29 Burst results for "50 Percent"
Four NFL Teams Remain Below 50 Percent Vaccination Threshold
"Are among four teams that are still under 50%. When it comes to the vaccination rate for Covid 19, and you've got the start of training camp coming up fast. It's the it's Washington, Indianapolis, Arizona and the Chargers that had the four lowest covid vaccination rates in the league as of yesterday. And the disparity is amazing between the teams with the lower rates and the team with the highest rates because Pittsburgh and Miami and uh Carolina in Denver Are among 10 teams that have at least 85% of players fully vaccinated. And it's It's not like it's not like the lowest teams are at 60% and the highest teams are at 65%, right. No, there's a big dip your right big difference,
New York City and New Jersey expanding indoor dining to 50 percent capacity March 19
"Restaurants is increasing to 50% capacity on March 19th. The move coming at the New Jersey said it's doing the same. Along with other businesses on March 19th New York City, lagging behind the rest of the state when it comes to endure dining capacity, indoor dining outside the city has been up to 75% capacity. As of Sunday, a two year old is
Public health expert: 50 percent effective coronavirus vaccine would be 'better than what we have now'
"We hit five million US cases yesterday for some perspective. The first nineteen case in the United States is believed to have occurred on February six. We hit one million cases on April Twenty, eight, eighty, two days later. It then took just forty three days to hit the two million mark on June tenth. We hit the three million mark on July seven that was twenty seven days later then just sixteen days later we rich four million US cases and July twenty third and again it took us just sixteen days to hit this five million reported case number right here in the United States joining me now is Dr Tom ingles beans, the director of the Center for Security of the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health Dr Ingles. Be Welcome back to meet the press. WanNa get a little big picture here. You know last week you were you put out a lengthy list of ten recommendations. You guys didn't call it a reset, but sort of like how do we get control of this virus? Now another one of your sort of colleagues in the larger sense Michael Star home is an op Ed. He's basically calling for a reset of some sort New York Times today editorial page calling this. It feels though as public health officials are all calling for some sort of reset. Partial. lockdowns things like this and yet we are not having that conversation at all on the political side of things. Are, are we doomed to sort of live with this virus now if we're not GONNA at all look at your recommendations I DON'T THINK WE'RE DOOMED To this fate I? Think we we know what to do. Other countries have done it. I think the purpose of these resetting reports these for a kind of a reestablishment of the basics. Is that we know that another country's universal masking fiscal, distancing, avoiding large gatherings. Those kinds of things have worked. If we look at countries like Italy and Spain and France, they have a total of about seven or eight deaths today and we have thousand, but it's not magic what they did. We know what they did. So I think if we act together in national unison, we can get there and that's what the purpose of these many of these reports are I want to bring up the issue of masks there've been some people that said if we had ninety five percent compliance unmask wearing, we could get rid of we could sort of get this fires under control. Is that unrealistic and we do need to do more than just mandating masks Do. Not, alone. Not by themselves or alone the solution, but they are a critical part of it. We know that physical distancing makes a big difference. We know that large gatherings are places where super spreading events occur and people have the opportunity or the virus has the opportunity to get around quickly and for. Many people at once. So we have to do a number of things together in terms of you know simple things like diagnostic testing results coming back much more quickly. It's it's unacceptable for the country to have to have testing comeback a week or even two weeks later it's not useful at that point there's no point even doing the test. So a number of that we have to do, but they're not they're not complicated they may be hard, but we have to do them kind of in unison. And all of those, they're not hard except when you when the word politics gets involved, it makes everything a little bit harder and I wanNa keep you out of the political space here. Let me ask you a question about that scenes and to sort of set expectations doctor Fauci implied that the first vaccine that we get, he hopes it's seventy five percent effective. The FDA has said they will approve any vaccine that's at least fifty percent effective. Can you explain to the public what that means what it means and what it doesn't mean and what our expectations should be for the first vaccine Well, we know that many of the vaccines that we use are not perfect. They don't prevent every case of disease but if they prevent a substantial portion of disease than that can help us get to a point where most of us are protected, the disease can spread quickly between people anymore a concept that is called her immunity. Herd immunity doesn't mean we will won't disease anymore. It means it's not gonNA efficiently as efficiently spread in an epidemic form. and. Is there a percentage figure in your mind that you think will sort of give us a huge? Huge step in the right direction is at a vaccine that is at seventy five percent or does fifty percent do you fear that could be a false sense of hope. I think we would take fifty percent because it's fifty percent is a lot better than what we have. Now we've we've no tools to no no vaccine tools or medicine tools that we can use to slow this down. So fifty percent would be would be far better than what we have. Now of course I think we all want something that is seventy, five, eighty, five. Ninety percent effective. But we'll have to see what we get and I think for the amount of time has passed since the beginning of this pandemic to have a vaccine that's even fifty percent effective in in the coming months or the beginning of twenty twenty, one would be phenomenal. But again, we hope it's better but fifty percent would be better than what we have now. Tom ingles be from Johns, Hopkins One of our experts that we have on here regularly, really appreciate you coming on and sharing your expertise with us. Sir.
Qualcomm’s Quick Charge 5 standard promises 50 percent charge in less than five minutes
"Announced quick charge five, which it claims is seventy percent faster than quick charge four and supports one hundred watt smartphone, charging the new charging techies is twelve separate voltage, current and temperature protections and runs ten degrees Celsius cooler quick charged for quick charge, five cables will be backward compatible with the earlier versions, and it supports USB power delivery, and of course USB I've.
