What happens after we develop a COVID-19 vaccine?
My son was born in january. Twenty twenty shortly before the lockdown in paris. He was never scared people wearing masks. Because that's holy knows my three year old daughter knows how to say jen. Either oil colic. That's the french word for hydro alcoholic gel. She pronounces it better than i do. But no one wants to be wearing a mask or wash their hands with hand sanitizer every twenty seconds. So we're desperately looking at rnd to find the solution a vaccine. It's interesting that in our minds. We keep thinking of the vaccine discovery. Like it's the holy grade but there are a couple of shortcuts here that unlike to unpack. I'm not a doctor. I'm just a consultant. My client focused on healthcare bio pharma companies providers global house institutions and. They've indicated me. We need to find the tools to fight covet and we need to make them accessible tool. I one single vaccine will get us out of this. What we need is an arsenal of tools. We need vaccines winnie winning diagnostics. To make sure that we can prevent identified and treat covid cases in a variety of public relations. Second it's not just about finding a tool. What do you think will happen when one of those clinical trials demonstrate that it is affective do think we can all run to the pharmacy next door. We get the product. We take out masks and go back to french. Kissing no finding effective is just one step in this big fights because there is a difference between the existence of a product and access to the products. And now you're thinking all she means other countries will have to wait well. No that's not my point. Not only others may have to wait but any of us may have to the humbling thing about covid. is that because of its speed and magnitude. It's exposing all of us to the same challenges and giving us a flavor of challenges. We're not used to remember when china got into lockdown. Did you imagine that you would be the same situations few weeks. After i certainly didn't let's go to the theoretical moment when we have a vaccine in this case the next access challenge will be supplied. The current state of the global community is that by the end of twenty twenty one. So that's over a year. After the discovery of the vaccine we would have enough those to cover one to two billion of the eight billion of us on the planet. So who would have to wait. How do you think about access when supply short scenario number one we'll let the market forces play and those who can pay the highest price. It'll be the fastest to negotiate deals will get access to the product. I it's not equitable at all. But it's a very likely scenario scenario number two. we could all agree based on public house rationale. Who gets the product first. Let's say we agree that healthcare workers would get it first and then the elderly and then the general population now let me be a bit more provocative scenario number three countries who have demonstrated that they can manage the pandemic. well would get access to the product. I it's a little bit extrapolated. But it's not complete science fiction years ago. When the supply of high-quality second-leg berkeley's drug was scarce a special committee was established to determine which countries had health systems. That were strong enough to ensure that the products would be distributed properly and that patients would follow their treatment. Plants property those select countries got access. I or scenario number four. We could decide on the random rule for instance that people get vaccinated on their birthday. Now let me ask you this. How does it feel to think of future whether vaccine exists. But you would still have to wear a mask and keep your kids home from school and you would not be able to go to work the way you want because you wouldn't have access to that product every day that has feel inacceptable rights but guess what there are many diseases for which we have treatments and even cures and yet people being infected and die every year. Let's take us. Ten million people infected every year. One point five million people dying although we've had a cure for years and that's just because we haven't completely figured out some of the key access issues equitable access is the right thing to do. But beyond this humanitarian that i hope we are more sensitive to now that we've experienced it in our flesh. There is a health and then economy cognizant to equitable access. The health is that as long as the virus is active somewhere. We're all at risk of reported cases. The economy argument is that because of the interdependencies in our economies no domestic economy can fully restart if others are not picking up as well think of the sectors that rely on global mobility like aerospace or travel and tourism. Think of the supply chains that cut across the globe like textile automotive. Think of the sheriff of the economy. Gross that's coming from emerging markets. The reality is that we need all countries to be able to crush the pandemic instinct. So not only is equitable access. The right thing to it is also the smartest thing to do