Listen: Football, NFL, Cleveland discussed on The Herd with Colin Cowherd
"Jason Mcintyre in for Colin who. I guess partied really hard last night. He told me he would be listening this morning though. Hope everybody at a safe phenomenal New Year's Eve My parents always love to joke that Jason New Year's Eve amateur hour in never want to go out on New Year's Eve. So what did I do. I started New Year's Eve by playing eighteen holes of golf. Yes something I had not done. Jeez probably eight or nine in years. It was a little taxing. My back is hurting this morning but always look love to try. New Things ended the year with a bang and today. Oh boy we got. It's a Fireworks Ladies and Gentlemen Couple Bowl Games. Although I will rue the demise of New Year's Day College football remember when it mattered when there were like like eight bowl games on New Year's Day just sat there flipping the channel. That's no more. There's just four games today and they aren't even really good which means you'll probably be listening to the show so we got a lot today. Couple of great guests to break down the chaos of the NFL. Coaching Carousel We all wait with bated breath on Jerry Jones to make a decision on Jason Garrett. I play a lot of Texas holdem with my buddies. And I like to say a poop or get off the pot and Jerry Jones. Come on what are we waiting for. You know. I can't imagine a scenario where Jones keeps Garrett but again folks we're talking about about a seventy seven year old billionaire. You know. This is a guy who loves the attention and there was no way he was gonna fire Garrett or part ways with Kierra whatever you WANNA call it. He was never going to do that on black Monday. Jerry Jones needs his own special time for that he needs the attention and all the focus on him. I've got a mind blowing. NFL playoff stat. That you have to listen to. It's coming up in about eleven or twelve minutes I know the heard audience loves to gamble. This is the most important stat for wild card. Weekend I will give that to you shortly and finally got some great advice for Baker Mayfield. I recently signed my third grader. Ah for Jujitsu and I sit on the classes. I bring my computer and I watch and make sure you know. He's having fun and the the Jujitsu teacher are offered an amazing pearl of wisdom. That's GONNA apply to Baker Mayfield. I know you guys saw the video from the bengals game so stick around for that but I I want to start the show here. You guys are aware of what happened in Cleveland this week right. Obviously Freddie Kitchens gets dusted there's a parting of the ways with the general manager. But what the media's not telling you is that the nerds are taking over football and I'm not saying that in a bad way. That's not a derisive. Ace of word. NERD is cool. I love to nerd out now. Okay whether it's College Football Bowl Games. NFL drafts whatever. Vert is being a nerd. Now is cool. It means. You're probably pretty smart right. It means you're maybe rich or building some wealth. And there's a decent chance if you're a nerd. You're you're dating and instagram model. Because that's kind of how the Internet works right now listen. I don't think I could have built a website sold it and then pivoted to radio on TV. If I hadn't nerd out on sports so there's nothing wrong with being a nerd but the nerds folks right now are taking over football and the football guys. They're kind of being shown the door. That's what happened in Cleveland. The story behind the story is show me the analytics. And if you don't I'm gonNA show you the door. And what went down Cleveland. This is going to be a thing moving forward in the NFL. We've already seen the nerds takeover baseball okay and again being a nerd. That's cool sabermetrics. Hello they made a movie called money ball which was phenomenal okay. It flipped baseball on its head and analytics politics have taken over baseball. Anybody who's playing baseball right now. At a high level in the majors is winning because of sabermetrics analytics really spreadsheet baseball. Now you can argue whether or not. That's that's good for the sport. That's another discussion but the nerds of one out and then you look to the NBA. Right now folks. It's a three point or a layup. That's what the efficiency numbers say. That's what the robots and the computers are telling teams shoot. Three's shoot layups layups. Don't do the mid range we'll pull you out of a game if you shoot a mid range jumper. I actually went to the Lakers. Mavericks Game Sunday night out here in. La and You know you get. If you get the media credential you get to go on the court beforehand and I'm there with a A guy who works at a rival network. He's a big gambler. And we're courtside. And Jared Jared Dudley and the Lakers are warming up. And I know Jared Dudley a little bit 'cause he came through F s one and I talked to him And if you guys listen to my Saturday radio show On Fox Sports Radio Radio. You know I'm a sponge when anybody coach player. GM owner comes through the building. So I got to be friendly with Jared Dudley and he comes over damps me up on on the baseline and talk a little bit about the NBA and the holidays. And my buddy says to jared Dudley. Hey I saw you working on