3 Burst results for "Bourbon Bay"
"bourbon bay" Discussed on At The Races With Steve Byk
"Thirty seven percent or higher. That's ridiculous you hit it thirty seven percent. No neither okay. Okay so we're gonna go from race one on race one saratoga who won the won one horse. Top win percentage with the to win the race sorts of gsi real quick. We'll just see if any of the other metrics hero right there. Click on the arrow top gsa as well correct. Okay now we're going to raise to poke a three-horse one ring of fire and ring afire. Fire had the top top. Win percentage shortage sr okay so the top win percentage e morning lines eight to one. The horse went off it. What wasn't what i was. Okay let's go to race number. Three tours wins the race. Scotty second pick seventeen percent e morning. Line five to two. But who's the top g. Sr okay race number four. I can't make. I'm not making this style. This who won the race choo choo voice and the scotty. Long shot is who. I don't know one. Who's bourbon bay. Got third place right. Yep so okay. So the two ended up winning the race which was which has got his pick and also so scotties topic is right there. Okay okay and then the top. One percentage was who before nope no the two right now. Okay let's go to race number five by the way the one horse the reason i brought that up bourbon by the reason i brought that up is if you play tournaments you the cash tournaments right that one coming in at thirteen or fourteen to one coming in third massive okay so next race. The three horse gary. But but here's the thing. Look at this horse. Laugh at ten to one. What was the morning line in the horse. Click on the morning line the morning line podge morning line ten to our morning line what's g. Sr three three. Thank you very much. Okay okay what the seven whose. But but what does he have. Seventy five seventy seventy four. Who's the scotty. Long shot the who won the race. Thank you very much shaped by the way lesser pay forty three sixty. What about race number seven one. Who won the race. Montoc daddy the five. That was at the top scotty. Pick longshot determine fury the seven he ran second. Thank you very much okay. How about raising. The marie won the race is this top. One percents was three to five. I know but still but what was his win. Percentage forty five percent. What was this morning line fortify. And what was his top. What was the not a bad. Gs are at sixty six right. Okay not bad. It's because the top was only seventy eight. Okay how about race number nine the stake. This is the chad brown horse. Okay what's his win. Percentage twenty two is at the top. Win percentage hot for twenty two. Okay but i want you to sort the tell me the top. Sr by how many points eight by ten points you go off at eight the morning line five. Thank you very much. How about race number ten. And this is the one where you got to kick. This is the one where. I wanna kill myself now. Bag moneybag price place. That's one algorithm. Who's scotty long. Shot the six very much okay. Anything else what else do you want. mike say okay. Visit the pudding. Thank you very much All by the way how much handicapping none none. How many people be handicapping a week ahead of time. Right thank you. Could you have done that. Good of course not. Okay so what do you to do. So here's the point. What do you have to learn how to place a ticket. Put your tickets together properly. Because it's like this all the time. I'm going to say it's that hot all the time but it's very hot. It's very consistent. It's never cold not that hot all the time. But it's never called. And like i said for those who are just tuning in this guy showed up. Gulfstream played in the pegasus didn't handicap race in one it using the system again. He showed up did not handicapped in one. The pakistan turned this truly incredible. Thank you thank you very much Scotty pick sex. Thank you yeah. I wish they bring the two dollars. Pick six pack and you. You hear more about me. Yeah they should ask different. Play these rainbows. I'm sorry this embarrassing. It's bad and i'll tell you another thing for whoever's listening if they had the to pick six handicapped picnics. I've won over three hundred pick sixes in my life. And i've had over six dollars and fifty six is the minute they took that away. I stopped playing all those racists though six races handicap for the pick six. I bet all those as well so for those people that are making these decisions to play a rainbow picks that by the way i only play on mandatory payouts. And i don't even play that much. See how it's working out for you because you're losing the big player you want to cater to these small players. And i get that. Eighty percent of players are small but those twenty percent of bigger players. Pick up more than those in a game. I'm with you. i support the two dollars anyway. I don't want hijacked with you we we. Dm each other about the the swap. Back a little bit. I see that. There's no doubt no doubt that naira abandoning it and domos about goff right. We are. We'll go back