18 Burst results for "Adam Burke"

Los Angeles tourism and hotels take serious hits from pandemic

All Things Considered

05:33 min | Last week

Los Angeles tourism and hotels take serious hits from pandemic

"The hotels are doing. Industry called Leisure and Hospitality is a huge economic driver in greater L. A. It employs a lot of folks you probably know And of course, a lot of those jobs have gone away. Some of those jobs may never come back after this pandemic. The Times reports that one in four hotels Struggling to pay their mortgage and is at risk of foreclosure. Adam Burke is president and CEO of the tourism and Convention. Bored and Heather Roseman is executive director of the Hotel Association of Los Angeles. Welcome to you above Thanks so much, Steve. It's great to be on. Good morning, Heather. I want to start with you. First of all, how many hotels Does the greater Los Angeles area have The greater Los Angeles area has a combination of hotels, motels and bed and breakfasts somewhere in the neighborhood of about 1200. Do they all have to close those hotels? When everything Shut down. I'm thinking back in Middlemarch. When Ella did the stay at home orders or did some hotels managed to stay open because business was still happening, right? The hotel industry was deemed an essential business. At the beginning of the pandemic. We were working to service a couple of government projects, starting with the state of California, looking for rooms to have passengers that were disembarking from cruise ships quarantine for 14 days. From there. We started working with the L. A county to find rooms for covert isolation as well as what then evolved into Project Room Key. So that's something that we're going to talk about in a few moments here on this program, are you starting to see some of those hotels reopen again? Our people venturing out arm or tourists coming back to L. A. I mean, what kind of numbers are you seeing there? During the outside of the pandemic. Hotels did suspend operations in many cases, not knowing exactly whether or not they were allowed to be open. As of last week. We still have 38 hotels that are are closed and we're not sure if those are going to be a temporary or permanent closure, but during the pandemic 157 hotels Did shut down. Initially We are starting to see some of that leisure travel returned to the market. But as we see the occupancy rates rise, we have to consider that the hotels are still operating at a very limited crew. As thie bookings are still only about 50% maximum. Adam occupancy rate, obviously is an important number. You just heard Heather's say, 50%. What's what's the occupancy rate typically in Allah? Well, First of all, I like to reiterate what Heather said. Which is, you know, this has really been devastating for our industry with a lot of your listeners may not realize Steve is prior to the pandemic. Our leisure and hospitality sector was actually the third largest employer in Los Angeles County, representing about one out of every 8.5 jobs across the county. So While we've seen job loss of about one out of every three jobs in leisure and hospitality that's been even more dramatic for the hotel's prior to the pandemic, though, to your question we were seeing average occupancy is in the city about 83% and, you know, Fortunately, we started to see some gradual recovery. But that had declined to his low is about 20% with a lot of hotels, actually sitting in the single digits Right now we're seeing occupancies that are in the 40% range, and it really to your point is being fueled by locals. It's really Angelino starting to safely and responsibly. Get out and take staycations right here in their own backyard. I want to. I want to talk about that, because one of the things that you guys have been doing I know is pushing more Angelenos. To go out and stay in local hotels. If you're able to how do you suppose did I mean it? Is there a conflict with you guys? When you say Well, we want you to go stay at a hotel. But there is this pandemic still happening. Yeah, it's a great question. So the first of all, I will say we've actually been working with the Los Angeles Department of County Health to develop safety protocols for all the various sectors of our industry. So that we can make sure that we are protecting our guests were protecting our employees. Equally important, So the idea of pushing people to get out in about probably, I would say it a little bit differently, Which is what we've done is We've put together a program called Love, which is really by Angelinos for Angelenos. So we've put together over 100 special offers, including not just hotels, but our local attractions in restaurants so that for people who are comfortable getting out and about it's more affordable and easier to dio. And you know when people ask, what can I do? We know, for example, that if those who have the means had just three visits to a local attraction or museum, supported three of our local restaurants and had just won three night stay. In an area hotel that would actually help us recover over 21,000 jobs in L, a county and what it would inject about $1.4 billion back into our local business community. Heather, How

Heather Roseman Los Angeles County Leisure And Hospitality Hotel Association Of Los Angel Los Angeles Steve Adam Burke Los Angeles Department Of Coun President And Ceo California Executive Director Middlemarch Ella The Times
"adam burke" Discussed on Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

06:20 min | 8 months ago

"adam burke" Discussed on Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

"Portland State is at Northern Arizona. Now I got to go to flagstaff back in May beautiful area really cool the route sixty six area downtown very very nice area. It was off on a tangent here but my wife. And I you know we went to the Grand Canyon. Went up North Antelope Canyon and to page in that area. Then you go to flagstaff. It almost feels like you're in the rocky mountains and almost as a gay Denver esque type A feel to it but speaking of that my wife and I are downtown just a couple of glasses of wine. I have a couple of mixers and I'm like what the hell help. Why am I buzzed? Why am I certainly feel drunk after a couple of drinks seven thousand feet elevation idiot? But I didn't realize is that going out there into flagstaff. You don't obviously you see the big mountain and it was still snowcap in May what I didn't realize how high up in elevation should flagstaff is. That's where northern Arizona University is Portland state playing two games in forty two hours here playing in Sacramento against against Sacramento State on Thursday then playing northern Arizona and flagstaff. On Saturday. I am all about the lumberjacks here in this spot. Get you've got this hidden elevation angle. I don't think that gets factored in. We talk about home court advantage a whole lot. I really liked northern Arizona here in this spot on Saturday against Portland. The state finally take a quick look at the NHL and obviously the all star break running Thursday through Sunday here. There are six teams on Monday off the break put put all of those teams had last week off to. They're all on equal footing. Pretty much with the rust factors. GotTa try to get back into the swing of things here few do things one fade teams. That went into the break playing really well. The last thing that those teams wanted was to stop. Stop playing. If you're playing really well you've got chemistry going. You're gelling you're in rhythm you WANNA keep playing. It's a little bit of a chance to wipe the slate slate clean as well for teams that work playing particularly well going into the all star break so those are a couple of angles. I'm looking at here early next week. The second is Oh you do have these rust factors and we know that offense is up across the league. Are we talked about that a little bit on Tuesday with Brian. Blessing teams are being very more progressive with the personnel that they put out on the penalty kill or generating a lot more penalty killing opportunities offensively. They're also trading off. It seems more successful on the power play way goaltending. league-wide is not as good as it used to be. You get a lot of high scoring games but I do think that what we're going to see coming into Monday. A Tuesday on into Wednesday Thursday and so on. I think some of these totals would be a little bit high. I think you're going to have some teams. They're trying to get back into the flow of things coaches. You'RE GONNA be rolling four lines. They'RE GONNA be getting the backup goaltenders out there. I think some of these Games will be lower scoring coming out of the downtime coming out of the All star break so that will be something. I think you should keep in mind here as well. I think I'm wondering we could see. Very spirited game between the Toronto and Nashville new coaches or both this season. The leafs is playing a lot better under Sheldon Keefe. The predators are still kind of trying to find their way kind of figure some things out there with John Heinz. Forget with some downtime. Some time to just sort of catch up from the whirlwind that is the season and all the transition. It comes with a coaching change. I we really spirited effort from both of those teams there and I think both of those teams are play on teams. Coming out of the All star break here. I'll revisit this next week. But a couple of spots two of my favorite situational spots lots of the season coming your way here next Saturday so circle these file these away. In the back of your mind they will be in my situation article over Bengal the Book Dot Com on Sunday night Florida and Montreal Columbus and Buffalo Montreal returns from their there by week and the All star break early in the week here. This Week Sim thing for Buffalo. Florida and Columbus. Don't play until Saturday so thereby weeks are after the All star break four two one six in a row going into the break. Columbus won six in a row going into the break so on Saturday those two teams will play opponents that have been playing over the course of the week and they fit that system. I'm looking at a fading teams. That played really well going into the all star break so Montreal and buffalo likely going to be a couple of places to be here next weekend on Saturday. A couple of additional thoughts thoughts are real quickly in terms of the futures market. I the Carolina hurricanes or a decent look for the Stanley Cup champion there in the twenty to twenty five to one range right right now. They are fifth in the Metropolitan Division plus twenty seven goal differential. I would expect some better results for them going forward. Their current goal differential. It'll higher than the number. Three number four seeds there in the Metropolitan Division Carolina. who was very good in the playoffs? Last year by the way is a little bit undervalued valued underrated commodity right now in that twenty to twenty five to one ranch and one other one to keep an eye on here the Los Angeles Kings. They've played twenty two games this season and twenty eight on the road. They've only won seven of their twenty eight games on the road. They've won eleven of twenty one and hope they will. I'll give some plus money prices here at home. Get six more home games than road games. The rest of the way. The king's a good team at all but they're very bad on the road. They're not too bad at home. They do have six additional home games compared to road games here over the rest of the season. So maybe they're on a long homestand coming out of the break something like that. Ah Take an extended look at that. I the Kings at home getting plus money as we get deeper into the season may not be a bad look for you on a daily basis in the NHL. So there you go. There's my grab bag segment talking to Major League Baseball some NBA Some College hoops and some NHL as well keep an eye out for those situations pending articles on Sunday night over at fangled Book Dot Com..

flagstaff NHL Portland Arizona Montreal Northern Arizona North Antelope Canyon Denver Grand Canyon Arizona University John Heinz Florida Los Angeles Kings Sheldon Keefe leafs Columbus buffalo Buffalo Major League
"adam burke" Discussed on Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