Supporters of Seattle Police Department protest against 50 percent budget cut
"Police gathered at City Hall today protesting that plan to cut the department's budget. The event started at 9 a.m. and was just a rally No marching through the streets. Dozens of SPD supporters expressed their disdain for the City Council's proposal. Even relatives of officers who have feared for their own safety spoke out against the planned cuts. I don't help people. You know what An incredible worth. We were every day. At the event was not
Seattle mayor, City Council at odds over 50 percent police budget cut
"Blasting the City Council's plan to cut the Police department's budget by 50%. And instead proposed transferring a list of functions out of the police budget. Monday. Statement by Durkin comes after weeks of street protests sparked by the pole least killing of George Floyd in Minneapolis. And the Trump
Seattle Police Chief Responds To 50 Percent Defunding Proposal
"Seattle police chief Carmen Best warning of severe cuts If the city slashes the police department's budget in half tonight, she laid out what de funding would actually look like was called Miller Starts are live team coverage coverage with with a a breakdown breakdown of of what what would would be be on on the the chopping chopping block, block, Cole. Cole. Mary Mary Preston. Preston. It It was was a a little little more more than than one one month month ago ago when when protesters protesters were were here here outside outside of of the the East East Precinct, Precinct, first, first, demanding demanding those those massive massive cuts cuts to to the the Seattle Seattle Police Police Department Department budget budget if if it it were were to to happen, happen, chief chief Best Best says says there there would would be be drastic drastic cuts cuts to to the the number number of homicide detectives ableto work cases and that a lot more work would be put on the shoulders of far fewer patrol officers. With a national focus on police reform sweeping the country. The city of Seattle is gaining widespread attention after a majority of City Council members say they support funding SPD by 50%. It is undoubtedly a polarizing debate chief Carmen Best releasing this video message Friday. To be honest with you, no matter which way things go. There will be further cuts not only to SPD A citywide, and she also sent this letter to Mayor Johnny Durkin, highlighting what she says what happened, the Southwest precinct would have to shut its doors and overall, the department would be forced to terminate or transfer roughly 1100 employees, leaving just 630 deployable sworn members. The homicide and violent crimes team would be thinned down to less than 25 people. And with sexual assault cases less than 10 detectives dedicated to those investigations. Other specialty units such as auto theft, burglary, domestic violence, narcotics and vice chief Best says she sees no way to maintain them. The harbor unit Traffic unit and SWAT team would be done away with. I do not believe we should ask the people of Seattle to test out a theory that crime goes away if police go away. That is completely reckless. And up to this point, the mayor has agreed to cut as PDS budget by 5%. We reached out to her office as well as every city Council member tonight, hoping to get some reaction to what the chief had to say. We did not hear back
Arizona governor issues executive order limiting indoor dining to less than 50 percent
"Issuing a new executive order to combat the rise in covert 19 cases in Arizona. I'm Greg Paul Kunst News today, There's a new executive order that will limit indoor dining. To less than 50% occupancy. The order limiting dining capacity was already a requirement for restaurants providing done in service. The governor also announced increased testing capacity and faster turnaround times for results to aid in contact. Tracing Tucson Mayor
Report: 50 percent of closed small businesses have fully reopened
"Small businesses have been dealing with the effects of the Corona virus pandemic for almost four months now, and there are some signs of continued recovery. Small business referral site Electable, says 50% of small businesses that closed have now fully reopened. 77% of small business staffers are back at work, but Even open 49% of those small businesses that have re opened report less than half their normal revenue.
"50 percent" Discussed on The Green Light
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"50 percent" Discussed on The Green Light
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"50 percent" Discussed on The Green Light
"She sounds her tweet. I tell Nigga don't fuck with me if you have a bitch 'cause I will extort. Us All right bye. Let's talk about as dumb as she is. She doesn't know what it means to be. A strong woman wants to Brian. Let me say it like this. Oh thank you. This young lady is not in a situation where she has yet been forced to evolve to be a strong enough woman. Like Vanessa Brian. She's the type of bitch. Excuse me I call a bitch. Because she's a bitch. She looked like a Turkey in that. Shit that's a waste of chocolate. She taito type of person. That'd be modeled. Lash Connecticut discontinued type. Akon kill sheet a typo where you go there now. She decided to slot where he'll get twitter when it comes out on TV. Yeah what was then? He's he's Bush's a type of creature. Where if she had to go through half of what Vanessa. Brian had to go through a quarter of it she would have been trying to slough. Saudi would have the money of good riddance piece. Just there needs to be some level of there. Needs to be some time out like she she went. That's what it is when people die people of notoriety. This should be like social media. Turn off for lying like ten days. Because I'm seeing that people were in the spot where Asia's dame processing it they processing it they. How can I get an email to make me? How can I excuse me? How can I how I how can I? How can I benefit from this crazy? We just saw this past week with the Young Gentlemen.
"50 percent" Discussed on The Green Light
"Over and under ten and a half years over I'm going under? Wow and that's because he's white. I'm going slightly over a rich powerful man slightly over release behavior COSMAS and Bruce while years so in your mind. He's getting twelve years. He's going to be re released less. Not Correct okay under so you're going on here check. Wow you're going under you're GonNa Lean told me why you're going under me why you'd answer that okay. Cause he's white. No but you don't say over with a slight caveat. Well no I mean I just barely get over that ten. He's GonNa have good behavior. Who we who he raped me. Joe knows some fucking hell out that he's GonNa be in a nice little. Salt Lake Martha Stewart like R Kelly. Zero market is probably living life in jail. Rather even go outside for ragtime. He's going to stay inside. You got to keep their body they treat. You GotTa Remember R. Kelly in hopes has if he comes out. It's going to be a market for them autumn. Nasty ASS AUNTIES and Shit. Debbie given fucking are Kelly fucking bras. They won't be there for him he ain't coming out. Are you going straight to the house? Be Greenness Science is the one I wanted to us. But we're GONNA get to that Straits whose house your house my choice back at those years. That was no we. Possession charged under a shelter. Julio Listen It's not just what you who analysts are how cute. I know how to pronounce it. I won't say so. Listen my nomination for Queen of the week you heard me damn right. Queen of the week is the late Great Katherine Johnson. The legendary NASA Langley mathematician. She just recently died at age one hundred once. She made it century. One a one shot her. She was the one that they made the Toronto P. Henson movie about Help helping hands was it moved hardship. That is going to do this to me helping hands. I don't recall that you remember the fucking movie You know my grandfather lived to be one hundred and eight shelter him. That's crazy. What will my great grand hidden figures? I said hoping his damn shouts bet. Did you get that one on? Dvd waiting for it. But they'll show her. You know I we can. We can get well into the litany of things she accomplished. There's this little excerpt that I wanted to read articles reading about her. So bear with me under racial segregation laws. At the time period she and African American women shout to the Lady Sue doing similar jobs at work in use the restrooms and separate facilities in nineteen fifty eight guys. Nineteen fifty eight. He said I got on DVD. That was the year you were born in. Nineteen fifty eight. A NASA formerly decelerated this facility also at the time female researchers were not allowed to put their names on reports in which they have contributed. The extent of Johnson's contribu-contributions also helped to break down that barrier. We needed to be assertive as women. In those days assertive and aggressive she said in one thousand nine hundred nine interview with author worn. I was working with Ted's penske and he wanted to leave and go to Houston Henry Pearson our supervisor. He was not a fan of woman kept pushing into finished a report we working on finally Ted told him Catherine should finish report. She's done the most of the work. Anyway Ted left Pearson no choice. I finished a report and my name on it. That was the first time. A woman in our division had her name on anything out of her recipes. You'll live at one one in one if quality if I can still get my dick sucked at one. How fucking year who?.
