Pennsylvania, Representative Perry, President Trump discussed on Overnight re-air of day's programming
Democrat candidate for Georgia. Governor in a conversation with Oprah Winfrey. This happened earlier today at the Cobb County Civic Center in Marietta, Georgia. With the midterm elections. Just days away watch the competition for the control of congress on C span. See for yourself the candidates and the debates from key house and Senate races. Make C span your primary source for campaign twenty eighteen. C span radio WCS PFM Washington coming up in just a few minutes. We'll be taking you to a discussion hosted by the National Academy of public administration on election challenges facing US states, and localities in this two thousand eighteen election and beyond. Panelists are taking their seats. And it should get started in just a few minutes. While we wait. Here's a discussion from earlier today about one of the battleground states, we're featuring this week on Washington journal today, we looked at the state of Pennsylvania this week. We've been taking a look at battleground states across the us as we lead up to the midterm elections. Pennsylvania is our focus today. Taking a look at the state at large and then some of the specific races. Involve joining us for that conversation. Jonathan Tamari of the Philadelphia Inquirer. He serves as the national political writer for that publication, Mr. tomorrow, good morning. Good morning. Thanks for having me in a story. You published yesterday you said, or at least took a look at two races in Pennsylvania that could serve as harbingers for what we may see on election day. Can you walk us through those? Yes. So the two races that we've focused on are ones that have not been kind of on the front lines for much of the coverage so far, but that really both parties are looking at as we get close to election day and Pennsylvania tenth district, which is right around Harrisburg represented currently by Republican Scott Perry and sixteenth district, which is in north west corner of the state in Iraq county, represented currently by Republican Mike Kelly, and these are to raise districts that are pretty Republican President Trump won them by nine points in the Harrisburg district by more than twenty out in the western Pennsylvania district, but they're both races. Where some polling has showed pretty tight contests. Especially in the one outside of Harrisburg and democratic national groups are starting to put some money into those races. And. Really, those are the kind of reach district where it Repub Democrats managed to win those those could really be the sign that they're not just winning toss ups, but that there might actually be a wave on. So if there's going to be a wave, those might be two of the first places that we see if Democrats can win either of those looking at the district if the state did well for Donald Trump. Why is Scott Perry having the issues that he has well, there's a few factors. They're the biggest one probably is that as a lot of people probably know the Pennsylvania congressional map was redrawn. Earlier this year, so all the districts have new shapes and new kind of demographics in profiles. That district went through some significant changes the president had won it by more than twenty percentage points under the old lines under the new lines. I believe he went up by nine percentage points. So it's much more moderate instead of having only part of the city of Harrisburg has the entire city now. So again, it's much more of a moderate district where even the Republican voters there a lot. Them. Previously voted for Charlie dent who is centrist from Allentown. And congressman Perry has a very different profile. He's very conservative you lies with the freedom caucus and Democrats. There have found a pretty strong candidate a pastor and a veteran named George Scott. And so you combine all those factors and Peres never had a really close race combine all those factors. And suddenly, it looks like it could be a really tight one on election day. One of the local papers there in Pennsylvania, the York daily record the endorsed, George Scott. And this is what they said about Scott Perry saying that they endorsed Scott Perry in the last election cycle, urging him to become more bipartisan. Now, they think that voters should give George Scott a chance to help change the tone. He's decided me more liberal than Representative Perry, but his positions on a host of issues from immigration taxes and education makes sense. They add this he's willing to reach across the aisle. Can you factor that into Scott Perry has has he changed as far as being an office? Scott Perry has not Scott Perry has stuck to who. He was when he was elected and through his time in office. He's a very conservative. He's devoted to conservative causes as I said, he caucuses with the freedom caucus, which is the really the most conservative wing of the House Republicans, and and he's unyielding in those beliefs, and he's continued to stick to those beliefs. Even though his district now has changed just a few months ago. And so that's where the challenges, and that's why some Democrats and some Republicans think that can be a really tight race. He's not as in line with his district politics as he was before the map was redrawn. The sixteenth district that you spoke about one of the headlines describing this race described it as a bare knuckle fight would you agree with that assessment? It does certainly seem that way to have been charges and countercharges of lying of completely distorting. The record the democratic challenger. Rhonda Nicolas's had some ads that have come under. Some pretty sharp attacks from our sharp scrutiny from fact checkers, and it's an interesting one again because that's a district that was very pro Trump. But it has voted it does have some democratic roots at voted narrowly for Barack Obama in two thousand eight and so that's a tough one. I think the tenth is the one where people think there's more of a chance for an upset but desperately one that has also come online recently. The sixteenth walk us to another race to this is in the first district of Pennsylvania. This is Brian Fitzpatrick, Dan versus Scott Wallace. Yeah. This is the toughest race in Pennsylvania and probably in the Philadelphia area. This is a very classic swing district. That has regular we gone flip back and forth between the parties. Wave years