to del. Mar rope with three one three with. It's very it. It had the one three that one horses interesting because it's five to one but the top win percentages only what twenty percent or something like that like twenty percent on the so. It's very low twenty percent of the and you wanna do gsa starr. It's wide open right so that's not going to tell you anything. Correct time starters and horses doing something for the first time. The sars tremendous value. Because you on your solution. He's up there fifty one right now in the eight horses lukewarm. But you can see the betting board. How wide open. It is right like the eight who scott scotty. Second pick out. These are algorithms. These are generated ten. We generated three eight. It seems like to me steve. I were using the solution. And i were playing in a in a feeder or a tournament. I would play simply based on the fact that he's sixteen to one guys valued at five or six to one. Maybe a losing play. That's you al clue rock demi. It's a wide open race. Trip is going to play a huge role in there. Right so You know a a wide open race. Knocker play at two to one shot. I mean you may want to play. The eight was going to say this. Whoever the favors favors the three. His is not a bet against the favorites on the way. On the outside scotty. Thirteen horse a two to one. I'm not playing right like that know. Exactly what's the win percentage on the thirteen co it is sixteen percent right fourteen and the more line six to one so the horses getting over bet and is on the outside i would play the one or the eight and i would keep him in something. That's what i would want the ones up to eighteen to play. The if i were in the play the game were you can see the one in the third spot if you wanted to. Wherever right i'm just saying like in a race like this wide open. The all the metrics are saying wide. Open anything's gonna happen here. I wouldn't be surprised that there's four or five horses of the wire but the three is the top top scottie. Pippen doubt about it. But i couldn't use. I couldn't horse like this. There's no way not in a race like this. If you've got to race wide open you take shot and that's why you take a shot. Thanks x-ray eighteen to one. It's a game changer. In tournaments like setting. I if you were able to even run second received. You talked about that earlier with fifteen one shot toward one elimidate steady. Borrow that for a minute. So we can listen.
"bourbon bay" Discussed on At The Races With Steve Byk
"The biggest move. He went from fifty third with one hundred and seventy three ninety now sitting sex at sixty four boy and it's a big move because sample of racist to us today. Only twenty two. it's small and there's no guarantee that there's going to be enough prices enough munition to climb up the more like that. So he's done a heck of a job unbelievable Travis allison who not only has also come from a little further back. Travis allison was twenty first. Starting today he is sitting seven. He also won the vaccination drawing the five hundred dollar. Vaccinations look for vaccination proof dry. So it's it's a. It's a win win for travis. Steve to casper's who is as As as good as there is in this arena. He started today ninety sitting eighth with two fifty eight now We have. I believe to new names in ninth and tenth. Let me refresh no robert jones. Robert child's actually david santoni and they were both well part of of yesterday's leaderboard and they both had. I think trickle down Jones was seventeenth coming into the day. He's back up into the top ten and say tony. He was in fact. I had a lead at one point yesterday before fading and tony has re rally. What's really interesting to me. Steve is your your listeners. Probably includes a lot of people who are related or friends of contestants. And they're hanging on your words hoping that you will say their person's name moving up the leaderboard they can't get a bitter feeling the nets that's gonna pick up. This is a big changes. Donning wind up the rails pam bellies finishing well jillian reason behind them. Turning and owens two guys well ahead and the l. gomez four and a half in front lorraina and sick and all the big ginger chili. Maria studied iran as they come down the home straight show laid out of three. The rain is wet on the inside his penalty. Julie marie and all right coming now lorraina racist to the papal recognition. The rate of killing re laredo as the winner wins the l. doma via link. Jillian marie pelley. Oh it's too big g. There is tainted by. Ms weekend will well to hind and the race. Time is one twenty three seventy nine. Well there was a seven to one shot that was leading and then started to get leg-weary you could see at that was one of those There's a whole bunch of ontario restricted stakes. Today at woodbine. I think that's the first of them and The three to five favorite ends up overwhelming. Well that's no fun for a lot of the players that happens although of as we sit on the other days if you're at the top of the board even if you don't play the