20 Burst results for "Justin Wolfer"

"justin wolfer" Discussed on WNYC 93.9 FM

WNYC 93.9 FM

01:46 min | 3 d ago

"justin wolfer" Discussed on WNYC 93.9 FM

"Your ears to learn the essential principles Con 101 Each lesson will feature a different stories from some of our favorite planet. Many episodes. Yes, it is going to be on the test at the end of the series. If you can pass our online final exam, you will be eligible for a planet money diploma. Suitable for framing today on the show. How to think like an economist. This has been the greatest thing that I've picked up posting planet money over the years. Every problem. Every decision you face can benefit from stepping back and looking at it, like an economist, would In order to help us with this super power we've brought in to economists and residents this summer. I'm going to allow them to give a short and lively introduction. I'm just one wolf. You go first. I just It was pointing at me to go first. And then you said shirt lively and said that he realized he needed to take over. I I did do it. Professor Justin Wolfers and Professor Betsy Stevenson are collaborators. They wrote a text book together Principles of Economics. They've charmed introductory e con students at the University of Michigan was sort of a couple too. They are a couple. They have two amazing Children. Hopefully busy and quiet in the next room. Hey, professors could be human. So when I took my very first course in economics, and we're talking high school here 30 years ago. The way it started was was pretty grim. The teacher at the time would say, you know, economics is all about scarcity. There's there's not enough stuff in the world, and economists figure out Who gets which stuff? And once we're properly scared. We moved into supply and demand. But when you teach economics, how how do you start the class?.

Justin Wolfers Professor University of Michigan Betsy Stevenson
U.S. Is About to Unveil the Ugliest GDP Report Ever Recorded

The Indicator from Planet Money

02:57 min | Last week

U.S. Is About to Unveil the Ugliest GDP Report Ever Recorded

"Today on the show GDP GDP stands for gross domestic product and it's basically a sum total of all of the goods and services that the US economy produces. It's often considered to be the measure of economic growth. Yep. GDP includes all the cars, an air conditioners in shoes and haircuts Uber Rides, and fish tacos and pedicures that the country is producing and buying. And so atypical GDP growth number is like two percent a year or maybe a really great year three percent. It's like soccer scores they never it never gets very. Stay pretty low and that's because the US economy is enormous. So even when a lot of things change the GDP needle doesn't budge very much at least it didn't used to. That's right. The GDP numbers came out today and for the months of April May and June that's the second quarter. The US economy grew at an annualized rate of negative thirty two point nine percent that is today's indicator negative thirty, two, point nine percent and I have to see if I saw this number I was like our economy shrank by thirty three percents I mean that is a third of our entire economy, right? I mean that can only happen a few times. It was really scary. So I called up Justin Wolfer as he is a professor of economics and public policy at the University of Michigan. And I was like wait a minute is the US economy like one third smaller? Did we just lose a third of the economy and so did we lose their economy? In. Okay. Okay. It turns out the way that Americans report the GDP. is a little more confusing than you might realize. What actually happened is in the second quarter, we produced nine and a half percent less than we did in the first quarter. You might think we should report that as a decline in GDP of nine and a half percent. Yes. What we do instead is we say if we continued to plummet at that right for an entire year. At the end of the year, how much lower would GDP? That's what thirty two point nine percents. it says if the economy kept declining at a right of nine and a half sin quarter after quarter after quarter after quarter four quarters later, a level of output would be good. Two point nine percent lists now that's unrealistic. This was the worst quarter. Probably. In American history. So. Yeah. Let's say you do not try to extrapolate for the whole year. Then what you're looking at is that in April May and June the economy shrank by about nine and a half percent from the first three months of the year, which is way better than an economy that shrink at thirty, two point nine percent. But. That number still makes April May and June. The worst three months in the history of the US economy.

United States Justin Wolfer Soccer University Of Michigan Professor Of Economics
NFL Fashion Masks Available But Still Not Enough Protective Masks

Weekend Edition Saturday

01:48 min | 3 months ago

NFL Fashion Masks Available But Still Not Enough Protective Masks

"Sports merchandise site now sells face masks in the colors and logos of NFL teams let me just note that some masked look more appealing than others the dancing Miami dolphin could make you look like a bear with a fish in its mouth the website cautions that the team masks are quote a fashion face covering not intended to be personal protective equipment proceeds from all sales will be donated to the CDC foundation supporting the centers for disease control and prevention but you might wonder weeks and weeks into this pandemic how can health care workers still lack enough protective masks while mask for all thirty two NFL teams are being sold as fashion items Justin wolfers an economist at the Gerald R. Ford school of public policy at the university of Michigan told us the difference between the N. ninety five mask used in hospitals in the football team masks is akin to the difference between real jams and costume jewelry the end of the five respirator when fit closely is designed to block at least ninety five percent of microscopic airborne particles of the football team masks professor Walter says my understanding is that they're somewhat effective at preventing the wearer's germs from being sneezed out all over the place but they don't provide much protection to the wearer from germs that others may have spread their way in football terms the NFL mask might be good defense but offense of germs can still break through Justin wolfers explained at the master produced by different supply lines medical manufactures are stretched thin in this pandemic and find it hard to keep up with demand but the apparel industry shedding jobs and needs new work now so while fashion masks rollout quickly medical masks can be

Professor Walter Justin Wolfers NFL Miami CDC Gerald R. Ford School Of Publi University Of Michigan Football
"justin wolfer" Discussed on Marketplace with Kai Ryssdal

Marketplace with Kai Ryssdal

05:43 min | 3 months ago

"justin wolfer" Discussed on Marketplace with Kai Ryssdal

"What's that saying again? If you can't measure it can't improve it right. That is true more than ever in a corona virus economy from American public media. This is marketplace in Los Angeles. I'm Kai Ryssdal Thursday day. The twenty third day of April. Good as always to have you along everybody. You know once you get past the scale of the job losses with the latest numbers on first time claims for unemployment. They came out this morning putting the total at just under twenty seven million people who've lost their jobs once you get past that scale it is the speed. That's amazing. Twenty seven million jobs vaporized in five weeks which poses a challenge for those of us who observe analyze this economy accustomed as we are to quarterly and monthly data. Being good enough. So economists are getting creative. Marketplace's refinish war gets is going. The great recession played out gradually over eighteen months. What's happening today's instead of playing out of a months and years playing out of days and weeks. Justin Wolfer is a professor of economics at University of Michigan our friends. Gdp and the unemployment rate are reported once a month once a quarter but we need is economic indicators. To tell us what's happening today. Andrew Chamberlain is chief economist at glass door. He says luckily we live in an age of data. We have really different ways of measuring the economy today than we have a decade ago tech platform social media specialized firms have all kinds of useful real time. Data take for example would job search platforms can tell us you've got Twenty million unemployed Americans. You Might WanNa know whether they are all expecting to go back to work or not You might want to know if they're out there searching for jobs or not. The Federal Reserve looks at data from credit card processors to know how people are spending and payroll processing from. Adp to track jobs. Both of those come out. Weekly Ben Hur's on is an economist with IHS market the TSA started making available The public passenger traffic At airports on a daily basis in real time. And so we could see that passenger traffic at us. Airports had fallen like ninety five percent by the end of March. Weekly chain store sales. Tell us about spending electricity. Use can be a proxy for economic output. As for what exactly it's all telling US Gary Schlossberg is global market strategist with the wells. Fargo Investment Institute. They still show the economy continuing to decline. But there are a couple which are beginning to bottom out a little bit you know. There's some hope straws in that the economy is still weakening but approaching about whatever the indicator once you hit bottom. There's nowhere to go but up in New York. I'm sure for marketplace. Speaking of hitting bottom oil did earlier this week below Bonham in fact and into negative prices for a barrel. As we've been telling you about you can't get much closer to the beating heart of the American oil and gas industry than Midland Texas and the Permian Basin Oilfield so most of the local economy of course is tied to drilling and thus to the price of that barrel of crude marketplaces and dealer. Caught up with some folks out in Midland to see how they're doing this morning at about seven o'clock Keith. Dial went to his local Albertson's to pick up some groceries says there are about twenty five people there stocking up. He grew up in Midland and has been through a number of booms and busts. I'm guessing we have an unemployment locally that you'd be well above thirty five percent dial is a partner in a doubletree hotel in downtown midland. He says the hotels already furloughed. Most of the staff about eighty people because occupancy rates have plummeted on a Wednesday night. She months ago we would have rented underground sixty rings probably at about two hundred and fifty dollar eight and yesterday. I think we rented twenty rooms at about eighty nine dollars rate. He says most of the people renting out rooms during the week. We're tied to oil and gas people working on rigs or executives and Midland to discuss finances. David blackadder says his firm often has discussions about what to do if the bottom falls out on the price of oil but nobody was prepared for Monday's dip into negative numbers he's VP of acquisitions and divestitures for Texas. Standard oil shock almost too. Surreal watching a train wreck. He grew up in Midland too. And says this bust is unlike any he's ever seen when the market gets out of whack. Due to an oversupply oil companies normally adjust by cutting costs but the current virus shutting down demand for oil. You can't cut your way to happiness. He says companies and Services Industry Halliburton Baker Hughes in the like have been hit the hardest because producers are shutting down wells as fast as they can a lot of those contractors are leaving town bad news for guys like Ray blanchard owner of being and grape a coffee and wine bar in Midland. You know what can we do? Where can we get? You know? Get revenue in their offering meat and cheese boards to go and selling wine at retail prices now to compete with grocery and liquor stores because he says nobody's paying to have an experience anymore. I mean dealer for Marketplace Wall Street on this Thursday some ups and downs during the session. Mostly calm though relatively speaking. We'll have the details when we do. The numbers..