08:05 min | 11 months ago

"adam burke" Discussed on Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

"I'd just not a good offensive team but the defense generally steps up and plays pretty. Well I think under fifty five and a half definitely the way to look there in that South Alabama Georgia estate game and keep in mind here too that depending on how long Elliott is GonNa try to stick this thing out. It's definitely injure states best interest to play a little bit slower. Not Doc give him as much wear and tear. I guess a slower paced game here too so under fifty five and a half get one fifty five fifty six. Probably my favorite total a week there because in South Alabama and Georgia State Boston College. Getting twenty against Notre Dame this lines a little bit too high. Now I think I notre dame played very well against navy. Maybe last week Boston College decent football team. They run the ball. They moved to change. They keep they played pretty well. I number on the game is nineteen right there where where it opened if we see a twenty one in this game may take a piece of Boston College here because again. You're talking about a total sixty three and a half a little bit higher scoring during that. You would expect for a Boston College game. But you know I just. I'm not impressed with the explosive capabilities of Notre Dame's offense. They don't have a lot of really big plays plays Boston College football lot. I'm actually surprised is total up as high as it is for game. One Sixty one sixty two cal and Stanford here you got Stanford a two and a half point favorite D- interesting results. Were both of these teams last time out CAL getting blown out so we have not seen a whole lot here. Over the course of the season they need a win to get to a ballgame. They've got this week that at UCLA to try and get their USC through the football. All over them Sanford blown out by a Washington state team that weekend and week out. I don't know what we're going to get from the cougars but Stanford was clearly not ready for that one. They get a respite here in that. Cal's offense is not particularly good good but I wonder about the mindset of the Stanford Cardinal here. Because you've got this game then you're hosting Notre Dame they're probably not going to a bowl game. Will David Shaw be able to get his team up for this one. I don't know if that's going to be the case and for cal you don't want to go into that last week in that game against UCLA needing a win. You don't WanNa have your back up against the wall going out on the road. I like cal this week. My power hitting on the game does actually have stanford minus three and a half. I think cal with the situation with how good their defense has been playing. Most of the year. In the last several years I don't see Stanford having a lot of success successor. I don't know if either off it says a lot of success but in cal- just wins those ugly games more frequently than Stanford does so I think the golden bears are the side there in that particular matchup Oregon State Washington State Washington state ten and a half point favorite here down from twelve. And a half. Excuse me Oregon State look you you give them a lot of credit and five as well. They're playing for a ballgame. They got to try to get it this week because it'd be very tough for them to Oregon next week. Washington state can also get all all eligible here in this one. I don't know what I'm going to get from Washington state week in and week out. I know what I'm going to get from Oregon State. It's a mediocre defense. A pretty decent offense. They're they're gonNA play hard. I don't wash it. Sits GonNa play hard week in and week out. Maybe you've got that leaking into the market a little bit here with this line coming down a couple of points. I Oregon State probably the side that I prefer in the game. But I don't think I'm going to get too involved in this one. My line was right on the opener of twelve and a half so no power innings value. I don't really know if there's any sort of situational or motivational edge to be had in that game either. We took down quite a ways. You're on the Board to Houston and Tulsa Game One ninety three one ninety four Tulsa three point favorites of two and a half still sitting out there in the market total on this game of fifty eight and a half down from sixty Guinea. Houston's been trying really hard throughout the course of the season I give them credit I give data holders and credit for. It's not allowing this team to just roll over. Neither one of these teams with any bull aspirations but for Tulsa here. I've got to be worried about this team. They've played a lot of close games. They played very close with SMU. They played close with Cincinnati for boxing standpoint. BEAT MEMPHIS played very well against two lane. Finally I got that win over central Florida and the bye week came at a very good time for them. So at least there's that they didn't get the chance to bask in the glory of that win over. UCF but you've got to wonder how much is left in the tank for this Tulsa team because they played a lot of close and emotional games. How much do they have left in that gas tick? Is this the big spot for them if it is Tulsa next week when they go out on the road take on East Carolina. That's what you look for here. I don't think you play this game. Necessarily Tulsa steps up plays. A big game comes away with the wind. I I fade them next week against East Carolina. Why Think Mike Houston seemed definitely does show up so even though you may not have a play on the game for that week you could set yourself up for something in the following weeks game one ninety nine two hundred San Jose State and UNLV San Jose state a big favorite here in this one of seven total on in this game? Sixty five and a half gone up a little bit from sixty two and a half. UNLV is a dead man walking. You know this is a team has not played particularly well over the course of the season. Tony Sanchez is probably going to be let go. I would be surprised if he's not San Jose state meanwhile leads to winds to go to a bowl game at one an accomplishment that would be for Brett Brennan and this program gotTa beat. UNLV I get Fresno State at home the following week in a big time game Alexander. Those they stayed here gets a big number Robert uncomfortable number to lay on the road with a team. That's rarely in a road favourite. It's gotta be them. UNLV done for the impact it away. Here there's just not a whole lot left for that team and also to next week the rivalry game against Nevada. That's the game. They're more focused on. I would say let extent the state is is a decent look here this week despite laying net pretty uncomfortable number on the road game two of five hundred six coastal Carolina Louisiana Monroe row five and a half point favorite here in this one. I can't trust either one of these teams I. I haven't been able to most of the season. I've tried a couple of times monroe. It hasn't worked out my line on. This game is a little bit lower. It is monroe minus four so maybe in that respect Coastal Carolina as a touch of value but also pinnacle and bookmaker both up to six on this game that gives you an indicator of where the sharp scientists for this one. I'm not going to go up against that. I'd have to look at passing on that game. One more game to take a look at here. Penn State Dayton Ohio state. We touched on this game a little bit earlier in the week off state eighteen and a half point favorite in this one and look alive. State has had problems with Penn state. But this the state team is the most polished I have ever seen. Penn state is an okay team. They're good team. I don't think they're a top ten caliber team in the eyes of most people. Yes they're up there in my power ratings ten that's largely to stay in line with the market or the market. Has This team rated. One of two things happens here. Ohio state has it in their minds that they struggle with Penn state and they look ahead to Michigan and they don't cover the number. The other option is Ohio. State Blows Penn State Outlook. They blown out everybody else here. So far or this season Penn state is not fast enough on defense. I don't think they're off. It's explosive enough to keep up with Ohio state yet. Chase back for the Buckeyes to the Buckeyes should should be fully motivated in this game. That's why would lean to the Ohio state side. I'm not going to play the game but I think Ohio state a fully motivated. Ohio state team stands out here over Penn state so a lot of considerations for this week. It's not a great week from a marquee matchup standpoint with a lot of handicapping angles for you to consider across the college football landscape. We'll have a ton of them talk about on next week shows as well..

Oregon State Notre Dame Ohio Stanford Tulsa State Boston College Boston College UNLV football Washington San Jose State San Jose Penn Cal Oregon South Alabama Georgia Doc UCLA Elliott
"adam burke" Discussed on Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

03:28 min | 11 months ago

"adam burke" Discussed on Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

"I want to try and get margin with even though they did it last week. Against Vanderbilt. Missouri is a much better team from Missouri. Here this is kind of back's against the wall type of game because they have under exceeded expectations. And they going to get to a bowl game. They should Ford at home. Tennessee at home on the road at Arkansas on a short week the only need one more win to get there. But they've dropped three straight to Vanderbilt Kentucky and Georgia. They've scored twenty one points in the process. This is a game game where they have to circle the wagons and I think I think if they can like Missouri plus the six and a half the under in this game as well I Missouri is a better team. The people realize now because they've had these three straight losing efforts. There's probably some value on the Tigers. At this point. In time there was no value coming into the season a lot of people were to Ohio. Missouri I kinda tried to stay below that fray a little bit kind of lay low look to fade Missouri early on. They played very well the middle portion of the year here. They've come back to where I sort of thought they would be. I think now maybe a bipolar on the Tigers in a low scoring game getting the six and a half so I do like Missouri. A little bit here in this weekend's action we talk about Lsu and Ole miss here to finish up the show. This is such a fascinating spot. Lsu Suv course off that huge win against Alabama. The quant crowd loves them. There's no reason not to love him with that offense but this is a bad spot against Ole miss your in a lot oughta different ways. They're laying twenty one and a half lineup from twenty and a half. I don't like old miss. I'm not a huge fan of miss. My Line in this game is twenty-five live but can you really lay a huge number with Lsu here when Ole miss by and large has played pretty well this season overall. They played close against Auburn. At least as far as the final score would indicate the yardage was much more misleading than that Texas an end they were close to that Game Missouri. They hung around that one. They beat vanderbilt like they should had over. Four hundred yards against Alabama. Ole Miss hasn't been bad Kounellis Baum out. Yeah they very much. This could be a game for Joel Borough to go. Pat Is numbers on the other hand. You're number one of the College Football Playoff rakings now. You beat Alabama for the first time in a while. You'd beat Auburn the week before two weeks before that you got your win over Florida. Is this a spot where Lsu Lsu is completely focused. I don't know I will find out a lot about your on here. We found out a lot about doors are already in Marquee Games and how good he's done to knows house. I would find out a lot about Ed on here in terms of avoiding a flat spot for his team because this is very much one. I don't know if I play it. Maybe at twenty one and a half. It's worth a look going against my power ratings here began. I just don't see how Lsu fully mobilized to go out there and bought this team after. There's such an emotional win last week. And now you're back on the road in Oxford top spot for Lsu here to say the least so twenty one and a Jeff. I may take a piece of Ole Miss. It would be a smaller plate for me what I may end up taking a piece here of the rebels old Navy's kicking off the holidays in style with forty percent off everything that's right. Everything on your list is on sale. Now get forty percents off every pair of jeans forty percents off. All sweatshirts all hoodies Stephen. Forty.

