"We mentioned were three three and a half hours away from the College Football playoff show on. ESPN where will everyone follow so much. Interesting where Alabama is going to be because I think we know who the top three are going to be joining us on the day of once again. Always great to have south on so seth. Let's talk about the the the elephant in the Room Alabama. What what do you know about them? And what are the are the projections. Now we think that Alabama is still very much in this playoff race and they're actually not in a bad spot at all we give him the fourth best shot to reach the playoff at forty one percent. And if you're an Alabama fan what he cares if they win out. Where where do you stand and at eleven and one we put Alabama Emma at a sixty nine percent chance to get into the College Football playoff? That's according the playoff predictor and I think it really comes down to their schedule which a lot of people knock it. We're we're saying is really really not as bad as people think if you compare that to say Oklahoma schedule Alabama. We'll have three games. that are tougher than Oklahoma's toughest games and toughest office game. And if you compare the two if Alabama eleven one and Oklahoma's at twelve and one according to our numbers is about twice as hard to go eleven to one Alabama schedule as it is to go twelve and one with Oklahoma's take that boomer sooner. Listen let's get to the next most asked question on this program Ken to SEC teams get into the playoffs. Yeah absolutely in fact not only absolutely we put at fifty six fifty seven percent chance of big thing the happened over the weekend was not just the Lsu Alabama game but penn state going down. That really helps open the door for the to put two teams in so there's a few different ways. He's this could happen. I mean I think the obvious one is is the one that most people think of. LSU continues to roll they win the SEC. Alabama gets at eleven to one but there are other scenarios. What of Georgia tr? You know what if they went out and they end up winning the SEC and And be an otherwise undefeated. LSU So there's a couple different paths for the SEC. And we think that some combination of those teams teams is a decent shot. The two of them will get in. So let's talk about Ohio State no issue because I was just gonNA use myself an example ask you to psychoanalyze. I analyse me and be nice to me. I had Ohio state number one all of a sudden. I go to Tuscaloosa Saturday win and I checked the box next morning. LSU number one. Explain the differences between these two teams. Paul I'm with you so I don't have much to offer. I can't call you crazy here today. I look here's the difference right so. LSU In Ohio state or wanted to record but if you look at that doesn't tell the whole story so Lsu and average top twenty five team to be undefeated with LSU schedule. We only think there's a one percent chance an average top twenty five team could pull that off whereas for Ohio state is a sixteen percent chance they had an easier road so much more They LSU tigers have accomplished much more than Ohio state and so to me they deserve to be number one Given the win in over Alabama. Now I want to get to Clemson for a second. Because they are the forgotten team of twenty nine thousand nine. They started Out as the reigning Champs Trevor Lawrence and and you know they play these Games on Saturday night and we all go okay. Is there anything else on. Because they're so dominant ever since that Early Season Sneeze against North Carolina so I mean they have any chance of missing plus so I mean. Obviously they'd have to lose wouldn't they. Yeah they have to lose but I think that if they do you end up with Clemson really being a lot of trouble. I'm with you. I feel like I've ever even talked about Clemson. Their schedule is so easy that If I was looking at it just now from top teams perspective. You look at Clemson's schedule it's easier than like Yukon schedule or two lane. I I mean you're talking about a bunch of group of five teams. Have easier schedules. Someone you know said to me and I so I ended up looking at. HOW WOULD UCF schedule two years ago? Compared to Clemson uh-huh in this year Clemson's is harder. Don't get me wrong. It's the eightieth hardest schedule by that measure and UCS was ninety six. But you're not talking about something that's that far off and so the point is look if they went out fine. They're one of the best teams in college football but if they lose we would almost be very unlikely at that point for Clemson actually get in so we don't have wiggle room speaking of unlikely the fact that we are talking now about Baylor in Minnesota might be the longest shot of the college football season so help us understand do either one of them have a clear path to the playoffs assuming they check all the boxes I think they have a clear path in terms of winning. The problem is just that it's really unlikely. That either GONNA win Minnesota specially we give them just a one percent chance to win out. They have a tough game at Iowa before having to go Face Wisconsin and the big ten championship game so Minnesota would be an underdog at three of its final four games. Here's the good news for the GOPHERS. Though it was I was just running the numbers if they were to lose to Iowa and then went out right so then that means beating Wisconsin and going and beating probably Ohio state in the big ten championship game. They would still have a shot at twelve one which stunned me. But at twelve and one in that scenario they would have beaten Penn state. That would have been Wisconsin and they would be no Haya state so we think they actually would have a chance to get get in the problem. Of course is what I go back to what I said at the top. It's just so unlikely that they're going to be able to pull that off that they have a lot of work to do before consider them realistic contenders. Just one more thing before you go. Let's talk about Georgia and I know they have a very tough game this weekend. At Auburn Auburn they get to Atlanta. I mean there are a couple of combinations about Georgia that say lose to Auburn and then they beat. Lsu where are they. Yeah that's a really fun. Scenario right I if they do that well. We think that Georgia probably would not get in as a two loss as he C- champion. What I think we'll be wild is that you could have a situation where to SEC? Teams could get into the playoff and neither of them would be the champion in that situation because Lsu can get in an Alabama could get in given the two losses for Georgia there. We think it would just end up holding them out with any other. Good teams Can they win if they win the SEC. With one loss there are there are almost guaranteed a spot that second loss would probably be the end for them in other words. You're saying Alabama fans are GonNa Screaming War Eagle Saturday afternoon. I think they ought to be absolutely always great to have you on your next Tuesday. Thanks Paul thank you and our most of our most anticipated guests of the week breaking it down okay. We don't make this stuff up a lot of people said you're just doing roll. Tide and I think he he supported with the"