Midland Kai Ryssdal Los Angeles Standard oil Midland Texas midland Federal Reserve Justin Wolfer chief economist Andrew Chamberlain New York Adp Gary Schlossberg University of Michigan Fargo Investment Institute Permian Basin Oilfield
We need to change our economic indicators to keep up with the crisis

Marketplace with Kai Ryssdal

02:21 min | 3 months ago

We need to change our economic indicators to keep up with the crisis

"Know once you get past the scale of the job losses with the latest numbers on first time claims for unemployment. They came out this morning putting the total at just under twenty seven million people who've lost their jobs once you get past that scale it is the speed. That's amazing. Twenty seven million jobs vaporized in five weeks which poses a challenge for those of us who observe analyze this economy accustomed as we are to quarterly and monthly data. Being good enough. So economists are getting creative. Marketplace's refinish war gets is going. The great recession played out gradually over eighteen months. What's happening today's instead of playing out of a months and years playing out of days and weeks. Justin Wolfer is a professor of economics at University of Michigan our friends. Gdp and the unemployment rate are reported once a month once a quarter but we need is economic indicators. To tell us what's happening today. Andrew Chamberlain is chief economist at glass door. He says luckily we live in an age of data. We have really different ways of measuring the economy today than we have a decade ago tech platform social media specialized firms have all kinds of useful real time. Data take for example would job search platforms can tell us you've got Twenty million unemployed Americans. You Might WanNa know whether they are all expecting to go back to work or not You might want to know if they're out there searching for jobs or not. The Federal Reserve looks at data from credit card processors to know how people are spending and payroll processing from. Adp to track jobs. Both of those come out. Weekly Ben Hur's on is an economist with IHS market the TSA started making available The public passenger traffic At airports on a daily basis in real time. And so we could see that passenger traffic at us. Airports had fallen like ninety five percent by the end of March. Weekly chain store sales. Tell us about spending electricity. Use can be a proxy for economic output. As for what exactly it's all telling US Gary Schlossberg is global market strategist with the wells. Fargo Investment Institute. They still show the economy continuing to decline. But there are a couple which are beginning to bottom out a little bit you know. There's some hope straws in that the economy is still weakening but approaching about whatever the indicator once you hit bottom. There's nowhere to go but up

Andrew Chamberlain Gary Schlossberg Justin Wolfer Chief Economist Federal Reserve Fargo Investment Institute ADP Ben Hur University Of Michigan Professor Of Economics IHS TSA
"justin wolfer" Discussed on WNYC 93.9 FM

WNYC 93.9 FM

02:14 min | 1 year ago

"justin wolfer" Discussed on WNYC 93.9 FM

"That's Justin Wolfer is a behavioral economist at the university of Michigan and a co author of a paper about NBA refs. But thing is this is divine way, the NBA referees have tremendous incentive not to make the wrong. Call every error. They make is tracked those areas determine whether they get more games those games determine how much they get paid. This. The most analyzed workforce in the country. Basketball referees are now picked apart in ways that not long ago would have seen preposterous. Not just for the fairness of their calls for their unconscious behavior. Wolford took data from over a decade of NBA basketball games, more than two hundred and fifty thousand of them, then he said out to look for evidence of the rest, racial bias. The question here is whether people are anti black and he wide, but with is an ingredient buys. So if if a predominantly black team is playing and the refereeing crew is predominantly white. They more files called against them that on not when the same team is playing with a predominantly black refereeing crew in attends at the answer's yes. Wolford's wrote his paper back in two thousand seven before this new age of referee transparency. Well, it was a bit of lesson for me, you can probably tell by my accent Markle, I'm gonna strontium I thought it was interesting pace of social science and turned out the New York Times put it on the front page in the NBA wasn't happy the Commissioner at the time attack the study and embarrassed the league by trying and failing to refute its findings. The result of all this coverage. Every single referee was made aware of his unconscious bias when the dust settled Justin Wolfer was curious to know, his paper it had an effect. He made another study of referees after the controversy created, then guess what? The most recent study that we did seems to suggest that that foam of racial bias is going away for a while. Anyway, he has no idea why maybe simply making the refs aware of the problem was enough to correct it, by the way, the NBA dispute the study too. But in the end, this became a case study not in ref to tude, but in ref reform NBA rafts have now achieved with.

NBA Justin Wolfer Wolford Basketball university of Michigan New York Times Markle Commissioner
"justin wolfer" Discussed on Freakonomics

Freakonomics

04:00 min | 1 year ago

"justin wolfer" Discussed on Freakonomics

"Puts the refs unconsciously in that mode. I think Justin Wolfer is wrote that Justin wrote about race. Actually, you know. Most of the studies about home field advantage. Come from soccer, where there are some nice little instrumental variables that you can use to determine, and plus you had depending on the level of soccer. You know, where your? Saying it. Yeah. There's concern for their lives. Yeah. Exactly. Exactly. Yeah. Yeah. Like one of the best piece of evidence came from measuring soccer played in stadiums. Where there was a running track around the field. So the refs are literally, you know, twenty yards further from the crowd, and and they're the home field advantage is much less. So, but that said, you're probably most famous as an owner for I don't know if you wanna call it working the refs but communicating with the refs. Yep. Just talk about that how it evolved. And how successful you think it is. It's funny. You know, everybody's wired differently and what I play basketball, and by the way, I just got done playing basketball, and I've got a died. I just had a diet coke up against my Killys. Because so I've been a basketball junkie my tire life. Everybody's got something for whatever reason when I got to the Mavs I just looked at the officiating, and it just drove me nuts because you know, my attitude has always been that the three officials. In basketball. No matter what the level have more impact than eighty percent of the players on the court. And that that's why it's always driven me crazy when I first got in and started doing my homework, you know, one of the things that was, you know, conventional wisdom is that games weren't officiated the same in the first minute as they were in the last minute. And that just drove me nuts. And as you know, the more I got to know, the more got to learn then I started to understand, you know, how officials at all levels manage games and deal with certain issues, and it wasn't always about making the right call throughout the game. And and so that's that's just ticked me off. And that just let everything else and so was a worth that. Yeah. I think it has been because I can tell you that things have changed dramatically at various times have changed dramatically for the better various times personnel changed and it got worse. So you know, we'll see what happens this season. Do you think that your input on that has changed the way NBA? Games are refereed now at least more consistency without question. I don't know if there's more consistency. But yeah, what are the channels by which it's worked as if there been actual committees? Where you sit down and say, listen, this is plainly going on. And it's, you know, not right. Not fair not transfer. No. No, no. No, no. It's not even like that. It's not like I come in and say, you know, this rep is biased or this guy's got a problem. Couple times I've done that. But you know, and it's been investigated. It's been fixed, and it's not like, Tim Donaghy. It's just little marginal things, but in any event, but what has changed in my the thing that I've always harped on the most is from all my experience in in business. You know, you always want to get the best possible manager, and where I've seen a lot of companies make stakes is they'll take their best salesperson and make them a sales manager. Well, just because you're good salesperson doesn't make you a good sales manager. And so using that analogy just because you were good referee or just 'cause you are good in management somewhere in the NBA. A doesn't mean you're the best person to be in charge of the officiating group, and that's been my biggest battle that. They promote people not because they were the best for the job. But because they were there or they promoted refs into positions of authority. Not because they were great managers are not because they get great results. But because they used to be good rifts and those guys wanted to keep on working. And so that's where I had the greatest Mata prom. And that's where I think I've had the greatest impact. Gotcha. There's another piece of research argues that a lot of NBA coaches are bad strategically when it comes to sitting players in foul trouble right at if a player is good enough to sit because you're worried about losing them, then his values actually greater by playing..

