Listen: Brexit, Brexit Party Alexandria, Tory Party discussed on Remainiacs - the Brexit Podcast
"All, I think Paula VI's to take populists seriously to only give them exposure. Once they have shown they have earned the ballot box. And I also think that there is no reason not to do interviews all live to tape, you know, edited, but simply so you can go this wasn't true, instead of that thing, where someone can say something into your doesn't pull them up on get the kind of imperfections like there is there is no argument for those more interviews to be live other than the theater, and I wouldn't be only south on the theater was good enough to justify and. Komo things about the, the Brexit party Alexandria thinks that we should stop energizing his base by talking about them and concentrate on getting out own turnout up because Farraj is only ever succeeded in low turnout elections. I'm that actually you do. See it on Twitter, for example, people really getting quite depressed and kind of remains just thinking, you know, just how can we possibly defeat the armies of garage? So should we should we be at this point? But basically just desperately trying to get out the vote and, and sort of restore some optimism as opposed to turning it all into like a Farraj show. I think for remainders the elections might turn out to be a bit of a dump squib in that, you know, we remain are sold this huge kind of swell optimism earlier in the year, when you had the petition to revoke article fifty, you know, the March through London, and I think it's fair to say that the European elections are not going to be meant like that. And. Part because the kind of remain parties are pretty disorganized. They're split. They can't decide on which toback and whether or not even to, you know support one independent candidate together having said that. I don't think it's necessarily a reason for massive depression as ready mentioned. If Farraj does as a current polls project him to do with his Brexit party. That's not too far off their performance in two thousand fourteen. It's similar levels to how anti-establishment kind of quote unquote, populist parties perform in Europe. That's not to say that these parties was a whole don't have an impact in the European parliament. We'll get to that later. They certainly will. But in terms of the macro picture, where does that leave Britain, vis-a-vis Brexit? I think even is absolutely right in the sense that, you know, the longer there is no majority for one course. I think Brexit becomes more unlikely if there is no majority, especially for, you know, a no deal Brexit. Or we certainly know that there's no joy. For Theresa May's Brexit which is actually a really hard Brexit. Right. So then I think the possibility that there's no Brexit old becomes higher and also in terms of de delusion. I think that if Farage's party does, well, what you might end up seeing is that the Tory party are instructed by, oh, my go- that to take as instruction say, oh, my God, we need to push hard to Brexit. We need to push for new deal Brexit, and try to go back to the EU remember the time we this extension runs. I know ctober, so if they take that as a sign off to the elections to go back and try renegotiate, we know how that's going to end. Right. It's not going to end well and those fundamental decisions that the UK is still not willing to take. They will have to be addressed at some point, whether it's a dealer or no deal Brexit. So I think if you look at the bigger picture, if you look at the Brexit party coming first in the elections, I don't think that really fundamentally changes the UK's position reasonably the EU finally, in what does forage want apart from. Attention and more racism bean talks that, you know there's been a lot of talk about what happened in Canada. You know, and saying that the Brexit party was sort of effectively takeover Tory party often may goes is that. Is that likely? And is that what Farraj really wants because so much of his message, of course, is based on not being the party that has to carry the can and have policies, and such you used to be coy open about this used to say, what are the purpose of you is to influence to report reporters, and the thing for lodge?."