Apple confirms 50 percent of iPhones have upgraded to iOS 13
"Apple said fifty five percent of iphones introduced in the past four years running ios thirteen important metric because users typically upgrade to iphones after four years the company shared the data on its website for third party developers also reporting that fifty percent of all phones are on I o S. Thirteen thirty three percent of ipads on thirteen
50 percent chance of a single debate, 10 people in the race by September
"Does appear that there's a fifty fifty chance we're going to have a single debate next time that we're only going to have ten people in the race by September based upon a criteria that must be met by by three and a half weeks from now August twenty eighth both involving number of donors and involving breaking certain thresholds in a polls. I think you gotTA break a two percent threshold. which I think is reasonable? I mean I appreciate the idea that the Democratic Party wants to be as Democratic Small D. as as possible or big D I should say small d. one of these and but I think I think saying thing that you need more than one point three percent in the polls or one point eight percent in the polls to qualify for the third debate. It seems fair to me otherwise we'll have John Delaney in this thing for the rest of a attorney because he's a millionaire and he can pay for himself to go through it
Minnesota's solar capacity jumped almost 50 percent last year
"Support for climate cast comes from Bank of America financing clean energy, initiatives and advancements in renewable energy and spurring innovation in and the growth of environmentally focused companies markets and jobs. Bank of America NA member FDIC, good morning, four thousand six hundred and two. That's how many people work in solar power, Minnesota as of twenty eight teen and solar panel installer. Is now Minnesota's fastest growing job renewable energy is sailing along in Minnesota despite stiff winds from some lawmakers in Washington DC, so what's powering renewables in Minnesota. Here's Minnesota commerce Commissioner Steve Kelly to combination of the policy choices that we've made and the creation of the community solar garden method of investing in solar energy. Let's talk about solar gardens. Okay. I see there are hundred new community solar gardens. What are they? And where are they? Community solar gardens are mechanism created by the legislature to enable people whose houses may not face the right way, or they may not own their own home to invest in solar and have the benefits of generating solar energy by investing in these community owned solar installations, most of them are in the XL energy territory. But there are solar gardens in the territories about thirty different utilities spread around Minnesota. Let's talk about jobs solar jobs have more than doubled since twenty fifteen. I think more than four thousand people now work in the solar industry in Minnesota. We've added almost a thousand jobs per year and solar alone. What are the trends there? And as a commerce Commissioner, what's encouraging to you. The encouraging thing is that we've been making the investments that duly to these new construction jobs, and as we have more and more. Lower installations everywhere in Minnesota. We will have maintenance jobs for workers as well. At some point. We will hit the maximum construction that we're likely to do. But then we'll still have jobs maintaining and updating solar arrays as a meteorologist as a person who reports on climate. I know that renewable energy is positive for the atmosphere for greenhouse gas emissions. But I'm curious, you know, renewable energy sounds like a great idea. We know it's producing jobs where are you getting support? And where you getting pushback on the idea of growing renewables, I think there's widespread support one of the interesting things has been that especially with agricultural prices as low as they are farmers in various places in Minnesota are open to using their land to produce renewable energy. We've also seen people working in inner city neighborhoods trying to create opportunities for low income Minnesotans to be. Part of the clean energy future. So I'm encouraged that their support for that comes from everywhere in Minnesota. I think one of the challenges is explaining how the costs are distributed. We have a complex system of rates and regulation Minnesota. And there are some challenges around a arguments related to who is paying for the costs of connecting to these new solar production facilities. Let's talk about that a little bit solar tax credits. This is the last year to get the full credit for home. Solar installations is that correct? Yes, you can get a thirty percent tax credit this year through the end of the calendar year, and then in twenty twenty it goes down. I think from thirty percent to twenty six percent Steve Kelly Minnesota commerce Commissioner thanks for giving our audience some insight on climate cast today, I'm happy to be here. Thanks for the invite. That's climate cast. MPR chief meteorologist, Paul hunter.