Lsu Ole Miss Missouri Tigers Alabama Vanderbilt Auburn Vanderbilt Kentucky Ford Pat Stephen Joel Borough Tennessee Ohio Arkansas Kounellis Baum Navy Jeff Ed Texas
"adam burke" Discussed on Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

11:14 min | 11 months ago

"adam burke" Discussed on Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

"Do get the win last week but elite elite fourth quarter field goal where they were trailing a pretty bad south Alabama now South Alabama has a knack for hanging around in these games where they are the inferior your team. They tend to cover a lot of lower scoring types of games. For whatever reason. They're they're kind of tough defensively bend but don't break a whole lot so maybe it. It shouldn't be a surprise that they hung in there with Texas state but again this week. Texas state taking money down from eight and a half to seven lie. Lied on this game is five so I agree with the line. Move however again. I think that it's one of those things where maybe I over adjusted Texas state because the market was was trying so hard to like them and again I mean early on. In the year they played Wyoming Tough Wyoming winds up being a very good team this year. The beat Georgia state. which is one of the crazier results of the season here? So far I just don't see it for Texas state I just. I don't see the reason to love this team and maybe troy did find something. You'll Billingsley with a good game on the ground barker throws for three bills in three scores. Maybe Troy Kinda found something last week with a first your head coach Lindsey. I would have to go against my power rating here. I'm not going to do it but if I had to do anything for a spread pool or something like that. I think troy now that they're down to seven would be the side in this one I again. There's just so much hopefulness about Texas state that hasn't come to fruition here so far that I I just don't see a reason to believe in it this week. Even though my line does suggest maybe Texas state had a little bit of value at eight and a half at seven and a half getting maybe I over adjusted because of the sharp steam coming in on the Bob cats game three forty nine three four fifty here. UCLA UTAH UTAH. Twenty one point favorite in this one and we've seen this theme a lot here. Total comes down. Utah grows as a favorite total down from fifty four to fifty two here. Utah has done no wrong. I mentioned in this last week. That Utah has done no wrong since that game that they lost against USC and that was a coin. Flip type of game to since then they beat Washington shutout Oh cal dominated Arizona state dominated Oregon State dominated Washington state. They beat up on teams. They've gotten into that bully. Roll off a bye hi here taking on at Ucla team that had garnered a little bit of sharp interest. But now again you see Utah money coming in and this line could swing on game day we could sit back down in the twenty range but it's very tough to Fade Utah Right now my number eighteen and a half so not a whole lot of powering value one way or another but Utah has again. I don't know wrong. There's no reason at this point in time to step in front of that. Utah train and to do so with chip killing UCLA. I think is a tall ask as well so Utah a little bit here but again laying a big number total of fifty four always scary to look first at the points in those games. We don't see a the reason to take the points. It's pretty tough to take the favorite in that scenario Wyoming and Utah State game three fifty three fifty four here. I've got this one lined Utah state minus four and a half lines. Come down from six to five and a half or five moving in the direction of my number credit bull. Might it just be a magic man. It's not sexy football. It's not fun to watch. It's a smashmouth throwback type of style. But Damn if it doesn't work for the Wyoming Cowboys Lose Sean Chambers. You think okay. They lose their second leading rusher. They're going to have to change things that have to do some things differently and they are right. Dare in that game with Boise State last week and there was a lot of support for Boise state. That wind got very high in that game. At Boise state has to go to overtime. When twenty two seventeen now I will acknowledge this is not a great spot for Wyoming coming off putting so much into that Boise state game coming up just short now? They don't have a chance in the mountain West Mountain Division. But how can you doubt Craig Bohl. And what he's done with this cowboys his program. It is interesting to see you stay. Open this big of a favorite given that. There's been a strong anticoagulant sentiment here this season because they're just not at the same time of day. Were last year walk off. Field goal for them last week against Fresno state tough spot for them to. I don't know if they're ready for this type type of game I don't know Jordan. Love can have success against this Wyoming Defense and we know Utah State struggles to run the football. So it's Wyoming for me here it it would have to be at the five and a half number get pretty close to my numbers but it would. It would just have to be Wyoming if that's the kind of way that you're looking in that Game Georgia state and Appalachian State Appalachian State coming off. The win against south. Carolina wasn't particularly impressed with either team in that that game. It's always impressive to see what happens here with Appalachian State coming off of these games against power five competition but this is this is a difficult one. Because you've got Georgia state going into this one without Dan Ellington out with a knee injury. This line adjusted about a point and a half two points here on. It was known that was going to be out before the market open but but he talked about guys in their value to the line. Dan Ellington has been so incredible at Georgia state. Here so far this season I guess adjustment. Looks like Appalachian State laying a big number laying almost three scores in this one. My Line in this game was seven. So maybe the adjustment has been factored into the equation for Ellington. Being out about a ten point adjustment it would appear that makes sense. That's so I guess I'll take back what I said. They're my policies for Not Looking at this one in the proper context does seem like everyone knew that Ellington was going to be out so is it just makes accents and it's a shame that Ellington for this game because it had been very intriguing otherwise but again at probably about a ten point adjustment for Ellington here in the market. That's probably accurate We'll see if Ellington is able to go next week if he's not obviously a ten point adjustment coming from me on Georgia state in my politics came three sixty one three sixty easy to USC cal this line up from five and a half to six and a half or so here my line in this Game Cal plus four. I've been much higher in the market on cal. Then a lot of people here cal much lower last week at Washington state didn't play it because I thought what do I have wrong here. Of course I had nothing wrong because they wound up really blowing out Washington state there in that game. I'm wondering about USC. I'm wondering about this. trojans program and what what their current mindset is because they had Arizona state last week without Gene Daniels it could have been a runaway train and it was early on and then and they let Asu back into the game gave up. Almost three hundred yards through the air to the backup quarterback. Yellen Joey Ella. Where is this point meantime eligible? Now they've got the battle in a couple of weeks time here gets UCLA where they are Klay. Hilton's not going to be around. They know Graham heralds. Probably we're not going to be retained depending on who the new head coaches what is. US's mindset right now cal terrible offensively as we know. Very very good defensively Sibley can they hang around in this game candidate cover those. NFL caliber wide receiver for USC. That's the question here. Do I take cal here after missing sitting out on them last week. If it gets to seven I'm going to at six and a half. I'm not sure yet begins to seven. I'll take a piece of CAL here against USC in that PAC twelve after dark league game coming up on Saturday night South Carolina Texas Texas eleven point favorite here. I'm very worried about South Carolina. Going forward they are not making a ballgame they would have to beat am and beat Clemson. I don't think happens. They've had a lot of injuries here. Throughout the year Brian Edwards is way less than one hundred percent. We saw that in the final drive against Appalachian State last week and Ryan who Linski. He's made some throws he's missed a Lotta throws to. He's had a lot of freshmen moments here. So far this season sixty point four percent ratio. Eleven to four touchdown interception ratio but teams have dropped picks. He's thrown some very dangerous. Football's here we've seen some good. We've seen some bad. What happens against Texas am what I like here in this game under South Carolina's offense is just? They're not explosive. They've had a couple of big plays here and there but who Linski is inconsistency has been a big problem. Shy Smith has has been hurt Ryan Edwards has been hurt South Carolina runs the football would feast out there when he's not. They really struggle to run the ball. I got some problems here against Texas the defense on the other hand. I don't love Texas offense eater I South Carolina Defense is pretty decent. You've got an an MTM. That is very hit or miss on the offensive side to me. I think this profiles as a lower scoring game. I don't think we see a lot of explosive player. I under fifty one in south South Carolina and Texas A. and M. Game. TCU in Texas Tech. Game I originally wanted to talk about with Brad but in the interest of talking about some other games I left that one off the board. TCU A three-point report favorite here total on this game of fifty six and a half. I've been way too low on. TCU just about all season long. I've finally got it to a place where I've caught up with the market. Texas opened a one point favorite now. TCU At three point favorite TCU minus two in this one. So I'm finally more in line with where where the market is so. I'm happy with that. This is stay away game for me early kickoff in Lubbock bad spot for TCU. There were some concerns about Max Dougan and his health going going into that game against Baylor he gets through it soldiers on. But you've got your jet Duffy and Ellen Bowman both healthy now for Texas Tech. You could have a timeshare quarterback those it was always worry me game. I'm staying far far away from but at least I'm finally live with the market a little bit on that one. How about Florida and Missouri Game? We didn't get to with Brad. Four to six and a half point favorite total on this game with Kelly Bryant back in the fold from Missouri is fifty and a half so it went up to fifty one an from forty eight and a half came back down now a little bit interesting game. Missouri has been very underwhelming very disappointing here on the season in Florida. I've been high on at times I've been low on at times. My Line here is six and a half some right in line with the market with Kelly Bryant back for this one. I don't know what to think about Florida offenses. Dan mullins a very good play caller. I they have some weapons kyle. TRASK has looked good at times. But they're not the type of team. I want to try and get margin with even though they did it last week. Against Vanderbilt. Missouri is a much better team from Missouri. Here this is kind of back's against the wall type of game.

Texas Utah Wyoming Appalachian State South Carolina Dan Ellington Appalachian State Appalachian UCLA Boise State Georgia USC football Texas Tech TCU Arizona Washington Brad troy Missouri Kelly Bryant
"adam burke" Discussed on Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

05:23 min | 1 year ago

"adam burke" Discussed on Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

"This week is Appalachian State. I have a twenty three three and a half point favorite in this game so very very big overly here the question of course how does Appalachian State Fair coming off of that power five win last week against North Carolina. I power five win in twelve years since they beat Michigan up at the big house when they were in. FCS Team are they refocused. Are they looking at this game. In the correct context you I drink would said after that upset win over North Carolina and I watched the post game interview you know he said Look. We're GONNA enjoy this one for a day then. It's all about conference play. Let's see has given up some points or eighty two points or seventy two points. Excuse me in the last two these games coastal score two hundred forty three. They've been able to move the football does Appalachian state button it up defensively and also for Coastal Carolina Oughta. How good is this offense scored twelve points Kansas and they hung a hundred eight points Norfolk state and Umass. I think I may wind up on Appalachian State here against the Big Power Ratings overlay so maybe I'm just trusting my numbers but I think Coastal Carolina. Maybe a little bit overvalued overvalued out there in the market because of what they've done to pretty poor. FCS Team and one of the worst FBI seems we've ever seen in college football. It's like I may leave the number with Appalachian State here this weekend. Arkansas Texas another game with a big line here in Texas and I'm twenty three twenty three and a half point favorite again whereas Arkansas's sauce mindset the really ugly loss last week to San Jose State Nick Stark. Oh provided a little bit of a boost for that. Arkansas offense and they got picked talk five times last week. So where is he at. Where is this program at. This is a neutral site game in Arlington. It's not in college station. It's in Arlington on. Maybe that's the reason why this line opened a little bit light relative to what the market thinks but again you know this is one of those situations here where it's it's favored enough because Arkansas state could very well get absolutely embarrassed in this game because they're not just there's not very good the other hand for an how do they bounce back off that Auburn performance I guess we'll kind of wait and see finally one more game to look out here to finish up the show game two or three to four. Ucla and Arizona Arizona six and a half point favorite here against Ucla couple of different things one. My life was minus eight so this when opened about where I had it so I'm happy with that because I didn't overreact to what Ucla did with the comeback win over Washington state and also it seems like I have a very high variance team in Arizona Zona power rated pretty accurately and the line is coming down and I guess maybe there's some you you know some argument out there that maybe the light came on for DC our last week and maybe like came on for Chip Kelly and he found some place at work and he found some things that work that could could very well be the case. I think this line move down. Though it's more of an indictment of Arizona Kevin someone not doing a great job with that program. You know seems like maybe maybe he's squandering. Khalil Tate Nj Taylor very good running back Marcel Yates just. I don't think he's the right guy for the defensive coordinator job. I think this line move so here is more about Arizona than it is about. Ucla and the reason I say that is because irrespective of what happens in this game when you your make your power ratings adjustments for these teams keep that in mind relative to the closing number. I think this is more of a of Arizona as a favorite then it is buying being into UCLA so be very careful next week to not be too high on UCLA or if they have a bye in their following game whatever the case may be. I wouldn't invites against being to hire. Ucla I this is about Arizona. It's about not trusting Arizona not believing in Kevin Someone and the coaching aging staff there are in Tucson so that's my thought on that game I could be wrong but that's kind of the way that I'm interpreting this line move a little bit so again I would advise against against being too hard and Ucla if they do win and cover this game or something like that and also too if they lose this game again there's not a lot have respect for Arizona in the marketplace and certainly not as a favorite so be very careful to overreact to what this game means if Arizona wins ends and covers or if Ucla covers or wins the game outright. I don't think this game tells us a whole lot really about either team other than to simply said they're both high variants and that Arizona's a favorite is not play that people are comfortable with making coming up on our Friday edition of Radio West Gate Super Content selection segment four week four in the NFL give you my thoughts picks my leans as we head on into the weekend then also breadth the head risk manager down decide sportsbook with this week's version of the odds report sharp money in both the college football and the NFL betting markets. We'll talk about that with him on. Tomorrow's show do it for me. They can sorts for listening to everybody and I will talk to you get tomorrow. It's cutting into your exercise time it stabbing you in the back nine and it's attacking your peace peace of mind..

