7 Burst results for "Jeff Francis"

"jeff francis" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

05:11 min | 2 weeks ago

"jeff francis" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

"So I will give you the head to head record of the royals in the blue cheese. Relying on the website stat news here Kansas City Royals all time one 99 and two 20 against the blue chase. I guess I should have given it in the other order. Two 20 and one 99, the Blue Jays over the royals in the head to head match up. The first players to play for both teams, this comes from frequent stat blast consultant Ryan Nelson, who's on Twitter at RS Nelson 23. The first pitcher to play for both teams was Tom Murphy, who played for the royals in 72 and 76, and then for the Blue Jays from 77 to 79. Maybe that was the most significant half decade in history because Tom Murphy pitched for the royals in 72 and 76. So that sort of sets things apart. The first batter to play for both of these franchises. John mayberry, played for the royals from 72 to 77, and then the Blue Jays from 78 to 82. And then the final trivia answer, the highest war hitter and pitcher respectively to play for these two teams. On the offensive side, I would not have guessed this. Jose Bautista, I completely forgot the Jose Bautista royals era. I can't believe we forgot about that. I know. Those amazing 13 games who could forget Jose Bautista played 13 games for the Kansas City Royals in 2004, the great 2004 royals and Jose Bautista put up a four 71 OPS in 26 plate appearances for the 58 and one O four 2004 royals. It's just somehow slipped my mind. Yeah, going by 35 were for Jose. He played for both teams and then Benito Santiago, John mayberry again, Alex Rios and Whitmer field. And then the top pitchers, this one was easier. This name actually did come to mind. David Cohn, of course, is the best royal and blue Jay pitcher at almost 56 war followed by, but black, Jeff Francis Miguel Batista, joaquim soria, octavio dotel, Liam Hendricks and I could go on, but I won't. So those are the trivia answers. Hope that was fun for everyone. I'm not a big trivia guy. Oh, really? No, not so much, but here I am being the quizmaster. So this is a new look for me. Quizmaster. All right, as mentioned, we will wrap up the week with the raisin pirates previews, but before then, we will talk to one Sam Miller and do a WBC preview as well with another guest, but now let me leave you with a message from past past blaster Richard hershberger, whom I invoked a little while ago and I brought up during the royals preview, pitchers calling their own pitches with the device, which we talked about last week, and Richard wrote in response to that to offer some historical perspective as he often does. He said, you will be unsurprised to learn that this was a discussion baseball had back in the 1880s. Signals became necessary in the 1870s as pitchers began throwing effective curveballs. At first, the pitcher gave the signal, but this had the obvious flaw that the sign was easier to steal. So the responsibility gradually shifted to the catcher. I think it is more natural for the pitcher to make this call. There's a lot of path dependency for it to seem strange today. Had signed stealing never arisen, we would think the idea of the catcher calling pitches to be bizarre. If this shift becomes permanent, it will be one of the more interesting developments in the game. We will tell our grandkids that the catcher used to tell the pitcher what to throw and the brats will suspect us of dementia. Here's a discussion from John Montgomery ward's 1888 book baseball two words, of course, how to be a player. Recall that ward started out as a pitcher and a very good one, including throwing the second perfect game in history before moving to the field. His sympathies in this matter are still with the pitcher. Word wrote as to the question of signs, every battery by which is meant to pitcher and catcher must have a perfectly understood private code of signals so that they may make known their intentions and wishes to one another without at the same time apprising the opposing players. The first and, of course, most important of these is the signal by which the catcher is to know what kind of ball to expect. There is no necessity of more than one sign for this because all that any experience catcher asks is to know when to expect a fast straight ball, not having received the signal for this, he will understand that a curve is to be pitched, and the difference in curve or speed will not bother him after a few moments practice. They didn't have quite as many pitches to choose from back then. Until within a few years, the sign was always given by the pitcher, but now it is almost the universal practice for the catcher to give it to the pitcher. And if the latter doesn't want to pitch the ball asked for, he changes the sign by a shake of the head. I think the old method was the better because it is certainly the business of the pitcher not only to do the pitching, but to use his own judgment in deceiving the batsman. He should not act as a mere automaton to throw the ball moreover the catcher has enough of his own to attend to without assuming any of the duties of the pitcher. Of course, if the pitcher is young and inexperienced while the catcher is seasoned and better acquainted with the weak points of batters, the latter will be the better one to signal. We mentioned as much in our discussion last week.

royals John mayberry Jose Bautista Blue Jays Tom Murphy Ryan Nelson Jose Bautista royals Benito Santiago David Cohn Jeff Francis Miguel Batista joaquim soria Liam Hendricks Richard hershberger Alex Rios octavio dotel Whitmer Sam Miller John Montgomery ward Nelson baseball
"jeff francis" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

