Stanford University, David discussed on Michael Savage

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Of medicine at Stanford University so I I know that we don't do recriminations or doctor David when it when we talk about the D. locked down and indeed the entire economy shut down one of the suggestions made by the the imperial college study that suggested a half million people were going to die in the U. K. in asked mated that down to twenty thousand or less in the UK over the course of three days the people who are in charge and study basically suggested the reason for that that is number one the death rate being lower but number two that the lockdown is actually effective at preventing this if you let people out of lockdown is on the twenty thousand maybe it's a hundred thousand there's a study that came out from university of Washington today suggesting that the total number of deaths in the United States over the next four months could be eighty thousand I'm not sure what death rates they're playing in that study I've been trying to figure that out all day long here do you think the deep locked down and and people staying home has been effective in at least reducing the transmission how many excess deaths had actually been prevented and I'm not looking for you know hard number but but later on tonight although I can give you a hard number on this which is difficult right but I think the key thing there is that you can see the uncertainty in practice right right in front of you that the argument for the shutdown essentially is not alone healthcare systems like yours in Italy this is what's happening lately that's actually not unreasonable I mean it depends on what the terms on the capacity the healthcare system to deal with large numbers of people meet validators in ICU beds and things like that so I think that died it's hard for me to save my comment directly I think I have a very careful attention if your college studies study and that I I saw just this morning but you're free from the P. eyes that study just just basically changes wanted something like that to look more carefully I think they're the best that that's I mean do you see people putting numbers and the sheer prevalence essentially assume it's your problem that's right number initially that led to this massive massive shut down policy that number it isn't justified by that actual study will part of the population they they've they guess that number I mean I think we we need much more careful about about that more humble I think about the confidence with which we said let's do this when we when we don't actually know number we should be we should say we don't know that number at work toward reflects the uncertainty in our in our in our confidence in our our statements much more more effectively we typically do and Dr J. final question for you let's let's assume that we actually do get these tests in place that we start running all these zero prevalence has said that personal problems by the way just get checked my definition is to make sure I'm getting this right that would be checking the prevalence of the of the antibodies in people's blood basically has backed what once the once those tests aren't correct then how soon do you think this what's up how soon could we could we be looking at getting out of get out of I want to yesterday I wanted because yesterday I went on yesterday I want the number medially and we have our studies that I'm I'm working on with some of my colleagues to get the Ali and end up in LA county to get together does your call so sorry but we are nationwide study and we support for initialize that you needed to keep the extra to keep things are missing right now is we need a large number of antibody test that we need some funding source to pay for pay for that task and we can get those we can get that running with **** I mean the site if you need to round up the folks I'm talking with they want these numbers also so this is not something that's controversial I don't think it's partition I just think it's we just need we need the number I'm hoping will know it in in that two weeks on that latest what name really amazing amazing stuff and an interest and vital stuff here from Dr J. Bhattacharya professor misunderstand really appreciate your time Sir and thanks so much for hard work on this topic yeah I think it was a little pleasure take care but coming up we're gonna talk about president trump apparently members media very very angry that president trump's numbers are up in the midst of all of this because of course everything is from fall gets that momentarily first let's talk about some stuff that you can do in the near term like right now while you are locked down at home well first of all you can help your fellow Americans how can you do that as a member of the community well text my name then two four one four nine zero take the love America pledge today how can you help a local businesses that are just getting slammed well you could purchase a gift card from them you could commit to social distancing which is going to be useful regardless what happens next you.

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