37 Burst results for "Forecaster"
Fresh "Forecaster" from WBZ Morning News
"Problems we've been having. On the second bridge that continues to be jam from the center span. Getting for the cities were tunneling around the loop ramp there. Laurie granted visas traffic on the three this for weather concerns here in Greater Boston for the next several days. Just a few clouds. That's it. Otherwise, Sunshine is in control and temperatures will be well into the seventies. Pretty much every day from now until Sunday, right through the upcoming weekend. Today, we'll be closer to 80. Some communities might top that magic number, but otherwise It's an extension of summer into the fall season. So we're looking good here in Boston 64 degrees and sunshine Right now, however, the situation is not as rosy out West, where wildfires continue to be a cause for concern in California, especially and now re nerd renewed concerns over new wildfires creep in as forecasters warn of Ah Heat dome building on the West Coast just offer off some historically high temperatures and much of the region could be coming again as soon as this weekend 8 35 in Boston on a Thursday morning, a local business chomping at the bit over a quirk in the states phased in economic reopening plan, A roller rink in Taunton becomes the one ironically iced out. The owner says it's semantics why his business camp reopened now and Stu's as he watches ice rinks. Welcome customers back right now, with like, You know what you're going to get forest welling feels like he just picked the chocolate with the white cream inside or the gooey cherry filling. He still hasn't been able to.
Beta weakens to tropical depression, stalls over Texas coast
"Beta has weakened to a tropical depression but it has dropped a lot of rain along the Texas Gulf coast the storm has been relatively stationary has left more than ten inches of rain in parts of Houston seems more like him out of last year if there isn't some spot you should avoid those spot at a matter of voided those spots in Lori Jones almost ran into high water but I was really surprised to see trails I go down that I almost went down a few times were completely flooded so that was kind of scary in my when you turn around this store is moving on to states like Louisiana it's called beta because forecasters ran out of traditional storm names last week forcing the use of the Greek alphabet for only the second time since the nineteen fifties I made Donahue
Fresh "Forecaster" from South Florida's First News with Jimmy Cefalo
"Minutes. He's radio 6 10 w O T. Thanks, Taylor 8 11 of our weather Forecaster. Weather Channel meteorologist is Ray stages, right? Hey, give me good morning. We thought he had a few spotty showers this morning as our brain chances mentioned yesterday does go up a little bit. Still got the coastal flood advisory in effect a rain chance today at about 40%. So a couple of what roadways getting out of northern North East Miami Dade now getting into southern Broward County. It's why the scattered stuff Down into the upper keys near North You, Largo in between the Largo on that Saturday Still chancy. The eight chance goes up tonight tomorrow. 80% chance of showers, Thunderstorms and then back down to 20% over the upcoming weekend. Good news. Jimmy the tropical Atlantic. Looks like we're going into a little bit of a break but still plenty of season to go. Yeah, no, sure is all right. Thanks very much for talk to next time you see, then Well, a Briana Taylor case. Two police officers were shot last night in Louisville. They're said to be all right. They should recover. The protests in the streets that turns into a right when two police officers were fun. And the reason being the the charges against only one officer, and that officer was charged for firing into another dwelling apartment next door, not in the Briana Taylor incident. We've learned a lot, though about extreme, seemingly through the information we.
TS Beta brings rain, wind threat to Houston
"In parts of Texas and Louisiana. As a tropical storm Beta slowly works its way to an already drenched region. Thie. US National Hurricane Center no longer predicts Beta will strengthen into a hurricane. Forecasters have also lowered expected rain total Our rainfall totals to 15 inches that instead of 20 heaviest rain from beta is not expected to occur until late today into tomorrow. And members of the newly
Houston area prepares as storm surges forecast as Tropical Storm Beta heads to Texas
"Tropical storm beta is slowly moving towards the coast of Texas and Louisiana is expected to drench the region for the next several days. Forecasters no longer think it will strengthen into a hurricane. It will bring more rain, wind and storm surge in Texas. Galveston County Judge Mark Henry says he thinks they're ready. The good news is we took the precautions we thought necessary should something like this happen. So where's prepares? We would be if this had been the forecast, all along with the voluntary evacuations, the pre positioning of assets and the search and rescue assets available, so everything is exactly what we have done. With the worst case scenario.
Tropical Storm Beta threatens Gulf Coast
"Storm beta, moving very slowly towards the Gulf coast of Texas and Louisiana. Voluntary evacuation orders issued Saturday in Galveston City in Galveston County in Texas. Forecasters predict the store making landfall sometime tomorrow, and that would make it the ninth named Storm to make landfall this hurricane season tying a record set in 1916. You're
Tropical Storm Beta prompts hurricane watch for parts of Texas
"Here. A hurricane watch in effect today for coastal Texas. This due to Tropical Storm beta, which you gain strength in the Gulf of Mexico, a storm surge watching a tropical storm watch also in effect for the area during what is an exceptionally busy Atlantic hurricane season. How busy Forecasters revealed yesterday. They've run out of traditional storm names. So now they have no use, but they're forced to use the Greek alphabet for any storms Forthcoming. Beta, by the way, is forecast to become a hurricane sometime
As more storms form in the Atlantic, forecasters turn to Greek alphabet
"Atlantic hurricane season so busy forecasters have run out of traditional names for the storms. Wilfred formed yesterday and that was the last of the regular names available, so they've started going to Greek, the Greek alphabet. One storm is already called Alfa. A few hours later, Beta was named in the Gulf of Mexico.
Hurricane season runs out of names, moves on to Greek alphabet
"An already busy Atlantic hurricane season just got busier today. Three tropical storms formed in the Atlantic, using the 21st and last name on the National Hurricane Center list for 2020 Hurricanes. Tropical storms, Wilfred Alpha and Beta all formed within six hours. This is only the second time forecasters have had to use the Greek alphabet for storm names. This comes as a second person has died linked to Hurricane Sally. They say the death was in Alabama, and it happened during storm cleanup. Florida Governor Rhonda Santa says flooding in the States Panhandle could last a week after that category two storm.
New Storm Forms, Named Alpha Because We've Run Out Of Letters
"An active hurricane season this year. So much so that the names of any new storms this season will have a Greek sound. Today's formation of Tropical Storm Wilfred marked the last forecaster designated name for tropical storms this season. So when another storm formed about an hour later, it was named Alfa. Then Beta formed a few hours later in the Gulf of Mexico. This is only the second time that Atlantic storms have been named after Greek letters. Last time was in 2005.
