7 Burst results for "Andr Pecos"

"andr pecos" Discussed on Bloomberg Radio New York

Bloomberg Radio New York

08:04 min | 2 months ago

"andr pecos" Discussed on Bloomberg Radio New York

"This morning, along with stops in Europe as restrictions to curb escalating coronavirus cases against some of the optimism of our earnings and plans for additional stimulus. The dollar is strengthening for the first time this week. We check the markets every 15 minutes throughout the trading day on Bloomberg. S and P Futures down. 23 points down features down. 212 NASDAQ Futures Down 64 the decks in Germany's down 4/10 of a percent 10 year Treasury of 4 30 seconds Yield 1.9% yield on the two year 20.12% Nymex crude oil's down 2.5% on a dollar 32 51 81 a barrel Comex gold is down one and a third percent or $25.10 at 18 44 20 announce. Euro 1.2159 against the dollar. That's a Bloomberg business Flash common Paul Karin, Thanks so much the Bloomberg Interactive Brokers studios and we say good morning to you from New York City. Thrilled you were this. Bloomberg 11 30 in New York in Washington. Good morning. In Boston and San Francisco is well, the pandemic has been our theme today. No question about that from the Johns Hopkins University, Andrew Pecos. I think the U. S needs to scale up the ability to get to be honest needles into people's arms. The vaccine manufacturing seems to be on schedule in terms of generating enough vaccine, and each week there's more and more vaccine available. We need to now focus on after moving away from the high priority populations is the mass vaccination campaign. And you know, the body administration just made a few announcements that really will facilitate that we needed make sure that people are getting their vaccine. We need to make sure that they get them on the prescribed dose because we know Prescribed dose Ng will give us that 92 95% protection rate that will really make an impact come the fall in terms of the covert 19 pandemic. How critical is the change A vaccine if it gets approved because it's one single doth. So the caveat is, we still haven't seen the clinical efficacy data. But a single dose vaccine and especially one that doesn't have that cold chain that the Madonna and the Fizer vaccines require will really improve our ability to vaccinate people that will allow us to go to a more remote places that will allow us to set up. Maura backs a nation centers because we won't have those those limitations of having those Very cold minus 70 Celsius freezers around to make sure that the vaccine is stored appropriately before giving it so I'm looking forward to seeing that data because it will dramatically improve. The vaccination campaign if it's efficacious. I know it's different. You don't get charged because you're basically competing with the number of people vaccinated. You know, Thomas counter the number of infections and the number of people that end up in hospital. Is there a magic number? Do you have to get this many people vaccinated in this number of days to try and beat this? Yeah, The models that are based on the older lineage is not. The new variants would suggest that somewhere in the range of 70 to 75% of the adult population needs to be vaccinated to make a really significant impact on the spread. Of stars Kobe, too, and they'll modelers are working now to see how these new variants that may have increased transmission would play into that, But I still think that that's a great goal 70% of the adult population if we can do that by September. Then we'll be really set to make an incredibly important impact on the spread of this virus Come the next fall winter season. Dr Perricone. Do we have any figures of once you get that first Fizer vaccine? How immune are you to it before you get the second does? Yes. So the clinical trial suggests that Is an efficacy of about 50% after the first dose immune responses are there in a in a majority of people, but they're significantly lower than after the The booster dose, and that's important from a Murali gee standpoint because we really want to get people to a high level of immunity as fast as possible. When you have a large population with moderate amounts of immunity. That's usually a recipe for the virus to be able to have variant submerge that are resistant to those antibodies, so we want to move from Low immunity to high immunity as soon as possible, And I think that's what the visor and but during a vaccine schedules really allow us to do. It was a very different Anthony Fauci yesterday, saying he was almost relieved that that now the administration trusts and listened to the scientists do U. S citizens follow that and trust scientists more and get vaccinated? More? I hope so. Certainly the numbers that have been the that I've seen about Vaccine acceptance have been increasing. Lately. I think that this new administration with a new focus on emphasizing the science, bringing the science forward following the science To be honest, the leadership that reminds everybody of all the things that they were supposed to be doing to limit. The spread is actually quite invigorating. And it's refreshing to see that attitude, even though it's only been a few days since the new administration has taken place. So I see a lot of Good things on the future. I love the executive orders that air going out because they take care of the short, medium and long term needs to control this pandemic. And I think that we're now going to be moving forward into a new phase where we can really get better control of this on allow ourselves to come back to some more normal semblance of living in a few months. Andr Pecos, joining us Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Of course, Mr Bloomberg his philanthropy to his college and also of course, founder of Bloomberg LP, his TV and radio property. As well, Any number of stories Paul to talk about. Besides, I don't have man DeLorean out today, and I'm still upset about that. I know you are after thoughts said you mean it ends and I said, I'm gonna make a new season and all that, but of the stories, I think the emotion Paul You and I used to teach young analysts about free cash flow off of Page three of the IBM annual report. And to me, it's two things. It's technological change, obviously front and center in it's also and I don't mean this in a negative way. Financial engineering They financially engineer some of their success. Yeah, it's interesting here, Tom. The stock is down. You know, over 8% this morning, and you know another quarterly revenue decline in this, You know, I was reading some analysts notes coming off of Wall Street this morning, and there's a real question as to whether IBM can pivot to the cloud. I mean, and that for a lot of these big tech companies, that is the future when you know we we We know Amazon is a star there. Microsoft. Even Google is well, so there's some players there. And the question for a lot of investors is where does IBM Fit into that transformation of what we're singing in big technology. Same goes for Intel as well. But boy IBM really taking it on the chin this morning, Paul, you're so much better to send me that. The basic idea is not what they're going to do. They have to stop this Clay Christiansen 101. They have to stop doing Established practices that's brutally hard to do isn't it really is time for a company as big and as well established with, you know some of their product lines as IBM to pivot on the fly is such a difficult thing to do. Microsoft. Did it extraordinarily. Well, Tom, I've been having a tougher time We will see IBM is Paul mentions down about 8% right now. We'll monitor.

