China, Israel, Europe discussed on Power Trading Radio

Automatic TRANSCRIPT

America, I'm Hugh Hewitt. Thank you for listening. You may have missed this yesterday. And all the news of Jesse small, Latin Brexit and Israel this from the New York Times, Andrew Marshall, a Pentagon strategist who helped shape American military thinking on the that Union, China and other global competitors. For more than four decades died on Tuesday in Alexandria, Virginia. He was ninety seven his death was confirmed. Jamie Dornan, his executor, Mr. Marshall is director of the office of net assessment with the secretive futures of the Pentagon, a long range thinker who prodded and inspired secretaries of defense and high level policymakers virtually unknown among the wider public. He came to be revered inside. The defense department is a mysterious iota like figure who embodied an exceptionally long institutional memory. Well, I'll betcha wasn't a Yoder. My next guest, Admiral, James Stavridis, former supreme allied commander of NATO former in. Under of southern command thirty years in the service of the United States navy Admiral good morning now with the Carlisle group, but often up early with me. Good morning. I you must've known Andrew Marshall. Extremely well. Very sad to learn of his passing. I think appropriately it was announced at least publicly by Representative max berry who is the head of the House Armed Services committee, Hugh, it's impossible to overstate the impact that Andy Marsh on defense strategy over the last four decades now unpacked that I civilian audience because I'll betcha they've never heard of Andy. I bet you they have. No, I I never met him. But I have heard about him for years. I bet you they don't know what the opposite of Neta segment is and the IBM maybe even of defense department strategy is alien to a bunch of my listeners believe it or not the department of defense thinks a lot about strategies. So he say assessment what you're doing is looking at your opponents and looking at yourself your resources, you are looking at what you want to accomplish. And how you are doing essences strategy. Great. It's and ways and means where do you wanna go? What do you have to do to get there? And Andy Marshall was a master at looking at that balance. And I'll give you two practical examples one is in nuclear weapons, cold more unspoiled. It was Andy who came up with the basic theories of how we could apply deterrence in the nuclear world. And then Secondly is the Cold War came to an end any sawed before any of us, the rise of China and became very central to creating the strategy. That is just now kind of edging into public view this balance between the US China. So among many other things nuclear weapons in China. And then lastly back to the Yoda allusion. He was someone who mentor people like ambassadors out Callans as the current negotiator who solving the problem. We hope in Afghanistan, he was a mentor, Don Rumsfeld. That's how far back you see that. It's really remarkable that a lot of Americans don't understand their some patriots who just serve and servants servants serve. And Andrew Marshall was one of them. I was on the Nixon library on on Tuesday on Monday, excuse me, that people learn I'm going to take place back over in July two system the legacy project, but I met bug McFarland on that day and former national scary McFarland adviser McFarlane was they're giving a seminar too much grad students, and I went in and listen to seminar for about fifteen minutes. You talked about two things the opening to China how that was run out of the NSA and the initiative how that was birthed at the NSA, and you know, he was at the NSA with Nixon for China, and he was at the NSA with Reagan for STI, but I'll bet you Andy Marshall had a role in both of those initiatives. And in particular is STI because he came out of the RAND Corporation which worked, which of course, is a think tank you've worked on that in the very early stages in again, the Chinese functionality that he drove into our strategy was just remarkable and obtain another thing inspirational to all of us his longevity in his seventies. And eighties and nine he was still absolutely firing on all cylinders as one of the most influential defense thinkers in the nation ninety seven years old yesterday when he passed away just an amazing career someone someone's got to have a symposium on any Marshall. Let me turn the more practical immediate things Admiral Stavridis because it gets you once a week to talk about some of this. Of course, you were the supreme allied commander of NATO. So you know, Europe as a single military unit Europe is falling apart. It's breaking apart. And the Brexit debate is going to break Britain, or it's going to break the e one of the others. But what do you see when you watch that slow burn? Jacob me. Margarite today, saying half, a blow is better than no bread. In other words, take the may deal. What do you see happening? I think they should take may deal. Let's back up for one second year. I point Europe falling apart. I it's not just brakes think of it. Geographically to the north. The Brits are pulling out to the east. You see the polls in the Hungarians who are moving away from Brussels, very strongly into the south talion, led by prime minister are among the most anti you. And then in the center, you have Macron in France who was under extreme