race you got somebody to root for and that is the favourite well exactly and and that that is you know that's one of the things get you know you get used to the the swings of the pendulum swings of of emotion in terms of finding your price but then also if when you do and getting into position now you're trying to block everybody else out You know kind of reminds nascar race. Where you're kind of jockeying and jostling for position. The entire racers a lot of pressure on you. Whether you're moving forward trying to protect your spot no question for wait for a couple of more. We'll wait for that race to go official and you can now look ahead very close. I think alice it should be about a minute to post. This is the third and then the saratoga fourth and then monmouth four three races to determine who is going to make it into the final table. The top ten. And let's also while we're here. Let's also get you con a consolation. tournament Was an exciting to danny shabas. Leads that Eighty one dollars and david wolf. Who was an early leader. Actually david wolfe is sitting second and third with both of his tickets with eighty sixty and eighty twenty. Dan kaplan seventy seven. Steve grevena robert ramirez keith nods of kav who was also a prominent on the big leaderboard yesterday or friday jordan jane and there's your top eight in the console and the latest to give you you know that's that's nice posh acute for fifty thousand dollars in the price for the constellation so when they started that a few years ago i thought it was a great idea because it keeps everybody going that third day looking. I want to get the Gulfstream's races are finished now. And i'll start to start to file these away. keep All kinds got stacks of paperwork. The last two the third and the fourth year had a nine dollar eighty cents toke on player. That was the one source and simplify. Second was three dollars and forty cents. So nothing major at those in the third at gulfstream. Corey won the fourth to the three horse and added ten dollars and twenty cents. Second place ended up. Going to madeira wine. Six eighty Chantal sutherland not a terrible number. One of the longer prices was a fifteen to one shot that some people might have utilized at gulfstream so far the four racism were done with gulfstream. Now the four races it was the second race. You had nerve for eddie police. These were two year old Turf sprinters twenty back. So that was one of the good prices ranch. From earlier. At woodbine in the third. You had dancing in denial first time starter for gail cox. Twenty-six forty was. There's been there's been about five of these and it explains why there's been such a bold maneuvers but what's amazing is about the two that we we've discussed. That made the biggest moves. They must have hit everything they must. They hit every decent price. There was because. I must admit i haven't been following every race this morning. But you have and for them to generate close to one hundred dollars in mutuals That's hard to do. So you're right. They probably had to hit all of these big winners. Does that keep you rolling or do you or do you do you look. It's basically lose momentum when you get all these in a row i would. I would never argue against pick winners show row but you know the strategy you can change in a heartbeat because it depends on where you are and who's in front of you and where you need to get to so you know. Sometimes you can kind of pull back a little bit if if you knock out a couple of horses out of the park but then you know. Cut back and get middle. Price stores giddy up here. Some rogers jimmy mcnerney and alice run ransom on earlier. From now tracy. Farmers allow rose to the outside of earth. Here's flora's with a six. Why bid on the far. Turn ron with five six months ago. Smile forty-seven to and they're just outside the quarter mile pole. Moonlight big license. The shot up to the extreme outside is floors as they reach the top of the home stretch and miss giddy comes calling for the miss giddy up to the inside now shifting brown ranch. Mantra squeezed through bids. There's no room. Oh here's la bella. Roseau tom bella. Rosa after labor favored ended up. Getting up ron on down to the wire outside. I'm gonna win by two and a half brought him on fought on well to be sucked into short braces. Let's go to saratoga at the back. Go around the far turn. It is blue. Gator who's been in front right from the start still thereby length then perfect munnings. Daddy knows on the outside bourbon. Bay has dropped back then comes bronx bomber and blow. It has forty five and four seconds. Here comes perfect. Money's on the outside. But blue gator is down at the rally and they are heads apart for the late. Perfect putting's is now in front gators running in second farther back. Bourbon bay bronx bomber and daddy knows perfect. Munnings sayings is now open up perfect mornings and leading writer. Lewis is perfect munnings one by almost five who was second. Bourbon checked in third. Well a pair of rudders appear races. back to.
