35 Burst results for "A Month"
Bassitt returns but Mariners beat A’s 6-5 for 4-game sweep
"The mariners picked up their fifth straight win by turning a four one deficit into a six five decision over the athletics Seattle rallied after Chris Bassett pitched three shutout innings for Oakland less than a month after surgery to repair facial fractures home runs what the ends to their tenth win a row versus the eighties cal Raleigh started to come back with a two run Homer mai chan again tied it with his thirty fifth and Louise Turpin's followed with a two run shot the outcome puts the mariners two games behind the idle Yankees for the second AL wild card the Acer for back I'm Dave Ferrie
US sets the stage for COVID booster shots for millions
"Government advisers have recommended Kobe booster shots for millions of Americans but expressed skepticism extra shots will help slow the pandemic advisers to the U. S. centers for disease control say booster should be offered to people sixty five and older nursing home residents and those ages fifty to sixty four with underlying health problems with the provision for younger adults at health risk but the panel decided against extra shots for healthy health care workers Dr Pablo Sanchez we have a really effective vaccine and it's like saying that it's not working and it is and Dr Helen Talbot says getting everyone vaccinated is the answer not giving boosters to those already protected I feel like what month on fox like this is not one of them I'm Jackie Quinn
Biden's Approval Rating Hits New Low of 37% Among Independent Voters
"Biden's approval rating has hit a new low of thirty seven percent among independent voters Trump is now outpolling biden in popularity with american voters. They got a real mess on their hands. The white house can't say why some illegals are being deported others. Or not you got the far left all up in arms about deporting any of the illegals you had biden promising to deport the thousands of migrants in del rio texas while secretly relocating them. Two spots here in the united states. What about kobe did they have. Covert are they being tested and they've been vaccinated because the vaccine of course vacs are not facts. How the next six months looks like in america. I really don't.
FDA Authorizes COVID-19 Pfizer Booster Shot for High-Risk Adults
"The food and drug administration has authorized booster shots of the pfizer biotech vaccine for certain groups of people who've already gotten to doses of pfizer's vaccine that includes people sixty five and older and for those at severe risk of infection like healthcare workers teachers and grocery store employees. People can get the booster six months. After the second shot the biden administration had plan to make a third dose available to all adults but the fda said current evidence did not support broad
Texas Needs to Create a Confrontation With the Federal Government Over Border Crisis
"More complaining about to joe biden. And we know who he is. He is not the president of this country. He has some sort of aims ambitions to china or central america. We've gone into that many different times instead. We need to be solution-oriented. I do not like the politics of complaining. Now if you live in california. I get it. Texas is not california texas hill country. They'll secure the border. The good folks in fredericksburg texas. They won't put up with this at all. We also have to stop caring with the left and the media says about us to relevant play. Cut fifty two. But we want to show you why this camp got so big in the first place at swelled the fifteen thousand saturday morning hundreds of migrants at a time just streaming in from sudani kunia walking across the river and just illegally entering the united states without any resistance from our federal government whatsoever. They crowded on the shore and huge masses. We watched it for five six hours straight thousands coming in and eventually the only thing that stopped it was the state of texas and they literally formed kind of a wall if you will with their patrol vehicles and they stemmed the flow. They formed a wall and they stemmed the flow. Of course there's zero resistance from federal authorities. Federal authorities are under orders from the president to allow an open border society. And this really does open the question. And i've asked this question for the last couple months. And i think we're finally seeing an issue that is exposing how republicans are under prepared to deal with the actual crisis. That's happening in america. Which is how much power to the states. Actually have the federal government postures. They flex their muscles but we saw under the trump administration that the federal government backed down when sanctuary state and sanctuary city measures were passed in seattle in portland and san francisco. Los angeles what texas needs to do is create a confrontation with the federal government and the federal government will back down. Texas is the perfect place to test this out.
