And, uh, I think it's not clear how much own for you could put a number on. No, it's sixty percent President Trump's to prison, Trump's, credited that the guy was younger, anything like that. But when we survey these economists, we wanted to find out, Do you think the president has had a positive negative, or no, real or neutral effect on a variety of things in the economy? And what we found is they do think he's been his actions, and his policies have been positive for short-term economic growth, even positive for job creation. They've been positive for the stock market's performance. And they think he's been neutral to positive for the long-term growth treachery And pretty neutral for financial stability. So that certainly suggesting that he should get some credit for how the economy has performed during his first year. I don't think it's going as far as saying it's all due to him or due to his election. The strong numbers that we've seen near the unemployment rate was already on the decline before the president took office, but do economists feel that his job creation policies have had a positive impact? While two of the policies that were mentioned specifically by economists, were The rollback of regulations that the administration has pursued. And the tax cuts that were signed into law in December of love, economists, almost all of them. In fact, think those tax cuts are going to boost economic growth for at least a few years. And so I think that's a big factor in these calculations that you know, if you have a stronger growing economy in theory, that might lead to more job creation, lower unemployment, and Better stock market performance. So I think certainly That's the. A big piece of legislation that's gone through so far and e-commerce think that will have a positive effect on the economy. And speaking of the stock market's performance recently. What did economists have to say about that in the president's role in driving that up? Well, they think he's been very positive restock market. In fact, I was the aspect of the economy that they were most unanimously not unanimous, but pretty close thinking that he has been either strongly positive or somewhat positive for the stock market. Very few economists thought that he had been bad for the stock market. There were some people who thought he had been had a negative effect on other categories, but not so much on that one. So that may be the thing that economists most degree, he's had a positive effect on. And what about those negative effects? Were the economist specific on those will on none of these aspects? Did a majority of economists think he's had a negative effect? Some comments that the he's had a negative effect on financial stability, but some also thought he had had a positive effect to a premature wash. Out What's interesting is a year ago, we survey these economists about President Obama as he left office after eight years, And they gave him very high marks for financial stability and lower marks on some of these other categories. I job creation and economic growth. So that was seen as a great accomplishment for the Obama administration by these economists. And it's is sort of not on the radar for the Trump administration, which I guess partly reflects the very different times that they're working. And as he said, President Trump inherited economy with low unemployment and continuous growth. President Obama came into office during a financial crisis, so very different contexts. Now, looking ahead, Those surveyed, especially in the business community, have a positive view of the nation's tax overhaul. What are the expecting in the year ahead? The forecasts are looking pretty positive for 2018 on average, the economists think we're gonna see two point seven percent GDP growth for the year. That's pretty good. They think the unemployment rate which is at four point one percent is going to continue in. Down to three point eight percent by the end of the year, They think we'll see hiring continue though at a somewhat slower pace. And most interestingly, I think the probability of a recession in the next year is seen at thirteen percent. That's not nothing. There is a still a possibility of a recession coming, but that's the lowest average level since September 2015. So economists are feeling pretty good right now about the health of the economy and there'd be express any specific concerns going forward. Well, there are always risks out there. Everything from the possibility of wars to trade disputes to oil shocks any number of things that could derail the expansion. But it was interesting two-thirds. The economists said that they thought the risks are tilted to the upside, not the downside. So even though those risks are out there, economists by and large, think that there's more upside risk out there than downside risk at the moment. I've been speaking with Wall Street Journal's Dan loop store about the Journal survey of economists. Thanks bent. Thank you. You and that's what's news Like what you hear, rate and review us on Apple podcasts. I'm an refer totally in New York for the Wall Street Journal. Spend time with Alexa than make What's News part of your flash briefing on the Amazon Echo The Wall Street Journal. Listen ambitiously.