35 Burst results for "Doug Jones"
"doug jones" Discussed on Sci-Fi Talk: The First Season
"Another edition of sci-fi talk. This is tony tomato and today we have conversation with doug jones. Doug is a busy man these days. Besides starring as coaches on the television series falling skies is in a new movie space commands independently financed and. It's a dream project of mark. Scott secre we talk about that and his professional relationship with director guillermo. Del toro here is doug jones. Good how are you. I'm fine fine. Good to talk to you again to me. I did miss you that we're gonna be to. You haven't seen each other since. I was one of the many of the round table for falling skies last year. All right okay right. Yeah i was there. And then i was at We've met face to face at the raise. Press line at tribeca film festival right and not to mention. If i could drop something else was also sushi girl to that was very first time low in san diego on. Yeah in san diego. Yeah gosh week when all over the place we have which. I'm i'm always bouncing between the two coasts you now but i'm really excited about space command. I think it's i. I love space opera. And i kind of miss it too. So what part would julia to this project to be in something like this. I i love that. You call space opera that i think that the most descriptive thing i've heard about it. Yes yes it. Very much is I i think that is exactly what you it to me. or jimmy meet it. It's it's such relationship. Driven hearts heartfelt storytelling With with a spacey backdrop takes place on spaceships and other planets. But what drives it for me. That i got well. I got to play an android. I never played an android character before. Been lots of other worldly creatures before but never mechanical one of this nature. I did do a couple of funny. Robots a robot. My name is number. Seven in the bench warmers on wheels. And kind of like completely you know in a hard shell operating a you know a a robot. And he's and also with the played a character named the called gay robot in nick's words and this pretend time Very funny community develop that character in his stand up act and then took it to television on comedy. Central blesses heart. It was just the most thing i've ever played But this being android who you know looks more human ish and uses my actual face was. Let's try that one of the people you get to work. With rock reactor horn plum. Robert picard cardo. And he's so good. Have you guys ever have. You must have met in your circles or before we we've actually been credited alongside each other and others and also four. One of the working title was end of the road. And i think it might be called one three scream. Now there's an unfortunate tile. I like him and better. Yeah and also were in. We met many years ago on an episode of the outer limits. Oh right in the late nineties. Filming up in vancouver. I played an alien from outer space. And he was on another planet and he was on our an excavation team that found me sort of a sarcophagus underground and i salute slowly came to life while sucking life one of his team members as you do right..
AP source: Cuomo among contenders for attorney general pick
"An inside source tells the Associated Press New York governor Andrew Cuomo is one of the people being considered for Attorney General in the Biden administration the straight shooting governor of new York's become a well known face during the corona virus pandemic I've tried to work with the trump administration and argue morality in principle for four years you're better off trying to argue with a rock a person with knowledge of the process is Andrew Cuomo is now among those being considered for Attorney General it's not clear if the search process is changed after it was disclosed this week that Joe Biden's son hunter is under investigation for his financial dealings and that the new Attorney General would inherit that investigation others thought to be top contenders outgoing Alabama senator Doug Jones appeals court judge Merrick garland and former deputy Attorney General Sally Yates Jackie Quinn Washington
Biden introduces his pick to lead Defense Department
"President-elect biden announced general. Lloyd austin as his pick for defense secretary which would make him the first black man to lead. The pentagon biden is also expected to nominate ohio congresswoman marcia fudge to run housing and urban development and former agriculture secretary. Tom vilsek to reprise his role of running. That department one takeaway here is that there is clearly a pattern form with biden's picks either a commitment to diversity with fudge and austin or experienced hand. Who can step in and do the job right away like with vilsek but there was another constant in violence picks a personal connection with the newly minted nominees biden serve with ville sack in the obama administration and has discussed how he met general austin while on trips afghanistan as vice president and continue to work with them today. It's my great honor. Really is an honor to add to my national security team leader of extraordinary courage character experience an accomplishment in a man who i've seen some of the or interesting parts of the world with vice president someone with whom i have worked closely for many years and i've seen perform the highest standards under intense pressure. Now that's not to say austin won't phase hurdles as we discussed yesterday. Some democratic senators like elizabeth. Warren are already signaling that they oppose granting austin the needed waiver for him to serve as defense secretary but just as important to biden is the fact. That austin had a relationship with his late son bo. He was both commanding officer in iraq and attended mass with the president's son. A relationship with bo was also a factor in biden's comma harris for vice president. All of these factors including the consideration of a personal relationship are at play in biden's last major cabinet. Pick to make attorney general. Cnn is reporting that senator. Doug jones judge merrick garland and sally. Yates are the top contenders with jones. Being the front runner
AP sources: Biden picks Fudge for housing, Vilsack for USDA
"More names are being added to president elect Joe Biden's cabinet as he works to diversify top government leadership five sources say Joe Biden will announce Ohio congresswoman Marcia fudge will be the secretary of housing and urban development the former chairwoman of the congressional black caucus was not ready to confirm or deny if I can help this president in any way possible I'm more than happy to do it former agriculture secretary Tom Vilsack will take that role again in the Biden White House selected in part because of the hunger crisis facing the nation and the need to have someone ready on day one and there are discussions about Attorney General several sources say Alabama senator Doug Jones who lost re election in November is a possible choice because of a strong civil rights background even though he's white or possibly federal appeals court judge Merrick garland who Supreme Court nomination was denied by Republicans in twenty sixteen Jackie Quinn Washington
NAACP leader on diversity in Biden's Cabinet and commitment to civil rights
"Speech days after the election, Joe Biden think black voters for helping him win the White House. The African American community stood up again. For many with always having my back on, I'll have yours. Now. There's some concern that Biden isn't making good on that promise. At least seven civil rights groups are pressing to meet with the president elect, including the end of the P and the National Urban League. They want Biden to name or black leaders to top jobs in his administration. Marc Morial leads the Urban League mark. Welcome. Hey, it's great to be with you. Thank you for having me. My pleasure. And if and when you get a meeting with the President elect, what will you tell him? So importantly way look forward to a direct communication with the president elect, and we're gonna reaffirm our interest on behalf of the community that the number of Diverse cabinet members, particularly African Americans. Prominent and every level of the body Administration Cabinet sub cabinet. As well as at the White House. You know, we want to give the president elect due credit. He chose an excellent running mate, Senator Harris. He's made an important appointment of Cecilia Rouse, his chair of the president's Council of Economic Advisors, and Linda Thomas Greenfield as U. N ambassador. But we're heavily focused. What's known as a statutory Cabinet, defense and justice and transportation and commerce and labor and hot and education and HHS, For example, that is where The important levers of power are We're going to communicate that to him, and the second thing will be communicating. Eyes our interest in the public policy arena. We need aggressive enforcement of civil rights laws. We need strong investments through both stimulus. And infrastructure plans, and we need Focus on long term issues of racial justice, criminal justice reform, police justice reform just to name a few high priorities and finally With respect to cove it we need to ensure That the vaccine is safe and effective for all people and that there is a community based distribution system. To ensure that people in our community have access to the vaccine. I guess What I'm trying to understand is if you are actually concerned with what you've seen so far, or if you're just trying to get ahead of the process, As you point out, there have been many black officials appointed to keep jobs in the Biden administration says they're not done yet. Yeah, I think it's both. And I think it's uh they've been to statutory Cabinet nominees thus far. Treasury Three rather Treasury homeland security as well as the State Department, and that's important and we do have a concern and we do want to get ahead of the process and We want to be clear that we're looking for a cabinet. When it comes to African Americans and meets but really exceeds the high water marks of the Clinton and Obama cabinets. This is a different time. And the president elect is made of important public commitment to racial justice, and I believe he's serious about that, but toe execute that He's got to have people who have lived experiences. As well as professional qualifications, along with connections to the communities that have borne the brunt of the country's systemic racial injustice. Look, there's no doubt having a diversity of opinions from all walks of life is critical in any leadership role, but make the case why Race matters so much here. Ben Carson. I'm thinking of Ben Carson, a black housing secretary. I assume you don't agree at all with his policies on many black leaders At the same time, we're saying that outgoing Senator Doug Jones, a white man would make a great attorney general because of his record fighting for civil rights. So let me say this. Van Carson is a great doctor. I never thought Ben Carson was qualified. To be secretary of the Department of Housing and Urban Development. I thought he would have made made a great surgeon general. You made a great secretary of health. Human services. I think it was an example of picking a quote unquote black person and putting him in what some perceive to be a black position at the Department of Housing and Urban Development. And I think it was It was a mistake, and I think it was a disservice to Ben Carson. So I mean, it's important. Understand this is not just about a black face in a certain place.
