Kansas, Legislature, Wade discussed on The Ben Shapiro Show


How did you hear about his box so they know that I sent you? I'll give you an example of misreading the long-term trend. You can see the media is going to do this a lot today. So the media are very into the story from Kansas. So there was an amendment that was put on the ballot in Kansas that essentially would have amended the constitution of the state of Kansas to get rid of the codification roe versus wade in the state of Kansas. Instead of Kansas, the quote unquote right to abortion is protected by the state constitution. This amendment would have gotten rid of that in the state constitution, and then it would have moved that back to the legislature. So the guest vote would have essentially removed this from the purview of the court and moved it back into the realm of the legislature. Now, I will say that the way that this thing was phrased on the ballot is extremely confusing. It is not a particularly clear amendment. And the way that you write these amendments is everyone knows this, right, left and center. When you write referenda for the ballot, the way that those referenda are written has a major impact on how people actually vote. But you can't overcome the simple fact that in this particular election, 60% of people of Kansas said they did not want this thing removed from the constitution and moved back into the realm of the legislature. So this, of course, led Democrats and members of the media, but I repeat myself. To suggest that this is going to lead to a broad wave of democratic elections across the board. This just demonstrates the ire against the overturning of roe versus wade, this is going to drive Democrats to the polls. It's going to get them all. That is not what this election is. You have to dramatically misread the data to come up with that with that particular conclusion. The reason you have to misread that data is because if you look at the actual voter turnout in Kansas, which was pretty much across the board, what you see is that Republican voter turnout because there's a primary day was way higher than democratic voters turnout. In the Republican primary, for example, for governor, what you see is that approximately 264,000 Democrats showed up to vote in the democratic primary. A whopping 420,000 Republicans showed up to vote in the Republican primary, which is not a close primary. Which means 420,000 compared to 264, 265,000, you're talking about easily 30% more Republicans showed up to vote. 20 to 30% more Republicans showed up to vote than Democrats. And yet the attempt to de codify roe in the Kansas state constitution went down to flaming defeat by a margin of about 60 to 40. And even in areas that Trump won, the menu Republicans voted in favor of retaining the quote unquote right to abortion in the Kansas state constitution. So there are some Kansas counties. That Trump won, for example, leavenworth county, Trump won that county by 21%. 61 to 39, people voted in favor of keeping the amendment in the state constitution that codifies row. And so in other words, what this actually shows. So Democrats are going to say what this shows is tremendous upsurge in anger over roe versus wade, that is not what this shows. What this shows is that people are congenitally predisposed to maintaining the status quo in nearly every area of life, particularly controversial, social issues. It also shows that people are saying this is going to be transferable, the sort of passion is going to be transferable to federal levels. I don't see how that happens. People are saying, well, this just demonstrates that roe never should have been overturned weird because it seems like this is a state vote to do what the state wants to do. So actually, it undercuts the idea. This is going to be a national election issue for Democrats. Because it'll get sent back to the states, which is what happens when you over to row. And then the states are going to get to decide. So Kansas is going to have very different laws than say Oklahoma. And that's sort of what the court suggested. So it's possible to over read these trends and you're going to see a lot of political commentators overrate these trends in an attempt to prop up the Democratic Party long term. They can do this. I don't think it's going to work particularly well for them. This is why you're hearing all these narratives about revitalized democratic strength on the ballot. The Democrats are going to, they're going to surge here. I don't think they're going to surge. I think the lawyer going to see is basically what the polls say right now is where the polls are going to be all the way up through the election. You're going to see some candidates on the Republican side lose because they shouldn't have been nominated. You're going to see some Republicans who are kind of weak win because it is a because it's a bad year for Democrats. But what you're going to see is the media trying to convince themselves desperately. The Democrats have come up with a new formula for winning by looking at particular instances of weather and then misinterpreting that as political climate. This is their pitch, after all. And this is why Pete Buttigieg is out there on national TV talking about how when we're getting infrastructure done, this is going to change our electoral fate. Again, I think that that is whistling past the graveyard here for Democrats. Here is Pete Buttigieg trying to do it. Last week we announced a use of part of the money in order to make more transit stations accessible. A couple of weeks before that, we put out the first wave of airport terminal grants were improving 84 airport terminals around the country. It's everything that we've wanted for a long time in American infrastructure after years and years, years and years of talk. The last president talked a good game about this. Now we're actually getting it done. Okay, and The Washington Post is pushing the same notion, right? The Washington Post is trying to push senator kyrsten sinema, for example, to ram through this $433 billion environmental climate change boondoggle Bill. And they say that they need to do this because after all, this will demonstrate that they can deliver on their promises. The Washington Post editorial board says miss cinema shouldn't sink this bill, most of whose contents she has indicated in the past few supports she shouldn't sink it because she opposes closing the carried interest loophole. That provision unambiguously aids those who need most at the expense, only of those who need it not at all. But again, The Washington Post is under the belief that if Democrats do more democratic policy, this will make them more popular. And I think that they are trying to string together a series of questionable data points to come to that particular conclusion. So in other words, could Republicans blow 2026 sure. Republicans can always blow things. You can always count on the Republicans to miss every opportunity. This is a thing that Republicans routinely do. But if you are using this to try and chart trendlines on behalf of the Democratic Party, I think that you are going to be sadly mistaken. Over the course of the next few years, because again, the Democratic Party has moved too far left for the mainstream of America right now. And bad and arrogant Republican primary selections of people who are unlikely to win in the general because they get overconfident, and so they nominate AOC candidates

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