have seen Democrats and Republicans win it depending on which way the way was going. Brian Fitzpatrick is he has a very independent brand. And that started with his brother who was a congressman Mike Fitzpatrick it's continued with Bryant he has tried to. Really be build up his bipartisan credentials. He voted against the Republican plans to repeal the ACA, but he voted for the tax Bill and his challenger is Scott Wallace who's a wealthy philanthropist whose port a lot of his own money into that race. And so you look at the district, it's really evenly balanced. It's a place where in two thousand seventeen Democrats came out and won a whole bunch of row offices in bucks county that they had not one in decades if not longer and and that was a real sign of kind of that backlash to President Trump. I don't think anybody was actually that concerned with the row offices. It was more Democrats just wanted to get out and vote. So that's the challenge for Brian Fitzpatrick. He's probably one of the best positioned Republicans to try to withstand a wave. So if Democrats managed to beat him that's also a sign that a lot of these tossup races may break towards the Democrats. Mr. tomorrow, you spoke about money how much money is coming in from outside. Factors, particularly I support of Republicans in these races died don't have I couldn't put a specific number on it. But it's certainly significant the Philadelphia media market itself is really expensive market to begin with. You've got the Fitzpatrick race ever in the first district over New Jersey in south jersey. There's another race. So so money is again pouring into the same media market for that in the tenth and sixteenth. It's a little less because those markets just aren't as expensive and those are a little bit more of a reach for Democrats. But there's certainly a lot of national attention on the state. So when you're watching these races on election nights? What are the telltale signs for you? Well, again, we'll look for. I think the first one is what goes on in that first district. That'll give us a sign of if Brian Fitzpatrick loses. I think that's a pretty good sign that Democrats are going to be able to win a majority because that's a really tough race. He's a strong incumbent. And if he loses I think that's a sign that a lot of incumbents are going to be in trouble in that. It's a nationalized race that your local profile does not count as much as Democrats desire to vote against Republicans and put a check on President Trump. So that's the first one I'm going to be watching. And then I'll be watching those tenth and sixteenth to see if Democrats pull off an upset in either of those if they do then it's not just a majority. It might really be a big wave for them. If they lose in that first district Democrats could still win the house. I think, but it will probably be a nail biter and something that will be watching the late results coming in from across the country to see if they've done it or not our guest serves as the national political writer for the Philadelphia Inquirer. Jonathan tamari. Joining us. Philly dot com. The website if you want to read the writing and the way he's following these races. And Mr. tomorrow, we thank you for your time today. Thank you. Appreciate it. You're listening to C span radio. And now as promised, we take you to a live discussion hosted by the National Academy of public administration on election challenges in the twenty eighteen election and beyond. Hello. Right. I know I'm Nancy Tait. I'm the co chair of the twenty twenty women's vote centennial initiative, which is an effort that I found two years ago with others to make sure that the country commemorates the one hundredth anniversary of women's fight to obtain the constitutional right vote, which you did with the nineteenth amendment that passed in nineteen twenty. But before that for the previous fifteen years, I was the executive director of the league of women voters of the United States, and in that capacity, of course, work closely with our all of our fifty states and a seven hundred local leagues in helping citizens understand what was going on in elections, but also to fight into promote fair election laws that would make an inclusive voting system, and before that actually I was chief operating officer here at the National Academy of public administration who's annual conference. We are now attending with me today is Leslie Reynolds who's the exam. -secutive director of the national association of secretaries of state. Tom Hicks, the chair of the US election assistance commission. Linda, Linda, and Linda Lindbergh, the director of elections for Arlington county, and a speaker who may be joining us is Sean Conlon with Deloitte who works with various federal and state clients. So before I turned it over to the panel. I want to set a little context about the US political system. So I'm sure that certainly everyone at at Napa and elsewhere is hearing a lot about elections today. Usually we hear about the party's the candidate's campaign strategy political advertising and media coverage, which is endless of all of those of the above. But most of us know that there are a number of factors that are less obvious that that do impact these races and the outcomes one, of course, is the census and the redistricting process that goes on every ten years sometimes more often, but every ten years the primary system that selects the various candidates money. Of course, has a huge impact that we can't always see exactly how it influences things. But we know that it does the information that voters get all during the election season. And where that information comes from, of course, the presidential years the electoral college has a huge impact on what the ultimate outcome is. But essentially one of the main factors is turnout. But one of the things that doesn't get discussed very much is are the institutional features of the election system. And that's what we're going to talk about today. Our system in the United States is highly discentralising, and this stems from a provision in the US. Which does give primary responsibility for election management to the state. But this makes us unlike all the other advanced democracies and probably unlike some of the not advance democracies that means he's a very small federal role and up until recently, some of the main federal players that did exist were really concerned with money..