08:06 min | 8 months ago

"jeff francis" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

"I don't think a full game of the minimum faced, which isn't a perfect game or a no hitter has a name. A no left on base shut out. So a couple of questions from Tom. How often does a no left un base shut out occur? What is the most base runners in a game where the minimum has been faced and what is the maximum total bases allowed in a no left on base shutout? So Ryan notes that this one is stat edible. Many of our staff less are not, but this one, you can use that coupon code while 20 you could answer this one yourself. And you just have to set some statistical filters in just such a way to do this. So you have to have 8 or more innings pitched. You have to have three batters faced times innings pitched. You can select that instead head and you have to have greater or equal to one base runner allowed. So if you do that search, you get 91 results, but 14 didn't finish the game, and one Ryan points out looks like it's probably a data error, Dixie Davis, on September 19th, 1920 has aligned that seems odd, Ryan says, not sure how you could pitch 9 innings facing 27 below a run that shouldn't be possible. There's no play by play for this game, so it's probably a mistake. Heads up retro sheet, but that leaves 75 times when it does seem to have happened. The most base runners allowed that can be verified with play by play is 5, which has happened twice. So April 23rd, 1989, bob milacki, Baltimore had 5 base runners, three hits, two walks, and the outs were on four double plays and a caught stealing was pitching for the Orioles that is. And then the second is August 3rd, 1946, orville grove pitching for the White Sox, his 5 base runners were on three hits, one walk and one error and the outs were on 5 double plays. So or will grove was a double play machine that day. The most total basis allowed in one of these starts is four, which has happened three times. Once on May 29th, 2014, Josh Cole mentor for the Diamondbacks, he allowed a double two singles and he got three double plays. The hitter who got the double was thrown out, trying to advance the third on the fly out. Then July 25th, 1982, John candelaria, for the pirates, he gave up four singles, and he got three double plays in one cut stealing. And then June 29th, 1916, epoxy for Philly, he gave up four singles and a walk, and he got three double plays and two cut stealings. And then one other interesting note, no one has done this while allowing a home run, obviously, or it wouldn't be a shutout. Or a triple, only three times, has someone allowed a double and done this. Once was that co mentor game, once was August 23rd, 1942, London wernicke, for Chicago, and once was June 10th, 1913, Walter Johnson, for the senators, did it. So I think you could take some pride in facing the minimum, even if it's we don't have a name for that necessarily. Maybe we should have a name for the no left on base shut out, I guess. That is Tom's suggestion here. But that's something. I would feel proud about that because especially if you are erasing those runners yourself, like they're not just running into outs, you're getting a double plays or maybe you're picking them off or you're playing some part in the caught stealing at least. It's not the conventional way to face the minimum, but hey, however you get those outs and erase those runners. It counts. Yeah, I feel like that would be a performance that would be written up favorably. People would say you had a good outing if that were the if that were the line that you put together and certainly if that were the results of it. Yeah. Yeah. All right. Step blast number 7, Christian. I was bored at work today watching the royals play the tigers when effectively wowed friend Vinny pas quintino because second career home run. Off of Michael Pineda, the unusual part is that his first career home run was also off of Michael Pineda. Is this interesting or noteworthy? Is it made more rare by the fact that they were in separate games? Has anyone else done this or done better and gotten their first three or four or 5 career home runs off of one pitcher? I just love the idea that so rapidly a guy could be like one of the hitters where when a pitcher comes up, he's like, I screwed that guy. Yeah, get this guy out of the league, please. Get him out of here. I hate that guy. So right says there have been a 133 times that a batter's first two home runs have come off the same pitcher of these one 33, 76 players did that in the same game and 57 did it in separate games. Some interesting examples of separate games, the longest gap between two games was just shy of 6 years. Wow. Willis hudley, a pitcher, hit his first career home run against rube Wahlberg, on August 3rd, 1927, he hit his second career home run, also against rub Wahlberg on July 12th, 1933. So he couldn't hit a home run against anyone else, but he had rube Wahlberg's number. Group wallberg. Now Brunson Arroyo, the pitcher again, hit his first two home runs in his career in his first two starts of the 2006 season, his 7th season in the league. That's weird. And both of those homers were against his starting pitcher opponent Clinton rush. Now, Adrian Hauser did almost the exact same thing, hitting his first two homers against the same pitcher, Daniel castano, only a week apart in his 5th season. Hauser was also the most recent player to do this coming into 2022. Pitcher Marty Patton hit his first in only two home runs in his career against Bill Parsons, approximately three months apart in 1972, Louis tant, yet another pitcher, who, by the way, should maybe be in the Hall of Fame, that is Ryan, editorializing their allow it, did this almost a year apart against Jim bouton, Tony walker was a center Fielder who only played one season and only hit two homers. One in May 1986 and one in July 1986, both against Shane Raleigh, who was an all star that year for the only time in his career. Tony walker is probably thinking, if I could have faced only Shane Raleigh, I might have lasted a little longer. And some other notable players who did this, Ernie Banks, against Jerry Stanley, norm cash against Frank Larry, Carl Crawford, against Sean sedlacek, Joe medwick against Freddie fitzsimmons, who has come up on the podcast before. He was out to lunch when next were handed out that was something that was set against him, I believe. Red Shane deans against Bill voiselle, Archie von against Bill walker and Robin young, did it also versus Ross grimsley. Now, only one player ever hit his first three homers against the same pitcher. Connor Jackson, who was a first baseman and left Fielder for the years and at Diamondbacks, hit his first two career homers on August 6th, 2005, his 6th career game against rocky starter Jeff Francis, Francis allowed four homers that game Jackson played in 34 more games that season, but did not hit a home run, the next season 2006 Jackson hit his third Homer of his career on April 12th his 7th game of that season, again against Jeff Francis, still of the Colorado Rockies, although all of those homers were in Arizona, not Colorado. Jackson would eventually hit a fourth Homer off of Jeff Francis on September 28th, 2007, this time in Denver, but he had hit 28 homers in between. So that's the most. The first three is the most that anyone has ever done it against the same pitcher. Wow. All right, that takes us to step last number 8, I believe, if I haven't lost count.