Britney Spears court filing says conservatorship should end
"Britney spears is taking a big step to end the court arrangement that is why her life for the past thirteen years you might be surprised to know that for all her complaining about her conservatorship Britney spears has never formally asked the court to end it until now that is she's filed paperwork saying that she agrees with her father that the court arrangement be officially terminated the filing says the singer fully consents to a quick end to the conservatory shipped and that puts her in harmony with her dad who asked for the same result earlier this month while the filing marks a rare instance where her and her dad James spears C. I. tai it's not the Koombana Yom moment that it appears she says getting her dad out of the conservator ship is a necessary first step in regaining her freedom I'm Oscar wells Gabriel
Audit Expert Heather Mullins Describes the Ins and Outs of 'Ballot Trafficking'
"I wanna get one more question with just georgia in general heather. You've been studying this. What are all the simultaneous investigations. Going on here lawsuits. What can we expect on the horizon. Coming out of george charlie. One of the biggest things is probably a three broke about a week and a half ago. But i've known about for months There's actually a group called true though that over the last eight months since the election. He's been purchasing mobile data right like as mobile data and specifically around drop boxes government organizations. Ups urgency lovers things and what they've been able to do is pretty much piece together the movements of individuals that had been going from dropbox to dropbox dropbox right It's valid trafficking is what they've called it and they actually Like an example. If this doesn't make sense 'cause like with the location stuff how does it work. If you're using and you're walking every couple of steps you take google your pinged your location. Right that data you can then purchased the under jim and someone came near your business right. You can market to that. We'll collected this data around drop boxes and obtained a corresponding drop. Fuck dropbox footage charlie. So now they have faces a people in in two hundred and forty two people that visited on average twenty three drop drop boxes in the primary or the early voting period. Rather so in georgia. The law is that you're only allowed to draw your ballot in the dropbox or your immediate family member so just completely illegal to harvest ballads or go from you know house to house collecting them and putting them in serenity for anyone else. It's completely illegal
FDA backs Pfizer COVID-19 boosters for seniors, high-risk
"The food and drug administration signed off on the recommendation that seniors and high risk Americans be allowed to get five users cobit booster shot the FDA says eligible Americans who received by users two dose vaccine should get a third dose six months after the last shot they received that would be people age sixty five and older health care workers teachers grocery workers and those in homeless shelters where prisons but it's up to a panel of the U. S. centers for disease control to make specific recommendations about who gets the boosters and when the panel is still hearing various reports including some views that boosters are not needed because the covert vaccines are still warding off severe illness but more people are getting infected as immunity is waning Jackie Quinn Washington
Dissecting Fulton County Fraud With Audit Expert Heather Mullins
"We have an audit expert. Who's been doing. Phenomenal work for real america's voice. Heather mullins high going heather. Thank you for joining us today. And thank you for the great work that you are doing. let's start with georgia and the audits. You've been doing a of work for real america's voice as an investigative reporter. Tell us what is the status of finding out what actually happened in the two thousand twenty election in the state of georgia charlie. There's actually quite a few investigations going on in georgia. The one most recently that i covered this week was A lawsuit filed by a group called voter. Gpa they're an election integrity group. That's been working in the state for over twenty years They filed the lawsuit. Too much unseal. And forensically analyze the absentee and mail in ballots in fulton. County georgia specifically. It's the exact same ballots that we saw in that state farm arena video that went viral of people scanning and ballots that they pulled out from underneath that people at one o'clock in the morning after observers were sent home well. Those ballots are the ones in question in this lawsuit and a judge so far have actually already unsealed then and what the the plaintiffs were given where the digital ballot images so every time a ballot is scanned in the voting machine Creates a digital and that is stored so they had access to those unfortunately in the resolution on images such poor quality that the forensic expert asked for a higher resolution and so where this case was a couple months ago was the judge had actually ordered that the town officials had to rescan those ballots at a higher resolution and hand them the images because georgia's secretary of state fouls degrees in his lawsuit claiming that it's anybody touch those ballots. It'd be felony. Charlie almost to try to like stop the audit from going forward and so this judges like all right. We'll working we're gonna take these people that can legally handle those ballots and we're gonna make them re skin them at a higher resolution so this case went back to court on monday and the attorney representing fulton. County is gonna georgia's talk criminal. Defense attorney is a guy named don samuel who tiny white collar criminal defense course at georgia university but then thinking right so he started saying that. The georgia bureau of investigation. The secretary of state office had already done an investigation and and there was no fraud like nothing was found and was basically trying to say you know grant my motion to dismiss this case. Will the judge said. Can you cite the report. Is anybody in this courtroom. Have any report from the secretary of state office. The georgia bureau investigation on anything. They've done that pertains to essentially counterfeit balance. Nobody had any answer. So the judge pause this lawsuit and is giving the secretary's day gb. I twenty days to basically bring them up to speed if they've done anything and if not i mean we go back to court on november fifteen the judge then move forward to continue until about
