28 Burst results for "Ian Bremmer"
Avoiding war in the Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict
"It wherever you listen to podcasts. The Armenia Azerbaijan fighting could spiral into a larger regional conflict by Ian Bremmer. Intense fighting has erupted nagorno-karabakh a small enclave in the southern Caucasus mountains setting the entire region on edge. This is a fight primarily between Armenia and Azerbaijan two former Soviet republics with long-held grievances over land. The volve of Russia Turkey and others raises the stakes for where a war might be headed. An essence, this is a story of a powerful. Changing history by drawing arbitrary lines on a map that would later spark conflict. The states of Armenia and Azerbaijan were pulled into Moscow or and became part of the Soviet Union in the nineteen twenties though nagorno-karabakh, a mountain region about the size of Delaware was dominated by Armenians. Matt makers made it part of the Jani Soviet republic for decades are Mian complaints about the region's status were ignored and in the final days of the USSR war erupted tens of thousands were killed and more than one million were forced from their homes. A Russian brokered system in nineteen, ninety, four left nagorno-karabakh as part of Azerbaijan but ethnic Armenians with backing from the Armenian government drove most Azerbaijanis from the territory and declared it an independent republic. Low level fighting has continued over the years and an eruption of violence in two thousand, sixteen killed at least two hundred people. There is no peace treaty and nothing has been resolved. In recent years, the governments of Armenia and Azerbaijan have sent positive signals. Her budget president and Armenia's prime minister opened the first ever military hotline between the two countries and twenty eighteen and talks brokered by Russia France and the United States. Produced a joint statement and Twenty nineteen that appeared to set the stage for a treaty. But momentum was lost and an eruption of fighting this summer led to popular demand in both countries for a military reckoning. The likely never know who fired the shot that ignited these latest clashes, but dozens of soldiers and some civilians have been killed Armenia and Azerbaijan have each declared martial law outsiders are scrambling to put out the fire UN secretary general, Antonio Terrace as called for a ceasefire. The web of foreign ties in this story is complicated Turkey's president wretched type air to on eager for an opportunity to boost his popularity and shift. The subject from his country's struggling economy fully backs is fellow Turkic Muslims in Azerbaijan while others call for talks air to one insists that Azerbaijan must take matters into its own hands to Armenia occupation of the disputed region. Vladimir Putin's Russia has maintained relations with Azerbaijan and sold weapons to both countries but Russia has a military base in Armenia and is bound by treaty to defend Armenia in war. This means that as in Syria and in Libya is ongoing civil war Russia and NATO member Turkey have A. Interests here Iran which borders both Armenia and as her Badgen has offered to mediate politically active ethnic Armenian populations in both. France and the United States bring those governments into the push for negotiations. Adding to the sense of urgency to halt the fighting nagorno-karabakh is a corridor for pipelines that transport oil and gas from the Caspian. Sea to the international marketplace. If the current clashes explode into full blown war, the damage could be much greater than in the nineteen nineties. This war would be waged with twenty first century, heavy weapons provided by Russia and Turkey. Air To
Bahrain follows UAE to normalise ties with Israel
"Friday president trump announced that Bahrain would recognize Israel and the two nations would normalize relations. This comes just weeks after a similar move from the United, Arab Emirates what to make of it. All I'm joined again by Zanny Minton beddoes and we slaughter and Ian Bremmer in put this in context for us what does this mean? Why did it happen? What does it mean? Well two big things that people need to come to terms with the first. Is that Israel Palestine is considered close to the most important conflict in the region. It is for the Palestinians when you talk to the Maradas with the Saudis, the Bahrainis, the Kuwaitis you'll talk to you about their concerns about Iran they'll talk to you about diversification away from fossil fuels and the difficulties that they'll talk to you about domestic radicalism, all of these sorts of things. And so as a consequence, you no longer have a veto on if you don't get peace with Israel Palestine, you can't move on geopolitics. The second point is the united. States had long attempted to be seen as some kind of honest broker between Israel and Palestine when we're anything but Israel's our best ally in the region, the Palestinians particularly agree with we have problems with and so you know it's interesting trump's first trip as president outside the United States was to Saudi Arabia and then to Israel and those are the two places where he has the best personal relations and that's where they really drove. So yeah, you had the effort to. Talk about peace with Israel and Palestine where the Palestinians weren't even engage a big conference in. Bahrain. Now, you've got big announcements in relation. I think especially from you and I talking to jared through this that was kind of the game all along I I'm not in any way surprised by this. And we. A friend of mine WHO's from the Middle East very knowledgeable about the says what's really going on here this is this is the post American Middle East that is countries like. Israel UA Bahrain Saudi Arabia saying we're GONNA make our own alliances to defend ourselves against the the real threat that we feel as he was saying, which is Iran and we know the Americans aren't going going to help us. So we need we need to band together. Is that part of the dynamic. Afraid, I think that is right that again Obama wanted out of the Middle East. If you if you think about the direct line from his refusal to engage in Syria. And that's actually an area where he his policies and trump's have been closer than than other areas. But I also think you have to think about this in the context of us. Domestic Politics Donald Trump. Has Two modes he can be the fearmongering president or he can be the dealmaking president who delivers and if we're thinking about October surprises up for this election, what he would dearly love is to actually have a treaty or agreement between Israel and Saudi Arabia, which really would redraw the map of the Middle East and the conventional wisdom is the Saudis aren't ready but obviously, the UAE in Bahrain are stalking horses and and Bahrain would not have been able to do this without Saudi approval. So it's probably a low chance, but there is a real chance at least of a framework agreement in which Saudi Arabian Israel would would normalize relations in return for something more something bigger on the Palestinian sought.
When Covid Subsided, Israel Reopened Its Schools. It Didn’t Go Well.
"Since its debut and twenty seventeen, the Chinese APP tick tock has become one of the fastest growing social media tools with more than eight hundred, million active users. The APP lets users make short videos that are often shared across the Internet, but Tiktok isn't all fun games for months. Now, a lot of the attention about the APP has been focused on the national security concerns and the collection of user data, and as a result, the platform has been banned in India, by multiple branches of the US military and by Wells Fargo employees most recently however, president trump took aim at tiktok himself by threatening to ban the APP. We're looking at Tiktok we may be banning TIKTOK. We may be doing some other things, a couple of options, but a lot of things are happening. So we'll see what happens but we are looking at a lot of alternatives with respected dictum. Those remarks were before reports surfaced that Microsoft was pursuing a deal to buy TIKTOK in a press conference at the White House yesterday president trump claimed Microsoft or any other company would have to wait until September fifteen to acquire the APP and would be expected to give a percentage of the profit from the sale to the US Treasury. Joining me now is Graham Webster editor of digit China Project at Stanford University's Cyber Policy Center and a fellow at New America Graham thanks for being with us. Thanks for having me. And Cowan Rosenblatt is a youth and Internet cultural reporter for NBC, News. Dot Com callen thanks for being with us as well. Glad to, be here. Cowen who is the average tiktok user? The average tick tock user really is is a dynamic question because there is a huge range of different people who are using the APP but I'd say the most common person you're gonNA find is someone who is either at the tail end of high school or College who is definitely a solidly in generation the Gen Z. and he was using me APP mostly for fun to do dance challenges trends an engaged with communities that serve to their world. Graham. All of that sounds pretty basic I mean it doesn't sound like there's anything to be concerned about so far what type of data does tiktok collect from its users Graham? We'll TIKTOK is like a lot of social media companies these days It's using an AI driven or machine learning driven algorithm to figure out which content to to individual users. So to get this accomplished, they pay attention to obviously whatever you post that also you know what posts on your feed you look at how long you look at them where your device location is They also tried to track individual users like many apps do by looking at things like screen size and operating system and of course, they have a fair amount of information about your social graph, your your connections to friends and other people that you follow. And so what were some of the concerns around the data collection that way Graham given that it feels like there's a lot of, as you mentioned, other social media platforms and advertisers and the like that are tracking everything that we do already. Why? Why is Tiktok being highlighted here and banned in some of the institutions that we mentioned at the top Well, the basic reason is that tick tock is owned by a Chinese company named Bite Dance and they're a fairly new social media company. They had a breakout a few years ago in China with an APP called junior Tokyo that that is a you know an algorithm, IQ news feed and this is China's first big breakout internationally in terms of social media APPS and really getting take-up in in many different countries around the world not just the United States. So there's A concern that data collected by Tick Tock could end up in the hands of the Chinese company or the Chinese government and wild tick. Tock says that it stores all US user data in the US or in Singapore we don't really have a good way as a society right now to check that type of thing and to make sure that companies commit you when they commit to you know storing data and the Safeway making sure that they're actually doing that. Doesn't sound like we have a lot of that in the United States either though Graham. I mean, we have constant security breaches left and right Right. Well, the United States doesn't have a central data governance or data security or privacy Regulatory System the most prominent example of one globally as Europe, which has the general data protection regulation called the GDP are, and that governs things like when an apper services going to collect your personal information they have to gain certain types of consent and follow certain types of rules and there's also kind of limits the. Idea that if you collect data for a certain reason that you got consent for you shouldn't be able to use it for other reasons and that type of governance is just not that prominent in the US partially because the big US social media companies are not especially keen to have their practices heavily regulated they. They find GDP are in Europe to be burdensome and You know get in the way of making money. Kalland back in June president trump organized a rally in Tulsa Oklahoma and rumor has it that tiktok users promoted buying tickets for the event and didn't show up so that the event would be empty. What do we know about how that rubbed of the administration? So, what we know is it seemed to sort of frustrate the administration. Now, there's no evidence that the Tiktok users and K pop stands who are fans of Korean pop music that they had any impact on turnout. We are going through a global pandemic. There are a lot of factors going on right now. So it is really hard to know sort of what that impact was. But what we do know is it likely inflated expectations for turnout. The administration was planning to have a second rally after the main rally in Tulsa. which they then had to cancel, and so we think that it really messed with them. It was a it was a real genuine troll on the part of these tic TAC users against the president, and it really seemed to rub him the wrong way and there are lots of Tiktok users young first time voters who are telling me that when trump said, he wanted to ban this APP that was a retaliation for what they did the stunt they pulled the prank they pulled in Tulsa most what they think is happening. That's what they think is happening why there is no evidence that that's the president's line of thinking but that's what these eighteen to twenty two year olds are telling me that that's their beliefs. Cowan, we talked about The you know whether or not talk users actually had any effect on the trump rally in Tulsa back in June but more more directly here wondering if you're seeing any more political movement on the APP, whether it's a pro trump or pro biden or anti-trump anti, Biden has it started to move away from dance and song and move towards more political leaning so far. It can do both things at once actually. So there are still the dance trends. There are massive accounts that are just enjoying music on the APP but we see a lot of politics on Tiktok now maybe more than ever some young people are telling me they feel that because their home in quarantine and because politics ramping up nationally as we get closer to this election that they're seeing more and more politics in their feet, and what we're seeing is a not so much pro by content, but a lot of anti-trump content and I WANNA be clear. There is Republican Todd Democrat tiktok liberal Tick Tock conservative Tiktok. But what it appears to be is a lot of generation. Z.. Has a anti-trump sentiment and that does not mean they heavy pro biden sentiment. But things that we see our young people say, Hey, on this day, everyone go to president, trump's campaign store and put these products in your cart. But don't check out because allegedly that messes with their inventory or everyone on this day go to president trump's twitter account and report account, and let's see we can get a taken down. So