Racing Without Gambling
"I'm guessing you've heard of the Kentucky Derby Abi to this race that's run usually early in May we haven't yet talked about the Kentucky Derby this year but that's about to change as we're finally starting to get into rounds of prep races that will winnow the field down to twenty for the run for the roses on May the second so to help us do that. We bring in voice. We haven't heard on this show for too long and and that's Jonathan Listener who writes for horse racing nation. Welcome back Jonathan. So before we get into a few specific horses. WHO's impressed you the most so far on the triple triple crown trail? I think Dennis moment to start the list. Dentists moment strikes to lead right at the top of the stretch at Delta. Two lanes lead our three lately for the final final furlong. Dennis this moment with five length lead scabbard with clear sailing up the second but Dennis moment kicks off the road at the Kentucky Derby in a big way. He barely moved a muscle. That we we have it. RESTRAINING NATION DOT COM user generated Kentucky Derby contender rankings and despite his trouble that experience career dentist moment has not left that number. One spot. You talking about a grade three winner. Who was going to be the favourite the Breeders Cup Juvenile L. Stumbles out of the gate? You know he could be undefeated if you look back at his debut he lost his jockey was really no fault zone so he has the two losses and between between them. He's sandwich to really really nice. Looking victories including his debut at Ellis Park they won by like nineteen and a quarter lengths. I think it was so there's a lot of potential there and he's one that I feel like every once in a while you hear about a derby prospect before they make their debut and then we kind of latch onto them I wanna say it was probably roadster roadster last year because Baffert said he could be his next justify American Farrow and obviously it didn't work out there but they'll Romans has talked up Dennis's moment since before he he ran a race. And so we're we're kind of going to the same thing here As far as a couple of other runners eight rings also out of the Breeder's cup juvenile. He's a really interesting. One didn't really run his race. You know the last time we saw him but I think the way he's going to be handled this season. You have to keep paying attention trained by Bob Baffert. He's he's GonNa run him in the rebel at Oaklawn. And then the Arkansas Derby potentially there as well and then another one that you know kind of on the fence about that you know. He's got a lot of towns. Is Max `field scratched from the Breeders Cup Juvenile. He had a little bit of an issue. There it turns out we found out a couple of weeks after that that he had had a minor surgery for a bone chip. But he's not even in serious training now. Well he's he's he's apparently galloping No works yet and so I think they'll have to do the to A. Ah kind of schedule where you hope to get race out of them and then you have a more serious race which I would expect to be something like the blue grass stakes if everything works out well and he's undeniable town. I'm and I think he's GonNa win a major race somewhere down the road. I don't know if it's going to be the Kentucky Derby and then the other one I feel like it's gotten all the conversation is independence hall at at Independence Hall now makes his move. Independence Hall is the leader getting away to lead by two prints of Pharaohs has moved up on the outside. It's Bourbon Bay Independence All L. linked and a half as they come for the quarto prints of Pharaohs on the outside Bourbon Bay. It is independence hall with the lead and now a furlong to the finish Jose Ortiz showing them the whip now goes to work on independence hall. WHO has a three likely? Just a sixteen to the finish at. It's the constitution called Independence Hall. Tailwind Jerome by four Knights won the national stakes by open links came back and won the jerome. It was a little more workmanlike. But he's going to go. Oh into the new year here as another one of the favorites and if I could talk about one more that has sort of attracted my attention a little bit. It's this ancient warrior horse. I don't know what his path is going to look like. He's Jerry Hall android or for trainee. And if you follow racing at all the last year or so. You'll know that. He's SORTA become embattled. Dan from the strike. Group's tracks out in California But I of all these horses that have won maiden races and we'll be going to the stakes. I want to watch that one closely. He's moved him over to Oakland Park. We should see him in an allowance. Race coming up at the beginning of February and then from then on he should be on the Derby trail else. That's one that that I definitely want to see more of well. You mentioned Bob Baffert. And it's tough to talk about the Kentucky Derby Trail Without Bob Baffert and he has a lot more than the one you mentioned. There's thousand words who ran a big race in the low sal futurity. I'm a Roger Federer Fan but you have to give it up for an doll who is also ambassador trainee. Who looked really really good? So I mean you know Bob Baffert certainly knows how to get horses to the Derby mean how many of these prospects aspects of pan out. I see a path for all of