3 Burst results for "Fabian Ardaya"
Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast
"fabian ardaya" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast
"Related to I won't even finish that. I won't even finish that terrible joke. I don't know that knowing me has always been to your benefit. You know, I feel like sometimes it's let you down. They're building they're using cement language instead. It says a bit different for concrete. One of them is a part of the other. One of them. Yes. Cement is an ingredient. In concrete. I believe, right? And then it stabilizes all of the other stuff that goes in it. It helps to keep it together. I just watch the distinction experts over here. Yeah, I, you know, it's funny that you say that. Because I just watched a thing on the apparently manufacturing wait, which is it that's the ingredient in the other? Cement is the ingredient of concrete. Okay. Apparently, cement, the process for making cement. Bad for the environment. Horrible for the environment. Just really, really a problem. And so, you know, it is a shockingly high contributor to global warming. The creation of cement, really, you know, you can't just can't take these things for granted. I had no idea. And I watched a box explainer video about it, and now I'm all worked up about cement. Well, I guess they've lost some leverage with Oakland now, so I don't know whether that means that their new destination might play more hardball or whether this is just the a's dropping the ball. Regardless, I mean, do you even still want the a's if you're a's fan? At this point, like, do you want them to screw up this move and stay? Or are you good riddance at this point? I don't know, but I think what you want is for, well, I'm sure that there are a lot of different feelings about it, but the team would be nice. Yes, that would be, yes, that's the punchline here. If it were me, I would want the Las Vegas project to fall apart and not be viable and for Fisher to sell the team. And then you're still in a, you're still in a fix because that ballpark is not a big league quality ballpark anymore. And I wonder, here's the thing that we should probably try to find out this, you know, it could be a little bit of reporting that we do. Is there a point at which the Players Association can say, this isn't tenable? This isn't a safe playing environment, right? Because I know that there are rules around that stuff, like you have to have lights of a certain quality, they have to have a certain luminosity and brightness. At some point, well, it's not like the PA has been shy about filing grievances against the yeast. But it's just like, this feels like a, you need to get osha involved. Yeah, right? Yeah, I mean, I guess the possums aren't necessarily posing a danger to players, but even so that is maybe just a symptom. Smell in there, man. Yeah. Yeah, not in the whole ballpark, but like that broadcast booth. Do you think you probably smells probably smells really bad? Yeah. Where was it that players complained about rat urine, smell? That was Dodger Stadium, I think. That's right. I think that's right. And if I recall, didn't, they had to do something about that, right? I think it was the Met's complaint about the urine smell. And then there was speculation that perhaps, you know, it was a bit of subterfuge. It was a bit of sabotage that sort I want sabotage that they were trying to throw them off their game by making it smell horrible. Which I gotta tell ya, that's an effective because I'm like a very smell sensitive person. And it can ruin your whole day, you know, can just really wreck your whole day. Yeah. I meant to mention, though, that that dual debut of stone and that NO west race is shaping up to be a fun one. So fun. Only two games, I believe, separate the Dodgers Padres and Diamondbacks. Currently. Correct. So now the Dodgers do have the highest division winning odds, according to fan graphs. So we were all sort of saying is this the year that the Padres finally catch them? It absolutely could be, but the Padres were favored by the playoff ads when the season started. And they no longer are. It's still pretty close. It's like 48% Dodgers, 40% Padres. Oh, 5% Diamondbacks that the Giants actually still have higher division odds than the Diamondbacks do. But really. We can't incorporate pesky into the nest. Yeah, we haven't figured out a way to factor in pesky to the model. So there's not a ton of separation here that Dodgers are 18 and 13 and the Padres are 16 and 50 and the dive backs are 16 and 14. But it's looking like a fun one. The Diamondbacks will fit at least make some noise as they say. So they'll stick around and be competitive and maybe the Dodgers and the Padres will pull away from the Diamondbacks or maybe one will pull away. But I don't know, you can't like the Dodgers, they're calling up Gavin stone and they're playing Mookie betts at short stop and they're spending a lot of plates and doing a lot of juggling and there's just not a lot of depth there and I think I saw a quote from Fabian ardaya recently about how trade Turner was saying that he never really got any interest from the Dodgers. They talked a couple times, but there was never any offer or anything and he would have been interested in staying if they had made a competitive offer. So all along, they were knowing that they were going to go into this with less depth than they have had and then of course Gavin Lux got hurt another guy's got hurt. But they have Dodgers thus far and they have made it work and they're in first place and they're in pole position. A fairly fragile pole position, but still they're there. But look out, Ben, because, you know, the Diamondbacks now have a positive run differential. So it's all bets are all bets are off, you know? They're coming, they're coming for you. Thoughts are really fun. That's a nice satisfying name to say. It's a fun name. If you look at the zips, both the zip top 100 and then just the projections more generally from a preseason perspective, like Dan was like, wow, is absolutely in love with the Diamondbacks. They were, they, zips, the system, what am I trying to say? Yep, there you go. The system, especially on the pitching side, was like really cuckoo for cocoa puffs when it comes to the Diamondbacks. You know? They've been fun. Yeah. They've been fun. They have been fun and pesky. Yes. Speaking of divisions, I meant to bring up the ale east because the degree of dominance of the AL east
Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast
"fabian ardaya" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast
"They still sort of walking around with the same swagger in the same expectation and even using it as motivation the fact that their doubters now? Well, I think if you had Andrew Friedman do the annual WinCo prediction, I think he had already answered the question saying that you were going to win a 111 games again. So I think how well aware of that. I almost think they mind it. Like I don't think mine being in that position, obviously the preference is to win the division by 20 games. Last year, but I think there was a part of them in 2021 that was kind of invigorated by being in a postseason with the Giants. I obviously they knew they were going to make the playoffs, but just that division hunt invigorated them at points. I brought the best out of them. Obviously I think towards the end, it sort of tired them out and exhausted them. I think by the CS in 2021, they were kind of drained. But I think in the middle of that stretch, kind of brought out the best of them. I think they went like 44 and 13 to end that 2021 regular season. Obviously I was a really good team, but they sort of thrived in being a division race. I think that sort of is a tone to set for this season. I think it was probably a lot of parallels to that. Obviously, I don't know if the Padres and Dodgers are going to each win a 106 plus games this year, but they're going to be obviously in a really contentious race. And I think they know the benefits of winning the division, especially now with the wildcard around being instituted. I think they are going to really thrive in this. I honestly think that they're going to benefit from it. I think the biggest thing that's going to be in their way is just if these injuries and death starts to pile up, because there's enough residue resident talent on this roster to win the division. I think that should be the expectation. I think a successful season is obviously beyond that. It's getting back to the World Series again. And I think that's always going to be the thing. You want to be the goal as long as it's sort of this group is in place. And this is more of a season preview than a full year preview. So we probably don't have to ask you where Shohei Ohtani is going to go because if you knew that, I imagine you would have reported it by now, but do you think that being reunited with former angels beat writer Fabian ardaya will be a big factor in his decision? I don't think so. Me asking him about his walk up songs and about certain random things that he did in his early years. I don't think that's necessarily a positive or a negative. I think it's just one of those things. But I do know the Dodgers have been obsessed with showy Otani since he was in high school. And that's going back to a previous regime, obviously, but there's been a lot of interest in him for a long time. So I wouldn't be surprised that they're heavily dynamics. So you're saying it'll be like a tie breaker, basically. Two teams offer him the same amount of money. I don't think it'll be part of Andrew Friedman's pitch. No. Well, maybe it's in the back of his mind. I'm sure he'd be happy to see you again. I can't believe you left him. I mean, if I were covering Shohei Ohtani, I don't know that I could move to cover another team, even a more successful team, but I'm looking at something on the Dodgers B who did that. Yeah, that's true. Yeah, maybe he wants to see Jack Harris again, or someone else, right? Well, that's an unsung factor in the Shohei Ohtani sweepstakes, the former angels beat writers who cover the Dodgers now. And the familiarity that Shohei Ohtani has with them could be the secret advantage that no one is giving the doctor's credit for. All right, you can read Fabian on the Dodgers. All season long, unless he decamps for some other team somewhere else. Who knows, but the Dodgers, he is at for now and for the foreseeable future and also on Twitter at Fabian ardaya, always a pleasure to read you into talk to you. Thanks for having me. Yeah, thanks for having me. And with that, we are officially halfway
Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast
"fabian ardaya" Discussed on Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast
"They're hitters, you know? It's in there. It's in their nature. Indeed. It's in, it's in there. You know? Yes. All right, let's do some previews. Shall we? So we've got the Dodgers up first, projected for for them a soft. 87.6 wins with a 65% playoff ads in 25% division aunts. Shocking. My goodness. When was the last time that that was the case, I don't know, we could probably look. I don't know if the fan grass playoff ads go back far enough for us to tell when the last time that happened. This is the first time since we've had odds that which I think they play a false go back to 2021. But this is the first time they've been projected for fewer than 90 wins. And when Ben Clemens wrote that, they still had a fully operational Gavin looks. So it's only gotten worse. Yeah, I mean, they're 7th now in projected wind totals, which is better than most of the teams, obviously. You can do the arithmetic there, but 7th, that is how far they have fallen. Yeah. Obviously. Only projected for 87. And still probably making the playoffs and having a solid chance to make the division. So that's obviously a reflection of how successful the Dodgers have been that this is quite a comedown for them. Hey Padres, you got a chance. This is the lady is open. Yeah. Do it, guys. So we'll talk to Fabian ardaya about the Dodgers, and then we will be back with a head of Sharma about the cubs, cubs 76.3 projected wins with a 9 and 4% playoff and division odds, respectively. So they've fallen far relative