Arizona Ucla Appalachian State North Carolina FCS Arkansas football Arlington Coastal Carolina Michigan NFL Carolina FBI Khalil Tate Nj Auburn Texas Kansas defensive coordinator San Jose Tucson
"adam burke" Discussed on Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

11:20 min | 1 year ago

"adam burke" Discussed on Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

"Take a look at the College Football Games. We didn't get to on the show including the ones. We didn't get through on that segment there with Brad because we went off on a couple of different tangent but I think it made for good fun radio anyway. NAVIEN MEMPHIS game one three one or four four again. I've got a video preview for this game over at buying the book or over Honor Bang Book Youtube page. I like Memphis tonight again. This is the first first time really since these teams started playing annually that Memphis is in a decent spot last year game played in monsoon. MEMPHIS despite running thirty pretty fewer plays the navy still outgained Navy by about sixty five seventy yards. Whatever the actual number was two years ago. MEMPHIS had some schedule changes because because of a hurricane three years ago navy off of a double by because they had a game cancelled against East Carolina so memphis in a much better situational no spot than they have been over the last previous three meetings again memphis. I think that as long as they get off the field in some capacity navy will stop stop them so memphis should maximize just about all of its possessions. We'll see how many of those possessions they get right like Memphis. They're laying eleven now. I got it at ten and a half have a little bit earlier in the week couple ten and a half still hovering out there in the marketplace but I do like Memphis in tonight's game hopefully they've figured out how to defend spend the triple option with a little bit of extra prep time to get ready for it and also you can keep doing what they always do on the offensive side of the ledger as far as the NFL game it goes to one zero one one zero to Philadelphia and Green Bay Green Bay four point favorite in this game total on this one now down to forty six. I do like the under in this game. We talked about that earlier on in the week. You've got a Green Bay. Defence is playing very very well. I think a lot better than people anticipated and this is something that happens in. How is the ball and the NFL Mike Patton you know was a head coach with the Cleveland. Browns just not really cut out to be a head coach. He's a very solid defensive. That's a Mike some guys just head coach material. Some guys are just coordinator material. I think Putin is that guy for Green Bay. I did this Green Bay. Defense is legit. They've got some playmakers. They've gotTA talented secondary. We'll see if Syria Smith winds up coming back and playing for this one his step in the air a little bit but for Philadelphia you yeah look they have gotten some good news about their skill position talent throughout the week but still you know Green Bay's playing very very good coverage in the secondary. Philadelphia's receivers aren't getting a lot of separation and when they do Carson Wentz is having trouble putting it on guys. He's having trouble throwing guys open. I this is another spot. We're Philadelphia's offense. It does struggle a little bit. I think Green Bay's offense. We'll continue to have its ups and downs as well. You've got a first year head coach on Thursday night football trying to work in an offensive scheme that you know if you read between the lines with what Aaron Rodgers was saying early on in the year a lot of language a lot of verbiage with diverse with this this offense and when you get that you get confusion you guys lining up in the wrong spots you know Green Bay had to focus on getting played calls in earlier getting everybody's set at the line of scrimmage earlier after that week one game against Chicago and that doesn't even factor into the equation elements that meant before wants to add to this playbook the book so again these Thursday night games typically tend to be sloppy anyway. The defense is usually have the advantage because so many offenses in the NFL now our predicated on timing with the RPO's a lot of quarterbacks with the autonomy to audible at the line of scrimmage so a lot of these Thursday night games do wind up being pretty sloppy sloppy. I would expect that to be the case here in this game as well so I like the under forty six and this one as far as the side goes again. We talked about this earlier on in the week where you know this line is a little bit inflated. It was Green Bay minus two over the summer. Look at headline was you'll probably in that two and a half three ranch. Philadelphia loses the lions this Green Bay. You know manages to play okay against Denver. Although a lot of people think the broncos should have covered that game green bay points onto short fields. You know so maybe maybe this line is a little bit inflated so maybe lean ever so slightly to the Philadelphia side but like I said definitely looking at under forty six and this one tonight down from forty seven and a half is the opener so not really losing a whole lot of value as of yet but again. I think this is when you probably want to get in on a little bit quicker. maybe the public buys us back up to forty six and a half or something like that but I would. I would be more inclined to see sharp money keepdriving driving this total down a little bit here for this game as far as the rest of the NFL card goes. We'll talk about it more on tomorrow's show with my super contest selection segment a four week four there in that contest over at the West Gate also sharing my thoughts for the circa million so switch back to the college football side here spend the next Senator Fifteen minutes or so hitting on some of these games that we didn't get to over the course of the week one game on Friday that I can tell you. I do like a fair amount San Jose state and air or force. I believe we mentioned this game in passing with Ralph Michaels on Tuesday. I think air force can name the score here. You'RE GONNA say those team coming off of that. Enormous Win Arkansas probably says more about Arkansas than it does about San Jose state but now for the spartans short week very quick turnaround to go take got an option team and San Jose State has not played Air Force since twenty six did play army last year they did see an option army beat them fifty two to three had five and a half yards per carry in that game so actually it was just under man against the option air force. You know they do have one of the commander in chief Trophy Games Games on deck against Navy but still we've talked about the option. We've mentioned this multiple times during the show so far this season the option takes time to come together. You've got to get the timing down. You've got to get the reads down. It's usually something that gets you know more and more efficient as the season goes along air force did struggle West Against Boise State Boise state very well prepared for the option did what they needed to do on the offensive side. I don't think San Jose state maximize. Its offensive possessions the same way and I don't the big air force struggles as much to move the football so I think air force can name this score on Friday night and also to with for San Jose State off Arkansas a big win trying to prep for the option then go play in altitude in Colorado Springs on a short week air force it. Maybe Dicey in the first half but air force. I should wear San Jose state down as this game goes along so I like the minus. Nineteen took it at a reduced juice price of you could find an eighteen or eighteen and a half out there. That's fantastic aspect but I do like Air Force in this game again. Maybe a little bit of a square side but I do think that San Jose state stops them annex situationally. This is such a bad spot for the spartans zoo. You are not a team accustomed to prosperity team accustomed to win it. It's been a while since they've been you know a five eight hundred level team so I the top spot for the spartans here all the way around as they move over to Saturday some of the games that we didn't really talk about too much here on the show all you've got Connecticut and central Florida. UCF laying anywhere from forty three to forty four here against Yukon and I think this is a really interesting engage because you've gotTA UCF team that has to be pissed off. You know they get Stamford at home. They win that game in convincing fashion they get another power five team this time on the road trailing bad in the first half they come back take the lead give up a fourth down touchdown lose the game by a point and this is one of those spots for a group of five team where you've got to prove when you. WanNa talk national champion you. WanNa talk all all the things that UCF talk really over the last two and a half years you've got to back it up when you get your chances and they did that against Stanford and then they it didn't against pit you know in some places you know at twelve and a half thirteen point favorite on the road now they face Yukon and I think the expectation shouldn't here is that UCF just does whatever they want to do. In this game they may go out there pissed off and hang seventy five or eighty points and it wouldn't surprise me if if they do that but also. UCF Does Have Cincinnati on deck on a short week and it may make you feel better for five or ten minutes to beat uconn sixty but I also WANNA hold some things back for Cincinnati. Maybe you see effort in the first half where they are sufficiently motivated to go out there and really really put a number on Yukon. We'll see what that first half white and looks like but maybe that's the angle here but it's very tough to cover forty four. You've got much more important game on the horizon and you just played too much more important emotional games. This is the quintessential sandwich spot what type of game for UCF because you know. These kids aren't stupid. They know what you did last. You gave up for the first three or four games. Yukon was giving up almost a first down per play. You know you can put a number on Yukon. So what is that focus level. What is your incentive. How engaged are you in this game so ucf. I don't know I like to think in the first half they will be engaged in the second half. You know who really knows you know. Maybe they're real. Matt gets to play in this game. You know maybe Brandon wimbush comes in for Dylan Gabriel in this game you know we we don't really know and I will say if it is back or Wimbush or something like that. UCF probably will run its offense. I don't think Josh Hypol- we'll take the tempo off especially if you take doing Gabriel out of the game so there is that there is the potential that UCF can run up a big number and probably will run up a big number. I think maybe looking at the first half if you see after sufficiently ready to go maybe the thing that you want to look at their in that game. North Carolina for to stay in one twenty seven twenty eight here for the St St six and a half seven point favorite. I don't think Willie Taggart is. Is You know the reason why this team is moving in the right direction here. You know very easily could have come back and upset Virginia. They played well last week for two state though so much talent and at some point that talent has to rise whether it overcomes the coaching completely or not that Talat has to show itself and for North Carolina State. They don't have um as much talent but they've got a very good head coach. Dave Doran who maximize what he does have. What's the the deciding factor in this game. Is it for two states talent is it. NC States coaching advantage. I'm not sure I've not liked what I've seen the last couple of weeks from Matthew McKay the NC NC state starter didn't play particularly well against West Virginia padded as numbers early on in the season and he was getting some experience..