basketball NBA soccer Justin Wolfer sales manager Mata prom Tim Donaghy eighty percent twenty yards
"justin wolfer" Discussed on KQED Radio

KQED Radio

03:38 min | 1 year ago

"justin wolfer" Discussed on KQED Radio

"Live from NPR news in Washington, I'm korva Coleman. President Trump says he's going to nominate State Department spokeswoman Heather Nauert as the next US ambassador to the United Nations. He's also telling reporters he will nominate former US attorney general William bar as his new attorney general the Labor Department has released its jobs reports for the month of November economics. Professor Justin Wolfer is of the university of Michigan says one hundred fifty five thousand new jobs were created little engine that could the US labor market just keeps on keeping on creating hundred and fifty five thousand jobs this month. In short term people. I think will express disappointment they'd hoped for a little bit more. But inappropriate context. This is a an economy. That's just kicked producing jobs now for eight years in a row that sofas a new record. And the unemployment rate stayed at three point seven percent. Former FBI director James Comey will be interviewed by members of the house oversight and judiciary committee's this morning. NPR's? Tim Mack reports it's one of the last oversight actions. Taken by Republican lawmakers in the house before Democrats take control of the chamber in January in this hour Komi is being interviewed behind closed doors. Republican lawmakers are keen to question him again about the FBI's actions regarding the Hilary Clinton Email investigation and the probe into potential Trump. Russia ties Democrats have said that interviewing Komi is unnecessary. Here's what congresswoman Robin Kelley a democrat on the oversight committee told NPR this morning, you're using their last gasp of. Power to make. What point I'm not sure Komi had originally resisted a subpoena to appear behind closed doors and insisted on having an open hearing he relented when the committees agreed issue a full transcript of their interview within twenty four hours of the meeting. Tim Mack NPR news Washington Ukraine is vowing to continue sending naval vessels through the narrow strait separating Russia and Crimea, even after Russian border guards captured twenty four Ukrainian semen their last month. NPR's Lucian Kim reports from Moscow Ukraine's defense minister step on poultry rock said on national TV that Ukraine will against the naval vessels to the Kerch strait. When the time comes for a rotation of forces since annexing Crimea in two thousand fourteen Russia controls both sides of the Kerch strait, which is the only outlet to the open seas. For Ukrainian ports on the sea of Azov poll Tarak said that by not insisting on its right to free navigation Ukraine would be surrendering control of yet another territory. To russia. Twenty four Ukrainian service members remain in Russian custody. Western leaders have called on Russia to free the men and President Trump cancelled a planned meeting with Russian leader Vladimir Putin last weekend to protest their imprisonment. Lucian Kim NPR news Moscow on Wall Street. The Dow is up sixty seven points. The NASDAQ is up one and a half points. You're listening to NPR news from K Q E D news, I'm Brian watt. A group of Google employees. That says it represents the company's shadow workforce wrote an open letter to the CEO demanding pay equity for thousands of contract workers cake. Sam Harnett reports they're known on campus as TV sees temps vendors and contractors, and they don't get the same kind of pay benefits and stock packages as the F T or fulltime employees. CVC's wear different colored badges are restricted from certain parts of the campus. And they have to pay to take the shuttle's Maria Fernandez is with Silicon Valley rising in organizing group that support the contractors. We need Google and.

Ukraine NPR Komi President Trump Kerch strait Lucian Kim NPR US Tim Mack FBI Crimea Moscow russia Heather Nauert Professor Justin Wolfer Google Washington US attorney university of Michigan State Department
"justin wolfer" Discussed on KCRW

KCRW

04:10 min | 1 year ago

"justin wolfer" Discussed on KCRW

"Live from NPR news in Washington, I'm korva Coleman. President Trump says he's going to nominate State Department spokeswoman Heather Nauert as the next US ambassador to the United Nations. He's also telling reporters he will nominate former US attorney general William bar as his new attorney general the Labor Department has released its jobs reports for the month of November economics. Professor Justin Wolfer is of the university of Michigan says one hundred fifty five thousand new jobs were created little engine that could the US laid market just keeps on keeping on creating a hundred and fifty five thousand jobs this month. In the short term people. I think will expressed disappointment they'd hoped for a little bit more. But in a broader context, this is a an economy. That's just keep producing jobs now for years in a row. That in itself is new records. The unemployment rate stayed at three point seven percent. Former FBI director James Comey will be interviewed by members of the house oversight and judiciary committee's this morning. NPR's? Tim Mack reports it's one of the last oversight actions. Taken by Republican lawmakers in the house before Democrats take control of the chamber in January in this hour Komi is being interviewed behind closed doors. Republican lawmakers are keen to question him again about the FBI's actions regarding the Hilary Clinton Email investigation and the probe into potential Trump. Russia ties Democrats have said that interviewing Komi is unnecessary. Here's what congresswoman Robin Kelley a democrat on the oversight committee told NPR this morning, you're using their last gasp of power to make what point I'm not sure Komi had originally resisted a subpoena to appear behind closed doors and insisted on having an open hearing he relented when the committees agreed to issue a full transcript of their. Interview within twenty four hours of the meeting. Tim Mack NPR news Washington Ukraine is vowing to continue sending naval vessels through the narrow strait separating Russia and Crimea, even after Russian border guards captured twenty four Ukrainian semen their last month and bears. Lucian Kim reports from Moscow Ukraine's defense minister step on pole rock said on national TV that Ukraine will against the naval vessels to the Kerch strait. When the time comes for a rotation of forces since annexing Crimea in twenty fourteen Russia controls both sides of the Kurds straight, which is the only outlet the open seas for Ukraine ports on the sea of Azov. Paul Turek said that by not insisting on its right to free navigation Ukraine would be surrendering control of yet another territory to Russia. Twenty four Ukrainian service members remain in Russian custody. Western leaders have called on Russia to free the men and President Trump cancelled a planned meeting with Russian leader Vladimir Putin last weekend to protest their imprisonment. Lucian Kim NPR news Moscow on Wall Street. The Dow is up sixty seven points. The NASDAQ is up one and a half points. You're listening to NPR news and from KCRW, I'm Cheri Glazer with state and local headlines. The Academy Awards are looking for a new host just two days after being tapped to be the face of next year's Oscars. Comedian Kevin Hart has stepped down as KCRW's Darryl Sampson reports the choice of heart had run into a flood of opposition because of homophobic comments. He'd made on Twitter in the past Hart wrote on Twitter just after midnight this morning that he was withdrawing as Oscars host because he didn't want to be a distraction, the comedian and the academy of Motion Picture Arts and sciences had been under mounting pressure to address hearts, well documented history of sexist and homophobic state. Events like this bit from two thousand ten comedy special. Have nothing gets gay people be happy dude you want to do but me being a heterosexual male. If I can prevent my son from being gay. I will about an hour before heart announced that he was stepping down. He posted a video on Instagram saying he refused to comply with an ultimatum from the motion picture academy to apologize for his past tweets heart said he chose to pass on the apology because he'd addressed the issue several times previously a team caused me. Oh my God. Kevin world is upset but tweets you years.