we're still seeing these sort of organized movements sort of Troll, the president and a lot of discussion of politics but whether or not that is in in favor of vice, President Biden or in favor of president trump is sort of yet to be seen. Graham LE. Let's talk a little bit. But I mean, it sounds like tiktok users are for the most part having fun on the site sort of trying to do the things that Collina's talking about here but. On a more serious note, the trump administration has been trying to ban the APP. They're citing national security concerns, concerns over censorship by the Chinese government. Valid are any of those concerns really given what you know about China US politics Well I think it's you have to separate them out So the the concern about censorship I think is legitimate there was there was an example a little while ago where it looked like some of the censorship that they would do in China restricting conversations about things the Communist Party doesn't like discussed had bled over into the international product Now, Tiktok said that they were addressing that wasn't intended again, we don't really. Have a good way in the United States to check up on that and to kind of make sure that speech isn't being censored one way or the other the national security issue I think requires a lot more imagination Now, you know as was mentioned, the the military has has told service members to not use the APP and I think that makes a good amount a sense you know if if you're concerned about an APP Having links to a potential adversary There's all sorts of possibilities of ways that it could be exploited even just using location data of of service members or people who work in sensitive facilities. But if you don't work in sensitive facilities, if you're just sort of going around and and and doing the fun things and engaging in some of the political discourse that Cowan was mentioning you know there's not. A real big national security issue there a I will say that some people think that collecting the full aggregate totality of US Tiktok users could be used later in a analysis to try to do something, but it's really imaginative at this point whereas I think the censorship concerns a real and could be checked on and data privacy concerns are real but should be able to be checked on as well. What about the fact that we we just heard from Ian Bremmer, the president of the Eurasia Group in the previous segment talking about how the United States is viewed internationally in terms of our response to the corona virus. But I did ask in also about his thoughts on what this Tiktok dust up between president trump and China what seemed to Be Rooted in and he said, you know this is also part of trump's sort of relationship with how he views China and Chinese technology he's gone after while way he's gone you know talked a lot about five G. technologies. So do you see that I mean? Do you see that as a pattern in how the president views technologies specifically that's coming out of China. Yeah I think the you know the trump administration's been. Pursuing a campaign of you know escalating what could be a new type of Cold War approach to China and a lot of it is wrapped up in technology and and I think the focus on Tiktok really makes the most sense. If you consider it a distraction from two things I is a distraction from actual problems with China you know the the trump administration got this phase one trade deal which didn't really get to the deep issues of subsidy and market access and intellectual property protection. And, on the other hand, it's distracting from the fact that a lot of these security concerns should apply across many apps. Why just tick Tock you know you're talking about including American made apps like facebook and twitter. Yeah I mean the concerns are different when the parent company is in China but there are really unaccountable data collection methods going on across ad networks and data brokers are building profiles of Americans and people in other countries that can be purchased just with money and you know it's not only add companies that by this data governments can get it to. Callan, as we sort of touched on this earlier. But of course, we I, say this all the time we're heading into one of the most consequential presedential elections in my lifetime at least social media is constantly changing is tiktok going to be a thing and twenty twenty and November, or is it going to be eclipse with something else or it'll change the? Will it change the election? Calvin what are your thoughts on that? I don't see Tiktok going away anytime soon, as long as the president allows it to operate in the United States I think we're gonNA see more is eight organizing on the APP among young people and I think we're GONNA see. TIKTOK. As long as Microsoft buys it or another company comes in to allow it to operate in the US I think it's going to stick around for a long time. I mean the president did Callan has also asked that Microsoft give money to the Treasury. If it makes this sale, we is anybody else interested in buying tiktok or is it just Microsoft right now? I don't think anyone else has come out as far as I'm aware and said that they are interested in purchasing Tik. Tok I think Microsoft even just recently confirmed that they were interested in this conversation, but it appears a deal needs to be made by September fifteenth. So if someone's going to buy it, it has to happen soon. Well you heard it here I guess I callan Rosenblatt is a youth internet culture reporter for NBC News Dot Com and Graham Webster is the editor of the digit China Project at the Stanford? University Cyber Policy Center and he's also a fellow
US begins revoking Hong Kong's special status over row with China
"States, saying it has revoked parts of Hongkong's special status. Under U. S law. Ed. It's all yours. And this looks like the beginning comes in the form of a written statement from Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross, saying the new security measures on Hong Kong that there's a risk That sensitive U. S. Tech could goto Beijing, he says an end a Hong Kong preferential treatment over China, including export license exemptions and some visas, he says further actions too deferential treatment are also being evaluated. So what's up with the timing? Well, Eurasia Group founder Ian Bremmer says things have not been going well for President Trump's reelection effort, so he has kind of grasp onto this one's going toe look, a scan that President Trump For whacking China over unilaterally changing the terms of Hong Kong special status of Hong Kong's autonomy. The Americans are changing the status here the Chinese are and the Americans are only recognized against. Security legislation in Beijing. Expect to be voted on later today
"ian bremmer" Discussed on Real Time with Bill Maher
"Okay a panel tonight. Wow we're moving up in the world. He's president of the Eurasia Group and Jesus a media and Bremmer is with us in Bremmer. 's where are you telling me later? She's the host of Luminaries podcast series murder on the towpath. A Jeez the anchor of the Sunday Morning News. Show matter of fact with Soledad. O'brien please welcome Soledad. O'brien is here from Dutchess County. How are you to me okay? This is the first time we've tried to panel. I would just like to say to our governor into why we could be doing this in the studio. Here's my thing. The sooner TV looks normal. The sooner people will stop fearing and the quicker. The economy will get better. So let's start with that with the fear factor this week. We passed one hundred thousand deaths which is hard. It's horrible. America is such a loser country that relieved the world in this or that anybody dies but I thought there was a lot of lack of perspective as usual in the media about that one hundred thousands of horrible number but eighty thousand where senior citizens forty-three percent came from nursing homes. A third were over. Eighty five I'm against death. I don't care who knows it for any reason but I feel like we have lost perspective and I would like your perspective on that. Let's start with Soledad because I better better call happening. Is New percent were senior citizens then over sixty five percent or not trade and so? I think the problem becomes. There's no real plan. There's not much leadership coming federate. And because there's no plan I think that's actually. What has people more afraid? I do that. The media in Rod braces blown out of proportion because polling would show you that most people do support wearing masks since thanks to speed up our right. They also want to get back to work where I live. In Duchess County were roughly evenly divided Republicans. Democrats you go to the Hannaford. Everybody's got a mess. They're sending away from each other. They WANNA get back to work so. I don't know that you can ask people to go back to work. If you have people on the front lines who are most risks right. People poor people people of Color people not frontline job receptions job the bus driver John they don't really have protection. The also have bad health insurance. I think until you solve that problem of a strategy or a vaccine. I don't know how you're going to actually really get people to buy into going back to work of bill and I think we need to put it in perspective of the United States. One hundred thousand is a horrifying number but per capita The mortality we're seeing in the United States is about what we saw in Europe. And trump isn't running your Germany's done a better job. Per Capita France has done a worst job and on the economic side. I gotTa tell you I mean every Democrat. I Talk to tells me Jay Powell from the Fed has been fantastic. And they're happy that we've seen bipartisan support on the fiscal plan as well so I mean you know it's easy to to poke at trump. Because he he is so buffoonish and he has so little interest in actually leading but if we put trump aside for a moment and just look at the United States the government with all the governors with all the legislators with all the CEO's everyone kind of trying to get us out of this you'd say that the US kind of looks like a lot of other advanced industrial economies right. Okay let me move on. As long as we're on media you mentioned trump. He got mad at twitter. Which I think is amazing because that was twitter to him what a radio was for. Fdr This new medium. We could reach the people directly. He loved it but they did something you don't do with trump they fact. I don't know why they suddenly decided to do this. But they put a get the facts. Well that is that the phrase this likes to hear so he is threatening now an executive order to roll back the immunity that the tech companies have basically a. You could say whatever bullshit you want. And that's free speech with support by the way and so did joe by Joe Biden for this revoking of section two thirty. What do you think about that The TECH COMPANIES AND DACA. Berg weighed in on it. What are you what are you saying? I think there's a reason why mean you had Mitt Romney saying that it was wrong trump to go after Scarborough for this obvious. Fake news being behind the murder but Romney wasn't prepared to do anything about it. A lot of folks that have been hand-wringing but they understand taking action is a step too far and so here. You've got Jack from twitter saying I'll be the guy to take the flak for everyone outside fact checking trump and obviously incoming comes pretty heavily. They make a lot of money off trump and I suspect that tweets that trump puts out that our fact check end up performing a lot better than those that didn't because that means that those are the ones the media should go crazy after when they don't like him in those ones that his supporters should promote even more heavily. I I don't think the way you're GONNA go after. Trump is by fact check on twitter and I don't think trump is going to be able to do a darn thing nor does he want to do a darn thing about social media companies in reality. I don't think it matters at all. It's not going to have an impact and that fat check is bare. It's the bare minimum. You could possibly do social media companies a ton of money off your Dr Donald Trump and and because of that. You're not going to actually see them. Allies the myriad of tools abate they could use. They could platform him know that. Surely politicians to listen FACEBOOK's entire financial model is based upon reaching very specific populations with very specific information. So they're just never going to actually get rid of him and so the arts. Those trump says something completely outrageous the media says oh my goodness. Did you see this outrageous thing amplify it? And they used social media to do that and the circle continues and continues and continues. There's a financial model that supports. That is just not going to matter. Okay so let me move onto this issue. Since we have a panel we can do many issues and this week as I mentioned in the monologue we got back to normal and when I say normal I mean we. Racial incidents preceded by Joe Biden at the beginning of the week. Having a controversy where he said if you a problem figuring out whether to vote for me or donald trump's you ain't lack now I actually tell you I hate it when people use that sort of phrase. If you don't agree with this opinion I have. Then you ain't this thing you ain't a woman you in an American. You Ain't a patriot. I'm not for that but Kanye West. For example don't agree with him on trump loved it when he said the mob can't make me hate him love that but it's also true. Now we saw this incident. I mentioned it in the monologue about the person who was George Florida's his name a black man who was killed by this white police officer in Minneapolis. A replay. The Eric Garner incident somewhat Just could've stopped the crowds yelling at him. Unbelievable trump is all in on the cops and the cops. Let's be honest. Almost all of them are all in on trump in that light. I kinda understand what Joe Biden is saying why would a black person vote for Donald Trump? Yeah except he didn't say that right. He said in an Awkward Lane Way and he apologized which she should have done. And I think the fact that you know. He's held to a higher standard. So the story goes on and on and on and you know whereas trump lies causes weigh-in and it sort of normalized all the time but yeah I mean he could have said in a more articulate way. America is very racist and in fact we have a huge problem with white supremacy. And sometimes that raise out in policing frequently and so while people could these individual cases George cloy a a steel Sandra Bland of Air Garner. They're not really individuals right. It's a systemic problem. That people don't necessarily want to figure out you to tackle. It's not individuals the system and by the way I would throw in Dog Lady in Central Park. Amy Curb Right. She's part of that same conversation because what? She was doing very clearly out as she approached. burder guy. Chris Cooper was saying listen. I can weaponized the fact that if I saw on the phone. African.