Bloomberg LP IBM Paul Karin Bloomberg Interactive Brokers Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School Microsoft Andrew Pecos Europe New York City Tom Johns Hopkins University Germany Clay Christiansen Mr Bloomberg Intel Anthony Fauci Boston
"andr pecos" Discussed on Bloomberg Radio New York

Bloomberg Radio New York

07:27 min | 4 months ago

"andr pecos" Discussed on Bloomberg Radio New York

"Tom and Paul Karin. Thanks so much. I really want to make clear folks. Brent crude making another dash. We had a dash all about this time yesterday up near $52 a barrel. We're not there yet again. We search higher here, 51. 80 right now on Brent crude. Maybe we'll see a 50 to print here in a bit. We're all exhausted by the pandemic and trying to sort out the geographic news flow. Within. That is the hope of vaccine one and vaccine, too. And we say, good morning to all listening on Bloomberg radio across California, and particularly a beleaguered Los Angeles here is Andr Pecos. The Johns Hopkins University. Case numbers continue to increase across the US and what that means is that the health care workers that are in hospitals that are on the front line there are going to need to be on guard and spending a lot more time at work. Rather than at home with their families. The case number of searches in the U S, you know, happened after the Thanksgiving holidays. Um they continue to be a high an unsustainable rate, and it's important to understand that It's the human power that is important at hospital, so it's not just number of beds that are being occupied. It's how many people are available to take care of those individuals that are sick. This pandemic has taken a real toll on the health care workers in terms of them getting sick and then how much stress they have been endured to deal with all of the severe cases that are coming through. Dr Packard's When you look at the role of vaccine isn't going according to plan. Another concerns about you know some people was possible allergies, not reacting. But overall, are you satisfied? Yes, This is now going to be a logistics problem, primarily, although safety monitoring is going to kick continue to go forward. Let's touch on that. First, I think Remember this is an emergency use authorization, So we're going to continue to monitor for safety and for efficacy in individuals that are getting the vaccine because now we're going to see a much larger number of people get the vaccine number in the clinical trials, so safety and efficacy is still a primary concern and will be monitored. The flow of vaccine is always going to be a little bit variable. We're talking about production at a scale that companies have never had to do before And so you've certainly should expect to see some variations, the number of doses that air coming through on a weekly basis. Will become even more complicated in 3 to 4 weeks when people have come back for their booster doses, But again these air logistics problems. People have been thinking about these problems, putting things in place for months now. We expect to see some speed bumps, but we don't expect to see roadblocks roadblocks on but I think the system is flexible enough to deal with some of those things aside, come down the pipeline. Andy, What can you tell us about the pace of vaccination? So you mentioned distribution. But if we go to similar pace, how long will it take to actually vaccinate enough people in the U. S to make sure we have heard immunity? Is it too slow? Right now, it will be a little slow. I think we're banking on the fact that we will have more vaccines coming on the market over the next couple of months. We just heard this week that Madonna is all set for their formal FDA approval here in the United States. More modern, a vaccine doses are targeted for the United States. And we expect on down the line is more vaccines come on board that will see these large jumps in the amount of vaccine doses that are available. It's important right now that the vaccination strategy is aimed at limiting severe cases, and that's why we've targeted those populations first, then we'll move to the regular population. An update on the pandemic from Dr Picard's of the Johns Hopkins University. And for those you just getting into the news for the vice president today, being vaccinated with a surgeon general and with Mrs Pence in quite a symbolic moment, Dr Fauci and believe in attendance there at the White House at the Eisenhower building and now joining us a star of stage and screen Lisa Abramowitz, generally some You know, Look, if we could talk about something off the radar with the market up seven right now, Futures up seven. Please. I'm watching. You know, we got a million cameras. We see every network folks in here I got the golf channel on the whole thing. Way watching Drew bury more. And Martha Stewart doing a rap a thon. Uh, Drew Barrymore wraps like I do? Uh, I mean, it's like a nightmare. Martha Stewart looks like it's open heart surgery. She's got it like Lisa, where you on this open heart surgery or looking at a bargain. Perfect wrapping gifts. And I'm not the best rapper haven't I mean, really? You're gonna have me confess my rapping sins on air. What really got to be better than me? I am the worst rapper known to mankind. I mean, do you take newspaper and you crumple it up? But just nothing. But there's a difference. No, come on. I never done this. There's a difference and that I only used the Ft What I grabbed the newspaper because of the pink paper, the salmon and the kids. What kids know they wouldn't know Lionel Barber from Santa Claus. Do you know what it's pretty and they do? You know what? I've wrapped it, and that's not the same things I will say. I'm not surgical like Martha Stewart. What else he watching there? Seriously. I'm watching. I'm watching Bloomberg TV fare American sees Got his capris on already. I have no idea warm Capri was this the Amalfi Coast folks down Italy near Naples and John's really smart to go there. I mean, it's really lovely. What's perfect, especially after the sock discussion because he really likes nice socks. And we had this whole discussion about his Pantsuit cut because there was some controversy over it. Well, the British, you know, it's really great that he's going to Capri because I mean, you know, gets a little. That's what the young lads in Britain where, but you know, I I'm sure John will bring us back three or four dozen of the I hope I'm pronouncing this right. There's a poli In the street. Foley. That's what they're famous for. Like for desserts, wintered December Dirt's and kids. Definitely. Yes, well, hopefully he'll bring them back to us next year. When he comes back. We talking to lean the markets lift. I mean, you know, we're moving. The market futures up eight and there's a resilience to the second market isn't there? I am very curious. We talked about this at the end of the show, but Tesla's getting incorporated. I think it's very interesting, and I think that there is a question. Of what will allow people to question this melt up that has gotten to be even melt here. Upper over the year. That's proper See if a language you good wearing off of me, Tom. No, It's true belt here up. Yours is good, and it describes where we are particularly When I've participated so vastly. Oh, yeah. In the ship delivering your cash. What is that big, negative, real yield me. What does it mean Lisa? That means that inflation expectations are going up. And yet yields actual yields are staying low. We'll have to cover that that only big part of the story next week. The Abramoff King of Fun. I think we're over 13 hours straight. That's a.