Ukraine NPR President Trump Komi US Lucian Kim NPR Tim Mack FBI Moscow Heather Nauert Professor Justin Wolfer State Department Washington Kerch strait US attorney Academy Awards korva Coleman United Nations Washington Ukraine
"justin wolfer" Discussed on KCRW

KCRW

03:38 min | 1 year ago

"justin wolfer" Discussed on KCRW

"And starring Ryan Gosling and clarify awards eligible in all categories. Live from NPR news in Washington. I'm Dave Mattingly. Employers in the US added one hundred fifty five thousand jobs in November fewer than a communist were forecasting. The nation's jobless rate held steady at three point seven percent wages went up. Justin Wolfer is an economics professor at the university of Michigan. He says the numbers will likely, please. The Federal Reserve people are going to be very very relieved their jumped by some measures to take away the Punch Bowl when the potty get started and without employment. Giving me quite low and jobs growth having been so fast. It was starting to look like the late Margaret might tune to an economic party. So things slowing up a little bit. Means that the economy you on a somewhat more sustainable path came certainly takes away a little bit of the impetus for the fed to raise rates quite as quickly as other ones been claiming the French government is warning of possible violence at tomorrow's yellow vest protest in Paris, NPR's Eleanor Beardsley is in the capital. She says thousands of additional police officers are being mobilized after last weekend's protests resulted in dozens of arrests looting and burned vehicles. There will be more than eight thousand riot police on the streets of Paris and armored military vehicles will be used many shops are closing and a dozen museums including the Louvre and the Eiffel tower. Meanwhile, a parade of celebrities has called for calm. This is NPR news from Washington and from KCRW on Cheri Glaser with state and local headlines for the first time in a decade, the Roman Catholic archdiocese of Los Angeles has updated a list of priests who allegedly molested and abused children archbishop hope. Jose Gomez unveiled the names of fifty four clergy yesterday as KCRW Jenny Hamill reports most of the fifty four priests added to the list are accused of sexual misconduct from before two thousand eight half of them are now dead the updated list, which the L A archdiocese calls. The report to the people of God includes two priests named one canot and Jose Luis Cuevas who were accused of crimes in the last decade. The archdiocese say both were removed from the ministry and investigated by law enforcement, archbishop Gomez said the church quote, owes it to the victim survivors to be fully transparent his predecessor, Roger Mahony was criticized for meeting cases of clerical abuse, archbishop Gomez, also asked members of the church who've suffered abuse to come forward. This move by the LA archdiocese is part of a nationwide effort by Catholic bishops to publish more names. It comes three months after bombshell report in Pennsylvania revealed a wide. Scale cover up of sexual abuse involving more than one thousand victims of Catholic priests diocese in San Diego. San Jose, Orange County, and San Bernardino have also released released names of accused clergy this year. But critics say the OC diocese has not released all the names this week in LA law firm released the names of seventy two more priests that it claims associated with the Catholic diocese of orange and whom are suspected of sexual assault. California base. Wells Fargo Bank announced this week it's firing dozens of district managers. It's one of the latest developments in a long-running scandal involving opening scores of accounts without customers permission. Well, says it's putting together safeguards but outside regulators said yesterday it hasn't done enough reporting for the bay area. KCRW Salkin solace.

archbishop Gomez Los Angeles NPR Justin Wolfer Eleanor Beardsley Paris Washington Ryan Gosling Dave Mattingly Jose Luis Cuevas KCRW Wells Fargo Bank US Federal Reserve Catholic diocese of orange San Jose university of Michigan Roger Mahony Margaret
"justin wolfer" Discussed on KQED Radio

KQED Radio

01:51 min | 1 year ago

"justin wolfer" Discussed on KQED Radio

"Says member supported VDI public radio. I'm Dave Freeman at six thirty live from NPR news in Washington. I'm Dave Mattingly. Employers in the US added one hundred fifty five thousand jobs in November fewer than a communists were forecasting. The nation's jobless rate held steady at three point seven percent wages went up. Justin Wolfer is an economics professor at the university of Michigan. He says the numbers will likely please the Federal Reserve, I think people are going to be very very relieved their job by some measures is to take away the Punch Bowl when the potty get started. And with unemployment getting to be quite low in jobs growth having been so fast. It was starting to look like my tune into an economic potty. So things slowing up a little bit means that the economy might be on a somewhat more sustainable Pasquin certainly takes away a little bit of the impetus for the fit to raise rates quite as. As quickly as other ones been claiming the French government is warning of possible violence at tomorrow's yellow vest protests in Paris, NPR's Eleanor Beardsley is in the capital. She says thousands of additional police officers are being mobilized after last weekend's protests resulted in dozens of arrests looting and burned vehicles. There will be more than eight thousand riot police on the streets of Paris and armored military vehicles will be used many shops are closing in a dozen museums including the Louvre and the Eiffel tower. Meanwhile, a parade of celebrities has called for calm. This is NPR news from Washington and from news in San Francisco, I'm Brian watt. Officials in Richmond are moving towards transferring the management of the city's section eight voucher in public housing programs away from the Richmond housing authority khloe Veldman explains. I.

Justin Wolfer NPR Washington Eleanor Beardsley Paris Richmond Dave Mattingly Dave Freeman khloe Veldman US Brian watt Federal Reserve San Francisco university of Michigan Eiffel tower Louvre Pasquin professor French government
"justin wolfer" Discussed on SuperTalk WTN 99.7