Forecasters: 3 storms form in about six hours, including Tropical Storm Beta in Gulf of Mexico
"Beta. After running out of storm names. Today, the National Hurricane Center started using the Greek alphabet and not a moment too soon. Three storms formed in about six hours, including Beta in the Gulf of Mexico. Alfa is over near Portugal. Meanwhile, correspondent Jim Ryan says Sally has left her mark in the South. All fruit is meandering off the west coast of Africa, and forecasters expected to Peter out before it makes it halfway to the US. Meanwhile, Hurricane Sally has disappeared off the North Carolina coast, having claimed three lives. But Florida Governor Rick to Santa says widespread river flooding is ongoing And it could continue over the next weeks in different parts of Florida Will fruit is the last name on this year's official list? Both Wilfred an Alfa set records for earliest 21st. And 22nd named Atlantic Storms wins news
Hurricane season runs out of names, moves on to Greek alphabet
"The cleanup pressed on the record shattering hurricane season, notched another milestone. Forecasters ran out of traditional names for storms after Wilfred form today, so they started using the Greek alphabet for only the second time since the 19 fifties. Alfa formed off the coast of Portugal, which is not a normal place for Atlantic hurricanes.
Hurricane season runs out of names, moves on to Greek alphabet
"In the Atlantic are coming in fast and furious this week. The thing is, we've got more than 70 days left in the hurricane season, but we've run out of names down on the list for this year's her Now we're in the Greek alphabet. National Hurricane Center today, saying sub tropical storm Alfa has formed off the coast of Portugal and no threat to us that's pretty far out. But another new storm Wilfred has formed today in the eastern Atlantic as well. That one sitting about 600 miles to the west of the Combover T Islands that one expected to weaken the tropical depression. 22 sitting in the Gulf of Mexico, and forecasters are watching that one because right now the Texas coast could be in the cross hairs, maybe sometime this weekend. And of course, we have Hurricane Teddy to getting even stronger as it makes its way through the central Atlantic. Category three storm right now could see Bermuda getting a direct hit in the next few days.
Hurricane Teddy Headed for Bermuda
"NPR news Hurricane Teddy is gaining strength as it makes its way toward Bermuda. The National Hurricane Center says. The category four storm is packing winds of 130 MPH as it turns in the Atlantic. Forecasters say the storm is not expected to make
Sally slams Gulf Coast with life-threatening flooding
"Sally is moving through the Southeastern U. S. This morning. Flood watches and warnings are posted from the Florida Panhandle to Southeast Virginia. Kyle Gass it with Troy Public radio says Sally came ashore early yesterday along the Gulf coast of Alabama. Multiple rescues of Alabama Gulf Coast residents were made after Sally's large scale rain and flooding trapped them in dangerous situations, flooding and large scale power outages followed the storm. As it moves toward the capital, Montgomery and Northeastern parts of the state Kyle Gass, it reporting at least one person died in the storm. The remnants of salary are now moving through Georgia and the Carolinas today. Forecasters say that region could see up to a foot of rain. Officials in California say around 250. Marines and Navy sailors will be joining crews battling a wildfire north east of Fresno. Next week. Alex Hall with member station KQED reports, the creek fire is still burning out of control. It's scorched more than 228,000 acres. The Marines and sailors will be involved in what's referred to as mop up operations. Making sure hot spots are fully extinguished, removing hazard trees and other tasks to keep the fire from spreading and reigniting Alex Solo with the U. S. Forest Service says re sources are stretched then because of the number of fires burning throughout the western United States. We definitely could use the resource of fire of this size typically has 3 to 4. Maybe 5000 individuals working on the fire right now we have about 2800. Those Marines and sailors will undergo wildland firefighting training at Camp Pendleton for NPR news.
At least 1 dead as Hurricane Sally unleashes "catastrophic" flooding
"At least one person is reported dead and Hurricane Sally. The storm surge was the third worst on record and the rainfall was historic 2 FT. Of Rain in 24 hours in Alabama and the Florida Panhandle. More than 20 million Americans are now under a flash flood watch. Where? CBS news forecaster Lonnie Quinn, who gets the rain from this point forward anywhere from Georgia up to say, Southern Virginia could see quite a bit of rain. We're talking 4 to 8 inches of rain and anywhere north of D c. You're gonna be spared because this will get steered out to sea by a cold front. Speaking of out to see Look at all the storms we have out there we have. Teddy Vicki could very well have Wilfred forming over the next few days could also have Alfa. We didn't go to the Greek alphabet that could form In the next few days. Even beta is possible, just rolling off the cow, the Africa Coast, But what takes place with Teddy? That's when we want to watch because we think this will become a major hurricane, a Category three As it moves right towards Bermuda again, they could be dealing with their second hurricane in a week's time and then continuing. Up towards northern New England and main. That is not a hot spot that is known for tropical activity. But this stranger of 2020 just continues in all facets. Lonnie Quinn, lead weather forecaster for CBS News.
