes for far too long Because I want to explain it. It has to do with him. We'll be the show in my twitch stream but who cares. Nobody cares moving on. Nc dyno's Druskienniki. Mike Right Mike. Reid is debuting. Rucinsky was on the club last year. I the same team. He put one hundred seventy one hundred seventy seven and a third innings of a three zero five one eighteen area whip Combo damn good. He's aged thirty going over there ever since he was and I recognize the name but I don't know if I recognize it as as any sort of prospect level. I think I just recognize. It's just one of those middle reliever type names that you just remember for some reason. Five thirty three are a one fifty nine whip in fifty four major league innings. Four twenty one one thirty five and five hundred seventy three minor league innings so he found new life in the K B o last year with the giants season. Rucinsky did for the NC diagnosed. He was far and away their best pitcher because he had thirty seven more innings than the next highest guy now by rates Jin-woo Park was right there with three fourteen eighteen. But again those thirty seven innings I would I would then give Rucinsky the the the locked in best pitcher tag now. Here's something that I'm noticing so I'm looking at at the nineteen Numbers and I'm seeing that they had three former major leaguers with Rucinsky Eddie Butler and Christian Friedrich. So Am I wrong about my two. My two major league major league pitcher per team rule. Because where I'm getting this list from his Mike Abo Stats dot com slash slash foreign so it lists all the major league players and this is just what. I'm seeing the two pictures per team in the one hitter per team. So I don't know I don't know do they. Does it? Stop being a foreign player after X. number of years? I don't know about that you know. If if this guy's been in the League for four years I don't know here okay so I knew I knew where to look here all right so this is interesting. I bet one it was based on this rule. Okay there is a rule against it but I bet these guys were coming in and out like they didn't have Mahlon they now. Butler Friedrich Rucinsky on the team at the same time along with Jake Smolinski and Christian Beth in court because that's five foreign born players and there is a rule that you can only have three foreign players Signed by any team which was recently raised from two and two thousand fourteen and until this year so starting tomorrow All three complain a game but before that only two could play in a single game. So thank you to Alex Fast for that in his K B O Primer. I figured I would find an answer. There and regular season Games do have a twelve inning limit. I did have that playoff games. Have a fifteen inning limit If a postseason game ends in an official title essentially doesn't count as replayed in full. Wow Wow could you imagine playing fifteen innings still tied and then they're like well. None of that was the thing. And you're like Oh okay any who back to Cincinnati. He beasted and he's going to be joined by. Who did I say Mike Mike Right. So right former Foreign Baltimore Oriole pitched as recently as last year in the majors. Four Baltimore and a little bit for Seattle. None of it was good. Seven Ninety one ninety one whip the worst of his career although through through the two hundred fifty eight innings as a major sixty are a one fifty six whip it just just never really clicked and the one of the big reasons was the home run ball so obviously with things going up last year. That really did not suit Mike Right very well. Keeping the ball on the yard has been tricky for him. That's been a big issue. I do believe that The ball flies out a bit less a good bit less in the K B O. So it's going to suit him a lot more for Mike right and I wouldn't be surprised to find some decent success there of at least a Amid four Ziara type of pitcher. He did show some promise in the minors. Three Eighty Five Year. A seven hundred and fifty innings. He was a Baltimore prospect of some note but not like not never a top one hundred guy so right and rescind Sqi for the NC. Dyno's next up is the Samsung Lions and they have these former teammates. They have David Buchanan and Ben Lively. I want to say that they were both phillies at one point. I Know Ben Wyatt. I bet everything I know that for a fact I'm have to bet. I know that to be true but he pitch for Casey last year was Yeah they're both phillies at the same time. Maybe in the minors they might cross over anyway. Who Cares right? That's not what you're here for talks about. If they were teammates in the minor leagues and in America. You WanNa know about their come up here in the K B O. So let's talk about David. Buchanan I this is not his first foray into foreign ball. He'd been pitching the last few seasons in Japan though For the swallows. And then here's an interesting thing so he was playing on the JPC al for seventeen and eighteen and then the start nineteen as well but then it was the J. p. e. l. for part of nineteen so. I imagine that's Japan centrally Japan Eastern League. But I'm confused because it was cold swallows both times so I don't know I would need to do more research on that. But this is the K B O podcast. So we're GONNA talk about the Japanese league. Sorry maybe another time but so he's not new pitching over in Asia but he will be joining a new league. This your day would be cannon will when he joins the K B O and the Samsung Lions. However he can probably talk to Ben Lively who I believe he was in the pits philly organization with at the same time maybe get some pointers on how to how to survive over there and pitch well because Ben y we made his debut last year and he was a beast now he only through fifty seven innings For the for the Samsung Lines. But he was awesome. In fact it's because he went over there like mid season. He pitched with Casey last year. As I mentioned briefly one inning gave up three runs but then pitched another seventy two innings in the minors and then was like okay. I'm out gotta go by so by then in that lends more credence to my point about You know not. Having all these major leaguers on the team at the same time they're you know they're adding and subtracting players just as we do over here so they probably don't have all these foreign born guys on the team at the same time but they picked up. Ben Live we last year. He threw fifty seven innings with a three ninety five. One twelve whip over strikeout. Printing fifty eight in those fifty seven innings kept the ball in the yard and did really well. It's GonNa be interesting to see how these to do. Neither of them are starting for the team tonight. Though baked young young is going to be getting the start and let's see if he was on the team last year I do not see him. He was not so he's new to the team but probably not new to the league. And we're talking about the they've major leaguers who over there so I don't need to take the effort to look up what Baked young did last year but he is drawing the opening day nod against drew. Rucinsky all right moving on to our final team of pitchers. We have the S. K. Y. Veterans with Nick Kingdom and Ricardo Pinto both newcomers to the League and now remember Nick Kingdom not that far removed from not only being a major leaguer but being a major leaguer with you know little bit of interest being drummed up about about what he can maybe do including just last year he had a tough debut for Pittsburgh that I believe. Let me put some numbers here. So I'm not just flying off the cuff as I pick up Charlotte cumby on my lap here and she starts to sniff everything on the desk and be like I wanna eat all this. He had a great debut originally through seven shutout innings but then got hammered for a good bit and then Ended up the season with a five twenty one eight but there were some flashes in the midst of that Seventy six innings sample from twenty eighteen that generated some interest for Nick Kingdom. I know Nick pollock was a fan and was talking about how there could be something here. Well last year never really came together. He started in the bullpen when he was when he did get some opportunities to start. It didn't work. He then went from Pittsburgh to the Jay Z. Pitched fine with the jays. Out of the bullpen three. Era In twenty one innings. But it was with a one fifty to whip so it's kind of fraudulent and he allowed way too many homers and that's been his issue in his one and thirty one and two thirds major league innings kingdom has a two point. Oh homer per nine and that's just not gonna fly so going to a less homer friendly situation like the K B. O is perfect. I mean that just makes too much sense so he he's going to hopefully find some more success there kingdom. I could see him being really successful. They're just by virtue of the fact that they don't allow as many homers that could be the missing ingredient to kind of bring him down into the low fours mid threes type of era situation if not potentially better then there are other guy is Ricardo Pinto. Why don't really know anything about? This is one of the only names on this list that I knew nothing about so he was sign out of Venezuela back in twenty twelve by philly hung out there until seventeen than the white sox. Then the rays had a couple small stints in the majors totaling thirty two innings with an eight forty four one ninety four whip his minor league record three sixty eight one twenty eight in seven hundred twenty nine thousand innings looked like he was starting to become more of a full time reliever and that you know a mineral reliever in aaa is just not what you WANNA be. So he's going to go over here. Get an opportunity to possibly start for the WIBRAN's and we'll see what happens Again I don't know I don't know anything about Pinto. But he's twenty six so you know he's still kind of in the midst of his prime. This could be just just what he ordered. Just what. The doctor ordered as far as turning the career around and turning them into something special. So we'll see how that goes but that covers the pitchers that is again row Qatar. A Chris Flexing for the Dussan Bears Chad Bell warrick sampled for the Hanwha Eagles. Aaron Brooks drew gone for the Tigers. Jake Brigham Eric. Yoke Ish for the cume. Heroes William Cuevas Dreamer despondent for the K- t- whiz Casey Kelly Tyler Wilson for the L. G. Twins Adrian Samson and Dan Straight for the low T. Giants drew ski and Mike Reid for the NC. Dinas David Buchanan and Ben Lively for the Samsung Lions and Nick Kingham Ricardo Pinto. For the S K. Y Verne's now I was going to dive into the hinters but I find them so I don't know I find them less interesting. There's actually some decent names here but also coming up on an hour. I think I think there's a good place to cut it so I originally was going to give you the Henderson the pictures but of course in true Paul spor fashion. I took too long. Maybe maybe just an I will discuss these hitters tomorrow I'll give you the names. I'M NOT GONNA. I'm I'm just not going to dive deep into them Dussan has Jose Miguel. Fernandez Hanwha has jared Hoeing Kia has Preston Tucker has Taylor modder. Kt Has Melrose Junior. Lg Has Roberto Ramos. Lo Tae has Dixon Machado who man. I thought he was gonNA come in for the Tigers. I had hoped for him. So I'm hoping that's another. That could be another big ad from okay. They're really pushing their chips in. This year anti-donald Aaron all tear Samsung Has Tyler Seller Dino and S K has Jamie Rollback. So there you go. There's the ten major liters again this new rule. This year says that all of these guys can play in at the same time. Well with the pictures I mean unless one of them's are reliever you don't need to put all three in the same game anyway. Might be better to have to foreign born hitters and one foreign born pitcher because then you could play all three of them you know every fifth day when the starters going and then you can have the other two but anyway. I don't know we'll see how it goes. I'm very excited to kind of get some live baseball That I mentioned that I mentioned all the starters right saw pulled kingdom strongly Despouy Rucinsky Guitar and Brigham are the ones who are getting. We're getting day nods. So that's pretty good. That's two four six seven of the ten teams letting four more players get the opening day nods so again. Espn's we broadcasting opening day. I'm not sure exactly where to view everything outside of opening day but I'll posting on twitter as I find them because I'm definitely GONNA be trying to check this out late at night and for those who are night. I was like me. You don't be one to watch them this baseball and hopefully we get to see some season. Fun Live Action but anyway thank you so much for listening. Just back

League Alcan Tara Jake Brigham baseball Tigers Major League Aaron Brooks Baltimore Mike Mike Right Boston Red Sox K B O Samsung K B major league LG Dominican Summer League Tyler Wilson Fernandez Hanwha giants
The Bettors Box KBO Betting Podcast June 1, 2020

Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

46:28 min | 11 months ago

The Bettors Box KBO Betting Podcast June 1, 2020

"Joining me in the better boxes being the book dotcom K B O Betting podcast for Monday June first. I'm your host Adam Burke this end every edition. The betters box presented by our friends over at. sportsbook, bt be the number. Two hundred is that Promo? Code One hundred percent deposit match for the Sports Book One hundred percent. Deposit Match Bonus for the live casino at bet the SL. It's only a game on until you bet it took Sunday off from the daily Kb. Article I'm tired of getting. My head caved in in the K B O, so I took Sunday off. We'll be back here with the Tuesday Games coming up in the K B O, b your daily article for pics to fade or I guess at the very least four some information on the teams and the starting pitchers over at Bang Book Dot Com. Or preview up this week four the Santa Anita Derby Big Kentucky Derby prep race, going on there, grice two weeks away from the Belmont which the Belmont taking away some of the luster from the Santa Anita. Derby, but we'll still preview that race this week over it. Bang the Book Dot Com still doing you have. A good you have over the weekend got another one coming up here next weekend, NASCAR. That's still right along. Also some soccer stuff from our good buddy Charles J engulf a couple of weeks away from returning obviously some different proposals out there for Major League Baseball. The NHL seems like they may be getting going here late. July NBA maybe July thirty first, so we're starting at closer, we'll cover things as we get to them over at Bangor, dot com probably be doing some more stuff here in the month of June with some college football things get just try to make sure that all this stuff is going to go off. And they'll be betting guide than that was kind of a waste, so what to make sure everything's GonNa go off without a hitch four college football before I really dive in Cert- writings of team previews and putting my power innings, and all that type of thing, so keep it tuned over at the Book Dot. Com we are your one stop shop for Sports Betting News and information? Nobody? Said anything today for the Monday mail bag. Maybe everybody kind of took the weekend off to a degree like I did got to hang out with some friends. It's a family. It was a nice change of pace I guess to get away a little bit from the K B o get away from that daily grind, and and it certainly has been a grind for me so hopefully refreshed here as we start off a new weekend and. And, hopefully what we'll be better month for everybody out there but I guess we'll just go right into the beyond the box store segment here with nothing for the money mailbag. If you want the notes for the show, Adam at the book, com via email, also skating tripods at gmail.com via email as well and then somebody reached out last week on twitter at skating tripod. Get added to the mailing list. You can do that as well. You know all we can go on Monday. I talked with some guys that were in line for some regression either positive or negative on a track. Those guys here because a lot of those guys are still guys to take a look at here early on this week because they still have some of those regression signs present. At a list of a few more pitchers that I've got my eye on here again, we're talking about small sample sizes, but there are some stats now that are kind of. A little bit some things that we can actually take a look at here in terms of trying to find some positive and some negative progression, so we'll run through a handful of those names here on today's show, we'll take a look back at the series that just wrapped up and of course as we always do. Take a look ahead here today on the better spock's, so the list of guys that I mentioned last Monday as some guys that maybe had some signs of some positive or negative regression here. Leong Ha Four, the Dusan bears was one of them. He was a positive regression candidate, and he actually had a pretty good start last time out seven two-thirds gave up three earned on eight heads, strikeout-to-walk three, but again a little bit of positive era regression there for him. That's kind of what we're looking at here. We've got era with got fifth. We've got player pages over at Fan Graphs also K B O fancy stats, so we're starting to get some more data that we can actually use and apply and. I guess to a degree I shouldn't be surprised that I had a very bad month of May on track that every day in the KB article, but it was a new venture. It was learning about these players learning about this league learning about all the different stuff. That's going on and going into the. Season I had my thoughts and what was important. You know walk rate I thought was very important I'll. He had guys that had decent strikeout rates very important also with the changes to the baseball. You have to hit for power in this league, and when you look at the teams that are at the bottom of the league. They're not hitting for power. So that's pretty self explanatory and. It's been very. A lot of these starting pitchers aren't very good. We see a lot of crooked numbers from innings at Cert- with a couple of walks or death by singles, or you'll hit by pitches, a lot of errors, a lot of honored runs in this league as well so now going into the month of June. We've got a little bit of a better idea here and we're also going to start getting a better idea with some of these. These individual pitchers as their sample sizes continue to grow so Lee Young, ha a guy that I isolated coming into the season, as probably a pretty good pitcher to back, coming off seven and two thirds of pretty good work. Maybe that's of a sign that things settling in a little bit therefore that Dussan starter that seventy two thirds three earned doesn't sound Austin, but it does definitely lower that era a pretty good start from him overall. Jiang? She Hawn of the Hanwha Eagles. High strikeout rate for him. That should do some better fortunes here in this league, but for Jiang in his last start four and two two-thirds innings pitched three earned four hits gave up a home run did strike out eight walk three in those four and two thirds, and that's the thing Jiang it's that he's got the really high strikeout rate, but he also has a. A. High Walk rate so even though he's not really allowing a ton of hits, he is allowing a high bandwidth US talk about here in a couple of minutes. He's Kinda canceling out some of those strikeouts to a degree, but I think over the long term that high strikeout rate will be a positive especially with this increased offense of environment that we're seeing in the. Jank she one of Hawa? Definitely a guy still on my radar here still on my watchlist as we go forward. Jiangmen Jay was the guy we talked about as possibly being a positive aggression candidate for Hawa as well well. His last start didn't go so well. Three innings six earned gave up eight hits. Couple home runs struck out. Three didn't walk better, but obviously had the misfortune and the two home runs there in that start, and now he's not on the active roster, so I'm not sure if it's an injury, or if got demoted, but Jiangmen J. Four right now kind of off our radar a little bit. One. I wish I would have followed through with. Yang Hung John Probably the most accomplished of the key pitchers out there of the south, korean-born guys for the Kia Tigers five innings gave up. Six earned on eleven hits short out. A couple walked a couple, but he is a guy where I think that this new offensive environment this return or renewed offense environment with the different baseball is very detrimental to him. So maybe you play some overs in those games. Maybe look to fade him about coming off a bad start there. Again, you know the one thing about signs of regression here and he wasn't active aggression candidate, and did experience it, and now his era in fifth are pretty similar. The thing about regression is. It can give you a direction in which to go. It can give you a starting point. The problem is and in particular when you're dealing with sample sizes of this I don't even want to say magnitude, but sample sizes of this relatively small size. Regression can come in a lot of forms. Sometimes, regression is kind of a gradual process. We're just over the span of several starts. A guy won't be very good, and his numbers will gradually reflect that regression that we saw coming. In other instances, some guys experienced regression all at once. Whether it's positive or negative, you know positive. They might go out there. strikeout twelve over seven shutout innings all the sudden. Their numbers look a lot different, or they may string together several good starts in a row. We don't know. And I think something that I've kind of made too much of a crutch with major league baseball in particular. We'll how it goes in the K B. O is that you can keep betting on regression to happen because the expectation is there. The numbers do suggest that some form of aggression either positive or negative is coming. Sometimes. It doesn't come or sometimes it won't come for three or four starts then a guy will get completely blown out. And all the sudden that regression shows up in one fell swoop, so it's a difficult thing and I think I've kind of found here, and it's not even just takebe. It's major league baseball to you know I have this? I had this perfectionist complex in general, and that's not a good thing to have when you're betting. Because even the best in the world at this are failing forty four percent of the time, so being a perfectionist, it's very difficult for me to accept when I'm not meeting. A certain level and that level is to be very very good and everything. And one of the things that really gets to me for a baseball handicapping standpoint is that. I understand sabermetrics I know how the numbers work I know how to look for spots where positive or negative progression is expected to take place. I just don't know when exactly it will happen. And sometimes like in the case of Yang and his last start. It happens all at once. In other cases, it will gradually HAP it. We're guy. Give up four runs over five innings, three four or five starts in a row. For Yang, it just happened all at once. Six earned on eleven hits all the sudden his era in his fifth look very similar. And I didn't take advantage of it in that instance. And so. It's one of those things where you got to walk a fine line of knowing that it's coming. But do you want to bet it every single time I think that's a problem that I fall into something I could see myself doing here in the K B O so I'm almost just openly outwardly telling myself not to do that here with this league. But you will see this a lot. If you handicap from a data analysis standpoint using sabermetrics, you're going to see these sites, and that's why I think I maybe need to prioritize instead of era and fit, because those could be a little bit bastardized in this league with low strikeout rates in the higher walk rates. Fighting it. There's a different. That I WANNA US and I'll talk about that here in a couple minutes. Eric. Of Key womb, seven shutout innings, five hits scattered nine strikeouts that one for him. He's going to point nine zero era were they point eight seven whip? Though this is a guy that has a fifth in the wo two's so in that respect, aggression is coming. But regression when you've got it all the era is giving up one run over six innings. You know so for joke. It's yeah some tougher days maybe coming, but they may not be to the degree of some of the other regression candidates that are out there for example, a guy like bay jeon now we talked a lot about him coming into the season, Katie Hurler, twenty three years old right in that sweet spot to have a breakout. To this point, he's been fantastic, but in his last start five innings six earned on seven hits did him up a home run. Out Six which is a rarity for him, but he also walked for. So Bay had this bad start. But if you go and look, he's still has these regression signs to sixty seventy, or and at three eighty, four fifth, so his next start maybe bad, or it may be a string of three starts in a row where he's just not particularly good. We don't necessarily know, but we do know that there is a good likelihood that it is coming, and that it is coming soon, so it's up to us to determine when to apply that to our handicapping in to our actual betting. For Casey Kelly for the LG twins. He's a guy with a higher your a and a lower fifth, so a quick correction with six shot innings, and struck out Ted in his last start, still some signs of positive progression there for him, but a pretty quick correction in that last start Joan Chen, Leon, also from G. who isolated as a positive aggression candidate quality start for him six innings, three earned five hits did up a couple of home runs six to one strikeout to walk ratio, but now he is no longer on the active roster for LG, so that must be an injury situation. I would think of a junction. He on a guy that we WANNA watch closely here. It his upcoming starts harks say one for the walk, the giants I called him a watchlist guy coming into the season. He is a positive aggression candidate. But now with the results that we're seeing, he went four and a third game up four earned runs on five hits. A couple of home runs walked more than he struck out. He hasn't gotten more than fifteen outs. Start here, so that's a guy that I'm not considering him. Watch watchlist anymore I. It's one of those things or maybe his good season is breakout. Season was just an performance, so I'm not really looking to back him in any context here, and of course the lot, the giants pretty tough to back right now in. In general NC Daigneault's Mike Right. He's the negative aggression guy. Six innings three earned gave up seven hits. That's a four fifty era that is considered regression, and in a lot of cases in the K B o three earned over six innings. It's probably going to be good enough to keep you in the game or maybe even get your team a win. So Mike Right is a negative regression candidate and I will maybe look to go against him in his next start, depending on the price against S K, but this guy that. Does have some negative. Science got the high walk rate. He's giving up some home runs already. Will he stabilize? Or will he experienced some of that regression? That's up to us to decide in his upcoming outings sifting for. Seven innings to earn six hits struck out seven. He's had some left on base percentage. Nine earned runs allowed thirty eight baserunners in his starts so far, but he'll still be solid, and he still has that very good strikeout-to-walk ratio so his aggression, probably one bad start. And then that's that is probably what's going to happen with. A guy like drew Rucinsky. Choice Shay young up the Samsung Lions four innings five hundred nine hits. He was a guy I pinpointed as a negative aggression candidate didn't follow through with it because he pitched on Sunday a day when I didn't really take a strong look at the card, but that was one that did come through so again. We're just looking at the expectation of that could happen and trying to pinpoint when we think they will wind up happening. Moon Sung won four S K looking to buy him. He didn't strike out anybody or walk anybody in his last start four and two thirds four earned seven hits again a guy that when you look at the box score of his stats, he has pitched better than what the numbers suggest, so he is by candidate here. He's not having a whole lot of luck. Luck but he has a bike at four a couple of different reasons. One I'll talk about again here in a couple of minutes finally Kim Tae Hoon of s k. he's a bit of a negative regression candidate to me. He's only given up fourteen hits in twenty four innings and a lot of pictures in this league. Give up well over a hit perimeter. Maybe he's just a quality contact. Quality Master, I don't know doesn't strike out a Lotta. Guys walk a lot of guys either but. That's a guy that's just got very very lucky with some balls in place, so a lot of these guys I just mentioned still on my list watching force some positive or negative aggression here. Let's add a few more for Dusan you. Hui Quan three twenty-seven era, four sixty five V same number of strikeouts. Given up a lot of hits here this season, but hasn't given up a lot of runs now goes out on the road. Do Son's home park is very good for pitching Dusan on the road could have some difficulties and I think you who he. Is A guy may look to go against over his next few road starts here, looking for some that correction in his numbers I talked to ready for Hogwash Jingxi Hawn Jingxi One, six ninety, three E., R., A. Four Seventy six V, not great because of a high walk rate, but he's got an elite strikeout rate, and he's running four thirty, eight, Babbitt against that should get better. That's definitely get better again like I talked about last week. Think the League average in this league is probably three forty or three forty five, maybe three fifty something like that, so guys will carry a higher in this league than they will in Major League Baseball. But four thirty eight is still way too high so Jiang. She Wan- A guy that is on my watch list guy. We'll try to back for Hawa, but obviously as we know Hawa just not a very good team, a low slugging percentage lineup just not a whole lot to work with their for the eagles. For the Kia Tigers drew gun YO 395 era to thirty fifth huge strikeout rate, great walk rate. Gone Yo is a guy. It seems like maybe he can have some success here in this league at does have a little bit of positive aggression coming to that era if we compare it to his fifth. For Key with a couple of guys here, Choi Dante three sixty seven era, three twenty one v. he's not a positive or negative regression guy, but he is a guy that was on my watch list and I think that he is for Real I think that he is definitely one of the better domestic pitchers in this league so Choi One day definitely a guy that you can back four key womb. Hot He, he, as I call him in the article, triple H, four key womb, winning a four three against now he hasn't been very good. But a six sixty four era, a five Seventeen v does suggest some better fortunes horizon, probably with a correction to that batting average on balls in play. Four KT Bay Seon again to sixty seventy IRA three eighty four fifth love, the Guy I think he's a watchlist guy that we can make some money on him, but I do think that he is in line for some rough patches here, including that start that just most recently had also for kt. William Cuevas the foreign pitcher six twenty eight era, five twenty one V. He's just not pitching well I. do think that he gets better as we go along. Here lost a bet on him over the weekend by it. He gets better as we go along, but obviously there's some sort of disconnect there with him for right now. For LG Casey Kelly is still a positive aggression candidate four zero five. To Forty Eight v still looking for him to be very good here over his next few starts, also Lim Cheng you. Now live. You didn't pitch particularly well over the weekend, a four forty three era with a two eight hundred seven v. now his price actually got bumped up in his last start. Because you know Sarah over at the athletic posted about some of the is that you are in line for some positive aggression, well done the hitting side, and in the pitching side Lim Chin was one of them, and that line got bad up a little bit. He wound up pitching very well, but still over a strikeouts per inning for him, so he is a guy. I will bet on this week in his next start for the LG twins. That's John You. For Lot the giants, No Qiong Young 557, er, eighty, three, eighty, four fifth, so he's a guy. A veteran guy seems like he should be having a little bit more luck in the battle department in the left on base percentage department. Well, there's already used eight starting pitchers this season, though obviously they're definitely in a state of flux with their pitching staff and with their starting rotation in particular. Love, the guy but COU Chango. Dominating this league, it's obvious this league is just a joke to him. Right now. Point five one era for the NC died. To Fourteen V, he's been exquisitely good for NC this season again. There are some negative progression signs just because he's pitched obscenely well unsustainably well, but going against him. It's not an easy thing to do by any means, so you really have to pick and choose your spots there. If you WANNA go against Kuching, though he's GonNa. Give up runs at some point I just don't know how many he'll actually give up. Like I said here Mike Right three twenty one era, five eighteen V for him, some home runs and elevated walk rate bike ride a guy that I may try to sort of spot. Fade a little bit here because there are some corrections likely coming to his numbers. Of course, it could come in the fifth department. He made to stop walking guys and stop giving up home runs so maybe his fifth. Fifth regresses down to his era. We'll wait and see how that whole thing plays out. Four Samsung Joint J. Young, still a little bit of a fade guy here. He's running a to fifty nine against, and that will go up in this league that will go up three, twenty, one era, four, twenty, two fifth, so I love Chee Young overall, but may look to fade him in his upcoming starts here. Finally Four S K. Moon someone like I mentioned four zero three battle against a six ten era, three, eighty, four fifth. He's a guy that you know serious. In that athletic article very good strikeout-to-walk rates, but just. Bad luck and left on base, percentage, department and bad luck with batted balls as well on the flipside, great luck in the left on base percentage department in the Bennett Department is Kim Tae Hoon for s k. he's running a two three Babbitt against right now. Three Er a four hundred Twenty Six v Kim Tae Hoon again. Maybe he's the contact. Master doesn't walk a whole lot of guys, but batted balls or eventually gonNA. Find Holes. You're not going to run a two or three bad really in any league. ESPECIALLY NOT THE K B O. So Kim Tae Hoon a little bit on the fade guy to me here now. One of the things I was looking at when I couldn't sleep overnight was put together. All the notes for the show left on base percentage I. Think this is one that we really want to focus on here in this league. Because again it's a low strikeout lead, so if you are an outlier on the low end or on the High Ed. That's going to change. So list of five guys here who are the lowest in left on base percentage of among qualified starting pitchers, so he on John of kt that eighteen year, old fifty point three percent left on base percentage, so he has had no luck. In terms of stranding runners and affect. Katie's bullpen is also terrible. That doesn't really help him a whole lot. With starts he's had. We got fifty point. Three percent that will positively regress Imke, young for the Kia Tigers. The Guy I will back this week unless it's some exorbitant price point, but he has a fifty one point. Eight percent left on base percentage, second lowest indicate Yo, and he's running the fourth best. K., percentage minus walk percentage in the K B O, which is a very important statistic in this league because it means you're struggling guys out when you're not walking, guys imke young fifty one point eight percent left on base percentage fourth in the K B O in Cape, percentage bonus walk percentage the guys that are better than him. Drew Gun Yo. Kuching Mo-. Eric Jokic. So, imke young is in some very good territory with that strikeout, percentage minus walk percentage carrying this bad left on base percentage. He is a guide back. I will benefit him in his next start here for the KIA. Tigers, unless the price point, is this something totally out of whack I? Don't think that's going to be the case. Lee, young, Chan Four deuce on. This is a very important one I. This is the Guy We definitely WANNA. Look to bet on here Lee Young Chan of do side fifty four point eight percent left on base percentage. He's got a career three eighty six era indicate. With a one thirty eight whip, so he has a very very good starting pitcher for this league, but this year eight seventy to eat are a one seventy five whip. Has that low left on base percentage? I don't know what's going on with him. I don't know if it's an underlying injury or something like that, but Lee Young Jin should definitely get better here and should get better in short order again if it's not an injury situation. He's had some walk issues here this season. That's been his biggest problem then exacerbated by a high babette. Not a high up a little bit of a higher web, but also exacerbated by this low left on base percentage again. Keep in mind if you walk guys for deuce on. It's a problem because they're terrible defensively, so Leon Chan should get better as that walk. Right normalizes a little bit. Get fifty four point. Eight percent left on base. Percentage leaves a lot of room for positive aggression. Ricardo Pinto of S. K fifty five point three percent left on base percentage now he has not done himself any favors. He's walked a ton of guys, not really racking up strikeouts, but he's also not straining runners, so here's a guy that could seam ably should get better in the not too distant future, but also he just doesn't have the supplemental metrics to really back up a whole lot of positive aggression finally. Limb, Chanu of the LG twins fifty five point, six percent left on base percentage definite by guy, eighth straight percentage minus walk percentage so. You guys. I am definitely looking to back this week. Mt On for Kia and Lim Chin You for L. G. The highest left on base percentages of unqualified starting pitchers, not surprisingly Chen Mo number one nine point five percent Mike Right for NC. Eighty five point five percent Dan Strategy of the lot, the giants, eighty two point five percent. Eric Joke. It's ricky. William and Kim Min Woo for Hawa both at eighty point eight percent. Before I talked about the other guys look. The fact of the matter is the foreign pitchers. We'll be able to carry higher left on base percentages than the League average they are. They're just better. They start out more guys. They've got better command. What some of the really big outliers! Eighty five point five percent is a high number for Mike Right. Eighty two and a half percent for danced, really maybe a little bit of a high number, not that bad, but the south korean-born guys. Kim Jung Woo eighty point eight percent. That's not going to stay. Kuching though I love the Guy, but ninety five percent dot going to stay why I'm Takin for Samsung Eighty point, five percent, a watchlist guy, a guy like a lot, not gonNA stay at eighty point five percent in all likelihood Meiji Young Seventy nine point eight percent love the guy for kt, not gonNA stay that way finally Rahul Up Contra for Dusan seventy nine point seven percent for him, so those are some guys specifically want to End Bay Song and Kim Min Woo. Woo some guys. I would expect some left on base percentage regression from and obviously if you're not stranding runners, you're giving runs. That's bad. Those are guys that we WANNA. Look to bet against here so the by guys in left on base percentage in kion of Kia to a lesser degree. Lien Chan for Dusan and Lim Chan you for LG. The Fayed guys in left on base percentage, Kim, Min Woo of Hawa one take in for Samsung and bay G CION for Katie. Twelve runs on Saturday fourteen on Sunday, two hundred seventeen home runs now in one hundred seventeen games start to run a little bit long here with the show I guess long winded with by notes writing these overnight, so will run through the series recaps in a little bit of rapid fire fashion here and again Adam at Bang, the Book Dot, com or skating tripods at g mail dot com for the notes for the show. S K pulls off the sweep of Hod. Wa hardware scores. Thirteen runs in this series. ESCA gets twenty three over the three game. Set The big thing for S K here is that there without Han-dong men, and he's a great hitter. Middle of the order bad for them. Choi Jong is starting to wake up a little bit now to oh five average, three, eighty, nine on base, three fifty six slugging for the season. SEASON, but in this series he hit his second home run. He went four for nine scored. Five runs had four RBI walked three times. Choi Jong is starting to figure it out a little bit here. Also forward hitter Jamie Romak in the middle of the order. He's only slashing to fifty, three, three, sixty, one, three, eighty, six, good on Bass, low slugging, low average, if the middle of this s k order gets going. They've got some decent pitching. The bullpens have been a little bit better starting staff bit a little bit better Choi Jong Jamie rollback if they start hitting. S K. looks like a different team. They drew twenty. Two walks in this series as well so that was good for them, because they were the laggards league wide in walk rate. They were not walking much at all. They draw twenty two here in this series. Some good for the S K offense, obviously hot was not a great team by any means, but still when you get off to a start, that s que. Did you've got to win games like this? They do take. Take care of business with that sleep on the hardware side. They drew six walks against Ricardo Pinto. He didn't pitch I mean he was able to strengthen the runners. Give those six walks. That's a good sign for hot, too, because they haven't been walking much for this season, they move Leon coup up to the top spot in the lineup. That's probably long overdue. He was betting ninth as one of the highest on base percentage guys in this lineup I guess the whole second leadoff hitter concept. Let's ask the night. You're not hitting. You got injuries, but when you're better, hitter's up at the top of the order. They finally did that. Judge John One has been really good at second base as an injury replacement, young guy, but overall a low soggy percentage offense that three forty eight percents for them worst in the League by nineteen points. They're bad at s K. bedding to forty nine with a runner in scoring position Han was also not very good, so maybe there's some positive aggression in that department, but I'm buying the S. K offense a lot more than buying the hot offense at hotmail I believe lost eight in a row here as they head on in to this next series. Key. Womb and KT Kingdom takes two out of three lots of runs in this series forty three runs over the three games. WOMB. Twenty seven to sixteen. The Katie offense has regressed last week and a half. They do have some guys that are out from an injury standpoint, but they have regressed. They were carrying best league numbers in batting average on base, percentage and slugging percentage for a little while they're. They've kind of come back to the pack. A little bit here did score twelve runs in the finale, but they were shut down by Eric, Yokich and Choi Tae in the two games that those guys pitched in this series the thing about Kiwi again. A big offensive show here with the twenty-seven runs. But Park beyond Ho or byung-ho Park as we knew him, what the Minnesota twins one for ten in the series didn't walk four-times. Adding to twelve with a four hundred slugging percentage. Is going to get going at some point I. Don't know when but the fact that he did so well offensively in this series without a whole lot from him is a pretty big deal. I think Overall Four K. T. One hundred eleven pitches to get through five innings. Four Beigey Seon against seven runs, allowed six of them earned a little bit of a negative aggression candidate and least young Ho, four key womb, a watchlist guy coming into the year, but he got rocked three home runs. Give Up. Eight earned a two third. He's not really getting. He's developing the way that I anticipated so key. Will maybe it over team now right now when joking and Choi. Starting, they could be an over team. Because they're just they're not getting much from the back end of the rotation and their offense starting to get a little bit better speaking of over teams Katie here. Thirteen more runs allowed by their bullpen intended two-thirds. They just can't get things figured out. At the back end of games at all whatsoever. LG. They took two out of three over KIA. Look I still can't get a read on Kia I just I. Don't know what it is. I just still can't get a good read on this team CIA. Wu Chan did pitch well for L G six innings one earned six, eight struck out five didn't walk anybody. I faded him that wound up being a bad call here in this one child who i. I think is a guy at home. Remember LG shares a stadium. What Dusan thank who China's a great bed at home. Maybe we get a chance to fade him on the road. This was a road start. He did pitch well, but I think in his road starts I may to go against him with the ball, playing more like two thousand, eighteen, then twenty nineteen, when he had a really really strong season. A better game for Aaron Brooks. Only three hits allowed lot more better block for the KEA starter there, but being of Kia Leeman Woo. Maybe. He's an older watchlist guy. He's twenty seven, so I didn't think much about him coming into the season, but he didn't start in the K B o until twenty seventeen. is pitched really well here, only thrown one, hundred, forty, two and a third innings in his career, but he's been off to a great start here this season. Maybe Lebron Wu is a guy to watch for the Kia Tigers. Kirs offense only drew seven walks in this series in. They still lead the league in drawing walks, but they didn't do it here. In this series, it gets LG. They did draw four, however, against Lim, Cheng, you and again limb Chanu a guy on the watch list that guy. I will bet this week if the price isn't bad, you only went four and a third. Third gave up four runs. Only two earned runs in his start walked for only struggle to didn't have it, but I think he does bounce back in his next outing, although total on Sunday for Tyler Wilson and drew gun, you know, but those guys by to give up nine runs on seventeen hits Kia bullpen with a big blowout. They gave up eight earned runs on thirteen hits in the finale LG's bullpen, still pitching very well Kia's bullpen I think better than what they've shown to this point, but those big ball what they had on Sunday they don't help your bottom line at all whatsoever. Dusan took two hundred three from. Low scoring series here, but a lot of giants. Look! They're not a bad offense. They're just a this time. Offense they had had twenty nine hits and drew seventeen walks in this series, only scored fourteen runs, and five of them came in the eleventh on Sunday to avoid getting swept their betting to thirty two with runners at score position. They already low slugging percentage lineup, but I do think if they keep generating chances. We'll get better off. That low number with one hundred score position of thirty two is open to some positive aggression to say the least. Dusan they only drew eleven walks in this series. Only seventy eight walks on the year. Only KT has walked less than do side. They've got to carry a high batting average offensively. They're many percentages, but dropping quite a bit. Maybe, some correction playing some home games six straight home games for them. Maybe some corrections to their offense of numbers I will talk about some I opening splits for on when we talk about the week ahead here in a couple of minutes finally, the Samsung Lions took two out of three a big underdog prices from the NC dyno's. NC scored eighteen runs into finale, so they kind of made a statement before leaving town, the first one run loss of the year four NC on Friday. That was a bullpen collapse. They let four nothing going into the bottom of the seventh found a way to lose that game six more shutout for Kuching Molik I said. This is a joke. He could be in the major leagues as early as Twenty Twenty one, and most definitely by twenty twenty two if he stays healthy. But some interesting here for Samsung in this series over the last ten days, Tyler Salad Dino has gotten going seven for eleven with a homer and five rb. I in this series now banning to fifty three thirty three on base, four thirty eight slugging percentage, it may have just taken him some time to get comfortable. We saw Taylor Mater struggle to adjust now. He's even been waived by. His. Girlfriend didn't adjust well in south, Korean life didn't seem like he did either. He's probably not play for this season. Now sell it. You know obviously not as publicized. Maybe he had some difficulties adjusting in the last ten for Tyler, Salad. Three, fifty, three, average, four, thirty, six on base, five, eighty, eight, slugging Samsung needs this. Darren rough was their best hitter last year. They lost him. A good offensive team last season. Sell it. You gotTa be good in the middle of this order. And he has been over the last ten games, and as a result, Samsung has played a lot better here over the last week and a half. Lastly Thirteen runs allowed by the NC bullpen in this series twelve of them earned, was it the park factor debut, or was it some aggression? I guess we'll just have to wait and see. Finally GonNa. Try to go through these quickly. Hearing I, said running a little bit long with today's show for the week ahead. Lots of versus Kia do starting KT S K, and NC Samsung and LG, and then finally key womb, and Hawa, so lot versus Kia to line two teams that I. Just I'd have agreed feel really for either one of them right now as I mentioned. They're struggling with wonders. Scorn position. Maybe that normalizes a little bit for them. Out The most batters in the K B o lot the tied for the second fewest strikeouts in the K B O. so that's an interesting little match up there that start for Adrian. Samson for Lotte. He will be on a pitch count, so keep that in mind that start four. Aaron Brooks coming later in this series as well. It's a tale of two teams for. They were very good at the start very bad. Since then, what are they do here? I don't know I'm not sure. I'll have too many plays in this series. Not really knowing either one of these teams all that well. I don't have a feel for them. For one reason or another. What I do know though. Lot. Lot of moving parts of the starting rotation a lot of bullpen innings. They had back to back eleven. inning games over the weekend got some concerns about their bullpen once again in this series, and also later in the week. Dusan and Katie. Do Son in eleven. Home Games outscored sixty eight to fifty one so in eleven home games. They've only scored fifty one runs. That's four point six four runs per game. In twelve, Road Games do scored eight runs at seven point three three runs per game same-store, thirty seven more runs on the road in one more game played, so do signs. Offense is a far different handicap on the road. Then it is at home. Also interestingly, enough kt has been more potent offensively at home. Even though they've had sixteen homers on the road compared to nine at home, so this could be a higher scoring series. Here do side eighteen home runs in twelve road games, five home runs in eleven home games, one hundred fifty five hits for Deuce on on the road in those twelve games, ninety one hits at home in those eleven games, so do signs. Offense is dramatically different home versus road, so keep that in mind with the pricing in this series, and also with some totals opportunities probably get some over here in this do side and Katie series. S K, N. Is S K going to slow down is NC. Excuse me going to slow down. S K going to stay hot, s? K Mrs Coup Changmo. Them S case rotation is pretty solid could speed under series. Will the Mike Right Regression show up? We'll get a big underdog price to find out, and if it's against Moon Sung, one I'll take that big underdog price with S. K.. And C. Bullpen Dave hit the skids a little bit. Interesting series because S K offense is starting to get going a little bit and see is a regression candidate because they're just playing such a breakneck pace. We're GONNA get some big underdog numbers on s here. NC is priced, and I made some mistakes last week playing NC with those overpriced numbers. The place here, going to be S K as an underdog or staying off the game. That's just kind of how it is. It's not COO COO Changmo. I don't WanNa lay a big S K run line anymore. Or NC run light all these acronyms. They're always damn initials. I don't WanNa lay a big NC run line number. Changmo so maybe some dog place here in this series with S. K.. Love to see how that plays out. Samsung and LG once again Samsung now. And Remember LG shares of stadium with Dusan. LG Nineteen home runs on the road and eleven games seven home runs at home in twelve games Samsung's hit. Eighteen home runs in their fifteen home games. Four home runs in their nine road games. This is under serious to me with Samsung and LG obviously we'll see what the pitching matchups look like. Do, Park fat or this park factor insole for LG and Dussan is very very bad for hitting. And the splits bear that out so under serious air force Samsung and LG so. Under series potentially. For S K at NC and Samsung and LG and overseers I think four do side and Katie finally key womb and Han one next warwick suppled start coming for Hawa, I was only hit two home runs in nine games at home. There are a low slugging percentage off anyway. Key womb pretty hit or miss offensively as I've talked about. While, bullpen is a positive aggression unit. The key wound bullpen has not been. Honda's was only walked sixty six times. The fewest walks allowed with sixty four I think this could be lower scoring series as well. The offense is getting going, but the Han will offense just isn't. And, they don't draw walks. Keenum doesn't issue walks. Hanwha, facing a key offense at shrug out the most in the League harmless pitching staff second Kia in strikeouts, so this could be a higher strike out. Lower Walk Series I leads to potentially some lower scoring games here so. Maybe totals. Focus in this league I've not done well with sides at all. Totals have been not great, but they've been okay, so maybe kind of getting some long-term thoughts here for some of these series for some of these park factors to look at totals as opposed to what could be the guessing game of sides with all these awful bullpens, and all that type of thing so. Once again. Adam at banged. The Book Dot Com to get the notes for the show. We've act on banged grady on Tuesday chatting with Brian, blessing of Sports Radio and Vegas Akihide, we'll talk about NASCAR which I believe goes to Atlanta now I want to say I'll also buy the Santa. Anita Derby with the projected field for that, so should be a lot of fun on Tuesdays Edition of Bank radio. KB article does return over at Bangor. Book Dot, com today, and all this stuff I talked about at the top of the show. You can find over there as well. For me they switch for listening everybody and remember that you will never strike out when you're in the betters box.

Samsung LG Katie Hurler NC LG KIA Major League Baseball Kia Tigers giants Hawa Dusan KT Kingdom Leon Chan Mike Right K B O Adam Burke Samsung Lions K B Bangor Yang
The Bettors Box KBO Betting Podcast May 14, 2020

Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

46:36 min | 11 months ago

The Bettors Box KBO Betting Podcast May 14, 2020

"Alone again everybody and thanks for joining me in the betters. Fox's Bang the book dotcom K B O Betting podcast for Thursday may fourteenth. I'm your host Adam Burke this end every edition box presented by our friends over at D. SL sportsbook bt and the number two hundred. Is that Promo Code. One hundred percent deposit match for the Sports Book. One hundred percent deposit match bonus for the live casino at Sei. It's only a game until you bet it you don't. We've got the daily O Article Over at Bang. The Book Dot Com couple of days in the black here over the last two days the Samsung Money. Line being a big part of that here on Thursday. We've had a couple of games here this week where we've played the run line. They've won by a run. Has it come through for us but getting better field here for the K B O overall? Obviously they'll have lots of things to talk about here on the better spock's with regards to the KB L. You can read that daily article every single day over at being the book dot Com also. We'll preview for this weekend you have see on ESPN ten. The return of NASCAR is at Darlington on Sunday. We've got a preview up with some suggested wagers for that NASCAR RACE COMING UP ON SUNDAY. We putting together a preview of the. Taylormade driving relief on Sunday as well. That is that skins game with rory and dj up against Ricky Fowler and Matthew Wolf since. We're on the air on Tuesday with our edition of Bloomberg radio. This skins format has been announced so there are a lot more pro betting options out there for that at this point in time. We put net preview together either today or early tomorrow over at the website. And I'm going to try and get some horse racing stuff done for this weekend as well as a very good Hollywood wildcat race at Gulfstream. That's got three year old phillies in it on Friday. Going to try to put that one up. If I don't have time for that one here trying to do something for the weekend maybe with Churchill downs coming back also sent Anita coming back four this weekend as well. So do the best we can over at Bang. The Book Dot Com. Get you some racing content along with the you have the driving relief and that NASCAR preview. That's already up over there at website art so with that we'll go ahead and get into our traditional format here for the betters. Box will start with a look beyond the box score. We'll talk about the betting markets in the down the line segment. How things have kind of adjusted what you want to be looking for as you shop around for the best prices stuff like that and then finally we'll take a look at the next round of series coming up here. Friday Saturday and Sunday remember that Monday is a League Wide Day off in the K B. O they play Tuesday through Sunday. Barring rainouts or some other cancellation and they have Monday off as a whole so. We've got another round a series coming up here Friday Saturday and Sunday and we start here. In the beyond the boxer segment talking about the long ball the home run only seven home runs. Hit in Thursday's games but we still have eighty nine home runs in the forty. Two Games have been played. Obviously we're well over a two per game pace last year. One point four one home runs per game so forty. Two Games may not be the biggest sample size but the ball is obviously playing different hitters mentioned. It pitchers have mentioned it and the statistics. Certainly bear that out as well. So you know it's only been forty two games but I think that we're pretty certain at this point in time that the ball is different indicate will be a lot more like the twenty seventeen and the twenty thousand eighteen season's over ten and a half runs per game being scored right now in these contests last year. Nine point one runs per game so the ball is playing differently. The books have already adjusted their totals. And obviously we need to make our adjustments as well for the most part here. Foreign pitchers are kind of still staying. Above the fray three eight eight with a one twenty-three whip going into Thursday's action drew gone went five innings. Gave up four earned on seven heads did strike out nine only walked one. Chris. Flexing on Thursday six innings couple runs cutler. Six hits six strikeouts a walk and then Tyler Wilson in his second start better bounceback effort for him. Six innings to earn four hits seven strikeouts couple of walks so on the whole now. The foreign pitchers all of them except for Casey Kelly are on the active roster have made two starts one hundred ninety. Six innings pitched eighty five earned runs hundred ninety hits hundred sixty nine. Strikeouts fifty walks. That's a three ninety. Era In a one twenty to whip so again. The foreign pitchers while not on last year's pace by any means are still much better than the league as a whole injury and Samson of Lata and Chad Bell of Hawa yet to make a start Casey Kelly making his second start probably here on Friday for. Lg So getting. The foreign pitchers are doing pretty well relative to the League as a whole but they're not doing as well as they did last season. Obviously that could change but again the different baseball. Probably a factor for them as well speaking of foreign players one other thing. I wanted to mention here. Real Quickly Tyler. Sell out with a hamstring injury for Samsung. Now the way that this works is that guys. Get taken off of the active. Kb Roster they can either go down and play in the K B o version of the Minor Leagues Their Second Division or wind up going on the disabled list. And it's a ten day disabled list over in the K B O so sell a dino is out for right now. Injury Intel is going to be tricky to find but Samsung without their only for an offense player. Here with that injury a four Tyler Salad Dino so with we take a look at the bullpen report here for this edition of the box going to be adding that spreadsheet to the daily K B O article over at Bankbook Dot Com. I've yet to see any sort of breakdown of starter. Era and team bullpen era. For the Ten teams here in the K B O. Just everybody as a whole so with that in mind. Put together a spreadsheet I'm copying and pasting in the nightly results for the relief pitchers and I'm kind of working through some of the formulas there in Excel. But here's how things go in alphabetical order through this. Most recent round of serious through three series here for each of these teams and of course teams had postponements last week due to weather so six teams have played eight games. Fourteen to play nine games to this point in time. Do side with an eight seventy nine. Era A one ninety two whip twenty one strikeouts thirteen walks in twenty seven. Two thirds Hon. Wa Five seventy nine. Era One fifty whip twenty five strikeouts twelve walks in twenty three and a third for them the Kia Tigers. Five eighty one era one sixty one whip twenty nine strikeouts but twenty two walks in thirty one innings pitched the key wom- bullpen has been probably the best in the league overall. I would say three. Forty seven E. R. A one twenty to whip twenty four strikeouts six walks in thirty three and two thirds innings pitched and remember key will in their first series and in fact even limited. Eric Joke a little bit in his second start. They really limited. They're foreign born pitchers in that first series. So that's why they've worked a lot of bullpen innings. They also had an extra innings game in there so that's why they've got the second most bullpen innings in the league. But I would not expect that to be the case as their domestic or as their foreign starting pitchers get stretched out a little bit the K- t- bullpen has been abominable eight forty eight. Er a two point. Oh two whips. They're giving up over two walks and hits per inning pitched sixteen strikeouts seventeen walks in two thousand eight and two thirds four that KT bullpen the. Lg bullpens been very good three sixty seven era one twenty two whip only nineteen strikeouts in thirty four third innings pitched but also only eleven walks for that twins relief unit the lot the giants bullpen had a bit of a regression here against. Dusan this week. Now a five sixty nine. Era One thirty three whip is still pretty decent. Twenty one strikeouts ten walks in thirty one and two thirds innings pitched the NC Dino's four sixty one bullpen era 135 whip twenty strikeouts. Fourteen walks in their twenty seven and a third innings pitched the Samsung bullpens been quite solid to seventeen era. That's the best in the league. One thirty four whip though so maybe a little bit of regression coming for that Samsun bullpen. Twenty four strikeouts sixteen walks in twenty nine innings pitched and in fact they just allowed their first home run in garbage time on Thursday in the bottom of the ninth with an eight to four lead then finally S K seven twenty one. Era One sixty whip twenty four strikeouts eleven walks in twenty five innings of work so some overall bullpen observations here strikeouts are still relatively limited from the relievers. We know that's a thing as a whole here in this league did have some league games shenanigans. A lot of late game Shannon's quite frankly and a lot of this has to do with the fact that as rally start defense isn't as good in this league so you get errors you get guys playing with a little bit more pressure. You get runners being very aggressive taking extra bases stuff like that and without the ability to get as many strikeouts and get out of innings. Then you get these late games. Shenanigans multi running stuff like that and obviously to the baseball playing differently. We've seen a lot of home runs. Hit off of these bullpens. The sample sizes are still pretty small open to a lot of various open to interpretation and again a bad performance here or there will skew these numbers for these teams blow. Walk rates generally seemed to help but you also need to have good command and I mean that's true of the major leagues as well. What other thing. I may have picked up on here a little bit. Is that early week? Relief work may end up being better than relief. Work later in the week. Remember these teams play six straight games and Mondays? An off day for everybody. So you're going to get a lot of threes and fours four sixes for these relievers to wear Saturdays and Sundays. Maybe a little bit more challenging for them from a fatigue standpoint so even though we had some bullpen debacles here on Tuesday and Wednesday. I think on the whole bullpens will be better earlier in the week than they are later in the week. Here in the K B O so we continue with our beyond the box were segment. We'll take a look at all five series that just wrapped up. We Start and we'll go in rotation order here with the series that just wrapped up we start with Kia and Hod Wahaha avoids the sweep gets the win on Thursday. Unfortunately we were KIA AT MINUS ONE. Fifteen in that one hot comes away with the victory had a lead late and they were actually able to maintain it here in this one. What to eagles are getting some excellent starting pitching and really over all they're not getting bad. Bullpen work either. They're the only bullpen in the K. B O here with over a strikeout per innings. So they're getting some very good pitching here from their staff. Their offense has just been deplorable. And this offense it was a low slugging percentage lineup to begin with now in this current offensive environment where everybody's power production is going to play up a little bit. That's a big concern for Hawa as we go forward here. They're dead last in the league with a three fifty. Two slugging percentage and they are tenth by a large margin in extra base hits divided by hit so extra-base percentage that's a stat track by the official K B O website. They are dead last by a large margin in that department. And that's tough for Han while it looks like they're going to be under team here for the majority of the season. Got Some very good. Starting pitching in this series against Kia Kia offense that has struggled in and of itself as well but Kim Min Woo Jang she wanted and then Jiangmen J. Twenty Innings. Only four earned runs allowed. Thirteen hits twenty strikeouts nine walks in this series for Hawa. They had a blown lead on Tuesday. They didn't score on Wednesday. They didn't score on Thursday but managed to hold on for the victory in that one. This team is getting great pitching they look like a stone cold under kind of team and again as I just mentioned they're bad in the slugging percentage department and yeah. You manufacturer a lot of runs in this league but if the offense of environment is going to look more like twenty seventeen and two thousand eighteen. You're damn well better hit for power hot one not able to do that. But they're pitching spin pretty good so the eagles definitely looking at under team here at this point in time now as far as KIA GOES. They don't hit for a lot of power either and what. I'm kind of seeing here. What my infants sort of is about their offense. Numbers is that they don't have a lot of contact authority. It doesn't seem to me like they make a lot of quality contact. They lead the league in strikeouts but also lead the league in walks so essentially what we see here with Kia is that they're not hitting for power and based on their strike out and walk totals. They're hitting it a lot of deep counts and when you hit in deep counts. It hurts your ability to make high-velocity contact because oftentimes you're hitting with two strikes protecting with two strikes stuff like that so this. Kia team also looks like it under caliber team to me. Their pitching staff has not been as good as hot. Ones has been for the season here so far but again I just don't think the contact authority is therefore Kia hitting these deep coutts. So they are shaping up to be an under team for me as well and again. It's very important to try and pinpoint these under teams because with offense at a premium across the league. Here we're GONNA be paying those higher totals numbers teams. That aren't going to score are going to be easy under candidates with some inflated totals that have to adjust based on a league offensive environment so Kia and Hawa two teams. I think you want to look at from an under standpoint in their respective Games Samsung and he will big series win for Samsung. They take two out of three. They take the rubber match a nice plus one fifty two price for us. Great Game One between Ben Lively and Eric Jokic. The Cuban Penn tried to blow it but held on for the win and that one joke. It's ramping up. His pitch. Count a little bit. Eighty three tosses for him in his second start would expect him to be in the ninety two ninety five range in the next outing so keenum and they've relied on their pitching quite a bit here to this point in time. They should have a full eric. Jovic from this point forward after starting a little bit slowly with some pitch limitations placed on him. Samsung keenum here so far appear to have the best bullpens in the league. The bullpen did have a hiccup on Thursday. That was a four game. Samsung scored three runs to take a seven to four lead. Got An insurance marker in the ninth inning. The first time that we've seen a bad effort from the key won't bullpen not gonna read too much into that one. The Samsung pitching staff here. In this series excellent absolutely outstanding six good innings for bed lively in the first game the Buchanan Bounce back. Great Second Start for him. Seven innings struck out eight scattered a couple of hits then Choi Shea he hung. He's on my watch list of the domestic starting pitchers here in the K B o six innings gave up four earned but did strike out seven in that start so over a strikeouts per inning for Choi on Thursday. Then one in. He's on my list watchlist. Four pitchers a good effort for him from the Lions offense here as great. You know they've had some issues. They've been winning with their pitching there now. Four and six on the season here But when you look at this. Samsung team import. Four and five. I believe on the season. We will get the Samsung team here. The offense is difficult to pinpoint. They've struck out a lot. They've got a high walk rate so much like Kia. They're hitting a lot of tough counts to bet their average up to two thousand nine now. They were under two hundred going into that series. I think Samsung's offense is better than what we've seen so far and they are the type of team that if they face a low strikeout pitching staff. They're going to be in great shape so Samsung kind of matchup dependent type of thing and I liked them on Thursday because going up against key womb. They were facing a lower strikeout environment in that game and they ended up breaking out for eight runs. So that's something. I will watch very closely here with Samsung. If they're facing a pitcher that's not going to run up the strikeouts against them. They are in much much better shape and of course. We'll see what happens when they get Tyler Salad. You know back off of the injured list. Now we're looking at key womb here. They are struggling offensively. To thirty average three zero five on base three eighty five slugging percentage to this point last year they were first in batting average at two eighty two second in on base percentage three fifty four seconds slugging percentage at four fourteen there behind do. Saad in both of those categories. They lost Jerry Sands he led the League in. Rbi last year. He went to go play in Japan. Kim Haas Yong's off to a slow start he's slash three zero seven eight nine four ninety-one one last year park beyond hope. Of course we know from his days with the Minnesota twins. He's off to a slow start Taylor Mater. He's not hitting he's they're only four and offensive player so key womb unders right now have been very very good with the personnel for. This lineup is underachieving right now. We see a lot of inflated prices with key woman the market. They've been a big favorite in a lot of their games. They've won with pitching offensively. They are in the tank right now and they did lose a guy like Santa was a big hitter in the middle of this lineup. Last year they got a couple of guys that are proven hitters track records. That are off to a slow start. I don't think this will last all that long for them. So take the unders now but I think that under train will leave the station here very soon and kind of get off the rails a little bit so keenum offensively something. I'm looking for a little bit of a breakout from here as we go forward one last one. I mentioned one of the guys on my watch list here. Choi Dante seven and a third only took him eighty nine pitches. That drove seven. And a third innings. Digging up four runs but only two were earned. Strikeout six didn't walk anybody. Choi Wante another domestic pitcher. I really like here in the K B o four the key womb heroes move onto S K and l g L. G. completes the sweep on Thursday didn't cover the run line for us even though they out hit S. K. Eleven to four twenty six runs in this series four. Lg against the S. K. Pitching staff that seven of those runs were on earn in the Middle Game? I believe three or four. There runs in the first game. Were also on -earned but you still have to drive those runs it you still have to take advantage of the miscues from the opposition and LG definitely doing that here in this series and a big reason why is because at the top of the LG order. You've got Li Chun Won- and Kim Hyun Soo we know hunts sue Kim from his days with the Baltimore Orioles. Both of those guys here at the early onset of the season have four fifty plus on base percentages table. Setters matter a ton in this league especially when you consider the fact that now we've got the reduced baseball a lot more power coming if the guys at the top or getting on base. The guys in the middle will drive them in so this. Lg Offense even with Lee and Kim likely to regress a little bit. I mean they're not going to hold five hundred on base percentages for the season. Even with those guys likely to regress this will remain a very potent. Lg Offense so I'm starting to isolate them as a team to bet some overs with as this season goes along because they will have traffic for the middle of the order and a very high rate. And if you've got that you can score a lot of runs that's true of any level of baseball but especially here in the show with this new offense of environment this not new. This renewed offensive environment. Big Bounceback Start Four Tyler Wilson here in this series only through seventy seven pitches kind of a quick hook for him. But he with six innings. Over those seventy seven pitches couple earned runs. Four hits struck out seven walked a couple. He threw ninety six pitches in his first start so Kinda surprised. They yanked him early but the bullpen went. Three scoreless pitched pretty well. They're CIA Wu. Chan seems to be a pretty popular veteran. From a betting standpoint six innings four earn six hits struck out eight walked to couple thirty two year old. Who MAKES A lot of money? In this league. Above average numbers overall L. G. Here depending on how the bullpen performs. You're starting at the makings of a really good team. This offense is very strong. You've got Tyler Wilson Casey. Kelly will make his second start of the year here on Friday in all likelihood Shaw's pretty good limb Chengdu. He wanted to pitching very well in this series against S K. Maybe a play on team maybe over team but maybe a play on team as well for the LG twins here as we go forward however that being said I mean s case terrible S. K. Right now the worst team in the league they're tied with the K- Whiz for the worst record but S. K. Is played a lot worse than kt has to this point in the season offense simply S. K. Is a disaster. Sixty five strikeouts on the year against eighteen walks only eighteen base on balls drawn by this S. K. offense to ninety four on base percentage. Three seventy nine slugging percentage. They're betting one eighty five with runners in scoring position and there were a low. Slugging percentage team last year and again with the ball reduced. If you can't hit you can't survive in this league and S K. They don't hit for power. They've got the low contact quality and they're also not drawing walks. This looks like a long-term fade team to me. They were carried last year by Choi Jong and Jamie Romak choice in the tank. Romak just hit his first home. Run actually off of Wilson. Maybe that'll get him going. But this S. K. Offense looks to be one of if not the worst in the League here at this point in time. I'm not sure how much that really changes. I do. Think that Hawa. Probably the worst offense in the league but S. K. Is to give them a run for their money as the season goes along. Also on the side Dick Kingham just ugly in the first game of that series three and two thirds up eight runs. Five of them earned. Ted HITS STRUCK OUT. A couple walked a couple. This is a shocker to me. I made a bold prediction last week. So I think Nick Kingham could be the best starting pitcher in this league when all is said and done for this year. I'm not ready to back off of that as of yet. But you know the first outing was okay. The second outing was terrible. We'll see what happens here in Kingdoms Third Start for S K another one here Ricardo Pinto. Great I start for him. Excellent I start for him his second. Start Seven earned runs so obviously not all his fault. There was some balls it should have been caught. That weren't that went for didn't go down as errors. There were some errors actually made but what worries me for pizza dough here. One strikeout four walks. That's a bit concerning. I was kind of wondering about him coming into the season anyway. Not a great showing here in his second. Start Kingham with a bad start S. K. Just doesn't look very good here at the start of the season to say the Least Park Jong Hoon actually with a nice twenty twenty debut off of a solid three year stretch live elite bloomer. Due to injuries he was the silver lining in this series for K. So Park Jong. Hoon guy on my watch list here. Among those domestic pitchers born in South Korea do and lot to hear three overs. If you had ten and a half year pushed on eleven in the final game deuce on takes two of three here. They prevail in the rubber match. Good starting pitching produce reduce on in the final game bad relief work at bad relief. Work Overall Twenty. Three combined runs off the bullpens in the three games in this series. Not a great start from roll all contra five innings four earn twelve. It's allowed star Ford and walk anybody in his. You know you know this thing here for for Al Contract to me is that I think in this current run environment where the home run a lot. More prevalent I think he's a fade guy. I really do. I think with the big prices that Dusan. We'll have in his starts. I think he's a fade guy. You don't last year. Gave up a ton of extra base hits now. The ball's got that Spring back in it for twelve. Era One twenty eight whip in two thousand nine starts so the numbers are bad. But I don't like the command profile. I don't like limited arsenal. I think all contra is a guy that I'm ready to fade. I think for do sign again. Would-be big prices to go against him and I'm happy with that. Like the new ball does hurt him a little bit. As this season goes along we had Dusan in the middle game for the first five Lee Young. Ha in run collapse in the first five. Got The first two outs. And then things just totally fell apart. I still believe in him. Leong on my watch list show John One. He did struggle against a better lineup. Pitched very well in his first start. Now he comes back in his second START AGAINST. Dusan does struggle a little bit. I guess kind of the expectation for CEO. John here I think he does well against bad lineups and struggles against good line-ups plays with the nineteen year old youngster there. Four Watt Chris Flexing good bounceback start the last one six innings to earned look. Dusan very good offensively batting three sixty one with runners position so far they win some slugfests here over lot done you know what kind of look at this do son team as a whole the bullpen has not been good. I don't love the rotation I think there are some guys that are pretty good. I flex and we'll be good. I think Leon how will be good? I'm not buying all contra. Dusan debuted over team here throughout the season and certainly early on here in the twenty twenty campaign. One Guy to watch four lot to here park. Say will tell you. I'm butchering all these names. I apologize for that. His second start was better than his first he had. He had a twenty seventeen breakout and he was right in that age. Range to have that breakout. The problem is he's had a lot of injuries. He's only made twenty. Six starts over the last two seasons and then a couple starts here in two thousand twenty. I expect him to get better as the year goes along so park. Say Long is a guy that I'm looking at here. Four lot over the course of the season finally one more series to recap here beyond the box score. Katie and NC. A sweep for the Dino's they win. Three one run games here in this series. Katie has four one-run losses on the season with their one and seven start to bullpen melts in this series down Thursday left. The tying run on third. Go ahead run on second. No less they made a lineup. Change in the final game against Kuching Mo of and I think is the best domestic pitcher in this league. They put a better hitter up there. It's still wasn't any help. Katie's offense hasn't been the problem but they're still running a guy out there in the leadoff spot with a sub. Three hundred on base percentage. You can't do that when you can't pitch you've got to maximize every potential ofensive chance that you get and that means being good at the top of the order. The middle of the order is good for. Kt the top of the order is not and the offense hasn't been issue because the middle of the order is carried them and the bottom of the order has overachieved a little bit. But you've gotTa have a guy at the top of the order gets on base and makes things happen and Katie. Right now does not have that. And that's why they're losing lot of these games because they're scoring runs but they're not adding on and the bullpen hasn't been good. You've got to capitalize offensively whenever you can and they're not doing that now in fairness to Katie. They only scored ten runs in the three games of the series but they face drew Rucinsky Mike right and coup Changmo so they faced three of the better starting pitchers in this league effect. They got to rescind ski in the first game scored half their runs in the series off of her cincy. In that first start they got three good starts. They got a decent start from address. Gave up three earned over five innings. Six struck out. Six William Cuevas would six innings one-run Bay Jas. Yong a guy on my watch list here. Seven innings seven hits seven strikeouts for him as despondent. It's been fine cuevas bounceback. The bullpen bad. And the offense just isn't set up for success. So what they do. Want to mention here of this. Kt and NC serious played the ten for the full game in Thursday's game one nothing vital bay and coup fifteen innings. No runs eleven. Hits Seventeen strikeouts. Couple of walks proud of that under handicapped. And you can find these with these South korean-born starters whip these guys. That are on my watch list. A lot of guys are going to be hit or miss a lot of guys five innings for earn stuff like that but if you find the guys that have the upside in this league that's where you make the money that's where you get the value. Everybody knows the foreign pitchers are going to be good. If you can isolate the domestic pictures. They're going to be good. You can make money in this league and we did that with Bay and coup in that start here on Thursday last note about Katie. They're they're bullpens. Been the worst in the league. So far they're only a first five option. If you've got that at your sports book that's about it very i. Five option very very very difficult to play with. Kt At this point in time. So for the down the line segment here not gonNA look at line moves from the Specific Games. Just kind of talk in general about the market here and it doesn't take long it really doesn't take long for the oddsmakers. The bookmakers the risk managers to make the necessary adjustments. We've seen some line moves but by and large we haven't seen anything of of large significance as far as line moves go. They've made adjustments to totals. Were still seeing some big money. Line prices stuff like that. But what did I do want to mention? Here is that you've got some big spreads out there in the market. As far as these money skill you got some fifteen cent spreads. You've got some thirty. Cents Spreads some casinos out in Vegas have tencent lines. I started the article with online and for consistency sake. Because I'm tracking with you. Know thirty cent lines that they have and stuff like that. I'm going to continue citing those however beating a thirty cent line market is very very hard. It is extremely hard and what I mean by. Thirty cent market is that you're going to see. Let's see got a minus one four favorite. You're going to see a plus one tenth underdog and a book that's got fifteen cent lines. You may see a minus one thirty favorite with a plus one fifteen money line in the same game so you may see the favourite price drag down ten cents. You may see the dog. Price increase ten cents. You'll it could be something more like plus and minus one thirty five something like that. It makes a big difference. It is hard to bet into. Thirty cent lines hurt a better lines in a lot of a lot of markets you WANNA find ten cent lines called dime lines or fifteen cent line something like that. It is hard to beat a disadvantageous market. And that's what thirty cent lines are. And some of the books are dealing you'll minus one. Fifteen isn't the standard vague on. Totals the break. Even at minus one tennis fifty two point three eight percent the break even at minus one fifteen fifty three point four nine percent so for every hundred bets you make you have to get an extra one right in terms of your break even rate which just five cents different in juice. So That's tough that's challenging and it's why shopping around for the best prices and the best market to bed into is really really important. You know we just look at this for example here. Let's say you've got thirty. Cents Book and a fifteen or ten cent book right. Let's see you've got that? Plus ONE TEN MINUS ONE FORTY WELL MINUS ONE. Forty your break. Even percentage fifty eight point three three percent at minus one. Your break even do percents. That's a massive difference for just ten cents of juice so this is why it's really important to shop around for the best prices. The smaller the gap in the lines. The better it generally is for the player now sports books. Some of them are delving into an unknown market. Some of them have posted. Cameo lines have never seen this kind of action before others haven't posted them at all and when you look at we'll use the example of the thirty CENT LINE PLUS ONE TEN MINUS ONE FORTY. The theoretical percentage. There is five point six two percent if you look at plus one ten and minus one thirty the theoretical hold percentage is three point nine eight percent. So you've got a lot of manipulation out there in what is by and large an immature market over in the Asian markets. There's been a lot of K B O bedding but for a lot of the Caribbean markets the European markets the Latin American markets. And even out. Vegas it's an immature market but you see the different levels of risk tolerance that these sports books. Have you see at tencent line at West Gate? They're willing to embrace some risk with the trade off being a lot of action. You see some of these other sports books with thirty cent lines. They're not willing to embrace as much risk. Or maybe they're embracing the risk in terms of higher limits but they want to increase their theoretical whole percentage. Some places are getting more action than others so this is the art of the bookmaking side for us. The Art of the betting side is to find the most advantageous situations for you which means at tencent line or fifteen set line. It means the ability to have a council multiple sports books and then price shop for the best odds that are out there. These are very very important fundamental concepts for bettors out there and again like I said I kinda backed myself into a corner starting with bet online. I'm trying to stay there for consistency sake. But as I mentioned day after day after day in the article better lines probably are available out there. And the onus is on you to shop around for them a consensus line or something like that. Because I mean what? What's how is that fair? You'll try to sight lines that are available to people and you have the option to go out there and get better prices and I suggest that you do because eight. Thirty market is very hard to be so. Get have multiple outs at your disposal. Whether it's better. Line THE SL. Five Times whether you're in a state that has legalized sports betting. And you could do. Draft Kings William Hill Bet rivers fan duel. Whatever the case may be post yourself up at multiple places so that you don't have to take minus one forty win minus one thirty is being offered in the market those differences of five or ten cents matter so much over the long term so much to your bottom line so you WanNa make sure you're trying to look at that as much as you possibly can. That's true of any market. Not just the K B O but if any market is well we think about it. Look you know. Would you take a plus six and a half in a plus seven is out there of course? Not Why would you do that? It's the same thing with money. Line prices you can take plus one fifteen instead of plus one ten you take plus one fifteen thirty instead of minus one forty you take minus one thirty if you go to to Chevy dealerships and one's offering you two fifty a month or two grand down. There is offering you two fifty a month at twenty five hundred down. What decision are you making? It's the same thing in the sports. Betting world always find the best price for you and often times? That means having more than one sportsbook so that you can shop around compare prices between the two and go ahead and take the better price when you're ready to walk in. That bet aren't so we'll wrap things up. You're taking a look at the weekend. Five new rounds a series. Here you've got lots and Hawa and versus S. K. Dussan versus Kia Samsung up against. Kt that finally key and LG. What hot this is an interesting series here because this? Hawa pitching staff has been great to this point. No one's really been able to slow down. The giants offense can hardly be that team. Warwick suppled will make his third start of the season this weekend. That should be a lot of fun to watch against this team the lot the giants bullpen did regress against Dusan. But they've got one of the best lineups here. If Han want needs to hang offensively can they do it? That's a big question in this series. They will be extremely extremely reliant on their pitching staff once again. Thirty runs scored in nine games for Hawa Lot to just scored twenty in the last three games against Dusan. So we'll probably see lots of a lot of respect here. In the numbers for that series maybe unsought bald here. He'll probably pitch Sunday. I think against the giants but that'd be an interesting series to follow. Because Hod was gotta get that offense going if they don't how many of these low scoring games can they win against they really potent giants offense and see versus s. k. the Dino's or just rolling right along man and s k? They're in the tank or not getting good pitching from Kingham not getting good pitching from PTO. They're not scoring. They're not hitting S. K. Does avoid two of the main three here but they will get drew Rucinsky in a bounceback spot on Sunday. That kingdom cert- probably comes against Rucinsky. Sunday big start for him very important for his confidence and for his team would certainly like to see kingdom pitch a little bit better there than he did on this past week. Kim. Tae Hoon for S K. The only way of looking at S. K. Is Saturday if Kim Tae Hoon gets the start. Otherwise I mean they're not scoring. Nc's pitching well. They're scoring runs. I look bad setup at home this weekend. Dusan and KIA KIA very fortunate here to be four. And Five on the season there minus sixteen in run differential do Sant's cashing in on a lot of their chances with runners in scoring position but they allowed fifty seven runs to this point in time. So do signed is simply outscoring the opposition Kia not scoring much at all. They scored twelve runs in one game. They have nineteen runs scored in their other eight games combined. They're going to have to score in this series. Skiba do sign. I don't know if they're going to do it. I think there's going to be not as many betting opportunities this weekend based on these first three series. I'm taking a look at here. Kia's going to have to score. Maybe do science. Pitching Staff is the cure that ails them. I'm not so sure about that though. Samsung N Tae t book. The wizard need something to go right. Four straight one-run losses their one seven. But they're only minus nine in run differential here on the year. You know. Look you've got Samsung with a big bullpen edge. Kt could only play them in the first five one take in getting a start here for Samsung. He's the Guy I do like. He's on my pitchers to watch list. Twenty years old hundred eighteen career innings could be a potential breakout guy similarly the second start coming for. So he on Jonah of only eighteen years old pitched pretty well against Dusan in his first start could be some opportunities in this series of Samsung. Kt Kt is a first five only consideration. Samsung strikes out a lot. So if you get a picture with a pretty good strikeout rate that may be an angle that you want to look to exploit their in that series. Finally the best series of the weekend Kiwi and LG keenum's pitching has been exceptional. The offense just has it been there for them L. G. BIG OFFENSIVE UPSIDE. They've been a little bit inconsistent at the start of this season but they did a number on scoring a bunch of runs there on S. K. In that series. Few guys to watch here in this series triple H as I'm calling him Han he on four key whom he makes his second. Start good reliever season last year. Decent numbers overall. He's the guy worth watching another. GotTa Watch your in this series lease young. Ho Twenty one years old second full season as a starter. He's breakout contender for the key. Wom- side L. G. They'RE GONNA get Casey Kelly in his next start. We'll see if he bounces back. The way. That Tyler Wilson did good series here. There's some betting opportunities to come in this key woman. Lg series otherwise. Look I mean you know. You've got lots of a hot team that can't hit but can really pitch. Nc against an S. K- team. That can't do anything. Dussan scoring lot giving up a lot of runs against bad offense Samsung and KT tough series key woman. Lg MAYBE OPPORTUNITIES. Those could be a little bit of a light weekend. Four plays here for me in the K. B O. we'll see if that winds up coming to fruition. But we'll recap it all on Monday. With another edition of the better. Spock so lot of stuff on today's show. Adam at bang the book dotcom skating tripods at G. DOT COM to get on the list for the better. Spock show notes at skating on twitter. Send me any questions. You may have either for the Monday mail bag or if you WANNA get on the list for the show notes. Keep reading that daily K B O Article Will. Have you seen this car in golf for you this weekend? Also some horse. Racing stuff some Bundesliga content overpaying the book dot Com as well so ramping up a little bit over there with some live sports. Happy to see that happening. Keep Talking K B o here with you on the box. They'll do it for me. Thank you so much for listening everybody and remember that you will never strike out when you're in the box.

Samsung League Lg Kia Kt Kt Casey Kelly Tyler Wilson K B O K B Dusan Dusan Han Nick Kingham Nc baseball Samsung Money Adam Burke giants Hawa spock
The Bettors Box KBO Betting Podcast June 15, 2020

Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

42:45 min | 10 months ago

The Bettors Box KBO Betting Podcast June 15, 2020

"Everybody and thank you for joining me in the betters boxes begging the book dotcom K. B O Betting podcast for Monday, June fifteenth I'm your host Adam Burke? This and every edition box present our friends over at. sportsbook bt and the number two hundred. Is that Promo Code? One hundred percent deposit match monster sportsbook, one hundred percent deposit match bonus for the live casino at Betty Sl. It's only a game on until you bet it still doing the daily. K B, O article over at Bankbook Dot Com, still no picks for right now just some analysis, bringing down the pitching matchups and the teams. I'll still be doing that for the next little while here. Just again. Just don't have a great feeling for the KB. Oh, from a betting standpoint with some of these matchups with some of the higher various environments stuff like that, so still giving you the analysis leaving it up to you to decide if you want to make plays on any of these games, based on what I talk about, but again four right now no official track picks maybe still making some personal selections when I really like a game, but for right now nothing in the tracker as far as picks, goes Ross doing picks with golf NASCAR UFC to look. Over the weekend and early last week about the NBA and the NHL Some updated futures odds for those we'll be doing some more series stuff here as we get closer to everything coming to fruition and obviously right now NBA players getting together kind of talking about the future if they WANNA do this playoff format with everything that's going on between the protests and the you know the virus, which still isn't completely going away here so hopefully we get the NBA playoffs. We'll see what happens. Hopefully we get college football and the NFL when we're supposed to get those, but whenever everything does come to fruition, we'll be covering it over it. Bang the Book Dot Com. Finally, as you know like I said. You know look, it's. It's one of those times where things are a little bit slow. We don't have Major League Baseball. They still haven't come up with anything yet. Still some good content, still some good foundational content over Bang Book Dot Com for example in our sports betting article section a lot of stuff with a long shelf life. We put reposted rich lenses. NFL Post about why you shouldn't buy points that got lost with one of our server migrations, but we got that back up now so. Said just trying to get by with everything that's going on and with everything that we've talked about in the past and again. I encourage you to head over to bang. The Book Dot Com, check out our sports. Booker views of if you have an account at GSI. If you WANNA get posted up somewhere else again once we get sports back and that should be. You'll probably late July here since I. Don't know if we're getting a baseball season. Season it's going to be very busy. Five months with NBA NHL College Football Nfl Golf Majors, horse racing triple crown events. Lot of stuff's going to be happening here in a short period of time, so you WanNa make sure that your set up for all of that stuff, and that means you'll having multiple accounts being able to shop around for prices stuff like that, so check out. Our sports sportsbook reviews over at Bang Book Dot Com as well. No Monday mailbag questions here for today. Maybe people aren't listening, I. Don't know I guess I can't blame them. With how the K. beal picks have gone here so far also I forgot to send out. The show notes for the last two episodes, and I apologize for that obviously, now that several days passed probably not much reason to get those out to you, but in any event I will make it A. A point to send out today's and I apologize for not having sent those out to the people that are on the mailing list, and that's Adam at banged the book dot, com or skating tripods at gmail.com to get on the list here for the show notes and speaking of being behind as we stood up to be on the boxer segment here. Baseball reference is about four or five games behind updating. Stats so obviously. They're not a very reliable place to get them Mike. That's a great place to go K. B O, fancy stats status, which as I mentioned. Is E that's in Korean. You will to translate that in your browser and something's gotTa get lost in Translation. Other things you have make some educated guesses about official K B o site in English. That's a good place to go and fan. Grab a good place to look for individual pitcher stats. All of the domestic pitcher seemed to be there. Some of the foreign pitchers. They have it updated. Guys like David Buchanan couple others I think they haven't necessarily updated over there at fan graphs, but there are a lot of places to get K, B, o stuff, and also a lot of accounts you can follow on twitter at Freddie Mill, seven hundred great job on the. Side and on the bedding side the degen. He's done a very good job with the show a lot of places you could find stuff out there on the Internet especially with a lot of people diving into the K B o here as they're just desperate to find anything they can to bet on based on what we saw over the weekend here. We're also back up. Up over two home runs per game, three, hundred and fifty eight, those one hundred seventy seven game, so the power has returned after a little bit of a down period, not a big surprise. It's gotten warmer. It's gotten hotter more humid so the ball traveling a little bit better, not a big surprise to see a spike back up in home runs here in the. The K B O and I would expect that we're probably over two home runs per game throughout most of the rest of the season I would say again. We're just over two, but now that we're into the summer months. It seems like we should continue to see that spike in power so something I wanted to touch on here. Today and I've talked about this A. A lot already, but for May total standpoint, and you can also use this in terms of looking at the sides that you WanNa bet there are some teams with some very substantial home and road splits so I'm GonNa. Take a look at that here today. A lot of numbers coming your way here are they are very basic. Numbers rounded up to the nearest tenth. But you're this is something I think is very important where we can find some good betting opportunities here based on the park factors, and where these teams are play, so I've ranked them by the standings here and see the top team hogwash course the bottom team, but I'll run through these here quickly. Then Kinda summarize what I've been looking at here with regards to park, factors and kind of trying to find some spot plays particularly in the totals market here for the K B O. O So NC is the best team in the league. They've scored six point. Nine runs per game. They've allowed four point. Six runs per game LG. They had the second best record. Five point eight runs per game. Four point five runs per game allowed do side has the third best record, but six point one runs per game scored six point zero runs per game allowed so as I talked about last week when I ran through the factory and win loss records for these teams. Yeah, Dusan is on the plus side in run differential, but only slightly. Which is why I think they are something of a regression candidate B.. We saw that a little bit past weekend losing the series to Hawa, but they are something ave regression candidate here probably over achieving a little bit based on their run differential. Womb their fourth record. Five point nine runs scored per game. Four point nine runs per game allowed Kia four point nine runs per game. Four point five per game allowed the lot. The giants four point six runs scored per game four point nine allowed Samsung five point zero runs per game four point nine allowed so Samsung getting on the plus side of run differential here this weekend, also on the plus side of five hundred as well. Kt five point seven runs per game. Six point three allowed per game s three point nine runs per game scored five point one runs allowed per game, and then Hawa of course, bringing up the rear overall three point three runs scored per game six point four runs allowed per game, so get NC plus two point three runs per game, best team in the K B O by a pretty large margin to this point LG, plus one point three runs per game, key womb plus a full run per game. Plus. Point four runs per game. Do side and Samsung slightly on the plus side. Now we look at home and road. Scoring splits now. All the teams have played thirty five or thirty six games. A lot of what happens is there at home for a week and then they go on the road for a week. They generally play six at home six on the road kind of alternate in that way, so some of these teams have played twenty or twenty one games at home, fourteen or fifteen games on the. The road or vice versa so there is a little bit of sample size here in these numbers. However, some of these splits are just really really significant. You'LL GET NC here for example again. Scoring six point nine runs per game. They've scored six point. Six runs per game at home and seven point four runs per game on the road, so NC actually has a pretty good offense park there in chiang-lin, but they've scored point eight runs per game more on the road now the more telling statistic for them. Is that they've allowed four point six runs per game as I just mentioned five point, four runs per game allowed at home, only three point five runs per game allowed on the road and see outscoring the opposition on the road by three point nine runs per game. At home, one point two runs per game, so NC I've talked about them. Being Regression candidate here it a lot of different ways. It looks to me like they will experience that regression on the road more so than at home getting there, allowing almost two fewer runs per game on the road. I don't expect that to continue. Maybe that's just how the rotation is lined up with Kuching. Mo or something like that, but I would expect that they start allowing more runs on the road and we've seen over the last week week. Week and a half that their bullpen is clearly a week. I'll talk about that here again. In a couple of minutes, but allowing almost two fewer runs per game on the road is not something that I would expect to continue. Will they continue? Their tore it off pace on the road. Maybe but outside of do Senate we do. Son is not a good home park which I'll talk about here in a minute. They've scored a full run per game higher than anybody else in the K. B o outside of the Dusan. On the road so again I would expect road regression to be what hits four and see here more so than home regression based on the data and the results that we've seen here so far. LG. Five point eight runs per game for them. Five point four at home six point four on the road. Now LG has allowed the same number of runs per game at home as they have on the road, which is kind of interesting, because obviously their home ballpark does suppress offense quite a bit, but their pitching staff has been good on the road as well, and this is why I think l.. G. is something of a positive progression team in particular with the starting rotation, but. But again, this illustrates how bad their home ballpark is for offense. They've scored a full run per game higher on the road than they have at home, but yet they're pitching. Staff has been the same at home in on the road so again lg on the road, going to have probably some higher scoring games, but they're still going to be a good team to back at home and on the road. They'll just score a little bit more when they go out away from home. Do again I mean this is the most glaring example, indicate bureau and Ironically enough forget they share a ballpark with. But they've scored almost a full run lower at home. Then they're roommates. They've scored four point five runs per game at home. They've scored seven point. One runs per game on the road so Dusan scoring two point six four runs per game on the road, and you look at their runs allowed metric five point three runs per game allowed at home. Six point four runs per game allowed. Allowed on the road. So this is a deuce on team. Their Home Games averaging nine point eight runs total their road games averaging thirteen point five runs per game, so they're Rhode over string is not a coincidence. This is just how this team is built that they're not very good pitching team. They're not a very good defensive team, and they're good offensively, but especially on the road. In fact when you look at them at home, they're the third lowest scoring team on a per game basis at home, and you would not expect that with some of the numbers. This deuce offenses put up so if you're in the totals market here again, we're talking about a difference of almost four total runs per game. Between home and road, so if you're not making adjustments for them when they're at home vs on the road, you're doing this wrong. And the oddsmakers have made this adjustment, but maybe not to the degree that they should that maybe something you can look to take advantage of here with the Dusan bears in home games as opposed to their road games, which are already priced into the market. Key woman is almost the same across the board. Five point seven runs scored per game at home six the road, four point nine runs allowed both home and road again I do think deuce on probably a WOM-. Excuse me probably the third best team in this league. How about Kea again I've talked about this a lot. Keough with four point nine runs per game scored on the season six point four at home, three point nine on the road, so Kia escort two and a half more runs per game at home than they have on the road there tied for the lowest scoring team on a per game basis on the road with Han Wi and we know how bad hardware is so KIA Games at home? Home averaging eleven five runs, KIA Games on the road, averaging seven point nine runs, and we just saw three unders in their series against S K on the road so Kia again a much different offense, if team at home, and of course as you would expect their pitching staff allows a run more per game at home, so key a home games are overplays. Kia Road Games are underplays. Lot the giants four point six runs per game for them only four runs per game on the road, so they are not scoring away from Bussan scored five point two runs per game at home on the road. Ironically enough they're allowing five point two runs per game only four point six at home, so the offense has suffered on the road, but so too has the pitching staff, so maybe that's kind of an interesting little wrinkle to take a look at their with the lot. The giants Samsung five point six runs per game at home, four point two runs per game, allowed on the road or is usually for. Five point six runs per game at home, four point two runs per game on the road and would expect this with a really good park factor in debut, and not surprisingly as well. Their pitching staff is doing better on the Road Samsung Home Games averaging ten point seven total runs Samsung Road Games, averaging eight point, nine total runs, and a lot of that, because the Samsung, offense just nowhere near as good on the road, and they'll be at Dussan here this week, so maybe some lower scoring games potentially here on Tuesday Wednesday and Thursday. Another big outlier here at least offensively, it's Katie Whiz. Them scored six and a half runs per game at home. Four point nine runs per game on the road. The interesting thing about kt. They've allowed almost the same runs per game Holman road, so they've been an awful road team at okay home team, because it hold their scoring six, and a half runs per game on the road. They're not even averaging five runs per game, so kt team. You can really only back at home at this point in time, even with their offense getting healthy. They're just not scoring away from Suwon. which again is a pretty good hitters park. How about S K. Three point seven runs per game scored at home, but there are also only allowing four point three runs per game at home so eight total runs per game on average in S K home games. That's a big difference from the road where they are doing a little bit better scoring four point two runs per game, but they've allowed six point. One runs per game on the road. That's one point eight runs per game higher than what they're doing at home, so obviously S K pretty good pitchers park and we're seeing the shortcomings of their pitching staff when they go out on the road. Finally Hot wa Han was allowed about the same runs per game home and road six point three to six point four, but they've only scored two-point six runs per game at home. Three point nine runs per game on the road, so the Hawa offense is better on the road than at home, still one of the lowest scoring teams on the road, but they are a lot better away from home on the offensive side, so eight of the ten teams in the K B o have big home road splits of at least point eight runs per game LG Dussan and Hawa are all scoring one run per game at least one game more on the road than they are at home Kia. Katie, Samsung all scoring at least one fewer run per game on the road, so make sure you pay attention to the totals market, and of course to a team kt. They give up over six runs per game. No matter where they are, but they score a lot more at home than they do on the road, so maybe on the Road Katie is a fade or at the very least not aside that you wanNA play. Thing maybe you don't WanNa lay big home prices with Tucson where they're scoring four and a half runs game, but on the road where they're scoring over seven runs per game. Maybe it's a little bit different there so again Kia. That's a big one to keep an eye on over eleven, eleven, and a half runs per game at home in their games. Seven point nine on the road. S. K. Eight runs per game at home ten point three on the road. I'm not sure the oddsmakers are fully paying attention to the impact of Park. Park factors here in the K B O so maybe some good opportunities for us to take advantage of those things out there in the bedding market once again skating tripods at dot com. If you want to know, it's for the show and I will send out actually right after the recording the show. Usually I try to wait because I want people to listen to the show instead of just looking at the notes, but if I keep forgetting, that doesn't benefit anybody. Swell starts sending them out a little bit earlier in the day here. Arts are taking a look at the series that just wrapped up and. Hot One takes on a three from Tucson. They finally snap that losing streak, and they wind up winning a series in the process, and maybe this is micro regression for Dusan I talked about that last week that they weren't overachiever by about four games or so interestingly enough they come out this weekend against hot and lose a couple of one run games, so maybe some signs of some of that expected regression for Dussan, but also to do son. They're ravaged. Ravaged by injuries right now Chris Flexing Mr Start last week. We'll see if he comes back here this week, but they're missing OJ. Ill. At a couple of other players from their starting infield there in fact, missing their first basement, second baseman and third baseman now so they've got a lot of injury problems and again. This is a team that does not do the little things well, they don't pitch well. The bullpens been a lot better, but still hasn't era. Six they don't play defense well. They don't run the basis well. They've got to rely on outscoring the opposition. And now they're missing three key offense of pieces, middle of the order types of bets, too. So this on team that could be in line four a little bit of a rough patch. It may coincide with that expected regression that I was looking for speaking of aggression. You who? He was on his way to a really bad start up three earned over two innings gave up a couple of home runs, but that was suspended game because of rain, so he only went to two innings there, but that was the start of that regression that I was looking for, and I think you who he quan on the road is going to be a guy here for the foreseeable future for Dusan. Hot Y hit three home runs in this series. Two of them off of you who? They don't hit five home. Runs total in their previous fifteen games, so that win that they got in that suspended game really really big for them. kind of takes the pressure off a little bit. They know they're not going to be very good team. They know they're not a playoff team. But at least now they can just go out there and play instead of making history in such a negative way, so maybe hot, one little bit of a team to back I don't know we'll have to wait and see, but obviously things kind of turned around a little bit here for them this weekend and Warwick toppled six shutout innings in terms of earned runs came up. A couple of honored runs, did allow eight hits, but wound up avoiding a lot of damage there, but now is a good time to bet against Dusan. They're missing the three key bats. The pitching staff isn't good. They're a terrible defensive team. And in this series here against Hawa they struck out twenty two times over the three games and. For most of the season, Dusan son had a pretty big lead in the strikeout department. Now they've only struck out four fewer times than LG ten fewer times than. They're kind of creeping up in that department and again losing three offense of starters. Maybe they have more strikeouts in them here I. Think this is a good time to fade Dusan. Obviously, we'll see what their prices look like here. They host Samsung. Coming up here Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Samsung playing a little bit better. This might be a pretty good time to fade Dusan with all of these injuries, and the fact that there's some built in regression based on some of the advanced metrics I've talked about the better as box here. Kia takes two to three from. S K a very low scoring series. As I said I expected a low scoring weekend series. That's what we got only nine thousand nine hundred total runs over the three games in this series and again kind of a perfect storm stuff I just talked about Kia seven point nine total runs per game in their Road Games S. S K. eight total runs per game at home, and it comes to fruition here in this series and the Kea bullpen very sharp in this series, yes, K. Bullpen, not so much, but I do think Kia is a positive regression bullpen. As I've talked about before. They've got pretty good strikeout rates. They've gotten a little bit unlucky with some balls in play. This Kia. Bullpen is pretty solid on the whole. But quickly here I, want to talk about it. S K and Park Jong Hoon and Moon Sung won both of those guys struck out eight over six and seven point. One innings respectively gave up some runs gave up. A couple of multi run homer, so that's why Kia winds up winning this series, but those guys pitching very well, and for S K here just generally across the board. Some guys would some higher strikeout rates, particularly their domestic pitchers with Park and moon, leading the charge there, maybe something to watch a little bit again at home. We're their games to be very low scoring. On the Kea side of another very good start for 'em, kion six innings, three hits struck out six walked one maybe the breakout season for Imke, young and also Yangyang on. He struck out over seven again. I think what the different baseball in some really bad environments, yeah, and could struggle a little bit, but he's GonNa, dominate in good environments and good pitching environment there S K, and he was dominant in that one one last thing here coming out of this series speaking of the S K starting pitchers lead John Wook. He's setting up as a regression guide running a to twenty-six. Eighty one point nine percent left on base percentage. He's GonNa to ninety-one era. What a four seventy seven V, so lead John Walk is I will look to fade in particular when he starts on the road. For s case whether you do that with a run line to cut out of the juice, a team total over something like that lead John Walk is a guy for S K that I would look to fade pitched very well here so far, but I think he's Kinda got lucky with some of his spots. Some of the teams faced stuff like that. I would expect him to have a reversal of fortunes here in the not too distant future. Kt struggles again. They lose the series. Two Samsung Samsung twelve nothing winner in the Finale Katie had eleven hits, but were able to score any runs there. That was one in start for Samsung and you'll get keeping a close eye here on a summer despite. Five innings four six hits again, not a very good start for him now I think he's still got five and only walked one, so that's good, but again the command profile not there for despond gay, and this is three starts in a row now and again I don't have the same metrics. The same injury indicators that I'm used to having four major league baseball, but it looks to me like something is wrong with address. Amore despite. And get a lot of foreign pitchers have been banged up already. Some soft tissue injuries some elbow shoulder discomfort stuff like that. It wouldn't shock me if despite the as pitching through. And right now again, not fully knowing what the situation is. I can't back him. It would be fade or nothing for me with this. And maybe it's a commanding mechanic thing. Something like that you know I don't know. I don't know how the foreign pitchers do in terms of communicating with the coaching staff with the front office stuff like that, I'm not really sure and for despondent with this being his first year over there. You know if something starts to go wrong. How long does it take to fix it? You know I don't know I don't know if this is an injury, situation or something like that, but third straight start in which. He just hasn't been very good and that is a glaring red flag for me. Also Bay Jiong another guy again. He's a watchlist guy. I love a lot of things about him. But there were some aggression signs, and he gave up four earned over five and two thirds six hits a home. Run struck out three walk three. That's not bad in this league. It's obviously not as bad as it might be in major league baseball. But again little bits of regression adding up for bay. And this is what we may see again. When I talk about signs of regression for some guys that may come all at once we'll give up ten runs in a start. Get completely shellacked, and then all of a sudden back to normal for other guys. It's more of a gradual a progressive type of regression, and that's what it looks like for Bay right now, and that's fine at home, but on the road where a seem doesn't score. That becomes a problem. And Katie right now is just not getting much. Starting pitching so young John got blasted in the finale. The bullpen wasn't very good. They've put a cherry on top of that Sunday so. Not a whole lot agreed starting pitching for kt right now, which means they have to hit? And they only hit in one place, and that's at home. So for kt again. That's something you can factor into the equation, not just from a total standpoint, but from aside standpoint as well, and Katie is so inconsistent. They really only have one or two reliable relievers, so unless they outscored the opposition which they can only do at home. You cannot back this team on the road as far as I'm concerned. For Samson. Couple of things here about their lineup, Tyler. Selah you know, he seems to be okay swinging. It well had a pretty good weekend Lee Hack Jew this guy was in the cubs. Organization just came back to the K B O prior to last season taking him. Some time did not have a very good year last year off to a slow start this year, but he did go four for four with a home run on Sunday, and that would provide a different dynamic. You know four this Samsung team. They just got some guys back from injury salad. Dino seems to be okay. Lee once just came back. That's a guy who's a league average type of Hitter, and you know the average helps in this league because there are a lot of guys, they're just very below average so Samson's giving some decent pitching. The bullpens been a little bit better. The offense has been a little bit better. They're hovering around five hundred. They're kind of a five hundred ish type of team. So again in spots at home that could be advantageous to them taking on weaker lineups or something like that. They may end up being a pretty decent team to back. The LG twins took two out of three from the lot, the giants and quite frankly it could have been a sweep. They had a rare bullpen mishap I believe in the seventh inning on Saturday. Look the thing about algae. Is this their second league. As. The second best team in Cabo. They've got a pretty good home. Road splits when they're scoring a lot on the road scoring enough at home, pitching about the same in both places. And Tyler Wilson Casey Kelly. been very good. Kelly only struck out one over six hundred zero four runs on eleven hits Wilson walked five got lucky to allow only two runs. Those? Two guys have been great, and this team is still playing very well. Still has a lot of wins a winning record. The bullpen has experienced some aggression and they've been able to overcome it to a degree. This GT is very very good particular, if Wilson Kelly start to get it going to their twenty nine hundred levels this l g team. Could run down and see I think this lgbt team maybe as good as NC or close to it. which may be kind of surprising thing to say, but this twins team has just really really strong, and you'll. They were able to navigate Dan Stralia on Friday strategy was very good for lots. In that start they were able to score nineteen runs and three games at home with out Roberto Ramos. WHO's on the shelf may come back. Tuesday may not dealing with some back issues. L. is just a very very good team. And what again I mean on the road. They're not scoring and that doesn't really help them a whole lot. They've only scored. Four runs per game on. The road straight has been great parks along, has not you'll? He struck out seven over five, but still give up fiber seven hits Adrian Samson got beat around again gave up six runs on ten hits. Very tough team to get a handle on right now. They're very very inconsistent because they don't score on the road, so unless strategies pitching for them on the road kinda difficult to back them in a lot of ways, but get just a highlight. The LG twins here. There are very very good team of very good team and I think it's been kind of overshadowed by. How do son was kind of a hot team? Early with the offensive breakout, and with what he's been doing I L G is probably the most consistent team, the rest of the way here in the show and a good team to back. I think more often than not. Finally help out key when the heroes go on the road to NC. Take Two out of three beat coaching Changmo in the opener. Good for them for that credit to lease Sung Ho twenty one year old lefty gave them a chance pitched really well, going up against Kuching. CHANGMO and keenum was able to get that first game, then went on Saturday to secure the series. And you know look I mean for. NC losing the series. Here's a tough pill to swallow because you avoided Eric Joke itch and you avoided troy one. KEENUM's to best pitchers by a large margin now in terms of the starters that are healthy, and you still lost that series and again. Maybe that's something. Maybe it's nothing but I do. Think NC is something of a regression team and key will maybe showing that a little bit here over the weekend getting that series victory, not even using their best starting pitchers in the process, but this is the first time that we've really seen the NC pen get extended. Guys like drew Kinski Ski Coup Changmo Mike. Right they're able to provide a little. Little bit of length in this series NC got a good start from Kuching Mo, and then to pretty bad starts after that and their bullpen, fifteen innings pitched in this series, eighteen earned runs allowed on twenty one hits, they did strike out fourteen, but walked six digging up. Fourteen runs are fifteen earned runs. Excuse me on Saturday so maybe that was just a blip on the radar, but I've talked about this a lot. That NC bullpen is the weak link for this team and we definitely saw that come to fruition here over the weekend. Hit. Seven home runs in this series had previously had thirty four and thirty three games. They're good offensive team like I said byung-ho Park. It's still not really hitting for them. They've got to front of the rotation anchors. They need nick. King. They need Jake Brigham to come back at some point hopefully but I like this team a lot. The bullpen, probably the second or third best in the K. B O, does it surprise me that they went and beat NC in this series. Maybe little surprising that they beat Kuching Mo- but I. Really do like this team. So take a look at the week ahead. Tuesday Wednesday Thursday. We've got Katie at S.. K. L. at Hawa Lot at key wom- NCA Kia and then finally Samsung at Dusan, Katie and S K again. Games at S K are lower scoring only eight total runs per game in S K Home Games. Now they take on a pretty bad KT pitching staff. Maybe that helps their offense a little bit. The offense has not performed well on the road. They are healthy now, but they just haven't done the same thing on the road that they've done at home. Get under five runs per game on the road. Six and a half runs per game at home. Kim. Tae gets another start here. Four K. and get a guy. Experiencing some regression here late doesn't allow a lot of hits though and for kt again. A team that doesn't. Really they don't really string together a whole lot on the road. They kind of got to rely on a blue pit of blasts. Stuff like that. Maybe that helps a guy like Kim. Tae Hoon if the Bab. Though that is a guy I am looking to fade a little bit Ricardo. Pinto maybe fixed his control I think he's only walk a couple. Over his last two starts also kt. The second fewest walks in Acadia which is another reason. Why, on the road they're not scoring as much at home. You can play that Carrillo. Able you can play. The doubles home runs on the road in some of. Of these parks, it's much harder to do. You want to try and maximize your run scoring opportunities by drawing walks. They don't do that and the biggest issue for Ricardo Pinto for this season has been the walk Kim. Tae Hoon has had some walks. So maybe this is a good spot here for S K, and for a couple of their pitchers here against the KT, and that just kind of. Fading into oblivion a little bit as they fall down the standings. L.! G. AND HAWA and. Look good for Hawa good for them to win a couple of games here again. I think that may be more of a reflection of Dusan than anything else. LG will avoid warwick softball in this series. So that's good for them and I like a couple of the pitching matchup. sear four. LG In this series Lim Chin You and also the return of junk John Hayman. These are two guys striking out over a over a batter printing. John who makes the START I believe here on Tuesday three fifty, two Er, a three, eighty, eight fifth in his four starts. He's been very good l. with an enormous glaring bullpen advantage in this series. Their offense has been good away from Jam Stadium Honda's not scoring at home, but still allowing six runs per game at home. I think probably swept here I. IF I had to bet prop like that I. don't know if anyone's offering serious problems, but I definitely like lg here again. These are good spots. Indecent pitchers parks for Lim Chan. You and junction he on here taking on this team that yeah. They got a couple of wins in great for them, but I think this series. Here is a very tough one for them. This could be a situation where maybe LG creeps. A little bit closer to the NC dinos here based on what goes on over these these early weeks series. Lot Key will. keenum going to be big favourite here in a couple of these games with Eric Jokic and Choi One day lot to lost a hitter to injury here on Chee Hong to ninety eight lifetime hitter, three sixty five on base, four forty, slugging pedestrian numbers, this season to sixty, six, three, thirty, eight, three, ninety, one was with Chiasso was able to enjoy that hitters ballpark a little bit. But when you look at this series, I mean lots of doesn't score on the road. They've scored four runs per game on the road. Just lost a hitter to injury. They're getting joke itch. They're getting Choi One day. This is not a good series matchup. For the lot. The giants I think key womb at alternate numbers of decent look lot team total unders a decent look. will be favorite in the two games in this series with Yokich and troy one day, so keep that in mind if you WANNA lay the big price a-. Can I think you're probably saved their. CEO John One four lot to three seventy two era, five eighty two V high home run rate. Offense I. Only anything about this series for lot. The I think womb should perform very very well here again with that giants offense scoring one point two fewer runs per game on the road then at. NC and Kia could see runs a plenty here in this series that I mentioned already Kia Games Kia's offense at home very high scoring eleven point five runs per game in Kiel Games here. They've scored six point four of the runs per game in those matchups, but he'll. We'll get your Rucinsky. Here will beginning Mike Right I've kind of been waiting for Mike Right. Blow up game. Maybe, this is, it is given up some home runs. He's handsome. Walk Issues. Is kind of walk the line a little bit in some of his starts here. Maybe this is the game where Mike Right does experience some of that era and progression with Kia at home where they do hit very well. That could be a possibility here on KIA pitching side Aaron. Brooks well rested after that rain-shortened game. He'll get the ball on Tuesday Leeman. Bad outings in a row, so maybe that's your over game, but again Kia scoring two point five runs per game more at home than on the road and see as I mentioned. They're scoring teams by almost four runs per game on the road I would not expect that continue. Maybe NC struggles a little bit here in this series of to see what the price is, look like if you get some good numbers to fade risky or right, I kind of liked that a little bit in particular fading right. I got his maybe a good spot to do that here to go against him with this offense back at home. Finally one more series, therefore, Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Samsung and Dusan again could be a low scoring series here, Dusan Without Oj ill her Kyung Min and also J.. So three starters on the Infield, missing for Dusan Samsung, as we know much better offense at home, if scored one point, four or fewer runs per game on the Road Dussan scored two point, six fewer runs per game at home could be lower scoring series here to be sure we'll see if we get Chris Flexing back after missing a start I, this is a very good match up four roll. I'll contra not a great command. Guy But Samson is not an overly powerful offense in particular on the road, so maybe the Contra. Star is an under game, or maybe you play Dusan at a little bit of a bigger price but you'll get. It should be a lower scoring series here in Seoul with two teams that perform better when they're elsewhere Samsung better at home. Do Dusan better on the road could be an under series ear, and let's see how the oddsmakers adjust. If we get some double digit totals here, they probably are adjusting enough depending on obviously who the starting pitchers are, so keep an eye. Eye Out for that with this Samsung and Dussan series, what's again Adamant Bang Dot Com or skinning tripods at dot com for the notes for the betters box coming up on. Tuesday will chat with Brian Blessing about the RBC heritage. We'll talk about the race at Talladega the GEICO five hundred, and also the Belmont stakes. We'll talk about here this week as well so. Stay show coming for you with Brian. Blessing of sports. Radio, in Vegas occupied. I'll do it for me. They can switch. I Zero Buddy and remember that you will never strike out when you're in the betters box.