"50 percent" Discussed on Animal Spirits Podcast
"So I just kind of pass me by and never caught up with it. So I was sick this whole weekend and on the couch. And I probably plowed through half a season of sopranos the first one. I mean what everyone says because it was like twenty twentieth. Anniversary servants talking about it last week. I mean, it's great. But I think it I honestly would have been one of those shows that would have been better watching like every week in real time than watching it as a binge because it's not one of those shows that is so binge worthy where you finish one. And you one of right away watch the next one because there's a cliffhanger or something or there's a lot of action is just more character development, and this funny stuff, and like the mob it I mean, it's whatever and says is true. It's great in Gandolfini is amazing. I will never I will never watch the sopranos. Now, why is that? 'cause I'm just I'm not going to do it. I'm not gonna watch eight seasons of TV. I know. It's it's probably it's kind of thing. We're looking at it. Now, they probably could assure them up a lot and had been like, eight episodes seasons. But I'm gonna I'm gonna do it. I got I gotta do it. I regret that. I missed it. I'm sure it's a fantastic, Sean, just not gonna do it. Okay. What do you got? I went to the theater by myself on Friday. So there's a new. Theater that was closed and reopened to my neighborhood. It's like literally a block and half away. And it's one of those theaters where they bring you like booze and food in your seat. Okay. So I want to see vice it was a terrific experience. The theater was great good movie idol. Lot of fun. Okay. Vice was good hard, Christian Bale's amazing. Yeah. He was very good. Sam Rockwell was greatest as w okay. That was it was a good movie definitely recommend. I read two books this week that they were both very very good one is called the monk of mocha. Have you ever heard of it now? So it's by this guy named Dave Eggers. And learn. The fact that he's done a bunch of books about like immigration on the American dream and their story in the United States. And there's got to be a lot of this book that was smooth over and embellished, which I learned about it a little bit after because it's such an amazing story. It's almost like to clean and to perfect. But it's it's basically about this. You many American kid who is down on his lock and his parents came here to give him opportunity, and he and he was you know, sort of growing up didn't take life too seriously, and he was a doorman in a building. And he found out that coffee originated, not in Ethiopia, but in Yemen. So he takes him back to his roots. And he goes to see his grandparents, and he tried to become like, a specialty coffee maker with Yelm, you many coffee, and it was really really good. It's like one of those books that reads like a novel that you can read them like a day. It's a true story. So I highly recommend that one. And I also read the billion dollar, well, but is very similar to bad blood taught for some reason didn't get nearly as much press. And I think bad blood was better because bad blood was like to me like an all time. Great book, I'm about a quarter of the way through billion dollar whale. It is a crazy story. It's pretty insane. Like he was literally allegedly just taking money him in the prime minister of Malaysia are just lobbing the country from all of our sovereign wealth fund. And it's kind of hard to believe. So in this book, there's a ton of stories about how he funded the wolf of Wall Street, right? It's crazy. And he was hanging all these celebrities were at his birthday party. So jape me FOX was a big character in in the book just his popped up over and over Paris Hilton Swiss beats and Alicia Keys, it was it was a pretty well. So I would say it's probably seventy to eighty pages too long fought. Definitely it was definitely a fun read. And that is all I got thank you to. Why charts? Thank you listeners. If you liked this episode, please leave us a review on itunes. We really appreciate it. And we'll see you next week..
"50 percent" Discussed on Animal Spirits Podcast
"I guess it's in a retirement concert. Doesn't matter about tax patients. I would take the discount and sell it. Yeah. I mean, I guess the bottom line is it depends. But be careful because your entire life, isn't that company? So you don't need to to be more leverage than you already are. All right. So Matt asks everybody always sees a charge with indicators. And then how many months after it was triggered the recession? Started the big one being the twos. Ten inversions with everyone, including retail investors, looking at this all knowing indicated, wouldn't you think that if the inversion happens stock market downturn would happen much faster? I think this kind of makes sense that things get moved up a little bit it sound like the January effect that people used to bet on in stocks. I can see how this this would happen where things just get moved up a little bit. If people are trying to Tiny's things in terms of. But again, even when you look at the range of outcomes, historically, you're looking at an average not looking at. What happens every single time? So there's there's always going to be a little bit of a range. We just had part of the curve invert and looking outside. I don't see a recession. But you never know. But, but I think that's the kind of deal where you can't say well in the past is taken an average of fourteen months for session after an inversion. So you've got plenty of time. Like, I don't think that you can you can Bank on that every single time. Yes. Feel safe our recommendations what he got this week. Okay. Kind of a lull in TV land lately, I think because of the holidays, and such we haven't had many TV shows. Did you watch true detective last night and not yet on DVR? So we we we plowed through a bunch of movies molly's game. I thought was fantastic. Just congestion. Isn't it isn't a true story about this girl? Molly bloom who started a like one of the biggest poker games in a country like underground, she had all these Hollywood people coming Toby Maguire and Ben Affleck and Leonardo DiCaprio, and the movie was about the book that she wrote about this and actually pod to the book too. Because I thought the movie was so good. It is very unorthodox. You saw the movie and then read the book. Yeah. I was because I wanted to fill in some of the details because I was like this can't because it was an Aaron Sorkin movie. And I was like, okay. This guy embellishes quite a bit when he writes stuff. So there's no way that this is true. And most of it was actually true. It was really good. We watched Chappaquiddick which is the one about Ted Kennedy. And did you watch that goes good? How was it? That's still kind of boggles my mind how that happened. Like, it wasn't very obviously the Kennedys didn't come out looking great in that one. The fact that he was like the fourth longest sitting US Senator after that happened. Just I can't wrap my head around it. Sometimes you don't think that would be swept under the rug and twenty nineteen or maybe it would not. Yeah. I just can't believe and then my one big hole in my sort of armchair TV expert greatest shows of all time have never watched sopranos. Did you watch it? Okay. I we were not an HBO household growing up. And I think I was in college when it was on..