Hurricane Sally Strengthens To Category 2 as It Moves Toward the Us Gulf Coast
"It's just in the first death is reported from now. Tropical storms. Sally Mayor Tony Canon of Orange Beach, Alabama, says one person has died. Another person is missing as a result of what was a Category two Hurricane Florida's governor is warning people in the states hard hit Panhandle to stay vigilant even though Sally has already begun heading inland as a weakening tropical storm governor Rhonda Santa says Sally is dumping heavy rain as the tricks over the Southeast, he says the drenching rains are expected to cause massive flooding of several Florida Panhandle. Ever's in the coming days. River's already have begun rising at least eight waterways in southern Alabama and the Florida Panhandle are expected to hit major flood stage by tomorrow. Forecasters say some of the crest could break records, CBS News correspondent Manuel Bohorquez in Mobile this storm, It's not just the wind. It is also the storm surge. That is a huge concern expected to be up to 7 ft and parts of coastal Alabama. The effects of the storm started last night in places like or Beach also engulf shores, where there are roads that are submerged and people reportedly flooded in areas around Pensacola, Florida got more than 2 Ft of rain. More flooding is expected in Georgia and the Carolinas late tonight and into tomorrow, southwestern Virginia as
Hurricane Sally unleashes "catastrophic and life-threatening" flooding
"Sally, now tropical storm but still battering the Gulf coast with massive amounts of rain. This storm is unleashing catastrophic and life threatening flooding along parts of southern Alabama and the Florida Panhandle. Sally made landfall this morning is a category two hurricane with sustained winds of over 100 miles an hour. W. R. K G TV's Daniel Smithson and hard hit Pensacola. It looks like the roof of this building is starting to peel off due to those winds. These winds have caused significant damage here in downtown Pensacola police there and in parts of Alabama had to rescue people trapped in flooded homes. Mike would with the Pensacola Police Department had one call where a tree went to AA. House and officers went into a wall to get a person to rescue them. We just had another call of a 100 year old lady that's needing help getting out of her home that is flooding. Now. Forecasters say the slow pace of the storm could beat up to 3 Ft. Of rain in some places and tornadoes. I mean, a possibility. Penn State and
Hurricane Sally blasts ashore in Alabama with punishing rain, flooding
"Hurricane Sally hits the Gulf coast causing dangerous flooding from the Florida panhandle to Mississippi and well inland in the days ahead according to weather forecasters trapped in a hotel in downtown Pensacola Florida surrounded by floodwater rain pouring down Jordan use under two kids were trying to stay calm her eight year old son hiding under the desk here is totally under water that includes our car which the family used to escape their mobile home and hopefully everybody got out okay unfortunately not in orange beach Alabama mayor Tony Keenan says rescue crews got more than a hundred calls good number more seriously all rescues rising water we brought into our community center and sheltered them and they'll be there for a while because most of all we still will reward you says a bracing for even more flooding as the rain continues I'm Julie Walker
Officials warn of 'catastrophic' flooding as Hurricane Sally makes landfall in Alabama
"Sally creeping closer to the Gulf coast on Tuesday night with a slow moving storm expected to bring heavy rains in historic life threatening flooding from southeastern Louisiana to Florida's panhandle forecasters say the National Hurricane Center said that the center of the storm would make landfall in the hurricane warning area Wednesday Sally, which ramped up to a category two storm. Monday. But his since weakened to a category one was seventy, five miles south of Mobile Alabama and seventy five miles south west of Pensacola, Florida at seven PM standard
"forecaster" Discussed on KOMO
"Fifty four the cultural forecaster well maybe for father's day tomorrow the S. W. three eight over the forecast it's always concrete ideas right we're looking at the showers at times in the morning here cloudy conditions temperatures will be in the upper sixties still some shower activity around the sound during the afternoon overnight lows in the fifties tomorrow we're still cloudy some showers at first maybe some records for dad in the afternoon they're on the sunshine one of the seventies near eighty Monday Tuesday Wednesday total difference right right now we're looking to close a few scattered showers sixty three homeowners stay connected stay informed the northwest only twenty four hour news station komo news one thousand FM ninety seven seventy six forty five I mark Christopher breaking news from overnight a shooting on Capitol Hill nearer shop the Capitol Hill occupied approach so here's what we have so far to people in the hospital is not identified male or female we don't know their condition police say the shooting happened at tenth Avenue and east pine now the Seattle police east precinct is two blocks away at twelfth in pine that shoppers been the focus as you know a protest for over two weeks now was name this after police remove a barricade that separated protests from the east precinct again at twelve and pine and developing story here on the shooting and we'll have more for you at the top of the hour of course through the morning hours as we learn more information president trump holding his first campaign rally today the first one since the pandemic and racial equality protest swept the country Republican representative Debbie Lesko of Arizona will attend the rally this evening in Tulsa Oklahoma and she's not worried about the spread of corona virus in a crowded hall filled with nearly twenty thousand people well I think the trump administration and the campaign is doing all it can by doing temperature checks and handing out masks I'm myself I'm going to wear a mask today because that's what I usually do lawyers reacting to the firing of the police officer who shot skilled Brianna Taylor in her Louisville home last March.
"forecaster" Discussed on Cape Up with Jonathan Capehart
"It's obvious rights and like I said You know all the analysts knew the twenty-one Hillary Clinton districts that had Republicans serving in the house we're going to be good pickup opportunities for Democrats But my model does is. It's looking at the demographic composition especially the percent college educated population And the you know saying hey. These are the places where suburban realignments occurring basically and Democrats have the opportunity expand their influence. Okay and The Democratic Party the D. trip was not looking at the map that way in two thousand eighteen so they laughed races uncontested or uninvested in in two thousand eighteen. And that's what these mostly Our races that that could have been competitive in two thousand eighteen and Now are competitive in two thousand twenty because they were either underinvested in or You know not identified at all and the Senate and the Senate people as much as they're desperate for president trump to be gone they're desperate for Senate Majority Leader Mitch. Mcconnell to be gone is GONNA to be gone so it's going to be a really close right but my Yeah so my followers. Probably she says she's GonNa put this out. She never dared forever. So I'm a one woman show and I'm in this like weird nexus place right now where I'm in between. Probably the tail end of my brief stint in academia and going into data journalism so my literally a one woman show and I work about fifteen hours a day but I'm trying to get all my forecast updates out and I do. Oh my followers. My House and my Senate ratings talked pretty openly about what they're going to say though and I say you know Colorado and Maine basically sure things to flip and I I think so too are Arizona. Yes smokes so you're saying. Susan Collins Days are numbered from me definitely and Cory Gardner Cory Gardner. Colorado should've retired. 'cause it's like his. E So doomed that he shouldn't have run he's like Barbara Comstock but for the Senate ran for reelection in the Virginia member of the US House. Yeah she and she was she she was you know she was district patient. One in my model basically you know I am happy to stay. We've been we've become friendly in in the time period. Since she's she said she lost the election. She has more time on her hands. And you know she's actually a big fan of the coffer model and research. And you know. I think that a real testament to the kind of person that she is too of South Carolina. Lindsey Graham is is Yup. What are the chances of Jamie? Jamie Harrison has a good chance because because he is going to motivate black voters to vote right So I am much more interested my model my theory interested in what we call descriptive. Representation of what? It does to turn out then ideological representation and turn out so like the Sanders people argue. Oh we have these radical positions people show up to vote. No okay I mean. I do think that Democrats suppressed their own turnout by running around in In doing this What I call the embarrassed Democrat Platform. Like a whole. I'm not really one of those Democrats. Some fiscal conservative. Like as fiscal conservative. Conservatism has a good record right. I mean it's like the shittiest you could possibly have. I mean how a why would you want to be a fiscal conservative? Right as a terrible records thirty years of just duck right. So I'm I'm confused by by. Why like you would do that rather than just making a positive Moderate message for economic liberalism. Right But you know that doesn't mean that you need to run around saying I'm GonNa give you free everything. Everything's GonNa be grazed rainbows and kittens right. What I argue is that turnout differentials primarily stem from two things young people and voters of Color Latinos and African Americans. And what they want in the year. Twenty twenty women and other underrepresented groups is some representation. Right they want their party to look like them rights in Biden Biden's case since he's going to be the nominee you know they his team's probably really tempted to amy. Klobuchar are on the ticket because she is. Aw shucks really popular in the Midwest. Whoop de Woo. But she is a white woman right. You cannot have a democratic ticket in the year twenty twenty. That's all white like you just can't do it like the coalition. The part is the most.