Samsung LG Dusan NC Kia KT Katie Whiz Dusan giants Hawa Adrian Samson Mike Right baseball K B O Kuching NBA K B Major League Baseball NFL Adam Burke
The Sedano Show (HR 1): Draymond vs. Tyson

Afternoons with Marcellus & Kelvin

47:16 min | 1 year ago

The Sedano Show (HR 1): Draymond vs. Tyson

"Hey what's up with a year on seventeen? Espn presented by Progressive Insurance. All our guests appear via the Shell Pennzoil performance line. We got a lot of stuff to get into. Today is going to join us in minutes. We'll talk about the K B O and. We'll talk some football with her. Obviously but she is a huge K B O Fan. So she's going to help us. Walk through the K B O and. Then we'll talk to her about cam to the rams. And the rams and raiders and chargers drafts and all that stuff. We'll get into all that stuff with her. Buksh Mbeki will stop by. He'll be calling those K B O Games and we'll talk big picture. Mlb and the possibilities with him area. Awani will join us because the UFC will be back in action. And there's about a potential Mike Tyson comeback. All that stuff with area and eleven thirty so action packed show for today. Happy Cinco de Mayo to you. Happy Taco Tuesday the forces combined yesterday may the force be with you today. Cinco de Mayo and TACO Tuesday are combining their forces. We'll get to all of it in a second because I've got questions for you. This segment brought to you by straight. Talk wireless where they don't play any games man. Get The unlimited plan with twenty five gigs of high speed data in two G. For Forty. Five bucks a month. You have to cost a big carriers no contracts. No compromise savings may vary see terms and conditions at Straighttalk DOT com. So let's get right into this thing. I WANT TO TALK TO GREG. Bergman about the K B O. How long did you last watching the K B O? I was at four innings four innings. Wow you did well. I think I got through three. Oh I did finish the fourth inning. Yeah after the rain delay. I've only made it through the fourth. Yeah I got to the fourth inning. I woke I fell asleep with the TV on woke up and it was the seventh inning and it was four. Nothing daigneault's and I'm like I'm turning this off and just go to the dyno's want we had a little side. Bet with no wager behind it. Yeah I I was a dino fan so I I get that win for the free. Our congratulations you pay knows everybody jumping on the dyno. Because of their mascot more than anything else I got I believe I believe the mascot called swollen. Daddy I think that is the that is the I will ask Meena. But I'm pretty sure that is the that is the translation sold at it. That's even better I. I had two reasons for it and I mean dinosaurs come on you gotta be a fan of dinosaurs and also they start with D so I thi. It's time for dodger baseball. It's time for Dino Baseball. I just Kinda worked for me. They're right right. How about the Dusan bears? Aren't they supposed to lead the dodgers of anyway? I mean I guess so I mean will be able to let us know a little bit more about that. Maybe we can have for kind of relate teams to MLB teams. Yeah Okay we can have her do some of that stuff so we got a lot of stuff to talk to me about Laura did you watch any of the K B o one hundred percent. No I only. That's fine you don't have to watch any of it. I gave it a shot. The Rain delay definitely hurt. If if I would have been up a little look I have small children. They get up at six thirty seven in the morning so I need the chances of me making it past you know. Midnight are slim and I came close to midnight basically and and that was the end of my night. So yeah you turn it on at ten o'clock on ESPN and you're thinking great. I get some sports baseball. And then twenty. Twenty two sucks you in the face again and says no rain delay. Yeah Twenty twenty sucks. But that's the bottom line. No way to describe it. Twenty twenty. You bleeping Suck bleep you twenty twenty what I would say. Okay the hell with you. You are a bleep. Whole the hell with you okay. So couple of things that I want to get into show yesterday. We had Charles Barkley on and I want to ask you and the audience. I need audience participation here either via twitter at Sodano or calling in at eight seven seven seven. Spn We have three things. And I want you to tell me which is the craziest of these three things. So let's start with what? Barkley was talking about with us yesterday so yesterday there was the story which we took calls on. And we talked amongst ourselves about about the dolphins laying out this plan for social distancing and how they would let only fifteen thousand fans in to watch their games in a stadium. That seats sixty five thousand and they would board. I shouldn't say the board. They will allow people to come in and out of the stadium. Kind of like you would board and deplane a plane by rose basically and that means it'll take a while to get in and it'll take a while to get out. So here's what Barkley said about that. Plan let me hear what Charleston. Well I think number one. That's a stupid idea. The Greatest Line. I've heard recently was about Jim Kirk Douglas A- fabulous job on baseball and he said I agree with him one hundred percent. All these ideas are bad. We just going to have to take the best bad idea and start playing sports at some point. He says there's no good way to do this. All the audit you know. Everybody's got an idea. They're all bad ideas. We just have to take the best bad idea and start playing sport. So that's a bad idea. I think let's be realistic. We just want to play sports fans for at least the next two to three months At least at the fall at the earliest in a sport is going to be played in the next two to three months. You can't have fans. Is that simple? So I'm with him. I think it's crazy. I think it is a stupid idea but there were plenty of people that gold at the end of the show yesterday after Charles game on that said they would do it. I would say the majority of people that actually called in yesterday outside of Ray in Granada hills who was a nurse and we appreciate all the healthcare workers and the frontline folk who are out there really all for us and we thank you and of course. The first responders as well but like outside of rain Granada hills who I thought made a lot of sets and look. I am a person who will tell you how I feel. I am not a person that will tell you how you should feel. You should feel your own way and you are allowed to feel your own way. I'm just simply here to tell you. Generally how I feel about things and I we can debate. How you feel about but Bergman would you agree the overwhelming group that called in at least said Yeah. I'm willing to do it if it's fifteen thousand fans in a stadium. I'm willing to take that risk. Yeah wasn't saying there was even one dude that was a raider. Fan Shockingly with me Raider Fan. But he said he would wear a has suit if he had to go to these games. It didn't matter he was going to be at the game. Yeah I mean it's a little much for me so that's number one. So number two was also from Charles Barkley. We asked him about the story where Draymond Green said that in a mythical game against the shacking. Kobe Lakers that he instead steph would destroy. That's his quote. He would destroy Shaquille O'Neal in the pick and roll. And here's what Charles I'd say about that man. I loved remind. He's a good dude. He's really he's annoying. He's a good guy. He's a good player. But I always laugh when these guys who are role players start thinking. They're better than they are You know listen if you play with magic and Kareem and worthy you gotTa Championship remote. You really just lucky and blessed so be lucky and blessed and don't be walk around topless no. I could have been better like now. You have been better You you were lucky to play with Magic Karim and worthy and if you've got some rings God bless you and good luck to you but don't store thinking like well. If I had been on another team I know you. Wouldn't you just luck Charles? He said recently that they would have killed shack and Kobe in the pick. And Roll Him in. Steph would have killed Jack in the pick and roll if they faced each other in a final. See now now see now. He's just getting crazy Like Listen Man. You see how it looks like. He's a good player. But you see his limitation. When there's no Klay step and Kevin Durant out there you know he's average a whole triple single out there without those guys. So let's say I like. I like his personality. I like his work ethic but he just getting a little full of itself right now. So that one's crazy like let's be real like there's I look. I liked dream on a lot and I know. Shaq has since responded to this saying that. He's out of his mind. I look I get. That shack wasn't the greatest pick and roll defender at the end of his career but Even in his prime he wasn't the greatest added but he was still really picking like he was still a good defender. Like I think we forget how good shack was in Orlando and how good shack was a especially with the Lakers. During their three P. And I just feel like we we. We just disrespect people from the past so easily now. So that's number two so we've got people going into a stadium. Even though it's only fifteen thousand out of football game we've got dream on saying that it is that he would destroy shack in the pick and roll. And then here's number three so number three would be this Mike Tyson comeback right. So here's the deal. I'm sure everyone's seen the viral video of Mike Tyson training and hitting the pads or whatever recently but Mike Tyson's trainer guy who's working with him. Who is an old school boxing? Mma type guy now a trainer who trained some of the best MMA moment says quote. Mike Tyson is the same speed. Same power as guys. Twenty one and twenty two years old. He told Area Hawaiian. Who's GonNa join us at eleven thirty and they're not ruling out of Tyson comeback at fifty three so for context? All I'm telling. You is this and the boxing fans can back me up on this. George Foreman was considered really old when he fought of Andhra only field in the heavyweight division and he was forty two. Mike Tyson is fifty three years old. This is absolutely insane. That said sign me up if an athletic if a state athletic division will let him fight. I will watch it. Bernard Hopkins fought when he was fifty so I am if they will sanction it. I will watch it just because I am curious. He is one of the most insane phenomena. 's I've ever seen in sports and I've ever seen clearly in boxing now. Granted I was. I don't know nine years old when he first came onto the scene and then when he lost a buster. Douglas I was. I don't know ten or so but I remember vividly all the fights. I remember watching them back. I've seen them all. There was nothing like Mike Tyson in really since okay now Mohammed Ali. Obviously that that era was different but in the more modern era of professional boxing there has never been a phenomenon like Mike Tyson. And I'm curious. Do you also think it's crazy that he would come back at fifty three. Because I've seen that video and I'm like I mean it's just training and he's going for an hour and ninety minutes. Apparently real deal training. Would you WANNA see Mike? Tyson comeback at fifty three. Because I'm in on it if if if the state athletic commissions would sanction the bout. Okay and it's got to be like done somewhere where there's an actual athletic commission not some random place in the middle of nowhere like about where you know. The doctors can be bought off or anything like that outside the country. I want a legitimate boxing. Sanction Sanctioning Committee to allow this to happen. If not I'm not in on it. But what is crazy to you? Greg Bergman is it. People willing to risk their lives to go into a football stadium like the Dolphins Plan. Fifteen thousand sixty five thousand seat stadium. Is it Draymond? Green saying that they would destroy the Warriors Destroy Shaq and Kobe particularly shack though in the pick and roll or Mike Tyson considering a comeback at fifty three man. These are all really crazy. All three of them are nuts. I to go with the Mike Tyson. Do you know what the Tyson Ranches George Yeah. Marijuana WRENCH GROWS MARIJUANA THERE. Yeah this is all. This is what Mike Tyson does now. Mike Tyson has marijuana ranch where he smokes. Forty thousand dollars worth of we'd a month at this point now. He is not a small dude that used to be. He's not in the shape our care how much he works out. This dude is not coming in and fighting anybody for real and but like you said if it was on to watch it Laura would which is the crazy crazy of those three. I'm debating between the Tyson because I know I don't know and then the Draymond just because I'm a huge Laker Fan. So yeah it's Kinda crazy but I still think that fifty three year old Mike Tyson. Coming out of retirement was not something I expected to hear it. That would probably be the one for me. I will ask me. We'll talk K B O with her. I do WANNA get your calls on that because after me now I WANNA take some calls. Eight seven seven seven ten. Espn which of those three is the craziest. What do you think about all of them? But which is the craziest eight seven seven seven ten. Espn eight seven seven. Seven three seven six. We'll talk to Mina about the K B O. She's a huge fan. We'll talk to me about cam to the rams. The raiders draft the chargers draft. The rams draft will go around the league with her as well. We'll ask her. Which is the craziest of these? Three Meantime Informants Sodano with here on seven hundred ten. Espn presented by Progressive Insurance. The shirts for cars homes boats motorcycles are visa commercial vehicles. You can call them at one. Eight hundred progressive or go to progressive DOT COM. Meaning Times joining us. Giving us the straight brought to you by straight talk wireless straight talk wireless no contract compromise so before I get into the K B O and get into some NFL with you in the first segment. We were talking about which of these three things is crazier. So the first thing would be the dolphins plan of fifteen thousand people in a socially distanced stadium that seats sixty five thousand and getting in and out and dealing with all. The potential hurdles of being in a stadium bathrooms things of that nature. Draymond green saying that him and Steph curry would would destroy shack in the pick and roll in his prime or Mike Tyson. Considering a comeback at fifty three years old and twenty twenty. Which of those three is the craziest. I feel like a tie where I'll go with Tyson. 'cause we're we're about to talk about that on HQ. And I watched the video. And he looked great and then I remember the last time you find. He was in his thirties and it didn't go well. I don't see this going wealth for him either. Yeah I think that one is crazy just based on the number alone just to put into context. Here you can use on. Hq George Foreman. When he fought of Andrew Holyfield after being the grill guy was only forty two years old when he fought evanger Holyfield. This is eleven years older than even when George Foreman fought and back then people thought foreman was crazy for fighting at forty two but integrate fact. Thank then point out that he's now lebatardshow age. That'll help you. Oh yeah that'll get you. I mean if it was around the Horn you get points for that but it's not it's hbo you'll just get laughs which is fine that works. So let's Talk K. Why is everyone in love with the dyno's because they're freaky Basquiat To be honest Which kind of looks like Jack Sehgal Stegosaurus Lebron's what are the ones that the long necks? Branca's store ragged scores. My data or knowledge is not great. True Long I see. Is it true though that his nickname in if you translate into English is actually Swale? Daddy I read that on the Internet but I don't know if I should believe it or not that true fact you know it's like the NC Diana's our new team so I went to for those. You went to Korea few years. Go to write about Bachelor's three. Pin got to spend a lot of time watching the baseball there which is a ton of fun And they've got a great culture and it's a small leak but there's a few new teams are one of them It was really cool last night. Or SOC- Eric Names. Who is now the national came back to the US in twenty seventeen after playing for the dino and tore it up the brewer young. He was by the way With the rain delay the best part of that was my new favorite late night. Show is ravaged Perez and taints like that to me is I could see that every night to be honest with you or they were often. How great where our guys? Because that's I mean you gotta think they are calling baseball. They've never called before From their houses without the support of what they did with remarkable and it was just so cool just to watch live sports right like we've been enjoying the ducks and the draft and even horse to some degree. But nothing really compares to watching athletes actually play the game at the highest level so you on the ESPN daily today and of course subscribe to the ESPN daily daily. Podcast and you can also subscribe to the football podcast because we'll talk some football with here with her here in a second time. Show with Lenny but a couple of things that you talked about today on the POD that I wanted to discuss with you Was the bat flipping. So what was the genesis of the bat flipping in the League? Because obviously it's got everybody all excited. Yes so if the reason I did. The story was their all these videos going viral. It was right after. Who They Teesta. Joey had that epic Bass Ale. In two thousand. Fifteen which of course riled all the old heads Things got made many angry comments about that. But we're thinking Korea you guys were doing and they were giving it unapologetically and having a blast so I went to create a find out why and where it all started and it turned out it started with the single player who was In the nineteen ninety you kind of just grew from there and it was nobody. There thought it was taboo. Because nobody complained about it. Which really kind of makes you think about. Mlb and Y. It's taboo in the first place. It's quite arbitrary. And what about this Rahman throwing explain this to me? Because I didn't see that yesterday the guy who I started it the originator. The backflips told me that he was so brash. She's kind of like the Te'o Rian Baseball and fancies to throw Rahman attend because They got so mad. That's it that's that's a pretty simple story. Okay Fair enough. I thought I didn't realize it would be that simple. Thought it'd be more intricate reason there was Rahman throwing but that's it we hate the guy we hate the guy. Here's some Rahman you know. All right fine fair enough so like I mean. It was tough to stay up. I gotta be honest with you now. I also have small children in the house so at six thirty there knocking at the door already. But I did stay up for four innings so I will give this more of a shot. I will probably end up watching more of the rears because these these two am starts are are one am starts are going to be tough for me. I'M GONNA be honest with you. Yeah I I think it is tough for the East coasters and Jeff Kastner colleague. Career schedule And you know he a look. You know it's pretty easy to not be spoiled if you WANNA wait and for those who are listening at home and kind of wondering about the quality of baseball You know it's been describes me as being close to AAA maybe a little. Bit Below it You know there have been Korean stars from the Keio who have come here or cream. Clair's there've been American players. Who have gone there other than Eric Name. You'll see some camilion name And it is not the highest quite. It's not M O B But it's nothing so. Let's switch to football boy. Louis Riddick said the thing that got people stirred up here cam to the rams what do you make of? Cam to the rams. It sounds Nice. I don't know how nice it would be. But what do you make of it? That really interesting on get up get up and Golic and Wingo. He doubled down on both morning shows. Well I'll say this It can be had as backup for you know just a million dollars or whatever the going rate is these days with centers everything team in the NFL should be interested. So forget the ramps right like you know I. It's absurd at this point. How cheap some of these backup? Quarterbacks are And he is a weapon so it at that value. There's no question to me that it would be worth having him on the roster. Although I think you and I list of the Rams current backup quarterback John Wolford was the starter in all the preseason game. They got to call it last year. I think he's really good. I was thrilled to see. He's a number two so again Cam Newton's there you write a cam you find ways to use them. He brings a fascinating complementary guilt that Hugh Gough they can greater. So you'd bring him in even though it would cause a Sturd- a raucous and we'd all we'd all be there like those murder. Hornets right now and just like attacking right. You don't think that would be a problem if your quarterback can't withstand The pressure of having you know a another very experienced quarterback in the room. That's his problem that I I think this is not about God. I'm speaking generally about anyone. I think the only place where I draw the line on kind of sometimes bring in the the backup the high-quality back although again I will say with Cam Newton Zach pile birds. That money doesn't matter any spirit it when you have a rookie because if you've got like Haskins or a lock or very or whatever and they struggle there will be very loud calls and you need to give them time to grow and see. What you've got veterans are different story. I think it's anyone's game me. Now what do you make of the rams draft because I was arguing here with Gregg Bergman? I'd like the camakers pick Clearly they're doubling down on offense and he wanted them to draft offensive linemen and linebackers. In those second rounds. I'm like Yo Sean. Mcveigh is GonNa Sean McVeigh. He's going to remind people. Hey I can draw place too. So what did you make of their second round selections like did I thought so? I was not surprised. First of all to say to see that they didn't go offensive line because I think while a lot of people pointed to that as an area of weakness last year at a source of issues there were a ton of injuries and I think they spent a lot of draft capital there over the last couple of years not just last year the last couple of years and I think they want to continue to developing those guys win healthy get some continuity. See what they have. I was I it's whereas acres in Jefferson. Yeah this awesome to pick Jefferson Banjarmasin. That asu perfect fit for the ramp to an offensive. So far you Kinda. Why does everything you know? He's block that you can use them on screen. He'll run sweets. He's tough and they've shown that they like those attributes Acres is interesting because I think you can argue look conditional value there. It's a little bit rich given some of their needs but he is a phenomenal fit for that outside zone offense and NFC play behind terrible. Who's an awful situation? Awful line shown that he can play through debt and I think he brings an element of that toughness. That can really open up their offense. Meaning what about rugs over Judy? I didn't get that at all. I wouldn't have done it made sense. Because it's the raiders and they kinda go their own way and I get the top end speed and that's you know if you look around the NFL. There's there's such a premium on that right now I think a lot of that is kinda chiefs ship done but I think your duty and CD lamb or such phenomenal. All around receivers. I would not have taken them. Second sticking with receivers Odell Beckham junior out there saying that. It's going to be his best season ever. What do you make of his fit with these defense key offense? I love those quotes. Like what we say. It's GonNa be an okay sees it. I know it's crazy content starved times. Okay UP LEASE I. Don't I know it I like I mean like I love the penske higher and I think I I think the browns were leave the underachievers the NFL last year? When you look at the calendar that roster especially the skill players and what they produced. I think it's one of those teams where all you have to do. Is Fix the coaching situation. Which they did I believe. And you're going to see the trickle out effect that You know Baker regrets in a big way. Obviously they took huge steps to address the offensive line both tackle positions And I I'm pretty optimistic about the team. I. I'm leaning towards picking them to win. They're not win. The division perhaps but certainly be a wildcard team in the AFC. Let's go little rapid fire. You're only got a couple more minutes here in Munich. Himes joining us here kind enough to hang out with US. Check out her to podcast. Espn daily podcast. Of course and the show would lenny. Which is the football podcast? Jalen Hurts Carson Wentz Collision Course Times. What do you make of the collision course there? There's no collision course. I thought it was a great pig. Adelson's mine and I get it right. Let me just say this. I think this is something we've seen across the NFL. Certainly in Green Bay which I think is more arguably a bad fans are more right to be perturbed or warriors but teams value the quarterback position so differently from fans and this cuts fears lessened less about cam like the every team. In the quarterbacks get injured all the time teams. Nobody cares about the backup until you need him. You never see fancy get best best backup. Did Eagles fans weren't clamoring for Nick foles eatery superbowl. It's just you never know how valuable the player is. We need him and beyond that A hurts can be useful in the same ways like he's not taste help but in terms of a complementary piece in short yardage situations I do think they can find us for him and he's an asset. There's nothing more valuable in a rookie quarterback with potential and we've seen time time again. Good teams let them. Her picks down the road. I thought it made a ton of sensitive allies saying that him. Not being in the room will help Daniel Jones. Eli Giving himself a little too much importance. No I well look. He's right insofar as like now being clarity. He's the guy everyone knows you're gonNA start at their building around him and it feels that which is very different for me like all that matters but I I last because you lie. So affable and cope wasn't like he's really not a difficult person to have in any room so I don't think he's ads you know. He cast a huge shadow necessarily. But he's right. That Gang Joe being the question number one from beginning we'll help marshawn lynch and talks to return to the seahawks Seahawk Fan media kinds. What say you you know if the price is right? Shore I think You know he was not super efficient last year. I think. Probably better off from football perspective Going with some younger guys But you know he culturally he does bring a great element of leadership. And you still got something that I'm not saying. He wasn't totally inefficient. I'm just saying out of a particular. I think they've got some younger players who they can lean on. He was awesome in Westworld though he was awesome in westward. I see the last one for you. The antidote signing with the cowboys. How does that impact back and his situation? It doesn't I love this for Dallas again with the teams in the backup of quarterbacks. It's great to have a doubt talented quarterback. It is awesome at that price. Huge for the cowboys For Deck. You know this doesn't change anything because they tagged him. He hasn't come July to sign a long term deal. And if he doesn't and Andy Dalton doesn't affect that at all unless anyone who we believe the Dallas would want Andy to the their starter in their place in which no one does the only credible cases. Like you know if Jack was out for a couple of Games Andy. Titus over a few games that we could still compete at the high level where we want But after July. If there's no deal in place there's no incentive for debt. Prescott hold out for a couple of games. Nothing from it right. You're kind of Levian territory. So it's not like anti gives them insurance against the holdout because the whole will never happen meeting times? Espn daily podcast. Subscribe to that Meantime Show. Eleni subscribe to that. Thank you for the time. I've got to run because I got to talk about the Bachelor Creator trying to help Major League baseball okay. I look forward to that thanks again. That's what we're getting to. The Bachelor Creator wants to help jazz up Major League Baseball. We'll tell you what that's about in a second stick around. We're back in four minutes there. We go happy. Cinco de Mayo. It also happens to be Taco Tuesday. I want people to Chime in today. Call in with a couple of things. So we've gotTA pull up. I'm actually stunned by this poll right now. I'm going to be honest with you. I'm stunned by the early results of this poll so we asked in the first segment before being joined us. And thanks to meantime joining us there. Which of these crazier the dolphins plan of people going to a football game. Fifteen thousand fans in a stadium with fifteen thousand fans going into sixty five thousand seat stadium trying to social distance while going to a football game. draymond green saying he and Steph would destroy two thousand to two thousand one shack in the pick and roll or Mike Tyson. Possible boxing comeback at fifty three years old. I mean it is stunning. That dream on in shack like draymond versus shack has sixty point five percent of the vote. Tyson comeback only twenty five percent and the dolphins plan fourteen point six percent. I am stunned that the on in shack one is blowing everything out of the water. Here that is the power of the Lakers on twitter yankers in La. The that's all people care about on twitter. This Mike Tyson thing is insane. Is The craziest thing I've heard in quite some time. And we're in two thousand twenty but that draymond check thing is always going to go with the Lakers always I. Eight seven seven seven ten. Espn which of those three is the craziest eight seven seven seven. Ten three seven seven six also. I want you to chime in help out some restaurants and need today some Mexican restaurants that are going to be great for takeout today on Cinco de Mayo. We WanNa make sure to support the local businesses. So if you've got one in your neighborhood shouted out right now like shouted. I WanNa make sure that you get it out there and we know where you're going where you're headed feel free to hit us up regardless of what neighborhood you live in in southern. California eight seven seven seven ten. Espn and tell us which one of these three things is crazier. So we'll have whereas go to the red onion one in Palos Verdes is pretty good. I like that one. I like like some of the little mom and pop ones. Look there's a million little mom and pop ones. There's one that I go to in harbor city called L. Gaito which is really good. It's Sarah mom-and-pop but yeah I mean there's plenty of spots but I just want people to shout them out like just continue to shout it out Laura you said you have a spot. It's not even I don't know if they do take out at this spot though. It's only for me it's my mom's Kitchen. Mommy Mommy Mommy's kitchen than real authentic. My Mom's home may Tacos so if I drive to your house if I drive to your house tonight and your mom won't just give me a bag of tacos. He'll probably take that. Hey you will be like. Hey let's like Greg Tacos Tacos for everyone at the house. There's socially how would you even get them? Greg leave them outside the doorstep for you. What was she wears gloves being weird? That way I I am a manager. I have just kidding but you know. She wears gloves. Put it in a bag. Put It on the front porch. You what about you whereabouts? Whereabouts are you. Would you pick up today? I'M GOING TO PICK UP FROM. Cactus correa outright by here in a studio city. It's delicious tacos. Yeah there's plenty of spots. We want people to shut him out and give us your thoughts on which of those three are crazier. The Dolphins Plan of fifteen thousand fans sixty five thousand seat stadium to socially distance. Draymond saying he steph would destroy two thousand shack in the pick and roll and Mike Tyson possibly coming back at age fifty three to box. You can vote at Sodano on twitter S. e. hit me up on Instagram to at George Sodano. Espn that's at ESPN. Or you can hit us up on the phones at eight seven. Seven seven ten. Espn artisan COVINA. What's up art going? What's up buddy? Shut out for the mixing restaurants and Kuvina race. Step Pippas birtles. Oh okay I like it. Which one is a great day? You too buddy take care. Let me go to Charlie. Charlie what do you got? Hey there George West Adams Tucker. Most Anaya lasagna. Okay in west Adams all right. Thank you so much. Yeah I take care there you go so I want people to keep shouting us out because there are plenty of people listening whether it's in their cars or on the APP or whatever and they are looking for places eat today and we can help the local restaurants. We can absolutely do that together and you know. I'm a big fan of that. We've been doing that kind of all along during this pandemic we want to help the local restaurants help the local community and feature right real quick before I take a break. What is the drink of choice today? Greg Bergman ooh Drink a choice. I'm going to go. I think we have a bottle of CASA migos in I have migos go. He goes on the rocks. What about though no set of? Oh No then you gotta go with the modell right ESPEC- or more than a Nigga Medalla Negra. Okay Laura. What's the drink of Choice Tequila? Is it silver? Or what are we doing there? I have silver right now so I have to go with that. Because that's what's at home. Okay Fair enough. Eight seven seven seven ten years drink of choice shutout your area or Mexican restaurant hit us up. Which one of these threes the craziest? I still can't believe that The laker fans have invaded this. There's no way you can't tell me that Mike Tyson coming back at fifty three years old is not crazier than draymond. Green crazy as Draymond. Green is saying that he would destroy shack in the pick and roll in his prime. I think Tyson thing just is insane to me next. We have the Bachelor Creator. Helping Major League Baseball and we also have the latest on Major League Baseball and the NBA from Ken. Rosenthal and Shamsher. Rana the athletic. They've got what seems to be a plan for both. We'll tell you what that's about boobs. Chambi will join us at eleven o'clock to talk some baseball to sodano seventeen. Espn back in three minutes. So Donald here on seven hundred ten. Espn tune into the last dance of behind the scenes. Look at the ninety s Bulls Dynasty the series continues Sunday at six. Pm Pacific on ESPN television and listen to the wrap up show with one myself on Espn Los Angeles Twitter Account at eight o'clock presented by state farm. At and T. Coral Tequila and our friends at coors light. So we've got pull up. You can vote at Sodano S. EDA and which of these is crazier. The dolphins plan of people going to a football game with fifteen thousand fans and a sixty five thousand seat stadium. Draymond green saying he and stuff would destroy the two thousand version of shack in the pick and roll and Mike Tyson on a possible comeback at fifty. Three years. Old draymond over shack right now. Draymond and shack is fifty eight percent of the vote so Tyson is inching a little closer but still only twenty eight percent of the vote and the dolphins plan at fourteen. You can vote there. You can hit us up on that There's news on Kevin Durant. Potentially that I'll get to in a second but I want to talk about the creator of the bachelor apparently talking to Bill Shaken of the La Times about trying to help major league baseball now. He is a baseball fan. And the creator of the Bachelor and he thinks that there are ways that he can jazz up Major League Baseball. You ready for this. Greg Bergman. Let's do it so he is one of the TV executives that believes he could lead the way in reinventing Major League baseball as entertainment building a bigger audience and inspiring dramatic changes that could outlast the Cova nineteen pandemic even. If none of this had happened. You can look at the ratings on baseball and see. They're starting to trend downward so it needs to be freshened up. It says here. So here's some of the things that they're discussing. Mike Fleiss the Creator and producer of the Bachelor. Says this if there's no crowd noise you'd be able to hear all the trash talking? You might as well embrace it. Start making up players and used directional directional microphones. You can hear everything that's being said. That's something the audience hasn't had before having been on field of games. Hearing hearing is pretty exciting. That's the thing I think that would work best. So that's clear. I think there's no question Major League baseball do that. So that's not crazy right so that was great. They did that in spring training and it was fantastic and I yes absolutely. That's going to happen anyway so. I don't think that that's a big deal next. He said I'd try to replace the excitement of fans screaming and the pulsating cheering with the inside. Scoop of what's it really is like to be in the game and here everything that's being said. Even the stuff on the mound. Now I feel like baseball would push back on the mound stuff like. I don't think that would work now. He said obviously in light of the Astros stuff. I could see that being a potential issue. Fleiss is aware that some players including dodgers pitcher Clayton Kershaw and angels outfielder Mike. Trout have objected to the possibility of a bubble environment in which they would be isolated from their families. For argument's sake let's leave aside the issue of children and focus on players not seeing their wives or go friend so prefer for perhaps for months the biggest problem with why Sports Leagues will never do it is that I don't think players will be able to maintain quarantine. These guys are never going to be able to go cold Turkey. You've got to be able to embrace the truth and make that part of the game and what he's talking about is sex became so fly says here's what you do. What you do is game. You load up the stadium with their wives at a distance from obviously from each other socially distance them. There's no quarantine violation. The winning team gets to have their wives tested. And then essentially have a conjugal visit. You can fill all the girls. They're beautiful they're in the stand separated in their own sections or whatever. Those guys are now playing for more than pride of winning a baseball game. If you go on an eight game losing streak. That's not good. We have to go on a game losing streak. You'RE GONNA be in some pain at home. Oh man that's brutal. That's I mean I like it. It's funny he's the bachelor guy so it makes sense. All what do you make of the conjugal visit aspect of this version of Mike. Fleiss is Major League Baseball reinvention. I mean you want the players to go and you want them to be motivated to win. What would wife is going to subject themselves. That lets real here. Why not? It's your man you want to make sure he wayne's you win we all win. I get I get it. I think there would probably be a few because there's always like the fun wacky crazy wives that don't give a crap. People know about their personalized. I mean listen. I Love Dwayne Wade and Gabrielle Union. There one of my favorite celebrity couples. I mean they have openly talked about their sexual lives in ways that I would never have imagined anyone would have done it publicly. Okay so I mean there are plenty of people like that. Who was the wide receiver that played for the broncos whose wife Eric Decker right? His wife was all over the tabloids talking about their sex life and stuff like that before so I mean there are wives. That will do it. I don't think there's any question about it. I don't know if you'll get the overwhelming majority of the stars to do it. I think it would be hilarious because let's face it. We're all human as you said Laura. We all have sex as adults. I mean I think we do but you know what I'm saying like let's just it would be fun. No Way Major League baseball goes for but it would be tremendous. I mean if if the guy for the creator of the Bachelor didn't come up with something along these lines. I would have been disappointed with the story so I'm very happy that this is one of his ideas and look. I angry with fine fine. What what was that. I agree with that. When we're time I agree with you. Greg Greg taking it out. I know I can. We cut that up to go with now man. All right. That's fine. I mean listen. I as silly as it sounds. I don't think it's that crazy to be honest with you. Now we had Dave Roberts on and we asked him about a million of these different wacky scenarios including the home run. Derby that Justin Turner was talking about. He was all in on trying anything I I would I would. I would think that Dave would probably draw the line at this one but I think he'd get a good laugh out of it. I don't know I mean I think he might actually go. These look like look. This is now the time to do things. Try things out. He didn't say that he did say that. We will just alternately. Just assume that that's what he meant when he said those things that we could try anything anyway then. The next person that bill shaking spoke to with Scott coffers who is a television writer and producer was the executive producer of Boston. Legal and the supervising producer of the show. Arles remember the show artists Robert Wolf Racer on HBO. So Coffee Believes Baseball. Could excite fans interested in being the only spectator at the ballpark. He proposes for each game that the home team would set up a contest sweepstakes to select the designated fan the home team would pick up in a virus. Safeway a hermetically sealed stretch limo or whatever. They want a fan chosen well in advance. He could sit wherever he wanted. Luxury Box Stadium club owners box front row press box anywhere. He wants he could move one. Concession stand would be fully stocked. Fan would come by and grab food or drinks whenever he or she wished. The Fan would be announced on the public address system throughout the first pitch and be listed in the box score. The Fan would be encouraged but not forced to take me out to the ballgame. Baseball purists would probably hope at least earnestly do that each day's designated fan would cowboy up an attempt to sing the song solo as. I know you're thinking the lyrics would need a bit of a tweak. So and then he goes into singing the song but anyway what do you think about that? Like one fan gets to be the designated fan. I don't think that's crazy to be honest either. Way More doable than conjugal visits like. I don't think they'll agree to that. Even though I think it would be awesome. Look I love that idea? I think that ideas in is really good. I mean where would you sit? Would you sit in at the very very top seats or what you like right down at the bottom? I would go away from everybody. Give me the owner's box or something and just kind of be socially distant from the owner and I'll just I'll hang out with the rich people you know what I'm saying that that would be my ideal rich people. It's your it's just by the owner. Could be there. There is a possibility. Yeah but I would want to change every inning guy would go to the very very top one thing. I would sit right down the first baseline in another inning and sit in the bleachers and another inning. Get the whole experience eight seven seven hundred ten. Espn if you want to help aboard and Chime in on this Buksh is GonNa join us in a couple of minutes. At eleven o'clock we'll talk to him about all this stuff and then He's going to be doing games at this. K B O Games from home if you saw ravitch yesterday Peres. They're doing it from home. I want him to do crazy things. I wanted to start the broadcast with a moustache. Shaven like the third inning. I want him to do wacky stuff. So send US suggestions that he could do. Make a smoothie in the middle of the broadcast. I want you to send suggestions at Sodano. But we've been asking people to shout out there. Cinco de Maya spot today for takeout. Let's go to the phone zero quick and do it fast. Lewis in San Marino. What's up Louise or Nano? Hey Bud You you said Harbor City but have you been a doc. Was there in harbor city. Oh I have been actually. It's right on. Pch I've seen it. Yeah and Anaheim. Yeah right there. Yeah right there. Five points all those are good man. Yeah Yeah Places. Awesome talking to yeah. Yeah yeah both places does good to all right all right. I'm glad you've been joy and thank you for the show. Thank you brother. Appreciate you Michael in the. Oc Michael Shout out. Hey Excuse me George Perlas TACOS IN MISSION. Viejo right off of a leash on the five freeway awesome. Thank insane awesome. Oh go ahead. Good Dream in. His delusional thanked by shack. Without doubt I wouldn't be surprised if Tyson pull it off but you know I'd like to see it as crazy as it sounds. Thanks for the call. Michael I appreciate it. I booked shabby will join us in four minutes.

Mike Tyson Major League Baseball Espn football Draymond Green Laura baseball Greg Bergman raiders rams NFL Draymond Twenty twenty twitter Steph curry Mlb Jack Sehgal Cinco de Mayo K B O shack
The Bettors Box KBO Betting Podcast June 4, 2020

Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

36:51 min | 11 months ago

The Bettors Box KBO Betting Podcast June 4, 2020

"Lowest. For joining me in the better boxes banged book, dotcom Cable Betting Podcast for Thursday June fourth I'm your host. Adam Burke this end every edition. The better spots presented by our friends over at. SPORTSBOOK BE TB and the number two hundred. Is that Promo Code One hundred percent deposit match for the Sports Book and a one hundred percent deposit match bonus for the live casino aspect SL. It's only game until you bet it daily article over the book. dotcom missed one four this morning I apologize for. That had some personal issues to tend to last night, but that will be back here on Thursday on Thursday for the Friday. Games also GONNA have a preview of the Santa Anita Derby and talk about the. Card with Brian Blessing on a podcast where according here on Thursday, so to shows on Bang Book Radio Coming Your Way here on Thursday, this edition of the better box and talking with Brian blessing about the Santa Anita. Derby the Senate. Nita, Card in general. NASCAR and we'll talk about whatever else you want to discuss on that program, but we'll have some articles coming up this weekend for the Santa Anita Derby, we already have a preview up for the cup series race at Atlanta the full honor quick trip five hundred. That's coming up here this weekend down at Atlanta Motor speedway, so we've got a preview up for that. A preview for the. Series. Race as well. You have C two fifty. Preview up over at the book. Dot Com and next week. The PGA tour returns at colonial whip the Charles Schwab Challenge, talking about that one next week with Brian, but also put together an article over at Bangor Book Dot Com. All right well, let's go ahead and dive into this edition of the betters box here and I'll serve by talking briefly about the KB article and. You know to this point. It's been a combination of some bad handicapping and some bad luck, and we're ahead a microcosm of that on Wednesday. Where do signed on Tuesday destroyed? odorous simmered Espana ten runs on fifteen hits. So we take the DEUCE on over on Wednesday and so he on John. They get to hits over seven innings and so only struck out two guys so a lot of bad habit block. Maybe it was contact management from so I don't know. I don't have access to those types of metrics here for the K B O. But then of course on Thursday, when I'm not undo someone. I didn't write the article. They scored fourteen runs. and. It feels like I've had a lot of this here this season where I've just fallen inbetween days for one reason or another with something that happens. The League is high variants, and you know we try to handicap out as much variance as we possibly can. That's my goal. I try to handicap out as much as I can. By looking at the numbers Bhai using the data by analyzing it, and then coming up with my plays. In this league, though it may just be extremely high variance and I've had times this season two. I've picked the wrong full game versus the first five vice versa I've had I five. Let's get blown up in the fifth inning. I'm burying myself when burying bankrolls, and not only am I hurting myself financially, and and I am betting smaller amounts than usual on these K B O Games, but it's really hurting me mentally to because I felt like I had done enough research to have some kind of an edge. I've got a lot of positive feedback about the write ups about the bullpen report about the better as box shows here. And it's not translating to results, and it's really burying me mentally and furthermore not sleeping in the mornings because. Checking Takebe scores or I'm restless wondering how those plays lost. and. It's been a very tough period for me and I've tried to reevaluate what I'm doing. The K B O and the problem is I often necessarily doing anything wrong outside of maybe playing some inflated prices. Then you look at a dealer today in the heel. All Chock Sides Win. Every game goes over the total. And you know it's like what am I supposed to do here where it feels like chuck and the side of the total silly did come in all the time, and maybe that's not true. It's just recently bias or maybe confirmation bias. Something like that, but I don't I! Don't really know what to do with this league right now, and it's been very very challenging, and a lot of people have jumped into this league a lot of people out there. I'm not to name names, but a lot of people out there that I think have done a lot less research than I have and they're just out there having more success with it. And that's the frustrating thing about this business is that you can do all this work and sometimes it doesn't even matter. So going forward, I will keep updating the bullpen sheet I'll keep writing about these games trying to find spots. I don't know if I'll has many plays going forward. You know in any other league. I'm not going to have plays on sixty percent of the Games and I. Find Myself doing that here in the K. B o where I'm playing three games a night. It's hard to say that. You haven't edge in sixty percent of the Games on the card in any sport. So. Maybe it's too many plays isolating the ones. I like the most. Maybe I'm just getting unlucky maybe I. Don't know what the Hell I'm doing i. don't really know. But it's really been bothering me the last forty eight or so hours with this league just. The fact that I think I'm on the right track. There are a lot of things I think that I'm seeing. And they're just not getting the results out of it. And that happens, and that happens in betting that happens in a lot of sports markets, even ones that were a lot more familiar with, but it is taking a toll on me and I'm sure it's taking a toll on your bank as well if you've been falling picks and and following along so I just wanted to make sure I mentioned something about it here on today's show where. Maybe I just need to narrow my focus on, and and really only play the place I think I really like. I, don't know I! Guess. We'll see how that goes and see how things kind of progress moving forward, but something I have picked up on here and we've got about. Roughly. Played a little over twenty five games or so. Now, we've got pretty even split in terms of home and road, and there are some very big park factor things now that are coming to light the Katie. Ballpark, for example I talked about this. When I wrote up that over for Wednesday, there have been thirteen runs per game just about scored in that. Katie Ballpark it was about twelve and a half going into Wednesday now. That was a seven game I believe nine run game on Wednesday then today there were nineteen runs or twenty one runs actually scored at kt. One hundred and two runs in fifteen games at home four K, t sixty eight runs in eleven games on the road, so we are seeing a lot of this here with a lot of these teams Samsung. I've talked about them a lot. They get shut out on Thursday on the road. They've scored eighty three runs in fifteen games at home and they've hit eighteen home runs in those fifteen games other road. They've scored fifty five runs in thirteen games with six home runs, so Samsung much better offensive team at home than on the road. KT, while they're still scoring over six runs a game on the road. They've been better at home. Overall, so there are a lot of teams like this. Do Saad. Dusan in their eleven home games. They've scored fifty one runs. In their fifteen wrote games. They've now scored a hundred and fifteen runs. So do sign just a dramatic difference, home and road. They've hit five home runs in eleven games at home. They've hit twenty eight home runs in fifteen games on the road. LG WHO SHARES STADIUM WITH DUSAN? They have scored ninety six runs in twelve games at home with eleven home runs scored seventy one runs eleven games on the road with nineteen home runs, so they're manufacturing more runs at home. Hitting more home runs on the Road Hawa. The Eagles have scored thirty. One runs at home in thirteen games. They've only hit three home runs. On the road in fifteen game, sixty six runs scored fourteen home runs so. Offense much different on the road than it is at home. and. Here's maybe the biggest one the KIA. Tigers. One hundred three runs scored in. Sixteen Home Games hit twenty five home runs in sixteen home games. They've scored forty three runs on the road in twelve games with seven home runs, so do side. Huge discrepancy home in Rhode much better on the road then at home, kt better at home then on the Road Samsung much better at home than on the Road Han wi much better on the road then at home Kia much better at home than on the road. So Hawa, Dusan LG difficult home parks to hit it. Kt Samsung Kia anywhere. We're DEUCE ON. His playing has been a pretty good home ballpark, so the park factors in this league are really shining through, and this is something where and I know that there are models out there very smart guys that I know that our modeling. You may want to have a different number for a team at home vs on the road. Because these park factors are playing really really extreme. Again. Such eleven home games. They've scored fifty one runs. They're not even scoring five runs per game at home. They've scored a hundred and fifteen runs in fifteen road games. That's seven point. Seven runs per game, so they're not even scoring five runs per game at home. What they're scoring seven point seven runs per game on the road. They've hit twenty three more home runs on the road in four more games. So these park factor differences are significant and substantial. and You wonder. Will the oddsmakers be properly adjusting? You would think that they should. They will with a team like Dusan because Dusan is very obvious. Will they do it with a team like Kea? Where he has scored one hundred three runs at Sixteen, Home Games hit twenty five home runs. They've scored forty three runs at twelve road games. There scoring what about three and a half runs per game on the road? And they've scored over one hundred runs at home. They've scored six point. Four runs per game at home. They don't even have three and a half runs per game, or they barely have three and a half runs per game on the road. So the park factor differences here in this league do appear to be extremely substantial. And the interesting thing for deuce onto is that they're pitching. Staff has been awful on the road. Haven't been very good at home. Relative to the offense, but they've been awful on the road. So these factors splits are things that I'm trying to key in on a little bit and I. Do Think Sometimes I you know hurt myself by over analyzing by having too much data by looking at too many different things, these factors may very well come into play especially, with regards to the total market. To the point where they may be I mean no handicap. Is that simple? To the point where these are going to be excellent, starting points when Katie is at home, I'm looking at the over. When do sound is on the road? I'm looking at the over when Kia. I'm looking at the over when Kia's on the road I'm looking at the under. So these are things I may just simplify my handicap a lot, and just Taylor around these park factors, and then use the pitcher to my advantage as well so that may be a change. That I'm looking to make here now that we've got some more data now that we've got an idea of what we're actually looking at here because again. You can do a Lotta research individual players. But a lot of the nuances of the. Were kind of pardon the PUN foreign to us. You know the ball changed a lot last year. How would the ball play this year? Well right now? It seems like the ball is playing closer to twenty eighteen. But only in certain spots. So maybe that's where I need to really hone in. My Handicap's a little bit again. Four all of these notes Adam at Bang Book Dot, com or skating tripods on twitter. Where I've got a lot of these park factor notes written up here for today's show. To look back at the series of just wrapped up and we start with a lot, the giants and the Kia Tigers, and in fact you just mentioned Keough at home. Twenty five runs six home runs in the three games here in this series lot, though did not hit at Kia, they only scored seven runs here in this series so keough with the sweep, outscoring the giants twenty five to seven. Seven and you're. This rotation looks low key, pretty good imke young. We had a piece of him. for the first five and Tuesday's Game Kia waits until the sixth inning to score, but young terrific six innings to earn seven had struck out five Yang. John the most accomplished domestic starting pitcher. He went six good innings on Wednesday. Aaron Brooks was good on Thursday and this lot of team. They're getting bad starting pitching. If the highest innings pitched among the bullpens, and they gave up nine runs in eight and two thirds. In this series they pitched back to back eleven inning game. Saturday and Sunday had the Monday off day, only eight and two thirds in this series, but they still gave up over a run, perennial nine runs in their eight and two thirds. This, giants team is just not good. The offenses Putrid the bullpens, not great. The actually the pets find the bullpens actually pretty good for the workload when you'll get winds above average and their whip and stuff like that, but the rotation is bad, so this is a lot. The giants team trailing in a lot of games without the offense to come back, and we've seen a lot of crooked big numbers in the KB oh here. If, you can't put those up. You'RE GONNA. Be a bad team. And for the giants here they're trailing early in a lot of games, and they don't have the offense to compensate and come back. So the giants do look like a pretty clear cut fade at this point in time. We'll see what they do here this weekend against K. T. but lastly here for the giants. Dan Street. He's been fine, but Adrian Samson a couple of rough outings coming off of the death of his father, certainly understandable pitching over in the K B o a long way from home from his family and all that. Don't know if this really improves for him to quickly here, so maybe Adrian Samson Guy that we do possibly want to look to go against your four the lot to giants over his next few starts and I hate talking about things like that especially in the situation that he's in. But from a betting standpoint. I think he's having a hard time making the adjustment and you could certainly see why. Do. Son and Katie and Manda this series pissed me off. You know I wanted to play the over on Tuesday, but I thought okay. You've got Drissa Mer Despouy, who's been pitching very well limiting hard contact obviously. He gives up ten runs on five hits. So I bet the over induced in the middle game and they get two hits off so young son. Then on Thursday. They go off against Kim, Min. Eight runs against him Dusan with twenty seven runs in the series, only two runs in the Middle Game and kt with twenty three runs, so their offense stayed hot. Just frustrating very frustrating to know that games in Suwon or going over Games on the road with Dussan or going over and the one I bet in this series doesn't go over. Bad handicapping padlock I. Don't know I'm at a loss any event. You, who is a little bit of regression for him? Six innings, four and seven hits, talking about him for Dusan is a guy that I am trying to find spots to bet against I probably won't do it at home where the park factor is a big safety net, but on the road I will be looking to go against you he. Without a doubt Leon Chan I've talked about him as a guy should be in line for some positive aggression. DEUCE on didn't get it in this series. Are Contra struggled in the final game for use on do? Son's bullpen is stabilizing a little bit here there era kind of progressively going down there. Whip kind of progressively going down. We'll see if they're able to sustain that tread. Maybe some homeowners are in the offing here for Dussan, but again they're road overs or not a coincidence. They're doing a ton of things well on the road in their pitching staff on the road hasn't. Hasn't been great. They've allowed. The most road runs in the K B O I believe it two hundred and four, now one, hundred, four, one, hundred and five head, one hundred and three in my notes before the game wrapped up I think they gave up a couple more runs. They've given up. The most road runs, indicate bureau and they've scored. The most runs the road in the O, so they're Rhode over. Sir No coincidence. This is not a surprise at all. Whatsoever hot wise, the only team close in terms of giving runs on the road. One other. Quick note here about Dussan. I miss this one last week. Maybe with the Memorial Day holiday, and all that but Oj ill back in the middle of their order now he pinch hit on the twenty eighth in the twenty ninth been back in the everyday starting lineups, since the thirtieth so another big offensive piece back in the fold for Dusan and look for kt song remains the same the starting pitching, hit or miss. The offense is very good. The bullpen is not they're. They're pretty telltale team right now. Indicate Bureau at this point in time. S. K. and see got a nice underdog winner on Tuesday with Moon Sung, John Pitching very well for S K. Everything else was pretty bad for us. K Now they did score fourteen runs in the first two games of this series, but they get shut out in the last game by drew, Rucinsky and the NC Bullpen Kim Tae Hoon a guy I talked about a lot as he regression Canada that did hit gave up seven runs on five hits. He walked four hit two guys. It was really the walks and hit by pitches that set this up because Kim Tae. Hoon is not allowing a lot of hits, so the suggestion to me is that he's done a good job with his contact management. gives the bully five hits here, but seven runs with the walks, and the hit by pitches, so if Kim Tae Hoon is facing a lineup. That doesn't walk a whole lot. He's not giving up a lot of hits then. That's when he's a by guy. So to kind of look for spot plays on him. Lee J hack for NC. He got knocked around I still think he's pretty solid, though and he might be one of the few guys that we can get at something of a reasonable price, because otherwise with NC right now since got inflated prices. Mike Right has inflated prices coup chain. Mo has been the best pitcher in the K B O so far. His prices are high. They face Hawa this week on this weekend. We'll see some big prices for. That one. Or J.? Hack might be the only guy that we can find some decent prices on the back for NC, but again just big numbers with the starting pitching they've got and also their offense is pretty good. They seventeen walks in this series off of S. K pitching, they lead the K B O and walks. They've been hitting hitting power hard to poke holes in this NC team, and in fact, their bullpen with strong series as well. Samsung and L. G. Samsung actually took the first two games of this series here. LG with the win in the finale and you'll Lebron Ho once again another good start for him. Seven innings to earn five hits struck out seven, only eighteen or nineteen years old, but he's a watchlist guy for me won t in for Samsung Seven. SHUTOUT innings for him. He's still firmly on the watch list. For Samsung here. Tyler Selah Dino two run double in the first inning game on. That was the only runs scored in a game on. Wednesday hit a home run. COUPLE OF HITS walked a couple of times. He's banning third, and he has completely changed the complexion of this Samsung offense. He was previously batting, seventh or eighth, making the adjustment stuff like that now he's hitting up in the order and he's doing very very well. That makes a difference. The middle of the order bats in this league have to hit for you if they don't. That's when you struggled offensively like for example with S. K.. Choi Jong Not really hitting. You know he just wasn't hitting early on in the season, Jimmy rollbacks still not really hitting to the degree that he usually does. was same thing the middle of their order guys jared ing not hitting. He will. Park Young Ho got off to a slow start. They got off to a slow start offensively. They've figured it out now, and he's walking more and things like that, but the middle of the order guys carry these lineups because the bottom of the order, hitters generally aren't very good. Depth is a big issue in this league overall. So if you're middle of the order, bats are hitting. You can do a lot of things and what Tyler Salvino now hitting for Samsung. That's huge. NC's offense was good, but they really took off. When author started hitting at the bottom of the order, they got deeper their middle. The order was already hitting. The bottom of the order started hitting. That's when things took off. So. These teams that are off to slow offense starts. It's by and large because the middle of the order. Guys are doing what they're paid to do. And I mean that's obvious. It's an obvious statement. Major baseball is the same. But especially in this league in in this environment you're middle of the order has to hit. Samsung's now with sell you know. Getting bumped up the order. That's really helped him tremendously to say the least. Casey Kelly knocked around for LG, five innings and eight runs on seven hits bad outing for him. He, Oh Yoon Dong. Samsung Young Kid, five innings, three earned eight hits worth watching as the season goes along I. Don't know about backing him right now. Per Se, but he's definitely watchlist. Guy As we go forward. One Guy I talked about young Chan he on. Positive aggression for him in the final game, seven shutouts struck out eleven. He was the guy in line for positive aggression and it did hit. So trying to isolate those guys here along with looking at these park factor angles. Back Junkie on Fort Samsung his first start off the injured list. Four innings eleven runs eight or nine fourteen hits bad spot for his first start back against a pretty good LG lineup. What apparently is defense was no help on twitter, and that's something that stuff to fight here in this. You can't find a lot of context in most cases and stuff getting lost in translation all that kind of thing. Because I'm not running good here I'm starting to focus on a lot of the negatives instead of the positives and. Negatives that I found here is that it's kind of tough to get context. How much of this was bad defense? What are we looking at in terms of exit, velocities and contact, management and stuff like that. We just don't have that you know. The K B O doesn't have stack cast data. So. You know I. That's a lot of the stuff. I use for a major league baseball standpoint and remember lying on the wrong things here. I don't know but I. do miss having some of the metrics that are available to me for. Major. League baseball and I. Don't know if they would help I. Don't know if they would hurt if they would just be over analysis but. Kind of dwelling on the negative instead of positive, and when you do that as a handicapper, bad things happening I'm definitely finding that out here in the K, B O and I've found that out in previous sports here overall as well so you got to try to keep a positive outlook as much as you can. It's very hard for me. I'm a naturally pessimistic person that's dealt with depression throughout most of my. You know a dating back to previous before high school. You know just kind of glass half empty person in general, and when that leaks over into your handicapping that makes it that much more difficult, and it's a constant struggle that I have I've talked about that crisis of confidence before. It's a constant struggle for me. And with how things are going. Right now it's really taking a toll. And the daily grind, not just a betting, but producing content and stuff like that when you're not running. Did it wears you down a lot and I've had that here with the. So trying to take days off here and they're trying to refresh little bit for example weekends, maybe spotty with the article. My Buddy's got a lake house. That's what I do. I get hammered during the day sober up. Do it all over again whatever? So. Kind of trying to use this as my escape, because also I, know that coming up, you know mid-july on. It's going to be nuts. So this okay me. Oh thing throwing me for a loop. You gotta try to step away when you can, and you gotta try to you know, find that Nice little common ground that middle ground of doing a lot, but not doing too much, not letting leak over and other aspects of your life. It's hard especially when you're struggling and especially when you're somebody who has that ongoing day to day battle to fight anyway? And I'm sure a lot of my listeners out. There know exactly what I'm talking about. So I'm trying to find that happy medium here with the K B O. Hopefully a little bit of perspective and penalty at some of these park factor things may end up being what I need. Finally last series to recap your key womb and Hawa Hawa gets swept again. They've lost eleven in a row. They only scored eight runs in this series. Keyword on the other hand scored twenty eight. Han while only walk twice. Warwick softball even struggled history of seventeenth. Straight quality starts got snapped. He did walk four over his seven innings. Hot made eight errors in the series that led to six on earned runs. Hud was just bad offensively. They're just not good. The pitching staff is not good. The defense is obviously not very good either. It's been a sad state of affairs for Hawa now key will. Look at twenty eight runs in this series office has been very good really only last couple of weeks. But they've beaten on six times. They're eight one against Hawa and S. K their seven twelve against everybody else. So, I don't really know about them I. Know Individually. They've got a lot of very good players. But they're kind of beating up on the bums right now. You'll! Have serious a lot and Samsung as well, but for him I don't really know what they are I. Don't know if they're good. I don't know if they're bad. Their bullpen is decent. They're starting. Staff is is underachieving, but they're not bad. The offense hit or miss. They're hitting bad pitching starting pitching. Maybe that's what key will miss. They're just a team that you know. It's going to beat up on the BUMS, and if that's the case, you lay big numbers with them, and if not maybe you fade them when they played better teams. And they're an interesting team to take a look at here for this weekend. We start with KIA DUSSAN FIRST KIA as I mentioned top of the show big office at home. Not very good on the road. Dusan big offense on the road. Not very good at home. So now you've got two teams. Go into Seoul with their better whether or not going to be key is not good on the road. And now they're in a park that depresses and suppresses office, Dusan good on the road, but they're at home here. Could be a potential under series. Obviously unders with Dusan are a little bit scary and they do avoid Aaron. Brooks and yang-hyun John in this series. I believe drew gun, Yo and Chris Flexing will face each other in this series is just kind of fun. A couple of former mets teammates in farmhands, guys that obviously know each other going head to head I have to think that's an under position. Because those two guys are GonNa be looking to outdo the other and already with the park factor angles here should be a lower scoring series in general I would think. Do Sons Lee Young Ha, maybe a good spot for him in young could be worth backing it an underdog pricier for Kea in a good pitching environment. So some interesting angles take a look at here with regards to the under with Kia and Dusan again Kia, not a good road offense very good at home. Do not a good home offense very good on the road could be some under opportunities here and we'll see if these totals are inflated, we'll see how much the oddsmakers and the betting market is paying a tent or are paying attention. Because you've got two teams that have put up some good offensive numbers, but now they're in a scenario where offense, maybe a little bit tough to come by. Katie and lot to hear the Katie offense is not quite the same on the road, either could that helps a lot. The giants kind of end these woes that they've had, but of still not scoring. This scored fifty two runs in their first seven games. They've scored fifty nine runs over their last nineteen games. So their offense offenses just completely disappeared. The bullpen is fine the starting rotation, not really so you wonder about lot to hear candy, keep pace if the K- t- offense keeps doing what it's been doing, but again the offense not quite the same on the road. So maybe you temper your expectations a little bit with the Whiz. Next start coming up here for. Four Bay Jiong again as I've talked about high left on base percentage for him. We saw some negative progression to that in his last outing. Does that continue here on the other hand lot to the worst team in the K B? O in terms of hitting with runners in scoring position, so you know maybe two forms of positive and negative aggression coming together. Does it play out that way I don't really know. That start four Dan Strategy for the giants, how will he do against this KT offense? We'll have to wait and see show John One four lot pitching, okay four twenty-three era, but a five fifty eight V only at nine point, six percent strikeout percentage, and Katie doesn't strike out a lot, so CEO John want a guy to watch your in this series I'm not sure how hill pitch because I. Don't know how Katie will hit on the road, but this looks on paper like a bad match for the youngster, so maybe a spot back there. What to see what that price looks like four this series. LG and key womb. This is an extremely interesting series LG they go out on the road. Now Williams home ballpark is not great, but it's not as bad as the one that deuce on an l G. play it so maybe this elevates the offense a little bit. They avoid Jokic in this series and for L. G. I kind of liked the way their rotation is set up in this series. Tyler Wilson will go Wu Chan will go in a nice pitchers park, and then Lim Chan you and Lim. Chin was the guy that is on my watch list. He's a guy like quite a bit. He gets the start here against key womb, whose offense is performing well. When they go back home where it's a little bit of a trickier pitchers, par hitter's park, so I don't know. We'll see what happens in this series. What these Games are priced like Kiwi mossend watchlist. Out to the mount again. Maybe this is a spot for Lee Young. Ho to get turned around. He's running fifty point. Four percent left on base. Percentage has a seven eighty-three era, so maybe an under series here, but maybe smell g positions to take with some pretty good pictures coming up for the twins and they've got maybe the best. All around pitching staff indicated Yo because of how good their bullpen is because of what. You know John John. John did yesterday. You know some interesting spots here L. I think coming up in this series against key womb. NC and Hawa. Oh, boy I i. Mean Look and see. We'll keep this breakneck pace up, but do you WanNa? Fade them. Against Han one hundred team had just scored eight runs in three games on what team? It's lost eleven in a row. and. He's going to avoid warwick softball in this series. It's going to be Mike Right. It's going to be coup Changmo Kuching. Mo- will be a big favourite in this game. Yeah, in this game in this series. Jang, she wan- four and four hardware. Excuse me thirty one strikeouts in two thousand four and two thirds, six ninety-three era, four, eighty, four V, four thirty babba against. Maybe that's an under game with him on the mound. Next Start for Bell Chad, bells next cert- will come in that coup Changmo game so maybe that whole. Down a little bit. But Man Kuching Changmo against Hawa I mean he may be a no hitter. Watch in this series. So I. Don't know I don't know how we bet this one. I don't know if we can bet this one, but the NC prices probably will be inflated, so there may not be a whole lot of value taking them in this series finally here's Samsung and S K. Next Ricardo Pinto start coming up here for S K he's had some issues and problems with that. Samsung does a decent job drawing walks. They've actually been pretty good in that department. Next Start for David Buchanan here for Samsung. I Guess S. K. Lineup. That been a little bit better here of late, but S K they've only scored four runs per game at home. On the season. Samsung big home road splits as well. They're good at while. They're decent home. They're not great on the road. Maybe some unders in this series so decent pitching matchups here in this series as well choice. Shea Young's GonNa. Go Samsung one in is going to go for Samsung Moon. Sun One's GonNa, go for S K also Park Jong Hoon. He struck out twenty eight and twenty eight innings so pretty good pitching matchups in this Samsung and S K series could end up being some pretty decent games here, but again too bad offices, so we'll see what these totals look like if the oddsmakers are. Keen to the fact that there are some pretty good pictures in this series with a couple of weaker offenses, so let's take a lot of under opportunities here this weekend, but again obviously you know. We still have all these bad bullpens could throw a wrench into things, but as I look at the park, factors and some of the pitching matchups, maybe a lower scoring weekend coming into K B O we'll see what these lines look like as they start to get posted. Once again Adam banged the book dot, com or skating tripods at Jamile dot com for the notes for the box. Make sure you tune in for the Thursday edition of Bloomberg radio talking all things senator. Anita, for this weekend with Brian. Blessing also dogging some NASCAR with the race down. In Atlanta, they'll do for me. Thank you so much for listening everybody and remember that you will never strike out when you're in the betters box.