"50 percent" Discussed on Animal Spirits Podcast
"Investing is kind of counterintuitive at times depending on and maybe crawl out of people. It like don't look at the underlying holdings. Right. If you're using a quantitative process like. I mean, also you have to know what you own because. Yeah factor. It's like such a catch all it can meet so many different things. So you must have seen this tweet floating around. I don't know who tweeted it. But it's from September two thousand eleven from blockbuster tweet wire leaving Netflix, the top three most creative tweets. Using goodbye. Netflix. Heche goodbye Netflix will win a one year subscription to blockbuster. So I used to use the blockbuster DVD when they tried for a while to send you DVD's to your house like Netflix did like they're trying to compete with them. I should have bought Netflix that day because right when I sign up for that program because it was awful, you'll get your DVD's like a month later. It never worked this. Is there still isn't there? Still one blockbuster in the country or something in Alaska is deal. Okay. All right. This is a fantastic tweet. I think it's a legitimate resident at my senior living facility brought up Tillery today. I am not making this up. I mean, it's on the internet. So it has to be true. Right. So so seniors are trading. We'd socks though, it's going on here. Maybe he's trying to hedge his glaucoma with two more tweets. Sorry. This is actually a few months back tweet every show, but these are very good. This is from the scientists hitting show SAP five hundred annual earnings estimates, and you see a pattern here because I see pattern here. This is a great. I've I've seen this trip before they start high-demand alot. And it sounds like two thousand nineteen ones are rolling over already. Yes. What's technically, you perform technical analysis on these? Sometimes I stay away. I don't do that. So we've spoken a lot about what happens to active Ursus indexes in the next bear market, and Eric balchunas has been on the forefront of this. And he tweeted active mutual funds on an estimated five hundred thirteen billion dollars and outflows last year the most ever with over half of it coming out in November and December alone. So he did have a huge active outflow in December. We talked about that a good one member last week. I think you said that a lot of these producers know exactly what they're doing when they put out ridiculous tweets. Yes. So there two this week one of them is from Yahoo lifestyle and the. Tweet is influence our says she was on a top and cocaine diet to stay thin. Here's why that's not healthy. So this got nine hundred or tweets almost four thousand light aches. And I'm sure Brazilian responses didn't really need that last. That's like a savior click. Don't need to click. Right. Then finally from CNBC. This is fantastic. Here's how much money it takes to be among the the richest fifty percent of people in the world. And boy, honestly, I think that they've just figured out how to trigger people online. Yeah. And that's that's all of it. Okay. Listener questions. Let's is the success of trend following strategies doomed in the modern world of lightning fast corrections and recovery's. Given they typically relocated a monthly basis using something like two hundred average or they simply too slow to be successful. Actually, I would say maybe the opposite that the ones that are too fast or not working anymore because people's timeframes are getting shorter and shorter that maybe the longer two moving averages actually will do what they're supposed to do. And are they simply too slow to be successful. If you were just using the two hundred moving average as an inter- you pretty much road like the bull market for what two two years two plus years. The thing is any of these technical strategies, you're never gonna time it perfectly and the other thing is that we aren't really living in a world of lightning fast recovery in corrections. So I did this in my post last night. I I looked at recovery's and corrections in this was from something we talked about I finally put this done on paper. And I looked at pre and post ninety ninety five with recovery's and corrections. And there was no difference. It's. It's all the same e- before. Computers. Africa Peters, doesn't really matter..
"50 percent" Discussed on Animal Spirits Podcast
"All investors? One doesn't investment becomes savings. I didn't this is a really good and important question. And I think that probably changes for everybody in other words for some people. It's a it's a time out. It's like thought this year a married to it for other people. It's like a percents gain or for other people. It's a dollar game. So I don't think there's one answer. But but there's definitely a point in every investment where it becomes real. And they start anchoring. Well. It's also I I like the idea of anchoring to your highest price villa because you the way you think about stocks, you almost have to think like this savings for my highest level can be vaporized in a week a day, whatever, you know, like it can be gone like that. So that's why I think it's so hard to for people to. That's what we always look at peaks and valleys. So every how many times have we use stats that are from the very bottom or the very top. Right. It's almost always that. Because those are the values that people sort of hold onto. Yeah. That's real people say like, oh, this is to be worth twenty thousand now down to eleven right. So you almost have to go into it with like, it's almost like a reality expectations thing. Like how much could this thing? Go down tomorrow. And so it it obviously doesn't become savings. I think until you sell it. Right. I mean. Yes, literally. But I think I think his point was like, you know, what he was asking it. I don't know where the no the answer. I always ask them. But I'm just saying like, your stocks can be vaporized at anytime. So like until you do something with them. It is just an investment, it's not savings. So are you saying to not count your chickens before they hatch? I think that's the that's the same view count your chips at the table. Is this Kenny Rogers question, so Tom, Sarah, Fay, guess? Bloomberg tweeted, he schooled us on how to say his name there. Forty-seven stocks in the quality. Jeff that are also a low vol stocks and thirty of those are momentum names twenty two are in all three Fs being the quality the low vol and the momentum. Do you think that there was a problem? Here is contradictory. What are your thoughts on this get something be low fall and momentum shirt, and it kind of gets back to our idea about like multi factory ETF's? I don't know. Why? There couldn't be some names. I it's kind of interesting because at a certain point low vol stocks in a bear market become momentum. Stocks goes the Dylan's going up. Right. So I think it kind of is like environment dependent. So I'm sure that there would be interesting to see how often these these things flip depending on the market environment. So yeah, I think that's a good point. Because a lot of this depends on timeframe and how often these funds are reconstituted. Right. So in a down market, you're gonna have these defensive names, they're going to be momentum, which you wouldn't assumed would be momentum in an upmarket. You're going to have the more typical technology and high-flying stocks. So I guess since on the market, I guess, you would think that low volume. Diametrically opposed. But that's not necessarily the case. Yes, right. It's real depends on what kind of environment does not something's going up four percent day. Right. I mean, something is going up consistently. And so you could have now it could be whatever the typical healthcare will healthcare utilities consumer Staples. Those could be L the momentum names right now. Because of the stuff is getting hit not to actually put them going to it doesn't even just mean that something Scud up over gonna consistently over a long period of time. It could just be some gone up over a long time. So it could be a twenty pound gate in a week. And then nothing, but there are there other funds at screen for that so Wesson, Jack had a piece about like quality momentum. Right where it is sort of stocks that are consistently grinding higher versus a stock that gaps up twenty percent. And then go sideways for the next three weeks. Like that's not a quality of momentum name, even though some filters might pick that up. So I guess the point is factor..
