Listen: Nigeria, Gregory And Nigerian Army discussed on John Batchelor
"Nigeria. The light sweet crude in Nigeria is critical to the success of the plan. However, Nigeria the most populous state last time, I checked in Africa and the one where the very strong army last time, I checked and the one with great prospects in the twenty first century is right now in a crisis between two thousand and nine and twenty eighteen they're the account. I'm following the reporting a Gregory copy of defense and foreign affairs is the twenty seven thousand of died. Two million have been displaced why? Because the Boko haram jihadists from the north of the country have been at war with the Nigerian military, you will recall that early on Gregory reported, the Nigerian military was undergoing a reformation. It was recasting itself and deploying troops and officers who were capable of taking on these guerilla forces that is no longer. Simply the answer. It also has to do. With weak, governance and the possibility of a military coup. Gregory a very good evening to you. We better do some definitions because it's been some time since we discussed Nigeria Boko haram. What is it? What is it them Bishen, and where is it in Nigeria? Good evening to you. Good evening. John. It began as a Muslim Brotherhood adherent state. It's now become identified itself as a branch if you like of diet of Islamic state, and it's one of the few success stories of the Islamic state. Diet is now claiming so they dieters pouring a lot of extra resources into it along with the supporters of dice, particularly the Turkish government. So so basically, this is a a radical Jihadist movement. Which would imply level here than an impact is. But it's it's actually a movement, which is based on a great deal of dissatisfaction. Of the northeast of Nigeria. Of very good reasons, but they there'd be getting traction because the forces of Nigeria. Have actually failed to coherently address this threat rejected virtually all the information intelligence and analysis on the topic to the point where the where the US and the Brits and the French. I've actually walked away from trying to give them operational actionable intelligence on Boko haram targets because the jury in a senior military or not. Following it? So you've got the situation where the Nigerian army at a tactical level is losing men pal at an incredibly rapid, right? There's no intelligence for them to. Coherent offensive operations against Boko haram. So but the haram has the initiative as a real force the military is spread too thin. So then concentrated pauses they get attacked two. They get heavy casualties. Book haram to make off with all of their equipment, including album vehicles ligon, medium weapons. They also have access to a lot of weapons of superior quality, which the pauses have this all gets back to a lot of mismanagement at the senior military level because a lot of the generals assay busy making money out of this war. They can use it to justify demanding more and more money from the government. And then it's being skimmed off with the corruption in procurement, even the food monies for the troops is being stolen by some of the senior officers. So we're seeing. Junior officers up to the thank kennel in rank but often below that just being killed off routinely along with the enlisted men as they they get into unequal five fights. With Boko haram forces who themselves are not sophisticated but they got some momentum. And again, the government itself has been lying to the public lying to the military. And they got the senior leadership of the military over the past couple of years to the point where eventually all the really competent generals and colonels have been removed weeded out because they started questioning the senior generals who you have a quote from the punch newspaper. This is an interview published December second by a Nigerian army officer. He's not identified by name. Many of us officers are afraid because the soldiers can revolt anytime. Now, he. Then points to we don't want a Bangladeshi rifle revote in revolt in Nigeria like it happened in twenty nine in Bangladesh. So the officers are afraid of the enlisted men are there officers who would lead a revolt against senior military figures. Are we looking at the capability of a putsch by significant combat forces? Well, I think we're not looking at a push for the from the point of view of trying to see government. We are looking at a junior officer revolt as we saw for example, decades earlier in. In Ghana, and we sort attempted to do that also in Nigeria in nineteen ninety three. And it was that was stop big by virtue of the fact that the senior officers got in and staged a coup. You need to stabilize the situation before the junior officers could run rod. But, but I'm getting a lot of reports from Gorno, and my degree, and those sorts of places that were saying look there's going to be another attempted revolt. Not to save Albert just as a spontaneous lashing out at at the senior officers who they feel have let them down the senior officers just had all of those troops arrested and charged with measly, which is of course, a capital offense. We have to bear under these are, all volunteer troops. They they there. There's no program to look after their families, particularly if they die in action. Other."