Some Kaiser Permanente Employees Quit Over Vaccine Mandate
"Talked to several people. Also who are work work well who worked Past tense for the biggest hospital chain. That rhymes with the people that worked with kaiser. That have just laughed because kaiser is saying they're not going to To acquiesce they're not even going to offer. They're gonna tighten up even religious exemptions So it's it's appalling that all of these people have to leave their jobs after serving us so well but these police officer said that they will walk out if they have to get the vaccine and they're willing to do other things they're willing to mask up. They're willing to take tests but they do not want to have the vaccine common. They should be no need to give a reason. Because my buddy choice. But i'm just curious in talking to them. Is that common thread as to why they don't want to because it's experimental or is in health reasons religious. What are they saying. I you know. So based on the people that i've talked to so far. It's all the reasons that you and i have talked about on the radio for months. Now it's the fact that it just hasn't been around long enough number one number two they don't want the government going down the slippery slope and this is probably the biggest of telling us what we can do. You know. I had a friend who is a pretty close friend who has got an active case of lupus and she has not gotten the vaccine yet but she also was afraid to get the vaccine. Because she's in a flare of lupus. She thinks it's going to make her sicker. She tried to get an appointment. Ucla medical center. They would not see her to treat her lupus until she got a covert vaccine and she told them that she was afraid and that she didn't wanna do it until she was. You know well on the mend from the lupus and they would not see her just wrong. So what's the next step. Are we going to go after smoking. Are we going to go after people. I mean what what what is next. Are we not. I mean the of law enforcement and hospitals are serve people who need help not to worry about vaccine
Bush to headline fundraiser for Cheney after Trump backs foe
"Former president George W. bush is coming out of political retirement to support Republican congresswoman Liz Cheney's reelection bid an insider familiar with the campaign's plans says former president George W. bush will be the featured guest at a Dallas fundraiser next month for Liz Cheney the Wyoming lawmaker whose father served as bush's vice president former president trump has been attacking Cheney who voted to impeach him over the January sixth insurrection at the capitol earlier this month bush noted there wasn't that much difference between the nine eleven attackers and the rioters who stormed the capitol building maligned for seems at work in our common life that turns every disagreement into an argument and every argument into a clash of cultures bush's support for Liz Cheney counters trump's efforts to end her political career Jackie Quinn Washington
Fed foresees a potential rate hike as soon as next year
"The federal reserve is signaling it may start raising its benchmark interest rate sometime next year such a move would be earlier than envisioned three months ago and assign the fed is concerned that strong inflation pressures may persist for now though the central bank is keeping its benchmark interest rate at zero two a quarter percent and says it expects that target range will be appropriate until labor market conditions reach maximum employment and inflation is on track to moderately exceed two percent for some time at the same time the fed says it will likely begin slowing the pace of its monthly bond purchases later this year if the economy keeps improving the fed cites progress on could nineteen vaccinations and strong policy support as key factors in the economic recovery and strengthening job market it also notes improvement in the sectors of the economy hit hardest by the pandemic Ben Thomas Washington
Pastor Robert Jeffress and His Plan for Encouragement
"Morning pastor. How are you good morning. Hugh great to be with you. This is an encouraging buck. It's it's really overdue. Did you find yourself surrounded by cova fatigued people in your congregation who needed to lift up. Absolutely you know what hugh and the bible of nouns are symbolic of the obstacles that stand between us and god's blessing tune our life. And that's why subtitled the book invincible. Conquering the mountains. That separate you from the blessed life and after eighteen months of covert and political unrest and racial division. I mean people have been overcome would grief for loneliness fear or worry and in this book. I talked about how to conquer those mountains. You know jesus said if you have the faith as tiny as a mustard seed. You can move mountains. And he wasn't speaking literally but he was speaking truthfully and these mountains that we're all facing you We can conquer them without allowing them to conquer us. And that's what i talked about in the book. The wall street journal had a story over the weekend. Pastor jeffress that stated that americans are angrier and crankier in more quick to get into an argument and causes seen an airplane or a restaurant or supermarket store than in history. Just worn out and fatigue to which i responded. We actually have no real problems in america compared to people in afghanistan or looking at the taliban trying to kill them and that that's useful to remember but it's also a religious obligation for people who are christians not to be that way correct. That's exactly right. And it's been a little bit discouraging for me. As a pastor to see you know evangelical christians kind of at the forefront of a lot of this division. And look you know i i. We can have disagreements about issues like the vaccines or other things that are going on but look you know. I liked what Saint augustine said he said in the essentials unity in non essentials liberty but in all things. Charity we don't have to be mad and hateful and foaming at the mouth to have a difference of opinion.
Why Isn't Governor Abbot Deploying the Texas National Guard to Defend the Southern Border?