Martha Stewart Lisa Abramowitz United States Johns Hopkins University Tom Brent Drew Barrymore golf Dr Packard John California Bloomberg Lionel Barber Dr Picard Paul Karin Capri Bloomberg TV FDA Andy
"andr pecos" Discussed on Bloomberg Radio New York

Bloomberg Radio New York

02:47 min | 6 months ago

"andr pecos" Discussed on Bloomberg Radio New York

"By a larger percent, and those particular factors are going to really dictate how effectively this vaccine can be used. It's not very likely that this is going to be 100% efficacious vaccine that prevents you from ever getting infected. A more realistic expectations are that it's going to help us protect a certain percentage of the population reduced severity, and then it needs to be rolled out in a way that can reduce the total number of cases. And that's going to be the critical thing. How the rollout is going to be based on how efficacious the back scene it's. This is a really important point for markets to I know you're focused on the medical aspect. The Goldman Sachs put out a report on how vaccine volatility Was heating up heading into what we're going to be hearing from the likes of Madonna and Pfizer, about to release the results of some of their face three trials. When are we going to know what we're dealing with? When it comes to the vaccine? How protective it is, and whether or not it could actually break the cycle of the pandemic we're seeing now. Yeah, So some of the vaccines that I've entered their phase three clinical trials already are just wrapping up their enrollments, meaning that they're hitting their 130,000 people targets. Now that means that those people we want results from those studies until two months down the line, But the companies will probably be releasing data on the first individuals that were vaccinated. And they'll probably be positioning to get emergency use approval from the Federal Drug Administration. If they can continue to show that they're vaccines are safe, and they have some signal for efficacy. So we'll see some preliminary data, probably in the next month or two. But the full data from the from the studies won't be released until probably sometime in the in the early year because they only finished up enrolling their patients in the past week or two. Andr Pecos of the Johns Hopkins University on the huge challenges of his pandemic, For course, sports has been a wonderful relief. Lisa Abramowitz, I just got a report in that Mr Levin is resting carefully after the Giants game last night. Yeah, well, they did lose their joining the rest of the rest of the New York teams. Just absolutely. The way they lost. It's just it was like it was worse than Mookie going from 1st 3rd your giants, then? No, I don't know. Please. Oh, you're not even gonna entertain the Vegas memories of seeing Y and Johnny in that famous game. I really don't know if I did see it, and I just I saw the one consolation for Giants fans is they're not Jets fans. That's basically it fun Sunday. Jets pills or do I watch the Steelers?.

Giants Andr Pecos Goldman Sachs Jets Steelers Lisa Abramowitz Pfizer Federal Drug Administration Johns Hopkins University New York Mr Levin Vegas Madonna Johnny
"andr pecos" Discussed on Bloomberg Radio New York