"50 percent" Discussed on Animal Spirits Podcast
"But you're probably right that people don't pay as much attention to this as they should. So the good news is that four to five millennials won't dial debt. News for jen's e. Yeah. Speaking of jen's, e so I listened so instead of reading the book, I just listened to a few podcasts on your Jonathan hate guy. I talked about last week the calling of the American mind, Scott Galloway. Okay. And I listened to a couple of them by the way that that must be that's got to be one of the best things about podcasts is that. I probably could have read that book. But instead, I listen to podcasts on it. And I probably got sixty percent away. There. Maybe is that not quite that's fair Sony. It was but he was making the point that it's not millennials. It's gen Z that is going to cause the most problems in terms of being coddled, which which I thought was interesting point one thing that on the Galloway podcast that it was really interesting. I don't think they got that much into this in the book was house is going to affect corporate America and say, I'm fifteen years, right? And it could. Yeah. If all these people are constantly fighting in making making, hey over stuff that they shouldn't be is. It is interesting concept worlds. Did you listen to him? He was on Joe Rogan's podcast actually in Joe Rogan. Is also anti survey. So this yet he's he said they talk about surveys. And he said he said surveys are bullshit. So we're in good company. What's this from Peter Lynch? Okay. So Necker value on Twitter tweeted this out. It was an old story from Peter Lynch right after he retired from the Jalen fund, which I it's kind of crazy Peter Lynch has is probably one of the most successful mutual fund managers of all time looking at his track record. But he retired in nineteen ninety one. I believe which you know, the bull market had another eight years ago. I can't imagine how much money he left on the table. Because at that point money was flowing in hinder fits into his fun. And obviously he could have had at a down pointer, or relative, we bad, you know, bad run or whatever. But when he retired. It's actually kinda crazy who's relatively young. I think but they asked him why did you retire from this at the top of the top of your game? And he said that he had some daughters, and he said for every one soccer game. I went to miss seven. And I didn't get to go football games in it sounded like he. He basically just was sick of working ninety hours a week and wanted to live his life. So I thought it was actually pretty admirable. He left a ton of money on the table. He was probably the most successful mutual fund manager on the planet, and he started to walk away. Yes. Well, this gets to the point that we've spoken about unless you are a total maniac and care only about money. And even at that point. If you once you're once, you're set more money doesn't make you happy. And of course, you have to have money in order to say that. But he said that they offered him a fond. He would have his name on it. And he said, I know what I would do. I would work ninety hours a week. All I would get would be a bunch of money. I have no interest in that. Yeah. This is this is a pretty cool. So I'd never seen this one before. So he also made the point in this that that most of his investors did terribly in his fund because they put a bunch of money. And after the fact and yet it's zero put a link to it. Okay. Fake news. This is good because for years and years, the baby boomer generation has told the younger generations that video games and movies and the. That are completely warping their brain..
"50 percent" Discussed on Animal Spirits Podcast
"So I went from forty sixty to ninety ten and so forty sixty fifty fifty sixty forty seventy thirty eight twenty ninety ten and looked at the differences between returns and draw downs for this recent period. Yes, he did to me what really stands out are the tenure return differences, aren't that? Great at least like one from ninety ten down to seventy thirty. Right. So so the point in I've talked about this off line before that the difference between ten or even twenty points in your equity versus bond allocation, isn't gonna have that much of a difference on your your overall standing. So if you really want to make huge allocation change, don't change five percent, your portfolio, you'd have change a big big chunk of it. The counterpart would be if you like I think one of the worst things that people can do in terms of mistakes is overestimated their true, risk tolerance. Yes. So if you can't stick with an eighty twenty portfolio, a sixty forty portfolio, at least historically has gotten you a lot of the way there. Yeah. And the if you can't stick with an eighty twenty you probably can't stick with seventy thirty either. So that that changes. So I looked at the draw down from the height in. I think it was late September to the bottom now is Christmas Eve, and it basically saves you two percentage points every ten percent you take off. So ninety ninety ten portfolio was like a sixteen point four percent draw down. An eighty twenty was fourteen point four going all the way down to forty sixty was six point five. So it's your to your point. If you can't stand stick with an eighty twenty you probably can't stick with the seventy thirty. I didn't as a lot of the literally there because the match draw down for an eighty twenty portfolio was fourteen point four percent for seventy thirty. It was twelve point five percent. So if you're gonna freak do something dumb at fourteen point four, you're probably going to do the same thing twelve five. And so anyone asking us for this long-term, allocation advice, the ideas, it really depends on what can you stick with? So we could we could quibble between different funds and different. Well, should I have eight percent and smallcap value or nine percent it at the end of the day doesn't really matter. It kind of depends on what you can stick with. And what your time present a risk profile is and just one more shout out to our friends at why charts we did want to make make the distinction. So again, if you call them up in sign up for new account. It's twenty percent off if you mentioned animal spirits, we do have some enterprising listeners who call them up who already have an account and asked for the deal, which I have to give you guys credit for doing that. But that wasn't part of the deals just people who. People are that are new customers for white charts. But I will give you some credit. But anyway, this new portfolio model portfolio thing that United playing around with this is pretty interesting. All right survey time, what are we? Okay. So this was on CNBC. They said one in five millennials with debt expects to die without ever paying it off. Which is a pretty good contrast to our survey from last week that said pretty much all millennials to be millionaires h forty so maybe they're going to borrow money to become millionaires. I dunno foot. Crazy, it just might work. Well, okay. The average millennial had about thirty two thousand dollars in personal debt. I would be I would I don't think that somebody knows how much how about that. That's probably pretty fair. I think people know that they all a lot of money. But I don't think they have any like handle on exactly how much they. Oh. So in terms of credit cards, and student loans would be the one that I hope people have a better grasp on..