"Is betty lou in south texas. I'm a third generation texan Thank you for all you're doing. I am disgusted by the deplorable hans. Fly of illegal immigration into our mighty state and wants to great one nation under god. I'd like to hear more about governor abbott and other governors. What are they doing to forestall this horrible mind stress on fly. Thank you take care. God bless god. Bless thank you betty lou. She makes a great point. It's a great question. In fact tucker. Carlson asked that question last night and has apparently repeatedly invited governor abbott on his show. Evidently governor abbott has declined because tucker keeps asking the texas governor. Why are you not deploying the texas national guard. Why are you standing up to the incompetent. Inept utterly failed biden harris administration on this issue. Here's a. Tucker carlson said last night we opened the show with horrifying pictures. What's happened at our southern border. Which is completely open in. This country is being invaded. No that's not an overstatement more than a million people this year expected by the rest of the world. It's been going on for months. And we've asked texas governor greg abbott many times to come on this show to explain why he hasn't called the national guard to seal the texas border and protect the rest of us from this invasion. Greg abbott has refused to come on repeatedly so pretty soon possibly tomorrow we plan to invite his primary opponents on this show to describe what they would do if they ran texas. That might be an interesting conversation. Governor abbot one. More chance to come on sincerely. Please come on and tell us how you plan to save the rest of us. What is happening in your state. Isn't that a reasonable request. What is what is texas gonna do texas it roll over. I lived there. I love that state. I know the texas spirit. It's not acquiescence
Andy Erwin, Half of the Film-Making Erwin Brothers, Talks About 'The Jesus Music Movie'
"Are you looking for a good movie D like jesus music. I've got an idea. Why doesn't somebody. I don't know who make a film about jesus music. They could call it. You don't even need a title. You could just call it the jesus music movie Why i've been thinking that and then it turns out a couple of guys. I think that they're brothers. I think that they're the erwin brothers. Have made just such a film for such a time as this. I think andy or when might be my guest right now. Andy is that you good to be with you. Buddy all your is. We're on the same plane as usual. I think so. I think so i. I love music in general but the jesus music the stuff that we call you know. Ccm whatever what made you decide to make a film about the music. You i mean we. We love the music that has really shaped career You know. Of course with john. And i started out as music video. Directors and michael w smith was an artist that took a chance on us as kids and really kind of gave us are starting the industry and that led to us telling the story of i can only imagine the beloved song And the story behind that and that was our breakout hit and so for us. We have a deep affinity for this music but when covert hit it kind of shut everything down and we read a place in time where we said what what stories can we tell. Now that we couldn't tell any other time in history and somebody on our creative team said nobody's looked at the origin of of christian debris music and for the first time in history all these artists off the road at the exact same moment and so we reached out to amy grant and michael smith said it is interesting listed knowledge and interesting but we want to produce it you guys and not many people knew at the time but amy was about a month out from having open heart surgery and she was a really reflective time so we set up the cameras actually outside her house in filled through the window of her house with a two way intercom to get her interview and she gave one of the most raw vulnerable interviews. I had heard an artist give and it just spread like wildfire. Next thing you know we have a hundred different artists about three hundred hours of interviews to go through and it kind of morphed into this beautiful all encompassing
The Latest: UK to give 1M doses to South Korea in shot swap
"The World Health Organization says the number of new covert nineteen cases continue to fold lost week with three point six million new cases reported globally down from four million new infections the previous week last week's drop marked the first substantial decline for more than two months with falling covert nineteen cases in every world region in its latest update on the pandemic released WHO's said there were major decreases in cases in two regions a twenty two percent full in the Middle East and a sixteen percent drop in south East Asia the U. N. health agency said there were just under sixty thousand deaths in the past week a seven percent decline I'm sorry I shockingly
Manoah helps Blue Jays top Rays 4-2, maintain wild-card spot
"I'll be no earned his seventh win in lower discreetly junior his twenty first home run of the season is to try to blue jays defeated the Tampa Bay rays forty two but now improve to three one this season against Tampa Bay by allowing two runs on five hits in six innings striking out seven but walking six I pride myself on never being in an easy push over or you know this get to this guy really helpful I'm constantly gonna fight I'm counseling it give my team a chance grill solo shot in the fifth off restarted Rasputin gives him twenty nine RBI in the month of September one shy of the franchise record set by Kelly Gruber in nineteen ninety the loss drops Tampa bay's leading the American League east to six games over Boston while the Bluejays staff half game ahead of New York for the final wild card Steve Kearney St Petersburg
House OKs debt and funding plan, inviting clash with GOP
"The house has approved a spending bill to fund the government into early December but its future is less certain in the Senate it was a strict party line vote with house Democrats approving the package the ETS are two twenty and the nays are two eleven it would provide disaster relief funding to storm hit communities and aid to Afghan refugees along with suspending the federal debt limit to avert a shutdown this month house speaker Nancy Pelosi says addressing the debt limit is about protecting the full faith and credit of the United States which founders wrote into the constitution but Senate minority leader Mitch McConnell accuses Democrats of over spending more debt more borrowing and more inflation on the shoulders of American families although Democrats don't they agreed to raise the debt limit three times during the trump administration Jackie Quinn Washington
"a month" Discussed on Change Lives Make Money
"What is going on squad. My name is brian mark. i'm the host to be number one. Podcast for on fitness coaches. We're trying to grow a successful business. Those spending any money on ads a website or a funnel. I built my business to over fifty thousand dollars a month over the course of four years in the last two and a half years over a thousand on my coaches and hundred of them had ten thousand dollars a month without further ado. Let's get into today's episode. What is going on coaches. Welcome to another episode of the change. Lives make money on the training. Podcast this is the number one show on. Fitness goes through trying to go successful. Ahmed business in today's episode. We're talking about getting to a hundred thousand dollars a month. As fitness coach would sounds pretty unbelievable and was actually going to do this podcast solo but then it results you the guy. That's actually two thousand dollars a month and he was like. Oh i loved you the podcast with you. So don. what's up the guests dude. It's going good. Thanks for having me. I think this is probably the six time i've been part of your livestreams or your podcast. It's always great to get on with you and just chat about everything in online fitness coaching. Do it's cool. I was thinking about this the other day broke. And how grateful. I am that you're doing well as you are because i really think that you're bringing like a gold standard finishing you know like the the other day and the ten k mastermind when you drop that video where you basically like explain how you do your on boarding process to other tank mastermind members and i watched that video like man. I'm dons a really fucking good coach and the fact that like there's somebody like you like really like leading the pack and leading the industry or announced really cool because i know like you actually care about your clients and i know like how good your clients results actually are and so. It's really really cool to like watch you leading. The pack is really good to know that like the online fitness coaching space. Right now as being led by somebody that like really really really cares about its clients. Such a super cool..
