17 Burst results for "10Year"
"10year" Discussed on WAFS Biz 1190
"To say we can welcome from london david reilly head of credit strategy it blew by asset management of david i want to come to you that push high that we've seen in treasury yields at what point does that moves start to compete the capital last way into credit in investment grade in high yield we need to big question sending weeping been painting as credit investors i mean we do actually think the yields will move higher that the fact that he still is underpriced we've seen a big move of offer legs have taken a well down some of our short duration but we do think ultimately we're going to be getting to sort of three and a half the 10year the feds another four to five at least hikes by the end of by the end of next year and then the question becomes when you have cash rates two two and a half percent is five and a half the six percent unof to be invested in in in view as hell you'd and you'd credit and i do think that there is a danger that we see somebody pricing of of credit to to clear for that and that does make as a little bit wary of us highyielding you its credit more generally at this juncture macos so everybody talks about the flattening of the yield curve right as being a signal for recession but there's actually of behavioral impact right and it's really what we're talking about when the fed gets that funds right up to that two and a half or three percent it starts to become really appealing to move into the curve and to move in to catch them if you could buy in money market funded three or three and a half percent today which is a huge positive real yield above inflation i think a lot of people would sell all their stocks all their bonds and go into money markets and that's one of the things that causes the recession right it's a change and if we gotta money market fund at three and a half percent i just wonder whether we will while the fed funds rate to three percent like everybody thinks they're going to write again i think that's a high water mark but if they do that it's probably a policy mistake and you'll have live or in the 3's and you'll have money market yields in the three rodney let's say we get there and.
"10year" Discussed on Road Trippinâ€™: Richard vs. Channing
"We came in together i was the starter he was you know he was the sixman he was a 10year pro 70s at some days up good practice in he with light up post me outdo asta dropped he's dime coach you'd be on me and i will have to go home with this guy you'd at your meals a guy in higher than the next day i will go do the same thing to him because i was pissed off but it taught me at seventeen eighteen years old that you could be my best friend but the minute we get between those lines if it between me in its view is definitely going to be me right and so i just don't i don't necessarily see that consistently with the young isaac do dennis and yogi have that type of competitiveness they did early because you and in the preseason or summertime workouts we know bush our point of the so we saw blood and my mission was good to see a pick up like it will go ahead um now goes on you'll be we need as a point guard and experts together on routed seat is much young and now you we kind of the conflict different but not agree delived using the same competitive fire late i think now like when he abused gone mike you more likely to see younger guys get those minutes in those the guys like not in it's just a bit will have to earn his much yes and i feel like you're just because we're trying to develop uber's going to give you as minutes to see how you go said of actually making grew up in on those minutes against guys every day and i feel like that's what it would a gap in and so i'm glad you can see exact same thing that i said to point it's like they don't understand like you could being or second and third year and those minutes or just gifted too because they want to develop but you get a sense of entitlement he writes of the minute those minutes go away all this said you're a hell coaching played who's like we'll do gene you really didn't do anything to earn those minutes right and that's not in it's like you're trying to mentor these guys at the same.
"10year" Discussed on Bloomberg Radio New York
"Wage growth inflation question again that you do should try to uh address we were sucking this week with the with with some traders who were saying that the three percent his religious to a talking point how significant is three percent a 10year treasury yield exactly i mean three percent is very much a round number of psychological level it is important in the sense that it was roughly the peak could that we reached out about four years ago uh after that taper tantrum episode uh in 2013 um but again and you know it from a technical perspective it does have merit but you know it's not going to be necessarily the endall be all as far as stocks go for example uh people who've three percent level where the stock market start to crack you know uh corporate borrowing costs too high a lot of things that were underpinning this uh bull market for equities i will disappear and it's unclear if three percent really that level but it is sort of a psychological you know step back and say hey now we've we've come a long way uh the statham a year or two about a half minute left here what's the bond market can be focused on in the coming week it's definitely going to be i drummed powell's testimony to congress uh it's the first uh look for the bond market at the new fed chair um they do waiting to get some sort of maybe soothing comments that were not for the raise rates so fast and sort of shock the market uh that was sort of janet yellen i i know but uh it's unclear if after the be what trump powell uh also feels like uh he needs to do is the fed chair so that will be you know really intensely scrutinized plunge potties bloomberg choice reporters thank you very much this.