Bloomberg Radio New York

08:02 min | 6 months ago

"andr pecos" Discussed on Bloomberg Radio New York

"U. S futures are advancing and global stocks were heading toward the biggest weekly gain since July after the White House saying no unopened NUS two large scale stimulus and companies raised profit forecast. We check the markets every 15 minutes throughout the trading day on Bloomberg. S and P futures have 21 points now features of 155 and NASDAQ futures up 71 the decks and Germany's up a quarter percent 10 year Treasury up to 30 seconds he'll 300.77% yield on the two year 20.14%. Nynex crude oil's down a quarter percent or nine cents, at 41 10 a barrel Comex gold up 1.6% or $30.90 had 1926 announced the euro 1.1815 against the dollar. British found 1.2969 in the U. N 105.86. And that's a Bloomberg business Flash Tom and Paul Karen. Thank you so much greatly appreciated. It is a Friday In America a longer weekend. We welcome all of you on the edge of Columbus Day across the state Great nation and far back to February and March, the beginning of a pandemic. We need an update. Andr Pecos of Johns Hopkins University. Good health is one of the factors that really drives the differences that we see in terms of disease, severity and disease. Prevalence is across different areas that mean a lot more factors play into it. But if we're going to focus on nutrition, you know being fattened America's probably not a good thing these days when it comes to covert 19 because of the more severe diseases that are there, the Converse is true to malnutrition. Poor diets. Those Khun make one more susceptible to infectious diseases, sometimes just in terms of being infected will but sometimes in terms of disease severity instead and again, That's one of the driving factors. The socio economic factors are really important factors when looking at A disease from a regional from a from a national perspective because they may be driving those differences that we're seeing in terms of how it is these presents in one country versus another. And you. What can you tell us? Send Good morning from London. What can you tell us about the president's recovery? Yes. So you know the heat. The president had a really fantastic group of doctors around him. He was given a course of therapy, which is a little bit untested. The Regeneron antibody and the room disappear given early are both things that on paper are exactly what you should be doing those target the virus and should be given earlier in an infection. His use of decks. The methadone a little bit later was a little bit interesting because it's usually reserved for more severe cases of disease. On. That's because we usually want to get Dexter Method zone when the virus has already been somewhat controlled in its your immune response that's driving the disease that's present. You know it worked out President recovered well, but the important thing to know is this is a will be calling any equals one case. We need to have more clinical trials that show that this course of treatment or similar types of treatments really do work and that and that, and that's important to go forward. That's why we have clinical trials. For vaccines, but also for treatments. Andrew. I mean, the president wants to get back to work. He wants to go back campaigning you, No one would presume that That means he's no longer infectious. Is it a shorter amount of time than we thought Someone is infectious when you get the disease, so usually it's between 10 to 14 days after Simpson on set that one feels like you're actually going to be not infectious anymore. On DH, So I think that is the period of time that he's getting, too. Right now. He'll also have a lot of other tests that measured his virus load, meaning that we'll be looking at how much viruses in a system and using that as a secondary confirmation that he's no longer infectious. So you know he's approaching that phase, where he should be able to resume all