Ryan Dixie Davis bob milacki orville grove Josh Cole rube Wahlberg John candelaria Michael Pineda London wernicke Tom Vinny pas quintino Diamondbacks Tony walker Walter Johnson Shane Raleigh Orioles White Sox Willis hudley un wallberg
"jeff francis" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

05:16 min | 1 year ago

"jeff francis" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

"Broadcasters, midseason. They got rid of Darren Sutton, who had just joined their broadcast crew in I think it was maybe June or July sort of suddenly and abruptly without much of an explanation and I think he was sort of blindsided by it and I as someone who was listening and watching you a lot of angels games was surprised by it. But I don't know that that matters to all that many people and I don't think the broadcast took a huge hit after the fact that didn't mind his commentary, but didn't mind what happened after he left ether. It was just kind of unusual. But one thing that someone pointed out is that for the second full season in a row, the angels had only one pitcher who threw a hundred innings or more. And I remember talking about this in 2019 when it happened. I didn't talk about it this year, although we did, I think, touch on that one picture, a time or two this year. He came up as I recall, but did not really mention the fact that he was the lone pitcher on that staff to throw a hundred innings. It was only Otani. Obviously, no 100 innings in 2020, but to go to full straight seasons without more than one pitcher on your staff, throwing a hundred innings in 2019, it was Trevor Cahill. And there have been only three teams in history if you exclude 2020 and 19th century teams that had shorter schedules. Only three teams in history have done this have had only one pitcher on their staff with a hundred or more innings. It's the 2019 angels, the 2021 angels and the 2012 rockies. Who I think was that the year that they had the strict initiatives limits and maybe rotation or something. Generally, it's just hard for the rockies to have the pitching and to have pitchers throw a lot of innings at least up until very recently. So Jeff Francis did it for them that year. But three teams in history, one's in course and the others are both angels in the past couple of full seasons that they've had that's not great. I'm kind of surprised that the rangers didn't make that list. Because they have just been snakebit doesn't begin to describe some of the pitching was that they have had it from an injury perspective. So if any team was going to make that list, I'm kind of surprised that Texas managed to duck it, but yeah, it's hard because pictures just get hurt all the time. Like no one should do it. We joke about this all the time. Like pitching is bad for you. The fact that anyone does it is kind of wild. And I have sympathy for the fact that you can be trying very earnestly to assemble a rotation that is going to buoy Mike Trout and Otani into the postseason and just have bad luck from underperformance or injury, but it is sort of, it's really shocking. I think that maybe instead of revenue sharing, we should allow the angels to have an exception to any of the salary tax thresholds and also they should get to do an expansion draft for pitching. Because the sport's better if we get to see trout in Otani in October. And so I think that in the interest of the collective, the other 20 19s need to band together to give them just some arms that don't fall off, really. The rangers had 6 pitchers who managed triple digit initiatives totals this year. Who news? But I think this kind of thing like obviously innings totals are getting lower across the board and you're fighting the total innings across a greater number of pitchers. So it's less strange that this happened in 2021 than in any other era of baseball history. But it's still hard to do and it's hard to win if you are doing that, which is kind of why the angels and their moves this off season you can't count on Noah cinder card to snap the streak next year, like no. Hopefully he will, but he would not be at the top of the list of like, hey, I just want to get someone I can count on to throw a hundred innings next year. It would not be no asunder cart, right? So I think that's kind of why I was thinking, hey, they should probably go get some dependable as dependable as any pitcher can actually be in this day and age. Just get someone. You can pencil in as your second hundred plus in a picture. It would be nice. You know who they could really have used, and I don't know where they were in the waiver order relative to these things. But you know who they could have really used? With Miley. Yeah, sure. You know? He's fine. It's fine. He could have been a help to them. I don't know where they were relative to Chicago in the waiver order. But yeah, it's like they need some high end innings too, right? It's not just that they need an eggs. They need some of them to be good, but they also need some of them to just exist. Like in a more comfortable way. A way that doesn't involve the triple-A team quit so much because that didn't go well. Cycling through those guys seem to be not the best. And I hope redeemers is better next year, but do we know he will be? We do not. All right, next team up is the Blue Jays and the nomination here is in one of my favorite genres of stories that maybe we miss on the podcast sometimes it's.