them. To be honest. You know and we also have mentioned authentic. It's still authentic coming to the three the eight ball. He's been in control throughout leads by a length and a half to uncaptured hero. It's all authentic as they pass the quarter pole and turned for home authentic and complete Khaliq Command turning it on. He's in front by sex with a furlong left to go. Zimba Warrior and Assault Coast as authentic is putting on a show. Here is a little green gene shifting about but long gone authentic strolls home in the sham. He'll win by about eight lakes green. It's Grafton stretch and just kept going there and another extremely impressive Horse Nidal I. I wonder about him a little bit. You know we've only seen him one time on Sunday and that six and a half for a long race he he looks like Dortmund Ortmann if you go back to two thousand fifteen big horse. That wasn't extremely fast out of the gate but once he got into stride he went straight to the pace and never really let up there. Yeah it's not not really the kind of horse you want to win the Derby but I think you could get to the Derby and then thousand words certainly has every reason to move forward his last race. I think they had probably a little bit the too much blinker on him and he ended up going head to head with that no door that ran in the Breeders Cup juvenile second. I think it's SORTA legitimize both of those horses that they ran so closely in the future. But I think thousand words is probably at least a couple of lengths better then a no door. He just probably didn't see him in the stretch until Flavian Kinda guided him out and it's like Oh with the blinker. The horse realized he had something to run against a win on. So I guess when you talk about horses that I'm looking at in the new year. Thousand Words is definitely on that shortlist list to Jonathan Listener of racing. Nation is with us here on the gate. We've talked a little bit about the Breeders Cup juvenile which was a topsy turvy race. You had three big horses that we've mentioned into all had their problems that day. We haven't talked about the horse. Who Wanted Storm the court for trainer Peter Martin and that would be a very popular win in the racing business? As you know what chance do you give storm the court to back up what he did in the juvenile. Oh probably not much not a lot of black type in the family. I'm not sure if there's any black type from Stanley I'd agree wise. And then you know he was obviously the beneficiary of other horses stumbles in that race You Know He. He goes gate to wire was not really pressed a whole lot and at the same time. I think they took the blinker. They put their blinkers on. I'm sorry and I have not a fan of lemon. That put blinkers was on a horse at that point in their career. I feel like you should be taken them off so that they can relax. Prepare to go a little bit longer. I think that race and the circumstances just all all came together for storm the court and allowed him to upset that race. It's forty five to one. Whatever he ended up that day I'm sort of in agreement? I think with everybody else that the the the better Derby Derby prospect was no door and second in that race going forward. I want to mention because these races have just happened. Enforceable label for Mark Cassie. Who is not missed? A beat after a son norm went out on his own. He had been his father's chief assistant and enforceable. Really good winning the Lecomte. But we haven't seen too many Lecompte winners. Go on to run well in the Kentucky Derby. Where do you put me as a tap it colt out of a dixie union in marriage? The breeding is good. I put him a really high on my list. As far as forces will be in the Derby but I would not put him on my list of forces that I think can win the Derby and I say that because of his running style you know if we go back to almost every year that the point system has been effect and obviously gets rid of those pure your sprinters. It's the horses that can put themselves near the front at the beginning of the race and keep that pace up and never be caught by closers that tend to win the Derby enforceable enforceable is one of those closers. It's inevitable that he's GONNA run into traffic problem you know. I almost hope he sneaks into the Derby and everybody overlooks. Because I feel like he's the kind of horse could come into the super factor. That's probably going to be a really common line of thought. Though I mean I'm thinking a few months out but the soup perfect You know in the era of a favorites winning the Derby is as remain because it's pretty high minimum of really profitable wager for people nonetheless so yeah for me. He's a super effective player. I I I think he's GonNa be okay as the distance is longer obviously is a full brother Mohammed and a half years day. There's a lot there in the pedigree just really impressive on paper and it was good to see him run as well as he did you know He. He broke his maiden at nine furlongs last summer at Saratoga and it looks like okay. Here's a real two year old and I you know he ran into you. Go into a little bit shorter and the breeder security at keeneland and Max field because two things came together and got him beat but he's definitely better horse than he showed that day and it was good to see him back it up the trump