"10year" Discussed on Bloomberg Radio New York
"Fbi director is a 10year tenure and there's been designed to make sure it carries over and before any single lord twoterm preson and say that's correct and so i'm a strong advocate of keeping both of those institutions uh then again ali state aside and other government agencies but to that are very much in the headlines out of politics and i think the leaders of agencies that dabble in politics to a great disservice to the core mission and uh to the institution so uh it takes discipline than not to become part of a runner in the administration not to become part of the politics and um know if any were listening on this issue is going to be the director i i would encourage them to depoliticise so so what are we to make of this recent attempt at painting agencies like the cia but these days the fbi as corrupts biased onesided institutions that are working to work a candidate or a president is this just part of that manglano or let me start with the cia the one i know best and i don't think that's a good description of what's taken place i i think people sort of miss the fact that the very first official visit that president trump made was out to the cia headquarters and my own senses day in and day out for the relationship with the dci the dot director pompeyo in the administration probably very very solid and the workforce itself rise to be supportive of the executive branch but i my guest today that if you walk through cia not much different than when i walk through half the population would be democrats the other half republicans may be shifting within two percent you know in a given year and i don't think they're politicized and i don't think that's what's at a challenge here i do think when the directors go out and they should revisit this and feel like the earth spokesman for policy and political policy that it paints a picture that uh at the institution as so people underestimate the power bureaucracies in a in a broccoli sees a bad word but over time bureaucracies really mold the government's himself and i'm optimistic and i believe this is happening that belong here the trump administration goes on the more the bureaucracy begins to a crate policies and and and.
"10year" Discussed on Bloomberg Radio New York
"Latest pop in us 10year and implications for how you see 10year yield trading going forward than ultimately also your investment strategy for us markets sure i think the reason why you're asking this question is because here as you mean that the 10year us treasury gene is a measured off the you know the risk free rate and as the risk free rate rises therefore the body's higher for risky assets to perform so i think i understand your point of few but the point that vi are making at this point and some work if you've done for our clients is to show that actually the dollar is really a measure off the risk free acid or rather a financial conditions and what's very meaningful here is that despite the rise in treasury yields the dollar is falling and what that shows is that something has changed their 10year treasury he'll is not really showing the risk free rate perhaps it is showing the risk premium off warning that daughter so why fiscal deficits wider currentaccount deficits these are the reasons for why the dollar must attract a higher premium in order to remain stable in foreign exchange markets i want to get to your thoughts on the next coming couple of events and see where you're right the first off we don't make any assumptions on this program second off here's a chart to back when i'm about to ask your clients could pull this up the'space hashtag be tvs faced two seven seven seven triple seven easy to remember us consumer confidence versus presidential approval historically these two have been moving in line by that has now moved into different directions again you seeing here that president donald trump is breaking with the convention that win americans feel good about the economy they follow and support their leader never in recent history of consumers been so brilliant about economic prospects and their financial fortunes could we get more news on an infrastructure plan could add further a little bit to consumer confidence and the way you see the us economy in 2018 myrza what i think from my perspective of emerging markets this aspect it matters us more to us more states the.
"10year" Discussed on KDOW
"The shutdown is a joke i mean you know uh the why would chuck schumer want to take this market up show our guys in a military won't get their pay a lotta people work for the government don't get their pay because he's going to shut down the government so he's using this daca to leverage the you know to keep the the government closed i'll leave i'll vote governor government he says if you give us daca the way we want it i think that stinks that anyway that's that's all i got to say about this because again it's to me is just politics at its worst and we got more things that we have to look out okay that i understand a lot better like the 10year treasury know the 10year yield most people don't understand that but the 10year treasury yields is very important and now has doubled since two thousand sixteen now that's the bond yield when you buy a bond okay when you buy bonds okay but yields go up and they've gone up promises july seven two thousand sixteen of one point three two which was historic there was a historic low low and it went up and hit friday two point six that's the highest since september two thousand eight now the problem is as the 10year the reason the ten year treasury yields ghost up which is an interest rate that's the interest on your thirty year fixed rate mortgage okay so if if you let let's say for example when rage let's say you have a rate the goes from three and a half percent the 4 and a half percent the payment on a 250000 mortgage gouged by one hundred forty four dollars or one thousand two hundred seven to us about now that could be a big jump for people and knock it out of out of reach for me of this house shows any they can especially those who are having trouble making ends we as is that i know.