"forecaster" Discussed on Cape Up with Jonathan Capehart
"But no expected him to win as big as he did and for his folks knew his African American vote would be strong but not that strong. Would what do the results so far? Tell you about black voters South Carolina and the ones who voted in Super Tuesday. Yeah that's correct. I mean you know after South Carolina if Mike Bloomberg did not exist I would have expected Biden to do very well amongst black voters But you know to be able to Dominate the way he did last night where he basically put Bernie Sanders. Out of the running for the nomination You know that it is above expectations for. I think anybody anybody's expectations And what's going on with that is. It's two fold number one. Sanders was facing this problem. The whole time you know he you know that the team would like to talk talk about progress. In data amongst black voters unfortunately don't have great polling A lot of the conversations about polls that take place are Actually an appropriate conversations because the end sizes for the polls. Don't actually statistically allow themselves well to be digging into the Cross Tabs and looking at preferences of subgroups like blacks and whites and college educated in young people so a lot of the times when you see people online or in TV talking about the The subgroups in survey data. It's it's actually to me at home. I'm like no no no. You can't do that. They don't have enough data to do that right so we didn't really know for sure if Sandra's was making gains amongst black voters because I didn't have a big large in size data set to look at But my suspect I suspected no right. We didn't see that You know at least any evidence of that even in the smaller and size studies and although the team the campaign team was asserting it to be true. And you know I kept saying you know he's GonNa hit a wall. Just a question of will Bloomberg Siphon off enough black voters as well. That that a plurality is good enough for first sanders right and You know we just couldn't no I mean how could we know we'd never seen a candidate spent half billion dollars? I mean we think about that in context we could take all of the candidates from the cycle and the last cycle that twenty seven Sixteen Republican and the Democrats and put them all together and then we might be approaching this Bloomberg. Might like take astronauts amount of money right and you know and it wasn't just TV it was digital did was direct mail. It was grassroots infrastructure. So it was really hard to anticipate how that was gonNA impact Ultimately Election Day. And come to find out you know as soon as those Virginia polls closed. It was obvious that Bloomberg's investment was not going to pay off and that Biden's surge going to be real and that also once again. Black Americans are saving America from self. Yeah you know let me ask you a nerdy statistical question. Because you're you're talking about end size. What are the things that drove drove me nuts in the run-up to the Iowa caucuses in New Hampshire primary to the point where people were voting as at these polls would come out And the sample size. That'S THE END. Size would have a whole based on four hundred and fifty eight people with a margin of error of Martha Five. I'm sitting to screaming at the TV. Why are you talking about this? Poll poll is tragic. Yes you're absolutely right. And then you know even eight hundred when you start to talk about these subpopulations. You're really talking about margin of eras. That are ten to twelve to fifteen points on the popular which renders them immune polling data. You will see I do not do that Yeah and there's a reason for a rule of thumb for listeners. Going forward what what? What's a good sample? What's a good end size to where you look at it and go? Oh I can trust that. Is it a thousand eleven hundred so you know for horse race polling especially when you have twenty five candidates in it yes I would say thousands probably like the bare minimum You know if it's a two person race and it's a good survey with good sampling voter file sample. You can probably get by those top lines with six hundred but you definitely cannot get reliable statistics with something less than five hundred and then plus or minus yeah and not higher than four at five hundred. You are going to be stuck it up. Plus or minus of four point something And it's just an end. Size is a major factor in that margin of era. Yeah so I mean if my little survey firm that I'm now going to be leaving at the end of the year at the Watson Center we are You know a little. On academic at a teaching college we have about seventy thousand dollar research budget a year and you will not see any four hundred sixty three and size studies coming out of my firm. You know we do quality work we pull up you know at least eight hundred seven. Hundred and fifty. You know we work really hard to get those enzymes. So there's really not an excuse for any firm to be able to get those and sizes up and let me ask you about something. One more is south. Carolina related thing president trump that day before the South Carolina Primary held a rally in North Charleston where he told his followers to vote in the South Carolina primary. Because it's an open primary and having Republicans go and vote for Bernie Sanders and there's a lot of concern that the so called operation chaos with throw the election do those sorts of shenanigans that sabotage people call for it. Does it ever really work? No and so. I had read a political science article when I first started my graduate career It was a very long time ago. This article when it was done in the eighties looked at that Sabotage voting and found no relationship now granted the media environment now is much pressure so the potential reach audience and get people to do that. You can reach them easier now but my when I heard about like theories about it. I was skeptical so I actually tested that in my Virginia survey intentionally designed it so that I could because we're also an open primary Design my survey to see how many Republicans said they were going to vote in the survey and also what was their vote. Choice in the survey and my expectation was that there would be some Republicans voting in the survey given that there were no contest on the other side But that there'd be more sincere voting than strategic sabotage and. That's exactly what I saw in my data though the end sizes were not large enough for me to release data so I didn't. I just talked about it on twitter vaguely and I said Look I looked for this and I can't release the data because of the statistics behind it but I didn't see evidence that there's going to be this massive s effort to shore up Sanders. Okay and You know then in the Process of that I realized that in two thousand sixteen about three percent of the Virginia Electric had been Republican. And so night the first thing I looked at in the exit poll data. When it was released I went right to Virginia. I pulled it up. I looked at the party. Identification six percent of the electorate said that they were a Republican so that the doubling from two thousand sixteen and of their preferences disproportionately Biden Bloomberg and then about You know twenty. Seven percent of them voted for Sanders. So yes there was some effort to short sanders but nothing compared to the sincere apparent sincere voting of Republicans voting for the moderates. Okay so that I was about to ask. You know they're sincere. They're voting but you you you're able to see it by who they they voted. Yes yes Okay so we've kind of talked about this already but Y- coin I think you coined this term and this is also part of part of your case negative partisanship Where will you tell me? I mean I've got a definition here but you define negative partisanship. So to tell you the truth I didn't coined the term negative partisanship. It comes from somebody else. Although I don't know exactly who did ask Allen. my You Know My godfather and