angels Darren Sutton Otani rockies Trevor Cahill Mike Trout Jeff Francis rangers Noah cinder Texas baseball Miley Chicago Blue Jays
"jeff francis" Discussed on Bloomberg Radio New York

Bloomberg Radio New York

07:42 min | 1 year ago

"jeff francis" Discussed on Bloomberg Radio New York

"Is Bloomberg best I'm Denise Pellegrini Inflation continues to be just a huge focus at the fed right now And that may have even more dovish thinkers at the Federal Reserve and elsewhere thinking that maybe the fed should take some liquidity off the table fast And we had a chance to ask former Richmond fed president Jeffrey lacquer about it and he tells Bloomberg's Tom Keane and Lisa Brahma he's not surprised to see doves or even moderates adopt a more hawkish view It's certainly striking that a number of people that you would historically think of is on the dovish way to come around to this But in a way it's not surprisingly I think it's because of how far out of bounds of historical pattern It feds reaction to this inflation surge has been People forget that the reason we got inflation under control teamed it and then brought it down to 2% It was by reacting with alacrity to inflation scarce Little blips in the bond market that signaled the possibility of increased inflation expectations Instead this fed seems to be willing to let run Jeff Francis and let's take a Jeffrey right now to the immediate debate at hand and I do this in honor of Thomas Humphrey of course and all the history you've done Paul krugman has gone back to the history of 1947 the post World War II spike down we came with massive disinflation Eisenhower deflation and then there's the late 60s which was a little bit different You basically suggest mister krugman may be off and mister lacquer may be on with a more pernicious inflation of the late 60s discuss Well you can see why the 47 48 episode is attractive for those who are sanguine about the surge But for me it seems like the 1960s and early 70s is the more active comparison Inflation is ultimately about fiscal and monetary policy And at that time period you had two very significant shifts a shift in fiscal policy with president Johnson running a great society program but also running an escalation and the war in Vietnam the busted budgets And then on the monitored policy side you had the gradual and then sudden abandonment of the bretton Woods system which tied the value of the dollar However loosely but in the long run to gold and tied down longer run inflation expectations In addition you had the subservience of fed chairman William McKesson Martin and Arthur burns to prevailing political wins a subservience that tilted them in the direction of reducing unemployment and setting inflation pressures aside Today now we obviously have a very striking and large change in the fiscal outlook It's great over the last couple of years And on the monetary policy side the fed we wrote its framework It rewrote its philosophy last year And again it tilted towards greater concern about employment and less of a concern about inflation more of a willingness to let it run Jessica do you agree Do you agree then that the remedy is going to be a very quick series of rate hikes or perhaps a jump or we could get three to 4% up and policy rates or peak policy rates in the cycle Three to 4% wouldn't surprise me Really I think they're on track to a major policy blunder And recovering from that realizing they've waited too long It's going to cause them to have necessity raise rates sharply and try and engineer a cooling of the labor market And that very rarely turns out well It's Bill Dudley's pointed this out publicly that and others as well that the fed rarely is able to get the unemployment rate to go back up a little bit without it filling up a fairly large amount It's very hard to calibrate just how much to take out of the system and it seems to me plausible that we get to three and a half 4% And in addition that we pushed the economy into a recession Yeah well that's exactly where I was gonna go with this Jeff and I am looking at the average high yield bond yield The average junk bond yield in the United States is currently at 4.23% That is all inclusive You get the overnight rate at three and a half to 4% What does that do to the valuations of these securities What kind of recession are we looking at and won't the fed be reluctant to move in that kind of manner because of the torpedoing effect on markets Yeah I think they're in a situation where they need to avoid an error They need to pivot recalibrate pretty rapidly Accelerate the taper get rate increases started earlier next year in the first half And they're going to need some good luck And I think a lot of markets seem to need price for a lot of good luck Chip flicker I want to take the freshwater heritage here of the wonderful Marvin goodford and of course his mentor Alan Meltzer and Carnegie Mellon Allen melzer lectured me like you lectured me We've got to look all in at the macro data in America as an entirety Or are we so polarized now that the president's studying inflation has to look at it as two chords the haves and the have nots It's a good question We typically have it Don't have a lot of data on inflation rates by cohorts I think more broadly differential effects of inflation translating to different political implications for the fed different levels of political system dissatisfaction for the fed On the employment side I think the feds redefined the maximum employment as broad and inclusive that's all well and good but it's really hard to measure and by adding more essentially more goals you sort of weaken your attachment to any of them and it raises serious questions I think the fed has been A slave to a deeply flawed and outmoded conception of maximum employment And I think they missed an opportunity to update that Jeff one last question 'cause you're gonna throw me off air Who is closer to the flawed concept Governor brainard or chairman Powell I don't see much daylight too between them on this I think that they're both strongly aligned with the house view that the board staff and others in the system promulgate If you use maximum employment as this timeless parameter that we get to at the very end of a long expansion if we're not if in the event that we're not hit by any shocks in the meantime and you have to ask yourself the question what was maximum employment in the third quarter of 2021 Well whatever it was we surely got there and went beyond So the modern view that corresponds to the modern view which is that maximum employment the natural rate call it what you will is something that fluctuates substantially over the business cycle fluctuates with a lot of different conditions And the fed needs to take that on board And you've been listening to former Richmond Federal Reserve president Jeffrey lacquer with Bloomberg's Tom Keane and Lisa Brahma And coming up oaktree capitals Howard marks on investing in this volatile environment Plus Minneapolis fed president.