Importance of Black voters in the presidential race
"The last two or three years of activism that you think has helped push Georgia into the blue column? Yes, I think that is Never. We need on example of how the community organizing and coordination work. I think Georgia is an example of that that over the last three years there have been deep and actually the last five years in particular, but particularly the last three years. There's been intense coordination between Social Justice Group communally, a group black late groups throughout the state of Georgia in metro Atlanta will in some of the areas like Savannah and making and and in South Georgia, Albany and so as a result, what we see is we see this record turnout of black voters, you know. In the state of Georgia black voters voted At higher rate. No more black voters voted for for Biden Vice President Biden maybe it for Obama, and that in the self says that even what has I believe that it hasn't just been about being candidates entered its been about people being people center and so as a result of the deep organizing what you see is the result of the turnout. Where black voters have certainly made the difference in this wave and Georgia You know, just next door. Alabama Senator Doug Jones, a Democrat. He ended up really struggling right, acted to hold onto his seat, so there are kind of limits in terms of getting turnout out there. What lessons do you think people can take away from the experience in Georgia? I think we have to recognize that you have to continue to be ill that oftentimes what you see in some of these elections when the energy is just centered around a candidate around 81 particular election and you lose that Mo mentum and don't continue to build from that you would have we never would have done here. But what we thought even particularly after 2018 in the race in safety Abrams loss The infrastructure in the coalition that came together around her race did not dismantle. They act you started working on was that even more focus on working together in a coordinated fashion, and beyond that there were other groups that because of the mass voter suppression that happened in the community and happened with black voters, we were that much more determined. To make sure that we were in play in this election cycle and that our voice will be heard. And so part of what I think is a keen lesson is that when you invest and groups that on the ground that these are the kinds of results instead of putting all your Political resource is, I think political parties and in television ads that when you invest directly on the ground, yield it, Khun Deal Ah, great harvest.
Ex-coach Tuberville wins Alabama Senate seat
"Coming into the victory of Republican Tummy tumbler villain Alabama's Senate race. State Republican Party chairman Terry Lengthen, says Tuberville will listen to the concerns of his constituents, unlike his predecessor While representing our great state with honor and integrity, Lengthen says the seat has been reset to reflect the conservative values of Alabama double defeated Democrat incumbent Doug Jones by 20 points that is the worst showing for a sitting senator in a general election in 10 years.
Democrats projected to retain control of the House of Representatives
"Of course, they believe they've got a Biden win as well. A CZ I want to take control of both houses of Congress. So far, Democrats have gained one seat. Cory Gardner, the Republican Colorado conceded to the former governor. A moment ago, I spoke to Senator elect John Hickenlooper to congratulate him on his victory tonight. To welcome him to the United States Senate and to make sure that he knows I will support him in this transition anyway, that I can. That flip is somewhat canceled out, though, is the Alabama Senate seat held by Democrat Doug Jones went to the very pro Trump retired football coach Tommy Tuberville in Arizona. While it appears the seat held by incumbent Republican Martha McSally is going to the Democrat, former astronaut Mark Kelly. Exactly said it was too soon to make that call. Kelly himself said he's confident but that votes were still being counted. Some seats are definitely staying in Republican hands. Joni Ernst is keeping her Iowa seat. Lindsey Graham is keeping his seat in South Carolina. Jessica Rosenthal Fox News, however,
Control of the Senate is a razor-close proposition in the election
"Several incumbent U. S. senators who are facing stiff challenges held on to their seats while the recent Georgia won't be over until January Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell was in a tight race but has won reelection in Kentucky it was neck and neck for south Carolina's Lindsey Graham and his democratic challenger we did it Graham was victorious and has a message to Democrats that voters like what he's doing view an active gender you're talking about we're going to bury it in the Senate because it's bad for America an Alabama Senate seat flipped former Auburn football coach Tommy Tuberville forced out Democrat Doug Jones while in Colorado former governor John Hickenlooper defeated incumbent Republican senator Cory Gardner as for Georgia there's a runoff race January fifth between incumbent Republican Kelli Leffler and democratic challenger pastor Raphael Warnock who's hoping to become Georgia's first black U. S. senator Jacqui Quinn Washington
Democrat Doug Jones loses Alabama Senate seat to Republican Tommy Tuberville
"The Senate side, several high profile Republicans have won reelection that again, according to The Associated Press. Including Mitch McConnell in Kentucky and Lindsey Graham in South Carolina, and Republicans have also picked up a seat in Alabama, where Tommy Tuberville defeated incumbent Democrat Doug Jones. I don't think President Donald Trump is Without a doubt. In my lifetime. The guy that's Dunmore for United States of America than any president I've ever been around.
Donald Trump is Expecting a Red Wave
"In tight races in many battleground states. The president said he was expecting a red wave on Election Day, and ABC News political analyst Matthew Dowd says that's a one appears to be happening. Donald Trump's supporters are turning out even in greater numbers than they did in 2016 on Control of Congress. ABC News projects the Democrats Retain control of the house. In the Senate. Democrat Doug Jones lost the former Auburn football coach, Tommy Tub, Orville in Colorado. Former governor John Hickenlooper invested incoming Republican Cory Gardner. I want to thank Senator Gardener for his service. I wish him his family the very best I want to say to everyone that voted for him. I'll be your senator as well. ABC NEWS Also projection Come in South Carolina Republican Senator Lindsey Graham will win re election with continuing coverage Richard CAN to ABC News You're listening to the on ly coverage as a source for Election Night returns in New England. The
"doug jones" Discussed on Wait Wait... Don't Tell Me!