Samsung Dusan giants LG Katie Ballpark K B O Kia Hawa Adam Burke John John NC Leon Chan Road Hawa Brian Blessing NASCAR Atlanta twitter Mike Right Rhode Atlanta Motor speedway
Korean Baseball

Telescope: Life in the Time of Corona

19:29 min | 11 months ago

Korean Baseball

"Before we get started with today show. I wanted to tell you about another podcast that I'm really into. It's called the distance. It's made from our friends at vice audio and Steve. Short first-person dispatches from across the globe about daily life during the pandemic. You'll hear people from all walks of life describe in their own words how they're adapting to right now what's challenging and also what's bringing them. Joy Plus each episode is under five minutes. So it's like this short sweet dose of Human Connection at a time when all feeling pretty far apart delivered. Look for the distance in Apple. Spotify stitcher or wherever you get your podcasts. Okay on with the show. You ever get that vague sense of longing for the things that you had before quarantine. I know for me. One of those things that keeps coming back is baseball. The interminably long hundred sixty two games of baseball was just always on in the background until this year it was this comfort. This consistent conversation about pitch counts and batting averages. No it's boring to some people but to me. It's like water. I've had a game going on in the background. From time I was six or seven years old and this year. It's gone and I know I'm not alone in feeling that way. Which is why I found today story so fascinating and I think even if you don't like baseball you will too now. American baseball fans are finding another way to enjoy our favorite pastime. But it's not in America starting this month. Espn HAS BEEN AIRING K. B. O. Games six days a week. That's the Korean baseball organization with the press and dancing along. This is probably unusual site. They can only see cream baseball. Depending on where you live weekday game watching might mean waking up in the middle of the night to watch but to a lot of sports fans. That's worth it. Plus it's the chance to develop an allegiance to a new team like the Kia Tigers South Korea baseball. The Pro Baseball League is one of the most popular sports most popular leagues to highest TV Ratings Games with the highest attendance in that country from the media. This is telescope time your host Jonathan. Hurry and Monday Wednesday and Friday for the foreseeable future. We're gonNA bring you stories of people who are far away of close and how each of us are learning to live crew our producer. Joanna Clay has the story by first Korean baseball. Experience was the fall of two thousand. This is Dan Kurtz keys. Forty lives in Tacoma Washington and runs a fan site and he remembers the first time he saw a Korean baseball game live. He was studying abroad in South Korea and his friends knew he was a huge sports fan so they said let's go to a game as soon as we got out of the subway and started walking up. There is just an electric field tour. There's a buzz going on. And not not just the way that the buzz happens at Major League baseball stadiums but I mean literally there was like you know like a Party. Atmosphere kind of every vendor. You can imagine cylinder food. The guys trying to give you a ticket and then it wasn't until I got into the stadium and then I realized this is going to be different. This is going to be fun right away. Dan noticed the cheering. When you K B baseball game you know when there is a pandemic. It's insane stadium sold out filled to the rafters. There are people called. Cheer Masters who lead the cheers the synchronized clapping? There's dances? Each team has their own song. Not only that. Each player has a song so when a guy goes up to back. She has a walkup song on the loudspeakers and everyone is cheering and singing along. It is a thing I remember going. This is like a rock concert or something and I'm watching baseball at the same time just because they're singing chanting thunder sticks. Happy everything going on for Dan. That game was special a lifelong sports fan. Give him a connection to South Korea. His birth country. I was adopted at age four months and so I grew up just outside of Philadelphia bike an hour in Amish Country Lancaster County. It's called my last name is Kurt. Which is of German descent. His first trip to South Korea was the year before in nineteen ninety nine when he was eighteen years old is called a motherland trip. He in a bunch of other adoptees spent a little over a week seeing tourist spots and getting to know a bit about their heritage and then when I decided to study abroad there in the year two thousand. That's what I learned more about their pro sports there and that's what my friend started saying. Hey come to the pro. Baseball Games and Dan didn't speak Korean at least not yet but he did speak. All the funny thing is my family. Nobody's really a hardcore sports fan. I was the kid that somehow grew up the latched onto sports for some reason every anytime the daily newspaper came. I grab the sports section read. The standings read every article. And then put it back. He was obsessed with sports a typical kid in so many ways and for the longest time he never really noticed that his family stuck out a little at least where he lived so my younger sister is adopted from El Salvador. But the rest of my family is Caucasian so growing up. I did not think anything of it. I thought every family was like this that they had people of different races and colors in their family but sitting in that stadium in South Korea surrounded by people who looked like him. It must have been a trip because growing up in rural Pennsylvania that was not the case. I did not have my first korean-american friend until I went to high school so I knew very little bit about the country because the Internet was not what it is right now. I can just jump onto wikipedia. It was literally dial up and America Online so the way that I learned about. My birth country was through checking out books at the school or going through encyclopedias until his motherland trip and studying abroad in college aldean knew about. Creo was stuff he had read but when he went was I K B o game it all clicked now they think about it when I realized why did I get so into this. O why did it get so into Korean baseball? Look back onto and going. This was my connection to my birth country. This is how I stayed up to date with. What's going on in Korean how I felt I was being Korean but yet at the same time. I'm being the biggest sports fan ever to and tracking the Games. It became a way to learn Korean language. Tom Saw- from scratch and before long. Dan was the go-to Guy for all things. K B. O. People would start coming up to me because they knew that. I started following the League. More than anybody else around. And you're like hey you know. Does somebody have a game tonight and check the newspaper and I'd be like yes. They have a game tonight at six thirty at at the stadium and then I tell them how to get to the stadium. This was the early ought before Google was the answer to everything and he thought why not make a website or because this is twenty years ago a message board. I remember posting literally to myself going. Here's the stats. Here's the standings. Here's the games that are being played this week and I'd be the only one posting after a while. It gained a few new members a few years later. He got a domain name. Mike Abo Dot net twenty years later. It's still a resource for English speakers wanting to learn about the league in Track Games. It's also frequently cited in the media. Dan would be the last to admit it. But he's an expert for anyone thinking about tuning in to a key B O game right now. There's a few things to know about it for one. The K B O is hugely popular in South Korea. Games can attract over ten thousand fans so that smaller than a major league game here. But Dan says they make it sound like a crowd of fifty thousand it is maybe embraced more than Major League. Baseball has been here in the last couple of years. But but in South Korea baseball the Pro Baseball League is one of the most popular sports most popular leagues the highest TV ratings games with a highest attendance in that country. You might even see some familiar faces from the MLB. When you tune in like Nick Kingham who used to play for the Pittsburgh pirates or Jamie Romak formerly with the LA dodgers and Saint. Louis Cardinals both are on the Keyboard League team. Ask Wife Burns. But there's some things that will look a little different to. There's some unwritten rules like respecting your elders. If a twenty year old pitcher hit set thirty year old battle with a ball used to tip his hat and bow in respect and that flipping you know when a batter throws his bat in the air maybe after hitting a home run in the US. Seen as rude or arrogant kinda showing off. Celebratory keough common. It's just seen as adding some flair to the game but the most obvious difference the corporate sponsors baseball teams instead of being named after their hometown or their city are named after corporation so we have the LG twins who are owned by the algae `electronic company. They're based in Seoul so rather than saying the soul twins everybody's calls them L. G. R. Unlv FAN. So it's a way to basically keep the corporate name on everybody's. Taunt flip that over here to the United States. Yes I'M IN PHILADELPHIA. Phillies fans but they also happen to play at the Citizens Bank ballpark which is a major bank in the area so we may not name our teams after corporate sponsors but we will sponsor stadiums here in the United States but just like the US. The fandom is regional. If you're from Bussan you're likely rooting for the giants which are based there whereas here in the United States new fans are trying to find ways to become you know fans of these teams and so they may be looked down and say hey. I carry a Samsung phone. So I'm going to cheer for the Samsung Lions. If that's the way you want to do what is a new fan. I say go for it because again. It's hard to get these connections all the way here a halfway across the globe for Dan the Kibo has been away to make his world smaller to connect to South Korea his birth country while he's living his everyday life here in Washington but this season it feels different when people watch games. Now they're not going to see the thing that attracted Dan to the key. B O in the first place the fans. I'm hoping that the fans that are watching on. Espn watching games. Going on in empty stadiums. I hope that they go on Youtube. They look up clips pass games because once fans are in the game even if you're watching on TV it's simply allowed in amazed at how they can be with a cheering when the quarantine started in March O teams were just heading home from Spring Training. So they got home and like the rest of the world they stayed home and then to have it all of a sudden stop literally worldwide. It's just kind of jarring as a sports fan and it's also it should just makes you look at and going. Wow this is this. Pandemic is serious. But as the curve started to flatten in South Korea the Kibo let the players play but without fans in the stadium then in April. The news broke in the absence of Major League Baseball. Espn would begin airing six games a week. They would have English speaking announcers talking about the Games. Giving commentary opening day was may fifth. There was a little bit of hesitation there to see how American general public is going to perceive the League where they just going to watch it in. Maybe say this is not the major leagues and kind of you know. Just make fun of it or just not even tune in but from my response that I've been getting social. Media is that Americans are loving. Live baseball they wake up. Eat Breakfast and finish some Korean baseball game. So I mean I think the exposure for the League has been incredible literally. They will write news articles on the coverage that it is receiving in the United States. So there will be an article online about how. Espn covered last night's game prodan. What makes it so unique? So fun is the atmosphere to cheering the energy. The fans when he sees them he imagined himself in the stands cheering his team. Half a world away. It's magic magic. It's all gone but the Kibo is getting this larger exposure this bigger audience because of the pandemic so for the K B O in for Dan. It's kind of a catch twenty two either way. Dan Hopes new fans continue following the league. So they can see what it's really like. I hope that every fan watches the KO and became a fan over these over the next few months decides to head to South Korean decides take in baseball game over there because like I said it is an experience that can only be described. Not by words but back she'd by in person sitting there in the in the seat and just taking it all in for the first time in maybe all of our lives. The world is going through the same thing at the same time together and in some ways it's blurred the boundaries that may have seen fixed before between countries between cultures. There's something cool imagining family in. Wisconsin taking indicate. Oh game. I'm planning post Cova trip because of it so the whole purpose that my website even when I started twenty years ago and it was just a message board was basically. I myself am a fan. I and I wanted to try to help. Other fans learn more about the K B O and Korean baseball so that maybe they themselves become interested in the league and wanted to follow the teams in the players themselves. And who knows? Maybe they end up living in Korea visiting Korea taking in a game and going you know what it as good as I heard and I'm glad that it came over. Sports have been this crucial connector for. Dan connected him to Philly as a kid and it connected him to his birth country when he didn't have the words to say in Korean. Baseball was the common language as I spoke to him. He was hiding in a closet surrounded by kiyo jerseys. Sometimes you can hear his daughter voice outside the door a stay at home dad. He's been down saying talking. Sports with schooling is kids asked if he's grooming future K B O fans. You said. He took his son to a couple of games but he wasn't interested. He was around five years old at the time. So we literally would only last about three to four Indians before he says I'm bored. I WANNA go home. His son stole might have that sports fan gene. Just not the one. His Sport of passion is Bowling Professional Bowling. And so I know nothing about the PBA. And so I feel a little bit like the outsiders trying to learn about the KVIL. So it's been a great learning experience for me as I try to learn about his sport and and things that he's interested in. How did he discover professional bullying? My son has loved bowling ever since he was three years old. He is on the autistic spectrum. Very mild Things that are with repetition. He likes to watch over and over and one thing that he loved to watch over and over was a bowling ball going down the lane and whether that's in person or watching it on TV. It's what's what he doesn't so now he is able just me a slide. Show the other day of the top fifty eight bowlers as well. There's fifty I no clue. Please teach me and so he made that for me he. He presented it to me. Show me their names and their birthdates and I said you know what you should make a PBA website and so who knows maybe down the road. Maybe there's a my PBA website and it's my son run in it. I love that A big thank you to Dan Kurtz I love his personal connection to the K B O and now I have a great primer as I flip on. Espn and watch the games myself. Every week we receive emails private messages on twitter post on facebook from listeners. You telling us what your lives are like and what you're going through right now and at the end of every episode we're gonNA share them with you here. Your each ISM is a professional bagpiper and Bagpipe teacher. He lives in Seattle Washington but he teaches online and he decided that the lockdown was a great excuse to host one of his online piping and drumming competitions. So we've heard from a lot of pipers and drummers around the world who are stuck calm during this time and some people are very busy and are facing you know real challenges and we understand that playing music and pursuing. Their hobby is not something that they're able to do right now but we also heard from people who are saying. They have lots of time right now because their situation and they're really getting a lot of enjoyment out of playing their pipes and drums. So that's why it was so important to me to put together this event to give pipers and drummers this opportunity to play and to perform and to be part of this broader community that we all know in love but doing it in this online format. Thanks for sharing. You can send your voice memo about your life in isolation to US pitches at NEON HUM DOT com. We'd love to hear from you. It made possible by the World Class Team Producers Editors and engineers that make up neon media. Jonah Santi is the managing producer telescope. Today's episode was reported and produced by Joanna. Klay was edited by our engineer. Is Marc Busch? Thanks to Matt McGinley. For our theme music and the Blue Dot sessions British tracks here in this episode follow us on twitter and Instagram at Neon home media. We have a facebook page now. Just search for telescope. Be Sure if you like this program to rate and review us on Apple podcast to help people find out and most importantly we want to stay connected with you during this time so please don't be shy chair your stories with us. Rdm's are always open if you have a story of life in isolation because of the corona virus you wanNA share with US email us at pitches and hung dot Com. I'm Jonathan Hirsch. I know it's short week making it through Friday.

baseball Dan Kurtz South Korea League Major League Baseball United States Pro Baseball League K B O Espn America PBA Apple PHILADELPHIA Jonathan Hirsch Spotify producer Espn Steve Tacoma Washington
The Bettors Box KBO Betting Podcast June 11, 2020

Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

40:25 min | 10 months ago

The Bettors Box KBO Betting Podcast June 11, 2020

"Hello, everybody, thank you for joining me in the better. SPOCK's begging to book. dotcom K B O betting podcast for Thursday, June eleventh I'm your host Adam Burke this end, every initiative box presented by our friends over at D. SL sportsbook, bt and the number two hundred is that Promo Code One hundred percent deposit match with a sportsbook, one hundred percent match bonus for the live casino at. Sei It's only a game until you bet it DKBO articles still going up every day over at Magna. Book Dot Com not giving out any picks for the time being because. Quite, frankly the pigs have not worked out at all whatsoever, just giving you some statistical breakdowns of the Games looking at the starting pitchers, some of the advanced metrics, all that type of stuff didn't want anyone to feel obligated to play any of the selections that were in that article because like I said they been pretty bad, so even though I'm putting the time putting in the effort. Putting in the research results aren't there so I. Will Give you the Information and let you decide for yourself. What you WANNA do here for the next little while in the K B, O got a preview. Preview of this weekend's UFC fight night card Jessica is Cynthia Calvo. That's at the UFC apex once again in Las Vegas. Get your that preview head to race at Martinsville last night. Good call by our friend. Brian Blessing here on being the book radio who liked Martin shoes junior in that race. He gets the win. We keep doing NASCAR previews. Bengal. Book Dot Com well the look at the xfinity series for this weekend as well as the Cup series, both of those races at Homestead Miami, and here on a Thursday morning. Gulf underway at the Charles Schwab challenge will be doing golf previews. And list of. Value, picks every week at Bang. The Book Dot Com for these golf tournaments on again we talk golf on Tuesdays with Brian Blessing, so some price plays that we talked about and then also some guys that maybe you want to take a look at as this tournaments going on here Friday night on into the weekend. Obviously, we're still waiting for a lot of sports to come back I'm just kind of biding my time getting ready to do some college football and some more NFL stuff. Don't want to dive headfirst into everything, and then all the sudden. You know things, get shut down or simulate that don't really WanNa put forth all that effort like I did. Did with the MLB betting guide just for things to kind of get wiped off page here so still biding my time here with college football, and the NFL did a piece earlier in the dating. You look at some Stanley Cup, futures odds we doing some more stuff with the NHL and the NBA the NBA with a target date set up July thirty first and Shell. They're trying to start training camp. July tenth so things maybe kind of getting back to normal a little bit here. At least that would be the hope it. Hopefully, things will start getting back to normal over at the book dot. com as well and if I could here real quickly. I know I mentioned the sports at the top of every show. We got sports work reviews of a lot of different places over at banged the Book Dot Com you, WanNa be set up and you want to be ready to go when these sports come back, but also there are things to be betting on out there. You can still be betting. You have seen NASCAR K B o a lot of the soccer league's getting going. Here League starts today English Premier League starts next week lot. Lot of stuff going on internationally in the soccer world. You'd better that at all. These offshore sports books as well so if you sign up through us, you will get exclusive deposit bonus. You'll be helping out the site as well so if you had the chance to do that. If you're looking to get set up with a new sports booker to for what's going to be a very busy for five month period here from August to December with golf majors, NBA Nhl Hopefully Major League baseball. Obviously got a lot of stuff for you. Have See Nascar College on the NFL all that you get a chance over to bang book, Dot Com. Check out those sports book reviews. It also see what we have to offer with our partnership deals with those places aren't so we just look beyond the box score here and then we'll take a look at the weekend preview. Some of those series coming up and you know when we look at foreign players. We talked a lot about this heading into the. Season things have played out pretty much as expected foreign pitcher Er ache as a collective unit, a lot of full run better than the League era as a whole foreign pitchers are still doing very well. Maybe even better when you consider that the baseball has been reduced a little bit, so those pictures definitely still going to get those inflated prices out there in the marketplace and deservedly, so a lot of these guys obviously have been very good now. They have run into some situations where they're bullpens have blown games for them. So maybe you start looking at the first five route with a lot more of these teams stuff like that and again with a lot more interest indicated here, the books have gotten more creative with team totals I five Some places have alternate. Run lines all that kind of thing so. There are a lot of ways to try and enhance your investments here in the K B O so something you may WanNa. Take a look at especially when those foreign pitchers on the mound, also the foreign hitters going into Thursday's games betting three Oh, eight with a three eighty two on base, five fifty two slugging percentage about twenty percent better in the batting average department than the domestic. Domestic players here in the K B O so four and hitters doing very well foreign pitchers doing very well as you would expect here. We got a lot of foreign pitchers on the injured list right now as some of those guys, get back as this season goes along something, you want to keep in mind that these foreign pitchers have been doing very very well on the whole. What did take a quick look here? At some updated pathet career win loss numbers again you can try to find some opportunities to be on or against teams. They're looking for some positive or negative regression to the mean, and as we look around the. As a whole. There really aren't a whole lot of outliers in of. Record and pathetic career win loss record. Now there are a couple and I'll highlight them here as I run through these pathetic and win loss records. NC is at the top of the League at twenty, five and seven, they are plus ninety three and run differential that it's far and away the best indicator Yo. It's better than double the next team in run differential, which is the LG twins at plus forty two? What for NC here, their pathetic and win loss win percentage seven forty two, so there are about twenty three point seven and eight point three team right now with professor loss, twenty, five and seven overall so. They've overachieved by game or so and we see that with their record in one run games, and obviously with having the best run differential in Cabo by far, they've overachieved a little bit like they will come back to the pack. Some as this season goes along, but for right now with that series went overdue side. They are five games clear in first place over the Dusan bears and the LG twins. Speaking of Dusan, this is one of the biggest overachievers here. Bypass Thiry and win loss in Cabo this season. On his twenty and twelve, but they're only plus three in run differential. That's a five. Oh, wait, win percentage, bypass surgery and win loss and you'll get them. That puts them more like sixteen point, two and fifteen point eight, so do son is about four win overachiever right now based on pathetic and win win percentage. What does that mean well a lot of it has to do with the fact that they've been so good offensively on the road. On, that also has to do with the fact that at home you're pitching. Staff hasn't been very good. The offense as we know not as good there in Seoul at Jim Stadium with the pitching staff really hasn't been a whole lot better at home, so that's why they're twenty and twelve of the plus three run differential. They're outscoring teams particularly on the road. Road! They've done a very good job of really outscoring the opposition away from home. So what do side here? It's Kinda tough because they're just a dramatically different team on the road versus at home, so that leaks in their professional and win loss numbers leaks into their rod differential all that kind of thing, also early out of the year, their bullpen was just. Atrocious the been better here of late. The starting staff still not very good I'm still not a believer in a guy like Raul I'll contra so. They're going to continue outscoring teams to win. They had a little bit of a lull offensively now they've picked it back up some, but they aren't overachiever. Bypass Surgery and win loss so I don't know what this necessarily means. Long term and we are dealing with some relatively small sample sizes here, but do side has overachieved and I think that when you look at this team. Maybe you can find opportunities to fade. Fade them at home where we know it's going to be harder for them to outscore the teams that they're playing. Simply because their offense isn't nearly as good when they're in that home ballpark. Were they pretty poor park factors so do side is one of the two main outliers indicate bureau in pathetic and win lost because they've got that plus three run differential, and they do have such dramatic Holman road splits. LG The team that shares the Ballpark in Seoul with Dusan, they are also twenty and twelve, but they are plus forty, two Enron differential, six, twenty seven. win-loss win percentage which actually puts them. Right where they are at twenty and twelve so LG, this is their true performance level and I think I mentioned this before I do think l.. Starting rotation is a lot better than it has performed, thus far to me and see is the best team in the league. LG is the second best team in the League, and that may catch some people by surprise. Given what we. We? Know about do Saad and their offense, and all that type of thing, but LG has been better at home offensively. Then do side as as good on the road, but they've still been very good in that department, and of course to LG with the best bullpen in this league, so LG, if I was to power rate the K, B O teams L. would be number two. And in fact, Kiwi who's eighteen and fifteen right now they're plus twenty five and run differential. They may very well be the third best team for me. They've got a five seventy two. Win Loss Win. Percentage that puts them at eighteen point nine and fourteen point one, so they've underachieved by a game. At this point time they should be more like a thousand nine and fourteen team, but I do think there probably the third best team in this league. And I do like their starting rotation. They've got probably the second best bullpen, maybe the third best bullpen. Actor offense is pretty good, too, and I will talk about this a little bit later in the show, but the young park is still struggling. And when he gets going, he will dramatically changed. The outlook for this key will offense so NC is number one LG is number two I think key womb is probably the third best team here in the K. B O and I would probably have Dussan fourth, so take that for what it's worth, but I do think that LG is a team that can get a little bit better, I think NC welcome back to the pack. A little bit and I think Dusan is very scary team to be right now. Leong still not pitching well. Leon Chan. He's out with Tommy John. Surgery. I'm not a big believer in l.. Contra. Don't like this Dusan rotation at all. If this offense slacks off to any degree, they will struggle. I think do side probably the fourth best team an estimated here in the cable right now. The to giants save rattled off six in a row. They're now seventeen and fifteen. They're minus eight and run differential, so they should be more like a fifteen and seventeen team based on their run differential. They are seventeen and fifteen right now. Really Tale of two seasons for them already. They started out very very good. Struggled in the middle now. They've gotten better here over this last week week and a half so just ups and downs young team that will happen a team that is very invested in sabermetrics. I would expect them to get a little bit better as the season goes along here as they do more things developmentally as some of these. Concepts kind of take hold a little bit, but again for right now. They are a little bit of an overachiever, but again that's six game winning streak that they're on kind of skewing that a little bit at this point in time. The Tigers they're seventeen at sixteen, the plus twelve run differential, five thirty seven. win-loss win percentage about seventeen and seven and seventeen point seven and fifteen point three for their record, so maybe underachieving by a game or so, but again a team with very dramatic home road splits. That's of playing into this equation a little bit as well Samsung. They're fifteen eighteen minus nine in run, differential, four seventy two beggary and win loss win percentage that puts at fifteen point six and seventeen point four, so they're basically right on par pretty much with where they should be at this point in time, the other big outlier here in the K B o is the Katie Whiz. They are twelve and twenty on the season now. They've hit the skids here of late. Only minus seven in run differential, so they had some big blowouts early on in the year, but they also. Lost a lot of one run games. When their bullpen was just incomplete, shambles, they four eighty two beggary, and win loss win percentage, and I probably should've mentioned this at the top, but February and win loss is based on run differential, so at minus seven, that implies a four eighty two, but thuggery and win loss percentage, which is fifteen point, four and sixteen point six, so Katie right now and underachiever by about three or three and a half games, so this is a team that I. do think again should be a little bit. Better as the season goes along, maybe the offensive breakout on Thursday as what they needed to see, but Katie isn't underachiever at this point in time, so the big overachiever right now is deuce on by about four games. Kt is the big underachiever by about three three and a half games, so maybe those are a couple of teams that you want to have on your radar with deuce on is a little bit of a team and kt as a little bit of a by team. S, K., their eleven twenty one minus forty and run differential. They're about where they should be. They should be about twelve and twenty team. That's pretty much where they are at this point dime, and then of course, the eagles, the worst team in the be Oh seven twenty six now minus one eleven in run differential. They've lost sixteen in a row, sexually seventeen in a row seventeen in a row, one ninety, one their factory and win loss percentage that puts. Puts them at about six and twenty seven so pretty much right where they are so again just kind of looking at this using this as a little bit of a guide to see who has overachieved, who has underachieved, do as overachieved Katie as underachieve, and I think lg the second best team in the Oh, then key womb, and then Dusan, at least if I were to kind of stack rank, these teams a little bit here in the K. Beal. Real Quick Bullpen update for those that don't look at my bullpen reports spreadsheet, which is in the daily KB article everyday over banged the book dotcom Dusan, six sixty four era 169 whip on one now with the most innings pitched among bullpens in the. Sixty two era, one sixty eight whip Kia five twenty eight era, one fifty three whip key wom- four fifty to your a bottle, one thirty one whip so I would expect them to get a little bit better here as things move forward. Kt with a seven twenty nine era, one eighty three whip LG, the best bullpen in the League, three seventy, your a one twenty six whip for them lot of four seventy three E. R., A. One three three whip, probably the second or third best bullpen here in this league right there, step by step with key. NC Five thirty five Er a one fifty nine whip. This is the worst part of that NC Ballclub, and did not have a great series against on Samson, four fifty era, one forty seven whip, and they just added Sung Want Oh. Who came back from a gambling suspension that should elevate their bullpen a little bit probably the fourth best bullpen. Belonging to Samsung, then finally S K where they four ninety three era, and a one fifty one whip Eddie at-bat dot com to get the notes for the show. I believe I forgot to send out Mondays, I, apologize for that. I'll go ahead and throw those with the email here today, but adamant Bangok Dot Com for the show notes or skating tripods at gmail.com. Arts. We take a look here at the series that just wrapped up L. G.. They sweep the double header on Thursday wind up taking that series from S K and We talk about this a lot. Dusan and LG Sharing Jim Sell Stadium LG, with ten runs in the three games in this series, but they were able to hold us. To only nine runs in the three games in this series LG now down to five point, three runs per game at home I six point five six point seven something like that on the road, thirteen home runs at home, twenty two home runs on the road, so lg kind of playing the part there in Seoul Jim Still. Stadium but the pitching carries them to a series victory here S K, false, two four and And Thirteen on the road, and that's not necessarily a crowd, factor or a travel, factor or anything like that. It's really a factor thing the K-. Offense just isn't very good, and even in these low offensive environments at LG or at Dussan s k. you'll still. They're not able to score runs. They're not able to outscore the opposition enough, but they're getting very good. Pitching very good. Starting pitching in particular League John. Five solid innings for him in the first game that was the game that S. k one Ricardo Pinto only walked one in game one of the double header. That's a great sign going forward. Kim Tae Hoon, however game to walk five, and that was the problem because he only gave up three hits in. That starts with Kim Tae Hoon. Walks have been an issue. He's still carrying that low bab and I don't think it's sustainable for him. Remember Bab batting average on balls in play. He's touting like the to twenty range. That's not sustainable in this league or really in any league, unless you're in elite level talent and he is not. A good pitcher, but he's not elite level by any means. If this walk thing continues in the bedroom starts to normalize. He's going to have some really bad start strung together so Kim Tae Hoon is more of a fade guy for me for S. K right now than he is a by to say the least. Another good start here for Lebron Ho of LG seven, really good innings in game one of this double header eighteen, but he looks like. He looks the part right now looks very very good love this L. G. Rotation long-term with lean hosts, stepping up Lim Chan, you little bit of positive progression for him in Game Two Casey. Kelly was great in game one. They've got Tyler Wilson of course I. really like this L. G. Ballclub a lot. There's not a lot of futures value in them I think they're in the six to one ranger so right now to win the K B O, not a lot of futures value there, but I do think day in day out. There is some value on this team because I got festively. They're quite good. The bullpen is great and I really liked this starting rotation, so l. Definitely team. I would try to back more than fade here still out there betting the K B O. Little bit of bullpens shuffling going on here for LG. Though closer Lee sang you. Couple of bad outings in a row, and then in the second game of the doubleheader actually pitched I. Believe in the sixth or seventh I think it was actually the sixth inning here, so trying to get him right in a little bit of a lower leverage spot gave up two hits hit. A guy didn't give up any runs in his two thirds of an inning, but still had some issues. That's worrisome for L. G., but it seems like they've got pretty good bullpen. Bullpen depth, but just keep that in mind. They're shuffling the bullpen, a little bit. And when you change those defined roles, it can upset the applecart a little bit, so l., we have seen their bullpen era on the rise a little bit. That's not necessarily a surprising, but that could be a thing, so they may have to outscored the opposition a little bit here, but they should have a lot of leads with what I believe is a very very good starting rotation. The lot the giants they slept the eagles, six wins in a row for lot of good for them, seventeen losses in a row for on one, not so good for them, but the giants are back backup over five hundred now, and they beat on what twenty six to five over these three games they knocked around Warwick sampled seven runs on thirteen hits for him in Game One Kim, Min, Woo Jiangmen, Jay. They combined to get only fourteen outs for hot, so each guy only going to and a third. They're taxing the bullpen. They're just a very very bad baseball team right now. In fact you the game on. And Hud Wa had the bases loaded in the first, the second and the fourth didn't score, and any of those innings, and the rest the way over the final five innings. They had a walk in a single, and that was it and. I I. Don't know I guess. This is the bottom for this team I don't really know. I don't know what they can do. Aside from breaking up more minor leaguers and hoping for the best, but. They're not getting any starting pitching. They haven't got any bullpen work all season long. The offense is bad I. mentioned coming into this season. The offense was bad, very low, slugging percentage team, not good with the run environment or the renewed run environment in the K B O. They're going to win at some point and it's probably going to be a softball start, but. What a mess and and the tough thing about it here is that you know it was very hard to lay big prices with the giants I mean again this team that played very well over the first week and a half of the season, and it totally hit the skids and wound up being down near last place now they're backup over five hundred, good serious from a run differential standpoint for them being plus twenty one in that department, but I think this may be what we get from the lot to giants over the course of the season. I think there'll be a streaky team. They're pretty young team. And young teams are often streaky your they win some low scoring games against KT. Now they beat up on Hawa. Positive feelings positive vibes, those kind of roll into each other. But when he hit the skids, they lose a couple of games in a row. They may rattle off four five six losses in a row. That's just how young teams are so there inconsistent and they're pitching is inconsistent in the starting rotation behind Dan. Look. Adrian Samson still trying to figure this out very tough emotional time for him to say the least he looked three runs. Give up eleven baserunners in six and two thirds a step in the right direction. For Adrian Samson but again. Hod Team. That is just the bottom of the barrel right now so. Lot will probably continue to be like this. They'll win four five in a row. They'll lose four or five in a row, and you're going to want to try and pick up on these strikes as they get started and looked to or follow. That's pretty much the way that you have to start looking at this team here right now. One other thing excuse me this lots team right now. You're one of the things about lots of here. Here plus ten and run differential at home, rattling off six Oh, here of course plus twenty one in run differential in this series, but on the road their minus eighteen and run differential, and they've only scored fifty seven runs in fifteen games. That's three point. Eight runs per game, and as I was looking through them, trying to come up with some park factors stuff from a total standpoint here a little bit as I was looking through. Bussan, which is where the lot the home stadium is has actually had a very high park factor over the last few years so I think this giants Ballpark is actually pretty good for offense, so they could end up being one of these teams with these substantial home road splits on the offensive side of things, so keep an eye out for that maybe. Maybe lockdown as their offense gets going or win. They face bad. Pitching staffs is a good team to back at home, but on the road to this point, they've scored less than four runs per game. So what the if this is a developing trend going forward, but that is something I'm keeping a close eye on here with this lot of giant steam. The Katie offense finally woke up, and they salvaged the last game in their series against Kia, thirteen runs on sixteen hits. In that final game they had scored eight runs over their previous five games and thirteen runs over their previous six, so they really did break out. Here made some lineup changes. Bay John, day and Joe. Joe Young Ho they wound up being the first and second batters in the lineup for them on Thursday. Maybe they found something here. But in this series a good road showing for Kia twenty run run seven runs per game. They had scored about three and a half runs per game on the road prior to this series, so they finally got into a decent road hitters ballpark had some success. There were six total home runs in Thursday's game ten runs in five innings for Kia in the middle game so good. Good for them good to see their offense. Break out a little bit on the road, also good to see this offense kind of wake up from its slumber. A little bit on Thursday. I said this should be a higher scoring series. It pretty much played out that way. Obviously, the total in the middle game taken out of the equation with the rain shortened five inning contest, but Kia again on the road in a great hitter's park light, kt like potentially Samsung could be a good spot for them, but again offense. They have been much much better at home than they have been on the road couple of injury notes coming out of this series here Kim men for kt. He walked five in the Middle Game, gave up eight runs on just two hits, and neither one of the hits were home runs. Up Eight runs though he went for an MRI, I don't know what the results are. We'll see what those look like, but kt probably going to going to be missing him from the rotation for a little while, and also for Kia Kim Sun been their leadoff hitter and their second baseman out with a hamstring issue. We'll see how long that kind of winds up. For Him. NC takes two out of three from Tucson. They widened their lead in the K B O two five games to events e seven losses have been against Dusan and they've won. Both of those series do sound actually though scored and see twenty two to twenty in this series, but they came up on the Short Ed had the blowout win in the middle. Game One that one by eight. They outscore seeing the series. Still lose the series here though and. Look. Dussan scored twenty. Two runs the kept going on the road as they have all year long. But some big concerns coming out of this series and the biggest one is that Leong. Pitch terribly again. Seven earned on fourteen hats and five and two thirds in the final game here. Raoul Contra was surprisingly good. I was very surprised to see that start from him. Chris Flexing missing a start for Dusan now? With a nagging injury do son's got some pitching concerns Leong? Ha's not pitched well Leon Chan out for the year contract. Don't believe in that command profile flexes banged up now and a lot of foreign pitchers do appear to be banged up whether they're actually out hurt or just making some bad starts. Starts. Maybe the lack of a traditional spring training kind of catching up with them. A little bit could be a problem here for do side with flex in something to watch as we go forward here on the plus side, you're. The Dusan Bullpen gave up six runs in five innings a game, one scoreless appearances in the other two games. That's a positive. Their bullpens been going pretty well here, but again we know what do sign is they score on a runs on the road? They don't at home and they don't pitch well. And, they didn't pitch well enough to win this series despite scoring twenty two runs, and that's by primary takeaway from this series, and also from what I mentioned at the top of the show about their thackery and win loss do Sun's GonNa, lose some high scoring games, and they already have done that in some of their matchup so far, but I think this is a trend that will continue for that. NC still some bullpen problems for them. Their bullpen did not pitch well in the middle game of this series had some issues throughout the three games, and Mike Right you Mike Right five innings to runs. Okay, that's fine, but one hundred and two pitches in five innings once again at some point, this will catch up with him. He's working a lot of long innings. Twenty pitch innings stuff like that. The NC bullpen is not. Not good hopefully. Mike right stays healthy, but this is a disturbing trend that I'm seeing here with him where it's thinking of one hundred pitches, fifteen outs, and that puts a lot of strain on a pretty marginal. NC Bullpen, and also like I mentioned these foreign pitchers with these inflated lives like right is a five in fly Guy Right now four NC. Which means you're going to need probably twelve outs from that bullpen. And that could be a difficult thing to get so maybe Mike Right is the guy. You Fade a little bit here for and see with some of those inflated prices, and when a team that could be coming back to Earth a little bit. Finally one more series to recap here Samsung and key woman. good series win for Samsung here won T in was not sharpened game on walked five. That's a rarity for him if he doesn't do that. Maybe this series goes a little different for Samsung. Maybe they'd pull off that sweep over key. But still you'll have very big offensive effort. Against Choi Wante for the series win in the finale. They hit three home runs. Their Samsung pitched well at home. You GotTa give them credit for that. Only nine runs for key womb in this series and again park beyond Ho twenty three hits, and one hundred and thirteen at bats, only one double six home runs forty four strikeouts in one hundred thirty six plate appearances. He'll hit eventually, but right now he's really dragging down the middle of this offense when he does hit I like this team A. A Lot, and he will at some point in time, but he didn't hit in. This series hasn't hit a lot overall. That's why keyword right now. Only three games over five hundred at this point in time. What thing to watch for Samsung here? Tyler Selah Dino, who's been actually hitting very very well over the last two two and a half weeks he got hit twice by pitches in Thursday's Game Soa base in the fifth, and then wound up not coming out defensively in the six, so keep an eye out for that. We're Tyler Salad. Maybe banged up. Maybe doesn't play on Friday. That would really hurt Samsung offense because they don't have a whole lot of pieces to begin with. They did hit four home runs in this series. Twenty two home runs in eighteen games at home, eight home runs in fifteen games on the road, and they are at home this weekend against kt. Ended up being a pretty offense, heavy series for both sides. If we look ahead here at the weekend, Kia takes on S. K., K.. T. is at Samsung Lot at LG Dusan at Hawa that. At and see KIA and S K and I'm looking for a low scoring series here S. K, maybe there to best starting pitchers, Park John and Moon Sung one. They didn't pitch in this last series, so they will pitch in this one against the key offense that just has not hit on the road most of this season, and even scoring seven runs per game at kt in that series. Series Kia still under four runs per game on the road this season and the S. K. offense only three point nine runs per game home for them and in this series they're gonna get drew gun Yo and I believe on Sunday. They'll get young son Jong maybe the best domestic, most accomplished, anyway, domestic starting pitchers, so I like the pitching matchups in this series you WanNa key appended. Line for positive aggression. You'd have an S. K. Penn funding is pretty average. Call I. This is a low scoring series. I think the totals will be reflective of that I think we get nine thousand nine and a half's in this series. If you get anything in double digits, you gotTa. Look at the under here in this one because again. Kia has problems on the road. Yeah, they scored some runs it, kt, but that's the best offensive in. This year now they go to S K, not a great offense at park at all whatsoever. I say low scoring series here between KIA and S K. Kt and Samsung and like I said I'm expecting some runs here in this series, obviously the Ballpark, the Samsung Lions Park in debut is good hitters part-particularly for home run hitting Katie widsom home runs on Thursday got the lineup back together now with all those guys healthy could see some runs in this series for sure address them, or despite the I believe gets the start here on Friday. He's not pitched well his last two outings. We'll see if he's able to right the ship here against Samson. Beigey Yang as we know, has those negative aggression signs high left on base percentage higher than. Worry a little bit about him going to Samsung although Samsung. Quality contact so maybe bay is able to hold off a little bit here to see what that total, and what that price looks like once again. Make sure you check on the status of Tyler Salad. For Samsung. Maybe you fade. David, Buchanan here, Buchanan said too bad starts three really good starts for Samsung thus far, but I Katie at home. ezek tough spot for Buchanan and also the Samsung. Pen, they pretty good edgier. They got oh sung back now. He's kind of pitching in some lower leverage spots, he'll eventually get moved into high leverage, but Samsung has a pretty decent bullpen. Kt does not something for you to keep in mind here in this series Lotta and LG and once again. I just? Just I don't know what we're going to get from the giants day in and day out. They do ride a six game winning streak into this one, but they're not a great offensive team overall, and now they go to Seoul. They go to jam so stadium where offense is suppressed. They'll get Tyler Wilson. They'll get Casey Kelly. They'll get shabu chan in. In this series, those are three tough match ups for the lot that giants offense Dan. Stralia will go in this series for lot also park. Say Wong, he's pitched a little bit better in his last two outings could be an under serious here I think in Seoul now. The bad lot to offense will depress the totals a little bit here along with the pitching matchup, so you're gonNA, get some eight and a half since nine in this series but I do think it will be a lower scoring series and I do think that maybe if you want to go. The derivative route locked the team. Total is the proper out maybe those going to be better for you here in this series. Tucson is at Hawa and. I I don't think this goes a whole lot better for the Hanwha Eagles hot wife has not scored at home. They are not. They've scored. I think under three runs per game at home. They've only hit three home runs at home. However the opposition has had no problem scoring six point seven runs per game against Hawa. In Honda's Home Ballpark in day John Hahn Bet. They've give it up. Twenty four home runs in their home games as well so do son comes to town deuce on his probably going to hit. I do wonder though if this is maybe a chance for the offense to get something going here. I'm GonNa Fade you who you Quan if I'm betting this series. I think that you know he's the guy. We can fade on the road Han lump again offensively. They're not great, but you. Allows a lot of hits. Something will eventually break the damn for Han while here where able to score, something has to happen at some point. So looking for some overs in this series, maybe worksop pitches well enough to get hot weather win I. Don't know Dussan should hit. Maybe Han Wi hits a little bit better than they have of late. What didn't? Overseer in this series that wrote over trend for deuce on though will inflate these totals a little bit. Finally last serious southbound here we'll save the best for last key womb, and see it is coaching day on. Friday I'm sure he will pitch well again as he always does. Chemo eight and ten on the road, but they are plus thirteen and run differential, so maybe a little bit of a positive aggression candidate here I believe that NC will avoid Eric Jokic in this series, so that helps them. They'll avoid Choi. Tae So NC's offense should be in pretty good shape here. They'll get triple H. Han on he. They'll get least Sungho than also Joe Young. Gun It all likelihood in this series and. After Kuching Mo-, we'll get the back of the NC rotation, so maybe we get some runs here in this series I will say though. Key woman has a big bullpen advantage here so if you get some inflated NC prices and that probably will be the case. There could be some value on key one because again in the lead innings I think they have the advantage. It all depends on how many runs their pitchers give up. How big of a lead and see has what key womb is a pretty good team all around again? I think there are the third best team in the K b. o behind LG and see if the prices are too big here outside of the Ku Mo game. Could have some value, so that may be the way that you WANNA. Look here in this series once again at Bangor Dot. com for the show notes skating tripods. Jim Dot Com after the weekend will do Monday mail bag on the next edition of the better box, so if you've got questions for that, please send those in asking tripods on twitter. Skating tripods G MAIL DOT COM, Adam at Bang Book. Dot Com all the ways you can get in touch with me. I'll do it for me. Thank you for listening everybody and remember that you will never strike out when you're in the betters box.

NC Samsung LG LG Dusan Seoul giants K B O Katie widsom Dussan Leon Chan NFL baseball Kia Adam Burke Tyler Wilson English Premier League soccer UFC Kt
The Bettors Box KBO Betting Podcast May 7, 2020

Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

40:01 min | 1 year ago

The Bettors Box KBO Betting Podcast May 7, 2020

"The once again everybody. And thank you for joining me in the betters boxes. Bang the book dotcom. Mlb BETTING PODCAST for Thursday may seventh. I'm your host Adam Burke this in every edition of the box presented by our friends over at sportsbook bt and the number two hundred is that Promo Code. One hundred percent deposit matchbox for the sports book. One hundred percent deposit match bonus for the live casino at the SL. It's only a game until you bet it. I guess I probably shouldn't call this book dot coms. Mlb betting podcasts. Because right now it's our K B O betting podcasts. Still waiting on major league baseball the return of the major leagues maybe coming July. I hear that seems to be the latest rumor. Some teams being told to get ready for spring training starting in early June. Then maybe a July first start date to the major league baseball season. We'll see how that goes. We'll continue to follow that in the lead up to what we hope is some of America's summer pastime here but in any event recovering the K B o over at Bangor Dot Com and. I'll be doing a lot of stuff here on the box over the next several weeks as well. You have to nine preview up over at the website were previewing all of the events so keep an eye out over banged. The book. Dotcom NASCAR comes back may seventeenth Darlington. We'll have previews of that and all the NASCAR races. We'll do the cup series and the affinity series. We don't do the truck series over. Banged the Book Dot Com. We will be doing the cup series and the xfinity series. Probably get something written up for you here. On that charity Skins Game May seventeenth with Rory Dj Fowler and Wolf. That's at Seminole Golf Club. Down in Florida. We'll be covering all the sports when they get back here whenever that ends up being also doing got a turf race coming up here on Saturday at Gulfstream Park War of will in that one. So we'll go ahead and talk about that one over at. Bang Dot com here with a write up probably tomorrow morning for that horse race down at Gulfstream Park on the turf this weekend so you know what I'm GonNa go ahead and bring back my traditional format for the betters box. Happy to be doing this. Finally so we'll go beyond the box score talk about some observations and some things here from the Games indicate that were most recently completed over some pitchers to watch five guys. Five domestic pitchers that are very much on my radar. Here IN K B O. We'll go down the line about some line movements from the first three days of games and I'll give you some thoughts as we head on into the weekend here as well and I guess I we might as well go ahead and start by saying that look I mean challenging handicaps. This is a challenging market. Unless you've been following it intimately over the last several years. I've made a lot of inferences. I've made a lot of conclusions and deductions based on my research coming into the season. A lot of the things I've kind of looked at you know walk. Rates have been very important to me. Whip hits per innings pitched and then also walks hits per inning pitched then obviously you know just sort of trying to get a feel for this league in general the guys that can have success the guys that don't looking a lot at commander profiles based on extra-base hits because again. I mean last year we saw a big juicing of the baseball home runs. Were down about forty percent last year from what they were in twenty eighteen. So we're still trying to get some data on what the baseball is going to look like four this year. It's a learning process first and foremost you on doing article getting some run with that article getting some run on social media which is all great. And I'm very happy for that and I hope a lot of people tune into this week's edition of the box here as well but the thing of it is look. I'm not betting significant amounts on these games. I mean I'm trying to figure this stuff out as we go. A lot of people have commended me on the right up so far and I appreciate that but there's still a lot of unknown. I see a foreign hitter. I don't know most of these guys. There are a couple of guys that have played in the major leagues and have since gone back over to Korea Hunterston Khoo Hun Su Kim of the Baltimore Orioles one of those guys but on the whole a lot of these guys are just domestic born hitters trying to see which teams are embracing proper lineup construction stuff like that so a lot of learning going on here with this league in the early going trying to take advantage of what I think is a pretty immature betting market at this point in time six and four to this point just under a unit a prophet so far after three opening day. That's pretty disappointing. But again learning something with each bet I make with each game that I follow with each game that I handicap right here. Bang the DOT com. We've also seen a number of bullpen games as well and primarily those coming from the LG twins. Who Don't have Casey Kelly or Tyler Wilson? They are on quarantine right now but. Lg hasn't been the only team that's been going through some of these bullpen games here and these aren't like traditional opener scenarios that we've seen in major league baseball over the last couple of years. This is just really trying to run guys out there. Trying to cobble these games together in the early going remember only six preseason games for these teams here and like. I mentioned a couple of times in article already. I'm surprised at the starters have been as stretched out as they have. I know key WOM- for example. They've taken it a little bit. Easy with their foreign pitchers guys that maybe aren't used to hitting the ground running right away like some of these. Korean pitchers are so get a lot of moving parts. A lot of things to watch here in this league now the Thursday results are in and of course these Games five thirty. Am Eastern time during the week. We've got some four A. M. Eastern time games coming up here over the weekend and of course day games are going to be about one. Am Eastern time for the K B O here but all five games win over the total on Thursday. After four of the five win on Wednesday at opening day was a two in one day as far as most versi consensus. Closing lines went for the total. So what I've seen so far here. Is that the offense. Looks really streaky. We're seeing lots of long stretches with zero runs for teams. We're seeing them kind of score. You know two three four five runs at a time in some of these innings. Then they'll go scoreless for awhile and this makes sense unlike Major League Baseball where you've got this big home run barrage. We can get a walk in the Dinger in pretty much any inning or get a couple of Solo home. Run something like that. A lot of the innings in this league have to be manufactured. So you're going to go through really streaky periods for these offenses because if they're getting guys on base they're probably going to cash in those opportunities if they're not well then it's hard because you're not seeing a lot of Solo home runs in the caveat list. We didn't last year. Home runs up a little bit here this year. I'll talk about that a minute but you will see a lot of multi run innings and then a lot of dead periods where nothing really happens. That just feels like it's going to be the Mo for this league over the course of the season. Now as I mentioned on Thursday all five games went over the total and we had a hundred nine hits across the five games on Thursday one of the big takeaways I had from doing preseason research with the K B O. Is that the drop off from the front of the rotation foreign starters to domestic middle and back end guys is substantial and in fact we saw a lot of relievers kinda struggle on Thursday as well guys working back to back days guys working for a second time in three days because for the starters at least they've got four pitches. They could cut a cycle through their things. Figure out what's working. What's not make adjustments on the fly for the relievers they come out there and it's from zero to sixty. You don't have time to settle in you. Don't have time for that margin for error so that may be something that we kinda see here. Early on in the season is that some of these relievers working back to back to in threes threes and fours. That didn't get the chance to really do that. In the lead up to the season are probably going to struggle. But predominantly what Thursday was largely a byproduct of is that the domestic starters in this league are not very good especially in relation to the foreign starters that are out there so we're going to see really three different baselines for totals. We're going to see. Probably seven and a half in eight four the foreign born starters if there's two of them against each other in a game ruined to see eight and eight and a half students to the under when you've got one domestic starter one foreign-born starter unless the domestic starter isn't good at all. Then maybe you get eight and a half over juiced. Maybe a low nine with the under juiced something like that but I think as we keep going here when we've got to domestic pitchers on the mound especially after Thursday's results. I think we see nine. And a half's we see tens. I don't know if we see a half necessarily at the outset but I do think that is something we could see. Once the summer rolls around so to foreign pitchers you're going to see probably some seven and a half and some eights. You're going to see eight and a half. Maybe a low nine when you've got one guy and one domestic guy and then nine nine and a half and ten when you've got to domestic pitchers on the mound that's how the totals will kind of set up here for this league based on what we've already seen so far. What I've inferred from the things I've looked at with my preseason research here said there will be offensive ebbs and flows where we'll see when two four and starters throwing against each other will see a low scoring games and then when domestic starters are going we'll see a lot of high scoring games and when you look at the foreign pitchers through the first two days. Tuesday and Wednesday of this Cabo season a two eighty three era a one zero one whip in seventy six innings of work. Sixty strikeouts against twenty two walks. Chris Flexing was okay on Thursday. Six innings three runs seven. Hits struck out six David. Buchanan was not he did not pitch well for Samsung six innings. Five earned six hits gave up a home run. Only struck out to Buchanan is going to be one of the exceptions of the foreign pitchers. Here he will probably be a guy to fade. He was not good in the Napoleon Professional Baseball League or their second division last year. He doesn't Miss. Bats has poor stuff. If you WANNA fade a foreign pitcher Buchanan will probably be the guy. Maybe William Cuevas Maybe Raul all contra. Maybe those are the three guys you look to go against but the North American guys. The guys that pitched in the major leagues got some extensive time there or pitched a lot in AAA. Those guys will probably end up being pretty good. Buchanan is. The exception to that rule did not pitch well in his first start. And I don't think that he's GonNa take all that well to this league in general road teams twelve and three to start the year four and one each day. Hawa and the giants when the two teams on the road that actually played pretty well for the most part a lot to actually winds up with they The sweep of Katie whiz there. But you're the road teams actually did very very well overall here to start the season. So that's something you WanNa take a close look at here just because the better teams that wanted to be the better teams regardless of where the Games are played so that is something that will be on my radar a little bit here as we go forward and again obviously you know. We don't have any home field advantage here in this league so that is something you do want to keep in mind. A little bit is that you know. I don't know how much the fan base is matter in this. I imagine they met her quite a bit. Because I mean this is a very exciting league to say at least backflips a lot of personality. Stuff like that but early on in the process here. Everyone's getting accustomed to the fact that they're not playing with fans so I don't know how much the crowd factors matter. Maybe this week it was just a simple fact that the better teams we're on the road and the better teams lawn doing very well here for this week. We saw ten home runs on Tuesday twelve on Wednesday six on Thursday. So that's a lot of Dinger's twenty eight home runs here over the first three games. That's a big increase from what we saw in the first three games last season and as I just mentioned a lot of foreign pitcher's getting the starts here over these first three days and even some of those guys giving up some long balls so what. I'm kind of thinking here so far. Maybe the baseball is a little bit different. Maybe the baseball a little bit more tuned for offense than it was last season a lot more data to definitively make that conclusion but I do think the ball is play a little bit differently here at the outset of the season. Now this may also just simply be the fact. That pitchers didn't have a lot of reps to get ready for the season as I mentioned. Only the six preseason games basically one tuneup start for each guy. So maybe it's that maybe the command profiles just haven't come around as of yet but I do think the baseball looks to maybe be playing a little. Bit differently will watch that closely here as we go throughout the rest of the Cabo season. Samsung does appear to be Best Hitters Park. At least as far as runs go nine home runs in the three games there because I mentioned twenty eight overall here through the first fifteen games against just something to fall a little bit as the season goes along here so as I continue with this beyond the box score portion of the show. Let's breakdown some observations. I saw from each respective series here over the first three days of the K B O. And of course the big story here the K B O so far the Katie whiz getting swept by the lock. The giants over those first three games of the giants were the worst team in the last year by a large margin. What the giants have embraced. A lot of those moneyball ask concepts. They set some of their pitchers to drive line baseball. They've been doing the weighted ball training their GM. I believe Sung men. Kim is his name. I apologize if I'm wrong on that one but Kim was in the cubs organization got to learn under Theo Epstein. He's brought a lot of those concepts to the K B. O here already with this lots of giants team and so this is probably team. That looks greatly improved here to start the season now. Of course we did see some line moves on them in part because like major league. Baseball the expectation here is at all of these teams are on a relatively equal playing field because there wasn't a whole lot of lead up to the in Major League Baseball. We see a lot of underdog money in March and April. Anyway so we get that with the giants here. And the giants reward those betters. With three victories scoring twenty three runs on three hits over those first three games and the lots of bullpen which one of the things I read from. Kb report coming into the season. Was that the bullpen. Looks to be very young. Could be pretty inconsistent. Ten two thirds three run six hit seven strikeouts. Three walks in the series. All three of those runs in one game. I believe the middle game in this series so the giants good hitting good pitching. Good bullpen work. They get the sleep there in this series and something else that really stood out to me about this series and with Katie Whiz in particular. They're running a guy with a to ninety four career. On base percentage at the top of the order and the guy second as at three thirty four on base percentage league average last year was three thirty seven. So I do not like the lineup. Construction from Katie Whiz there three through seven pretty strong very good hitters there in the middle of the order. But they don't have the table centers right now. And what are the big things for the giants in this series? They did have the table. Setters their top two guys career. Ob of three seventy two and three sixty three so they set the table. They got the middle of the order to take advantage of those chances. And that's important because a lot of the top and bottom of the order guys can struggled struggled from a power standpoint in this leak. The middle of the order guys are the power guys. You get a more traditional lineup. Construction in this league than you see in Major League Baseball and four K. T. I don't know what they're doing here with a guy with a sub three hundred. Ob leading off. They are going to continue to struggle to score runs if they don't change that around they've got to move some of these middle of the order guys up a little bit and we saw one of the worst pitching staffs in the league from last season in the Lotte giants shut. Kt whiz down in this series so for right now. Katie was a difficult team to back. Maybe you place them under with them. But unless I see something proactive with their lineup. Construction I'm going to be really concerned about them as we go forward here now the NC Dino's swept the Samsung Lions and on the surface. This looks like it was a pretty dominant effort from the Dino's and maybe it was however Samsung in this series. Twelve walks to hit by pitches and thirteen hits so they had if you take errors out of the equation. I'm not sure if there were any of those. They had twenty seven baserunners in this series but only scored five runs. They hit three Solo homers. They scored a run on a wild pitch. They had a single hit by pitch single sequence that scored a run so some early negative cluster. Lock Four Samsung. They did strike out twenty seven times in this series. That's obviously going to hurt you quite a bit in this league. But they drew walks. They didn't have great success with balls in play but they drew twelve walks and had a couple of hit by pitches. So don't get too low on this Samsung offense. They do hit for Pretty. Good power overall. They've got a very good park factor if they get some of that. Cluster turned around a little bit. This offense could be better so what I'm kind of looking at here is Samsung. Maybe as an over team as we go forward over the next week and a half this for a little bit of a correction based on the first three games that we saw there and the Dino's did pitch pretty well overall but the fact that Samsung didn't cash those walks and some of their opportunities leads me to believe that they should have better fortunes than what we saw over. These first three games do son took two of three from LG L. With five spot in the eighth inning. That was the big difference in game. One scored all five of their runs in the third inning in game. Two then scored. Six unanswered runs in game. Three thick rubber match in this series stood out to me. A little bit about do side in this series is that last year they led the League in walks and they had forty nine more walks than the second place team only drew four walks in this series. So maybe a little bit more of an aggressive approach against this. Lg Twins pitching staff. This is not a good hitters park four Dusan or LG. They share jam still stadium. What do son was still a very good offensive team last year in part because they drew a Lotta walks. The didn't draw a lot of walks in this series and in fact what we saw in game one they struggled offensively in game two. They scored all their runs in one inning. And then three at on a little bit over the course of the game but this is a very good offensive team. That didn't show a whole lot of discipline in this series. So I'm curious to see what happens with them. It's stuff to evaluate. Lg coming out in this series. Because as I've mentioned several times already they didn't have Casey Kelly. They didn't have tyler. Wilson had a couple of bullpen games. Here in this series. So those are guys in Kellyanne Wilson. That probably would have started game. One and game two for them now. What I want to pay close attention to with LG and this is something. I'll talk about more at the end of the show is that I want to know where they slot Casey Kelly Tyler Wilson. Because as I've mentioned already the middle and back end. Domestic starters are not very good. So if Kellyanne Wilson lineup this weekend against domestic starters I wanna see the market catches onto that. I WanNa see if the oddsmakers open those numbers accordingly where. Lg should get the benefit of the doubt by having foreign-born starters again what will probably be domestic pitchers. So I don't know exactly when they're quarantines are over but whenever that is the case I want to see where their slotted and who they wind up going up against Han Wi with a surprising performance here taking two of three from S K Wibran's who was one of the better teams in this league. Last season work through that complete game shutout in our on opening day. I one I believe fifteen years fifteen or sixteen years here in the KB. Oh He outdueled Nick Kingham in game one Ricardo Pinto. Very good in game two four K. One run on three hits then. The bullpen really faltered in game. Three Twenty eight hits in that game starters dancing around danger four. Hawa John. Excuse me I tell you. I'm going to butcher so many of these names as I'm doing this young. She won gave up two runs on nine hits and then Park Young. Gave up two runs on eight hits so seventeen hits allowed by the two starters but only four runs there were six double plays in. Thursday's game that kind of limited the run scoring a little bit Hawa. Maybe a little bit improved here. We'll kind of have to wait and see what I do think is possible. Is that Nick Kingham. Even though he didn't get the win in game one pitching pretty well over his seven innings. There's a good chance. He winds up being the best pitcher in this league. By the end of the season we saw him and Mike Right. Make their debuts here in this first series two tall guys and again these are different things. From what a lot of these Korean hitters. If seen a lot of five eleven six foot six one types of domestic pitchers you get these guys. That are six four six five. They're coming from a much different arm slot different vantage point. They can work up in the zone a little bit. If you watch a lot of Korean swings there are a lot of uppercuts to them on a guys that either chopped down at the baseball or swing with a bit of an uppercut. You can work up in the zone. You could probably have a lot of success here in this league. Which I think is something that does kind of separate some of these foreign starters from some of these domestic guys so Kingham did take money in game one. I think capable. Take money a lot over his next several starts. So if you WANNA bet Nick Kingham and S K. You're probably GONNA have to get in pretty early on that one key womb took two out of three from the Kia Tigers that were in position for the sleep. I had the run line with key on Thursday but their bullpen fell apart and also their line score with four hundred million runs four in the first nothing after that. That's never good. You obviously want to add on as much as you can. Forty two game after one. Then the key won't bullpen falls apart late in that game but the key will manager is their former pitching coach and something. I thought was really interesting. Is that while a lot of starters were unshackled in their first starts. Jeff Brigham and Eric Yokich were not those. Two Guys. Were Limited to around sixty five pitches. Keyword used their bullpen. A lot of their bullpen. Got Twenty nine out over the first two games I think I wrote and then you know yeah. I think it was what it was. I think it was twenty nine hours over the first two games then it felt like their bullpen workload really caught up with them in game questionable lineup construction for. Kia kind of looked at but I noticed that key will in game three on Thursday had a couple of relievers that worked back to back days and both of them struggled. Kim Sang Su and Lee. Young Eun were two guys at work back to back and struggled on the second day. And that's going to be tough to find you're going to really have to dig to find bullpen usage. The do some deep box score. Study to find these guys working back to back days because we just don't have a ton of great resources right now for the K B O on again this reliever usage thing is something. I'm going to try to keep a very close eye on now as I mentioned here. Five domestic pitchers that are on my list to watch here from five different teams. Interestingly enough the first one is a guy that got the start four key womb on Thursday. He pitched okay. Gave up two runs on nine hits Choi One day now what. I've found a little bit here. I'm looking at some of these. Younger starting pitchers indicate bureau. Is that their breakout? Seasons seemed to be around twenty one or twenty two years of age. What happens in the l? Is that you either start at eighteen or nineteen when you come out of high school so it takes a little bit of time some guy start as relievers some guys are part time starter stuff like that but it takes some time for these guys to get comfortable around their age. Twenty two or twenty three seasons is about where they figure it all out for Choi One Taylor. Last year. He had his breakout season with a three thirty eight. Era A one thousand eight whip twenty eight thousand. He was pretty good as well. Three Ninety one thousand nine hundred five excuse me. Era with a one thirty three whip four forty six era one thirty one whip in twenty seventeen so those are his twenty twenty one and twenty two year old seasons now. He's twenty three. He allowed home runs in twenty seventeen. Only thirteen home runs over two thousand eighteen and twenty nine thousand nine combined so troy one day as a guy kind of entering that early prime for a K B O pitcher. He is one of the domestic guys. I will look back for key womb here as this season goes along next one is Lee. Young Ha of Dussan Lee last year age. Twenty one season had the breakout three sixty four. Era One twenty-eight whip another guy helped by the ball change confidence improved command very good for deuce on in his first. Start six and a third. One earned five hits. He just turned twenty two on November. First so this is his age. Twenty two season four Lee Young Ha of Dussan. A Guy I think will be very very good and won't be priced as high for deuce on as their foreign pitchers in all likelihood so that's a guy. I'm keeping a close eye on as well next one here for the. Kt Wizard Guy. I almost backed on Thursday. Glad I didn't with the KT bullpen falling apart but bay. G Song breakout season for him last year. Three seventy six. Era One forty three whip. The whip was a little bit high but only twenty seven extra base hits allowed in his one hundred and thirty one and two thirds innings pitched this is his age twenty-three season and over his final ten starts last year to forty. Era Would they won thirty to whip so bay Jas Yong of kt? Another one on my list to watcher and again if I'm just butcher shopping these names. I completely apologize for that next one here for the lot. Giants is CEO. John Warne nineteen years old. A very good twenty twenty debut didn't give up an earned run. Just five hits over six innings. Now he will have growing pains but lot again using weighted balls in training. They're more in tune with sabermetrics. He's young he's impressionable. You can work on a guy like him. I think the giants can have success with so John. One four this season here. He could be a big breakout candidate for the giants in two thousand twenty. Finally the last one here a guy who pitched today for the a guy that I wound up betting on coup changmo again. Twenty three years old. The breakout at age. Twenty Two with three twenty. Era One Eighteen. Whip very very good strikeout numbers for this league as well. Four Hundred Fifteen strikeouts in four hundred twenty three and two thirds innings pitched one hundred fourteen strikeouts in seven innings last year. Again a guy that the ball changed really helped gave up. Thirty nine combined home runs over twenty seventeen and twenty eighteen. Just ten last season no runs on two hits eight strikeouts in his twenty twenty debut coup Changmo of NC. Not only. Is he a guy to watch it? In this league. I think down the line. He's a guy that makes that transition over to major league baseball so I would keep a very close eye on him for the NC Dino's and the knows at the top of their rotation they are stacked with drew Rucinsky Mike Right and coup Changmo. Nc is going to win a lot of games. With those three guys on the mound. Probably a lot of overs in those three types of games as well so again. The five domestic pitchers to watch here. Troy one tae four key womb Lee Young. Hof For do side Beijing Yang Four K. So John Wan for the lock the giants that finally coup Changmo for NC Quick Market Observations. Here with things that kind of picked up on looking over at odds portal the lines from pinnacle. So these are pinnacle lines not available to anybody in North America. That wasn't grandfathered in when pinnacle stopped accepting US players. But we saw total crash down on Tuesday between Jeff and Yang Jong now. Yang is one of the best domestic pitchers in this league. So he will see his totals. Come down you will see money on him in his starts so that was key womb and Kia in that one Yang. We'll be a guy that the market will like. Brigham obviously a foreign pitcher. The market will like him as well. That total came down. It was a loser but expect to see total movements down to judgments on those two guys. We saw some S. K. Money come in on Nick Kingham in that game against Warwick suppled suppled throws a complete game. Shutout money will come in on Kingham. A lot under money came in as well. That was also a winner. That was bet that I had on that game for opening day kingdom. We'll take a lot of money whether it's on his side or on his under here in this league. Lots of money coming in throughout the week in their three games of bad team that does seem improved again early season. Underdog money typically comes in in Major League baseball as well and we see that here with the giants in the K B O. NC Dido's money came in on drew. Rucinsky in that one gets back young. Yon That was a winner for the dinos who did end up with the sweep there in that series. Get money will come in on the Dino's on their front. Three starters were since key right and coup Wednesday. We saw some KIA underdog money that was Aaron Brooks making his debut against key womb and Eric Yokich keenum one off the bullpen. There so the key underdog money didn't come in but they were certainly in a position to win that game and it doesn't like Aaron Brooks will fit in very nicely here in some morlock money come in on Wednesday. That was against William Cuevas zips projections from Dan Szymborska over at fan graphs are very low on Katie. They are a very young team. There were five hundred team last year but projections on. Ktar pretty low. They looked to be a team in the market here. A little bit of a fate of them on Thursday as well. But you know again. Katie is just a team that people are looking to bet against here early on in the season. More Dino's money on Wednesday Samsung looks to be maybe a little bit of fade. That was Mike. Right and Ben. Lively to foreign pitchers in that one. The Dino's look to be a by team. Samsung looks to be a team. So right now. In the market the giants and the Dino's are the by teams Katie and Samsung. The are the Fayed teams based on what we've seen so far. Thursday keenum took favorite money and run line money with Choi Against Lee Min Woo. Woo is eight fade guy. As long as he's starting key won't put up a four spot in the first inning. Didn't score after that then KIA coming back off the bullpen in that one like I said less of a fade on. Kt on Thursday. They were in position to win the game. But the bullpen faltered. Once again that was by Bay g song in that start. Who Right now. Maybe the only guy in that. Kt rotation to go ahead and bet on. We saw heavy Dusan money. Come in with Chris Flexing Against Young John Hayman in that Deuce on game on Thursday. Expect to see line moves of consequence. Any game were they foreign starter domestic starter. We will see line moves. Come in on that foreign pitcher finally on Thursday over money came in in the Han Watt Versus S. K. Game TO DOMESTIC STARTERS. Twenty eight hits in that Ball Game. I think it ended eight to four. There were a lot more run scoring. Opportunities can six double plays in that game to limit run scoring to domestic starters. You will see over money. Hit the board with those pitching matchups. So if you've got to domestic guys and they're not the by guys that I've named oddness show those are guys that you probably want to look to the over with as you go throughout the K B o season here and if you want my notes to the box. I know we're going to have some new listeners. On today's show at Bankbook Book Dot Com is one way to get him skating. Tripods at gmail.com is another way. Then hit me up on twitter at skating. Tripods with your email address I will add you to the list for the better. Spock show notes and since. I'm doing actual games now. I will be making sure to send those notes out on the day of the show so adamant paying the book dotcom Skating tripods G MAIL DOT COM at skating tripods on twitter to get on. The note are on the list for the notes for the better spock's so we head on into the weekend here with a new round of series. We've got HOT VERSUS KEY WOMB. Kia versus Sung kt versus Dusan LG versus and C and S K versus. Lakhta as I mentioned back ends of the rotations now. Only four four and pitchers who are in career right. Now have not pitched Casey Kelly and Tyler Wilson of LG Chad Bell of Hawa drew gag non of Kia Adrian. Sampson is on a roster. But he's tending to his sick father. He pitches for the lot the giants. We'll see when he gets over there but only four guys on the active roster right now unless there's an injury that I don't know of have not pitched among the foreign crop pitchers here again back ends of the rotations. Domestic starters expect nine and a half total expected ten or two specially after Thursday. All five games go over on Thursday. Most of the really good foreign pitchers had already pitched so. We'll see scoring go up with the back ends of these rotations and like I said it looks like home runs. Maybe up a little bit here as well as case struggled with. Hawa in that first series lot does become a by team for a lot of people out there in the market S. K. And Lot to play each other here this weekend. Curious to see what happens with those lines. How the giants are price given that? They were such a bad team last year. And they're off to such a good start here for this year. Lg has pretty good offensive personnel. Now they're going to a hitters park with NC. Do over a little bit there and see now with the back of their rotation their three best starters have passed if LG doesn't throw their foreign guys. I like the over in the first two games there. If they do throw their foreign guys I will be looking to back L. Lg I don't think I'll get plus money. Prices be looking back. Lg If Kellyanne Wilson go up against the back of the rotation guys for NC here in this series finally I didn't kt will once again struggle in their series. Here they take on Deuce on this weekend. A big separator of good and bad pitching staffs is depth on last year second era I whip Katie was sixth in both era and whip the for the Katie rotation already. Not very good. I can't imagine the back end is either deuce on with the better bullpen between the two teams. I do son has some success here this weekend against kt once again. Adam at Bangor book dotcom via email skating tripods at gmail.com via email. Or you've got at skating tripods on twitter to get on the list here for the betters box notes and the box of course has now become. A K B O podcast. We're back on the air on Monday with another edition of the betters box. Talking more. K B O turn out the UFC. Two forty nine preview over Bengal Book Dot Com and the preview for this weekend's turf event at Gulfstream. The name escapes me right now. We'll be covering a Lotta stuff over at the Book Dot Com as we start to return to normal a little bit and here on the box and on. Bang the book radio. I'll do it for me. Thank you search. Whissle everybody and remember that you will never strike out when you're in the betters box.

League baseball giants Lg Katie whiz Samsung Major League Baseball Two Guys Hawa John Casey Kelly K B O Adam Burke Casey Kelly Tyler Wilson Nick Kingham Korea Hunterston Khoo Hun Su K Dino Choi One Taylor NC Mike Right K B O.
Music podcast celebrates Indias neighbours

podnews

03:13 min | 8 months ago

Music podcast celebrates Indias neighbours

"The latest from our newsletter. Poured News Dot net. Iheartmedia the owner of Heart Radio says that it's podcast revenue grew one hundred and three percents here on Aaron. Quarter to the total digital revenue is ninety three million dollars unique podcast listeners group I thirty percent here on downloads grew by sixty two percent revenue for the quarter across the company however was down by forty-six percents complain the pandemic for that. You can read a full quite from Bob Pittman talking about exclusive whether they're a good idea or not in podcasting our show notes and our newsletter today. On track has published its top US publishers list for July Two Thousand Twenty Iheart is now number one for unique monthly audience in the US as well as global downloads beating NPR in both rankings. ABC is now measured alongside ESPN. The rancor only measures participating publishers. An SEC filing states that lip since former CEO Christopher Spencer who resigned on July thirty first will continue to be paid until the end of this year, he ends four hundred thousand dollars. He'll get a bonus of one, hundred, seventy seven, thousand dollars in early January he'll van to hundred and fifteen thousand dollars a year for his role is senior adviser until the end of February twenty, twenty three for which he'll have to work a maximum of eight hours a month. Lipson will also pay spencer four million dollars to buy back shares that he holds. The Board of lips includes those who last year criticized the company for outsized executive pay I'd like to say something sarcastic here. Row Quarter highlights a surge in tippety around sports podcasts. What's happening in House sports? PODCASTERS can take advantage the pre events for the fest global. Summits Twenty Twenty have been happening all week we linked to a bunch of recordings today. Dearest is a new exclusive podcast on spotify in Indonesian. It focuses on letters written and read by writers, musicians and actors, and it's made by Journalism podcast company K B our prime and a number of additional podcast hosts. Now, allowing you to submit your podcasts to the yet to be launched Amazon music and audible podcasts service some people are giving you a backstage link it works for anyone on any Host by the way. Welcome to a special episode of our humble indie music podcast made an India India Center seventy, three years of independence next week. But India's Music Indie podcast made in India. Wants to remind us that I, love for music isn't defined by geographic boundaries it'll produce three shows focusing on music from India's neighbors and the cat returns to audio with a new weekly podcast from the Vox media podcast network avery truthful man is host leading an ensemble voices engaged in the conversations that matter most to women and those who loved them. It returns on August nineteen and that's the latest from on newsletter subscribe Pod News Dot Net.

CEO Christopher Spencer Summits Twenty Twenty India India India Center US Heart Radio Bob Pittman ABC Aaron SEC Vox media spotify NPR ESPN senior adviser executive Lipson Amazon K B four hundred thousand dollars
Episode Forty-Nine: Korean Baseball

Baseball Together Podcast

1:15:17 hr | 1 year ago

Episode Forty-Nine: Korean Baseball

"The nine plus presents the baseball together. Podcast with your hosts blackjack Brad and Kansas City. Little big breaking Blue Eyes and now baseball together. Welcome back baseball family to another episode of the baseball together. Podcasts I am your host Brig and I got my other Hoes Brad. Right here with me. That's right I'm here. I'm here again. Bredon vural cited yes. We're excited today. We are going to bring you some stuff. We've never done before. This is an unprecedented episode in a history of baseball together. Podcast were very excited. We've got some stuff that we know. You're dying here about and we're dying to bring it to you so But before we do I want to tell you you gotta stay to the end of the show today. Because we're going to do a special podcast. Only discount code at the old. The crowd goes wild. All right cool all right. So let's get into some current events. Actually there are current events. Were there's a lot this week. This week was happening. We had to pare down like that. We're talking about this instead so the first thing we're gonNA talk about. His buster only is reporting has reported that at least one teams for an office has been told to cut their payroll for twenty twenty one Brad unique about this than I do. Why don't you tell us about it? Well I mean they're anticipating losing money this year right. That's really what it is is that they've got guys contract this year that they've gotta pay however whatever pay scale they decide on pro rated or otherwise And then next year they're going to try to save some of that. Gets SOME MONEY BACK BY SAVING MONEY? So really what this is is. It's obviously guys like Mike Trout. Bryce Harper Those guys are Garrett Cole or under contract next year so they're going to be getting their full contract but then it's like well in order to save money we got cut some of those lower end guys or some of the mid level guys Because baseball contracts are guaranteed the whole thing is guaranteed so you know not necessarily cut those guys but not bring back those those mid range free agent guys you know and the other thing that's going to happen with this is that free agents are GonNa get as much money. That offers are not going to be. Mookie Betts it was projected that he was going to be the next four hundred million dollar man you know and because teams are going on the cheap potentially and not wanting to pay that. He probably won't get it. No you know so I mean which it. It's funny to say but somebody might get a discount and end up and he could end up with Bryce Harper's contract well or he'll get a discount and it'll be less than that. Yeah even even so so. What I think is interesting about this. Is that back when we were seeing the Bryce Harper contract go through and then we saw the Mike Trout contract. Go through and it's and then you know some of the other guys. Yelich and all them I we were kind of my opinion has always been there trying to get it in before the collective bargaining agreement res renegotiated because we knew money was going to be a huge huge problem in upcoming. Cba But Nobody saw this coming like no. There is no way so I think what's happened is those guys may be really did. Make out like gangbusters and they. They got luckier than even they thought. And those are some. Those are some amazing deals. Yeah Yeah because who knows how long it's GonNa take the lead to recover. I mean for. He's talking about how the owners are billionaires but you still have enough money to pay those millions of dollars of contracts for years down the road and you know with teams losing money. This year. That that's not helping but then you know it. You're basically going to be losing money next year. Because you're trying to get back with you lost this year so it's it's GONNA take years to recover from. This is part of the problem overseeing. They're yeah they're saying the airline industry is GonNa take a whole two years at least to just to just to balance back out a little bit and start the climb. We might see something similar Major League Baseball. I don't know yeah that you know and I. I really think that the I guess the causing effect from this is going to be that that we're not gonNA see monster contracts and who knows maybe it will help level things back down as far as the contracts go that there will be a new normal. You know that ours eventually. It'd be like okay this is. This is the new normal this is. We're not GONNA pay this and who knows maybe with the with With the collective bargaining agreement. Maybe we'll get a salary cap out of it because owners will be like we need protection from some kind of catastrophe just in case I was just GonNa say that Brad. You're oh you're good. Who that's exactly right or maybe revenue sharing program or something. Yeah and I've heard I've heard there's GonNa be a revenue. Ill the other trying to negotiate a revenue sharing for this year. I think I read that this year that they think that might be the best idea in. Yeah yes definitely says what we've been calling for this. These are ideas and it's too bad that it took some this dramatic situation. Catastrophe like you said to calm these ideas to the table. A little more firmly. But but it's here it's happening. It's the right thing. Good okay all right the pirates. Joe Musk growth. He's a pitcher right right. He does not think that players should take pay cuts just because there's no ticket sales what we call the gate right. What do you think about that? I agree with him because what he says he says. We don't get a raise because they make a lot of money. Well basically saying we don't get a raise when they're sellouts during the season you also don't give us pay cuts at their people. Don't come The headline that said that the that the Florida governor was saying that the Marlins had just opened up as normal. Because going Marlins game social distancing anyway or old Lawrence said that he did. Yeah Oh yeah shots fired. He wants things back you want. Yeah for sure. So he wants things up and running and you know I mean really though the Marlins were lying about about attendance for years either as never been as many people as what they have said were be have said were there. Yeah so you know. Nobody's there first off so you know the Marlins they obviously don't pay their players a bunch of money because than the Stanton contract which they traded out of they traded. They weren't going to pay him. They traded jt Romito because they were gonNA pay him you know so they do take they basically they kind of do to. You could say they kinda take because there's because of money from the gate right like those guys weren't going to get paid to go somewhere else but at the same time if the Marlins were to go and sell out you know have another world series. Winning season go sell out. Yeah you know the next year those guys wouldn't get raises the to take all that extra money and they'd bring it to themselves and if somebody says hey you know. I hope to win the World Series. I Want I want to raise. And this is what they did in the past. Sorry go play for somebody else. You know I totally agree. Yeah and that's typically typically the way that it is I mean. The Nats didn't Pay Bryce Harper before they won the world series. They didn't they didn't pay her in down after they won the world series. They weren't going to give don't and Strasbourg arrays. No of course not so. I totally agree with him. Yeah that We'll get into a little bit later. But like you said you take those contracts you take on the responsibility. It's your your actions are GonNa what are going to be. What's going to have the consequence so you didn't have to pay the guy that much money. But because he did he go you know and understand. They're going to be pro rated. So you're not gonNA be paying one hundred percent of the contract this year but because there's no gate it it definitely affects. It does so. That's my long winded. Answer sorry no I dig it. That's well said Sir. You covered all the bases. Thank you yeah very good harbor. Bryce Harper says that Major League baseball players should be allowed to play in this year's Olympics. If there is all next year's your next year they've already bumped back twenty twenty one right. Yeah that's right. So what do you what do you think of that since I guess? That's my point if there if there was going to be shortened season or maybe they cancel the season. Whatever ends up happening that we think baseball is going to happen this year. By the way Yeah it sure seems like it here in the United States anyway and we'll get into that later but we will but if the Olympics had taken place but Major League baseball had not had a season or had had a shortened season. What do you think do you think that major leaguer should be allowed to play in the Olympics if it was also running really well? His argument was really for for Twenty. Twenty one okay because because the Olympics are going to be in Tokyo right. He's like his thing is why not send. Mike Trout and let him face Shohei Otani in the Olympics. Your how great would that he? He's like how great would that be for the game? That was the exact example that he used. How great would that be for the game in America and internationally really he's pointing the finger at Rob Manfred and the owner saying you're hurting the game by not sending players the Olympics because that is a worldwide stage countries that don't Typically Watch baseball or going to watch and say oh my Gosh. That guy's a big leaguer. That's what you're that's what we're seeing. We're watching big league baseball. That is so much better than than our players. They're bigger they're stronger. They're faster they're better. Let's watch Major League Baseball. I mean think about how much the game how much The NBA has grown internationally since the Dream Team in ninety two. Oh dude was that a mast that nothing like it. Yeah fantastic. If you've got Christian Yelich you've got You've got Aaron Judge and Mike Trout baton two three four in the Olympics. Oh my gosh come on. Now come on now on. I totally agree with Brown this. I I always hated that. They didn't send big Leaguers Olympics because the NHL sent their players Olympics edited an Olympic break. They did right. Yep and Major League. Baseball can do that. Just say okay. This is your all-star break this year. No All star brokering and take an extra week off or whatever it is you know I don't know. And then yeah and I'm coolest given the All Star game for the Olympics. Only it'd be way better. Da superdome super death. Thank you yes that's correct. Know that means the heart feels so much better it would be and I'm going to go ahead and point my finger right rob. Manfred with Bryce Harper and everyone else who's pointing their finger. I mean there's a lot of fingers pointed at Manford and we are among that we are. Yeah it's right anyway. Mainly freight lots of fingers in many many configurations but the point is we. You're right. They should be allowed to play in the Olympics. It's not that often right and it's not then it's not any part about it this way. Dr Game Think about it this way. Teams let their guys in the world baseball classic every four years and that's gone on during spring training so guys have not been warm right. Yes you've got. Cold pitchers cold bats going into the world baseball classic and that is Super Fund and excited to get. Yeah Yeah so. If you guys coming in the middle of the season ready to go like legitimately have a day of training. Camp Celebrity can shake hands and then get going cares though acclamation depending on where they gotta be. Yeah Yeah Yep yeah I agree. Yeah they'd be that'd be fine and it would be a riot. Yes it would be be the best thing for baseball and I would. I'd watch the Olympics again. You don't watch the Olympics. No no oh Bro. I'm limping junkie. I now I I struggle. I don't know it's like I'll watch like track and field because I have a friend from high school javelin. Yeah but but that's that's about it. We're junkies man. It's the only thing on. I don't watch baseball during the Olympics. It's Mike if if it's just different it's special for us but if there was if majorly guilty of a little bit of Humbug or Poppy Pants Olympic is right there. Great Agency fans what. It is all right last piece of current events. And then we'll move on we've got the. The draft has been finalized okay and it is shocking shocking all right so typically the draft can be forty rounds. Maybe more you know there's right. Yeah teams just kind of go until they're done. There's never a real limit was usually around forty rounds and you know this year. It has been decided. I don't know who made this plan. They took this idea and made it a plan. But we're GONNA have five round draft five not even tens five. We're going to for forty two five and all right. It's not him finalize. Maybe this is good. Maybe because the date hasn't been finalized. The details won't have been finalized either. But we're talking right now June tenth and eleventh there's an unlimited payroll on signing bonuses there's cap on signing bonuses for the first five rounds for for five five rounds of the draft. Okay all undrafted players. Post those five rounds. We'll have a signing bonus cap of twenty thousand dollars the twenty nineteen season. And didn't you say this was according to Scott? Boris told us about this one to twenty one thousand nine season It was it was a quote right before the Scott Boras quote. Okay so somebody somebody did. It was just it was just information. Given by Jason Wilson of the score. Okay thank you Jason. On the score Jason says that all but six players in the sixth round of the two thousand nineteen draft made over two hundred thousand dollars just in signing bonuses and this year they will be limited to twenty thousand dollars signing bonuses so again this goes back to stuff. You're talking about. Maybe this is the maybe. This is the dawn of a new era of revenue sharing salary. Caps Whatever it is you know. Maybe it'll be a good thing. But but limiting the five limiting to five rounds is rough. Yeah that's brutal raft. Picks must be signed by August. I and according to Logan Morrison the industry made over twenty billion dollars in the last three years and his estimations are that there will be one thousand fifty players who are in the amateur draft this year. Who will go. Unsigned all away around Lot It's a whole lot and the thing is that part of the reason I don't understand five rounds is and that's not nearly enough for a team yet. Forty guys because you've got to fill out a team right like we saw last week. Two weeks ago there was a I guess a quote Unquote Misreporting. That there wasn't going to be minor league season but stuff like this is why people can say that. And it's believable because you're not drafting enough guys to fill out of a roster and like we said maybe you're not having Arizona or Dominican. Summer League having advanced rookie. Maybe you're starting out at short season a and you're just expanding those rosters a little bit but at the same time like those are you know. That's close to forty five fifty teams because not. Everybody has advanced rookie now. The aren't having season this year. Yeah so and and Logan Morrison I gotta get. I gotta get his quote right because I thought it was pretty good what he said because this is totally what majorly owners do and really most sports owners general kind of play the victim with this as he said he said the quote unquote we are. Poor Act is bleeping tired by the owners and I've got agree with them. Yeah like I understand millions a lot of money but at the same time you've got billions of dollars and if you don't feel like you can fit. The bill of a major league team don't owner. Don't buy the team to begin with like there is inherent risk that comes with owning a sports team. If you don't if you don't want to have that toy on your shelf if you don't Wanna pay for that toy pay for the maintenance. Don't buy it. That's that's just the way that it goes like buying a four wheeler or boat this exact same thing. There's money that you've gotTA dump into it to get the fun that comes with it. It's fiscally Iran over. Yeah Yeah Yeah. And it's damaging the light of these amateur players and their career prospects in their trajectory and everything that they knew and hoped for and have been told you know have been expecting and we all know what it's like to have your expectations dashed. We all know what it's like to be lying to but man. These are some enormous. These are some enormous implications. And it's it's true because yeah because you think about the earning potential these players and and like we've talked about some of these guys are just sparring partners. They're they're not gonNA make it above advanced. Say they're not gonNA make it above Aa. They'RE NOT GONNA make it. Never GonNa make it to the shell from triple. A. Yep but at the same time there are guys who have that potential could get there who are never going to get a chance because the you know I think I think Mike Piazza let me. Just say Mike Me. What was he drafted like the forty fifth round? Yes yeah like yes. He's one in literally a million but at the same time like there are guys who come out of the late late round. Were never going to get a chance. I look it up right now. I think I've gone on long enough. I've got it. He was drafted in the sixty second round in nineteen eighty second round. He might as well have gone on the million he might as well have gone four years later. Okay three whatever you know but still amazing. Yeah so anyway where nobody slaughter Miss Opportunities. Happy happy about it but when we get back we are going to talk about. Brad's Super Nintendo baseball season. And then we are going to talk about Korean Baseball Organization. We'll be right back. Are to the ballgame take Lou to the crowd. Buy Me some peanuts and ragarding I don't care fine. Never get back with For the O. S Day. Don't wear net seth. Shostak for its Y to the At the old bomb I'll gain shop kids. Baseball STARTS AT NINE PROCESS DOT com. Welcome back baseball family. I'm excited right now. Brig. I don't know how excited you are about this. But I get to show off my new love. Are you ready Kb Oh baby baseball organization. I am infatuated with this league when MLB content starts up again. I will continue following. I will continue following K B o because it is so much fun I am just like so in love with this and there's not even fans in the stands we will get into that in a little bit but man. Let's let let's talk about why why it's awesome take other than the only live baseball. We can get right now other than it's the only baseball we get right now. That's true helps definitely does it definitely does yeah so K B O started last week. It was like it was was like Monday morning. We Got. I got a notification on my phone. That's said He. Spn is going to start. Televising K B. O Games was like wait. What when does it start tonight? Okay here we go. Let's do this. You know so you know we. We crammed a little bit and started watching. We picked our favorite team break. Who's your favorite team? Did you decide the NC diagnose the NC Dino's we'll talk more about the anti diagnose a little bit later. Because I just think that name is awesome. That's why I chose them because as a kid and I'll be honest as an adult. I loved dinosaurs. Let's be real. Who doesn't I saw is looking is i. I picked my favorites solely on the team name. So Dana's fan for life. There we too. I picked tease the crap out of me but I picked the ANC dino's exclusively on the color scheme that's it. I wanted to know what it was like too well and I also think it's I feel like so I'm a Yankees Fan and I wanted to know what it was like to be a part of a small market fan base with with an expansion team you know needed to know so after this season everybody get off my fricking back about not knowing. Watch them win at all. This year you watch. And they're going to. They're going to win it all and I'm going to be obnoxious about it. You it feels good. You'll never go back it's true. Yes it's true but anyways okay let's talk about some of the differences with the K B O and. Mlb Do it so so first off. The season is a little bit shorter. The only played one hundred and forty four games in a full season which to be honest like it doesn't really feel that much different At least sound like it feels like that much different than a full. Mlb because we've talked about shorting the shortening to potentially hundred and forty four games right. Yeah it's it's been that way. It's been one fifty four in the past so it's not that different. Yeah it's big of a deal as far as shorting but the number of teams very different very different there are only ten teams in the Cabo. Now you think you may think to yourself. That is not a very big league. That's not very many games. They still play each other sixteen times. And if you think about the math a little bit the days before interleague play right. Yeah American League National League than ever signing never saw any of each other until the world series And now if you lead down the middle it's fifteen teams a piece but before interleague play started there were only fourteen teams in each league so right. Mathematically it's not that different than what we're familiar with with major league baseball well and so the Yankees Red Sox in two thousand nineteen faced each other like twelve or thirteen times so sixteen games each. You know it's a little bit more on the excessive side of what we're used to but it's still it's still within the realm of understanding like we not your idea that much. Yeah it. My first thought was four teams over and over again but since there's no division no league then just everybody's even you get you get spread across the season. So I I've I don't think the field would be that much different what we're familiar with. Yeah so far. It hasn't been but we're only in the first series still first week one weekend. It's fine couple of interesting things is that the there's a three four and player rule. You cannot have more than three foreign born players on your team. That's pretty interesting. And the here's something interesting with that. Foreign born player rule is you cannot have to play the same position in a game which is basically saying you cannot have two foreign born pitchers in a game now the foreign born players. Do you typically play a significant role in the success of the team that that is a thing especially if they're American born players for whatever reason or Dominican players or whatever but if they're headed to the major leagues or if they've just come from the major leagues that that usually plays a significant role and we'll get into that a little bit when Brad talks about where they land global talent but yeah the couple of differences that I thought were interesting. Is that the regular season. They will draw tie at the end of the game. They capped their games at twelve innings. They still they still play nine innings of baseball but they need to go into extra innings they will no more than twelve innings total in the playoffs. That is extended to fifteen innings. And I'd be interested to see how playoff series goes because you can't win a series on a tie you can't but still like if it's a five game series. I'd be curious to see how one of those ties ends up. Need to know that. Like how does it? How does it play out if you've got a five game series and you've got to ties each way so it's one one one in one? I guess it comes down one game series. Still right it would. And and the thing is is the same thing as if you're in game five and your name you're rocking the fourteenth inning. Fifteenth inning. And you're still tied at six. H or whatever six runs each one they do you know. Do they keep playing till it's over? Because his game five. I think I think at that point you have to. You can't win the series on a time especially the series is tied at one win one loss and or one win one tie piece. Whatever right you you've got it you've got to keep going despite despite the cap boy. I would love to see series like that. I would it be. That would literally my brain would explode agree. It's almost like figuring out the points in hockey. It's like wait so you got like one. I don't know just tell me what happens. They play somebody win three periods. What does that mean? It means not on all right so exactly. The Season Starts March twenty third at least in two thousand nineteen. The season started on March twenty third and it's September Thirteenth. The season this year due to the corona virus and protective measures and things like that started may fifth. Cinco de Mayo. We Brad and I were both up at the start of the game at three. Am and I can tell you it. Three am your time. Three M Eastern. Oh Yeah you got off easy I did. Yeah I watched probably six innings is only up to one o'clock yeah I walked six innings too. I don't WanNa talk about it okay. Luckily I was doing stuff I had stuff to do but I was watching baseball. Said that we'll get into later right. Yeah that's right and the game ended on a or the game. Excuse me the game started with a rain. Delay and I was literally so excited that there was a camera with showing baseball field with a tarp on it. I was like said there's both played or attempting closest. I didn't know if the game would actually happen but it was the cost of had come and I got all hot and bothered. I posted it on the. Va excited so ESPN is airing. Six Games Week of the K B O and. What's interesting about the o? Is that all the. Games are at the same time on the same day so far the way the schedule looks the season is nobody plays on Mondays. Then they play Tuesday through Sunday. Everybody gets a day off and then they start over all the games on the weekdays or at five thirty PM local time. So it's going to be three. I think it's three o'clock our time eastern in the morning in three. Am set. Think it's a eleven and a half hour difference whatever. It is I don't remember. I haven't been to South Korea in a long time but I have been to South Korea and I'll talk about that later but okay a couple more things. They do have an all star game. They split the teams split. The yeah the teams up into predetermined sections of five each and everybody knows who they are and the best players from each of those play in the All Star game. That's how that works. Even though there are no divisions and then there's not a rivalry per se like there is with Ael and Major League Baseball. They don't do anything like that right. So k the playoffs. We gotta talk about the play and I'm going to read it so I don't mess it up. The playoffs are wild. Holy Wild and so much fun okay. Here's the deal all right all right. Everything's based on the regular season win. Loss record okay. That only the top five teams qualified to play k the fifth placed team during the wild card game. It's a one game playoff one game. Play IN THE WILDCARD GAME. Plays A sudden-death game fifth-place versus fourth place player so the team with the fourth best record in all of baseball that season plays plays against the fifth placed team the wild wildcard and then after the sudden death game who the winner of that game goes on to play the team with a third best record in the entire regular season and they play a five game series. Okay and we talked about the ties and stuff like that then. The winner of that series plays the team with. Did I say the third already? Second best record in in the entire K B O K. Now if you're paying attention at home doing the math you'll notice that the second place team hasn't played anybody yet in the playoffs. They're sitting around waiting The winner of the team who has been successful so far plays the second place team in a best of five series and then they go to the the what their equivalent of the world series is organization series. What do they call it? They call the Korean Korean series. K B O Korean series. The whatever whoever won the lower brackets plays the best team with the best record in that league and they've been sitting around waiting it the best way I can think of. It is like if you've ever played a fighting game How you have to go through the tears to play the to fight. The best fighter lost the Boston. Biscuit what you're doing. Yeah Yeah exactly. So like you're the fifth place team you gotta you gotTa play fourth best and even if you beat them you play the third. Play the second and you play. The first it progressively gets harder. Because you're playing a five your you know your sudden death and you planned five game series five game series and then a seven game series and so like it. It's a weird that you know it with that analogy make sense but the fact that it's baseball and it's a one sided bracket that is so weird. I almost feel like you. WanNa be WANNA be the third seed because then you got a little bit of wiggle room you know with that team coming in and then you can go and get some momentum in the second place the second place team and then you really cooking by the time you get to a rusty first place. Yeah but I don't. I don't know that you're radically that makes sense. Of course that's given our understanding of the flow and the rhythm of Major League Baseball. They don't have the disruptive rhythm like when you look at the way the K B O has has built their season and handles scheduling. And I mean the peninsula's the peninsula is not that big right so right Travel Tai they bust from Travel Times. Not a big deal like it is here. It's not like you're trying to go from Seattle to Arlington. You know what I'm saying or Houston like you've been saying so for months and months and all the air time in the back and forth in the craziness. No it's different in. Every team plays the same time every day. It's always the same. There's no variation on Sundays. I think they play one. Pm But everything else is five thirty PM. And so I think that when if you think about it in terms of rhythm and start times and you guys can really get settled in the K. B l The elevator doesn't change dramatically. I mean it does a little bit but it's not dramatic so it's not like going from Colorado owner exactly exactly and so they don't have the ballpark problem like they. Do you know in the mile high city where they're like. Am I a good hitter or did I play Denver San Problem? It's true and it because it's a real thing it yeah I totally get it so I told you. Think it's it's super interesting And gave Brad tell us about? The kind of Brad has a has found a breakdown where they kind of fit the global talent pool Yeah I do I gotta find it again because I actually scroll past it but I know I can't believe it here. It is okay so this is according to axios. Dot Com said that talent evaluator international scouts. Mlb whatever They've this is kind of the hierarchy of how they view things obviously. Mlb is at the top. That's the best the best the entire world and then you'd onto m. n. p. b. in Japan that's the second and then you go to AAA. Mlb Minor League Baseball AAA. That's right and then reach the K B O. So it's kind of like a two and a half a And then you know you go down to Aa high every An after high. You've got the tie the Taiwan League which who knows we might hear talking about that a little bit because this ep L. started playing And then down to low way. Yeah it's kind of like a two and a half a level as far as what the talent town evaluation is but there are guys like right. Now you've got I watch tyler solid dino play and he played for the play of the brewers last year he had a towering home. Run yesterday and it was amazing. It was fun You know you've got former big leaguers. Come over and play and you've got guys like came over and played like I think. Play like three years won. Mvp was forty forty guy and now he's playing for the nets you know that's right so so you've got kind of fringe. They talk about the fringe. Mlb guys who come over. Who are like well. I'm used to not really making the team that I come here. And they're expecting me to produce them carry everybody you know so it's it is definitely stepped down but then they have like a whole new role that they take on when they come. That would do a lot for players like internal culture right your mind mental game like that. Which I think I think Eric Dame's would be the first to say that I mean. We watched his interview on opening night. Day Twelve hour difference but we watched watched his interview and he was ecstatic manning so excited to share his experiences in the and he said he ditty he took a minute but he fit right in and changed his whole life and I really. I think he would save changed his whole life. Yeah I would agree with that. And they don't have anything bad to say about over. They'd say it's a great experience. One of the interesting things they said was different. Is that instead of getting changed in the Locker Room? You change in your clothes chain. Her Uniform Hotel get on the fully rat bus so everybody knows who you are and then you walk from the bus to the stadium in uniform that it's like it's us we're here that's right. Nc Diner Rose Tigers as a major league baseball. It's like keep a low profile but don't scrub real subtle so that's perfect example of the culture. That's different there and so let's talk culture a little bit because it is different. Backflips are staples. Okay it's it's encouraged encouraged encouraged. Yes and and they have all these different variations in guys are literally like the two handed toss up like this and and the one handed flip and now it's madness behind the back. Yeah the players. There's flair there is more flair and a swing and a miss than there isn't anything you'll ever seen a major league baseball guys swing and miss and they just let the back carry them all the way around in a circle and dislike. They're getting screwed into the ground is just kind of like what and then they just kind of go with isn't it. It's fine called it. A pure wet right like a ballet. And they taught Eric. Fame said they're taught to swing and just let it sway. Just they said it's more important than you fall through and commit Than it than anything else and so they let the bat carry them around. It's amazing I see it makes sense fascinating and I thought they would look stupid doing it. But they don't. It looks totally normal. And you know what? I've done that so I get it every. Yeah a Lotta guys have. They talked about like I said. Guy's getting screwed into the ground because they swing so hard through breaking ball. But if you're really all it is. They don't look like they're swinging that hard but it's it's like you said swinging through the ball is what is what is important How swing but where how? You're swinging through the ball and letting that momentum. Galway three the game play is. It's it's right but let's talk about the fan experience. That's we're all about. Here's the fan experience. So in the K B o they have cheer squads okay they have Cheer Masters that had MC role and they are dancing in hype in the crowd like you would see in a minor league baseball game or in a College Series College League game. But they've got going on in the professional leagues and they are pumping up the crowd constantly and I saw an interview with one of the Cheer Masters and this person believes that his role is to involve the crowd in the success of the onfield performance. That is what he believes and it was really cool. The Yeah Yeah Yeah it was. I was like I was almost like taken aback now. Koreans are muted. Okay you gotta understand. South Koreans are a little bit muted. They're more they're way more mellow than than we. Americans are certainly than I am. I mean the so. I've been to South Korea. I was there I was like because I'm like loudon all over the place and very very American and when I got there everyone was coolest cucumber steady and so this year master even though his role is hype in loud and volume and energy to hear him talk about and was really interesting because he's still has that cultural calmness about him. That was that was really neat but anyway they have cheer cheer squads that dance around the dugouts and get everybody hyped up they have mascots. Some teams have multiple mass guns teams change their mascot depending on the scenario that they're in yeah and they're the teams emblem and logo not the logo itself but they have emblems that will change depending on What scenario is which which league? They're playing in Jersey All Star game or whatever it is so that's really cool. Couple things there are a lot like the premier league in Soccer And what major league soccer in the. Us is trying to adopt as well. There are there are songs that the home team seeing throughout the game that everybody knows and I think that is super cool. They've got the large flags out. Like you'd see in a professional soccer game sometimes the fans have coordinated outfits and ever everybody k. We're wearing this color today. Kinda like in a college football atmosphere and I've seen sections of fans in the videos I've watched and things with fans all have the same coordinated headwear hats or bloom type hats or whatever on their heads in. It's it's awesome I have. I have got to get there. I got to have this experience when I was so. I was there in twenty thirteen when I was in South Korea and I almost got to adduce on bears game but I was the only one in my party that wanted to go so I didn't. I regret it heavily but but yeah I almost I almost went to. I feel like such an idiot. Almost did that but I did. The closest you've ever come if you've been Abo I've never even left the game. Put it in the Duban. Do I want to know what was your experience because I was almost there. But that's like somebody in the military saying well I wanted to join. You know it's like now come on man anyway. Yeah no it's a it's a totally different world completely different you know kind of piggyback at piggybacked on top of the cheer squads music is constantly playing like you've got walk music in MLB biscuit. America Baseball. You've got walk up music but it just doesn't stop. It's playing through the bat. It gets louder when the home team is playing or the home team is up to bat. Like it's it's completely different completely different approach. And you know the bummer. So we don't get to see all this because are fans stands into they have like cardboard cutout. Yes it's so funny to see the people with masks and their cell phones out taking a picture party but but the other thing that I saw that I thought was actually very smart and wondered if mlb would adapt it was they have placed. They've sold banners and the outright on seats. I'm curious if that will help with some of those costs are talking about him. I'll be but but yeah that's one of the things they have going on the K B O on on top of you know fans and and the whole I guess muted experience compared to what a typically as but but no I I. I'd like to game. I mean I've been to. Mls Games where the out where the atmosphere is out of control. And it's exhausting. It's fun it's a soccer game. In France one time and it was. It was wild. Oh I can't even want it because I'm all about the fan experience and culture and all that that's for sure wild and I just thought awesome. It'd be a great experience. Hopefully I I would like honestly will to see some of that stuff. Come this direction. You know you don't have to play the music the whole time. You don't need cheer squads bullet maybe get a little bit rowdier during a game terrible towel or you know maybe something along those lines. Yeah yeah even if it's just a section because I know there are some. Mls teams to sell and even like NFL teams. That have like their specific sections cheer section near like the Mariners had in this court where everybody their card. They go crazy with two chambers chambers. Yeah exactly yeah have those sections of I think it's fun. I think it's awesome the last thing I'll say about culture and they were going to take a break is that They highlight their military players. The players and coaches who are currently serving in the military whatever they have a special section on the website about them and they they make it very clear when they come up to bat and stuff like that at least early season and I think that's really neat. I don't have anything like that here. Obviously there's no. There's no way to split your time between Major League Baseball and the United States army. That would be very hard but they do it somehow they do it and I think it's pretty cool so anyway. Let's take a break and when we come back we're GONNA talk about each of the teams in the K B O. We're going to highlight them. Vignette them a little bit for you. And and we hope you pick your favorite as we have go and see diagnose. Hey Babe I'm headed to concessions grab something yet anything whenever you're getting okay. I saw Burger. I'll probably grab that. No that doesn't sound good okay. I think there's barbecue probably some Nachos I don't think I want either of those either But just give me anything. What do you want I hot dog earlier? Okay I can do that well. No couples may quarrel but baseball is for lovers shop. The lovers collection and nine plus US dot com. Welcome back baseball family. Check it out right. We are going to go over each of the ten teams in the K B. O Right and we're going to go fast. So buckle up and hold onto your seats air ten strapper knock there are. There are ten teams. Were a little out of control. We're going to start with the Dussan bears right all right. Do some bears. They play in Seoul which is the capital threat right. They play in Seoul. They share their stadium with another team. We'll get to that later But breath tell us about the Dussan bears so the Dusan bears. They're your traditional navy blue red and white right and wrecked They are actually. They're one of the. Oh Jeez they're one of the original teams. They were established in Nineteen eighty-two which fun fact is also when the K B O was established. So that's a huge fact bro. It is so if if you're like a Yankees fan you would probably also be a fan of Dussan bears. Let's be honest. Hey Watch out they. I'm I'm not saying there are no shots fired. Nothing there because they've got they've actually got a bunch of titles. Yeah like eleven or something. Yeah something like that Let's see here Korean series championships. One two three four five. I got six. I got six titles but still with the history of the League not being extensive six titles is quite a bit Oh Yeah you're right. I know who has the most now? I just looked it up. Okay get our keep going so and this is something. That's that is interesting about about. The so do son is not necessarily a city in South Korea. K It's not a city yes. These teams have corporate sponsors. So do song. The Dussan bears are sponsored by owned by do Song Corporation. That's right and and you'll that's a trend. That's something that you'll notice as we go on. Go through every single team you know. It may seem like Oh. Maybe that's the initials of of the city. They're in now now. It's all corporate off corporate. Yeah it's very different than it is here in major league very much so important one and Kia owns a team actually threat. So we'll talk about them so but next. Let's see Brad did you. What else do you WanNa talk about? What was their season? Do Song last. Caesar do someone at all last year there. The reigning champions then eight fifty five and one record last year From what I see with with Axios that site that I said earlier How they Like I said like the Yankees very successful located in largest city. That's actually there comparison. I did not better. So fascinating fascinate fascinating. You might say. Let's let's let's go ahead with the Hanwha. Eagles break talks about the handle eagles. The Hanwha Eagles okay they are they are located in. Excuse me where is it? How low these help there. In Day. John Dejean South Korea to be confused with Dijon Mustard. No very similar but not the same. Do not fuse that they They were established in one thousand. Nine hundred eighty five with thirty five year old organization is quite an og but very close. Their colors are black and orange much like the Baltimore. Orioles San Francisco giants. They also include a gray in their color scheme but mostly black and orange they in the in twenty twenty there see or excuse me twenty three. That's what's happening right now. Hey Is this twenty clear lost reference than twenty nineteen they went. Why can't I find this information? Eighty six thank you brad. Got Charity is fifty eight ninety six. They did not qualify for the playoffs last year. And that's that's what I say about equal. Well they they do have one championship. Five runners up and AXIOS DOT COM compares them to the Orioles Not just the color scheme like you said but also They have a beautiful ballpark. Apparently is what it says and lear currently rebuilding which you know. The Orioles are always rebuilding. So I don't know how much of a comparison that besides beautiful ballpark any. Who will good? Brad's going to now. Now Brad's GonNa tell us about the KIA. Tigers find axios dot com so the Tigers were all familiar with Kia brig as it turns out a Kia man So man so the Tigers. I just told the third key at home. No that's right okay. Excuse me I don't even like that terminology. That language offends me. I didn't total it. Okay the guy that t-boned me totaled. It wasn't me the total it. Okay okay established speaking of establish dark spot the Kia Tigers. The Kia Tigers are There oh Jesus well. Nine hundred ninety two in correct Guangzhou South Korea now the Kia Tigers. Very good typically eleven titles zero runner up so if they get there. They're winning at all to be an last year they Not Great now. Good Sixty two and eighty and effect this year. Not off to a good start one in four as actually watched the Kia Tigers the other day and they move brutal man. Knock not good defensively major major mistakes and you know if if you're going to pick a team if you have picked team yet Kia Tigers might be the team to stay away from this year. Maybe another year but not right now. Not Right now. Oh though if you're going to pick a team based on the color scheme okay It's this great read. Yes with just a hint of pink in it. It's just a hint. It's just a little cool. It's key red. It's key. Red Is with US dupe. What my head exploded artist should know that as a Kia man and then they've got they've got this really great blue on top of the royal blue. It looks fabulous. Does it looks really good there. That's the thing is their uniforms but the play on the field is not matching the the caliber of the uniform. What you've got to prioritize one thing or another it's true absolutely typically can't both you can if you're a Yankees fan an NC dino span. That's right that's right we will get to our. Nc dyno's our yes or denotes right correct all right. So let's talk about the Kiwi kyw womb. Heroes I don't know if it's Kiwi MCI win I don't speak up to. They also play in Seoul the Capital Seoul. They were established in two thousand eight. There are only twelve years old and their color schemes really interesting it's Maroon Kinda like the old phillies color Maroon and white and gray. They have a lot of greats burgundy and gray color scheme and you'll see on their logo a little bit of Kinda Vegas Gold and a little bit of pink here and there but really they're mainstays are are grey and Burgundy and actually it's super sharp so my phillies fans out. There are going to understand that that burgundy is killed that marine color so they play in Seoul they do they do have a bunch of former names which I think are interesting so they started out as the worry heroes and then they were just the heroes for a year or two and they were the sole heroes than the Nexen Heroes. See and this is what I'm saying. All these teams get sold and they get naming rights change just like ballparks do in the United States so this one was particularly good example of what happens when teams get sold in the B. Oh that's right now. Change their name so last season twenty nineteen. They went and fifty seven and they one in the semifinal playoffs against the twins. They won in the playoffs against the S. K. Y. Veterans and then. They lost the Korean series to none other than the do bears. Oh and four. They lost four games in series. Yeah so that's that's what I have for the I'm GONNA say key womb but it's probably heroes Brat or tell us out the kate. Katie Whiz K. T- wiz I think. I think that's a cool name to be honest with you. I don't know if it's short for wizard or just like smart people. I don't know but price smart people saccharine probably. Yeah so so. The K- t- whiz plays in Suwon South Korea They've been around another new team actually very new team since two thousand thirteen. Okay but I really like their color scheme because this might be from being a trail blazers fan with my whole life Black and white that that color combination is so sharp. It's crisp and their logo. Looks really good with what they've done there too so I really like it like a lot last year. The key T- WHIZ finished the season. At five hundred. Seventy one seventy one missing two games there to ties oh so ties to ties right now. Not after good. Start one three as of Saturday evening. so KT. Wiz can turn it around. But I don't know I don't know man that's what I'm saying. Let's move onto the L. G. twins. Okay go for the. Lg Twins also our sport in a black and red on White Logo Ludwig Gray in there as well but owned by none other than L. G. Your television or refrigerator might be more cellphones money for being algae minds a LG Samsung. And we'll get there and we'll get. We'll get their mine used to be. I used to be a V twenty guy all the way but then The v Twenty didn't come out soon enough and I needed to replace my phone. Or the fifty. I mean anyway to the store is how we're talking about the L. G. Twins okay. They went last season. Eighty one and sixty seven. They did win the wild card game over the NC diagnosed in one off then they lost in the semi semifinals two key womb in a one two three CS series. It was it was terrible. Their colors are very similar to that of the Minnesota twins though if you substituted the blue in the Minnesota twins logo for a black. You'd have the same thing. Yeah and actually like actually really liked the LG twins logo than the Minnesota twins logo to be honest with you. Do you yeah. It's just like it's really simple. It's it's almost like a like a like a piece of pizza like a third not even like a fifth. Pizza Pizza Pizza Pizza right and it says L. G. Grey. I'm trying to say Pizza Pizza. Pizza Pizza. Like little CAESARS. Anyway the pizza that's the Mustang of pizza for Ford Mustang. A pizza man every go on but they just had twins across the middle. There's not a whole lot too but the color scheme makes looks really look really good. Yeah that's happened. Cigna's fancy in black with gray highlight so they were there. Oh Jesus well one thousand nine hundred eighty two. They have been league champions. Nine hundred eighty three one thousand nine hundred ninety. Four Korean series wants that was established in ninety and ninety four and they are obviously owned by g and Arte told you what they With their record is but they also wear pinstripes on the Jersey which thinks that's a different thing in common and They look really good. The red has a lot of that. Marie it's almost maroon quite. It's quite cool. It's quite pink so it looks fancy. Which IS THE MINNESOTA TWINS? Same thing so. I think it's nice. I think it's nice anyway. We'll tell you why we know so much about their color schemes in a minute. That's right we we will get there all right you ready for low tei giants Brig Lo. Okay let's talk a little bit about the low tech giant's Loto whose website is down every day. Yes it is. I actually tried to look back and find every day even exist a week. Bro. I promise bedtime for it to go down. No I don't know what's going on but okay so the low giants This is kind of a strange thing for me because we talked about how the Cave Yo was established. What in eighty two right? Yes Sir Eighty two so they were actually an amateur team before that right established in nineteen seventy five and then one of the. Oh Jeez the Korean league pretty cool loaded giants and I like giants is one of those teams. You're GONNA get internationally because of the New York giants and San Francisco trance because the the heritage history there. So you got the you got the low T. GIANTS SCHEME. They are blue and Red Balloon. Rides Pretty Pretty Common Color Scheme in Korea? It come to find out two championships. Three runners up and I've got a comparison for are they playing Bussan. I'm assuming it's Bussan be essays Bruce on Yeah Bussan okay They've got a comparison for you not only the color scheme but the cubs and part of that it's axios dot com says rich history strong fan support not as successful as you would expect a little bit of a dig. Their whoa shots actually fired. It's true though. I mean you think about the fan base the loyal fan base and the coming long long. Lers yeah yeah. So the LO. Tae Giants have not won since The last Korean Championship with Ninety Two. Got One in eighty. Four one ninety two so it's at least comparable it's true. At least they have a couple pretty good. I break you want to tell us about our NC. Dining all I do you know I do man I in round win for this sitting around. I don't even know what I've been spending my time doing the. Dnc Guy knows. Are they playing? They playing chanoine they. They're in their southern coastal team K. Very very tip so the tip of the peninsula and the NC Dino's their color scheme is mazing this again. This is why I chose the NC diagnosed as my team. I just wanted to see what it was like to choose the team based on color scheme and I did and their coach schemes. They have a combination to to blue colors. Which you know. I'm all about so. We got a got a navy blue. We've got a royal blue and we got Vegas gold color on top of the white and the obligatory gray we have Navy Blue Royal Blue and Vegas goal and it is man sharp. Okay so good. Yeah with so good. It looks Soga established ready for this nine years ago. Nine yeah an expansion team k nine years ago twenty eleven now in that time in that time they have not won anything right. They've got a runner up though one time they got real close one time which is awesome. I'M GONNA. This is what member earlier when I said I'm going to learn what it's like. I'M GONNA learn what it's like. Okay however this might be my year two thousand nineteen hundred. Seventy three and seventy little above five hundred zero five eleven. They lost in the wildcard playoffs to the LG twins on the one game playoff now this year so far Saturday night eleven pm Eastern. They are undefeated. Oh the NC diners and loaded the sorry the diners and the giants. The only two teams that are undefeated. Still this could be the year this could be the year. I sound a championship in baseball. This is the year well. All united the title. Yes yes we are all in on the NC dyno's we cannot wait for them to take all the way. They're taking all the way they're going to be that rusty team sitting around polishing their swords waiting to go to go to war. Could be right are absolutely our Brad time for you to tell us about the Samsung Lions. So we talked about Samsung. Just a minute ago with Briggs phone. Well it's right here. I got it up on the camera. It's okay but happens. Sorry Yellow something. Got To drink okay. The Samsung Lions ready for this. I'm so ready obviously owned by Samsung another. Og in other Oji love it. So I almost I came really close to choose the Samsung Lions because of their color scheme. I like it. It's it's it's very. It's very classy. It's actually like really close to my high school color scheme was it's blue white and gray and I I love house was my favorite thing about about sports at my school was besides winning Was the the color scheme. Did you say besides winning baseball team was really good so I love that? I love anyway winning winning so so the the Samsung Lions play in is a debut. Yeah Day you Dago. And they have a pretty new stadium in two thousand sixteen when the opened. And it's it's Nice ballpark. I actually watched. That was the game watch. The day was the Kia Tigers playing the Samsung lions. And they're a good team. They're they're good to. They got a good squad this year right now. They're two and three again that Saturday night but I wouldn't be surprised if they if they made a push and they were one of the top five at the end of the season. They looked like they were there. Well put together. And and they'll do well the eight championships. Ten runners up eight. Yeah Yup and you're ready for the comparison break. Yep I'm ready. San Francisco giants no way because they have won the most titles in the last decade. But they're Kinda struggling lately but I think they're they seem like they're on the uprise. I mean it might be the key. Tigers aren't that good and they played them really well but at the same time like I don't know they. They looked pretty good to me they. They're fundamentally sound and and and good hitters so cool we'll see how it goes. That's exciting I bring. You WanNa wrap us up with the escapee waiver. I'm going to wrap it up with the S. K. Y. Veron's now they escape wipers. They play an inch on. Okay they play in Inchon South Korea. They have been league champions. Two thousand seventeen ten and they were Korean series champions two thousand seven eight ten twenty eighteen hole thing so they're their color scheme. This is really interesting. It's bright red and orange seriously very interesting. It's very interesting now. They have been around for twenty years. They were they were an expansion team in two thousand So they're not they're not oh. Jeez but they're not. They're not young either there wells. They're good team like I said they've got four titles. And in twenty nineteen. They went eight and fifty five lost in the well. No they lost in the playoff. Oh No eight hundred fifty five one wonder. Oh Yeah and one. I'm not used to that. Maybe I don't know I don't. It's so weird going to have to bake in a new part of my brain ties. Absolutely I'm willing to do okay because the NC diagnose are going tie sometimes. It's all right anyway last year. The escape Wibran's lost in the playoff to the key wound. Heroes it was it was a sweep. Oh three own three but their color scheme is really interesting. Their team is really interesting. And Yeah I mean I mean wh what more can you want? That's ten teens. So I can't really close to choosing the waverings actually had chosen the NC. Dyno's still looking is like kind of size break. Do you know do you know what a wide Vernice I don't I still? You won't tell me and I've refused to look it up because I don't WanNa take this away from you. So tell me and our people at the same time so this is why almost which this waiver because a wide variety is according to a quote a legendary bipedal dragon with a tail often ending in a diamond or Arrow shaped tip. What we need something like that in American sports. That's amazing. Wow that is so cool. That is amazing. Yeah like that's what a waiver and is that's a pretty sweet name for Dragon. It is But I like Medina's like I can't go with red and orange because it's too weird of colors team for me. So that was part of the reason I stuck with the dino the dinosaur good they're gonNa win it all so they're going to win it all okay. You heard it here. I wreck I mean they may be saying but we speak English so just getting this matter right now. They're the only baseball in town so they're better than US anyway right. They've found found a way to figure it out before what he did. Before I spend more people. Let me tell you something very interesting. I think is interesting. I think you'll find interesting. We on the nine plus US shop shop. You can do shop dot nine plus dot com or just nine plazas dot com. We have created our baseball together LOGO IN KOREAN TEXT TO KOREAN SCRIPT. And we've included the romanisation versions for pronunciation for English speakers a beneath it. And we've actually replicated the design of the baseball together logo in Korean at great length by the way it was. It was much harder than I thought it would be. Really good outsourcing Korean speakers everything up. That's right so anyway. So you Yagi. That's how you pronounce the Word Four Baseball Cy in Korean South Korean and And you can jump on the shop right now and pick up a baseball together. Shirt for each of the ten teams. In two different color combinations. So pretty excited. Do you jump on their fund. Nc Dino stuff and you just jump on the wagon is what I'm saying that's right absolutely pick whatever 'cause it looks so good though like it's so sharp thank you. It's it looks really good. I like it a lot so cool. You'll be very happy with that. So so-called Brad. Can we put some images up on the screen here and show everybody but oh for sure? Yeah absolutely was planning on that because I mean I cannot show that off. I can't wait to get mine. Yeah mine's in the mail. Sweets coming nine years in the mail it will be soon. That's actually I have to wait and this is why I have to wait. So those of you watching on Youtube you'll see the I am actually not wearing a nine plus had this week and normally I wear one but I gotta I gotTa represent. I'm wearing my baseball together shirt. Where my d backs hat? The reason for this and also for the reason that we're doing different kind of episodes next week couple weeks after that Best of the best of game of the weeks for the next two weeks Because we are moving. My family is moving to the Phoenix. Area actually yeah so. That's why I have to wait to get my mike reimburse altogether and my deepak that so that's true good but yeah so that's you will notice a different format over the next few weeks because of that but it's going to be shaking it up and it's GonNa do okay. Yep Yep absolutely you're not gonNA MISS ANYTHING BECAUSE WE'RE GONNA make sure it's fun and and a good listen for you. Yup that's exactly right so like Briggs said don't forget to jump on the shot nine plus dot com. Don't forget to stop by baseball together. Dot Com. You can watch podcast. Listen to the PODCAST. Don't forget to like crime rate and read and the more you save anything else. Were dropping a discount code. Do it up in a discount. Code cow the Discount Code is K B O and the number one K B O One k Kilo Bravo Oskar one K B O. One that is going to get you ten percent off of the entire Korean baseball line in the nine plus a shop. And I'm not going to tell you when it's going to end. Well what do you think Brad? Because we don't know yet thinking maybe sometime in June. Yeah there you go so hot. Cast listeners only youtube subscribers. Only a special discount code for you guys. K B O one jump on the shop plus DOT COM and enter. Kabya one you get ten percent off anything in the shop. That is from the Korean baseball line. Absolutely go get it. Yeah Baseball family with that. We will catch you in a couple of weeks.