"ian bremmer" Discussed on Amanpour
"Well. In the United States is reacting quarterly there also highlighting the ways that China is exporting eight. So who does that influence? Who Does that impress in? You know. I don't actually think that's going to impress that. Many folks in the sense that the actual amount of aid the Chinese are providing is still less than the humanitarian aid. That the United States is. There's a lot of symbolism and ramping up the PR but it hasn't amounted to much and frankly and some of the cases what they've given hasn't even work the masks have been faulty the test and faulty. They've been sent back from some European countries. Know what they're really doing is leading by example because their economy is back up and running on the supply side while the Americans and Europeans are still shut down and much more concerned about a second wave. The Chinese with technology empowered surveillance state has a much more effective capacity to crack down on pandemic. We couldn't do that in the US UK and frankly we wouldn't want to have a system like that but it is a problem of especially when the Americans are actively abdicating their international leadership. And that's why a lot of the weaker economies around the world are going to end up finding themselves for lack of a better option more aligned with Beijing six. I want you to respond to that. I mean it's an interesting thing. What Ian Bremmer just said that democracies would not respond? Oh wouldn't take to the kind of draconian actions that China took but then there others in the scientific community. You said that China did exactly what it should for a period of time once it got with the program in Wuhan actually stamp out the virus. What is because we've seen all this this so-called liberation protests in order to reopen the economy? But can you from where you're sitting balance the individual good and right against the greatest social good that whole social contract? Well the social contract is critically important. Here you don't need an authoritarian government to push the social contract and the common good as South Korea. Did it very well Australia and New Zealand? Both democracies are doing it very very well. Germany has done very well. I mean there are a lot of democracy of democratic countries that have appealed to the common good the social contract and have conquered not completely conquered a virus but certainly has done much much better job than the United States in the United States. We have no leadership at all. It is entirely haphazard. Some states are doing better New York City right now is doing better than had been doing about other states that are under a really under grape weight. Risk Right now. Public Health wise are opening themselves up a to economic activity in ways. That could seriously threaten a to worsen in factor. The projections are will worsen of the deaths and the infections so it a failure of democracy in the United States. It's not really a failure of authoritarianism. Can I ask you because it's connected as well with the whole secondary well? Huge issue is the health and the economy. You I just want to read a couple of things because this is from a paper that you wrote the quotes from various signs. Bahir is average. Americans have seen no significant gains in their incomes for four decades adjusted for inflation. Most Americans have little or no influence on public policy which is why the trump tax cut did so little for them and at the core of the American system of five hundred giant companies headquartered in the United States but making and selling things all over the world half of their employees non-american located outside the United States a third of their shareholders are non American. Again when you see obviously this this crisis hitting America and the world in terms of economics. Where do you see even with all these trillion multi multi billion dollar bailouts? Where do you see the average American landing up after this? Well that's I think the the biggest issue in terms of domestic and also the quality of life of people in the United States because the average American is a worse off a clearly than the average American was six months ago even though there are a number of very wealthy people in the United States are far more money off of this pandemic They are selling. They're selling shares of stock short. They have done that already. Or they're of hedging their bets or they are big technology companies that are positioned to exert their monopoly power to an even greater extent like Amazon Now the problem is that most of the relief packages that are coming from Washington That are supposed to go. To average people have not gone to average people. Most people have not actually seen increases in their own unemployment benefits Or any kind of F- federal help whatsoever while the biggest corporations And so of the wealthiest people in America I have had tax cuts and routes and advantage of those bailouts coming from the Fed and the treasury and from the corona virus legislation through Congress. Well this is just aggravating and widening inequality in the United States It's making the average person in America. Feel like the game is even more rigged against them And I I suspect that this is going to foment a degree of a populism both on the left and the right such as we haven't even seen yet and we've seen a lot of the United States and very lastly to you. Perhaps counter intuitively Ian Bremmer. You you did write about potential silver linings out of this terrible crisis and everybody of course remembers the former Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel. Who said something to the effect of? Don't don't let a crisis go to waste. Where do you see silver lining well? I related to that. I would say they're two points that matter for the United States. One of is that coming out of this crisis. Even though the Chinese are doing better with poorer countries the United States is going to look more powerful than its allies and that asymmetric is growing. Because of the crisis not weakening America banks are going to be under stress but American banks are much stronger than the Europeans. The Japanese banks America has the overwhelming technological advantage from its companies and the secretaries right that those monopolies aren't about to get broken up. No they're going to get stronger. You're not going to have Elizabeth Warren seeing break them up when you just really need them re start your economy or the European saying we need our privacy when they need them to so the United States is GonNa look stronger coming out of this. Secondly is if you had to have a crisis that reduces takes ten percent out of the global economy at least the companies that are going to do the best are those that are most advanced technologically those that have the interest in innovating to help deal with the kinds of challenges that we're going to experience over the next ten twenty years if we had a ten percent reduction of the global economy that down the digital side. Let's say a massive cyberattack from Russia and instead the bricks and mortar companies did much better frankly. Our ability to innovate would have been considerably more challenge. So look we all know that inequality is going to grow. This is going to feel much worse for the United States and globally for the average citizen but there are some opportunities that come out of this crisis that I hope we won't let later ways. Well thank you both very much in Bremmer and secretary Robert Reich great to have your perspectives and your expertise on this U. S. Bank. Thank you for going to work and for staying home for treating patients and having patients for being on the front lines while having our backs. Thanks for working together and playing podcasts. You Love U. S. Bank can't thank you enough but we can do our part that's why we've donated millions to help our customers employees and communities in need equal housing lender member. Fdic in two thousand nine. Nineteen venture capitalist had another blockbuster year they invested more than one hundred and thirty six billion dollars in US based companies but now there's the Koran virus pandemic and it has brought on economic calamity. So what can happen to all of that money? Invest it and all of those businesses. I'm poppy harlow in this become boss fouls I talked to venture capitalist or Land Hamilton and backstage capital. Arlen has had a remarkable journey from being homeless at times. Sleeping on the floor of the San Francisco airport to running a multi-million dollar venture fund. Clearly she knows a thing or two about resilience her story on the latest episode of boss files. Wherever you get your podcasts up do you? But at the same time they ate you. That's Peter Bogdanovich. I'm Ben Mankiewicz host of Turner Classic Movies I ever podcast. The plot thickens. I'm still Peter Bogdanovich in the seventies director. Peter Bogdanovich saw. Now he's sharing his truly off the charts Razi Hollywood stories exclusively for the plot thickens. I'm still Peter Bogdanovich by me than Mexicans subscribe for free now on broadcast and visit. Tci DOT COM slash podcast to learn more now. GonNa turn to Greece with the second oldest population in Europe and an economy that never truly recovered from the two thousand eight financial meltdown. It seemed particularly at risk but with fewer than three thousand cases and one hundred forty six debts. It is so far one of the success stories. Dodging a bullet compared to Italy and Spain and the UK all ravaged by the disease. We spoke to the Greek prime minister early in April after. He enforced strict lockdown and he told us the population was complying to flatten the curve and now correspondent Nick Robinson is in Athens Front update to take the temperature as the country reemerges and prepares to welcome tourists.
The US is now in a recession — How long will it last?
