Listen: Donald Trump, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton discussed on Abe Lincoln's Top Hat
"So basically where Rb so we're at seventeen right now possible seats. We just gave the Democrats the twelve that are leaning democrat, and we gave them the five districts that went for Clinton and went for Obama. So we're at seventeen. So of that fourteen that we just broke down, where could they possibly do? Well, I'm just going to base this off of the district's where Hillary Clinton did did well and where Barack Obama did well. So again, going back, California twenty-fifth, almost seven percent. California's thirty ninth district Clinton's almost at nine, nine percent. So possibly those two districts. And then we have California's forty fifth district where Clinton was able to get five percentage points. So let's just give him. Let's say he gets those three, right? Because again, going off of the idea that Donald Trump, those are suburban districts. Donald Trump is losing ground in those areas. So that puts us up to twenty. So now we have the seven. Districts that Donald Trump won even though the previous election in two thousand twelve, they voted for Barack Obama. Donald Trump barely won the Iowa third district. This is David Young as the Republican running against Sydney acne. She's the democrat Trump got that by three percentage points. So that's very possible that he was able to that Republican party will not win that seat because Donald Trump, I think he's hurt them in many ways and they weren't super in to Donald Trump. The other districts were Donald Trump just kind of barely squeaked by. But in all honesty, in the districts where they went from Obama to Trump Trump got fort Minnesota's. First district, Donald Trump got fifteen percentage points. Main second, Donald Trump got ten illinois's twelfth district again, fourteen percentage points. So those are going to be more difficult for the Democrats to to take. But I do believe it's extremely possible of the fourteen. That went from Obama to Trump and Romney to Clinton. They're pragmatic, and those are the those are the districts where the Democrats are putting a lot of money. And right now there's a lot of momentum going in their favor. As I mentioned earlier, the generic ballot puts the Democrats enthusiasm of about seven points higher than the enthusiasm of the Democrats. So that is possible that they are able to pick up some of those seats and then they would end up getting to the magic twenty three. And of course, I'm also assuming that the Republicans in the twenty four districts that are leaning Republican, that Holtz so, but we also the Democrats can't lose anything that leans democrat and hopefully they can peel away one or two of the ones that leaned or the lean Republican. Otherwise, they got to rely on those fourteen districts that are a little bit more pragmatic and a little bit more outside of Donald Trump's, regular constituency or the constituency that he has really been playing to over the past two years because he has definitely abandoned the. Thirty, three percent of white women voted for absolutely. And that all this is dependent on who comes out to vote, who who is it? That's going to be that comes out on the sixth and votes, like who is who in this country is politically engaged. I've read this an amazing study. It was called hidden tribes. A study of America's polarized landscape. It was a yougov poll eight thousand person poll one percent margin of error. So this is a pretty damn good one. And what it found was they did kind of a breakdown of like, who are liberals who are conservatives and who, who are these people within these tribes. Right? It's like eight percent of the country are progressive activists. Okay. That's far left wing and six percent of the country are devoted conservatives that is far, right. That's all right. That's just that's just far far far right-wing far, left wing far. Right wing and it isn't it sad that those two people control our narrative right now, they're combined Boyce's.."