"Arrested for defrauding California's unemployment office he blanked. After he dropped an album sort of but no, he released a music video where he bragged about defrauding California's unemployment agency. The F. I started to suspect Rapper Newcastle of fraud. After he released a music video with lyrics like you got to sell cocaine I can just file a claim and here's a bullet point list of how a defrauded California for over one point two, million dollars in unemployment money, which is not only incriminating it doesn't even rhyme if convicted would face up to twenty two years in prison but that sentence could be way worse if anyone here's his next single murder was the case that they gave me because I definitely did the murder. Man. We spoke his truth, you know what? Does, what the rap game is all about it is. That's beautifully gene. Thank. Bill how did you do in his debut on our show? He had three right for six more points. You know has nine and the lead. Science. Guy. Does Peter Need to win. Three two win Oh that seems easy Peter. Here we go. Peter. This is for the game fill in the blank on Monday president trump called blank's work on the pandemic a quote disaster. Vouch Fallacy. Yes you also called him an idiot on Wednesday and interview with blank was released in which he said that same sex couples should be protected under civil union laws the pope yes. The pope this week Purdue Pharma agreed to pay an eight point three, billion dollar settlement for their part in the blink. OPIOID. Yes. All these are going to be italian-style. Yes. On Tuesday former our NC chair Michael Steele announced he was endorsing blank for President Joe Biden. Yes. According to a new report. The iphone twelve pro is so expensive in. India That if you live there, it's cheaper to blank. Order food from Italy. No. To fly to Dubai purchase one there, and then flying back on Monday. The US blanket an all time high of three point one, trillion dollars. Debt. I'll give it you. It's the deficit, not the debt which is. Chico on Sunday just into Aren won her second term is the prime minister of blank a New Zealand..
"doug jones" Discussed on Wait Wait... Don't Tell Me!
"Out the shape of this water. Disgust you're the lead in the shape of waters we thought we'd ask you about actual shaped water that is ice and snow sculptures. Answer to three questions correctly a win our price for one of our listeners, the voice of their choice on their voicemail bill who is Doug Jones playing for Lane Owens of Los Angeles California. All. Right. You ready to do this. Don't K- lane I'm rooting for both of us here. All right. Here we go. Use Your first question. Now, one of the most notorious ice sculptures ever seen was the one commissioned by Dennis Kozlowski the CEO who served eight years in prison for fraud and embezzlement because he spent company money on things like which of these, a an ice sculpture of himself which he kept in a three hundred thousand dollar clear glass freezer for display be a full-scale ice sculpture of Michelangelo's David, which dispensed cold water depart guests through well. His natural spigot or see a thousand tiny handmade ice sculptures of individual bird species made for his evening cocktail. I'm going to go with the the because that sounds more narcissistic. That's a very good idea but we really did was he commissioned the ice sculpture of Michelangelo's David. which dispensed. which dispense vodka through his little. Yeah I've no idea what the question is endure photographs of this but I don't know how the guests what the head to do David to get it to dispense to. Leave you me. All right here's your next question. The UK's Channel Four came under some criticism for its creative use of an ice sculpture. Why a? Did Not appreciate being represented by a sculpture titled Ice Queen Bee After Boris Johnson refused to participate in a debate on climate change. They had a melting ice sculpture, take his place or see to counter program. Theresa may speech in the BBC they showed an ice sculptor of her for an hour with the caption which seems more human. Can I with again because I do love Queen Elizabeth and I want to think of her as a nice clean either you can go with a again. I mean possible. Waiting it seems to be two. Or it could be the answer be yes it's. Instincts, I had their the melting ice sculpture of the planet did hold its own in many fine points of debate. Alright. Last chance if you get this, win it a local news reporter in California went viral. When he knocked over the carving of the Ice Sculptor, he was interviewing on live TV at the State Fair but there was another twist to the story. What was it a? The reporter had faked the accident because he was bored of doing stupid human interest stories all the time be he was carried away by rage when he realized the ice sculpture was of his ex or see the ice sculptor was his childhood enemy and he had planned this vengeance for decades. Okay I'M GONNA go with a one more time and this time it paid off. And some elaborate. Stories anymore and it worked now he has his own news channel on Youtube. Go..
"doug jones" Discussed on Wait Wait... Don't Tell Me!
"And other game where people who have done a lot finally get recognized and end up wishing they had remained anonymous. It's called not my job speaking of being recognized actor. Doug. Jones is usually not despite playing the lead in a movie that won the Oscar for best picture. All of his roles involve lots of makeup. He was the sexy sea creature in the shape of water. He's played monsters, aliens and heroic creatures in many other movies including Pan's labyrinth and hell boy he also plays Sarah now on Star Trek Discovery, which starts third season. We are delighted. He joins US now Doug Jones welcome to wait wait for. Guys. Thank you for having me. So you are as we've said an extremely famous movie star, but I'm assuming that when you go out in the street, nobody recognizes you, right? Yes. I'm that actor who's been on the cover of Oscar winning picture who can walk starbucks and nobody knows who the Hell Am. It's great. Have you ever does that ever bother you because you're very successful guy and sometimes you'd like to be recognized you ever like papa dozen eggs into your mouth slowly just to let people know that that's you. And their rotten elbow. No No Actually I started as a mime back at ball. State. University in Indiana and be six, foot three, one, hundred, forty pounds and having a mind background. It's like, Oh, the creature effects people were just all over me the minute I got to, La. All right. We we skipped a bit why out of all things did you decide to become a mime? Who knowing chooses that do that Is You I assume people were just born into like the mind, cast? Choice No. My dorm and lived in it at ball state I I was a freshman. A senior is one who ran the mime troupe mind was called mime over matter. Get it. And so he he saw how I talk with my hands and how Lanky I was. He said, you know he should come see one of our shows and think about edition for our troops and that's how the mind thing started with me. Wow and drug dealer. On the street lights. The the first, the first fake elevator is free. That kind of mine where you out on the on the on the sidewalk doing like Oh there's a wind, there's a wall that. My first job out of college was working at Kings Island a theme park and in Cincinnati Ohio and I was a walk around mind that did just what you just said and nobody likes me I don't know why. I'm doing my art for a paycheck. A Cincinnati Ohio this kind of on the cusp of Indiana Kentucky. And, so there's not a whole lot of people in that area that new of mine was So I'll look at the clown look at the clown. Now. WHO said. I know this is a very weird question to ask you. But can you think of like the weirdest thing you were asked to play and I say this to somebody who was literally play Angel of death. And and a sexy creature. So I know it's like, yeah. There's that the leading man, the leading romantic male of movie and it's inefficient suit. That's that's an odd request. Yes. But a giant cockroach she bug thing I did a movie a horrible movie called bug-buster. I, I had a huge fight scene with Randy Quaid. Giant insect that was guarding my pile of eggs and he was coming to kill us. So. We had a big knock down drag out in a cave and he came in there with weapons. Bullets didn't kill me. He's any pulled out like a flame thrower I don't burn and he pulled out a co two gun I don't freeze. So he threw all of his weapons and said come on man you and meet Mono Mono. That's when it got. Weird. WE'RE I. We have a knock down drag out choreographed fight around the scale bouncing off walls and rolling around on the ground, and after I got up from that and I I asked my handler I said. Can you go check on Randy? I didn't see him get up after that fight. A across the cave I hear I hear dot buddy. Can you hear me Randy Quaid Ya? Do. What you do on, it's great. We can go again I'm find you're doing great. The next voice that I heard was a young Pe-, a production system going on. Can I get some ice over here? I can't stop the bleeding. Be Remembered as as that young lanky. Fella. Who Killed Randy Quaid. As a bug as the bug. Costume right. In the shape of water, you had a particular challenge because not only did you have to be other worldly and alien, but you had to be attractive sexy. Yes. So how did you work that out doug? Well, I will say this sculpted me a sexy asked body. Did I my skinny bones slipped into this beautiful rubber muscle suit with a fine area I made it was. Contact every time I step I stood up walked away from our set chairs. Where were you know? We're we rest between takes if I was in with Octavia Spencer she would sit there and watch me walk away and just say one thing what. That's when you know they sculpt Klein and they. Lean out and go. Thank you. That was exactly. Well Doug Jones, it is an absolute joy to talk to you as much fun as it has been to watch. You do stuff, which is saying something very kind. Thank you. But we have asked you here to play a game this time we're calling hey, check out the shape of this water. Disgust you're the lead in the shape of waters we thought we'd ask you about.