Green Bay Memphis Philadelphia UCF Air Force San Jose State football NFL San Jose Green Bay Green Bay navy Yukon MEMPHIS spartans Mike Patton Arkansas Brad North Carolina Browns
"adam burke" Discussed on Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

01:43 min | 1 year ago

"adam burke" Discussed on Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

"Lose college football and the NFL NBA in College Basketball Nhl and they'll be soccer tennis golf cricket rugby whatever it is. You're betting hake something something from every bet you make win or lose. I don't care if you do this. For fifteen years thirty years sixty sixty years you will never stop learning or never stopped getting some extra perspective in this business so if you've lost money if you've blown through your bankroll you've done what I did during the baseball season consider it tuition you WANNA call. The school hard knocks whatever you WANNA call it. You are learning may not be the most fun experience of Your Life. It may turn some people off sports betting ultimately but you're learning something you are investing in your for future as a sports better with each bet that you make and sometimes you will win and you will have positive returns and sometimes you will lose and you will have have negative returns and sometimes you'll have to redeposit into that bankroll but look at everything for me wide ranging perspective on a game level on a sport level on an overall level and get better at it the next week it's cutting into your exercise time it stabbing you in the back nine and it's attacking your peace of mind.

Nhl NFL NBA Basketball soccer football sixty sixty years fifteen years thirty years
"adam burke" Discussed on Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

02:35 min | 1 year ago

"adam burke" Discussed on Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

"And what side you fall on. You know if you regularly fall on the wrong side. Is it bad and what are you unlucky or. Is it something else if you're consistently falling on the wrong side of what appears to be a a fair amount of you know fifty fifty or fifty five forty five outcomes. I don't know what the answer to that question. Is You know I I don't know you know I maybe I'm four plays away yesterday from going four and one instead of one in four and and that's the question you have to answer every Monday is how do I react to that. How do I put that into perspective. How do I evaluate that. What was it a bad handicap. Was it various. Was it a good handicap that didn't come through and the problem is there will be games in which you don't know the answer and you can't grow from them and you can't adjust from them because there may not be an answer. It's not a concrete one eight tangible quantifiable one. That's the business that we've all chosen to be a part of whether we do it. You know in the context that I do or you do it for fun or are you do it to supplement or your professional at it. You know it is and will forever. Be a struggle a lot of ways and that's the thing you know you have to look at this in his level headed of away as you possibly can last night. I was furious couldn't fall asleep till after three this morning. It's more of a contemporary of point of view. It's more of a well. Did I handicap this badly. Was it something I just I couldn't have accounted for. Was it something it just happened that just occurred and you know eighteen hours after some of these games in some instances. I don't know and that's something you have to come to terms with here. In this business you can have a perfect flawless handicapped and it can find a way to lose you can have an awful terrible dead wrong handicap and it can find a way to win..

eighteen hours
"adam burke" Discussed on Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

10:30 min | 1 year ago

"adam burke" Discussed on Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

"This product is not intended to diagnose treat cure or prevent any disease all right so I got my fifteen minutes or so here. I'm going to this is GonNa freestyle a little bit here to finish up the show and we'll talk to you a little bit of Major League Baseball because we're down to about two weeks left in the season a lot of these teams playing you know ten eleven maybe twelve thirteen games as the most something like that so we do get to the end of the road here and I will be doing serious previews over Bankbook Dot Com for the play offs. I know obviously I gave up on betting baseball. what about four weeks ago or so now we'll be doing some serious preview stuff for the play offs and things of that sort but just in terms of what's left here for the season over over the last couple of weeks surprised me the last time. I talked baseball here on the show but you'll get as you look around at these different playoff races some of the other things going on a couple of things 'cause. I WANNA point out here. We use the Arizona diamondbacks as an example diamondbacks. Make a big huge dramatic push to get back into into the wild card race now they've lost seven of ten and this is the thing that happens late in the season here. These teams that making big push. It's just really hard to sustain that the Milwaukee brewers are an example big walk off Grand Slam from Ryan or not walk the big go ahead Grand Slam from Ryan Braun. They've they've won nine of ten and they're overcoming a lot at this point in time obviously the Christian Yelich gingery and you've got all their bullpen turnover where you know Josh haters had some issues this year Jeremy Jeffress has been Fade Corey nevels hurt. They've had a lot of guys moving around a lot of different moving parts over the course of the season when you get these teams that go on these big runs either to get back in the hunt or get the wild card hunt or the division. It's very hard to sustain that here at this time of the year. I think it's a big challenge especially if you're not playing a bunch of bottom feeding teams you'll the way the schedule is structured. You get a lot of these division games late in the year stuff like that the brewers it's tough. It's tough to keep going at a certain certain clip you. It's late in the year. You're tired yeah. You're writing some momentum for a while but a lot of times. What happens is that those teams really hit the wall so you'll when they find out that they're not going to make it into the playoffs or they're just not going to have enough those teams a lot of times the wall you know and I would expect a team like the Atlanta braves for example to be a good faith team here over the next couple of weeks? They've already clinched a playoff berth. They're up nearly double digits in the NFL and they're not going to overtake the dodgers for Home Field advantage in the playoffs the dodgers heavy four-game edge on that here right now. It's hard to make up for games when the braves have what eleven left to go on the dodgers have eleven left to go as well is just not going to happen so some of these teams that have played a very very very high clip. We'll have lulls. I the braves. We'll have a law. I think it's entirely possible that the twins continue to have a little bit of a lull. I don't think Indians catch them but the twins now four and a half up they they needed to do in Cleveland. They avoided the sleep and in fact took the series. You could see a little bit of a lull from a team like that the Yankees same thing so many injuries here over the course of the season. I think that you may run into some situations now at this time of the year we're playing these. He's big. Underdogs may make some sense because these really good teams have played at such a high level for such a long period of time. It's a tough ask you know because you're trying to position your rotation for the playoffs. You're trying to get guys some time off as much as you possibly can so I've talked about this a lot here over the course of the season and maybe this this backfires now at this time of the year but the minus one eighty and higher favorites have been so profitable so profitable over the last several years. I I think this may be the point in time where you want to look for opportunities to flip the script and take some of these big dogs. If you have teams that are vying vying to finish five hundred or teams that are trying to get some second life with some young players something like that those the teams that could be live against these very big favorites that you'll get are trying to sustain a pace over the last two weeks that has been very hard to sustain over the last several weeks so hopefully that makes sense everybody out there. I think you can catch some big underdog tickets. If you find teams that haven't given up you know a team like the Phillies for example seventy six and seventy two. They're not going to make the playoffs but they can't finish with a winning record. You know a team like the reds. It's still trying to build for next season still trying to work on some things with that pitching staff trying to figure out who is the keeper in the bullpen. They've got some young young players out there on a daily basis that team. You probably want to look back. This San Francisco giants six games under five hundred. They're probably not going to get to the break even mark but this is. Bruce Bocce is last year. They're not going to throw in the toll. They're not going to mail it in like they did last year in September when I think they were what five and twenty twenty four or some absurd number like that. That's a team that will keep fighting. That's a team when they play equal or lesser competition. We'll we'll be worth playing on you. Get some of these bottom feeder teams that are still trying hard. The Colorado Rockies are twenty games under five hundred. They've won three straight. They're not quitting. They're not quitting like the MARLINS who lost eight of ten like the royals and the Tigers were an embarrassment. You know some of these teams are still trying hard. Some of these teams are still going out there and trying to set a tone for the next season so I there are some live dogs situations here at this time of the year where you've got either teams that haven't been tested for a while like a Houston like New York something like that or the teams that just aren't going to be able to sustain the pace is that they're on like a brewers. We've seen the diamondbacks become you know so I there are opportunities. Nobody's to kind of go against the grain a little bit here over the last two weeks of the major league baseball season because you know all these teams are just. They're in different places. You Know Yeah Yeah you've got the Yankees and the Astros vying for home field advantage and I fully understand that and both of them you know significantly better at home than on the road much like a lot of teams are Major League Baseball Baseball are like you know do do they really worry about going on the road for the AL CS. I don't know there's certainly not going to go for that at the expense of getting guys rest or the expensive you'll giving Verleger and Cole an extra day or you know for the Yankees giving some of their guys in extra packs something like that so look for opportunities to spot place some of these dogs and they may be ugly and they may be painful but I think there will be chances manses over the last two weeks because you know some of these teams are trying to sustain paces and it's very hard to do and also these teams that hit a wall after making this big playoff chase for example the Indians this week if the Indians hit a rough patch and fall further behind the raise or the as when they take on teams like Philadelphia at Washington interleague play those maybe good spots to go against the India's you you try to gauge the pulse of team at this time of the year because we all know who these teams are so you try to gain the pulse of team. Look for live dogs look for those opportunities that are out there to cash some of those big underdog tickets. I think there will be chances here as your throughout the rest of the regular season. I think those are things things you do. WanNa keep an eye on. It's been a few minutes here on the NFL to wrap up the show and as far as tonight's game goes on the BROWNS and the super contest minus the two and a half did did not take them in the circa as far as the line right now. I mean look the jets have so many injury concerns not just darnold with the illness but also you've got. Cj Moseley in and Quin Williams out on defense. I mean this is a little bit of a higher. Scoring game certainly could see that with some of the defensive personnel missing for the jets seeing this total kinda go up. Come back backdown go back now. Live roller coaster ride with that one. I understand the hesitant with Cleveland because last week they would so bad. You've got a brand new coaching staff if with Freddie Kitchens to new coordinators working with this team. I understand that the hesitant to lay the big number with Cleveland tonight. I certainly wouldn't do it. I maybe you could see some points here in this game and get a prime time game lots of pass interference calls yesterday and the NFL Baker should be better. I would think I nick the job can have success running the football I the browns maybe do run the football a little bit more which is traditionally counter intuitive to play it over especially in the NFL but it should open some more throwing lanes. Sir Baker should give more opportunities and I think Trevor Simian isn't getting enough respect tonight yeah. He's been a guy that tends interception problems but he's also a guy. That's got twenty twenty four. NFL starts under his belt so he could have a little bit more success than people realize so long as the jets are able to protect him and if they're not we could end up with short fields in this game as well also Baker Mayfield last year through a good amount of picks that three picks last week could have some short fields for both of these offenses so would we with the under tonight given the current price on Cleveland but one thing I did want to talk about here on today's show it was a very rough Sunday for me one in four in the circa hoping to get to two and three in the super contest with Cleveland Tonight and nothing went my way yesterday had I think three pass interference reviews. All all of them went against me. Had the steelers Rothlisburger gets hurt head the eagles who come up a yard short even though they lost the Sean Jackson Alshon Jeffery Nelson Angle Org got hurt as well. Carson Wentz got dinged in that Game Carson Wentz gets dinged in every game it feels like but nothing in my favor with reviews kirk cousins with the awful interception for Minnesota when they were even field goal range to make that a one score game..

