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Predicted to get to sixteen million people infected are of six million people infected you have to have a large group of a symptomatic because in no country to date have we seen an attack rate over one in a thousand so either we're only measuring the tip of the iceberg of the symptomatic cases and underneath it R. O. a large group of people so we're working very hard to get that antibody test because that's a good way to figure out who are all these people under here and do they exist or we have the transmission completely wrong so these are the things we're looking at because the predictions of the models don't match the reality on the ground in either China South Korea Italy

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