Listen: Miami, Football And Vikings discussed on Public Affairs
"To see how far Derrick Henry pushes numbers. So I was still engaged. But while watching the crappy Jaguars offense. Although I really do like the fact that they changed their helmets. It would've been Todd just think how much worse it would be watching the Jaguars this year with the helmets. They had last year. But it occurred to me. After thinking, why am I still watching this game other than the fact that it's my job? It's like, you know, there aren't many of these left. So let's enjoy them. While we have them all at the alliance of American football is coming one week after the Super Bowl. I we need to spend more time talking about this. I addressed this yesterday in the PF PM podcast because there's another football league that I'd never even heard of before yesterday with Teo and Ricky Williams involved the freedom football league, which I guess with Ricky Williams involved means they're going to be smoking weed on the sidelines, but how much football like all of a sudden, we go from no football beyond NFL, college, and whatever high school you follow in your local community to af XFL FCF fell freedom football league. And I think gambling is driving all this because they're trying to find things that people can bet on. Now, the betting is legal. You have to increase the inventory of things on which people can bet and with football is only four months out of the calendar where you can bet on it. What do we do with the other eight? Let's have more football. If for no reason other than to have something to bet on. All right. You have things to bet on this Sunday. I've scoured the betting lines in his usual. I have no confidence in my belief has to how the games are gonna turn out. Although I was two and one against the spread last week damn colts, minus four what's wrong with you colts. It's hard to cover the spread when you score. No points. That's some high level Jimmy the Greek style betting analysis. But yes, if you are shut out, and you are the favorite now, you could be the underdog and get shut out and still cover. I mean, if your point four point underdog, and you lose three nothing eight cash your ticket, but very hard to cover the spread when you're the favorite. If you have zero. Zero. How in the hell did that happen? How did that team that we saw last night against the titans? Shut out the colts. How did that occur? All right. I'm filibustering because I really don't know what to tell you about this week, although MD, and I every Thursday, we do this best bets competition where we go back and forth, picking games. And. I picked like a couple of games yesterday. He wanted to pick. I get to go first in the even numbered weeks, and he wasn't happy. Buffalo, minus three and a half against the jets. The bills blew out the jets with Matt Barkley at quarterback. Josh Allen has had a sneaky great rookie year. That was something that Chris Simms pointed out earlier this week, we're not paying attention. Josh Allen what because the bills are out of the playoff discussion. And Josh Allen was injured for a few weeks. So out of sight out of mind, but the bills have been great and the jets are just kind of broken at this point, especially after blowing the lead against Tennessee last week. I think I'd take the bills minus seven, but please bear responsible. I'm always very careful now after the guy who said that he relied upon Chris Simms and me touting the eagles in their first game against the Cowboys. He bet a month salary. I still feel bad about that. But then it's like, you're an idiot for betting a month's salary, general advice. Don't bet a month's salary. All right. But you know, here's the thing. I see so many people in our business now get caught up in. This bet bet bet go bet bet bet right bankrupt your book, you buy your book sitting there rubbing his hands together saying, yeah, go ahead and try please, please. We want volume they operate on a volume business because they know the more bets there are the more money. They're gonna make so yes, some are going to win more gonna lose. And if it's even that's how they make their money. What else do we have here? I can't remember the other ones. I picked I picked the Vikings for Monday night football, getting three and a half. At seattle. I feel like the Vikings win that game straight up. See it was easy for me. To pick weeks when I like the underdog the wind straight up. I don't like playing that game of well, I like the favorite to win. But will they win by enough? If I feel like the underdogs going to win that makes it very easy. I think the Vikings are going to steal one on Monday night from the Seahawks. I think the Vikings are going to get their act together there's been enough dysfunction recently there's been enough criticism of the running game or lack thereof. John D Filipo is going to dial up a run heavy approach. Pete Carroll was saying yesterday, the defensive coaches love the running game because it makes it harder to screw things up. Of course, his teams the one that threw the ball at the goal line. It's forty nine. Maybe that's how he learned the lesson. But I think Mike Zimmer is going to demand Davin cook latavius Murray dalvin cook latavius Murray. And they're only going to pass selectively or after they have established a run