polarization academically Alan Abramowitz did you come up with us? And he said no income that really unders unsure who the first person to use it in political. Science literature is But it refers to the negative emotions that people have about the opposition. Party said the fear. The hate the apathy That you might feel as a Republican towards Democrats or vice versa. Now where my innovation is is. I'm taking something. I'm taking this concept of negative per partisanship and applying it to electoral vivere to voting behavior. And that's an innovation that no one had done yet right so an an I'm specifically arguing negative partisanship drives people. Show up to vote and also Keeps THEM FROM SUPPORTING OPPOSITION PARTY CANDIDATE? We've seen much less crossover voting especially in federal elections than we used to see this idea. That you know that's why. I put out that analysis of the two thousand eighteen house elections because every time I see somebody on TV. Say Oh you know. If Democrats don't hug the middle there will be in trouble because all those Republicans that helped flip the house for in the suburbs. You know. They're going to abandon them. And I'm like those people don't exist. You know. Show it right there. The voter file. You know what happened in. The suburbs is millennials and Some of them are Democrats. Some of them are independence. Ha who hadn't been voting showed up in voted twenty eighteen in droves and they have different political preferences They were voting for Democratic candidates. And they're going to play a major role in twenty twenty two and this gets to a larger a larger thing that comes up in this. I liked it. I don't know if you liked it. This very nice profile of Rachel and pull in Politico magazine that making the point is there's no swing voter and it didn't matter who was running. It mattered who was voted. Yes and we're really seeing that play. Play itself out in the Democratic primary race where the number of people. I'm sure it's on your twitter. Feed as as much as it is online. Vote blue no matter who well right right. I mean case in point is Donald Trump's sitting in the White House right. I mean that should not happen in a political system. That's that's healthy in American democracy. That's unhealthy You know Good Place Donald Trump is not electable. Righty breaks every single rule of electability. Even the ones who haven't thought the ones you haven't thought of yet You know he's definitely not a cause he's a symptom of six system right but the fact that he's sitting in the White House's every day a walking talking contradiction or proof that something is different about the electorate about American politics. And about this moment of time that we're living in and yet people seem to want to ignore that and expect the normal rules or modus operandi is to still be in effect right and You know obviously things are not normal because trump is sitting in the White House. Okay Twenty twenty I've already talked about how you say. The BEC- offer model shows at least right now. Democrats the Democratic nominee winning two hundred seventy nine electoral votes. The President Trump winning one hundred ninety seven electoral votes. You said earlier that the model is going to be updated in the come in the coming days coming weeks and then again later on and you're updating it to be more favorable to Democrats but you won't tell me you won't tell me who and that's why that's why but you have also got on records this talking about the house and the Senate no yes and so the house. You think that the Democrats can pick up your seats. Definitely you put a number on it. Have you put a number? I put out a Article Gosh Mia must be at least eight months ago now that identified twenty pickup opportunities. They certainly have the capability to gain all of those if they were to deploy effective campaign strategy. Now we're talking about the Democrats and let's You know a lot of them are seats that they could have picked up in two thousand eighteen but they are still they at least. Then we're operating under the old campaign. com competitiveness. Some of..
"forecaster" Discussed on Cape Up with Jonathan Capehart
"And welcome to Cape Up in July Twenty. Eighteen election forecaster and analysts. Rachel Pittock offer did something extraordinary but not only did she say the Democrats would retake the house. She predicted the number of seats and she was only off by one. She's been sought after prognosticator. Ever since you're not going to want to miss one minute of what Bitta cover has to say yes. She says Biden will be the Democratic nominee. Yes she says. Democrats will win the White House back. Yes Senators Susan Collins Cory Gardner and Doug Jones Art Toast. The question is how does she know this? Why is she so certain? Find out right now. Rachel.
"forecaster" Discussed on KQED Radio
"Eliminate the risk of avalanches within the scary and that's just not the case an avalanche forecaster say along with the increased risk comes a new cachet it's becoming cool to say you've taken avalanche courses and are as prepared as you can be Kirk Sigler NPR news Jackson Wyoming hardcore dog loving listeners already saw the results on foxsports but in case you missed it last night the Westminster Kennel Club dog show crowned the champion the best to show you the standard the standard poodle looks pretty much how you'd expect a show poodle to look her black furs carefully groomed into a fluffy top not on her head and her chest legs and tail feature perfectly shaved tufts of hair called pom poms Siebert looks like she stepped out of an eighteenth century French aristocrats sitting room that poodle style is unmistakable the white our poodles grin that way what's with the little plumber but thing happening on the V. these compounds are keeping which is hips warmth from the cold water the hip joint is very important and that little drummer at things you were saying on that right the week those factors flippers no coupon bonds are not used as flippers but the mockumentary best in show did get it half right to keep its internal organs as well as its joints warm brand hunter of the American Kennel Club says poodles were bred to be great for tree for their curly coats were shorn down to palm times because it made them look so very fancy but because it made them faster swimmers while protecting vital organs a lot of people think that it's a very pretty dog it doesn't like to get dirty it's actually quite the contrary it's actually very versatile dog and it's been used in everything from a harder to a retriever to a circus act dog it's really got that kind of versatility and that kind of look and they're really loved by the American public now seems owners have already announced her retirement so she's probably not going to jump into a freezing lake to retrieve a freshly shot doc anytime soon I don't think she wouldn't clearly in her blood her hair you're listening to All Things Considered from NPR news at five eighteen there's a traffic mess in San Francisco because of of street closure here with the details it's Julie deputy incident tree crashes shut down mission street that's between twenty second and twenty fourth until further notice NWT buses to be re routed around that area couple problems on the name and south eight eighty after marina two vehicles stuck together second lane for the last your back up is to Davis and the Hayward crash S. U. V. in a motorcycle south eighty eighty at tennis and they're not blocking a very sluggish from the Welling Boulevard truly devilish forty Q. we D. Julie will be back with more in ten minutes support for KQED comes from neon presenting portrait of a lady on fire a love story set in eighteenth century France about an affair between an artist and her female subject opens at the landmark Embarcadero and AMC kabuki eight this Friday Sutter health it's the integrated network of doctors and hospitals it's doing their best to keep peace to keep patients feeling there's it's.