of his duties for what his doctors have said. I think the bigger issue, though, that you see from the debate that you see from The Supreme Court nominee announcement is there has to be a better A sense of responsibility, to be honest in terms of making sure the public health and the social interaction interventions are in place to limit the spread of the virus in the White House than this staff. You can't rely on one thing like testing to make you safe. You have to have the testing of social distancing the mask wearing all of those things in place, and that has to be demonstrated by the White House staff that that is being done in appropriate manner to prevent widespread moving to this virus through that staff. And if you look at the case in poison of the White House, or there are more people in the US that will likely, um do and practice some of the protocols of social distancing the mask wearing because they see what happened the White House or because the president is now okay, People will actually ignore some of the advice that scientists give You know, I would like to think it's the former because this really was an example of how we're lying on one thing. Testing alone leaves you vulnerable, and it allows the virus into be able to spread. You know, we're very fortunate that most of the cases involved in the White House were mild to moderate cases that we didn't have any very severe cases of disease. But that's not the case. In many scenarios again. The White House staff tends to be a little bit younger in terms of their average age. If this happening in a place where there was a significantly older population, we could have had some very severe disease cases come out of this, so the important thing is stopped. Transmission cycles. Be proactive. Make sure that you are Limiting the Texan situations that the virus can spread in because that's going to reduce the burden in our country in general, and that's the real goal that we're going after. And a percussive with the Johns Hopkins University. Palestinian Tom Keen. We welcome all of you really quite a week, Futures of 21 down Futures of 1 $44 little bit weaker. We're just watching the movement Renminbi, the Chinese. You want really quite stronger this morning 6.6983 and continues to strengthen Pacific Rim growth. You know that gets her, Paul. None of it matters. No, I mean, there's no pressure on cold or is there I mean, I mean, I mean the Yankees tonight, I can't believe I have to do this. Yes, Mr Bloomberg. I'll do this. I promise you, I'll do it. I mean, come on, Paul. Helping hear Coltrane. They work a game Five. You know, this is a deciding game here. So to spring, who Yeah, exactly. So we'll see the plane, the raise and the race and had the Yankees number this year, But somehow we're here tied to games apiece. So we'll have Mr Garrett Cole, the good jillion dollar a year guy back on the hill on short rest us. Mr. Rich Truman has notified us, so we'll see how that goes. He's going to earn his money tonight. That's for sure. Seven Swedes 30 years old, He's in his prime. His one win losses. Like Shockingly good one on one in 55 over lifetime. Yeah, so this is the guy you know, you spend the big money to get the ace. This is arguably what the Yankees have been missing. Thomas's tohave that ace. We know they've got the slugging line up out there, but the Rays have had their number this year. It's really extraordinary on low budget. The Tampa Bay Rays have really had the Yankees number. But here we are. Game five, and this is kind of what it's all about. In this crazy shows it will stop. Is this a real season? I mean, come on. He's weird, always an asteroid on calling this a really season here, but he's what we've all had to deal with this year. Makes it very real in my mind, so no asterisk. For me. This is a real season for all of these athletes as they try to compete in basketball. We've got LeBron coming up Game five thes air really seasons to.