your floater. You floater game needs. Some work worked. Say Jokingly and Jared Dudley of the Lakers says who cares about the floater. It's all three layups baby. That's what analytics has done to the the NBA again. We can discuss if that's good or bad but hello Golden State Warriors. Hello Houston Rockets. Not In the playoffs but analytics is taking get over baseball and the NBA. Football's kind of pushback. However the Cleveland Browns Front Office debacle this year it all came down to analytics versus the football guy? Okay now guess who survived in Cleveland. The analytics guy who just happens to be Paul Depot Desta if you saw moneyball which I referenced earlier he was the guy that Jona Hill played very nerdy very very by the book. Okay this is a guy who went to Yale. He's a slave to numbers. He survived in Cleveland. The football guy. John Dorsey Lifelong football guy. He got dusted folks. If you're not on board with the analytics if you're not on board with it's spreadsheet football and the algorithms that make up all the stuff you're in trouble okay. John Dorsey was football lifer I I looked him up just to get some background on John. Dorsey the browns. Gm who got fired and this guy was an Alpha football player who played linebacker for four years drafted by the the packers. Okay gets a job as a college scout is in the Mike Holmgren tree or family. If you will. Mike Coleman leave Sir Seattle John Dorsey he goes to Seattle with and then he goes back to Green Bay ends up in Kansas City. But what happened in Kansas City to football guy it was a bad communicator. There was a story that They ended up cutting Jeremy macklin a wide receiver and John. Dorsey did that by leaving him. A Voice Mail Great Communication John Dorsey. Anyway he comes to Cleveland and bills. It's amazing roster and this time last year right. The browns had finished strong long in the regular season Baker. Mayfield look good okay. And then they add Odell Beckham and everybody says this is one of the most talented rosters in the league if you Google most talented rosters in the NFL in two thousand nine hundred the browns are top. Ten heading into the season built by a football guy. So what happened this season. Well the Brown did not do very well okay. They had a ton of talent undeniable but their coach was abysmal. Okay and Baker Mayfield regressed. They lost a lot of games. So season comes to an end in the owner. Big Money Guy. He's got a decision I just want to make. Do I stick with the football guy. John Dorsey who built this awesome roster or do I stick with the analytics guy who loves a good spreadsheet and he says he was successful in baseball. Okay if you've seen moneyball hey deeper desta and the as built something awesome. Didn't win a world series. But he did very well went to the dodgers. Turn them around and like one year they hadn't been to the playoffs. I think in like sixteen years depot Desta thirty-one-year-old GM. I'm not being mean calling him inert already guys nerdy and guess what he wins instantly so this guy has been crowned and this is where we're headed in sports. Okay if you guys follow me on twitter her instagram and all this stuff you know. I'm big on gambling. The biggest thing I learned this year and I'm doing the gambling guy at F S. What I do these videos for college and NFL picks all the time Go unlock it in the gambling. Show episodes all in on gambling and the biggest thing I learned in sports gambling in twenty nine thousand nine was if you don't have an algorithm or a model. You're going to be in some trouble. I'm not saying you're throwing darts but unless you've got a machine behind you trust me the Vegas sports books they all do. You're going to be in some trouble the analytics the robots are taking over folks so the Cleveland. Oakland Brown's decide. Well I go with the football guy or the analytics guy and you know what made browns owner. Jimmy has limbs decision a lot easier. He looked in his division. And did you guys notice what happened in Baltimore. I'm sure you guys aware Lamar Jackson and the Ravens Best Team in the league super bowl favorite now. But what's the story behind the story in Baltimore well this year. John Harbaugh the coach of the Ravens. who was on the hot hot seat last year? Remember with flacco struggling. He brought in a twenty five year old Yale graduate. Who Majored in Behavioral Economics? Okay a twenty five year old Yale graduate to make all of the fourth down decisions all of them. How do you think that worked? They just GONNA ask cash. How do you think it worked out fourth down for the Baltimore Ravens in the twenty five year old Yale Grad? Wow Look at the Baltimore. Ravens were the best fourth down team in the NFL. Seventy percent conversions. Ladies and gentlemen they hire a nerd from Yale he bangs it out on the spreadsheet. What are the analytic say? Go here. Don't go there the Baltimore. Ravens had the most fourth down conversions in the NFL. This year. Seventeen there were seventeen and twenty four seventy percent the robots are coming for the NFL. The robots are coming. They're they're winning and it's not a negative that this is happening. I just want a lot of football is to wake up out there. You've got to get."