NFL Cleveland diamondbacks Yankees jets Atlanta braves brewers dodgers Major League Baseball BROWNS Grand Slam Ryan Braun Arizona cure Milwaukee Bankbook Dot Com Carson Wentz Phillies Baseball reds
"adam burke" Discussed on Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

12:20 min | 1 year ago

"adam burke" Discussed on Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

"I just wanted to touch on that teaser topic real quickly with Brian. I know it's something that he does quite a bit. going through three and seven seven is very important. There are some other situations too. I mean I want you to check out the video over on our Bang Book Youtube Page but I mentioned yesterday Carolina. You you know six and a half point favorites six point teaser takes that game down to essentially a pick. Em You know does this division game division. Dogs tend to do well early on in the season but again you're gonNA total of forty nine and a half here so you would hope that Carolina can still win the game. Maybe they don't create as much margin and of course well you know everyone always has this fear and I don't know how to rationalize it because I don't know how often these backdoor covers come into play but there's always that concern in the fourth quarter you know Carolina's is up eleven or thirteen or something like that and you know they kinda take their foot off the gas little bit Tampa Bay scores that garbage time touchdown those are things that do happen in the NFL to be sure so while the optimized teaser is to go through three and seven taking that underdog you know up from two and a half to eight and a half up from two to eight something like that or bring that favorite down from eight and a half to two and a half eight to one or two eight two two something like that there there are a lot of opportunities to utilize teasers out there as well and you know. It's one of the things that works really well in the NFL. I don't recommend teasers in college the ball I don't recommend teasers in the NBA or college basketball I the NFL is the only sport that sets up really well for a lot of these teaser opportunities opportunities. I know some people like to do. The you know four or five or sixteen ten point. There are a lot of different ways to do it again. The most optimal way is to get through three and seven any way that you can get through three and seven. It's the way that you want to look for the most optimized user but you can still do some different for teaser options. You'll like teasing six point favorite down to a pick. Em something like that because again. There are key numbers there in the three four and six range that at least you're getting off of one or going through those so good. It's not the most plus easy decision unless you're getting three and seven and the mold but still there are some some opportunities for you out there if you want to do if it's a Thursday night game where you want a piece of the action what you're not sure what you want to team six point teaser tease the game side down or up whatever the case may be. He's the total down or up harbor. You think the game is going to play out got team. Six point teasers right there at minus one ten so oh you know you're not laying any extra vague or anything like that gives you an opportunity to get a little bit more favorable of a play on some of these games in the NFL where as we said said as we talk about all the time the NFL at least in theory the margins are supposed to be pretty tight you know in college football we just saw Alabama fifty five point favorite over New Mexico state in my power ratings right now. Alabama would be at home on a fifty eight point favorite against the team like Umass or somebody. Nobody likes that so you know the gap in college. Football is so much different the higher variants environment as well which is why teasers don't work out as well. NFL though where you know in a typical season one versus thirty two's probably about a seventeen point favorite on a neutral well this year. You've got New England against Miami. I mean probably more like a twenty four point favorite or twenty two point two twenty three point favorite on a neutral field against a team like Miami so you know yeah things maybe a little bit different here in the NFL for this year but still in a lot of respects teasers do make a lot of sense in the NFL and this this is one of those cards with a lot of two and a half with some eight and a half stuff like that. This is a card that does set up pretty well in a lot of different ways here for some teaser. He's our activity in the National Football League when I mentioned a few things here on the college football side you know like I said I've got some of these games that are moving towards my numbers so my numbers vors are pretty far off on some of these. Games here this week. one thing. I did take a look at here is we're doing this show. A juiced seven on central for taking on Stanford Stanford has some cost her injuries at this point in time and news can be tougher to come by in the college football ranks as as we all know but when you get big programs and you get you know these. NFL draft types types of players like a walker little for for Stanford Stanford. All of a sudden you start to get a little bit more attention paid to that position group. Stanford has multiple injuries on the offensive line here now taking on a very aggressive central central Florida defense and I get it. You know you've got a group of five team. A touchdown more favorite against power five conference team any power five conference team him that you know for the most part has done pretty well. this decade under David Sean of course did very well under harbaugh's well but you know it. It's one those things where a lot of times people will shy away from that group of five team against that name brand caliber team and you've got to keep in mind here that that line line is like that for a reason you know and for Central Florida here you know all the talk of how they should have been in the national championship game going undefeated and this and that they're getting getting a power five team traveling cross country to Orlando. That's a big spot for them and for Stanford. You already have these coster injuries. You're not a college football playoff contender you already have that loss to USC. You're more focused on the back twelve so get situational national elements that you'd never want them to be complete justification for a play but you can factor them into the equation especially if the size that you already like like I like central Florida here rough michaels in yesterday's show mentioned liking central Florida situational elements that are out there. You know these conference game sandwiches or or maybe you're playing a road game somewhere. You normally wouldn't go. You know an interesting one. I mentioned yesterday on the show. Duke and Middle Tennessee State Middle Tennessee state has has that you know yearly or bi annually whatever it is rivalry with vanderbilt the last power five team to go to Murfreesboro eight years ago go in Georgia tech was there. You're getting Duke in town. You'll for Middle Tennessee. That's a big spot for these kids. You know yeah they're used to playing their conference games and all this type of thing but when you get a power five team to come to town. That's a pretty big spot here. So what for these opportunities where maybe some of these teams come in a little bit more focus. Maybe these teams do plan a little bit better you know in a USC Byu situation USC. Uh See can't overlook this game because they've gotten off to a little bit of a slow start here. This is got off to a slow start in that first game against Fresno did play much better better against Stanford. They're going to unique environment. They're going to Provo. They're not used to playing there. They're used to the altitude because they play it in Utah every other year but maybe that would have been a game as you're looking at the schedule coming into this season saying maybe this is a flat spot for USC but because of how things transpired inspired here so far for them in the first two weeks because of the quarterback change because of how the seat is burning the ass of Clay Helton. They can't overlook a game like like that. So you circle these situational spots you have these considerations in college football but the situation may change based on what we saw all the previous week or what we've seen in the previous weeks so get all of this is part of the handicapping process and part of the vetting process dragged off before is getting in the market at the right number being able to see you know when a line may move when a line may not be available drag it out there and get the best the number you possibly can so there are a lot of these considerations in college football and there are situational spots in the NFL to a Lotta Times. Those are Kinda plugged into line a little bit more than they would be in college football simply because as I said college football just so much higher variance of a market and maybe a little bit west schedule enjoyed alison goes on with those that are setting the numbers. You got to thinking about it this way to you know. I had a listener question. it was actually maybe last Friday regarding regarding some situational spots and what they're worth and you can't quantify them. You know in a tangible sense there there you know you can make your inferences you can gas you can read press clippings. You can read what the coaches are singing about. These games the coaches as you're always going to say the right things. I mean Gus Malzahn accepted who you know took a shot across the ball of Nick Sabin talking about this week's game against Kent State but these coaches you know they say the right things. They tell their players the right things. Will the players follow through. We don't know you know a situational spot works out when it works out and when it doesn't work out everyone says oh well that seems just better. Yes that's true. There are some considerations in college football. They're much stronger in in some of the other leagues because what happens is the oddsmakers are going to put out there. They're powering numbers. They're willing to put their number is on the game. Maybe they shade it a little bit based on their clientele based on the the betting patterns if they've seen from some of their sharper better early on in the season well they're going to do is they're going to let the betting market decide how much these spots are worth. What do they mean in the context context of that game so for example here like I said already. UTSA has never played against an option offense never played a service academy. They've never played an option team. I'm not on Frank Wilson's tenure and not since they joined the F. B. S. I'm sure they saw one in the FCS ranks because a lot of teams do some different gimmicky offenses and that kind of thing what is that worth in this spot well army went from a sixteen point favorite to a seventeen point favorite in that game my line on that army and UTSA game is fifteen and a half and that's with the fact that I don't think you say is a very good team and obviously as we saw from army and week to you. There's still quite a solid very formidable team. Nf Bs so what does it mean that you say has never seen an option team right now. Looks like very little and there probably are some people that are hesitant to bet army coming off of that game against Michigan. I understand that when also service academies it's harder for them to fall victim to these situational spots because they're so disciplined you know they're going to put the same amount of prep into most every game that they play like like they have you know Air Force on deck or Navy Decker and they're like I believe army actually plays Morgan state next week so not a look ahead situation at all whatsoever. But what does it mean that. UTSA hasn't put an option you know. How much are they putting into it. You Know Minnesota same thing against Georgia southern. Are they putting getting a lot of preparatory option or are. They worried about that purdue game coming up here in a couple of weeks time times coaches will try to prepare for both you'll. We'll say hey we'd be gap responsible against this Georgia southern option but here's what purdue was doing because you would think hopefully allies essential are back for that game back back at one hundred percent for that game for purdue so Minnesota certainly has that to worry about those are probably the more important situational elements prepping for scheme travel situations do matter do they matter early on in the season here like we are. I don't know that could be the case for some of these teams you especially the ones that maybe maybe going along way from home playing altitude something like that but these kids are tired yet. You get later on in the season. You got back to back conference road games off of a double overtime retire game. That's a little bit different situation..

