Andrew Weiss, Kim Shahbazi, Andrew discussed on Indiana Issues

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When I started I V Tech. I lacked the confidence to do what I do now. They gave me confidence and they helped me know that I could do anything. It actually puts you out there with the people that you're going to be working for. When we hire a graduate from Ivy Tech. We know that that individual is going to come to us. Very knowledgeable student can two years he had a degree that prepares him for job. It's a partnership and It's been great for us and great for them. I'm doing things now. I never dreamed I'd be doing years ago. Welcome back to any issues. I'm your host up to Kim Shahbazi, editor and publisher of any politics that or we'll recently we did some polling about what residents think in Marin County about different types of issues. The mayor, County prosecutor crime Covid, 19, school choice and, of course, marijuana legislation. And so our conversation is with Andrew Weiss. Sort of a RW strategies was our poster. We also discussed methodology. And while we use registered voters as opposed to likely voters, so, Andrew, thank you for being with us. Pleasure to join you. All right, So let's go ahead and get started here. What did you find specifically about our poll when it came to crime, the mayor of the prosecutor? Yeah, Absolutely. So I think one of the first things that start with is you know, we asked and overarching question about what's the most important issue for the City County Council to focus on and one of the things that stood out right off the bat was crime and public safety. That's the top of voters. Mind. 43% of voters chose combating crime, and that was a plurality by A pretty large margin of what voters sort of top of mind. Um, second was fighting covid 19 in the pandemic, but that was only 17%. So when you see kind of a disparity in those numbers, obviously there's something going on. Um and obviously in our discussions talking about you know what's been going on locally and in the area, there has been a rising in some crime and violent incidents. And so it doesn't surprise me that that That that popped a little bit. Um, as it relates to Ryan nears, you know, obviously he's new on the job, and I think we discussed that and pointed that out and sew his name. Identification had sort of a modest number two it 35% of voters approved of the job is done. Um, but you also had 45%. So almost a majority. We don't have any opinion of them. Um, And so he's got a lot of work to do. I think, um, and going into an election next year. Um, you know you want that name might need to be higher, obviously, on a positive side of things, but what I think is you're going to see the voters look to spine somebody as sort of a scapegoat for well, why is crime The way it is. And while we did ask, um you know, what do you think, is the main reason or who bears the most responsibility for despite in crime in Indianapolis and Marion County, and and while prosecutor mirrors was only 4%, I think you can see him become a scapegoat if you know, viable opponent comes about and leverages that dissatisfaction with crime and sort of voter on. He's about At the direction of the city, feeling less safe. And so I think he was just he needs to work on making sure that he doesn't end up being the one that voters blame. Um as far as the mayor's goes, you know, he he's pretty likeable actually, from voters in the region and still a majority of voters, 55% and a favorable opinion of them. Just 29% had an unfavorable one eye and of his job approval. Um even more so 57% approved of the job he's doing just 32% disapproved. Obviously, Democratic base is really drive. In force behind those numbers. Um And when we did ask, though, about would you vote for his reelection? Voters haven't completely consolidated around dogs it just yet if he does run for reelection, and that's something, my friend I thought was interesting. The fact that the mayor's job approval ratings were in the mid fifties. But it's only his reelect at least right now amongst registered voters, and we'll talk a little bit about everything. Registered voters versus likelihood is because there's a little bit of a difference between the two and the response of the gap. The mayor's reelect was only 37%. So my question is Uh, what is it? I know you and I kind of talked about this. I think it be interested share with the audience. Does that mean that voters just you know, like the man, but they think they're they're just done with him right now, or the fact that he's running against an empty chair. If he decides to run for a third term. Yeah, I think right now look, he No, we're a little ways away from the election or a potential reelection. And so I think at this point voters, uh, sort of they think about what is the possible and so you have the mayor and one side And then as you said, an empty chair and in that empty chair a lot of times, and we see this phenomenon all over the place when you don't have an actual candidate Voters start creating in their minds. This perfect candidate and you know, whatever. The five Or six most important issues that Uh, they you know, are going to think about when they evaluate who they vote for. Mayor, they go. Well, this person is going to check this box. They'll check that box will check that box. So in that instance Yeah, I'm going to vote for this person. Even though I kind of like the mayor. Well, as you and I both know And obviously I think a lot of your listeners know, uh, that's not always the case. And when you do get a defined opponent, all of a sudden they come with You know some baggage or some policy differences from what you the voter think, and they have some works on them. And so ultimately the voters go. Oh, yeah. You know what That person wasn't exactly what I was thinking. And so I think When we look at these numbers, look at it with a little bit of caution and just take it with a grain of salt and I do point out there's a couple things just sort of drive home that point among Democrats, 52% said they'd vote for haunt set but 31% are under Sided. I don't think 31% of Democrats. You're just going to abandon the back. I mean, I think, um, at some point, you know those voters would come home, but right now Um, It's not that they're you know, seeking somebody different? They just They haven't totally committed to it because again, they see an empty chair and they put you know the perfect candidate up on a pedestal there. Um, And so second, you know the thing I'd point is that a large portion of voters who approve of the job he's doing, um, probably going to side with the mayor. Ultimately. Now I know when you have a large number of undecided voters And I've heard you make this point. And it is true. So I'll just reiterate it. You listeners if you have, you know, undecided voters, they do sort of break about 2 to 1 Do a challenger but again at this point, we don't have a challenger. And so I think these voters it isn't fair to say Oh, well, these are going to break 2 to 1 against the mayor. I think it's more just a case again of that. This is an empty chair that voters are painting the perfect picture of an opponent for and are saying, Well, yes, that's the case. I might vote for him. But again, I think Democrats So come home. And I think you know 57% approve of the job he's doing. I find it hard to believe that a lot of these voters are just going to say, you know, he's doing a great job. But it's time for somebody else. You'll see that in the dissatisfaction with the job approval and his overall image.

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