Lisa Brahma Denise Pellegrini Paul krugman Tom Keane Alan Meltzer America Jessica Bill Dudley Thomas Humphrey 4.23% Jeff Francis Howard United States three Jeff 2% Federal Reserve Carnegie Mellon World War II three and a half
"jeff francis" Discussed on Bloomberg Radio New York

Bloomberg Radio New York

07:41 min | 1 year ago

"jeff francis" Discussed on Bloomberg Radio New York

"Bloomberg best I'm Denise Pellegrini Inflation continues to be just a huge focus at the fed right now And that may have even more dovish thinkers at the Federal Reserve and elsewhere thinking that maybe the fed should take some liquidity off the table fast And we had a chance to ask former Richmond fed president Jeffrey lacquer about it and he tells Bloomberg's Tom Keane and Lisa He's not surprised to see doves or even moderates adopt a more hawkish view It's certainly striking that a number of people that you would historically think of is on the dovish way to come around to this But in a way it's not surprisingly I think it's because of how far out of bounds of historical pattern The fed's reaction to this inflation surge has been People forget that the reason we got inflation under control teamed it and then brought it down to 2% is by reacting with alacrity to inflation scarce Little blips in the bond market that signaled the possibility of increased inflation expectations Instead this fed seems to be willing to let him run Jeff Francis and let's take a Jeffrey right now to the immediate debate at hand and I do this in honor of Thomas Humphrey of course and all the history you've done Paul krugman has gone back to the history of 1947 the post World War II spike down we came with massive disinflation Eisenhower deflation and then there's the late 60s which was a little bit different You basically suggest mister krugman may be off and mister lacquer may be on with a more pernicious inflation of the late 60s discuss Well you can see why the 47 48 episode is attractive for those who are sanguine about the surge But for me it seems like the 1960s and early 70s is the more apt comparison Inflation is ultimately about fiscal and monetary policy And at that time period you had two very significant shifts a shift in fiscal policy with president Johnson running a great society program but also running an escalation in the war in Vietnam the busted budgets And then on the monitored policy side you had the gradual and then sudden abandonment of the bretton Woods system which tied the value of the dollar However loosely but in the long run to gold and tied down longer run inflation expectations In addition you had the subservience of fed chairman William mcchesney Martin and Arthur burns to prevailing political wins a subservience that tilted them in the direction of reducing unemployment and setting inflation pressures aside Today now we obviously have a very striking and large change in the fiscal outlook for support over the last couple of years And on the monetary policy side the fed we wrote its framework it rewrote its philosophy last year And again it tilted towards a greater concern about employment and less of a concern about inflation more of a willingness to let it run Jeff do you agree Do you agree then that the remedy is going to be a very quick series of rate hikes or perhaps a jump or we could get three to 4% up and policy rates or peak policy rates in the cycle Three to 4% wouldn't surprise me Really I think they're on track to a major policy blunder And recovering from that realizing they've waited too long It's going to cause them to necessity raise rates sharply and try and engineer a cooling of the labor market And that very rarely turns out well It's Dudley's pointed this out publicly that and others as well that the fed rarely is able to get the unemployment rate to go back up a little bit without it filling up a fairly large amount It's very hard to calibrate just how much to take out of the system and it seems to me plausible that we get to three and a half 4% And in addition that we pushed the economy into a recession Yeah well that's exactly where I was going to go with this Jeff and I are looking at the average high yield bond yield The average junk bond yield in the United States is currently at 4.23% That is all inclusive You get the overnight rate at three and a half to 4% What does that do to the valuations of these securities What kind of recession are we looking at and won't the fed be reluctant to move in that kind of manner because of the torpedoing effect on markets Yeah I think they're in a situation where they need to avoid an error They need to pivot recalibrate pretty rapidly Accelerate the taper get rate increases started earlier next year in the first half And they're going to need some good luck And I think a lot of markets seem to meet priced for a lot of good luck I want to take the freshwater heritage here of the wonderful Marvin good friend and of course his mentor Alan Meltzer and Carnegie Mellon Allen melzer lectured me like you lectured me We've got to look all in at the macro data in America as an entirety Or are we so polarized now that the president's studying inflation has to look at it It's too chords The haves and the have nots It's a good question We typically have it Don't have a lot of data on inflation rates by cohorts I think more broadly differential effects of inflation translate into different political implications for the fed different levels of political system dissatisfaction for the fed On the employment side I think the fed's redefined maximum employment has brought an inclusive that's all well and good but it's really hard to measure and by adding more essentially more goals you sort of weaken your attachment to any of them and it raises serious questions I think the fed has been A slave to a deeply flawed and outmoded conception of maximum employment And I think they missed an opportunity to update that Jeff one last question because you're gonna throw me off air Who is closer to the flawed concept governor brainard or chairman Powell I don't see much daylight between them on this I think that they're both strongly aligned with the house view that the word staff and others in the system promulgate They fuse maximum employment as this timeless parameter that we get to at the very end of a long expansion if we're not if in the event that we're not hit by any shocks in the meantime And you have to ask yourself the question What was maximum employment in the third quarter of 2021 Well whatever it was we surely got there and went beyond So the modern view that corresponds to the monitor which is that maximum employment the natural rate call it what you will is something that fluctuates substantially over the business cycle fluctuates with a lot of different conditions And the fed needs to take that on board You've been listening to former Richmond Federal Reserve president Jeffrey lacquer with Bloomberg's Tom Keene and Lisa brahmas And coming up oaktree capitals Howard marks on investing in this volatile environment Plus Minneapolis.

fed Denise Pellegrini Jeffrey lacquer Tom Keane Bloomberg Thomas Humphrey mister krugman William mcchesney Martin Arthur burns Jeff Francis Paul krugman president Johnson Jeff Eisenhower Richmond Jeffrey Lisa
"jeff francis" Discussed on Baseball Tonight with Buster Olney