"10year" Discussed on The Jason Stapleton Program
"Meghan hughes resolution to be a better with your money achieve it at policy genius dot com these these way to compare and by life insurance there's zero sales pleasure no hassle and it's free uh free to be the most financially responsible decision of your life policy genius dot com get your numerous resolutions solved in five minutes okay very briefly with this spike in interest rates so it 10year yields that's done that the 10year treasury wish a 10year yield is now above two point six percent is the highest since last march now why is that important well as interest rates go up certain parts of the economy end up getting hurt one of them being housing uh housing is several times more ratesensitive in business investment says goldman's goldman sachs and goldman is saying that we expect longterm rates to rise by an additional hundred basis points in the next two years noil basis a hundred basis points is one percent i know that's they always talk and basis points in financial stuff and nobody is not involved in finance nosing what that means a hundred basis points is one percent so we expect longterm rates this is goldman sachs to rise by an additional one percent in the next two years as the fed continues to tighten policy uh once per quarter and the term premium rises so they're worried that if interest rates continue to rise that it is going to end up hurting sectors of the economy uh among others uh and then we'll housing market being the the the most critically damaged of those now i have mixed feelings about that because the truth is if you make the if you if lending practices or loose enough it doesn't really matter whether a house cost you you know what we're house cost you via six percent interest or three percent interested he really was irrelevant because people are going to have to move they're going to have to buy and sell homes and it will affect how much home you can buy and how much you can afford but if if the lending restrictions still stay hair.
"10year" Discussed on KBNP AM 1410
"Household services um up for uh for their parents that their parents have too so that is it can straint on growth right now and then you know that's the kind of this fiscal situation at the kind of thing monetary policy camps back so uh ira can you bring it that sort of reality into uh into the market right now overseeing it with 10year yields trying to break out of these two point six two percent threshold that a lot of people say is sort of the tipping point i how does this relate well it's not necessarily with relating to you know the mood that we are seeing today or some of the um uh or or some of the kind of daytoday moves but i think it shows that one of the reasons why inflation has been and continues to be a bit lower then uh people would like it to be it's just a uh there's a various socioeconomic and demographic factors that are thriving in relation to be be somewhat lower now that being said when you look at things like what's gone on with oil prices recently um had now hi there going that increase helping increase inflation expectations at least at the headline level even even if core inflation isn't necessarily going up so you look at what's happened um just in the last couple of months last couple of weeks i should say and you've seen a good you know ten basispoint move and things like five year inflation breakeven so the so the app marketing the case of what inflation is going to average over the next five years and that's coincided quite closely with the uh the uptick in oil prices so i think that's a that's one of the several drivers of of yields uh in the near term so the.
"10year" Discussed on Bloomberg Radio New York
"That people then start to search for risk but the question is where else do they continue to search a full of that risk and when does that appetite for risk start to wayne absolutely 10year treasury yields fooling a basis point two point three two percent but then we taj the high two point four eight percent in late october that was a high since march of course and the other thing on the minds i suppose if of market participants is going to be the tax proposal thou progressive tax reform in the united states of america it is the backdrop really isn't it to markets even though today he are she again economy mark of what's going to begin the bell we don't actually get the legislative language that so what the republicans are of sang at least yeah the thing is with this tax reform is it's been dragging on for so long that i am always asking people at what point can they really start to process that in and at what point can they start to actually you know get some expectations come to fruition on this the bloomberg dr index little bit of softness in at this session could some of that be down to tax reform could it be down to concerns ram geopolitical risks we have of course had president trump holding a press conference with xi jinping in china you know we can sit here and and debate why we're seeing a touch of dollar weakness in the session but again the big big question on the sort of existential question if you like that's coming through in the markets is about curve flattening what is it telling us about the economy is it going to continue it does it feed through to other markets other than the us the some nice commentary on the emeli v blog today about flattening in the german yield curve as well with of that sort of some feet through from what's happening in the treasuries market and the impact that vat could then have on european equities as well yes indeed and also the concern is that of course that yields flattening is only likely to increase as you get the fed on a rate hike trajectories of what does that then.
"10year" Discussed on KOIL
"The trillions over a 10year period which is when they're measuring a lotta this over a 10year arise and so we had the situation where the pushback on the border tax was overwhelming it was so great that it died of its own way and the border tax is a thing of the past is not going to happen so then that raise the new issue will wait a minute we still have to generate all this money for these tax reductions and so they came up with a new idea to eliminate the deductive melody of your property taxes your state income taxes your sales taxes you were city wage taxes whatever taxes you pay at the state and local level and that was going to raise one point eight trillion in new revenue at the federal level over ten years and then the pushback started member just last week we said this was going to be a war and war is on and fighting on the other side representing the other side or all the members of congress from the state's not all but most most of the members of congress from the states that pay high state income tax and sales taxes and you name it property taxes and now the war zone and the representatives including gop representatives in the majority we're talking about a lot of politicians who were saying we're not going to do this this is not going to work for our constituents and this is a battle royale and i don't know how they're going to get around this it looks like it could be another stonewall for the creation of new revenue now there are two new proposals at the end of this week that are being discussed and all of this is for the most part on background because let's face it we are no where near a tax bill nowhere near we don't even have won and sight we just have talk right now and so one of.