"doug jones" Discussed on Wait Wait... Don't Tell Me!
"Fear of being on zoom when you do not want to be on. After eight months of doing everything virtually people have become terrified that they're still screen sharing. When they're doing things they no longer want to share like eating or undressing or to been. Button this is more or less inevitable for all of us. We spent so much time in front of our screen for work and for socializing, and then for entertainment, and then when we finally get away from our screens, we end up in a hotel room with Boras daughter, and we have to live the Tuck in shirt Dan. Idea that you would be lying down on a bed as like a young woman was like standing over you and the thing you thought people would buy as like I took my. Is Is, pretty ludicrous of. Tie My shoes. I wasn't sure that because like you know when something's on your back is You do need to lie down to get dressed. So I'm willing to give rudy the benefit of the day. Interesting when I put on a jacket every morning I still laid on the floor and then tumbling. So. I'm assuming that that's what he is doing, but with A. Bad but let me ask you guys you. We've all been doing zoom. We're doing show on zoom right now. So have any of you had a near miss in terms of doing anything that you didn't want to be seen being seen everything that I've been caught doing I wanted to get caught to. Thing I like getting caught a choice. deserved. Bill Vanessa do in our quiz. Perfect than that Vanessa congratulations. Mike thank you Vanessa take care. Panel it's time for you to answer some questions about this week's News Peter Please listen to this lovely song. So that is I'm sure you know was the song get back up again from the movie trolls. That's yeah. Sure I did know that that's the song that Hollywood mogul Jeffrey Katzenberg suggested. All employees at Qube listened to. As he told them what? Ain't. GonNa be no more qube exactly that they were all fired. Companies Doing Business. With a five dollar, a month streaming service, which offered highly produced five to ten minutes serialized programs that were made specifically for your smartphone. Basically, it was long Tiktok you had to pay for, but here's the catch. The shows were bad. I also love the fact that the CEO of Quimby. Is, pulling a song from a two hour movie to lay off everybody exactly company. That's only two minutes long little segments. That is amazingly true. he urged all of his employees on this was actually zoom call. That they're losing their jobs and he said, go listen to get back up again from the trolls movie cheer yourself up and then you should listen to the next song on the Soundtrack Cobra benefits and how to use them. But I have. Seen that. But the problem I had with with Kirby was that like I can't even tell what I'm going to watch what I'M GONNA. Want to look at on my phone like I. Don't have Dakin Tile 'cause I realized I was You know space out for twenty minutes the other day watching some rescue faulk says like making sounds. And I was on a deadline. I had a really busy day but I was watching these Fox's that are friends communicating with each other for a very long time and I'm not depressed. Katzenberg's should have hired the Fox's. On spent, they spent one and a half billion dollars on Qube. Can you imagine how many Fox's they would've Fox's worked for nothing? It's true. Basically, they eat they eat garbage. Honestly if you if there are some TV executives that if you told them, they could pay animals garbage and people would watch it. They'd be like that's great. They're not in a union. Like contributions. Scripted we don't have to pay writers this'll.
America's next top chamber, modelled: the Senate battle
"In, America's elections just six weeks away. The most important thing to be decided is who will win the presidency. Time before. has there been a clear choice between two parties to visions to philosophies and two agendas for the future. There's never been a vision like this. Sleepy. Joe Jeff from. What pundits had been talking a lot less about is which party will end up with control of the Senate, the legislature's upper house. Attention and donations have focused on Senate races. This week is a fierce battle begins over the replacement of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader. GINSBURG. The president plans to use the power the voters gave him to make a nomination. Senators will use the power the vote gave us. Either provide or withhold consent. As we say, fifth. Republican senators are keen to get a nomination through before the elections. Earlier. In the year, the party seemed set to keep its majority but President Donald. Trump's handling the pandemic and racial justice protests have opened the possibility the Democrats could take it. In America's rigid two party system control of the Senate is a big determinant of what any government can actually get done. But forecasting which party will win control is more complex than it might seem. Predicting Races for Congress is a bit more complicated than predicting the race for the presidency. There are thirty five different races fought in different states between different candidates over different issues and often using different rules. Then Rosenheck is the economists data editor. I have spent the past few months building a statistical model that seeks to predict the results of this November's congressional elections for the House of Representatives, and the Senate in the United States and so how. Do you get past those complexities to t to model it then? So our model makes use of a few broad types of information. It first looks at the state of the race nationally using generic ballot polling as well as the president's approval rating, and if you other predictors to say, okay, we think this is going to be a good year for the Democrats a good year for the Republicans overall. Then it drills down to the state level and. says. Okay. What did we know about this Senate race before we saw our first poll of that race? Well, we know how it voted in past elections. We know if there's an incumbent or not. We know the candidates fundraising totals. If there's an incumbent, we know how they voted in Congress. We know how much experience in politics candidates have, and then the final step is to blend those prior expectations with whatever the actual polls of the race. Say, and so it synthesizes all of that information in two and overall prediction by exploring three hundred fifty thousand different scenarios for the Senate and four point thirty, five, million for the house every single day. So it conservative explore every possible universe. We can think of that this election might take and see which scenarios are most probable but the universe that we're having these elections in is one that contains what the historical data don't, which is a pandemic. That is a very good point and it is definitely a weakness. We don't know whether one party or the other will benefit from that. But I think what we can say is that it would needs some pretty large effects that would need to be consistent and systematic across states to drive the results far outside the confidence intervals that we would expect based on decades and decades of data on past elections. With those caveats behind this then what does the model currently predict for? November. The model shows that the Democrats are a clear but narrow favorite to win back the Senate and currently shows that they have a sixty seven percent or two in three chance of winning the upper chamber, and it's kind of an interesting path of how they get there because assuming that they lose Doug Jones seat in Alabama, which is very conservative state they need to flip four Republican held seats and they only lead in four states and they would need to win all four that would be something of a tall order and what are those four states what are the issues there So the Democrats have pretty clear leads in Colorado and in Arizona in Colorado Democrats have nominated John Hickenlooper is a moderate former governor. He is currently leading in the polls against the Republican incumbent Cory Gardner. The picture in Arizona is similar you have a Republican incumbent and is now facing an extremely strong Democratic nominee in Mark Kelly. WHO's an astronaut? He's raised an enormous amount of money are model certainly thinks those two are not short flip the Democrats but eighty ninety percent