White House Yankees president Paul Karen Johns Hopkins University America Bloomberg Tom Keen Germany Tampa Bay Rays U. S basketball Mr Bloomberg Andr Pecos methadone Khun
"andr pecos" Discussed on Bloomberg Radio New York

Bloomberg Radio New York

03:21 min | 7 months ago

"andr pecos" Discussed on Bloomberg Radio New York

"Cov too, You know, Estimates are maybe we've got 10% of the population at most of in the US that has been infected so far, that's come at a cost of 200,000 deaths. Herd immunity usually kicks in around 50 to 70% of the population, So I don't think that anybody would want to try to achieve herd immunity in the way that we've been dealing with the infection so far. This is where vaccines are going to help. Vaccines will help boost that number, and eventually we can get there. But herd immunity is not a realistic way of dealing with this pandemic at this point in time, nor will it be for the next six months or so. Andr Pecos of Johns Hopkins University. Palestinian Tom Keen futures negative 11 NASDAQ, frankly churning green on the screen, just a little turn to the markets as well. There's also churn in sports Is they adapt and adjust post? Will you give us a media update here? I see all sorts of draconian. Ideas. But one thing I heard is because the N B A is not traveling. The players aren't exhausted, so they're delivering a better game. Is anybody watching? Yeah, You know, Ratings for sports are down generally since they've come back, but that's primarily a result of there's just so much sports on Tom that you know you've got the N B, a competing with the NFL competing with professional golf, completing with hockey and so on and so forth, So you know, there's there's From a ratings perspective. There's too much sports out there, so everybody is getting polluted. But But Tom what the NFL rights are going to come up for renewal the next 1 to 2 years there's already talk of the value of those right, doubling. From where they already are now, once again. Illustrating the value of live sports for broadcast and cable network. So Fox is already talking about, you know, being willing to perhaps double the amount they're paying for their NFL package absolutely means I look in their eyes there and you know it's all the different sports playing. Is well, we'll have to see we're trying to get into the rhythm of and I want to remind you and this is out of Bloomberg dot com. And, of course, first on the terminal, A really informative article by Richard Truman and Luke Kalman. Lucas Kalman. On football and I'm I'm a clueless on his folks only knows Lions Cowboys Thanksgiving, and it's fascinating. This whole fantasy league thing, and then we do a weekly thing on that. I find It's names. I don't even know to bits. Key of the Chicago Bears nailed that. I've always wanted to learn another language. But every time I try, it never sticks. So I decided to give babble a try, and I really like the teaching method of the APP. I started with the beginner lesson on babble, and it starts with simple words and phrases. And soon you're putting those words into a conversation. Each lesson takes about 10 to 15 minutes, and they're all really different, which keeps things interesting. The APP is really smart. It actually keeps track of the words I'm struggling with so I can practice them and get better. I just babble because it was created by Rhea language teachers. They built it around your life how people actually communicate and what they care about..

Tom Keen NFL sports Chicago Bears US Lucas Kalman Johns Hopkins University Andr Pecos Bloomberg Luke Kalman Richard Truman Fox football hockey
"andr pecos" Discussed on Bloomberg Radio New York