"We are in a recession like right now already thing is this isn't like the recessions we usually get were something wrong with the financial system or another part of the economy a problem it might take a while to fix right this is a pandemic a really fast moving pandemic that at some point is going to be over and that let us today to wonder how bad this recession might get how quickly it might pass and how long it's gonna take us to get back to where we were marketplace's Sabri Banna shore starts us off in one week jobless claims went from two hundred and eighty two thousand to three point three million one week that is how fast this economic downturn is happening but just because it is coming on quickly does not mean it will go away quickly the recovery is going to be staggered a sharp V. shaped recession doesn't seem likely says carpenter is chief U. S. economist at UBS securities as different parts of the country get hacked and shut down at different times the recession spreads out across time how much time welcome here says he thinks the lockdowns in the worst of the virus could pass by June but the economy we knew will not be waiting on the other side there are millions upon millions of Americans who have already and will have lost their jobs I suspect spending will be damped pretty dramatically for a lot of those people as they try to rebuild their lives the unemployment rate could fall somewhere between ten and thirty percent even people who don't lose their jobs may not spend the same way Ian Bremmer is president of Eurasia group people are not going to feel comfortable going to concerts going to bars or getting on a crowded plane after nine eleven it took about two years for the truck to return to the pre attack levels here Norman bar this is chief economist of IHS Markit he says businesses like people will take on debt to get through this which will leave them much less likely to make big investments as some businesses go under supply chains will lose links we don't think will regain the pre opened nineteen levels of GDP for another two or three years so in two to three years the economy will be where it was a few months ago forget where we would have been had this pandemic not happened but despite that the US has one piece of advice this too shall pass one more time this too shall
Global Economy Faces Gravest Threat Since The 2008 Crisis As Coronavirus Spreads
"But let's talk first about the global economy I mean like I said I've been reading you and you've been talking about the possibility of the coronavirus opening up assuming upending the global economy and this is a real danger now I miss it in many people's minds almost imminent this is the first global crisis we've had since two thousand eight and the difference is that the politics of the response are so much more divisive now both inside the United States as well as globally are you a member in two thousand eight there was both the bush and the Obama administration's came together to support bailouts in the financial industry also in Detroit the world came together the G. seventy G. twenty in saying we need coordinated stimulus and we need to work to improve consumer sentiment those things are not happening right now that that creates a lot more panic right and so I think that it respective of how bad coronavirus becomes a we can talk about what's happening in China and the implications more broadly for developed and emerging markets but certainly the resilience to respond to a global crisis is not what we would like it to be and I think that's part of the reason the markets have been as volatile file and as negative here in the United States over the last two weeks well developing and emerging markets have certainly been fluctuating all along but the Chinese supply chain has been shut down as a result of this and you pointed out that this is really this began a phase one with the trade deal I think as you also pointed out but this is really something that could bring their terrible economic slowdown it's already happening to some degree and fear of recession is palpable I think the the the really big thing that's happening here is that globalization is changing in trajectory and that started well before corona virus that started in the technology space we're going after Huawei and other Chinese tak ka companies five G. artificial intelligence the Chinese are doing everything possible to have control of their own supply chain so I. D. coupling of the world's two largest economies in the most advanced sectors of those economies with the Americans are telling our allies they'll be hell to pay if you don't link up with us and the Chinese are spending lots of money through belt and road saying no you guys need to align with Beijing so that's where it really started and then you have a lot of companies that have been recognizing that they didn't need as much labor to make their business work over the past five years and the costs of Chinese labor were going up the competitive environment was more challenging rule of not law was not being developed then you have corona virus where suddenly you don't have good data your ex pats are scared in your supply chain has been disrupted well we're not now just talking about AI and technology we're now talking about services and manufacturing we are a lot of western companies are going to look at China and say we really don't want to have that level of global exposure that we did before so the big point here is that over the last fifty years so much of what's been cool about the global economy creating a global middle class improvements in life expectancy improvements in education and health they've come from goods and services and data moving across borders faster and faster and faster well now what we're seeing is this a tremendous backlash against that in some core components of the global economy and obviously that's going to have very long lasting implications for all of us here in the United States it's kind of scary it's not great I mean the the the positive side is that our own political institutions in the wealthy countries the US Europe Japan are actually quite resilient for different reasons so it's not as if we're facing the end of representative democracy or that we're no longer going to have checks and balances irrespective of what you think about the present administration but but certainly the quality of global growth and the volatility around our economic returns those things are gonna change pretty dramatically in corona viruses absolutely a big piece of that talking with Ian Bremmer and he's also the author of a book called us verses on the failure of globalism are you a fan you've said of globalization but not of globalism distinguished us for us well that's right and and we're kind of talking about it right in the sense that globalization is simply the fact that if you have more open borders you will have more efficient global growth but you want to be able to take advantage of global capital and human capital to ensure that companies are as profitable as possible you don't want five sets of standards you want one set of standards and rules and norms but globalism is the idea that promoting policies of free trade and open migration and the promotion of democracy and free market capitalism that those things will automatically lead to better lives for everyone and what we have of course seen is that actually in a quality in our own country and in democracies around the world has expanded dramatically and so that's why you get trump it's why you get Sanders it's why you get brexit it's why you get this relational and France that's why you get the five star movement and the league in Italy and on and on and on in fact the only major advanced economy that doesn't have this response is Japan and the reason for that is because the population is shrinking so even though the economy is flat per capita doing better there's no immigration so they're not opposed to all these people coming in that are different and they don't fight any wars so they're not angry about the promotion of democracy internationally that they're poor people have been paying for they're not doing it but the Japanese model is not a model the Americans are about to emulate so globalism has actually been a failure in this country and in many countries around the world and it's very hard for someone like me who likes globalization to tell fellow Americans you should support the transpacific partnership you should support more open borders when we know that we're not taking care of those people I am deeply empathetic to the idea that they would stop supporting globalization because they're not
"ian bremmer" Discussed on Stay Tuned with Preet
"It's not how much they meant per capita. It's how much they've admitted historically to the planet compared to that of the United States and Europeans. And if this if Microsoft Hi Chris off to saying that's the right way look at in the private sector does it. That gives them a lot better capacity to really try press. What equity needs to be in handling pitches? Now here's the problem. The People in Europe for the Green parties and and Bernie Sanders who are really promoting green. New Deal have absolutely no interest in responding that way. They're only focused on domestic domestic responses. What they need is agree? Marshall Plan that would be equitable. But that's not where the dark green left is in the US in Europe. So we're heading for a very dark green left. Yeah yeah as opposed to just like you know light green moderate and the people that are really committed to spending a lot of money to responding. But they're not committed to spending any money to responding to the problems that are much more legitimized long-term to the Chinese Indians and others in emerging markets developing markets and I think that from a global perspective right that should be really addressed by these people. It's so interesting wresting. The far left in the United States is really only far left on equity when it comes to Americans and they're real interest in the rest of the world is pretty limited and I have a problem with that. It's complicated question. Yeah Uh of where people's concerns should be domestically otherwise it's a little bit like on the on the planes when people smoke on planes. Yeah No. There's a smoking section non smoking section nonsmoking section. Because you're that's an air if you had the first row behind the nonsmoking section smoking section. Yeah you know there was a lot of secondhand smoke and so it seems like we're a a little bit in the world in which people are assuming you can have smoking sections and now it's another reason. You should undo another button by smoking sections on planes warming. No just nobody. In that position position was only unbinding one button. I mean that's pretty clear. There were a lot of there were a lot of buttons. Yeah there are a lot of Bungee. You also want me. Put My shirt color over my blazer. Don't know you could do that. But you need a different the difference for that and a different personality no no. I think he would work for that. I'm telling you I think we could have that happen. Neuro plasticity right. Yeah so. The brain will adapt adapt to you. Actually changing your fashion say something hopeful about the future. You'll still be here. You're GONNA do better than that really. That's pretty helpful. I will also still be here. It's okay on that note in Bremmer. Thanks for being on the show with create always a pleasure mcadoo. The conversation continues for members of the cafe insider community to hear the stay tuned bonus with Ian Bremmer and get the exclusive weekly cafe insider cider podcast and other exclusive content head.