Baseball Tonight with Buster Olney

08:34 min | 1 year ago

"jeff francis" Discussed on Baseball Tonight with Buster Olney

"Better than what they expect today. And boy, if there's a postponement tonight, Carl, it would throw these two pitching steps. Are you facing major challenges into absolute chaotic mode? It would. And I think, you know, my guess is it would require them to play on Saturday Sunday, Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday. Good luck. I mean, it just becomes an absolute war of attrition. And it changes. I mean, I think that if I look at these two teams right now, I would slightly favor Houston just given the Morton injury. And certainly that would increase if there was a rain out, but it also means that an ASTRO is pitching staff at an Astros bullpen, which has been used like many others. It becomes much much greater part of the equation. Yeah, a ray now tosses the whole thing into complete disarray. And it will become just that. It's a survival of the and I don't even know if it is. This is the right word because I don't think any team at this stage of the season is fit to go 5 days in a row. I don't. Especially with these two offenses and what they're both capable of. It would be a it would be a nightmare. It would also be very interesting and fascinating and making the series as unpredictable as any, perhaps series we've seen in a long, long time. Yeah, from what I've been told on the brave side, they literally feel like they'll be making pitching decisions from day to day where it's like, okay? We saw what happened in game three. Here's who is available in game four. How can we piece this together? And the cool thing is, no matter who wins, whether it's the Astros or the braves, pitching heroes are going to emerge. You know, and maybe that Zach ranke, you know, who looks like he's lined up to start game four. You know, maybe it's going to be Kyle Wright. Which would be a fun story. I was going to say I think a lot of it has to do with who's hot. Like the idea that Kyle Wright looks so good. You know what? We gotta try them. And he looked great for one inning. So he's coming. We got to use them. And I do. I think it is minute to minute day to day. Last impression next impression. All right, tell me what you think is going on with Alex Bregman. I did a segment on SportsCenter today about him how he looks completely lost. And I think what's a little bit shocking about this is that you and I since he broke into the big leagues, has ooze confidence. He's like, Gary Jeter. He reminded me reminded me in his early years of his career of a guy like Derek Jeter where he just walked into the game, walked into the ballpark, assuming he was going to get two hits and then he was going to kick somebody's rear end and to watch him as I described yesterday taking round after round after round after round of batting practice and reviewing his swings from batting practice on an iPad between between rounds. You're like, wow, this is a different guy right now. He had one 13 in the last 14 games of regular season. You know, in that division series, had some nice moments, but in the last two rounds, batting one 67. Yeah, this is not a guy. I recognize at all. I mean, and the one that I would always relate him to was Dustin pedroia. And Dustin pedroia, as you know, there are great stories about going back to Colorado after taking Jeff Francis deep, and somebody didn't recognize him when he was trying to walk into the stadium and he said just go ask Jeff Francis who the hell I am. That was who Alex Bregman was. There was a there was a confidence and a cockiness in an arrogance. And the other part of it to me, maybe more importantly than anything. There was a joy about him. He loved the game. He loves the competition. He loved his teammates. You know, I'm not sure what role George Springer plays in all this as a sort of a foundational piece in that Clubhouse. But I don't think that you're dependent on somebody being there for your attitude and actions and all those things. I'm really surprised at where