SuperTalk WTN 99.7

13:43 min | 1 year ago

"justin wolfer" Discussed on SuperTalk WTN 99.7

"Will you would appreciate that? Well, well, well, let's look at the jobs numbers shower, the US Connie at a two hundred and fifty thousand jobs in October. That was more than expected. The unemployment rate held at three point seven percent the lowest level since December of nineteen sixty nine wages rose three point one. Percent. The first time since April of oh nine the growth has top three percent. The strength of the job market Gibbs, President Trump, and the Republicans are welcome talking point four days out from the election says the hill president filling his scheduler headed into Tuesday with political rallies, and which often touted his low unemployment numbers trying to convince voters that the GOP will do a better job of keeping the economy healthy that shouldn't be a heavy lift. I mean, good grief. Look at the difference. The president touted the numbers and a Friday morning tweet saying, wow. The US added two hundred and fifty thousand jobs in October. And this was despite the hurricanes unemployment at three point seven percent wages up. These are incredible numbers. Keep it going vote Republican. Bill Adams PNC senior economist says the US labor market is an excellent shape in October. And even CNN is going. Oh my goodness. These are great numbers for the economy was CNN. Yeah. That CNN great numbers for the no. Bill Adams says the unemployment rate the lowest since nineteen sixty nine wage growth is the strongest since two thousand nine in a number of job openings has exceeded active job seekers since March some of October strong payroll growth is catch-up after the impact of hurricane Florence. But the trend in two thousand eighteen has been strong. He says the economy has added jobs for ninety seven straight months beginning in October of two thousand ten under President Obama. Of course, they haven't been ended like this. It's the longest streak of monthly job growth on record university of Michigan. Economist Justin Wolfer said on Twitter all told the labor market keeps expanding at a robust pace. Indeed, he says job growth this rapid with unemployment this low might be hard to sustain always got to put the wet blanket on it. Do you? Justin, preshave them. The economy grew at three point five percent annual clip in the third quarter slower than the four point two percent in April June the commerce reported last week Jason Furman former head of the council of economic advisers under Obama says I'm not saying anything bad in this jobs report. He said on Twitter today, strong hourly wage growth, even stronger weekly wage growth higher. Labor force participation lower broader unin underemployment while job growth bounced back from last month the unemployment rate remained low. I did that. That's all me, y'all y'all. Remember started on his now that was me. I remember, I told you manufacturing jobs aren't coming back. Well, they are. I was just kidding. It was a joke. I was I was trying to make a funny. So here we have check this stat out manufacturing came back at at putting on a thousand jobs a day in October. Yeah. Thirty two thousand manufacturing jobs added in October loan. So unbelievable, isn't it? And we were told no, no, no, no jobs. Go you remember that those jobs are gone. They're not coming back. Yeah. So what had the economists expected here they they estimated growth of about two hundred eight thousand jobs last month after games average, two hundred eighteen thousand over the past three. So they said, okay. We've got the hurricanes. We got all this other stuff. We're gonna get about two hundred eight thousand jobs got two hundred and fifty thousand jobs. October's job growth occurred across healthcare manufacturing construction, and transportation and warehousing employment in manufacturing is I sit increase thirty two thousand would the sector adding two hundred ninety six thousand jobs over the past year. Not say the work coming back. I was kid construction employment rose thirty thousand October and by three hundred and thirty thousand jobs in the past twelve months. Shad multi chief economist for the national association of manufacturers says the numbers released today show US manufacturers continue to grow and hire despite facing challenges, including a massive worker shortage in global uncertainty with nearly half a million open positions in the industry. The worker shortage remains the biggest challenge manufacturers face. We were told that all of these tariffs with China. We're going to destroy the economy remember on that. Oh my gosh. It was just be horrible. And now it hasn't happened employment in leisure and hospitality rose, forty two thousand professional and business services added thirty five thousand last month and five hundred sixteen thousand jobs over the past year. Mining jobs have continued to increase that's another one that that Obama Natalie said wasn't coming back. He was trying to kill him. They added five thousand jobs in October. The industry is added sixty five thousand jobs over the past year with most of the game in support activities for mining healthcare. Tacking on thirty six thousand jobs warehousing, adding twenty-five thousand jobs. I mean, everywhere you Lert, look, it's just great great news. Wages rising more than forecast is just I mean, this is exactly what the Republicans need. I'm telling you if they can't make hay on this. And then maybe a lost cause. So I'm looking at will. There are two different things. I'm looking at one is the Washington Post. I don't want to link to the Washington Post because they'll try to make pay to see it. So I've got one they got fifteen house districts that they're looking at. I'm looking at ten and this is from the hill. These are ten the top ten Republican House seats most likely to flip in a Blue Wave. They say, and they are Pennsylvania seventeen Rothfusz Keith Roth was three term congressman locked in a race with the incumbent with another incumbency. What they did was. There was a court ordered redistricting earlier this year that took Rothfusz out of a safe Republican district and put him in the. District with Connor lamb. Who's also an incumbent. He's a democrat. And the odds are not on Rothfusz side. I was trying to look at some polling here. And I think the latest I saw that lamb was up like six th it's hard to get polling from these districts. I mean, they're not like polling every day. I think the democrat was up like six maybe more than that. There's rod bloom in Iowa's first district. Trump won that district narrowly in two thousand sixteen. But before that, I was I district went twice for Obama. They say making it a true example of a swing district. So that's when they're looking at the Democrats have to have this. Barbara Comstock district in Virginia district ten she's vying for third term in the district of Hillary Clinton won by twenty points, and she's facing a tough opponent and democrat, Jennifer waxed. And we're gonna need polling data. On that note. Who knows? Okay. Yeah. They do have it. Washington Post for release late last month found the voters in Virginia's tenth district are more motivated to vote against Comstock than they are to vote for waxed. And well that could prove for in in com- stocks favor because a lot of times people won't be motivated enough to get out and vote against somebody. They gotta be motivated to vote for somebody. So we'll keep an eye on that another one is you folks in Colorado. It's district six Mike Kaufman strategies on both sides of the aisle point to Kaufman is one of the most vulnerable House Republicans citing Hillary's nearly ten point win in his district and a strong challenge from democrat Jason Crowe who's considered one of the party's top recruits a mid October poll by the New York Times gave crow the democrat a solid nine point lead. So they think they can take that one. Then there's Kansas and district three with. Kevin Yoder is the only member of Kansas is all Republican congressional delegation seeking reelection in the district one by Hillary in two thousand sixteen we're to be polling data. Yeah. It says it says that who's his challenger the Sharif's, David. She's got a solid lead. At least according to a survey released last month by Emerson. She's ahead by twelve points in that. When the cook political report has for over a month kept that race in the lean democrat costume, and then there's Illinois in the sixth district with Peter Roskam. He may have won reelection by a wide eighteen point margin two years ago. But Hillary also claimed victory in his district. Fuelling democrat optimism in the six term Republicans of fluent Chicago land district. Seemingly? Okay. The Democrats are outspending the Republicans to boost the democrat who's Sean Casten? The cook report has that lean democrat, but they put the democrat ahead by just two points. So who knows and by the way, I would remind you that the cook report was so wrong two years ago. It's not even funny. Now, the necessarily going to be wrong this time because I think it's going to be tough for the Republicans to retain control of the house. It all depends on turnout now you folks out there were early voting is over you've got one last shot at it on Tuesday. I saw the forecast for Tennessee. I believe it's supposed to rain, and I'm trying I've been I've been studying on that to see who that helps if it rains, I think it helps Marsha Blackburn in this state to be quite honest with you because I feel like that the Republicans are more Janse than the Democrats are in the state of Tennessee. That's just the sense. I get. And I think they're jazzed about Trump to so we'll see what the hell away whether it helps or hurts if it rains on Tuesday in Minnesota district too for you, folks. Jason Lewis locked in a rematch against democrat, Angie, Craig he nearly beat her in two thousand sixteen but they say this year's different Lewis has come under fire for comments he made on his radio show years ago in a clip from twenty twelve surface by CNN's K file in July. The former radio host lamented that it is now unacceptable to call a woman who takes a series of lovers slut. This is why I don't run they got clips from me from way back. You know, no telling what I'd said the village. Yeah. Yeah. I said that. So what I mean, you know, that's the thing. You just can't run from it. You can't run from it. You just gotta own it. National political playing field has been more friendly for Democrats in Craig's profile. That's the democrat has grown in Minnesota's second district. She's also trouncing Lewis and fundraising Greg raked in more than two point five million dollars between July first and October seventeenth compared to the the Republicans eight hundred and sixteen so she's got him almost three to one in fundraising. There have been few recent polls. But a New York Times poll released in early October put Craig the democrat ahead by twelve points. So that's one the these are all by the way, these are Republican House seats that they can't afford to lose to give you an idea. The Democrats I believe need to pick up twenty three to take control, and these are the ten big ones that they're targeting, and they're they're they're pumping in a ton of money and some of in New York, New jersey. And there's another one Minnesota. But I'm not going to bore you with all the details. So that's where we stand. It's in these districts, these ones that are not polled on a regular basis. And we really don't know exactly. What's going on? We have an idea and most people out there would tell you that these ten right here are the most likely to turn blue that are now read, but they're going to need to flip Twenty-three. So we'll see we'll see what happens again, it's all about turnout, and it always is always about turn out. That's just the way it is. Anyway, quick time out. We're going to be back in a moment. And we'll take some of your phone calls on the other side. One eight hundred six one eight Phil that's one eight hundred six one eight.