"10year" Discussed on Capital Ideas Investing Podcast
"Well i would say there's actually three things i find attractive about tips first you asked about valuation right now the valuation on tips looks somewhat attractive so they're fairly accurately reflecting current inflation rates we think that the fed is going to push inflation a bit higher and be successful at doing so and so that will benefit tips as that inflation moves a little bit higher but there's two other good reasons i think to own tips and why i like them one um if you think about a 10year tip it's a 10year treasury where it's yield is broken down definitively explicitly into inflation component and that a real yield component a regular 10year treasury has those same components but they're bundled together in a single yield number so if you buy a ten year tipping a 10year treasury on the same day you would expect over the ten years to get roughly the same returned from the two because they're both the same credits same maturity same basic structure ones just breaking down the way the yield is paid out a little bit differently the fact though is that the path they will take to get that return over ten years will be different so in other words a 10year tip is going to give you some diversification in how it behaves a versus owning just 10year treasury so even if i didn't think tenure tips we're going to do better than 10year treasuries i might want to own some of those anyway simply for that diversification benefit and i think that's a real value and building portfolios.
"10year" Discussed on BizTalk Radio
"On the air eight seven seven planner before you get to the tax stuff here this from abri employ benefit research institute which i like the new early in the weekends this is when they sent me this stuff this is something different from the usual 401 k stuff professor plumbed that i here but us job tenure ticks down five poised to hit five point one years right now so the average 10year to job is 511 years yes we switch jobs at said the typical american worker uh state of their job just over five years that was last year which was down from the a down slightly from the record high since 1983 which was set in 2014 so apparently that's a long period of time to be job five point one years they said specifically we found that the median 10year which is that you know i guess the mid points had half above and half alone right the median tenure for all wage and salary workers ages twenty five or older with their current employer is five point one years in 2016 of i was needed with somebody deve whose 58 and get ready to retire and they've been with the theme employer since they graduated college at age twenty two now the employer has changed because it's been bought out yes but but it's these i've got i've i've has building i believe 82 ish yeah i i i actually kinda like that i think that's i think that's a cool thing now the the high uh of was five point five years and that was set in 2014 so dan a little bit from that a couple of years ago the low was back in the year at four point seven years and that was spanning all the way from 1998 the two thousand two so that's how long people were so i mean but you're having this fiveyear issue really puts a critical your ability to say because in many cases you're eligible to save of the 401 k for six months to a year than you just get saving and you quit what do you do with that oath what do you do with that'll 401 k job what do you do maybe well look into a weapon are that can help you with a well that's that's.
"10year" Discussed on WDRC
"You thank you kathy good to hear from you i would say that um that that one observation could be made very clearly and that is that what when you look at the market place today you see a certain level love complacency out there when you consider let me give you an example of why i say that you look at the 10year treasury today the 10year treasury bond today and you really have to ask yourself what are people thinking and that's the question i think you really have to ask what our people thinking when they are willing to buy a 10year us treasury security with an annual yield economic i'm giving this based on marking to market this was the carrot yield in the marketplace as we speak and you look to carat yield on the 10year treasury and it's till one a quarter percent would you lend your money to uncle sam for ten years for an annual interest taxable i might add in taxable accounts for an annual interest of two and one quarter percent what kind of a return is that first of all we are all well aware that the fed has an inflation target of two percent very very close to two percent dissed their longterm inflation target very close to two percent so how much more than two percent is two and a quarter percent and the answer is not much one quarter of 1 percent so that's the real return rate if you take the federal reserve is their word that they want to percent inflation and you take a 10year treasury yielding two and a quarter then what is the real rate of return on that 10year treasury now i know there's no credit risk come the talking about credit risk i know that they're going to pay you in ten years and i know that they're going to pay the interest every year and i also know that if they don't have the money in ten years they'll printed they have the printing press so we're not talking about credit here we're talking about rate of return as pre healy in real terms so i could buy a 10year treasuries two and.