fully and completely. I think the Vikings win that game. So they they ended up by three. I like him to win that makes it easy. I like Cleveland because. They're the underdog at home against the Panthers. I just think the Panthers a fallen apart. I think Cam Newton shoulder is worse than they're letting us believe it is stats. Did you notice at the end? And we talk about this week at the end of the game Cam Numa through a pop gun hail, Mary when you throw a hail Mary pass. And it's ten yards short of the end zone. You shouldn't be throwing a hail Mary pass. And they no longer are. He can't throw the deep ball. Now that doesn't mean he's lost his arm strength. That means there's something wrong with his shoulder. That is keeping him from uncorking at the way that he used to tailor heineke came in for the last. Joked after the I didn't know they had another try said I'll Jacoby percent should have thrown that hail Mary because remember earlier this year when we were trying to figure out what's up with Andrew lock. And where he is to Kobe perset came into throw a hail Mary. It was like, oh, maybe Andrew lucked shoulder. Still is a little bit messed up. But it's not we we now know it's not. So I like those two underdogs. I also like the bears on Sunday night. I like the bears to win straight up to three point underdogs. It's going to be cold in Chicago. That defense is something. The Rams haven't seen the one other time. The Rams played in cold weather game. They scored twenty three points at Denver twenty three twenty win. Although that wind becomes more impressive. Now that we see the Broncos kind of figuring things out. But I think that the bears are good enough to beat the Rams. The Rams have that. I think one of the reasons the Rams three point favorites is they carry that or of not quite invincibility because we've seen them lose once. But only once I think the bears can pull it together. Mitchell Trubisky can do just enough and Khalil Mack and company probably sick of hearing about Aaron Donald being the MVP Khalil Mack big game Akeem Hicks who has been a very pleasant surprise for the bears this year. I think they can pull it off. And since they're getting three points that makes it easy gives me a little buffer. If they only lose two, hey, I'm still in theory cashing the. The ticket stats is suggesting to take Miami. And the points. I think MD did that I think MD likes New England the win but Miami to cover I just I still scarred by week four because in week for the dolphins were three and the patriots were one and two coming off of double digit losses to both the Jaguars. And the lions they were playing in New England. And Miami was a seven point underdog. And I'm like, are you kidding me? A seven point underdog. I mean New England may win the game. But seven point in. What was it? Thirty four seven could have been a twenty seven point underdog. And it would have been a push. So I'm staying away from that one. And I also think stats that because there's been so much talk this week about the recent struggles of the dolphins of the patriots excuse me in Miami. I think this is going to be one of those games or the patriots remind everyone why the patriots Tom Brady seven and nine for his career. He's got to play two more years and win both games in Miami to get the five hundred against Miami. I mean, it's not like this is a team that Pittsburgh always five hundred at Pittsburgh. I know he's under five hundred. At Miami in Miami. The only year they won the division. During Tom Brady's career is the year that Tom Brady didn't play. I'm nervous about that. And I'm not feeling. So that's one that I would just stay away from I would stay away from our you've little cardinals and the points against the Packers. Yeah. Yeah. You know? I hope you enjoyed your acorn blind, squirrel. What do you think about your forty Niners? Four point underdog at home against the Broncos. I think the forty nine hundred get forty points not cover. Yeah. I think the Broncos without Emmanuel Sanders are different offense. I don't know that that makes enough of a difference. I stayed away from that one. But I think MDX did he did put that one on his menu of selections. The advances just going to smother San Francisco the game I struggled with the most this week. And I stayed away from it from a spread perspective. But just even figuring out what green what's Green Bay gonna do a week after the firing of Mike McCarthy, what does that really do because I don't I mean, look, Joe Feldman's a nice guy. But my first reaction when should I say this? I think this is fair. This is fair to say my first reaction when they may Joe Philbin. The interim head coach is there. No one else. And the idea that they're considering Joe Philbin to beat the head coach. Did they not pay attention to his time with Miami? I don't think they're really considering him. I just think they're dangling the carrot to try to. Get a win this week to finish the season with some respectability, even though they're better off losing gangs. I think they're looking for a little bump at the end of the year that carries over and even if they sweep their last four games against the falcons at the jets and at home against the lions and the season. Even if you sweep do not get caught up in this. Hey, we gotta make the interim coach the."