Democrats CNN Hillary Clinton US President Obama Bill Adams Washington Post President Trump Jason Lewis New York Times Barbara Comstock Tennessee president Virginia Twitter Jason Furman university of Michigan Craig
"justin wolfer" Discussed on SuperTalk WTN 99.7

SuperTalk WTN 99.7

13:49 min | 1 year ago

"justin wolfer" Discussed on SuperTalk WTN 99.7

"Com. Click on YouTube, you'll see the YouTube icon at our website. And do that for me. Will you would appreciate that? Well, well, well, let's look at the jobs numbers show with US Connie at a two hundred and fifty thousand jobs in October. That was more than expected. The unemployment rate held at three point seven percent. The lowest level since December of nineteen sixty nine wages rose three point one. Percent. The first time since April of oh nine the growth has top three percent. The strength of the job market gives President Trump and the Republicans are welcome talking point four days out from the election says the hill president filling his schedule headed into Tuesday with political rallies in which you often touted his low unemployment numbers trying to convince voters that the GOP will do a better job of keeping the economy healthy that shouldn't be a heavy lift. I mean, good grief. Look at the difference. The president touted the numbers and a Friday morning tweet saying, wow. The US added two hundred and fifty thousand jobs in October. And this was despite the hurricanes unemployment at three point seven percent wages up. These are incredible numbers. Keep it going vote Republican. Bill Adams PNC senior economist says the US labor market is an excellent shape in October. And even CNN is going all my goodness. These are great numbers for the economy was CNN sick. Yeah. That's see it in great numbers for the. Oh, no. Bill Adams says the unemployment rate the lowest since nineteen sixty nine wage growth is the strongest since two thousand nine in a number of job openings has exceeded active job seekers since March some of October strong payroll growth is catch-up after the impact of hurricane Florence. But the trend in two thousand eighteen has been strong. He says the economy has added jobs for ninety seven straight months beginning in October of two thousand ten under President Obama. Of course, they haven't been ended like this. It's the longest streak of monthly job growth on record university of Michigan. Economist Justin Wolfer said on Twitter all told the labor market keeps expanding at a robust pace. Indeed, he says job growth this rapid with unemployment. This low might be hard to sustain always got to put the wet blanket on Justin, Ben. The economy grew at three point five percent annual clip in the third quarter slower than the four point two percent in April to June the commerce reported last week. Jason furman. Former head of the council of economic advisers under Obama says I'm not saying anything band in this jobs report. He said on Twitter today, strong hourly wage growth, even stronger weekly wage growth, higher labor force paticipation, lower broader unin under employment while job growth bounce back from last month and the unemployment rate remained low. I I did that. That's all me. Y'all y'all remove started on his now that was me. I remember, I told you manufacturing jobs aren't coming back. Well, they are. I was just kidding. It was a joke. I was I was trying to make a funny. So here we have check this stat out manufacturing came back at at putting on a thousand jobs a day in October. Yeah. Thirty two thousand manufacturing jobs added in October loan. So unbelievable, isn't it? And we were told no, no, no, no, no jobs. Go you remember that those jobs are gone. They're not coming back. Yeah. So what had the economists expected here they they estimated growth of about two hundred eight thousand jobs last month after gains average, two hundred eighteen thousand over the past three. So they said, okay. Got the hurricanes. We got all this other stuff. We're talking about two hundred eight thousand jobs, you've got two hundred and fifty thousand jobs. October's job growth occurred across healthcare manufacturing construction, and transportation and warehousing employment in manufacturing is I said increase thirty two thousand would the sector adding two hundred ninety six thousand jobs over the past year. Not saying that work coming back. I was kid construction employment rose thirty thousand in October and by three hundred and thirty thousand jobs in the past twelve months. Chad multi-day chief economist for the national association of manufacturers says the numbers released today show US manufacturers continue to grow and hire despite facing challenges, including a massive worker shortage in global uncertainty with nearly half a million open positions in the industry. The worker shortage remains the biggest challenge manufacturers face. We were told that all of these tariffs with China. We're going to destroy the economy remember on that all my gosh. It would just be horrible. And now it hasn't happened employment and leisure and hospitality rose, forty two thousand professional and business services added thirty five thousand last month and five hundred sixteen thousand jobs over the past year. Mining jobs have continued to increase that's another one that that Obama Natalie said wasn't coming back. He was trying to kill him. They added five thousand jobs in October. The industry is added sixty five thousand jobs over the past year with the most of the game and support activities for mining healthcare. Tacking on thirty six thousand jobs warehousing, adding twenty five thousand jobs. I mean, everywhere you Lert, a look, it's just great great news. Wages rising more than forecast is just I mean, this is exactly what the Republicans need. I'm telling you. If they can't make hay on this. And then maybe a lost cause. So I'm looking at will there. There are two different things. I'm looking at one is the Washington Post. I don't wanna link to the Washington Post because they'll try to make you pay to see it. So I've got one they got fifteen house districts that they're looking at. I'm looking at ten and this is from the hill. These are ten the top ten Republican House seats most likely to flip in a Blue Wave. They say, and they are Pennsylvania's seventeen Rothfusz Keith Roth was three term congressman locked in a race with the incumbent with another income. See what they did was. There was a court ordered redistricting earlier this year that took Rothfusz out of a safe Republican district and put them in the district with Connor lamb who's also an income, but he's a democrat. And the odds are not on RAF. Doses side. I was trying to look at some polling here. I think the latest I saw that lamb was up like six it's hard to get polling from these districts. I mean, they're not like polling every day. I think the democrat was up like six maybe more than that. There's rod bloom in Iowa's first district. Trump won that district narrowly in two thousand sixteen. But before that, I was I district went twice for Obama. They say making it a true example of a swing district. So that's when they're looking at the Democrats have to have this. Barbara Comstock district in Virginia district ten she's vying for third term in the district that Hillary Clinton won by twenty points, and she's facing a tough opponent. And democrat, Jennifer waxed and say we're gonna polling data on that. Now who knows? Okay. Yeah. They do have a Washington Post for release late last month found the voters in Virginia's tenth district are more motivated to vote against comes Doug than they are to vote for Weston. Well that could prove for in in com- stocks favor because a lot of times people won't be motivated enough to get out and vote against somebody. They gotta be motivated to vote for somebody. So we'll keep an eye on that another one is you folks in Colorado. It's district six Mike Kaufman strategists on both sides of the aisle point. The Kaufman is one of the most vulnerable House Republicans citing Hillary's nearly ten point win in his district and a strong challenge from democrat Jason Crowe who's considered one of the party's top recruits a mid October poll by the New York Times gave crow the democrat a solid nine point lead. So they think they can take that one. Then there's Kansas and district three. Three with Kevin Yoder is the only member of Kansas is all Republican congressional delegation seeking election in the district one by Hillary in two thousand sixteen we're going to be pulling data. Yeah. And it says it says that who's his challenger? They Sharif's David's she's got a solid lead. At least according to a survey released last month by Emerson. She's ahead by twelve points in that one. The cook political report has for over a month kept that race in the lean democrat. And then there's Illinois in the sixth district with Peter Roskam. He may have won reelection by a wide eighteen point margin two years ago. But Hillary also claimed victory in his district. Fuelling democrat optimism in the six term Republicans of fluent Chicago land district. Seemingly? Okay. The Democrats are outspending the Republicans to boost the democrat who Sean Casten the cook report has that lean democrat, but they put the democrat ahead by just two points. So who knows and by the way, I would remind you the cook report was so wrong two years ago. It's not even funny. Now that they necessarily going to be wrong this time because I think it's going to be tough for the Republicans to retain control of the house. It all depends on turnout now you folks at the early voting is over you got one last shot at it on Tuesday. I saw the forecast for Tennessee. I believe it's supposed to rain, and I'm trying I've been I've been studying on that to see who that helps if it rains, I think it helps Marsha Blackburn in this state to be quite honest with you because I feel like. That the Republicans are more jazz than the Democrats are in the state of Tennessee. That's just the sense. I get. And I think they're jazzed about Trump to. So we'll see where that hell whatever it helps or hurts. If it rains on Tuesday in Minnesota district too for you, folks. Jason Lewis locked in a rematch against democrat, Angie, Craig he nearly beat her in two thousand sixteen but they see this year's different Lewis has come under fire for comments he made on his radio show years ago in a clip from twenty twelve surface by CNN's K file in July, the former radio host lamented. It is now unacceptable to call a woman who takes a series of lovers slut. This is why I don't run they got clips from me from way back, you know, della. What I'd said Jussi village. Yeah. Yeah. I said that. So what I mean, you know, that's the thing. You just can't run from it. You can't run from it. You just gotta own it. National political playing field has been more friendly for Democrats in Craig's profile. That's the democrat has grown in Minnesota's second district. She's also trouncing Lewis and fundraising Craig raked in more than two point five million dollars between July first and October seventeenth compared to the Republicans eight hundred and sixteen so she's got him almost three to one in fundraising. There have been few recent polls. But a New York Times poll released in early October put Craig the democrat ahead by twelve points. So that's one these are all by the way, these are Republican House seats that they can't afford to lose to give you an IBM. The Democrats I believe need to pick up twenty three to take control, and these are the ten big ones they're targeting, and they're they're they're pumping in a ton of money and some of them in New York, New jersey. And there's another one Minnesota, but I'm not going to bore. You all the details. So that's where we stand. It's in these districts, these ones that are not polled on a regular basis. We really don't know exactly. What's going on? We have an idea and most people out there would tell you that these ten right here are the most likely to turn blue that are now read, but they're going to need to flip Twenty-three. So we'll see we'll see what happens again, it's all about turnout, and it always is always about turn out. That's just the way it is. Anyway, quick time out. We're going to be back in a moment. And we'll take some of your phone calls on the other side, one eight hundred six one eight Phil that's one eight hundred six one eight.