"ian bremmer" Discussed on Stay Tuned with Preet
"WANNA address one more issue with respect to the impeachment trial. And it's something that broke last night media outlets began reporting that Mitch McConnell the Senate Majority Leader announced to the caucus that he did not have the votes. What's yet to forestall the calling of witnesses and as you may remember there needs to be if all democrats vote for witnesses or particular witnesses? They still need four Republican senators to join join them. There's a possibility that Mitt Romney will especially with respect to John. Bolton is possible Susan Collins well maybe Lisa Murkowski if all those three vote for John Bolton for example they still need one more and so there was a lot of celebrating on the part of folks who think that a fair trial requires witnesses and the polls show that seventy or seventy five percent of Americans think that trials L. should have witnesses and common sense tells you that every trial should have witnesses history tells you that of all fifteen impeachment trials ever held in the Senate each and every one of them had witnesses. I remember impeachment. Trials don't only occur with respect to the president they can occur with respect to lower officers including judges to they. Don't get as much attention. But there's always been witnesses. I would just caution people. On how savvy and Smart Mitch. McConnell is and it may be in fact true that at the time. He made those statements. He couldn't be quite assured that he had enough Republicans in line to avoid witnesses being called but also could be a ploy that I've seen Mitch McConnell used before both from a distance and close to put the fear of God in Senators Senators in his caucus who are thinking of straying from the pack and voting in favor of witnesses so that knowing vote on those things not going to happen for one two or three days it. It gives the opportunity for people who are supportive of the president. United States to put pressure on those senators to get in line. And it's rare Mitch. McConnell is not able to keep his folks online so i. I don't think notwithstanding that admission by Mitch McConnell yesterday notwithstanding common sense in that were standing principles of fairness. I think it's not a foregone conclusion whatsoever that we're GONNA win in this. Not even John Bolton their articles as I walked into the studio today that I looked at that suggested the White House is making a very very strong argument to senators not on principles of fairness but in the the interest of time and politics that they should vote against witnesses making the argument as I understand it that once they opened the door to a witness or two witnesses that the proceedings in the Senate will drag on for weeks or months approaching the time of the election. Because they'll be protracted court fights about executive privilege other things betting on the idea the senators who especially those who are up for reelection in November of this year. Don't want that they want this done. They want this finished. And maybe it's the lesser of two evils for them even electorally to take a bad vote. Okay behind us and hope people have moved onto other things. By the time we get to November. Those are the arguments that are being made. I don't know if they have forced or wait with respect to enough senators remains to be seen. And maybe this will be answered before this podcast even airs. But I think it's a very fluid situation with respect to witnesses. Look in the same way by the way it calls to mind a little bit in the final L. Moments of the hearing for the confirmation of justice. Breyer Cavanaugh. There was this question about whether or not there should hear from someone else or not and that the very last minute Jeff Flake. If memory serves words decide that they should extend the confirmation hearing at the end of the day. The vote was still the same as what people predicted. Br Cavanaugh was confirmed in. That may also happen here that a vote for acquittal still seems all but assured. Even if there's a brief hiccup here in the plans and Mitch McConnell basically the White House argument to senators is something like this is a Pandora's doors boxer opening and it may seem well and good and nice and logical to say as a matter of principle. There should be witnesses. And maybe John Bolton to testify but then we're going to have a fight about Joe Biden and then we're gonNA have a fight about Hunter Biden and then the Democrats and the house. Managers are GonNA fight over Mick Mulvaney and some other people from the Office of Management and Budget The O. M. B. and it's just going to be a mess. I mean what you should avoid the mess into shut this thing down. You know of course. Part of the is question of a witness trade which I've never heard of before obviously in any normal proceeding both sides have the ability to call witnesses and should call witnesses but they need to be relevant. They're not gonNA rehash all the reasons. Why join hundred not relevant into the question of the guilt of Donald Trump with respect to the articles of impeachment and his State of mind? Because you're not at all but since going back to an earlier question chief justice. John Roberts is not asserting turning himself in any way shape or form on what is relevant or what is not at a trial. It doesn't matter. I mean I heard Joe Manchin. Who's from West Virginia where there are a lot of trump supporters openly? Consider the possibility of Hunter Biden being irrelevant witness. So these things are being decided not just on the merits not just on the rules of evidence. They're being decided based on political considerations and efficacy considerations. And so we'll see but I think the driving narrative of having a trial to decide the guilt or innocence of Donald Trump on the articles of impeachment with no witnesses being called looks absolutely terrible for the president and his supporters. And I think that's the reason why you're getting. Some Republicans gins wavering. Maybe not enough. Maybe not any but at least contemplating some Middle Road so they can make the argument to constituents that it was somewhat of a fair process and they could get on with it because it will look ridiculous if this trial comes to a close without hearing from John Bolton and then John Bolton goes on his book tour in six weeks and says all these things that might have borne on the guilt or innocence of Donald Trump as he just looks terrible and they know it Stay tuned there's more coming up right after this election season is upon us. Starting with the Iowa caucuses only days away after that the New Hampshire primary than Nevada in South Carolina. And Will you get the point and.
"That was an interesting eighteen or so hours in the global markets wasn't it no sooner had we finished up an explainer on how the markets can price things in it if it knows those things are calm and then something came at the markets somehow we're not expecting there was a missile attack last night they may not really too belligerent statement from president from this morning and somehow everything was fine we've called Amy Myers Jaffe for some context on this she is a long time Middle East analyst also now a senior fellow at the council on foreign relations Amy walking program thank you for having me let's do a quick got check your this news last night I'm sure you as I and many other people check the futures market what was your what was your initial reaction well I think that it makes sense that the markets calm down afterwards of course were were hoping for a peaceful I'll come up for conflict resolution but I think the markets may be a little optimistic in the sense that there's a long row to hoe here on a very long and stubborn conflict in the Middle East so maybe people are a little too optimistic this is if I could if I could go to my Donald Rumsfeld dictionary this is the very definition of unknown unknowns right yes the president was moderately diplomatic today but there's so much yet to come there's a lot of water that needs to be crossed and I think the markets reflect that in the price of gold now course gold is also strong because we're expecting a US China trade deal and we're expecting a weaker dollar but in the end I do think that that hefty gold price art reflects the sentiment that we're not out of the woods yet talk to me about oil for a second would you kind of make sense it is down hard today long term now I know that all the analysts are saying long term down for oil but my feeling is there still a lot of geo political risks to be had we still have tremendous on rest on the ground if the Iraqi population is unhappy with the way things go you know you could see or workers decide that they're going to join the anti government protesters armed or if there's a breakdown in negotiations between the United States around in Iraq and the United States quote unquote gets kicked out you could see sanctions on Iraq's oil because Iraq has been doing these swaps with Iran these energy swaps with Iran and that would be in a logical next step of things break down are you called at all by the fact that the United States is such a major producer of oil now that helps me from the point of view of worrying about the US economy if the price of oil goes way up there many states the benefit now because we have so many states that are oil producing the didn't used to be oil producing and of course our trade deficit isn't as badly hurt the problem is you know you want a high we might not take a road trip this summer for oil prices are very high and also we know from past oil shocks that American stop buying cars when the price of gasoline is going up in the course that would be very bad for the economy because that's a big part of the GDP of the United States okay so short to medium term what are you watching well I'm more watching sort of how it plays out of course in the Middle East I think that's a very major risk I want to see on that that US China trade deal comes forward and and what form and then I think the markets you know the Eurasia group which is eight geopolitical risk organization says the United States is the number one geo political risk in the world today so I do think the U. S. selection depending on which way it swings could be a major feature in financial markets also I think we have to watch that very closely your age group for co founder Ian Bremmer question your marketplace morning report all the time Amy Meyers Jeffery she's at the council of foreign relations in New York Amy thanks a lot appreciate your time your thoughts thank you
Trump: 'Ahead of schedule' on China trade deal
"President trump is in Chicago meeting with police chiefs today but on his way he told reporters that things are looking up for US China trade deal we're about I would say a little bit ahead of schedule maybe a lot ahead of schedule probably will sign it still this is Ian Bremmer he's founder and president of the Eurasia group so we're ahead of schedule it says Ian do we believe him in the sense that he's moving quickly to something he can announce sure we believe them in the sense that it's an actual deal that will bring the country's closer together on trade or technology or Hong Kong or South China Sea the answer is no the the Chinese recognize that the United States and from a particular under much more pressure than they were a few months ago given the economy softening given elections coming up and giving the growing impact of the trade war they're prepared to wait this guy out so what they have on offer is really exactly where they were several months ago it's buying limited amount of American AG in return for no escalation of of further terrorist and I don't think we are much more than that why would the Chinese be willing to wait and see what's behind door number two given what some of the democratic candidates for president and saying I haven't heard a lot of warm noises about China coming out any no that's true but they they do feel that trump is not to be trusted they feel them she is Jim paying has felt that he's given away a fair amount of political capital try to get a deal done particularly the Osaka G. twenty meeting this summer and it didn't work out for him and secondarily the fact that they don't believe that trump has a lot of ammunition left so it doesn't hurt the Chinese to play a waiting game it doesn't mean that the next president whether it's trump or whether it's a damn is going to be easy to work with but they do hope that they'll be more regularized more normalized relationship between the two and that's something the Chinese to prepare to wait on so we've been really consumed with things from all but Daddy's death in the raid to what's going on Argentine things like that so this may have missed the fact that China is having a little bit of a meeting right now going on the most import they have of the year the plan is going on how does present she go into that meeting what is his political support as it were with his own teeth between team I would say it looks like of the not very controversial I mean although a lot of people that are saying oh my god the Chinese economy is slowing that means we should expect to see big noises to see them stimulate the economy more insure this growth redouble efforts to expand employment they're not doing that they they feel comfortable going below six percent growth they feel comfortable with their present levels of corporate debt the allowing of some small number of organizations to go bankrupt but in a very regularized way this is not a country that feels like it is in any way in crisis mode if what what they're doing I would say is simply making sure that there's a conversation between those that want to have a harder line directly towards the Americans and those that want to see more reconciliation but this is not the kind of schism we've seen historically towards is it reform or is it you know retrenchment of state capitals in the torture an ism Shizhen pains way which is we're not politically reforming and by the way we're going to go our own way one technology it won't be aligned with the Americans we have our own way on architecture won't be alone with Americans that is a consolidated consensus view in China right now we will see that coming out of this planet part of president she's way which differs from the way of his predecessors really has been being much more bold in his language about the role of China in the world for many years we heard old we're not that big a country and yes this is a big prison she has a very different approach to were reports that some people with his own party were very concerned about that thought he'd gone too far too fast yeah I mean I like I remember when I was speaking at the Chinese embassy to the entire staff with the ambassador there in Washington and I was making the point that I thought your respective of what the Chinese government was doing on artificial intelligence that Shizhen pangs effort to say that we will lead the world by twenty thirty was a bad idea that that just P. R. perspective like why would you suddenly want that target on your back and get all these other countries including Americans focused on the fact that we've got a nascent real competitor that wants to knock us off in China and the funny thing was in that group and they were you know a hundred hundred fifty people there there were people actively I mean permanent staffers high level staffers of the Chinese foreign office vigorously nodding with that take so that there is a disagreement internally on how much the Chinese want to be assertive around this new found power in in in an environment where there's more of a power vacuum with Americans don't want to do as much when no one else is capable do the Chinese want to step up or do they want to still say no we're not ready for leadership we're still poor I think that the patriotism that she's in pain has been ginning up that we were a leading global economy until the nineteenth century the west took us over for a hundred fifty years and now it's our time again it works on the streets but it makes a lot of the leads in China deeply uncomfortable this is a president trump has been drawing back in various parts around the world and he's been very sort of a China when it comes to trade but he's made no secret the fact he doesn't want our troops in as many places doesn't wanna be asserting ourselves and say does that leave something of vacuum were encouraged prison G. in his direction well a bomb is done the same when we talk about how much Obama wanted a footprint in the Middle East and he was the guy that did the pivot to Asia didn't work out very well he's the guy that said I want to you know will surge in Afghanistan but we want the troops out we want to end the war in Iraq I think the thing that trump ads on top of that is his assertive indifference to long term American alliances and architecture that he believes those relationships are transactional and that provides a lot more space for the Chinese where they say you see this is the way it works you can't trust the Americans more than you can trust us all countries come out this only in terms of they're more limited national interest that provides more space for the Chinese to operate and it allows it makes other countries hard pressed not to hedge away from the Arab Americans in towards the Chinese who of course are writing the very big checks prison truck needs to get reelected next year he wanted very badly to what extent will he trim his sails and declare victory in retreat and what comes to US China trade he's already doing it I think that if you look at the and now instrument that he made a couple of weeks ago that you know fees a of the D. O. was already there when there was no such thing there was nothing sign comes because he feels a level of urgency why did he suddenly want to pull out the troops in Syria with such urgency what's he doing with the north Koreans looking for a third you know summit all around the world that's what you see from the president
"ian bremmer" Discussed on Bloomberg Radio New York
"Was Steve white CEO of harvest health and recreation and coming up Ian Bremmer Eurasia group resident this is Bloomberg with a Bloomberg business of sports report I'm Michael Barnes the sneaker planned to commemorate the July fourth holiday was pulled from stores before could go on sale but if you plan to release a version of its air Max sneaker with the Betsy Ross flag on the back with thirteen stars in a circle but the Wall Street journal says Nike endorser former NFL quarterback Colin Kaepernick reached out to the company and said the revolutionary war era flag is offensive to many because it represents an era of slavery Nike spokesman mark Rhodes says Nike has chosen not to release the air Max one quick strike fourth of July as it featured an old version of the American flag Activision announced the sale of two new franchises for its call of duty E. sports league from Los Angeles and Minnesota Los Angeles is operated by immortals gaming club and Minnesota is operated by the will family led Weiss ventures the total of teams in the league has now risen to seven and that is a Bloomberg business of sports reporter Michael bar the let's say you just bought a house bad news is your one step closer to becoming your parents you'll probably most along and see if anybody noticed you mow the lawn tell people to stay off the lawn compare it to your neighbor's lawn and complain about having to mow the lawn again good news is it's easy to model home an auto through progressive and save on your car insurance which of course will go right into the lawn progressive casualty insurance company affiliates and other insurers discount not available in all states or situations the art and antiques world is constantly evolving trends come and go fashions change but the one constant is exquisite eighteenth century English furniture always in good taste always in style in business for fifty years Hyde Park antiques showcases the most extensive.