baseball Major League Baseball Brad baseball South Korea Bryce Harper K B O Mlb Olympics Yankees United States Mike Trout Seoul Kia Tigers Marlins Kia Korean Baseball Organization Orioles
The Bettors Box KBO Betting Podcast June 18, 2020

Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

39:44 min | 10 months ago

The Bettors Box KBO Betting Podcast June 18, 2020

"Hello everybody and thank you for joining me in a better boxes banged the book. dotcom K B O betting podcast for Thursday June eighteenth. I'm your host Annenberg this end every dish the box presented by our friends over at D., SL sportsbook, bt, and the two hundred is that Promo Code One hundred percent deposit match bonus for the sports book one hundred. Percent Deposit match bonus. Bonus for the live casino at the SL. It's only a game until you bet lots of stuff going on over at the Book Dot Com this week of still doing my daily K B o Article get still not giving out any track picks in that article, but hopefully some good analysis, some good information there for you in that daily piece also wrote a preview of the. The two thousand and Twenty Belmont stakes the first leg of the triple crown that goes off your this weekend at Belmont, Park, not the greatest fields by any means, obviously things changing a lot, not just with co bid, but also with Nidal Charlatan and Max `field all out due to injury. They've probably would have been in this race now. They are not but still got some. Some dots up for the BELMONT OVER BANKBOOK DOT COM and I also my acorn stakes preview written up I just need to get the morning line odds and solidify what I suggest for a bet. Slip there for that one, so an acorn stakes preview also coming your way over Bengal Book Dot Com. The RV heritage has started here on Thursday morning, but every week the book. A write up a tournament. Right up with some picks. SA- match up some head to head stuff on the Gulf side, and also some daily fantasy value plays to fill out your roster so those both posted over Bengal Book Dot Com, and of course you can't do the tournament wagering. We talked about on Tuesday with Brian Blessing on the podcast, so read through that preview. See if any of those guys catch your eye here for this weekend. Also preview up for you on espn eleven and the GEICO. Five hundred. At Talladega the Cup series preview is up and I will be writing up and. Series preview for you as well so covering everything we can over at the website. Hoping that baseball starts in about a month or so. We'll see if that actually ends up happening. Hopefully. The NBA and the NHL starting late, July. Hopefully we get football, but if we do, we'll cover it all for you over a bang book dotcom. Aren't so I. Just want to talk about something here. Real quickly before I recap the series. It just finished up and then we'll finish out the show as we always do previewing the next round of games coming up here for the weekend, but I just want to illustrate. Why it is, we look for outliers in handicapping. You know like I talk about a lot of times I follow regression analysis model for handicapping so I'm looking for the expectation of positive or negative regression, and then trying to act on that Info, and it's just part of a grander handicapping process, but it is a cornerstone for me in that if I see areas where a team or player is in line for positive aggression I'm going to try to find ways. Ways, to bet on that, whether that's a derivative play in favor of that team, a full game, side or total, or just you know kind of looking at the team totals market stuff like that. There are a lot of different ways to go about this, but if I see a team or a player in line for positive aggression that starts to shape my handicap, a little bit, and by positive aggression I'm talking about you know a lower era and a higher. A HIGHER ER A. Higher Phipps stuff like that just looking for. Ways to handicap out as much variance as I possibly can, so if I've got a big era and fifth discrepancy a high era V, low era, hyphen, or an expert, which excerpt not kept for the K B. O, at least not over at fan graphs, but you look for some of these different statistics, some of these things to really pay attention to left on base percentage is a big one for me. Bab is a big one for me. Home run rate looking for injury indicators stuff like that anything. I can use to try and gain an edge within by handicap, and I WANNA talk. A couple of examples here specifically from the K., be Oh that were out liars. The LG Bullpen for example. They were drastically better than anybody else. In the League in era and whip walks hits parading pitched. This is a team that had an era in the three twenties in the three thirties for a long period of time. But now they're up to three ninety six, and while that's still the best. Be Oh they were so far off of the rage that most of the teams had fallen into that negative regression was almost a guarantee. They have a five fifty two era now over there last thirty one innings, which isn't bad by K B O standards, but obviously it's been enough to increase their team bullpen era by more than half a run. Now on the flip side here, the Dusan Bullpen, the Dusan Bullpen allowed fifty six earned runs in its first fifty eight innings of work. They were running era well up over eight. Then all the sudden they serve, bring it down now. They're under seven, and this is a bullpen for deuce on over there last seventy one and two thirds innings pitched. They only allowed thirty earned runs. Runs three seventy-seven era, so we had to outliers, we had two extremes. LG was really good. Do Son was really bad over the course of a larger sample size? When you get out wires like this, they're eventually going to gravitate towards the mean and the mean. In this case for the K B O is somewhere in the five forty five fifty type of rage. Something like that. So you had Dusan well above that you had lg well below that and not surprisingly here we've seen el-jisr bullpen experience of negative aggression. We've seen do. Son's bullpen experienced a positive progressive. Now something else talked about I believe I wanted the two shows last week. Looking at some of the discrepancies between actual win loss and thackery and win loss, but thuggery and win loss, a standings metric based on run differential, so it takes teams run differential and spits out and expected record based on that wall couple the teams that we saw last week were do son and KT. Kt and do was an overachiever I believe I talked about this a week ago. On the Thursday show due sounded over achieving by three or four games. What happened will they lost? Two of three to hot Wa then started this week losing two in a row. They've lost four games in a row, so it was almost immediate regression four Dusan towards their thackery win-loss kt was the other big team. They were underachieving by three and a half games based on their run differential. They went out there one. Three in a row swept s k. here this past week. Or Not at this past week, but this past round of series, so it was immediate, and it's not always going to be that way. It's not always going to be so cut and dry, but again there is a certain range of expectations for just about everything out there in a statistical sense when you're talking about baseball, and most things aren't going to stay that far outside of that range for too long of a period of time. So we look at individual pitchers. We looked for guys that are well above or well below their career numbers. We look at their recent numbers, and we try to find out the reasons why those things are happening. Is it left on base percentage, is it? Is it, no bad luck, just sequencing, which is what left on base percentage can kind of tell you. Isn't home run rate? Is it a command? Issue isn't an injury indicator. We try to find out what's real and what isn't and obviously in small sample sizes, everything is subject to variance, but as the sample size is get bigger, we would expect performance more in line with either the league average or the individual average, so that's why we try to find you know hitters in daily fantasy context that are maybe starting to show signs of coming out of it, or or just performing well below expectations, pitchers, same thing, and this is true of any level of baseball. It really any sport for that matter. Find what sticks out. See if you can explain the reasons why. Then, if there is a reason why and something that doesn't fall in line with the norm attack, it and you attack it in a manner that make sense based on actionable info and again this is just part of the larger handicapping process, but if you're not a model, her. In order to get it edge. You have to exhaust every possible avenue, and that means statistical deep dives on the teams and the individuals at least according to buy process, and obviously my process doesn't always work out my K. B. O results this year. We'll tell you that, but to me. I think this is a very viable approach to handicapping. And this is one of those things. Where can you have to do your homework? But you also have to have an understanding of why these things are taking place. Why are they so far outside of the norm? For example, the Dusan Bullpen now with a three seventy seven era, and its last seventy, one and two thirds. I wouldn't expect that to continue. Because, this is a do centime. Field well, and they don't have a high strikeout rate with their relievers, so they are a team that may continue to get better on the whole for a larger sample size standpoint, but that may mean having a four forty era or four fifty era over their next seventy innings. That would still lower their year to date number, but wouldn't be as good as what they've recently done. So again you kind of look for the signs and the degrees of regression here and try to attack them anyway that you can out there in the betting market whether you're playing full game sides and totals playing the derivatives, the first zero team totals things that sort whatever it is that you want to attack whatever it is that you want to go after. You're going to have an actionable info if you do statistical deep dives so. Again maybe that's not your process for handicapping. Maybe you prefer trends, betting or things of that sort, and there are a Lotta different ways to go about this to say the least, but the big part of my handicapping process is to find those outliers and look for that progressions in the mean, and sometimes it comes through, and sometimes it doesn't and sometimes it's one of those things you have to hold onto for a long period of time before it starts to come to fruition, and those are the difficult times because you start, digging yourself a hole under the expectation that things will reverse course, and that things will regress to the mean, and eventually they probably will. And in a case like the K B o where it's a league that we don't necessarily know as much about. We're all kind of learning as we go here, it may be a little bit difficult to stick with that process, but again sometimes it's going to be very cut and dry like it was what do sudden Katie and their professor in win loss records, and also bullpens like LG and Dusan speaking of Katie. They Sweep S K. in that series that your those close winds for K.. K. T. R. A. Double Side of positive aggression in the perfect win-loss department, because one of the reasons why they hit underachieved so much. Is that early on in the season? They had a lot of close losses. They would have bullpen blowups. They would lose one run games in walk off fashion. At one point, they were Owen six to start the year in one run games. They would lose to run games because the bullpen would collapse well now. They got some of those close wins back. And that's kind of a sign of not necessarily things evening out, but just regression to the mean a lot of teams are to fall within a five hundred range, plus or minus three or four games in those one run contests so for Katie. It's not a big surprise that they would see some positive aggression in close games and Kudos to them. They scored seventeen runs on thirty hits in a pretty tough hitter's park in. In this series again as I mentioned going into this series as K Games at home, and only averaged eight total runs, well kt scored seventeen runs themselves in the three games in this series. That's a sign of what a healthy offense could do, and now at this offense is healthy, they are a different club to say the least, and we saw that with them performing pretty well any tougher hitter's park against S K. Another big story here coming out of the series for K.. T., O. drew summer. Seven innings to earn six eight strung out three did walk four a little bit of a red flag there, but much better adjustment seemed to have been made here. Maybe in a big thing about this, too, for despondent is that Katie is trying to commit to keeping him on a regular MLB restoration, which would mean pitching on four days rest going every fifth day. He's been better in those situations. Situations obviously small sample size in play here, but maybe that's something that does make him a little bit more comfortable, so kind of have to keep an eye on that however one big worry about kt and the bullpen specifically coming out of this series now we'll talk about that here in a little bit something that could be actionable info for us in Katie series here coming up this weekend. S Que they scored twelve runs in this series. They're still under four runs per game at home and look in this current environment that makes it very very difficult to win games and S. K has a pretty good rotation. Your Ricardo Pto has had his moments Kim Tae. Hoon is obviously had his moon. Sung Lawn Park Jong Hoon two guys that I really like but. But again, they're just making it too hard on themselves by not scoring enough runs they just. They walked to many guys with their starting rotation to when you're talking about very small margins for error, because you can't score runs, you cannot issue walks. This isn't team. That's not bad defensively. They've got some lower batum starting pitchers. They've got some strikeout. Guys in moon and park. But they just make it harder on themselves in so many ways, and those are just teams that I don't trust backing. Those are teams that I find it very very hard to my money on teams like that that consistently for one reason or another make life harder on themselves and right now they do it by not scoring runs and walking too many guys. On the plus side Choi Jong did hit another home run on Tuesday back to back days with a home run. He is officially come out of it. So S K on the road. Maybe their offense has a better chance now with Choi Jong hitting a little bit more, but still. This is just a very very bad team here in the. Speaking of bad teams hardware they get swept by LG as expected, and this was a pretty thick limb that I went out on on Monday I said this was a bad series for Hawa I said these were bad matchups I didn't like the starting pitchers that they were facing. And of course they lose the series all three in run line fashion. LG outscores Hawa twenty five. Five to thirteen and the sad thing is it was kind of an offensive breakout for Hawa. They scored thirteen runs in the three games. They had scored less than three runs per game at home this season, so this was kind of an offensive showcase for them, and they still got blown out in the first two games of this series, then lost by two on Thursday. But good starts here in this series from LG, pitchers, junction, John and also limb, Chanu and these are two guys that I expected to be good. They've got very good strikeout rates. Limb was in line for positive aggression. Specifically. He wound up pitching very good in this series. Maybe LG is the best team in this league, and obviously a grain of salt, coming off of a series against Hawa and NC. Place Hawa this weekend. I'm sure they'll right the ship here, too, but L. does everything well. The bullpen is still solid i. I, liked the rotation a lot. The offense is very good, highest hard hit rate and K B O from their offense. This is a very very good LG team and they will do this. They will beat up on the bad teams I think bay struggled to a degree with teams like key womb, or and see maybe even do some to a degree who they play this weekend, but I think l.. G. is just a very very solid team, clearly a top team with NC based on what we've seen here so far. were. I mean worked. The story remains the same. This is a team that just doesn't get good. Starting pitching outside of Warwick saw pulled. They'RE JUST BAD JIANGMEN J.! He gets rock. Chedda bell was awful again. They're trailing early in every game and they're an easy I. Five run line fade candidate right now. The bullpen did blow Jiang. She wants decent start on Thursday, but he was pulled after five innings in seventy pitches. The first reliever comes out hits the first guy faces. Faces infield single a walked to load the bases a strikeout, then a wild pitch in an e one an error on the pitcher that this is the mark of a bad baseball team. You pull your starter early. For whatever reason? Maybe he was hurt I. Don't know, but then the the relief comes out immediately loads. The basis about getting out gets a big strikeout has a chance to get out of the inning with a double play or at least minimize the damage. and Lg doesn't even earned the runs that they score with a wild pitch in an error I mean. They hurt themselves day in and day out and again the big thing is they're almost always trailing early. And when you're a bad offense, like what the Eagles have, you cannot play. Catch up and they've been forced far too many times to play. Catch up here for this season. So if you don't WanNa lay the massive prices fading them which I mean right now. You're printing money if you are maybe I five, maybe I five run lines priced a little bit differently. Something like that, but hoddle I mean they're just. They're bad and they're bad early and they're badly and they're just all around one of the worst baseball teams. We've seen in any league to say the least. Key will walks off a series winner against a lot. The giants and you'll lot credit to them. They probably should have gotten swept in this series because Eric Jokic went in the in the opening game, but they found a way to win that one one it off of the key will bullpen. Now! It also say they should have one on Thursday. Because Dan stray with eight innings struck out twelve wind up with a notice in a tough luck, no decision at that, but credits Elise Sungho the twenty one year old lefty for key womb, seven innings here on Thursday give one honored run on seven Hansi struck out four. He's on toe-to-toe with Kuching Mo and Dan Strangely in his last two starts. That's gotTa Inspire. A ton of confidence for the kid is kind of in that breakout ish, range, twenty, one, twenty, two, twenty, three Lee's son. Growing up a lot on the job here for key will not just in this game where he pitched right up against strategy, but also went up against coup Changmo in his previous outing. What. Thing for key woman, here park be on home and I've talked about him a lot. He's been drawing a lot of walks. He's hit six or seven home runs. A batting averages abysmal. Well Park now on the injured list for will apparently doing with a variety of different things. We'll see how long he's on that, and if I'm keenum right now I. Just Give Him All ten days. I let him figure out. Whatever's wrong. Let him clear out these injuries because it's obvious right now that the contact quality is not there for him, and you don't want to rush it with him so. So I would just leave him on the injured list throughout. We'll see if keenum does that, but he did not play the last two games, which would put him in line for Return here in a little over a week. Maybe he plays next weekend series, but for key women I'll talk about this a little bit later. I think this could actually be a little bit of a short-term blessing in disguise. Now for lot again. They beat Joe Kitchen. The first game didn't score in the second two games, which has really been a story for the giants here outside of the first week this season, but in this series the only drew four walks. They had twenty nine hits, but they only drew four walks, and I don't know why, but for some reason walks appear to be the gateway to runs in this league and lot just hasn't drawn a lot. Walks lately only drew four here in this series. I think that's something that we can keep an eye on here with the giants. They get some hits. They don't hit for very much power. They will get some hits. and. You've got to draw walks. If you're not hitting for power, you're not getting those doubles and home runs you have to draw walks to increase your run-scoring opportunities to put more guys in scoring position and locked. It doesn't do that so when they face teams that don't issue a lot of walks or pitchers specifically that don't issue a lot of walks. I think this will be a continued struggle for them, so that's maybe a betting angle that we can exploit with the giants that if they're not facing guys that walk batters, then I think they are in a very very tough position. gig Brigham the foreign pitcher for key wham. He's out with elbow discomfort. The thought was that he would be back in June. He's not he'll be out until at least July so keenum missing one of their two foreign pitchers there, but certainly some of their domestic guys have stepped up in a big way. Kid gets an abbreviated sweep sweep. Excuse me of the NC dyno's. Game Three rain on Thursday that was supposed to be Kuching Mo now Kuching mobile will face Han. which just sort of seems fitting for how Honda's season has gone so far, but I talked about this on Monday. I thought we were in a good spot to fade. Mike, Right and I talked about that in the article as well Mike Right Sixth Innings, seven or nine hits gave up a home run only struck out two and walked one. And talked at the top of the show about looking for those signs of regression about trying to figure out win, the time is right to bet on those types of things, and sometimes you may have to ride it out for a little while. In other cases you get what we saw with Mike Right where it all happened in one game. Park factors matter in this league. If, you're trying to bet on individual pitcher regression. You have to pay attention to where they're making their start. Because this is a key offense and scored six, and a half runs per game at home. And they've been very very bad on the road as we know. But they were at home here. Against Mike Right who had got lucky from an era standpoint relative to his fifth, so of your looking at individual pitchers in line for regression. Try to fade them. When they pitch at Kia at kt at Samsung at lot to to a degree, the giants offense isn't very good. At NC. There are park factors here. They're going to be more conducive to negative aggression than others. And that was the case with Mike Right in this start, and quite frankly it could have been worse. They had right on the ropes in the second inning where they scored four runs, they gave up out with a sacrifice, but which pisses me off to no end, but they gave up an out to a picture that was struggling that they didn't need to give out, too. So, this could have been even worse for Mike. Right did have two inherited runners score in the seventh that got added to his pitching line, but still he wasn't good, and that's the primary takeaway here. Speaking of not good the NC bullpen, they've allow thirty six earned runs in their last thirty, one and a third innings. They're still hitting. They're still scoring runs, but other parts of the team are fading a little bit. The starting rotation outside of Kuching, Mo and really drew Asensio though he wasn't great in this series. Either the starting rotation has shown some cracks. The bullpens been bad, and unless they can outscore teams like a lot of teams here in Cabo it can be a challenge, and as we talked about last week or maybe on Monday. Going into this series, they were outscoring the opposition by three point nine runs per game road. They gave up fourteen runs in the two games in this series and again I think road regression is what we're looking for out of NC right now. In particular wind guys Mike Right are going into bad pitching environments like what we saw with Kierra here this weekend. Finally, the last recap of the show here Dusan, they snapped their four game, losing streak by winning the finale over Samsung and you who want again I talk about looking for negative regression looking for pitchers that are going to struggle a little bit. Park factor matters you. Who He? Is He's fine. Whatever's been around for a long period of time? But he is a primary regression candidate. The problem is at home. He can survive and he did that on Thursday. Seven innings get three runs, but two of them were on earned only one strikeout. Walk Three gave up five hits, only one strikeout, but Jim so stadium is so conducive to pitching that he gets by. On the road I'm looking to fade you who? If I'm betting the K. beal because at home. I think he gets a break on the road. I don't think that he will. Speak at the whole road splits the deuce on offense. Thirteen runs in the three games of this series extra scored seven in the finale. They didn't even face David, Buchanan or one in the two best starting pitchers for Samsung. This Dusan offense is very bad at home, and we've talked about that a lot on the show already, but their home road splits are just substantial and I get. They've got injuries. I've talked about on the INFIELD. They've been missing their first second and third baseman. That's going to hurt any offense, but they have consistently not hit home this year. So that is something to follow with on Games, and since they're bullpens, gotten better, they'd been a much better under team at home, and on the road to have that massive overstreet as we know, but this is continuing. This is a continued trend for them. So that is something you want to watch for. Whenever do son is at home? Also reduce on here OJ one basement. He Pinch ran on Wednesday. Pinch it on Thursday. Maybe he's back this week at. He's an important piece, especially with some of the other injury concerns that they have but again. This Dusan team. When you're not scoring a ton of runs when you're not winning slugfests. That's when the details matter defense base running. Pitching this is not a great pitching team. This is a terrible defensive team and a bad based running team. So that's why deuce on, if they're not going to go out there and score six or seven runs per game I think you can make money fading them and we saw that here in this series with Samsung, cashing a couple of big underdog tickets in the first two games. I think you can fade Dusan in lower scoring environments. But, if do sons on the road where they can score buyer, beware in those types of situations last thing Chris Flexing did make the start, but he threw eighty five pitches to get twelve hours. Five walked three, not super sharp. We'll see if that changes for his next outing, but. Not a great showing for him and the Samsung offense getting by with enough in the first two games, not anything. Not Any big takeaways about Samsung here other than to say. Their bullpen has been very good of late. They added someone who of course used to pitch for the cardinals. A guy who's going to really stabilize the back end of this bullpen. Something should help Samsung in the long term here. Aren't so taking a look at the fine series coming up this weekend and I won't be doing the article here on Saturday or four Saturday or Sundays game, so just a heads up with that won't be doing any. Write ups for those just throwing that out there for you, so you take some of these betting thoughts, and carry them over into the weekend. Hawa and NC Lakhta and Katie Dusan and L. G., S., K. and key womb, and then Samsung and Kyanne of course as luck would have it here with Honda on the road. At NC, they get Kuching because Thursday's game between NC and Keel was rained out. This is going to be a big one is gonNA. Be the biggest line of the year. In the K B O in all likelihood for coup Changmo not surprising I. Don't know of anybody that's GonNa WanNa back in that situation. I will say this hot. One on the road has been better than Han Wi at home. They've only score two eight runs per game at home. Three point nine runs per game on the road now. Obviously, that's not earth shattering at all. They've hit fifteen home runs in eighteen road games. They've only hit eight at home in twenty one games so. Was Offense. Maybe a little bit undervalued at under appreciated in this series. They do get Kuching Mo-, which is not good for them, but then they also get the back end of the NC. Rotation and NC has allow twenty nine home runs in their twenty home games only Hawa has allowed more home runs at home than and see so. I think outside of Kuching Moat. Even in the Warwick suppled start. This could be a higher scoring series here and see the back end of their rotation is is fine. It's not great, and obviously as we know, their bullpen is pretty bad, so maybe we get a little bit of a higher scoring series here between Hawa and see maybe something to watch their. Lot and Katie this one at kt, so we know what that means. Their offense six and a half runs per game at home, and they'll avoid Dan straightly here in this series, so kt with a healthy offense. Now I've got gotTA think they're in pretty good shape to score some runs here in this series lot to will avoid address despite. However, locked A, we'll have to send Adrian Samson back out to the mound, and once again a pretty bad start there for him his last time out. Now has a bullpen advantage here. And this was something I teased earlier when I talked about Katie and their series against S K. Katie does not have too many reliable bullpen options, and they've played three close games against S. Que did slip the series, but they were close games in the first two, in fact, actually extra innings. So Kim Jae. who had, a, to twenty-seven era, any point eight to whip last year for KT pitched all three games against S K. You, kwan, who's been? They're most reliable reliever. He pitched the first two games already twenty appearances in thirty seven games for Jiuquan. Woo Excuse me you want saying. He pitched in all three games through forty eight pitches in his three appearances against S K and Joe he on Wu. He's worked for the last five days. The only day he had off was Monday's scheduled off day. So all of the primary relievers for kt have worked extensively this week in the case of Jiuquan extensively this year. So for KT, not only are we looking at this as a possible actionable piece of info this weekend, but over the long term, this Katie bullpen had damn well better. Find some other guys to get out because they are going to burn out there primarily relievers. They've already done that here this week. Using three guys in all three games against S K so unless they get a ball out on Friday and get a chance to rest the bullpen. They're going to be up against it. It this weekend so to me. I think that creates maybe some opportunities a lot in a live betting sense, certainly some opportunities for some overs, because this kt bullpen is very thin on depth, and their primary relievers worked very hard in that series against S K so looking at over here, even though I don't love the lot to offense I'm looking at over because I think they can exploit this Katie bullpen in some late game situations, so maybe not I five overs, but full game. Should be a good bet here. In this series we ought to and Katie with Katie back at home where they score six, and a half runs per game, and also with a very tired very depth, shy bullpen forced into action here and again they don't have despondent and their rotation has not been great beyond him Beijing maybe a little bit regression candidate so I this isn't over series here with Lata and Katie. Dusan and LG Roommate's face off here at Jam Stadium. I. Don't love this series for Dusan. You'RE GONNA get another Casey Kelly Start Chaohu Chan pitching at home. That should be pretty good for LG Leon how will go for Deuce on in this series? Start for him. Because this guy that really needs to get back on track gave up seven runs on fourteen hits in his most recent outing. That's a big start for him here coming up this weekend against L. G.. And when you look at what L. G. has done at home. Versus what do son has done at home? It should give l G. The edge in this series am scored five point. Four runs per game at home now do son played three games against LG early in the season, so they've technically played twenty home games, even though they've played seventeen because they played three road games quote unquote against LG in those twenty games at jams. Stadium Dusan scored four point seven runs per game. So LG has had better offensive success in this ballpark then do. Son has in a similar sample size, so l. with the pitching edge LG. Maybe the bullpen, not as well defined with how well do son's bullpens been pitching? But still has the bullpen and a better offense. In this setting I do think this series sets up well for L. G.. I could be a lower scoring series as you would expect at jams, he'll stadium. But I think. Is In better shape here for this series against Dusan. S, K and key S K hits the road as I mentioned. You know they don't score much on the road or they don't much at home. It'll score much on the road either only four point two runs per game on the road four K. and at this point in time they are very clearly the second worst team in the Cabo only better than Hawa but. Couple of considerations here for this series League Yon-wook a big negative regression candidate for S K to ninety-one era, four, seventy five. To twenty six batting average on balls in play against eighty one point nine percent. An edge I would look to fade league. I walked in this series I. Don't know what that price is going to look like. But whether it's a keenum game total over or laying a big key number. Something like that I. Think this is a bad spot for him. I think it's a good key offense and more importantly. I think not having Park Ho may help key woman the short-term. Something! I talk about occasionally with regards to the NBA or the NHL. Is the superstar subtraction theory when one of your star players goes out? Everybody else does a little bit more. Everybody else picks up some of the slack, and for right now park beyond was pressing. He was walking and getting on base, but he was kind of pressing in the middle of that order, not hitting for average that was maybe hurting keenum's offensive output. Output a little bit. Maybe it's a short term blessing and a long term game to get him healthy, but I do like key here against league walk maybe not so much against Moon Sung Wan. Because key will will strike out a little bit, but in that starting at league I think keenum has success. Maybe a little bit lower scoring otherwise here in this series I do think they can have some success in that one. Finally Samsung and Kia David Buchanan and one take in drawing for Samsung in this series. It is a tough pitchers. Park Buchanan outside of Dago where Samson. That's a pretty good hitting environment. He's only made two starts, but he hasn't given up a run yet. So we'll see if that changes here. Taking on a very very good Kia home offense. This rotation is quite good Yang John. We'll go in this start. Imke young. We'll go in this series Aaron Brooks will also make a start drew got. Yo is very good as we know. This is a pretty good Kia rotation and I don't know if they improve at home. Tough pitching environment, but I think this could be a spot where maybe we get some high total unders here. Because I, do like the pitching matchups for both teams here in this series. Samsung's not a great lineup. Necessarily Kia is a good lineup at home, but again Samson throwing out some pretty good pitchers. Could that be a thing? We get some high total understeer, and he's some under ten and a half under eleven. Something like that I think it's a possibility, so maybe that's something you want to take a look at here in this series between Samsung and Kia. I'll be back with another edition of the box here on the twenty second on Monday I've got a couple of questions for the Monday mailbag, but if you WANNA send over. At Bang Book, Dot Com or skating tripods at DOT COM to send over Monday mailbag questions, or to get on the list for the show notes here from the better spock's. They'll do for me. Thank you so much for listening everybody and remember that you will never strike out when you're in the batters box.

LG Katie Dusan Samsung NC K. Katie KT baseball Hawa Dusan Mike Right Kuching giants NBA kt Katie bullpen Bengal Book Dot Com K B O keenum NHL Kia
The Bettors Box KBO Betting Podcast May 21, 2020

Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

49:01 min | 11 months ago

The Bettors Box KBO Betting Podcast May 21, 2020

"Lowest Thinking for joining me in the betters boxes banged the book. Dotcom K B O Bending podcast for Thursday may twenty first. I'm your host. Adam Burke this in every edition presented by our friends over at sportsbook bTV and the number two hundred. Is that Promo Code. One hundred percent deposit match most for the sports book. One hundred percent deposit match bonus for the live casino at the SL. It's only a game until you bet it got a lot of notes here on today's show for the K B O. So hopefully you enjoy that. Hopefully you're paying close attention and of course as always you could sign up for the notes for the box and at Bang the book dotcom skating tripods gmail.com than also you can find me on twitter at skating tripod so plenty of ways to on the list for the show notes here and I do have a lot of stuff to bring your way on today's program every day over at Bang the Book Dot Com. Get my thoughts on all five scheduled Games in the K B O in that daily Article? So please make sure you check that out. We're doing NASCAR coverage over at the website xfinity series race going off today. That'll be over by the well. We'll be over but it will be about halfway over so by the time. Today's show gets out but we are covering xfinity series and cup series over at the website. The Cup series now moves on to Charlotte for the Coca Cola. Six hundred here. This weekend will write up a preview for that over at the website also preview up for the match to champions for Charity Tiger and Peyton Phil and Tom Brady. That's down at medalists. Golf Club in Florida. Got Some thoughts on that for you over at the website. We doing a preview of the Matt Winn stakes at Churchill. Downs this weekend. That's a grade three race but you know. Obviously the horse racing calendar as we talked about on Tuesday with Brian. Blessing kind of all over the place right now with the Belmont coming up was June twentieth or June twenty-first then you've got the Kentucky Derby and September the preakness in October. You've got the wood memorial the two races that were postponed at keeneland. You got to stand Anita Derby coming up next month. Lot of horse racing stuff will be covering it for you over the Book Dot Com then finally asked UFC. Excuse me returns. May Thirtieth expected to be in Las Vegas preview that over at the website as well and of course it seems like maybe June. I could be the day that we get and awesome about spring training announcements about the NBA. Coming back maybe the NHL all those types of things so we'll be on top of all of it over at Bang Book Dot Com. All right so we go ahead and dive in to the regular format here of the betters. Box will start by. Going beyond the box score recap the series just wrapped up give you some extra thoughts stats observations. All those types of things that you can carry over not just into the weekend but beyond that go through real quick down the line segment and then preview those series here coming up for this weekend so we start as we always do with look beyond the box score here and there was a one two Thursday for me. When I woke up. It looked like it was going to be an Owen three Thursday but NC. The Dino's coming back off of the Dusan Bullpen. But you always want to evaluate your bets. After the fact you want to go back through take a look at the box score when you have the opportunity to take a look at what the lines did out there. In the market it would be great to have some kind of odd screen that was tracking the K b. o right now. We don't really have that. It'd be awesome if we did. But you know you always run a look back at the prices the way that the lines moved and also to look back at what actually happened in the game because context is very important. Not all winning bets are good bets. Not all losing bets are bad bets. You want to be able to evaluate the process. See what happened and of course to for your own mental health and wellbeing. It's always good as better to go back and say you know well. That was a really bad pick. I got to make some adjustments or well. That was bad luck. I think I kinda handicap the game correctly. Things didn't work out a little bit and I had some of everything with the Thursday card. Here and the S K. Bet for the first five against Kiwi. That was very interesting. Line move that thing danced around all over the place. Kiwi took the initial money. That line came way down crash down about fifty cents out there in the marketplace before. Going back up a little bit before I pitch but I want him taking S K for the first five and the handicapped was right S. K. Was Up Five. Nothing going to the bottom of the fourth they gave up six runs. You have to in the fourth four in the fifth they wind up losing that I five. They're in pretty devastating fashion. Be Honest you a couple of hundred runs in there. It wasn't a bad handicap. It was bad luck. I think because again you had a couple of butter and runs. It's not like moonstone long. Got Hit all that hard in that game. It's just that things kind of unraveled. A little bit for him but the handicap was right a lot triple. H to starting pitcher for he will he? Because I looked at that and I said okay this guy. That's a converted reliever. This is a guy that does not go every fifth day and doesn't usually throw a one hundred and eighty seven pitches over his previous two appearances like he had done going into this game so I thought there was a very good chance. That hardwood struggle in this start and he did. The problem is S K collapsed in the middle innings. Gave up some runs. Their starting pitcher kind of fell apart. So is that a bad handicapped. I don't think that it is if I hit. He kept this out and I find out that S K is going to score five runs in the first five. I'm going to take that bet very often particularly of plus one thirty five. Unfortunately they gave up six and happens but the handicap of the S K offense which has not been good at all as we know the handicap of the S K. Offense was dead on. They did what they needed to do. They just didn't play good defense. They didn't prevent the runs. They wind up losing the first five. That's a bet. I'm comfortable with that. That's a loss that I'm okay with now we go to the hot wall and KT game where I took the first five under and we got ten runs in the third inning. There were no runs in the first second fourth or fifth but there were ten runs in the third inning. Capped because effectively doubled up the first five it was under five and a half they score. Ted runs in the first five. Is that a bad handicap because obviously it was nowhere close. So you'd go look at the third inning. Four Han while where they scored seven runs in the top of the third. And you sort of go back and you say okay what happened. How did this play out? Here is on the third inning went for Hawa single single bunt single that was presumably supposed to be a sacrifice. Bunt fielder's choice out at home a bases-loaded walk a pop up to Infield singles that scored runs then the backbreaking double another single. And then a fielder's choice so you know this is one where it certainly looks like at least to me that with an eighteen year old pitcher on the mound and so he on things just kind of fell apart for him. A couple of singles abundant probably should have been a sacrifice. Bunt becomes a single. You get the out at home. You give yourself a chance to get out of the inning with a double play and then you give up a bases-loaded walk. Then you get that second out. Have the chance to minimize damage. Back-to-back INFIELD singles those wind up leading in to the backbreaking double. So was that bad luck. Was that a bad handicap. Did I just fall victim? To God's it's hard to say because again I mean they almost doubled the first five total but when you sort of look at this thing here so wasn't hit super hard until the double and by that point the proverbial horses had already left the barn. So was that a bad handicap wasn't a bad result. The result looks really bad because the score with under five and a half of the first five but things just kinda got a little bit of control for a young starting pitcher now. What do you do with that information? Well going forward now. I look at a guy like so and I say okay. Maybe this guy's got a lot of promise. Maybe he's got a lot of potential but also to he's eighteen years old. You've gotTA learn on the job here and you've got to be able to keep your composure in those situations and I didn't watch the game I was asleep but he got two outs and then the two infield singles maybe he made his pitches. Maybe he executed where he wanted to. And it just didn't work out. I don't know I didn't see it. I don't have the full context. What you WanNa do this with your best. You WanNa go back and break them down and see what actually happened. What was it that went into this handicap? That either worked out or didn't end to me even though it looks like a bad bet with well over five and a half runs being scored. Maybe it wasn't that bad. It was just circumstance. It was again looking for context. I think that's very important as a better as a handicapper not only the context of what happened in the game but then of course the context of what was going on with the lines. When you've got that information therefore you with an odd screen sort of go back and look at how. The movement took place prior to that game. You know what I started writing this in fact as NC was still trailing Dusan and the thing that I kind of talked about with. Nc is that you know. Do Starting pitcher. You who Quan is been giving up a lot of hits and throughout his career. He's given up a lot of hits. He gave up ten hits over six innings in this game only struck out one. Nc failed to capitalize on some chances in the first inning. They had some singles that hit into a double play third inning. Couple of singles. One out they lined into a double play. Sixth-inning left the bases-loaded loaded now of course they scored nine runs in the top of the ninth to give me a winner and avoid the dreaded Owen three day but again as you break this game down. Maybe I didn't handicapped lead a pitcher for and see as well as I should have. Maybe that's the error that I made here but for NC two of scored only a couple of runs to that point. You'll off guy giving up ten hits and struck out one with a bad deuce on defensive team which was also part of my handicap. It doesn't look that bad. So yeah a losing night but there were some silver linings and these are the things that you want to do in particular with a market that you're new to handicapping to continue to find out information with each passing game. It's especially important here because there are some bullpens fans. There are some big innings. Both of those happening to help out me with that and see ticket. But there's a lot of learning being done about this league and get you always want to look for the context. See did I make a bad bet. Did I make a good bet? And you don't want to be a slave to the results because you want to be able to see what happened with the line movement getting the best of the number stuff like that but in this unique abo environment where it's a little bit harder to track the lines in particular if you're not staying up until five thirty in the morning to watch how this market matures. It's a little bit more difficult to do anything other than look at what actually happened in the game and what happened in some of these games here and kind of had a few of these plays so far. Maybe they were good handicaps. Where things just didn't work out and at least that lets you know that. Maybe you're process is on the right track so it's important that in any league but certainly here in Decay Abo largely. Because it's what we're talking about but again also because we're learning a lot of stuff as we go here with this league now wanted to pass along some of my resources here for information on the K B O by K B O Stats Dot Com is obviously the penultimate here. The easiest one to us. Dan Kurtz does a phenomenal job over there official. Kb a website is translated into English. That's a pretty good place to go as well. K B O Fancy Stats Dot. Com has individual player stats. We can kind of look at some of the Babson percentages and walk percentages. Stuff like that some of the more symmetrically inclined stats but they only do it on a player level. So if you are modeling fancy stats would be a good a good spot for you to go also status or not or however the Hell it's pronounced S. T. A. IS E. This is all in Korean. So you have to use Google translate for this and of course like anything else. There are some things do get lost in translation. You have to make some inferences. You have to sort of make some educated guesses about what the translation is actually supposed to mean. I'll talk about that here again in a second but as far as some individuals to follow you. He's been fantastic on twitter. He's definitely worth the follow. Dan Kurtz obviously as well J. Hayek he's been very good. He gives a lot of injury information on his twitter page. Which I think is Jay underscored J. Hayek H. Y. E. Okay then a couple of numbers. But he's been very good on then. You just want to try and find information. You can't Alex fast and the guys over pitcher list. They've been doing a good job. Taking a look at the K B O as well so just try to find information out there some of its stuff to find some of. It's relatively easy to find information really. Is Everything here in a league like this and speaking of Status Statis- whatever the hell it's called get S. t. a. T. I Z. Wins above average numbers. They cover a lot of saber metric data over at this website and the problem. Is that a lot of their column. Headings it's kind of difficult for Google translate to figure out so that's one of the things that I've noticed a little bit of an issue with however the winds above average chart. This was updated here. This morning wins above. Average is a pretty advanced sabermetrics concept but I think it does help us quite a bit here with regards to yell now in this table they have headings for batting running defense starting pitching and relief pitching now in my notes here you but you can subscribe to Adam at Bangor Book Dot Com or skating dry pods at gmail.com in my notes. You'll get the exact numbers but I just want to run through these here quickly. Not Overwhelm you with too many numbers on today's show because I do have a lot of information on the program today but as far as banning goes. Kt leads in wins above average batting or offense with two point. Four five wins above average batting winds above average based on. What goes into this statistic formula over at status for wins above average Dusan? Second one point seven five and see his third zero point seven nine followed by. Lg KIA now. We get below average. These are negative numbers here with the final five teams key minus point two eight. Lots of minus point. Four one Han while minus one point two one S K minus two point. Oh four than Samsung. The worst offense in the league minus two point five seven so basically between the top team and the bottom team right. Now we've got a difference of four about five wins above average so batting wind standpoint. Katie is five or so batting wins. Better then Samsung. Dusan is about four point two five or so batting wins better than Samsung. So again you can get these in my notes. Adam Bang Book dotcom skating Tripod DOT COM or over to status. Use the website yourself. Just translate from Korean to English which is very easy to do in Google Chrome. Ask if you want to translate it. Obviously you do. But a good source of information here for us as far as running goes as far as winds above average in terms of base running value key womb far and away. The best team do side foreign away. The worst team as far as defense goes as I've talked about before I thought that. Nc was the best defensive team in the League and they are in fact. They're double the winds above average of key woman who is second and see very nice. At Point. Six nine wins above average defensively key womb point three four the three worst teams in defense. Kia MINUS POINT THREE SIX S K MINUS. Point Three Nine. Dusan minus point four eight so do signed while. They're very good offensively. They are a bad base running team and they were bad defensive team so those are things that maybe you want to factor into your handicapping as we get some more sample size here over the course of the season as starting pitching does NC far and away number one almost two x wins above average in the second place team which is Hawa and see one point. Eight four wins above average on the pitching side. Han Wa point nine three Kia is next point four seven. Kt Point to three point one one now again. These are below zero wins above average below the baseline here. Dusan minus point zero one Samsung minus point seven one L. G. minus point seven nine S K minus point eight four and locked up minus point. Eight seven so really for the lot the giants here and they don't have Adrian Sampson. There are other foreign pitcher outside of that one really big start that Dan straight ahead restrict ten against S K. Their starting pitching not been good at all so the giants who have faltered offensively here of late also according to wins above average currently have the worst starting pitching in the League which I think is a pretty interesting development here to say the least finally bullpens bullpens have been all over the place here. The best bullpen is. Lg followed by locked up then Samsung and see key womb Kia and Hawa than S K Katie and Dussan bringing up the rear so do son go offense bad defense average starting pitching very bad bullpen and their bullpen took a big hit with that nine running that they allowed here on Thursday. So a lot of this jumping around because of sample size still but winds above average gives you an idea of what you have to work with with some of these teams here and the primary takeaways for me. Katie's offense far better than do San's and do sign a big gap between the third place team which is NC UNC. Defense much better than anybody else key woman. Lg benefit greatly from their defenses S. K. Dusan and Kia do not. Nc starting pitching as great as we know L. With a good bullpen lot that with a good bullpen Samsung NC key woman Kia. All with average to above average bullpens based on wins above average. So again important stuff here. I think because we're trying to figure out a lot of things about these teams especially with so many people that are new to betting on be. Oh so these wins above average stats can be very very helpful for you again. Adam Bang the book Dot Com for the show. It's or skating tripods at gmail.com top three bullpens in er a are Samsung. Three thirty three L. G. Three fifty seven lot. Two four six the bottom three. Dusan at eight fourteen. Katie at seven twenty nine S K at seven twelve. The top three in whip walks and hits per inning pitched keyword one point one nine lot to one point two five. Lg One point two six the bottom three Dusan at one point nine one one point. Eight two S K one point six four. I've been putting together a bullpen spreadsheet every day over at Bangor Dot Com. It's linked in daily. Kb article you read that you can find it or if you want. You can reach out twitter at skating dry pods and I send you the link to look at that spreadsheet finally one more note here before he recap this round a series that were just played and see now six and one in one run games key woman's three and S K and k t both and four in one. Run Games to this point if you know anything about my and they'll be handicapping my mlb preview betting guide. I look a lot at record in one run games because a lot of times most teams are going to fall plus three or four plus or minus three or wins in one run games the best of the best will be very good could potentially be regression candidates and the worst of the worst will be bad teams generally but could be positive aggression candidates as things go along this kind of works itself into thackery and win loss and stuff like that but and see six and one already here seven one run games for them kind of speaks their starting pitching but also speaks to how that offense can be a little bit hit or miss ocoee wanting the close games with one of the best in the League S K and Katie to very bad bullpens O. And Four for both of them in one run games arts we dig into some of the series it just finished up here we start with Honda and KT. Kt takes two three there but the Hawa offense did wake up now. Song was phenomenal and game. Two FOUR KT. Han while only scored one run in that game but the other two games scored twenty runs and this was one of the offenses that was just not performing well not carrying a high slugging percentage and in fact they've had some injury considerations to as we've talked about a lot they did get jared hauling back in this series on Thursdays so they've got their foreign hitter back there middle of the order guy but they're still missing shortstop second baseman their top on base percentage guy in center fielder so hot a good on them to show up here and hit a little bit in this series but kt they scored twenty five runs in the series they lead the League in batting average on base percentage and slugging percentage and one of the things I bitched about with. Kt early in the season was their lineup. Construction and Kim Been Heck is still got an on base percentage around fifty. He's there number two hitter. Leadoff Guy Sim Woo John. Running a three eighty on base percentage. So maybe it. All fits breakout for him. I think he's twenty four or twenty five but he's getting it done. They're working around kin and the middle of the order is very very potent for Katie and their deep three through nine so they've done well offensively in spite of a or not doing a whole lot and if that changes then this offense could be even more potent. Han want tough situation for them because their offense finally woke up but their starting pitching in. This series was atrocious. Ten and a third innings pitched sixteen earned runs on twenty six hits only struck out seven. Walked eight the bullpen. Allowed runs in every game. Hawa has to win with pitching I. Don't they had this offensive awakening here scoring twenty one runs in these three games? But I don't think that's the norm for them. I don't think this is a very good offensive team overall. They're going to have to pitch and they didn't pitch in this series and it did really come back to hurt them because if you scored twenty one runs if you score seven runs per game. You should win the series. They didn't do that this weekend. They will get warwick saw pulled back on the mound but again they're just they're not super deep in general the offense and the pitching staff just not super deep. We saw that kind of play out here a little bit in this series where they finally hit but they didn't get any pitching as I mentioned this guy. I mean look. Kutschenko is going to get all the love and he should Beijing on pretty damn good to seven shutout innings for him. I'm worried about price adjustments for Bay because this offense has been so good. The bullpens normalized a little bit. It's still not great but it's got a little bit better from where it was early in the year. I'm worried about prices. In based starts here maybe people will catch on a little bit slower than they have with coup. But I people have caught on. He had a big number in this series against Hawa wound up winning the run line easily but keep an eye out for his prices. If anything looks cheap we should take advantage of it now. Because by the end of the year he'll be priced as one of the best domestic starters in this league without question as I mentioned so John. Struggled in that third career start gave up. Eight runs on nine. Hits and five and third. This is going to happen. He's eighteen years old and there are some of these guys. Eighteen nineteen year old pitchers that will pitch really well and we'll struggle a little bit too so it's just kind of on a game by game case by case basis with a lot of those guys the L. Offense they got stymied a little bit here but still won the series over Samsung ten to six kind of a shootout the first game but three to one to nothing in the last two games with L. splitting those the LG starter on Thursday was Lee Minho now. Lebron pitched on the other eighteen Korean team for the World Cup. Last September actually threw a five inning. No hitter against Nicaragua in in one of his outings. They're you know why I linked to tweet from Sun. Men Kim in my article yesterday Lee Minho sits around ninety one good slider good curve ball and in his first career start here five and a third innings no runs one. Hit only struck out to a little bit of red flagging at. Samsung walked four. But one hit means limited contact quality and. I don't think he's going to be priced in concert with his talent level so he could be a play on guy here with a good offense and a good bullpen Lee Minho of the LG twins officially on my watchlist. Here as we go forward for Samsung they got good pitching except for the game that David Buchanan started. He gave up ten earned runs on ten hits in the first game of this series. Three home runs only went five innings. I didn't think Buchanan would be very good in this league. He's got one awful start really good start and one kind of mediocre below average sight star. We'll be watching him closely again. I don't think he's great in this league so we'll see what happens as we go forward here other than that. A couple of watchlist guys for me. Choi he on and one in both pitched very well for Samsung in this series choice. Six innings one earned foreheads. Couple strikeouts one pitched here on Thursday seven innings to earn six hits struck out six walk to the two runs up. Were in the first inning on an absolute tank of a home run. I actually re tweeted Alex. Fest tweet about that. Home Run Here today on twitter but choi in one both pitched really really well and with this bad Samsung offense. Those are two guys. I will look to play unders with in their upcoming starts. Eleven runs on eighteen hits in this series for Samsung in was probably the best hitters park in the league their offenses now the worst in the league as I mentioned already. They're just not getting it done. They strike out a lot. They don't hit for a lot of power. They lost one of their key hitter. Som last year and Darren rough. They haven't figured out how to make up for his production. Samsung's offense is very bad so choi and one two guys I will look at under his with We'll see how things go for bed lively in his next start also Buchanan When he gets back on the bump only three runs for the lot of giants against Kia Tigers in this series or they get swept and look the lot. The giants have fallen off dramatically and their first seven games. They've scored fifty two runs in their last seven games. They've scored seventeen runs and I still managed to lose to bets on them here in this series and again adjustments trying to process what I'm looking at here. Lots of has fallen off dramatically. Their starting pitching not been good at all and now their offense is in the tank maybe the has sailed yet to fade this team. Maybe some prices do start to get adjusted here but they start out twenty seven times in this series and early in the year. They were avoiding strikeout now. Not so much. And it's probably not that surprising to see this regression. They were the worst team in the last year by a pretty large margin so there early start they kinda got a little bit of steam as people start paying attention to the KB. Oh maybe there's still a little bit overpriced but they have really fallen off your over their last seven games and look getting dominated by drew. Daniel is going to happen. He had ten strikeouts. I think pitcher really well over eight innings. That is seven innings. That's going to happen. You know the foreign pitchers will do that. Two offenses in this league but the other two games here for the giants Lee Min Woo. Was He five sixty one. Era and IMKE young was a five. Ten era dominated a lot to offense. That's another story and looked at imke young going into yesterday's game. I thought that he had gotten unlucky with someone. Unin hair or with some of his inherited runners scored just kind of some bad bad blocks bad sequencing stuff like that. I didn't follow through. I made a mistake there. And that's something I've gotta work on. You know I have to trust my reads entrust my research here in the because I'm doing a lot more research than the average K B O Better and certainly more than the oddsmakers are. I need to trust myself more. I you know I understand that. I want to limit my exposure because this is a new league. I'm trying to take things a little bit more conservatively but I'm also putting in the work. I'm putting in the time I've got to trust that. And that's something at all handicappers and banners across all sports deal with that crisis of confidence or that level of uncertainty. Not being sure of yourself. Learn the hard way I think is the way that we should be approaching this because you know. How many times do we actually leave a loser off the card you know? How many times is it where we would have picked a winner and those are the ones that we remember you know and if you're doing the research if you're putting in the time trust it and that's something that I really need to focus on here as we go forward in the K B O. Dnc Dino's do take two out of three against Deuce with that big ninth inning comeback on Thursday. And you. I started my Thursday article by talking. About how you know. Wednesday was a short term win for us going to and one but it may have been a long term loss because Beijing pitched so well and because coaching mode dominated. The on offense eight innings. Only a hundred pitches very very efficient. One earned run to hit struck out seven. Walked one major league. Baseball is GONNA come calling for this kid and it will be quick. I don't know if it's for twenty twenty one but by twenty twenty two twenty twenty three Kuching Changmo is pitching in the major leagues. The changeup is wet. The command is good. The pitch sequencing is exceptional. This kid just gets it man. He's been great appointment. Tv to watch Kuching starts absolutely phenomenal. Chris Flex it was very good. He struck out. That was the two one game that Dusan one in extra innings but couple of takeaways here from this series. The first is that do son's offenses really slowing down. And as I mentioned coming into this week do Saad head some guys running some very high batting averages on balls in play that's regressed a little bit now and see great defensive team that probably kept these games a little bit lower scoring here but do sounds offense has cooled off a little bit and what we're seeing is that they're losing games as a result because their starting pitching is pretty league average. Their bullpen is not deep. Not Defense is bad. They don't steal runs on the basis. Do Son has out hit the opposition and at home. That could be tough because it's a pretty good pitchers park. So some observations about do some kind are coming to the forefront. I still think they're a good team. I think that they wind up being there when all is said and done but their offense has slowed down a little bit and we see what happens here when they're not putting up eight or nine runs per game now that being said they made Mike Right work. In the first game of this series he had to throw a hundred and fifteen pitches to get fifteen outs struck out five and walked five. That's again that probably could have gone either way for the offense so there is that you know. They may not have had the results. But there's still a patient lineup. They don't strike out a lot that's important. They put a lot of balls in play so they are kind of subject to variance and they were very good early on now. They've cooled off a little bit. I would expect in the near term. Do Son's offense gets going again. Lee Young Ho really struggled in his start here. I expected the twenty two year old. Continue the breakout from last season but so far he's walk ten given up seventeen hits only three extra base hits but the command profile. Looks a little better. The control profile still looks like a problem. Get another guy. I'll be watching closely to see how he does as we go. Forward here. Finally the last series to recap S K. Their offense showed some life but they still lost the series to the keenum heroes lost in extra innings on Thursday S K with one thousand nine runs at three games but the pitching wound up failing them Ricardo Pinto gave up a sixth spot in the first in the first game in this series and that kind of set the total little bit. I Guess Park Jong Hoon was fine. He's a guy on my watch lists now for S K and the Defense Really Failed Moon Sung one like I talked about. We're just happens here in this league. These teams are not great defensively and that will have an impact on some of these pitchers especially with such pitched context style. Four a lot of the guys in this league year couple of guys for that. We're on my watchlist coming into the year. Choi One day. He's off to a slow start. Not Pitching particularly well also lease young Ho. He did strike out seven five innings but off to a slow start here for the Kiwi offense though twenty three runs in this series they were the highest scoring offense indicated last year they lost Jerry Sands they're missing their foreign hitter in Taylor Mater. Who wasn't really hitting much anyway. But the biggest thing for them right now park beyond the or as you know him better then the whole park who played for the Minnesota twins. He's off to a one. Eighty to ninety three three twenty start going into Thursday. Went one for three with a couple of walks. Maybe he's coming out of it but park is a career to eighty seven three ninety nine five seventy seven hitter at this level and he has to do more without Jerry sense so the slow start for him has held up this offense but if you notice park beyond hosts start to get hot key. Williams offense will get hot. So that's the guy you want. Keep an eye on four key womb big prices on Kiwi anyway. They're very highly rated in the minds of the oddsmakers but they could go out there and cover some numbers and get over. Some totals themselves once park. Byung Ho actually gets things going here. Finally one piece of injury information for S K Nick. Kingham expected to miss at least two more starts. He's dealing with some elbow discomfort. Not Great for them because they're a team that has to win with pitching with that. Lackluster offense real quickly here. The down the line segment some numbers getting whacked back and forth a little bit here over the last few days. A big move up on Kiwi and then a massive move down on Thursday. They eventually one nine. Two eight and ten innings. That line was up in the minus one. Ninety five minus two hundred rains came all the way down below minus one forty before going back up a little bit. It'd be really nice to have an onscreen and actually follow the Line Movement here in the K B O but you. We saw big move there. We saw a big DEUCE on move with Kuching. No on the mound for ironically enough. Some people are going to nice plus money price on coup. That one was kind of flip favorite type scenario. Look a lot of people are diving into this market summer. Starting to bet it bigger. We've got more sample. Size models are starting to put things together for this league. I'm not gonNA say that models are wrong because I respect the hell out of what they do. They're much smarter than I am to say the least but there are a lot of weird things a lot of weird intricacies about this league. You're the balls playing different than it did last year. So what do you do with the model numbers from two thousand nine thousand nine that you put in there two different offense of environment also to something? It's from Major League Baseball for the K. B O is that you get a Lotta guys that go from starting to relieving or relieving to starting and vice versa eighteen and nineteen year old kids. That are getting starts. It's tough it's tough to kind of model this out because some guys Kim Tae Hoon for S K for example you know one hundred and thirty two very good relief appearances over the last two years finally healthy but how does that translate to starting and so far. It's been pretty good but there are a lot of guys that you know have kind of waffled back and forth or a of guys just pitch and relief at the end of the year to save winning stuff like that. It's tough you have to do a deep dive on some of these pictures here. You have two young kids. That don't really have large track records. I mean maybe models are accounting for all this and I certainly expected. They would because they're all very smart people but there's a lot of moving parts here to the KB beal a lot of learning going on to say the least for myself for everybody. That's involved in this market but we're starting to see some bigger more authoritative position coming together from some of these groups or deep-pocketed individuals that are moving some of these lines around rather significantly and again to what the five thirty eastern time for these Games in the morning. You get a lot of overnight arket movement. Maybe that's the Asian markets kinda coming into play. Maybe the European markets is there something like that. I don't necessarily know but you know again. We're just feeling out our way. Not just with these teams in these players but with the markets as well all right so we take a look at the series four. This weekend we start with Hawa taking on the NC Dino's see now twelve and to Hawa as Renault not a very good team some big numbers for NC are coming in this series. Hawa was facing kt and they were the plus one forty plus one fifty range. Katie doesn't the best offense in the League but NCA very balanced team. Good defensively elite. Starting pitching good enough offensively to be in the top half of the League probably GONNA see some minus one ninety and up prices here four and see in this series juris since ski. He'll get another start. Kim Young Joo. He'll get another start nine zero strikeout-to-walk ratio. So far Mike. Right he'll get another turn warwick softball. We'll get another turn for Hawa here. You know this is an interesting series. Because you've got an offense. I think is good but not great. A Hawa offense that I don't like a whole lot because they don't hit for a lot of power and they have. Some injury considerations could be a lower scoring series. Here two of the League's better defensive teams. Also Kim men woo four hotwheel a guy to watch twenty four years old nine nine strikeouts eighteen and a third maybe a couple of hundred zero in the start and the Kim in woo start in this Hawa and series for me Kia and S K like I said the S K offense woke up a little bit against key womb but will it carry over. That's the big question about this series here against Kia Kim. Tae Hoon will make his next start as I mentioned dominant reliever the last two years and two very good starts. Three pretty good starts so far for Kim Tae. Hoon tough pitching matchups. Still for the S. K. OFFENSE. They're going to get Aaron Brooks and they're going to get gang John who is one of the best and most respected South korean-born pitchers in this league. I'll play the Kim Tae Hoon under against either one of those guys unless it's a super low number like eight or something like that by getting eight and a half reasonably juiced all about it. If it's a nine I love it but again Aaron Brooks and Yangyang John Tough matchups again. Four that S K offense. That did just wake up. And maybe that leads to a little bit of over money but I think this could be a series. We're their offense does end up struggling once again. Katie and LG. Couple of foreign pitchers making another round of starts here address summer despite gay for. Kt Casey Kelly for LG. Do Pretty good offenses here. Katie's got the best offense in the league. El-jisr got a very strong middle of the order. One key difference in this series the to bullpens the LG Bullpen 357 era one twenty-six whip the KT bullpen seven. Twenty Nine era one eighty to whip if you WANNA bet Katie in this series. I think I five is the way you have to go like these could be some higher scoring games here between Katie and LG. So we'll see what these totals look like. Maybe I play a foreign pitcher over in this series. What the wait and see what the numbers look like but you bet a big bullpen edge for LG KT here in this series. So keep that in mind with full games. If you play them Tucson and Samsung do son's offense is regressing a little bit but Samsung with the worst offense in the K B O and Dusan goes to one of the best hitting environments in the K B O. So this could be a good spot for the deuce on bears to rattle off some victories here although they will be missing. Oj Ill a middle of the order guy for them. Career to seventy nine three sixty seven five hundred hitter but to start twenty twenty. He's slashing three eighty five with a four forty eight on base six hundred ninety. Two slugging percentage. Jj ON TWITTER SINGER. He's out with some side pain so Oj. Ill missing four deuce on here in this series. Walk Contra Guy. I don't love the command profile for in this league. He'll start in Samsung Ben. Lively also getting his next start. He left his last start after getting hit on the hand. So we'll see how that goes for him another interesting guy for Dusan here. Leon Chan. Fourteen earned runs allowed on fourteen hits in ten innings of work but a career three eighty four. Era Thirty eight whip. Maybe a positive aggression candidate maybe a cheaper money. Line guy to back in this series where I do think deuce on should have some offensive success in a good offensive environment. Finally one more serious your womb and Lotte big injury for key one going into this series their shortstop Kim Hocine to ninety-one three seventy one. Four eight thousand five career hitter. He is out for this series with a sprained ankle. And we'll see how long that winds up lasting. He's ruled out of the series and not kept on the active roster. I believe there's got to be out for at least seven days. If he's on the tenth day I l then he can't come off early but I still think it's at least seven days so that's a worry for key woman in this series. Also worry for key woman this series their bullpen worked at TON AGAINST S K. Three straight games of a heavy workload fifteen and a third innings pitched for the bullpen in that last series. And they have one of the best bullpens in this league. Heavy workload early in the week can spell trouble later in the week so that could help the lot to offense if they're able to figure things out here in this series but they will have to face Eric Jokic. They'll get Jake Brigham as well. So they're going to get to four. And starters in this series probably not great for a slumping offense the lot of pitching staff like. I said they have a good one. Great start he'll start in this series but the rest of the rotation has had some issues so park. See Wrong Guy. I kind of like coming off. A five innings against Dusan broke out and twenty seventeen dealt with injuries in eighteen and nineteen. He's got some upside. Maybe he's the only way I look at lot to in this series but overall lot does a team that I have to reevaluate and right now I'm looking at them as being you know back among the bottom three or four teams in this league year. I don't think I'm going to have too many tickets on this series. Maybe Jovic in you know in that start online play but other than that you know. Kilos bullpen is worrisome. There's shortstop is a good defender. Any great hitter. Not a whole lot of interest to me probably in this series but I will find some stuff too like the other three series coming up here for this weekend. Remember no games in the K B O on Monday so there won't be an article for Monday morning on Memorial Day. I hope everybody enjoys the holiday. Stay safe stay smart. Don't drink and drive designated driver. They're GONNA get drunk. Stay somewhere. Don't kill yourself or somebody else. There's already been way too. Much death out there in the world with this whole corona virus pandemic so little. I guess here at the end of the show but as of now. I planted a better Fox on Monday. We'll see if I get drunk and pass out at my buddy's house Sunday night that I may not do the show on Monday but we'll try to get one out to you here on Monday. We'll see how things are. Do Wind up coming together. But as always the daily article over at Bang Book Dot Com and at Book Dot Com via email for the notes. Skating tripods at gmail.com will also get you other mailing lists for the notes and if you want the bullpen spreadsheet either read the daily article or reach out to me on twitter at skating tripods. They'll do it for me. Thank you so much for listening. Everybody have a smart safe healthy. Happy Memorial Day weekend. I will talk to get on Monday. And remember that you will never strike out when you're in the betters box.