Democrats President Obama US President Trump CNN Washington Post Hillary Clinton Twitter YouTube Jason Lewis New York Times Tennessee Craig president Bill Adams Jason furman Minnesota district university of Michigan Justin Wolfer
"justin wolfer" Discussed on KQED Radio

KQED Radio

03:32 min | 2 years ago

"justin wolfer" Discussed on KQED Radio

"And dad economists justin wolfer is is an australian born professor at the university of michigan betsey stevenson was also michigan served for a time as chief economist for the department of labor and on the white house council of economic advisers it was while stevenson and wolfer is we're living in washington dc that i visited them and they're absolutely beguiling then nineteen month old daughter until the hello first of all justin and i met as graduate students in economics and we started studying issues related to the family right away like as soon as we started dating we actually started doing research on divorce very puzzling way to start recycling yeah and the first paper we ever wrote together was about the relationship between the ability to get divorced and avoiding violence in relationships and so you're finding was that the divorce reforms that allowed one person to unilaterally walk out of a relationship saves lives it reduced women committing suicide reduced women getting killed by their partners reduced domestic violence more broadly now are the two of you married i feel the answer all right so i did know that stevenson wolford's aren't actually married they refer to each other as partners rather than husband and wife i'm the person in the household who manages all of our money so justin actually do follow the old household specialization rules but we do it much more narrowly so justin does it i did money and when it comes to money a quickly realized that particularly as young people the cost of being married outweighed any of the benefits when it comes to financial costs particularly to people who have similar careers and therefore similar earnings the tax cost you didn't wanna pay marriage penalty yeah would have been substantial so what do you save a year by not being married over twenty thousand dollars a year wow you could send you have another kid senator private school if you want to cause people to pause at a wedding asked them how much they think what they're about to do is worth and then tell them what the price tag is marriage is an institution that people can get in and out of very easily it doesn't actually serve the purpose most people wanted to do yeah so what couples are usually credited when they marry is trying to make it difficult to leave with a fuss stronger bond than a legal contract which we have a daughter and you can't cut daughter and that daughter right on cue makes it incredibly difficult or expensive i would much stronger with the marriage certificate once they decide to have a child stevenson started training and she puts it a lot of running eating organic reading up on ovulation and all kinds of medical and behavioral literature we approached getting pregnant like any other project we've done i attempted i spent four months getting fit i went to the doctor for a checkup four months before i wanted my id out i went and got a checkup all the medical tests i needed i started training for pregnancy include besides running prenatal vitamins running eating right i was an involved charting figuring out my cycle ovulation and do all.

professor justin wolfer four months twenty thousand dollars nineteen month
"justin wolfer" Discussed on Bloomberg Radio New York

Bloomberg Radio New York

02:34 min | 2 years ago

"justin wolfer" Discussed on Bloomberg Radio New York

"Retaliating this is going to go on and on isn't it i think it's a very good point and i think you're absolutely correct it is it is the us that's responding to what it perceives and i think there's some validity to that that that the way the trade is the us policies towards us trade are are unfair and they're looking to to level the playing field now the i think the differences if we look for example that the wto doesn't estimate of tradeweighted aggregate tariffs and the differences between tariffs that the us products face and the rest of the world is not that great and i think that that's probably the reason why most economists don't think that this is going to become a fullblown trade war because you don't blow up the world economy because of small differences in aggregate tariffs about four weeks ago john farrell justin wolfer michigan put this out and it's shocking how tight in house set low the tariffs are after forty years of negotiations i mean the president completely misses that within his discourse we do have low single mid single digit tariffs in the united states and elsewhere in europe as well but this goes beyond tariff barriers nontariff barriers to entry and you strike a really important point on the intellectual property rights this is something that commerce secretary wilbur ross has really been pushing quite aggressively can anything be done that conrad i think so because that's i mean that's china just changing changing its policies and actually i actually think that that's how this plays out in that that's where china has the ability to give a bit and where it's likely to we'll see some give from china if china wants to be this move from the developing economy into a more developed economy those are the kind of changes structural changes that they have to make i would suggest john not soybeans is eight standard deviations hockey stick lower and lumber is not a moonshot but drives higher tariffs are having absolutely in very small pockets of the moment of the us economy and we're gonna talk about payrolls friday and the minute did you see the is sam yesterday the united states of america was stellar the us economy looks absolutely solid right now comrades going to stick with us and we can continue this conversation but the american economy is looking really quite good at the moment that's because of the the world cup is because of the world cup is real knock on effect we now it's not because in a world cup world cup happy friday it's home to the price action the price today's you.

wto us president europe wilbur ross conrad china america john farrell michigan sam forty years four weeks
"justin wolfer" Discussed on KQED Radio

KQED Radio

02:11 min | 2 years ago

"justin wolfer" Discussed on KQED Radio

"A meeting of a whole lot better them a bloody no it will take skilled diplomats to follow up on any initial talks if this meeting is going to generate real negotiations michelle kelemen npr news washington us employers added unimpressive three hundred thirteen thousand job robson february and the unemployment rate held steady at four point one percent that's the latest news from the labor department and there were other signs of improvement in today's report as npr's chris arnold tells us the us economy is chugging along it in good shape with employers confident enough to do plenty of hiring and they brought on so many people last month that it caught experts by surprise wow it's a very very very healthy report justin wolfer is is a labour economist at the university of michigan he says another good sign here's that workers have been on the sidelines not even looking for a job some of them discouraged a lot of them are back either finding jobs or at least looking at it this is a very dramatic number that helped to bring eight hundred and six thousand people into the workforce last month that's one of the biggest increases in nearly thirty five years and that's great because the recession after the financial crisis booted millions out the big question for columist as being how many those people are going to return wolfer says today's report shows that a lot of them are returning richard burke hazare a white house economic advisor agrees those people who have been on the sidelines on moving back in the labor force and this month certainly demonstrates that they're are out there and ready to work still the reality is is a long way to go john silvia is the chief economist at wells fargo he says this past month is a step in the right direction but we need about a dozen more steps sylvia says labour force participation is still low by historical standards and he says in prior recovery's we've been able to get more of these people back to work faster one of the great comments that you always heard about the economic age fancheng onto bill clinton is they kept on bringing more and more people enter the labour force from the sidelines and we really need to get those numbers up economists say still having so many workers in the wings is a big part of what's been keeping.