"a month" Discussed on The Tim McKernan Show
"You know it was so. Is it just a lack of awareness. And i think a lot of people would get into shape if they actually knew the proper roadmap but i think it's a lack of information i think people like i'm going to drink diet soda so therefore that that's nothing but it is. It's a problem it's actually has a negative effect on health I'll eat the low fat thing. Thought it still doesn't make it good for you. It doesn't change that it doesn't even really necessarily make it less bad because sometimes the low fat is going to have the much higher carbohydrates. So it's i so. I do think there is in some capacity some people who are overweight or obese. Who truly do want to do it right. But then they go. Well shit. i've been. I've been eating a low fat stuff and drinking diet soda and i've done it for a month and nothing's changed so fuck this. I'm done with it. I'm not happy. And i'm gonna get yours. I think that's i think that's where a lot of it comes from but getting back to the environment thing. I mean a loss off.
"a month" Discussed on Growth Experts with Dennis Brown
"With five and six figure deals without begging for referrals wasting time networking or spending a dime on advertising. Welcome to the show. Thanks dennis great to be here. Yeah great to have you. We were chatting before. I hit record and we know of each other and knew each other a little bit through linden but we never had the opportunity to meet in so. I'm happy to have you here. You're from toronto. i'm from buffalo. So were even closer than i realized in today. Cool part is just tease. The audience a little bit ahmad has had a lot of success in his business and he's gonna actually share the roadmap. He's kind of a framework in a road map on how he went from a solo per noor to a ceo. Going from ten thousand a month to over three hundred thousand a month in thirty months. He's gonna give you a bit of a framework he's gonna walk you through that so grab a pen and paper takes on some notes. You may even have some questions. I'm sure he's going to give you some contact information at the end where you might be able to have a chat with him or find some additional information but in any event welcome to the show. Thank you for being here. It's awesome to be here. Left out the part about how. I've been trying to get your attention for years and really this interview is really just trying to get your attention again. Like i finally arrived. I am on. Dennis brown's podcast. That's an award. I can put on my shelf because i'm expecting wannabe. This there is there is it will be sent out to you. It'll be sent out to you shortly. So yeah i listen. I appreciate it. You know the pros and cons of having a podcast. It's been fairly successful is that i only have four interview spots a month. If for those of you that are listening. I have four interview spots a month. And i get about one hundred inbound interview request per month so you know the good thing is for you as the audience. You only get the cream of the crop right. You're getting the best of the best. So amount is one of them is definitely one of them. That just took a little bit of time to get him on here. But i'm excited. Because he's got some great information but before we dive into before we dive into that gives a super quick back story. I mean don't spill the popcorn in the lobby about your journey here of how you really scaled this thing up. But what led you to becoming an entrepreneur. Why did you decide to start. Your business could backstory me and like to pre bullets. I started out at ernst and young as an accountant realize.
"a month" Discussed on Adventures in Movies!
"Impossible was really cool. But it's those things where i'm kind of like i don't know if i want to spend money this time on it so i just have to wait a month and a half to stream then i'll just wait for it to stream. What do you think think you know what. There's always be those movies that you wanna see in theaters. You want the experience like like we watch a lot of horror movies. But like i think there's something about seeing them in the theater. We can't do it right now at all but like i really look forward to. I am back. Like i still want to go back as much as i actually will like. Amien i'm excited to go back to the theater. Especially in the summertime can already feel the air conditioner and smell the popcorn in the air. It's just like it's an experience. I don't think you're gonna like not go back. I do miss the experienced of popcorn. Mean part of it..
"a month" Discussed on The Catholic Culture Podcast
"You wanted. Basically that's very cool. Keep those trend Keep those man which iquitos the day and you know. The key. Allies nine a month Saw.
"a month" Discussed on PRI's The World
"Mexico city a month later today on the world day by marker woman a month ago a deadly earthquake hit the mexican capital hundreds of buildings were damaged or destroyed including the one where the world's monica campbell used to live she still looking for answers so you wouldn't have lived in the building i lipton title by winning i made a mistake i think so but i eat i mean this is a problem what means did you have to note you trust the government plus the battle against isis hits young women especially hard there is this generation of girls that has seen their dreams really be crushed in the way of years of fighting those stories today here on the world i'm mark a woman and your with the world what a couple of months for disasters fires in california and europe hurricanes and floods across the south the caribbean india and bangladesh even a tropical storm in ireland major damage everywhere some places like the island of barbuda's completely destroyed puerto rico struggling to get back on its feet and let's not forget the backtoback earthquakes in mexico the second of those two quakes hit mexico city and surrounding areas exactly one month ago today which is where we raise the curtain on the show today the world monica campbell lived in a part of the city hard hit by the quake and she's been trying to get answers to questions a lot of people have been asking now questions like how can people live safely in mexico city or any city prone to earthquakes for that matter.
