Bill Gates looks back at ‘The Road Ahead’ after 25 years and some hit-and-miss tech predictions

Windows Weekly
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Automatic TRANSCRIPT

A look back at what Bill gates got right and got wrong in his book road ahead. This is based on a bill gates blog. Post talking about that stuff. And it's interesting because i had kinda forgotten this but back in nineteen ninety-five when this book was written. He was talking about What do you call digital agents. Which today we call digital assistance. Cortana syria lexus. Google assistant Was pretty forward looking. You know although he says These things are not as sophisticated as envisioned that they would you know twenty five years ago which is kind of interesting but you know what he doesn't say and i find i find this to be somewhat fastening. This book was really controversial Because when it came out it barely mentioned the internet. You know And i mean a month after this came out microsoft its giant pivot where they embraced the internet and You know announced internet explorer and a and they fully embrace the web and he actually came out with a second edition of the book that added the word internet about one hundred and fifty times just to make wa So year later almost a year later they came out with a revised version of the book. but yeah. I mean back. Then you know microsoft well you know. Proprietor proprietary software company there still thinking very proprietary so he saw the need for networks obviously and worldwide global. And all that. But i'm sure he envisioned microsoft being a gatekeeper. That thing you know at the time So that was kind of but yeah. I remember when this came out. It kind of solidified my distaste for these kinds of books. You know i. I was reading the wikipedia entry. But they're like it coulda reception is being very tepid mike. That's a good word for how this book was. Because he used a lot of management jargon and like big ideas. And i'm like yeah but tell us what you actually think about. What's going to happen next because you actually have done. A lot of comdex presentations used to tell us stuff all the terrain and it used to be great. It used to be amazing. You'd be like wow. Is that really the future. And then you read this and you're like wait. What happened between that and the book right. I mean look i. It's anyone who knows anything about bill. Gates it probably has a little bit of a problem with the tech visionary thing but i mean he did foresee the digital transformation stuff that we're that's happening today. He saw video on demand very early. They had a project tiger that was seeking to basically make net flicks back in the nineties He saw pocket computers of course Many years before we have iphones and androids and things like that. So i mean he you know but he'd been spot on the internet aware then he you. You did mention this but he is now going to write another book Which is called how to avoid climate disaster where he's talking about climate change and Yeah this this could be given what he does now with the gates foundation. I think a little more sweeping and maybe more interesting. We'll definitely be more sobering in it. Just yeah yes if we can turn off all those data centers. We wouldn't have. I told you the internet was bad. I don't know why did pay attention in one thousand nine didn't mention it back losing it. That's it's twenty five years. it's amazing. It was twenty five years ago. Nathan myhrvold Was one of his collaborators on the book which is interesting given that he went onto intellectual ventures. Yeah i still have the contents of it on my nass somewhere i of the day. Yeah don't know if it would install these days. It's probably a what they built. Probably some base thing also we have in in. This is interesting microsoft and joins apple and amazon. In saying hey so so in this court case with google. We'd really like it if you didn't share all of our data with jewel 'cause that wouldn't be great also. At and t. Comcast duck duck go oracle sonos and t mobile. Wow i just find this interesting. Because the all of these Big tech Internet anti-trust cases are all based on this notion of the gatekeeper. Right apple is the gatekeeper. I s amazon is the gatekeeper to online shopping. Google is the gatekeeper basically to the internet or the web in the idea. There is that you're searching for things. And they those companies control the search. They see what you're searching for and they can see what's popular. They can offer up their own stuff. Instead you know amazon. Does that with amazon basic stuff. They're like oh look. Batteries are selling great. Let's make batteries. Find the cheapest chinese batteries and get slap a log autumn. And we'll set. We're under price. Them will sell a million of. It's worked out pretty great right so basically no one goal to do this to us through the evidence for providing in this case the idea being that google's lawyers will see the evidence. Go back to google and say hey Apples working on this thing that you might want to know about ever and they would like the stuff to be marked as confidential not in not be something that google's lawyers could bring back to google so it'll be in gogol has said We would never do that. What do you mean. Of course not having with alaska do better say this. If it did happen. I mean we would disclose that. That'd be

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