john silvia bill clinton university of michigan us washington michelle kelemen sylvia wells fargo chief economist advisor richard burke hazare columist justin wolfer chris arnold npr labor department thirty five years one percent
"justin wolfer" Discussed on KQED Radio

KQED Radio

02:08 min | 2 years ago

"justin wolfer" Discussed on KQED Radio

"The idea of a limited military strike of kurmuk meeting as a whole lot better than a bloody no it will take skilled diplomats to follow up on any initial talks if this meeting is going to generate real negotiations michelle kelemen npr news washington us employers added unimpressive three hundred thirteen thousand jobs in february and the unemployment rate held steady at four point one percent that's the latest news from the labor department and there were other signs of improvement in today's report as npr's chris arnold tells us the us economy is chugging along in good shape with employers confident enough to do plenty of hiring and they brought on so many people last month that it caught experts by surprise wow it's a theory very very healthy report justin wolfer is is labor economists that the university of michigan he says another good sign years that workers have been on the sidelines not even looking for a job some of them discouraged a lot of them are back either finding jobs or at least looking at it this is a very dramatic number at that helped to bring eight hundred and six thousand people into the workforce last month that's one of the biggest increases in nearly thirty five years and that's great because the recession after the financial crisis due to millions out the big question for calling mrs being how many of those people going to return wolfer says today's report says that a lot of them are returning richard burke hazare a white house economic advisor agrees those people who have been on the sidelines on moving back into the labor force and this month certainly demonstrates that they're out there and ready to work still the reality is is a long way to go john silvia is the chief economist at wells fargo he says this past month as a step in the right direction but we need about a dozen more steps sylvia's as labour force participation is still low by historical standards and he says in prior recovery's we've been able to get more of these people back to work faster one of the wait comments that you always heard about the economic expansion onto bill clinton is they kept than bringing more and more people into the labour force from the sidelines and.

john silvia university of michigan us washington michelle kelemen bill clinton sylvia wells fargo chief economist advisor richard burke hazare justin wolfer chris arnold npr labor department thirty five years one percent
"justin wolfer" Discussed on WNYC 93.9 FM

WNYC 93.9 FM

02:12 min | 2 years ago

"justin wolfer" Discussed on WNYC 93.9 FM

"Says if the president is willing to listen russell now a senior fellow at the asia society policy institute has some experience with this he helped then former president bill clinton prepare for a visit to pyongyang in two thousand nine and when russell was working at the embassy in south korea in 1994 he briefed former president jimmy carter ahead of a north korean trip that's probably the closest parallel to a trump can summit because tensions were high the drums of war were beating and jimmy carter was convinced that only a facesaving face to face intervention with north korea's supreme leader to show respect was gonna over war the difference is carter was not a sitting president at the time russell says the us and north korea agreed to quote hit the pause button then negotiators started hammering out a deal meant to halt north korea's nuclear program in exchange for aid it was a deal that eventually collapsed in now north korea says it has completed its nuclear power program so russell says north korea's price for a deal has probably gone up still he'd rather trump talked to kim then continue to float the idea of a limited military strike a summit meeting as a whole lot better than a bloody no it will take skilled diplomats to follow up on any initial talks if this meeting is going to generate real negotiations michelle kelemen npr news washington us employers added unimpressive three hundred thirteen thousand jobs in february and the unemployment rate held steady at four point one percent that's the latest news from the labor department and there were other signs of improvement in today's report as npr's chris arnold tells us the us economy is chugging along in good shape with employers confident enough to do plenty of hiring they brought on so many people last mud that it caught experts by surprise is while it's a very very very healthy report justin wolfer is is labour economists at the university of michigan he says another good sign here that workers have been on the sidelines not even looking for a job some of them discouraged a lot of them are back either finding jobs or at least looking at it this is a very dramatic number.

npr university of michigan us washington michelle kelemen kim trump pyongyang justin wolfer chris arnold president labor department north korea jimmy carter south korea bill clinton
"justin wolfer" Discussed on WNYC 93.9 FM

WNYC 93.9 FM

02:11 min | 2 years ago

"justin wolfer" Discussed on WNYC 93.9 FM

"Probably gone up still he'd rather trump talked to kim then continue to float the idea of a limited military strike a summit meeting if a whole lot better than a bloody no it will take skilled diplomats to follow up on any initial talks if this meeting is going to generate real negotiations michelle kelemen npr news washington us employers added unimpressive three hundred thirteen thousand robson february and the unemployment rate held steady at four point one percent that's the latest news from the labor department and there were other signs of improvement in today's report as npr's chris arnold tells us the us economy is chugging along it in good shape with employers confident enough to do plenty of hiring they brought on so many people last month that it caught experts by surprise wow it's a very very very healthy report justin wolfer is is a labour economist at the university of michigan he says another good sign here is that workers have been on the sidelines not even looking for a job some of them discouraged a lot of them are back either finding jobs or at least looking at it this is a very dramatic number that helped to bring eight hundred and six thousand people into the workforce last month that's one of the biggest increases in nearly thirty five years and that's right because the recession after the financial crisis booted millions out the big question for us as being how many those people are going to return wolford says today's report says that a lot of them are returning richard burke hazare a white house economic advisor agrees those people who have been on the sidelines on moving back into the labor force and this month certainly demonstrates that they're out there and ready to work still the reality is is a long way to go john silvia is the chief economist at wells fargo he says this past month is a step in the right direction but we need about a dozen more steps sylvia says labour force participation is still low by historical standards and he says in prior recovery's we've been able to get more of these people back to work faster one of the great comments that you always heard about the economic aid expansion onto bill clinton is they kept than bringing more and more people enter the labour force from the.

chief economist university of michigan us washington michelle kelemen kim trump bill clinton sylvia wells fargo john silvia advisor richard burke hazare wolford justin wolfer chris arnold npr labor department
"justin wolfer" Discussed on KQED Radio

KQED Radio

02:24 min | 3 years ago

"justin wolfer" Discussed on KQED Radio

"University of nevada reno the recognition a of arsenic longer and more fulltime firefighters and the agencies this is caught up to this reality mike lopez agrees he's with a union that represents california firefighters even with the recent historic drought and intense fire seasons he says it no six years how fire has only added i n companies fire still lopez little could have been done on to prepare for these fires i'm jed kim from marketplace the stock market has surged for much of the year and president trump like all presidents wants to take credit but last night he took it a step further and suggested the stock market can help fix the country's debt problem which got a lot of people scratching their heads marketplaces got tung check that out last night on fox news the presidents of the nation's debt grew during the past administration barred more than ten trillion dollars right and yet we've picked up five point two trillion gist of the stock market possibly picked up the whole thing in terms of the first i much in terms of value so you could say in one serves will really ah increasing values and maybe in the sense we are reducing debt really for this we reached two professors who actually teach econ 101 steven kyle at cornell says stocks and the nation's debt are entirely different assets to explain this and class he draws pictures by draw a picture of our building ripped the treasury a brought pictures of factory that are corporation the treasury debt is the iowa use the government owes their bonds stocks are ownership of private companies but wait kannu argue that stocks rise people get richer they pay more taxes and the feds pay off debt in from the mall way and i would underline mall it could help not in a way that suggests there's some dollar for dollar legit dr anywhere even quote about okay how 'bout this the bull market can show that a good economy has replaced a bad economy with rising debt the problem is that's not the case says justin wolfer first can win a one universe the of michigan the stock market has been rising over the past few months no fostered in europe for instance and the national debt is rising rising because federal spending exceeds the taxes coming in i'm scott tong for marketplace.

mike lopez jed kim stock market president cornell treasury justin wolfer europe scott tong University of nevada california tung steven kyle iowa michigan ten trillion dollars six years