that range then. There are two more states in North Carolina. You have a rather unloved Republican incumbent clue has been running consistently behind, and then finally there is main where Susan Collins, the most moderate Republican in the Senate. Now faces a very tough challenge from the speaker of the State House of Representatives who is up by maybe five six points on average. So you're got a headline prediction of the Democrat chances. Here is based on those four races being cinched up I mean is that really so certain? So. The reason why the model is so bullish on the Democrats is what we're calling the long tail, the donkey's long tail. There is a surprisingly extensive list of sort of Second Tier Senate races in which Democratic candidates are underdogs, but have a realistic credible shock to come from behind and win. So that's I Alwa- that's Kansas. That's both the seats that are up for election in Georgia, Montana Alaska and South Carolina, and even Texas so in every one. Of these races, Armato thinks it is more likely than not that the Republican will win however the odds of the Republicans win all of them in the Democrats win none are not so great and if Democrats even score one or two upsets from this very wide list of targets states, their position gets a lot
Getting Things Done with Senator Doug Jones
"I'm Senator Doug Jones from Alabama and here's the truth it all my work in the Senate I have your back and no one else. Sorry, not sorry first of all senator thank you so much for taking the time to do the podcast I would like to start by talking about Kobe nineteen and we're recording this in the middle of July. We knew in February and March, what needed to be done right now one hundred, thirty, eight, thousand people have died projections indicate more than two hundred, thousand people will die by November, cases are rising almost everywhere in the. Country especially in the South and the trump administration is just I don't know how else to say it, but he has just failing in every possible way in managing this pandemic. So what is your opinion? What should we be doing nationally and what should Alabama be doing to combat covert nineteen listen first of all, thanks for having me I really appreciate this opportunity to speak with you. It's good to talk to you. See you again. Let me tell you I think we have to do what I've said all along that we have to do and that is listened. To the healthcare experts listen to the healthcare experts that are the national voices like Dr, Fallacy and Dr Redfield and those that are on top of this, listen to your local healthcare professionals, listen to the statewide healthcare professionals and follow their advice. The problem that we have right now is that clearly we have a lack of leadership from the administration. We have not seen the kind of leadership that we should have from the very beginning of this administration was downplaying it, and then as I think the president realized that we had to shut the economy down which was. His Pride and joy Dan, he started to try to intimidate people too much to open the economy up. He was intimidating protesters in Michigan and elsewhere, and that had a ripple effect around the country. Then it was politicizing the wearing of masks as we learned more and more about this virus it became clear that we needed to wear masks, and then all of a sudden became a political issue. It's not as much anymore, but it's still in places a political issue, and now we're politicizing the opening schools schools. Do you think that Alabama was too quick to Rio Ben? I think we tried to accelerate. The process and I think you know From our standpoint that has had a negative impact on our progress and I think that's why we've regressed. And we've seen a three hundred percent increase. In cases month over month after going the first three weeks of this. At a forty percent club if people would listen to the healthcare professionals, follow the guidelines and understand the world had never seen this virus before like December nobody has the antibodies at that time. Nobody had the immunities and this is a work in progress. We are learning more and more and more about this virus. As we go along, we have no vaccine are therapeutics are getting better. The only way we can stop the spread of this virus is for us to do our part. We're in this together, we need to act like, do you think we need some sort of coordinated national shutdown? To try to get this under control I. think that would be very, very difficult to try to do that in there are places in this country where I think that you wouldn't need to shut down nationally right now if they take some of the precautions, we're a big country where diverse country we have seen the virus spread in different areas I think it would be very, very difficult to try to have any kind of national shutdown but you know a lot of the governors are stepping a lot of them are not and lot of them are seeing their states ravage along the governors. have been stepping up doing the right thing. Our governor in Alabama issued a statewide score. She's the only governor in the deep South that his issue that in fact, the governor of Georgia, which is raging as much as Alabama yesterday issued something banning local officials from issuing a mask order. So damnedest thing I've ever heard of and so I think that the states are stepping up individual beers have been stepping up. I mean. When you have a lack of leadership coming from the administration, you've got to have the local leaders stepping up. So I think we're doing it on a hot spot by. Hotspots state-by-state by state community, mount community basis be tough to do it on a national basis, but there's plenty of spokesman out there illicit from the national level better telling people to wear masks and suggestions and do those things. It's amazing to me how the masks were politicized and I saved a lot on this podcast. But anytime, we politicize something we dehumanize it and I think this is a perfect example. But when you look at deaths, the numbers don't lie. So even if you were the type of person to say you know what? I don't believe in science I think truth and fact is. Relative there's concrete numbers here that are undeniable and do you think that there's any chance that we get this under control while this administration is still in place or do you think that it's going to continue to rage and grow until we have leadership in there that can at least be willing to listen to science? Are we gonNA answer you with a glass half full and I'm going to say I put faith in the majority of the American people to start doing the right thing. They're seeing these numbers to their seeing the lack of leadership they're seeing the numbers in the deaths in. The virus, they're seeing the fact that the average age of someone catching this virus now has gone down fifteen years fifteen years from when we first started to. This is just not a senior's forest anymore. So I'M GONNA put more faith than I guess I have more faith these days in. Awadh. The governors of whatever political party and local leaders and mayors to lead by example, and to do those things necessary. What's interesting to me is that her so many folks in Alabama and we had a problem with folks not wearing masks we still do but the so many people aren't listening to the Reason why you wear a mask they think it is just to protect themselves. I've heard so many people say well, I don't need to wear a mask I may get it but I'm gonNA low risk category. So I'll take my chances. It's not about you. It's about the people with preexisting conditions, the diabetes heart disease that things like that puts them at risk. You could be a symptomatic and spread this disease spread this virus so easy without wearing a mask and you not even know it and putting people at risk. So I'll tell folks down here. Look this is golden rule time. Okay. This is new unto others as you would do unto yourself and so wear the mask for others where the mass for those healthcare professionals that are on the front lines that are just having mental breakdowns these days with all that they are overwhelmed about look I'm going to again go back to your question I'm going to have a glass half full I give a lot of faith in the American people to see where we are at start making these comparisons and see through the like of leadership and start doing the things necessary for themselves.