Bloomberg Radio New York

06:11 min | 9 months ago

"andr pecos" Discussed on Bloomberg Radio New York

"In Bloomberg Radio. I'm John Tucker. That's your Bloomberg business. Flash time of Paul John Tucker. Thanks so much Pulse thready and Tom Keen on a Friday and eventful Friday. No question about that. You heard the data check from John Tucker there with gold again. 1900. I'm looking for an entry point, Paul. It's out there that there was out there somewhere and be patient. I'm Yeah, I need to drop a bar. Gold on my foot. Tio go long here. On a pandemic, and it has been extremely difficult, particularly for selected Sunbelt states, Florida in Texas, sort of in my radar and many others all of that, based off the good statistics. Of John Hopkins in their Bloomberg School of Public Health, Of course. Michael Bloomberg, founder of Bloomberg LP in I should say this TV and radio operation as well there, leave a Rahl A gist is Andrew Pecos on a Friday we catch up with Professor Pecos. What we do know is that very young. So let's say under the age of 10 thing to be suffering from relatively mild disease, although there are some instances of very severe secondary sort of syndrome that occurring that population. For the most part, infection isn't severe and you're under 10. But we don't know is how well that population of kids is transmitting the virus to others, because we know from other diseases like influenza. At the very young are actually good transmitters of Iris to their teachers and school to their parents, other household members, and that's the information that we're missing right now, And that's really critical for opening schools, particularly schools for elementary age kids because I looked at the statistics today, and particularly the log slow were slope matters. In California is actually pretty good on a relative basis versus the disaster that is Florida and Texas. Is it fair to combine Florida in Texas together to aggregate their data into what's to come on cases becoming death? Yeah, you know. This disease has shown us that it's really about local, uh, spread and local transmission and local cases, so I tried not to Encourage people to collapse across too broadly across the country or in other states because it really doesn't matter what's going on in certain localities. I think you're absolutely correct in terms of their sum. More worrisome numbers coming out of Texas and Florida. Some other states, actually, but again, even more than that, though, is a large number of states that are showing beginnings of increases in cases, and that's telling us that there's a systemic issue going on across the country in terms of power were intervening to keep the virus level down. Totally see that I mean, Alabama and Mississippi having a tough week of it. As well. If that's the case, what is the experience we've learned from New York to help Florida? Well, massive testings. Very solid, lock down capabilities in terms of being able to limit the spread of the virus. And Waiting until those virus cases get down to manageable levels, and there's a number of guidelines out there. One of the ones at the CDC likes to put forward is this 5% positivity testing? When you get down to those levels, then other interventions like contact, tracing and be put in place effectively and that will then be the tool that will keep infection levels down. But contact tracing won't work when you're having 60,000 cases across the country come through, because that's just too much of a strain on that infrastructure, and they can't be done effectively. And we spoke to the chief executive roast yesterday, and he was saying that he's worried. We're testing too much, and they're just not enough kids. So he suggested, And he's one of the manufacturers of the kids. We only you know, test people with with symptoms. Would that be enough to get a handle of it? So it's an important question. If you're getting tested, and you don't get your results for 45 or six days. And the testing is almost irrelevant because you're gonna have to be in quarantine for that period of time, and the current CDC guidelines say that you should be quarantined for 10 days after after experiencing symptoms. So we have to find a way. If testing is going to be limiting. We have to find a way to use it more effectively. And it may be that we need to scale back who were testing to speed up the time in which those results are coming through. One would have liked to have seen by this point in time that the manufacturing capabilities and distribution capabilities for all these tests would have been scaled up so that we can handle a larger amount of testing. But It certainly seems like we're back to the beginning this pandemic in the US, where were also having a supply chain issue when it comes to the casting. I know their new guidelines about reducing the time that someone needs to stay in quarantine. Is 10 days enough. Um, it certainly seems like the data that's coming out now is suggesting that 10 days is a very reasonable time for quarantine. The tests that we're using to tell if people are Infected are so sensitive that they liked even small amounts of the viral genes, the viral RNA, and it's clear that when we detect the small amounts of our DNA, but that's not enough virus for that person to spread it to someone else. So the new CDC guidelines reflect the fact that what we're really interested in when we're quarantining someone is a period of time that they can transmit the virus and going from 14 to 10 days still maintaining the hike. Probability that were Keeping people away from other people during their transmission times, But then it allows him to get back into normal activities a little bit faster when they pose very little risk of spreading the virus. Andr Pecos here, the Johns Hopkins University. Some clear conversation, to say the least, Paul Intel, Microsoft and the other Tex. How of the earnings? Ben? You know, I think the earnings the.

Texas Bloomberg CDC Florida John Tucker Bloomberg Radio Bloomberg School of Public Hea Paul John Tucker Michael Bloomberg John Hopkins Pulse thready Johns Hopkins University Tom Keen Paul Andrew Pecos Paul Intel US Sunbelt Microsoft
"andr pecos" Discussed on Bloomberg Radio New York