"a month" Discussed on FiveThirtyEight Politics
"If you're watching yes in terms of how but in trip ari dynamics playout watch trump's numbers among republicans but also what sherman people identify themselves republicans possible people get fed up with trump one ip singer independence instead right so one then emmitt to watch for is could there be a third party can ain't an twenty twenty right around i mean just look look this is why i don't think it's an article us to think this far ahead because republicans who run for office have to decide started i'm a care demar people selection identifies independence anyway there is the second their laurels aaron and going to put in a fight until is independent they're debate saudi people really earned a pennant versus think the party labels are are not cool anymore in election you to do it happens is that you have a short term increase to some people register with the party going to goes down again right so we'll see eventually later this year us on our record number of independence every took over the year after in an election yet but will be keep an eye on i'm trump's a prorated and i mean that might be because for launching an interactive on it next week to net of late which will be awesome but let's live at their thank you make it thank you mike got and that's monday mexico there thanks mike up you're welcome all right chin doesn't even thank ready accent say that i see a next week or i won't depending on like yeah and clear the party times there's as wrapping up to speak right that's this thursday is our last episode will be talking with establishment democrats about where they think the party should go now and you got should please catch up with the other three episodes which you can find in your in the in the politics feed were a few from the spot cast their very good they're very good to very cut him so does galen giving claire now very well like a makes guess.
"a month" Discussed on FiveThirtyEight Politics
"Think either way cup begins campaign for twenty twenty is now i can say now we can say have a twenty twenty watch elections podcast what would you say the likelihood is of a serious intra party challenge to trump by twenty twenty right now twenty more eight percent forty percent but they don't win let our last time with devin percentage you know whenever you know give percentage clears allowed i'll odds now not aerial some of the real statistical side of the i think i think there high on that someone the ball primary but the put it what are the windows and public ans could break away from trump right i think early this is getting far ahead early twenty nineteen is an interesting time in that cycle you can see a cycle where they have a bad midterm and there is a notion that republicans are going to maybe it's wrong right but you can match in the conventional wisdom being that republicans will lose his in less they were a place trump and if that's the case in a become stuff interested for the party tell undermined trump at some point so that's a left early but harry you can follow up i'm not too but i'm also wondering how how much of effect is has on governed well i would say that the political science research that we know does suggest that presidents with lower approval ratings haven't more difficult time getting the key pieces of legislation through congress now that same political science literature suggest that make day in age and which you know partisan ship as a hell of a drug that is part in shipping so high in right now donald trump's approval rating among republicans remains north of eighty five percent to most of the polling that that may not in fact be the case republicans will stick by him no matter what but i do think that the close we get to the midterm elections and the closer are we get and the more say more house republicans are looking at their polling and realizing it trump isn't so popular necessarily my district in it's not going to the vast majority of them but it will.
"a month" Discussed on FiveThirtyEight Politics
"Is overblown i mean his numbers have got a little worse and you know if you numbers get worse by a player to every week and that becomes the problem over a period of months but but it is only a little bit on the margin so far in people are cherry picking a little bit to take the polls like gallop impugn the do have met forty percent which is a more problematic number vs where the consensus as an especially contents i should say among pulitzer may voters register voters are likely voters they haven't higher they have i'm higher the people who don't vote in this country ten did not like trump and so when you you know forget likely voters vs registered voters for now i think it'll so it's a has a likely voter but just to people who are who are registered to vote are a little bit more trump friendly yeah claire how does this matter in other words let's take a low landed not anaheim took a low end is trying to providing insight thirty eight percent the high end of their and just like whatever fifty five percent i'm not sure they exact number what is the difference between has in terms of how things play out and washington and around the country is trump significantly more affected and implementing has agenda and getting a cooperation from prime various at fifty five percent compared to forty percent or something i just us to an impossible it doesn't really matter right because it's he's not donald partisan ship is a held the job right so he's only going to lose the support of of republicans in congress if you really crosses a lot matters at the extreme imagined extremes so i think there's a probably a a margin where he can week i mean this is what happened in the election right he can squishy by i remember the first time that i really realized how crazy person trip was was the access hollywood tip and you were talking.
"a month" Discussed on FiveThirtyEight Politics
"In today's paul rise politics were basically dealing with the small middle of the electorate maybe ten fifteen percent they'll change their mind everyone else says lockdown but this is a thing which i bring up over and over and over again is if this election or pass year and a half astonished anything is that we shouldn't rely on a small sample size we should wide in our sample size remember george w bush and approval rating that when his high is about ninety percent about his lowest a twenty two twenty three twenty four percent and that's essentially oh perhaps not on the top end with trump you know resist just thirty five percent but on the bottom and the could easily fall down into the twenties if you add up the conditional to curious in resistance so the idea that he's got going to be in at forty was going to be unit forty five maybe that might end up being the case but the fact is that i would not rely on the past eight years as much of a guide as much as i would rely on the past sixty years as a guy donald trump's an unusual president to get some unusual motions out of people and that could all collapse circuit go fantastic form off the wentz that so i want to get into the the come implications of his approval reading a second but nate i was curious about the size of these two middle groups condition also and curious again that's people who are supporting him but say they would abandon him if he does about job and people who don't support him but they say they would back him if he does a good job again i like i like this question i think it's a creative question but is or something going on here where more people are would put themselves into those groups that actually belong in those groups because they want to appear.