Jeff Sessions loses Alabama Senate runoff to Tommy Tuberville
"Former U S senator than Attorney General Jeff Sessions. Accepting defeat is the fight to get his Senate seat back. Conceding to former Auburn football coach Tommy Tuberville in the Alabama Republican primary runoff election yesterday. President Trump Bag Tuberville over his former age because sessions decided to recuse himself from the Russia investigation. Uber villain will face off against Senator Doug Jones in
Tuberville wins Alabama GOP Senate runoff
"US Attorney General Jeff Sessions, has lost his bid for the Republican nomination to the Senate from Alabama. NPR's Debbie Elliot reports. He was defeated in a runoff election by a political newcomer who was endorsed by President Trump. Unofficial results show Tommy Taber Veldt, the one time football coach at Auburn University, handily defeated Jeff Sessions in a GOP runoff that had been postponed from March because of the Corona virus. Sessions held the Alabama Senate seat for 20 years before joining the Trump administration as attorney general. His campaign was unable to overcome a barrage of attacks from the president, still angry that sessions recused himself from the special counsel's Russia investigation. Suburb. L advances to face incumbent Democrat Doug Jones and the fall in a contest widely seen as the Republican Party's best chance to turn a Senate seat.
Jeff Sessions loses Alabama Senate runoff to Tommy Tuberville
"Republican Tommy Tuberville will face Democrat Doug Jones in the race for a U S. Senate seat from Alabama. Associated Press projecting that the former Auburn University football coach is the winner of the GOP one runoff against Jeff Sessions who held that seat before he became president. Trump's first attorney general. Democrats State lawmaker Sara Gideon winning mains Democratic Senate primary She'll take on Republican Susan
Fauci throws support behind wearing face masks
"New cases in Texas and Florida among those states. Dr Anthony Fauci says he supports state and local mask wearing rules. Individual mandates wherever they come from, I think are important because when people Get a signal. That you may or may not want to wear a mask, which means it may or may not be helpful. That's a very confusing signal patching in a conference call with the office of Senator Doug Jones of Alabama, it's not only the
Supreme Court blocks curbside voting in Alabama during pandemic
"Blocked a lower court ruling allowing curbside voting in Alabama due to the Corona virus pandemic for the July 14th primary election run offs, which determined the Republican candidate for the Senate. The winner there will then face Democratic Senator Doug Jones in November's general election. The high court also loosened absentee ballot requirements in three of the state's largest counties. Former federal prosecutor Jessica Levinson says that the ruling will make it more difficulty for voters to get to the polls, especially during the pandemic meal is by far the safest way that people can vote and for that to be made harder for them. Really is a tragedy. The way that you can pull the levers of power in elections and try and get to your desired outcome is to do things like this to make it harder for people to vote. 8 53 here. The Senate yesterday passed by unanimous consent
Fed Stress Test Finds U.S. Banks Healthy Enough to Withstand the Coronavirus Crisis
"Fed reserve stress tests on banks so this is what is the stress test is basically analysis conducted our hypothetical circumstances showing what would happen to a bank under economic stress deep recession financial market crisis pandemic for example most of banks did really well by the way this is done with wood for banks with fifty billion or more in assets in the required to do this every year Wells Fargo though seems like it's going to be the bank that may have dividend payments at risk if of the perfect storm came along and that's got investors a little dicey the speed to keep in mind we've been dicey for a week now amidst higher code nineteen cases so that's what's going on Doug Jones down two percent as to be down two percent to keep in mind again two percent on the S. and P. is fifty six point two percent on the Dow is five hundred sixty nine points so it's still two percent just sounds are clear on the Dow nasdaq down one point seven percent at ninety eight thirty nine so it's going to be one of those days
"doug jones" Discussed on 1A
"Support for this podcast and the following message come from google from connecticut california from mississippi tim minnesota millions of businesses are using google tools to grow online learn how google is supporting businesses in your state at google dot com slash economic impact this is one eight i'm todd's willik infra joshua johnson in washington in the early two thousands thousands doug jones did something many viewed as impossible he prosecuted and secured the convictions of two clan members responsible for the sixteenth street church bombing for young black girls were murdered during that terrorist attack their names were adding make collins cynthia wesley cara robertson and denise mcnair in twenty seventeen doug jones did the seemingly impossible once again when he won election to the senate from alabama replacing former attorney general jeff sessions and defeating his republican rival really more in a special election doug jones became the first democrat in a quarter century to win at alabama senate seat and his razor thin margin of victory with security in part on the strength strains of the black vote and black women in particular he's got hopes now for reelection in twenty twenty but it will not be easy analysts say not even likely he joins me now from w p h m in birmingham alabama senator doug jones welcome to one hey my pleasure now a senator doug jones they say they say that you are the most vulnerable democrat in the united states senate maybe it's you maybe it's joe manchin of west virginia but you're running figure first full term in one the red states in america according to five thirty eight twenty seven points more republican than it is democrat only this time president trump is on the ballot he wasn't the last time when you want in twenty seventeen are you feeling vulnerable these days you know i don't feel vulnerable at all in fact i feel very good we've you know we hit the ground running todd we we had three weeks between monday election and getting in a washington getting sworn in building a staff we put together a great staff we've been diving issues and we've been doing exactly what i said i would do and that is look at those kitchen table issues issues at people talk about everyday at their kitchen table whether it is there whether it is there a healthcare whether it's jobs whether it's trying to lift their wages whether whether it's education for their kids bringing in good jobs to this day we've been doing those things and wherever we go we get very very positive response not everybody's gonna agree with everything i do i get that and they shouldn't but that's why we're having dialogue log not the kind of monologues you see primarily in these politically of a world these days were talking to people and more importantly were listening to people well everybody loves dialogues everybody loves jobs and education there's there's no doubt about it senator i'm giving you any news alabama is a very very red place your last election was a special election president trump wasn't at the top of the ballot roy more will talk about him was a lot of things but maybe one of the easiest people to the beat because of his scandals in and other troubles are you may not have any of those advantages this time around so we're gonna talk about this but it's gonna take a lot more then dialogues in in in
"doug jones" Discussed on WSJ What's News
"Thanks for listening everyone democrat doug jones will be sworn in wednesday as alabama's newest senator this will result in at least two things going forward jones's presence bolsters the moderate wing of the democratic party and at narrows the republican majority in the senate to fifty one forty nine but what will it mean as far as trying to pass legislation is concerned let's talk about this with wall street journal reporter schivonne hughes who joins us from washington schivonne you interviewed senator a like doug jones what is his goal is it trying to reach across the aisle for consensus or is it trying to unify his own party both of those things are his calls he absolutely wants to reach across the aisle fair consensus he is somebody he says that is why it voters have his state alabama want now at the same time he's very mindful of the fact that the democratic party is currently fracture it and what he is hoping as he can be someone who helped spraying more unity now that's a very very tall order and it's not likely that that can be accomplished but that's what he wants to try will he is a moderate is any attempted bipartisanship going to create tensions with a more liberal wing of the democratic party they may be in no mood to negotiate with anybody at this point there is no doubt that it's going to create tension there is an element within the democratic party that at this point is fed up with donald trump that is fed up with how republican leaders treated democrats last year when republicans drove through a major tax overhaul and a repeal of the individual mandate on a partyline vote and there's a sense of why should we bother working with republicans when the elections are only several months away and we have a chance of may be flipping one or possibly both chambers i sort of wonder what he is inclined to do at this point you know he is a moderate does he find any common ground with republicans on policy i think he might not only is he a moderate but you have to keep in mind that in december he was elected to fill out the remainder of jeff sessions is tough.
