Trump says he will stop trade negotiations with Turkey, raise tariffs on steel

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One president trump says he's issuing new sanctions holding trade negotiations and raising steel tariffs in an effort to pressure Turkey to stop its ongoing offensive attack in Syria against Kurdish forces for more we're joined live on the KCBS ring central news line by Aaron David Miller senior fellow at the Carnegie endowment for international peace and former Middle East analyst for the state department Mr Miller thanks for your time this morning do you expect these efforts being made by the president to have any effect it may give repair to on a certain degree of reason to pause but in the end he has so much invested in this he's a very divisive polarizing figure enters politics but the one thing Turks appear to be United on is their determination to stop any Christian trick entity from establishing a Thomas area along their border as a consequence I think for him to back down now would be devastating up politically the real question is how far is the president prepared to go canceling a hundred billion dollar tree deal imposing tariffs on steel exports all it's fine but he the question is is the president prepared to to go further to block Turkish access to dollar counts and to impose primary and secondary sanctions which would have a devastating impact on the Syrian economy excuse me on the Turkish economy I'm not sure despite his threats that he's prepared to go that far and even if you've got a cease fire and they're made to be broken even if you've got a ceasefire the reality is stands to reason that the that the game is changed in Syria the Iranians Turks the Russians have much more influence leverage and add more will than we do and they're going to direct traffic they're not not the American ask you perhaps a naive question Mr trump opens the door to this by saying we're pulling our people out entering the Kurds lose to fend for themselves and then with the predictable response fired one decides it's time for sanctions what's up with that well I think I mean look I work for Republicans and Democrats and and and voted for them this is not a partisan comment but I think this is just another example of the president coming up with a solution to a problem that America didn't have in the process creating additional problems we've seen this with withdrawal from the Iranian nuclear agreement we seen it from withdrawal from climate so he in in in in the end he plays the role of both of arsonist in this case and fireman and it reflects I think you know the worst aspects of of this particular administration's foreign policy tendency to put domestic politics above the national interests no sense of power of policy process of coordination and frankly not much thought given to what the impact that this is going to have on America's partners abroad or on its adversaries lawmakers on Capitol Hill say they're getting ready to make up legislation that would require the White House to impose tougher sanctions something that is brought to people together we never thought we'd see work together democratic and SP house speaker Nancy Pelosi and senator Lindsey Graham how much power does Congress have in in pushing those additional sanctions that you alluded to earlier it's a really good question look if they can create a veto proof majority that is to say the president probably preempted Congress by at least imposing these tentative sanctions and and making it clear he'll he's prepared do more but unless Congress is prepared to will override the presidential veto the constitution gives the president enormous discretion and leverage and authority and power in in making foreign policy it could be that on this issue and frankly I've never seen Republicans and Democrats so United on any aspect of any policy foreign or domestic that the president has undertaken over the last several years it's possible they could they could create enough enough leverage in Congress to override a presidential veto I'm not yeah I'm not entirely sure it's going to come to that the Russians are now patrolling in northern Syria you're going to have some deal worked out which is likely to stabilize the area along that border we will not be the central drivers the Russians and the Turks in the Syrian government will will probably do that and I I think it reflects the fact that over the last two administrations under both of mom and this president United States simply and that includes public opinion in Congress is is never determined that carries a vital national interests and if you're not going to do that then you're not going to be able to invest blood and treasure and frankly after the too long is worse in American history in Iraq and Afghanistan I am I am I am absolutely persuaded that we should not invest the kinds of resources that would be required to actually compete with these other powers on the ground series a mass we're in the middle of it or we were and it's going to be left others to sort it out right now thanks for your time this morning Aaron David Miller senior fellow at the Carnegie endowment for

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