"a month" Discussed on FiveThirtyEight Politics
"And the resist errors are sort of on opposite ends and they're tonight's point about parts and chip those the people for whom their sort of locked into their position and the interesting people are the ones in the middle the curious people who don't support him right now but would like him if he did it seat changed economy trump curious pitch champ curious people and the conditional people who say okay voted for him but he's got to prove himself and those those groups in the middle don't particularly like some of his you know talking about polls and tv sort of some of the distracting things but the one thing i wanted to pull out which i thought was really interesting was on the resist errors only one intend feels quote motivated by the trump presidency right now and that didn't cbs sort of right so that the democrats may still have some work to do rallying this part of their base i thought that was actually really interesting to that so that steady low they shore solo and i want to put that out because there has been so much coverage of these town halls of this resistance but i think you know the big and this is one poll but it's a very interesting nugget to me because if the democrats wanted to well in twenty eighteen i mean you gotta get does it turns out you know people motivated so harry i like this paul and i like this as an ongoing thing but i do have a critical question but this doesn't just write that that there's more room for these approval ratings to move than you might think right if the conditional summit curious move around add up believers conditional scariest your your sixty five percent right right and then i i think that's exactly right i think week as nate was pointing out early we coming up stuck with this pattern with obama where his approval rating would never really dipped below forty in the never really go above fifty five in i think a lot of people set okay.
"a month" Discussed on FiveThirtyEight Politics
"Number and that might me it will go down further but i do want to say you know at the current time trump is not especially unpopular you certain up popular but he's not especially unpopular and so people keep that in mind any also have to not cherry pick the polls _a_c so many times a gallup number side of it has them at forty percent their whole bunch of polls in forty five percent is the average typical have a spread like that in part because you have but don't polls compared registered voter polls would likely what a polls online polls telephone polls plus whatever house affected pollsters have rafter since its own category right but like then we just get over this in twenty twelve or people interpreted complicate evidence in a very old polish and the polish in the twenty sixteen about than twenty six and even in twenty twelve yeah so cleric getting to this idea that's of i do think that's right that people thank you i was going to pull out one a specific part of play said that in agree with that i think people over estimate the extent to which trump has a ceiling or floor there were some cbs you goff polling right that that caught a test yet this is cbs to pull the came out last week and it will be a continuing tracking poll but they used to pretty large sample size and basically they broke out people into for grips so trump to chew believers which are twenty two percent people who are condition only supporting trump were just twenty two percent as well people for went supporting him right now but we're curious of the call them the curious that was twenty one present so that's like i don't support him now but if it does a good job i'll support him right and then resist are to art totally against trump and that was thirty five percent and so the believers in trump.
"a month" Discussed on FiveThirtyEight Politics
"Held the guy passion it is and i'm talking about historically the disliked for like a year now but that was mostly as a candidate now i've been president for about thirty days have a different set of comparison savvy to micah and month then trump's approval rating is the lowest of any modern president and a similar points in that time your that's probably not usually surprising giving how they election played up but harry give us some context here we're going to get into sort of how unpopular trump is well to the other president relative to the modern political you go system but how much different is his approval rating compared with pass precedents very very very very different at this point in the presidency what you would expect is usually a high point in your high point for most people are coming off the inaugurated instilled the honeymoon period the majority of people are voters but support them you know barack obama at this point was in the mid to high sixties depending on which paul you look that and donald trump right now depending on which paul you look at his anywhere from the high thirties to maybe the high forty something grasp you some reports which we can get a little bit into today hit donald trump is low point fifty percent so he is well below normal majority of polls more people dislike and then like i'm all that disperse of the job he's doing that is proving and that is just something we've never seen so i guess some of the contrary him later please yes went down trump's real clear politics approval running is right now forty five point one percent guess what an average brock obama's was for the course of an eight years in office forty six point two percent guess what comes just go running is fifty point four obama an average over years forty nine point two so it's unusual old relative.
