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2020 Golden Globes Predictions

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2020 Golden Globes Predictions

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5 months ago

Automatic TRANSCRIPT

I'm Shawn Fantasy and this is the big picture of conversation show about predicting the results of an award show do not respect. That's right Amanda. The Golden Globes are nearly here. They are the conclusion of one of the more fun weekends of the year. We'll have NFL wild card weekend starting and then Dispatch the sped award. Show Fun for you nightmare for me. I will go straight from the eagles which my husband is too invested in into ricky surveys haltingly. Golden gloves so prepare for Sunday night attitude from Amanda yes I will be preparing for a weird attitude likely from ricky traverse one of the more more unusual figures to host an award show in the last ten or twenty years. He's back hosting Golden Globes. Were going to be predicting the results of some of these races which are chosen by ninety anyone mysterious foreign journalists Jervis was selected by these people to host the show in part because he has been the host of some successful editions of the Golden Globes. Last year was a different kind of Golden Globes humira call was hosted by Andy Sandberg and Sandra did not recall that. Until you said just now I think that I thought that that it was going to signal a new way forward for the Golden Globes. I don't know not necessarily a more progressive way forward but just the different kind of approach to hosting Alaska races back. What's your take on these days? Why are we still doing this? That every that's kind of where I am. I just like no thanks. I've moved on. I think we as a TV and awards. Washing washing community have moved on feels stale and it and he's feels like just kinda trying to hold onto whatever influence he had like ten years ago he still has a huge following and I think he's still a very successful comedian per se but he feels very fake controversial as a professional. Now where sort of everything he does is more of a provocation than a joke. which is not really where you WANNA be now famously on this award show? He's quite sharp elbowed he takes shots at celebrities as opposed to patting them on the back as many Golden Globes hosts have in the past I guess this is fine. I you know you think like what happens. When crosses the line and we have an outrage moment how will we handle that in this otherwise very convivial award show? I don't think people will care either will be the requisite op-eds or takes or whatever and perhaps that will distract from whatever terrible awards. The Hollywood foreign press gives out You know and maybe we'll put all of our anger into that and then we can just have an award. It's show maybe that's maybe it's a nice way of of dividing the components. Do you think we're queudrue vase was up for the joker and joker think he was auditioning against Joaquin now down He. He was auditioning for the Penguin. You know in the new one because everyone wanted to be the penguin You know this is a movie podcast broadcast but there are also a bunch of TV awards at the Golden Globes I. I haven't really paid much attention to the TV awards nor will be really prognosticating but yovany any sense of what's going. Go down here. TV was what were the big shows. Twenty nine thousand nine six session and fleabag will though shows win awards. What succession might succession session is nominated in drama along with big little lies the crown killing eve and wait for it then learn? They say that I watched the last year in the morning. Show who do not believe on the critics who came late to it and we're like wow the morning show is really become an investigation of me. Too Culture friends a dog wrote the last so it's more nutshell but anyway I still watched all of it. You could see it winning but you could also ASSOC- You know the crown seems like a very obvious when you can also see succession winning because the Golden Globes likes especially in the TV area to To get out ahead of the emmys succession has not yet won the major Emmy Award. This would be an announcement of succession as sort of the next great television. Show on Prestige Steve Cable. Whether that's still the case given the way that Netflix Amazon and all the other streamers have kind of barreled through the doors now is it will be interesting to see You know this. This is really weird. Best TV drama actress Jennifer Aniston. Olivia Colman Jody comber Nicole. Kidman Reese Witherspoon. Two nominations for the morning show. There are more billy crap. He's nominated for the morning show. If Billy Krupp wins for the morning show I take back half of everything I've said sad about the Hollywood Foreign Press Association is very strange. Maybe that's enough on TV awards. What else do we really want to make any sense things for succession fleabag everything else? I don't really care about. Let's let's start with something movie wise that I think is very relevant to this show. Do you think that this award show in. General is impactful on the the Oscar narrative in general or this year. Well let's start with in general. Yes I do because it just seizes attention and for a certain amount of time at a crucial moment and the awards are as much about attention economy as they are anything else. There are a lot of movies to see. There are a lot of voters who haven't quite quite caught up and I'm like oh I guess I should check this out and and sometimes I think it's reactive. Something wins and people are like I don't know about that. I'm GonNa make sure that I invest the other way but there isn't a fanfare around it. Everyone shows up for these. And it's televised and I just think the timing especially you can't help even if you're like this doesn't matter. I'm an ignoring it. We spend so much time talking about it. I do think it