National Football League football Football Stanford UTSA Miami USC Florida Carolina Stanford Stanford Tampa Bay Georgia NBA Brian basketball Central Florida purdue Umass Provo Alabama
"adam burke" Discussed on Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

11:18 min | 1 year ago

"adam burke" Discussed on Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

"Last several years because there's so much incentive to tanking it is really hard to build up a farm system without elite level talent or the elite player development staff. So what is the plan or the plan is that you overhaul your organizational the approach and then you get talent into the minor league system and try to develop it why didn't Houston Astros are so good right now. It's the Cleveland Indians have been able to sustain with some injuries and also you know they're a casualty when it comes to the finances of Major League baseball but they've been able able to develop guys like ashamed beaver an Errand Savelli Looking Oscar Machado now. They've got Daniel Johnson coming up as well. They've got some guys in the low levels. That are very very highly. The thought of prospects they're not tanking necessarily but it's all about building this player development staff and building up your organization's. Your organization's talent well. The best way to do that is by being that is by getting those high draft picks is by getting that revenue sharing money is by having the international pool money all the different types of things that teams due to position themselves to get that raw talent so right now major league baseball that gap gap is just really really large and yeah. Maybe it takes the fun out of the handicap. We know what it's really fun to win money too so you're able to be mobilized enough to play these really big. Favorites still going to be the way to do it here. In Major League baseball over the last three weeks of the regular season probably going to be the way to do it next season as well and again. I don't think that this will change too much until we start to see the talent levels kind of eating out a little bit now so as far as just looking at individual games here over the last three weeks of the regular season. I will say this something I have failed to account for in in leagues like the NBA College Basketball Nhl Mlb the daily sports basically these teams are very streaky these days the good teams just have more streaks in the bad teams essentially and that's something that I I have a really hard time wrapping my head around around because as somebody who's well versed in the analytics. I'm a big believer in sample size and teams are just streaky. You know how many anytime you look and see that a team has won seven of ten eight of ten nine of ten twelve or fifteen. You know fifteen of twenty something like that. It's almost like it's almost like this is just a game where the margins are small between individual players. It's just almost a matter of confidence and confidence is completely. Lee Unquantifiable. You know it's just there's there's no way of accounting for that in the betting line or anything like that but it just seems to me like these teams that are running good. Keep running good and you want to back them until something bad happens and then they could go into a little bit of a tailspin so as we go throughout the rest of the season here look for these teams that are on these runs because they're very likely to continue and it's such a simplistic way of handicapping and maybe that's why I don't like him and that's why I have an inherent bias towards it because I like to dig into the numbers as much as I do but but you know too much Arizona playing so well right now red red hot stay with them. You'll stay on them especially. If it's one of these teams is playing really really well. There just isn't thought of as a very good team all of a sudden. The Rangers have rattled off four in a row seven of ten. They're a five hundred order team. You're not going to have to pay a significant inflated price like you will tobacco Houston or Oakland or your Tampa Bay or somebody like that. You don't have to pay. This big inflated price because these teams aren't that highly thought of well when they're playing well. You can hop on board so that's something I'm going to have to try and do differently in these daily sports as we go forward here. I just think that for whatever reason you know confidence spree confidence and these teams play well for an indefinite period of time wants that you know once something happens. Maybe they lose a game or two in a row center. Jump off pop on another train. That's going in the right direction again it. It's it's so simplistic. It's so it's the antithesis of my handicapping necessarily really what it is hard for me to wrap my head around because I'm not a believer in the short term. I'm not a believer in these five six eight game sample sizes but recent history has shown us that these teams playing really well sustain it for a period of time they stop they they fall off a little bit and then maybe they started again so it's just it's all part of a handicapping puzzle and you know. I guess this is a pretty good transition into the mental side of handicapping here which I do. WanNa talk about for a couple of minutes here because I think people are spread all over the map when it comes to this. Some people just want to have fun you know. Maybe you listen to this show because you WANNA win. You know you WanNa have more fun when you win it. Just it's always is but you're not doing this as a supplement. You're not doing this as an income. You're doing this for fun. You are doing this because you enjoy it and that's they different level of betting than somebody who's doing it as a supplement or in my case somebody who's doing it in a very public manner public like forum or in the case of the guests. I have on the show here that have clients that are looking to them for winning picks. There's so many different different levels of betting and handicapping and with the goals that you were trying to achieve it takes a different toll mentally based on what it is that you're trying to achieve you know for me. I mentioned this before. I consider consumer myself. Hey content guy. I A handicapper in a better second. I don't live off of my handicapping. I like to use it as a supplement. Certainly when things go well when things don't go so well it doesn't have a significant bearing you on my quality of life and able to do you know that type of thing however however it still takes a significant mental toll on me because I know that what I'm saying goes out to thousands the people a day on the show goes out to thousands of people a day. That read banged the book dotcom mentally. That's hard on me. Your money is more important than my money is because I have this platform. I care about my readers. I care about my listeners. You guys are the reason why I'm able to do what I'm able to do. So it's really hard on me with things. Don't go my way and as somebody who has dealt with some mental health problems in the past as somebody who has dealt with depression somebody who has dealt with you know some anger management issues there are aww triggers out there and anybody who's dealt with those types of things knows that and and it's core you have to ask yourself so why you're what handicapping is to you. What betting is to you. Is it a test of your ego. Is it to validate you know the the fact that you feel. You know a lot about sports. Is it to beat your friends. In handicapping contests or pools isn't about how money what is it about and then you have to try and maintain that proper perspective and for me. I had a four nine college football all Saturday. If things don't go well for me tonight the SUPERCAR desks. I'm going to be very upset off those two Monday night football games don't go my way. It's hard it is a hard thing. Mentally you have to be able to turn the page and go ahead to the next week while trying to maintain a level of confidence even even know. Maybe you didn't do so well the week before to me. That is the hardest part of this business and it's probably because I come from a frame of reference difference where you know I have seen professionals in the past about my depression and you know I I've talked to friends of mine in the industry here that are off the slow slow starts this season and it's doubly bad for me coming off a bad baseball season but we all say the same thing that you know this is. This is a hard industry to be in for mental standpoint. If you take it as seriously as we do because we have to because we've got clients and people that pay attention to what we have to say it wears on you. It is a lot if you're just handicapping for fun. You make it pissed off. If you lose a better something like that it doesn't linger. It doesn't hang with it. Keep you from sleeping at night but for a lot of people out there whether they listen to the show or not it does and you have to do everything in your power to maintain unhealthy of a perspective as you possibly can because if you can't and this is something I fell victim to every day with the baseball article this year every day. I dreaded getting up to write it because the first thing I said to myself is how do these picks lose today. It's just like any other walk of life where you know if you have a negative and pessimistic outlook. It almost always seems to work out that way whether it's fate whether it's circumstantial I don't know almost always seems to work out that way and that's an unhealthy perspective for betting and gambling and for life in general and I'm not GonNa sit here and tell you that I have all the answers because I sure as hell don't but when I'm GonNa say is that it's very important to pay attention to your own. Mental wellbeing not just in this business is this put in general but as it pertains to this business because this is a sports betting podcast. This doesn't get easier. You've got college football and you've got the NFL right now. You've got Major League baseball if you're still doing it hockey starts and three and a half weeks the NBA starts in what four are weeks. College basketball starts in about two months or so. Give or take make sure to take time for yourself. Take time for your family. Take time for the things that you enjoy outside of this business because when this becomes a job for you. It becomes very very very hard to enjoy it..

Major League NBA Houston football Astros Cleveland Daniel Johnson Arizona Oscar Machado Rangers basketball Tampa Bay Lee Unquantifiable NFL hockey Oakland three weeks two months
"adam burke" Discussed on Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

03:49 min | 1 year ago

"adam burke" Discussed on Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

"Or you know personal betters or hedge funds or whatever else you may see. Some big moves come in on some of these games early in the week to massage as those numbers you know because when you talk about a market is tight as the n._f._l. Every half point is so important every five or ten cents. That's of juice is so import so you're going to see some of these scenarios where you know these lines move up a little bit or move down a little you bet as a setup for later in the week in college football the number of grams the number grabs and those are generally true or positions in the n._f._l. You're going to you see these positions where someone's going to move a number a little bit in a preferred direction to come back on the other side with a bigger limit bet later in the week. It happens all the type. A lot of massage like that happens especially because of the importance as i just mentioned of key numbers you'll see you look at the game like four sixty five four four sixty six tennessee cleveland you know. I think that that could be one where you see a little bit cleveland money. Maybe drive that number up to six. We have seen that a bookmaker. I'm both outta here already. Maybe a little bit of money drives that number up to six. Maybe try to push a little bit more to six and a half and then come back in on fantasy. I'm not saying that that's what's going to happen from this using that game to illustrate a point where this is what happens in the n._f._l. Market where you will see some guys have a target number and they wanna get there and they'll do everything they can to get to that target number because keep in mind book you you may massage the market earlier in the week. Let's say that you make a ten thousand dollar bet to try and nudge number from five and a half up to six well. Maybe later in the week you come back on it at fifteen thousand or at twenty thousand you know six six and a half something like that the position that you really wanted to take you would hope certainly to see a six and a half half where you've got a chance of the game landing six and you hit both. If you get your preferred side you make money if it comes on the other side well. You don't lose your full. I bet amount you don't lose twenty k. You lose ten k. So that's what a lot of these big respected outlets. They're going to do here for the n._f._l. Market is trying to mitigate losses but also try to move lines so we're their target numbers are you will see this a lot here in the n._f._l. And that's what some of those early week moves are so they're not necessarily true positions but there are ways of trying to move the market massage the market around now we may not i see as much of it here and we won because he's numbers have been up for so long but we'll see it in week two three weeks seventeen where you know the setup as it's called trying to get some of these numbers to move around and also to you hope for overreactions from some of the other outlets in the marketplace. Every book is going to interpret sharp action and apply it differently. Some books may overcompensate for that activity. That's what some of those sharper outlets are waiting for. They're they're hoping that one book or a couple of books overreacted that early week move move on air. Maybe a little bit too much because they're not the ones getting hit and then it creates an opportunity out there in the market the n._f._l. Is truly a numbers game. I think in college football because of the talent gaps you see those troop positions. There's more of a handicap of the game. I think the n._f._l. A lot of people believe that it's a numbers game where it's all about getting those half points around key numbers and things of that sort not go to markets are very different at their cores. They're both football but the two markets are very very different had a quick question. I wanted to touch on here from a listener..

