Ukraine, Marcus Hippie, President Putin discussed on Monocle 24: The Briefing


Life all that right here on the briefing with me, Marcus hippie. U.S. intelligence has said that Vladimir Putin is preparing for a lengthy war in Ukraine, with even victory in the east potentially not ending the conflict. Let's have a listen to what the U.S. intelligence chief Avril Haines had to say earlier. The next month or two of fighting will be significant as the Russians attempt to reinvigorate their efforts, but even if they are successful, we are not confident that the fight in the Donbass will effectively end the war. We assess president Putin is preparing for prolonged conflict in Ukraine during which he still intends to achieve goals beyond the Donbass. But Putin most likely also judges that Russia has a greater ability and willingness to endure challenges than his adversaries. And he is probably counting on U.S. and EU resolve to weaken as food shortages, inflation, energy prices get worse. Moreover, as both Russia and Ukraine believe they can continue to make progress militarily. We do not see a viable negotiating path forward, at least in the short term. Her comments follow reports from the United Nations that the situation in Ukraine is graver than it's all originally feared. Let's get the latest now with sir Mark Lyle grant the UK's ambassador to the United Nations between 2009 and 2015. Welcome to the program. Now its own like the west will have to get prepared for very long conflict in Ukraine. What does that mean in practice? Well, I think it's unlikely, in fact, that the current intensity of fighting is like is will last much more than a month or two is able Haynes would say. But I think the chances of there being a sort of low level conflict continuing thereafter is indeed very high. We shouldn't forget that.

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