"forecaster" Discussed on KMOX News Radio 1120
"A drug charge the exigen weather forecaster for this afternoon and evening we could see some drizzle perhaps light snow watch for icy spots temperatures dropping to near thirty tomorrow cloudy and milder in the afternoon the high of forty five right now it's cloudy and thirty six okay and lacks the forecast wanted by school today I heard a helicopter flying the sadness right now and then there was another and we're literally standing here Harper has been killed in a helicopter crash is completely devastating who's a big supporter of lower Merion hopes form there was nobody more nobody most of the world to know see this is a news radio the card is zero five I Kaelin Scott was born in October of nineteen eighty eight in two thousand thirteen he won a local talent competition that got him started locally he came to worldwide attention when he was a contestant on Britain's got talent two thousand fifteen his audition song Robbins dancing on my own not only because signing callous and industry to the semi finals but he released it as a single minute reached number two on the UK charts and became the best selling song that some of this week in music American standard studio recording before kicking off for you as.
"forecaster" Discussed on 10 10 WINS
"There details on the forecaster coming up and we do have all that it's out of the street parking rules in effect for today I'm a smart exports of four oh one on ten ten wins well we are to other Asian four day forecast meteorologist Matt bands with this live report they were dealing with some light rain showers early this morning that will continue now for the rest of today breezy and cloudy for today with a high temp you're heading up to forty four degrees for tonight a little bit of rain for this evening otherwise drying out for tonight cloudy with a low of forty one new year's eve day and we'll see clouds breaking for some sunshine especially by the afternoon it will be breezy with a high of forty eight the good news is we're drive for the fall drop for tomorrow night in Times Square at midnight with temperatures in the lower forties for new year's day partly sunny and breezy with a high tempter heading up to forty four right now it's thirty nine degrees but accu weather real feels in Central Park right now are in the mid twenties and we have light rain showers repeating the current temperatures thirty nine degrees going up to forty four this afternoon in mid town hi meteorologist Matt bands on new York's weather station ten ten wins wins news time three fifty three Hey this is Jay Farner CEO of quicken loans quicken loans is celebrating our best quarter ever and now we're celebrating some of the lowest refinancing rates ever rates have dropped so much that many Americans can reduce their rate you may be able to save money on your monthly mortgage payment right now the rate today in our thirty year fixed rate mortgage is three point nine nine percent APR four point one eight percent call us at eight hundred quicken or go to rocket mortgage dot com to learn more rates of change a one point three seven five percent features a discounted rate offer cost information conditions equal housing lender lessons in all fifty states and MLS number thirty thirty you look amazing what's the secret are you sick number three sixty smart he chooses the comfort on his side to side we feel great can I help keep you sleep center their movements and just to keep us both comfortable all night I don't think it is anymore it's the lowest prices of the season the queen street number three sixty C. force market is only twelve ninety nine say four hundred dollars plus special finance ends years day find your local sleep number store go to sleep number dot com that's fine except minimum payments required to store for details twins news time three fifty for the countdown is on to the new year with preparations well under way in Times Square yesterday they tested the confetti news in the Goma tossing confetti left and right from the hard rock sponsored planet fitness in the Times Square alliance on board for that by the way the confetti work so they can check that off the list up next today a test of the Times Square ball drop before the lighted ball atop one.
"forecaster" Discussed on KMOX News Radio 1120
"X. forecaster for tonight look for partly cloudy skies an overnight low of eighteen degrees look for decreasing clouds tomorrow more sunshine Wednesday CBS news update on the eve of the house impeachment vote demonstrators gathered in fort Lauderdale and hundreds of other locations around the country calling for the ouster of president trump who in turn lashed out at Democrats CBS's Natalie brand residents from sent a blistering letter to house speaker Nancy Pelosi ahead of the historic impeachment vote writing in part you and others on your committees have long said impeachment must be bipartisan it is not you said it was very divisive it certainly is and it will only get worse Democrat Jamie Raskin and Republican Doug Collins faced office the house rules committee set ground rules for the impeachment debate one of our jobs is as members of Congress is to make sure that the president does not violate the laws look you will impeach him you have the votes but at the end of the day is it worth the integrity of the house CBS news update on Pam Coulter KMOX news time for thirty two former trump campaign manager Paul man a fort has been hospitalized mana fort was sentenced to forty seven months in prison back in March for bank fraud of filing false tax returns to hide tens of millions of dollars in income and failure to report foreign assets manifolds lawyer said he is in the hospital and won't be present at a hearing on Wednesday Todd Blanche also said Mr manta ports condition is stable Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell speaking at the Ohio clock on Capitol Hill telling reporters that all the president's priorities are in the two bills spending package passed by the democratic controlled house he says Republican members are extremely happy with provisions related to taxes and spending Republican members are extremely happy with provision for both related taxes and spending Illinois congressman Mike bost responding to the vote on the spending package that includes a long sought after fix a retired coal miner pensions boss was part of a bipartisan coalition of congressional leaders that has sought a long term solution for years to save United mine workers of America pensions from insolvency boss saying in a statement as the grand son of a U. M. W. A. representative southern illinois' mining heritage is in my blood boss added he couldn't be happier that the dedicated men and women will have the benefits they've earned and the peace of mind they've been lacking for so long in addition to the minors pension fix the twenty twenty spending package also included nearly one point four billion in funding for construction of the wall along the southern border and repeals of obamacare's medical device tax and the tax on high and health insurance plans president trump is thanking Guatemala's president for his cooperation in helping stem the number central Americans seeking asylum in the at the US Mexico border trump and the First Lady hosted president Jimmy Rollins and his wife for an oval office meeting today and highlighted the central American nations cooperation with the U. S. on border security came X. news time for thirty four there's a new warning about getting too dependent on new car technologies a new study finds several systems designed to boost safe driving or actually putting drivers in danger to triple A. foundation for traffic safety found adaptive cruise control and lane assist technologies Lole drivers into letting their guard down putting them at greater risk of being in a crash the study says many drivers put too much trust in the systems which when used correctly can make people safer a spokesman says were trying to remind drivers they.