"10year" Discussed on Katie Couric
"I think the democratic national committee should be very much focused on state legislative races down ballot races helping state parties recruit candidates helping fund those candidates a coke brothers made a 10year investment in turning legislatures edgar less be ran a pack that was just for state legislative races that raised a ton of money and slowly they turned state legislatures around the country and these are also the wellspring of future candidates so online i think you'll like toms tire can can counter the coq brothers well i think that um the democratic oligarchs have been less effective than republican oligarchies thing because they get on into um i don't wanna call them vanity projects because i don't think saving the planet from climate change is a vanity project but you know running ads about climate change around the country instead of investing the billion dollars you have to spend in a candidates who can get elected and actually impact on policy as starting with state legislative candidates is not to me a good strategy so you know i think democrats generally been focused topdown congress senate president and uh the smart strategy is to focus from the bottom up we talked about this before at that kiss for the benefit of our listeners david you know at bay criticism at president obama of course throughout his presidency is that he didn't reach across the island not and i know that you and you had said well every allicance made that impossible well i do i really believe that listen i know him obviously very well i watched him in the only legislature where he was.
"10year" Discussed on BizTalk Radio
"For a stock market drop margaret 'insider wall street is sending huge warning signs for stocks how can people be investors if there watching and reading this stuff every single day it's why i have said for years don't listen to the noise don't pay attention of noise don't read the articles don't look at sea a p race joe's or any of that stuff just do what we've said over time diversifier holdings have enough money in a bucket that's safe so that if and when you need the drain your poor polio for income you can leave the risky stuff alone spread your risk amongst various non correlating assets namely real estate not just stocks not just small and large in domestic and international and but add a real estate component not everybody can do that not everybody should do that but should you have that conversation with your adviser you bet have annuities fixed annuities in the mix i talk about this was at this hour last i can't remember now but i i think it was last hour we're i looked at that 10year treasury the yield on a 10year treasury the yield on 10year cd and the healed on a ten year mijiga multiyear guaranteed annuity contract the treasury is about two percent so you give the government make along the government for ten years they give you two percent and change back and some market volatility of you have to sell out early the cd well they'll give you about two and a half percent anna substantial penalty for early withdrawal if he bail out early and the misha we'll give you three three point four percent of my memory serves me i mean literally 30 to 40 percent more rate of return than a cd and fifty percent sixty percent more than say a treasury yet there one of the most miss understood investments out there in fact some people say they're bad their expensive i'll talk about that in a few minutes if i have a chance the asahi how crazy this is so you read the headlines money magazine stocks stra senator historically scary period here's why scary for how long it's like going to a scary movie and you're scared while you're there you come home everything's fine okay maybe it's a little bit longer than that but for.
"10year" Discussed on Slate's Political Gabfest
"A lot of different reasons and republicans can get some legislative accomplishments that their people want done they can get attacks some sort of bullshit tax bill with a 10year sunset which doesn't even cut the deficit which which raises the deficit excuse me they can get that done and they should just go and get that done rather than sitting there anxiety and fretting about the the promises they make break break so many promises just break this one cares i think it's not a crazy idea that it's overstated how much punishment they would face if they didn't pass it but some pieces of data in the opposite direction if seve of your elections are basically base elections because lower turnouts lower the republican base because the president is unpopular and is likely to either remain so or become more so you're gonna republicans are really going to be just down to their base space base like so if the base base base which really cares about and keep score about this stuff and has acted to um to cut off knows despite their face in some of these primary challenges that we've seen in that republicans worked so hard to fight against in 2014 they're not crazy to think that they would that republicans would stay home as out of spite for these lawmakers or anger or deflation or deflation now on the opposite side usually republicans can rely on the fact that younger voters and voters of color who represent the key portions the democratic base don't turn out an offyear elections if voting against donald trump becomes a cultural signifier not just.
"10year" Discussed on Bloomberg Radio New York
"Compared to other yields around the world for example the the 10year yield in japan knowledge to seven basis points so um the last a market reaction on your part we do have to refer influential investors who were giving reasons to to people aschiana us bonds guarantee them in the german burden to yield on 10year night no point six nine percent says radi the hunt for isn't it that still dominates the biggest news out of asia the west today is around imports and exports from china house that affecting them markets work well this this are signs of a global pickup in demand global pickup regrowth a special chinese exports so we have um so i was about to say that all asia stocks are off it looks like com the japanese shares are flipping between gains and losses berth for sure china and hong kong shares are up today the medals are up iron ore copper oil is up so all all signs tom mm global growth may improve and if i could use much real quick we had some negative a numbers out of japan bought the the china numbers are for may the japan numbers were of backwardlooking so china's really overshadowing those those negative figures out of japan yeah i'm guessing that a strengthening yen over in japan krill's we helping to push these japanese shares lower thank you very much indeed.