Bloomberg Radio New York

06:00 min | 9 months ago

"andr pecos" Discussed on Bloomberg Radio New York

"Up to transfer center, eight cents a $40.83 a barrel Comex gold, up half percent, or $9.50 at 18 09 80 announced the euro 1.1423 against the dollar. The yen is that 107.23 Netflix is down almost 7% this morning. And US own construction starts rose 17% in June, with builders ramping up production as lockdowns eased. That's a Bloomberg business Flash toman Paul Karen, Thanks so much. He's a Murali gist. He's with the Bloomberg School of Public Health. Should state that Mr. Bloomberg is, of course, founder of Bloomberg LP, this TV this radio operation as well, and he has been philanthropic with his Johns Hopkins. University. We have benefited. From repeated conversations with Murali Gist, Andrew Pickoffs here, an update from Dr Peck lives. Being prepared for this pandemic. Having seen the first large number of cases that came to the country, we should have been better prepared to deal with the eventual surges and small outbreaks that are occurring now It's incredibly dis concerning To see the level of cases that are coming up in places. And, more importantly, the lack of riel responses to get those case numbers down. This's not the way you deal with a pandemic, and we've been prepared not only from our own experiences, but from the experiences of other countries. We know how to intervene here to get these case numbers down. It seems to just be a lack of either political will or personal will to implement those those tools. Okay, I'll go with a personal will, and we've seen some good articles as we showing percentage of mask wearing in societies. In all that. What are we going to see? In the next week or two? I was ripped up on Twitter, Dr Peck off looking at the death dynamics of first and second derivative of log path of deaths. Help me here with the death dynamics lagging the case dynamics right now. Yeah. So we know because of the course of the disease will see Case numbers increased first will see hospitalizations lag that Bye anywhere between 7 to 10 days. And then we'll see deaths lag that by another seven days or so. What's interesting about now is the initial cases are in a younger population. So those surges air really coming up in terms of those What we call healthier individuals who may not be suffering as much death. But what we're going to see is now the transmission of virus from those individuals to more susceptible individuals. And that's going to mean that the hospitalization and the death rates are going to increase on even further delay. So we are expecting to see These surges in severe cases like even further than we have in the first wave in this in the country, and by the time we see that, Serge it's going to be almost too late to intervene because of that delay in in terms of monitoring cases. Yeah, that would certainly be a very serious situation. But Dr Picot in terms of the severity of cases, is it really true that cases A less severe for young people, because you see a lot of anecdotal evidence, particularly on social media of people talking about really frightening symptoms that Ryker for weeks if not months on end, and this is the important thing to understand about things like when people use things like case fatality rates or hospitalization rates it, baby that if you're younger The percentage of individuals that suffer those severe cases is lower across the population, but we have to remember that virtually the entire U. S population is susceptible to diseases. So even to this to this disease, so even a small percentage of severe cases amplified by the entire population of the US turns into a large number of cases, and that's the important part that people have to remember. It's not just about Well, most young individuals won't have suffer severe cases. There's enough of these young individuals that the number of severe cases is really going to be large. And on top of that. They are efficient transmitters of the disease, so you'll see the severe disease and other populations that we know stuff from spirit disease. So this's not a benign disease. This is not a common cold, like virus than the severity of diseases covered with large numbers of susceptible people is gonna translate into a large number of severe cases that were going to say hi and I'm on the transmission. Of course, the W H O is still looking into whether there's airborne transmission of covered 19. But what about the Immune response. What more do we know about whether people can build up sufficient immunity to this as we wait for a vaccine? Yes, With the vaccine trials, we've had some good results. Still, preliminary results still results off small population sizes, but it seems like many of the vaccines That have been fast tracked are generating the immune response that we want to see that we assume will protect us from infection. We still have a lot of safety work to do with these vaccines, and that's going to come in play. When we get the larger trials coming in place now into the early fall in terms of the immune responses to infection, it's kind of a mixed bag. In the same way that this virus causes a wide spectrum of disease ranging from no symptoms, toe hospitalization and death. We're seeing that the virus also induces a wide spectrum of immune responses from rather modest ones that fade wrote him too quickly to rather strong ones. That can last for at least a few months, because that's how much of the data that we have. So it's again a big, hetero genius spectrum. In terms of the immune responses that are induced by infection, the vaccines seem a little bit more. Tighter in terms of their immune response, So that's a good sign. Andr Pecos of Johns Hopkins University. Quick. I got the number guess wrong for the day Paul Sweeney..

Bloomberg LP US Dr Peck Bloomberg School of Public Hea Mr. Bloomberg Netflix Murali Gist Johns Hopkins Johns Hopkins University Paul Karen Twitter Andr Pecos Paul Sweeney Dr Picot Serge founder Ryker Andrew Pickoffs