he's at. What effect the 2017 scandal had on him and perhaps it's a, you know, it's a hangover thing with him and others are not as affected by it. I don't know, but I do know this is a person and a player that is that's unrecognizable. And I know, you know, on baseball tonight, we did that whole thing with Jessica, where Jess Mendoza where he would take a swing and he'd finish around and he'd immediately go to the video. Like, there was something about him and we all know the legendary stories that LSU and his turning on car headlights so we could work out and he was a dedicated as anybody to the craft, but that idea that it's become so in his head like I could get my hands inside. He just struck me as the guy I'd want on my team 'cause I know we're good here. He's gonna fight like hell and he's probably still I know he's doing all those things, but boy, there's just a, you know, there's a tire that's flat, and that's never how I perceived him. And I think he, you know, obviously the team and he are better off if you can get that mojo back. Last one for you. The braves hosting game three of the World Series and you would assume that they're probably going to be some protests here. There's a lot of conversation about the team name. We've seen the Washington football team change its name. We've seen the Cleveland baseball team change its name. I think it's only a matter of time, Carl before the Atlanta baseball franchise changes its name. You know, and I don't know when that's going to happen, but given the trends in the world and I think in this country and the corrections that are being made, I think the sooner the better in terms of the franchise making the adjustment. I don't think it's going to happen anytime soon. But it's indefensible. Yes. That's coming. That's going to happen. I'm sure it's going to be thought. I know that the comments from rob Manfred about regionalization and the connection between the area and Indians is critical and important. You know, I think what he was trying to do was kind of stand there and let everyone know we are we are aware, but we're also aware of the history and the importance. And I know that that certain communities were very upset with what he said. So I just don't think that you can get in the way of what appears to be a massive movement throughout the country for these things to be as you said corrected. And this will be this feels like it's certainly going to be another one. I mean, it's happened in the sports world. It's coming here. In some respects when I saw the reaction and it was a strong reaction to what rob said I kind of shook my head a little bit because I don't think anyone should take him seriously when he speaks to an issue like that, because to me, this is a reminder, he's a lawyer for the teams. That's what he was speaking. He advocate for the teams. He's not someone who is sitting in a throne and he's representing the interest of all baseball fans. He's a lawyer for the Atlanta, braves, baseball franchise. And that's coming from and he's waiting for his employer to essentially make a decision and then rob will say something different. And that's just the reality of the moment. All right. Carl, I appreciate it. Buster, talk to you soon, buddy. Gatorade knows there are many paths of greatness. How you get there is up to you. Sometimes you gotta grind it out to get up early and put in the work, even when you're not feeling a hundred. Sometimes it's staying focused on a goal. Knowing where you want to be and that you'll have to pour everything in to get there. Other times you just need to dig deep and show some guts to be brave and never let anything stand in the way of what you can accomplish. Then there are the days when you have to get in the gym and see some gains to put in all the reps and get stronger every day. But whatever path you take to greatness, Gatorade is there to help fuel the journey because greatness starts with G. Zero 9 6 this is the numbers game with Sara langs. Parallels reporting to producer familiar B dot com Sarah, how you doing today?.