League Samsung twitter NC S. K. Dusan K B O Hawa Lg Katie Kt Casey Kelly Kiwi giants Kia Kim Dan Kurtz Google Owen Adam Burke Kuching Matt Winn NASCAR
Is there a ceiling to the amount of money I can make? | Episode 80

Breaking Money Silence®

23:36 min | 1 year ago

Is there a ceiling to the amount of money I can make? | Episode 80

"What trips people up? The most is their belief in themselves so again. We won't do anything that we don't believe ourselves capable of doing does talking about your money make you cringe. Are you tired of fighting about finances. Do you want to stop sabotaging your financial happiness. Then you are in the right place. Welcome to breaking money. Silence a podcast series aimed at helping all of us talk more openly about money your host Kathleen Burns. Kingsbury is a wealth psychology expert. Who is doing what she does? Best speaking about Tabu topics international speaker author and founder. Her of K B K Wealth Connection. Kathleen understands money and our relationship with it over the past decade. She has empowered thousands of people to break money. Silence silence at home and at work. Now here is Kathleen. I'm very excited to be here today. With Lisa Danforth. She's as a business and success coach and she is somebody that I have known for Awhile but I've been getting to know better recently. So we thought we'd have her on the podcast and we'd play a little a bit. I can't wait. Yeah it's exciting so let me just tell people a little bit about your background Lisa has a very interesting background I know her as is a business strategist coach and speaker But what she wanted to know is that she really helps. Women Business Owners and leaders identify and create the boundaries that build a bridge bridge to creating true work life integration in other words balancing fulfilment and in the process. She helps her clients. Learn to flip the self sabotaging aging stories. They're wired to tell themselves so. They can create more impact and income breaking money. Silence with less overwhelm. She has an incredible history. I may ever tell you a little bit about it herself. But she's owned a couple of companies The wooden spoon hot betty barbecue professional cleaning company when I was in college if I could work around the schedule and make an income. Wow and this is impressive. She had a international wholesale children's wear company which he sold for over thirty five times her initial opening investment. And so like I said Lisa just getting to know each other and there's a lot more to the story so welcome to breaking money. Silence thank you. Thanks for having me. I'm super excited beyond. Yes so yeah. So we're going to focus on a mess but we're also going to get to know each other a little bit more the myth that you brought brought in as there's a ceiling to the amount of money I can make well. I can tell you just looking through that bio quickly. You don't if not but tell me what motivated you to pick this breath. It was interesting what I find is that when I first started out and actually looking back to more of my childhood it was a lot of sort of those are the rich people it was never truly spoken. But you could just see how there was the limiting belief within the family my family dynamic so it was always in them in a way that it sort of always put it out there that it wasn't accessible. So how do you go for something. That's always been sort of ingrained in your brain. That's not available available to you and in really looking at it after we were chatting about it was I think of it more of a as a door not necessarily even ceiling but more of a door that I just wasn't I was searching for so. Do you believe a lot of the women that you work with or women in general kind of buy into this idea I do. I absolutely do at some served as certain level and a lot of it has to do with our self image of our ability to make the more money our ability to Create six figures seven figures. Whatever it might be so one of the things that I get asked a lot is does? Is it really different for women you know. We're talking about women. Business Owners Women Entrepreneurs You obviously a serial entrepreneur. I guess I kind of am too just a little smaller of a scale and so do you see gender differences Prince and if so why do you think it's different for women excellent question. I absolutely see that there is a gender difference. And here's my thing is I worked specifically specifically or predominantly with women. I do work with some man. But it's predominantly with women and we all have our issues right but I do see issues that are inherent for women in Business That M- and men experienced issues as well one of the things that I really work on with women that comes up again and again and again and even like new level new devil where we get to Is the double bind for women. Women are often perceived as either warm or competent but rarely both so. That's when we might be too assertive too. Aggressive management material or were to software not assertive enough or we're not management material. So it's sort of damned if you do damned if you don't type type of thing. There is a double bind for men as well but again. That's not really what I'm I work with But I find that. That is a huge issue and again I'm going to circle back around onto our self image that we won't do anything. That is not in alignment with who we believe ourselves to be so if we believe ourselves capable of a certain level of expertise he's or a certain level amount of money we simply will not put our shelves out there at least consistently in order to achieve the goal that that we have put out there so if you started from a family of origin where that door was shut or you didn't even know the door existed. How did you get to where you are now to then be able to go on and coach coach women to do the same? Oh there's so many things going through two hours yeah exactly. Let's see we've got six hours Tenacity really just looking getting out in and and calling bs on a lot of things as I was starting my businesses. As I was progressing along I would get like I went When I had my children's where company to get it alone for my business and they handed me a piece of paper that said Dear Gentleman I was like. I'm sorry I can't sign this. And they were like no no. It's okay you can just sign us like no. I can't sign. China says really of stepping out there. and seeing what I'm capable of pushing my boundaries. Getting uncomfortable she's me getting comfortable with the uncomfortable and seeing that I was capable which allowed me to believe in myself which allowed me to put myself out there even further that I closed that gap closed that divide between where I am and where I see the wealthy people so tell me about the clothing company was that your first entrepreneurial endeavor no my first first one was the professional cleaning company when I was in college which was It was interesting I mean who is going to Hooton holler about cleaning bathrooms and whatnot. But it was a really great business that I started. The second business was the children's wear company and I started out of our second bedroom. We grew to fifty six home. Sewers fulltime production manager manager fulltime San Sales Manager we shipped internationally and I was pregnant with my second child when I just decided that I was. I'm done and one of my home. Sewers purchased it so it was great. It was fun it was exciting learning all of the new things which again stretching myself realizing that I am capable that I'm only going to reach a certain level that I believe myself that I that I can get to but I kept pushing that and then I kept the Tanny at which really blew the door open and what's so crazy easy From my perspective is when I met you and I didn't know you very well but the first time I kind of knew about you you're in the catering business so you are so crafty. I saw Cook Andrew Coach do. Yes yeah the ultimate Well women but you know cooking sewing all of that and so what what led you to say I'm GonNa work on not only my money mindset because obviously you've been working on that but I'm going to help other women and I understand it's more than just about the money it's about the business in general so tell us a little bit about what you actually do so people understand who are listening in as an excellent. It's sometimes hard to describe because it's not necessarily so tangible so I'm a business strategist so I hop in my clients with strategy but the women I work with are smart successful in Sassy. They've gotten themselves to a certain level and their realizing that they're the ones that are getting in the way of their own success. They're the ones. They're realizing that they need help. They've got what's it's gotten them to the level that they're at will not get them to the next level and the ready to to do some shift and be able to create the change that they want so I come in and I work a lot with visiting. I can't tell you to find that some people I know exactly what you're talking about people may not a vision board but those are wonderful but really we. I'd like to use the example of if you go on a trip so we're leaving from Vermont. We're heading down to Texas right. What are you GONNA do? You GonNa look at the map. You're GonNa look at where I am. You're going to look at where you're going so that you can map the route out and know your route and what you need to do to get where you want to go. Our businesses are absolutely no different as work life balance work clip balances no different. We need to know what balance looks like for each individual person before we can create the actions that are going to bring it in so the women that I work with are really looking to you. Create the vision. I find that a lot of when we sit down like oh I know exactly what I want and when we start to map it out they really don't know it's all up in their head in and it is amazing. It takes at least an hour to two hours to poll what they truly want. Because they've disconnected from over the years of marriage children children giving to the community taking care of parent all that we disconnect to what our vision our goals and our desires are so really pulling out what does a truly fulfilling life look like to you. Let's look at that map at how once we have that vision of what it is that you want the business that you want and the life that you want The business that will help you sustain that at life then we can back out of that and create the actions. That are going to get you where you want to go and again what got us to where we are now isn't going to get us to the new level. So what type of skill set do we need to start investigating that skill set. Maybe hiring someone else to do something. So that opens up for you to do your expertise that that might be Getting Certified in a program that's going to support you and whatever it is that you want to do with in your business so really looking at the skill set peeling peeling apart the mindset. It's what gets what trips people up. The most is their belief in themselves so again. We won't do anything that we don't believe ourselves capable the people of doing well. What's interesting too because thank you for for sharing that I think what's interesting when you talk about the mindset or you talk about kind of having a vision or roadmap is often I I will hear when I say that people really you can define financial success however you wanted to find it and it can be different numbers for different people? It can mean different than wealth can mean and different things to different people and what I often hear is the pushback is will you know if I make that much. I'm going to have to work too hard that there's this connection. The concepts are kind of collapsed together. That more money means you'll be somehow miserably miserable and working all the time and and so what do you say to somebody who comes in with that that type of mindset. I say you live into what you believe and say that if your belief you need to constantly be working harder producing more in order to be successful. That's what you're going to be striving for so. I think that in itself is a mess. I don't I believe that balance is not created by working harder and producing loosing more that actually creates more of a gap of where. I am now where I want to go And it's really important to define that and see what it is for you and so I feel like maybe I'm getting a little free coaching here. A So if you have that gap what are the steps. It's like okay so you say you have to have a different mindset. I get that It's a myth that there's a ceiling so I'm supposed to believe that there's not a ceiling on the amount of money I can make and it's easier said than done. I guess is my question. So is there a certain techniques I mean without giving away trade secrets but are there certain techniques. You work with or things that you find find work really well with your clients or is it really very individual to kind of what makes them tick. It's really individuals. What makes them tick but there are certain steps in and if we are at Ground Zero we're going for ten million dollars absolutely? That's you're going to stop yourself so we need to push ourselves beyond what's comfortable in again in defining. What is the life that you want to live in backing out of that and seeing what the businesses that you need to create an order to sustain that now if you WANNA make X. amount of money but your product is ten dollars a unit or you know twenty dollars an hour? It's going to be difficult. So we need to look at upping. Our prices owning are worth if people will put themselves out there at a certain price level because they feel that that's the only that's the the largest amount that they could make right that too in order to go a little bit higher. No one's going to pay that so we make financial decisions for the people that were looking to serve according to our belief about finances. NCES this is where I find. A lot of people get tripped up. I can't charge that amount of money so therefore I just need to work harder if I want to reach X. amount knowing snowing what that vision is and what the end goal is is incredibly important. We're able to step out and a little more confident way. Stand a little taller ask for a little bit much more money and if someone says no okay gray on to the next person and I don't mean to diminish you know on to the next person and but the work that I do I have found that ninety eight to ninety nine percent of the people out they want to talk about the mindset the self image the communication Asian the kind of shake their head and like. Yeah Hey what about this patriots. How they doing and I'm like okay? Great that's that's not a problem whatsoever about the one to two percent they're going to lean in and then I can really talking about the patriots like they changed the subject. Exactly with red sox carry all right. That was clear. We're moving on now but you can see you can see whether they were leaning in. Or whether they're leaning out right but it when we own our brilliance like own it unapologetically when we own our SAS when we own our feminine and masculine when we bring that component to our business because as we all have different levels when I started my first few businesses I lead strongly with the masculine paradigm of drive and pushing and all of that and I was always trying to fit in. I wasn't belonging because that wasn't necessarily who I was the more I've leaned into the feminine side of my Business Acumen Acumen. The more successful businesses have been the more joy I have experienced The easier it is no longer striving for more. I'm no longer trying to add more to my plate so that I can make it to the next level. There's a lot more ease in my day. There's a lot more joy and my day. Okay and that parlays into energy right when we run into someone who's totally striving in stressing and struggling. It's not a real positive energy but when you are looking looking to work with someone who whether it's a coach weather it's a dentist but they've got that energy that you that you connect with that's important and when we do that when we come from that space we're able to attract more of what we want and again that's the feminine energy in I could strategize and and and back out and we're going to do this and here are the benchmarks and all of the different components of a strategy which do. But that's that's after we've lead the foundation of who you are. What do you want what are your beliefs? What does it truly fulfilling life? Look like to you all right cool. Now let's get going. Let's get started so you are not mentioning the word authenticity acidity. You may not even like the word authenticity. But that's part of what you're talking about right. It's just really standing in who you are and I think about The work that I've done with the speaking coach around being who you are on stage and being confident and embracing the flaws as well as what makes you great up there and the more you you become you it actually. I mean I've witnessed that it's true. I get hired Moore. I get repeat business more. I do a better job of just being me Ian connecting with an audience. So there's a lot of things that I think really resonate one of the things that I'm curious about though. Is there a generational difference in terms of how how women are either standing in this power of who they are. They're authenticity or do you think it's something I guess it's an and or or do you think it's something that we learn and over time both you and I have had a little time in the business world put. Yes we still have time left. But we're not in our twenties you know. We're I think of myself being that really driven you know kind of person it starts to shift and change so I guess. Guess it's a two part question. How much is this? A generational phenomenon versus maybe a live stage phenomenon in terms of getting people where they need to be to be truly confident in themselves themselves. Yes that right. There is why we are friends. Both I mean it really is both it is generational absolutely I speak with women who are sixty five seventy five there the say. Oh I wish I could have talked to you when I was younger. It's just not worth it now. I'm like Oh my Gosh you could live another twenty years. Let's create the life that's GonNa fulfill you. This is exciting. Do you WANNA be doing. I also find that the younger generation has. They think that they don't have the issues that we've had in my experience right in my experience it's been told that you know it's a whole new generation all of view who were burning your bra on whatever. I'd never did that by the way on that. You know that we've paved the way no I see in. I don't care if it's a five five year old or seven year old a fifteen year old. They're dynamic still changes when they are With the mail I mean they kind of and they dumbed themselves down the again coming back to the double bind for women so they behave in a different way. They show up Bene- different way and when we more for self try to belong is one we're not fitting and we're not fitting in. Were not being authentic. And we're not being authentic. It is damn hard to fight to build a business and to make the money that you want. When you are consistently out of alignment of who you are isn't an alignment with what you do? You will continue to struggle struggle. I have seen that at every single age. Only when we can look at who we want to be and stop apologizing for that and and just own it not. Everyone's GonNa like you on that one. I'm like I'm okay with that when I was younger. You always wanted to more fit in but along with trying to due to belong and what you're doing is fitting in come. Shame shame is a big component of the work that I do with women. No one would come to me and say oh my gosh. I've got to get over the shame so that I could actually hit my financial goals right but when we are inconsistent with who we are when we are being inauthentic to our true way of being there. There's an amount of shame of showing up because even within our subconscious or are conscious. If we're not being who we are we have some sort of a fraud complex because we are being someone who we are not and I don't care if this is in a romantic relationship a business relationship with your children with your with your mom Tom. Whoever it may be that we change who we are in order to fit in? Now you might get your business to a certain level you might get your relationship to a certain level but at some point can I swear yes shit will hit the fan. It's going to at some point because we are going to be so frustrated so sad and lonely because we are too afraid to be exposed to who we truly are because then people won't particularly like US so again. We continue to participate in the relationship. We've continued to agree to dance that dance within the relationship of who we feel. We need to be in order to be loved and liked and successful in in the businesses. Well in order to be accepted within our community to be a To acquire clients whatever it might be whatever your businesses. We often think we need to be a certain way. And for me. I can be a little edgy so I would autism. The genus is coming back out but I- soften that significantly because my story was that if I was as Tenacious as I that I would Offend to many people. No I do offend people. Yes ma'am I do. It happens and I'm okay with that like I'm so so okay with that now. I don't do it intentionally. But do I really want to be in relationship and I'm talking any relationship with a client business partner romantic. If I can't be who I am if I have to alter who I am. It's tiring creating the gap to get back to your initial myth myth that there's a ceiling to the amount of money can make so we've busted that out of the water. You've talked a lot about what helps people to move forward and the work that you do. How would you reframe that? Myth how would you turn it into a fact something. I'd say a lot when I'm out speaking and that is we live into who we believe we are even if those beliefs aren't true so if your belief is that you can only make a certain amount of money As a woman as a mom then you will live into those. You're more apt to live into those beliefs. Then looking the end of the positivity and again coming from your goal instead of at your goal so Lisa tell the listeners where they can find out more about your work where you're speaking and what you're up to. Oh thank you. I appreciate that They can check out my website wishes. LISA DANFORTH DOT COM I like to keep things simple. And then if anyone is interested always offer a complimentary success session for a one hour success session. They can email me at Lisa at least a Danforth dot com or just just go to my website and And sign up. They're excellent. We'll put that in the show notes. Awesome well I always enjoy talking to you. Have a lot for me to think about a lot of people listening into think about So thank you so much Lisa for breaking money silence with me. Thank you very much. This is a lot of fun. Thank you for listening to breaking money. Silence hosted by Kathleen Burns Kingsbury a wealth psychology expert author and founder of K.. Wealth connection if you like what you heard today it be sure to subscribe on I tunes or your favorite podcast APP. mlive review also share this episode with your friends and family. It is a great way to get the conversation. Adversary started for more money. Talk to information or to Hire Kathleen speak at your next event go to. WWW DOT breaking money. SILENCE DOT COM.

Lisa Danforth Kathleen Kathleen Burns Kingsbury founder K B K Wealth Connection Kathleen Burns China Cook Andrew Vermont Texas production manager fraud Moore Ian Bene partner San Sales Manager Tom two hours ninety nine percent
The Bettors Box KBO Betting Podcast May 25, 2020

Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

30:54 min | 11 months ago

The Bettors Box KBO Betting Podcast May 25, 2020

"Hello again everybody. And thank you for joining me in the better boxes. Bang Book dotcom K B. O betting podcast for Monday may twenty fifth. I'm your host Adam Burke this end every edition of the better box presented by our friends over at sportsbook bt be the number two hundred. Is that Promo Code. One hundred percent deposit match bonus for the sports book. One hundred percent deposit match bonus for the live casino at bet the SL. It's only a game until you better as you know over at the Book Dot Com. We've got my daily K B O article. The tail end of last week was awful. Trying to get back on track here with this week's game starting of course on Thursday morning or Tuesday morning. Excuse me we're also doing NASCAR. You have comes back next weekend for a May thirtieth and June I. It seems like could be a pretty big day for some sports related announcements out there with some leagues coming back and stuff like that so definitely keep it. Tuned Bang Book Dot Com with a lot of great content for you as we get some more sports returning here. Of course as you know you can get the notes from the Better Fox by Ilma emailing me skating. Dry Pods gmail.com Adam at bang book dotcom. That'll get you on the list for the notes here. Going to have a little bit of a shorter show today on this Memorial Day. Holiday finally got some good weather here in Ohio. So I WANNA go out there and enjoy that. But before I dive into today's edition of the betters box just want to extend my heartfelt thanks and gratitude to all of the members of the military both those that are still currently serving those that have previously served and of course those that paid the ultimate sacrifice here on this Memorial Day holiday and of course as they say the family service well so a thank you to all of those that have taken care of things on the home front and especially my major. Thanks our thanks for all of us at Bang Book Com for those that have served are currently serving or those that didn't make it back home so again on this Memorial Day Holiday. All of US excited to be out at about probably doing some cookout stuff things like that. But take a couple of moments here and just sort of reflect on what all of those servicemen and women have done for us here to enjoy the freedoms and the rights that we have in this country with that will start with. Monday mailbag here. Then we'll do a quick beyond the box scores segment. That'd take a look at these series. They're starting here. That will run Tuesday Wednesday Thursday so first things first Monday mailbag here and again Adam at Bang Book Dot Com to send questions for that at skating tripods on twitter or skating tripods at gmail.com couple of questions for met here loyal regular listener. Always appreciate these always appreciate some good questions here first question for Matt. What is something that you do now when handicapping that you wish you had been doing much sooner or what is something that is really important? That maybe you didn't value quite as much as you know now that you probably should have. I think one of the biggest things remain has been paying attention to market entry for the longest time. I never really processed in my mind when I was starting out as a handicapper. How much lines? Matter how much you getting the best of the number matters because look even though it doesn't come into the equation all the time it's one of the best indicators that we have a future success and also that the things that you're doing you're doing them correctly if you're modeling or if you've just got a big statistical database something like that if you're getting closing line value and you're getting the best of the number it's a pretty good indicator of future success results are going to come and go. It's a very high variance business as we know but if you're getting CLV if you're getting closing line value that's very important. And what are the things that's been a challenge to me with regards to market entry? Is that largely? I'm handicapping the content. That's something that I do with my work over. Bangor Book Dot Com. I'm looking for events and sports and things that I want to write about. And then what happens is i? Try to lock in my place at the odds that are out there. Odds that are listed for my articles or for the podcasts videos. Or something like that. So in those instances it's hard for me to pay attention to market entry. I will try to mentioned things like hey wait on this one because I think the price gets better. Wait on this because I think it's GONNA go up. I try to do stuff like that. I'm not an expert at reading the market. I wish I was. I know people that are and they're very very good at doing it and I do pick their brains a lot in certain situations but you know things that. I'm playing separately things that I'm playing. I don't want to say off screen but off site that I'm not necessarily talking about. I really try to get into the practice of getting the best price that I can. What are the things that you have to do is study win? Lines are going to move how they're moving. Who or what is moving them is it. An injury factor. Is it some sort of information that came out from practice? Or is it just a group making moves and a lot of times these big groups these big syndicates? They're releasing it around the same time every week. So you get an idea of okay. This slides moving at a certain time. We know what's going on out there if a lines moving at a different time well then the onus is on you to find out why and it could be an injury thing it could be a different group that you're less aware of something like that but market entry. I think is very important and again I always like to say the line doesn't matter until it does and that's really the way that it is. You know a lot of games. They don't follow around the number a lot of games. The number doesn't come into play but when it does those are those. Toss up types of games that you want to be on the right side of because that's what's ultimately going to enhance your win rate your Roi stuff like that so you always want to get into the practice of getting the best number you can even though for the majority of games. The number isn't going to come into play but it's just it's an affirmation that what you're doing is right so barking. I've really had to take an extended look at but again a lot of cases I'm handicapping for content and there's a big difference like I said I try to lock in the lines at the prices that they're at and also too. I WANNA give everybody a full picture of what's going on with that game so a Lotta Times. What happens to me? Is I wind up looking at everything. Don't the broader picture and maybe I talked myself out of a winner or maybe I value one thing more than something else and then I wind up making the wrong decision or I stay off the game altogether something like that so I try not to have tunnel vision because I'm trying to give everybody a full breakdown of what's going on and a lot of times. That probably costs me a winner or maybe it puts me on a game that I shouldn't be on at all. So that's one of the challenging things for me individually and if you are somebody who's out there blogging about these different sports or something like that. It can be very difficult to handicapped. You'll because you're looking at things from a content standpoint and other people are just trying to sell one side of the game or kind of locked in on one side of the game because their model says so you'll for me. It's it's a little bit more difficult than I do. Think sometimes that negatively impacts by results which is why I really try to focus market entry at every possible point that I can add something else to. I've talked about this a lot on the show. Maybe I've got some new listeners. Hurt this yet. There is a difference between betting and handicapping handicapping. Capping is breaking down the game. It's doing the analysis. It's looking at the stats. Everybody can handicap again because all of that information is out there now. Everybody handicaps the game a little bit differently based on what matters to them situational spot. Certain Statistics. Carry more weight stuff like that. But it's the betting side that really separates the people that have a chance at winning long-term from those that don't and the betting side is getting the best price possible it is market entry. It is Bakr management. It's having a feel for the market to know when to get it to know when to sit back and be patient there are a lot of complexities to both handicapping and bedding. But I think the betting side is ultimately where you win because you try to get those best prices you try to get into the market at the right time. And also the bankroll management side of it knowing that you're maximizing your investment if you like a game if you kind of like a game stuff like that second question here for Matt similarly what is the piece of Information. A statistic characteristic attribute occurrence that you may have undervalued before or something that is just flat out essential to consider. That may not be an obvious thing. So maybe I'M GONNA blame this on all the beer. I've had this weekend but I can't think of anything that I necessarily undervalue what I think of things that I overvalue and like I said I hate the kept for content in a lot of ways. Because that's my job over it. Bang Book Dot Com. That's my job here with the podcast with the written content everything else. So what are the things I think I continue to over value situational handicapping? I think situational spots at this point in time matter less than maybe ever before because travel is so much more comfortable all these players that are coming up. You used to be a guy that unless you went to a major school or something like that. You probably didn't travel a ton but now all these kids are playing. Aau They're playing tournaments all over the country. They're playing travel ball know travel hockey. I mean a lot of these teams all over the place stuff like that. Kids are used to this stuff now. Travels comfortable but also they have more of a familiarity with it so I think situational spots have decreased quite considerably in importance. And that's tough for me because I write situation articles for the NHL NBA College Football and College Basketball for Bangla. Book Dot Com. And they're great for contact. They are a crutch for content. They're an easy talking point but I think in a practical sense. I don't think they met her as much as we seem to think that they do back to backs. Three and four four and sixes east to west travel and the NFL stuff like that. So I think that is coming in. I greatly overvalue. Because it's something I'm comfortable with talking about a lot to add to my articles and I'm still going to do those articles. I'm still going to write them and talk about those things because I think it's important to have that as a factor in your handicapping. I just don't think it's full-fledged justification for a play anymore really in any league in college basketball we'll get things like altitude back to backs and stuff like that and yeah maybe that has more impact but in the NFL. I don't know how much situational handicapping matters playing these games every six or seven days. You guys are chartering places and stuff like that. I don't think it matters as much as we think it does and probably the same thing for college football too. So that's one thing I feel like is overvalued ought to give it some thought on the undervalued thing but just speaking from my personal experience here in my perspective of handicapping for content. You know there are some things that you kind of focus in on too much and some things that maybe you don't have the luxury to pay as much attention to like market entry and stuff like that so i. It's very important for all of my listeners. To get into the practice of focusing on those betting concepts of bankroll management market entry having a feel for the market knowing. Who's moving what? All of those things are very very important again. Think situational spots are something I overvalue? I think a Lotta people continue to do that as well. So once again at Magna Book Dot Com. If you've got questions for the Monday mailbag or if you want to get on the list here for the show notes all right. So let's go beyond the boxer here like I said we'll do this kind of rapid fire. Fashion just trying to get something out on the holiday here. Thirty Games last week in the K B o Tuesday through Sunday a first inning run was scored in twenty five of those thirty game so first of all very difficult to be playing. I five others and second. If you've got a book that's offering yes no first inning lines. We know the pitching in this league isn't great and also the ball's a little bit different here so this makes some sense that there are runs in the first inning. As these pitchers try to settle in stuff like that again twenty five and five to the yes first inning runs circa offers this out in Vegas. I believe Ovada does in the offshore market. I'm not sure. How many sports books have I dating markets here but if they do and that price is it cost prohibitive? Yes maybe some WANNA take a at here. Get Twenty five and five in thirty games last week. I'm not sure what it is for the season. But I imagine it's very very good given all the run-scoring get here in the K B O. So I thought I would take a quick look at some era and fifth discrepancies flip fielding independent. Pitching strikeouts walks. Hit by pitches and home runs because those are things that a pitcher quote unquote can control. Era Defense sequencing dependent stuff like that very context dependent statistic so era in fifth. Look at these a lot on an individual pitcher level. We look at some of them here on a team level. Do start a six fifty three era to this point a five twenty one vip so they are a bit of a positive aggression candidate but again defensively. They're so bad that that's really hurt. Them in the Er a department hod Wa four fifty era four fifty four fifth Kia three ninety three ninety four fifth key WOM- for ten era four thirty fifth kt. Five forty eight. Era a five seven V. They've got the lowest strikeout number. The Cable Obama pretty large margin. So that's hurting them. On the flip side also there bullpens giving up a ton of home runs so kt maybe something of a positive regression candidate on the pitching side. Which with their offense may make them somebody of a by team here as we go forward L. G. Four sixty five era four fifty four fifth the lot the giants five ten er a five twenty seven fifth and see the the dinos here three twenty six era four seventy one fifth so they are a negative progression candidate on the pitching side. In my estimation there are allowing a twenty five batting average against. That's the best in the K B O by thirty four points and I know their defense is really good and I know they're pitching staff is very strong especially the guy like Cou changmo. You've also got Mike. Right there for our for. Nc Drew Rucinsky. Their pitching staff is good but it is achieving a little bit to this point in time. I'll talk more about that again. Here at the tail end of the show. Samsung five twenty four. Era Five eighty fifth. They've given up the most walks in the K B O and also. They've given up quite a few home runs because they're ballpark is the best hitters park for power in this league that finally S. K. Five forty two. Er a four eighty five fifth second highest walk number for them. So I think S. K. and Katie or a couple of positive regression teams do son as well but again with a grain of salt because their defense is really really bad and NC looks like a negative regression candidate here at the outset again. These are very small sample sizes both on a team level and on an individual level. So you don't WanNa go crazy with these but just it's kind of a little bit of a frame of reference here at this point in time looking for some individual pitchers now on these teams for Dusan. Leon Ha is a guy that I isolated on my watch list coming into the season. Five seventy five. Era Four eighty four fifth to this point for whatever reason? His control has just completely evaded him. Seven point one walks per nine innings for him. He's not allowed to home. Run yet so if he fixes this control issue. Whatever that problem may be. I think young. Ha is a by candidate in the long term. But again I'll have to see if he starts to lower that walk rate because against sample sizes are still very small. So maybe some of these guys on my radar for the long term but maybe there are some from a short term standpoint that do make some sense as well. Jiang she want for the Eagles seven twenty. Era Four Seventy One V. He's running a four sixty babb against that's batting average on balls in play on wasn't that great defensively but they're not terrible either so. Jiang is the guy that should get a little bit better here. As the season goes along very good ten point three strikeouts per nine innings but also a lot of walks almost seven walks per nine innings with that High Bab. That's a difficult thing to overcome but if that babs starts coming down if the walk rate gradually come down but the strikeout rate stays high Jiang. She won a very nice looking picture here for for a long term bike. It also Jiang from that team. Jiangmen J. Three seventy seven badmouth against five sixty two eighty are a three eighty nine V. Low walk rate low home. Run rate that three seventy seven has been an issue for him if that gets corrected a little bit and keep in mind here too bad. Epson. The K B O will be higher than they are at the major league level in the big leagues. A lot of guys fall into two ninety two three ten ranch. I WOULD ASSUME K B O. It's probably more like three thirty or three forty on average so the really big outliers are guys. You WanNa Watch guys that look a little bit high. That's probably because in this league. Just aren't that great. The defenses aren't all that good lot of balls in play. I don't think they shift aggressively like we do in. We see a major league baseball. So bad jobs will be higher. But anything three seventy and above I think is still something in line and open foursome positive. Regression Kia Aaron Brooks so far so good for Aaron Brooks for the most part but a three ninety seven babba against hasn't fully hurt him. But that is something that I think could happen here as this season goes along also for Kia Yangyang. Jong of the guys who who's the best one of the best South korean-born pitchers in this league three forty three era but a four eighty seven v? He's running a two fifty four Babbitt against now. His home run rate is up but I would also expect that. Bab to go up a little bit. Yang is a guy that I mentioned this in my article whenever he pitched this week. That he's a guy with the change to to baseball. That could struggle a little bit. I could see that bear out here over the rest of the season. Certainly here in the short term as everybody makes adjustments to the return of something closer to the twenty eighteen baseball. Look Eric Joke. It has been outstanding. He was outstanding last year. He's been great in three starts here so far one seventeen the IRA to sixty two. V Two fifty babba against now. He's a guy that will carry an above average babb in this league but I don't think he'll continue to be as good as he has been maybe posts a to sixty two. V for the year but his era will go up a little bit now of course with a one seventeen when you give them up one run in six innings in your IRA goes up. So that's something you want to keep in mind with. A guy like Jovic is that it doesn't take much for regression but he should still wind up being very very good here. Are Boy Bay. Jee Seon four point eight nine. Era a three. Oh nine V low strikeout rate. He's been a master of inducing week. Contact to this point in time but less than five strikeouts per nine innings so I love him. I think he's a great guy to buy on here in this league but also to maybe open to a little bit of negative progression with that very low strikeout rate as his kind of normalizes. Couple guys here. Four L G got Casey Kelly. Five seventy nine. Era to eighty nine V. Had the one bad start coming off. Quarantine three sixty babba up against. I think he's a bike candidate here for. Lg and I believe he gets the start here coming up on Wednesday also for LG. John Chan on a five forty. Era Four Zero Eight v warning a four zero six BABB. Against Jong is the guy that I think four. Lg could get a little bit better here over his next few start so he's got to keep an eye on among those. South Korean pitchers another one here for the lot of giants is park. Say We long guy who was on my watch list. He's got a five ninety three. Era with a three eight. V hasn't allowed a home run yet. The strikeout-to-walk metrics aren't great. But he looked like a breakout candidate to me on my list of the guys keeping a close eye on so park. Say Wong for the locker giants a guy who's on my list here over his next few Starts Mike. Right for the. Nc dyno's to eighty six era five twenty five. V High Walk Rate High Homerun rate running a to eleven against Mike. Right is going to face some very big prices here with. Nc being the best team in the league with him being a foreign pitcher those may not be fully justified over his next few starts. If something's normalize a little bit for him so I'd be wary of laying the big Mike right prices or the run lines here with them because he may be in line for a couple of rough starts here in the not too distant future also fellow foreign pitcher drew. Rucinsky to forty nine ERS eight. Three seventy fifth. That's not necessarily a big deal but just when I kind of noticed there Samsung and other guy that I really liked Choi Che. He on in fact he's getting on Tuesday for the Lions to sixty five. Era Four Twenty Eight V. Four twenty fifth in. This league is fine but Choi's running to twenty two right now. So that's what worries me about him. More batted balls or go into fight holes if you could strike some more guys out. That'll be fine. If he can't then that Bab increase could wind up catching up with him. Finally walk a couple more here for S K Moon. Sung one five sixty two. Era Three Seventy Nine v very very good strikeout and walk rates but a four forty. Bab and going into his last start. I said when I was going through some box stores study it. Looked like he had been pitching better than his stat. Line would suggest that does seem like the point Moon Sun. One is on my list here and I'll probably back him this week at a big underdog price for S K when they take on Dusan. Finally Kim Tae who the guy that I liked coming out of his first two starts but he's got a two eighty four. Era with a four forty fifth one. Sixty seven babcock against that will be on the rise here. I guarantee you that so Kim Tae Hoon maybe a guy that we need to make some adjustments to for his upcoming starts but again very very early very small. Sample sizes are really good. Start really bad start. Can skew the numbers. I'm mostly looking at Bab because again I think with you with you with this league having weaker defenses and also fewer shifts stuff like that. Fewer strikeouts fewer overpowering pitchers babs. Hi So guys that are currently running. Low backups I would expect some negative regression outta them in the not too distant future. Only three home runs hit on Sunday. One Sixty six in eighty. Seven Games pitchers are adjusting. Maybe the ball has adjusted a little bit too but it seems like our home. Homerun pace has kind of cooled off to a degree. Finally four and pitchers here so far three eighty four. Era Sixty six starts three hundred seventy five innings pitched hundred sixty earned runs three hundred seventy hits thirty homers. Three hundred fourteen strikeouts one hundred and four walks so the foreign pitcher still doing very well for and hitter's batting three twelve with a three seven eight on base five forty eight slugging and Taylor Mater. Who will return this week for? He wound it was said that mater was raking in the Futures League. I think at one point last week he had homered and four straight games seems like his family situation is sorted out. So when Taylor Mater comes back the key will lineup could get a little bit of a boost so we take a look here at the week ahead the series running Tuesday to Thursday Kia and Katie is the first one. Kt still missing some of those key middle the order bats but offensively been no worse for the wear really their offense still doing very well but they face a very good KIA pitching staff here. Bay Jae Seon and drew gun. Yo are the starters four-game on and for KIA here? They've got a big bullpen edge in this series as everybody does against Katie Kia's bullpen. Four fifty era one forty eight whip the KATEEBA will head eight nineteen era and one nine seven whip for them L. G. They take out. Hawa this week L. G. getting another start from Casey Kelly and Tyler Wilson gets his next start on Tuesday here in the first game of this series. Han gets back there other foreign pitcher in Chad Bell Hill pitch on Tuesday but he will be on a pitch count. Probably going sixty or sixty five pitches I would guess I eat through forty eight and his Futures League Rehab Start. So he'll be on a pitch. Count going up against Tyler Wilson. Something you want to factor into the handicap their warwick softball. We'll get another four Hawa in this series as well I like. Lg In the first game with Wilson and bell. But we'll see what that price comes out at later on this afternoon here but LG number one in a large margin in bullpen era and whip. Honda's offense surprisingly competent with a rash of injuries that they've had going on still like lg for this series with the to foreign pitcher's getting starts but once again we'll see what those prices come out looking like. S K induce. Dusan here Park Jong Hoon and Chris Flex and go in the opener on Tuesday if I get a big enough price like I said I'll play Moon Sung Wad in this series at a big underdog price. The guy that's pitched better then what his stat line would suggest. Dusan prices are inflated. They had eighty eight runs in twelve road games. Coming off of their last road series. Here seven point three three runs per game on the road. They've only played five home games but five point six runs per game at home. Do sinus thought to be a very good pitchers? Park could get some under. Looks here in this series with that? Bad S K offense any deuce on offense that should come back to Earth a little bit and also be a little bit neutered going back home to a lesser park factor. Samsung and lot to both of these teams have lost seven of ten. So somebody's got to right the ship here in this series the Samsung offense. They're back on the road. They've had twenty seven runs on fifty two hits in their six road games in their twelve home games. Sixty two runs on ninety three hits. They've hit thirteen homers at home in twelve games to home runs in six road games so Samsung is not a good offensive team. And you almost have to have to ratings if you'RE A modder four. Samsung at home and on the road because they hit for power at home that can bail them out. They don't hit for power on the road. They strike out a lot. They're just not a very good offensive team. So you've got to make some adjustments to Samsung when they go out on the road but they are facing a lot to pitching staff here with one of the worst starter. Er as in the League they do get Dan St Louis in game one on Tuesday. He'll go up against choice shea on a guy who's on my watch lists but as I mentioned a little bit ago wanting to twenty two backups. So maybe some regression for him in this start left. Wait and see but I don't know if the society's I'll have too many plays on with both of these teams having lost seven of ten and the giants in particular starting out really well and then really fading here over the last week and a half or so finally good series here key womb and see. I'M GONNA look for reasons to back key womb in this series. Nc off that fourteen and three start their six one run games. Big Era and fifth discrepancy. And if you look at NC offense a one eight point eight WRC plus so they're eight point eight percent better than league average as an offense but if that pitching staff regresses and the numbers right now suggests that there's a good chance that they will can their offense carry the load. Can their offense take over for them? I don't know but I can tell you. I will have a very hard time. Fading and see on Tuesday with Kuching Mo who will be in the major leagues probably by twenty twenty two. He gets the start against Lee Young Ho and least Chung Ho twenty one years old guy that I kind of had on my watch list coming to the season couple of competent outing so far if the price is big enough on key whim with the coup changmo factor. Maybe I'd take the heroes at the underdog pricier but of course key womb one of the best teams in the league last year offense coming around their prices have been adjusted out there in the market so interesting series interesting line on Tuesday that may set the tone for what we see over the other two games out there at NC so lot of good info on today's show at at the Book Dot Com to get the notes for the program. Dkbo article will be posted late today. I'm going to be out for the day. I'll get it done later on tonight but that will be posted later tonight. Over at bankable DOT com. Keep an eye out for that. Do It for me. They can switch for listening everybody and remember that you will never strike out when you're in the betters box.