pressure because of yellow vest protests, and you have Germany wear wounded Angela Merkel is finishing her term. Those are the two twin towers of Europe are hold this thing together. So yes, the whole picture is falling apart to breaks. Brits are unbelievably controversial in kind of incompetence looking moment as they cannot as nation figure out what they wanna do it appears at this point. Let's just stop the pain take the Theresa May deal. It's not perfect. But they voted to get out if they really wanna get out at the best they're going to get through. Now, I'm reading from the times of London as we speak. It's where I begin because they're so ahead of us in the news cycle when I get to the studio. This is what I start with Boris Johnson last night. Join Jacob rees-mogg in warning of the growing risks than another defeat would mean Britain remaining in the EU Mr. rees-mogg city now back MS maze. Deal subject to support from the DUP. The prime minister has been told however that she must promise at a meeting with Taurean piece today to quit before the second stage of the Brexit talks. That sounds to me like the lead campaign is getting realism pragmatic realism infused into their choice right now. Indeed, factoring into all this, Hugh. If you've seen the recent polling, it shows that a pretty solid, but difficult to fundamentally predict maturity appears now to went to remain, and I think the those who want to leave are concerned if this thing drags on much longer the imperative to do another referendum will rise. And I think the depart crowd are getting very concerned. So so add that to the pressure. That's on forest Johnson. And that wing of the party to take deal. Now put on your Carlisle group hat per second as a sort of investor Maximus and management. Guru is the UK going to be a great business partner for the United States going forward? Or is is your advice to try and find opportunities for your money to work in other parts of the globe? Post. Brexit posted the media. Assuming the deal passes. Deal. Passes Britain won't be hungry for US is for all lot of obvious reasons. So there will be deals to be had the problem will be if you go into Britain, you're gonna you're gonna have more difficulty getting into the car. So as an investor you kind of have to head I think Europe is still big Europe. If you will is underrated as a place for US investment. I think you're gonna see flow in that direction. But the bottom line is it's going to be Asia that's gonna benefit small everything weeks. Talk about gradual unraveling the European project if you will the idea of this one huge global common market is unraveling in Europe, and that's gonna create more opportunity in Asia. And I would watch particularly to India. I think this century is going to be more about the rise of India's in the rise of China when all set interest. We'll come back to that in future weeks. I I have to close though by talking about Israel with you because the secretary of state your friend, Mike Pompeo yesterday. Talking about the Golan Heights and the president's decision to recognize Israel's annexation of Golan and the massive tank battle fought there in nineteen seventy three and Nixon's intervention in the um Kapoor where it was a great speech that Pompeo gave it a pack. However, they're on the brink of war right now in deputy minister Orrin was on yesterday saying we don't need a war with Gaza's HAMAs right now, the real threat is in the north. That's a second attempt by Iran to get us to look the wrong direction. What do you make of that situation? I think that's a pretty good analysis by the Israelis in limitless back up to the Golan for a second. Anybody who has walked ground up? There is my army general purist would say will tell you that leaving aside the politics of this. It is militarily impossible for Israel to give up the Golan. It just exposes the entire flat low utterly vulnerable tech in manufacturing center of Israel to say nothing of the entire population. So they're going to hold onto the Golan in terms of where they ought to be looking right now, HAMAs in what is happening guys is your it. It's a tactical problem this strategic challenge without question is to the Newark, especially as you, and I have talked about is the Iranian consolidate this swath of territory that runs from Ron to the shores of the Mediterranean, just north of Israel. Go line is going to be crowns. Zeroing that strategic challenge for Israel on that note, Admiral, James Stavridis. Thank you as always for a great conversation following that stavri Jay on Twitter and follow him here. He comes back and makes the world a little bit clearer for us every single week. And we appreciate when he can do that. Thank you Admiral time for me to tell you again about food for the poor as we head into the final three days of our food for the poor campaign. I wanna make one more appeal on behalf of the starving. Children and families trapped in the humanitarian crisis in Haiti triggered by the unrest in February. And if you think your gift larger small can have a huge impact just listened to Becky who has volunteered among the poorest of the poor cannot imagine. What a now doesn't Haiti the water situation. People children little children coming in with dysentery, so severe your money changes lie, and the people who donate I want every person is given even a dollar.

Coming up next