"doug jones" Discussed on Abe Lincoln's Top Hat
"Rations at the end of the day so well knows but that right now the democratic party can be the good guys net neutrality net net neutrality votes went straight among party lines they went straight among like republican well and and democrat and that you know even though uh the you know some of the report the democrats may have got did get money from telecom companies it's the republicans their spending it via n are really paying attention to it and they're they're they're eating a meal if you want to uh if you are republican and you want to look at the bright side of this number one again it's much better for the republican party ruin more is nowhere near washington dc the election will be in 2020 right so doug jones will have to three years i suppose uh to to hold that senate seat and then they can run a more moderate or more traditionally republican candidate and they can get that seatback this was this is not a permanent a thing i mean it would be amazing if doug jones could be a consistent democratic senator from alabama that would be regal unbelievable we'll see i mean who knows a we'll see this is a true indication that the start the state has gone a little bit more purple or if this was just such a crazy election that it's not going to be indicative of elections going forward but if you're the republicans you've got to be happy as they will be sitting up ethics committees right now news would just all the news will be on this lunatic going to washington and about on the other hand man i mean you say like this one crazy election the fuck you call two thousand sixteen one crazy election i call it all is a it's it's getting to be where leg you know it the republicans keep putting forth people light pol had but that's the other things that the republicans did put forth roy more roy more put himself fourth and republicans had no choice but to say come on.
"doug jones" Discussed on Abe Lincoln's Top Hat
"Two percent right in again a crucial vote their sex by race white dudes twenty six percent for jones seventy two percent for more as you can expect and this is really another stunning number and we saw this in in two thousand sixteen with fifty three percent of the suburban white female vote go in for donald trump which was really a big surprise sixty three percent of white women supported roy more in this 34 percent surprising the least bats a high number as saying not even close to surprising 34 percent of white women went for doug jones so you see there that doug jones was peel and twenty six percent 34 percent of black men and again thirty one percent of the total vote was white women black men eleven percent of the total vote ninetythree percent went for jones six percent for more and i think i miss both before black women made up seventeen percent of the total voting electric ninety eight percent went for doug jones so that was why he was able to get uh over the finish line and was able to win this election there's a lot of interesting data here just check out the washington post article and you can look for yourself obviously liberals eighty six percent went for a win for jones 14 percent for roy moore who are they i am a diehard liberal i'm going further theo gradual explores two the horse bucks the horse yes horse it up.
"doug jones" Discussed on Abe Lincoln's Top Hat
"Uh five own or a little bit over five million dollars so he was out spent almost two to one by doug jones so some of the conservative theories are who are these super pat groups who is funding doug jones old george soros his name is thrown around so frick and much perhaps george soros donated some money to the dope doug jones campaign i don't know that's how campaigns work yeah um and i don't get all up on it with the when the left goes crazy about the ride coming for the longest time the interesting thing about politics right now sony things were flipping first of all the democrats are attempting to be a party of sexual morality which is hilarious and then second of all they are the money of the or the party of big money right now that's the one gold the bannon who's always really played up he said we don't take the money from corporate interests of course the rnc refunded roy we're not refunded they started to fund again the more campaign if you want to disprove that look at how much money republicans took from telecom co the huge amount court is a gigantic amounts absolutely so you are right that doug jones did have more money he did raise more money but a also don't forget roy more and he had a primary uh that he had to go through in that runoff in for this runoff election which cost a lot of money for the other candidates so as a whole the republican party and corporate inches financed a lot uh not not not necessarily more but comparable money as doug jones but doug jones never really had a process that ruined more with room more difficult process to get to where he was yeah an whoever ran doug jones his campaign whoever his campaign manager was can write his own ticket for will cory cell.
"doug jones" Discussed on Abe Lincoln's Top Hat
"For that constituency group who deaths definitely deserve it because without them doug jones isn't going to washington dc right now absolutely absolutely not a lot of factors also the republicans that went with the with the writing candidates taken away just enough for roy more it was this took a lot of people on the field to beat this crazy theocrat which is it's a sad statement but it's also a good statement because they came together and they did it you mentioned donald trump when asked how do you feel he's doing on his job eighty nine percent of people who said he's doing well who approve of him and let's not forget donald trump won alabama by twenty eight point jacco rusted alabama this was like this was a total trounce in 2016 if you approved almost ninety percent eighty nine percent went for more nine percent went for jones if you disapprove ninety three percent went for doug jones six percent for roy more and now only forty eight split 48 percent 48 percent approve disapprove for president donald trump so he's even losing support and how alabama wow so that's a big sign and that's one of the interesting um data point that we're getting from this election the fact that he won by 28 points in now with this it's an even split 48 48 that is now looking good for donald trump and who knows what that means for for 2018 but i think if he is on the ticket if donald trump is on the ticket that charm is really beginning to wear off i mean you know just look at that rediculous tweet he had about kirsten jilib ran this week about how he she would go into his office she would always ask for money she would do anything he believed in parentheses like zia anything yeah he literally putting in parentheses like i'm winking but ever like we see you.
"doug jones" Discussed on Abe Lincoln's Top Hat
"For these right inns who really did possibly swayed the election because i think most of these right inns were conservatives who just could not pull the trigger for roy more but also obviously we're not going to vote for a democrat they gave the election to doug jones enemy and obviously the the ground game was very surprising for johnson and i think the increase in the wipe out there i don't think that has much to do with people changing their minds as much as it does people who actually got up their ass and left the house and actually participated in i and actually realize that uh you know people in this country are starting to realise that voting matters you know these things have very real consequences on our lives now i think for for the longest time in america you can kinda put your head in the sand about politics and it didn't really affect your life that much uni but now people are starting to see that there are very real consequences if you do not pay attention people are starting to stand up get out and make their voices heard and it's a fucking beautiful thing to see the election was a difficult one four a doug jones not a lot of people gave them a chance to win this thing myself included thirty seven percent of the total vote uh was from democrats that was only thirty seven percent of the voters and it was 43 percent republican so he had to peel off doug jones had appeal off quite a few republicans and he was able to do that he obviously got ninety eight percent of the democrat vote to percent went to roy more i don't know they might just be dixiecrats or something i like i don't know how your like dixiecrats exist i don't know what they really haven't changed the right of the i had no idea who dixiecrats or is it like well they may have been wiggs i have no clue deputy who are these federal it's really showed up and so he was able to get.