Kyle Wright Alex Bregman Astros Jeff Francis Zach ranke Dustin pedroia Gary Jeter braves Carl George Springer baseball Jess Mendoza Morton Derek Jeter Houston rob Manfred LSU Colorado Jessica Atlanta
"jeff francis" Discussed on Starting9

Starting9

06:58 min | 1 year ago

"jeff francis" Discussed on Starting9

"Yeah i mean you're looking at some of these numbers here on base larry walker the career four twenty six todd helton four fourteen first career fucking career wins above replacement. You gotta help walker nolan. No-one number three but it's very close between him. And the next guy which would be troy to lewinsky wins above replacement all time with the rockies nolan forty point one do love low thirty nine point five. They were basically. I'm not going to say they were basically the same guy but you just said you basically said that you just basically said that. But i didn't mean it nolan otto the all time defensive war leader to low number two us look around like i think you know. There's the honorable mentions. Were never gonna be you gotta love. Video was going to say. Like what about ellison words. Charlie black men patient you just pissing all over ten years colorado rockies higher eleven year career with colorado rockies. You're telling me right now doesn't stack up to a single pile of shit. That's just what you said right. Now as i said. I'll i'll i'll ask you right back. Would you put chuck nasty in over to low. Would you put him in over nolan. Because i'll tell them right now. I'll tell them right now. High fucking feel hill respond. I don't i don't know if he yeah if there's only two people allowed on the ride I'm gonna probably ask charlie blackmon to go get a couple of dogs and sodas And meet us back right. So you've got charlie blackmon being one of the most insignificant players in rockies history. That's what you just said charter. Blackman's get dogs in sodas here okay all right so i figured off the reservation there. Well that's where. I thought you were going to drop a like. I didn't want you just get crazy and drop it a trevor story on me now now no you can't Those are the four. I just thought you were going to try. And do some fucking neo matrix bullshit to get a pitcher up there though. That's not you're going with. What do i do like aaron cook. Well let's go to jeff francis just to the to the canadian southpaw. France jeff francis julius show scene. It's you lease shot. Seen what about her mom marquez. Don't sleep on her on marquesses ten your colorado rop stop. You wanna talk about of horror. Heyday larosa why not. Why not all over. Mon- i mean be. No i like him. I've talked to him before andrei. I talked to her. Mama says before. Gu-guy john great pedroia sossio. What hold on. Let me Just a minute just a minute. Just a minute. Oh shit god bless it. Some of they've got the baltimore. Orioles have the largest grounds crew of all time. There's forty people. There's forty people working on the field right now. Sometimes you just gotta sometimes you just gotta get it in. You need all hands on deck. I've never seen that many people working on the field at one single time before. How how about them getting about them getting kicked out not kicked out but asked to leave fucking difference. They gotta did for getting him well. Here's what i said because we talked about this. They kicked out the orioles grounds crew members. Because they were sitting kneeling behind the canvas. Getting ready to take action. If called upon. And i said anthony rizzo's made that play before anthony. Rizzo has quite literally run over to the tarp jumped up on it and made a catch. Yup he's made that play. Yup so i don't think it was an overreaction by that empire are they was let me ask you this though. Are you telling me right now. Based on anthony resume making that play than any one of those gentlemen Would have been in the way of anthony. Rizzo making play if the other side of this heart. Yeah because when anthony. Rizzo made that catch jumping up on top of the tarp. It wasn't raining but it was raining here. So what if rizzo jumps up on top of the tarp and then goes spikes i into somebody's throat. That's kneeling behind the canvas. Tell me how that prevents anthony rizzo from catch. I think he was just i. It was less do with preventing rizzo making the catch and more to do with preventing a grounds crew member from getting spikes to the throat. To which i would say horse shit. These are grown individuals that can take themselves. I don't know about that. I don't know about. There's a reason we there's a reason why they're out there raking dirt and not scooping grounders at shortstop their reaction. Time isn't can't be that great. They were doing their best job. They were being in the best position they could be in to be called upon. What more do you want from grounds. I'm watching them right now and they look like they're emptying a cat box at the zoo. There's more kitty litter than i've seen in my life this now. This scene right now looks like when they have like the families on the field after the game games over. If you wanna have your kids out there to run the bases families can watch Can go on the field and do whatever they want. That's what this scene looks like right. Now i'm working on the infield. It's madness there is a ton of people out there. Gotta get in though got to get it in. Got to get in important ballgame. Extremely important ballgame all kind of implications for the boston red sox and the oakland athletics nuns right. I said it. You think the oakland as are are in it as long as we continue. I said this on the broadcast today as long as you continue to win the series..

charlie blackmon walker nolan nolan otto Charlie black rockies anthony rizzo larry walker todd helton jeff francis julius Heyday larosa Rizzo john great pedroia sossio anthony lewinsky jeff francis aaron cook ellison troy Blackman nolan