Listen: The case for and against Joe Biden's 2020 chances
"But you main message of the ad I agree with all of that. You probably agree with all that. That's why say Biden is running in the moderate lane. Even though his historic record is not particularly moderate his running in that lane. Perfect example. So Joe Biden when he talks about America as an idea and all the great things we've done in the past the stock footage that he uses is stock footage of marines landing on the beaches during Normandy or Guadalcanal, and then he juxtaposed that with MLK and civil rights marchers. Now, there's a thing that all the other democratic candidates have done in their video that Joe Biden did not do in this video all the other democratic candidates then flash to some sort of gay pride parade or something. Right. Then they flash to the rainbow flag on the wall of the White House or something Joe Biden. Specifically does not do that. That's choice. I promise you somebody in his campaign said to him Joe. We don't want that in their why because you used to oppose gay marriage. We don't want that in their why because you're trying to appeal to blue collar voters in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan not to upper east side, liberals in New York and Washington DC MOS Angeles. I promise you that something that happened. So Joe Biden is running that campaign. Now, how is that campaign going to play with the with the progressive wing of the Democratic Party Biden is hoping that the progressive savage each other that there are ten people in that lane. He's the only person in the moderate lane. And he walks the nomination. That's not a terrible strategy. It really is not. But all guns are now going to train themselves on Joe Biden, Joe Biden is everything that the that the radical base of the Democratic Party despises, not just as likes despises. So for example, the Justice Democrats came out, and they put out a tweet saying they're not going to endorse Joe Biden, they said, quote, Joe Biden is out of touch with the center of energy in that. Critic party today now notice that language center of energy? And I think that's correct the sensor of energy is not with Joe Biden, and his sort of moderate view of America as eight fundamentally great place that we have not always lived up to that's a conservative view, most people and left do not believe in this. So they say Democrats future Medicare for all green new deal free college rejecting corporate money ending ending mass incarceration deportation. Right. That is what they say. The future is Joe Biden voted in favor of the Iraq war. He voted for bankruptcy reform act. He voted for mass incarceration. In fact, he helped author at nine hundred ninety four he voted against school desegregation and against marriage equality, according to them. Now, he didn't actually vote against school desegregation. He voted against forced busing. That's not the same thing as desegragation forced integration. And desegregation are not the same thing legally speaking, but when he says that they voted against marriage. That's true. He voted in favor of additional marriage. He voted in favor of of the I believe in the nineteen nineties that offensive. Marriage act. So in any case, the Joe Biden, Joe Biden record will be up for debate here among Democrats now, here's the thing in a if we just went straight to the general election, you'd have to favor Joe Biden, he'd be the odds on favourite against Donald Trump in a primary. However, Joe Biden occupies the space that Donald Trump occupied. So in a primary space, Joe Biden, basically is Trump Trump in the general is this larger than life figure who is the incumbent and the referendum is going to be on him. That's at least the democratic theory in the democrat primaries, Biden is the larger than life figure and all of the focus is going to be on him. And the problem for Joe Biden is that he has never withstood focus. Well, Joe Biden has always failed to withstand the scars of battle. This is why he failed in one thousand nine hundred eight and had to drop out of replay drizzle scandal. So Bernie Sanders is going to be the first person to go after Joe Biden, obviously. And Bernie's allies are preparing the fight. According to the hill Sanders has been more of a liberal liberal policy. Visionary championing policies that were initially regarded by colleges fringe ideas, these concepts related embraced by leading members of the democratic caucus such as raising the minimum wage to fifteen bucks an hour and providing free college education. Former colleagues described Biden Sanders is polar opposites in terms of personalities and interacting with fellow senators Biden Seventy-six is gregarious and sociable. He was always eager to work a room strike up a friendly conversation or reassure a colleague who's feeling down a retail politician to his core Biden always wanted to know what was on his fellow senators, mind Sanders by contrast was focused on policy often. So wrapped up in his thoughts. He seemed oblivious to his colleagues he was seen consumed by Embiid plans to fight wealth inequality and push the national debates left, but uninterested in the personal lives of fellow senators who do you think the base is going to resonate to? If you hate Trump like despise from from Peter who do you think are gonna go for? Joe Biden a guy who's amiable, but not necessarily as hard edged or Bernie Sanders who's going to yell and scream and ransom rave about Donald Trump or Kamala Harris, who's a prosecutor Democrats have a lot of choices in these primaries. I'm not sure that Joe Biden stands up to scrutiny. That's a very conservative campaign launch video and Franklin sort of astonished that's the direction that he went especially because he's now going to have to defend his record Senator Dianne Feinstein has already come out and said that Biden would have handled the Clarence Thomas Anita hill hearings differently. If you could do it all over again, he's going to spend the first month of his campaign apologizing for his entire record. That's what you'll Biden is going to do is that a solid launch strategy. Basically, the only reason he's famous is the reason he's going to be apologizing. I don't see this as working well for for Biden. I think he's gonna launch he'll be strong at launch. And then it's all downhill"