"forecaster" Discussed on 10 10 WINS
"But a prominent forecaster says things may not go up much from here as companies cut their forecasts which used I'm six O. on drug strategy here's Karen Stewart here's what you need to know about the bridges and tunnels it's ten minutes in all three house river crossings there is still a thirty five mile an hour posted speed reduction of the Mario Cuomo as they deal with some wet road stands there will be treacherous they're saying so you know take it easy thirty five miles an hour is pretty easy so I think we'll be all right over the White shown on the project we're in good shape I will tell you that the end of it the ninth street bridge to start a slow job in the queen's Boulevard approach Lower East River crossings looking very nice although just be careful because the spell be can we is now well under the speed limit between the Verrazano bridge coming right off the spam Brooklyn bound and all the way up to the Brooklyn battery tunnel so that could start to jam things up for you eastbound Staten Island expressway and delays there now pretty slow from tower hill road out into Hylan Boulevard let's go to the bronze for a second see how we're doing their eye on the eastbound side of the cross Bronx things are slow coming off the Jersey side of the GW bridge into the city once you get to the Alexander Hamilton bridge that is slow and then once you get the cross Bronx things look great and then we've got these delays on the southbound Harlem river drive that start right around a hundred forty eighth street and go down past the inbound or F. K. alternate side of the street parking it is an effective day city wide we are sponsored by seven eleven now the seven eleven app used a dollar in your pocket on any size hot beverage including coffee amante is with Terry and non dairy creamers coffee your way for just a dollar with the seven eleven app plus actor applicables only a participating seven eleven locations traffic and transit every ten minutes on.
"forecaster" Discussed on WCBS Newsradio 880
"To forecaster melissa vanessa murdoch after a few more showers late this afternoon skies will be clearing it's going to be a very dry five day stretch and feeling so much more comfortable than it's been overnight skies clear humidity levels continue to plummet will bottom out in the sixties in the city fifties north and west your saturday sunny right around eighty they'll be some highs only in the seventies tomorrow and it will feel great sunday eighty four degrees talking nothing but sunshine and still comfortable monday getting hot out there again pushing ninety with sunshine tuesday low nineties with sunshine and that's when we really start to feel the humidity creeping up as we head toward mid week on wednesday mostly sunny so still dry highs will be in the mid upper eighties i'm meteorologist vanessa murdoch and the wcbs weather center right now lower manhattan needs a lightening up out there the sun beginning to peek through those heavy clouds at seventy eight degrees it's seventy seven degrees in white plains eightytwo in newark eightytwo in pakistan away wcbs news time three twenty a boy and a girl taken to a facility in connecticut after being separated from their parents at the border are suing the federal government to be reunited with their families we get details from wcbs reporters sean adams all they want is to be reunited with their parents to immigrant children two thousand miles from their loved ones stock in connecticut they're taking the us government to court lawyers are helping filing on their behalf governor malloy and senator richard blumenthal are on their side is reunification the legal basis for the injunction request the forced separation policy which violates these children's right a nine year old boy and his father fled honduras after the boys grandparents were murdered fourteen year old girl and her mother escaped persecution in alva door the complaints say agents took the girl when she went to bathe and the boy while he was sleeping the lawsuits seek immediate reunification incite psychological and emotional trauma caused by the separation no comment from the federal government in connecticut sean adams wcbs newsradio eight eighty rebels in southwestern syria agreed to a ceasefire have begun handing over heavy weapons in a deal mediated by russia the deal will restore syrian government sovereignty over the dhara province after fierce twoweek government offensive the deal allows both rebel fighters and civilians and opposition areas to settle their status with the government under moscow's protection rebels who do not want to return to president bush cheryl assad's rule will leave for insurgent stronghold it lib in syria's north west syrian government troops will retake the main frontier border crossing jordan aetna seib russian airpower back the government's assault displacing some three hundred thirty thousand civilians y'all like recidivists news amman movie passes promise of a movie every day for just ten bucks a month is changing surge pricing is hit.
"forecaster" Discussed on Motley Fool Money
"To as much as we think we do and we don't notice as much as we think we do and it seems that we have a lot of other ideas about how our own minds work which are similar to this one they're sort of predictably wrong and surprising ways should you be more like a weather forecaster or a hedge fund manager which is well it really depends of course if you're if you're trying to forecast the weather you probably want to be more like a weather forecaster other questions really meant to get at the idea that there are some areas of knowledge where it is really possible to know how much you know and how much you don't know people complain about whether forecasters all the time because sometimes they get it wrong but when you actually look at their track record when they say there's a seventy five percent chance of rain if you'll all those days when they said seventy five percent chance of rain and actually rain seventy five percent of those days so they're not perfect i don't say one hundred percent all the time and zero percent all the time but they're actually very well aware of how much they know and if they say seventy five percent that's pretty much correct on the other hand there are many famous cases of hedge fund managers who made tremendously large bets on particular ideas about the direction of markets we tell the story in the book of brian hunter who was a traitor in energy futures and he billions of dollars on directional movements in natural gas prices did well for quite a while and then blew up as completely and that's the kind of thing that someone with an awareness of how little they really know about the system they're trying to model would probably not do more with chris abry as we discussed mutual funds poker and snap judgments.
"forecaster" Discussed on KCBS All News
"A kpi x five forecaster net rondor who's here to deliver that forecast if we are likely to see a dry afternoon commute as well it looks like right now our future gas models are showing after eight nine o'clock that's when we could see drops so your afternoon commute not looking slick i know yesterday future cast models was showing it was going to start right around that time but for now no we're going to see his cloud coverage out there this morning and then our afternoon highs will be a bit cooler than yesterday putting us at about eight degrees cooler than average so mid sixties inland low sixties around the bay and then upper fifties for the coastline today mostly cloudy but we'll also get a break around your lunch hour so you may see that sunshine pop out and then the way the storm is tracking it's moving south of us so a lot of folks south of the golden gate bridge mega those raindrops but it'll be pretty late when it does arrive in very minimal maybe a tenth of an inch if that by tomorrow everything will be long gone partly cloudy skies high pressure takes hold of us and then that means oh get ready for upper seventies low eighties this weekend is going to be very summer like so we've had quite a whirlwind of whether this week thanks now i am ready for the weekend and traffic and weather together on the eighth on all these one zero six nine am seven forty kcbs kcbs news time just about two eight fifty two fernie buyer and nick palmer editor's desk california attorney general heavier sarah is issuing a consumer alert on threats to personal information as the government begins to roll out a new version of the medicare card this month kcbs keith men coney reports that medicare officials have already gathered reports of a number of scam uhhuh.