football tennessee ten thousand dollar two three weeks twenty k ten k
"adam burke" Discussed on Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

02:11 min | 1 year ago

"adam burke" Discussed on Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

"Maybe a little bit of a sharp side in in week one buffalo maybe a little bit of a sharp side <hes> baltimore clearly a sharp side and we won against miami jacksonville's finish sharp side. I that carolina china popping up is this sharp side now with the plus three and the extra juice detroit has been a sharp side. I think we'd probably wind up seeing the giants is a little bit of a sharp side as well in fact some of the sevens out. There may be gone sooner rather than later so we're starting to see the n._f._l. Market takes shape and we will see some wind. I moved today. We will see some lime once again on tuesday thursday friday. We'll see some as well and certainly as we head on into game week and one of the nice things about this week weaken the n._f._l. Is that by and large because of how the pre season was handled by a lot of these coaches. A lot of these teams are very healthy now. Of course we do have some injury considerations. You've got asia green out for cincinnati. Oh you've got obviously andrew luck retiring because of injury so we do have some injury considerations sion's here in the marketplace but by and large these teams are healthy so that's a good thing so we don't have to wait for you know friday practice actress reports and all that to see who's going to play and who's not going to play so that's a good thing so we will probably see some early movement here in the markets for the n._f._l. And keep in mind to not all early week moves in the n._f._l. Are sharp troop positions. They they are shark moves because the public doesn't really get involved until game day or maybe the day before the game but one thing we will see a lot more in the n._f._l. Than we see in college is massaging watching the market because in theory the n._f._l. Should be tighter games hugging closer to key numbers. I mean you look your week. One not a single game in double digits across the market. You want in college football. You've got some huge line. I mean shit this week. Alabama's a fifty four point favorite against new mexico state so so you see a lot more massaging around these key numbers to where you may see some early limit that's come in for some from some very deep-pocketed syndicates syndicates.

giants baltimore carolina asia detroit jacksonville mexico miami cincinnati football sion Alabama andrew
"adam burke" Discussed on Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

02:11 min | 1 year ago

"adam burke" Discussed on Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

"Dollars again that's going from the killer sports dot com database and look big chalk wins and that's just what major league baseball is at this point in time it it is a sport. We're big jock is winning. I it is a sport without a lot of parody right now. The big favorites are winning a lot and the big favorites are the playoff teams for the most part the playoff teams the dodgers the astros the as the yankees <hes> the braves the braves have been facing the big numbers here even though they don't have a great starting staff by any means the nationals you know with their elite starting rotation. It's just one of those things now baseball where the trick to winning betting baseball and i've talked about this before and it's good to revisit here again to be over capitalized and play big favorites. I mean that that's just it it. You know and i understand that. A lot of people can't do that because it can be a little bit scary. You know you bet all these minus two fifty minus two seventy type favorites if one of loses uses it feels like it's a crippling type of thing but with the rate at which these are cashing i mean look we're talking about again using five times closing numbers here in the month of august august betting minus one eighty higher favorites where they fourteen percent r._o._i. It's crazy so i imagine this will probably continue in the month of september. I certainly have to expect that to be the case. You'll get last year for example in major league baseball favorites minus one eighty or higher in the month of august came came in at seventy two point three percent ninety nine and thirty eight also interesting to point out that there were more games with the big favorites <hes> in this year as month of august as opposed to last year is once again big favorites showing a good profit there <hes> in the month of august last year so you know it's it's one of those things where it's just the nature of the beast now in major league baseball. You'll get last year in the month of september. How about this minus one eighty or higher favorites in twenty eighteen for the month of september ninety four and twenty eight seventy seven percent. You bet one hundred dollars each one of those minus one eighty or higher favorites..

baseball braves dodgers yankees astros twenty eight seventy seven per one hundred dollars fourteen percent three percent
"adam burke" Discussed on Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

03:29 min | 1 year ago

"adam burke" Discussed on Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

"In baseball if not be lowest so look you know it is one of of those instances where you do have some sample size issues here but they're a good team that beats up on bad teams but they're not a good team when they step up in class play lake comparable competition which is what is asked of you in the playoffs so maybe they get their. Maybe they do get the second wildcard spot but it's really hard to call them. A good would team given what they've done here against comparable or better competition and look i get it. You can only play the teams that are on the schedule in front of you but i'm really disappointed with how this season is played out and it's hard to say that about team. It's twenty one games over five hundred but i looked at some futures type stuff for them and you know it's just it's been a bust you know i i took a piece of them at the all star break to win the world series expecting them to you know maybe not necessarily challenged the twins but at least put themselves in a good position for the wild card and they have done that and that's that's not dead in the water. Maybe i'll get a chance to hedge against it in a wildcard game but you have to look at this team and and you know really wonder just how far they can go and it's gonna lead to a really interesting off season for them. At least the twins scoring six runs per game having having a chance to maybe outscore some better teams that are out there for unions though when they step up in class that they'll get completely different team and i don't know why that's the case. I don't know if it's a preparation issue. I don't know what it is but the nice thing for them is that they don't have a lot of good teams left on the schedule here in the month of september timber but now all of a sudden they find themselves five and a half back from the twins. They do have six head to head meetings. They have to go at least five and one to give themselves a chance here in this division race so i don't know i don't know what happens if the indians going forward but on the plus side yesterday carlos carrasco coming back from leukemia phenomenal no seeing their down in tampa bay when he gets his first appearance back at home. I it'll be something really special but you know what i mean. As you look around the big leagues right here <noise> excuse me. I don't know what the issue is here with that <hes> you know it's still a case of the haves and have nots you know the yankees ninety and forty eight twins eighty four and fifty do due astros eighty nine in forty nine the yankees in the twin the as could or the yankees and the astros excuse me damn i guess it's i guess it's labor day for me here or to the yankees in the as both have ten game leads over teams that could very well be in that wildcard game. Tampa bay certainly looks like they're going to be <hes>. We'll see if they're able to hold off oakland but that's astonishing to me that you've got a yankees and astros team. They're so far a bug to legitimate playoff contenders. It is is remarkable. The seasons that those teams are having it's becoming a similar thing out in the wha ah in the national league. We've got the dodgers in the west eighty nine and fifty or eighteen of the diamondbacks who have played pretty well here of late. You've got the braves who are five and a half ahead of the nationals. Nationals are surging right now but so are the braves. The braves have not had any let up you gotta give them a lot of credit for that and then in the central division whoever wins that the cardinals or the cubs could be alive team here come playoff time but you know it's one of those things where both of those teams so far below the braves raves and dodgers and really far below the nationals as well in my estimation so as we look around at the futures board..

yankees braves astros tampa bay dodgers baseball carlos carrasco cardinals oakland national league leukemia cubs
"adam burke" Discussed on Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

01:57 min | 1 year ago

"adam burke" Discussed on Sports Gambling Radio - By BangTheBook

"There's unfortunately corey paths with a change in his work schedule so his marketwatch article. He won't be able to do it anymore so i picked it up here this week four college football. I'll also do one for the n._f._l. Over at the website give an eye out for those every friday here over the course of the season with some thoughts on where sharp action is what's going on with some of these li- oh i movement out in the marketplace. Basically it'd be a good complementary piece to my opening line report which gets posted every monday over at bankbook dot com for both college football and the n._f._l. So i'll open it up on. Mondays are closing out on fridays. Obviously we'll see what happens with those line moves on saturday and sundays for the games and that's absorbing the book radio comes in where we'll talk about all that stuff <hes> over the course of the five shows a week here on the program also over at the website my college while paul ratings are updated alan moody cernan do his football stuff <hes> for his scholarship total of the week college football n._f._l. System picks. It'll be doing a lot of stuff for us over the course of the football season so playing to keep an eye on with that. He's also still doing baseball. He's a better man than i as i gave up baseball a few weeks ago but he's still doing it over ripping the book dot com to give us a presence on the diamond so good to see that speaking of a present so the diamond however i will be doing the box on monday. <hes> did get a monday mailbag question already as well so getting tripods on twitter or animate bang the book dot com. If you have any questions for the monday mailbag also going to be doing that <hes> betters. I box edition there before we chat on monday with kyle hunter for a week to college football. I look so you look forward to that coming up after the weekend but at the website we got some nascar stuff written up for you. I'll be doing a u._f._c. preview here today. <hes> we'll have a lot of college. Football contact a lot of n._f._l. Content gonna start rolling out some n._h._l. Stuff next month som n._b._a. Stuff next month as well so it. Hey the <hes> the sports calendar never stops..

football corey twitter baseball kyle hunter li nascar paul alan moody cernan
"adam burke" Discussed on KQED Radio

KQED Radio

01:31 min | 2 years ago

"adam burke" Discussed on KQED Radio

"In sport comes from Adam Burke, we've all had bosses that annoyingly tried to raise morale the guy that walks up and down high five and everyone like a one man streptococcus delivery system. The manager the insists on celebrating every birthday, even though we all know, Cheryl from accounts is getting fired at the end of the month. Well, it turns out such forced enthusiasm extends to professional sports where it can be just as harmful in a recent interview, legendary Washington Redskins running back Clinton Portis said it was just that type of forced pep rally in the jinx the teams two thousand eight season Portis railed against then coach Jim zone and his practice of having the team gathering the locker room to cheer hip hip hooray like a Connecticut polo team from the thirties and saying that it contributed to the. Pins blowing their five to start to the season. That's how the locker room got divided. He explained while locker room rituals or certainly common in professional sports. The preferred mattress tend to be more modern and pop culture are intended and left like something you'd hear at a rally for the bull moose party or a group of people trying to cheer up particularly Morales Victorian clan. As a grown man explained. Portis? You're sitting here thinking about hip hip, and thrown up like you kidding me? What partisans frustration is certainly understandable. It doesn't hold a candle to having to sing for. He's a jolly good fellow to Peter eagle for five minutes before every show before he'll go on..

Clinton Portis Adam Burke Cheryl Washington Redskins Morales Peter eagle Jim zone Connecticut five minutes