"50 percent" Discussed on Animal Spirits Podcast
"So I decided I just googled Harry dead books. Okay. There's a book called the demographic cliff. How does revive and prosper during the great deflation of two thousand fourteen to twenty nine hundred. I wrote a I wrote a piece he was very specific literally twenty fourteen to twenty one thousand nine wait. Did we miss the great deflation, we just sidestepped it? You realize that this guy is written? He sold millions of books. Right. Oh, yes. The joke is on constantly wrong. And he sells millions and millions of books. So anyway, I would never have guessed this with Japan. I guess they said it's the it's coming from three different places, the elderly women and foreigners. So they actually having some immigration, which I guess hasn't happened to Japan in a while. So I think people say that the US has kinda screwed when the baby boomers retire. Like, do you? Do you hear this arguing a lot to get this question all the time the stock market a script because they're going to sell all their stocks? That's what everyone says my answer could sell to aren't they're going to be buyers for every seller. Right. Millennials will hit their hit their peak earning years, it'll be saving and also stocks are concentrated in the hands of so few people in like, the really the vast majority of stocks. I think a lot of boomers aren't going to have to sell stocks. Good point. You know, I. I I don't see that that argument. I wrote about this a while ago. I can post it in the show notes. But I don't see that happening. The other counterpoint is that with people living so much longer. They're going to need more exposure to stocks because bonds aren't going to cut it. Yes. Totally agree. All right. What are we got next? Let's use it. Let's go to a in mid show listener question. So this was a cool idea. It says I'm building a portfolio from a two year old with a goal of providing a head start in long-term savings..
"50 percent" Discussed on Animal Spirits Podcast
"I will because going to the store is hell on earth with young kids. It's impossible in two thousand eighteen the total value of the US housing market increased one point nine trillion to thirty three point three trillion. According to a new data from Zillow, do you think that the amount of money in the US housing market like affects people spending on a monthly basis not on a monthly basis. Do you think home values rise people feel better than they spend more money? Or is it not that simple? I don't think it's quite that simple unless they're literally pulling money out for like a home equity loan. Well, I guess maybe. Maybe and this might sound very full listening back to this because I'm thinking out loud. But houses rise when the economy as well. So they might be spending more money just as the economists Kganaka's their houses arising in value. So maybe a circular argument there, maybe a different maybe a different argument to for people who are retired and planning on using that as their one of the largest assets. So I I guess that could be part of it. But are you are you suggesting that people that sellers time the market? No, I'm saying for most people their house literally is their biggest asset, and then the the valuable becomes more important to them. True. One of the surprising pieces of data from the article was a third of the nation's house and market value can be attributed to California. Oh, wow. That makes sense. Yeah. And we've talked about that a lot how crazy to live there. So I was I was listening to bury talk with lanky for the other day on his podcast. Who did not listen to that? Good. He's an economist. At Freddie, MAC this Twitter feed. Very good. Yeah. He's got some great charts and great data viz. That's what they call. Right. Data viz with Eze. Right. So they were talking about the relative nature of mortgage rates and home mortgage rates are so much lower now than they were in the past. But young people don't really think about that. Is it possible that that this country is almost forced to have lower mortgage rates because home values have comp so much. And so there'll be there'll be more tied now to values of houses than ever. And so do you think there will be more volatility in home prices because rates are so low now than they were in the past. So having rates behind the past gave a little more of a buffer. So when they moved around it didn't matter as much now that the so low if they move up one hundred basis points for what they did in the past home prices may be a little more volatile than they once were and have more of a strong relationship with mortgage rates. Can you make the counterargument that housing prices will be less volatile because? Was the difference between three and a half percent mortgages and four and a half percent is not that big of a deal. I I you could I if you wanna make it I was making the other argument, but that interest as a percentage of your total payments are way lower now than they were in the past true in my maybe my point is home prices are so high now that we could we couldn't handle interest rates as high as they were in the eighties speak for yourself, buddy. Okay. I mean as a group. Okay. So there's a piece in the Wall Street Journal last week, which kind of blew my mind, it was called how aging Japan defied demographics and provide the economy and Greg Greg approach this one. And so everyone has heard the phrase like demographics are destiny and people always point to the US about this. Then freeze. It could be. I'm sure he's written a book titled that in one of his crash books, but it said Japan has long ago consigned to stagnation with its aging population and rock bottom birth rate. But in recent years Japan has defied destiny since two thousand twelve it's working age. Population has shrunk by four point seven million yet the number of people working in Japan has surged by four point four million in which is critical to the second longest economic expansion since World War Two. So this is kind of. So I think the demographics thing makes sense to me in terms of of productivity in growth and jobs. But this shows that it's not as easy as looking at the numbers, and assuming you know, what's going to happen. What?.
"50 percent" Discussed on Animal Spirits Podcast
"Twelve management maintain positions in the securities discussed in this podcast. So this week. There was some news with we work. Are they going through like a reward? What is this? I think this is a forced reort because they didn't get as much money as they thought. So SoftBank would which we've mentioned before was going to give them sixteen billion dollars to buy the majority of the firm and now they've decided to instead give them two billion dollars, which seems like a little less. Do you think the full story has not come out yet? I think that's possible. I think they're they this company went just full bore and tried to just go for it. While money was flowing. And they're going to be one of the ones that on the other side is going to have some problems. I think what you're saying there community adjusted EBA dot won't hold up to scrutiny. So the Wall Street Journal said in the first nine months of two thousand eighteen they posted revenues of one point two billion dollars in a net loss of about one point two billion dollars. So that's almost perfect. If you if you think about it. But obviously lot of these companies are going for the spending a lot of money now get a bunch of people and. Figure out the scale and then the prophet stuff later. But I guess it's got to be a red flag of SoftBank won't give you money because they give everyone money. So I don't know what this whole means. But it seems like it's probably not a great thing. So it's gonna be we work as is. Which is you know, the office which is going to be the largest division. We live which is going to be a provider of co living spaces, which sounds interesting. And then we live or we live. That that's better. Okay. And we grow which includes a school and coating education provider. I guess they're going for it. I don't know someone someone tweeted out last week that we work has flown out is entire global team to LA for three days rented Universal's Universal Studios and hired the red hot chili peppers and said, let's remember this one that the down rounds. Come. Yup. Sounds about. Right. So to your point about about southbound giving everyone money, I tweeted this won't age while this is from September two dozen eighteen sewn tells Bloomberg BusinessWeek that he plans to raise a new one hundred billion dollar fund every two or three years, and I guess they were planning on doing that. They would almost had to give we work the whole thing of money, right? Because they just put it in a world where nothing ages. Well, I don't I'm going out on a limb to say that this will be one of those things. Okay. So your boy, Dr Thompson had a really good piece in the Atlantic about Sears. Did you read this one? Why is he always my boy? He's here on record. He's your favorite Atlantic writer. Okay. The only one I know pretty much, but yes, okay. Go ahead this I thought this is a very good line Sears built vehicle for surveilling American.