Samsung Lg Nc giants Jong Hoon baseball K B O Adam Burke Matt Mike Katie Kia first things first L. G. US Casey Kelly Jee Seon Jiang NFL Ilma
Effectively Wild Episode 1539: Its Not the Destination, its the Journeyman

Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

1:29:13 hr | 1 year ago

Effectively Wild Episode 1539: Its Not the Destination, its the Journeyman

"They all ways all face all the faces. Dillard's see just what hello and welcome. Deb So fifteen thirty nine of effectively wild. Thanks Baseball podcast brought to you by our Patriot. Supporters Meg Rally Fan. Graphs joined his always by Ben. Lemberg of the Ringer Ben. How're you doing? Well how are you all right cool? Did you see the news that the K B O umpiring crew? That was demoted for being bad at umpire over. So this is something that happened. Just after the first few games here and I'm reading from tweets by Daniel Kim who reports on the show and he says K B O Demotion alert after the Hanwha Eagles veteran young. Kyu Lee complained about inconsistent. Strike Calling bye-bye trump's in first three games of the season announced that the entire crew for the series will be sent down to minors and then it continues K B O brought in new director of to oversee the entire empire operations prior to the start of the season. New Director is clearly sending new message to all the UPS in the League. Get the call right or you will be sent. This process was long overdue. If you ask me Daniel says and then there's another tweet where he says. I spoke to a couple of players not on the eagles about the home plate umpire. That was demoted to the minors today. Terrible and arrogant where two words players used describing the crew so seven was talking on our last episode about how he was sort of surprised by some of the strike calling in the game that he saw. I don't know if that was this game or not but evidently harsh consequences if you get the calls wrong in the K B o these days. Wow you know that so few games. That's just so few games to make a decision like that. I I mean it sounds like perhaps this pump late on power. Maybe has a bit of a reputation we encountered the Joe West. Sounds like except that the Joe West of the majors the actual Joe West does not get demoted. Twenty does not great house. There's just no Umpire's Union in the K B O. I don't know that for a fact but assume that that's the case which is maybe not great on the whole but that is probably why the sort of thing is possible. And why you do get some arrogant empires on occasion and the consequences. There tends not to be quite his immediate or strict but yeah that's pretty striking. Wow that's that's speedy. They are speedy act quickly. And the whole crew. Not just not just played on the whole crew. God Sent Down Goodness. What a collective action problem. That's is so high pressure in these games. Now it's like you'd better not blow a caller. You're done so yeah we're GonNa have to litigate a whole Robo saying in the K B O and then. I don't know if I have the energy for that but I guess that's what we're in for. Perhaps you could be yeah. I don't know if they have a grading system over there like we do in. Mlb with the view based on pitch affects or track men or stack cast. Now where impairs get graded on their performance and how closely they called pitches in the strike zone and they get print out after games and over a long enough period. If you're consistently not great at that you definitely get feedback and pointers. And I think the assignments for certain Marquee Games. An all-star assignments and postseason assignments at we supposedly are based in part on your accuracy in this system. So I don't know if they were able to confirm that these empires were actually as terrible as they were raised being. I mean I know that they have trachman there and presumably they could check that so maybe that was part of this. It wasn't just the players because I guess you wouldn't want it just to be players complain on. And then the players always complain of Empires. They are not always right so more than that I assume. So yeah they are famously unreliable narrators when it comes to strike zone and you would imagine that there just has to have been some pre existing issue with this particular empire pyro crew. Because it's just not enough even if you have like you. I'm not quite sure exactly what their setup is for providing feedback but even if you had a pretty robust setup you you wouldn't think that it would be sufficient sample of games to feel confident that you were taking you were justified in taking such a strident action. I mean I realize that. It's it's a little bit larger of a sample than you might think it's not really. How many games? Too many pitches you seen within the course of that game right so you have something of a better idea. But I still wouldn't think that that's sufficient to say oh the you know you need you need a refresher on strike so down in the minor leagues. That seems very draconian so I I wonder if we're about to learn that there have been other issues with the suit particular career or this particular because otherwise my goodness seems very very strong reaction in such a short of time. Yeah I saw something that says that they were sent down for quote unquote retraining. Which said Clockwork Orange? Just like watching pitches over and over again until they're conditioned to call them rate must be based on more than just the simple of games or maybe it was like Erik. Greg truly terrible and you know I don't know if like the fact that the K B O is getting all of this international exposure right now and is on ESPN. I don't know whether there's extra pressure like we have to. You know look like we are competent league here. We can't have shoddy empires when of these foreign viewers are getting introduced to us for the first time. I don't know but yeah that's it's definitely different. There are some things that are very similar of the K. Peo- in healthy but some things that are different than this is one of them. My goodness wow wow. How's Your International Baseball? Viewing Experience Ben. It feels so good you know I and I think it is important for us when we're talking about how good it feels to. Of course we mindful that the broader circumstances that allowed for the K B O to return very different than the circumstances. We find ourselves in here. Because it's Gosh. It's really tempting to give into how good it feels to have life baseball with steaks on again the first night. And you know I'm at something of an advantage or I was that first evening being in the Pacific Time Zone because while it was still quite a late start here even and of course one. That was delayed. Further by a rain. Delay It was a reasonable time to be awake. You know it was like a normal person awake time instead of the Ben Lindbergh away. Time and so I you know I watched for a while but then I I started to doze off on the couch because it had been a busy day and I was up later than I normally am and surround twelve thirty. I you know I had that falling asleep to the sound of baseball thing. I perked up and took myself to bed so that I wouldn't end up spending evening on the couch. But F- Holt so good to fall asleep to baseball and building. I got to. I had to get up. You know I wasn't about the MLB TV. This event is over. Thank you for watching screen but wouldn't have been so far off of that so that was nice and I have appreciated the opportunity to get to know a whole new set of players to get to know set of players that I'm familiar with in a different context straight like I'm amped for Dixon Machado Lake. Let's go so so that's been that's been great fun. We lamented our last episode. The feature just you and I how we had been missing baseball and It is it is not quite the same as having players that I know better and can recognize in quarter profile when they you know tragedy the dugout which I don't know if that's a skill but it's it's something I have And I can't do that with with the K B o just check so I don't know the player pool is wild but it feels very good to have baseball back. It's A. It's a good Sport Ben. Like baseball. It's good pitch. They're also just very lately and now it's something that everyone can enjoy had that viewing experience enhanced by the fact that Federal Snow has K B O stats. Yes awesome. That's a crash. I gotta say I'm not involved in any editorial capacity with Van Grass. Obviously but you all have really been kind of killing it. I think when it comes to cable coverage I mean even going back to when some in Kim was writing for the site way before it was cool for everyone here to be watching gave. Yo Foot especially in the last couple of weeks with all the primers and now stat Stub Your C. Plus for Cape Yo players. Yeah we have player pages up right now. They are searchable both by a Roman characters in that also Korean characters. So hopefully we. Can you know share some fan? Graphs love folks abroad who might be searching in Grin and we will have additional stats of a more robust stat package in the next couple of days. So definitely keep your eyes peeled for that and of course one of the ways that people interact with stats for any baseball. Season is in leaderboards leaderboards. So we'll have leader boards soon to those should go live next week so. I'm big tip of the hat to today's Applemans Sean. Dolan are who were able to get all of the stuff live in like a week and a half. Just really spectacular so I hope that that helps to sort of not only enhance people's enjoyment of the K B O experience because they'll be able to navigate using something that they're used to but also You know get to know players a bit better and you know the names will hopefully stars you become more familiar and they'll be easier to reference so we're really excited about that and we hope it's something that folks enjoy. Yup One of the many reasons to support fed crafts and excellent reason. Yeah really good reason to be come a member or to gift a membership if you already have one we're not sitting. Eilly by waiting for Mlb come work working a keep plugging away a baseball. Whatever form and whatever league. It's in so hopefully this helps folks to enjoy the Ko a little bit more. Well we just got to know another new player player. We weren't that familiar with and like Dixon Machado. He is a former Detroit tiger. But we are about to bring you interview with Andy Van Hecke. Who is Kinda? The quintessential crafty lefty and he plied his trade for more than twenty years as a professional pitcher retired pretty recently after the two thousand eighteen season and he did it in nine different countries and in many different leagues and he is one of the fairly limited sample of players to have played professionally in Taiwan and in South Korea and also in Japan and in other countries as we will talk to him about so he was in the big leagues in two thousand and two with the Tigers. He spent some time in the organizations of the Mariners and the reds and the braves and the royals and the Astros as well and then he went overseas and he had quite an interesting career and really put the journey in journeyman. We figured since he was a member of the leagues that we are all getting to know right now he'd be a great person to introduce them to us and I got a little bit of data. I was curious about whether he is actually the most traveled pitcher in history or at least on record and I asked baseball reference in Kenny Jacqueline. Who One of the people over there if he could send me a list of the players who had played in the most countries at least with data in baseball references database and n even heck and has seven countries. Platon according to baseball reference. So he did pitch a game in Toronto when he was with the Tigers so technically he pitch in Canada and he was on the US World Cup team and pitched in Panama so those are a couple of countries that are not counted in the search but he pitched in the Dominican Republic and Japan and Korea and Mexico and Taiwan and the US in Venezuela and that puts him in like a fourteen way tie for the second most countries of anyone in the baseball reference database. There's only one man in that database who has pitched in more countries and it is Darwin Kubi on who pitched in eight and he has the edge on Andy because he pitched in San Marino which I was not aware that there was San Marino baseball reference data but there is sin reader has a team in the Italian league and Darwin Coupon. Pitch there so he is on top but and even heck in appears to be the most well traveled. Us born player. There's only one other. Us Born player on this list Gary Burnham and he never made the majors and so among us born players and certainly among us born players. Who made the majors he appears to have played professionally in the most countries that baseball reference has records for so maybe he can unretire in play in Italy or Australia somewhere to equal coup beyond but even as it is he really is One of the most well traveled players ever and he's GonNa tell us about his long career and it was a fun conversation. I think for sure and then we will be bringing you a second interview so this interview. I feel like doing the jousting Idaho so we will prepare you for this one. So there's an article that came out this week in slate that was called was donald trump good at baseball and it's by leander charlatans and he did a deep dive into some of the claims that president trump has made about his own amateur baseball career and he kind of did a fact check on those baseball claims and he came up with a pretty good picture. I think of Donald Trump's career as a high school baseball player. He looked up some records. He talked to some of his teammates. And we weren't sure whether to talk about this podcast even though we both enjoyed the article and we're interested in the investigation just because we tend to keep this not a politics free zone but we talk about politics as it relates to baseball and it often does. In many ways there is a fair amount of overlap air. But we know that some of you want to the president or politics in general and want to use this podcast as sort of an oasis from all of that and so we had some discussion about it but this is very much about baseball. It's relevant to baseball. It is entirely focused on baseball. And if you just don't want to hear anything that could even border on national fares and current events on effectively. Well then we stuck it at the end of the episode so you can listen to Andy and then you can cut out if you feel like it. But it's a fun conversation I think in in eliminating one also Donna Donna. Donna Donna done it done so we will be back in just a moment with Indian and to talk about his incredible mile cut. You won't feel anything by shake it comes at home. Look I don't find come look. We are joined now by former left handed pitcher and even can who began his ear in West. Michigan is now back in West Michigan but in between the beginning and the end of his playing career he managed to pitch professionally in nine countries. Us Canada Mexico the Dominican Venezuela Panama South Korea Japan and Taiwan. He also pitched for six major league organizations including the Tigers in the big leagues and relevant to what. We're all paying attention to today. He pitched in the. Oh he also pitched in the CPL and the N. P. So he thought he'd be a great person to talk to about some of these leaks the. Us fans are familiarizing themselves. With so Andy. High and you must be exhausted. I'm I'm feeling good Thanks for having me on. It's good to talk to you guys. Yeah we'll we're excited to because you must be one of the most. Well traveled players out there. I wonder whether you are aware of anyone or have played with anyone else who you think rivals your travels in professional baseball. Yeah I'm not sure I I was curious you know. Once I finished up I did hear. There was a small list of guys that hit all three Asian countries Japan Korea and Taiwan. I think there's thirteen or fourteen of us but yeah I was curious if any any of those guys that hit Mexico at all but you see if there even smaller this but yeah it's obviously unique route that I took when the change it for the world. It was all great experiences and had a lot of fun. A lot of different things whether it's money or increased playing time or just a desire for a new experience in a different place can lead players to seek opportunities in foreign professionally and curious if you can tell our listeners. What motivated you to make that leap and then kept you going back as you traveled through. Different Leagues over the years right. Yeah that's always kind of a question. What's people who are friends family? And you know you tell them you're gonna go overseas the play and they don't quite understand why or you know kind of in triple a for a couple of years and pitching pretty well and I thought I'd been pretty close to being called up but it never happened With the Astros and yeah so the opportunity came along in the off season and Korea made an offer and it was not a very easy decision because like I said I pitched pretty well and I was obviously trying to get back to the big leagues and I thought I was very close but at that time I was. I think thirty two years old and you know had ups and downs. I'd been in independent ball for a couple of years kinda struggling to get by and you know just trying to get back into a major league system with the team and thankfully I got hooked back up with the Astros and start pitching better and you know like I said kind of got in the conversation. Maybe getting a call up some point but it didn't happen so that it was a tough decision but being my age and that it hasn't happened yet with the Astros. I thought that the best decision for me and my wife was to go to Korea and try and make some money. The other thing with going over there at that time was when you sign the contract. It's guaranteed for the whole season. So you're going to get paid for the whole season no matter if you get hurt or have a bad year and get released. Which if you sign a minor league deal you get released. That's you're you know you're not getting paid anymore. So that was kind of a a big factor as well so so I wanted to go back to the beginning of your procurement. You were drafted in the third round by the Mariners and then they traded to about a year later to the Tigers and you were a top ten prospect and the Tiger System in two thousand one in two thousand two and you won the most minor league games of any pitcher in those two seasons combined according to Baseball America. And then you come up in September two thousand and two when rosters expand you start off with a bang with the complete game shutout Aryan. You finish that month with a three year as so at that point. I imagine you weren't imagining the trajectory that your career would take and you know who? I'm sure it's been more interesting and more positive than it might have been if it had been kind of a conventional career. But what happened? I guess in the years after that. That what you were probably envisioning at that point while I made the team. I did well back next year and I'm a young guy and I'm just getting started in the majors. I guess what kind of took you all over the place in the year after that. Yeah obviously I think was twenty three minutes of the Big Leagues and then had success right away but yeah every intention to make the team spring training that season. I did get called up. I had pitched probably sixty more innings maybe than my previous high So I was just even when I was in the Big Leagues. Felt pretty terrible. But you know I it pitch well and triple A. and got called up and of course you know I'm not GonNa miss the opportunity to pitch in the big leagues and and I was able to pitch well through it despite not having my best stuff and not feeling my greatest so I kinda got it through the rest of the year and ended up moral and yeah figured on coming back strong next year and earning Spothero tation but came back to spring training and just my arm didn't feel very well. I didn't really have any life on the ball and I was getting hit around really bad. I mean I had a terrible spring training and just you know got sent down to AAA and continue to struggle down through the spring and ended up getting sent even down to Aa that year. And and start a pitch a little bit better but so yeah just kind of I was never able to get my city back up and just kinda struggled. Was you know what to do physically and just kind of have you know question my ability and had questions of what I should do I should do. And just kinda struggled around for a couple of years and ended up getting into independent ball for a couple of years and yeah ended up. That's when the Astros kind of came and they had some some old tiger personnel that we're now in the Astros Organization that knew who I was and they kinda those out at that point. I was kind of on the veteran side of things and they brought me in to kind of be a veteran around some of the younger younger pitchers they had in their systems. Try and lead by example. I guess and do the best thing to help them out. And then I Kind of hooked up with one of my old coaches from high school who had been developing some some workouts and some pitching specific things that I had never really done before. And and the off-season really got after it and worked hard and increase. I've lost by like five or six miles an hour and you know Kinda put myself back in the radar but the Astros and got up to triple A. And like I said earlier started to pitch well and that's kind of where I got interest of Korea and some other foreign leagues and it's kind of short version of a very long very long. And what was that scouting and recruiting process like for you? I think that that's something that American audiences just so a poor sense of. I assume you were a by the team. What were your conversations like with them in terms of not only what your role would be on the field but what the adjustment might be like for you off the field moving to a new country. So I think I was down in Venezuela when I was agent called me and said there might be an opportunity in Korea and if I was interested in I said definitely yes and I haven't really talked to them. You know they'd come and Scott me during the season the summer and see me pitch one of my best games thankfully And so they can't talk to my agent and made an offer and ultimately decided to do that but yeah we didn't. I didn't get a chance to talk to him until I I signed my contract and yeah it was able to. There's at that time there was only two foreign players on a team now. They've up to three so the other foreign player that was signing back with the team I signed with Blues Brandon Knight who actually had played with before so I was able to talk to him during the off season and he gave me kind of idea of what to expect and What they expect of me and his key for my success in the K B O to have brand there to kind of show me the way you know coaches would tell you what they expect and then he would come in and tell me some things. Just kinda handle it you know. There's some sometimes. There are some problems between coaches and foreign players and and a lot of foreign players. Don't exactly know how to take some of the coaching over. There can get a little little intent sometimes. I think it's gotten much better than the recently. But you know brandon was always good at telling me just how I should conduct myself and you know. It's normal to hear some of that stuff so he was used by. It'll and my success over there and at various points senior career in Korea. Ed It was a a pretty high offense league. I guess maybe not quite when you first got there but certainly in subsequent seasons and that's kind of come back a bit in the last little bit here because the ball has changed but what was it like to pitch in that extremely high scoring environment. Yeah it was. It was a little crazy for a while there. I think my first year was pretty normal. The our Home Stadium was the smallest stadium in the league fill. That was fun some nights when the wind was blowing a certain way but at the same time we had a very very good lineup especially in two thousand fourteen we had four maybe even five guys with twenty plus home runs so I definitely had the help from my offense but yeah just kinda learning to keep the ball down more than I ever had and yeah like like you said the some of the the balls were a jump a little bit more than the others and back then. They had a different balls for different stadiums so our ball was used. I think three different stadiums and then there there are a couple of different more. Dame's that you can. Actually the teams could choose from about five five different brands which they wanted to use so thankfully I think four or five years ago. They got they got rid of that and they went to one uniform boss. I think that's helped out quite a bit. So American baseball fans who are watching K B. O. Baseball now aren't getting to enjoy this. Because of the pandemic related precautions they're taking in ballparks but the CATO is famous for its atmosphere ends the sort of excitement and enthusiasm of its fans. I'm curious what it was like pitching in front of fans like that. Both when you got to enjoy your home park but then also when you were on the road and time it took for you to adjust. I imagine after a playing in the US. It was quite an adjustment. Yeah obviously it's a huge difference Especially coming from the minor leagues where it's even quieter In a Lotta Parks Sheriff. But Yeah you get there. And it's just nonstop music and singing and cheering especially our team. We'RE ONE OF THE SMALLER CROWDS. So we would go on the road and it would just be you know. Everybody was for the other team most of the time. But Yeah I it was definitely a little little jarring being out there and just having speakers blasting music at you and and they are just there nonstop even if it's eleven to one in the ninth inning. They're still going if they're behind like they just keep on they. They came to the game. They have fun and sing and be with their friends. And that's what they're gonNA do until the very end. So yeah. I like you know. Kinda like these people crazy. But there's two outs in the ninth like just go home now. You learn to appreciate like wow. These are very dedicated fans. And they're enjoying time so with a lot of things. I just came to appreciate every is between America and then in Korea but yeah. It was a huge difference. I got very used to to a point where there's actually a tragedy over there. I forgot what your was but actually out of respect stops of music and cheering for months to kind of more It was a ferry crashed with a lot of school. Children and a lot of people ended up losing their lives. A lot of respect. They cut all the music out for a few months and it was act. It was that was actually more of a adjustment because it was so quiet I was like me and this is really weird. Sure but yeah it was. I got used to love it. It's a shame that That part of the game can't be shown now on TV in Korea because that is a huge part of it. And you know it's it's it's a fun very fun atmosphere to play in and be a part of yeah. I was going to ask if you've had a chance to watch any of this season. And what it's been like for you to see these stadiums empty and still have the cheerleaders and mascots but have them devoid of fans. Thought I've gotten a chance. Watch a couple of games for a little while here on. Espn first of all. It's fantastic to see games on on. Espn over here. Yeah Yeah I wish under under different circumstances but yeah it's a little odd having the stadiums empty and see some of the umpires and coaches have masks on that. But I'm thankful they get get to play. You know. I know. I know some of the foreign players over there still and they had to go through some some quarantining stuff and some you know. It's difficult for their families to get over there and and figure all that out. I'm glad they at least get to play the games and and have that sense of normalcy in their lives. But Yeah Hopefully. Hopefully the fans can can slowly get back. I don't know what they're Plan is for that but hopefully at some point they can start getting some fans and can get back to normal but I guess I'm glad they're playing. At least I was watching videos. Some highlights from a few years ago and one of the other American pitchers who has pitched in N. C. N. K. O. Chris Seddon was pitching and he gave up a homer and there was a big bet flip against him and he looked very displeased. Maybe about but also about the backflip. Perhaps and I don't know maybe he was having a bad day or maybe that bothered him all the time but I am curious about your reaction to that when you got over there and saw that celebration that certainly at that time at least in the US was not quite as common right. Yeah that's that's one of the things you know again. That might help me out with because yeah most. Most Americans come over come over to Korea and they see that and it's just a huge disrespect them into the other team and you know they can't understand why why they do it or why they get away with it. You know you know you do that over here in the next guy is GonNa hit hit or or the guy hits home runs. GonNa get hit the next time around but yeah it's just kind of like shrug off and that's part of the game and it takes a lot of guys a long time to get over that and Yeah I I I typically didn't care too much you know I was always mad about the pitch or whatever and I it just kind of have to and it's hard to when your teammates are doing the same thing so it's like you know you may not like it but it's hard to like mad at a two guys on your your teammates doing the same thing so I mean it's kind of have to kind of overlook it it's hard sometimes but Yeah it's it's part of their game and what they do and you just Kinda have to deal with it. I'm curious you know you had you had a long and successful career overseas. Obviously we see players go from. Mlb over to the leaks in Asia every year. Were there any traits that you noticed among other foreign players in yourself that you all had in common? That sort of helped you to both acclimate to new living situation and also to a new league as there if you were giving advice to you know players in AAA right now who might be looking to extend their careers overseas. What what advice would you give them in terms of the right approach to both the League ins adjusting to living in a new country? Yeah good question. I've I've been asked that by you know front office people in Korea you know. What should we look for for guys like you said come over and just be successful? Because that's such a big part of you know being over. There is not only being successful on the field but adapting to culture and in just adapting to living in a new place you know and and in having your family there if that's if that's a if you have a family if they're coming over there you know I we didn't have kids and I know a lot of guys have kids over there. So figuring all that out is such a big part of it I think for me. It was helpful. I went to the Dominican and played winter ball I went to Mexico before going to Korea and play a little bit over there so I had some experience while it wasn't very long. You know like I think. I was in Dominican for month and a half. It helps just just tremendously like to see you know to kind of adapt to the way they do things you know. It's easy to be in America. That's what we're used to but to being a different country and see how the players and coaches handle themselves and what they expect to view and and then like I said living in a different place and just figuring out on your own how to how to cook and get food and and just get around as Can Be challenging at times so having a little bit of experience and just be open to a lot of the guys that you struggle over there with all that our little maybe close minded out say and Aren't very open to trying new things and you know giving a different approach or different way to do things I think. Those guys typically struggle. Don't last very long so having a little bit experience somewhere else if you can with winter ball and just being having an open mind and be willing to try something in you and your wife have been together since you were with the Tigers and I wonder how often she was able to accompany you to all these countries and adjustments. That was for her and I guess how important was for you to have her with you. Yeah so Korea. We're able to work in the contract that she could get. I think I'm first year. We got like three round trip tickets for her so so she came after spring training at some point and she would stay anywhere from a month to six weeks and then go back home for a month or so and then she would come back and join me for another six weeks so yeah it's it can be tough for families like I said we get to go to the field and and do what we love every day and sometimes you know they kind of have to stick back at the apartment or do whatever kind of keep themselves busy so for us network the best for her to be there you know set for a month or six weeks and it. Was you know she was ready to go home? And See your family and you know being America for a little while and then it was good to have her come back and obviously that always helped me when she came back and just Kinda you know boosts my spirits and you know have have somebody in my corner again and have somebody do some go out to dinner with and all that little stuff. So that's pretty much kind of the way. We handle that with with Japan as well and when I was in Thailand. So she's she's been great she's Followed me all over the world and Yeah it's worked out well for us so I know you learned a forkball at some point and that's a pitch that's become pretty rare in the big leagues but seems to be bit more common in Asia Baseball. Did you learn it here or there? And what did it do for you in? Why do you think it's not more common here in the states? I actually learned my forkball when I was in Toledo with Jeff. Jones was our pitching coach. Who later on went to the Tigers and wasn't the pitching coach for a long time? But Yeah I was messing around with a split finger and forkball different grips and house. You know like I told you earlier. My velocity kind of drop so I strike outs went way down and so I you know we're kinda messed around bullpen. I kinda showed him or something and he. He showed me the group that I ended up using. And Yeah so I ended up being a really good pitch for me back then and then I kept throwing it and was able to make it pretty decent struggle. Pitch Korea made me really perfect it because you know it was hard to control in sometimes leave it up and the the is over there such great contact hitters. They'll just follow off pitches nonstop and it just heats up your pitch count so I was really able to learn how to bury it and located much better. I really worked on that a lot and ended up being A really good pitcher me There so yeah. I'm thankful I learned to Kinda Save my career in the states here and ended up being very very good pitch for me overseas. So as we've discussed you have experienced in both of the professional leagues that are currently up and running now but might understanding. Is that your first tour through the? Cps in Taiwan was pretty unusual in that you were there when the League was in the midst of a game fixing scandal. So I'm curious you can talk to us about what it was like playing there and how you saw that scandal sort of manifesting in real time has to be a pretty unusual experience. It was very unfortunate. Yeah I got there. I didn't I never heard about it until after I got in there and you know I guess there have been some some issues in the past and then yeah I didn't think too much of it. It sounded like it was over with for the most part and and then I think we made it to the playoffs and something had come out in the newspaper Possibly our team Had some players who are involved. Still and yeah. That was just super tense. You you start playing. And then you see guys make airs and you just Kinda question everything. And you're you're pitching and you're like this is my catcher giving signs. Somehow you know it's it's just very uncomfortable and you want to try and performance and there's actually an incident with one of our other foreign players where he had a bad game and I think he struck out a couple of times in mid air and one of our Taiwanese coaches came over to him and start yelling at him because he thought he was like throwing a game. Or whatever. You know game my Gosh. So yeah we had like three. I think three of US foreign players all trying to like hold our guy back and the Taiwanese guys all you know kind of hold the coach back and it was like it was just a horrible feeling. I I gotta get Kinda County That was a crazy experience and I think the League after that season cut a few teams and just kind of really took a big toll on him and I think they're I think they still are paying for it a little bit. I know the has gotten better. I haven't heard of any problems since on so hopefully it's behind them because a lot. There are a lot of really good players over there. And it's A Fun League to plan but yeah that was that was crazy but yeah really unfortunate and when you went back there more than ten years later in you pitched in. Cpl again in two thousand eighteen. One of your last stops. Did you find it to be much? Improved into to enjoy that experience. Yeah I did enjoy it. You know. It was a little crazy because they're only four teams. So you're here. You're playing against the guys over and over. I mean even the Kvil only ten teams. So that's a little repetitive. Sometimes but yeah this is four teams but yeah they have some some really good talent and we ended up making it to the final series and I was. It was a fun fun series. They didn't give us much hope. That team we played was was stack and they had a really good lineup. We ended up making it a decent series but you know we ended up losing and it was a fun experience. It's good some good teammates and That funhouse yeah. That was where I ended my career and which we had one and gone out a winner but unfortunately it didn't happen but it was fun from family to end up my career. How much did you adjust your pitching approach from place to place either depending on the quality of the competition? Or maybe the strike zone differed in certain leagues. So did you try to get a scouting report on the players in that league or the empires in that League can. Did you do anything really in terms of location or pitch election or just all strategy? Yeah first learning the strike zone in Korea was I would say the the high strike was not called especially in off speed pitches so with my football was pretty. I guess kind of loopy. You would say so if I left it up on his own which I usually didn't try and do and then they didn't end up calling it for a strike would get frustrated but so learning. That part of it was kind of a big deal. I mean most. It's pretty similar. I guess to the states besides that fact of the high strike but everywhere else was pretty similar as far as learning hitters. That was something that helped me have success in Korea. I think was they have so much information available. If you on it as far as scouting they they have notes on you know where where every pitch was hit or where you know what pitch was taken. Were they hit it? You know anything you need so I started doing my own research and stuff like that and hitters. We had we had team meetings before every series and they'd give us packets of all the information we wanted and they had video on everybody. We wanted so. I really started doing that on my own. And and really learning as much as I could about the hitters and then obviously helped me out a lot as far as game planning for guys and so I had a pretty Pretty thick notebook of how to how to approach guys. And it helped me out when I was in Korea so unfortunately I was in in the other. Leagues has long so I was able to do as much I tried to do as much as I could get as much information hitters because they always helps a ton as a pitcher like having a plan against. The guy helped me out tremendously. As as far as where I wanted to locate my pitches and if I had a fine idea of what I wanted to do I I execute pitching so much better if I for a rookie or somebody. I didn't know got up to the plate and I didn't quite know how attack them I just. I don't know I never executed my pitches as well so having idea against the guy is was was huge for me. What did you see in terms of the state of analytics in advance stats? And how different leaks? Were applying them in your. You know as you move through them over the years where there some where there were sort of taking a similar approach to major league teams now and others were. It was a more traditional sort of understanding of baseball. How did that Vary League to League? Yes so when I was in the states at least at the AAA level. They weren't quite getting into that yet. And then when I was in Korea our team I played with heroes and they were they were one of the first teams to really get into analytics. They hired somebody to do that and they were collecting that kind of information but they hadn't really put it into practice. I think as soon as I. After my last year there they started using a lot more shifts a lot more Matchups from the bullpens Fars Lefty. Righty and just based on all the information they made collected so they got a little more into that after left. But Yeah my team. The heroes are pretty advanced I would say and trying to keep up with what the US is doing you know they. They were called kind of the Oakland A.'s of of Korea because they kind of a smaller smaller budget and but they would use as much information as they could and they they just used every at tried to use every advantage they could to get wins and They did a very good job of signing guys and using that sort of information during the game so so yeah I think it's. It's gotten a lot more prevalent over there. There's always kind of right after I was leaving. But that kind of stuff was showing up but definitely together as much information as possible. So we came across kind of a hype video or a real about your time with Nixon and it causes the Superhero and the all-time ace of Nexen Heroes. And I know that you set some records while you were there and I'm just kind of curious about what it meant to you to have that sort of reception or that standing with that franchise I mean. I assume you didn't grow up dreaming of being with the Nexen Heroes. Probably dreaming of was what happened with the Tigers in two thousand two but then life takes you down this other road in you end up excelling for this other team in this other community that really embraces USO. I wonder what that meant and if it was in its own way just as satisfying as sort of being the big league. Ace that you had maybe dreamed about the. Yeah it's like you said it's not what I necessarily set out to do and I was a young kid or even starting my career but yeah it was. It was a very very special place to be and mental lot. Especially I think you know you go and play in the minor leagues for a long time like I did and winning Games is important. But you know it's like when you get to the end of the season in the minor leagues. You know he got housing is just WANNA go home. And Half. The guy's like Oh. Let's go to the playoffs and see what happens. So it's not ever ever a big thing but you know Korea was their major leagues. And you WanNa you WanNa win a championship and I was lucky to kind of be part of that team and when I got there they were. I think the year before they were Costa last place and my first year. We were kind of middle of the pack and then my next year. We made the playoffs. And then after that we made the final so we kind of gradually got better and better so that was really exciting and just exciting to walk around town and all of a sudden you start seeing Mexican hats and Mexican jerseys and you could from year to year see the popularity of the team growing. That was really exciting to be a part of that. We had some really good players Guys that came over here to the major leagues jong-ho with the pirates and Park Byung how ended up signing with the twins and played a little bit too big leagues of them. So they were kinda young superstars kind of building theirselves up and you know so I was able to be a part of that and so yeah it was. It was really cool to see the fans really start to gravitate towards our team and you know obviously I had some success. I had some some popularity over there which was which was nice. But you know as those weird walking down the street sometimes getting recognized in a huge city like Seoul and then someone home to how Michigan nobody really knows. You are totally fine with me and being over there. And he's getting recognized Econo- that's kind of NEAT. I guess but yeah it was it was. It was fun I love. The fans are are tremendous and they they will do anything for you and you know they just they love giving little gifts like whether it's just coffee or you know just any any little thing they can think of. They just love giving gifts and showing your appreciation that way and they have they have some great fans. And it's it's fun to get to know so move on through the years and it was fun. Fun Fun place to play so I did want to ask about the language barrier if it was superior I mean you sometimes hear that. Baseball is sort of a universal language. And I'm sure that's true. To An extent and baseball players have certain things in common and maybe there are certain terms that are just generally understood and understands how to play the game. But you were still going to many different countries that speak many different languages and not just trying to communicate with your teammates but also just at home and get through life that way. So did you pick up any languages on your way where there any resources available to you in terms of translation or other teammates. Who could help out? How did you navigate that? Yeah so I think every place had a translator for us so yeah Korea. We had a translator that would be with us at the field. You know as soon as we left the fields we were kind of on our own. We could call him if we needed to We need anything. If we're in a taxi and RECON Kentucky Which way to go or whatever he could help out but Yeah most of most of the people in Korea speak a little bit of English reek and kind of get by especially like at the restaurants. You know 'cause either just pointed at the menu or figure out some way to get your point across But they most most Koreans knew some English and yeah I was unfortunately not able to learn to speak. I was able to learn how to read it. Which did Kinda come in Handy? Because a lot of the words they have written on signs are are in English like an English word written in Korean all the times especially like restaurants and stuff like that so that was helpful. Yeah translators a huge help. Let's coaches and and and the players and in developing relationships with the players Through your translator was good but as far as you know the language of baseball it is. It is very similar. You know they get excited when you know you you do well and you show that you're you're putting an effort and doing your best and they'll be you know they're very eager to to be friends and be friendly with you and As long as you're showing effort and say I thought was kind of an easy part. It was pretty good. I haven't run through. Too many instances where the language barrier was. Was that bigger problem. Thankfully after your long successful playing career what are you up to now. Have you stayed connected to baseball pursuing professional opportunities there? I've been Kinda you know after I've done in eighteen. I kind of decided to stay around home most of the summer. I really been home. That's how it was nice to spend a summer in West Michigan here. And but yeah. I've been kind of kind of interested in possibly scouting or that would probably be my number one choice. Get into scouting. Coaching would be a possibility For me as well I've been Mostly teaching lessons in grand rapids carrying weapons Michigan. So we ended up getting Some some pretty cool equipment. We bought. arap Soda Machine. And as. You're trying to camera this off season. So we're we've been implementing that and helping kids out with that and we had a couple of guys in the minor leagues from the area that we worked with all winter. And so that's been really cool to to work with that new equipment. I know the big leagues in nearly guys have been working with that The last couple years it's been in kind of a a big deal to us all that stuff and they're getting into all that information and slow mo video so it's been fun to work with that and I'm so that's pretty much what I've been doing is a lot of a lot of lessons and trying to help kids out a flea hopefully in the future. I'd be very interested in scouting or doing something like that so I guess just to finish up when you look back at this twenty year. Odyssey that you had all over the planet playing baseball. What are some of the moments that stand out the most to you other than the debut in Detroit I guess? Just how much of your personal mental highlight reel is in overseas leagues and places that you never thought you would play and I guess just how satisfied are you with the way it all worked out? Yeah obviously the debut would be one of my highlights. It's it's it's funny. I look back and I I. My career seems like two different careers you know when I was younger and made it up to the big leagues. Then you know it's almost like I mentally erased a couple a couple of years there But then when I was able to get back with Astros and then get over to Korea. My second half of my career but yeah the the highlights would be like two thousand fourteen. We had a tremendous season as a team and we made it to the Korean series. We should've should've one with all the talent we had. We Kinda Kinda you know blowed away but we had a great season I had. I had a good season personally. So pitching in the in. The Korean series was light of my career. So much fun and cowed. Was this amazing. And that's what you WANNA do baseball player. Pitching those games in that environment was very special. There's this kind of a collage of all the teams and all the places I was just. I can't really pick out another special moment. Just everything together was was tremendous and yeah playing for twenty one years is way beyond what I could have expected and very lucky and come very thankful for for the length of time. I got to do what I love and in for all the experiences different places. That's kind of yeah. It's just a crazy experience and I. I love getting to be in different countries and experience different cultures and something that I'll have forever and I'm very thankful for all right. Well we are thankful for you coming on and sharing these memories with us and we wish you the best of luck with whatever your next step turns out to be. Thanks Andy All right. Yeah thank you guys very much. Good talking to you right. We'll be back in just a moment to talk to leander. Sherlock of president trump's rather grin claims at his high school baseball career clear. Anson's weighing cow gives been stripped thinking of that. All right we are joined now by Leeann. Attempted to answer the question and I think did into the question was Donald. Trump could at baseball would hinder is doing well so I want to ask you to summarize the claims that Donald Trump has made about his baseball career for those who have maybe tried to to out things that Donald Trump says or have just been distracted by many of the other things that Donald Trump has said or just the pandemic in general but also. I think we are curious. About what motivated you to look into this and why you thought it was important to fact check this particular claim when so many other claims many of them more consequential than this have been fact checked and have turned out to be untrue. Well I mean there were several claims and it seemed like every time he made them. They got a little bit more outlandish he. He said he was a great athlete in high school than it was the greatest athlete in his high school. This New York Military Academy where he spent a five years from five or six from nine hundred fifty. Eight nineteen sixty four is the year he graduated. He got sent there as an unruly thirteen year old to be straightened out which was a very unconventional move for. Rich New York City family to send their kids to Nima as it's pronounced. But he got sent. They're all the same and as the years went by the claims about what he'd been. An athlete seemed to get dialed up a little bit. Then at one point he tweeted that he been the best baseball player in the states in a essay he wrote for a book edited by Brian. Kilmeade who was then and now a co anchor of Fox and friends. He said that he decided that he wasn't going to be pro. After all because he'd been to trial with Willie mccovey only problem. There is Willie. Mccovey is eight years older than trump and was an all star the year that in Major League baseball the year. That trump was a senior in high school. So I'm not so sure about that. One the White House never responded to a request for comment on that particular complication so he. He said that he was the greatest high school player in the states. And so that's all kinds of boiler plates in a sense and kind of part and parcel of of the cult of personality that trump created around himself. But what I think sets this apart from sort of the quotidian lies that he that he tells right. The the just the political daily deluge of of misinformation that we get is that I think this is quite structural foundational to the story that he tells about himself about having been a success his entire life and having always been a winner and having always been great and and better than everybody else and the way that I got into reporting this story was I live about twenty minutes from Nema or what's left of it. At when trump went there was sort of at its height about four hundred students between grades. Six twelve so it was never a big school. It was never a particularly relevant or prestigious school. Which again makes it Weird. That he went there in the first place but now it's down to less than one hundred students and we'll have to see how they come out of the pandemic but it's sort of been on life support for longtime ironically. It's now owned by a Chinese billionaire. Who BOUGHT IT AT AUCTION? Which is funny. We consider trump's history with China. But so it's not far from my house and my wife's uncle my wife's families from the area here in the Hudson Valley from the Netherlands. But my wife's uncle went to a rival school nearby. And he was a star baseball player there. An actual star baseball player. Hit Look five hundred. Eighty or something. He's senior year. But so my father-in-law. My wife's uncle's brother's said you know if you go to the local library there's all this microfilm of all these games have been meaning to go down there and dig up all these stories about my brother and then he says you know a bet you that you'd find some. Donald Trump's old highschool games because you had lots of local papers back then in it covered the local schools. No matter how small Nima again was so small that it wasn't even in a conference it just played a non conference ten game schedule and then it took me an embarrassingly longtime to actually follow up on that tip which turned out to be a pretty good tip but then one afternoon. I went down there and I found the microfilm and it took me a little while to get to the rights to the right role but there were all these games just sitting there. All these stories of trump's high school glory or or lack thereof and for those who haven't had a chance to reach article yet. What evidence were you able to uncover concerning his his baseball performance? I'm not I imagine that. Not much of a comprehensive statistical record really exists. But what were you able to find about how he was baseball player? So I found eleven stories between two local papers to Cornwall local in the newburgh. Evening News and then on newspapers Dot Com which this comprehensive web subscription website thing. It's run by the people who own ancestry. I found a few more stories in neighboring papers when Nema had played away games and had been on the road and played against the local teams there so between those are found eleven stories. Nine of those had box scores and in those nine box scores. He hit a cumulative. One thirty eight was four for twenty nine. I believe he had. I want to say three runs scored and a run batted in or one. Rbi and or three RBI and one run or something like that not great and then from those box scores of found enough names that I was able to. I started tracking down all the team. All the the teamates from those three years on the Varsity. He did play sixty. Two sixty three sixty four on the Varsity team was star pretty much as a first baseman from the time he he made the team as a sophomore. So there's that then again very small school where if you look in a yearbook. It's like everybody letter. Didn't at least two sports. Those very big part of Nema at the time too. So trump had a well-stocked sports section in his yearbook. But then so did everybody else so you hit one. Thirty eight in the soy started tracking down these teammates and it turned out that you know they are not all that different from any old man reminiscing about his about his youth and about sports in that. It seemed like the older. They got the better they were. They all remembered him as pretty good athlete as a pretty good baseball player. They agreed that he was a better fielder than he was a hitter and was a first baseman. So make it that way you will but so then when you you compare that with the stats and I'd sort of say well look found all these box scores in he at one thirty eight and they're like you. I guess maybe he wasn't that great. They seem to think he was a good athlete at a small school in the middle of nowhere and that was pretty much the extent of it. Which of course does not square with the claim. That was the best high school player in the states. Oh and I forgot. The Cherry on top is that he said on several occasions that he could've gone pro and while he never said it himself. Donald trump that is a former coach of his said that he was scouted by the Red Sox and the Philadelphia phillies. I reached out to both teams. They said their scouting records. Don't go back that far that that does seem to be true. I don't think they were just trying to get out of answering the question Because everything was done on paper back then. And why would you keep your scouting reports from the mid nineteen sixties? But I've found no evidence of that and I talked to the teammates and out of the seven that I spoke to six. I don't remember ever seeing scouts once said he might of and so what was funny. There is at this coach was never actually the varsity coach. And if you read the story you'll see. The whole claim is just littered with so many inconsistencies as to as to hilarious. Yeah so as you're trying to talk to people who were there who saw this firsthand in an attempt to corroborate or refute. These claims. I imagine that you have to be mindful of ABC pulled a goal positions of these people. Are there relationships to trump? You're talking about a powerful person here. And some of these people may either have a bone to pick with him and have an interest in making him look bad others. Maybe trying to curry favor with him and trying to boost his accomplishment so added you sort of vet your sources so that part of it was was delicate right because I didn't know where they stood obviously on the political spectrum and the way I pitched it to them is very much the way I approached it. I think honestly that I had no sort of partisan inclination. I have my own beliefs in my own political views. Obviously but I really did set those aside and said okay. Let's let's find out if this guy was was good at baseball. And it turned out that he hit four hundred and that he really did turn down a pro career. That would have been fine. And that's the story. I would have written and good for him but so they really ran the gamut. There were some former teammates who are clearly very protective of him and sort of considered themselves connected to him and and are obviously political supporters to there others. That were decidedly. Not that way. But I don't think that got in the way of anybody saying what they wanted to say. Because I won't out them directly but there were some who clearly politically supported him who sort of admitted. Yeah you know. Maybe he wasn't all that good whereas others were on the other side of the political spectrum and said Yeah. You know who's who's a pretty good ballplayer. I also think that their their recollections of of how he played anecdotally skewed by the fact that they all seem to think that their school as as anybody does I suppose was a little bit better and their program. A little bit more relevant than it really. Was you know it seems like two or three days? Their high school athletic. I can't believe yeah amazing. It seems like two or three people on that team did go on to play college ball. None of them very significantly because Nemo Lot of sort of thirteenth year players that may have been a bit of a pioneer in that sense where they had guys who were sort of just trying to rush up their GPA's and their baseball credentials so that they could go playing. Call it so it seems like a decent player came through every now and again but on the whole he may have looked good to them by sort of the context of competition. They were facing because again. The Hudson Valley was not a baseball hotbed. They didn't play anybody outside of a radius of like you know thirty or forty miles and even the big schools around here were never all that good. Yeah and could you talk about Ted Tobias? The former baseball coach who has since died but trump used him as sort of a reference. You know he said talk to Ted Tobias and he'll back me up and he sort of did but as you explain team may have had other motivations to so bias is a fascinating character so he. He's an immigrant he arrives in the US when he sixteen for some reason that never became entirely clear. It seemed like he was left here alone that his parents came along but went back or at any rate he winds up a Nema when he's sixteen when he's nineteen he enlists eighteen or nineteen. He enlisted and GOES OFF TO FIGHT IN WORLD WAR. Two in the Italian theater when he comes back. He says that he he'd seen the executed Mussolini's body but so he returns from serving in World War Two. He's not a major to be clear even though that's the rank that they give him at at Nima with as a kind of honorific so he sort of persuaded to return to Nima and finish his education finishes high school and then he sticks around and he just never leaves the rest of his life and he. He lives to be somewhere in his eighties. Pages STAYS OF NEMA the rest of his life that they make him they call them at Major. Any essentially. Just become part of the part of the faculty there. He lives on campus. He marries on campus. He raises his kids on campus. And Best I can tell. He was still living on campus when he died because Nema has this huge sprawling campus with lots of houses and so he stays there forever and he kind of seems to turn himself into the schools defacto pitch man. It's sort of one man. Pr Department and he styles himself after. Donald trump comes famous as as a mentor. Figure to him. Although it's not clear that they that they had very much to do with each other. After trump graduated at all just as trump's not really been involved with any of the schools that he went to but so all his life he sort of portrays himself as this mentor and the last picture of him that I could find when he gave an interview to NPR. He was wearing a make-america-great-again again. And so they become close. It seems pretty early on when trump gets to NIMA. The bias was in charge of the Middle School. He was never the varsity coach. He was the freshman team coach. At one point or at any rate he wasn't the varsity coach when trump was there but so he and trump come close. Trump isn't terribly close to too much if the student body if if anybody at all like he he seemed like he was liked and he was respected and he rose to like maybe the fourth highest ranked. Cadet which is an accomplishment. In a school of four hundred he led a Memorial Day Parade Down Fifth Avenue at one point where Nima was sort of at the front if the entire parade but so he and Tobias. We're tight so it seems like the bias was never the the varsity coach but was always a guy who's willing to vouch for him willing to say Donald Trump. He was the guy who was great and in one truck biography. The biased claims that he made trump and gary assistant coach of the Varsity Baseball Team. But of course since the buys himself was never the. Varsity head coach. He couldn't have given such a title to him so it was the bias who said that trump had been scouted by the phillies and by the Red Sox in interviews with rolling stone and the Daily Mail but again I wasn't able to verify that and neither was anybody else. Was there anyone else who I mean? He obviously had passed away before. You reported this piece. Was anyone else either because they were uncomfortable talking about the president or because they had also passed to. You were hoping to speak with for this that you weren't able to more teammates honestly I made a list of of everybody who played on that team which wound up being list of twenty or thirty people over those three years. It seemed like there was quite a lot of turnover in that school or early on the baseball team. I tracked down. Maybe twelve of them. It's it's not easy I mean. Luckily there baby boomers so they're still all have landlines which which are listed in phone books but The the you know a few of them had passed away. There's a bunch of them that I left for. That never heard back from so it would have been nice to talk to more of them but You know on the whole I thought seven was was pretty pretty solid yield especially because they kind of covered the spectrum from sophomore year through his senior years so that was helpful. And did you read about at all or did you? At least think about trump's pattern of claims about other sports or the things that have been said about trump's involvement in other sports whether it's golf and his willingness to let's say take some liberties with his work hard or maybe his claims about trying to purchase an NFL team and how realistic that ever was. I mean do you see similarities here? Yeah I mean clearly. He's he's been a sports fan as whole life. I mean that's one of the things that came upon that he started playing baseball. Sort obsessed with the With the Brooklyn dodgers very early on even though he later switched his allegiance to to the Yankees when obviously the dodgers left town but also when he became close with George. Steinbrenner apparently was was at Yankee Stadium. All the time in the ninety s and early two thousand so enmeshed with the Yankees that he considered making Randy Levine his chief of staff in the White House but so I I did look into the other sports that he played nemo a bit he played on. The football team has sophomore year and he was a he was a tight end. That team if memory serves when Owen. Seven his junior year and was shut out four times so really a terrible football team. They only have thirty three players and his senior year. He made the team then. Apparently fell out with the coach. Which kind of Jives with what? I found that he'd had this sort of big conflict with his his baseball coaches well for playing third base which we can get into but so he fell out with the coach and apparently his senior year quit the football team and joined the soccer team which was mostly Hispanic. Which again is a funny historical wrinkle? So you know at the end of your piece nonetheless. Trump is the first president since Teddy Roosevelt. Not to throw out a first pitch professional game while in office one hundred and ten years of tradition in that respect at least he's made baseball history You've noted his close relationship with the Yankees and you note in your piece that he has thrown out first pitches before but never as president. But I'm curious why you think he's never done so considering his self-proclaimed skill yeah I mean that's that's what's weird I mean he's thrown out first pitches for the Yankees and for the What'S THE RED SOX AAA team? Whatever that team is called where he when? He landed his helicopter in center field and then sort of marched over to the mound and threw out the first pitch which is about as Trumpian as it gets not known for Subtlety F. No but I'm guessing that he's maybe not physically capable of throwing the first pitch the way he would like to as my best. Guess I'm he may be worried about turning into a medium like Chris Christie. But it's hard to explain in any other way that that he's probably just not capable of it anymore is worried about About appearances and you alluded earlier to that potential dispute with the coach. What did you hear about what he was like as a teammate? Yes so there. Are these teammates? They tell lots of stories they have. They have this brush in their youth with Manu becomes impossibly famous who becomes the president's any sort of their claim to fame so of course tell stories. They told me lots of them. I was able to verify one of them. Even though I did have seven people to talk to you all these stories are sort of by time and Apocryphal and all the rest but the one that I was able to verify was that trump senior year he was again the regular first baseman. Even though by the way growing up he was a catcher his favourite position. So it's also worth noting that not only did. He hit sixth in high school but he wasn't even playing that position he he most preferred playing. Which again doesn't really support this notion that he was a star but so there is the regular third baseman hat to leave campus because or he wasn't available for a game because his sister was getting married and so a left-hander who usually played one of the corner. Outfield slots was GONNA dismissed. The coaches idea. Mike McCann who's GONNA put him at first base and trump and play third for that game is a big big game against a strong opponents and trump just flat out in front of a bunch of teammates told his coach. No he wasn't going to do that he said I'm the first baseman. I'm a senior Berry. Jason Who's going to play I he's junior if you WANNA put him on first after I graduated be my guest. I don't care but right now. On the first Baseman I am not playing third and so the left-handed Chason had to play third base that day. Which has your listeners. We'll certainly know is not where you put a left-hander he. He said that he was enormously relief. That the only play he had to deal with. All Day was pop-up he never had to make a plate of first. But so that was that was kind of trump on his high school baseball team. He was again. He was respected and he was liked and he was sort of appreciated by his teammates for how badly he wanted to win. It was all about winning but he was also inflexible and not above telling his coach. No and kind of overruling him and he apparently told to coach. I've been on this team longer than you've been the head coach which was true and He just flat out refused. Yeah and I guess he had a good glove at least as you were able to sort of determine that part seems to may be more true within the idea that he was a hitter no fielding stats though. Yes exactly right. That's very convenient now. Liked that you talk to Keith. Law about trump's draft prospects or what a draft prospect would've looked like because. That's the thing like you. Only uncovered a portion of his games in a not an insubstantial percentage. But still if he were the huge prospect that he claimed to be you would have found more evidence of that I would think if he were the best player in the state. Let's say that would have been something that would have been covered? Yeah absolutely I mean like I said I found nine box scores but entire high school career would have spend no more than thirty or forty games. I'd like to think that I had about a third to a quarter of them which is nine a small number but out of out of that data set is is not a terrible sample size all right so when they make the movie about your station all the president's men to all the present on base or something. Who would you want to play you? I don't know maybe Danny Devito Robert redford still available. I guess it's not an age match but he has experienced all right. Well we enjoyed the investigation and I wouldn't have been shocked if you found anything. I mean if you had found that he never played baseball day in his life. That have totally surprised me. And I guess if you're grading on a curve here when it comes to claims that the president has made maybe the fact that he had a high school baseball career at Hull is closer what he is saying that he has been about other issues but still quite a distance between the myth. And the fact that seems and I don't know did you. Learn anything about trumper. Did you get any into him or that? This just kind of Mir a lot of other things that you had already understood about him. Well I think it was instructive in the sense that this kind of behavior this kind of brashness this kind of sense of entitlement and feeling aggrieved over having to move positions for one game in a position that surely he was capable of playing. That was there from the time that he was seventeen or eighteen years old. There's an anecdote that was relayed by a teammate. Through the Daily News about trump sort of urging. His team May to exaggerate a hit. He'd gotten in some kind of game saying he'd hit it out of the park when there was no park. They didn't have fences saw the field that they've played on which has been filled in which is again a funny little irony but there was never an an outfield fence. Or anything like that. But so that kind of personality trait of exaggeration and boasting and feeling that the world owes him something that seems to have been there from the time that he was a teenager. That anecdote was striking to me that that sort of self mythology. Ising the impulse to do that was present so early and over something so innocuous rate and relatively inconsequential even in the course of his academic career. But still that that instinct seems to have been present. No absolutely I mean it's it's the that's that's what really struck me. Is that you know seventeen year. Old Trump doesn't seem all that different from seventy three whatever he is now seventy three year. Old Trump yeah and you went to the school and what did you find about? Sort of. His legacy is presented there. I mean are they at all uneasy about kind of claiming him as their alum. And what evidence is there of his athletic career? Well so what's worth noting here? Is that Nima kind of buried his academic records. It seems that as trump is getting ready to run for president he had Michael Cohen. Then still has personal lawyer go round to any place you've gone to school. And basically either claim his academic records or sign some kind of NDA that they would never be released or just make sure that never get out and at Nima. It seems that the board members who were sort of trump loyalists made sure that that that it would never be seen so sort of an uneasy relationship with the school. He spoke at their commencement in early. Two thousand two thousand one or two thousand two again landing with a helicopter claiming that he'd bought the Empire State Building which he had and the so. The school has kind of a funny relationship with him. There is a hall of fame and sort of the main corridor where there's a picture of him up. There's there's a fair amount of famous alumni who passed through their Stephen Sondheim. When's a Nema didn't graduate there? John Gotti junior and Francis Ford. Coppola went there. It didn't graduate either but so his plaque on the wall and in the in the gym which is interesting in its own right because you used to have major major high school summer basketball camps there with Mike Chef Ski and Bobby Knights Hold Health camps. There really interesting place. But at any rate so they've got a they've got plaques on the wall in the High School Gym so his name is up on there and then there's a room on the second floor kind of a small classroom that he apparently paid to have refurbished and dedicated to his parents. But that's kind of it like it's not like you drive by the school was you might see with other private schools and see some kind of sign that a future president went there. You really have to kind of look for evidence that that Donald Trump was ever at. Nima you have to go inside and and really find find the signs in the plaques and Leslie what was the reception to the peace like because I saw a varying responses. I saw some people who said essentially who cares about his baseball career amid everything else that super important. Why are we even thinking about this? And then I saw other people who said Oh. You know. Trump exaggerated his baseball record. Who knew you know what revelation and they saw others who were very impressed by the thoroughness and very happy to read it and clearly enjoyed the investigation. So what was your reaction to the reaction? I was pleased that there wasn't some or relieved at any rate that there wasn't some massive sort of Maga- backlash because it seems to have not really made a blip notre unworried about you know trump tweet above me nothing nothing in daily press briefing or anything like that. So that's that's certainly made my life easier. Yeah the there was a lot of you know. Sure great but who cares? It's just another lie and like I said at the top. I think this story does matter because it's instructive to to that cult of personality that he created himself and how early on he said about making it. An kind of you know office skating a little bit about what he did chief them what he had there was a lot of well. Okay now go out and investigate Joe Biden in the same way about you. Know Insert conspiracy theory here and yeah. There was there is appreciation. I think to to some extent that this kind of part of his life had been filled in a little bit. Because that's what's interesting about his time at Nima for all of the things that we know about trump's life that's incredibly well documented lifetime lots of biographies and all the rest. His time at the academy is largely a mystery. There's just not all that much known about it. And when I spoke to his teammates I could tell that all of them had been contacted by reporters at some point and we're sort of wary of them. When trump started running for president. You know a lot of these guys had heard from the media but it was always you know what was he like at school. It was never specific to the baseball team. I think the reason that they were happy to talk to me was because it was about baseball and it was sort of about them a little bit as well to an extent but the the overall reaction. I think has been has been positive end and glad that there's something that we learned in that we filled in this little gray area of the president's past all right. Well this is not your normal. Beat you are really a soccer columnist for Yahoo Sports. Your Sports Communication Lecture at Marist but you took a little detour and wrote about Donald Trump. And I'm glad you did and that we got a chance to talk to you so you can all find leander on twitter at Inter alphabet. Thank you very much for coming on as my pleasure. Okay that will do it for today. I was trying to come up with a COMP. Among Major League players for Donald Trump's highschool stats or at least the ones that we have that one thirty eight batting average kind of limits. Us when we're looking at non pitchers closest comp can come up with for an actual first. Baseman is a player named Bill Jackson. Who played for the Federal League in Nineteen Fourteen and Nineteen fifteen spent most of his time at first base and masked eight one thirty eight batting average in seventy six games in one hundred? Forty three appearances. If we want to go with a single season there is only one major league player who has ever compiled a one thirty eight batting average in a single season while playing all of his games at first base. And that is Mike Laga. Who did it for the nineteen eighty seven cardinals? Mike Laga was nicknamed lockup beer by. Espn's Chris Berman. But I propose that we give him a new nickname Mara so that we can call him. Mike Maralinga Yuck Yuck One. Quick follow up on our last episode. Sam Did a stat blast about how the home field advantage in errors has really been reduced since. Mlb started making an effort to crack down on home cooking among officials scores. So in the past there is a tendency for home hitters to be credited with hits more often than visiting hitters. That Tennessee has sort of gone away. And my pal and colleague at the ringers. Akram reminded me that. He wrote earlier this year about a similar trend in the NBA. Where for years assists had sort of the same thing as errors going on because assists sir kind of vaguely defined stat judgment call from the score keeper but there were some behind the scenes changes at the league. In how those assists were awarded and the home-court advantage in assists has also disappeared linked Kazaks on the show page. If you're interested in seeing a similar development in another sport that will do it for today and for this week. You can't support effectively. Wild on Patriot. Going to patriarch dot com slash effectively wild. The following five listeners have already signed up and pledge some of the amount to help keep the podcast going and get themselves access to some perks. Sean Tower Zach similar. Dan Hirsch Cameron Moseley and Andrew Quarterly. Thanks to all of you. You can review and subscribed to effectively wild on itunes and other podcast platforms. Keep your questions and comments for me and meg and SAM coming via email at podcast dot com or via the Patriot missile system. If you are support thinks that Dylan Higgins for his editing assistance. You can find the paperback edition of my book now. It is called the machine how baseball's new nonconformist are using data to build better players. And the all new afterward is included in the paperback edition and also in the digital kindle edition. We hope you have a wonderful weekend. We will be back to talk to you early next week. Cast album a says.

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