"ian bremmer" Discussed on Stay Tuned with Preet
"But in the UK with Brexit and across Europe and pretty much every developed economy in the world except Japan for reasons that are very clearly unique to Japan, no immigration shrinking population. Very few adults on social media, no military involved in wars abroad. Japan Spanish is different Japan is different like, Florida. It is like Florida in a better way. No, alligators right, hanging pads. No, no people running around naked and convenience stores with weapons. I mean, they that doesn't happen in Japan. People people have Florida you have to pay in Bremmer with to him. I thought he goes say people in Japan, you've you've you've insulted a lot of people and things, but not that are listening to this podcast. So we're okay, I'm sending this to Florida. You are best. I'm going to send us the Florida. Yeah. But do I mean, the answer your question? I mean in terms of what what does it mean, these people that say that this is treasonous behaviour? I I am less willing to talk just about Trump's treasonous behavior. Because I believe that people like myself have been complicit over the past decades in allowing us to get to the point where people want to vote for crazy protests things people want to break the system, and I need I think we need as a country to spend more time focusing on that or the next time around we're gonna get someone like Trump who's competent someone like Trump capable which is much more dangerous to us. I think we should focus on that. I don't think the media's focused on that. I think instead there is this incredible screaming match going around of treason and fake news, treason and fake news, which I don't think actually gets us anywhere. I'd much rather have the conversation. But what's really happening? I think that's more useful. What's globalist? A globalist is someone who believes. That the system of open borders free trade, which I should say comparatively open borders, comparatively free trade and the United States with allies, providing the services of global sheriff for marshalling global security that is the best system for citizens in your country to support that's a globalist. A globalist is very different than someone that thinks globalization is a good thing. Globalization clearly has succeeded as a system. So the reason I asked for definition is because people use these terms, and then they take signs with respect to something by assuming that everyone is talking about the same thing. Yeah. So when when a guy like Steve Bannon who was in perhaps is in Trump's orbit rails against globalism. What does he what did he saying? He's railing against the party of Davos, he's railing against all all of these individual elites, the mainstream media the academics. Political leaders of establishment parties, the heads of businesses and financial institutions who railing at the thing that you were describing. Yes, it's a different kind of thing. Yes. He's profited. My heat not to be fair. Steve Bannon, also occasionally couches these things in more Ethno, national terms, and certainly among members of the all right people have used globalism to mean bastard, intelligentsia aluminum ju-, right? That is not the way globalism has historically been used in. It's not it's certainly not the way that I think that intelligent members of society should use. I I don't think you should see the term globalism to people who want to make it an evil nefarious ler right in the same way people who are of a particular ideological persuasion. Don't see the word liberal, right? That's right. Exactly. Or people, you know, railing against homosexuals called them queer, and then we had the development of queer nation, and they owned that term themselves, and that struck me as much more healthy way to go about it. So I'm glad that we're at the end of your report, you say, we will all live forever. Do not say that a different report. That's what I took from it. No stupid. Ian bremmer? Thank you for being with us up near..
"ian bremmer" Discussed on Stay Tuned with Preet
"Since any leader like Matthau, right enormously, import Putin enormously important, but Trump is a guy he's one guy and most of the stuff that Trump tries to do fails an fails impart because we're gonna build a wall. No, do you think we're gonna build the wall is Mexico gonna pay for a Mexico's not gonna pay for Mexico. It's interesting report, the Mexico pick worse. I mean, you know, I think the idea that the Americans and the Mexicans are working together to actually send more money to Central America. Try credit create conditions that will make it more conducive for refugees. Not to try to leave is a pretty constructive thing that has happened under the Trump administration that not many people talk about because the wall is much sexier even though it is not going to happen. I mean, Trump tweets very effectively and for CNN, this is a never ending plane crash. Right. He is the gift that keeps on giving to ratings and I. Get it. Right. I mean, if I am trying to focus audience engagement for CNN MSNBC a half to cover Trump all the time. But if you ask me does that in any way relate to the policies that are being passed in the United States and the policies that are not being passed nuts? If the answer is no you'd really think those you were talking about to complete countries if there were no Twitter. What would be different Trump wouldn't be president? You think literally? But for Twitter, he's not president, maybe Twitter and Facebook, I think that you know, if you look at Bolsonaro in Brazil, the new president if you look at Trump in the United States, if you look at the success that the communists and the National Front had France almost not allowing Macron to get into the second round the alternatives for Deutschland in Germany, definitely Salvini in the league Instagram for them was most important in Italy. I think that social media has facilitated these populist nationalists in ways that were completely unknown even five years ago. I think that this is the the single biggest surprise thing that just none of us expected five years ago was you would have a president who in real time could talk to not just as thirty or forty million followers. But literally all three hundred million Americans because of the pickup in the press when he wakes up in the morning and has a crazy thought in his head. That's right. His ability to create and shape, a never ending narrative and not just Trump ever changes and ever changing all across the world versus happening right is is really extra number ten years ago when we were talking about technology even five years ago, we're talking about technology. We're talking about the Arab spring. We're talking about the ability of individuals to bring down a Thawra -tarian governments because of their smartphones right because of their internet and suddenly with surveillance and big data and social media companies. It's all about the ability of a small number of populist leaders to bring. Like for like together create the opportunities for them to control the system. So you think there's a perversion now of this sort of high minded ideal of social media and that unbalanced now. Platforms like Twitter. Facebook are better for the formation of autocratic governments or better for the overthrow of autocratic governments. I think that with your one million followers. You are a nascent dictator. I don't know about nation. I know we're not sure about this a lot of people spend some time on this though. I do believe I'm one of my in here is a risk. No, you you didn't make it this year. But next year, I think you could breach the top ten do you? So do you blame the Trump presidency? More on Jack Dorsey, the CEO of Twitter or Jim Komi. Oh, no. I mean, I I guess I would probably say Dorsey at the end of the day. I really would. I think the three make news. Are we making news? We might be making news looking at the smarter people. I mean, look, I can say this Twitter is not a client. So I mean, I'm not breaching any confidentiality the violent the terms of your I'm probably violating my terms of service. If you know can follow me at at Ian Bremmer that means that I've violated terms of service. I I don't think that when Twitter got started that they actually believed that they'd make most of their coin off of you know, sort of bots and trolls and elicit accounts, but the fact that now is the case means they have a business model that requires them to sa-..