matters so last year of course Green Book won best drama and Bohemian. Wraps he won best musical or comedy though. I would argue. That Green Book is a comedy and Bohemian. rhapsody is neither a musical comedy drama. Those two films obviously competed heavily in one quite heavily heavily at the Academy Awards. Do you think that the results this year will sincerely affect the Oscars. Yes because the award season is much shorter this year. Nominations are in what voting begins today. That's that's insane. That's it's so fast and it's so compressed and I do feel like everyone is feels like if they're playing catch up. I'm still playing catch up on a couple of the Non Marquee categories. And I just think people will use this as a bellwether and also has an instruction action will of okay. Now I gotta go watch these three or I didn't like that this one so I'm going to do this. I don't know that it's one to one but yeah I think they're important. Would you argue that this is the most consequential Golden Globes in recent years. I guess so. Yes how strange. How strange I who have devoted so much of our lives to this it is? How do we let this happen? And I think you and I talked about at this early in the morning when the nominations were announced of. How have we allowed this group of people who tweeted airlines to become the major Oscar deciders? It's a very curious thing. Sometimes they do get stuff right. Yeah and sometimes they do vote in a manner that I think suggests like a clear lear narrative will be taking hold on something you know this year. There's an expectation. I'm getting ahead of myself. There's an expectation that Brad Pitt will win supporting actor. Brad Pitt is the consensus sensus favorite among almost every person. I've talked to to win best supporting actor that may not ultimately be the case. Maybe Al Pacino comes by. Maybe Joe Patchy comes by maybe Anthony Hopkins uh-huh bye-bye who knows it's a stacked category but among all the punditry for both the Oscars and the Golden Globes that I've read everyone agrees it's Brad Pitt. A part of that is because he's Uber famous and the famous is usually awarded here also the ingenue is usually awarded here. The morning show is sort of an ingenue at the at the Golden Globes this year. Wow maybe maybe a young performer. Who has never been who's never had a chance to win something before we'll also win here tonight to start with our predictions? Yes okay the first category. We're GONNA talk about his best motion picture foreign language now. This is notable because there is no universe in which this can reflect the Oscar nominations because there are two candidates here from France so are can also with a farewell will not qualify as foreign language. The first nominee is the Farewell Pedro Motive Painting Glory. Selena Gomez portability fire Bongino host parasite and lodge lease loomis Where was your heart? Tell you about this category category. I think this has to be parasite I think so too but okay international body. They've chosen to films is from France and they've basically chosen in American production a CO production and the farewell which is very popular seen by a great many people. They've been campaigning quite a bit. Yes also Pedro Almodovar's all trail possibly the most celebrated non-american filmmaker of the last twenty years. Twenty five years. Maybe it'd be overstating it he's in certainly in the conversation top five. That's all true. All Great Films Parasol is not eligible in either a drama or best picture drama or best picture a comedy Because it's forty which because that's how the Golden Globes work and Bongino is nominated for director and parasite is also nominated for screenplay I wish to signals to me that they really like parasite and this is the place where they can award parasite so you put your finger on something interesting. which is that people tend to look at the number of nominations especially amongst the small body like this as a clear indication of preference over other movies so once upon a time in Hollywood us five nominations at the Golden Globes? That must mean. It's a front runner in every category. Do you think that's true. Not In every category but I think that it means that there is interest in the film and that it will probably win something. I'm also kind of triangulating and and my picks because I don't think I think that they do try to actually sprinkle out awards among the movies that they do like so new spoilers but like I think this parasite parasite will triumph because it may not want other places interesting. I too am going with parasite. I think it would be insane to not go with parasite though I will be devil's advocating my way through this whole conversation. It's always voiced finds you podcast and live life with you Sean. Best motion picture animated amandus fever category frozen to how to train your dragon. The hidden world missing link Toy Story. Four and the Lion King which I find to be the funniest nomination here because the lion king was not submitted as animated feature to the Academy Nevertheless LS Globes has decided to nominate here. I would think twice. Sorry for yes I think that would be the only answer okay. I think that's the only truly beloved loved Film on this lineup. I think that's the only both critical and commercial success that tends to be the kind of wins. Best animated feature which is one of the more interesting features Church of the animated feature categories to me. Is that very rarely do films that are not commercially successful win there but all also also. You can't just be commercially successful. You have to be a masterpiece in the zone which is why pigs are winding picks ours when one almost every year at the Golden Globes since its inception except for last gear when Dino at one now I suck Spiderman Song. Oh Yeah that was a good movie. I was a great toy story. Four th. That's boring category. Hopefully they put that one up