Sadie Lady, Bobby Newman, Dave Freeman discussed on The Horse Racing Radio Network Podcast
Every afternoon this weekend. That actually is not true. We're going to be on FS1 for America's day at the races on Saturday two to 6 Eastern Time, then back over to the normal spot on FS two Sunday from 1230 to 4 p.m. on the east coast. Once again, Bobby Newman, Dave Freeman, we've got a dozen races to look at this weekend. So we'll start in New York day where the featured race tomorrow is the $100,000 Garland of roses. Phillies and mayors spreading 6 furlongs on the main track and just a short field 7 of them entered into the race, and the favorite on the morning line is number two glass ceiling for Charlie baker and Dylan Davis. In glass ceiling was just phenomenal last time in the quicker side of the pumpkin pie, remember that was run in divisions back on Halloween and on the side that produced lady rocket who came back and was unbelievable last week and glass ceiling nearly beat lady rocket missed by only a head going 7 for a long cuts back to 6 furlongs in this one and is going to be a pretty significant favorite and I think rightfully. So the only other horse that I give serious consideration to is song river number 7. I am a big Cherie de vol fan. I think she does a great job. Second off a layoff coming off a victory at Churchill downs. She also won at the beginning of September at Saratoga and I think that song river is a really nice horse, but glass ceiling has proven a lot more at this point competing with lady rocket and Lake avenue and that class of horses and the pumpkin pie and glass ceiling is my choice. I don't disagree with either of those Phillies in the race. But both glass ceiling and song river have that my top selection doesn't have is consistency. They're both very consistent, whether they're winning or not, they're running good races almost every time they go to the track. You can't really say that for number 6 Sadie lady. And I'm going to put her on top because I'm convinced that she's a better mayor at aqueduct than she is at any other of the New York tracks. And it's not like she's can't run at Belmont and Saratoga. But she's got 5 wins from 8 career tries at aqueduct. Three wins from 13 other tries at non aqueduct racetrack. So I think that she's getting back to where she really wants to be. I think she's the speed of the speed. There is some other pace in the race, but I think she's the fastest of the fast. And if she puts together her good race, she definitely can contend with the likes of glass ceiling and song river. The only problem is that Sadie lady is not that consistent and you don't know when that real good race is going to come from her, but at 6 to one on the morning line and reunited with Kendra Carmouche, she was written her many, many times in her career. I'm going to take Sadie lady for the mild upset in the Garland of roses race 8 tomorrow on the aqueduct card. Let's head down south to Gulfstream park and their featured race tomorrow is the grade three mister prospector stakes, three year olds and up, spreading 7 furlongs on the main track. Nice field of 7 to go to post here. We heard it there in the intro, replay of last year's inaugural stakes at Tampa Bay downs and the very easy to recognize voice of former track announcer Richard grunder at Tampa Bay downs. Poppy's pride got the win that day. She was a win machine. During 2020, the 2021 season has not been the same for poppy's pride, and she went from being a Philly who looked like she'd be a major rather. He looked like going from being a gelding from being a major contender in this race to a horse that would be a huge upset if he got the job done. Favoritism, it's very tough to figure out who's going to be favored in this race, Dave. The morning line says number 5 Dennis moment two to one. Number four endorsed 5 to two. I could see the better's going either way. Well, I think when you handicapped this race, you have to make a decision on Dennis's moment. Is Dennis's moment a pretty significant piece of who he was as a juvenile when he won the Iroquois and went off as an even money favorite in the breeders cup juvenile or is he the horse that then ran only twice in 2020 and poorly in both of them or do we have a completely different horse in her hand that has come back this year ran second in an allowance optional claimer at Ellis park, ran up the track against endorsed in a stakes race at Churchill downs and then came back and ran well beating winners in an optional climber at keeneland. They were talking Dale Romans was about running this horse in the cigar mile last week, obviously that would be a very ambitious spot. That would be more of where you would think Dennis's moment was if he had continued the way he was running as a two year old. I just am unclear what to expect out of Dennis's moment whereas endorsed pretty steady kind of runs a solid speed figure every time. I think endorsed has been running against good horses at Churchill and quinlan and at Saratoga. And while endorsed is not a killer over 9 this year, he is good at Gulfstream park has hit the board in all three races, including a victory, and I'm most comfortable with endorsed in this race. I also think there's going to be some pace in here setting up endorsed nicely to kick down the stretch. I agree with everything you said there about endorsed. I'm going to put him on top as well. I like his races at Gulfstream. I like the pace scenario in the race, and I trust him. More than most in this. And certainly doesn't hurt that he retains Tyler gaffe Leone, who is going to be one of the top riders, if not the top writer at Gulfstream park this year. I know it's a little early in the meat to say it. But I think we can if Tyler gaff Leon rides at Gulfstream the entire meat with the absence of Jose Ortiz and I rad for the first 30 days and Joelle Rosario for most of the meeting. John Velasquez, for most of the meat, Tyler gaffe Leon is going to have a big chance at beating the leading writer this may be certainly going to be one of them no matter what. And I think endorse is going to get the right trip. The horse that I would be most afraid of is number two wind of change. The reason that I picked endorsed over wind of change is that I'm not a 100% sure wind of change likes Gulf Stream as much as he likes some other tracks around the country, but his good races are good enough to give him a chance..