Donald Trump's Walk of Fame star smashed yet again
"The poll, question, what are the results, would you ever vote for a socialist No and? It's more because I? Just think someone who's believes in socialism Hasn't really thought. It. Through very well so is probably not smart enough to represent me Wallet that's my role when it comes to. The minimum wage if a person thinks that raising the, minimum wage. Is a good idea they're not smart enough. To. Be, in office a, ninety six percents they know they'd never vote for a socialist okay now as you know Donald. Trump's, star on, the Hollywood walk of fame or whatever they call it was, smashed yet again, this week it's the at least the second time it's happened and he's he has a, he has, a star very close to Kevin Spacey, who's a well known accused molester. Gigi Gigi goo, but nobody ever touches Kevin Spacey, star but they go after Donald Trump's so they interviewed. I don't know who interviewed him but the guy Hansie. TMZ the guy turned himself in he's, he smashed at at three thirty. In the morning I don't know if cocktails, were involved but that would. Be my suspicion, and he called up the cops and. Said I'll be waiting for you they arrested him And so then he went and he. Gave. An, interview to TMZ, and here is name is Austin clay not to be confused with Austin powers or Henry clay. Go, ahead I, just felt really passionate because of what happens with the immigrants, and stripping children, away from the with the emigrants is he taught was this a protest of all the, illegal aliens, here in Massachusetts stealing all the all, the welfare benefits while they were. Dealing cocaine and, heroin your parents and that just, sort of set me off and for a while I. Kind of distance myself from politics and when I came. Back when I of came back into, politics the next started paying attention. Again to all of this going on it, just kind of let something. Off inside me Something else man But I think of the SARS and the people that you looked out on when you're going through there, that you should you should feel inspired, by, Kevin Spacey, man Bill Cosby I think Bill Cosby stars Yeah like how about Harvey Weinstein I'll bet, he's gotta start to man. Like he's, he's he's very attractive man you know like we used three hundred pounds like and take showers and wraps himself around in a bathrobe before. He, invites in sixteen year old girls now there's a man who we should all like look up to totally like, these are people, who fought against powder cultural visionaries artists or really people. Who pushed us in a positive direction I think Donald Trump represents everything that everybody with half a brain and half, a heart in, this, country presents. No like full employment man And like, getting people off welfare And, like get rid of ISIS man you know the, ones that kill kill gay people but it's okay to kill gay people over there because like, it's it's part of their culture man And so that's why I did, it Robert deniro left me a voice message to give me a high five Chelsea Chandler Chelsea, handler Sorry Chelsea Chelsea, Chandler I like her even. More than Chelsea handler I got I got a phone message from Glen Campbell I know he's, dead man, but he still called me I don't. Know how he got my number because I thought he had Alzheimer's before, he, died, but I By, the way Coquette straws legal for me now that I've vandalize the Donald Trump star Yeah I think I did a real like, like you'll get. Acts I don't feel resentful I feel I feel, proud of myself The thing that. Was difficult is I have never seen let alone picked up an, axe. Man wasn't sure which. Is and you're supposed to use dude So there it is there's your social Justice. Warrior for the day eight four four five hundred forty two, forty two so let's let's have A guy named Ian Bremmer he's a lefty and, but he's he's he's speaking the truth he. Won't be back on CNN this was. His last appearance on CNN cutthroat aggressive for. The mill but you. Asked me about the big picture so you really want, the, big picture this has been a. Good week for Trump You're fired get outta here they're, going to give them the Kirk Kurt Schlichter. Bum rush right off right off of. CNN that's all we needed to know pal CLA Scar rove I'm Howie. Carr.
Trump blasts NATO ahead of European visit, accuses allies of shortchanging U.S.
"Point nine fm w bb eb wbz news time five forty three now that he's announced his court nomination president trump heads to brussels today for what's expected to be tense talks with the nato allies this summit here with america's european allies comes just days after president trump asked this question at a campaign rally i don't know how much protection we get by protecting you mr trump has long complained the other countries in the pact aren't spending enough of their national economies on defense the nato partners come to this meeting angered that mr trump has hit their countries with steel and aluminum tariffs all of that is why ian bremmer cbs news contributor who heads the eurasia group is convinced it's going to go badly steven portnoy cbs news brussels all the latest in sports news with.
UN: Record 68.5 million people displaced worldwide
"News time eleven nineteen seventy eight degrees fair skies here in boston a couple of clouds out there for the rest of the afternoon highs near eighty except for the cape and islands for we'll see highs in the mid seventies check traffic and weather together coming up in about three minutes here on wbz but first developing news homeland security secretary kirstin nielsen now drafting an order to end family separations at the border it's not the president will sign it more on that coming up in a moment meantime federal officials say immigrants accused of entering the us illegally can find where their children are through an email address and hotlines but advocates say it's just not that simple to reunite more than two thousand families separated by us officials at the border since may on wall street the dow jones down fifty five points nasdaq up fifty one and the s and p five hundred is up five back to our developing story we're following this out of washington and the ongoing battle over family separations at the border associated press now reporting homeland security secretary kirstin nielsen is drafting an order to end the practice of removing children from their parents but it's not clear whether the president will sign it nielsen has been the target of outrage by protesters of this policy last night they disrupted her dinner at a mexican restaurant yelling shame and no borders no walls of course as this story continues to develop we'll keep an eye on that for you here right on wbz wbz news time eleven twenty in other news the un says about seventy million people are currently displaced on this world refugee day about fifteen thousand refugees have been admitted to the united states so far this year but a cbs kylie outward reports that leaves the country poised to fall short of reaching its annual refugee cap by the end of the year there were sixty eight point five million displaced individuals across the world in 2017 that means that forty four thousand people were displaced every day and the us has gone through a series of different kind of levels of leading in refuge right now they're at one of their lowest in history for the fourth year running turkey was again the country with the largest number of refugees taken in mostly syrians three and a half million by the end of two thousand seventeen the us though the most new individual applications for asylum last year about three hundred thirty thousand german chancellor angela merkel rejecting president trump's tweets that migrants were behind a ten percent surge in crime in her country she says the crime stats are outdated and the president's using them to try to justify zero tolerance policies cbs's global affairs contributor ian bremmer says president trump's relationship with markle and other world leaders is tenuous i've spoken with most of the delegations now that attended the g seven summit they've all responded that the relationship was very far from the ten described by president trump they think it's deeply broken they feel that their personal relationship with trump is deeply problematic bremmer is called the president's performance at the g seven the quote geopolitical equivalent of the firing of fbi director james comey and the cardinal who wants spoke on pre sex abuse has now been removed from ministry in the catholic church former washington archbishop theodore mckarrick has been accused of sexually abusing a teen happened about fifty years ago while he was a priest in new york back in two thousand and two he spoke at the vatican about removing abusive priests from power there's probably the beginning of a real consensus that from here on in there is no place in the priesthood for someone who would do such a thing pointing to the washington post cardinal timothy dolan of new york investigated these allegations against mccarrick and found them to be credible seattle's about to become the first city in the country to ban straws that are that are plastic in restaurants with plastic utensils snooze city ordinance goes into effect on july first supporters of that band say half a billion plastic straws go into the world's oceans every year and caused significant environmental damage a critical.
"ian bremmer" Discussed on Radio Free Nashville
"Nationalism or the result i'm defining nationalism here is one form of us versus them intended to rally nation members of one nation against those of other nations were the wave of populist nationalism sweeping the united states and europe only signs of globalism failure it would be bad enough but there's a larger crisis coming many of the storm's creating turmoil in the us and europe particularly technologic change in the workplace broader awareness of income inequality are now headed across borders and into the developing world or governments and institutions are not ready developing countries are especially vulnerable because the institutions that creates ability in developing countries are not as sturdy and social safety nets aren't nearly as strong as in the united states in the in the european union they face an even bigger gap between rich and poor and the reality that new technologies will kill large numbers of jobs that lifted expectations for a better life will be much harder to manage in short just as the financial crisis had a cascading effect through financial markets in real economies around the world so the services of anger convulsing europe and america will send shockwaves through dozens of other countries some will absorb the shocks some of them won't as poor people in developing countries become more aware of what they're missing or losing many will pick up rocks the book us versus them by ian bremmer this is the tom hartman program welcome back out here with you back in the nineteen sixties back in nineteen sixty seven i took transcendental meditation and the beatles on the maharishi i was given a mantra learned how to meditate in sixty eight i got into self realization fellowship to create initiation in the late sixties early seventies for a couple of years i was teaching meditation down in downtown detroit we set up a meditation center in atlanta when we moved to atlanta over the years i've been meditating for years and years and years and in the nineties when i started writing books on psychiatry the number of friends i started showing up and speaking at these brain conferences and rob calls per annual bring conference in particular in and got to know berry sturman the guy who done the early work on eeg where they were using cats and spur experiments that would be illegal now where they were training cats with aegina feedback brainwave feedback and.
"ian bremmer" Discussed on Radio Free Nashville
"European commission and the unelected bureaucrats who enforce its rules at legislated for its twenty eight member nations without understanding they're very needs in recent years they fail to halt a debt crisis that has forced many europeans to accept lower wages higher prices later retirement less generous pensions in an uncertain future after all while telling them that they must bail out foreign countries that have spent their way into debt in the migrant crisis globalist european leaders insisted that all members was except muslim refugees in numbers determined in brussels and barricades and a spike in nationalism or the result i'm defining nationalism here is one form of us versus them intended to rally nation members at one nation against those of other nations were the wave of populist nationalism sweeping the united states and europe only signs of globalism failure it would be bad enough but there's a larger crisis coming many of the storm's creating turmoil in the us and europe particularly technological change in the workplace broader awareness of income inequality are now headed across borders and into the developing world or governments and institutions are not ready developing countries are especially vulnerable because the institutions that creates stability in developing countries are not as sturdy and social safety nets aren't nearly as strong as in the united states in the and the european union they face an even bigger gap between rich and poor and the reality that new technologies will kill large numbers of jobs that lifted expectations for a better life will be much harder to manage in short just as the financial crisis had a cascading effect your financial markets in real economies around the world so the sources of anger convulsing europe and america will send shockwaves through dozens of other countries some will absorb the shocks some of them won't as poor people in developing countries become more aware of what they're missing or losing many will pick up rocks the book us versus them by ian bremmer.
"ian bremmer" Discussed on KTAR 92.3FM
"Don't wanna do it anymore because the average american doesn't feel like free trade has worked for them the average american doesn't feel that open borders have worked for them the average american sure as hell doesn't feel like fighting a bunch of wars and other places has worked for them and technology use in the last few years is making it harder techno technologies talking to ian bremmer is getting new book out us versus them the failure of globalism technology in as far as america goes is that going to help or hurt us moving forward when we look at america and the american worker and and i think technology is a great thing i think we'll find our way but a lot of people are terrified the technology is going to render most of the workforce obsolete if you are someone who lost your job to a chinese worker in a factory because they were cheaper than you then globalization didn't work for you even though it may goods cheaper even though it made the american economy stronger what now is going to happen with automation and big data on ai in terms of the disruptive effect on jobs it's going to be a lot faster a lot broader than anything we saw with jobs moving abroad and i it may well be that all of these new technologies create new jobs but i know that most of the people that are displaced will not have the skills to be employed in those jobs and so they are right to be upset and concerned and they're right that at least for now their political leaders are unlikely to do much to help them now well that's our political leaders right because we like we i always think that our political leaders need to set up the you have to create the monster so you can elect them to fight the monster and this is a great way for them to fight a monster that they know is coming that rather than say hey i can side with the monster and become great i'll just have this guy fight it for me yep yep and right now the monster there were fighting or the mexicans that are coming to rape our women and the.