"50 percent" Discussed on The WAN Show Podcast
"Is this even legal here okay technically one hundred percent yes uh huh it actually making it here i'ma give it like a 50 percent chance my hope is that if they rejected i can just tell them to ship it somewhere else uh huh and then i'll just and senate on crap supporting it he can get rid of scorpions with win thousand flame throwers fire five hundred us dollars um they sold them within a couple of days yeah thanks twitch subscribers trapped because they took paper here's the caption here don't do this also i wanted to be clear that a flame throwers the super terrible idea i definitely don't buy one unless you like fun let's kinda lame i hadn't actually seen it fire yet that's really that's a really short adds short burst okay which a lot of people were like oh that's because of laws in two brewer apparently basically nowhere has regulations on so one of the reasons wave flamethrowers or not illegal in places is because people use them as like weed destruction torches basically ahha and that's apparently really common in like a lot of farmland and stuff would you take all was hasn't started forest fire apparently no because they dislike do it properly and stuff i don't know but yeah there's there's no regulations around it in canada there is not a single beep about it in the firearms acts uh it's it's apparently completely allowed even looked up importing custom stuff and there's imported customs stuff about knives because we're talking but highlight which blades yes which weighs in stock and also in but how i like um like pocket knives away stream wants to someone sent me one in a got grabbed by customs accustoms was like we're keeping this forever screw you and i was like oh cake will make new but that so i looked it up and yeah there's all the stuff vote knives there's tons of substitute guns there's ways to do it properly with both of them because stores can do it you just can't do it personally then you can let you have to sit up as an entity to be able to import it and bubble dubois nothing for flame throwers.
"50 percent" Discussed on The Rich Eisen Show
"Remind you that you can support my sponsors by going to my show page it podcasts onecom clicking on the support this podcast button and there you'll see all of my wonderful sponsors it helped make this show possible so thank you for downloading subscribing and of course supporting now back to the show although season the man versus crude monday nights noneastern only on travel channel bringing us the latest update on our poll question chris what we have over there yeah rich looking at what super bowl match up do you most want to see vikings in jagr's 50 percent right now is that rally no joke this vikings in patriots 29 percent eagles jagr's thirteen percent eagles patriots which is what i think it's going to be eight percent nobody wants to see a run back of the super bowl that was played in jacksonville interestingly enough which was also the last sign the patriots went back to back so they went back to back in houston and in jacksonville so they can go back to back in houston and after beating jacksonville maybe take on the same opponent that they went back to back and i think the eagle's get it done this weekend you do do okay advising defense no joke wednesday i'm call michelle case keno magic you're gonna tell about to save your roads when he calls in the show tomorrow should i have him i have you do that pain pissed off delays kambli might as well pissed off every single one of the uh.
"50 percent" Discussed on Download This Show
"Because i mean if you are adding noise to obscure information at some point or the other and in order for that information to be useful you moeller five no it because they learning in the aggregate so cya everyone a chances from two options and they add randomness 50 percent randomness too thin your your choice must be flipped to the other choice but over large population of a million so i do not have any chose h one you are listening to the voice of paid amok say you are not listening to the voices right johnson who could not join us as wake mark knows my name and this is a download the sharjah god to the week in media technology and culture if you can't get enough can i recommend i would say iran have just released the boy elections for two thousand seventeen now i know we sign nor can download alexa alexis hyun's boring this one is an ice delivered by professor genevieve belknap christian a bill has been on download actually is a phenomenal human beg she's in a strain that went to go work in the united states she got a really interesting job intel where her job was basically navigate how technology and humans we're going to move together in the future and she's delivered the boy lectures and you can download it right now have listen all technology has a history and the technologies coming up we'll have histories tune but the histories of our future and yet to be written and we have choices to link i'm professor genevieve bow and for this he is boylan chose i wanna question what it means to be financed small and connect and what it means to be human and a digital world find the boy elections will you get your podcasts all here the boy lectures on the abc listen app and virtual reality was supposed to be the next wave of media you had facebook investing in the hits it oculus rift and there was a raft of new virtual reality headset spot.
"50 percent" Discussed on 1A
"Between 2011 in 2015 2016 there's this big increase in mental health issues among teens so 2012 is the year when the majority of american scott a smartphone when that percentage cross 50 percent so then you have to say okay well these are two things that happened at the same time uh that was arguably the largest change teens lives in that time period was at their leisure time shifted so much toward spending time on the smartphone but these happened at the same time that doesn't necessarily mean one causes the other so then you have to go and look at among individuals is there correlation between the amount of time teens and adults spend on social media or spend on screens and mental health issues there is but that's a correlation um there's always the possibility the say unhappy people than spend more time on social media rather than social media causing unhappiness but there are three studies that have um come pretty close to ruling out that explanation so at least for social media use to follow people over time and find that more social media use leads to unhappiness but unhappiness didn't lead to more social media use and another i was a true experiment flip of a coin a randomly signed people to either give up facebook for a week or not and those who gave up facebook at the end of the week at were happier less lonely and less depressed so those are pointing in the direction of um at least part of the cause going from the screen timer social media to unhappiness the other thing is with that pattern over time it makes a lot more logical sense that.