"forecaster" Discussed on WBZ NewsRadio 1030
"The most important weather forecaster history now you want a prediction about a weather uh wbz yes the weather i have some predictions by predicts another powerful nor'easter will impact new england in the northeast united states a during the day monday the starts out innocently enough deal like any other son was out but in the clouds the can there was about forty two degrees you'll say and then it started the snow and snow will over spread the area monday night and continued throughout most tuesday snow accumulations ten to fifteen watts maybe more in some spots ten to fifteen inches strong winds will lead the blizzard conditions and poor visibility these may also downed trees and power lines again a dave from norway lives a in a spot that always gets whacked by these things and he lost power last time will he lose power again the ever get power back i don't know hit three trees down the first storm in his yard going to get more trees down will maybe powerful gusting winds past fifty miles per hour trees power lines down again in addition coastal flooding may occurred during the times of high tide low monday night thirty tuesday high thirty see we'll be at give me in.
"forecaster" Discussed on WBZ NewsRadio 1030
"Little bolt of lightning if you will um in it is pretty um it is is pretty amazing to see of heard of never seen it myself i wanted to put something just typical on the on the water is because the ship is floating on the water in from our inflated idle novel the other thing is you just have nothing around you when it's the water right if you're walking through your neighborhood you got the trees in the houses in whatever uh so you don't really have the line of sight that you would have with being on the ocean yes okay or great thank you bill thank you as belfair ghost bill and i'm a mouse this person is calling in is this person calling for trigger we'll take it yeah all right yeah ill people i tell you i tell you when the car i tell you when not to call for people to call this late knowing jacobs kerber get ready to go on tv linda you're lucky i'm taking you you know i want the bad weather forecaster over who are out there if the death of it oh probe okay it goes everywhere you go any body my body had when you learn it you know what kind of changes that goes into wednesday's rain about to come gel a lot of people say that girl they get aches and pains with high pressure low pressure uh depending on uh the storms coming in um exum pains are actually a lotta people say that you can forecast the weather that way so so tell me get a degree yeah linda tell me what's the weather going to be the marlon i was going to be nice nice so comfortable day unusually warm for january and no.
"forecaster" Discussed on Science for the People
"That we can bring to the to the effort um and it really it really is a challenge sometimes to know when to stand up and sound the alarm bell that this is this is really bad last week was was kinda bad this coming week is gonna be super bad in knowing when to do that is a challenge we take that responsibility very seriously and of course we work with a lot of other entities that are doing the same thing or partners in a local television stations uh the national television networks anybody in the media that's getting word out too so it's a bit something we pay a lot of attention to and think a lot of about a lot about and it really just comes down to no forecaster expertise what do we think is going to happen in sometimes conveying that uncertainty is is one of the most challenging parts of her job because we talk about probably listrik information in uncertainty every day were scientists in that's the world that we live in the lotta people are looking for a black and white yes or no is it gonna snow were not are we going to get a tornado were not and we're not there in the end sometimes we are more certain about ballot than others learning to convey that information in a language that everybody can understand is challenge for us rick thank you it's been excellent talking with you and there's to something really fascinating about the weather i think because everybody has experience with weather that's exactly right everybody experiences weather every day all the time so it is it is something that uh people like to talk about him people like to criticise the forecast but i'm i appreciate you uh having me on to talk a little bit more about how those forecasts mornings are put together and there's a lot of dedicated scientists who are working hard to do the best job we can to get you the best weather information so i appreciate the opportunity to talk about it you want to learn more about rick smith or the national weather service we have some links to get you started in the show notes for this episode which can be found on our website signs for the people dot cia.
"forecaster" Discussed on KBOI 670AM
"The equipment recreations of by okay uh i just want to say that a low level for lulu while we thought we was horrible maybe get some affects all food stall and our local television world uh stay show you would have thought that the world coming to the low near it it's will wait ruled let's to gamba if it is right will they love it it if it like the gray sloga there will happen even though it's terrible but birthday on it is very good way move well we get into the mode of covering stuff like that we get a the crisis mode of me emergency plans are initiated i mean it's easy to get swept up in that and you're right and not only is it rating steve i'll tell you something else that is too when it comes to weather it's not for get that the public rewards or or punishes the media in the follow where you have a weather forecaster and he predicts two inches of snow and you get six inches he is pablo valley blue the forecast oh i got stuck to my car bob blah blah blah blah and so they will tend to predict six and then when you only get to the errors still four inches of snow but it's on the negative side so he gets a free pass forecasters have learned that the way did not get pilloried by the public is to over forecasts that is to say or on the side of more damage and that way the public that they'll tend to overlook if you're prepared mentally by the forecast drip or something worse than if you get less though or less flooding that that you tend to do to reward the forecaster well i was ready but if you if you are not prepared and and you can blame the forecaster people will so any weather forecaster worth his or her salt who's been around the linked the time knows that when you're talking about the dangerous circumstances always or other side of more dangerous in your forecast one more day yes sir please do uh we have here look i'm not gonna paulo local station because they all site we gonna have tornadoes where he a severe thunderstorm this stuff like that and are told upper dial bay places uh we have a upto oh this woke particular chattels followed a helicopter and now we have.
"forecaster" Discussed on KOIL
"Show you owe throughout the world that little liz it's way let's to gamba is right moved they love it if it like that greyish slow there were half a will those terrible but port vale it is very good way lou well we get into the mode of covering stuff like that we get it the crisis mode in the emergency plans are initiated i mean it's easy to get swept up in there and you're right and and not only is it rating steve but i'll tell you something else it is too but it comes to weather let's not forget that uh the public rewards or or punishes the media in the fall away you have a weather forecaster and he predicts two inches of snow and you get six inches he is published ali blew the forecast oh i got stuck in my car blah blah blah blah blah and so they will tend to predict six and then when you only get to the errors still four inches of snow but it's on the negative side so he gets a free pass forecasters had learned that the waited not get pilloried by the public is to over forecasts that is to say or on the side of more damage and that way the public that they'll tend to overlook if you're prepared mentally by the forecaster for something worse than if you get less snow or less flooding that that you tend to do to reward the forecaster well i was ready but if you if you are not prepared and and you can blame the forecaster people will so any weather forecaster worth his or her salt who's been around the linked to time knows that when you're talking about the dangerous circumstances always are on the side of more dangerous in your forecast yes sir please do we have here but look and i'm paul gonna little local stein show because they all right we could have tornadoes were yet appear thunderstorms and stuff like that and we're cold tucker dial bay allow places uh we have a thorough though this wall particular channels of that the hill earn now we have local club which is from big air carriers and the reporter and the guy were man is driving away when we're lost supposed to be it hello uh huawei or you don't do this we're doing this uh to show you all what is happening in law fraud then i though i will have to.