"ian bremmer" Discussed on On Point with Tom Ashbrook | Podcasts
"Thank you so much for your call ian bremmer think it depends on how effective walzer right i mean it's syrian refugees also can't get here right it's really far it's really difficult we can do more extreme vetting than the turks can or the jordanians or the iraqis who are seeing their economies actually take meaningful hits because of the millions of refugees that are streaming from neighboring countries also you know if you look at the countries that are most affected by migration right now you look at uganda for example or you look at all the countries neighboring venezuela that have accepted over a million venezuelan refugees you don't see a lot of social instability even though they're quite poor because they see that the people that are neighboring kind of them they're still all the same people where in europe the fact that it's muslim refugees who are different and have different cultural mores and then not integrating in the states onto good job of integrating them it's a problem so i mean i i certainly agree that when we see more extreme climate change especially from sub saharan africa even more than south asia because the demographic explosion in sub saharan africa's so massive that has the potential to like come into europe across the mediterranean and devastate europe and yet it's also quite possible that the europeans are just going to get a hell of a lot better at keeping these people out and technology is absolutely facilitating them in your book you do spend some time talking about possible not i'm not saying solutions necessarily but but but temporary or at least innovative fixes that can take the sting out of where we are right now regarding the pain that a lot of people are feeling due to globalism for the past fifty years i'm just wondering 'cause i don't like ending on such a down note i'm wondering if you could share with me one or two ideas that you think you know if creative governments are willing to take the risks what could they do.
"ian bremmer" Discussed on WNYC 93.9 FM
"United states and moving towards spoke reliance and other countries like the chinese were writing checks ian bremmer with the eurasia group thanks for chatting plan fleischer and now let's do the numbers the footsie in london is up twotenths verse dow and sp futures are down about the same amount two tenths of a percent while nasdaq futures are just about flat last night frances mcdormand won the best actress oscar for three billboards outside ebbing misery in her acceptance speech she encourage studio executives to finance projects directed by and starring win and then she said this i have two words to leave with you tonight ladies and gentlemen inclusion rider and inclusion writer it's not often you hear talk of contractual obligations in an award shows speech marketplace's marielle sagarra's here to explain so inclusion writer is a clause in a movie contract it says the demographics of the film's cast and crew have to match those of the us population specifically when it comes to raise gender sexual orientation and disability and the idea for these clauses has been around for a couple of years it came from research at the university of southern california they found a persistent diversity gap in us films and they're thinking was that alist actors like frances mcdormand could help close that gap they have a lot of power in contract negotiations and could use it to demand this kind of language the clauses could be written so they apply only to non starring roles were casting would interfere with the plot in the movie the researchers are also trying to get states to offer tax breaks for studios that use these marketplace's marielle sagarra thanks.
"ian bremmer" Discussed on WNYC 93.9 FM
"This is ian bremmer he's a political scientist the comparative stability of the geopolitical environment led by the united states was a long cycle it started after world war two obviously the cold war was a big part of it but still the us had driven all of the architecture of the wto the united nations the imf the world bank of in all of these global institutions those are now unwinding and he and says these institutions are unwinding because the united states is abandoning its leadership role in the world no one's in charge now the us is still the world's only superpower but it's absolutely not leading the world in bremmer explains how we got here from ted stage over here because does the united states right i mean we spent two trillion dollars on wars in iraq and afghanistan that were failed we don't want to do that anymore we have large numbers of middle and working classes that feel like they've not benefited from promises of globalization so we don't wanna see it particularly the americans don't want to be the global sheriff for security or the architect of global trade the americans don't want to even be the cheerleader of global values well then you look to europe and the most important alliance in the world has been the transatlantic relationship but it is now weaker than it has been at any point since world war two china does want to do more leadership they do but only in the economic sphere and they want their own values standards currency in competition with that of the us the russians wanted to do more leadership you see that in ukraine and the baltic states in the middle east but not with the americans they want their own preferences in order that's why we are where we are the g twenty doesn't work the g seven all of our friends that's history and it's not the problem is it's not key twenty the problem is it's a g zero world that we live in a world order we're there is no single country or line that can meet the challenges of global leadership so what happens going forward let's start with the middle east there are three reasons why the.
"ian bremmer" Discussed on Bloomberg Radio New York
"You within your political showed one pm to the politicians you talk to other listening the ian bremmer i i don't know i think they're struggling with who to listen to and i'd be interesting to here's what they have to say after this long pray that they've had back home to see what's important to them and what they hope to to accomplish hearing in in i wanna ask you about the the speech the present delivered now about a month ago just south of dc you're just wants to dc rather at a military base he talked about afghanistan strategy in south asia strategy we keep having these moments that look like turning points where he get serious about foreign policy and then i remember tom and i following the the speech he gave the next day wondering if there is going to be follow on from from what he had to say in at and there wasn't a is the lack of continuity of problem when it comes to how this administration charts court bid continuity come on i mean a truck when trump reads a speech that someone else has written this the it looks like that there's a very consistent administration over the course of the past few months other those you probably shouldn't listen to those speeches because they're they're not meant to be heard as trump delivers them they are meant to be red and poured over and scan than you can figure out okay what are the people that actually work in the trump demonstration what are they trying to do and then there are campaign speeches and the campaign speeches are they're the same thing they don't have any residents with policy the things that he talks about that he tries to get done around them like the wall for example they don't happen they can't happen and and admitted they said there's been a change the only major change this ban has been around staffan and and related lee in the last two weeks trump started tweeted light tweeting like a normal human being not like an incredibly intelligent even being but like a normal human being and that's i mean maybe the bars low but that's a massive improvement i mean.
"ian bremmer" Discussed on Bloomberg Radio New York
"One belt one road initiative has that stand to change the economic jittery not just of of china but in countries surrounding in those in which its involved in other words you have what sounds like a momentus amount of investment that stand to change the region generally all hugely but but but the problem is one belt one road is gonna be measured over decades rather than a year two years it's it's very difficult to say the success or failure said such a momentous programme both in terms of land building land infrastructure and also a difference see trade routes there used to be currency wars you've written about him for years and use the media plays in one way in the public plays them another way i think of brazil is being totally different than singapore in the in the currency wars are the currency were still out there or the country the country was most definitely out there and if in doubts when governments fail to get an alliance hymns of legislation the easy win is tweaking i mean that's easy win that historical model still there behramaj get dollar weakness burma so burma other other countries have done this either deliberately or accidentally japan for instance from two thousand twelve with the administration weakens their consi they would argue for domestic reasons but but the impact on exports was tillerson is the race to the bottom of nominal gdp is the race to the bottom just everybody is is ian bremmer would say every nation for itself its most definitely every nation for itself the g twenty is a so clearly a group of countries we don't agree on on a loss you see about something we we we called it a year a g political recession while the e one of the economic cycles turn up the political cycle is pretty dr but with within this him anderson is is the idea of a response by the united states if we changed our response to currency wars who we changed our response to eurasia groups every nation for itself given the change in the administration here or is it just business as usual way i think seeing many changes within the us administr croatian gave you remember in the first years of the clinton administration the first clinton administration you had an avert we constables thereafter with mr rubin you had a strong dollar strong dollars in.
"ian bremmer" Discussed on KQED Radio
"Those are very different ian bremmer tells the story a of trump getting up in the middle of the dinner approaching vladimir putin and then talking for more than an hour through or for about an hour through the russian translator the white house has on the contrary it was at the end of the dinner trump got up to reunite with his wife malania trump who happen to be sitting next to putin and they only spoke very briefly okay so there's some dispute about the details but no dispute about the meeting and i'm thinking if you basically trust donald trump if you basically trust the president of the united states it seems fine but if you don't love it becomes a very different circumstance because unlike a phone call with world leaders were somebody else might be listening in unlike his meeting with vladimir putin elsewhere at the summit where rex tillerson is there in the room there is no other american to account for what the president might have said what flood amir putin might have said what they might have agreed honor disagreed on her anything and we have donald trump tweeting that the fake news media is trying to make something sinister out of a typical g twenty social dinner up but that other meeting earlier in the day even that was a fairly intimate gathering ordinarily a president might bring a a a number of cabinet secretaries and other advisors along with him that was also just rex tillerson latimer putin and a tillerson's counterpart the russian foreign minister a very small meeting not a lotta witnesses and again we had somewhat conflicting accounts of of how that meeting went well we do know is it was budgeted for thirty minutes and it ran over two hours of it's the meeting where trump says he confronted vladimir putin asked him did russia meddle in the us election on of that uh putin denied such meddling in the day that they then moved on to talk about other items like syria and ukraine scott ian bremmer the guy who disclosed this meeting that the white house did not disclose the hourlong meeting he says suggests that the chumminess of trump and putin made the other world leaders uncomfortable did you see any signs of that any traces of that does your covering.
"ian bremmer" Discussed on KGO 810
"A strong adversary and russia is not the old ussr it is not the second most powerful nation in the world it is in china certainly would usurp that perhaps even iran but the problem with russia is simple the problem with russia is yeah you can work out a deal but they have in fact gone back on so many deals that it's ten of irrelevant i mean what you've got trump and putin what are they going to talk about all talk about the election adding you know they won't i mean and ian bremmer set a perfectly the last thing that trump is going to do is draw attention the fact that the russians were hacking a into our systems and as a consequence wow put him in as president now he's not going to talk about that than their eriksson's were east is yet these complaints we talked about rush shas complaints we've agreed on some mechanism to deal with some of these issues but americans say uh these are these are the issues that we need to talk about the minor ones before we get to the big ones and the big ones of course are syria and what's going on with ukraine and the us with our list of him do we want a mojo things well how about uh the fact that american parents which rush abandoned with late 2012 uh that somehow there said that they're dot the the kids are somehow not being handled in other words the kids russia banned the the adoption issue in nineteen in two thousand twelve c can tell him back from the case a little rusty here uh and as a consequence they did that as an end to what is intensifying harassment of us diplomats and other officials in russia these of more of the minor earth things that i think they're concerned with however having said all of that as much to talk about and and china anna is the other big issue i mean you've got president trump going after china over north korea's latest missile launch and that's by the.