"doug jones" Discussed on Can He Do That?
"It doesn't mean much it could you could lose senator rand paul and things could lose senator susan collins a moderate on a lot senator cruised senator mike lee needs conservative hardliners who don't love of a lot of the big legislation so it puts mccown on a position and not really having the votes to move forward on big items robert let's hear how some voters in alabama felt heading into this election and look at some of the forces that drove the outcome in this case first what's that these two candidates democrat doug jones and republican ryan more apart in the eyes of alabama voters what's that these two candidates support was a partisan affiliation republican versus democrat but it was really something that was deeper in roy more his base all him as an evangelical champion someone who would bring their values to washington who was totally anti establishment in doug jones the democrat his core voters saw him as a version of modern alabama uh a lawyer who has prosecuted the ku klux klan and was a former us attorney but has a mild manner is very business focused and it was a difference in candidates about temperament style in what they really represent they were avid cars offered different elements of alabama's own culture and as i spoke to voters i heard about how these candidates these campaigns reflected aspects of themselves here's leslie golden for example a democrat in a paralegal from smoke rise alabama and she commented on the disparity between the candidates um we've got one who is incredibly qualified who has really nothing but good things on his resume who took on cases that he did not have to take on but saw there was a great injustice the need to be looked at and then we've got someone on the other side who is not really down to the civil law he swore to uphold who is appealing to the worst in people.
"doug jones" Discussed on FiveThirtyEight Politics
"It was someone who had a face then praise on which bought it was one of the russian by a guy i that's interesting though i don't think that that's the worst theory i've ever heard threats and pulled out as a pretty high bar who wants more or less maybe the dmk nominee in 2020 alfreton or bernie journal's joann doug jones or hillary clinton a democrat jon so where we go going our dragged down would you go in franken's i'm not going to now and i don't think i just to go back to donald trump for a second here look it was a bad election for it and there's just no doubt about that and he's on a losing streak in his approval rating a south a forty percent the democrats hold the lead on the geant congressional generic ballot of 10 points are so i think according to our latest tracker numbers it's not a good environment for republicans and republicans who think that they can hitch a ride to donald trump and be able to win in the two thousand eighteen midterms personally think there can it is okay let's leave it there thank you nate thank you given the glare gangs skin and harry thank you thank you on the upcoming monday podcast we will follow up on how deep parties are responding and gets more now us in terms of what this means in the senate on votes like tax reform and what this will mean for democrats chances of getting a majority in the senate in 2018 were also releasing the next episode of our gerrymandering series on thursday so check that out until then thanks worlds.
"doug jones" Discussed on FiveThirtyEight Politics
"But it seems to me that the raw vote count does indicate that at least in the suburban counties outside of the major metropolitan area of birmingham alabama that that was a pretty big swing and if you look for instance in madison county which is the huntsville area in in the northern part of the state you see again doug jones outperforming the benchmark and the vote total way but use you see some of the same problem the gop had in virginia glass which is those red areas can stay pretty red but if they have low turnout then all of a sudden that democratic advantage in the suburbs starts look pretty nice electorally for for democrats different circumstances but you know look in something's going to politics 101 that the party that's out of power almost always has an enthusiasm advantage and now you get our though hate this term a little bit of momentum this will certainly boost democratic morale both among voters and among candidates i mean if they you know look if they didn't have when turnout and you have to give some credit to the jones campaign for for number one kind of not making the race about doug jones who has a nice biography but as for abortion rights which is not a popular thing in alabama is pretty liberal on these economic issues in is not a joe manchin type seems like more maybe like a a john tester type who knows his state but john testers frankly pretty liberal he eat it a smart thing in being himself but being quiet about it you know he wasn't he wasn't going out there in your claiming a whole lot about rag jones pacific the ameri more kind of disappear from the campaign trail instead of saying that pay so you get the opportunity for for jones to frame the races about being about decency basically and the media for various reasons is happy to play in to that theme frankly right and so you know so doug jones didn't really have the opportunity to say in quite the right way to say look i understand you might think i'm a flawed person but the fact of the matter is that said the premature.
"doug jones" Discussed on FiveThirtyEight Politics
"It sure doesn't it sure does it now to get to your point i i think that we have to go back and recognize that need to be a number of events that needed to occur in order for doug jones to win this race people don't remember doug jones in a number of low quality what i will call lowquality pulse was actually trailing in the democratic primary to a guy name robert kennedy that nobody had ever heard of so we need it okay those polls were they were they were trash i will agree with you but he needed to win their then roy more needed to win the primary and he only was partially able to do that because mitch mcconnell superpac or the super superpac that's associated with mitch mcconnell decides to go after mo brooks and not roy more because they thought that mode brooks will be more difficult to be in a runoff them roy more at least they thought lukastrained will have a harder time with approximately more but then it turns out that ruined more is able to beat luther strange anyway and then essentially what i thought that i saw all was no i didn't think that doug jones is going to win once roy more became the nominee but if you go back to two thousand twelve roy moore was only able to win his state supreme court chief justice job by less than four percentage points in a year in which mitt romney easily won in a state by over twenty so we knew that roy moore was not a high quality candidates and then what it essentially came down to was the doug jones campaign needed a break and i wasn't sure one way or another that that would occur but it was clear that if they got that break that they'd have a legit shot of winning and sure enough on november nine through the allegations of sexual misconduct against roy more and that ends up being the thing that puts doug johnson a position to win and he ends up winning by a pointer to a right clear how it happened who turned out who voted before this election we talked about this on the monday podcast nobody knows who's going to turn out and that's going to be the deciders obviously yachting factor well doug jones saw the black voters of alabama turn out and vote for him which was a big.
"doug jones" Discussed on FiveThirtyEight Politics
"Welcome to this emergency fivethirtyeight politics podcast i'm deal and recall jody is out this evening a democrat doug jones has won a senate seat in alabama the state that went for trump by 20 points and has not elected democrat to the senate in what is a quarter of a century yep slowing who was last changed last night at elected that would be 1992 and the illusion of the cat out with that was richard shelby who's now a republican although as a couple of people pointed out to me on twitter there is a guy who retired from the senate ryan howell heflin yeah i will have flynn who won in 1990 all right as you can hear here with me are editor in chief nate silver house a gallon good politics writer claire malone good your hair yeah and of course harrington how're you doing i'm hopped up on diet aimed w cream i'm doing great wouldn't expect any less okay nate i want to take you back to a politics meeting i think like two months ago and we were talking about the november elections and harry said you know november elections hm interesting what i'm really interested in is this alabama special senate race i think it could be close i'm really interested and neko's nah not an alabama you guys don't know how red alabama is well bros where the allegations idea benito allegation i mean look so alabama was much closer than usual before and that's important keep in mind so if you look at all the polls firm when moore won the runoff against sanders strange to the allegations first were disclosed by the washington post he led by polls by ten points on average since and a became much closer so you know i do think pretty clearly without these allegations that because jones only will win by a point or two it looks like without those allegations that more would have underperformed but one you know maybe by less than republican sure.