"a month" Discussed on FiveThirtyEight Politics
"Of all this is a good noble institution is something that's different i would say that like it to the point of will that change who's going to run profits the future there's i was just like how they behave to me there's no way it wasn't going to change because of an turn a member the woman sam crystal ball yeah tim aaron there's like a picture of her some sort of like that a party at a party and it was it was some yeah i think it's later the brass whatever women have them sometimes you take funny pictures them whatever but it was the first time in a candidate had this sort of berra saying thing out there you right and she i think the more millennials running for political office the more year history is out there and tractable the more these things are going to happen and also i think we've rake reached perhaps with this twenty sixteen election not just trump and the things he said but people liked sanders for that dose of authenticity that sort of cutting through ready of sort of thing and i think maybe we've reached such a saturation point with glossy packaging that now all this recognize that to be what it is which is a little bit of a mirage and people will seek and be more accepting of candidates who are a bit more of a couple rankled some it i think i think it helps that kind of is that framework think about which things for the which these three categories category one is a continuation eric celebration of previous trends category to is a revival of old friends we thought popular some was there they were so picked a good reason for that right and so yeah things to have a precedent and number three something completely new created by for example the media environment i felt intuitively which i would not way very much but i fell there's always a chance that this is kind of you know that term romp spring which is like if your amish you have like a scary things party a whole bunch of any going to go back to being are much yeah you know spring up i kind of wonder if this is the country's from spring in that trump is kind of.
"a month" Discussed on FiveThirtyEight Politics
"That if that's how presidency doesn't work out for that would be amazing okay so good use a poem bad disappoint you know i'm a said this is not a your support like this time okay it's an interesting look that i came along and products and you're right that's our new segment but never karns hey have you seen that one little thing i do want to point out in terms of graham aaron capital is a schein question twenty you believe that the media creates false few it's within our party capitalized party in order to make a seem divided so i think that i just found that to be a little interesting there is something about people who use capitals ration and are the ducks ways he was the marrow candidate test to meet it's not some but he does yeah he's owner creek names made a struggle great today he would like he is very random capitals ancient him put things in court t shamar it's when they are released postage that um servais to that like certain tight the really the side of a dangerous my certain tighten up from has now been president for a month we're not going to do any jets about happy and so it seems like thirty this i mean is going to be a somewhat open ended discussion i'm interesting on from interview about what you think the biggest change trump has a knack that so far to this can really be anything this can be like i'm executive action general behavior staff except or a misma running if the biggest change trump has brought about so far the travel ben and the in tuning chaos surrounding the travel plant and sort of that cast getting said of issues that relates to immigration i mean there was basically a week of american life where no one.
"a month" Discussed on FiveThirtyEight Politics
"My point to it in the same way he pointed to very dubious for example drugs report polls whatever it's always trying to with an impart from polls what the clippers quicker he's never really kind on the not catch i love it that collector but you know i mean the big problem here is apart from the question is being a little lieing is that you're getting a voluntary sample people taking the serve a presumed the people who are excited about trump like the serve ello i saw some liberal saying hey take it to you probably have better resist in your time folks but is this even use fall or fair to hold this up to the stand there of but surveyed this is just about getting email address right watch law talk to tap aims candidates politicians are probably more efficient ways to get a middle dresses i think i mean i would think they have designs to at some point draw couple of talking points from this or something ryan circulate some data from i don't know right it's a long serve a few wide a ruse to click to email address as you might two five or six question this one's like thirty question pretty details liking keeping with the whole band and the media is our enemy the claire how are they a lot of people are kind of on the left the team for sort of our rated spineless well that's so easy save your average for the importance of people not a i would it is our your i would agree with yeah yeah carry unanimous i i'm going to make the synonymous unanimous did you say and that of us i think i seven on seven honest i meant unanimous inanimate you should not get exercised about this sort of thing but twitter but i think it's a very fair question when you ask do you believe the media wrongly attributes come violence the second amendment rights i mean you know that's not leading at also i do feel that donald trump has a future in poland i really do believe.
"a month" Discussed on FiveThirtyEight Politics
"Politics passes i'm nate silver and not let that all him it means off to the posted a like it going yeah june he's out like i'm telling and that was like the photos on the trade doesn't get he's yeah exactly i'm here with the regular for that was nate set of our you just heard this kid claire malone i don't want with the wins woman and that ascending to is doesn't illiterate and i'm again and political writer harry on him i am glad to be here for what seems to be very interesting our on tap this is often now special start so it's been a month since from puss one into office were gonna take a step back and talk about what he's done in the months so far and what we found time to the most significant things he's done that's all with the colts trying to get past the no is awesome immigration is today will get an today i'm going to talk about just how popular or unpopular donald trump its first up that was a segment we do from time to time good you suppose lang bad yes apollo thing about every grew up you know i was very happy to hear jodie find they met that we not make those akron's happen go out there but no i think joni find event not that does not work it's been a my twitter feed all yeah offensively missed so this good you thaddeus comes from present trump again we heard from a number listeners who wanted just to discussed the trump administrations quote mainstream media accountability survey so this isn't the first time trump has conducted one of these quote unquote surveys yet on last august with questions like if donald trump setter did half of the things hillary clinton has the media what effectively and his canada's sitting just no no opinion in this one though we have questions like do you believe that if republicans were obstructing obama like democrats are doing to present trump the mainstream media what attack republicans just no doubt ten okay night is just anything more than an email list building activity i mean i would not say that donald trump is the most just remaining guy when it comes to surveys so if there's a result he light seek.